December 3, 2025 • 17 mins
Joey P. and Bogs are back with their Week 14 Thursday Night Football breakdown as the Dallas Cowboys take on the Detroit Lions!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)
Intro - 0:00:00
Signed AJ Brown Helmet Giveaway - 0:01:31
Tale of the Tape - 0:02:01
Hard Rock Bet - 0:05:15
Dak Prescott Over 269.5 Passing Yards - 0:06:58
George Pickens Over 5.5 Receptions - 0:07:40
David Montgomery Under 50.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards - 0:08:39
Javonte Williams Over 79.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards - 0:10:10
Jameson Williams Over 28.5 Yards Longest Reception - 0:10:57
BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet - 0:12:40
Same Game Parlay - 0:13:06
TD Calls - 0:13:53
Outro - 0:16:24
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome in everybody to betting pros.
Speaker 2 (00:02):
It's time to place your bets. Is me Joey P
joe P Zapia and this is BP NFL. It's time
to look at to Thursday Night football this week, and
we got a good one too. The Lions taking a
couple losses lately, not looking so great, possibly without their
big star. I'm on Ross Saint Brown as a recording this,
and of course the Dallas Cowboys on a bit of
a roll, starting to feel pretty good about themselves rather
(00:23):
than off some w's and Scott Bogman and I are
going to pick apart the bets for this game.
Speaker 1 (00:27):
We had a pretty.
Speaker 2 (00:28):
Good Thanksgiving special. I got a say, Bogs pretty damn
good there. We also had a very entertaining Black Friday
where we made some money too. We were on the
Bears and that was a good place to be. So
I want to keep that train rolling. And I apologize
in advance to the listeners, especially in the watchers, because
we've got some roofwork done. So if you hear intermittent hammering,
(00:49):
it's not some sort of weird art project I've got
going on in the background or something like that.
Speaker 1 (00:53):
It's just it's the necessary work in there. It is
just on cue.
Speaker 2 (00:57):
I feel like Bill Murray and Scrooge when he's just
asking everyone to please stop the damn hammering box.
Speaker 1 (01:01):
But I guess that's that's the season we're in. It
is Christmas time, right.
Speaker 3 (01:05):
Look, everybody needs to have their roof replaced at some point,
so that's what's happening right now.
Speaker 4 (01:10):
So you know, get it fixed. We'll be okay.
Speaker 3 (01:13):
We can hear a couple of hammers, no big deal,
everybody's done that before.
Speaker 2 (01:17):
That's right, a little hammering, a little knocking around, but
you know, eventually keep the snow out, and that's that's
a good ding.
Speaker 1 (01:22):
No snow, no rain inside the house.
Speaker 4 (01:24):
That I don't know anything about snow, Joe, I'm.
Speaker 1 (01:26):
Fine, I know, yeah, seriously and the whatever, all right.
Speaker 2 (01:31):
I don't know if you know about free stuff or
we're gett away assigned AJ Brown helmet for free from
Pristine Auction dot Com.
Speaker 1 (01:36):
All you need to.
Speaker 2 (01:37):
Do is head over to Betting Pros dot com slash contest,
complete the form and either download the Betting Pros app,
leave a review of the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe
to our social media channels at Betting Pros on X
on TikTok and Betting Pros NFL on the IG. The
more actions you complete, the more entries you'll receive, and
we'll be announcing the winner right here on the channel.
Speaker 1 (01:54):
So make sure you flip those on.
Speaker 2 (01:57):
Ring that belt it goes ding, so you can claim
your prize and never miss an episode of Betting Pros.
All right, bogs, let's say good, look at the tail
of the tape here, and we've got the Dallas Cowboys
six five and one stupid ties.
Speaker 1 (02:09):
They're the worst gets.
Speaker 2 (02:10):
The Detroit Lions seven and five the Cowboys or plus
three and a half right now, that's at minus one nineteen.
Detroit minus three right now is the best line you can.
Speaker 1 (02:19):
Find on VP.
Speaker 2 (02:20):
Over fifty three and a half, under fifty four and
a half, those are the best numbers you're gonna find.
And plus one fifty two on the Dallas money line.
I'm keeping this simple box. I like the way the
Dallas offense is played. It's in a controlled environment, indoors.
I'm still you know, Dan Campbell continues to find ways
to mismanage games when they matter most.
Speaker 1 (02:41):
He just does like I mean, I've had it You're.
Speaker 3 (02:43):
Right, that was your big that was your big talking
points away this week.
Speaker 1 (02:46):
Almost over it. It's been a week.
Speaker 2 (02:48):
This is my last time that I'm gonna talk about it.
