December 8, 2025 • 29 mins
Ready to dominate your Week 15 NFL bets? Joe Pisapia and Andrew Erickson are here to give you the latest insights! From the best over/under plays to which spreads have value, we’ve got you covered. Get set to boost your bankroll this week!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)
Intro - 0:00:00
Falcons @ Buccaneers - 0:02:25
Cardinals @ Texans - 0:03:56
Browns @ Bears - 0:05:26
Ravens @ Bengals - 0:07:30
Hard Rock Bet - 0:09:17
Chargers @ Chiefs - 0:10:35
Bills @ Patriots - 0:12:20
Jets @ Jaguars - 0:14:36
Raiders @ Eagles - 0:16:20
BettingPros App - 0:17:23
Commanders @ Giants - 0:17:48
Packers @ Broncos - 0:18:23
Lions @ Rams - 0:19:06
Colts @ Seahawks - 0:20:24
Titans @ 49ers - 0:22:31
Panthers @ Saints - 0:23:51
Vikings @ Cowboys - 0:25:25
Dolphins @ Steelers - 0:27:13
Outro - 0:29:00
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
Welcome in to everybody, to betting pros. It's time to
play shore bets. It is me Joey P joe Pisapia
and this is VP NFL. We re turned the page
to Week fifteen after a really fun Week fourteen. Oh,
I loved it. Upset special again three weeks in a row.
Let's go Jacksonville Jaguars. Sad news for the Indianapolis coast.
So I did like seeing Daniel Jones hurt. I didn't
(00:21):
want to win the division that way, but I told
everybody I tried to warn you on this show a
couple of weeks ago. The Jaguars schedule lined up better
than the Colts, and the Houston Texans once again covered,
and not only covered, but they won. Andrew was a
really good week fourteen. I'm flying high, and a week fifteen,
I'm excited as the playoff push is getting tighter and tighter.
How was your Week fourteen? As we turned the page
(00:43):
from one to the other.
Speaker 2 (00:44):
Kyen Williams was under sixteen carries, which is what my
biggest financial trick was on and that came through with
flying Colors. Play Corn Muscle scored two touchdowns, so it
was a good week for me, and although as a
Patriots fan we did want the Bills to technically lose,
it does add a little bit more to this game
in week fifteen between the Bills and the Patriots, where
(01:06):
Patriots win, I believe that they can lock up the
AFC East. So that game is going to be primetime.
Speaker 3 (01:12):
Can't wait.
Speaker 2 (01:12):
It's gonna be a ton of fun to watch because
I mean that Bill's Bengals game. What a fun time again, Snow,
who cares we're getting points in that game. That was
another thing we hit on over and it kept going
up and up and up every time. Yeah, fifty five
I think was the total that closed at.
Speaker 3 (01:26):
Still went over so great to see it.
Speaker 1 (01:28):
But that was the funniest part about it, Andrews everyone,
I kept seeing that number go down in the morning.
I'm like, stop with this, stop with this. Like the
weather's gonna be pact, the flurries. It's buffalo in December.
Did we not see Joe Burrow in the playoffs?
Speaker 3 (01:42):
Go there and no win? We're good and there's no win.
Speaker 1 (01:45):
I don't I don't understand. I don't understand. I don't
get it. It makes it makes my head hurt. I
don't understand. And you know what, how come that that
Bill's game with the Patriots isn't primetime. It's at one
pm Eastern. Let's flex that bad boy into prime time.
It's a stupid we should have that. But you you
were the one last week they was saying too. You're like,
I don't want to win this way. I don't want
to just give him the hats. I want him to
get him on the field. I want to just get
(02:07):
the hats right now.
Speaker 2 (02:08):
In the division again, you gotta beat the big brother.
And they did it already this year in Buffalo's house. Now, look,
I mean Josh Allen when he puts the Superman cap on,
he's really tough to beat. So it should be a
good game. But hopefully Drake May can rise above it.
Drake Drake May May.
Speaker 3 (02:22):
Let's go.
Speaker 1 (02:23):
Yeah, I still don't understand that. All right, let's get
to the games here. Let's start with Atlanta and Tampa
on Thursday night. These two teams are kind of reeling
right now. I mean they are, well, it's just called
like Tampa just lost at home to the Saints. I
mean you could see it coming too, and you were
on that one too. You talked about the Saints being
favorites and not covering. Well, they didn't. So Tampa's four
and a half point favorites again this week. This time
(02:44):
Atlanta is plus six and half. The best number you're
gonna find on betting pros forty three and a half
of the over, forty four and a half is the under,
and then plus two twenty four in the money line
for the Atlanta Falcons. Look, this is a stay away
for me. It's Thursday night, it's gross, it's in division.
I'm just not touching this one. Andrew, how about you?
Speaker 2 (03:00):
I think you have to take the Falcons plus five
and a half points. We don't like the battle Baker
Mayfield as a home six and a half on six
and a half, you don't take Baker Mayfield. That was
part of the process last week when betting on the
Saints eight and a half points was too much to
lay with Tampa Bay at home.
Speaker 3 (03:17):
Now.
Speaker 2 (03:17):
I know the weather did play a little bit of
a factor in that game. It was rainy in Tampa Bay,
so but against the Dome team, you'd expect that to
benefit the Buccaneers and that was really not the case.
They have some more injuries on defense and the Falcons. Man,
it was a tail of two halves the first half.
Because I was on the under in the Falcons and
Sea game, I'm thinking it's six to six.
Speaker 3 (03:34):
I'm feeling great here.
Speaker 2 (03:35):
And then Rashiji here returns kickoff for a touchdown, and
then the Seahawks put up thirty five points and the
total gets blown out of proportion. So I think the
Falcons defense is still pretty good. So I think that's
probably where I lean on here. They're keeping a little
bit tighter and traditionally on Thursday nights, what has been
the most profitable bet the divisional underdogs.
Speaker 3 (03:53):
So I'll take the Falcons with the points on the road.
Speaker 1 (03:56):
All right, you know's defense is pretty good. The Houston Texans.
Everyone kept about the Kansasy Chiefs narrative to make the playoffs.
What about the Texans narrative? Well, they were tired of
hearing it. He stomped a muddle, man, what a what
a physical performance by that defense too. Just Roussie Rice
is still rolling around somewhere unbelievable. Houston Texans mindus seven
and a half Arizona Cardinals plus seven and a half
(04:16):
in this one forty two and a half is the
over under number plus two eighty for the upset for
the Arizona Cardinals. Seven and a half is a bigger
number than I'd like. For the Texans, Forty two and
a half is right, I think correct too. I don't
think any early value on this line. To be honest
with you, Andrew, I'm leaning towards the Texans here, but
still Jacoby Brissett always worries me that somehow he can,
(04:37):
in garbage time just start slinging the ball to Michael
Wilson to make up ground. But I lean Texans. But again,
this is not one of my strong early value lines.
In Week fifteen.
Speaker 3 (04:46):
I think I'm just gonna bet the under. That's what
you do when you.
Speaker 1 (04:49):
Still pretty low. Forty two and a half.
Speaker 2 (04:51):
That's higher than the game was last night, which was
closed at forty one and a half points, which I
thought was absolutely ridiculous. And again my favorite teasers was
Texans plus eight and a half moved total up to
forty six and a half.
Speaker 3 (05:01):
That wasn't even close.
Speaker 2 (05:02):
That wasn't even a sweat joe like that. One was
locked in the bag. So I think that's another way
to play this. You just move Houston or I guess
in this case it's Houston's mind to nine and a half,
so you can't really move them against the spread. So yeah,
I w just bet the under in this game. Again,
you're talking about Jacoby r setting in the garbage time.
We know how garbage time works, right, Eventually the trash
man doesn't come to pick up the trash one week.
I think this is probably the week where the trash
(05:23):
man forgets to stop in Arizona.
Speaker 1 (05:26):
Speaking of trash, Cleveland Browns are up next to the schedule.
See what I did that recond?
Speaker 3 (05:31):
Hey they had?
Speaker 1 (05:33):
They lost to a one win team in their own buildings.
Speaker 3 (05:37):
More touchdowns, it's pretty good.
Speaker 1 (05:39):
Good stop. That's like me walking around saying, look how
good I played against like the fourteen New kids. When
I'm playing quarterback. Do you see that ball that I
threw there? You see the three touchdowns I had in
the scrimmage game. When I'm playing the kids, I don't
brag about it. I mean I might walk off like
I'm cool, but I don't brag about it. Afterwards. Cleveland
Brown's lost to world one win team in their own building. Sorry,
(06:00):
it just that's that's bad. Yeah, you door had some moments.
