October 17, 2024 • 33 mins
Manaia & ACC Head G Lane are joined by Karl from the TAB pore over the weekend's odds, opportunities and omens including the Mega Millions (0:00).
Then this week's 'Grab A Pen' (26:42) and 'Stats To Impress The Ladies' (29:18).
Plus, the latest ThreeWay (31:17)...
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Life from the Export Beer Gun Studio. This is the
ACC Sports Book powered by the tab.
Speaker 2 (00:05):
ACC Sports Bort Thanks to the TAB for.
Speaker 1 (00:09):
Good morning to Lane and a very good morning via
the power of zoom to Carl from the TB.
Speaker 3 (00:14):
Has your week been, Carl?
Speaker 2 (00:15):
It's been busy boys every week. Lots on lots of
racing stuff.
Speaker 4 (00:19):
Yeah shit, Yeah, we'll touch on that a bit later
because we've got our picks for the Mega millions a
bit later. So yeah, so you can fell us in
on your week on that front.
Speaker 3 (00:29):
Yep.
Speaker 1 (00:29):
We've been training. We've been in training this week. I
think my approach to this may shock you to your core.
Speaker 3 (00:35):
Yeah. Like I said, we'll get to this very shortly.
Speaker 1 (00:38):
I guess the biggest sporting news this week or event
rather would probably be the National Provincial Championship in New Zealand.
Here the SEMIS this week, Carl. What are the punters
liking in the NPC this weekend?
Speaker 2 (00:56):
It makes me sick to my stomach. But the punters
like can this week?
Speaker 4 (01:01):
Oh but do you think that is just because they're
losing all their they're all blacks are off to the
Northern Tour, So I think I don't think it's going to.
Speaker 3 (01:10):
Be as as square as the short memories.
Speaker 1 (01:12):
Yeah, I'm looking at it now. At Canterbury's a dollar
in ninety seven. But I felt like when this opened
they were way, way, way further out than that. So
is that because everyone's loading up on them.
Speaker 2 (01:23):
Probably all the money's on Cannabary head to head Canobary
thirteen plus also getting smashed.
Speaker 3 (01:29):
Relax, people need to relax on that. What's that playing
four sixty?
Speaker 2 (01:35):
We've had a five thousand dollar bit at a two
and a half thousand dollar bet on Canterbury at a
dollar ninety seven.
Speaker 4 (01:41):
H that's in one eyes. That's in one eyes coming
in there, because this is because they plenty are playing
at home?
Speaker 3 (01:46):
Is that right?
Speaker 4 (01:47):
In Totoga?
Speaker 1 (01:49):
It's just it's just off the back of the way
they won last week. Yeah, it was just sixty two
points I think they scored and it was like stop
the fight. They should have thrown the towel into Tasman.
But yeah, you're right.
Speaker 3 (02:01):
Was that? Is that actually like bad for the NPC.
Speaker 1 (02:04):
The way they did that, just flooded the market with
all blacks, then yanked them back out again the next week.
Speaker 4 (02:10):
Yeah, it seemed a bit odd, didn't it If they're
not going to stick around till the actual and winning. Fine,
if they stuck around for the final. Yeah, but it
did seem odd that one week of playing in PC
really skew some results and then pass off.
Speaker 3 (02:22):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (02:22):
It's like when you play rugby at high school and
there's a dude in the other team who's smoking cigarettes
at halftime. He's got two kids, and you're like, really
he's a school Yeah, that's sort of what it felt like.
And then the next week you play them beginning, he's
gone and they lose. What about the Wellington way Kato
match up?
Speaker 4 (02:41):
There, Carl.
Speaker 2 (02:43):
Very even one. No one can split them, can The
book is what's the odds?
Speaker 3 (02:50):
Yeah?
Speaker 2 (02:51):
So yeah, so a lot a bit of money coming.
I guess for what I saw that two, I was eighty,
but Wellington the obvious favorites.
Speaker 3 (03:00):
Yeah, I don't know.
Speaker 4 (03:01):
I mean, I know you you back your mamouly mean,
I mean, I'm only backing the moly mean because I
got cornered by James mcconey who just told me how
how well Aaron Cruden is playing and how he controls
the game. Then the Murders will win. Yeah, that's the
that's the only bit of information that I've got to
go on, and I'm running with it.
Speaker 1 (03:19):
I can't argue against them, but I can't pick these.
I couldn't pick them last week. I was telling everyone
to just go chalk last week and then there were
massive upsets and like you say, it could be the
all b experience, or maybe it's not. That's what it's
so hard to pick this week. Any big bets on.
Speaker 2 (03:34):
The no nothing of nothing with sharing on that game.
I do just want to I know you guys talked
about it earlier in the week, but I just want
to get my knife in. Why can around your a
three way bet? Not good?
Speaker 3 (03:50):
Yeah? South Caniberry?
Speaker 1 (03:51):
Well, I had rode them to the Promised Land, they
caught me all the way back up to lane and
then in the end they got tipped up. On the weekend,
the amount of hate I received if you didn't listen
to the agenda this week.
Speaker 2 (04:03):
It was great.
Speaker 3 (04:04):
The videos.
Speaker 1 (04:05):
I mean you would have seen them on social media,
some of the videos, but I got seen a bunch
that never got posted. People just filmed them just to
send to me to tell me to go fuck myself.
The messages I got, I got voicemails. There's all sorts
of stuff, and the most confusing part is that a
lot of people from South Canbury majority of that we
have no idea who I am, what any of this
is all about. So they just see my name and
(04:26):
all this fuck South Canterbury rhetoric and they're like, what
is this guy doing?
Speaker 4 (04:31):
Yeah, yeah, you're you're legitimately defending is South Canterbury. Yeah,
but you're associated with it. So that's the first time
anyone hears about it. So I'm getting messages from people like,
what is all of this about?
Speaker 3 (04:43):
People? Tagging and stuff?
Speaker 4 (04:44):
Anyway, Christmas is going to be great for you.
Speaker 1 (04:49):
So I had to bring it up thirty nine games
on the trot five years.
Speaker 2 (04:53):
It was had to come to an anniversary too.
Speaker 1 (04:56):
On the anniversary and people were saying, oh, you've cursed it,
but I was like, how I've been on them every
week for months now and all of a sudden one
of them goes down and on the curse. I know
people are hurting, they're looking for an out, and I'm
I'm happy to do it a fucking I can help
it anyway. So yeah, so the three ways been more
difficult for me. This week because I don't have the
world to go back to.
Speaker 4 (05:17):
Yeah, it's it's semi's for Heartland as well, isn't it
because it's the Swamp Peace Grand Final? Is it the
Grand Final?
Speaker 3 (05:22):
What's the other one?
Speaker 4 (05:23):
Because he's a West Coaster playing somewhere.
Speaker 1 (05:25):
So they have the Meads Cup and the Hawk Okay,
so that's for like the sort of second division of Heartland. Yeah, basically, okay,
So it's the Swamp Peace who and we've been given
a hot tip car from one of the fans of
the Swamp Foxes, Tims Valley, saw the captain eat a
banana in two bites and he said, they're up for it.
So he said, back in the Swamp Peace by thirteen
(05:45):
plus guaranteed guaranteed.
Speaker 3 (05:48):
I feel free to feed that one back to the bookies.
Speaker 2 (05:51):
Oh yeah, I'll come up one of the dollar forty
Two'll be into a dollar ten.
Speaker 1 (05:55):
Immediately open a market on how many how many bites
it will take them eat a banana on the sideline.
All right, let's move on from the National Provincial Championship
to the National Football League over there in the States.
What are you seeing people jumping on this weekend?
Speaker 2 (06:11):
There's a game that is about to kick off in
a couple of hours. The Broncos and the Saints seventy
percent of the money, and the Broncos had to head
Courtland Sutton and Alvin Kamara are both best back when
it comes to touchdown scores, and for good reason too.
(06:34):
I think I'll wait until stats and PRESO ladies before
sharing white, but I would suggest having a look at
those guys. Someone's put a two and a half thousand
dollar bet on the over thirty seven points in that match.
Speaker 3 (06:52):
Okay, I don't know what the points.
Speaker 4 (06:55):
I don't know nothing about the game to start hunting.
To be honest, why we take Yeah, I need to
get into it. But yep, carry on the book.
Speaker 2 (07:04):
As I say, the books have opened a whole bunch
of a bunch more player props to for NFL this
week around pass attempts, rush attempts. I've lost my notes here,
but there's a heap there that just sit perfectly for
the same game multi. So if you're the same game
multi punter, which I know you too, sick are.
Speaker 3 (07:25):
Yep, have a look.
Speaker 1 (07:26):
Unfortunately we are anything else across the NFL.
Speaker 2 (07:33):
No, that was all I got was today's game.
Speaker 1 (07:35):
So the International League's just been brought to my teacher.
