October 11, 2024 • 31 mins
On today’s episode, Jason discusses the San Francisco 49ers big road win over the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday Night Football, whether or not Geno Smith is good enough to overcome Seattle’s leaky defense, the latest San Francisco running back to take the NFL – and fantasy football world – by storm and why it’s time to finally acknowledge that Brock Purdy is an upper-tier NFL quarterback. Later, J-Mac hits us with his Best Bets for the upcoming weekend slate of college football and NFL action.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:05):
This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre.
Speaker 2 (00:11):
What is up, straight Fire fan, It's me Jason McIntyre
Air Straight Fire for Friday, October eleventh. Oh boy, you
know the weekends off to a good start when the
Niners get the cover and the total sails all the
way over. How about San Fran bouncing back easy dub
over Seattle on the road, Seahawks reeling. We'll get to
(00:33):
that in a moment. Got to give a shout out
to my Yankees for advancing. There was some concern after
the Game two loss. Garret Cole was just diabolical with
the stuff. On Thursday night, Yankees advance. They will play
the winner of Guardians and Tigers. I have not watched
one pitch of that series. Yeah, so it was a
fun nine Sports that I should add that the great
(00:54):
Foxes took down the number one team with the Monstars.
Now a little controversy. Tim o'thay mosgolf or Rob. I'm
sure he'll be disappointed did not show. He apparently went
back to Russia for a little while. I don't know
how long would be gone now. I don't know if
Richard Jefferson called wind of it, but he was just
a no show and it was just disappointing. But we
had two of our other horses, and man, the league.
(01:15):
I had a buddy show up and he came to
watch the game because he, you know, had heard he
had seen us in the first season and was like, oh, yeah,
you guys are dominating this. We're winning most games by
twenty points. Well the league has gotten a lot better
and younger. And he after like five minutes, he's like, dude,
what what is happened to this league? It's like there's
like all superstars. I mean, it's it's a tough league.
(01:36):
Your boy had a rough night. Just leave it at that.
When you don't see me post highlights on the gram,
that means I missed all my hots. I'm not gonna lie.
Keeping it a hunted for the podcast crowd. Anyways, let's
get to real sports. Niners thirty six, Seahawks twenty four.
This should surprise nobody. What should be the big surprise
here is the Seattle defense. All of a sudden went
(01:58):
from oh, these guys are kind of nice, like we're
looking at Seattle defense that really contain Miami. And in
the opener against bo Nicks, Bo Knicks didn't do much.
They had one legitimate drive. You know, Seattle defense has
got a lot of players and now here we are
three games in a row. They could not stop Daniel Jones.
(02:18):
They gave up. I had to look this up. Five
scoring drives against the Lions of seventy or more yards
and the forty nine ers last night had a ninety
yard drive resulting in a field goal, seventy six yard
touchdown drive on the past debo, seventy seven yard drive
for a field goal, seventy yard drive for a touchdown,
eighty one yard drive for a touchdown. Seattle can't stop anybody,
(02:39):
and that is a major problem when you got to
rely on Geno Smith. Who listen, he's been solid, but
you're not gonna win football games when Gino Smith is
throwing fifty two passes. Okay, it's gonna result in turnovers
and you're gonna have a lot of three and ounces
and a lot of oh geez, what are we doing?
Remember Seattle was aided by that massive kickoff return or
this game potentially is a just a humongous blowout. San
(03:01):
fran look good. I'll say this though, Damn they keep
getting unlucky. Deebo Samuel goes down, dinged up. I think
he returned. George Kittle went down. He had a good game.
Kittle with two touchdown catches, but he got injured. And
then the big one is Jordan Mason went down first
half with a what appeared to be a rib injury,
(03:21):
collar bone somewhere somewhere on his torso ish area. He
came back for one carry in the second half and
then never returned. So what do the Ninners do. They
plug in their latest running back from the system. Isaac
Guarendo went to Louisville with a fourth round pick. He
breaks off a seventy six yard carry and is like, Oh,
(03:42):
that's our new guy in fantasy, everybody's gonna be racing
to the waiver wire to get Isaac Guarendo. As the
Niners throttle, Seattle get back to five hundred. In an
interesting twist, nobody in the NFC West is over five hundred,
and this is one of I think the better divisions
in football. The Rams have a lot of talent, they
just are injured. The forty nine ers are very injured.
(04:03):
They probably have the most talent of anyone in the
league when healthy, and the Seattle Seahawks have a lot
of talent, they're injured, they got a lot of guys
down on the defensive line. They can't stop the run
right now, it's brutal. I mean, some random dude off
the street for the New York Giants, some rookie named
Tracy rush for a buck twenty eight. Are you ready
for this? Seattle thirty three carries two hundred and twenty
eight yards. Now, I know a lot of that was
(04:25):
skewed by this seventy six yard rumble by Gorrendo, but
let's be real, even if you strip that out, they
still rush for a buck fifty at at almost five
yards a clip. So I don't know how the Seattle
defense gets right here. They clearly are having major issues
against the run, and it's putting Gino Smith behind the
eight ball. Next up for Seattle is the Atlanta Falcons.
(04:48):
That's a bit of an easier task, and then it
gets bills, rams niners. I don't know, all of a sudden,
Seattle is like, ooh, we're in a tough spot, Rob, Yeah.
Speaker 3 (04:58):
Absolutely, And this game I think said it just as
much about Seattle did about San Francisco as you alluded to.
When the season started. The first three weeks of the season,
the Seahawks defense was great. Now, part of it was
the competition, but you know, fourteen points allowed under two
hundre and fifty total yards per allowed like EPA, all
the advanced metrics, they were first across the board in
(05:19):
a lot of major categories. And then the last two
weeks they're allowing thirty five points a game over four
under yards of offense per game and all the advanced
analytics EPA yards will play at twenty eight thirty thirty one.
So this team, which their identity should be defense first.
(05:40):
I mean, I know they've got DK metcalf and and
JSNS pretty good, but this should be a defensive minded team.
They have a defensive minded coach, they have a defensive culture,
and if they can't play good defense, it doesn't matter
who you got a quarterback, they're not going to be
successful because you know, people are saying, hey, Gino Smith
kind of showed us who he was the last few weeks.
You know, he's turning the ball over lot. He had
(06:01):
some brutal interceptions against the Niners. But if you look
at just the raw, you know, not the advance that's
but the raw numbers. Their offense is basically the same
from the first three weeks of the last couple of weeks.
The difference is the defense is falling off a cliff
and Gino Smith is not a quarterback who's going to
come back and win these games without having the positive
(06:22):
game scripts. On the flip side, with San Francisco, they
were I know, you can't see that we're not doing
on the video right now. You were this close to
blowing another double digit lead. Yeah, they were a health
twenty points in the second half, and were it not
for an egregious interception by Gino Smith there in the
third quarter, we might.
Speaker 2 (06:41):
Be having a different conversation. Well, wait, what did you
think of that punt snafu where it looked like the
Seattle guy pushed the sand Frame guy into the Seattle returner.
The ball clearly hit the Seattle returner's hand and they
didn't overturn it. I don't know. It looked to me
and it sounded like al Michaels and Herbstreet thought that
it was about call.