Hayld Fanon is the star in the making seven and
a half point underdogs on the road to Chicago after
coming off of a loss of there oh on forty
and a half is the under thirty nine and a
half the over plus three twenty on the money line
for the Cleveland Browns. Now, look, my instincts say, think
the Cleveland Browns in the seven and a half because
it's a lot of points, and I think I'm gonna
do that, And I think I'm gonna find Kayleb Williams
(06:22):
to still make a couple of mistakes, because that's what
Kaleb Williams does. So that's my early inclination of this game.
I think the thirty nine and a half is also
a little too low. I would take the over on
this one as well, Andrew any early thoughts on this
contest between the Bears and the Browns.
Speaker 3 (06:34):
So I'm actually on the other side here. I like
the Bears at home.
Speaker 2 (06:37):
The Browns defense doesn't play nearly as well defensively, and
how many points do they just give up to that
one win Titans team?
Speaker 3 (06:43):
Over thirty too many points? And you don't think the
Bears can.
Speaker 2 (06:46):
Score thirty points against the Okay, so to your point,
you like the over in this game, maybe that is
the way to play it here at thirty nine and
a half points. But what do the Bears do against
every team? Is they run the football? And how did
the Titans score on the Browns? It wasn't because of
Cam Wore throwing the ball. It was because Tony Pollard
came back from the and decided, oh, I'm going to
be a deficient running back today. So he was thriving
in all the Constellation brackets for fantasy because of you all.
Speaker 1 (07:08):
Bro. I sat him in a league and thank god
I didn't need him, but I was just like, I'm
watching him with these long runs, score touchdowns. I'm like,
you gotta be kidding me. Where was this all year to?
Speaker 2 (07:16):
But that's going to be Manungui and DeAndre Swift this
week against the Browns on the road. So I like
the Bears here, but I agree I think that the
over again, assuming the weather is somewhat decent. But if
it's the ground game, then maybe it doesn't really matter.
Speaker 1 (07:29):
All right. Another game too where teams are kind of
not going in the right direction. The Baltimore Ravens, they
are not working for the Baltimore Ravens this year. Cincinnati
Bengals also to terrible turnovers at the end by Joe Burrow.
That game was well in hand for them and they
literally just handed it over and that's not usually Joe
(07:50):
Burrow style. So disappointed there, but not disappointing the total.
That was my bet of the week. And of course
I told you was going to go in the sixties,
and of course it always does. What do you want
to hear, folks, This is easy money, easy money, and
it kept going down anyway. Cincinnati plus two and a half,
Baltimore minus one and a half on the road. Favorites
fifty one and a half for the over fifty one
and excusing fifty three and a half for the under.
(08:11):
Minus won twenty eight for the Baltimore Ravens money line,
plus one twenty five for the Bengals money line. I'll
take the over fifty one and a half. Baltimore Ravens
defense is thoroughly unimpressive this year, and we all know
how bad the Bengals defense is. So there's another easy
one over fifty one and a half and just move
on to the next one for me.
Speaker 3 (08:27):
Great like the over to Bengals game.
Speaker 2 (08:29):
So of course the over is in play, and someone's
got to teach asaya likely you can you can score touchdowns, man,
we can get into paydr Shod Bateman dropping passes. Just yeah,
a tough scene for the Baltimore Ravens. But going back
to what do we want to do when we bet
on AFC North games? Bet on the underdogs at home
at work last week? Again, last week it was the
(08:49):
Steelers that was the process play, even as bad as
the Steelers had looked, I know, p ultimately like the
Steelers last week, and although it seemed like how is
this going to work? Just the process, right, Trust the process.
You've been on the AFC North underdog team most of
the time. That works out. Cincinnati Bengals catching points at
home against the Ravens. Why are they favored? I get
why they're favored, but like should they be favored? So yeah,
I would go on the Bengal side, but agreed, the
(09:10):
over is probably just the best player to make.
Speaker 1 (09:13):
Just play the over. These two teams always go over
when they play each other, and that's just typically what happens,
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Let's go to Los Angeles Chargers Kansas City Chiefs. Now,
(10:39):
we'll see what the Chargers bring tonight. Again. We record
this on Monday morning, so we'll see what Justin Herbert has.
I need to see that before I touch this game.
Just the early lines right now, plus five and a
half for the Los Angeles Chargers minus five and a
half are the Kansasity Chiefs forty five and a half.
Here is the over under plus two o five for
the Chargers money line. My inclinations just take the Chiefs
anyway at home against the Chargers. I just think that's
(11:01):
a smart play. But you know, right now, you know
the Chiefs have been reeling and they need a wake
up call in the worst way. I don't know when
it's coming. They're six and seven now, not in a
good spot. They're on the outside of the playoffs, but
they have to beat the Chargers in order to keep
the playoff hopes alive here, and I think that desperation
makes me lean towards case early going. How about you, Andrew?
Speaker 3 (11:20):
I like the under in this game.
Speaker 2 (11:21):
Only one game at Arrowhead Stadium has gone over the
total forty three and a half points, and based on
the optics of this Chargers offense and it's current state
with all of their quarterbacks banged up, offensive line is
in shambles. Look, the Chiefs defense wasn't the reason why
they couldn't beat the Texans. The chief defense played really
really well against Houston, So I think this is a
defensive struggle and I would imagine that this number forty
(11:42):
three and a half is much lower after we watch
the Chargers play on offense against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Speaker 3 (11:47):
So I like the under here.
Speaker 2 (11:49):
I'm not betting on the Chiefs because they don't have
Lady Luck on their side anymore. She's gone, He's no
longer see she has found a different team. I think
she's with the Chicago Bears most weeks.
Speaker 3 (11:58):
That's kind of what it's been like.
Speaker 2 (11:59):
So good again, it's regression, right, the Chief's luckies team
last year. This year, maybe they're actually better than they
ought were last year, but it's not helping them win
games because they're not getting lucky to any of these
one score matchups.
Speaker 3 (12:10):
So yeah, Chiefs.
Speaker 2 (12:11):
Every week it seems like a Chiefs minus three and
a half. Right, It's like the field goal with the hook?
Do you want to bet on them? And it just
has not been profitable to back the Chiefs, So I
just I'll bet the under.
Speaker 1 (12:20):
All right, this is the prime time game of the
week here, as Andrews said, even though it's not in
prime time. The Buffalo Bills headed New England for a
rematch year plus one and a half on both sides.
The best number you can get forty nine is the
over fifteen and a half of the under minus won
fifteen for the Buffalo money line. Plus one oh eight
for New England. Look, I'm just gonna believe. I'm gonna
believe in the process. They've gotta buy. They've won a
bunch of games in the row. Defense has played very physical,
(12:43):
and I think that's the difference. Is this old style
physical defense that the Patriots play. I don't think a
lot of teams are prepared for and I know hopeople
like the Buffalo Bills have rotted off a couple wins here,
but I just I still feel like this is. The
confidence level I think of the the Patriots is high,
and it should be. The physicality in which they play
(13:04):
I think sets a tone for these games, especially in
New England. I think this crowd is going to be ready.
This is going to be the biggest game in New
England in five years easily at least. So I'm looking
forward to this one. And it's not like the fan
of me. This is the football guy in me saying
that I think the more physical team wins this game.
I think the Patriots are the more physical team right now.
What are your thoughts on this, Andrew?
Speaker 2 (13:23):
Yeah, this one I'm having trouble handicapping because obviously my
Patriots fandom wants me to be on the Patriots side.
But I'd be lying if I wouldn't say I'm a
little concerned about the Bills. Josh Allen is one of
the best quarterbacks. I mean last week they can made
the comeback against the Bengals. I guess Bengals helped out
with some turnovers, but a lot if who's the best
player on the field on Sundays at Josh Allen. So yeah,
(13:44):
so that's what concerns me about. Oh yeah, Patriots are
going to take care of businessespecially because the Patriots red
zone defense is terrible and the offensive line is still
banged up again, like it didn't show up against the Giants,
but it may show up against someone like the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 3 (13:57):
So that's where I get a little bit concerned.
Speaker 2 (13:59):
I think, for me, hey, I want to bet on
both quarterbacks just smashing in this matchup, so it would
be the over forty eight points.
Speaker 1 (14:06):
Look, I think it's my fanom work in the opposite
way where I'm like, Okay, don't you know go. But
I think it's the Patriots. I think it's just their
time again. I just think they are confident, they're prepared,
They're gonna have a whole week now ahead with his
buy of rest, not to mention like of work that
they're just focusing on the perfect timing of this game
(14:27):
on the schedule. To them coming off of buy and
coming off as ten wins in a row, that's really good.
