June 20, 2024 • 30 mins
Karl Tily from the TAB joins Manaia & G Lane to pore over the weekend's odds, opportunities and omens. From 'Around The Grounds' (00:00) to 'Grab A Pen' (19:55) and 'Stats To Impress The Ladies' (24:26).
Plus, the latest ThreeWay Punt (26:31)
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Life in the Export Beer Garden Studio.
Speaker 2 (00:02):
This is the ACC Sports Book, brought to you by
the TAB for Friday, the twenty first of June.
Speaker 1 (00:08):
The ACC Sports Book. Thanks to the TAB. We welcome
in g Lane and welcome in Carl from the TB.
Good morning, Carl. Has your week been?
Speaker 3 (00:16):
Matte a good good, very good Fellas Keelane, welcome back.
Thanks man Hoe you well, he technically wasn't a standown.
Speaker 1 (00:27):
Technically, but it may have looked like that.
Speaker 4 (00:30):
Well to the layman or the outsider, it may have
looked like a standown, And yes it probably was.
Speaker 1 (00:37):
But in reality it wasn't.
Speaker 4 (00:39):
I was away last Friday, but yes the friday before that,
I wasn't here mentally, or I was here physically but
not mentally.
Speaker 2 (00:45):
I like that you're trying to own the narrative, Lane,
But we did explain on the podcast last week that
it is a no fault standown policy that we have
here at the ACC. It's very similar to the NRL.
You know, we're not going to poke around. We're not
going to say whether you did or didn't do X was.
You've been accused of something and that's good enough for
a standout for a week, but that's behind us now, yes,
(01:08):
and so we move on.
Speaker 1 (01:09):
We carry on.
Speaker 3 (01:09):
Two.
Speaker 2 (01:10):
It's a massive week in sporting news for New Zealand,
but there's not a lot of different sports on. It's
all dominated by one thing and that is the Super
Rugby Final tomorrow night. Lane's going to be commentating that
one with Macony. Is about twenty thousand fans streaming up
to Eden.
Speaker 1 (01:29):
Park to sell out. Yes, the Blues are claiming that
they've sold their own home stadium out. They haven't. It
is it's their way team that's sold it out.
Speaker 2 (01:38):
But that is I think what most punters are going
to be getting on at the TIRB this weekend.
Speaker 1 (01:42):
Calum I right in thinking that, can.
Speaker 3 (01:45):
Wean the Blues didn't sell it out? The crowd last
week was.
Speaker 4 (01:48):
Shocking, atrocious and the whole half of half of Hamilton
is coming up the motorway.
Speaker 2 (01:53):
There were more Chiefs fans at the Cake Tin than
there were Blues fans at Eaton Park last weekend.
Speaker 3 (02:00):
Disgraceful. It's great, but yes, actually no, the punters aren't
taking the Blues. They're all over the Chiefs there, Blues.
What I mean dollar forty five Chiefs to sixty Blues
of five and a half point favorites. We've got three
times as many bets on the Chiefs and almost twice
(02:20):
as much turnover on the Chiefs at the moment.
Speaker 2 (02:22):
Do you think a big part of that's momentum? It
was the way those two games played out, because like
the Blues game was like, yeah, they won in resounding fashion.
It was a bit of a blowout. But the Chiefs
one was exciting. You know, is it a bit of
like a pendulum swing?
Speaker 3 (02:36):
Do you think I'd say it's a bit of thatman,
I plus two sixty is very enticing when you know,
Chiefs knock off the top of the table Hurricanes with ease,
you'd have to say. And then you know it's not
too far of a trip up the road to Auckland.
It's yeah, I say a bit of both.
Speaker 1 (02:58):
Yeah. Like I just bumped into a massive Auckland Blues fan.
Speaker 4 (03:02):
He just chewed my ear off and he was quite patronizing. Look.
Speaker 1 (03:06):
I know, I know that you're.
Speaker 4 (03:07):
A cheese fan and you know, but like, look at
look at it, mate, Look, Blues have come in, had
a couple of easy qualifiers. They're coming in fresh. You know,
the Chiefs have had a tough couple of games. That
game took a lot out of them, and I'm like,
get out of here, mate, We're coming in hot, We're
coming in battle Harden, and we're gonna kick your ass.
Speaker 1 (03:26):
And he's like, no, we've got Paddy back. You stick
Patty up your ass, mate.
Speaker 2 (03:29):
I think that's gonna disadvantage of them having Paddy back,
because I think he is I don't think he's miraculously
recovered from that knee. I think he just is like
I want to be there if we win. I want
to So I actually think that that kind of hurts them.
It's been a long time since the Blues have won.
Speaker 1 (03:44):
A legitimate championship and rugby such.
Speaker 4 (03:48):
A Crusaders fan, how do you notice that carl It's
and the Crusaders fans throwing the legitimate because of the
super rugby olty at they didn't play Crusades here, it
comes here, it comes given.
Speaker 3 (03:58):
They beat the Highland as I'll stand with them and I.
Speaker 1 (04:03):
Yeah, that's right.
Speaker 2 (04:04):
They beat the Highlanders in the in the final, they
got to bypass because that season was just who can
put a cricket score on the Warritors. But outside of
hit to hit obviously two sixty.
Speaker 1 (04:13):
That's good man.
Speaker 2 (04:14):
That is borderline negligence from the TV doing the Chiefs
at two sexty.
Speaker 1 (04:19):
Is there anything else that the parts are getting on
board here?
Speaker 3 (04:22):
Car?
Speaker 1 (04:22):
Where's the money goal is?
Speaker 3 (04:24):
We've got a little booster option either team to win
by one to seven, so you've effectively got a fourteen
point window there. Two dollars eighty Yeah, getting bit. I
love we have. I said that we're all over the
Chiefs here, but we have had a couple of decent
sized bets on the Blues, two at two thousand dollars
and one at a thousand.
Speaker 1 (04:45):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (04:45):
Well, we know that Blues fans love getting on the
short odds. They love incremental returns. It's the it's the
capital gains of the punting world.
Speaker 3 (04:57):
One of the power players, the most most powerplay. I
actually really like this. But Larry McKenzie to have a
kicking percentage of over eighty nine and a half percent
at three twenty five.
Speaker 1 (05:09):
Yeah, I like this. I actually I actually looked at
this last week.
Speaker 2 (05:13):
The only problem with it, because he does kick well,
is if he only kicks four and he misses one,
that's seventy five percent, you know what I mean. It's
going to be a volume issue for McKinsey, I think.
But I do like that option.
Speaker 4 (05:24):
But I think because of the final nature of it,
they're going to take points. There's going to be no
kicking in the corner for a human centerpede unless they
need unless it comes from behind, you know what I
mean by distance.
Speaker 1 (05:35):
So I think it's a good.
Speaker 4 (05:37):
Bet we'll like, we'll see, like we we didn't see
in the last few games, they will take the points
and went on offer.
Speaker 1 (05:42):
I guarantee it. So I like that.
Speaker 4 (05:45):
I'm on another power play actually on that one, and
that is the Fords Jerseys one to eight four plus
tri scorers combined from both sides.
Speaker 1 (05:56):
I reckon that's good eating as well.
Speaker 4 (05:58):
You know forards they've got both got a couple of those.
The back rows of each of those teams is pretty
pretty punchy with Stutu, C T T, Jacobsen, Papa Lee, Summer,
Penny Fee. Now, yeah, that's that's some good lucies.
Speaker 1 (06:13):
Plus we've also got the hookers in there. Yeah, I
got the hookers in there.
Speaker 4 (06:15):
So any Jersey one to eight four plus tries combined
and that's paying three point fifty.
Speaker 2 (06:22):
From what I'm hearing from all of these power players
and where all the money's going, people think this is
going to be a tight, tense Turi Defea dinner.
Speaker 3 (06:31):
Yes, I agree to agree, I kind of I can see.
Speaker 2 (06:36):
I think if the Blues win, it's tight. I think
if the Chiefs win, they could run away with this.
Speaker 1 (06:40):
Do you reckon? They're going to slow it out.
Speaker 2 (06:42):
Having watched both those last games, like I've been saying
all week, like I've been saying all season, probably since
I was born, the Blues have a bed shit in them.