Speaker 3 (07:01):
Oh absolutely, And I know this is something that was
kind of trickling late in the overnight hours. So if
you haven't seen it, yet this morning, I understand not you, Jason,
but our listeners. According to the broadcast after the game,
it was revealed that the reason why that play was
not overturned to a fumble, which it was because it
touched him and it was clearly off of the Partmerturner,
(07:21):
is because the people in the NFL replay offfices did
not have access to the high resolution video that the
Amazon Prime broadcast had, So all of the listeners are
sho be All of the viewers across the country who
are watching that game live are seeing clear as day
the ball bounce up touched two of his fingers and
(07:42):
kind of whatever go out of bounds. They couldn't see
that in the league offices, So that right there is
a problem in of itself, like how is it possible
that Amazon has better cameras than the NFL does. Going
back from my party about San Francisco, they almost gave
that one away. We're in not Forritino spit interception, and
there's something about this team that it just it leaves
(08:05):
you wanting more. And to your point, they're three and
three and thankfully the division has kind of come back
to them a little bit, so they're not too bad
of a shape. But they got to get whatever it
is that's ailing them under control, whether it's to the
red zone, office that simple as they can't score in
the red zone if they can get that corrected. But
you know, defensively missing a lot of tackle that a
couple of big, you know, turnover plays, so that kind
(08:26):
of splash plays that kind of saved them a little bit.
But there there's just something missing from this team. And well, yeah,
they got to get under control. Well, I think pant
and Lucas the right tackle situation has killed them. They
started a gentleman by the name of stone Forsythe sounds
like a porns an adult male star at right tackle.
(08:48):
And I saw the numbers that he did against nick Bosa.
So they were head to head on twenty seven matchups.
Speaker 2 (08:54):
Nick Bosa registered a quarterback pressure on eleven of twenty
seven of his pass rushes against stone Forsythe he was
getting to the quarterback and putting pressure on him. That's
just that's that's unsustainable. You cannot win if you can't
block Nick Bosa like you gotta have no chance. And Gino,
what listen, they got no run game with this line
all messy. They like, I mean, Kenneth Walker has no airspace.
(09:16):
It's just it's not great. But again, health is everything.
Like we talked about, was it Derek Carr lost his center?
I'm spacing on they got Ruiz? Is it? I forget
the guy's name. Yeah, they lost him against Philly and
it was like Philly dominated the inside the line. What
happened in the very next game against the Chiefs, Oh,
let's blitz up the middle every time, and car hates
that pressure. He ends up getting hurt on a blitz
(09:37):
like the game up the middle, and now he's out
for a few weeks. And it's like you, if you
can't get the offensive line right, you really don't have
a chance in this league. And see a Seattle's just
in dire straits right now. I am just curious real quick, Rob.
I thought this was another master class from brock perty
He is so smart. It watching him elevate in the
pocket and shift, he always seems under control. Well, he
(10:00):
doesn't seem to get rattled and like make dumb plays,
and that's not something you can coach. I think that's
just like a cool under pressure I watched. Are you
watching the show it's called like obliterated. I think have
you heard about it? No, it's on Netflix. It's like
some Seal Team six in Vegas and they're, you know,
(10:21):
trying to solve some crime, but then they solve what
they think is the crime, and then they go out partying,
and then they find out after doing all these drugs
that they didn't solve the crime, and so they've got
to like get back on it. And you have to
have poised under pressure in all these situations, and it's
tough to do that when you're on drugs and have
been drinking. Brock Perty looks never rattled in the pocket.
(10:43):
Some of these quarterbacks are like happy feed seeing ghosts.
I'm just I think Berty's kind of that guy.
Speaker 3 (10:50):
Oh, brock Party. I mean, I've been on the brock
Party bandwagon for over a year now. I think brock
Purty is fantastic. He's not just good for a mis irrelevant,
he's not just good for a late run, but he's
just a good quarterback period. And we talked about this
on the podcast earlier this week. A lot of the
quarterback evaluators kept saying, I know the stats don't say it,
(11:11):
but Brock Purty is better this season than he was
last season. He's doing more outside of structure. He's pushing
the ball down the field more, better tight window throwing,
like you're seeing more from Brock Purty than even last
year when he was an MVP finalist. Yeah, and up
until last night, the numbers didn't quite bear that out.
(11:32):
He was, you know, really uneven, especially the last two weeks,
two touchdown, three picks and completing less than fifty five
percent of his passes. Well, now you factor in this
gem that he puts together on Thursday night, the two
fifty five to three scores, no picks, and very quietly
he's top eight and passer rating. I mean, I mean
(11:52):
he now he's number one in yards because he has
one extra game, but before that he was in the
top five and yards.
Speaker 1 (11:58):
He's very very.
Speaker 3 (12:00):
Quietly evolving into an upper echelon quarterback. And if you
don't believe me, here's the stud that's gonna blow your mind.
Last night against Seattle on passes over ten air yards,
which you know nowadays everyone's didinking and Dunky, you know,
Patrick Barhoms multi, Yeah, exactly, Rock Purty last night six
(12:20):
for nine, one sixty five two touchdowns, one hundred and
forty nine passery Like, okay, what's just one game. You
know it's not a big deal. On the season, Rock
Purty on passes over ten air yards, pushing the ball
down the field, not just relying on the dink and
dunk yards after catch fifty of seventy nine, just under
eleven hundred yards, five touchdowns, one pick, a passer rating
(12:42):
of one twenty two point seven. Like Brock Purty is
you know this side of maybe Joe Burrow, And I mean,
I guess Lamar Jackson, like he's having a great season
right now for quarterback and now that you're seeing the
advanced stats or excuse mean, the counting stats are catching
(13:04):
up to the advanced stats, and it's just the joy
to watch him play. I'm glad that we're people are
finally starting to recognize that Rock Party is the real deal.
Speaker 2 (13:13):
Yeah, the numbers have made him a top ten quarterback.
Nobody wanted to see it, but I don't know. I'm
I'm ready to put him right on the fringe of
that Mahomes Burrow, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, like, I think
he's in that class, dude, I think he's maybe not
like right with them, but he's knocking on the door.
You know, if they're all a quarterbacks ninety or above
to use like a high school metric, he's like at
(13:35):
worse than eighty nine. I mean, I just and I
don't want to play this game where it's like, hey, hey,
put in uh, put Rock Purty on the Cowboys. Let's
see how he doesn't. I don't want to do that.
That's pointless, that's stupid. That's not happening, you know, like
put Rock Perty on the Panthers, gonna do anything. I mean,
Patrick Mahomes can't do shit with them. With the Panthers,
come on, like Patrick.
Speaker 3 (13:53):
Mahomes, honest, Patrick Mahomes not doing much with the Chiefs either.
Speaker 2 (13:56):
That's great.
Speaker 3 (13:57):
The NFL in interceptions, mid in every single category, passer
rating QBR yards per game.
Speaker 2 (14:03):
So yes, now, if you put Mahomes on the Niners
with Debo and Brandon Ayuk. By the way, he still hasn't.
I mean, we thought he woke up last week, but
he still seems a bit sputtering a little bit. But
this was a big one for the Chiefs because next
up after their little break here, big showdown against the
Kansas City Chiefs the Super Bowl rematch in San fran
(14:26):
and then they have the Cowboys after that. Holy hell,
So they have primetime Seahawks. Then they go the four
to twenty five Island on that Island game, but like
the premier game against the Chiefs on Fox. Then they
got Sunday Night Football against the Cowboys, and then they
have their bye week after that. So a bit of
a gauntlet here, But the Niners season continues and forges ahead.
(14:47):
They're gonna be okay. I don't know if they're gonna
ever get McCaffrey back. What you what's your guest, Rob?
Speaker 3 (14:52):
I mean, I don't know. The information coming out of
the news outlets is conflicting, right because everyone's saying, hey,
he's working out, he's no setbacks, they're expecting him back
by no November. But it's like, even if he does
come back in November, who's to say he's the old
CMC of old, Like, you know, how do you know
he's gonna be able to just get thrown into twenty
two touches a game like that's what he's averaging basically
(15:14):
since in his San Francisco. I don't know, man, Well,
we'll see fantasy managers, I'm sure really worried about that.