This is like, it couldn't be in a better place
for them to win this football game and find a way.
So give me pats of the money line plus money
all right, the Jets. The Jets versus the Jacksonville Jaguars,
like eleven and a half. It's a big number here.
The Jags are favorites plus twelve and a half. You
can get the Jets to cover forty one and a
half of the over, forty two and a half of
(14:47):
the under, plus six fourteen on the money line for
the Jets. Upset Andrew. The Jets didn't go the way
you thought they were last week. Tua apparently loves the cold.
Apparently he's a big fan of the cold. Or maybe
it wasn't cold enough, I don't know, or maybe it
was just the Jets, but Ken, the Jacksonville Jaguars cover
such a huge number in eleven and a half.
Speaker 2 (15:05):
Okay, Well, the Jets lost their starting quarterback. So let's
be clear with that. I didn't make the Jets bet
assuming that Tarad Taylor was gonna play like one drive
and then get injured and then have a third string
quarterback come in. So again, obviously it didn't work out
with the Jets.
Speaker 3 (15:20):
This cree.
Speaker 2 (15:20):
This to me screams like a Jacksonville letdown spot. I mean,
like super double digit favorites. They're feeling themselves. They're like,
oh yeah, we're gonna run away with the division. We
just beat up on the Colts. I think that this
is kind of a trap game for the Jacks, even
though it is at home. Jets plus twelve and a half,
and we'll see what the quarterback situation is. Obviously we'd
like to see Tyrod Taylor back, even justin fields back.
They're under center, not a third string quarterback. So right now,
(15:42):
I don't really see a lot of value I betting
on this. I just want to see what the Jets
quarterback situation looks like. But I'm leaning towards maybe Jacksonville
is a little bit overrated here. Just a big spread
and they have been volatile at times this year.
Speaker 1 (15:54):
I'll take the Jaguars with the eleven and a half.
I think this line can only get worse as it goes.
That's why you know justin Fields Kenny play Willies who
want to play? Who knows what's going on? I think
it's I think Jacksonville knows now that they're in the
pole position here that Daniel Jones' injury really opened up
that lane for them. The big w against the Colts.
(16:14):
Another win at home against the Colts, as they always do.
I'll think the Jags eleven and a half before it
becomes thirteen and a half by Friday. All Right, Las
Vegas and Philadelphia Again, we don't know what comes to
the Eagles this week on Monday Night Football, But in
the meantime, they're twelve and a half point favorites at
home against the Raiders, plus thirteen and a half of
the best number you're getting on them, thirty eight and
a half for the over, thirty nine and a half
for the under, plus seven point fifty on the upset
(16:37):
special money line for Vegas, andrew any early value on
the Eagles. Raiders.
Speaker 2 (16:42):
See this is one where I would feel more comfortable
laying the points with Philly because now you're getting another
situation where Gino Smith might not play in this game
because he's all sorts of banged up.
Speaker 3 (16:52):
Raiders can't block anybody.
Speaker 2 (16:53):
Their robitsive line is terrible, and then you have to
go on the road to Philadelphia. How much of a
fighter of the Raiders to put up here, Like, let's
be realistic, this season is not much.
Speaker 3 (17:03):
They're two and eleven. Everyone's gonna get fired.
Speaker 2 (17:06):
It seems like I again, if I'm gonna lay heavy points,
it's going to be on the Eagles at home against
a lifeless Raiders team, where at least the Jets will
show some fight with Aaron Glenn.
Speaker 3 (17:16):
So I'll take the Eagles here.
Speaker 1 (17:19):
All right. Next up on our schedule before we get
to the Washington Commanders and Giants, quick shout out and
reminder too that we have the Betting pros app still
with all the best tools in the business to help
you be more successful at sports wagering. So if things
haven't gone your way this year, maybe we should try
the Betting pros app again. Don't be a tool, use
the tools. Let us help you. We can track all
your bets for You've got the prop at cheat sheets,
(17:40):
same game parlay tool, all the tools that make betting
fun easier, and the insights that make you just better
at betting. And that's what we want to be here.
Next up here the Washington Commanders Jane Daniels. They hurt
again the New York Giants coming off their by They
are one and a half point favorites at home plus
two and a half of the Commanders here on the road,
forty six and a half for the over, under, plus
(18:01):
one sixteen on the money line for the Washington Commanders,
minus won twenty two for the Giants this game. To
stay away from me, dog, I don't know about.
Speaker 2 (18:08):
You, Sam, I really have nothing else to add here
to dysfunctional franchises with problems. Jane Daniels banged up again.
I don't really have any reads on this game. So
onto the next one.
Speaker 1 (18:21):
On to the next one. Indeed, Green Bay, Denver, there
you go. Some fun defenses in this one. One and
a half point favorites the Green bat Packers on the
road against the Denver Broncos. Plus two and a half,
forty one and a half for the over, forty two
and a half for eccuse you just forty two flat
for the under, minus won twenty three for Green Bay
on the money line plus one sixteen. The lines I
think are really good here. I think they're tight for
(18:44):
a reason. I think the over under is right on.
I don't think there's any value that I can see
on this line that I want to jump in early Andrew,
do you see things differently?
Speaker 3 (18:52):
I like the green Bay side here.
Speaker 2 (18:54):
I think the green Bay just top to bottom is
the better excuse me, the better overall team than the
Denver Broncos are. So I'll take the Packers in the
tight spread here, even on the road.
Speaker 1 (19:07):
Finally, here we get to the Los Angeles Rams and
Detroit Lions. This one is in LA. The Rams are
four point favorites, Detroit plus four and a half underdogs
on the road as they travel to LA. Fifty two
and a half of the over fifty three and a
half the under. This could have big playoff implications. This
game here is seating is looking around here plus two
(19:27):
h six right now for the Detroit Lions money line. Look,
I think the Rams are the better team. Do I
think they can win this game by a touchdown? I do.
Rams outside of Detroit not always the same team, but
it is a controlled environment which makes it tricky. I'll
take the Rams here with the points, which is for Andrew,
how about yourself?
Speaker 3 (19:46):
Like the Lions, especially if I'm catching five and a
half points.
Speaker 2 (19:50):
They're on the road, but we know the Rams don't
really have home field advantage and you're getting dome conditions,
So I like that for the Lions offensive side of
the football. And the Lions also have extended rest, so
coming off the Thursday night game a little bit more
time to prepare for the Los Angeles Rams, who, like
we kind of predicted, took out business, took out their
rage on the Arizona Cardinals, basically destroying them last week.
(20:11):
I do like the Rams better when they're on the road.
You should get more value on them at home. Maybe
a little bit overvalued here, So I like the Lions here. Again,
anytime you're getting more than a field goal with a
Dan Campbell team, guse you a pretty good bet to
make all right.
Speaker 1 (20:25):
The Indianapolis Colts without Daniel Jones the rest of the
season now ten and a half point underdogs on the
road against Seattle forty two and a half of the
over forty three and a half for the under, plus
five hundred for the Colts money line. I'll take the
under forty three and a half. I'm gonna be really
concerned that the Colts offense are going to operate properly
here as they pivot away from Daniel Jones and Seattle
(20:46):
at home has been really good, that defense is really strong.
It's the toughest spot here for the Colts as it
looks like their season is kind of on the brink
of falling apart.
Speaker 2 (20:53):
Yeah, it's really hard to think Riley Leonard coming in
probably going to start again. Technically, Anthony Richardson is eltimately
come off the injured reserve.
Speaker 3 (21:01):
He is if he is healthy enough to play.
Speaker 2 (21:04):
We don't know if he is healthy enough because he's
recovering from that eye injury, so that is problematic. I
guess for me, Ry Leonard is kind of an interesting
quarterback though again experience from Notre name and what he
has always been praised for is this guy's gonna die
on the field for his teammates, right, Just praise for
a lot of leadership. Now that's all nice on paper,
(21:24):
what does it mean when you have to go to Seattle?
So I would probably stay away from the sides here
just because he is more mobile than Daniel Jones. Gail
Jones was dealing with that fibula injury. So maybe there
is an element of a surprise factor here from the Colts.
