March 10, 2026 • 17 mins
NASA knows that one of its massive satellites will crash to Earth, they’re just not sure exactly when or where. But don’t worry, NASA says the risk of harm is “low," but notably NOT ZERO. The space agency predicts the satellite will reenter Earth’s atmosphere at 7:45 pm ET, “plus or minus 24 hours” and says the chance of anyone being is harmed is approximately 1 in 4200… Not exactly reassuring!
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Speaker 1 (00:02):
Hey, there, folks. It is March tenth, the day that
we are told a thirteen hundred pound object is hurling
towards Earth. We don't know where it's going to hit.
And when we said it's going to hit today, well
let's give a take a day or two. And with that,
welcome to this hilarious episode of Amy and TJ. Normally
(00:24):
this wouldn't be hilarious, but they are warning us robes, NASA,
our space for us, warning us that an object is
coming towards us right now, don't know where and don't
exactly know when.
Speaker 2 (00:36):
So you find it amusing. I find it alarming. Maybe
it's a combination of both.
Speaker 1 (00:41):
I think when we read some of the statement that
NASA put out, it gets comical.
Speaker 2 (00:47):
It's sounds dangerous, yes, But when I see that there
is a thirteen hundred pound satellite that they didn't expect
to re enter the Earth's atmosphere for another ten years
is now arriving much earlier than anticipated. They can't pinpoint
exactly where it's going to hit, exact science and when
(01:10):
it's going to hit soon. We've been told the best
estimate is seven five pm Eastern time, give or take
twenty four hours, so any time between now and tomorrowrow
more basically.
Speaker 1 (01:28):
Folks, is it's it's comical in that they're warning us
about something and telling us not to worry about something.
But they're telling us that there is an object that's
the size of maybe two refrigerators coming towards us, hurling ropes.
It's coming from these are haven't we talked about extinction
(01:49):
level events? If some object big enough is coming from
space and hitting the Earth, that's the first thing you
think about when you hear something like this. But then
how they downplay it is the part that gets It's comical, yes,
but I'm.
Speaker 2 (02:02):
Not even buying necessarily their downplay. Tell me if you've
read it differently, well, it makes me. I guess I
understand the risk is low as they put it. However,
what I read the reason why they're able to say
that with some certainty is that seventy percent of this
Earth is covered by water, and they're hoping this satellite
(02:24):
lands in water.
Speaker 1 (02:25):
So here's my okay, you maybe think of something else.
Are you telling me they're making the prediction just based
on percentages about the Earth, or they're making a prediction
based on how this thing, and the trajectory of this
thing that they're keeping an eye on.
Speaker 2 (02:40):
I'm going to go with I don't know, okay, and
I don't think it's been actually clarified.
Speaker 3 (02:45):
And that's what's a little concerning.
Speaker 2 (02:46):
They say that the risk of harm coming to anyone
on Earth is approximately one in forty two hundred. But
here's what makes me nervous. This is from NASA. The
next line from NASA is NASA and Space Force will
continue to monitor the re entry and update predictions.
Speaker 1 (03:07):
So let's update you first of all and explain what
we're talking about. I have to go back. This is
the Van Allen Probe. A is what it's called, and
it's called A is because there is a B. These
two probes were sent up a decade plus ago, twenty
twelve actually, and what they were gonna do. I'm not
gonna get into too much of the technical stuff because
you might have a hard time keeping up, So I'll
just tell you that it went up to study space stuff, So.
Speaker 3 (03:30):
Tell me about weather and bands.
Speaker 1 (03:32):
Don't want to confuse you all by getting into all
the technical aspects. But it was doing some space stuff
up there, all right. It was only supposed to be
up there for a two year mission. It ends up
going seven plus years because it just had a longer life.
But it's been floating around up there at robes. But
they always predicted it was going to have to come
back crashing to Earth, but they didn't think it was
coming any time soon.
Speaker 2 (03:53):
Yes, it was I believe scheduled to re enter Earth
around twenty thirty four. So that's a big, big difference.
But they say the Sun has been more active than anticipated,
and so because of all this solar activity, apparently it
I guess the satellite degenerated further than they thought.
Speaker 3 (04:11):
So now it is headed back to Earth. They know
that much.