Speaker 1 (06:50):
They they will shit the bed from time to time.
Speaker 2 (06:53):
And I think when their backs are up against the wall,
you know how your Blues friend was saying, Oh, well
we've had Cruisy run on you guys, and blah blah.
I don't think that benefits the blood. That's exactly how
they like everything to go. They want to stack the
deck in their favor. They want to cruise through, and
as soon as it gets a little bit tense, and
then the twenty thousand Chiefs fans have come up State
(07:14):
Highway one like mad Max start getting fired up, I
think it could potentially be a blowout in favor of
the Chiefs. Having said that I can't pick this one.
I don't know who's gonna win. And like you said,
a dollar forty six people are getting on the Chiefs
at two sixty just because that's quite a large number
for a Super Rugby final.
Speaker 3 (07:35):
Sorry, what's what's the Adam Park's policy on cowbells?
Speaker 4 (07:40):
I don't think they'll be able to stop it. They
don't be able to stop it, Carl. I'm afraid I
almost want to drive down to Hamilton and join the convoy.
Speaker 1 (07:47):
It is. It's going to be dun kirk Esk.
Speaker 4 (07:49):
And it's any apparently anyone with more than five seats
is offering their vehicle up out of Hamilton to head
up to Aukland. There is just and that's that's including
how copters, that's including Cissner's crop dusters like anything. They're
coming and they're coming on mass.
Speaker 3 (08:08):
I've just had a look at another power play here, Glane.
If you like the Chiefs, you like the Fords, and
you want to get Larry and I know you do.
Any Chiefs forward first try scorer and the Chiefs to
win my thirteen plus twenty six dollars.
Speaker 4 (08:24):
Oh wow, yeah, you know, you know how to talk
dirty for me, Cardine, you know how to talk.
Speaker 2 (08:30):
Twenty six dollars is great value because the Chiefs got
out to a blinder last week.
Speaker 3 (08:34):
They did.
Speaker 2 (08:35):
Yeah, and like I said, and the week before and
like I said, if the Chiefs win, they win by
a bit, I can feel myself making another deposit.
Speaker 1 (08:43):
And for Tarbo, I'm onto that field to my bones.
Speaker 2 (08:47):
I've just been cleaned out at the poker table at
the radiohdocue bender party.
Speaker 1 (08:51):
Yeah. Hey, but there's a curtain raiser for the Super
Ugly Finals. I don't say that. Yeah, the Warriors are
playing at five o'clock.
Speaker 3 (09:00):
Don't do that, Ah, come on, it's.
Speaker 2 (09:03):
It's not a kid and raise what it is though?
It is a spectacular Saturday of sports. Yes, and the
a SEC has you covered right the way through. So
the Warriors are playing at five. They're against the Titans,
who are baked to the bottom of the tin at
the moment as far as the ladder is concerned.
Speaker 1 (09:18):
But they did beat us.
Speaker 2 (09:20):
Last time they played us, and they're a team that
can run up points.
Speaker 1 (09:24):
Where's the money going for this one? Car? Surely it's
all on the all on the Wars.
Speaker 3 (09:29):
It is there's always all on the last seventy of
the turnover. On the Wars, the four and a half
point favorites just say, we got beaten by the Titans
last time out. AJ Brimton cut us to shreds. Yeah
he's not there. They've got Jaden Campbell back. He's just
as slippery. But I think the Warriors sure enough last
(09:55):
week in that first twenty minutes too. You know, that's
the top of table storm side. If we do that
to the Titans, we should be up by sixty out
to twenty minutes.
Speaker 2 (10:06):
I completely agree with you, and I think that they're
not going to fight back the way that the Melbourne
Storm did. And if we can stop ourselves from giving
away two consecutive yellow cards and playing with a soccer
team for about ten minutes, then I think that that's
that's enough.
Speaker 1 (10:21):
I think it's with the.
Speaker 4 (10:22):
Warriors that they're like the beloved you the Blues, that
they're always do a blowout like that with a double
yellow card every now and then they'll just provide an
absolute shocker.
Speaker 1 (10:32):
And I think that was last week so and we
got it out of our system.
Speaker 2 (10:35):
Yeah, there's a few key outs obviously. Dellan matenez Lesnik
will not be playing this weekend because last weekend he
performed a head high tackle on a man who did
not have the steeden and you can't and you.
Speaker 1 (10:46):
Can't do that, so he won't be playing this week.
Speaker 2 (10:50):
I love the boosted power play that's up at the moment,
Ed and Fanua Blake anytime try scorer and Warriors win,
that's three dollars sixty. I think he might have scored
two try last time we played the Titans. Their middles
are soft. They've they've fallen into that ridiculous situation where
the team sucks but their best prop is in origin,
so it's like the worst case scenario over there. I
(11:12):
can see him going through the front door. And I
do think whoever wins this game is winning by quite
a bit as well. Are the punters coming for that
that boost.
Speaker 1 (11:21):
The power play?
Speaker 3 (11:22):
Yeah, so was three sixty is now four fifty that boost?
But they like the you could almost play triscore a
bingo with the Warriors and who's been backed and it's
all the double barrel names. So you've got Phenomena Blake,
Michal Clocks at rts, they're all they're all getting some
love the one that's the one that stands out and
(11:44):
I don't mind this, but's near. Corde has been running
some incredibly tough lines, like he's one scary MF. You
would not want to be tackling him. We're taking some
heat on him for first tri score. It's thirty four dollars.
Speaker 1 (11:58):
Whoa wow.
Speaker 4 (12:00):
I love I love the pace he brings when he
goes to the line. He kind of gets you. It
gets your fist. You when you see a rhino just
coming out. It's like what Hydercassini used to do back
in the day. It just get you're just go.
Speaker 1 (12:13):
Yeah, it does have a touch of the Highs about him.
Speaker 2 (12:16):
Yeah, I will say that the first try scorer is
the most high risk, high reward bit in rugby league
I think, but also in rugby league because it's like
it's so hard to get it.
Speaker 1 (12:29):
I don't think I think I've hit one once. But
when you hit it, yeah, it's it's sent like it's
out of the gate.
Speaker 4 (12:35):
But I but I can't deal with NRLs that always
goes back to the bunker as well. So it just
like it's it's the most heartbreaking no no no node
roco very first try scorer once that like, and he
was like fifteen's and he scored and then they pulled
it back and said of disallowed it. It was both
the best and worst day of my life and encapsulated
at about five minutes.
Speaker 3 (12:56):
Yeah, I did a test, you could say a few
years back now where I backed a Warriors winger. It
was actually the best mon evativate to score first. Every
single game came bucks on. Ye. First season I did it.
I was up for the year. Next season, I was
not up for the year. I was well done.
Speaker 2 (13:19):
Matt He's put didn't He put like a hundred on
the Warriors to win every game.
Speaker 4 (13:24):
When and they're going through their dry spell it was
COVID times, And yeah, he was trying to show his
support by betting on them every week.
Speaker 1 (13:30):
Every week he put them on and they shed the bed.
Speaker 2 (13:32):
And then last year, this was the year before last,
and last year they spent the whole year being like,
what did I do this year?
Speaker 4 (13:39):
When we did work out if you put it on
the opposition how much he would have won, and we
worked out all the odds and he would have been
up like about four grand.
Speaker 3 (13:45):
Yeah, it's tough.
Speaker 1 (13:47):
It's a second thing about anyway that game?
Speaker 3 (13:50):
Yes, sorry, sorry fellas. Just quickly before we move on
from the Warriors, I'm going to get a little bit
self as share. We've got a little competition on our
TV socials. Yeah, to get to the Warriors boot party
at the Broncos game next week. Oh, we head to
our Toby Facebook page and check that out.
Speaker 4 (14:10):
Where are you hosting this boot party? Is that where
we have to find out on the Facebook page?
Speaker 3 (14:13):
Is it?
Speaker 1 (14:14):
No?
Speaker 3 (14:14):
So you know down the north north end of the ground.
They've got the hospitality and the fans line and stuff.
There's little boot party section down there. Oh sweet drinks
and food and all sorts.
Speaker 1 (14:25):
Right, well, can we come down?