Off and chen Seconds get a full week with Rylan
Leonard as the starting quarterback, a lot of good weapons there,
so I think maybe we get some points here. Maybe,
(21:44):
So maybe I would actually lean towards the over here
forty two and a half. Again, I was on the
under last week for Seattle and the Atlanta Falcons, and
that blew up in my face because I came went
over because Seattle just dominated that game. So if I
go over here, I get a couple outs, Seattle blows out,
the Colts game goes over. Or maybe we see a
little bit more from ryan he Leonard in his first
start in the Shane Stike in offense. Maybe we see
them pop off a little bit with some of these
(22:05):
offensive playmakers. So I'll probably dive a little bit more
deep into this matchic interesting to see where the Lions
go here with a unproven quarterback.
Speaker 1 (22:13):
Right, the Colts we're talking about, not the Lions?
Speaker 3 (22:16):
Is it Lions?
Speaker 1 (22:18):
I think he did? I don't think what did you say?
The lines? The Lions go lines? Oh, the Lions? Where
the lines, not roar where the lines go, not the
Lions go. We're talking about we did. That's what I mean.
We're gonna talk about the Lions. Let's talk about the
Titans because we have to the Titans plus thirteen and
a half travel to San Francisco minus twelve forty three
and a half of the over, forty five and a
(22:39):
half for the under, plus seven to fifty for the
money line. Here. Look, this should be a squash for
the San Francisco forty nine ers, especially coming off that buy.
CMC is gonna run a buck. I want all the
overs on CMC props I could possibly handle. So twelve
is it a lot? Yes? I don't know. Just give
me CMC props. I'm gonna stay away from the game.
How about that?
Speaker 2 (22:58):
Yeah, there's a lot of really heavy favored home teams
this week, which I don't like because I'm always a
sucker for the double digit home underdog. That's an attack
I like to make when it comes to the betting side,
But when they're at home, it makes a buch trickier
to bet on some of these underdogs here. So are
the Titans gonna be my team that I want to bet?
Catching two touchdowns on the road, probably.
Speaker 3 (23:21):
Especially after a win. How many games are they going
to actually play that?
Speaker 2 (23:25):
Well, eh, I'm a little suspect on that, so I think, yeah,
believe me.
Speaker 1 (23:29):
I'd love to see it. I love nothing more than
the Tennessee Titans that go to San Francisco and whoop them.
I mean, that would be hilarious. I just don't want
to invest in it.
Speaker 3 (23:37):
I think you're right, just CMC.
Speaker 2 (23:39):
Multi touchdowns probably get some decent odds on Probably not
decent odds actually, but hey, as long as it hits
you'll make some money.
Speaker 3 (23:45):
So maybe yeah. Christian McCaffrey crops.
Speaker 1 (23:48):
Seven and a half to one in the money line
for the Tennessee Titans. All right, Carolina Panthers coming off
a buye and the New Orleans Saints coming off a win.
This one's in New Orleans. Plus two and a half
are the New Orleans Saints underdogs at home minus two
and a half of the Carolina Panthers, thirty nine for
the over, forty and a half of the under, minus
one thirty on the money line for Carolina plus one
twenty four to for New Orleans. Andrew any early line
(24:08):
love on this.
Speaker 2 (24:08):
Game Carolina, My Carolina Panthers. Again, Why are they favorites here?
I guess they are the better team. It's the New
Orleans Saints, but we've seen this with Carolina. Once the
market is okay, we're in on Carolina, they're the number
one team to let you down in the following week.
The thing that's interesting about Carolina they are six and
oh against the spread after they lose six and oh.
But they're not coming off a loss, which is why
(24:30):
I get concerned here. They are coming off of bye week,
so maybe that does change the perspective a little bit
on them. I'm gonna have to look more at the
trends for this particular matchup because I have a ticket
for Panthers to win the division, right, I still think
that's in the range of outcomes. Tampa Bay has really
fallen off these last couple of weeks. We know we
have a couple Carolina Tampa Bay matchups coming up still,
so we'll see how the division shakes out. But I
(24:51):
guess I want to go back to my Panthers here.
But I would be lying if I said I felt
really really confident about it before.
Speaker 1 (24:58):
We get to the last two games. Was with primetime
games a Sunday an Football on Monday Night Football. I got
a hot take for you, Andrew, all right, because I was.
I'm still stewing about the Patriots Bills game a little bit,
you know. I want to keep talking about Drake May
has not a three hundred dollars passing game all year.
I think Drake May is a three hundred dollard passing game.
He gets the Buffalo Bills. That's what I think. That's
what I think. How about the first one for Buffalo
(25:20):
to win the division? How about that? Mapples, there's a
hot take. Let's clip this. See if I'm right or wrong.
All right, Let's go Minnesota Dallas here, Dallas Cowboys could
be without Cee Lamb for this game early going again,
he's in concussion protocol. They are a touchdown favorite minus
six against the Minnesota Vikings, who showed some signs of life,
just not for Justin Jefferson, but JJ McCarthy played better
in an unexpected blowout of the Commanders. Yike's what a
(25:42):
crazy game that was. Plus six and a half for
the Vikings here in this game on the road, forty
seven and a half for the over forty eight and
a half for the under plus two sixty on the
money line for the Minnesota Vikings. So, Andrew, what do
you think here? Just want to go over on the
forty seven and a half because that's what I want to.
Speaker 3 (25:58):
Do, usually what I want to do.
Speaker 2 (26:01):
But Dallas still, I think that their defense with the
passers so they can generate I think that's going to
present a lot of problems for JJ McCarthy. So I
actually like Dallas here laying the six points the Vikings
going back to when teams give us this false sense
of confidence the Vikings after a win or zero four
(26:22):
against the spread, So basically after they win a game,
we're think, okay, like maybe they're improving, maybe something's going
to happen here they lay an egg. The following week,
Dallas coming off extra rest, like we talked about with
the Lions, bring up the lines again. But the mini
bye week after playing on Thursday night, I think Dallas
finds a way to actually cover the six points. So
give me the Cowboys at home.
Speaker 1 (26:39):
How many points do you think the Vikings score?
Speaker 3 (26:44):
I mean they might get seventeen to twenty probably.
Speaker 1 (26:47):
In that Okay, here's here's why I'm taking the over
at forty seven and a half because the Cowboys are
averaging thirty three points at home this year. So you
don't need much from the Vikings, is what I'm saying.
You don't need much that much. So if you give
me seventeen and you get and the Cowboys give me,
you know, thirty plus, Hey, we're right in that neighborhood.
Speaker 2 (27:06):
Baby, And it also means the cowboyst cover the six
points too.
Speaker 3 (27:09):
You're with me.
Speaker 1 (27:10):
That's so, I guess we're all together here on this one.
All right, last one. Here are the Miami Dolphins coming
off of victory of the Jets, and the Pittsburgh Steelers
coming off a win. They are at home for Monday
Night Football minus three. You got plus three and a
half for the Miami Dolphins, forty two and a half
and even money for the over, forty three and a
half for the under, plus one sixty nine on the
(27:31):
money line for the Miami Dolphins. Look, Pittsburgh Steelers are
a bit of an enigma to me, I'll be honest
with you, so are the Miami Dolphins. If anything, I'll
take the Dolphins for the three and a half just
to make it interesting. But I don't love it. I
gotta be honest with you, I just don't love this game.
Probably should just stay away from it. Maybe the under
forty three and a half. Maybe that's where you want
to live. I don't know.
Speaker 3 (27:51):
Never wrong, just early.
Speaker 2 (27:52):
I think I was a week too early on the
two implosion with interceptions, just one week early. So I
think it's this week now because they're not favor This time.
They were favored against the Jets, something I probably overlooked.
They are underdogs now. Still outside, still in the cold,
and this time it's at night, so even colder conditions. Joe,
So I'm gonna bet against two A two weeks in
a row. Maybe he burns me two weeks in a row.
(28:13):
But I would say, again, how do you tack Pittsburgh?
You run the football. A Chan a little bit banged up,
So if he's not one hundred percent, I know he
got hurt a little bit last week. They said it
wasn't a major concern, but coaches say this all the
time and then it ends up being, oh, he didn't
practice all week. So if a Chan is limited any
capacity and TUA has to force into a drop back
type of mode, this is the steel curtain all the way.
Speaker 3 (28:33):
On Monday Night football.
Speaker 2 (28:34):
So I will go with the Steelers here, especially while
it's at a field goal at minus three.
Speaker 3 (28:39):
Take care of business against TUA. Turn them all over.
Speaker 1 (28:42):
It's not so much of steel curtain anymore. It's more
like a drape. I guess you know, it's really you know,
like the cheap lines with a little plastic swizzle stick thing.
