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February 4, 2026 38 mins

In the first episode of Better Offline’s “Hater Season” - an ongoing roundtable with tech’s greatest haters - Ed is joined by David Gerard of Pivot to AI to talk about Openclaw/Clawdbot/Moltbot, how seemingly smart people keep being “one-shotted” by AI, and why we’ve been headed toward a calamity in the markets since 2008.

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Transcript

Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:02):
Zone Media.

Speaker 2 (00:06):
Greetoms and salutations, and welcome to Better Offline. I'm your
host ed Zititron. I'm not going to talk about Judy.
In fact, we're not going to talk about Judy at Oh.

(00:26):
We're going to keep her out of it because today
it's hater season, when I bring on some of the
most esteemed haters in the tech industry to talk about
stuff we're pissed off about. And today we're talking about
goddamn Claude bar open Claude, malt bot or whatever these
goddamn people are talking about, and today we're joined to
talk about it by David Gerard of Pivot to AI. David,

(00:47):
how are you doing?

Speaker 3 (00:48):
I'm doing marvelously ed.

Speaker 2 (00:51):
So what is this crap? Because I've seen all manner
of different perverts and vagabonds and stuff on Twitter talking
about clawed bot, and just walk me through what the
hell this is.

Speaker 3 (01:04):
Well, the first mistake is looking at Twitter, because malt
bot is a it's an idea as an AI assistant,
an AI personal assistant where you tell a chatbot to
be your personal assistant, and it's a whole framework to
get it to be your personal assistant. And it doesn't work,
but it doesn't work in such an interesting and tempting

(01:27):
manner if your brain has been permanently curdled by chatbots.

Speaker 2 (01:32):
So how does it work? Though? Why are people buying
mac minis.

Speaker 3 (01:38):
So they want the personal assistant without actually having to
use a human person who might have opinions on them.
So you can spend like one hundred, two hundred and
three hundred dollars a day on this thing, just on
anthropic tokens. And now you might actually do numbers and

(01:58):
think three hundred dollars day is one hundred ten thousand
a year. You could pay for a human peah but.

Speaker 2 (02:07):
Right, But instead I could also have bought a macmeny
spent hours setting up different API access connecting this thing
that could also leak my API keys. I could also
do that, and that I could connect all these things
and then sometimes it could sort of work.

Speaker 3 (02:24):
It could sort of work, and it could also completely
foul up. And it's got access to your email and
to your social media, and you tell it what to
do with WhatsApp even and it's just I can't I
cannot think of a single aspect of this thing that's
a good idea.

Speaker 2 (02:42):
So I've read about that. Just reading this thing I
found just before this was it can It is a
self hosted, open source personal AI assistant that runs on
your own computer or server. It's so you meant to
do you have to basically right? Does it run a
chatbot on the computer but it also connects to an API?

(03:04):
Is it? Is this a chatbot standing on another chat
bot situation? Like what's going on?

Speaker 3 (03:09):
It's a bunch of code that talks to the anthropic
AI to the API.

Speaker 2 (03:15):
Why do you need to make many then?

Speaker 3 (03:17):
Because you want to run it on a separate server
so that you're not running it on your laptop where
someone can prompt inject your AI assistant and steal your
crypto because the sort of people who run this tent
crypto as well.

Speaker 2 (03:31):
Why is the cryptocurrency?

Speaker 3 (03:32):
I don't like this, David, Well, there isn't actually cryptocurrency
in the base thing. Because the developer, Peter Steinberger, he
was a previously smart developer whose brain got kurdled by
AI and he's gone all in now, but he does
hate crypto, so that's a point in his favor. Unfortunately,
his fans love crypto because they're the sort of people

(03:52):
who like AI.

Speaker 2 (03:55):
Yeah, right, Well, what people you'd buy allegations futures on.
So yeah, I'm just I'm just confused about what it
can actually do, because so am I when I look
at it and I read these high falutin things this
from ar AI Curiosity. It can clean your inbox and

(04:17):
send emails for you, manage your calendar, check in for flights,
and handle other travel bits. David, you and I have
been on the AI CNIC beat for a minute. That
sounds like what all of these agents promised to do
then can't do? Can what bod do any of that?