Speaker 2 (15:21):
Yeah, Jordan Mason injury all the way. But by the way,
let me just toss this in there. My guy JSN,
I was expecting a monster year from him. I got
him in I think three of my fantasy leagues. He's
been good, but the greatness, the domination is not quite
there yet. It's I'll say this, they like him a
lot and they're targeting him. But in that game last night,
(15:42):
for whatever reason, dk Metcalf, they were trying to force
feed him eleven targets and he only had three catches. Like,
I know, a lot of it was down the field stuff,
but when you're when you throw to JSN and lock it,
it feels like it's a little more on point. By
the way, Kenneth Walker short dump offs and no offense
short stuff, everything was complete down the field to Metcalf.
Struggled JSN five catches on nine targets, lock At four
(16:05):
on eight, and Metcalf three on eleven. Like that's just
that accuracy is not going to get it done. That
being said, I don't think the the Seahawks are in
any trouble of missing the playoffs unless somebody emerges, like
maybe Washington sticks around and Dallas and the Eagles. I
guess then it could get a little dicey. But let's
get to best bets here on straight fire.
Speaker 1 (16:27):
Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in
the nation. Catch all of our shows at Foxsportsradio dot
com and within the iHeartRadio app search FSR to listen live.
The only thing better than sitting on your couch watching
the games is making money while you do it. Here's
(16:48):
your best bet.
Speaker 2 (16:50):
In a rare weekend. I'm going to actually start with
college because the college football slate is better than the NFL.
This is the first weekend all season I've had I
had more in play on the college front than the NFL.
We'll start with tonight Arizona State plus five. Moving to Saturday,
I have Florida getting fourteen and a half against Tennessee
(17:11):
off that bad loss for the balls. Kentucky favored by
thirteen against Vandy, and Vandy, of course, is and the
mother of all letdown spots. I feel like you just
you are obliged to wager against Vandy after they spent
all weeks celebrating the goalposts ended up in some river
greatest winning school history, like you have to bet Kentucky
here in Kentucky defense is no joke either. Cal plus
(17:33):
three because I bet Cal every week of there a
covering machine. Nevada plus three, Memphis minus seven. Again, I
don't say you got to take all these. A lot
of these are simply number grabs. Southern miss plus six
and a half, Hawaii, Yes, Hawaii plus twenty and a
half against Boise, and I'm on the over in Boise
Hawaii over sixty one and a half. Some of these
(17:54):
have moved as well. Boise, of course has this incredible
running back, but maybe Hawaii makes it a little bit interesting.
I have WWVU plus three and which would be a
good game, LSU plus three and a half, Colorado State
plus one. And then in the big games, I'm on
Texas minus fourteen against I think and overwhelmed Oklahoma offense.
(18:16):
They just I don't know how they keep up. Quhen
yours are starting, he's back, I just don't see how
Oklahoma keeps up. I know every game between these two
seams close, and fourteen seems like a lot of points,
but it's because this Texas team is no joke. They're very,
very good. I think they kind of put it on
them here, like a forty eight to twenty one type score.
I am in Ohio State against Oregon. It's funny because
(18:40):
I live in the area in California, in the South
Bay where a lot of kids end up going to Oregon.
So I know some families. Their kids are my kid's age,
and they have older kids and that kid goes to Oregon.
So I got a lot of Ducks fans and they
are so geeked about this game. This is their super
Bowl and this is everything. And as I allude too,
at the outside of the show, you know, I play
(19:02):
in the men's league. Were playing the number one team
to knocked this out of the playoffs, Like this is
I'm losing sleep during the week. Yes, I'm that much
of a dork thinking about this game. And I psyched
myself out. I was in my own head. I played poorly.
I can see that happening to Oregon here. Ohio State's like,
we're this is house money, We're on the road, we're underdogs. Now,
there are some numbers out there about these big ten
(19:23):
teams traveling across the country one and eight against the spread.
They're not doing well. Covering with this travel. This is
new travel, this is breaking new ground. And we saw
USC go to Michigan and we're down on the fourth.
We saw USC go to Minnesota and lose. How about
UCLA going to Penn State being a surprise cover there, Like,
there have not been many of those, And I'm gonna
(19:45):
go ahead and ride with the Buckeyes. Here. My read
is Jeremiah Smith, the freshman. I read a story about
him in the Athletic, the guy benches. He's a freshman
wide receiver like six three two ten rocked up benches,
three fifty five s watts over five hundred pounds as
a wide receiver of freshman in college, that's insanity. I
was putting up maybe a plate on each side as
(20:08):
a freshman in college. I mean, I think that's what
I started doing creating freshman in college. And I started
to add weights. But like, I can't even fathom putting
that up. And Smith, I'm telling you this is gonna
be is probably his national breakout game. Everybody knows who
he is, but this is his first spotlight game. Every
game of Higo State's play, they've been favored by I
think fourteen or more. This is the closest spread for
(20:29):
them or Oregon. And this kid Smith, just just watch him.
He like I know everybody knows Ryan Williams now of
Alabama because of that game he had against Georgia.
Speaker 1 (20:38):
Smith is better.
Speaker 2 (20:40):
There's just no way around it. I am on USC
at home against Penn State. I'm going to fade the
Nitney Lions here. Perhaps a stupid play on my part
because Penn State is clearly the better team, but USC
coming off a tough loss. You can't have three losses
in four games for the Trojans, and they haven't looked
good against this schedule. Wisconsin was up on him two
(21:02):
scores before comeback. They're gonna have to play tough against
Penn State. I have already recommended do what Vic Fangio
did against the Saints and put on at a fifth
defensive lineman and just triple dog dare them to throw
the ball down the field. Now they can, but they
don't want to. They want to grind USC to dust
and just bully ball them at the line. I want
(21:23):
to see it. Put five guys on the line and say, hey,
you know we're pulling in a safety. Come on, let's
see it go over the top. You beat us, you
beat us. I don't think James Franklin would do that.
This to me is usc It was five and a half,
it's down to three and a half, so keep an
eye on that one. But that's a lot of college
football action, probably too much in the NFL. So I've
(21:43):
broke it down to likely plays in the contest. That's
where I'm starting. So contest last week pissed me off.
Two and three, two tough losses. The Steelers on the
final play of the game, the Jets on the final
play of the game could have they were close to
the end zone. I thought they were gonna score and
get the touchdown and get the cover. Browns was just
a horrific read by me. So for the first time
(22:06):
in three weeks, that whole strategy of take a look
at teams that did not cover against teams it did.
It was baffo, big big bucks for two weeks, and
then last week it hit the wall and it was
two and four, and unfortunately I had the wrong wrong ones.
This week. There are three of those, and I'm looking
heavily at two of those in the contest. Patriots did
(22:27):
not cover last week. Texans did give me the Patriots
getting seven now early in the week, I bet Houston.
Then the Nico Collins stuff comes down. Then there's the
Joe Mixon, then there's the Drake May. It's like, wait
a minute, this is too I'm gonna go to the
Patriots side, and I think the Patriots can make it
real interesting here. So I bought out of Texans plus
seven or Texas minus seven, and now I'm on Patriots
(22:48):
plus seven. Carolina Panthers did not cover last week. Falcons did.
I cannot get there with the Panthers, and I'm sure
they'll show up, but I just I can't do it
knowing those offensive line injuries. Falcons off extra rest, no
thank you, and the Bengals did not cover in what
they should have they should have, and then the Giants
did totally all over Cincinnati.
Speaker 1 (23:10):
Here.
Speaker 2 (23:10):
By the way, did you see the Malik neighbors allegedly
went to a Travis Scott concert this week? He was
in concussion protocol and has not practiced yet. He's been
on the practice field, but he has not actually practiced.
