January 22, 2026 • 23 mins
Join Joe Pisapia, Chris Welsh, and Andrew Erickson as they highlight their best bets and player props ahead of the AFC Championship game between the New England Patriots and the Denver Broncos!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)
Intro - 0:00:00
Patriots -2.5 1st Half - 0:00:52
BettingPros Livestream - 0:01:55
Broncos +5.5 - 0:03:08
Drake Maye Passing Yards Over 223.5 - 0:05:44
Evan Engram: Over 19.5 receiving yards - 0:09:06
Evan Engram Anytime Touchdown Scorer - 0:11:30
Evan Engram over 2.5 receptions - 0:12:15
BettingPros Discord - 0:15:05
Jarrett Stidham Rushing Yards Under 14.5 - 0:15:27
Courtland Sutton Under 4.5 receptions - 0:16:39
Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown - 0:17:14
RJ Harvey Under 43.5 Rushing Yards - 0:18:59
Hard Rock Best Bets of The Week - 0:19:45
Touchdown Calls - 0:22:28
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:02):
Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place
your bets as me Joey P joe P Zapia and
this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead the
Championship Sunday, and we've got not one, but two specials
for you this weekend. First, let's start with the AFC special.
Here we're talking about the Broncos. We're talking about the Patriots.
Andrew Erics and I are on the edge of our
(00:23):
seat hoping our pass could get back to the Super Bowl.
And of course, if there's somebody who likes to throw
a little cold water on the Patriots, it's our good
friend the Welsh who was back. Yay, we missed the Welsh.
She was moving. He took some days off to unpack,
and now we're gonna unpack the AFC Championship game. Here
they've got their best bets for the game. We've also
got some touchdown call, same game parlay, all that stuff. So, Welsh,
(00:44):
we haven't seen you in a while. We miss you,
So whyn't you kick us off here with your first
bet for the AFC Championship Game?
Speaker 2 (00:51):
All right?
Speaker 3 (00:51):
Were you throwing a little bit of shade like I
don't think the Patriots are a good team.
Speaker 4 (00:56):
Well, my first.
Speaker 3 (00:57):
Bet is on the Patriots. Yay, we're not gonna go
full game, We're gonna go first half. Patriots first half
on the spread minus two and a half.
Speaker 4 (01:09):
It is floating around.
Speaker 3 (01:11):
A lot of places might want to try to get
you at three and a half. You gotta get two
and a half. The Patriots fourteen wins against the spread
in the first half this season, the number one first
half team ats. They are currently two and zero in
the first half during the playoffs, and they have been
a juggernaut. They have been a monster.
Speaker 4 (01:30):
Obviously.
Speaker 3 (01:31):
I'd also throw out that you're looking at the Broncos
and what is their offense going to be able to
do versus them.
Speaker 4 (01:37):
I really like the position that the Patriots are in.
Speaker 3 (01:39):
I really like for them to be able to take
this in the first half, and I'm looking for them
to be up by a field goal. So minus two
and a half in the first half. One of my
favorite bets. Patriots the best at it.
Speaker 1 (01:52):
And they're gonna do it again. Speaking of the first
half of the AFC Championship game, you can join us
here live on Betting Pros to watch Seth Wollcock and
Scott Bogman sweat out the first half of the AFC
Championship game two forty five Eastern time right here on
the channel. Subscribe to the channel, ring the bell to
lickos ding so you get the notification when we are live.
They're gonna take you through their favorite bets for the game,
(02:14):
the first half bets they're gonna sweat it out, plus
Welsh's bet right here and you can sweat along with
them and make some bets right here on the channel.
So make sure you join us live for AFC Championship
first half with Scott Bogman and Seth Wolcock. Shout out
to Seth taking over so I can watch my Patriots
play because I don't have to coach football because the
snowstorm looks like it'shutting down the entire area. As Andrew
said to hopefully I just have power. That's the only hope.
(02:37):
So Andrews, your phone is charged, you'll be good to go. Well,
and if I had no Internet, that's gonna be tricky.
Speaker 2 (02:44):
What you have five g baby?
Speaker 1 (02:46):
Come on, I do have the five data. But you
know that's true. Yeah, that's true. Oh yeah, that's true.
I always use that anyway.
Speaker 2 (02:51):
Right, you might be cold, you might be cold watching
the game, but you'll be watching.
Speaker 1 (02:55):
It might be freezing watching the game, but.
Speaker 4 (02:57):
Drake Mayil keep you warm.
Speaker 1 (02:58):
You'll be That's right, Drake, Drake may May. All right,
let's talk about Andrew Erckson. What's your first bet here
of the five for AFC Championship Sunday.
Speaker 2 (03:06):
I am taking the Broncos with the points Broncos plus
five and a half. I think that the lines have
shifted too far in favor of the Patriots because of
the bow Knicks injury. You know, they asked odds makers
before the start of the season how many points all
the quarterbacks were worth against the spread.
Speaker 1 (03:23):
Boon Nicks was worth four points.
Speaker 2 (03:25):
But we've seen how this line has shifted. It was
originally going to be Broncos minus one and a half
hosting the Patriots with Bonnicks as the starting quarterback, and
it's shifted over six points. And I think that's too
much for bo Nicks too. We talked about a little
bit before we start recording. I mean, not the perfect quarterback.
I think his biggest impact this year has been on
the clutch factor and picking up first downs with his legs,
(03:46):
but he hasn't been a great quarterback in terms of
helping the Broncos cover spreads. The Bronco has been one
of the more overrated teams this year in terms of
covering when they've been a favorite this season, but as
an underdog, they've covered four straight as an underdog.
Speaker 1 (03:57):
They're actually one.
Speaker 2 (03:57):
Of the few undefeated teams against the spread as an
underdog season four oho to one against the spread, four
and one straight up as an underdog this season. So
Denver showed out when they've been counted out by the
odds makers, and I think again they're gonna do that
in this particular matchup because I think for the New
England Patriots heading on, this is the first time the
Patrios have faced an elite defense on the road this season.
We saw the last two weeks elite defense, elite defense.
(04:20):
Their offense has scored less than twenty points per game
in both of those contests. So I think that the
way that we've seen this offensive line play Will Campbell
has been terrible over the last two weeks, and now
he's facing the number one defense in sacks generated and
sacked percentage. Like that concerns me. Drick May has six
fumbles over the last two weeks. He had nine in
the entire regular season. So if one of these balls
(04:42):
doesn't bounce in favor of the Patriots, you get short fields,
tough place to play in Denver, hostile environment. So I
do ultimately think the Patriots win because bo Nicks they're
gonna miss him in the fourth quarter in the second half.