That actually starts tonight with Tonga taking on Australia. I
just had the Kiwis game circled for next weekend. But
Tongue are about five dollars and then.
Speaker 2 (07:50):
Yes, that seems a dollar. Fourteen to five to seventy five.
Australia are seventeen and a half point favorites, which is
in my opinion, Okay, I might share these stats early,
but Tongue won. Tong have beat Australia in twenty nineteen,
(08:11):
they lost by seventeen or eighteen points. The year prior.
Last year they taught England and they only lost their
They lost their first two tests by four and ten.
They haven't lost by more than twenty two points since
twenty sixteen. So I really struggled to see tong have
been blown out here.
Speaker 3 (08:32):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (08:32):
Plus, when you look at the teams that they named,
you would say that there was probably a little under strength,
not under strength, but there's been a lot of changes
for that Australian team. And then conversely that Tongue and
team looks powerful now.
Speaker 2 (08:45):
They stack up pretty well like the obvious mismatches the
other hookers, Harry Grant, the sevilla arvely. But yeah, almost
every other position across the field. You could sort of
flip a coin in terms of who's going to win
that battle. So game they're really looking forward to tonight.
Sixty percent of the money is on Tonga and that
heads a head result, so not great for us if
(09:07):
they win. Cam Murray, Harry Grant, Zach Lomax and the
Hammer are the best backed try scorers. I think I
saw a stat earlier. I think Cam Murray can become
the first Kangaroo to score seven and seven consecutive games.
That ye incredible. Yeah, that's that game. And then the
(09:31):
other game is Fiji Papua New Guinea which Fiji dollar
fifty New Guinea turn or sixty. Not a heap of
betting yet, but he runs coming for Fiji.
Speaker 1 (09:44):
Fiji have added a new coach. I don't know if
you guys heard this, you probably haven't kept the breast
of the Fijian Rugby League coaching squad lately. Jared Hayne
is the new one of the new coaches of the
Fijian team. Is the headline on Fox The Fijian took
on the tongue and woman in a weird opposed opposed
training session.
Speaker 2 (10:05):
All full contact and apparently the women were put on
some shots.
Speaker 4 (10:09):
Good good, because that's interesting that Fiji favorites because Papa
New Guinea. You know, they pride themselves on their league
and traditionally Fiji haven't been really that dominant or at
all in rugby league, so they wants to change. Is
apart from the sex piece coming on the squad, what's
the what's what's the difference?
Speaker 1 (10:30):
It's just a lot of really good players of Fijian
heritage that play in the NRL versus players of Papua
New Guinea heritage.
Speaker 3 (10:37):
It's not a lot of them.
Speaker 4 (10:37):
Yeah right, well there's.
Speaker 3 (10:39):
A few of them.
Speaker 2 (10:39):
But we we did our Rugby League podcast early this
week and pap New Guinea or Fiji were four and
a half point favorites. It's now sex right. We there
was five of us on the pod and we're all
over Papua New Guinea plus four and a half. But
so to get six hours wild, theres peering genuine halves.
(11:04):
I'm got the team in front of me, but it's Lochland,
lamb in Whi or labor. I think the Fijian Halves. Yep,
no good, no good. So I like, I genuinely think
P and G can win this. At two sixty, I'll
be having to go at the plus six of the
Donald ninety for sure.
Speaker 3 (11:22):
Yeah. I'm looking at the teams now.
Speaker 1 (11:23):
They've got Taruva fallback Fiji, Michael Civo on the wing,
Michael Jennings, who's all of forty eight years old, wung
of Blake, Semi Valame, Kevin Nagama, Kurt Donnie Donahue. And
then you look at the other side of your labored lamb.
To be honest, outside of that, I don't know a
whole lot of the rest of that. Reece Martin didn't
he win?
Speaker 2 (11:43):
He's Martin or something.
Speaker 3 (11:45):
And Jack Debellen is turning out for the Kummels.
Speaker 1 (11:48):
Yeah, that's wild if you can believe that. All right,
So that's the International Rugby League tonight. And then Liam
Lawson gets to start this weekend first start.
Speaker 4 (11:59):
Yeah, he's pretty much full time in that seat now
for racing balls. So he gets the last six races
of this season kicking off in Texas for the American
Grand Prix. But he's got a penalty that he's like,
I love of Ricardo's left and just left a little
bit of a turn in the seat because he's got
a there's an engine penalty or something because I've changed
(12:22):
the engine. So he's got a grid penalty first up,
so almost like a free swing for Liam Lawson. He's
name to lose. He's been given a penalty by Ricardo
from the last race, so you know he's he can
only do good but great to see him in there.
He's been on the Gender podcast. He's a good man.
He deserves a chance. He's been patiently waiting for this
(12:42):
opportunity and being been pretty humble about it, you know,
because normally those people are those type of people can
be a bit can eantsy and now they but he's
just sat there, you know, produced results, done his time
and he deserves it. Looking forward to watching him.
Speaker 3 (12:57):
So at of the punt is getting around.
Speaker 1 (12:58):
In terms of Lam Lawson, I did quickly checked to
see if he could win the whole thing that's at
five hundred and one dollars. I think the large part
of that is because it's probably been about fifteen years
since anyone was overtaken on the track in Formula one,
so he's got a long way to go. But how
do you how do you play it for the uninitiated?
How are people punting on the f one?
Speaker 2 (13:20):
I think he's in a a patriarch bunch. We'll start
with that.
Speaker 3 (13:24):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (13:25):
They obviously haven't seen the news around the grid penalty either. Yeah,
because Liam Lawson is getting smashed. He is the best
back in all of the topics finished markets, he's the
most backed for a podium finish, and he's the second
best backed behind the step and to win out rights.
Speaker 4 (13:48):
It's not going to happen. It's not going to happen,
not this season.
Speaker 2 (13:51):
No.
Speaker 3 (13:51):
But it's one of those bits.
Speaker 1 (13:52):
And I've done this with Grant not Grunt Fox, with
Ryan Fox before where it's like what if he did
and I.
Speaker 3 (13:59):
Had ten dollars on five hundred and one, not.
Speaker 1 (14:01):
Only does he win in his first start, but I
also win five grand. Oh yeah, now, yeah, that's basically
what you're saying if you're putting money on that.
Speaker 2 (14:11):
So one of the great maltis has come across my
desk this morning and it relates to Lam Lawson and
whoever this person is, there are a national treasure. We
need to get around them. Okay, Liam Lawson to win. Yeah,
straight into the Warriors to win the premiership next year.
Ten dollars on at odds of twenty thousand, five hundred
(14:32):
and forty one to one. Yes, so this ten dollars
will return just to take over two hundred and five
thousand dollars.
Speaker 1 (14:42):
I'd want more than that. I'd want more than that,
you know what I would want more. What I would
say though, is if that comes in, it comes in.
Speaker 3 (14:52):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (14:53):
But when it comes in is right at the full
time whistle of the NRL Grand Final and two hundred
thousand dollars hits your account and you're in Sydney here
at home Bush, just two hundred k burning a hole
in your pocket. You'd send Liam Lawson twenty bucks and
then just hit the ever living purse after that.
Speaker 3 (15:11):
It's just an absolute speculator.
Speaker 4 (15:14):
Yeah, yeah it is. I mean, look, he'll be doing
well to make to get in the points. I think
in the top ten. Liam Lawson, he'd be pretty stoked
with that. Yeah, you could see he was pretty stoked.
I think he came seventh or eighth in Singapore last
year and he filled in and that was almost a
victory and he didn't have a penalty on that as well.
But I think if you are a punting person, I
think the McLaren's are looking pretty good. Pstree and Norris.
(15:36):
They've been all over red Ball in the last few races,
so I think that's where you should probably put your money.
Opposed to bet.
Speaker 2 (15:44):
Two ten for both McLarens to finish on the podium.
Speaker 4 (15:47):
That's not bad, not bad. Actually, you know what that's
I'm gonna put that in my three way? Is it
too late? Have you put that on?
Speaker 3 (15:52):
H No, No, it's not too late, not too lot
at all.
Speaker 4 (15:55):
I'm gonna do that. That's it's my three way.
Speaker 3 (15:57):
But yeah, just remove that al right.
Speaker 1 (16:01):
Any other big bits sort of come across your desk
this morning?
Speaker 2 (16:04):
Cow we do. Just before we move off racing, there
was a competition a Punter of the Year last year
held at Hastings. Should have been living them all day,
but it got moved to Tarapa. But the punter of
the year when ahead personally one punt of the year
collected a ten thousand dollars bonus bet. They have put
(16:26):
that ten thousand dollars bonus bet on I am me
and the errors paying seventeen dollars.
Speaker 3 (16:34):
Did they have to did they have to use that
whole thing in one go? Is that what that?
Speaker 4 (16:38):
I am man? Okay, that's a that's gutsy because I
thought you were just going to say I wish I
win or on j mac back gone for an outsider
at seventeen, so what to return.