You know, I think I told you guys, my kid
got a concussion at volleyball Nationals and could do nothing
for a month, A concert, A concert. Okay, it's putting
(23:37):
that out there. Go Bengals, Monday Night football. I would say,
best best two plays of the week that I have.
And you're not gonna like this at all. Well, Tampa
Bay is number one at minus three against New Orleans.
I know Tampa Bay favorite on the road. That's risky. Sure,
you know it's riskier. Spencer Rattler as a rookie on
a short week against Todd Bowles, who loves to blitz
(24:00):
and go at young quarterbacks. He went after Jade Daniels
and the opener and did a fine job at home.
Did less of a fine job against bon Nicks, but
that was a great spot for Denver. We were on
Denver that week. I think Tampa handles the Saints here.
Saints are really really banged up all over the place.
And there's this every year. There's usually one of these
(24:21):
games where a team plays on Thursday, then they play
the next Sunday versus a team that just played on
Monday and plays on Sunday, so you have extra extra rest.
And it already happened once. Seattle just played on Monday
against Detroit. New York Giants had played Thursday against Dallas. Well,
(24:43):
New York then goes to Seattle with the extra extra
rest and kind of whips up on Seattle. This doesn't
mean that it's gonna happen every single time, but I
think you've definitely got a circle that this is not
a humongous travel situation. Tampa New Orleans is nothing big. Obviously,
there's some concern about Tampa play and their families being
displaced and what they're gonna do, and you know, looking
after everybody that that stuff's real. But I can't get
(25:07):
there with Spencer Ratler and the same. The wheels are
coming off the Saints. You guys saw that the offense
is just really stuck in the mud. People have figured
out Clint Kubiak after two big starts, and I like
Tampa coming off the rest minus three the other one.
And I know you're not supposed to do this is
the Philadelphia Eagles. It's up to tens in some spots, guys,
so Cleveland, I don't think they're quitting on Kevin Stefanski.
(25:32):
I think they might be quitting on Deshaun Watson. Like
there's been there's been multiple times this season where he's
like yelling at players in the huddle out of frustration,
and it's like, Okay, Patrick Mahomes yells at his guys.
Totally get that. Deshaun Watson, who hasn't done jack squat
in several years. Bro, what are you yelling at your
statistically the worst quarterback in the league right there with
(25:54):
Bryce Young can't be yelling at people.
Speaker 1 (25:57):
It's crazy.
Speaker 2 (25:58):
So I just wonder if if Philly can jump to
an early lead here. And by the way, the secondary
is really banged up delpit and concussion protocol, Denzel Ward
hurt with a hamstring. You saw when Ward went out
against Washington. Jane Daniel started to hit the big plays
down the field, Demmy Brown, Dary McLaurin, like, there were
guys open and Philly has an even more dangerous downfield game. Okay,
(26:20):
And you gotta wonder, holy boy, if Cleveland gets waxed here,
you know, forty to seventeen or something, what are we
talking about in Cleveland? They repeatedly say they're not benching
Deshaun Watson, he's your guy. How long can you keep
saying that? So Philly, I know it's double digit favorites,
and yes, I've seen all the numbers that underdogs if
(26:42):
six or more, covering at one of the most ridiculous
rates ever. You guys know markets are efficient. It's gonna
correct itself, and I think it starts here with Philadelphia.
I am looking at the Bears minus two against the Jags.
I definitely am on the over in that game over
forty four and a half. I like the Titans two
and a half against the Colts. Nobody likes the Titans.
(27:03):
I have not bet on them this year. Fortunately, I've
been able to dodge a couple of grenades. But Indianapolis,
it looks like Anthony Richardson is gonna start. No Michael Pittman,
he's on the IR so you're down in your top receiver.
No Jonathan Taylor your top running back. That's not great.
Josh Downs, who was hurt now is back and now
is hurt again. It's like geez. However, the big reason
(27:26):
to fade them is Anthony Richardson. I just don't think
he's as good right now is Joe Flacko. I think
Flacco gives them a better chance to win. He wins
from the pocket, and I don't know if Richardson can.
The numbers so far say he can't. But you have
invested in Richardson, so you got to play him. So
if he's healthy, you're not playing Joe Flacco to beat
the Titans. You're playing the long game. Anthony Richardson. We
(27:46):
want him to be the guy. Well, if you want
him to be the guy that bad, that's fine, then
I'll take the Tennessee Titans. And again, I haven't experienced
Will Levis. If Disco's sour, oh, that might be the
last time I dip into the Will Levis experience. I'm
leaning toward the Falcons minus six. I'm on the Lions
minus three. I know a lot of people like the
(28:08):
Cowboys in the spot, I think the Lions are overvalued
the lines too much. Weren't the Lions just huge favorites
against Seattle at home and now they're on the road
minus three? How does that work? I just I'm still
kind of down on Dallas. I know they did beat
Pittsburgh and me last week, but to me, there's just
(28:30):
no path to victory for the Cowboys except through the air.
And sure, maybe Dak decides to throw it fifty times,
but guys, that offensive line's getting wrecked before Herbig and
Heismith went out for Pittsburgh. They were getting to Dack
all the time, and I could see Aiden Hutchison having
a field day with either Steel or Guyton, whoever he
goes up against. And as long as the secondary plays
(28:51):
its smart against CD Lamb, I like their chances. Now,
if you're gonna go leave Terry on Arnold or Carlton
Davis on an island with no safety help, well that
you know you're digging your own grave, because Cede Lamb's
going to beat that man coverage. So I'm on the
Lions here. This is a good spot. We'll see what
a bye is worth. Several teams coming off of by
two of them. I'm looking at Bengals and the Lions.
(29:14):
I'm sorry, not Bengals, Lions and the Titans. But a
lot of the numbers say in historically the by matter,
but if you shrink to like the last five years,
it seems to matter less. Why that's unexplained to this point.
I mentioned the Bengals minus three and a half, and
I'll wrap up with this one. The Washington Commanders. Oh man,
(29:37):
they've cost me money three weeks so far out of five,
and now I would like to bet on them at
six and a half or seven against Baltimore and what
should be a good regional game. I know Lamar's twenty
one and one against the NFC. I just want to
remind people Jaden Daniels the Washington defense he has have
in practice all the time. He's not obviously at Lamar's level,
(30:00):
but this isn't gonna be a running quarterback with speed
who's going to surprise the hell out of them. And
just as a reminder, the Ravens defense stinks too big time.
I don't want to hear it. I think Daniels can
have success. I think they're legit. I think dan Quinn
could have some stuff cooked up here. Cliff Kingsbury is
gonna be ready. I think, to me, this is better
than the Lion's Cowboys, and this is the game of
(30:22):
the weekend. I'm very excited, and I'm gonna be on Washington.
I think all enter them in the contest. We'll see
if it gets even more chalky. I'll have to pass
because usually the most picked teams in this three million
dollar contest lose because that's what the public does. Your
boy could use it four to one or five, and oh,
I just got to put myself in position. It's like
when you're running a long race. You don't want to
(30:42):
fall too far behind, so you pick your spots to
stay with the pack, and then you make your move late.
But in this you can't make your move late. You
just got to like hang around till mid season then
make your move. You can't wait till like week twelve,
you know, although make your move like I can call
my shot. Okay, I'm gonna take off here it comes
a five and oh not that easy. Have a great
weekend and there's a lot of NBA stuff on the horizon.
(31:06):
We still haven't talked about the damn Nick trade for
Carling Anthony Towns. NFL Monday Night football is gonna be big. Jets, Bills.