But I think this is gonna be tight, more of
a field goal type of game. So give me the
Broncos with the points. Again, Patriots to win, but I
think the Broncos cover.
Speaker 1 (05:03):
I agree. I think these two defenses will, you know,
keep it tight here. I do like I'm a little
annoyed at all the Jarrett's Didham coverage that's coming out
here recently too, where it's all this, look at what
you did against you know, the forty nine ers in
this game, and look at it, like stop, okay, just
stop with that. If he was that good, he would
have gotten a job already somewhere else. He's a backup
(05:23):
quarterback for a reason. Look how much he's being paid
as a backup. Well, that's because they had a young
quarterback and they could afford to pay a higher backup
because they had a young quarterback. So stidamam. I'm sure
we'll make a couple of plays. I don't doubt that.
But at the same time, let's just pump the brakes
a little bit now, speaking of those Drake May turnovers
and Drake May's season. Here, Welsh, your next pick has
to do with Drake May. Let's talk about it.
Speaker 3 (05:43):
Yeah, I've actually got a Jared Sidham one. We're gonna
do it a little bit as well, but I'm going
to just go back to it.
Speaker 4 (05:48):
This is so weird. You guys are like you like.
Speaker 3 (05:49):
Oh Patriots fans, and you both are just like well
Jared studio him and the Broncos and covering like I'm
the Patriots guy here. A lot of my bets are
on the Patriots because I think they're the superior team.
I feel like you guys are giving a lot more
credit to Jared Sidham than need be the Patriots. Guess what,
The defensive matchups are not going to get any easier
when you get to the super Bowl if they make it,
(06:10):
and they're a pretty good offense as well, and Drake
May pretty good quarterbacks, So yes, It's a great defensive matchup,
Broncos the best out there, but that's also going to
put them in a situation where Drake May is going
to have to sling the ball. I don't think they're
going to be as successful in the running game. It
might lead to Drake May even running a little bit more,
But I like the passing yards, So I'm going to
go with the passing yards over at two twenty three
(06:30):
point five. That's the over on Drake May's passing yards.
He has hit this in seven of his last ten games,
and as a matter of fact, he's only gone under
this passing line five times the entire season. Broncos, they've
given this up to quarterbacks in three of the last
five games played. But I thought this was interesting. The
two that didn't go over the passing marker, we're against
(06:52):
Trey Lance and Chris Oladokin. So I think that as
good as that Broncos defense is, the way that the
Patriots are going to do this and make this happened
is in the passing game. So Drake May over on
the passing yards that is bet number two for apparently my.
Speaker 1 (07:08):
Well, look, we're just giving the Broncos respect. Also you
have to keep in mind, Andrew and I have a
lot of bad memories of going into Denver and being disappointed.
So it's a little bit of, you know, psychological issues
that we're trying to work through here. Today.
Speaker 3 (07:20):
You're doing the reverse thing where you're in the playoffs
and fantasy and you're down and then you text the
congratulations over like, I know this game.
Speaker 1 (07:32):
You missed it though on out of Bounds were recapsled
last week here in the Betting Pros Live. I was
able to successfully jinx both the Bills and the Denver Broncos.
I had my Denver Broncos headband and then I had
my Bills hat, and then going back and forth, and
eventually I did get Josh Allen eliminated for the playoffs
and bo Nicks eliminated for the playoffs.
Speaker 4 (07:53):
So it just why do you have all the other
teams stuff?
Speaker 1 (07:56):
Because because every year three different flag football teams for
NFL Flag, So we get gear, and I got cool
stuff laying around the house all the time. You know,
when I when I coached the Broncos, I get Bronco stuff.
When I coached you know, the Patriots, I had Patriots
stuff and I already had Patriots stuff.
Speaker 3 (08:13):
It's all forty nine ers here, except I have I
have a hat from a unaired commercial that Joe Piezap
and I did that was potentially going to air on
like remember that, And it was a it was a
Chargers hat, and I wore it around and every time
people are like, oh, you charge a fan, and I'm
like ew no, and I'm like, oh, I forgot I'm
wearing the Chargers hat that I was purchased.
Speaker 2 (08:32):
Well, Joe is slowly becoming that Homer Simpson meme where
he comes out of the bush with just a different
hat of a team.
Speaker 1 (08:40):
I'm always a Patriots fan, but I got NFL gear
because this is what I do. I coach football. I
do NFL shows nothing wrong with that. Hey, my Rams
team from last winter, undefeated Rams team. I got the
big pennant hanging up right here in the office. You
know why undefeated champions lift forever.
Speaker 4 (08:58):
That's why that might happen in the playoff too. Well,
so you have.
Speaker 1 (09:01):
To check out the NFC show for that. Ericson, You've
got some bets on, Evan Ingram. Let's take your favorite
one here with the Denver Broncos.
Speaker 2 (09:07):
Yeah, I'm gonna go with Evan Ingram over nineteen and
a half receiving yards. So what I'm expecting to see
from Jared's Didham this week is more throws over the
middle of the field. That's one of the main differences
between him and bo Nix, the other being he also
takes way more sacks than Mowaennicks does, so that also
plays into why like the under in this game. But
I think Evan Ingram is kind of the X factor
for the Broncos passing attack. You look at the receivers
(09:30):
for Denver Courtland Sun probably gonna match up with Christian Gonzales. Okay,
that kind of takes him potentially out of the equation.
The next two guys, Troy Franklin and Pat Bryant, well,
they both got hurt last week, both limited in practice
on Wednesday. We'll see with them how they shake out
in terms of the offensive game plan. But that leaves
Marvin Mims, who I have been fooled once too many times,
trying to chase his points in production. So I can
(09:52):
also guarantee Evan Ingram breakout game because Marvin Mims broke
out last week. Because Sean Baiten, the usage never carries
over from week to week. You look at the matchup,
he lines up in the slot primarily again, so I
like that in terms of Jared said him taking over
as the quarterback, and I think the Patriots have kind
of been just mediocre against tight ends this year eleventh
in yards allowed to tight ends this year fifty seven
point one. Evan Ingram, a hot before last week, had
(10:14):
gone over twenty receiving yards in three straight games. Buffalo
Bills are one of the best evinces against tight ends,
So I'm not going to hold last week's dud against
Van Ingram even when those other receivers went down. I
think with Jared's didn't look I don't expect you can't
copy and paste all of his numbers, but he's thrown
for at least two hundred nineteen yards in his four
starts in the NFL. Like, I don't think he's gonna
go out there and throw for one hundred yards. So
(10:35):
if he's going to bring one of his receivers along
for the ride, I'm kind of pinpointing and circling Evan
Ingram as that player. He's four games with forty yards
or more seventy nine receiving arts is his season high.