Then that's once more with the Pittsburgh defense. At this point,
it was good enough to be the Ravens. Though it's
got Bob when's a happy man, all right. Remember you
can always follow us on the Betting Pros app too
(29:04):
to see what we're betting, and of course download that
Betting pros app along with the sportsbook as well for
hard rock bet and of course we'll be here on
the channel. Subscribe for more help for all of week fifteen.
That'll do it for us, But the story of the
game goes on for Andrew ericson. I'm Joey p. We'll
see you next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the
Betting Pros Podcast. If you love the show, the best
freeway to support us is by leaving a positive review
(29:26):
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Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com
slash Betting Pros.
Welcome in to everybody, to betting pros. It's time to
play shore bets. It is me Joey P joe Pisapia
and this is VP NFL. We re turned the page
to Week fifteen after a really fun Week fourteen. Oh,
I loved it. Upset special again three weeks in a row.
Let's go Jacksonville Jaguars. Sad news for the Indianapolis coast.
So I did like seeing Daniel Jones hurt. I didn't
(00:21):
want to win the division that way, but I told
everybody I tried to warn you on this show a
couple of weeks ago. The Jaguars schedule lined up better
than the Colts, and the Houston Texans once again covered,
and not only covered, but they won. Andrew was a
really good week fourteen. I'm flying high, and a week fifteen,
I'm excited as the playoff push is getting tighter and tighter.
How was your Week fourteen? As we turned the page
(00:43):
from one to the other.
Speaker 2 (00:44):
Kyen Williams was under sixteen carries, which is what my
biggest financial trick was on and that came through with
flying Colors. Play Corn Muscle scored two touchdowns, so it
was a good week for me, and although as a
Patriots fan we did want the Bills to technically lose,
it does add a little bit more to this game
in week fifteen between the Bills and the Patriots, where
(01:06):
Patriots win, I believe that they can lock up the
AFC East. So that game is going to be primetime.
Speaker 3 (01:12):
Can't wait.
Speaker 2 (01:12):
It's gonna be a ton of fun to watch because
I mean that Bill's Bengals game. What a fun time again, Snow,
who cares we're getting points in that game. That was
another thing we hit on over and it kept going
up and up and up every time. Yeah, fifty five
I think was the total that closed at.
Speaker 3 (01:26):
Still went over so great to see it.
Speaker 1 (01:28):
But that was the funniest part about it, Andrews everyone,
I kept seeing that number go down in the morning.
I'm like, stop with this, stop with this. Like the
weather's gonna be pact, the flurries. It's buffalo in December.
Did we not see Joe Burrow in the playoffs?
Speaker 3 (01:42):
Go there and no win? We're good and there's no win.
Speaker 1 (01:45):
I don't I don't understand. I don't understand. I don't
get it. It makes it makes my head hurt. I
don't understand. And you know what, how come that that
Bill's game with the Patriots isn't primetime. It's at one
pm Eastern. Let's flex that bad boy into prime time.
It's a stupid we should have that. But you you
were the one last week they was saying too. You're like,
I don't want to win this way. I don't want
to just give him the hats. I want him to
get him on the field. I want to just get
(02:07):
the hats right now.
Speaker 2 (02:08):
In the division again, you gotta beat the big brother.
And they did it already this year in Buffalo's house. Now, look,
I mean Josh Allen when he puts the Superman cap on,
he's really tough to beat. So it should be a
good game. But hopefully Drake May can rise above it.
Drake Drake May May.
Speaker 3 (02:22):
Let's go.
Speaker 1 (02:23):
Yeah, I still don't understand that. All right, let's get
to the games here. Let's start with Atlanta and Tampa
on Thursday night. These two teams are kind of reeling
right now. I mean they are, well, it's just called
like Tampa just lost at home to the Saints. I
mean you could see it coming too, and you were
on that one too. You talked about the Saints being
favorites and not covering. Well, they didn't. So Tampa's four
and a half point favorites again this week. This time
(02:44):
Atlanta is plus six and half. The best number you're
gonna find on betting pros forty three and a half
of the over, forty four and a half is the under,
and then plus two twenty four in the money line
for the Atlanta Falcons. Look, this is a stay away
for me. It's Thursday night, it's gross, it's in division.
I'm just not touching this one. Andrew, how about you?
Speaker 2 (03:00):
I think you have to take the Falcons plus five
and a half points. We don't like the battle Baker
Mayfield as a home six and a half on six
and a half, you don't take Baker Mayfield. That was
part of the process last week when betting on the
Saints eight and a half points was too much to
lay with Tampa Bay at home.
Speaker 3 (03:17):
Now.
Speaker 2 (03:17):
I know the weather did play a little bit of
a factor in that game. It was rainy in Tampa Bay,
so but against the Dome team, you'd expect that to
benefit the Buccaneers and that was really not the case.
They have some more injuries on defense and the Falcons. Man,
it was a tail of two halves the first half.
Because I was on the under in the Falcons and
Sea game, I'm thinking it's six to six.
Speaker 3 (03:34):
I'm feeling great here.
Speaker 2 (03:35):
And then Rashiji here returns kickoff for a touchdown, and
then the Seahawks put up thirty five points and the
total gets blown out of proportion. So I think the
Falcons defense is still pretty good. So I think that's
probably where I lean on here. They're keeping a little
bit tighter and traditionally on Thursday nights, what has been
the most profitable bet the divisional underdogs.
Speaker 3 (03:53):
So I'll take the Falcons with the points on the road.
Speaker 1 (03:56):
All right, you know's defense is pretty good. The Houston Texans.
Everyone kept about the Kansasy Chiefs narrative to make the playoffs.
What about the Texans narrative? Well, they were tired of
hearing it. He stomped a muddle, man, what a what
a physical performance by that defense too. Just Roussie Rice
is still rolling around somewhere unbelievable. Houston Texans mindus seven
and a half Arizona Cardinals plus seven and a half
(04:16):
in this one forty two and a half is the
over under number plus two eighty for the upset for
the Arizona Cardinals. Seven and a half is a bigger
number than I'd like. For the Texans, Forty two and
a half is right, I think correct too. I don't
think any early value on this line. To be honest
with you, Andrew, I'm leaning towards the Texans here, but
still Jacoby Brissett always worries me that somehow he can,
(04:37):
in garbage time just start slinging the ball to Michael
Wilson to make up ground. But I lean Texans. But again,
this is not one of my strong early value lines.
In Week fifteen.
Speaker 3 (04:46):
I think I'm just gonna bet the under. That's what
you do when you.
Speaker 1 (04:49):
Still pretty low. Forty two and a half.
Speaker 2 (04:51):
That's higher than the game was last night, which was
closed at forty one and a half points, which I
thought was absolutely ridiculous. And again my favorite teasers was
Texans plus eight and a half moved total up to
forty six and a half.
Speaker 3 (05:01):
That wasn't even close.
Speaker 2 (05:02):
That wasn't even a sweat joe like that. One was
locked in the bag. So I think that's another way
to play this. You just move Houston or I guess
in this case it's Houston's mind to nine and a half,
so you can't really move them against the spread. So yeah,
I w just bet the under in this game. Again,
you're talking about Jacoby r setting in the garbage time.
We know how garbage time works, right, Eventually the trash
man doesn't come to pick up the trash one week.
I think this is probably the week where the trash
(05:23):
man forgets to stop in Arizona.
Speaker 1 (05:26):
Speaking of trash, Cleveland Browns are up next to the schedule.
See what I did that recond?
Speaker 3 (05:31):
Hey they had?
Speaker 1 (05:33):
They lost to a one win team in their own buildings.
Speaker 3 (05:37):
More touchdowns, it's pretty good.
Speaker 1 (05:39):
Good stop. That's like me walking around saying, look how
good I played against like the fourteen New kids. When
I'm playing quarterback. Do you see that ball that I
threw there? You see the three touchdowns I had in
the scrimmage game. When I'm playing the kids, I don't
brag about it. I mean I might walk off like
I'm cool, but I don't brag about it. Afterwards. Cleveland
Brown's lost to world one win team in their own building. Sorry,
(06:00):
it just that's that's bad. Yeah, you door had some moments.
Hayld Fanon is the star in the making seven and
a half point underdogs on the road to Chicago after
coming off of a loss of there oh on forty
and a half is the under thirty nine and a
half the over plus three twenty on the money line
for the Cleveland Browns. Now, look, my instincts say, think
the Cleveland Browns in the seven and a half because
it's a lot of points, and I think I'm gonna
do that, And I think I'm gonna find Kayleb Williams
(06:22):
to still make a couple of mistakes, because that's what
Kaleb Williams does. So that's my early inclination of this game.