But it leads me to Dallas at plus three and
a half. I jumped on this line right away. Erics
and I talked about on the Early look Ahead show, Bogs.
What are your thoughts on this one? How do you
approach it?
Speaker 3 (02:59):
Yeah, I'm all over Dallas here with you as well.
And look, these two teams have been playing in opposite
directions recently, right, Detroit has been on their downturn and
the Cowboys have been peaking here. So I'm big on
the Cowboys this week, and I like the over here
as well. Plus something that you were probably not thinking
(03:19):
about too much, because it's a Thursday night game. Both
these teams have full rest. They both played on Thanksgiving Day.
This is the one Thursday game in the season where
you get fully rested teams coming in here. Now it's
late in the season. They're both banged up. They got
injuries to deal with, of course, but Detroit is the
worst side on that, Like I see, the only advantage
(03:42):
that Detroit really has right now is that they're at
home in this game. That is their one advantage here,
and that's not enough for me to get behind them
specifically with this hook. Three and a half is what
I want to get this game out if you still can.
Speaker 4 (03:55):
If the falls below that, I don't know.
Speaker 3 (03:58):
Home cooking can be weird sometime specifically in this game,
so I'll probably pass on it on it if it's
less than three and a half. But with that hook,
I think you got to be on the Cowboys here,
and I think money line is not a bad play either.
But if I'm betting like I like getting that hook,
so the over as well. Like the Cowboys are eight
and four to the over, the Lions are seven and five,
(04:21):
So yes, I'm missing a big star, but I still
think they have a lot of firepower with Jamison and
Jamirik Gibbs as well, so I think they'll be able
to put up the points. But this Cowboys offense is
peaking right now. It is the best offense in the league.
It has been putting points on everybody, and you know
now that they figured out pickings can really be a
true number one, this offense looks amazing right now. It's
(04:44):
tough to stop and they made improvements on the defense
as well, and they're working right now.
Speaker 1 (04:48):
Yeah, they are.
Speaker 2 (04:49):
Look, I think Dallas feels a little bit maybe, you know,
sometimes the tragedy brings the team together.
Speaker 1 (04:53):
I think you're getting a little bit of that too,
you know. Yea, the guys are starting to come together
a little bit.
Speaker 2 (04:57):
And I think seeing the Eagles continue, you know, lose
recently is encouraged.
Speaker 4 (05:03):
Inspiring.
Speaker 2 (05:04):
Yea, it is inspiring as well, you know, where you
feel like maybe we are kind of in this thing
at the end of the day, like maybe this division
isn't gone and we have a shot at it after all.
All right, we're gonna break down the props in just
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Speaker 2 (06:58):
All right, bogs, Let's take a look here at Dak
Prescott two sixty nine and a half passing yards. I'm
on the over and so are you?
Speaker 4 (07:05):
Yeah, the dude is on fire. Right.
Speaker 3 (07:06):
Detroit Secondary has been getting torchs recently as well. Dak's
been over three hundred two games in a row. Pickens
and Lamb are peaking the last three weeks. Detroit has
specifically been bad against the past twenty eighth in passing
yards allowed. Terry and Arnold is a big question Mark
in this game as well. So I mean projections for
(07:27):
everything I've seen have dak over this as well. This
one just seems pretty simple. I think the Dallas offense
moves through the past with Lamb and Pickens. I think
they're going to continue to do that against Detroit on
the road.
Speaker 2 (07:40):
Here, all right, Next up here we have George Pickens,
who we were just talking about over five and a
half receptions there, so we're going over on that one
as well. Let's talk about why, because if we're talking
about streak wise, he's certainly on that path.
Speaker 4 (07:53):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (07:53):
I mean, look, this dude has been on fire and
the juice is bad on this because of it. It is
minus one twenty five, but I try to stay below
minus like one thirty on these picks here. But he's
at this in five straight with the minimum of nine
targets in those games. Arnold is questionable, and even if
he plays, he should be on Lamb anyway, he's by
far their best corner right now. So I just think Pickens,
(08:16):
and again projected over on everything I've seen, I think
Pickens is peaking right now. I think he's playing better
than Ceedee Lamb, which is a hard thing. To do,
even though Ceedee Lamb is amazing. They're both very, very good.
They have two number ones on this team. So this
is just the way the offense should move because it's working.
So over five and a half, I think should be
(08:38):
pretty easy for Pickens.
Speaker 2 (08:39):
All right, let's get to David Montgomery. The number five
is fifty and a half rushing and receiving yards combined.