Speaker 1 (10:46):
Four tight ends.
Speaker 2 (10:46):
The Patriots have faces either have gone for at least
sixty two yards. They've allowed two one hundred yard games
two tight ends. So I think that because this is
such a low number, I want to ladder bet Evan
Ingram this week because you can get Evan Ingram to
get fifty receiving yards at close to five to one odds,
and I just don't think that's a very high bar
for him to pass based on what we could potentially
(11:07):
see with the quarterback switch. Sobay I'm seeing is if
I'm right about Stidham like honing in on Ingram as
the matchup to attack against this Patriots defense, then I
think you can make a big profit off an Evan
Ingram big type of game, especially with those other receivers
maybe not as involved in the game plan as they're
putting it together for Sunday's game.
Speaker 1 (11:27):
Now, your third pick also has to do with Evan
Ingram because you think he actually has the upside. If
you're right about all this to score and that return
is five to one.
Speaker 2 (11:34):
Well, you can't run on the Patriots defense. So I'm
not expecting any of these Denver Bronco running backs to
find the end zone in any capacity. Again, Courtland Sutton
has the tough matchup Gonzalez. Troy Franklin has been the
other red zone guy, but he's dealing with the hamstring injury,
so I think that leaves Evan Ingram is the next
man up in terms of usage in the red zone.
So I love his odds again, five to one, the
(11:54):
Patriots second highest passing touchdown rate allowed the season, because
as I mentioned before, can't run on this team and
the dever Broncos have been really inconsistent running game.
Speaker 1 (12:02):
We'll see if JK.
Speaker 2 (12:03):
Dobbins comes back. I think that he's a long shot
to play. Harvey's been too inconsistent, especially near the goal line.
So yeah, I like Evan Ingram a lot in this game,
and if I'm right about him, I'm going to be
a very very happy man.
Speaker 1 (12:15):
Now, Welsh, I don't want to leave you out of
the Evan Ingram conversation because you've got Ingram bet as well.
Speaker 3 (12:19):
Yeah, just when you thought you were done with Evan Ingram,
it's the even Ingram Show. Because I'm in the same
space with Erickson here. I think Stidham is going to
be target targeting Evan Ingram, and there might be I
don't know if I'm quite as comfortable in the ladder
betting territory, but you know what it's floating out there
for us. But where I'm going because I'm going on receptions.
That reception marker is at like two and a half
(12:40):
right now. He hit this in five of his last
six regular season games, tight ends have been on average
getting just under six by five point seven catches and
over fifty yards receiving against the Patriots on the ear
So kind of as mentioned like, you know, that is
an open space, especially for Evan Ingram in that tight
end market be able to find some success. But also
(13:02):
you know Stidham is going to be looking for safety
net options. He's going to be facing a ton of blitz.
He's going to be probably on his heels. The outside
is going to be a tough spot for him to throw,
and I think Evan Ingram is going to be that
safety net option for him. This is a classic backup
quarterback tight end where they can't ear the ball out
and they're going to look for that safety net and
(13:23):
that is where I think Evan Ingram is going to shine.
I don't mind the receiving yards, but I legit think
it's going to be Stidham one look and then it
is going to be dump off to Evan Ingram and
Evan Ingram is going to have to play some yak.
Speaker 4 (13:36):
So I actually the yards are cool.
Speaker 3 (13:38):
I think I might lad other receptions and play four
to five in this one. This one is you know,
anywhere from like one twenty to one to fifteen on
three receptions. I might play that up, and like Erickson,
if he hits, we're going to be happy boys. If not,
we're going to be swimming in sledge and it'll be
a bad Evan Ingram and will you know, curse his
name for the rest of the purvity.
Speaker 2 (13:59):
But it's going to be this seen from the Joker
or the bat or Batman or the Dark Knight. When
the Joker lights up all that money on fire, like
that's going to be betting on Evan Ingram to have
a big game and him.
Speaker 1 (14:10):
Glad you land on the right Batman film, Eventually.
Speaker 4 (14:12):
There's a lot of Batman. There's a lot of references
to the Darkmans.
Speaker 2 (14:17):
Not even Batman's not even in that title of that movie.
Speaker 4 (14:21):
He's well, he's the Dark Knight.
Speaker 1 (14:23):
He is the Dark Knight.
Speaker 4 (14:24):
Yeah, that is who's the best Batman? By the way,
who is the best Batman?
Speaker 1 (14:29):
I'd still, says Christian Bale. All round, I have a
I have a saucepot for Keaton, but in terms of
like the Batman part of it, I still I think
want to be pretty good too. To be honest, I
think he does a pretty good job on that. It's
a very different version.
Speaker 3 (14:43):
It's more hipsters want Keaton to be the guy and
want him to be the only guy. But Bail was
the best, Pattinson was underrated.
Speaker 1 (14:53):
Kilmer forgotten Batman too. Just I think Valkimer wouldn't have
been better if it was more of a serious film.
It was so goofy that they didn't say the so
let's go to the next bet Yeah, let's go to
the next one. By the way, before you want to
keep conversations like this going, but instead about betting, go
to our discord bettingpros dot com slash chat. It's free,
it's fun. You get expert picks from guys like Matt
Perrault on their plus. If it's NBA, if it's NHL,
(15:15):
if it's football, we got everything going on. Their college
hoops is around the quarter too, with the big tournament
looming in March, so make sure you go over and
join our discord again bettingpros dot Com slash Chat. Next up,
Welsh Jared Stidham. You promised it and now deliver.
Speaker 3 (15:28):
All right, and look at this, we're playing an under
because it's Jared Stidham. Jared'stidham rushing yards opened up at
fourteen and a half and we are playing the under.
Now him facing you know, a lot of guys in
his face, a lot of bullets and stuff could potentially
have him moving through. But I wouldn't look back at Sidham. Stidham,
over his career, has thirty seven total carries for a
(15:51):
total of one hundred and one yards. That's like two
point seven yard, just under three yards per carry. Over
the last three years, win given an opportunity because he's
had minimal opportunities, he has seen fourteen carries. Those have
equated to twelve yards. Patriots, they're averaging giving up about
three carries to quarterbacks total. I don't think Sidham is
(16:12):
going to be in a spy now to be fair,
you know, if all the guys are taken away. Maybe
he's able to bring it up. I just don't think
that's going to be the case. I think Stidham, they're
going to keep ingram in low. They're going to keep
guys like r. J.
Speaker 4 (16:23):
Harvey.
