New Poll Shows Where Harris, Trump Stand One Month Ahead Of Election

By Jason Hall

October 3, 2024

Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump Debate
Photo: Getty Images

Vice President Kamala Harris reportedly has a slim lead over former President Donald Trump in a national poll released by Emerson College one month before the 2024 presidential election.

Harris has a 50% to 48% edge over Trump among national voters in the Emerson poll for the month of October, while 1% of respondents claim they support someone else and another 1% remain undecided. The vice president had previously held a 2% advantage in the Emerson poll for the month of September.

“The margin between the candidates has stayed the same since early September, when Harris held 49% and Trump 47%,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “Harris maintains a slight edge, though less than [President Joe] Biden’s four-point lead in Emerson 2020 national polls at this time.”

Harris has reportedly split voters on favorability at 50%, while 49% of respondents view Trump as favorable and 51% see him as unfavorable. Both vice presidential candidates were reported to have had 46% favorability ratings, respectively, prior to Tuesday's (October 1) debate, though Tim Walz had a 46% unfavorable view and 9% of respondents said they hadn't heard of him, while JD Vance had a 48% unfavorable view and 6% of respondents claimed they'd never heard of him.

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