So we know Jamier Gibs that some monstrous games here
in the month of November going into December. Now, so
what does that mean for Montgomery's combined total?
Speaker 3 (08:53):
Yeah, so I wanted to do rushing total, just a
full transparency here because yesterday was thirty eight and a half.
It dropped five yards to thirty three and a half overnight, Joe,
So obviously a lot of people on that one. But
Dallas is second in the NFL the last three weeks
in rushing yards allowed under ten rushing attempts for David
(09:13):
Montgomery three straight weeks, under twenty five snaps in those
weeks as well, and he's only had more than two
catches twice this season. Dallas scores points, which should lead
to more passing from Detroit, which probably leaves David Montgomery
out of this game a little bit more. Also, so
second rushing attempts against the past two weeks because they
(09:34):
put points up, and last three weeks Detroit is twenty
six in rush attempts per game. So I just think
that Montgomery's pack to this is very narrow. He's getting
fewer touches and he's not like a big a guy
that's going to break off a big play. He will
every once in a while, but that is more what
Gibbs does for Detroit. So I just think under fifty
(09:54):
and a half total with him losing snaps and then
potentially having to play from behind and probably having Gibbs
in more leads me to think that he will be
under fifteen and a half. I wanted to get below
thirty eight and a half, but below thirty three and
a half it's not quite as appealing.
Speaker 4 (10:09):
That's all, all right.
Speaker 2 (10:11):
Let's switch backfields here to the Dallas Cowboys and Javonte
Williams his number seventy nine and a half. When you
combine the rush and the receiving yards, do you like?
Speaker 4 (10:18):
That is the over I do? And that's this one.
Speaker 3 (10:21):
Look, he's hit this total between rushing and receiving in
nine of twelve games so far this season, and he's
done it seven times with just rushing yards. Detroit is
twenty fourth the past three weeks in rushing yards allowed
one hundred and thirty one points seven and Javante is
ninth in the league in touches per game, averaging twenty
touches per game. So I think this total is somewhat
(10:42):
low for Javonte Williams. And look, if you protect the
pass against Dallas, which is what you should do, you're
gonna give up chunk plays to Javonte. This offense is
humming right now, so I think we're just gonna see
a lot of yards from the Cowboys in this game.
Speaker 2 (10:57):
All right, Let's talk about Jameson Williams too, because obviously
he stepped up in a big way last week on
Thanksgiving when.
Speaker 1 (11:03):
Al Monroe was out. I would think a lot of.
Speaker 2 (11:05):
People would be going for some of his yardage totals
or even receptions. But you're looking specifically for that longest
reception again, why that one at twenty eight and a
half and that over and supposed to maybe the over
on the total reception yards.
Speaker 3 (11:18):
I just think this one is safer honestly, with the
way Jamison Williams plays, right, He's hit this in four
the past five weeks. He had ten targets last week
with a Monra down, and he is very iffy for
Thursday Night Football tomorrow. And Dallas has allowed thirty nine
twenty plus yard pass plays. That's twenty six in the
NFL and eleven over forty. That's almost won a game,
(11:39):
and they are dead last in the NFL and allowing
big explosive plays. So the improvements that the Cowboys made
were along the front, Right, we got Quinnin Williams in there,
they traded for Kenny Clark, right, those are the improvements
that they made to stop the run, not to stop
the pass. The back end is still leaky. So I
(11:59):
think that specifically with Dallas putting up these points, Jamison
being a big explosive playmaker and this being at twenty
eight and a half, which, like I said, he's hit
this in four or five. The only game he didn't
hit was a game where he caught no balls, right,
and everybody was so mad, Can I drop Jamis? Can
I get rid of Jamis? Blah blah blah, and we're all, no,
you can't do that, He's still you want one of
the better scores in the league at wide receivers. So
(12:22):
I just think a big play is probably going to happen,
and I think Detroit's gonna have to take shots late.
So I think you add those two things up and
it should give us a big play from him. And
I got my longest reception on Watson on Thanksgiving, so
feel pretty good about these recently.
Speaker 1 (12:39):
There you go, let's roll that over and again.
Speaker 2 (12:40):
If you want more help with the props, go to
the prop bet cheat sheet, download the Banging Pros app
and you're gonna find it, or just go to bettingpros
dot com Size props and you'll find the prop bet
cheat sheet right there. For the best value, Let's rank
all of the props there in every game, the difference
between the fantasy projections and the prop lines, and that's
going to find you the best place to make those bets.
