May 14, 2026 • 4 mins
Friday’s weatherman has a warning of a Super El Niño on the way for spring.
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Weather on the country with Fiji, where happiness comes naturally.
Welcome back to the country. I found my favorite weather
man on a Friday. I thought I thought he had
forsaken me. Maybe he'd gone to talk to another radio show.
(00:23):
He'd been unfaithful to me, one of these rip off
shows that's trying to do what we do. I shouldn't
say that. Good luck. The more rural broadcast is the better.
Is it a bit like do you have that collegiality
with weather men? Yes? Yes, that's not a very convincing.
Speaker 2 (00:40):
Yess it is. We get on with everyone. We love
all of God's creatures, human and other ways.
Speaker 1 (00:48):
Well, let's stick to your specialist topic today, the weather.
When when do you, guys, I'm assuming at some stage,
because you come out with some forecast, an autumn forecast,
a spring forecast, when is your winter forecast released? Which
begs the question when does winter officially begin? Is it
June one?
Speaker 2 (01:07):
No, Jamie, we don't issue a winter outlook. No, I'm kidding.
We do issue a winter outlook, of course, and that
will be and it depends on we go by the
meteorological definition. So the start of each quarter, so June
one from a meteorological definition is the start of winter. Now,
I know there's some og you know, real like strict interpreters.
(01:30):
I used to be one of them. Where No, No,
it's when the solstice or the equinox. That's the astronomical definition.
And the reason we don't use that in terms of
our purpose is Jamie's because it's for bookkeeping if we
want to keep records like it was the fifth wettest,
it was the second warmest you know, season on record,
be it winter, spring, et cetera. We have to go
(01:50):
by the beginning and the end of a month because
it just makes things a lot cleaner. So that outlook
will be coming on Tuesday, the second of two. It's today.
It's the Tuesday after King's Birthday weekend, so that's when
the winter outlook will come.
Speaker 1 (02:04):
Put it in your calendar, Okay, in the maintime, I'm
here in the South Island. Anyhow, we've got a dirty.
It's not a dirty. It's so wonderful. It's a big
and beautiful. As Trump would say, HI plunked over us
would which I hate to bring your favorite politician into
the conversation, but it's really good. I love I love
weather like this especially in the winter. You get a
(02:25):
frosty start and the way you go the sunshine is beautiful.
Speaker 2 (02:28):
Yeah, we're gonna get plenty of those for the next
few days. I mean the big old we were talking
just before airtime, big old high. You've got the home barometer.
This is up there around ten forty hecta Pascos ten
thirty eight as it moves over the South Island this weekend.
So sunny days, foggy morning, gotta watch up for the
black dice if you're traveling early in the morning because
of the moisture and the chili temperatures, and that will
(02:51):
continue to give us some dry conditions. And what we're
going to see, Jamie, as we move into the winter
season proper especial actually July, August and beyond, we're going
to see our conditions pivoting to more al amina. Like so,
what does that mean for the winter? We get these
large highs, we get settled conditions, fogs and frosts. We
(03:12):
tend to get more southwesterly winds, so that means we
don't get airflows coming from the north. I mean that
will happen on occasion, but there's a reduction that is
the key and we have to watch out for winter dryness.
We talked about this before, winter dryness apart from say Southland,
apart from say the west of the South Island, so
we'll park them aside for now because this is, as
(03:32):
you know, farmers no groundwater recharge season, and if we
don't get adequate rainfall during winter, we're starting off the
next growing season on the back foot and that's not
a good thing. And as we look farther afield, boy,
just a heads up everyone, I mean, we'll update you
as we go through the next several weeks and months,
of course, but August, September, October looking very windy, especially
(03:55):
for the South Islal, but not limited to very windy,
could be unusually dry, could be quite wet for the
western and lower South Island. And this is something could
be very unsettled. So this is something we're watching. Later
in winter and into spring, could be some really impactful weather,
some really ups and downs where we get these really
unusually sharp, spiky warm days and then follow by, you know,
(04:18):
a pretty dramatic cold snap. So we've got some potentially
turbulent weather coming again. This is August and beyond, so
just a heads up, plenty of time to plan for it,
but we could be looking at some pretty dry conditions
as you work away through winter and spring, particularly eastern
sides of both islands and northern sides of both islands.
Plenty of watch that. But look, I hear Shanaia, which
(04:38):
means you know, I gotta stop and I gotta wrap
it up.
Speaker 1 (04:40):
Jane, you do you know what song?
Speaker 2 (04:41):
This is? Chris brand and Leno is my favorite weather
man out of Friday.
Speaker 1 (04:48):
No, no, it's anyway the man of Mind. Bohn Twine,
Yeah
Speaker 2 (04:54):
Thank you, so ya all right, buddy bo
Weather on the country with Fiji, where happiness comes naturally.