Speaker 2 (16:50):
Hundred and seventy?
Speaker 4 (16:53):
Well, it's a free swing, isn't it.
Speaker 2 (16:56):
I was that Hunter of the Year last year and
I was with the guy who won it last year
and he put his he cashed fifty K during Punter
of the Year and then he got his ten down
a dollar bonus bet and he put that on I
wish I went to place and when another thirty or
forty K, I felt like this guy was up and about.
Speaker 4 (17:19):
How do you win Punter of the Year? How do
you win that? What's what's what's the story behind.
Speaker 2 (17:22):
So's I can't remember what the number is, but you
get it. It's five hundred dollars entry across the day.
You've got to spend x amount on each per race
head on and then basically at the end of the day,
the person with the biggest amount of money is the winner.
Speaker 4 (17:37):
All right, And you don't have to be that. You
can do it online as well, and I think.
Speaker 2 (17:42):
You've got to do it, and that BGP are doing
King of the Punt this week. I think it was
enttained Punter of the Year last week and you had
to be on course or on course?
Speaker 3 (17:55):
Sweet?
Speaker 4 (17:55):
Okay, I'll just know thatt in my calendar for next year.
Speaker 3 (17:58):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (18:00):
Should we put a team in?
Speaker 3 (18:02):
Yeah?
Speaker 2 (18:03):
Yeah?
Speaker 4 (18:03):
Can you do it in teams? Can you?
Speaker 2 (18:05):
Yeah? Yeah?
Speaker 4 (18:05):
Oh okay, I'm all over it, brave enough to be
in our team car?
Speaker 2 (18:09):
Absolutely? Is this not what this is?
Speaker 3 (18:12):
Yeah?
Speaker 4 (18:12):
We are, Yeah, we are a team.
Speaker 3 (18:14):
That's just it. We'll be lopside we did wait, yeah,
it will be absolutely right.
Speaker 4 (18:19):
All right.
Speaker 1 (18:20):
Well then is it now time to put our training
to the test with the Everest Mega Millions car.
Speaker 2 (18:26):
Yeah, let's do it quick. Lame. Mili and I had
a crack last week at an eight horse race. Yep,
the group the group one might in power. I don't
know if you've seen the results when.
Speaker 3 (18:37):
I no, but I know I know we didn't win.
Speaker 4 (18:42):
I've given us a C plus okay, okay, that's the pass.
Speaker 2 (18:46):
Yeah we had a So I'm just going to read
the numbers. I won't Yeah, the official results six one
five four, eight, three to two seven.
Speaker 1 (18:56):
Yeah, I had I had it going different. I've got
unofficial results, but yeah, well except those.
Speaker 2 (19:01):
Our runners were one, five, two, six, eight, three, seven four.
So how many hits we had one and eight one
in five and sex and the top four which all happened. Ye,
and we had eight and three in the right spots. Okay,
We're like, we're look, this was a test run. You
(19:22):
didn't want to peak before the evers, so.
Speaker 3 (19:25):
We'll tapering, like I said, C plus plus I don't
mind it aight.
Speaker 4 (19:29):
So we obviously waited for the barrier draw to come
out car because obviously that you know we have seasoned
or not that season. We were just delaying picking our twelve.
I've gone for the We'll go through your theory first
on how you picked yours mini.
Speaker 1 (19:46):
Yes, okay, So this is my thing and what I've
learned over the last couple of weeks and actually over
the last few months of doing this podcast is if
you're not an expert in something, it often pays to
listen to the experts, people who have done the research,
people who have looked in to crunch all the numbers,
looked at form all that sort of stuff. My theory
is no one has done more research on that than
(20:07):
the tab, So I am going chalk here. I am
going by the numbers as the tab has them. When
you load the Mega Millions, the Everest Mega Millions thing
on your app, you are tasked with reordering them. It's
actually quite fun to do, just dragging them all up
and down until you've got it exactly where you want it.
(20:27):
I was looking to engage my brain not at all
during this. I had to make one decision because two
of them are on the same odds, and actually, when
I first did a dummy run of this earlier this week,
Jolie Star and I wish I win, we're tied since
the barrier draw is that I'm saying that Jolly Star,
(20:48):
Ye Jolly Stars come down by fifty cents, so clear
favorite there, which is a real what the sweat off
my brow?
Speaker 4 (20:55):
There?
Speaker 1 (20:55):
One less decision to make fourth and third and fourth
is where I've got to put my nuts on the
line because both eight dollars, we've got traffic Warden and
growing Empire. I'm going with the traffic warden to make
the top three because I have sustained two one parking violation,
one speeding ticket in the last week. So that's a
huge omen for me, both in company cars as well.
(21:19):
So that's a huge omen for me. Traffic wardens into
the top three and outside of that, I am going
as the TB have predicted it.
Speaker 3 (21:28):
That's my mega millions tip.
Speaker 2 (21:30):
Right, you wouldn't have been far off last year, because
I think there was I think I've said it. There
was only one or two kind of in that third, fourth,
fifth spot. Yeah, that weren't in the right order, and
everything else was top to bottom.
Speaker 3 (21:42):
Yeah, that's right.
Speaker 1 (21:43):
There's also a randomizer button on there if you haven't
made your picks yet, so you can hop on there
and hit the randomized button.
Speaker 3 (21:49):
That's a good way to do it.
Speaker 1 (21:50):
Keep hitting that until it looks about right to you
would be the way i'd go.
Speaker 4 (21:55):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (21:55):
I've also go back in sorry last Yeah, you can
also go back in and change your picks up until
the competition closers.
Speaker 4 (22:02):
Better kill me though, because if I change it, the
part of me is like, if I change it and
then the other one comes in, I'll never forgive myself.
So I've committed to mine. I made him use today,
and it turns out that mine's almost the same as yours, smile,
because they've shifted around and it's almost I've just done
a I've gone for chalk on the first three. I've
gone for j Mac on Jolly Starr. I've gone I
(22:22):
wish I wouldn't just to be pipped again at second
traffic warden. And then I've just kind of gone for favorites.
But then I've mixed up a few of the bottom
ones for me and just shuffled them around. I've got
no rhyme nor reason on that one. You've gone for
the chalk. I've gone for the bit of chalk and
a bit of randomness, especially with the in the around
the kind of ninth to twelfth.
Speaker 1 (22:42):
You've gone the You've gone the dead body on the sidewalk.
It's a chalk outline.
Speaker 4 (22:46):
Yeah, yeah, totally totally. But someone won this last year, Carl,
so yeah, yeah, so yeah, it's totally doable. Ten million dollars.
Also free swing and also can I yeah, free swings totally.
Speaker 1 (22:59):
It doesn't cost you, So jump on the app and
do it right now.
Speaker 4 (23:01):
And just to clarify, do you put that ten grand
in my ta B account? Sorry ten million?
Speaker 3 (23:10):
Or do you really good quiestion. I know he's asking this.
Speaker 1 (23:14):
I know's asking because if it goes into a ta
B account, it'll never come back out again.
Speaker 4 (23:19):
Also, it's like it's it's always been my slide grogging account,
my ta B It's it's partly punting and partly slide grogging,
where I can withdrawal and I can use it to
do other activities. And if ten million pops into my ta.
Speaker 3 (23:33):
B account, it's going on the next thing running.
Speaker 4 (23:36):
The half of it will, but half of it will
be my slide grogging account to the day I die,
And no one, I mean, how much prs around this?
Do you out me? If I win? This? Is it
like lot?
Speaker 3 (23:46):
Okay you specifically probably, Yeah.
Speaker 4 (23:50):
That's an issue. That's an issue.
Speaker 3 (23:51):
You'll out yourself. There'd be no way you could keep
that under under your hat.
Speaker 4 (23:55):
But yeah, and plus sorry, a video, we can do
a video. We could, Yeah, looming.
Speaker 3 (24:03):
Five of that's five of that's staying in your account.
Speaker 1 (24:06):
Five million is getting tucked unto the collar of the
next dog running.
Speaker 4 (24:11):
That's so true.
Speaker 2 (24:12):
But also I don't think it's paint into the account.
I think you'll get it process money.
Speaker 4 (24:18):
Oh shit, Okay, Well that's I've got to joint accounts.
That's that's problematic. That's not the most.
Speaker 3 (24:24):
Problematic thing about your joint account. I don't need to
go on.
Speaker 4 (24:28):
We don't need to go I've seen the screenshot on
my joint account to Joe and I last night. Anyway,
there's also though you've got the cash back on I
wish I win up to fifty dollars bonus bit back.
You put it on the win. If it doesn't win,
you get it back and bonus bits. So another free swing,
bonus cash even so another free swing, and I immediately
(24:51):
I've had a swing at it immediately when I saw that,
So get onto that as well as the Mega millions.