Have a safe, fun weekend. Prayers up to all my
people in Florida, those who can listen. I know it's
been a rough two weeks for you guys there with
the Hurricanes, but hang in there. It's only gonna get better.
(31:27):
Talk to you Monday,
This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre.
Speaker 2 (00:11):
What is up, straight Fire fan, It's me Jason McIntyre
Air Straight Fire for Friday, October eleventh. Oh boy, you
know the weekends off to a good start when the
Niners get the cover and the total sails all the
way over. How about San Fran bouncing back easy dub
over Seattle on the road, Seahawks reeling. We'll get to
(00:33):
that in a moment. Got to give a shout out
to my Yankees for advancing. There was some concern after
the Game two loss. Garret Cole was just diabolical with
the stuff. On Thursday night, Yankees advance. They will play
the winner of Guardians and Tigers. I have not watched
one pitch of that series. Yeah, so it was a
fun nine Sports that I should add that the great
(00:54):
Foxes took down the number one team with the Monstars.
Now a little controversy. Tim o'thay mosgolf or Rob. I'm
sure he'll be disappointed did not show. He apparently went
back to Russia for a little while. I don't know
how long would be gone now. I don't know if
Richard Jefferson called wind of it, but he was just
a no show and it was just disappointing. But we
had two of our other horses, and man, the league.
(01:15):
I had a buddy show up and he came to
watch the game because he, you know, had heard he
had seen us in the first season and was like, oh, yeah,
you guys are dominating this. We're winning most games by
twenty points. Well the league has gotten a lot better
and younger. And he after like five minutes, he's like, dude,
what what is happened to this league? It's like there's
like all superstars. I mean, it's it's a tough league.
(01:36):
Your boy had a rough night. Just leave it at that.
When you don't see me post highlights on the gram,
that means I missed all my hots. I'm not gonna lie.
Keeping it a hunted for the podcast crowd. Anyways, let's
get to real sports. Niners thirty six, Seahawks twenty four.
This should surprise nobody. What should be the big surprise
here is the Seattle defense. All of a sudden went
(01:58):
from oh, these guys are kind of nice, like we're
looking at Seattle defense that really contain Miami. And in
the opener against bo Nicks, Bo Knicks didn't do much.
They had one legitimate drive. You know, Seattle defense has
got a lot of players and now here we are
three games in a row. They could not stop Daniel Jones.
(02:18):
They gave up. I had to look this up. Five
scoring drives against the Lions of seventy or more yards
and the forty nine ers last night had a ninety
yard drive resulting in a field goal, seventy six yard
touchdown drive on the past debo, seventy seven yard drive
for a field goal, seventy yard drive for a touchdown,
eighty one yard drive for a touchdown. Seattle can't stop anybody,
(02:39):
and that is a major problem when you got to
rely on Geno Smith. Who listen, he's been solid, but
you're not gonna win football games when Gino Smith is
throwing fifty two passes. Okay, it's gonna result in turnovers
and you're gonna have a lot of three and ounces
and a lot of oh geez, what are we doing?
Remember Seattle was aided by that massive kickoff return or
this game potentially is a just a humongous blowout. San
(03:01):
fran look good. I'll say this though, Damn they keep
getting unlucky. Deebo Samuel goes down, dinged up. I think
he returned. George Kittle went down. He had a good game.
Kittle with two touchdown catches, but he got injured. And
then the big one is Jordan Mason went down first
half with a what appeared to be a rib injury,
(03:21):
collar bone somewhere somewhere on his torso ish area. He
came back for one carry in the second half and
then never returned. So what do the Ninners do. They
plug in their latest running back from the system. Isaac
Guarendo went to Louisville with a fourth round pick. He
breaks off a seventy six yard carry and is like, Oh,
(03:42):
that's our new guy in fantasy, everybody's gonna be racing
to the waiver wire to get Isaac Guarendo. As the
Niners throttle, Seattle get back to five hundred. In an
interesting twist, nobody in the NFC West is over five hundred,
and this is one of I think the better divisions
in football. The Rams have a lot of talent, they
just are injured. The forty nine ers are very injured.
(04:03):
They probably have the most talent of anyone in the
league when healthy, and the Seattle Seahawks have a lot
of talent, they're injured, they got a lot of guys
down on the defensive line. They can't stop the run
right now, it's brutal. I mean, some random dude off
the street for the New York Giants, some rookie named
Tracy rush for a buck twenty eight. Are you ready
for this? Seattle thirty three carries two hundred and twenty
eight yards. Now, I know a lot of that was
(04:25):
skewed by this seventy six yard rumble by Gorrendo, but
let's be real, even if you strip that out, they
still rush for a buck fifty at at almost five
yards a clip. So I don't know how the Seattle
defense gets right here. They clearly are having major issues
against the run, and it's putting Gino Smith behind the
eight ball. Next up for Seattle is the Atlanta Falcons.
(04:48):
That's a bit of an easier task, and then it
gets bills, rams niners. I don't know, all of a sudden,
Seattle is like, ooh, we're in a tough spot, Rob, Yeah.
Speaker 3 (04:58):
Absolutely, And this game I think said it just as
much about Seattle did about San Francisco as you alluded to.
When the season started. The first three weeks of the season,
the Seahawks defense was great. Now, part of it was
the competition, but you know, fourteen points allowed under two
hundre and fifty total yards per allowed like EPA, all
the advanced metrics, they were first across the board in
(05:19):
a lot of major categories. And then the last two
weeks they're allowing thirty five points a game over four
under yards of offense per game and all the advanced
analytics EPA yards will play at twenty eight thirty thirty one.
So this team, which their identity should be defense first.
(05:40):
I mean, I know they've got DK metcalf and and
JSNS pretty good, but this should be a defensive minded team.
They have a defensive minded coach, they have a defensive culture,
and if they can't play good defense, it doesn't matter
who you got a quarterback, they're not going to be
successful because you know, people are saying, hey, Gino Smith
kind of showed us who he was the last few weeks.
You know, he's turning the ball over lot. He had
(06:01):
some brutal interceptions against the Niners. But if you look
at just the raw, you know, not the advance that's
but the raw numbers. Their offense is basically the same
from the first three weeks of the last couple of weeks.
The difference is the defense is falling off a cliff
and Gino Smith is not a quarterback who's going to
come back and win these games without having the positive
(06:22):
game scripts. On the flip side, with San Francisco, they
were I know, you can't see that we're not doing
on the video right now. You were this close to
blowing another double digit lead. Yeah, they were a health
twenty points in the second half, and were it not
for an egregious interception by Gino Smith there in the
third quarter, we might.
Speaker 2 (06:41):
Be having a different conversation. Well, wait, what did you
think of that punt snafu where it looked like the
Seattle guy pushed the sand Frame guy into the Seattle returner.
The ball clearly hit the Seattle returner's hand and they
didn't overturn it. I don't know. It looked to me
and it sounded like al Michaels and Herbstreet thought that
it was about call.
Speaker 3 (07:01):
Oh absolutely, And I know this is something that was
kind of trickling late in the overnight hours. So if
you haven't seen it, yet this morning, I understand not you, Jason,
but our listeners. According to the broadcast after the game,
it was revealed that the reason why that play was
not overturned to a fumble, which it was because it
touched him and it was clearly off of the Partmerturner,
(07:21):
is because the people in the NFL replay offfices did
not have access to the high resolution video that the
Amazon Prime broadcast had, So all of the listeners are
sho be All of the viewers across the country who
are watching that game live are seeing clear as day
the ball bounce up touched two of his fingers and
(07:42):
kind of whatever go out of bounds. They couldn't see
that in the league offices, So that right there is
a problem in of itself, like how is it possible
that Amazon has better cameras than the NFL does. Going
back from my party about San Francisco, they almost gave
that one away. We're in not Forritino spit interception, and
there's something about this team that it just it leaves
(08:05):
you wanting more. And to your point, they're three and
three and thankfully the division has kind of come back
to them a little bit, so they're not too bad
of a shape. But they got to get whatever it
is that's ailing them under control, whether it's to the
red zone, office that simple as they can't score in
the red zone if they can get that corrected. But
you know, defensively missing a lot of tackle that a
couple of big, you know, turnover plays, so that kind
(08:26):
of splash plays that kind of saved them a little bit.
