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May 22, 2025 4 mins

NIWA’s weather guy on our Indian summer, which is heading into winter.

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Speaker 1 (00:00):
This is old style country from Charlie Rich. I reckon
annex cast would be a big country music fan because
he's from the home of country music, the USA. Chris
Brendolina from Neway. Are you a big Charlie Rich fan?

Speaker 2 (00:12):
Chris negative?

Speaker 1 (00:15):
Negative? Okay, Well let's get let's talk about something that
excites you. You sound so you sounded so deflated. Look
down south here we're heated, twistall in an Indian summer.

Speaker 2 (00:29):
Well, now listen, I'm going to break up the purest
juice here. Okay, yep. Now, Indian summer, if you're a purist,
it's a Native American term, so that's the origins. And
technically Indian summer is the first spell of unusually warm weather.

(00:49):
But after your first frost, Jamie, you gotta have your
first frost. So if you had a frost and it's
an usually warm tick. If not, if you're going to
be a pure then that's a different No.

Speaker 1 (01:01):
No, we've had we've head frost down here, So I
ticked that box.

Speaker 2 (01:05):
Okay, good, well, not everyone has, but it's making sure.

Speaker 1 (01:08):
So I was looking at the old labor drought Indix
map earlier this morning in preparation to speak to who.
I'm gonna check to Nick's Caine, Briscoe and Taranaki, and
I see nowhere in the countries and uh in drought
or and soil moisture deficit north should it be at
the time of the year.

Speaker 2 (01:23):
Yeah, well you're you're I'll give you half credit partial credit. Look, Uh,
there is not and there isn't any meteorological drought. So correct,
well done. However, if you look at the so and
moisture map and look at where the soils are unusually
dry for the time of year late May now just
about uh much of the Waikato, southeastern Tananaka, the Manawatu

(01:48):
King Country basically between Mount Rupe Who and say Palmiston
north between that zone that is where the soils are
unusually dry. Also in your neck, gonna with my friend
down in Dunners down to east. It's the eastern far
eastern Southland and far as southern Otago. Yep, there's some

(02:10):
usually dry soils there, so not everywhere, But unfortunately the
Waikato is still dealing with dryness as the Southeast Tetaneki
and as we know Jamie. Even though dryness and drought
can end the effects of dryness and drought can certainly
persist much longer.

Speaker 1 (02:25):
Yes, we do need some good winter rainfalls to reach
out the sub soil. Angie farmers on the deep South
they know it's going to get wet down here, so
they welcome the dry soils while they're still standing above them. Look, okay,
what have we got very quickly for the next three, four, five,
six seven days.

Speaker 2 (02:42):
Well, basically it quiet start to the weekend, so dry
weather apart from a few wide showers along the West
coast usual suspects that'll really increase on Sunday quite frankly,
and a few spits of rain on Sunday, I suppose
across the upper Northid. But we're literally talking spits of
rain a bar from say the Quorum Mantle. It could
be a proper shower there. As you look ahead into Monday,
the new week, there will be some there'll be rain

(03:04):
falling Sunday night into Monday for a proper rain for
the west of the South Island as well as Lower Southland.
We'll get a good drop of rain that looks like
a decent rainfalls Sunday night into Monday, and that band
of rain moves north, so that'll impact Tananaka, the afore
mentioned Tananaki region, lower North Island, as well as parts
of the Wycott So probably later on Monday and especially

(03:25):
Monday night. Pretty good low comes in from the Tasman
Sea Tuesday, and because it's to our west, we're gonna
be dipping into some pretty warm temperatures. So more rain
is likely probably Tuesday night and especially Wednesday for a
good chunk of a country. So expect that midweek rain.
But again it's gonna be unusually warm, and there'll be

(03:46):
some pretty good Nordlies and Northwesterlies with that too, especially
North Island with that second round of way rain. He said,
middle next week, and then it basically remains unusually warm
for a good chunk of the week next week. On
next week, Jamie, I'll be able to share our winter outlook,
so get ready for that.

Speaker 1 (04:04):
I can hardly sleep waiting in anticipation. Chris, thank you
for your time, Appreciate.

Speaker 2 (04:09):
It, my pleasure, my friend.

Speaker 1 (04:11):
The good there we got Chris Brandolino from Neva
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