You be stupid not to have a go at the
Mega millions. Why wouldn't you?
Speaker 3 (25:00):
Yeah, that's right, Yeah, so exactly.
Speaker 2 (25:02):
Oh well, you know what I've got. I've got a
list here. I don't know if I want to voice
it because I actually can't enter this. So how sick
would it be if I gave my list and it
actually came in.
Speaker 4 (25:15):
Don't do it. My advice is don't do it because
to the day you die, you were like I could
have had ten million dollars.
Speaker 2 (25:21):
So I wouldn't even then, But then you know you're
an old mate who left a message last week and
I said he likes to follow me in religiously.
Speaker 3 (25:27):
Yes, maybe I could, maybe I could help him.
Speaker 4 (25:30):
Well, okay, what's what's your numbers?
Speaker 2 (25:32):
I hope he's listening, and you know, I'm happy to
give out my email address. I've gone, I wish i'd
win Jolly Star so one eight, then I'm going ten, Traffic,
Warden eleven, storm Boy four, Ballonetina nine, Growing Empire two,
(25:54):
Giga Kick seven, Sunshine and Paris six, Steffan mc neticut five,
I am Me three, Private Eye and twelve Lady of Camelot.
Speaker 4 (26:08):
Okay, so no one's giving Lady of Camelot a chance?
Are they at fifty? Once?
Speaker 1 (26:12):
Yeah, that's a camel What I love about what you've
just done there, Carl is if that does win, we're
going viral. So I'm pretty I'm pretty excited about that.
Any last thoughts tips tricks on the Mega millions?
Speaker 2 (26:30):
Uh nah, just as you said, already, have it go,
have it, have a crack.
Speaker 1 (26:36):
Alrighty, Let's take a quick breather, wipe the sweat off
our brows, and we'll come back with grab a pen
all right. Every week we have Carl putting his ear
to the train tracks at the TB telling us what
he's heard in the in the hallways there at TAB headquarters.
Speaker 3 (26:51):
Just quickly, Carl, how did we get on last week?
Speaker 2 (26:54):
Just quickly? I've been grounded for putting my ears to
the train tracks with Yeah, long time ago. But a
harness man had us a winner, chase a dream Habarna
came eighth, I am Velvet fourth, missing seventh and street
chase second. So not our best week, but we still
(27:14):
had a winner.
Speaker 3 (27:16):
And if we're going on top four's was it one?
Speaker 2 (27:19):
Three out of three out of five, three.
Speaker 3 (27:21):
Out of five?
Speaker 1 (27:21):
Yeah, yeah, not too bad. So what have you heard
this week?
Speaker 2 (27:26):
The harness man's getting cocky and he's given us. He's
given us two tips as best as at Addington tonight,
Race twelve number three bought it playing a dollar fifty five,
but he didn't want to give the dollar fifty five.
He thought that was a bit cowardly. Yeah, though in
the race prior and race eleven number seven gold bullion
(27:48):
at two dollars fifty like it, and he has has
suggested to Maulti them okay, okay, yep, three eighty seven,
you'll get those.
Speaker 3 (27:56):
I like that. I like that, and I like the
bravery too.
Speaker 2 (28:00):
Yeah, respect that nick on the line stuff. All right
to the gallops, Ellislie tomorrow, Race two number one Lanakai
three ninety and a dollar seventy five, Race six number
eight The Odyssey three ninety and a dollar sixty.
Speaker 3 (28:20):
And I'm going to put these on Instagram later on. Okay,
so yeah, he's feverorously riding them all.
Speaker 2 (28:26):
I'm living the brand. I'll I got my pin. I
got email you too, Okay, good Ranwick Race eight number
eleven Camichi five dollars and two dollars and then core
Field Race one number one, Sugar Coat three ten and
a dollar forty five and Race two number six Reserve
(28:50):
Bank three sixty and a dollar fifty.
Speaker 1 (28:53):
Okay, all right, I want to check those all on Instagram.
Although actually what I should have done is just had
you write the rest of them down, take a photo
of that and put that on.
Speaker 4 (29:02):
Instad You won't be able to read that. That's it's
in code.
Speaker 3 (29:05):
I cannot read that. Brilliant. Thank you very much for that.
Speaker 1 (29:08):
Now you've already teased us a little bit with some
of the stats.
Speaker 3 (29:11):
But now it's time to give us.
Speaker 1 (29:14):
Give it all to us in stats to impress the ladies.
Speaker 2 (29:21):
Alrighty NFL today album. Kamara has scored at least one
touchdown in each of the saints last four games following
a home loss.
Speaker 3 (29:33):
Presuming they just had one.
Speaker 2 (29:35):
Yes, I hope so I didn't check. Portland Sutton has
scored a touchdown in four of the broncos last five
October games.
Speaker 3 (29:48):
The season of seasonalsayer.
Speaker 2 (29:53):
In the A League in the Phoenix game. The under
one point five goals market has hit in six of
Wellington's last seven A League Day matches.
Speaker 1 (30:05):
Also first match of the season. Yeah, here's another hot tip.
More were in stats and presto ladies. Auckland FC only
undefeated club in the competition.
Speaker 2 (30:16):
That's very true.
Speaker 4 (30:17):
That's given me a massive soft on.
Speaker 2 (30:20):
What about this one? The underdog has won three of
Brisbane's last four A League matches. Oh yeah, AFC are
the underdogs. Okay, yeah, okay, MLB this it's not great.
So in the game happening right now the Yankees Guardians.
(30:42):
Prior to the game taking place, the Yankees had led
after three innings in each of their last four night
games against the Guardians at Progressive Field. Are they he
can tell I can tell you they were down two
now after three innings.
Speaker 3 (30:55):
Okay, No, well, I mean that one's already happened anyway.
Speaker 2 (30:58):
That's not yet in the game. Later today, the Dodgers
and the New York Mets. Dodgers have trailed after three
innings and six of their last nine playoff games as
favorites six and nine.
Speaker 3 (31:10):
Nice, that's it. Finish on that brilliant finishing sixty nine.
Speaker 1 (31:16):
I like that all right. Now it is time to
put our three way hunch together. And Lane he had
something I had but did have one.
Speaker 4 (31:27):
I was going to America's Cup and I was going
on for Tenure to win Race seven on Saturday, purely
because I think they're on a bit of a roll
the win that one. But I've changed my mind now
after our Formula One chat, because I know pstre and
Norris are going great guns. So I'm going to flip
mine and I'm going both McLaren's on the podium at
(31:48):
two ten for that US Grand Prix.
Speaker 3 (31:50):
So is it under double markets double podium finish?
Speaker 1 (31:53):
Yeh McLaren two ten yep to the bit slip ye okay.
Obviously I have been pounding South Canterbury into the core
of the earth. They lost last week. We've talked about
we don't need to go. I'm going full spipe bet.
And on top of the fact that we're hearing reports
out of the Thames Valley region that their captain eats
(32:15):
bananas and two bites, which is a huge omen, I'm
going Thames Valley minus six and a half spipe bet
against Mid Canterbury.
Speaker 3 (32:24):
It's a dollar eighty seven obviously.
Speaker 2 (32:27):
But have you seen the total points for that game. No,
it is fifty nine and a half. That's wild, Yeah
it is.
Speaker 3 (32:35):
But that's how that's how it's been gone.
Speaker 4 (32:37):
That's how heart Lane goes. You just run it from anywhere.
Speaker 2 (32:40):
Yeah, so good.
Speaker 1 (32:41):
Well, when you've got sixty four knock ons in every game,
you know it's going to be there's a lot of opportunity.
Speaker 3 (32:47):
Anyway, what have you got, carl My Chain.
Speaker 2 (32:51):
I am going to go to the Pacific Championships tonight.
Australia is Tonger and I'll take Tonger plus seventeen and
a half at a dollar ninety.
Speaker 3 (33:00):
I don't mind that.
Speaker 1 (33:00):
Yeah, it's yeah, I would even have a little sniff
at Tonga head to hea.
Speaker 4 (33:07):
Yes, what are they paying head to hit?
Speaker 3 (33:09):
Five dollars twenty something five seventy five, five to seventy five?
Speaker 4 (33:12):
And where's it been played?
Speaker 3 (33:14):
Is it not in Tonga? Over?
Speaker 4 (33:16):
And I was somewhere.
Speaker 2 (33:17):
It's in Australia somewhere. So you've got to presume hard
and fast track en forced.
Speaker 1 (33:22):
Okay, so we put one hundred dollars on that all
selections when at seven dollars forty six, that will return
six hundred and forty six. But more importantly, it will
bring me level with Lane when his cars crash, and
then I'm in there. It would also tick us over
the magical thousand dollars amount, which is when we pay
out the kiddy that we've got going. At the moment,
(33:42):
ACC Kitty is sitting at seven hundred and four dollars,
so we are sitting in prime position to tip that over.