Speaker 3 (14:28):
Yeah, you can go to the facebook page and check
it out.
Speaker 1 (14:34):
The games.
Speaker 4 (14:35):
You know what Mount Smart is actually built for a
tailgate tail party?
Speaker 1 (14:40):
Is that?
Speaker 4 (14:40):
You know where the super Top used to be at
the back, you know where they are drifting, where all
the VIP's park puzzle those guys off And that would
be one of the great boot parties. You could get
a thousand cars in there, you know, five thousand people
could be partying there. You get your drinks from the
Lily Lily World, you know, I reckon there would be epic.
Speaker 2 (15:00):
I don't understand why not, because if you've ever been
to Mount Smart, you have to park across the road
at like a steel mill or a bloody whatever industrial
penros and they all, you know, you pay them five
ten bucks whatever, then you go and park down there.
I don't understand why that hasn't turned into a tailgate.
Speaker 3 (15:14):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (15:14):
I think I might take a barbecue down to that.
Speaker 4 (15:16):
Yeah, just because that's what I mean, the only proper tailgate.
We've like kind of gone off aggressing track a little bit.
The best tailgating I've seen is at Mount Hart at
seven in the morning. At Mount Hart, there's this tradition
that the top car park gets filled at Mount Hart
Skifield at like seven in the morning and everyone just
drops the back of the yet and they have barbecues
(15:38):
on the back and they're all smashing like hot toddies
and having barbecues and everyone's doing it. Everyone's doing it
because the liftstone open till ten, so you've got three
hours of just preloading all.
Speaker 2 (15:48):
This sounds like a great and they should have from
the tarb So where do you go again, Carl?
Speaker 1 (15:53):
The Facebook page.
Speaker 3 (15:54):
Check it out, Yes, yeah, yeah, I forgot we were
talking about that.
Speaker 2 (15:57):
Yeah, I'm trying to wrestle us back on all right,
all right, all right, So that's the Warriors. The other
thing that's going on this week is a lot of
players are out and in fact the Warriors are victim
to this. We've got two players out, which feels good
in one sense and in another not out with Origin.
So Kirk Capewa and Mitch Barnett are both off with
(16:19):
the Maroons and the Blues this weekend. Are people starting
to get on Origin yet? Calor are they still looking
at the Warriors this weekend?
Speaker 3 (16:29):
No? They yes, Sorry, they are getting on Origin and
they're coming for the Blues early doors three three times
as much turnover on the Blues. At the moment, Jerome
Lei and Latrell Mitchell best back for Man of the match.
We've had a three thousand dollars bit on New South
Wales's head to head. I think they're dollar ninety the
(16:53):
pair at the minute. It's gutsy, I will say so.
It's a MCG. New South Wales have won four in
the last five, four of the five all time playing
at MCG. I've got a very good record at neutral venues.
Speaker 1 (17:11):
Yeah, I don't know.
Speaker 2 (17:13):
I just feel like Queensland a dollar ninety is good eating, yes,
because they they don't make a lot of changes, although
frustratingly they've made one that's really disadvantaged the Warriors. But
I just think they've got a good They feel like
they're a national team, Queensland with like that building for
the future, whereas New South Wales is just an all
star team, so whoever's balling out at the moment gets
(17:35):
to play in that blue jersey. I think a dollar
ninety for Queensland is juicy. The lines only obviously that
you can't split them, the lines only one point five.
I just I don't know, maybe I'm way off obviously
if it's a dollar ninety.
Speaker 4 (17:50):
I'm I'm just used to seeing I mean, I'm just
used to seeing Queensland always winning, so I find it
hard that someone can get crushed three grand on the
New South Wales went in Melbourn.
Speaker 2 (18:00):
Yeah, I don't mind the trail as man of the
match just because written has written in the stars. Yeah,
they brought him back and LOUI I will never bet
for against he is like a one man Warriors Like,
don't bet on him, don't bet against them.
Speaker 1 (18:18):
I just don't want anything.
Speaker 2 (18:19):
To do with him and the other big thing that's
happening at the moment. And we've always said that it's
a bit of a blind spot for the a CEC,
but the Euros are going on at the moment. I
can imagine that there's quite a bit of action on
this at the Tearb Cup.
Speaker 3 (18:33):
Yeah, blind spot for me personally, I will say too,
but yes, there is plenty of action. I've had to
ask the bookies to help me out here. I think
England and the Dutch through this morning.
Speaker 1 (18:46):
That puts England through though doesn't that Apparently.
Speaker 3 (18:50):
With that warning truly, who could say? Yeah, what I will? What? What?
What I did get from the bookies and buffet is
getting small player of the tournament. But there is a guy,
Jamal Morsela from Germany. He is our worst result for
Player of the tournament. He started at thirty four's, he's
(19:11):
now into eleven's so he I'm guessing he's going all right.
England is still the best backed in the out right market,
but France. Both France and Germany have shortened quite a
bit since the tournament kicked off.
Speaker 2 (19:26):
I know people in our office have lost a bit
of money on Slovakia. And as soon as I heard that,
I was like, you've you've jumped the shark. Yet as
soon as you're losing money on Slovakia, you might as
well be bidding on esports.
Speaker 3 (19:39):
We've got it. I've got a stat for you guys,
and steps to impress the ladies around Slovakia later.
Speaker 1 (19:44):
Perfect, all right, well, I can't wait any longer. Let's
take a quick break.
Speaker 2 (19:48):
When we come back, grab a pen because Carl has
had his ear to the railway lines and this is
what he has heard around the TIRB office.
Speaker 1 (19:57):
Pause the podcast now and grab a pen for the
hottest tips from around the tab office.
Speaker 3 (20:03):
Alrighty, just quickly, let's go back and ever look at
last week. We had four tips last week avalon Berlin
DFL logod Cornelia got scratched, so that doesn't count either.
Freedom rally though winner money and came second. But I'm
(20:24):
gonna say, but was in my three way was absolutely
flying when it had the line another fifty meters and
we would have won by fifty lens. It was that fast,
so that should kind of count. You won't get paid,
but it was a good run.
Speaker 2 (20:42):
Yeah, sadly those are the only ones I didn't get on.
Speaker 1 (20:47):
I got on the scratchings.
Speaker 2 (20:48):
And for me, whenever something gets scratched and that money
comes straight back into my account, I spank it on
the dumbest shit.
Speaker 1 (20:54):
It's like a bonus.
Speaker 2 (20:55):
I don't know why. It's the wrong way to look
at it, but I think it's human nature.
Speaker 1 (20:59):
So what have you? Who did this week? Go?
Speaker 3 (21:01):
All? Right? The first one is that had me in
genuine lowells this morning ricking in race two tomorrow number seven,
the old minks at five dollars fifty.
Speaker 1 (21:13):
Anytime the old minks is out there, yeah, yeah.
Speaker 3 (21:16):
And I was talking to the guy who gave me
the tip, and he said, the dame or the mother
of this horse. The name of that horse was the
old Hussy.
Speaker 1 (21:27):
Huge, gentlemen, it's a human, the old minks. You don't
let the old minks loose. And where are they racing?
Speaker 3 (21:33):
That's ricked in race two number seven.
Speaker 1 (21:35):
It's going to say if they were somewhere in the
wack header.
Speaker 2 (21:39):
It's the daughter of the old Hussey, the old monks
running near the old misty.
Speaker 3 (21:44):
A couple in ips switch Race three number ten, Madame
O'Dette seven dollars and two sixty yep, a little bit
of a rough one. And then Race four, number nine
rock Ribbed at four dollars and a dollar eighty. But
there's a I think it's a it's a two horse race.
(22:05):
It's between the number nine and the number twelve. Majestic
Boom at five point fifty and two twenty five. Majestic
Boom is one fourth straight. So I reckon, we could
look at a week same rap's multi here you can
get five dollars forty for both of those who run
top three.
Speaker 1 (22:22):
Oh, I'm on that, okay, So we're going to stick
that in the watch. Watch me duff that when I
try and put it on though.