So that's what's all about your sportsbooks for free. Get
(13:01):
all the value you possibly can by using the Betting
Pros app and all the tools like the prop bet
cheat sheet, and you can also use the same game
parlay builder as well. And that's what we're gonna do
right now, use the SGP tool. We're gonna make a
little prop here. We're gonna go Dallas Cowboys with that
plus three. So I'm gonna tempt fade a little bit.
I mean, honestly, I kind of like just Dallas to
win out right. So if you really feeling.
Speaker 3 (13:21):
Money line is bad either, yeah, I just think in betting,
if you're gonna give me that hook, I'm looking for it.
Speaker 1 (13:26):
That's all I'm all about it.
Speaker 2 (13:26):
If you can get the hook still too great, you
take the three, take the three and a half, whatever
you can find there. If you can take the plus
one fifty two on the money line, if you want
to go that, go for it. And I'm also taking
the over on the Dak Prescott Yards two sixty eight
and a half is what I found it out there.
So put those two things together, you get plus one
eighty five. Is it a huge number, nozer. But if
you switch it over to the money line, it goes
(13:48):
up significantly. So that's just something to keep in mind
here as you're looking to make your parlays for the night,
and in terms of touchdowns finding the end zone, I'm
going with George Pickens plus one twenty.
Speaker 1 (13:58):
I can't believe I'm getting plus one twenty on Pickings.
I thought that was kind of crazy.
Speaker 2 (14:01):
I thought it would be closer to even, if not
minus money with the way he's been playing lately.
Speaker 1 (14:05):
So I'll go ahead.
Speaker 4 (14:05):
We switched our names.
Speaker 3 (14:06):
Actually, actually I'm taking George Pickens because our names are flipped.
Speaker 6 (14:10):
Here.
Speaker 3 (14:10):
You row yours in mine. I didn't even realize it
until you said it. But I love your pick because
I almost love your pick.
Speaker 1 (14:17):
I was gonna say, but I really like your pick better.
Speaker 2 (14:19):
I did this like yesterday, and then the roof came
off my house and it's been banging around, so I
kind of but no, it's true because it's so let's
switch around. So you know what, Yeah, we both like
both of these. Because I was literally gonna say the same,
But you know what, I kind of like yours better.
Speaker 1 (14:33):
Bods, I'll be honest with you.
Speaker 4 (14:34):
I like my I like mine too. It's plus one
twenty five for Pickens.
Speaker 1 (14:38):
But let's take your plus one forty five for Pickets here.
Speaker 3 (14:41):
I like your number two. It's plus one fifty five
for Tesla. And and this is what Tesla does right
when he's in there, He scores were projected to a J.
Brown to be down. Do you did you see.
Speaker 1 (14:52):
This percentage he gets? He gives a J.
Speaker 3 (14:54):
Brown Brown, Yeah, one, they've all they're also working on
my roof.
Speaker 4 (14:59):
Uh so, but.
Speaker 3 (15:02):
Look, did you see the snap percentage for Tesla after
all went down ninety two percent last week? So he's
he's got a lot of telling if they're going to
be playing from behind as well, like we think, I
think Tesla is with no sun God. I think what
we have here is we have him good for yardage,
(15:24):
for his longest reception, and for a touchdown. I think
all of those are in play for Tesla. We just
didn't have numbers yesterday. I think the numbers that I
just saw on Tesla's thirty five and a half receiving
yards now he's projected under right now because those projections
are with a manra playing. But I think with a
man rest sitting projections are going to raise him a lot.
(15:47):
Remember no Sam Laporta as well.
Speaker 2 (15:49):
Yeah, but you also got like that Kennedy kid they
brought up for the practice squad is gonna work.
Speaker 1 (15:53):
Kennedy's good and he's all right.
Speaker 2 (15:54):
I feel if I'm betting Tesla it's the touchdown because
he's been that guy even the red zone. I think
he's that playmaker guy. He's the guy that gets lose,
has a little separated.
Speaker 3 (16:03):
I think all the numbers are going to be too
low if he plays again, and I think he goes
over most of them.
Speaker 2 (16:09):
That was funny though, because I mean I I did
put my pick in your name, and I.
Speaker 1 (16:13):
Was like, you know what, I didn't even realize like that,
I just slaw one.
Speaker 3 (16:16):
I just I just put mine in. I didn't really really,
I just filled in the blank spy pick.
Speaker 1 (16:21):
Look, they're all good, so bet them all.
Speaker 2 (16:22):
Bet them all, have some fun and subscribe to the
channel as well. We made it through with limited hammering
h and I'm grateful because my head is pounding and
I need to go lay down, take it.
Speaker 4 (16:34):
Out of limited advil at this point.
Speaker 2 (16:38):
But again, good luck everybody, have fun Thursday night football.