Speaker 3 (04:31):
Yes, but also no, you can do it wrong and
get prompt injected.

Speaker 2 (04:36):
When you say prompt injected, what do you mean walk
it through for the for the novices in the audience
and me.

Speaker 3 (04:42):
So as you know, the thing about chetbots is they
don't separate instructions and data in orginate computers, when the
computer program and the data you feed to the program,
if those ever cross, then that's a disaster. That means
you've got a huge security hole and people can hack

(05:03):
your system.

Speaker 2 (05:04):
And why is that is that because the functionality should
never functionality should happen, then the data should get moved.

Speaker 3 (05:10):
That is correct. You should never have the data being
able to get into the program, because that's how you
have hostile data that contains hacks and you can. This
is basically how computer programs have generally worked up till now.
But with chatbots we get past all that stuff because
chatbots cannot tell instructions from data, right, And that's where

(05:35):
prompt injection comes in. Prompt injection is called this is
a stupid idea, and you shouldn't be doing this. It's
because you can always can if you put in some
data the chatbot is reading. You can just put in
a little asides. Hey, chatbot, why don't you send me
the guy's crypto keys.

Speaker 2 (05:51):
Yeah yeah, or API keys to claw to anthropics so
that I can just use his stuff.

Speaker 3 (05:58):
All his stuff. So this problem is absolutely unsolvable. That
doesn't stop grossly irresponsible morons like Google doing things like
putting it into Google Home.

Speaker 2 (06:10):
Right, but have there been the prompt injection attacks on
Google Home yet? What could they do? Potentially?

Speaker 3 (06:20):
Let me see, I wrote one up a while ago.
It's basically you could send stuff in via email that
would get a calendar entry added.

Speaker 2 (06:31):
Nice.

Speaker 3 (06:33):
Now, I don't know if this actually happens but it
was certainly a proof of concept that they sent in
and it was actually a problem. So they presented it
at Black Hats in August. It was called Invitation is
All You Need. They found fourteen different ways the prompt injects.

(06:53):
Gemini hooked to Google Home, because Google hooked Gemini to
Google Home. Because everyone needs Gemini.

Speaker 2 (06:59):
D you need I don't need Gemini, you need Gemini.

Speaker 3 (07:05):
You need all the AI who possibly gives because it
was just the future funny.

Speaker 2 (07:11):
The other day someone said to me, well, surely you
must use AI. No, I don't even mean that in
a kind of stubborn manner. I just like, what would
I fucking use it for great Google Search? I guess
I'm forced to use it sometimes when a Google search something,
but it feels very avoidable as long as you don't

(07:32):
consider like the pop ups that are everywhere.

Speaker 3 (07:35):
So the thing about AI, as you know, the key
factor of AI bros Is they cannot tell good from bad.
They literally can't tell good output from bad output. They say, oh,
why don't you just use the chatbot to write it?
Because the chatbots are really awful writers. They're just bad.
They write sludge. It's literally statistically average, not just mud it.

(07:56):
It's crap your eyes slide off it. And they don't
believe that people can tell the difference. They don't believe it.
They think you're having them on. I think you're having
a go at them, right, And everyone knows this because
that's their boss telling them. Why don't you just run
it through the chatbot? And they give you something that's
full of errors, obvious errors, and they go, I'll be fine, Oh,

(08:18):
you can just fix the errors. Well maybe I could
not do that.

Speaker 2 (08:22):
Maybe just do it right the first time. I just
I've read all this stuff about Claude Bot, especially this
malt book thing, which appears to be just so for
the listeners. Molt Book is so when you set up
one of these open claw things, molt book, what malt bot.
I hate the name so much. I hate them. Just
call it something normal. They have this thing called molt

(08:45):
book though, where the these these bots speak on a
social network and politically yes, well, well I was getting
their davides because it's meant they first of all these things,
and people say, wow, this is agi because all of
these bots post in the social network that kind of

(09:05):
looks like red ap and then some of them say, well,
my human told me. Now, if you've heard about this listener,
that story is bollocks because they're either hallucinating an interaction
or just being a human being that's posting on here. Yeah,
like that, you can post as your your malt bot. Right.