Speaker 2 (04:14):
Look, I'm always amazed at what scientists, and specifically NASA
scientists can predict in terms of where things are going
to land and when they're going to It's amazing the
precision with which they do everything that they do. So
this feels a little uncertain, and that isn't something that
I'm used to reading about or seeing.
Speaker 1 (04:35):
Okay, and we need to be okay. So we're going
to read the two very relevant paragraphs from the NASA statement,
and it is important to note here first of all,
that yes, they do believe so much of it is
going to burn up in the atmosphere, and it shouldn't
necessarily hit the Earth wherever it hits as a big chunk,
(04:56):
some big mass, is what they're telling us. But robes
are telling us they don't know where this sucker is.
So this from NASA, the relevant lines at least where
they explain and folks, this is not a joe. We're
kind of laughing. You have to be a little amused
by this. But you'll see why now that we're told
a thirteen hundred pound thing is hurling to Earth today
(05:22):
and this is how NASA let us know about it.
Speaker 2 (05:24):
As of March ninth, twenty twenty six, the US Space
Force predicted that the roughly thirteen hundred twenty three pound
spacecraft will re enter the atmosphere at approximately seven forty
five pm Eastern Time on March tenth, with an uncertainty
of plus or minus twenty four hours. NASA expects most
(05:47):
of the spacecraft to burn up as it travels through
the atmosphere, but some components are expected to survive re entry.
The risk of harm coming to anyone on Earth is low,
approximately one in two hundred. NASA and Space Force will
continue to monitor the re entry and update predictions.
Speaker 1 (06:07):
They need a word better than low. The risk of
harm to anyone is low. I need it to be zero, minuscule, infantismal.
I need them to use.
Speaker 3 (06:16):
Word really impossible.
Speaker 1 (06:17):
Yeah, oh zero, Just put something with a zero point
zero zeros. Give me something. Low is no good, babe.
Speaker 2 (06:24):
Do you know what the words are that stick out
to me when I'm looking at this statement on my screen? Uncertainty, low, approximately,
update predictions, monitor. Those are all words I don't want
to hear from a space agency telling me that a
spacecraft is hurling towards Earth.
Speaker 1 (06:46):
Low is a problem for me, robes, Low is a problem.
You can't say low, there's a low chance. Yeah, that's
a low chance I'll get into a car accident. There's low,
but row one in forty two hundred. If you're going
to a outdoor concert tonight, you really really want to
see the artist, but somebody tells you forty two hundred
people are going to go, one is going to die.
Speaker 2 (07:07):
I'm not going to the content. I'm not going.
Speaker 1 (07:13):
That's no good. I don't like Oh my gods, man,
come on now. We need something a little more reassuring
than that come on, even you know what. This is
where I'm okay with the government lying to me, go ahead.
Speaker 3 (07:23):
You know what, I agree.
Speaker 2 (07:24):
And I've always wondered because, look, we see this in Hollywood.
We've seen stories like this where the government knows about
some mass tragedy about to happen.
Speaker 3 (07:34):
And I've always thought, I'd rather not know.
Speaker 2 (07:37):
If you can't prepare for it, if you can't do
anything about it, if I can't alter my activity in
any way to increase my risk of surviving, I would
rather not know.
Speaker 1 (07:47):
You know, this is one. It seems weird to promote that,
but we have seen this so many times, to those
scenarios like don't we have to keep this from the
public because they would be panic? Yes, it would be
chaos that all these things. Hey, this is one.
Speaker 3 (08:00):
Now where are you running to?
Speaker 2 (08:02):
It's coming from outer space and we don't know where
it's hitting, so there's nothing we can do.
Speaker 1 (08:06):
You can't run, you can't run from it.
Speaker 3 (08:07):
We're sitting duck, giving.
Speaker 1 (08:08):
Me a chance. But they really are telling us we're targets. Now,
there is more to their statement. It's a kind of
a long statement, but the other relevant line we include
in here wanted to make sure we pass this along now,
which is why they're how they're explaining robes. This thing
that was we weren't supposed to worry about for another decade.
Almost we're worrying about it now and for the next
(08:30):
twenty four hours.
Speaker 2 (08:30):
Yeah, so NASA said this when the mission ended in
twenty nineteen. Analysis found that the spacecraft would re enter
Earth's atmosphere in twenty thirty four. However, those calculations were
made before the current solar cycle, which has proven far
more active than expected. In twenty twenty four, scientists confirmed
the Sun had reached its solar maximum, triggering intense space
(08:55):
weather events. These conditions increased atmospheric drag on this spacecraft
beyond initial estimates, resulting in an earlier than expected re entry.