Speaker 3 (22:33):
And I've got one more, and I gave you boys
some homework or our heads up here. So we've got
totong e Race two Ala at three dollars eighty you
get odd sage four dollars forty. I was reading I
was reading a little you know, the racing comments that
are all under this. I was reading this one, and
I sort of thought some people that don't get racing,
(22:56):
they don't they might not understand this. I'm going to
read it out, and I thought we could, we could
have a go rewording it. So Philly, who reveled in
the heavy conditions that Matter Matter on June five to
Bolton by nearly four lengths with plenty of spare. The
daughter of fast net Rock should get similar conditions on Saturday,
(23:16):
and the extra one hundred meters fo.
Speaker 1 (23:19):
Okay, love loves the wet let me. Yeah, so tako, Philly,
that's where it's from. Yes, it's it's two and it's
fucking Papa. Yeah, who reveled in the heavy conditions, loves
loves the moist matter, Matter loves the mater.
Speaker 2 (23:33):
Mutter to Bolton by nearly four lengths with plenty of spare,
so it was way ahead.
Speaker 1 (23:41):
Person.
Speaker 2 (23:42):
The daughter of fast net Rock again, we're back into
the fucking paper again, should get similar conditions. So it's
going to rain on Saturday, and the extra hundred meters
will suit so one by four last time, you know, eight.
Speaker 3 (23:55):
Yeah, it must have been been doing extras after everyone
else has gone home.
Speaker 1 (23:59):
Yeah, it absolutely loves it. No, I like that. I
think I think we've done well to sort of translate
that a little bit.
Speaker 3 (24:05):
I think so too.
Speaker 1 (24:06):
Yeah, to a degree.
Speaker 2 (24:07):
All right, now It's time for my favorite segment of
the week. It has quickly become my favorite. It is
time for stats. Actually, I think I might be able
to even bring the music in here to probably behind
the curtain. I'm pushing the buttons today, which is absolutely
terrifying for all involved. Now it's time for stats to
impress the ladies.
Speaker 3 (24:28):
All right, We're going to start off last and slow
here boys. UFC Fight night this week, Robert Whittaker versus
crumb Alis. Six of Whittaker's last seven UFC fights have
gone the distance. Waker on points at three dollars sixty.
Speaker 1 (24:46):
Yep, I think you have me when you mentioned Robert Whittaker.
Speaker 3 (24:51):
Was Titan's game. SJ has scored at least one try
and each of his last four games with the Warriors
as a favorite at Seabuster the stadium.
Speaker 2 (25:01):
Oh litist, this is the hottest stants to impress the ladies.
This might actually impress the ladies this week.
Speaker 3 (25:08):
So you get three twenty five for SJA anytime. All right,
We're going to go to the Euros. Slovakia versus Ukraine.
This is wild. An own goal has been scored in
two of Slovakia's last four European Championship matches.
Speaker 1 (25:26):
Yes, can you get on own goals?
Speaker 3 (25:31):
Yeah? There should be an own goal market.
Speaker 1 (25:35):
There shouldn't be. I'm a huge fan of the young goal.
I score so many young goals every weekend.
Speaker 3 (25:42):
Yeah. All right. Back to the NRL Tigers Raiders and
three of the tigers last four games, the opposition starting
left winger has scored the first try of the match. Oh,
I think that is Exavier Savage for the Raiders.
Speaker 1 (25:58):
I think it might be.
Speaker 3 (26:01):
And last one. Back to the Euros Netherlands v. France.
The Netherlands, Denzel Dumfries, it's been the last goalscorer and
two of the netherlands last three European Championship group stage
night matches, night matches.
Speaker 1 (26:20):
Denzel Dumfries likes it in the nighttime? Does it?
Speaker 3 (26:24):
That'll do us?
Speaker 2 (26:26):
Denzel Dumfries, I'm empty in the account of him. I'm
going to be overexposed by the end of this podcast.
All right, let's just before we knock this thing on
the head, let's get into the three way hunch. I
believe mine came in last week, although right now I
should have written it down. I can't remember what it was.
I was a late scratching. I was on for Feeder
last week he got scratched. I put Lomax in. He scored,
(26:48):
so I don't feel incredible about it. I think we
picked on your behalf lane. Yes, it was about a
fifteen hundred dollars long shot at the US Open and
it didn't come in. Carl Yours I think missed as
well yours.
Speaker 3 (27:00):
Yeah, mine was a horse that came second and should
have won.
Speaker 1 (27:02):
He doubled down on Perrelli.
Speaker 2 (27:03):
So this week we will go through them today. I
will start with mine first. I'm sticking with it. I
think he was due last week, he's due again this week.
Dave Forfeita to score anytime against the Warriors, but the
Warriors still to win. But I'm just saying, just for
this multi, I'm putting Dave for Feeder anytime try scorer
(27:24):
that's paying Turtle's sixty five. I'm so certain he's going
to score. Dave for feder As the teams were named
on Tuesday, he's marking up against Dylan Walker, who would
be about seventy eight kilos probably.
Speaker 1 (27:38):
I don't think.
Speaker 2 (27:39):
I don't think Dylan Walker will start on an each
I think Andrew Webster will change the players around. But
we have trouble with Dave for Feeder, as every team does.
And I think Turtle's sixty five may even even though
it's the shortest odds you can get on a.
Speaker 1 (27:52):
Forward, it may even be too short. So I think
Dave Feeder two dollars sixty five is my league.
Speaker 4 (27:58):
Okay, okay, I am I'm going super uggy final. I'm
going anytime as well, and I am going for the
try scoring machine in Hosking statutu. I still think the
Chief's going to win. But I think Hosking Stutu he knows,
he knows how to find the line off the back
of the scrum. You think no, I think in open
(28:19):
play open player Hosking statutu, he's.
Speaker 1 (28:22):
Paying three to twenty. So that's a bit of a
for the three way.
Speaker 4 (28:24):
That's a bit juicy, it is, And I'm confident that
he's going to dot down.
Speaker 1 (28:28):
You've seen something. I don't mind it. What about you.
Speaker 3 (28:32):
I am going to the NRL and I'm going to
go to the Roosters Bulldogs match m and I'm just
going to take the Bulldogs plus eight and a half
at a dollar ninety Oh, they've got Give me a second.
I've got some stats here for They've actually won two
of the last three verse the Roosters. What gets me
(28:54):
a little bit more excited. The last four games between
these two have been decided by six or less, and
nine of the last twelve have been decided by a
single digit margin.
Speaker 2 (29:05):
Really, I just I'm scared of the Roosters at the moment.
I feel like they could really run up a mess
of score here. But you're right, the Bulldogs have turned
it around in the last few weeks.
Speaker 3 (29:16):
They are. They are a much better team than they
have been in the last few years. They are Okay, Matt,
Matt Burton stays in the sidet. He hasn't been pulled
into Origin eighteenth man. That's that's our boy, Mitchwinette.
Speaker 2 (29:29):
So yeah, I think Tedesco being dropped for Game two
probably cancels that out.
Speaker 1 (29:34):
But what's that paying the eight and a half?
Speaker 3 (29:38):
Donald Loe? Yeah, okay, okay, I'm trying to try to
rate it in for the pundits about the chance. Yeah,
we're sitting at sixteen dollars eleven.
Speaker 1 (29:46):
Okay, it's getting a bit expensive. It's a bit expensive.
Speaker 4 (29:49):
I'm just going to go to the I was going
to put that on I'm winning margin, so I'm just
going to put it on live as we're doing it.
Speaker 1 (29:55):
Yeah, so what have you gone me?
Speaker 3 (29:59):
No, Carl, Bulldogs plus eight and a half.
Speaker 1 (30:02):
Bulldogs eight and a half.
Speaker 2 (30:04):
Okay yeah, okay, so sixteens. That is a three way
for this week.
Speaker 1 (30:08):
It is hot and heavy. We're getting pretty adventurous.
Speaker 2 (30:12):
In our three way this weekend. It's going to be
a huge weekend of sport. I'm really looking forward to
all of the games that we're not only covering, but
all the NRL games you mentioned.
Speaker 1 (30:21):
I might even watch a game of the Euros. So
thank you very much for.
Speaker 2 (30:25):
Joining us this Friday afternoon Friday morning rather Carl, enjoy
your weekend as well, mate, and we'll see you next Friday.