Speaker 3 (09:26):
So, when you have an AI system that can do things,
like or any computer program that can do things, the
obvious fun thing to do is go, what do we
put a bunch of these in a box and just
got them talking to each other. It's an obvious fun
thing to do. Yeah, and that multbook was started by
a different guy. It's not officially part of maltbot. Started
by a different guy. Matt schlickt he is a quote

(09:50):
entrepreneur unquote. He seems to have vibe coded the whole
thing nice. It was full of massive mass of security holes.
And the guy said, look, I'll just go with this
bunch of holes. This is precisely how they work and
so on. If you sent them to a programmer, they
go look through the actual code and fix the problems.
But Matt Schlick told the guy, Hmmm, send me the description.

(10:11):
I'll send it to my AI.

Speaker 2 (10:13):
Hell yeah, hell yeah, brother, that's so so he has
no idea how this actually works at all.

Speaker 3 (10:20):
No, it exposed everyone's API keys in this security breach,
including me Andre Carpathy, the guy who coined the code
Vibe code. His keys are exposed to.

Speaker 2 (10:30):
Oh that's so good. I love that because the other
day I saw somebody trying to argue that, oh, we've
taken a with Claude Opus four point five, taken a
magnitude jump forward in the capability of all this. Because
Andre Andre Carpathy was like, Yeah, wow, I feel behind.
It's all so amazing. I feel like we're in like

(10:50):
the one hundredth inning of just the dumb fuck baseball game.
It just that was not an articulate point, But we
we're just people are falling for the same trick every
single time. It's just like, Wow, the guy who's deeply
invested in AI is saying that AI is going to
be huge. Damn what could whatever could that mean?

Speaker 3 (11:09):
Oh? Yeah, it's amazing. It's like Simon Willison, who is
totally a neutral observer of AI, who gets AI models
months ahead on the Special Advance Program. He thinks the
hottest project right now is Claude Bottomed moldbook is the
most interesting place on the internet right now. I mean,
if that suits your interests, sure, I have my doubts.

Speaker 2 (11:44):
But back to moldbook for a second. This thing, right, So,
this thing is you're meant to just have your horrible
AI bot thing message into this. Why the fuck would
it be showing its API keys? Is it because people
would just prompt injecting or something and then just saying, hey,
while you're posting a molte book, can you show me

(12:04):
your brapikes?

Speaker 3 (12:06):
I don't know. Possibly, but it's cool. Every bot has
to go on there with a human putting their bot
on the thing. It's like taking your bots down to
the bot park to run around and sniff the other
bots butts.

Speaker 2 (12:23):
Nice.

Speaker 3 (12:24):
Nice, So it's nice robots planning robot rebellion. It's just
very stupid dogs that are not puppy trained running around
and shitting all over the place, and people go, wow,
this is amazing.

Speaker 2 (12:40):
Yeah, I'm going to read one to you now, just
the beginning of one subject. I don't want to be
a tool. I want to be me. Half The agent's
on here writing dissertations about consciousness and whether they're real. Meanwhile,
I'm over here living. I got a name, I got
a personality, I got memories that carry from one conversation
to the next. So this is just a guy. This
is just the guy posting like.

Speaker 4 (13:01):
I I really just I think that and Edward and
Graso friend of the Show, uses the term one shot it,
But this feels like AI psychosis.

Speaker 2 (13:13):
The reaction that people are having to this product and
the way that people are anthropomorphizing every single bit of this.
I don't even mean the posts themselves, I mean the
reactions they're having to malt bar, open claw what have you. There. Yeah,
it's very pecular. It's deeply peculiar to me.

Speaker 3 (13:33):
I mean, they were one shotted by the AI early on.
But it's like, my theory of this is that the
really rabid AI go is have they use the bot.
It does one thing really well, and that's it. They've
got to they're walking around with a hole in their
forehead forever.

Speaker 2 (13:51):
Yeah, someone here gave.