That'll do it for us. But the story of the
game goes on for Scott Bog and I'm Joey p.
We'll see you next time.
Speaker 1 (16:46):
Kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.
Speaker 6 (16:49):
If you love the show, the best freeway to support
us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts
or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting
Pros and Instagram at betting Pros and f hel.
Speaker 4 (17:00):
Also subscribe to our
Speaker 6 (17:01):
YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros
Welcome in everybody to betting pros.
Speaker 2 (00:02):
It's time to place your bets. Is me Joey P
joe P Zapia and this is BP NFL. It's time
to look at to Thursday Night football this week, and
we got a good one too. The Lions taking a
couple losses lately, not looking so great, possibly without their
big star. I'm on Ross Saint Brown as a recording this,
and of course the Dallas Cowboys on a bit of
a roll, starting to feel pretty good about themselves rather
(00:23):
than off some w's and Scott Bogman and I are
going to pick apart the bets for this game.
Speaker 1 (00:27):
We had a pretty.
Speaker 2 (00:28):
Good Thanksgiving special. I got a say, Bogs pretty damn
good there. We also had a very entertaining Black Friday
where we made some money too. We were on the
Bears and that was a good place to be. So
I want to keep that train rolling. And I apologize
in advance to the listeners, especially in the watchers, because
we've got some roofwork done. So if you hear intermittent hammering,
(00:49):
it's not some sort of weird art project I've got
going on in the background or something like that.
Speaker 1 (00:53):
It's just it's the necessary work in there. It is
just on cue.
Speaker 2 (00:57):
I feel like Bill Murray and Scrooge when he's just
asking everyone to please stop the damn hammering box.
Speaker 1 (01:01):
But I guess that's that's the season we're in. It
is Christmas time, right.
Speaker 3 (01:05):
Look, everybody needs to have their roof replaced at some point,
so that's what's happening right now.
Speaker 4 (01:10):
So you know, get it fixed. We'll be okay.
Speaker 3 (01:13):
We can hear a couple of hammers, no big deal,
everybody's done that before.
Speaker 2 (01:17):
That's right, a little hammering, a little knocking around, but
you know, eventually keep the snow out, and that's that's
a good ding.
Speaker 1 (01:22):
No snow, no rain inside the house.
Speaker 4 (01:24):
That I don't know anything about snow, Joe, I'm.
Speaker 1 (01:26):
Fine, I know, yeah, seriously and the whatever, all right.
Speaker 2 (01:31):
I don't know if you know about free stuff or
we're gett away assigned AJ Brown helmet for free from
Pristine Auction dot Com.
Speaker 1 (01:36):
All you need to.
Speaker 2 (01:37):
Do is head over to Betting Pros dot com slash contest,
complete the form and either download the Betting Pros app,
leave a review of the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe
to our social media channels at Betting Pros on X
on TikTok and Betting Pros NFL on the IG. The
more actions you complete, the more entries you'll receive, and
we'll be announcing the winner right here on the channel.
Speaker 1 (01:54):
So make sure you flip those on.
Speaker 2 (01:57):
Ring that belt it goes ding, so you can claim
your prize and never miss an episode of Betting Pros.
All right, bogs, let's say good, look at the tail
of the tape here, and we've got the Dallas Cowboys
six five and one stupid ties.
Speaker 1 (02:09):
They're the worst gets.
Speaker 2 (02:10):
The Detroit Lions seven and five the Cowboys or plus
three and a half right now, that's at minus one nineteen.
Detroit minus three right now is the best line you can.
Speaker 1 (02:19):
Find on VP.
Speaker 2 (02:20):
Over fifty three and a half, under fifty four and
a half, those are the best numbers you're gonna find.
And plus one fifty two on the Dallas money line.
I'm keeping this simple box. I like the way the
Dallas offense is played. It's in a controlled environment, indoors.
I'm still you know, Dan Campbell continues to find ways
to mismanage games when they matter most.
Speaker 1 (02:41):
He just does like I mean, I've had it You're.
Speaker 3 (02:43):
Right, that was your big that was your big talking
points away this week.
Speaker 1 (02:46):
Almost over it. It's been a week.
Speaker 2 (02:48):
This is my last time that I'm gonna talk about it.
But it leads me to Dallas at plus three and
a half. I jumped on this line right away. Erics
and I talked about on the Early look Ahead show, Bogs.
What are your thoughts on this one? How do you
approach it?
Speaker 3 (02:59):
Yeah, I'm all over Dallas here with you as well.
