June 4, 2026 • 4 mins
We are a nation of haves and have-nots when it comes to rain. And temperatures are set to drop this weekend. So says Earth Sciences NZ’s "Friday Weatherman".
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Weather on the country with Fiji, where happiness comes naturally. Okay,
let's rip straight into it. He's our favorite with a
man on a Friday. Chris Brandolino from Earth Sciences, New Zealand.
I know that parts of the country, like the Nelson
Golden Bay sort of area, they got far too much rain.
In Marlborough got plenty as well, but that you go
down the road away, but so Canterbury. We're talking to
(00:23):
stulo three or four mills for the month of May,
one million in christ Church and dry on other parts
of the North Island as well.
Speaker 2 (00:31):
Yeah, that's right. We are going to get a good
drop rain for this afternoon in this evening across this
time much of the North Island, so areas in the
North Island will see pretty active weather. In fact, you
may have heard about the very vivid lightning and thunderstorms
that impacted areas across the south coast of Wellington and
the top of the South Island. That same weather system
(00:53):
is going to be moving north, so expect this afternoon
in this evening, heads up, farmers downpource thunderstorms across the Waycotta.
In fact, our friends at Met Service have a severe
thunderstorm watching effect between three and eight o'clock this evening,
I believe for Northland, Auckland and much of the Waikatos,
so there's gonna be some locally heavy rank could be
a tornado or two, so that'll move on through now.
(01:14):
I know Hawks Bay could use the rain, Gosh Dart
if they're not gonna get enough, they're gonna get maybe
a little bit, but much of central and southern Hawks
Paye Jamie could be spectators on this one. Good puff
of cool air comes in for the weekend. Looks like
we'll find a big sharp dropped in temperatures with the
southerly but probably gonna be short lived because we'll find
temperatures rebounding once again middle part of next week into
(01:39):
the weekend. It looks like after this rain Jamie, we're
gonna be settling into more of a dry weather pattern,
and unfortunately that's the concern as we move forward. Our
winter outlook has been released and we sort of hinted
at this last week dryness. We are concerned for dryness,
so the northern and eastern part of the North Island
that's the greatest risk for dryness for the North Island
(02:00):
as well. As the eastern part of the South Island
where they really could use the rain, that is a concern.
We could see a dry winter or drier than usual
winter anyway, What about.
Speaker 1 (02:10):
The areas that got white too much? Rine are the
biblical numbers on the west coast and sort of Nelson region.
Speaker 2 (02:17):
Yeah, so look the top of the good question, top
of the South Island. So these weather events we saw
over the weekend and early in the week King's weekend
where we had these lows to our west dragging tropical
moisture down right, that's going away. So with El Nino,
and that's going to be likely a strong or very
strong and so called super al Llino. With El Nino
literally on the cusps of forming, those sorts of air
(02:38):
flows are going to go away. So the areas that
have seen over the past year roughly, that have seen
going back to last winter, have seen these bigger rainfall events,
Upper North Island, Upper South Island, those same areas are
going to be trending dryer. So I don't expect to
see many more of these big rainfall events where air
comes to the North. I'm not saying that don't happen
at all, but I guess the odds to be much lower.
(03:01):
It's the west of the South Island, Jamie over toward Fjordland, Southland,
Interior Otago. You're going to see after a relatively dry
and warm June, as we get into later in July
and August, that al Lenia type west to southwest wind
becomes more persistent, our rainfall picks up, elevation snow and
I think it's the second half of winter where the
(03:21):
rainfall really increases. But it's going to be the western
and southwest part of the South Island. I think many
other areas, including the top of the South Island, run
that dry risk concern and unfortunately that may continue into spring.
And when we have consecutive months of dry weather that's
when things really get in early. So make a plan farmers,
if you get dry, think about when it's happened in
(03:43):
previous years when you've gotten really dry, and think about
a plan.
Speaker 1 (03:47):
Hear, yeah, you know. I just I've got a question
I want to teensick and answer. Can I wear my
dress R. M. Williams boats to field days and not
get money? Or do I need to wear the old ones.
Speaker 2 (03:58):
For field days? That's next week, right, Yeah?
Speaker 1 (04:00):
Yah, Hamilton, you can do this, Chris.
Speaker 2 (04:03):
Yeah, look be quite. You don't need the heavy duty ones.
Speaker 1 (04:06):
Okay, I'll wear the new ones. Thank you.
Speaker 2 (04:08):
We have new one.