I think the thirty nine and a half is also
a little too low. I would take the over on
this one as well, Andrew any early thoughts on this
contest between the Bears and the Browns.
Speaker 3 (06:34):
So I'm actually on the other side here. I like
the Bears at home.
Speaker 2 (06:37):
The Browns defense doesn't play nearly as well defensively, and
how many points do they just give up to that
one win Titans team?
Speaker 3 (06:43):
Over thirty too many points? And you don't think the
Bears can.
Speaker 2 (06:46):
Score thirty points against the Okay, so to your point,
you like the over in this game, maybe that is
the way to play it here at thirty nine and
a half points. But what do the Bears do against
every team? Is they run the football? And how did
the Titans score on the Browns? It wasn't because of
Cam Wore throwing the ball. It was because Tony Pollard
came back from the and decided, oh, I'm going to
be a deficient running back today. So he was thriving
in all the Constellation brackets for fantasy because of you all.
Speaker 1 (07:08):
Bro. I sat him in a league and thank god
I didn't need him, but I was just like, I'm
watching him with these long runs, score touchdowns. I'm like,
you gotta be kidding me. Where was this all year to?
Speaker 2 (07:16):
But that's going to be Manungui and DeAndre Swift this
week against the Browns on the road. So I like
the Bears here, but I agree I think that the
over again, assuming the weather is somewhat decent. But if
it's the ground game, then maybe it doesn't really matter.
Speaker 1 (07:29):
All right. Another game too where teams are kind of
not going in the right direction. The Baltimore Ravens, they
are not working for the Baltimore Ravens this year. Cincinnati
Bengals also to terrible turnovers at the end by Joe Burrow.
That game was well in hand for them and they
literally just handed it over and that's not usually Joe
(07:50):
Burrow style. So disappointed there, but not disappointing the total.
That was my bet of the week. And of course
I told you was going to go in the sixties,
and of course it always does. What do you want
to hear, folks, This is easy money, easy money, and
it kept going down anyway. Cincinnati plus two and a half,
Baltimore minus one and a half on the road. Favorites
fifty one and a half for the over fifty one
and excusing fifty three and a half for the under.
(08:11):
Minus won twenty eight for the Baltimore Ravens money line,
plus one twenty five for the Bengals money line. I'll
take the over fifty one and a half. Baltimore Ravens
defense is thoroughly unimpressive this year, and we all know
how bad the Bengals defense is. So there's another easy
one over fifty one and a half and just move
on to the next one for me.
Speaker 3 (08:27):
Great like the over to Bengals game.
Speaker 2 (08:29):
So of course the over is in play, and someone's
got to teach asaya likely you can you can score touchdowns, man,
we can get into paydr Shod Bateman dropping passes. Just yeah,
a tough scene for the Baltimore Ravens. But going back
to what do we want to do when we bet
on AFC North games? Bet on the underdogs at home
at work last week? Again, last week it was the
(08:49):
Steelers that was the process play, even as bad as
the Steelers had looked, I know, p ultimately like the
Steelers last week, and although it seemed like how is
this going to work? Just the process, right, Trust the process.
You've been on the AFC North underdog team most of
the time. That works out. Cincinnati Bengals catching points at
home against the Ravens. Why are they favored? I get
why they're favored, but like should they be favored? So yeah,
I would go on the Bengal side, but agreed, the
(09:10):
over is probably just the best player to make.
Speaker 1 (09:13):
Just play the over. These two teams always go over
when they play each other, and that's just typically what happens,
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hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called one eight
hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
Let's go to Los Angeles Chargers Kansas City Chiefs. Now,
(10:39):
we'll see what the Chargers bring tonight. Again. We record
this on Monday morning, so we'll see what Justin Herbert has.
I need to see that before I touch this game.
Just the early lines right now, plus five and a
half for the Los Angeles Chargers minus five and a
half are the Kansasity Chiefs forty five and a half.
Here is the over under plus two o five for
the Chargers money line. My inclinations just take the Chiefs
anyway at home against the Chargers. I just think that's
(11:01):
a smart play. But you know, right now, you know
the Chiefs have been reeling and they need a wake
up call in the worst way. I don't know when
it's coming. They're six and seven now, not in a
good spot. They're on the outside of the playoffs, but
they have to beat the Chargers in order to keep
the playoff hopes alive here, and I think that desperation
makes me lean towards case early going. How about you, Andrew?
Speaker 3 (11:20):
I like the under in this game.
Speaker 2 (11:21):
Only one game at Arrowhead Stadium has gone over the
total forty three and a half points, and based on
the optics of this Chargers offense and it's current state
with all of their quarterbacks banged up, offensive line is
in shambles. Look, the Chiefs defense wasn't the reason why
they couldn't beat the Texans. The chief defense played really
really well against Houston, So I think this is a
defensive struggle and I would imagine that this number forty
(11:42):
three and a half is much lower after we watch
the Chargers play on offense against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Speaker 3 (11:47):
So I like the under here.
Speaker 2 (11:49):
I'm not betting on the Chiefs because they don't have
Lady Luck on their side anymore. She's gone, He's no
longer see she has found a different team. I think
she's with the Chicago Bears most weeks.
Speaker 3 (11:58):
That's kind of what it's been like.
Speaker 2 (11:59):
So good again, it's regression, right, the Chief's luckies team
last year. This year, maybe they're actually better than they
ought were last year, but it's not helping them win
games because they're not getting lucky to any of these
one score matchups.
Speaker 3 (12:10):
So yeah, Chiefs.
Speaker 2 (12:11):
Every week it seems like a Chiefs minus three and
a half. Right, It's like the field goal with the hook?
Do you want to bet on them? And it just
has not been profitable to back the Chiefs, So I
just I'll bet the under.
Speaker 1 (12:20):
All right, this is the prime time game of the
week here, as Andrews said, even though it's not in
prime time. The Buffalo Bills headed New England for a
rematch year plus one and a half on both sides.
The best number you can get forty nine is the
over fifteen and a half of the under minus won
fifteen for the Buffalo money line. Plus one oh eight
for New England. Look, I'm just gonna believe. I'm gonna
believe in the process. They've gotta buy. They've won a
bunch of games in the row. Defense has played very physical,
(12:43):
and I think that's the difference. Is this old style
physical defense that the Patriots play. I don't think a
lot of teams are prepared for and I know hopeople
like the Buffalo Bills have rotted off a couple wins here,
but I just I still feel like this is. The
confidence level I think of the the Patriots is high,
and it should be. The physicality in which they play
(13:04):
I think sets a tone for these games, especially in
New England. I think this crowd is going to be ready.
This is going to be the biggest game in New
England in five years easily at least. So I'm looking
forward to this one. And it's not like the fan
of me. This is the football guy in me saying
that I think the more physical team wins this game.
I think the Patriots are the more physical team right now.
What are your thoughts on this, Andrew?
Speaker 2 (13:23):
Yeah, this one I'm having trouble handicapping because obviously my
Patriots fandom wants me to be on the Patriots side.
But I'd be lying if I wouldn't say I'm a
little concerned about the Bills. Josh Allen is one of
the best quarterbacks. I mean last week they can made
the comeback against the Bengals. I guess Bengals helped out
with some turnovers, but a lot if who's the best
player on the field on Sundays at Josh Allen. So yeah,
(13:44):
so that's what concerns me about. Oh yeah, Patriots are
going to take care of businessespecially because the Patriots red
zone defense is terrible and the offensive line is still
banged up again, like it didn't show up against the Giants,
but it may show up against someone like the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 3 (13:57):
So that's where I get a little bit concerned.
Speaker 2 (13:59):
I think, for me, hey, I want to bet on
both quarterbacks just smashing in this matchup, so it would
be the over forty eight points.
Speaker 1 (14:06):
Look, I think it's my fanom work in the opposite
way where I'm like, Okay, don't you know go. But
I think it's the Patriots. I think it's just their
time again. I just think they are confident, they're prepared,
They're gonna have a whole week now ahead with his
buy of rest, not to mention like of work that
they're just focusing on the perfect timing of this game
(14:27):
on the schedule. To them coming off of buy and
coming off as ten wins in a row, that's really good.
This is like, it couldn't be in a better place
for them to win this football game and find a way.
So give me pats of the money line plus money
all right, the Jets. The Jets versus the Jacksonville Jaguars,
like eleven and a half. It's a big number here.