Speaker 3 (30:32):
Guys.
Speaker 1 (30:33):
Thanks man. We all spent here at the ACC Sports Book,
but our friends at the TAB are good to go.
Life in the Export Beer Garden Studio.
Speaker 2 (00:02):
This is the ACC Sports Book, brought to you by
the TAB for Friday, the twenty first of June.
Speaker 1 (00:08):
The ACC Sports Book. Thanks to the TAB. We welcome
in g Lane and welcome in Carl from the TB.
Good morning, Carl. Has your week been?
Speaker 3 (00:16):
Matte a good good, very good Fellas Keelane, welcome back.
Thanks man Hoe you well, he technically wasn't a standown.
Speaker 1 (00:27):
Technically, but it may have looked like that.
Speaker 4 (00:30):
Well to the layman or the outsider, it may have
looked like a standown, And yes it probably was.
Speaker 1 (00:37):
But in reality it wasn't.
Speaker 4 (00:39):
I was away last Friday, but yes the friday before that,
I wasn't here mentally, or I was here physically but
not mentally.
Speaker 2 (00:45):
I like that you're trying to own the narrative, Lane,
But we did explain on the podcast last week that
it is a no fault standown policy that we have
here at the ACC. It's very similar to the NRL.
You know, we're not going to poke around. We're not
going to say whether you did or didn't do X was.
You've been accused of something and that's good enough for
a standout for a week, but that's behind us now, yes,
(01:08):
and so we move on.
Speaker 1 (01:09):
We carry on.
Speaker 3 (01:09):
Two.
Speaker 2 (01:10):
It's a massive week in sporting news for New Zealand,
but there's not a lot of different sports on. It's
all dominated by one thing and that is the Super
Rugby Final tomorrow night. Lane's going to be commentating that
one with Macony. Is about twenty thousand fans streaming up
to Eden.
Speaker 1 (01:29):
Park to sell out. Yes, the Blues are claiming that
they've sold their own home stadium out. They haven't. It
is it's their way team that's sold it out.
Speaker 2 (01:38):
But that is I think what most punters are going
to be getting on at the TIRB this weekend.
Speaker 1 (01:42):
Calum I right in thinking that, can.
Speaker 3 (01:45):
Wean the Blues didn't sell it out? The crowd last
week was.
Speaker 4 (01:48):
Shocking, atrocious and the whole half of half of Hamilton
is coming up the motorway.
Speaker 2 (01:53):
There were more Chiefs fans at the Cake Tin than
there were Blues fans at Eaton Park last weekend.
Speaker 3 (02:00):
Disgraceful. It's great, but yes, actually no, the punters aren't
taking the Blues. They're all over the Chiefs there, Blues.
What I mean dollar forty five Chiefs to sixty Blues
of five and a half point favorites. We've got three
times as many bets on the Chiefs and almost twice
(02:20):
as much turnover on the Chiefs at the moment.
Speaker 2 (02:22):
Do you think a big part of that's momentum? It
was the way those two games played out, because like
the Blues game was like, yeah, they won in resounding fashion.
It was a bit of a blowout. But the Chiefs
one was exciting. You know, is it a bit of
like a pendulum swing?
Speaker 3 (02:36):
Do you think I'd say it's a bit of thatman,
I plus two sixty is very enticing when you know,
Chiefs knock off the top of the table Hurricanes with ease,
you'd have to say. And then you know it's not
too far of a trip up the road to Auckland.
It's yeah, I say a bit of both.
Speaker 1 (02:58):
Yeah. Like I just bumped into a massive Auckland Blues fan.
Speaker 4 (03:02):
He just chewed my ear off and he was quite patronizing. Look.
Speaker 1 (03:06):
I know, I know that you're.
Speaker 4 (03:07):
A cheese fan and you know, but like, look at
look at it, mate, Look, Blues have come in, had
a couple of easy qualifiers. They're coming in fresh. You know,
the Chiefs have had a tough couple of games. That
game took a lot out of them, and I'm like,
get out of here, mate, We're coming in hot, We're
coming in battle Harden, and we're gonna kick your ass.
Speaker 1 (03:26):
And he's like, no, we've got Paddy back. You stick
Patty up your ass, mate.
Speaker 2 (03:29):
I think that's gonna disadvantage of them having Paddy back,
because I think he is I don't think he's miraculously
recovered from that knee. I think he just is like
I want to be there if we win. I want
to So I actually think that that kind of hurts them.
It's been a long time since the Blues have won.
Speaker 1 (03:44):
A legitimate championship and rugby such.
Speaker 4 (03:48):
A Crusaders fan, how do you notice that carl It's
and the Crusaders fans throwing the legitimate because of the
super rugby olty at they didn't play Crusades here, it
comes here, it comes given.
Speaker 3 (03:58):
They beat the Highland as I'll stand with them and I.
Speaker 1 (04:03):
Yeah, that's right.
Speaker 2 (04:04):
They beat the Highlanders in the in the final, they
got to bypass because that season was just who can
put a cricket score on the Warritors. But outside of
hit to hit obviously two sixty.
Speaker 1 (04:13):
That's good man.
Speaker 2 (04:14):
That is borderline negligence from the TV doing the Chiefs
at two sexty.
Speaker 1 (04:19):
Is there anything else that the parts are getting on
board here?
Speaker 3 (04:22):
Car?
Speaker 1 (04:22):
Where's the money goal is?
Speaker 3 (04:24):
We've got a little booster option either team to win
by one to seven, so you've effectively got a fourteen
point window there. Two dollars eighty Yeah, getting bit. I
love we have. I said that we're all over the
Chiefs here, but we have had a couple of decent
sized bets on the Blues, two at two thousand dollars
and one at a thousand.
Speaker 1 (04:45):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (04:45):
Well, we know that Blues fans love getting on the
short odds. They love incremental returns. It's the it's the
capital gains of the punting world.
Speaker 3 (04:57):
One of the power players, the most most powerplay. I
actually really like this. But Larry McKenzie to have a
kicking percentage of over eighty nine and a half percent
at three twenty five.
Speaker 1 (05:09):
Yeah, I like this. I actually I actually looked at
this last week.
Speaker 2 (05:13):
The only problem with it, because he does kick well,
is if he only kicks four and he misses one,
that's seventy five percent, you know what I mean. It's
going to be a volume issue for McKinsey, I think.
But I do like that option.
Speaker 4 (05:24):
But I think because of the final nature of it,
they're going to take points. There's going to be no
kicking in the corner for a human centerpede unless they
need unless it comes from behind, you know what I
mean by distance.
Speaker 1 (05:35):
So I think it's a good.
Speaker 4 (05:37):
Bet we'll like, we'll see, like we we didn't see
in the last few games, they will take the points
and went on offer.
Speaker 1 (05:42):
I guarantee it. So I like that.
Speaker 4 (05:45):
I'm on another power play actually on that one, and
that is the Fords Jerseys one to eight four plus
tri scorers combined from both sides.
Speaker 1 (05:56):
I reckon that's good eating as well.
Speaker 4 (05:58):
You know forards they've got both got a couple of those.
The back rows of each of those teams is pretty
pretty punchy with Stutu, C T T, Jacobsen, Papa Lee, Summer,
Penny Fee. Now, yeah, that's that's some good lucies.
Speaker 1 (06:13):
Plus we've also got the hookers in there. Yeah, I
got the hookers in there.
Speaker 4 (06:15):
So any Jersey one to eight four plus tries combined
and that's paying three point fifty.
Speaker 2 (06:22):
From what I'm hearing from all of these power players
and where all the money's going, people think this is
going to be a tight, tense Turi Defea dinner.
Speaker 3 (06:31):
Yes, I agree to agree, I kind of I can see.
Speaker 2 (06:36):
I think if the Blues win, it's tight. I think
if the Chiefs win, they could run away with this.
Speaker 1 (06:40):
Do you reckon? They're going to slow it out.
Speaker 2 (06:42):
Having watched both those last games, like I've been saying
all week, like I've been saying all season, probably since
I was born, the Blues have a bed shit in them.
Speaker 1 (06:50):
They they will shit the bed from time to time.
