January 13, 2026 • 28 mins
Pat Fitzmaurice and Bo McBrayer explore the top betting strategies for the Sony Open. We dive into the betting odds, analyze the favorites and long shots, and reveal our top betting card selections. Plus, we reveal our one-and-done picks to help you maximize your winnings for the 1st event of the PGA season!
Timestamps:
Intro - 0:00:00
PGA Sony Open - 0:01:34
BettingPros App - 0:06:40
Sony Open Favorites Odds and Player Reactions - 0:07:18
Midrange Odds and Player Reactions - 0:13:04
Longshot Odds and Player Reactions - 0:18:16
Hard Rock Best Bets of the Week. - 0:24:12
Bo's Betting Card - 0:24:39
Pat's Betting Card - 0:25:27
One and Done Competition - Bo: Michael Kim | Pat: Nick Taylor - 0:26:41
Outro - 0:27:40
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome to season three of the Betting Pros PGA Podcast.
I'm Pat Fitzmorris here with Baul McBrayer. The main part
of the PGA Tour season kicks off this week with
the Sony Open in Hawaii. Every week during the PGA season,
we will give you a full betting preview of the
upcoming events. We'll describe each course and talk about which
players it favors or disfavors. We'll discuss the favorites from
(00:22):
the perspective of betting value. We'll give you our favorite
mid range values and our favorite long shots. We'll tell
you who we have on our own betting cards for
the week. And since we know a lot of you
like to play in one and done contest, BO and
I will make one and done picks of our own
every week and have a little competition. Bo destroyed me
in last week's one and done contest, but nevertheless it's
(00:43):
great to see you.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
Bo.
Speaker 1 (00:44):
I don't know about you, but once the FedEx Cup
playoffs are over, the only golf betting I'll do is
Ryder Cup or President's Cup. I'll pay attention to the
fall events and the dp World Tour, but I don't
really bet those events. What about you do you dabble
in those offseason tournaments.
Speaker 3 (01:00):
I think I do even less with the fall swing.
It's golf, but it's not It's not the golf that
I really am into that much. I like to bet
what I know, I like to watch what I know,
and I don't really have a lot of extra time
to watch the fall swing. It's football season. Come on, guys. Yeah,
(01:20):
now that winter is upon us and we're getting back
into the West Coast swing with the Sony Open this week,
I'm fully engaged in golf mode.
Speaker 1 (01:31):
Yeah, excellent, Well, it's great to have you back. Let's
get to this week's tournament, the Sony Open. Normally we
would start the show with a quick recap of the
previous week's event, but as I mentioned at the top
of the show, this is the first tournament of the
main part of the PGA Tour calendar. Normally we get
two events in Hawaii. The first event has traditionally been
the Century at Kapalua's Plantation Course. That event was canceled
(01:55):
because of concerns that drought conditions and water restrictions might
leave the course unfit for tournament plays. So let's get
right to the Sony. It's a full field event with
a thirty six hole cut, but this year most of
the full field events will have one hundred and twenty
entrants rather than one hundred and forty four. The tour
is trying to improve the flow of play and have
(02:16):
fewer instances of rounds not being completed before sunset. The
Sony will once again be played at Wiley Country Club
in Honolulu. It's a par seventy measuring seven forty four yards.
Wiley has been a fixture on the PGA Tour since
nineteen sixty five. It's a short course with a lot
of dog legs. It's not that the fairways are especially narrow,
(02:38):
but there are trees along the fairways and a lot
of holes, sometimes with branches overhanging fairways. So accuracy off
the t is essential so that players have a good
angle of attack into these greens. If you miss your
target off the tea, you might not have much of
an angle, and if you really miss your target, you're
gonna have to deal with the thick and unpredictable permuta.
(02:58):
Rough thought, the ty not that big an advantage. Accuracy
much more importance. Iron play is going to be critical
this week as well. The greens at Wila or Bermuda.
They're small by PGA Tour standards. There's some water on
the course, not a ton of it. Bunker play will
be important. There's something like eighty bunkers at Wila and
(03:19):
they are well placed. The course does tend to play
firm and fast, and it's Hawaii, so there is going
to be some breeze throughout the week. But still birdies
are plentiful. Even though it's a par seventy. With only
two par fives, players generally need to get to sixteen
or seventeen under par to have a chance. And by
the way, two par fives are number nine to number eighteen,
(03:42):
so players always close out each nine with a par five.