The Jags are favorites plus twelve and a half. You
can get the Jets to cover forty one and a
half of the over, forty two and a half of
(14:47):
the under, plus six fourteen on the money line for
the Jets. Upset Andrew. The Jets didn't go the way
you thought they were last week. Tua apparently loves the cold.
Apparently he's a big fan of the cold. Or maybe
it wasn't cold enough, I don't know, or maybe it
was just the Jets, but Ken, the Jacksonville Jaguars cover
such a huge number in eleven and a half.
Speaker 2 (15:05):
Okay, Well, the Jets lost their starting quarterback. So let's
be clear with that. I didn't make the Jets bet
assuming that Tarad Taylor was gonna play like one drive
and then get injured and then have a third string
quarterback come in. So again, obviously it didn't work out
with the Jets.
Speaker 3 (15:20):
This cree.
Speaker 2 (15:20):
This to me screams like a Jacksonville letdown spot. I mean,
like super double digit favorites. They're feeling themselves. They're like,
oh yeah, we're gonna run away with the division. We
just beat up on the Colts. I think that this
is kind of a trap game for the Jacks, even
though it is at home. Jets plus twelve and a half,
and we'll see what the quarterback situation is. Obviously we'd
like to see Tyrod Taylor back, even justin fields back.
They're under center, not a third string quarterback. So right now,
(15:42):
I don't really see a lot of value I betting
on this. I just want to see what the Jets
quarterback situation looks like. But I'm leaning towards maybe Jacksonville
is a little bit overrated here. Just a big spread
and they have been volatile at times this year.
Speaker 1 (15:54):
I'll take the Jaguars with the eleven and a half.
I think this line can only get worse as it goes.
That's why you know justin Fields Kenny play Willies who
want to play? Who knows what's going on? I think
it's I think Jacksonville knows now that they're in the
pole position here that Daniel Jones' injury really opened up
that lane for them. The big w against the Colts.
(16:14):
Another win at home against the Colts, as they always do.
I'll think the Jags eleven and a half before it
becomes thirteen and a half by Friday. All Right, Las
Vegas and Philadelphia Again, we don't know what comes to
the Eagles this week on Monday Night Football, But in
the meantime, they're twelve and a half point favorites at
home against the Raiders, plus thirteen and a half of
the best number you're getting on them, thirty eight and
a half for the over, thirty nine and a half
for the under, plus seven point fifty on the upset
(16:37):
special money line for Vegas, andrew any early value on
the Eagles. Raiders.
Speaker 2 (16:42):
See this is one where I would feel more comfortable
laying the points with Philly because now you're getting another
situation where Gino Smith might not play in this game
because he's all sorts of banged up.
Speaker 3 (16:52):
Raiders can't block anybody.
Speaker 2 (16:53):
Their robitsive line is terrible, and then you have to
go on the road to Philadelphia. How much of a
fighter of the Raiders to put up here, Like, let's
be realistic, this season is not much.
Speaker 3 (17:03):
They're two and eleven. Everyone's gonna get fired.
Speaker 2 (17:06):
It seems like I again, if I'm gonna lay heavy points,
it's going to be on the Eagles at home against
a lifeless Raiders team, where at least the Jets will
show some fight with Aaron Glenn.
Speaker 3 (17:16):
So I'll take the Eagles here.
Speaker 1 (17:19):
All right. Next up on our schedule before we get
to the Washington Commanders and Giants, quick shout out and
reminder too that we have the Betting pros app still
with all the best tools in the business to help
you be more successful at sports wagering. So if things
haven't gone your way this year, maybe we should try
the Betting pros app again. Don't be a tool, use
the tools. Let us help you. We can track all
your bets for You've got the prop at cheat sheets,
(17:40):
same game parlay tool, all the tools that make betting
fun easier, and the insights that make you just better
at betting. And that's what we want to be here.
Next up here the Washington Commanders Jane Daniels. They hurt
again the New York Giants coming off their by They
are one and a half point favorites at home plus
two and a half of the Commanders here on the road,
forty six and a half for the over, under, plus
(18:01):
one sixteen on the money line for the Washington Commanders,
minus won twenty two for the Giants this game. To
stay away from me, dog, I don't know about.
Speaker 2 (18:08):
You, Sam, I really have nothing else to add here
to dysfunctional franchises with problems. Jane Daniels banged up again.
I don't really have any reads on this game. So
onto the next one.
Speaker 1 (18:21):
On to the next one. Indeed, Green Bay, Denver, there
you go. Some fun defenses in this one. One and
a half point favorites the Green bat Packers on the
road against the Denver Broncos. Plus two and a half,
forty one and a half for the over, forty two
and a half for eccuse you just forty two flat
for the under, minus won twenty three for Green Bay
on the money line plus one sixteen. The lines I
think are really good here. I think they're tight for
(18:44):
a reason. I think the over under is right on.
I don't think there's any value that I can see
on this line that I want to jump in early Andrew,
do you see things differently?
Speaker 3 (18:52):
I like the green Bay side here.
Speaker 2 (18:54):
I think the green Bay just top to bottom is
the better excuse me, the better overall team than the
Denver Broncos are. So I'll take the Packers in the
tight spread here, even on the road.
Speaker 1 (19:07):
Finally, here we get to the Los Angeles Rams and
Detroit Lions. This one is in LA. The Rams are
four point favorites, Detroit plus four and a half underdogs
on the road as they travel to LA. Fifty two
and a half of the over fifty three and a
half the under. This could have big playoff implications. This
game here is seating is looking around here plus two
(19:27):
h six right now for the Detroit Lions money line. Look,
I think the Rams are the better team. Do I
think they can win this game by a touchdown? I do.
Rams outside of Detroit not always the same team, but
it is a controlled environment which makes it tricky. I'll
take the Rams here with the points, which is for Andrew,
how about yourself?
Speaker 3 (19:46):
Like the Lions, especially if I'm catching five and a
half points.
Speaker 2 (19:50):
They're on the road, but we know the Rams don't
really have home field advantage and you're getting dome conditions,
So I like that for the Lions offensive side of
the football. And the Lions also have extended rest, so
coming off the Thursday night game a little bit more
time to prepare for the Los Angeles Rams, who, like
we kind of predicted, took out business, took out their
rage on the Arizona Cardinals, basically destroying them last week.
(20:11):
I do like the Rams better when they're on the road.
You should get more value on them at home. Maybe
a little bit overvalued here, So I like the Lions here. Again,
anytime you're getting more than a field goal with a
Dan Campbell team, guse you a pretty good bet to
make all right.
Speaker 1 (20:25):
The Indianapolis Colts without Daniel Jones the rest of the
season now ten and a half point underdogs on the
road against Seattle forty two and a half of the
over forty three and a half for the under, plus
five hundred for the Colts money line. I'll take the
under forty three and a half. I'm gonna be really
concerned that the Colts offense are going to operate properly
here as they pivot away from Daniel Jones and Seattle
(20:46):
at home has been really good, that defense is really strong.
It's the toughest spot here for the Colts as it
looks like their season is kind of on the brink
of falling apart.
Speaker 2 (20:53):
Yeah, it's really hard to think Riley Leonard coming in
probably going to start again. Technically, Anthony Richardson is eltimately
come off the injured reserve.
Speaker 3 (21:01):
He is if he is healthy enough to play.
Speaker 2 (21:04):
We don't know if he is healthy enough because he's
recovering from that eye injury, so that is problematic. I
guess for me, Ry Leonard is kind of an interesting
quarterback though again experience from Notre name and what he
has always been praised for is this guy's gonna die
on the field for his teammates, right, Just praise for
a lot of leadership. Now that's all nice on paper,
(21:24):
what does it mean when you have to go to Seattle?
So I would probably stay away from the sides here
just because he is more mobile than Daniel Jones. Gail
Jones was dealing with that fibula injury. So maybe there
is an element of a surprise factor here from the Colts.
Off and chen Seconds get a full week with Rylan
Leonard as the starting quarterback, a lot of good weapons there,
so I think maybe we get some points here. Maybe,
(21:44):
So maybe I would actually lean towards the over here
forty two and a half. Again, I was on the
under last week for Seattle and the Atlanta Falcons, and
that blew up in my face because I came went
over because Seattle just dominated that game. So if I
go over here, I get a couple outs, Seattle blows out,
the Colts game goes over. Or maybe we see a
little bit more from ryan he Leonard in his first
start in the Shane Stike in offense. Maybe we see
them pop off a little bit with some of these
(22:05):
offensive playmakers. So I'll probably dive a little bit more
deep into this matchic interesting to see where the Lions
go here with a unproven quarterback.