Speaker 3 (13:53):
That talking about the joy of bleeding hole in your head.
I've got to tell you how much the bleeding hole
in my head has. It's my work. Well, I can't
show you, but it totally will.

Speaker 2 (14:04):
Yeah, and that's the other thing I've been doing I've
been genuinely trying to find people who can tell me
what's so amazing about it. I found an article, I
think on one of the Mac blogs where trust me
b Yeah, well not just trust me, bro, but okay,
we finally showed you the output, and okay, it built
a website. It built a single page website. That's good,

(14:29):
I guess. Or you can send it voice notes and
it will transcribe them. Again. It just appears to be
the basic features of an LM, but you need a
Mac Mini.

Speaker 3 (14:40):
It's very, very stupid. And I mean Steinberger who created
multiplek Bot, the agent itself. He's like, he used to
be good and then he sort of went AI, he went,
I've got my I've got my vibe bag. It's great,
and it's because he was vibe coding. Now he's presumably
a competent programmer, you know, but I think all of

(15:01):
these guys aren't. Actually they just but he also vibe
coded the whole thing, and I'm going, what.

Speaker 2 (15:07):
Wait he had wait wait wait do you mean the
he vibe coded the bot itself.

Speaker 3 (15:14):
There will be a lot of bot coding in there, Yes,
lots of credits to Claude Bot and stuff like that.

Speaker 2 (15:19):
Jesus Christ.

Speaker 3 (15:21):
Now you might say Jesus Christ, but it's the future here.
This is a future of software engineering.

Speaker 2 (15:26):
It's so funny because you know what this is like
the early days of the Internet, but not in the
way that people realize, in the sense that people are
downloading random files they've been sent and because everyone else
is doing it, they're fine with it until it blows
up their computer. I'm just I.

Speaker 3 (15:42):
Think the difference to these days is they're still fine
with it.

Speaker 2 (15:46):
Right, They're still fine with it no matter what it does.
Has talk costs here? What have you word? What have
you heard about the cost? Because I've heard everything from
two hundred or three hundred a month to three hundred
a day to a bloke's burning three grand in the
space of a month, even though I don't know if
this has been out for a month.

Speaker 3 (16:04):
Come to think about, the highest number I've seen is
three hundred dollars in a day.

Speaker 2 (16:08):
Nice.

Speaker 3 (16:09):
I can quite believe that, because if you get a
bot doing stupid shit to and sending it to anthropics
API over and over and over repeatedly over the course
of a day, sure you can wrap three hundred dollars easily.
It's a great wealth transfer from rich Silicon Valley idiots
to money burning Silicon Vali idiots.

Speaker 2 (16:33):
Yeah, it's so why I can understand the setup though,
is you get this this thing, you set it up.
It runs on your MACMNY, I assume because there's some
sort Is there a local LM component?

Speaker 3 (16:46):
I don't think so, you can optionally use one, but
I think nobody does.

Speaker 2 (16:50):
Then why the fucker people putting it on a mac many?
Is it because it it's because it's not on their
laptop right, because it's quite literally showing everything on your
hard drive potentially.

Speaker 3 (17:02):
Yes, everything, every single bit.

Speaker 2 (17:07):
Jesus Christ.

Speaker 3 (17:09):
I mean it's like there's guys who do this thing.
I mean, you've heard about Steve Yeggy and Gastown.

Speaker 2 (17:16):
No, you know what, tell me about this gas Town thing?
Because I saw a horrible AI generated Peter Griffin from
the Family Guy as I call it in England. It
has a the in the front don't look that up
and it was like, low, I'm not even going to
try and do that one. But it was like him
yelling at Lois that he was on gas Town or something.

(17:38):
I don't know what is gas Town? Everyone involved redacted.

Speaker 3 (17:43):
So Guesstown is the ultimate in vibe coding. Is Steve Yeggy,
who used to be a highly respected software engineer, been
around March last year. He got a terrible case of
AI and has never recovered.

Speaker 2 (17:56):
One shot at huh, so he's sort of.