And again, I'm looking at this now and there are
words that are jumping out to me that I don't like,
as in then expected, triggering intense events earlier than expected.
(09:20):
It's just basically saying, as much as we know, and
as much as we trust our scientists to know things
that we couldn't possibly even get our head around, hearing
their uncertainty is just a little unnerving.
Speaker 1 (09:31):
Sound like a miscalculation in here, somewhere, the sun did
something we weren't expecting or predicting. Man, that's when you're
off by h about ten years. That's a that's a
pretty big miss.
Speaker 3 (09:44):
Yes, and now they're telling us that the risk is low, just.
Speaker 1 (09:47):
One in forty two hundred rose one in forty two
hundred is my biggest problem with all they have said.
Those odds are too hot, even though right when we
talk about the what are your chances of winning the lottery? Oh?
Speaker 3 (10:00):
Yeah, one?
Speaker 1 (10:00):
And what is it?
Speaker 3 (10:01):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (10:02):
It's an astronomical number. It's a million, four digit numbers.
Speaker 1 (10:07):
We are the odd This cannot be right. Something is
not right here, baby, It cannot be with how many
billion people on planet Earth the chan this wait a minute,
this isn't right. Are you reading this right?
Speaker 3 (10:18):
I have read it.
Speaker 2 (10:19):
This is from NASA and what's been reported from their
initial statement. And yes, and you'd think that they were
going to they would make sure that it was the
greatest so we would feel more safe. One in forty
two hundred. I am looking at it wrong. Okay, let
me let me try something out.
Speaker 1 (10:39):
Let me try. Maybe we're reading it wrong.
Speaker 3 (10:40):
We're not yes, Well, we're not scientists. Let me try mathematicians.
Speaker 1 (10:44):
What if they're saying the risk of harm coming to
anyone one in forty two hundred, meaning if this thing
crashes to Earth forty two hundred times, only one of
those chances is somebody going to get injured.
Speaker 2 (11:00):
Probably, But I still don't like those odds either. Yes,
that might be what they're saying.
Speaker 1 (11:03):
But that's a weird way to put it.
Speaker 3 (11:05):
It doesn't feel safe.
Speaker 1 (11:09):
The risk of harm coming to anyone on Earth is low,
approximately one in forty two hundred.
Speaker 2 (11:16):
I wanted it to say one in and then have
like ten digits.
Speaker 3 (11:21):
Four digits not enough.
Speaker 1 (11:24):
One in forty is so bizarre. But this is happening, folks.
It's happening today. They say they're gonna update this. I
actually have that website up I don't have where they're
supposed to have.
Speaker 3 (11:34):
Can we sign up for alert updates?
Speaker 1 (11:36):
They do? They have a whole lot in Oh no,
do you want that on your phone?
Speaker 3 (11:41):
I do not, Like I said, I want to be
blissfully ignorant.
Speaker 1 (11:43):
Yeah. Can you imagine getting that notification every time you're
looking up duck? Okay, so this is happening, but folks
get this. We're going through this now. We might have
to go through it again soon. Remember this satellite was
called Van Allen Probe A. There is a Van Allen
(12:04):
Probe B. So if A doesn't take us out, Probe
B is coming. Stay here.
Speaker 2 (12:19):
Welcome back to everyone to this episode of Amy and TJ.
We hope that it isn't our last I say that
tongue in cheek, but yes, TJ, I feel like you've
been a little more amused by it. I've been a
little more alarmed by it. But we have been given
word from NASA that there is a thirteen hundred pound
spacecraft satellite that is hurling back towards Earth and it
(12:43):
will crash into Earth. Most of it will burn up
by the way in the atmosphere, but there will be
parts of it they believe that will come crashing to Earth.
The problem is they don't know exactly when, and they
don't know exactly where.
Speaker 1 (12:59):
Which is a problem for some. But they're letting us know.
The chances robes are so low that any harm is
going to come to anyone in the world, So that
should give you some level of comfort.
Speaker 3 (13:10):
But they can't guarantee that it won't be okay.