Speaker 3 (33:49):
Enjoy your weekend, Carl, Thanks very much for joining us.
We'll see you next week. ACC Sports Book. Thanks to
the tab
Life from the Export Beer Gun Studio. This is the
ACC Sports Book powered by the tab.
Speaker 2 (00:05):
ACC Sports Bort Thanks to the TAB for.
Speaker 1 (00:09):
Good morning to Lane and a very good morning via
the power of zoom to Carl from the TB.
Speaker 3 (00:14):
Has your week been, Carl?
Speaker 2 (00:15):
It's been busy boys every week. Lots on lots of
racing stuff.
Speaker 4 (00:19):
Yeah shit, Yeah, we'll touch on that a bit later
because we've got our picks for the Mega millions a
bit later. So yeah, so you can fell us in
on your week on that front.
Speaker 3 (00:29):
Yep.
Speaker 1 (00:29):
We've been training. We've been in training this week. I
think my approach to this may shock you to your core.
Speaker 3 (00:35):
Yeah. Like I said, we'll get to this very shortly.
Speaker 1 (00:38):
I guess the biggest sporting news this week or event
rather would probably be the National Provincial Championship in New Zealand.
Here the SEMIS this week, Carl. What are the punters
liking in the NPC this weekend?
Speaker 2 (00:56):
It makes me sick to my stomach. But the punters
like can this week?
Speaker 4 (01:01):
Oh but do you think that is just because they're
losing all their they're all blacks are off to the
Northern Tour, So I think I don't think it's going to.
Speaker 3 (01:10):
Be as as square as the short memories.
Speaker 1 (01:12):
Yeah, I'm looking at it now. At Canterbury's a dollar
in ninety seven. But I felt like when this opened
they were way, way, way further out than that. So
is that because everyone's loading up on them.
Speaker 2 (01:23):
Probably all the money's on Cannabary head to head Canobary
thirteen plus also getting smashed.
Speaker 3 (01:29):
Relax, people need to relax on that. What's that playing
four sixty?
Speaker 2 (01:35):
We've had a five thousand dollar bit at a two
and a half thousand dollar bet on Canterbury at a
dollar ninety seven.
Speaker 4 (01:41):
H that's in one eyes. That's in one eyes coming
in there, because this is because they plenty are playing
at home?
Speaker 3 (01:46):
Is that right?
Speaker 4 (01:47):
In Totoga?
Speaker 1 (01:49):
It's just it's just off the back of the way
they won last week. Yeah, it was just sixty two
points I think they scored and it was like stop
the fight. They should have thrown the towel into Tasman.
But yeah, you're right.
Speaker 3 (02:01):
Was that? Is that actually like bad for the NPC.
Speaker 1 (02:04):
The way they did that, just flooded the market with
all blacks, then yanked them back out again the next week.
Speaker 4 (02:10):
Yeah, it seemed a bit odd, didn't it If they're
not going to stick around till the actual and winning. Fine,
if they stuck around for the final. Yeah, but it
did seem odd that one week of playing in PC
really skew some results and then pass off.
Speaker 3 (02:22):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (02:22):
It's like when you play rugby at high school and
there's a dude in the other team who's smoking cigarettes
at halftime. He's got two kids, and you're like, really
he's a school Yeah, that's sort of what it felt like.
And then the next week you play them beginning, he's
gone and they lose. What about the Wellington way Kato
match up?
Speaker 4 (02:41):
There, Carl.
Speaker 2 (02:43):
Very even one. No one can split them, can The
book is what's the odds?
Speaker 3 (02:50):
Yeah?
Speaker 2 (02:51):
So yeah, so a lot a bit of money coming.
I guess for what I saw that two, I was eighty,
but Wellington the obvious favorites.
Speaker 3 (03:00):
Yeah, I don't know.
Speaker 4 (03:01):
I mean, I know you you back your mamouly mean,
I mean, I'm only backing the moly mean because I
got cornered by James mcconey who just told me how
how well Aaron Cruden is playing and how he controls
the game. Then the Murders will win. Yeah, that's the
that's the only bit of information that I've got to
go on, and I'm running with it.
Speaker 1 (03:19):
I can't argue against them, but I can't pick these.
I couldn't pick them last week. I was telling everyone
to just go chalk last week and then there were
massive upsets and like you say, it could be the
all b experience, or maybe it's not. That's what it's
so hard to pick this week. Any big bets on.
Speaker 2 (03:34):
The no nothing of nothing with sharing on that game.
I do just want to I know you guys talked
about it earlier in the week, but I just want
to get my knife in. Why can around your a
three way bet? Not good?
Speaker 3 (03:50):
Yeah? South Caniberry?
Speaker 1 (03:51):
Well, I had rode them to the Promised Land, they
caught me all the way back up to lane and
then in the end they got tipped up. On the weekend,
the amount of hate I received if you didn't listen
to the agenda this week.
Speaker 2 (04:03):
It was great.
Speaker 3 (04:04):
The videos.
Speaker 1 (04:05):
I mean you would have seen them on social media,
some of the videos, but I got seen a bunch
that never got posted. People just filmed them just to
send to me to tell me to go fuck myself.
The messages I got, I got voicemails. There's all sorts
of stuff, and the most confusing part is that a
lot of people from South Canbury majority of that we
have no idea who I am, what any of this
is all about. So they just see my name and
(04:26):
all this fuck South Canterbury rhetoric and they're like, what
is this guy doing?
Speaker 4 (04:31):
Yeah, yeah, you're you're legitimately defending is South Canterbury. Yeah,
but you're associated with it. So that's the first time
anyone hears about it. So I'm getting messages from people like,
what is all of this about?
Speaker 3 (04:43):
People? Tagging and stuff?
Speaker 4 (04:44):
Anyway, Christmas is going to be great for you.
Speaker 1 (04:49):
So I had to bring it up thirty nine games
on the trot five years.
Speaker 2 (04:53):
It was had to come to an anniversary too.
Speaker 1 (04:56):
On the anniversary and people were saying, oh, you've cursed it,
but I was like, how I've been on them every
week for months now and all of a sudden one
of them goes down and on the curse. I know
people are hurting, they're looking for an out, and I'm
I'm happy to do it a fucking I can help
it anyway. So yeah, so the three ways been more
difficult for me. This week because I don't have the
world to go back to.
Speaker 4 (05:17):
Yeah, it's it's semi's for Heartland as well, isn't it
because it's the Swamp Peace Grand Final? Is it the
Grand Final?
Speaker 3 (05:22):
What's the other one?
Speaker 4 (05:23):
Because he's a West Coaster playing somewhere.
Speaker 1 (05:25):
So they have the Meads Cup and the Hawk Okay,
so that's for like the sort of second division of Heartland. Yeah, basically, okay,
So it's the Swamp Peace who and we've been given
a hot tip car from one of the fans of
the Swamp Foxes, Tims Valley, saw the captain eat a
banana in two bites and he said, they're up for it.
So he said, back in the Swamp Peace by thirteen
(05:45):
plus guaranteed guaranteed.
Speaker 3 (05:48):
I feel free to feed that one back to the bookies.
Speaker 2 (05:51):
Oh yeah, I'll come up one of the dollar forty
Two'll be into a dollar ten.
Speaker 1 (05:55):
Immediately open a market on how many how many bites
it will take them eat a banana on the sideline.
All right, let's move on from the National Provincial Championship
to the National Football League over there in the States.
What are you seeing people jumping on this weekend?
Speaker 2 (06:11):
There's a game that is about to kick off in
a couple of hours. The Broncos and the Saints seventy
percent of the money, and the Broncos had to head
Courtland Sutton and Alvin Kamara are both best back when
it comes to touchdown scores, and for good reason too.
(06:34):
I think I'll wait until stats and PRESO ladies before
sharing white, but I would suggest having a look at
those guys. Someone's put a two and a half thousand
dollar bet on the over thirty seven points in that match.
Speaker 3 (06:52):
Okay, I don't know what the points.
Speaker 4 (06:55):
I don't know nothing about the game to start hunting.
To be honest, why we take Yeah, I need to
get into it. But yep, carry on the book.
Speaker 2 (07:04):
As I say, the books have opened a whole bunch
of a bunch more player props to for NFL this
week around pass attempts, rush attempts. I've lost my notes here,
but there's a heap there that just sit perfectly for
the same game multi. So if you're the same game
multi punter, which I know you too, sick are.
Speaker 3 (07:25):
Yep, have a look.
Speaker 1 (07:26):
Unfortunately we are anything else across the NFL.
Speaker 2 (07:33):
No, that was all I got was today's game.
Speaker 1 (07:35):
So the International League's just been brought to my teacher.
That actually starts tonight with Tonga taking on Australia. I
just had the Kiwis game circled for next weekend. But
Tongue are about five dollars and then.