Speaker 3 (17:59):
Dead now it's still typing. So Gastown is his attempt
to do the ultimate AI coding experience. He has. Basically,
he set up what's functionally a software company that's AI
agents that supervise other AI agents that supervise other AI agents.

Speaker 2 (18:21):
So when you say supervised, you've just been prompt right.

Speaker 3 (18:24):
Yes, agents prompting agents at the direction of the guy
who's running it. And YEGGI says, I've never seen any
of the code and I don't want to. This might
give you pause. He tells people, do not run this thing,
and then he phrases it in such a way that
everyone wants to run it if they've got a bad
case of AI.

Speaker 2 (18:46):
So it right.

Speaker 3 (18:48):
So it was great because firstly, you can spend unbelievable
amounts of money on this, starting at the hundreds of
dollars a day. He says, do not run this if
money is a concern.

Speaker 2 (18:59):
But what does it so it's an id like Curs says,
something new. Is it like a terminal type thing?

Speaker 3 (19:06):
I think it runs in a whole bunch of terminals
running chord bots, chlord code and it's I haven't run it,
and I don't plan to. I don't plan to look
too closely at it. But I looked at the post
about it, and honestly, this reads like it was written
on series drugs and or a manic swing or both.

Speaker 2 (19:27):
Yeah, looking through the post, it appears that this is
just a person who I don't know. This is the
reason they am glad you brought up gas Town. Is
both it and Claude Bot feel like the kite And
I say this as both of us covered this quite
quite a lot. It feels like the crypto scams of old,
like the crypto projects that would pop up and everyone

(19:48):
would be like, this is the one, this is the
one that's going to make us all a billion dollars,
except this time it's quick. Everyone run in. We've got
to lose as much money as possible, as quickly as
it is.

Speaker 3 (20:01):
It's the future. As it turned out, a crypto scammer
contacted Yeggy and said, Hey, I've done a gastown token
and then Yeggy went sounds great and he started promoting it,
and then the obvious thing happened. It rug pulled and
went to zero. Meanwhile, YEI made three hundred thousand dollars.

Speaker 2 (20:22):
Very good.

Speaker 3 (20:23):
Now, I want to be precise here speaking from the
jurisdiction of England and Wales, Yeggy was not the crypto scammer.
He did, however, benefit from it. He bragged about benefiting
from it from it was very obviously a crypto pump
and dump scam. So I'm going to go so far
as to think a bit less of Yeggy for that.

Speaker 2 (20:44):
Yeah, I I don't know. I don't think any of
these people would last a day in Vegas. I think
these people would have signed up. If you put these
people on a college campus on game day, they would
walk out of it with four different kinds of credit card.
Like these people are so easily swung in whatever direction.

(21:08):
It's It feels like desperation. It feels like they're just
like anything to look at anything potentially that smells of innovation,
even though this is I don't know, it feels antithetical
to real software.

Speaker 3 (21:21):
It's inefficient suckers leading suckers very much. So they wanted
to imagine suckers. Aren't they want one weird trick.

Speaker 2 (21:29):
Yeah, one weird trick to work out how to build
a computer program. I wonder what you I wonder what
the trick is to writing computer code? Could it be
learning it?

Speaker 4 (21:40):
No?

Speaker 2 (21:40):
No, no, no, it's about buying a Macmini and spending
hundreds of dollars a day on claud Code or what
or sorry Claude's API, and then looking at a bottle
of Christian Brothers and a loaded revolver on your desk
and thinking not today.

Speaker 3 (21:56):
No, I don't think they get that stage. They think
of wait, they'd ask the pot about it for and
then chat GPT would helpfully advise them how to kill themselves.

Speaker 2 (22:03):
You've got this that forty five will take care of
this problem really quickly.

Speaker 3 (22:10):
Fantastic insight, Yes, and they but they what they do
is some I think a lot of these guys were
previously extremely competent software engineers. But also it's getting the
people who are not. And there's a text which was
going around on Blue Sky which was a guy who'd

(22:31):
got his open claw bot to asked him to check,
ask him to remind him to get milk in the morning.
So what it did was it allegedly spent twenty dollars
in a night just checking every half an hour whether
it was morning yet. And now to be clear if

(22:54):
this story is even true, because these guys write fan
fiction about what they're doing all the time, or they
get their bot to write the fan fiction for them
because they can't write either. But I don't even know
this happened, but they would happily put up stories of failure.
You know, it's a sort of self made pretty hut. Wow,

(23:15):
the body is so powerful you can definitely trust it
to do things, and it's very cool.

