The Country 12/02/26: Chris Brandolino talks to Jamie Mackay

Don’t blame it on the weatherman! Our man from Earth Sciences NZ warns of another potential serious rain event.

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Messy, Jim, I'll blame it on the weather then, well,
I'm not blaming it on the weather man, Chris.

Speaker 2 (00:11):
We're playing this music today because apparently it's from an
American teen drama called Dawson's Creek, which I've never ever
watched in my life. Did you ever watch Dawson's Creek?

Speaker 3 (00:23):
No? No, I did not, but I know, you know,
my twenties back in the in the mid to late nineties,
so that was a really popular show. But look, I
did morning television in the nineties and two thousands and
two thousand ninths, so I was getting up that one
two o'clock in the morning, which meant I was going
to bed at probably six in the evening. Yeah, I

(00:43):
missed out.

Speaker 2 (00:44):
Okay, Now, look, I was going to ask you for
a forecast for National Lambdown Sunday. But more importantly, as
I look at the Newer or Earth Sciences New Zealand
Drought Indix map, there's a wee shade of yellow at
the very top of Northland. But other than that, the
countries are looking pretty damn good. But what we are,
all right, or you're concerned a way bit about is

(01:06):
another rainfall event for the east coast of the North Island.

Speaker 3 (01:10):
Yeah, look, unfortunately, we do have to consider the potential
for some pretty heavy rain this weekend for the North Island,
and some of that quite frankly, may sneak into the
upper and eastern part of the South Island as we
get into maybe say Sunday night into Monday. But before that, yeah,
what looks like tomorrow there'll be some showers and thunderstorms

(01:33):
for those in the much of the North Island, So
from Wellington all the way up into the the Manawatu,
the Waikato North, it all going to be some showers
and thunderstorms around tomorrow. Then what's going to happen, Jamie.
We're going to see this kind of two separate weather
systems team up, and it's how those two weather systems
interact that will really determine what happens in terms of

(01:55):
a rain. One will be coming from the north, another
will be zipping east from the southern Tasman Sea, and
the two will sort of connect and form this pretty
strong low that'll take shape off the eastern part of
the North Island. And how that moves and how that behaves,
as I said, that will ultimately determine how much rainfalls

(02:17):
and where. But the indications are I guess for those
who have interests in places like Tadaphidi, Gisbin over toward
even parts of Hawk's Bay, Gosh, even wider Rappa into Wellington.
Once again, there could be another round of very heavy
rain which may cause some chance for things like flooding
and landslips. Look, there's a lot of uncertainty, so I

(02:38):
do want to emphasize that, Jamie. It's uh, the how
those two weather systems interact is creating the uncertainty, and
that means it's unclear as to you know, when where
the heaviest rain falls. Does it stay offshore? That would
be great, but that's just something we'll have to we'll
have to wait and see. But yeah, just a heads up.
That would be basically later on Saturday, but especially Sunday

(03:00):
and then to Monday. But for the rest of the country,
I do think the weekend's looking favorable. We'll get some
gusty wind. Would that low, Jamie, It's gonna be some
really strong wind for the lower and eastern North Island
Sunday and to Monday, and then as we look ahead,
I guess farther afield into next week. Kind of a
cooler weather pattern next week. As cooler air does come in,

(03:21):
it looks like we'll find temperatures moderating, perhaps by say
this time next week or maybe the following weekend.

Speaker 2 (03:28):
Okay, Chris Brand Delena there, and remember don't blame it
on the way the man, don't shoot the messinger. Thanks
for your.

Speaker 3 (03:32):
Time, Yeah, please don't thank you.

Speaker 2 (03:35):
Yeah, Chris Brain Delena from Earth Science is New Zealand.