Speaker 2 (06:53):
And I think when their backs are up against the wall,
you know how your Blues friend was saying, Oh, well
we've had Cruisy run on you guys, and blah blah.
I don't think that benefits the blood. That's exactly how
they like everything to go. They want to stack the
deck in their favor. They want to cruise through, and
as soon as it gets a little bit tense, and
then the twenty thousand Chiefs fans have come up State
(07:14):
Highway one like mad Max start getting fired up, I
think it could potentially be a blowout in favor of
the Chiefs. Having said that I can't pick this one.
I don't know who's gonna win. And like you said,
a dollar forty six people are getting on the Chiefs
at two sixty just because that's quite a large number
for a Super Rugby final.
Speaker 3 (07:35):
Sorry, what's what's the Adam Park's policy on cowbells?
Speaker 4 (07:40):
I don't think they'll be able to stop it. They
don't be able to stop it, Carl. I'm afraid I
almost want to drive down to Hamilton and join the convoy.
Speaker 1 (07:47):
It is. It's going to be dun kirk Esk.
Speaker 4 (07:49):
And it's any apparently anyone with more than five seats
is offering their vehicle up out of Hamilton to head
up to Aukland. There is just and that's that's including
how copters, that's including Cissner's crop dusters like anything. They're
coming and they're coming on mass.
Speaker 3 (08:08):
I've just had a look at another power play here, Glane.
If you like the Chiefs, you like the Fords, and
you want to get Larry and I know you do.
Any Chiefs forward first try scorer and the Chiefs to
win my thirteen plus twenty six dollars.
Speaker 4 (08:24):
Oh wow, yeah, you know, you know how to talk
dirty for me, Cardine, you know how to talk.
Speaker 2 (08:30):
Twenty six dollars is great value because the Chiefs got
out to a blinder last week.
Speaker 3 (08:34):
They did.
Speaker 2 (08:35):
Yeah, and like I said, and the week before and
like I said, if the Chiefs win, they win by
a bit, I can feel myself making another deposit.
Speaker 1 (08:43):
And for Tarbo, I'm onto that field to my bones.
Speaker 2 (08:47):
I've just been cleaned out at the poker table at
the radiohdocue bender party.
Speaker 1 (08:51):
Yeah. Hey, but there's a curtain raiser for the Super
Ugly Finals. I don't say that. Yeah, the Warriors are
playing at five o'clock.
Speaker 3 (09:00):
Don't do that, Ah, come on, it's.
Speaker 2 (09:03):
It's not a kid and raise what it is though?
It is a spectacular Saturday of sports. Yes, and the
a SEC has you covered right the way through. So
the Warriors are playing at five. They're against the Titans,
who are baked to the bottom of the tin at
the moment as far as the ladder is concerned.
Speaker 1 (09:18):
But they did beat us.
Speaker 2 (09:20):
Last time they played us, and they're a team that
can run up points.
Speaker 1 (09:24):
Where's the money going for this one? Car? Surely it's
all on the all on the Wars.
Speaker 3 (09:29):
It is there's always all on the last seventy of
the turnover. On the Wars, the four and a half
point favorites just say, we got beaten by the Titans
last time out. AJ Brimton cut us to shreds. Yeah
he's not there. They've got Jaden Campbell back. He's just
as slippery. But I think the Warriors sure enough last
(09:55):
week in that first twenty minutes too. You know, that's
the top of table storm side. If we do that
to the Titans, we should be up by sixty out
to twenty minutes.
Speaker 2 (10:06):
I completely agree with you, and I think that they're
not going to fight back the way that the Melbourne
Storm did. And if we can stop ourselves from giving
away two consecutive yellow cards and playing with a soccer
team for about ten minutes, then I think that that's
that's enough.
Speaker 1 (10:21):
I think it's with the.
Speaker 4 (10:22):
Warriors that they're like the beloved you the Blues, that
they're always do a blowout like that with a double
yellow card every now and then they'll just provide an
absolute shocker.
Speaker 1 (10:32):
And I think that was last week so and we
got it out of our system.
Speaker 2 (10:35):
Yeah, there's a few key outs obviously. Dellan matenez Lesnik
will not be playing this weekend because last weekend he
performed a head high tackle on a man who did
not have the steeden and you can't and you.
Speaker 1 (10:46):
Can't do that, so he won't be playing this week.
Speaker 2 (10:50):
I love the boosted power play that's up at the moment,
Ed and Fanua Blake anytime try scorer and Warriors win,
that's three dollars sixty. I think he might have scored
two try last time we played the Titans. Their middles
are soft. They've they've fallen into that ridiculous situation where
the team sucks but their best prop is in origin,
so it's like the worst case scenario over there. I
(11:12):
can see him going through the front door. And I
do think whoever wins this game is winning by quite
a bit as well. Are the punters coming for that
that boost.
Speaker 1 (11:21):
The power play?
Speaker 3 (11:22):
Yeah, so was three sixty is now four fifty that boost?
But they like the you could almost play triscore a
bingo with the Warriors and who's been backed and it's
all the double barrel names. So you've got Phenomena Blake,
Michal Clocks at rts, they're all they're all getting some
love the one that's the one that stands out and
(11:44):
I don't mind this, but's near. Corde has been running
some incredibly tough lines, like he's one scary MF. You
would not want to be tackling him. We're taking some
heat on him for first tri score. It's thirty four dollars.
Speaker 1 (11:58):
Whoa wow.
Speaker 4 (12:00):
I love I love the pace he brings when he
goes to the line. He kind of gets you. It
gets your fist. You when you see a rhino just
coming out. It's like what Hydercassini used to do back
in the day. It just get you're just go.
Speaker 1 (12:13):
Yeah, it does have a touch of the Highs about him.
Speaker 2 (12:16):
Yeah, I will say that the first try scorer is
the most high risk, high reward bit in rugby league
I think, but also in rugby league because it's like
it's so hard to get it.
Speaker 1 (12:29):
I don't think I think I've hit one once. But
when you hit it, yeah, it's it's sent like it's
out of the gate.
Speaker 4 (12:35):
But I but I can't deal with NRLs that always
goes back to the bunker as well. So it just
like it's it's the most heartbreaking no no no node
roco very first try scorer once that like, and he
was like fifteen's and he scored and then they pulled
it back and said of disallowed it. It was both
the best and worst day of my life and encapsulated
at about five minutes.
Speaker 3 (12:56):
Yeah, I did a test, you could say a few
years back now where I backed a Warriors winger. It
was actually the best mon evativate to score first. Every
single game came bucks on. Ye. First season I did it.
I was up for the year. Next season, I was
not up for the year. I was well done.
Speaker 2 (13:19):
Matt He's put didn't He put like a hundred on
the Warriors to win every game.
Speaker 4 (13:24):
When and they're going through their dry spell it was
COVID times, And yeah, he was trying to show his
support by betting on them every week.
Speaker 1 (13:30):
Every week he put them on and they shed the bed.
Speaker 2 (13:32):
And then last year, this was the year before last,
and last year they spent the whole year being like,
what did I do this year?
Speaker 4 (13:39):
When we did work out if you put it on
the opposition how much he would have won, and we
worked out all the odds and he would have been
up like about four grand.
Speaker 3 (13:45):
Yeah, it's tough.
Speaker 1 (13:47):
It's a second thing about anyway that game?
Speaker 3 (13:50):
Yes, sorry, sorry fellas. Just quickly before we move on
from the Warriors, I'm going to get a little bit
self as share. We've got a little competition on our
TV socials. Yeah, to get to the Warriors boot party
at the Broncos game next week. Oh, we head to
our Toby Facebook page and check that out.
Speaker 4 (14:10):
Where are you hosting this boot party? Is that where
we have to find out on the Facebook page?
Speaker 3 (14:13):
Is it?
Speaker 1 (14:14):
No?
Speaker 3 (14:14):
So you know down the north north end of the ground.
They've got the hospitality and the fans line and stuff.
There's little boot party section down there. Oh sweet drinks
and food and all sorts.
Speaker 1 (14:25):
Right, well, can we come down?
Speaker 3 (14:28):
Yeah, you can go to the facebook page and check
it out.
Speaker 1 (14:34):
The games.