Speaker 1 (13:13):
So we've seen a lot of movies. I wonder how
much of this plays into it. But Robes, I, what
is happening is terrifying. How they are choosing to inform
us about it is the part that I find hilarious.
If sometimes they give us we've seen things in the past,
they give us warnings or something's coming to Earth, like
(13:34):
a something is going to hurl into Earth some common
what we've seen these Yes, even when they say there's
going to be a close it's going to be close
to Earth, it's still farther away the moon. Is that
kind of a thing. This doesn't come off that way
to me to where we're used to just ignoring. Ah,
it's no big deal. This one felt a little different.
And maybe it's nothing either, But I.
Speaker 2 (13:54):
Just don't like the fact that they're just estimating things
and they'll be updating their predictions in the coming hours.
Talk tick talk, and Look. We were asking about the percentages.
There is a site called space dot com that claims
when you look at the numbers they gave us in
terms of the low risk, they're saying that low risk
of injury is about zero point zero two percent that's
(14:17):
stuff and does take into account the fact that water
covers seventy percent of Earth's surface. So they're saying any
parts that would survive re entry that would come crashing
down to Earth most likely just given that will splash
down in the water, not on land or in a city.
Speaker 3 (14:33):
But what if it does.
Speaker 1 (14:35):
I don't like that's a prediction based on the Earth's.
Speaker 3 (14:41):
Surface.
Speaker 1 (14:41):
Yes, that's not a prediction based on I'm watching this
thing the trajectory, that is what I'm I haven't seen
that prediction.
Speaker 3 (14:48):
I haven't either. I haven't seen them say the trajectory.
Speaker 2 (14:51):
We've all put this into place, you know, way back
when we put this up in the air fourteen years ago,
we already had a plan for it to crash in
the Indian Ocean.
Speaker 3 (15:00):
No, no one's saying.
Speaker 2 (15:01):
That there is a noted or a specific trajectory where
it's expected to land in a body of water.
Speaker 3 (15:09):
It sounds like they're crossing their fingers.
Speaker 1 (15:12):
Based on the Earth's surface, as you said. But wrote,
would they have to give us a heads up if
they thought even there was a chance it was going
to hit in the Midwest?
Speaker 2 (15:20):
Yes, Well, I do believe that is why we're getting
the caveat They're saying, we're going to update predictions in
the coming hours, so once they get more information, once
they see where this thing is, I mean, we have
to know that they're tracking the sucker. So when if
they saw that it was headed somewhere other than open ocean,
I would think, yes, if there's enough time to evacuate,
(15:42):
to get people, just in case there could be who
I don't know what the size of these particles could
be that are coming down, raining down, And I don't
think they know either, because they don't know how much
will burn up and how much particles will be remaining.
Speaker 1 (15:57):
This is wild, folks, this is happening. This is happening today.
Keep your eyes on the news, keep your eyes on
the skies, I suppose. But there is a thirteen hundred
pound satellite that is coming today. We're told Brother twin
Brother is coming. We're told when was.
Speaker 2 (16:18):
It twenty thirty? Before twenty thirty? Actually it's not even specific.
They believe that Van Allen probe B will re enter
Earth before twenty thirty.
Speaker 1 (16:29):
So next week probably, it's what they're telling us.
Speaker 3 (16:32):
They don't know, right, correct, Oh sorry I didn't either.
Speaker 2 (16:35):
It's not expected before twenty thirty, so anytime after twenty thirty. Sorry,
let me be specific, because they initially thought that both
of these probes were coming in twenty thirty four. Now
they're saying Probe B will be coming between twenty thirty
and twenty twenty four.
Speaker 1 (16:50):
You know what, my smart ass comment stands, it'll be
next week.
Speaker 2 (16:55):
I mean, with the Sun's increased solar activity. It's anyone's guess.
Speaker 1 (17:00):
This is something. So folks, keep your eyes on the news,
keep your eyes on the skies. We suppose today as well.
But this is for real. They tell us it is coming. Look,
if there was enough alarm to raise, I assume they
would tell people to stay inside even if they needed
to robes. But it's just a crazy story to tell
us that a thirteen hundred pound object is on the
(17:21):
way and it's going to hit at some point in
the next twenty four hours.
Speaker 2 (17:26):
Yes, let's just hope that we can safely report on
where it in fact landed on tomorrow's morning run.
Speaker 3 (17:32):
So look for that.