Speaker 2 (07:50):
Yes, that seems a dollar. Fourteen to five to seventy five.
Australia are seventeen and a half point favorites, which is
in my opinion, Okay, I might share these stats early,
but Tongue won. Tong have beat Australia in twenty nineteen,
(08:11):
they lost by seventeen or eighteen points. The year prior.
Last year they taught England and they only lost their
They lost their first two tests by four and ten.
They haven't lost by more than twenty two points since
twenty sixteen. So I really struggled to see tong have
been blown out here.
Speaker 3 (08:32):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (08:32):
Plus, when you look at the teams that they named,
you would say that there was probably a little under strength,
not under strength, but there's been a lot of changes
for that Australian team. And then conversely that Tongue and
team looks powerful now.
Speaker 2 (08:45):
They stack up pretty well like the obvious mismatches the
other hookers, Harry Grant, the sevilla arvely. But yeah, almost
every other position across the field. You could sort of
flip a coin in terms of who's going to win
that battle. So game they're really looking forward to tonight.
Sixty percent of the money is on Tonga and that
heads a head result, so not great for us if
(09:07):
they win. Cam Murray, Harry Grant, Zach Lomax and the
Hammer are the best backed try scorers. I think I
saw a stat earlier. I think Cam Murray can become
the first Kangaroo to score seven and seven consecutive games.
That ye incredible. Yeah, that's that game. And then the
(09:31):
other game is Fiji Papua New Guinea which Fiji dollar
fifty New Guinea turn or sixty. Not a heap of
betting yet, but he runs coming for Fiji.
Speaker 1 (09:44):
Fiji have added a new coach. I don't know if
you guys heard this, you probably haven't kept the breast
of the Fijian Rugby League coaching squad lately. Jared Hayne
is the new one of the new coaches of the
Fijian team. Is the headline on Fox The Fijian took
on the tongue and woman in a weird opposed opposed
training session.
Speaker 2 (10:05):
All full contact and apparently the women were put on
some shots.
Speaker 4 (10:09):
Good good, because that's interesting that Fiji favorites because Papa
New Guinea. You know, they pride themselves on their league
and traditionally Fiji haven't been really that dominant or at
all in rugby league, so they wants to change. Is
apart from the sex piece coming on the squad, what's
the what's what's the difference?
Speaker 1 (10:30):
It's just a lot of really good players of Fijian
heritage that play in the NRL versus players of Papua
New Guinea heritage.
Speaker 3 (10:37):
It's not a lot of them.
Speaker 4 (10:37):
Yeah right, well there's.
Speaker 3 (10:39):
A few of them.
Speaker 2 (10:39):
But we we did our Rugby League podcast early this
week and pap New Guinea or Fiji were four and
a half point favorites. It's now sex right. We there
was five of us on the pod and we're all
over Papua New Guinea plus four and a half. But
so to get six hours wild, theres peering genuine halves.
(11:04):
I'm got the team in front of me, but it's Lochland,
lamb in Whi or labor. I think the Fijian Halves. Yep,
no good, no good. So I like, I genuinely think
P and G can win this. At two sixty, I'll
be having to go at the plus six of the
Donald ninety for sure.
Speaker 3 (11:22):
Yeah. I'm looking at the teams now.
Speaker 1 (11:23):
They've got Taruva fallback Fiji, Michael Civo on the wing,
Michael Jennings, who's all of forty eight years old, wung
of Blake, Semi Valame, Kevin Nagama, Kurt Donnie Donahue. And
then you look at the other side of your labored lamb.
To be honest, outside of that, I don't know a
whole lot of the rest of that. Reece Martin didn't
he win?
Speaker 2 (11:43):
He's Martin or something.
Speaker 3 (11:45):
And Jack Debellen is turning out for the Kummels.
Speaker 1 (11:48):
Yeah, that's wild if you can believe that. All right,
So that's the International Rugby League tonight. And then Liam
Lawson gets to start this weekend first start.
Speaker 4 (11:59):
Yeah, he's pretty much full time in that seat now
for racing balls. So he gets the last six races
of this season kicking off in Texas for the American
Grand Prix. But he's got a penalty that he's like,
I love of Ricardo's left and just left a little
bit of a turn in the seat because he's got
a there's an engine penalty or something because I've changed
(12:22):
the engine. So he's got a grid penalty first up,
so almost like a free swing for Liam Lawson. He's
name to lose. He's been given a penalty by Ricardo
from the last race, so you know he's he can
only do good but great to see him in there.
He's been on the Gender podcast. He's a good man.
He deserves a chance. He's been patiently waiting for this
(12:42):
opportunity and being been pretty humble about it, you know,
because normally those people are those type of people can
be a bit can eantsy and now they but he's
just sat there, you know, produced results, done his time
and he deserves it. Looking forward to watching him.
Speaker 3 (12:57):
So at of the punt is getting around.
Speaker 1 (12:58):
In terms of Lam Lawson, I did quickly checked to
see if he could win the whole thing that's at
five hundred and one dollars. I think the large part
of that is because it's probably been about fifteen years
since anyone was overtaken on the track in Formula one,
so he's got a long way to go. But how
do you how do you play it for the uninitiated?
How are people punting on the f one?
Speaker 2 (13:20):
I think he's in a a patriarch bunch. We'll start
with that.
Speaker 3 (13:24):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (13:25):
They obviously haven't seen the news around the grid penalty either. Yeah,
because Liam Lawson is getting smashed. He is the best
back in all of the topics finished markets, he's the
most backed for a podium finish, and he's the second
best backed behind the step and to win out rights.
Speaker 4 (13:48):
It's not going to happen. It's not going to happen,
not this season.
Speaker 2 (13:51):
No.
Speaker 3 (13:51):
But it's one of those bits.
Speaker 1 (13:52):
And I've done this with Grant not Grunt Fox, with
Ryan Fox before where it's like what if he did
and I.
Speaker 3 (13:59):
Had ten dollars on five hundred and one, not.
Speaker 1 (14:01):
Only does he win in his first start, but I
also win five grand. Oh yeah, now, yeah, that's basically
what you're saying if you're putting money on that.
Speaker 2 (14:11):
So one of the great maltis has come across my
desk this morning and it relates to Lam Lawson and
whoever this person is, there are a national treasure. We
need to get around them. Okay, Liam Lawson to win. Yeah,
straight into the Warriors to win the premiership next year.
Ten dollars on at odds of twenty thousand, five hundred
(14:32):
and forty one to one. Yes, so this ten dollars
will return just to take over two hundred and five
thousand dollars.
Speaker 1 (14:42):
I'd want more than that. I'd want more than that,
you know what I would want more. What I would
say though, is if that comes in, it comes in.
Speaker 3 (14:52):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (14:53):
But when it comes in is right at the full
time whistle of the NRL Grand Final and two hundred
thousand dollars hits your account and you're in Sydney here
at home Bush, just two hundred k burning a hole
in your pocket. You'd send Liam Lawson twenty bucks and
then just hit the ever living purse after that.
Speaker 3 (15:11):
It's just an absolute speculator.
Speaker 4 (15:14):
Yeah, yeah it is. I mean, look, he'll be doing
well to make to get in the points. I think
in the top ten. Liam Lawson, he'd be pretty stoked
with that. Yeah, you could see he was pretty stoked.
I think he came seventh or eighth in Singapore last
year and he filled in and that was almost a
victory and he didn't have a penalty on that as well.
But I think if you are a punting person, I
think the McLaren's are looking pretty good. Pstree and Norris.
(15:36):
They've been all over red Ball in the last few races,
so I think that's where you should probably put your money.
Opposed to bet.
Speaker 2 (15:44):
Two ten for both McLarens to finish on the podium.
Speaker 4 (15:47):
That's not bad, not bad. Actually, you know what that's
I'm gonna put that in my three way? Is it
too late? Have you put that on?
Speaker 3 (15:52):
H No, No, it's not too late, not too lot
at all.
Speaker 4 (15:55):
I'm gonna do that. That's it's my three way.
Speaker 3 (15:57):
But yeah, just remove that al right.
Speaker 1 (16:01):
Any other big bits sort of come across your desk
this morning?
Speaker 2 (16:04):
Cow we do. Just before we move off racing, there
was a competition a Punter of the Year last year
held at Hastings. Should have been living them all day,
but it got moved to Tarapa. But the punter of
the year when ahead personally one punt of the year
collected a ten thousand dollars bonus bet. They have put
(16:26):
that ten thousand dollars bonus bet on I am me
and the errors paying seventeen dollars.
Speaker 3 (16:34):
Did they have to did they have to use that
whole thing in one go? Is that what that?
Speaker 4 (16:38):
I am man? Okay, that's a that's gutsy because I
thought you were just going to say I wish I
win or on j mac back gone for an outsider
at seventeen, so what to return.
Speaker 2 (16:50):
Hundred and seventy?