Speaker 3 (16:23):
He's going to take a bunch of sacks, and I
don't think the opportunity for him to be flying is
going to happen. It hasn't happened in his career. I
see why the lines open up there, but I absolutely
love smashing the under on fourteen point five rushing yards
for Sidham in this game.
Speaker 1 (16:37):
All right, Andrew for your fourth pick. Between the Patriots
defense and Jared Sidham playing quarterback. What kind of day
does that portend for Courtland Sutton?
Speaker 2 (16:45):
Probably an inefficient day for the Broncos number one wide receiver.
So I'm going to take the under on his receptions
at four and a half. He's been under this number
in three straight games. You are considering the tough matchup
against Christian Zalez, you have a new quarterback under center,
So I think this one just hey, the process of
the process, process, kate the under here. Someton's a good player,
but he hasn't really played up to that level over
(17:05):
the last couple of weeks. So I'm taking the under here.
Speaker 1 (17:08):
Okay, the under for Courtland Sutton. So finally get under
from the undertaker. Love that all right, Welsh, give me
your last pick here and then we'll get to our
favorite picks, some touchdown calls. The SGP actually got a
lot of stuff left in the show. But let's get
to the last pick for you guys. First. Let's start
with Hunter Henry for you.
Speaker 3 (17:25):
Yeah, speaking of any time touchdown, Hunter Henry, anytime touchdown
is where I'm going to go. Broncos have given up
touchdowns to tight ends in three of their last six games.
Henry four touchdowns over his last five games. And though
we've seen guys like you know, Booty or even like
a to Mario Douglas, see like increased red zone targets
as mentioned a bunch in here, the corner matchups. I
guess we've talked about it on the other side, but
(17:47):
you know you're going to have the corner matchups locking
down a lot of these guys. It May is going
to be looking at Hunter Henry. So I really like
this spot for Hunter Henry. I think, unlike you guys,
that Drake May is going to have a successful game,
and Hunter Henry will be one of the reasons behind it.
So anytime touchdown for Hunter Henry were then Patriots.
Speaker 1 (18:04):
For the record, I think May will have a successful
game because he will make some plays. The Denver Broncos
off defense is very good, and they are playing at home.
It's a distinct advantage. It's a tough building. I know
they've been road warriors all year, and they've been terrific
at home, and they've won all these Excuse me, they've
terrific on the road, winning all these games in a
row on the road. But I still got to give
some credit to how good the Denver Broncos team is defensively.
(18:25):
And Sean Payton's a good football coach. He's gonna have
them ready to play. And sometimes these weird things happen, right,
you know, guys rally around a backup quarterback. That's what
happened all those years ago to the Rams, right, Kurt Warner.
But it's all late in the game.
Speaker 4 (18:36):
Nick Foles. Nick Foles pointed out, like, hey, don't let
the show, don't sleep.
Speaker 1 (18:40):
Quarter show your mouth, you know, to Tom Brady. Right,
that's right, that's right, Thank you. Andrew Actually, I don't
know if I'm happy about that. Now you're sad about it?
Speaker 4 (18:51):
What do you do? You guys even hear yourself rocket.
You're going to covers.
Speaker 1 (18:55):
That's all I care about. They're going to cover. Okay, yeah,
all right, let's talk about your final here, Andrew? What
do you have here? Last, but not least, R J.
Speaker 2 (19:03):
Harvey under forty three and a half rushing yards slammed
the under on woody marks last week.
Speaker 1 (19:07):
He didn't even come cold.
Speaker 2 (19:08):
He didn't even twenty yards despite having double digit carries.
Because you can't run on the Patriots defense. We got
Milton Williams, you got Tonga, you got Robert Splaine. Just
you can't run on the Patriot Steve. It's no running
back has more than sixty rushing yards through the first
eleven games played when they were all healthy. Through two
playoff games, none of the running backs have exceeded twenty
five more rushing yards. So I think this is just
(19:29):
rinse and repeat JK.
Speaker 4 (19:30):
Dobbins.
Speaker 2 (19:31):
Maybe he comes back, maybe he doesn't.
Speaker 1 (19:32):
But R J.
Speaker 2 (19:33):
Harvey has been under forty three and a half rushing
yards in his last three games, and his rushing yards
have actually decreased in six straight games. So trust the process.
Bet against running backs facing the Patriots run defense.
Speaker 1 (19:44):
All right, trust the process too. With our sponsor, hard
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(21:07):
New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. All right, let's talk about
it here, Welsh, what is your favorite bet for AFC
Championship Game.
Speaker 3 (21:15):
Of the five bets that I've laid out for you.
I absolutely love New England to cover the spread in
the first half minus two and a half. As I
said before, they have been monsters at it they've been
the best in the NFL at it and they're gonna
do it again in this one. So Patriots minus two
and a half first half spread. That is my hard
rock best bet.
Speaker 1 (21:34):
Andrew, what is your hard rock best bet for AFC
Championship Sunday?
Speaker 2 (21:38):
Taking the Broncos with the points plus five and a half.
Matt Pearlt mentioned this stat nugget earlier this week that
four point or more home underdogs in the playoffs are
ten and zero against the spread. So they've been undefeated
so far this season against the number and past seasons
against the number. And when you look at Drake May,
when he's faced top ten defenses this year, he's been
(22:00):
sacked at least five times in every single match pick
it's top ten defense, and he's thrown at least one interception.
So I think that's enough. Where he's they're getting stalled
out drives, there's a potential turnover here or there, and
I think that's enough to keep this within a field goal.
So give me the Broncos, even if the Patriots end
up winning it in the fourth quarter.
Speaker 1 (22:17):
All Right, you put those two things together at hard
rock Bet, you get plus four thirty one, So that
is our SGP here for the AFC Championship game. And
if you're looking for touchdown calls, don't forget the guys
already made them. You get Hunter Henry plus two to
twenty Evan Ingram plus five hundred. They're looking for Evan
Ingram to have a big day potentially here for Jarrett
Stidham and the Denver Broncos. But if you're gonna place
(22:38):
these bets, do it over at hard Rock Bet again
five bucks if you win, get you one hundred and
fifty bonus bets only at hard Rock Bet. Gentlemen, great
job today as always, and if you love this, you're
gonna love the NFC one even more so make sure
you subscribe to the channel, subscribe to the podcast feed,
and check out our NFC Best Bet show as well.
That'll do it for us. But the story of the
game goes on. For Andrew Erickson, I'm Joey p We'll
(23:01):
see you next time kids and Joey Championship Sunday.