Speaker 2 (17:33):
In the meantime, I'm not going to be looking up.
Thank you for listening to us, everyone. I maybe roboch
alongside TJ.
Speaker 3 (17:39):
Holmes. We will talk to you soon.
Hey, there, folks. It is March tenth, the day that
we are told a thirteen hundred pound object is hurling
towards Earth. We don't know where it's going to hit.
And when we said it's going to hit today, well
let's give a take a day or two. And with that,
welcome to this hilarious episode of Amy and TJ. Normally
(00:24):
this wouldn't be hilarious, but they are warning us robes, NASA,
our space for us, warning us that an object is
coming towards us right now, don't know where and don't
exactly know when.
Speaker 2 (00:36):
So you find it amusing. I find it alarming. Maybe
it's a combination of both.
Speaker 1 (00:41):
I think when we read some of the statement that
NASA put out, it gets comical.
Speaker 2 (00:47):
It's sounds dangerous, yes, But when I see that there
is a thirteen hundred pound satellite that they didn't expect
to re enter the Earth's atmosphere for another ten years
is now arriving much earlier than anticipated. They can't pinpoint
exactly where it's going to hit, exact science and when
(01:10):
it's going to hit soon. We've been told the best
estimate is seven five pm Eastern time, give or take
twenty four hours, so any time between now and tomorrowrow
more basically.
Speaker 1 (01:28):
Folks, is it's it's comical in that they're warning us
about something and telling us not to worry about something.
But they're telling us that there is an object that's
the size of maybe two refrigerators coming towards us, hurling ropes.
It's coming from these are haven't we talked about extinction
(01:49):
level events? If some object big enough is coming from
space and hitting the Earth, that's the first thing you
think about when you hear something like this. But then
how they downplay it is the part that gets It's comical, yes,
but I'm.
Speaker 2 (02:02):
Not even buying necessarily their downplay. Tell me if you've
read it differently, well, it makes me. I guess I
understand the risk is low as they put it. However,
what I read the reason why they're able to say
that with some certainty is that seventy percent of this
Earth is covered by water, and they're hoping this satellite
(02:24):
lands in water.
Speaker 1 (02:25):
So here's my okay, you maybe think of something else.
Are you telling me they're making the prediction just based
on percentages about the Earth, or they're making a prediction
based on how this thing, and the trajectory of this
thing that they're keeping an eye on.
Speaker 2 (02:40):
I'm going to go with I don't know, okay, and
I don't think it's been actually clarified.
Speaker 3 (02:45):
And that's what's a little concerning.
Speaker 2 (02:46):
They say that the risk of harm coming to anyone
on Earth is approximately one in forty two hundred. But
here's what makes me nervous. This is from NASA. The
next line from NASA is NASA and Space Force will
continue to monitor the re entry and update predictions.
Speaker 1 (03:07):
So let's update you first of all and explain what
we're talking about. I have to go back. This is
the Van Allen Probe. A is what it's called, and
it's called A is because there is a B. These
two probes were sent up a decade plus ago, twenty
twelve actually, and what they were gonna do. I'm not
gonna get into too much of the technical stuff because
you might have a hard time keeping up, So I'll
just tell you that it went up to study space stuff, So.
Speaker 3 (03:30):
Tell me about weather and bands.
Speaker 1 (03:32):
Don't want to confuse you all by getting into all
the technical aspects. But it was doing some space stuff
up there, all right. It was only supposed to be
up there for a two year mission. It ends up
going seven plus years because it just had a longer life.
But it's been floating around up there at robes. But
they always predicted it was going to have to come
back crashing to Earth, but they didn't think it was
coming any time soon.
Speaker 2 (03:53):
Yes, it was I believe scheduled to re enter Earth
around twenty thirty four. So that's a big, big difference.
But they say the Sun has been more active than anticipated,
and so because of all this solar activity, apparently it
I guess the satellite degenerated further than they thought.
Speaker 3 (04:11):
So now it is headed back to Earth. They know
that much.
Speaker 2 (04:14):
Look, I'm always amazed at what scientists, and specifically NASA
scientists can predict in terms of where things are going
to land and when they're going to It's amazing the
precision with which they do everything that they do. So
this feels a little uncertain, and that isn't something that
I'm used to reading about or seeing.