But there there's just something missing from this team. And well, yeah,
they got to get under control. Well, I think pant
and Lucas the right tackle situation has killed them. They
started a gentleman by the name of stone Forsythe sounds
like a porns an adult male star at right tackle.
(08:48):
And I saw the numbers that he did against nick Bosa.
So they were head to head on twenty seven matchups.
Speaker 2 (08:54):
Nick Bosa registered a quarterback pressure on eleven of twenty
seven of his pass rushes against stone Forsythe he was
getting to the quarterback and putting pressure on him. That's
just that's that's unsustainable. You cannot win if you can't
block Nick Bosa like you gotta have no chance. And Gino,
what listen, they got no run game with this line
all messy. They like, I mean, Kenneth Walker has no airspace.
(09:16):
It's just it's not great. But again, health is everything.
Like we talked about, was it Derek Carr lost his center?
I'm spacing on they got Ruiz? Is it? I forget
the guy's name. Yeah, they lost him against Philly and
it was like Philly dominated the inside the line. What
happened in the very next game against the Chiefs, Oh,
let's blitz up the middle every time, and car hates
that pressure. He ends up getting hurt on a blitz
(09:37):
like the game up the middle, and now he's out
for a few weeks. And it's like you, if you
can't get the offensive line right, you really don't have
a chance in this league. And see a Seattle's just
in dire straits right now. I am just curious real quick, Rob.
I thought this was another master class from brock perty
He is so smart. It watching him elevate in the
pocket and shift, he always seems under control. Well, he
(10:00):
doesn't seem to get rattled and like make dumb plays,
and that's not something you can coach. I think that's
just like a cool under pressure I watched. Are you
watching the show it's called like obliterated. I think have
you heard about it? No, it's on Netflix. It's like
some Seal Team six in Vegas and they're, you know,
(10:21):
trying to solve some crime, but then they solve what
they think is the crime, and then they go out partying,
and then they find out after doing all these drugs
that they didn't solve the crime, and so they've got
to like get back on it. And you have to
have poised under pressure in all these situations, and it's
tough to do that when you're on drugs and have
been drinking. Brock Perty looks never rattled in the pocket.
(10:43):
Some of these quarterbacks are like happy feed seeing ghosts.
I'm just I think Berty's kind of that guy.
Speaker 3 (10:50):
Oh, brock Party. I mean, I've been on the brock
Party bandwagon for over a year now. I think brock
Purty is fantastic. He's not just good for a mis irrelevant,
he's not just good for a late run, but he's
just a good quarterback period. And we talked about this
on the podcast earlier this week. A lot of the
quarterback evaluators kept saying, I know the stats don't say it,
(11:11):
but Brock Purty is better this season than he was
last season. He's doing more outside of structure. He's pushing
the ball down the field more, better tight window throwing,
like you're seeing more from Brock Purty than even last
year when he was an MVP finalist. Yeah, and up
until last night, the numbers didn't quite bear that out.
(11:32):
He was, you know, really uneven, especially the last two weeks,
two touchdown, three picks and completing less than fifty five
percent of his passes. Well, now you factor in this
gem that he puts together on Thursday night, the two
fifty five to three scores, no picks, and very quietly
he's top eight and passer rating. I mean, I mean
(11:52):
he now he's number one in yards because he has
one extra game, but before that he was in the
top five and yards.
Speaker 1 (11:58):
He's very very.
Speaker 3 (12:00):
Quietly evolving into an upper echelon quarterback. And if you
don't believe me, here's the stud that's gonna blow your mind.
Last night against Seattle on passes over ten air yards,
which you know nowadays everyone's didinking and Dunky, you know,
Patrick Barhoms multi, Yeah, exactly, Rock Purty last night six
(12:20):
for nine, one sixty five two touchdowns, one hundred and
forty nine passery Like, okay, what's just one game. You
know it's not a big deal. On the season, Rock
Purty on passes over ten air yards, pushing the ball
down the field, not just relying on the dink and
dunk yards after catch fifty of seventy nine, just under
eleven hundred yards, five touchdowns, one pick, a passer rating
(12:42):
of one twenty two point seven. Like Brock Purty is
you know this side of maybe Joe Burrow, And I mean,
I guess Lamar Jackson, like he's having a great season
right now for quarterback and now that you're seeing the
advanced stats or excuse mean, the counting stats are catching
(13:04):
up to the advanced stats, and it's just the joy
to watch him play. I'm glad that we're people are
finally starting to recognize that Rock Party is the real deal.
Speaker 2 (13:13):
Yeah, the numbers have made him a top ten quarterback.
Nobody wanted to see it, but I don't know. I'm
I'm ready to put him right on the fringe of
that Mahomes Burrow, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, like, I think
he's in that class, dude, I think he's maybe not
like right with them, but he's knocking on the door.
You know, if they're all a quarterbacks ninety or above
to use like a high school metric, he's like at
(13:35):
worse than eighty nine. I mean, I just and I
don't want to play this game where it's like, hey, hey,
put in uh, put Rock Purty on the Cowboys. Let's
see how he doesn't. I don't want to do that.
That's pointless, that's stupid. That's not happening, you know, like
put Rock Perty on the Panthers, gonna do anything. I mean,
Patrick Mahomes can't do shit with them. With the Panthers,
come on, like Patrick.
Speaker 3 (13:53):
Mahomes, honest, Patrick Mahomes not doing much with the Chiefs either.
Speaker 2 (13:56):
That's great.
Speaker 3 (13:57):
The NFL in interceptions, mid in every single category, passer
rating QBR yards per game.
Speaker 2 (14:03):
So yes, now, if you put Mahomes on the Niners
with Debo and Brandon Ayuk. By the way, he still hasn't.
I mean, we thought he woke up last week, but
he still seems a bit sputtering a little bit. But
this was a big one for the Chiefs because next
up after their little break here, big showdown against the
Kansas City Chiefs the Super Bowl rematch in San fran
(14:26):
and then they have the Cowboys after that. Holy hell,
So they have primetime Seahawks. Then they go the four
to twenty five Island on that Island game, but like
the premier game against the Chiefs on Fox. Then they
got Sunday Night Football against the Cowboys, and then they
have their bye week after that. So a bit of
a gauntlet here, But the Niners season continues and forges ahead.
(14:47):
They're gonna be okay. I don't know if they're gonna
ever get McCaffrey back. What you what's your guest, Rob?
Speaker 3 (14:52):
I mean, I don't know. The information coming out of
the news outlets is conflicting, right because everyone's saying, hey,
he's working out, he's no setbacks, they're expecting him back
by no November. But it's like, even if he does
come back in November, who's to say he's the old
CMC of old, Like, you know, how do you know
he's gonna be able to just get thrown into twenty
two touches a game like that's what he's averaging basically
(15:14):
since in his San Francisco. I don't know, man, Well,
we'll see fantasy managers, I'm sure really worried about that.