Speaker 3 (23:04):
I'm also the Welsh by I didn't say in the
Welsh Nope, because you haven't been here in a couple
of weeks.
Speaker 4 (23:09):
Go Patriots.
Speaker 1 (23:10):
I'll do it again for the Welsh and Andrew ericson
I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time kids. That
time it was the Welsh too.
Speaker 4 (23:18):
Boom.
Speaker 5 (23:22):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube
channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros
Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place
your bets as me Joey P joe P Zapia and
this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead the
Championship Sunday, and we've got not one, but two specials
for you this weekend. First, let's start with the AFC special.
Here we're talking about the Broncos. We're talking about the Patriots.
Andrew Erics and I are on the edge of our
(00:23):
seat hoping our pass could get back to the Super Bowl.
And of course, if there's somebody who likes to throw
a little cold water on the Patriots, it's our good
friend the Welsh who was back. Yay, we missed the Welsh.
She was moving. He took some days off to unpack,
and now we're gonna unpack the AFC Championship game. Here
they've got their best bets for the game. We've also
got some touchdown call, same game parlay, all that stuff. So, Welsh,
(00:44):
we haven't seen you in a while. We miss you,
So whyn't you kick us off here with your first
bet for the AFC Championship Game?
Speaker 2 (00:51):
All right?
Speaker 3 (00:51):
Were you throwing a little bit of shade like I
don't think the Patriots are a good team.
Speaker 4 (00:56):
Well, my first.
Speaker 3 (00:57):
Bet is on the Patriots. Yay, we're not gonna go
full game, We're gonna go first half. Patriots first half
on the spread minus two and a half.
Speaker 4 (01:09):
It is floating around.
Speaker 3 (01:11):
A lot of places might want to try to get
you at three and a half. You gotta get two
and a half. The Patriots fourteen wins against the spread
in the first half this season, the number one first
half team ats. They are currently two and zero in
the first half during the playoffs, and they have been
a juggernaut. They have been a monster.
Speaker 4 (01:30):
Obviously.
Speaker 3 (01:31):
I'd also throw out that you're looking at the Broncos
and what is their offense going to be able to
do versus them.
Speaker 4 (01:37):
I really like the position that the Patriots are in.
Speaker 3 (01:39):
I really like for them to be able to take
this in the first half, and I'm looking for them
to be up by a field goal. So minus two
and a half in the first half. One of my
favorite bets. Patriots the best at it.
Speaker 1 (01:52):
And they're gonna do it again. Speaking of the first
half of the AFC Championship game, you can join us
here live on Betting Pros to watch Seth Wollcock and
Scott Bogman sweat out the first half of the AFC
Championship game two forty five Eastern time right here on
the channel. Subscribe to the channel, ring the bell to
lickos ding so you get the notification when we are live.
They're gonna take you through their favorite bets for the game,
(02:14):
the first half bets they're gonna sweat it out, plus
Welsh's bet right here and you can sweat along with
them and make some bets right here on the channel.
So make sure you join us live for AFC Championship
first half with Scott Bogman and Seth Wolcock. Shout out
to Seth taking over so I can watch my Patriots
play because I don't have to coach football because the
snowstorm looks like it'shutting down the entire area. As Andrew
said to hopefully I just have power. That's the only hope.
(02:37):
So Andrews, your phone is charged, you'll be good to go. Well,
and if I had no Internet, that's gonna be tricky.
Speaker 2 (02:44):
What you have five g baby?
Speaker 1 (02:46):
Come on, I do have the five data. But you
know that's true. Yeah, that's true. Oh yeah, that's true.
I always use that anyway.
Speaker 2 (02:51):
Right, you might be cold, you might be cold watching
the game, but you'll be watching.
Speaker 1 (02:55):
It might be freezing watching the game, but.
Speaker 4 (02:57):
Drake Mayil keep you warm.
Speaker 1 (02:58):
You'll be That's right, Drake, Drake may May. All right,
let's talk about Andrew Erckson. What's your first bet here
of the five for AFC Championship Sunday.
Speaker 2 (03:06):
I am taking the Broncos with the points Broncos plus
five and a half. I think that the lines have
shifted too far in favor of the Patriots because of
the bow Knicks injury. You know, they asked odds makers
before the start of the season how many points all
the quarterbacks were worth against the spread.
Speaker 1 (03:23):
Boon Nicks was worth four points.
Speaker 2 (03:25):
But we've seen how this line has shifted. It was
originally going to be Broncos minus one and a half
hosting the Patriots with Bonnicks as the starting quarterback, and
it's shifted over six points. And I think that's too
much for bo Nicks too. We talked about a little
bit before we start recording. I mean, not the perfect quarterback.
I think his biggest impact this year has been on
the clutch factor and picking up first downs with his legs,
(03:46):
but he hasn't been a great quarterback in terms of
helping the Broncos cover spreads. The Bronco has been one
of the more overrated teams this year in terms of
covering when they've been a favorite this season, but as
an underdog, they've covered four straight as an underdog.
Speaker 1 (03:57):
They're actually one.
Speaker 2 (03:57):
Of the few undefeated teams against the spread as an
underdog season four oho to one against the spread, four
and one straight up as an underdog this season. So
Denver showed out when they've been counted out by the
odds makers, and I think again they're gonna do that
in this particular matchup because I think for the New
England Patriots heading on, this is the first time the
Patrios have faced an elite defense on the road this season.
We saw the last two weeks elite defense, elite defense.
(04:20):
Their offense has scored less than twenty points per game
in both of those contests. So I think that the
way that we've seen this offensive line play Will Campbell
has been terrible over the last two weeks, and now
he's facing the number one defense in sacks generated and
sacked percentage. Like that concerns me. Drick May has six
fumbles over the last two weeks. He had nine in
the entire regular season. So if one of these balls
(04:42):
doesn't bounce in favor of the Patriots, you get short fields,
tough place to play in Denver, hostile environment. So I
do ultimately think the Patriots win because bo Nicks they're
gonna miss him in the fourth quarter in the second half.
But I think this is gonna be tight, more of
a field goal type of game. So give me the
Broncos with the points. Again, Patriots to win, but I
think the Broncos cover.
Speaker 1 (05:03):
I agree. I think these two defenses will, you know,
keep it tight here. I do like I'm a little
annoyed at all the Jarrett's Didham coverage that's coming out
here recently too, where it's all this, look at what
you did against you know, the forty nine ers in
this game, and look at it, like stop, okay, just
stop with that. If he was that good, he would
have gotten a job already somewhere else. He's a backup
(05:23):
quarterback for a reason. Look how much he's being paid
as a backup. Well, that's because they had a young
quarterback and they could afford to pay a higher backup
because they had a young quarterback. So stidamam. I'm sure
we'll make a couple of plays. I don't doubt that.