Speaker 4 (16:53):
Well, it's a free swing, isn't it.
Speaker 2 (16:56):
I was that Hunter of the Year last year and
I was with the guy who won it last year
and he put his he cashed fifty K during Punter
of the Year and then he got his ten down
a dollar bonus bet and he put that on I
wish I went to place and when another thirty or
forty K, I felt like this guy was up and about.
Speaker 4 (17:19):
How do you win Punter of the Year? How do
you win that? What's what's what's the story behind.
Speaker 2 (17:22):
So's I can't remember what the number is, but you
get it. It's five hundred dollars entry across the day.
You've got to spend x amount on each per race
head on and then basically at the end of the day,
the person with the biggest amount of money is the winner.
Speaker 4 (17:37):
All right, And you don't have to be that. You
can do it online as well, and I think.
Speaker 2 (17:42):
You've got to do it, and that BGP are doing
King of the Punt this week. I think it was
enttained Punter of the Year last week and you had
to be on course or on course?
Speaker 3 (17:55):
Sweet?
Speaker 4 (17:55):
Okay, I'll just know thatt in my calendar for next year.
Speaker 3 (17:58):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (18:00):
Should we put a team in?
Speaker 3 (18:02):
Yeah?
Speaker 2 (18:03):
Yeah?
Speaker 4 (18:03):
Can you do it in teams? Can you?
Speaker 2 (18:05):
Yeah? Yeah?
Speaker 4 (18:05):
Oh okay, I'm all over it, brave enough to be
in our team car?
Speaker 2 (18:09):
Absolutely? Is this not what this is?
Speaker 3 (18:12):
Yeah?
Speaker 4 (18:12):
We are, Yeah, we are a team.
Speaker 3 (18:14):
That's just it. We'll be lopside we did wait, yeah,
it will be absolutely right.
Speaker 4 (18:19):
All right.
Speaker 1 (18:20):
Well then is it now time to put our training
to the test with the Everest Mega Millions car.
Speaker 2 (18:26):
Yeah, let's do it quick. Lame. Mili and I had
a crack last week at an eight horse race. Yep,
the group the group one might in power. I don't
know if you've seen the results when.
Speaker 3 (18:37):
I no, but I know I know we didn't win.
Speaker 4 (18:42):
I've given us a C plus okay, okay, that's the pass.
Speaker 2 (18:46):
Yeah we had a So I'm just going to read
the numbers. I won't Yeah, the official results six one
five four, eight, three to two seven.
Speaker 1 (18:56):
Yeah, I had I had it going different. I've got
unofficial results, but yeah, well except those.
Speaker 2 (19:01):
Our runners were one, five, two, six, eight, three, seven four.
So how many hits we had one and eight one
in five and sex and the top four which all happened. Ye,
and we had eight and three in the right spots. Okay,
We're like, we're look, this was a test run. You
(19:22):
didn't want to peak before the evers, so.
Speaker 3 (19:25):
We'll tapering, like I said, C plus plus I don't
mind it aight.
Speaker 4 (19:29):
So we obviously waited for the barrier draw to come
out car because obviously that you know we have seasoned
or not that season. We were just delaying picking our twelve.
I've gone for the We'll go through your theory first
on how you picked yours mini.
Speaker 1 (19:46):
Yes, okay, So this is my thing and what I've
learned over the last couple of weeks and actually over
the last few months of doing this podcast is if
you're not an expert in something, it often pays to
listen to the experts, people who have done the research,
people who have looked in to crunch all the numbers,
looked at form all that sort of stuff. My theory
is no one has done more research on that than
(20:07):
the tab, So I am going chalk here. I am
going by the numbers as the tab has them. When
you load the Mega Millions, the Everest Mega Millions thing
on your app, you are tasked with reordering them. It's
actually quite fun to do, just dragging them all up
and down until you've got it exactly where you want it.
(20:27):
I was looking to engage my brain not at all
during this. I had to make one decision because two
of them are on the same odds, and actually, when
I first did a dummy run of this earlier this week,
Jolie Star and I wish I win, we're tied since
the barrier draw is that I'm saying that Jolly Star,
(20:48):
Ye Jolly Stars come down by fifty cents, so clear
favorite there, which is a real what the sweat off
my brow?
Speaker 4 (20:55):
There?
Speaker 1 (20:55):
One less decision to make fourth and third and fourth
is where I've got to put my nuts on the
line because both eight dollars, we've got traffic Warden and
growing Empire. I'm going with the traffic warden to make
the top three because I have sustained two one parking violation,
one speeding ticket in the last week. So that's a
huge omen for me, both in company cars as well.
(21:19):
So that's a huge omen for me. Traffic wardens into
the top three and outside of that, I am going
as the TB have predicted it.
Speaker 3 (21:28):
That's my mega millions tip.
Speaker 2 (21:30):
Right, you wouldn't have been far off last year, because
I think there was I think I've said it. There
was only one or two kind of in that third, fourth,
fifth spot. Yeah, that weren't in the right order, and
everything else was top to bottom.
Speaker 3 (21:42):
Yeah, that's right.
Speaker 1 (21:43):
There's also a randomizer button on there if you haven't
made your picks yet, so you can hop on there
and hit the randomized button.
Speaker 3 (21:49):
That's a good way to do it.
Speaker 1 (21:50):
Keep hitting that until it looks about right to you
would be the way i'd go.
Speaker 4 (21:55):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (21:55):
I've also go back in sorry last Yeah, you can
also go back in and change your picks up until
the competition closers.
Speaker 4 (22:02):
Better kill me though, because if I change it, the
part of me is like, if I change it and
then the other one comes in, I'll never forgive myself.
So I've committed to mine. I made him use today,
and it turns out that mine's almost the same as yours, smile,
because they've shifted around and it's almost I've just done
a I've gone for chalk on the first three. I've
gone for j Mac on Jolly Starr. I've gone I
(22:22):
wish I wouldn't just to be pipped again at second
traffic warden. And then I've just kind of gone for favorites.
But then I've mixed up a few of the bottom
ones for me and just shuffled them around. I've got
no rhyme nor reason on that one. You've gone for
the chalk. I've gone for the bit of chalk and
a bit of randomness, especially with the in the around
the kind of ninth to twelfth.
Speaker 1 (22:42):
You've gone the You've gone the dead body on the sidewalk.
It's a chalk outline.
Speaker 4 (22:46):
Yeah, yeah, totally totally. But someone won this last year, Carl,
so yeah, yeah, so yeah, it's totally doable. Ten million dollars.
Also free swing and also can I yeah, free swings totally.
Speaker 1 (22:59):
It doesn't cost you, So jump on the app and
do it right now.
Speaker 4 (23:01):
And just to clarify, do you put that ten grand
in my ta B account? Sorry ten million?
Speaker 3 (23:10):
Or do you really good quiestion. I know he's asking this.
Speaker 1 (23:14):
I know's asking because if it goes into a ta
B account, it'll never come back out again.
Speaker 4 (23:19):
Also, it's like it's it's always been my slide grogging account,
my ta B It's it's partly punting and partly slide grogging,
where I can withdrawal and I can use it to
do other activities. And if ten million pops into my ta.
Speaker 3 (23:33):
B account, it's going on the next thing running.
Speaker 4 (23:36):
The half of it will, but half of it will
be my slide grogging account to the day I die,
And no one, I mean, how much prs around this?
Do you out me? If I win? This? Is it
like lot?
Speaker 3 (23:46):
Okay you specifically probably, Yeah.
Speaker 4 (23:50):
That's an issue. That's an issue.
Speaker 3 (23:51):
You'll out yourself. There'd be no way you could keep
that under under your hat.
Speaker 4 (23:55):
But yeah, and plus sorry, a video, we can do
a video. We could, Yeah, looming.
Speaker 3 (24:03):
Five of that's five of that's staying in your account.
Speaker 1 (24:06):
Five million is getting tucked unto the collar of the
next dog running.
Speaker 4 (24:11):
That's so true.
Speaker 2 (24:12):
But also I don't think it's paint into the account.
I think you'll get it process money.
Speaker 4 (24:18):
Oh shit, Okay, Well that's I've got to joint accounts.
That's that's problematic. That's not the most.
Speaker 3 (24:24):
Problematic thing about your joint account. I don't need to
go on.
Speaker 4 (24:28):
We don't need to go I've seen the screenshot on
my joint account to Joe and I last night. Anyway,
there's also though you've got the cash back on I
wish I win up to fifty dollars bonus bit back.
You put it on the win. If it doesn't win,
you get it back and bonus bits. So another free swing,
bonus cash even so another free swing, and I immediately
(24:51):
I've had a swing at it immediately when I saw that,
So get onto that as well as the Mega millions.
You be stupid not to have a go at the
Mega millions. Why wouldn't you?
Speaker 3 (25:00):
Yeah, that's right, Yeah, so exactly.