Speaker 1 (04:09):
Hope that hopefully they don't get muddy. Only place you
get muddy boots is in the car parket Field days
Weather on the country with Fiji, where happiness comes naturally. Okay,
let's rip straight into it. He's our favorite with a
man on a Friday. Chris Brandolino from Earth Sciences, New Zealand.
I know that parts of the country, like the Nelson
Golden Bay sort of area, they got far too much rain.
In Marlborough got plenty as well, but that you go
down the road away, but so Canterbury. We're talking to
(00:23):
stulo three or four mills for the month of May,
one million in christ Church and dry on other parts
of the North Island as well.
Speaker 2 (00:31):
Yeah, that's right. We are going to get a good
drop rain for this afternoon in this evening across this
time much of the North Island, so areas in the
North Island will see pretty active weather. In fact, you
may have heard about the very vivid lightning and thunderstorms
that impacted areas across the south coast of Wellington and
the top of the South Island. That same weather system
(00:53):
is going to be moving north, so expect this afternoon
in this evening, heads up, farmers downpource thunderstorms across the Waycotta.
In fact, our friends at Met Service have a severe
thunderstorm watching effect between three and eight o'clock this evening,
I believe for Northland, Auckland and much of the Waikatos,
so there's gonna be some locally heavy rank could be
a tornado or two, so that'll move on through now.
(01:14):
I know Hawks Bay could use the rain, Gosh Dart
if they're not gonna get enough, they're gonna get maybe
a little bit, but much of central and southern Hawks
Paye Jamie could be spectators on this one. Good puff
of cool air comes in for the weekend. Looks like
we'll find a big sharp dropped in temperatures with the
southerly but probably gonna be short lived because we'll find
temperatures rebounding once again middle part of next week into
(01:39):
the weekend. It looks like after this rain Jamie, we're
gonna be settling into more of a dry weather pattern,
and unfortunately that's the concern as we move forward. Our
winter outlook has been released and we sort of hinted
at this last week dryness. We are concerned for dryness,
so the northern and eastern part of the North Island
that's the greatest risk for dryness for the North Island
(02:00):
as well. As the eastern part of the South Island
where they really could use the rain, that is a concern.
We could see a dry winter or drier than usual
winter anyway, What about.
Speaker 1 (02:10):
The areas that got white too much? Rine are the
biblical numbers on the west coast and sort of Nelson region.
Speaker 2 (02:17):
Yeah, so look the top of the good question, top
of the South Island. So these weather events we saw
over the weekend and early in the week King's weekend
where we had these lows to our west dragging tropical
moisture down right, that's going away. So with El Nino,
and that's going to be likely a strong or very
strong and so called super al Llino. With El Nino
literally on the cusps of forming, those sorts of air
(02:38):
flows are going to go away. So the areas that
have seen over the past year roughly, that have seen
going back to last winter, have seen these bigger rainfall events,
Upper North Island, Upper South Island, those same areas are
going to be trending dryer. So I don't expect to
see many more of these big rainfall events where air
comes to the North. I'm not saying that don't happen
at all, but I guess the odds to be much lower.
(03:01):
It's the west of the South Island, Jamie over toward Fjordland, Southland,
Interior Otago. You're going to see after a relatively dry
and warm June, as we get into later in July
and August, that al Lenia type west to southwest wind
becomes more persistent, our rainfall picks up, elevation snow and
I think it's the second half of winter where the
(03:21):
rainfall really increases. But it's going to be the western
and southwest part of the South Island. I think many
other areas, including the top of the South Island, run
that dry risk concern and unfortunately that may continue into spring.
And when we have consecutive months of dry weather that's
when things really get in early. So make a plan farmers,
if you get dry, think about when it's happened in
(03:43):
previous years when you've gotten really dry, and think about
a plan.
Speaker 1 (03:47):
Hear, yeah, you know. I just I've got a question
I want to teensick and answer. Can I wear my
dress R. M. Williams boats to field days and not
get money? Or do I need to wear the old ones.
Speaker 2 (03:58):
For field days? That's next week, right, Yeah?
Speaker 1 (04:00):
Yah, Hamilton, you can do this, Chris.
Speaker 2 (04:03):
Yeah, look be quite. You don't need the heavy duty ones.
Speaker 1 (04:06):
Okay, I'll wear the new ones. Thank you.
Speaker 2 (04:08):
We have new one.
Speaker 1 (04:09):
Hope that hopefully they don't get muddy. Only place you
get muddy boots is in the car parket Field days
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