Speaker 4 (14:35):
You know what Mount Smart is actually built for a
tailgate tail party?
Speaker 1 (14:40):
Is that?
Speaker 4 (14:40):
You know where the super Top used to be at
the back, you know where they are drifting, where all
the VIP's park puzzle those guys off And that would
be one of the great boot parties. You could get
a thousand cars in there, you know, five thousand people
could be partying there. You get your drinks from the
Lily Lily World, you know, I reckon there would be epic.
Speaker 2 (15:00):
I don't understand why not, because if you've ever been
to Mount Smart, you have to park across the road
at like a steel mill or a bloody whatever industrial
penros and they all, you know, you pay them five
ten bucks whatever, then you go and park down there.
I don't understand why that hasn't turned into a tailgate.
Speaker 3 (15:14):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (15:14):
I think I might take a barbecue down to that.
Speaker 4 (15:16):
Yeah, just because that's what I mean, the only proper tailgate.
We've like kind of gone off aggressing track a little bit.
The best tailgating I've seen is at Mount Hart at
seven in the morning. At Mount Hart, there's this tradition
that the top car park gets filled at Mount Hart
Skifield at like seven in the morning and everyone just
drops the back of the yet and they have barbecues
(15:38):
on the back and they're all smashing like hot toddies
and having barbecues and everyone's doing it. Everyone's doing it
because the liftstone open till ten, so you've got three
hours of just preloading all.
Speaker 2 (15:48):
This sounds like a great and they should have from
the tarb So where do you go again, Carl?
Speaker 1 (15:53):
The Facebook page.
Speaker 3 (15:54):
Check it out, Yes, yeah, yeah, I forgot we were
talking about that.
Speaker 2 (15:57):
Yeah, I'm trying to wrestle us back on all right,
all right, all right, So that's the Warriors. The other
thing that's going on this week is a lot of
players are out and in fact the Warriors are victim
to this. We've got two players out, which feels good
in one sense and in another not out with Origin.
So Kirk Capewa and Mitch Barnett are both off with
(16:19):
the Maroons and the Blues this weekend. Are people starting
to get on Origin yet? Calor are they still looking
at the Warriors this weekend?
Speaker 3 (16:29):
No? They yes, Sorry, they are getting on Origin and
they're coming for the Blues early doors three three times
as much turnover on the Blues. At the moment, Jerome
Lei and Latrell Mitchell best back for Man of the match.
We've had a three thousand dollars bit on New South
Wales's head to head. I think they're dollar ninety the
(16:53):
pair at the minute. It's gutsy, I will say so.
It's a MCG. New South Wales have won four in
the last five, four of the five all time playing
at MCG. I've got a very good record at neutral venues.
Speaker 1 (17:11):
Yeah, I don't know.
Speaker 2 (17:13):
I just feel like Queensland a dollar ninety is good eating, yes,
because they they don't make a lot of changes, although
frustratingly they've made one that's really disadvantaged the Warriors. But
I just think they've got a good They feel like
they're a national team, Queensland with like that building for
the future, whereas New South Wales is just an all
star team, so whoever's balling out at the moment gets
(17:35):
to play in that blue jersey. I think a dollar
ninety for Queensland is juicy. The lines only obviously that
you can't split them, the lines only one point five.
I just I don't know, maybe I'm way off obviously
if it's a dollar ninety.
Speaker 4 (17:50):
I'm I'm just used to seeing I mean, I'm just
used to seeing Queensland always winning, so I find it
hard that someone can get crushed three grand on the
New South Wales went in Melbourn.
Speaker 2 (18:00):
Yeah, I don't mind the trail as man of the
match just because written has written in the stars. Yeah,
they brought him back and LOUI I will never bet
for against he is like a one man Warriors Like,
don't bet on him, don't bet against them.
Speaker 1 (18:18):
I just don't want anything.
Speaker 2 (18:19):
To do with him and the other big thing that's
happening at the moment. And we've always said that it's
a bit of a blind spot for the a CEC,
but the Euros are going on at the moment. I
can imagine that there's quite a bit of action on
this at the Tearb Cup.
Speaker 3 (18:33):
Yeah, blind spot for me personally, I will say too,
but yes, there is plenty of action. I've had to
ask the bookies to help me out here. I think
England and the Dutch through this morning.
Speaker 1 (18:46):
That puts England through though doesn't that Apparently.
Speaker 3 (18:50):
With that warning truly, who could say? Yeah, what I will? What? What?
What I did get from the bookies and buffet is
getting small player of the tournament. But there is a guy,
Jamal Morsela from Germany. He is our worst result for
Player of the tournament. He started at thirty four's, he's
(19:11):
now into eleven's so he I'm guessing he's going all right.
England is still the best backed in the out right market,
but France. Both France and Germany have shortened quite a
bit since the tournament kicked off.
Speaker 2 (19:26):
I know people in our office have lost a bit
of money on Slovakia. And as soon as I heard that,
I was like, you've you've jumped the shark. Yet as
soon as you're losing money on Slovakia, you might as
well be bidding on esports.
Speaker 3 (19:39):
We've got it. I've got a stat for you guys,
and steps to impress the ladies around Slovakia later.
Speaker 1 (19:44):
Perfect, all right, well, I can't wait any longer. Let's
take a quick break.
Speaker 2 (19:48):
When we come back, grab a pen because Carl has
had his ear to the railway lines and this is
what he has heard around the TIRB office.
Speaker 1 (19:57):
Pause the podcast now and grab a pen for the
hottest tips from around the tab office.
Speaker 3 (20:03):
Alrighty, just quickly, let's go back and ever look at
last week. We had four tips last week avalon Berlin
DFL logod Cornelia got scratched, so that doesn't count either.
Freedom rally though winner money and came second. But I'm
(20:24):
gonna say, but was in my three way was absolutely
flying when it had the line another fifty meters and
we would have won by fifty lens. It was that fast,
so that should kind of count. You won't get paid,
but it was a good run.
Speaker 2 (20:42):
Yeah, sadly those are the only ones I didn't get on.
Speaker 1 (20:47):
I got on the scratchings.
Speaker 2 (20:48):
And for me, whenever something gets scratched and that money
comes straight back into my account, I spank it on
the dumbest shit.
Speaker 1 (20:54):
It's like a bonus.
Speaker 2 (20:55):
I don't know why. It's the wrong way to look
at it, but I think it's human nature.
Speaker 1 (20:59):
So what have you? Who did this week? Go?
Speaker 3 (21:01):
All? Right? The first one is that had me in
genuine lowells this morning ricking in race two tomorrow number seven,
the old minks at five dollars fifty.
Speaker 1 (21:13):
Anytime the old minks is out there, yeah, yeah.
Speaker 3 (21:16):
And I was talking to the guy who gave me
the tip, and he said, the dame or the mother
of this horse. The name of that horse was the
old Hussy.
Speaker 1 (21:27):
Huge, gentlemen, it's a human, the old minks. You don't
let the old minks loose. And where are they racing?
Speaker 3 (21:33):
That's ricked in race two number seven.
Speaker 1 (21:35):
It's going to say if they were somewhere in the
wack header.
Speaker 2 (21:39):
It's the daughter of the old Hussey, the old monks
running near the old misty.
Speaker 3 (21:44):
A couple in ips switch Race three number ten, Madame
O'Dette seven dollars and two sixty yep, a little bit
of a rough one. And then Race four, number nine
rock Ribbed at four dollars and a dollar eighty. But
there's a I think it's a it's a two horse race.
(22:05):
It's between the number nine and the number twelve. Majestic
Boom at five point fifty and two twenty five. Majestic
Boom is one fourth straight. So I reckon, we could
look at a week same rap's multi here you can
get five dollars forty for both of those who run
top three.
Speaker 1 (22:22):
Oh, I'm on that, okay, So we're going to stick
that in the watch. Watch me duff that when I
try and put it on though.
Speaker 3 (22:33):
And I've got one more, and I gave you boys
some homework or our heads up here. So we've got
totong e Race two Ala at three dollars eighty you
get odd sage four dollars forty. I was reading I
was reading a little you know, the racing comments that
are all under this. I was reading this one, and
I sort of thought some people that don't get racing,
(22:56):
they don't they might not understand this. I'm going to
read it out, and I thought we could, we could
have a go rewording it. So Philly, who reveled in
the heavy conditions that Matter Matter on June five to
Bolton by nearly four lengths with plenty of spare. The
daughter of fast net Rock should get similar conditions on Saturday,
(23:16):
and the extra one hundred meters fo.