And obviously, with only two par fives, par four scoring
is going to be very important this week. The back
nine is easier than the front nine at Wila. If
you're going to contend, you have to pile up birdies
of the back nine. The defending Sony Open champion is
Nick Taylor. He was sixteen under par last year, beat
(04:04):
neck nko Ettriveria in a playoff the Lake. Grayson Murray
won here in twenty twenty four with the score of
seventeen under. He beat Keegan Murray and Ben On in
a playoff, Seewoo Kim one here in twenty twenty three
with the scar of minus eighteen, and Jdeki Matsuyama one
in twenty twenty two, finishing minus twenty three and beating
Russell Henley in a playoff. The weather should be lovely
(04:26):
typical Hawaii staph temperatures in the mid to upper seventies,
with wins in the ten to twenty mile an hour
range bowl what will it take to conquer Whylea and
win the.
Speaker 3 (04:37):
Sony accuracy off the tee and on approach proximity on approach,
It's not going to be enough at the Sony Open
to merely hit the green. You're going to be looking
at real birdy opportunities. And for as small as those
greens are, they're also not that flat. They're pretty undulating.
Hawaii is a pretty hilly state, especially on the island
(05:00):
of o Wahu, so I do expect a little bit
of pushback from this golf course that's traditionally not one
of the easier on the tour, which is probably why
it stood the test of time. We've seen Sony sponsor
this tournament for a long long time, and even before
Sony had this tournament, it was way back in the
sixties when they had it. And it's such a gorgeous property,
(05:22):
challenging golf course that used to be a par seventy two.
They got rid of two of the par fives and
turned them into par four's. Accuracy off the tea is essential.
I'm going to be looking at guys who not just
hit the fairway, but can score from the fairway. So
I'm looking at the guys who aren't going to make
too many mistakes off the tee, and if they are
(05:44):
in position, they can cash in with good approach play,
proximity on approach in the distances I'm looking at between
one fifty and two hundred yards. That's going to be
really really important. And of course, birdier better percentage, because
at the end of the day, you're not going to
be able to win a one hundred and twenty man
field and take home all that money if you can't
(06:05):
make birdies. It's gonna be a fun one. I love
the Sony Open ever since I was playing the Wilight
country Club golf game on Nintendo sixty four back in
the day. Shout out to those who get that reference.
That's an actual video game and the only course on
that game was Wiley Country Club, So I know the
course intimately because I'd play that game for hours.
Speaker 1 (06:27):
Pretty good field for this one too. We've got no
Scottie Shuffler, We've got no Rory McElroy, but still there's
some pretty good names here. It's gonna be a fun
events and we will get to the odds for the
Sony Open in just a moment, But first.
Speaker 3 (06:40):
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Speaker 1 (07:18):
Let's get to the odds for the Sony Open. Russell
Henley is the favorite at eleven to one. Ben Griffin
is seventeen to one, Hideki Matsuyama is eighteen to one.
JJ Spawn is nineteen to one, Colin Monk Morikawa is
twenty to one, Seawoo Kim, Robert McIntyre and Keegan Bradley
are twenty two to one. Harry Hall and Maverick McNeely
(07:38):
are twenty five to one. Nick Taylor, the defending champ,
is twenty eight to one, and if thirty five to one.
We have a big group with Corey Connors, Chris Kirk,
Aaron Rai, Kurt Kitty Yama and Jordan Speith. Do you
like anyone from this group?
Speaker 3 (07:51):
Bo, what a great field. We don't need Scotti Scheffler
and Rory McElroy in this field. This field's perfectly fined.
It is deep. There's some really good young teen in
this field. I like Colin Moricaba on this course. In theory.
I don't know that he'll win at twenty to one.
I better be pretty sure he's gonna win. I think
this field's too strong, it's too deep, it's got too
(08:13):
many it's got too many rising stars for Colin Morricaba
to say, to really put his foot down and stamp
it so I'm going to actually go with a more
proven name in recent years at twenty to one, with
JJ Spahn and many people who just if you maybe
just started watching golf last year, you might think JJ
(08:34):
Spahn's a star on tour because he won the US Open.