Speaker 2 (15:21):
Yeah, Jordan Mason injury all the way. But by the way,
let me just toss this in there. My guy JSN,
I was expecting a monster year from him. I got
him in I think three of my fantasy leagues. He's
been good, but the greatness, the domination is not quite
there yet. It's I'll say this, they like him a
lot and they're targeting him. But in that game last night,
(15:42):
for whatever reason, dk Metcalf, they were trying to force
feed him eleven targets and he only had three catches. Like,
I know, a lot of it was down the field stuff,
but when you're when you throw to JSN and lock it,
it feels like it's a little more on point. By
the way, Kenneth Walker short dump offs and no offense
short stuff, everything was complete down the field to Metcalf.
Struggled JSN five catches on nine targets, lock At four
(16:05):
on eight, and Metcalf three on eleven. Like that's just
that accuracy is not going to get it done. That
being said, I don't think the the Seahawks are in
any trouble of missing the playoffs unless somebody emerges, like
maybe Washington sticks around and Dallas and the Eagles. I
guess then it could get a little dicey. But let's
get to best bets here on straight fire.
Speaker 1 (16:27):
Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in
the nation. Catch all of our shows at Foxsportsradio dot
com and within the iHeartRadio app search FSR to listen live.
The only thing better than sitting on your couch watching
the games is making money while you do it. Here's
(16:48):
your best bet.
Speaker 2 (16:50):
In a rare weekend. I'm going to actually start with
college because the college football slate is better than the NFL.
This is the first weekend all season I've had I
had more in play on the college front than the NFL.
We'll start with tonight Arizona State plus five. Moving to Saturday,
I have Florida getting fourteen and a half against Tennessee
(17:11):
off that bad loss for the balls. Kentucky favored by
thirteen against Vandy, and Vandy, of course, is and the
mother of all letdown spots. I feel like you just
you are obliged to wager against Vandy after they spent
all weeks celebrating the goalposts ended up in some river
greatest winning school history, like you have to bet Kentucky
here in Kentucky defense is no joke either. Cal plus
(17:33):
three because I bet Cal every week of there a
covering machine. Nevada plus three, Memphis minus seven. Again, I
don't say you got to take all these. A lot
of these are simply number grabs. Southern miss plus six
and a half, Hawaii, Yes, Hawaii plus twenty and a
half against Boise, and I'm on the over in Boise
Hawaii over sixty one and a half. Some of these
(17:54):
have moved as well. Boise, of course has this incredible
running back, but maybe Hawaii makes it a little bit interesting.
I have WWVU plus three and which would be a
good game, LSU plus three and a half, Colorado State
plus one. And then in the big games, I'm on
Texas minus fourteen against I think and overwhelmed Oklahoma offense.
(18:16):
They just I don't know how they keep up. Quhen
yours are starting, he's back, I just don't see how
Oklahoma keeps up. I know every game between these two
seams close, and fourteen seems like a lot of points,
but it's because this Texas team is no joke. They're very,
very good. I think they kind of put it on
them here, like a forty eight to twenty one type score.
I am in Ohio State against Oregon. It's funny because
(18:40):
I live in the area in California, in the South
Bay where a lot of kids end up going to Oregon.
So I know some families. Their kids are my kid's age,
and they have older kids and that kid goes to Oregon.
So I got a lot of Ducks fans and they
are so geeked about this game. This is their super
Bowl and this is everything. And as I allude too,
at the outside of the show, you know, I play
(19:02):
in the men's league. Were playing the number one team
to knocked this out of the playoffs, Like this is
I'm losing sleep during the week. Yes, I'm that much
of a dork thinking about this game. And I psyched
myself out. I was in my own head. I played poorly.
I can see that happening to Oregon here. Ohio State's like,
we're this is house money, We're on the road, we're underdogs. Now,
there are some numbers out there about these big ten
(19:23):
teams traveling across the country one and eight against the spread.
They're not doing well. Covering with this travel. This is
new travel, this is breaking new ground. And we saw
USC go to Michigan and we're down on the fourth.
We saw USC go to Minnesota and lose. How about
UCLA going to Penn State being a surprise cover there, Like,
there have not been many of those, And I'm gonna
(19:45):
go ahead and ride with the Buckeyes. Here. My read
is Jeremiah Smith, the freshman. I read a story about
him in the Athletic, the guy benches. He's a freshman
wide receiver like six three two ten rocked up benches,
three fifty five s watts over five hundred pounds as
a wide receiver of freshman in college, that's insanity. I
was putting up maybe a plate on each side as
(20:08):
a freshman in college. I mean, I think that's what
I started doing creating freshman in college. And I started
to add weights. But like, I can't even fathom putting
that up. And Smith, I'm telling you this is gonna
be is probably his national breakout game. Everybody knows who
he is, but this is his first spotlight game. Every
game of Higo State's play, they've been favored by I
think fourteen or more. This is the closest spread for
(20:29):
them or Oregon. And this kid Smith, just just watch him.
He like I know everybody knows Ryan Williams now of
Alabama because of that game he had against Georgia.
Speaker 1 (20:38):
Smith is better.
Speaker 2 (20:40):
There's just no way around it. I am on USC
at home against Penn State. I'm going to fade the
Nitney Lions here. Perhaps a stupid play on my part
because Penn State is clearly the better team, but USC
coming off a tough loss. You can't have three losses
in four games for the Trojans, and they haven't looked
good against this schedule. Wisconsin was up on him two
(21:02):
scores before comeback. They're gonna have to play tough against
Penn State. I have already recommended do what Vic Fangio
did against the Saints and put on at a fifth
defensive lineman and just triple dog dare them to throw
the ball down the field. Now they can, but they
don't want to. They want to grind USC to dust
and just bully ball them at the line. I want
(21:23):
to see it. Put five guys on the line and say, hey,
you know we're pulling in a safety. Come on, let's
see it go over the top. You beat us, you
beat us. I don't think James Franklin would do that.
This to me is usc It was five and a half,
it's down to three and a half, so keep an
eye on that one. But that's a lot of college
football action, probably too much in the NFL. So I've
(21:43):
broke it down to likely plays in the contest. That's
where I'm starting. So contest last week pissed me off.
Two and three, two tough losses. The Steelers on the
final play of the game, the Jets on the final
play of the game could have they were close to
the end zone. I thought they were gonna score and
get the touchdown and get the cover. Browns was just
a horrific read by me. So for the first time
(22:06):
in three weeks, that whole strategy of take a look
at teams that did not cover against teams it did.
It was baffo, big big bucks for two weeks, and
then last week it hit the wall and it was
two and four, and unfortunately I had the wrong wrong ones.
This week. There are three of those, and I'm looking
heavily at two of those in the contest. Patriots did
(22:27):
not cover last week. Texans did give me the Patriots
getting seven now early in the week, I bet Houston.
Then the Nico Collins stuff comes down. Then there's the
Joe Mixon, then there's the Drake May. It's like, wait
a minute, this is too I'm gonna go to the
Patriots side, and I think the Patriots can make it
real interesting here. So I bought out of Texans plus
seven or Texas minus seven, and now I'm on Patriots
(22:48):
plus seven. Carolina Panthers did not cover last week. Falcons did.
I cannot get there with the Panthers, and I'm sure
they'll show up, but I just I can't do it
knowing those offensive line injuries. Falcons off extra rest, no
thank you, and the Bengals did not cover in what
they should have they should have, and then the Giants
did totally all over Cincinnati.
Speaker 1 (23:10):
Here.
Speaker 2 (23:10):
By the way, did you see the Malik neighbors allegedly
went to a Travis Scott concert this week? He was
in concussion protocol and has not practiced yet. He's been
on the practice field, but he has not actually practiced.
You know, I think I told you guys, my kid
got a concussion at volleyball Nationals and could do nothing
for a month, A concert, A concert. Okay, it's putting
(23:37):
that out there. Go Bengals, Monday Night football. I would say,
best best two plays of the week that I have.