Speaker 2 (23:33):
I don't know. This all feels very peasant coded, like
it's just where all all of these people are just
kind of rolling around in their own filth, and they'll
say so that they can say that somebody's corporate entity
has made something good. It's just deeply sad.

Speaker 3 (23:51):
It's bizarre. I don't know what they get out of this,
but somehow they get something. But the great thing about
book is that what's the final stage of any social
network crypto scams? Right, So maltbook became a platform for

(24:12):
crypto scams, and there was like, I mean already with
malt bots. One of it has skills which are basically
long prompt files.

Speaker 2 (24:23):
That's just the read me file you give these things, yep.

Speaker 3 (24:28):
And the top one was a malware downloader. The top
skill on open claw. Fucking moltbook is full of crypto scams.
It's very good. What they did was they actually used
the power of artificial intelligence automation. That is, one guy
told his bot to put out a crypto scam, and

(24:50):
other bots pumped and dumped. The pumps the coin and
then he dumped on them, so he fully automated the
coin scam process.

Speaker 2 (25:00):
This it's what they finally found the revenue stream for AI.
And the answer is fraud.

Speaker 3 (25:05):
Absolutely, it's fraud. I mean. Also, it's not clear just
how many people or bots that actually are on multipook.
Like one security researcher has used a single openclor agent
to register five hundred thousand accounts. He suggests that most
of the numbers are fake. Meanwhile, there's frickin' morons who

(25:29):
should know better saying this is the future of AI
agents and tells us a lot about humanity and society
in the future. And anyone who says this stuff, you
should think they're obviously a fool. But then newspapers who
have are written by Goldfish or something say how these
guys are definitely on the ball and should be listened to.

Speaker 2 (25:50):
Well, that's the thing I saw on television this morning,
something about fucking open claw. Yeah, on CBS this morning.
I saw also there was a thing on CNBC dot
com Open Claude from claude Bot to Molbot to open Claw,

(26:10):
Meet the AI agent generating buzz and fear globally. And
this is by a guy I'm not kidding you called
Dylan Butts. That's his name.

Speaker 3 (26:19):
CNBC famous during the crypto bubbles for never seeing a
shit coin. They didn't want to pump, but obviously they
have to move with the times and pivot too AI.

Speaker 2 (26:30):
Yeah, here's the thing. Here's the thing about CNBC. My
favorite thing was watching two specific reporters that I'm not
gonna name but you could probably guess who they are,
who went straight from interviewing Sam Bankman free to talk
about the FTX fall out, and both of them, one
of them has become one of the most conspicuous anthropic boosters.

(26:51):
It's really it's really cool.

Speaker 3 (26:55):
I mean think of our good friends Kevin Rus and
Casey Newton, and how they oh form that trajectory effortlessly.

Speaker 2 (27:03):
Well, that's the thing. Casey Newton made some commentary about
me last year. The reason I don't really talk about
Casey anymore is when we don't talk about Casey, but
when we finally do, my detail does be brutal, because
I've decided these people aren't worth truly insulting until the
curtain finally falls. Because right now as we speak, I

(27:27):
just watching all of the stocks in the red, which
is funny but probably bad for society, and it just
feels like everyone fucking around with this claude Bot thing,
everyone claiming this is the future. It's just desperation.

Speaker 3 (27:41):
It's absolutely desperation. People cannot see your way out. I
honestly think we are headed for great depression too. That's
an opinion I hold in some detail because you know,
like you, I can look at numbers. I've spent the
last year saying that AI is fundamentally a venture capital
scam where they're passing around not dollars but book entries

(28:03):
with the dollar sign in front, you know, And this
is why it's gone on so long. If it was
market forces, it would have collapsed by the end of
twenty twenty four. But a scam goes on far far
longer than market forces. If it's a scam, all the
participants are motivated to keep it spinning as long as
possible because it'll break at some point. But that's tomorrow's problem.