But at the same time, let's just pump the brakes
a little bit now, speaking of those Drake May turnovers
and Drake May's season. Here, Welsh, your next pick has
to do with Drake May. Let's talk about it.
Speaker 3 (05:43):
Yeah, I've actually got a Jared Sidham one. We're gonna
do it a little bit as well, but I'm going
to just go back to it.
Speaker 4 (05:48):
This is so weird. You guys are like you like.
Speaker 3 (05:49):
Oh Patriots fans, and you both are just like well
Jared studio him and the Broncos and covering like I'm
the Patriots guy here. A lot of my bets are
on the Patriots because I think they're the superior team.
I feel like you guys are giving a lot more
credit to Jared Sidham than need be the Patriots. Guess what,
The defensive matchups are not going to get any easier
when you get to the super Bowl if they make it,
(06:10):
and they're a pretty good offense as well, and Drake
May pretty good quarterbacks, So yes, It's a great defensive matchup,
Broncos the best out there, but that's also going to
put them in a situation where Drake May is going
to have to sling the ball. I don't think they're
going to be as successful in the running game. It
might lead to Drake May even running a little bit more,
But I like the passing yards, So I'm going to
go with the passing yards over at two twenty three
(06:30):
point five. That's the over on Drake May's passing yards.
He has hit this in seven of his last ten games,
and as a matter of fact, he's only gone under
this passing line five times the entire season. Broncos, they've
given this up to quarterbacks in three of the last
five games played. But I thought this was interesting. The
two that didn't go over the passing marker, we're against
(06:52):
Trey Lance and Chris Oladokin. So I think that as
good as that Broncos defense is, the way that the
Patriots are going to do this and make this happened
is in the passing game. So Drake May over on
the passing yards that is bet number two for apparently my.
Speaker 1 (07:08):
Well, look, we're just giving the Broncos respect. Also you
have to keep in mind, Andrew and I have a
lot of bad memories of going into Denver and being disappointed.
So it's a little bit of, you know, psychological issues
that we're trying to work through here. Today.
Speaker 3 (07:20):
You're doing the reverse thing where you're in the playoffs
and fantasy and you're down and then you text the
congratulations over like, I know this game.
Speaker 1 (07:32):
You missed it though on out of Bounds were recapsled
last week here in the Betting Pros Live. I was
able to successfully jinx both the Bills and the Denver Broncos.
I had my Denver Broncos headband and then I had
my Bills hat, and then going back and forth, and
eventually I did get Josh Allen eliminated for the playoffs
and bo Nicks eliminated for the playoffs.
Speaker 4 (07:53):
So it just why do you have all the other
teams stuff?
Speaker 1 (07:56):
Because because every year three different flag football teams for
NFL Flag, So we get gear, and I got cool
stuff laying around the house all the time. You know,
when I when I coached the Broncos, I get Bronco stuff.
When I coached you know, the Patriots, I had Patriots
stuff and I already had Patriots stuff.
Speaker 3 (08:13):
It's all forty nine ers here, except I have I
have a hat from a unaired commercial that Joe Piezap
and I did that was potentially going to air on
like remember that, And it was a it was a
Chargers hat, and I wore it around and every time
people are like, oh, you charge a fan, and I'm
like ew no, and I'm like, oh, I forgot I'm
wearing the Chargers hat that I was purchased.
Speaker 2 (08:32):
Well, Joe is slowly becoming that Homer Simpson meme where
he comes out of the bush with just a different
hat of a team.
Speaker 1 (08:40):
I'm always a Patriots fan, but I got NFL gear
because this is what I do. I coach football. I
do NFL shows nothing wrong with that. Hey, my Rams
team from last winter, undefeated Rams team. I got the
big pennant hanging up right here in the office. You
know why undefeated champions lift forever.
Speaker 4 (08:58):
That's why that might happen in the playoff too. Well,
so you have.
Speaker 1 (09:01):
To check out the NFC show for that. Ericson, You've
got some bets on, Evan Ingram. Let's take your favorite
one here with the Denver Broncos.
Speaker 2 (09:07):
Yeah, I'm gonna go with Evan Ingram over nineteen and
a half receiving yards. So what I'm expecting to see
from Jared's Didham this week is more throws over the
middle of the field. That's one of the main differences
between him and bo Nix, the other being he also
takes way more sacks than Mowaennicks does, so that also
plays into why like the under in this game. But
I think Evan Ingram is kind of the X factor
for the Broncos passing attack. You look at the receivers
(09:30):
for Denver Courtland Sun probably gonna match up with Christian Gonzales. Okay,
that kind of takes him potentially out of the equation.
The next two guys, Troy Franklin and Pat Bryant, well,
they both got hurt last week, both limited in practice
on Wednesday. We'll see with them how they shake out
in terms of the offensive game plan. But that leaves
Marvin Mims, who I have been fooled once too many times,
trying to chase his points in production. So I can
(09:52):
also guarantee Evan Ingram breakout game because Marvin Mims broke
out last week. Because Sean Baiten, the usage never carries
over from week to week. You look at the matchup,
he lines up in the slot primarily again, so I
like that in terms of Jared said him taking over
as the quarterback, and I think the Patriots have kind
of been just mediocre against tight ends this year eleventh
in yards allowed to tight ends this year fifty seven
point one. Evan Ingram, a hot before last week, had
(10:14):
gone over twenty receiving yards in three straight games. Buffalo
Bills are one of the best evinces against tight ends,
So I'm not going to hold last week's dud against
Van Ingram even when those other receivers went down. I
think with Jared's didn't look I don't expect you can't
copy and paste all of his numbers, but he's thrown
for at least two hundred nineteen yards in his four
starts in the NFL. Like, I don't think he's gonna
go out there and throw for one hundred yards. So
(10:35):
if he's going to bring one of his receivers along
for the ride, I'm kind of pinpointing and circling Evan
Ingram as that player. He's four games with forty yards
or more seventy nine receiving arts is his season high.
Speaker 1 (10:46):
Four tight ends.
Speaker 2 (10:46):
The Patriots have faces either have gone for at least
sixty two yards. They've allowed two one hundred yard games
two tight ends. So I think that because this is
such a low number, I want to ladder bet Evan
Ingram this week because you can get Evan Ingram to
get fifty receiving yards at close to five to one odds,
and I just don't think that's a very high bar
for him to pass based on what we could potentially
(11:07):
see with the quarterback switch. Sobay I'm seeing is if
I'm right about Stidham like honing in on Ingram as
the matchup to attack against this Patriots defense, then I
think you can make a big profit off an Evan
Ingram big type of game, especially with those other receivers
maybe not as involved in the game plan as they're
putting it together for Sunday's game.