And look, these two teams have been playing in opposite
directions recently, right, Detroit has been on their downturn and
the Cowboys have been peaking here. So I'm big on
the Cowboys this week, and I like the over here
as well. Plus something that you were probably not thinking
(03:19):
about too much, because it's a Thursday night game. Both
these teams have full rest. They both played on Thanksgiving Day.
This is the one Thursday game in the season where
you get fully rested teams coming in here. Now it's
late in the season. They're both banged up. They got
injuries to deal with, of course, but Detroit is the
worst side on that, Like I see, the only advantage
(03:42):
that Detroit really has right now is that they're at
home in this game. That is their one advantage here,
and that's not enough for me to get behind them
specifically with this hook. Three and a half is what
I want to get this game out if you still can.
Speaker 4 (03:55):
If the falls below that, I don't know.
Speaker 3 (03:58):
Home cooking can be weird sometime specifically in this game,
so I'll probably pass on it on it if it's
less than three and a half. But with that hook,
I think you got to be on the Cowboys here,
and I think money line is not a bad play either.
But if I'm betting like I like getting that hook,
so the over as well. Like the Cowboys are eight
and four to the over, the Lions are seven and five,
(04:21):
So yes, I'm missing a big star, but I still
think they have a lot of firepower with Jamison and
Jamirik Gibbs as well, so I think they'll be able
to put up the points. But this Cowboys offense is
peaking right now. It is the best offense in the league.
It has been putting points on everybody, and you know
now that they figured out pickings can really be a
true number one, this offense looks amazing right now. It's
(04:44):
tough to stop and they made improvements on the defense
as well, and they're working right now.
Speaker 1 (04:48):
Yeah, they are.
Speaker 2 (04:49):
Look, I think Dallas feels a little bit maybe, you know,
sometimes the tragedy brings the team together.
Speaker 1 (04:53):
I think you're getting a little bit of that too,
you know. Yea, the guys are starting to come together
a little bit.
Speaker 2 (04:57):
And I think seeing the Eagles continue, you know, lose
recently is encouraged.
Speaker 4 (05:03):
Inspiring.
Speaker 2 (05:04):
Yea, it is inspiring as well, you know, where you
feel like maybe we are kind of in this thing
at the end of the day, like maybe this division
isn't gone and we have a shot at it after all.
All right, we're gonna break down the props in just
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Speaker 2 (06:58):
All right, bogs, Let's take a look here at Dak
Prescott two sixty nine and a half passing yards. I'm
on the over and so are you?
Speaker 4 (07:05):
Yeah, the dude is on fire. Right.
Speaker 3 (07:06):
Detroit Secondary has been getting torchs recently as well. Dak's
been over three hundred two games in a row. Pickens
and Lamb are peaking the last three weeks. Detroit has
specifically been bad against the past twenty eighth in passing
yards allowed. Terry and Arnold is a big question Mark
in this game as well. So I mean projections for
(07:27):
everything I've seen have dak over this as well. This
one just seems pretty simple. I think the Dallas offense
moves through the past with Lamb and Pickens. I think
they're going to continue to do that against Detroit on
the road.
Speaker 2 (07:40):
Here, all right, Next up here we have George Pickens,
who we were just talking about over five and a
half receptions there, so we're going over on that one
as well. Let's talk about why, because if we're talking
about streak wise, he's certainly on that path.
Speaker 4 (07:53):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (07:53):
I mean, look, this dude has been on fire and
the juice is bad on this because of it. It is
minus one twenty five, but I try to stay below
minus like one thirty on these picks here. But he's
at this in five straight with the minimum of nine
targets in those games. Arnold is questionable, and even if
he plays, he should be on Lamb anyway, he's by
far their best corner right now. So I just think Pickens,
(08:16):
and again projected over on everything I've seen, I think
Pickens is peaking right now. I think he's playing better
than Ceedee Lamb, which is a hard thing. To do,
even though Ceedee Lamb is amazing. They're both very, very good.
They have two number ones on this team. So this
is just the way the offense should move because it's working.
So over five and a half, I think should be
(08:38):
pretty easy for Pickens.
Speaker 2 (08:39):
All right, let's get to David Montgomery. The number five
is fifty and a half rushing and receiving yards combined.
So we know Jamier Gibs that some monstrous games here
in the month of November going into December. Now, so
what does that mean for Montgomery's combined total?
Speaker 3 (08:53):
Yeah, so I wanted to do rushing total, just a
full transparency here because yesterday was thirty eight and a half.