Welcome back to the country. I found my favorite weather
man on a Friday. I thought I thought he had
forsaken me. Maybe he'd gone to talk to another radio show.
(00:23):
He'd been unfaithful to me, one of these rip off
shows that's trying to do what we do. I shouldn't
say that. Good luck. The more rural broadcast is the better.
Is it a bit like do you have that collegiality
with weather men? Yes? Yes, that's not a very convincing.
Speaker 2 (00:40):
Yess it is. We get on with everyone. We love
all of God's creatures, human and other ways.
Speaker 1 (00:48):
Well, let's stick to your specialist topic today, the weather.
When when do you, guys, I'm assuming at some stage,
because you come out with some forecast, an autumn forecast,
a spring forecast, when is your winter forecast released? Which
begs the question when does winter officially begin? Is it
June one?
Speaker 2 (01:07):
No, Jamie, we don't issue a winter outlook. No, I'm kidding.
We do issue a winter outlook, of course, and that
will be and it depends on we go by the
meteorological definition. So the start of each quarter, so June
one from a meteorological definition is the start of winter. Now,
I know there's some og you know, real like strict interpreters.
(01:30):
I used to be one of them. Where No, No,
it's when the solstice or the equinox. That's the astronomical definition.
And the reason we don't use that in terms of
our purpose is Jamie's because it's for bookkeeping if we
want to keep records like it was the fifth wettest,
it was the second warmest you know, season on record,
be it winter, spring, et cetera. We have to go
(01:50):
by the beginning and the end of a month because
it just makes things a lot cleaner. So that outlook
will be coming on Tuesday, the second of two. It's today.
It's the Tuesday after King's Birthday weekend, so that's when
the winter outlook will come.
Speaker 1 (02:04):
Put it in your calendar, Okay, in the maintime, I'm
here in the South Island. Anyhow, we've got a dirty.
It's not a dirty. It's so wonderful. It's a big
and beautiful. As Trump would say, HI plunked over us
would which I hate to bring your favorite politician into
the conversation, but it's really good. I love I love
weather like this especially in the winter. You get a
(02:25):
frosty start and the way you go the sunshine is beautiful.
Speaker 2 (02:28):
Yeah, we're gonna get plenty of those for the next
few days. I mean the big old we were talking
just before airtime, big old high. You've got the home barometer.
This is up there around ten forty hecta Pascos ten
thirty eight as it moves over the South Island this weekend.
So sunny days, foggy morning, gotta watch up for the
black dice if you're traveling early in the morning because
of the moisture and the chili temperatures, and that will
(02:51):
continue to give us some dry conditions. And what we're
going to see, Jamie, as we move into the winter
season proper especial actually July, August and beyond, we're going
to see our conditions pivoting to more al amina. Like so,
what does that mean for the winter? We get these
large highs, we get settled conditions, fogs and frosts. We
(03:12):
tend to get more southwesterly winds, so that means we
don't get airflows coming from the north. I mean that
will happen on occasion, but there's a reduction that is
the key and we have to watch out for winter dryness.
We talked about this before, winter dryness apart from say Southland,
apart from say the west of the South Island, so
we'll park them aside for now because this is, as
(03:32):
you know, farmers no groundwater recharge season, and if we
don't get adequate rainfall during winter, we're starting off the
next growing season on the back foot and that's not
a good thing. And as we look farther afield, boy,
just a heads up everyone, I mean, we'll update you
as we go through the next several weeks and months,
of course, but August, September, October looking very windy, especially
(03:55):
for the South Islal, but not limited to very windy,
could be unusually dry, could be quite wet for the
western and lower South Island. And this is something could
be very unsettled. So this is something we're watching. Later
in winter and into spring, could be some really impactful weather,
some really ups and downs where we get these really
unusually sharp, spiky warm days and then follow by, you know,
(04:18):
a pretty dramatic cold snap. So we've got some potentially
turbulent weather coming again. This is August and beyond, so
just a heads up, plenty of time to plan for it,
but we could be looking at some pretty dry conditions
as you work away through winter and spring, particularly eastern
sides of both islands and northern sides of both islands.
Plenty of watch that. But look, I hear Shanaia, which
(04:38):
means you know, I gotta stop and I gotta wrap
it up.
Speaker 1 (04:40):
Jane, you do you know what song?
Speaker 2 (04:41):
This is? Chris brand and Leno is my favorite weather
man out of Friday.
Speaker 1 (04:48):
No, no, it's anyway the man of Mind. Bohn Twine,
Yeah
Speaker 2 (04:54):
Thank you, so ya all right, buddy bo
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