Speaker 1 (04:35):
Okay, and we need to be okay. So we're going
to read the two very relevant paragraphs from the NASA statement,
and it is important to note here first of all,
that yes, they do believe so much of it is
going to burn up in the atmosphere, and it shouldn't
necessarily hit the Earth wherever it hits as a big chunk,
(04:56):
some big mass, is what they're telling us. But robes
are telling us they don't know where this sucker is.
So this from NASA, the relevant lines at least where
they explain and folks, this is not a joe. We're
kind of laughing. You have to be a little amused
by this. But you'll see why now that we're told
a thirteen hundred pound thing is hurling to Earth today
(05:22):
and this is how NASA let us know about it.
Speaker 2 (05:24):
As of March ninth, twenty twenty six, the US Space
Force predicted that the roughly thirteen hundred twenty three pound
spacecraft will re enter the atmosphere at approximately seven forty
five pm Eastern Time on March tenth, with an uncertainty
of plus or minus twenty four hours. NASA expects most
(05:47):
of the spacecraft to burn up as it travels through
the atmosphere, but some components are expected to survive re entry.
The risk of harm coming to anyone on Earth is low,
approximately one in two hundred. NASA and Space Force will
continue to monitor the re entry and update predictions.
Speaker 1 (06:07):
They need a word better than low. The risk of
harm to anyone is low. I need it to be zero, minuscule, infantismal.
I need them to use.
Speaker 3 (06:16):
Word really impossible.
Speaker 1 (06:17):
Yeah, oh zero, Just put something with a zero point
zero zeros. Give me something. Low is no good, babe.
Speaker 2 (06:24):
Do you know what the words are that stick out
to me when I'm looking at this statement on my screen? Uncertainty, low, approximately,
update predictions, monitor. Those are all words I don't want
to hear from a space agency telling me that a
spacecraft is hurling towards Earth.
Speaker 1 (06:46):
Low is a problem for me, robes, Low is a problem.
You can't say low, there's a low chance. Yeah, that's
a low chance I'll get into a car accident. There's low,
but row one in forty two hundred. If you're going
to a outdoor concert tonight, you really really want to
see the artist, but somebody tells you forty two hundred
people are going to go, one is going to die.
Speaker 2 (07:07):
I'm not going to the content. I'm not going.
Speaker 1 (07:13):
That's no good. I don't like Oh my gods, man,
come on now. We need something a little more reassuring
than that come on, even you know what. This is
where I'm okay with the government lying to me, go ahead.
Speaker 3 (07:23):
You know what, I agree.
Speaker 2 (07:24):
And I've always wondered because, look, we see this in Hollywood.
We've seen stories like this where the government knows about
some mass tragedy about to happen.
Speaker 3 (07:34):
And I've always thought, I'd rather not know.
Speaker 2 (07:37):
If you can't prepare for it, if you can't do
anything about it, if I can't alter my activity in
any way to increase my risk of surviving, I would
rather not know.
Speaker 1 (07:47):
You know, this is one. It seems weird to promote that,
but we have seen this so many times, to those
scenarios like don't we have to keep this from the
public because they would be panic? Yes, it would be
chaos that all these things. Hey, this is one.
Speaker 3 (08:00):
Now where are you running to?
Speaker 2 (08:02):
It's coming from outer space and we don't know where
it's hitting, so there's nothing we can do.
Speaker 1 (08:06):
You can't run, you can't run from it.
Speaker 3 (08:07):
We're sitting duck, giving.
Speaker 1 (08:08):
Me a chance. But they really are telling us we're targets. Now,
there is more to their statement. It's a kind of
a long statement, but the other relevant line we include
in here wanted to make sure we pass this along now,
which is why they're how they're explaining robes. This thing
that was we weren't supposed to worry about for another decade.
Almost we're worrying about it now and for the next
(08:30):
twenty four hours.
Speaker 2 (08:30):
Yeah, so NASA said this when the mission ended in
twenty nineteen. Analysis found that the spacecraft would re enter
Earth's atmosphere in twenty thirty four. However, those calculations were
made before the current solar cycle, which has proven far
more active than expected. In twenty twenty four, scientists confirmed
the Sun had reached its solar maximum, triggering intense space
(08:55):
weather events. These conditions increased atmospheric drag on this spacecraft
beyond initial estimates, resulting in an earlier than expected re entry.