And you're not gonna like this at all. Well, Tampa
Bay is number one at minus three against New Orleans.
I know Tampa Bay favorite on the road. That's risky. Sure,
you know it's riskier. Spencer Rattler as a rookie on
a short week against Todd Bowles, who loves to blitz
(24:00):
and go at young quarterbacks. He went after Jade Daniels
and the opener and did a fine job at home.
Did less of a fine job against bon Nicks, but
that was a great spot for Denver. We were on
Denver that week. I think Tampa handles the Saints here.
Saints are really really banged up all over the place.
And there's this every year. There's usually one of these
(24:21):
games where a team plays on Thursday, then they play
the next Sunday versus a team that just played on
Monday and plays on Sunday, so you have extra extra rest.
And it already happened once. Seattle just played on Monday
against Detroit. New York Giants had played Thursday against Dallas. Well,
(24:43):
New York then goes to Seattle with the extra extra
rest and kind of whips up on Seattle. This doesn't
mean that it's gonna happen every single time, but I
think you've definitely got a circle that this is not
a humongous travel situation. Tampa New Orleans is nothing big. Obviously,
there's some concern about Tampa play and their families being
displaced and what they're gonna do, and you know, looking
after everybody that that stuff's real. But I can't get
(25:07):
there with Spencer Ratler and the same. The wheels are
coming off the Saints. You guys saw that the offense
is just really stuck in the mud. People have figured
out Clint Kubiak after two big starts, and I like
Tampa coming off the rest minus three the other one.
And I know you're not supposed to do this is
the Philadelphia Eagles. It's up to tens in some spots, guys,
so Cleveland, I don't think they're quitting on Kevin Stefanski.
(25:32):
I think they might be quitting on Deshaun Watson. Like
there's been there's been multiple times this season where he's
like yelling at players in the huddle out of frustration,
and it's like, Okay, Patrick Mahomes yells at his guys.
Totally get that. Deshaun Watson, who hasn't done jack squat
in several years. Bro, what are you yelling at your
statistically the worst quarterback in the league right there with
(25:54):
Bryce Young can't be yelling at people.
Speaker 1 (25:57):
It's crazy.
Speaker 2 (25:58):
So I just wonder if if Philly can jump to
an early lead here. And by the way, the secondary
is really banged up delpit and concussion protocol, Denzel Ward
hurt with a hamstring. You saw when Ward went out
against Washington. Jane Daniel started to hit the big plays
down the field, Demmy Brown, Dary McLaurin, like, there were
guys open and Philly has an even more dangerous downfield game. Okay,
(26:20):
And you gotta wonder, holy boy, if Cleveland gets waxed here,
you know, forty to seventeen or something, what are we
talking about in Cleveland? They repeatedly say they're not benching
Deshaun Watson, he's your guy. How long can you keep
saying that? So Philly, I know it's double digit favorites,
and yes, I've seen all the numbers that underdogs if
(26:42):
six or more, covering at one of the most ridiculous
rates ever. You guys know markets are efficient. It's gonna
correct itself, and I think it starts here with Philadelphia.
I am looking at the Bears minus two against the Jags.
I definitely am on the over in that game over
forty four and a half. I like the Titans two
and a half against the Colts. Nobody likes the Titans.
(27:03):
I have not bet on them this year. Fortunately, I've
been able to dodge a couple of grenades. But Indianapolis,
it looks like Anthony Richardson is gonna start. No Michael Pittman,
he's on the IR so you're down in your top receiver.
No Jonathan Taylor your top running back. That's not great.
Josh Downs, who was hurt now is back and now
is hurt again. It's like geez. However, the big reason
(27:26):
to fade them is Anthony Richardson. I just don't think
he's as good right now is Joe Flacko. I think
Flacco gives them a better chance to win. He wins
from the pocket, and I don't know if Richardson can.
The numbers so far say he can't. But you have
invested in Richardson, so you got to play him. So
if he's healthy, you're not playing Joe Flacco to beat
the Titans. You're playing the long game. Anthony Richardson. We
(27:46):
want him to be the guy. Well, if you want
him to be the guy that bad, that's fine, then
I'll take the Tennessee Titans. And again, I haven't experienced
Will Levis. If Disco's sour, oh, that might be the
last time I dip into the Will Levis experience. I'm
leaning toward the Falcons minus six. I'm on the Lions
minus three. I know a lot of people like the
(28:08):
Cowboys in the spot, I think the Lions are overvalued
the lines too much. Weren't the Lions just huge favorites
against Seattle at home and now they're on the road
minus three? How does that work? I just I'm still
kind of down on Dallas. I know they did beat
Pittsburgh and me last week, but to me, there's just
(28:30):
no path to victory for the Cowboys except through the air.
And sure, maybe Dak decides to throw it fifty times,
but guys, that offensive line's getting wrecked before Herbig and
Heismith went out for Pittsburgh. They were getting to Dack
all the time, and I could see Aiden Hutchison having
a field day with either Steel or Guyton, whoever he
goes up against. And as long as the secondary plays
(28:51):
its smart against CD Lamb, I like their chances. Now,
if you're gonna go leave Terry on Arnold or Carlton
Davis on an island with no safety help, well that
you know you're digging your own grave, because Cede Lamb's
going to beat that man coverage. So I'm on the
Lions here. This is a good spot. We'll see what
a bye is worth. Several teams coming off of by
two of them. I'm looking at Bengals and the Lions.
(29:14):
I'm sorry, not Bengals, Lions and the Titans. But a
lot of the numbers say in historically the by matter,
but if you shrink to like the last five years,
it seems to matter less. Why that's unexplained to this point.
I mentioned the Bengals minus three and a half, and
I'll wrap up with this one. The Washington Commanders. Oh man,
(29:37):
they've cost me money three weeks so far out of five,
and now I would like to bet on them at
six and a half or seven against Baltimore and what
should be a good regional game. I know Lamar's twenty
one and one against the NFC. I just want to
remind people Jaden Daniels the Washington defense he has have
in practice all the time. He's not obviously at Lamar's level,
(30:00):
but this isn't gonna be a running quarterback with speed
who's going to surprise the hell out of them. And
just as a reminder, the Ravens defense stinks too big time.
I don't want to hear it. I think Daniels can
have success. I think they're legit. I think dan Quinn
could have some stuff cooked up here. Cliff Kingsbury is
gonna be ready. I think, to me, this is better
than the Lion's Cowboys, and this is the game of
(30:22):
the weekend. I'm very excited, and I'm gonna be on Washington.
I think all enter them in the contest. We'll see
if it gets even more chalky. I'll have to pass
because usually the most picked teams in this three million
dollar contest lose because that's what the public does. Your
boy could use it four to one or five, and oh,
I just got to put myself in position. It's like
when you're running a long race. You don't want to
(30:42):
fall too far behind, so you pick your spots to
stay with the pack, and then you make your move late.
But in this you can't make your move late. You
just got to like hang around till mid season then
make your move. You can't wait till like week twelve,
you know, although make your move like I can call
my shot. Okay, I'm gonna take off here it comes
a five and oh not that easy. Have a great
weekend and there's a lot of NBA stuff on the horizon.
(31:06):
We still haven't talked about the damn Nick trade for
Carling Anthony Towns. NFL Monday Night football is gonna be big. Jets, Bills.
Have a safe, fun weekend. Prayers up to all my
people in Florida, those who can listen. I know it's
been a rough two weeks for you guys there with
the Hurricanes, but hang in there. It's only gonna get better.
(31:27):
Talk to you Monday,
Fox Sports Radio News
Host
Jonas Knox
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