Speaker 1 (22:13):
Right, the Colts we're talking about, not the Lions?
Speaker 3 (22:16):
Is it Lions?
Speaker 1 (22:18):
I think he did? I don't think what did you say?
The lines? The Lions go lines? Oh, the Lions? Where
the lines, not roar where the lines go, not the
Lions go. We're talking about we did. That's what I mean.
We're gonna talk about the Lions. Let's talk about the
Titans because we have to the Titans plus thirteen and
a half travel to San Francisco minus twelve forty three
and a half of the over, forty five and a
(22:39):
half for the under, plus seven to fifty for the
money line. Here. Look, this should be a squash for
the San Francisco forty nine ers, especially coming off that buy.
CMC is gonna run a buck. I want all the
overs on CMC props I could possibly handle. So twelve
is it a lot? Yes? I don't know. Just give
me CMC props. I'm gonna stay away from the game.
How about that?
Speaker 2 (22:58):
Yeah, there's a lot of really heavy favored home teams
this week, which I don't like because I'm always a
sucker for the double digit home underdog. That's an attack
I like to make when it comes to the betting side,
But when they're at home, it makes a buch trickier
to bet on some of these underdogs here. So are
the Titans gonna be my team that I want to bet?
Catching two touchdowns on the road, probably.
Speaker 3 (23:21):
Especially after a win. How many games are they going
to actually play that?
Speaker 2 (23:25):
Well, eh, I'm a little suspect on that, so I think, yeah,
believe me.
Speaker 1 (23:29):
I'd love to see it. I love nothing more than
the Tennessee Titans that go to San Francisco and whoop them.
I mean, that would be hilarious. I just don't want
to invest in it.
Speaker 3 (23:37):
I think you're right, just CMC.
Speaker 2 (23:39):
Multi touchdowns probably get some decent odds on Probably not
decent odds actually, but hey, as long as it hits
you'll make some money.
Speaker 3 (23:45):
So maybe yeah. Christian McCaffrey crops.
Speaker 1 (23:48):
Seven and a half to one in the money line
for the Tennessee Titans. All right, Carolina Panthers coming off
a buye and the New Orleans Saints coming off a win.
This one's in New Orleans. Plus two and a half
are the New Orleans Saints underdogs at home minus two
and a half of the Carolina Panthers, thirty nine for
the over, forty and a half of the under, minus
one thirty on the money line for Carolina plus one
twenty four to for New Orleans. Andrew any early line
(24:08):
love on this.
Speaker 2 (24:08):
Game Carolina, My Carolina Panthers. Again, Why are they favorites here?
I guess they are the better team. It's the New
Orleans Saints, but we've seen this with Carolina. Once the
market is okay, we're in on Carolina, they're the number
one team to let you down in the following week.
The thing that's interesting about Carolina they are six and
oh against the spread after they lose six and oh.
But they're not coming off a loss, which is why
(24:30):
I get concerned here. They are coming off of bye week,
so maybe that does change the perspective a little bit
on them. I'm gonna have to look more at the
trends for this particular matchup because I have a ticket
for Panthers to win the division, right, I still think
that's in the range of outcomes. Tampa Bay has really
fallen off these last couple of weeks. We know we
have a couple Carolina Tampa Bay matchups coming up still,
so we'll see how the division shakes out. But I
(24:51):
guess I want to go back to my Panthers here.
But I would be lying if I said I felt
really really confident about it before.
Speaker 1 (24:58):
We get to the last two games. Was with primetime
games a Sunday an Football on Monday Night Football. I got
a hot take for you, Andrew, all right, because I was.
I'm still stewing about the Patriots Bills game a little bit,
you know. I want to keep talking about Drake May
has not a three hundred dollars passing game all year.
I think Drake May is a three hundred dollard passing game.
He gets the Buffalo Bills. That's what I think. That's
what I think. How about the first one for Buffalo
(25:20):
to win the division? How about that? Mapples, there's a
hot take. Let's clip this. See if I'm right or wrong.
All right, Let's go Minnesota Dallas here, Dallas Cowboys could
be without Cee Lamb for this game early going again,
he's in concussion protocol. They are a touchdown favorite minus
six against the Minnesota Vikings, who showed some signs of life,
just not for Justin Jefferson, but JJ McCarthy played better
in an unexpected blowout of the Commanders. Yike's what a
(25:42):
crazy game that was. Plus six and a half for
the Vikings here in this game on the road, forty
seven and a half for the over forty eight and
a half for the under plus two sixty on the
money line for the Minnesota Vikings. So, Andrew, what do
you think here? Just want to go over on the
forty seven and a half because that's what I want to.
Speaker 3 (25:58):
Do, usually what I want to do.
Speaker 2 (26:01):
But Dallas still, I think that their defense with the
passers so they can generate I think that's going to
present a lot of problems for JJ McCarthy. So I
actually like Dallas here laying the six points the Vikings
going back to when teams give us this false sense
of confidence the Vikings after a win or zero four
(26:22):
against the spread, So basically after they win a game,
we're think, okay, like maybe they're improving, maybe something's going
to happen here they lay an egg. The following week,
Dallas coming off extra rest, like we talked about with
the Lions, bring up the lines again. But the mini
bye week after playing on Thursday night, I think Dallas
finds a way to actually cover the six points. So
give me the Cowboys at home.
Speaker 1 (26:39):
How many points do you think the Vikings score?
Speaker 3 (26:44):
I mean they might get seventeen to twenty probably.
Speaker 1 (26:47):
In that Okay, here's here's why I'm taking the over
at forty seven and a half because the Cowboys are
averaging thirty three points at home this year. So you
don't need much from the Vikings, is what I'm saying.
You don't need much that much. So if you give
me seventeen and you get and the Cowboys give me,
you know, thirty plus, Hey, we're right in that neighborhood.
Speaker 2 (27:06):
Baby, And it also means the cowboyst cover the six
points too.
Speaker 3 (27:09):
You're with me.
Speaker 1 (27:10):
That's so, I guess we're all together here on this one.
All right, last one. Here are the Miami Dolphins coming
off of victory of the Jets, and the Pittsburgh Steelers
coming off a win. They are at home for Monday
Night Football minus three. You got plus three and a
half for the Miami Dolphins, forty two and a half
and even money for the over, forty three and a
half for the under, plus one sixty nine on the
(27:31):
money line for the Miami Dolphins. Look, Pittsburgh Steelers are
a bit of an enigma to me, I'll be honest
with you, so are the Miami Dolphins. If anything, I'll
take the Dolphins for the three and a half just
to make it interesting. But I don't love it. I
gotta be honest with you, I just don't love this game.
Probably should just stay away from it. Maybe the under
forty three and a half. Maybe that's where you want
to live. I don't know.
Speaker 3 (27:51):
Never wrong, just early.
Speaker 2 (27:52):
I think I was a week too early on the
two implosion with interceptions, just one week early. So I
think it's this week now because they're not favor This time.
They were favored against the Jets, something I probably overlooked.
They are underdogs now. Still outside, still in the cold,
and this time it's at night, so even colder conditions. Joe,
So I'm gonna bet against two A two weeks in
a row. Maybe he burns me two weeks in a row.
(28:13):
But I would say, again, how do you tack Pittsburgh?
You run the football. A Chan a little bit banged up,
So if he's not one hundred percent, I know he
got hurt a little bit last week. They said it
wasn't a major concern, but coaches say this all the
time and then it ends up being, oh, he didn't
practice all week. So if a Chan is limited any
capacity and TUA has to force into a drop back
type of mode, this is the steel curtain all the way.
Speaker 3 (28:33):
On Monday Night football.
Speaker 2 (28:34):
So I will go with the Steelers here, especially while
it's at a field goal at minus three.
Speaker 3 (28:39):
Take care of business against TUA. Turn them all over.
Speaker 1 (28:42):
It's not so much of steel curtain anymore. It's more
like a drape. I guess you know, it's really you know,
like the cheap lines with a little plastic swizzle stick thing.
Then that's once more with the Pittsburgh defense. At this point,
it was good enough to be the Ravens. Though it's
got Bob when's a happy man, all right. Remember you
can always follow us on the Betting Pros app too
(29:04):
to see what we're betting, and of course download that
Betting pros app along with the sportsbook as well for
hard rock bet and of course we'll be here on
the channel. Subscribe for more help for all of week fifteen.
That'll do it for us, But the story of the
game goes on for Andrew ericson. I'm Joey p. We'll
see you next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the
Betting Pros Podcast. If you love the show, the best
freeway to support us is by leaving a positive review
(29:26):
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Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com
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