The Country 14/09/26: Phil Duncan talks to Jamie Mackay

Monday’s resident weather expert says we can expect a settled start to the work week before a cold front moves up the country from Tuesday, bringing wet and windy weather. Snow is on the way for the South Island’s high country, with significant amounts possible on Thursday.

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:01):
Weather on the country with Halo Systems.

Speaker 2 (00:03):
Monitor, manage, maximise farm performance.

Speaker 1 (00:07):
It is six away from one. Phil Duncan from Weather Watch,
favourite weatherman on a Monday on the country. Hey Phil,
I was in Southland over the weekend. It's miserable down there.
They're going to get a couple of decent days and
then there's some more crap coming and the areas that
are supposed to be dry are doing quite nicely thanks.
Good afternoon. Good afternoon.

Speaker 2 (00:26):
Yeah, good afternoon. Yeah, Southland's certainly having a wet, a
pretty wet time at the moment and more wet weather
this week, 30 to 60 millimetres on the way for
the next eight, nine days. And there's a significant cold
change coming for Southland and actually for a number of
other regions later on Wednesday. So, you know, the overnight
low is two degrees in northern Southland, which is a

(00:50):
sign of that's with some wet weather around, which means
there'll be maybe some snow. Back on the rest of
the country, though, it is on the edge of high
pressure this week. There's a really big high in the
Tasman Sea that's just going to encourage warmer west to
northwest winds. That cold change comes through later in the week,
and then we get a low pressure zone that spins

(01:12):
up around the upper North Island around about Friday. So
there is rain falling in places where typically with El Nino,
you don't normally expect it. But I think the drying
out phase is is going to move in a little
faster over the next month.

Speaker 1 (01:24):
Mind you, if we're getting the moisture now, it does
set up for a bit later. If it does get dry,
is there anywhere in the country at all that's dry?

Speaker 2 (01:32):
I wouldn't say there's anywhere that's really dry, but the
eastern side of Northland, eastern part of Waikato, all of
Bay of Plenty, those areas are leaning a little bit drier.
There will be some rain coming this week, but I
think after that there could be a drier trend, especially
if these warm westerlies keep blowing, you know, things can
dry up very quickly.

Speaker 1 (01:52):
Yeah, OK. So this El Nino, we've all been warned
about it. When will it show its face?

Speaker 2 (01:59):
So normally, I mean, we've already got the windier westerlies.
They kicked in in August this year. But I think,
you know, as far as El Nino is concerned, the
negative side of it usually shows up more towards the
later part of spring. So if we can make it
to November with good rainfall, that bodes very well for summer.

Speaker 1 (02:16):
Yeah, we'll take that. Hey, Phil, always good to catch
up on the country. Thank you very much for your time.

Speaker 2 (02:21):
Thank you.