And again, I'm looking at this now and there are
words that are jumping out to me that I don't like,
as in then expected, triggering intense events earlier than expected.
(09:20):
It's just basically saying, as much as we know, and
as much as we trust our scientists to know things
that we couldn't possibly even get our head around, hearing
their uncertainty is just a little unnerving.
Speaker 1 (09:31):
Sound like a miscalculation in here, somewhere, the sun did
something we weren't expecting or predicting. Man, that's when you're
off by h about ten years. That's a that's a
pretty big miss.
Speaker 3 (09:44):
Yes, and now they're telling us that the risk is low, just.
Speaker 1 (09:47):
One in forty two hundred rose one in forty two
hundred is my biggest problem with all they have said.
Those odds are too hot, even though right when we
talk about the what are your chances of winning the lottery? Oh?
Speaker 3 (10:00):
Yeah, one?
Speaker 1 (10:00):
And what is it?
Speaker 3 (10:01):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (10:02):
It's an astronomical number. It's a million, four digit numbers.
Speaker 1 (10:07):
We are the odd This cannot be right. Something is
not right here, baby, It cannot be with how many
billion people on planet Earth the chan this wait a minute,
this isn't right. Are you reading this right?
Speaker 3 (10:18):
I have read it.
Speaker 2 (10:19):
This is from NASA and what's been reported from their
initial statement. And yes, and you'd think that they were
going to they would make sure that it was the
greatest so we would feel more safe. One in forty
two hundred. I am looking at it wrong. Okay, let
me let me try something out.
Speaker 1 (10:39):
Let me try. Maybe we're reading it wrong.
Speaker 3 (10:40):
We're not yes, Well, we're not scientists. Let me try mathematicians.
Speaker 1 (10:44):
What if they're saying the risk of harm coming to
anyone one in forty two hundred, meaning if this thing
crashes to Earth forty two hundred times, only one of
those chances is somebody going to get injured.
Speaker 2 (11:00):
Probably, But I still don't like those odds either. Yes,
that might be what they're saying.
Speaker 1 (11:03):
But that's a weird way to put it.
Speaker 3 (11:05):
It doesn't feel safe.
Speaker 1 (11:09):
The risk of harm coming to anyone on Earth is low,
approximately one in forty two hundred.
Speaker 2 (11:16):
I wanted it to say one in and then have
like ten digits.
Speaker 3 (11:21):
Four digits not enough.
Speaker 1 (11:24):
One in forty is so bizarre. But this is happening, folks.
It's happening today. They say they're gonna update this. I
actually have that website up I don't have where they're
supposed to have.
Speaker 3 (11:34):
Can we sign up for alert updates?
Speaker 1 (11:36):
They do? They have a whole lot in Oh no,
do you want that on your phone?
Speaker 3 (11:41):
I do not, Like I said, I want to be
blissfully ignorant.
Speaker 1 (11:43):
Yeah. Can you imagine getting that notification every time you're
looking up duck? Okay, so this is happening, but folks
get this. We're going through this now. We might have
to go through it again soon. Remember this satellite was
called Van Allen Probe A. There is a Van Allen
(12:04):
Probe B. So if A doesn't take us out, Probe
B is coming. Stay here.
Speaker 2 (12:19):
Welcome back to everyone to this episode of Amy and TJ.
We hope that it isn't our last I say that
tongue in cheek, but yes, TJ, I feel like you've
been a little more amused by it. I've been a
little more alarmed by it. But we have been given
word from NASA that there is a thirteen hundred pound
spacecraft satellite that is hurling back towards Earth and it
(12:43):
will crash into Earth. Most of it will burn up
by the way in the atmosphere, but there will be
parts of it they believe that will come crashing to Earth.
The problem is they don't know exactly when, and they
don't know exactly where.
Speaker 1 (12:59):
Which is a problem for some. But they're letting us know.
The chances robes are so low that any harm is
going to come to anyone in the world, So that
should give you some level of comfort.
Speaker 3 (13:10):
But they can't guarantee that it won't be okay.
Speaker 1 (13:13):
So we've seen a lot of movies. I wonder how
much of this plays into it. But Robes, I, what
is happening is terrifying. How they are choosing to inform
us about it is the part that I find hilarious.