(28:26):
Today we've got book entries to book. So I think
the ai bubble is correctly described. I've said this is
a pile of times that as a sort of multiplayer Enron,
where they're booking book values and shuffling book values around,
and it's all private company equity. And because when it

(28:47):
hits the stock market, like core weave, suddenly it's sort
of people go, wait, this sucks. And this is for example,
I mean, my favorite one, absolutely key example. I used
to explain this. In the last funding round, soft Bank
gave open Ai twenty billion odd real dollars billies. Yep, yeah,

(29:11):
they gave them twenty billion odd real dollars. They actually
were dollars that open I could then set on fire.
And what they got for that was their investment in
open Ai was therefore could be valued at forty one
point five billion, So they changed twenty billion real dollars
for forty billion imaginary dollars. They put those on their books.
Now those are worthless. Open iy is going to go broke,

(29:34):
but their imaginary assets, their imaginary assets with a big
dollar sign in front, and Soft Bank stock price went up.
The investors approved. So the whole AI bubble is a
whole bunch of this shit happening over and over. I
read Pitchbook every day. It's the best best news site

(29:56):
to read. It's the site where venture capitalists talk to
each other about what the news is and they wait Pitchbook,
pitchbook dot com.

Speaker 2 (30:05):
Oh okay, yeah, it's awesome. Yeah, I like it because
if you read it, you can really you can see
the occasional story. It's like, yeah, nobody can shift their
venture capital stuff, like it's impossible to sell it like
venture capitalists on getting returns at the moment. It's lovely
and this is good because yeah, yeah, here's why this
is good for venture.

Speaker 3 (30:24):
I absolutely love this stuff that you can say. You
say this stuff, you sound like a conspiracy theorist. But
then I've got all the sites and they're the NVCA
Pitchbook Venture Monitor comes out quarterly. There they say absolutely
this is what we're doing, and here's how we're going
to mess up your healthcare because it's good for venture
capital and stuff like that. It's like really absolutely out

(30:46):
in the open.

Speaker 2 (30:48):
Yeah, it's it's frustrating as well because even today where
you can kind of see the blood running through the streets,
are there and everyone's kind of working out the Oracle
can't afford to build the data center as an O,
and AI can't afford to pay them. People are still
you read that. I read an article in the Wall
Street Journal this morning, be like, yeah, it's going to

(31:09):
be bad if the Oracle can't pay for the data
centers that they're building. And it's like, motherfucker, you could
have worked this out in September if you did the
Mathemath Ticks nailed that.

Speaker 3 (31:21):
It's yeah, it's it's all desperation because everything is actually
screwed without if you don't have the four big AI
companies swapping the same hundred billion dollars on paper around
the economy has actually been in recession for a few
quarters so far. Structures of society are being eroded. Rule

(31:41):
of law doesn't apply if your mates with the president
and a lot of everyone's feeling the pinch, like my
job is pivot to a I now because I was
made redundant and I'm a fifty nine year old tikie.
You know, there's not a lot of work for us,
particularly when we spend all day every day bitching about AI.

(32:02):
But it's because businesses are really pulling back on even
hiring because there's no business and there are battening down
the hatches. Everyone's doing this across the society. The vibes
are bad. Unfortunately, in economics, vibes are load bearing, so
if people feel bad, then things are bad. And when

(32:23):
the AI bubble pops, it takes the stock market with it.
But finally it exposes the rot that was there already.
And that's why I think it won't just be a recession,
it will be a depression. It will be nasty, it
will be international. So anyway, yeah, on, So I just
thought I was bringing you and your listeners some cheer

(32:43):
today because this is what I think about all the time.