It dropped five yards to thirty three and a half overnight, Joe,
So obviously a lot of people on that one. But
Dallas is second in the NFL the last three weeks
in rushing yards allowed under ten rushing attempts for David
(09:13):
Montgomery three straight weeks, under twenty five snaps in those
weeks as well, and he's only had more than two
catches twice this season. Dallas scores points, which should lead
to more passing from Detroit, which probably leaves David Montgomery
out of this game a little bit more. Also, so
second rushing attempts against the past two weeks because they
(09:34):
put points up, and last three weeks Detroit is twenty
six in rush attempts per game. So I just think
that Montgomery's pack to this is very narrow. He's getting
fewer touches and he's not like a big a guy
that's going to break off a big play. He will
every once in a while, but that is more what
Gibbs does for Detroit. So I just think under fifty
(09:54):
and a half total with him losing snaps and then
potentially having to play from behind and probably having Gibbs
in more leads me to think that he will be
under fifteen and a half. I wanted to get below
thirty eight and a half, but below thirty three and
a half it's not quite as appealing.
Speaker 4 (10:09):
That's all, all right.
Speaker 2 (10:11):
Let's switch backfields here to the Dallas Cowboys and Javonte
Williams his number seventy nine and a half. When you
combine the rush and the receiving yards, do you like?
Speaker 4 (10:18):
That is the over I do? And that's this one.
Speaker 3 (10:21):
Look, he's hit this total between rushing and receiving in
nine of twelve games so far this season, and he's
done it seven times with just rushing yards. Detroit is
twenty fourth the past three weeks in rushing yards allowed
one hundred and thirty one points seven and Javante is
ninth in the league in touches per game, averaging twenty
touches per game. So I think this total is somewhat
(10:42):
low for Javonte Williams. And look, if you protect the
pass against Dallas, which is what you should do, you're
gonna give up chunk plays to Javonte. This offense is
humming right now, so I think we're just gonna see
a lot of yards from the Cowboys in this game.
Speaker 2 (10:57):
All right, Let's talk about Jameson Williams too, because obviously
he stepped up in a big way last week on
Thanksgiving when.
Speaker 1 (11:03):
Al Monroe was out. I would think a lot of.
Speaker 2 (11:05):
People would be going for some of his yardage totals
or even receptions. But you're looking specifically for that longest
reception again, why that one at twenty eight and a
half and that over and supposed to maybe the over
on the total reception yards.
Speaker 3 (11:18):
I just think this one is safer honestly, with the
way Jamison Williams plays, right, He's hit this in four
the past five weeks. He had ten targets last week
with a Monra down, and he is very iffy for
Thursday Night Football tomorrow. And Dallas has allowed thirty nine
twenty plus yard pass plays. That's twenty six in the
NFL and eleven over forty. That's almost won a game,
(11:39):
and they are dead last in the NFL and allowing
big explosive plays. So the improvements that the Cowboys made
were along the front, Right, we got Quinnin Williams in there,
they traded for Kenny Clark, right, those are the improvements
that they made to stop the run, not to stop
the pass. The back end is still leaky. So I
(11:59):
think that specifically with Dallas putting up these points, Jamison
being a big explosive playmaker and this being at twenty
eight and a half, which, like I said, he's hit
this in four or five. The only game he didn't
hit was a game where he caught no balls, right,
and everybody was so mad, Can I drop Jamis? Can
I get rid of Jamis? Blah blah blah, and we're all, no,
you can't do that, He's still you want one of
the better scores in the league at wide receivers. So
(12:22):
I just think a big play is probably going to happen,
and I think Detroit's gonna have to take shots late.
So I think you add those two things up and
it should give us a big play from him. And
I got my longest reception on Watson on Thanksgiving, so
feel pretty good about these recently.
Speaker 1 (12:39):
There you go, let's roll that over and again.
Speaker 2 (12:40):
If you want more help with the props, go to
the prop bet cheat sheet, download the Banging Pros app
and you're gonna find it, or just go to bettingpros
dot com Size props and you'll find the prop bet
cheat sheet right there. For the best value, Let's rank
all of the props there in every game, the difference
between the fantasy projections and the prop lines, and that's
going to find you the best place to make those bets.
So that's what's all about your sportsbooks for free. Get
(13:01):
all the value you possibly can by using the Betting
Pros app and all the tools like the prop bet
cheat sheet, and you can also use the same game
parlay builder as well. And that's what we're gonna do
right now, use the SGP tool. We're gonna make a
little prop here. We're gonna go Dallas Cowboys with that
plus three. So I'm gonna tempt fade a little bit.
I mean, honestly, I kind of like just Dallas to
win out right. So if you really feeling.
Speaker 3 (13:21):
Money line is bad either, yeah, I just think in betting,
if you're gonna give me that hook, I'm looking for it.