Speaker 1 (11:27):
Now, your third pick also has to do with Evan
Ingram because you think he actually has the upside. If
you're right about all this to score and that return
is five to one.
Speaker 2 (11:34):
Well, you can't run on the Patriots defense. So I'm
not expecting any of these Denver Bronco running backs to
find the end zone in any capacity. Again, Courtland Sutton
has the tough matchup Gonzalez. Troy Franklin has been the
other red zone guy, but he's dealing with the hamstring injury,
so I think that leaves Evan Ingram is the next
man up in terms of usage in the red zone.
So I love his odds again, five to one, the
(11:54):
Patriots second highest passing touchdown rate allowed the season, because
as I mentioned before, can't run on this team and
the dever Broncos have been really inconsistent running game.
Speaker 1 (12:02):
We'll see if JK.
Speaker 2 (12:03):
Dobbins comes back. I think that he's a long shot
to play. Harvey's been too inconsistent, especially near the goal line.
So yeah, I like Evan Ingram a lot in this game,
and if I'm right about him, I'm going to be
a very very happy man.
Speaker 1 (12:15):
Now, Welsh, I don't want to leave you out of
the Evan Ingram conversation because you've got Ingram bet as well.
Speaker 3 (12:19):
Yeah, just when you thought you were done with Evan Ingram,
it's the even Ingram Show. Because I'm in the same
space with Erickson here. I think Stidham is going to
be target targeting Evan Ingram, and there might be I
don't know if I'm quite as comfortable in the ladder
betting territory, but you know what it's floating out there
for us. But where I'm going because I'm going on receptions.
That reception marker is at like two and a half
(12:40):
right now. He hit this in five of his last
six regular season games, tight ends have been on average
getting just under six by five point seven catches and
over fifty yards receiving against the Patriots on the ear
So kind of as mentioned like, you know, that is
an open space, especially for Evan Ingram in that tight
end market be able to find some success. But also
(13:02):
you know Stidham is going to be looking for safety
net options. He's going to be facing a ton of blitz.
He's going to be probably on his heels. The outside
is going to be a tough spot for him to throw,
and I think Evan Ingram is going to be that
safety net option for him. This is a classic backup
quarterback tight end where they can't ear the ball out
and they're going to look for that safety net and
(13:23):
that is where I think Evan Ingram is going to shine.
I don't mind the receiving yards, but I legit think
it's going to be Stidham one look and then it
is going to be dump off to Evan Ingram and
Evan Ingram is going to have to play some yak.
Speaker 4 (13:36):
So I actually the yards are cool.
Speaker 3 (13:38):
I think I might lad other receptions and play four
to five in this one. This one is you know,
anywhere from like one twenty to one to fifteen on
three receptions. I might play that up, and like Erickson,
if he hits, we're going to be happy boys. If not,
we're going to be swimming in sledge and it'll be
a bad Evan Ingram and will you know, curse his
name for the rest of the purvity.
Speaker 2 (13:59):
But it's going to be this seen from the Joker
or the bat or Batman or the Dark Knight. When
the Joker lights up all that money on fire, like
that's going to be betting on Evan Ingram to have
a big game and him.
Speaker 1 (14:10):
Glad you land on the right Batman film, Eventually.
Speaker 4 (14:12):
There's a lot of Batman. There's a lot of references
to the Darkmans.
Speaker 2 (14:17):
Not even Batman's not even in that title of that movie.
Speaker 4 (14:21):
He's well, he's the Dark Knight.
Speaker 1 (14:23):
He is the Dark Knight.
Speaker 4 (14:24):
Yeah, that is who's the best Batman? By the way,
who is the best Batman?
Speaker 1 (14:29):
I'd still, says Christian Bale. All round, I have a
I have a saucepot for Keaton, but in terms of
like the Batman part of it, I still I think
want to be pretty good too. To be honest, I
think he does a pretty good job on that. It's
a very different version.
Speaker 3 (14:43):
It's more hipsters want Keaton to be the guy and
want him to be the only guy. But Bail was
the best, Pattinson was underrated.
Speaker 1 (14:53):
Kilmer forgotten Batman too. Just I think Valkimer wouldn't have
been better if it was more of a serious film.
It was so goofy that they didn't say the so
let's go to the next bet Yeah, let's go to
the next one. By the way, before you want to
keep conversations like this going, but instead about betting, go
to our discord bettingpros dot com slash chat. It's free,
it's fun. You get expert picks from guys like Matt
Perrault on their plus. If it's NBA, if it's NHL,
(15:15):
if it's football, we got everything going on. Their college
hoops is around the quarter too, with the big tournament
looming in March, so make sure you go over and
join our discord again bettingpros dot Com slash Chat. Next up,
Welsh Jared Stidham. You promised it and now deliver.
Speaker 3 (15:28):
All right, and look at this, we're playing an under
because it's Jared Stidham. Jared'stidham rushing yards opened up at
fourteen and a half and we are playing the under.
Now him facing you know, a lot of guys in
his face, a lot of bullets and stuff could potentially
have him moving through. But I wouldn't look back at Sidham. Stidham,
over his career, has thirty seven total carries for a
(15:51):
total of one hundred and one yards. That's like two
point seven yard, just under three yards per carry. Over
the last three years, win given an opportunity because he's
had minimal opportunities, he has seen fourteen carries. Those have
equated to twelve yards. Patriots, they're averaging giving up about
three carries to quarterbacks total. I don't think Sidham is
(16:12):
going to be in a spy now to be fair,
you know, if all the guys are taken away. Maybe
he's able to bring it up. I just don't think
that's going to be the case. I think Stidham, they're
going to keep ingram in low. They're going to keep
guys like r. J.
Speaker 4 (16:23):
Harvey.
Speaker 3 (16:23):
He's going to take a bunch of sacks, and I
don't think the opportunity for him to be flying is
going to happen. It hasn't happened in his career. I
see why the lines open up there, but I absolutely
love smashing the under on fourteen point five rushing yards
for Sidham in this game.
Speaker 1 (16:37):
All right, Andrew for your fourth pick. Between the Patriots
defense and Jared Sidham playing quarterback. What kind of day
does that portend for Courtland Sutton?
Speaker 2 (16:45):
Probably an inefficient day for the Broncos number one wide receiver.