Speaker 1 (23:19):
Okay, love loves the wet let me. Yeah, so tako, Philly,
that's where it's from. Yes, it's it's two and it's
fucking Papa. Yeah, who reveled in the heavy conditions, loves
loves the moist matter, Matter loves the mater.
Speaker 2 (23:33):
Mutter to Bolton by nearly four lengths with plenty of spare,
so it was way ahead.
Speaker 1 (23:41):
Person.
Speaker 2 (23:42):
The daughter of fast net Rock again, we're back into
the fucking paper again, should get similar conditions. So it's
going to rain on Saturday, and the extra hundred meters
will suit so one by four last time, you know, eight.
Speaker 3 (23:55):
Yeah, it must have been been doing extras after everyone
else has gone home.
Speaker 1 (23:59):
Yeah, it absolutely loves it. No, I like that. I
think I think we've done well to sort of translate
that a little bit.
Speaker 3 (24:05):
I think so too.
Speaker 1 (24:06):
Yeah, to a degree.
Speaker 2 (24:07):
All right, now It's time for my favorite segment of
the week. It has quickly become my favorite. It is
time for stats. Actually, I think I might be able
to even bring the music in here to probably behind
the curtain. I'm pushing the buttons today, which is absolutely
terrifying for all involved. Now it's time for stats to
impress the ladies.
Speaker 3 (24:28):
All right, We're going to start off last and slow
here boys. UFC Fight night this week, Robert Whittaker versus
crumb Alis. Six of Whittaker's last seven UFC fights have
gone the distance. Waker on points at three dollars sixty.
Speaker 1 (24:46):
Yep, I think you have me when you mentioned Robert Whittaker.
Speaker 3 (24:51):
Was Titan's game. SJ has scored at least one try
and each of his last four games with the Warriors
as a favorite at Seabuster the stadium.
Speaker 2 (25:01):
Oh litist, this is the hottest stants to impress the ladies.
This might actually impress the ladies this week.
Speaker 3 (25:08):
So you get three twenty five for SJA anytime. All right,
We're going to go to the Euros. Slovakia versus Ukraine.
This is wild. An own goal has been scored in
two of Slovakia's last four European Championship matches.
Speaker 1 (25:26):
Yes, can you get on own goals?
Speaker 3 (25:31):
Yeah? There should be an own goal market.
Speaker 1 (25:35):
There shouldn't be. I'm a huge fan of the young goal.
I score so many young goals every weekend.
Speaker 3 (25:42):
Yeah. All right. Back to the NRL Tigers Raiders and
three of the tigers last four games, the opposition starting
left winger has scored the first try of the match. Oh,
I think that is Exavier Savage for the Raiders.
Speaker 1 (25:58):
I think it might be.
Speaker 3 (26:01):
And last one. Back to the Euros Netherlands v. France.
The Netherlands, Denzel Dumfries, it's been the last goalscorer and
two of the netherlands last three European Championship group stage
night matches, night matches.
Speaker 1 (26:20):
Denzel Dumfries likes it in the nighttime? Does it?
Speaker 3 (26:24):
That'll do us?
Speaker 2 (26:26):
Denzel Dumfries, I'm empty in the account of him. I'm
going to be overexposed by the end of this podcast.
All right, let's just before we knock this thing on
the head, let's get into the three way hunch. I
believe mine came in last week, although right now I
should have written it down. I can't remember what it was.
I was a late scratching. I was on for Feeder
last week he got scratched. I put Lomax in. He scored,
(26:48):
so I don't feel incredible about it. I think we
picked on your behalf lane. Yes, it was about a
fifteen hundred dollars long shot at the US Open and
it didn't come in. Carl Yours I think missed as
well yours.
Speaker 3 (27:00):
Yeah, mine was a horse that came second and should
have won.
Speaker 1 (27:02):
He doubled down on Perrelli.
Speaker 2 (27:03):
So this week we will go through them today. I
will start with mine first. I'm sticking with it. I
think he was due last week, he's due again this week.
Dave Forfeita to score anytime against the Warriors, but the
Warriors still to win. But I'm just saying, just for
this multi, I'm putting Dave for Feeder anytime try scorer
(27:24):
that's paying Turtle's sixty five. I'm so certain he's going
to score. Dave for feder As the teams were named
on Tuesday, he's marking up against Dylan Walker, who would
be about seventy eight kilos probably.
Speaker 1 (27:38):
I don't think.
Speaker 2 (27:39):
I don't think Dylan Walker will start on an each
I think Andrew Webster will change the players around. But
we have trouble with Dave for Feeder, as every team does.
And I think Turtle's sixty five may even even though
it's the shortest odds you can get on a.
Speaker 1 (27:52):
Forward, it may even be too short. So I think
Dave Feeder two dollars sixty five is my league.
Speaker 4 (27:58):
Okay, okay, I am I'm going super uggy final. I'm
going anytime as well, and I am going for the
try scoring machine in Hosking statutu. I still think the
Chief's going to win. But I think Hosking Stutu he knows,
he knows how to find the line off the back
of the scrum. You think no, I think in open
(28:19):
play open player Hosking statutu, he's.
Speaker 1 (28:22):
Paying three to twenty. So that's a bit of a
for the three way.
Speaker 4 (28:24):
That's a bit juicy, it is, And I'm confident that
he's going to dot down.
Speaker 1 (28:28):
You've seen something. I don't mind it. What about you.
Speaker 3 (28:32):
I am going to the NRL and I'm going to
go to the Roosters Bulldogs match m and I'm just
going to take the Bulldogs plus eight and a half
at a dollar ninety Oh, they've got Give me a second.
I've got some stats here for They've actually won two
of the last three verse the Roosters. What gets me
(28:54):
a little bit more excited. The last four games between
these two have been decided by six or less, and
nine of the last twelve have been decided by a
single digit margin.
Speaker 2 (29:05):
Really, I just I'm scared of the Roosters at the moment.
I feel like they could really run up a mess
of score here. But you're right, the Bulldogs have turned
it around in the last few weeks.
Speaker 3 (29:16):
They are. They are a much better team than they
have been in the last few years. They are Okay, Matt,
Matt Burton stays in the sidet. He hasn't been pulled
into Origin eighteenth man. That's that's our boy, Mitchwinette.
Speaker 2 (29:29):
So yeah, I think Tedesco being dropped for Game two
probably cancels that out.
Speaker 1 (29:34):
But what's that paying the eight and a half?
Speaker 3 (29:38):
Donald Loe? Yeah, okay, okay, I'm trying to try to
rate it in for the pundits about the chance. Yeah,
we're sitting at sixteen dollars eleven.
Speaker 1 (29:46):
Okay, it's getting a bit expensive. It's a bit expensive.
Speaker 4 (29:49):
I'm just going to go to the I was going
to put that on I'm winning margin, so I'm just
going to put it on live as we're doing it.
Speaker 1 (29:55):
Yeah, so what have you gone me?
Speaker 3 (29:59):
No, Carl, Bulldogs plus eight and a half.
Speaker 1 (30:02):
Bulldogs eight and a half.
Speaker 2 (30:04):
Okay yeah, okay, so sixteens. That is a three way
for this week.
Speaker 1 (30:08):
It is hot and heavy. We're getting pretty adventurous.
Speaker 2 (30:12):
In our three way this weekend. It's going to be
a huge weekend of sport. I'm really looking forward to
all of the games that we're not only covering, but
all the NRL games you mentioned.
Speaker 1 (30:21):
I might even watch a game of the Euros. So
thank you very much for.
Speaker 2 (30:25):
Joining us this Friday afternoon Friday morning rather Carl, enjoy
your weekend as well, mate, and we'll see you next Friday.
Speaker 3 (30:32):
Guys.
Speaker 1 (30:33):
Thanks man. We all spent here at the ACC Sports Book,
but our friends at the TAB are good to go.
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