Speaker 1 (13:26):
That's all I'm all about it.
Speaker 2 (13:26):
If you can get the hook still too great, you
take the three, take the three and a half, whatever
you can find there. If you can take the plus
one fifty two on the money line, if you want
to go that, go for it. And I'm also taking
the over on the Dak Prescott Yards two sixty eight
and a half is what I found it out there.
So put those two things together, you get plus one
eighty five. Is it a huge number, nozer. But if
you switch it over to the money line, it goes
(13:48):
up significantly. So that's just something to keep in mind
here as you're looking to make your parlays for the night,
and in terms of touchdowns finding the end zone, I'm
going with George Pickens plus one twenty.
Speaker 1 (13:58):
I can't believe I'm getting plus one twenty on Pickings.
I thought that was kind of crazy.
Speaker 2 (14:01):
I thought it would be closer to even, if not
minus money with the way he's been playing lately.
Speaker 1 (14:05):
So I'll go ahead.
Speaker 4 (14:05):
We switched our names.
Speaker 3 (14:06):
Actually, actually I'm taking George Pickens because our names are flipped.
Speaker 6 (14:10):
Here.
Speaker 3 (14:10):
You row yours in mine. I didn't even realize it
until you said it. But I love your pick because
I almost love your pick.
Speaker 1 (14:17):
I was gonna say, but I really like your pick better.
Speaker 2 (14:19):
I did this like yesterday, and then the roof came
off my house and it's been banging around, so I
kind of but no, it's true because it's so let's
switch around. So you know what, Yeah, we both like
both of these. Because I was literally gonna say the same,
But you know what, I kind of like yours better.
Speaker 1 (14:33):
Bods, I'll be honest with you.
Speaker 4 (14:34):
I like my I like mine too. It's plus one
twenty five for Pickens.
Speaker 1 (14:38):
But let's take your plus one forty five for Pickets here.
Speaker 3 (14:41):
I like your number two. It's plus one fifty five
for Tesla. And and this is what Tesla does right
when he's in there, He scores were projected to a J.
Brown to be down. Do you did you see.
Speaker 1 (14:52):
This percentage he gets? He gives a J.
Speaker 3 (14:54):
Brown Brown, Yeah, one, they've all they're also working on
my roof.
Speaker 4 (14:59):
Uh so, but.
Speaker 3 (15:02):
Look, did you see the snap percentage for Tesla after
all went down ninety two percent last week? So he's
he's got a lot of telling if they're going to
be playing from behind as well, like we think, I
think Tesla is with no sun God. I think what
we have here is we have him good for yardage,
(15:24):
for his longest reception, and for a touchdown. I think
all of those are in play for Tesla. We just
didn't have numbers yesterday. I think the numbers that I
just saw on Tesla's thirty five and a half receiving
yards now he's projected under right now because those projections
are with a manra playing. But I think with a
man rest sitting projections are going to raise him a lot.
(15:47):
Remember no Sam Laporta as well.
Speaker 2 (15:49):
Yeah, but you also got like that Kennedy kid they
brought up for the practice squad is gonna work.
Speaker 1 (15:53):
Kennedy's good and he's all right.
Speaker 2 (15:54):
I feel if I'm betting Tesla it's the touchdown because
he's been that guy even the red zone. I think
he's that playmaker guy. He's the guy that gets lose,
has a little separated.
Speaker 3 (16:03):
I think all the numbers are going to be too
low if he plays again, and I think he goes
over most of them.
Speaker 2 (16:09):
That was funny though, because I mean I I did
put my pick in your name, and I.
Speaker 1 (16:13):
Was like, you know what, I didn't even realize like that,
I just slaw one.
Speaker 3 (16:16):
I just I just put mine in. I didn't really really,
I just filled in the blank spy pick.
Speaker 1 (16:21):
Look, they're all good, so bet them all.
Speaker 2 (16:22):
Bet them all, have some fun and subscribe to the
channel as well. We made it through with limited hammering
h and I'm grateful because my head is pounding and
I need to go lay down, take it.
Speaker 4 (16:34):
Out of limited advil at this point.
Speaker 2 (16:38):
But again, good luck everybody, have fun Thursday night football.
That'll do it for us. But the story of the
game goes on for Scott Bog and I'm Joey p.
We'll see you next time.
Speaker 1 (16:46):
Kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.
Speaker 6 (16:49):
If you love the show, the best freeway to support
us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts
or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting
Pros and Instagram at betting Pros and f hel.
Speaker 4 (17:00):
Also subscribe to our
Speaker 6 (17:01):
YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros
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