So I'm going to take the under on his receptions
at four and a half. He's been under this number
in three straight games. You are considering the tough matchup
against Christian Zalez, you have a new quarterback under center,
So I think this one just hey, the process of
the process, process, kate the under here. Someton's a good player,
but he hasn't really played up to that level over
(17:05):
the last couple of weeks. So I'm taking the under here.
Speaker 1 (17:08):
Okay, the under for Courtland Sutton. So finally get under
from the undertaker. Love that all right, Welsh, give me
your last pick here and then we'll get to our
favorite picks, some touchdown calls. The SGP actually got a
lot of stuff left in the show. But let's get
to the last pick for you guys. First. Let's start
with Hunter Henry for you.
Speaker 3 (17:25):
Yeah, speaking of any time touchdown, Hunter Henry, anytime touchdown
is where I'm going to go. Broncos have given up
touchdowns to tight ends in three of their last six games.
Henry four touchdowns over his last five games. And though
we've seen guys like you know, Booty or even like
a to Mario Douglas, see like increased red zone targets
as mentioned a bunch in here, the corner matchups. I
guess we've talked about it on the other side, but
(17:47):
you know you're going to have the corner matchups locking
down a lot of these guys. It May is going
to be looking at Hunter Henry. So I really like
this spot for Hunter Henry. I think, unlike you guys,
that Drake May is going to have a successful game,
and Hunter Henry will be one of the reasons behind it.
So anytime touchdown for Hunter Henry were then Patriots.
Speaker 1 (18:04):
For the record, I think May will have a successful
game because he will make some plays. The Denver Broncos
off defense is very good, and they are playing at home.
It's a distinct advantage. It's a tough building. I know
they've been road warriors all year, and they've been terrific
at home, and they've won all these Excuse me, they've
terrific on the road, winning all these games in a
row on the road. But I still got to give
some credit to how good the Denver Broncos team is defensively.
(18:25):
And Sean Payton's a good football coach. He's gonna have
them ready to play. And sometimes these weird things happen, right,
you know, guys rally around a backup quarterback. That's what
happened all those years ago to the Rams, right, Kurt Warner.
But it's all late in the game.
Speaker 4 (18:36):
Nick Foles. Nick Foles pointed out, like, hey, don't let
the show, don't sleep.
Speaker 1 (18:40):
Quarter show your mouth, you know, to Tom Brady. Right,
that's right, that's right, Thank you. Andrew Actually, I don't
know if I'm happy about that. Now you're sad about it?
Speaker 4 (18:51):
What do you do? You guys even hear yourself rocket.
You're going to covers.
Speaker 1 (18:55):
That's all I care about. They're going to cover. Okay, yeah,
all right, let's talk about your final here, Andrew? What
do you have here? Last, but not least, R J.
Speaker 2 (19:03):
Harvey under forty three and a half rushing yards slammed
the under on woody marks last week.
Speaker 1 (19:07):
He didn't even come cold.
Speaker 2 (19:08):
He didn't even twenty yards despite having double digit carries.
Because you can't run on the Patriots defense. We got
Milton Williams, you got Tonga, you got Robert Splaine. Just
you can't run on the Patriot Steve. It's no running
back has more than sixty rushing yards through the first
eleven games played when they were all healthy. Through two
playoff games, none of the running backs have exceeded twenty
five more rushing yards. So I think this is just
(19:29):
rinse and repeat JK.
Speaker 4 (19:30):
Dobbins.
Speaker 2 (19:31):
Maybe he comes back, maybe he doesn't.
Speaker 1 (19:32):
But R J.
Speaker 2 (19:33):
Harvey has been under forty three and a half rushing
yards in his last three games, and his rushing yards
have actually decreased in six straight games. So trust the process.
Bet against running backs facing the Patriots run defense.
Speaker 1 (19:44):
All right, trust the process too. With our sponsor, hard
Rock Bet, if you haven't already, download the hard Rock
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by hard Rock Bet, Florida's big sports book. And for
those folks who you know have been crazy all year
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of these games. Here on Sunday, you got the big
(20:05):
games here, AFC Championship, NFC Championship. Who knows. You can
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(20:47):
in other states. Must be twenty one plus in physically
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(21:07):
New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. All right, let's talk about
it here, Welsh, what is your favorite bet for AFC
Championship Game.
Speaker 3 (21:15):
Of the five bets that I've laid out for you.
I absolutely love New England to cover the spread in
the first half minus two and a half. As I
said before, they have been monsters at it they've been
the best in the NFL at it and they're gonna
do it again in this one. So Patriots minus two
and a half first half spread. That is my hard
rock best bet.
Speaker 1 (21:34):
Andrew, what is your hard rock best bet for AFC
Championship Sunday?
Speaker 2 (21:38):
Taking the Broncos with the points plus five and a half.
Matt Pearlt mentioned this stat nugget earlier this week that
four point or more home underdogs in the playoffs are
ten and zero against the spread. So they've been undefeated
so far this season against the number and past seasons
against the number. And when you look at Drake May,
when he's faced top ten defenses this year, he's been
(22:00):
sacked at least five times in every single match pick
it's top ten defense, and he's thrown at least one interception.
So I think that's enough. Where he's they're getting stalled
out drives, there's a potential turnover here or there, and
I think that's enough to keep this within a field goal.
So give me the Broncos, even if the Patriots end
up winning it in the fourth quarter.
Speaker 1 (22:17):
All Right, you put those two things together at hard
rock Bet, you get plus four thirty one, So that
is our SGP here for the AFC Championship game. And
if you're looking for touchdown calls, don't forget the guys
already made them. You get Hunter Henry plus two to
twenty Evan Ingram plus five hundred. They're looking for Evan
Ingram to have a big day potentially here for Jarrett
Stidham and the Denver Broncos. But if you're gonna place
(22:38):
these bets, do it over at hard Rock Bet again
five bucks if you win, get you one hundred and
fifty bonus bets only at hard Rock Bet. Gentlemen, great
job today as always, and if you love this, you're
gonna love the NFC one even more so make sure
you subscribe to the channel, subscribe to the podcast feed,
and check out our NFC Best Bet show as well.
That'll do it for us. But the story of the
game goes on. For Andrew Erickson, I'm Joey p We'll
(23:01):
see you next time kids and Joey Championship Sunday.
Speaker 3 (23:04):
I'm also the Welsh by I didn't say in the
Welsh Nope, because you haven't been here in a couple
of weeks.
Speaker 4 (23:09):
Go Patriots.
Speaker 1 (23:10):
I'll do it again for the Welsh and Andrew ericson
I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time kids. That
time it was the Welsh too.
Speaker 4 (23:18):
Boom.
Speaker 5 (23:22):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
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by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
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