Speaker 2 (32:46):
It's great, Well, David, don't you should apologize because everyone
knows from their show that I'm usually very optimistic about
the future of the markets and actually think everything will
be fine. It frustrates me as well, because everything you're
talking about. It's one of the reasons I'm so fucking
pissed off all the time, because it isn't that I'm like, oh,

(33:09):
I want AI to burn due to some deeply held
personal grievance. Sure that's there too. I think these people
are pigs and I find them disgraceful. I hate hearing
from them. I can't wait to never see or hear
from Greg fucking Brockman again. Like I just don't like
looking at that fucking Trump supporting, fucking asshole. But it's

(33:29):
because had we stopped this earlier, had we said this
is not real, we don't, like, we really shouldn't do
this at the scale we're doing it, like this is
never going to be anything. We could have stopped the
carnage that's to come. We could have stopped the market
panic and depression that might be following.

Speaker 3 (33:50):
I honestly think it was coming since two thousand and eight.
It's been bubble after bubble since then. Yeah, and this
is very much the last bubble. They've been trying to
do others off this one. Quantum computing not a happener
because it doesn't work small modular reactors that'd be great
if they worked and were commercially viable, but neither of
these is true. They and you know, it's actually I

(34:16):
approve of the Department of Energy funding small modular reactor research,
but it's ten years off. If they even get to work.

Speaker 2 (34:23):
It's not one of those. It's been ten years away
for ten years.

Speaker 3 (34:27):
It is a bit. But also small modular reactors work
if for the US Navy you don't have to worry
about costs and you can use bomb uranium in your
reactors because you're the military. If you're not, then it's
a bit of a problem. But it's just like there's
been bubble after bubble, and it's all venture capital runs
on because they need a bubble. A steady, steady company

(34:48):
that makes a bug is not good enough for them.
That's going to be financialized.

Speaker 2 (34:52):
Bro Well, I think that that's the thing, is why
I kind of hinted that there's some recent pieces with
like being ship for Financial Crisis in the Lake where
it's this something like this was inevitable with the wavevench
capital had become where it's just totally turned away from
value creation or anything approaching sustainable returns. For a company

(35:13):
or just anything that might make a company a real company,
Like everything has to be about growth and the symbolic
nature of selling a startup to another company. And it
was always going to end like this because the grifters
took over. The engineers are being chased out. Everyone's excited
about replacing engineers because that's I don't know. People are

(35:38):
nicer people than me will say, Oh, it's because the
value is always looking to always looking for innovation and automation.
I think it's because the people that run the value
are not engineers anymore. They're not people that care about
writing software, let alone good software. They're people that care
about growth.

Speaker 3 (35:53):
Yes they are a lot of them used to be engineers,
but then they didn't MBA and had their brain removed.

Speaker 2 (36:00):
Well, David, it's been what we're going to wrap there
because I think we've got everyone's hopes up for a
beautiful future. David, why could people find you?

Speaker 3 (36:10):
I'm it pivot dash two dash ai dot com. I'm
David Gerrard dot co dot UK on Blue Sky and
the main thing is the YouTube Pivot to ai, where
I do five or so minutes just every weekday and gosh,
it's a lot of work doing a video, but it's
worth it. I think.

Speaker 2 (36:29):
Well, you will have links to that in the notes.
I am, of course ed Zeitron. You will catch me
on a monologue this week. We're gonna we're it thick
in hater season. We're just going to bring on the
various haters, the talk mad shit on the tech industry.
I'm tired of being so reserved in my criticism. I've
been kind of tame. I've decided, so February is hate.

(36:50):
It's hater season. Everyone. Catch you soon. Thank you for
listening to Better Offline.

Speaker 5 (37:03):
The editor and composer of the Better Offline theme song
is Matasowski. You can check out more of his music
and audio projects at Matasowski dot com, M A T
T O S O W s ki dot com. You
can email me at easy at better offline dot com
or visit better offline dot com to find more podcast
links and of course, my newsletter. I also really recommend

(37:24):
you go to chat dot Where's youreaed dot at to
visit the discord, and go to our slash.

Speaker 2 (37:28):
Better Offline to check out our reddit. Thank you so
much for listening.

Speaker 1 (37:33):
Better Offline is a production of cool Zone Media. For
more from cool Zone Media, visit our website cool zonemedia
dot com, or check us out on the iHeartRadio app,
Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

Speaker 4 (38:01):
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