Speaker 2 (25:02):
Oh well, you know what I've got. I've got a
list here. I don't know if I want to voice
it because I actually can't enter this. So how sick
would it be if I gave my list and it
actually came in.
Speaker 4 (25:15):
Don't do it. My advice is don't do it because
to the day you die, you were like I could
have had ten million dollars.
Speaker 2 (25:21):
So I wouldn't even then, But then you know you're
an old mate who left a message last week and
I said he likes to follow me in religiously.
Speaker 3 (25:27):
Yes, maybe I could, maybe I could help him.
Speaker 4 (25:30):
Well, okay, what's what's your numbers?
Speaker 2 (25:32):
I hope he's listening, and you know, I'm happy to
give out my email address. I've gone, I wish i'd
win Jolly Star so one eight, then I'm going ten, Traffic,
Warden eleven, storm Boy four, Ballonetina nine, Growing Empire two,
(25:54):
Giga Kick seven, Sunshine and Paris six, Steffan mc neticut five,
I am Me three, Private Eye and twelve Lady of Camelot.
Speaker 4 (26:08):
Okay, so no one's giving Lady of Camelot a chance?
Are they at fifty? Once?
Speaker 1 (26:12):
Yeah, that's a camel What I love about what you've
just done there, Carl is if that does win, we're
going viral. So I'm pretty I'm pretty excited about that.
Any last thoughts tips tricks on the Mega millions?
Speaker 2 (26:30):
Uh nah, just as you said, already, have it go,
have it, have a crack.
Speaker 1 (26:36):
Alrighty, Let's take a quick breather, wipe the sweat off
our brows, and we'll come back with grab a pen
all right. Every week we have Carl putting his ear
to the train tracks at the TB telling us what
he's heard in the in the hallways there at TAB headquarters.
Speaker 3 (26:51):
Just quickly, Carl, how did we get on last week?
Speaker 2 (26:54):
Just quickly? I've been grounded for putting my ears to
the train tracks with Yeah, long time ago. But a
harness man had us a winner, chase a dream Habarna
came eighth, I am Velvet fourth, missing seventh and street
chase second. So not our best week, but we still
(27:14):
had a winner.
Speaker 3 (27:16):
And if we're going on top four's was it one?
Speaker 2 (27:19):
Three out of three out of five, three.
Speaker 3 (27:21):
Out of five?
Speaker 1 (27:21):
Yeah, yeah, not too bad. So what have you heard
this week?
Speaker 2 (27:26):
The harness man's getting cocky and he's given us. He's
given us two tips as best as at Addington tonight,
Race twelve number three bought it playing a dollar fifty five,
but he didn't want to give the dollar fifty five.
He thought that was a bit cowardly. Yeah, though in
the race prior and race eleven number seven gold bullion
(27:48):
at two dollars fifty like it, and he has has
suggested to Maulti them okay, okay, yep, three eighty seven,
you'll get those.
Speaker 3 (27:56):
I like that. I like that, and I like the
bravery too.
Speaker 2 (28:00):
Yeah, respect that nick on the line stuff. All right
to the gallops, Ellislie tomorrow, Race two number one Lanakai
three ninety and a dollar seventy five, Race six number
eight The Odyssey three ninety and a dollar sixty.
Speaker 3 (28:20):
And I'm going to put these on Instagram later on. Okay,
so yeah, he's feverorously riding them all.
Speaker 2 (28:26):
I'm living the brand. I'll I got my pin. I
got email you too, Okay, good Ranwick Race eight number
eleven Camichi five dollars and two dollars and then core
Field Race one number one, Sugar Coat three ten and
a dollar forty five and Race two number six Reserve
(28:50):
Bank three sixty and a dollar fifty.
Speaker 1 (28:53):
Okay, all right, I want to check those all on Instagram.
Although actually what I should have done is just had
you write the rest of them down, take a photo
of that and put that on.
Speaker 4 (29:02):
Instad You won't be able to read that. That's it's
in code.
Speaker 3 (29:05):
I cannot read that. Brilliant. Thank you very much for that.
Speaker 1 (29:08):
Now you've already teased us a little bit with some
of the stats.
Speaker 3 (29:11):
But now it's time to give us.
Speaker 1 (29:14):
Give it all to us in stats to impress the ladies.
Speaker 2 (29:21):
Alrighty NFL today album. Kamara has scored at least one
touchdown in each of the saints last four games following
a home loss.
Speaker 3 (29:33):
Presuming they just had one.
Speaker 2 (29:35):
Yes, I hope so I didn't check. Portland Sutton has
scored a touchdown in four of the broncos last five
October games.
Speaker 3 (29:48):
The season of seasonalsayer.
Speaker 2 (29:53):
In the A League in the Phoenix game. The under
one point five goals market has hit in six of
Wellington's last seven A League Day matches.
Speaker 1 (30:05):
Also first match of the season. Yeah, here's another hot tip.
More were in stats and presto ladies. Auckland FC only
undefeated club in the competition.
Speaker 2 (30:16):
That's very true.
Speaker 4 (30:17):
That's given me a massive soft on.
Speaker 2 (30:20):
What about this one? The underdog has won three of
Brisbane's last four A League matches. Oh yeah, AFC are
the underdogs. Okay, yeah, okay, MLB this it's not great.
So in the game happening right now the Yankees Guardians.
(30:42):
Prior to the game taking place, the Yankees had led
after three innings in each of their last four night
games against the Guardians at Progressive Field. Are they he
can tell I can tell you they were down two
now after three innings.
Speaker 3 (30:55):
Okay, No, well, I mean that one's already happened anyway.
Speaker 2 (30:58):
That's not yet in the game. Later today, the Dodgers
and the New York Mets. Dodgers have trailed after three
innings and six of their last nine playoff games as
favorites six and nine.
Speaker 3 (31:10):
Nice, that's it. Finish on that brilliant finishing sixty nine.
Speaker 1 (31:16):
I like that all right. Now it is time to
put our three way hunch together. And Lane he had
something I had but did have one.
Speaker 4 (31:27):
I was going to America's Cup and I was going
on for Tenure to win Race seven on Saturday, purely
because I think they're on a bit of a roll
the win that one. But I've changed my mind now
after our Formula One chat, because I know pstre and
Norris are going great guns. So I'm going to flip
mine and I'm going both McLaren's on the podium at
(31:48):
two ten for that US Grand Prix.
Speaker 3 (31:50):
So is it under double markets double podium finish?
Speaker 1 (31:53):
Yeh McLaren two ten yep to the bit slip ye okay.
Obviously I have been pounding South Canterbury into the core
of the earth. They lost last week. We've talked about
we don't need to go. I'm going full spipe bet.
And on top of the fact that we're hearing reports
out of the Thames Valley region that their captain eats
(32:15):
bananas and two bites, which is a huge omen, I'm
going Thames Valley minus six and a half spipe bet
against Mid Canterbury.
Speaker 3 (32:24):
It's a dollar eighty seven obviously.
Speaker 2 (32:27):
But have you seen the total points for that game. No,
it is fifty nine and a half. That's wild, Yeah
it is.
Speaker 3 (32:35):
But that's how that's how it's been gone.
Speaker 4 (32:37):
That's how heart Lane goes. You just run it from anywhere.
Speaker 2 (32:40):
Yeah, so good.
Speaker 1 (32:41):
Well, when you've got sixty four knock ons in every game,
you know it's going to be there's a lot of opportunity.
Speaker 3 (32:47):
Anyway, what have you got, carl My Chain.
Speaker 2 (32:51):
I am going to go to the Pacific Championships tonight.
Australia is Tonger and I'll take Tonger plus seventeen and
a half at a dollar ninety.
Speaker 3 (33:00):
I don't mind that.
Speaker 1 (33:00):
Yeah, it's yeah, I would even have a little sniff
at Tonga head to hea.
Speaker 4 (33:07):
Yes, what are they paying head to hit?
Speaker 3 (33:09):
Five dollars twenty something five seventy five, five to seventy five?
Speaker 4 (33:12):
And where's it been played?
Speaker 3 (33:14):
Is it not in Tonga? Over?
Speaker 4 (33:16):
And I was somewhere.
Speaker 2 (33:17):
It's in Australia somewhere. So you've got to presume hard
and fast track en forced.
Speaker 1 (33:22):
Okay, so we put one hundred dollars on that all
selections when at seven dollars forty six, that will return
six hundred and forty six. But more importantly, it will
bring me level with Lane when his cars crash, and
then I'm in there. It would also tick us over
the magical thousand dollars amount, which is when we pay
out the kiddy that we've got going. At the moment,
(33:42):
ACC Kitty is sitting at seven hundred and four dollars,
so we are sitting in prime position to tip that over.
Speaker 3 (33:49):
Enjoy your weekend, Carl, Thanks very much for joining us.
We'll see you next week. ACC Sports Book. Thanks to
the tab
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