If sometimes they give us we've seen things in the past,
they give us warnings or something's coming to Earth, like
(13:34):
a something is going to hurl into Earth some common
what we've seen these Yes, even when they say there's
going to be a close it's going to be close
to Earth, it's still farther away the moon. Is that
kind of a thing. This doesn't come off that way
to me to where we're used to just ignoring. Ah,
it's no big deal. This one felt a little different.
And maybe it's nothing either, But I.
Speaker 2 (13:54):
Just don't like the fact that they're just estimating things
and they'll be updating their predictions in the coming hours.
Talk tick talk, and Look. We were asking about the percentages.
There is a site called space dot com that claims
when you look at the numbers they gave us in
terms of the low risk, they're saying that low risk
of injury is about zero point zero two percent that's
(14:17):
stuff and does take into account the fact that water
covers seventy percent of Earth's surface. So they're saying any
parts that would survive re entry that would come crashing
down to Earth most likely just given that will splash
down in the water, not on land or in a city.
Speaker 3 (14:33):
But what if it does.
Speaker 1 (14:35):
I don't like that's a prediction based on the Earth's.
Speaker 3 (14:41):
Surface.
Speaker 1 (14:41):
Yes, that's not a prediction based on I'm watching this
thing the trajectory, that is what I'm I haven't seen
that prediction.
Speaker 3 (14:48):
I haven't either. I haven't seen them say the trajectory.
Speaker 2 (14:51):
We've all put this into place, you know, way back
when we put this up in the air fourteen years ago,
we already had a plan for it to crash in
the Indian Ocean.
Speaker 3 (15:00):
No, no one's saying.
Speaker 2 (15:01):
That there is a noted or a specific trajectory where
it's expected to land in a body of water.
Speaker 3 (15:09):
It sounds like they're crossing their fingers.
Speaker 1 (15:12):
Based on the Earth's surface, as you said. But wrote,
would they have to give us a heads up if
they thought even there was a chance it was going
to hit in the Midwest?
Speaker 2 (15:20):
Yes, Well, I do believe that is why we're getting
the caveat They're saying, we're going to update predictions in
the coming hours, so once they get more information, once
they see where this thing is, I mean, we have
to know that they're tracking the sucker. So when if
they saw that it was headed somewhere other than open ocean,
I would think, yes, if there's enough time to evacuate,
(15:42):
to get people, just in case there could be who
I don't know what the size of these particles could
be that are coming down, raining down, And I don't
think they know either, because they don't know how much
will burn up and how much particles will be remaining.
Speaker 1 (15:57):
This is wild, folks, this is happening. This is happening today.
Keep your eyes on the news, keep your eyes on
the skies, I suppose. But there is a thirteen hundred
pound satellite that is coming today. We're told Brother twin
Brother is coming. We're told when was.
Speaker 2 (16:18):
It twenty thirty? Before twenty thirty? Actually it's not even specific.
They believe that Van Allen probe B will re enter
Earth before twenty thirty.
Speaker 1 (16:29):
So next week probably, it's what they're telling us.
Speaker 3 (16:32):
They don't know, right, correct, Oh sorry I didn't either.
Speaker 2 (16:35):
It's not expected before twenty thirty, so anytime after twenty thirty. Sorry,
let me be specific, because they initially thought that both
of these probes were coming in twenty thirty four. Now
they're saying Probe B will be coming between twenty thirty
and twenty twenty four.
Speaker 1 (16:50):
You know what, my smart ass comment stands, it'll be
next week.
Speaker 2 (16:55):
I mean, with the Sun's increased solar activity. It's anyone's guess.
Speaker 1 (17:00):
This is something. So folks, keep your eyes on the news,
keep your eyes on the skies. We suppose today as well.
But this is for real. They tell us it is coming. Look,
if there was enough alarm to raise, I assume they
would tell people to stay inside even if they needed
to robes. But it's just a crazy story to tell
us that a thirteen hundred pound object is on the
(17:21):
way and it's going to hit at some point in
the next twenty four hours.
Speaker 2 (17:26):
Yes, let's just hope that we can safely report on
where it in fact landed on tomorrow's morning run.
Speaker 3 (17:32):
So look for that.
Speaker 2 (17:33):
In the meantime, I'm not going to be looking up.
Thank you for listening to us, everyone. I maybe roboch
alongside TJ.
Speaker 3 (17:39):
Holmes. We will talk to you soon.
Hosts And Creators
Amy Robach
T.J. Holmes
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