He did all these great things. He was head to
head with Scotti Scheffler and took him down. JJ Spahn
is a star on the PGA Tour, but it wasn't
that long ago, maybe three or four years ago, but
JJ Spahn was taking advantage of this kind of tournament
with the shorter golf courses accuracy as a premium, and
(08:56):
he was those are the tournaments he usually was pegged at. Oh,
this is a JJ spawn week now that he's a
star on tour and it's a perfect stop off on
the PJ Tour course fit wise, I'm gonna lay my
money on JJ Spawn at twenty to one. And in
the same vein we saw a little bit of a
coming out party last year from Harry Hall, the britt
(09:18):
the Englishman twenty five to one. That guy's got way
too much talent to be at twenty five to one.
This is the this the young talent wave. I mean,
Harry Hall's not the youngest guy, but as far as
experience goes on tour, this is gonna be a banner
year for Harry Hall. He's got every bit of talent
that it takes to win multiple events in a season
(09:38):
and this might be just be the first one.
Speaker 1 (09:41):
And we know he can roll in birdies. Well he's
gonna put wow, Yeah, he can put so yeah. JJ
Spawn finished third at the Sony last year, and he
finished fourth at the Hero World Challenge not long ago
in early December. Russell Henley, oh the favorite. I mean,
he won this event back in twenty thirteen. He's had
(10:01):
some close calls. He's finished top eleven here in four
of the last five years and Russell Henley a phenomenal
putter on Bermuda Greens've got Ben Griffin coming off the
breakout twenty twenty five season. Doesn't have much of a
track record at the Sony, but he did win his
last event, the Worldwide Technology Championship, which was part of
the False Swing. Another defending champ, Pideki Matsuyama, won in
(10:24):
twenty twenty two, but traditionally has not putted all that
well at Wila and twenty twenty two, the birdie putts
were going in. So I'm kind of with you on
Kalamarkawa at twenty to one. At first glance, I thought
that was an attractive price, and the more I thought
about it, I just didn't like it. Hasn't played the
(10:45):
Sony since twenty twenty one, finished seventh in that event.
I mean, terrific with the irons, which definitely makes him
dangerous at Wiley. But I don't know, I just I
can't go there. But what do you think about Seawu Kim.
It's been really in this event. He's had some poor finishes,
but he did win here in twenty twenty three. He's
had two top fives in the last two months. He
(11:08):
was fourth with the PGA Tours RSM Classic and then
he was third at the Crown Australia Open, a DP
World Tour event.
Speaker 3 (11:16):
Yeah, and that's kind of the thing with Seawoo. It's
not just this event. It might not be any particular event,
but Seewu Kim is a streaky, streaky player, and you
can't as a sports better, as a golf better as
somebody who's going to give out advice on who to bet.
I really kind of have to stick to the sea
Wu Kim only on Pete Dye design rule. If I
(11:39):
get a Pete Die course, I'm gonna I'm gonna be
in on seaw Kim because it just seems like he
just owns Pete Die golf courses. This is not a
Pete Die design and therefore I cannot bet seaw Kim
because he scares me. He makes me tremble in my
boots when I have money riding on him, because I
know that he's either gonna win by six or he's
gonna miss the cut by eight.
Speaker 1 (12:01):
We've got Keegan Bradley who finished second here in twenty
twenty four, sixth and twenty twenty five, so he's had
a couple of good showings here in recent years. Boe
a horse for the course. What about our champ Nick
Taylor won here last year seventh and twenty twenty three,
seventh and twenty twenty four, eleventh and twenty twenty one,
short and straight off the tee, get a good recipe
(12:24):
and he pots these greens well, he just likes.
Speaker 3 (12:27):
The clutch clutch player. I don't see any reason why
he can't win it. He's not on my radar as
a player to win this year because of all the
names I'm going to be reading off and supporting later
on in the show. Here are the reason why I
can't really, in good conscious call for a back to
back win for Nick Taylor, even though I love reading
(12:48):
for the guy, because who doesn't love a good Canadian
who likes to win?
Speaker 1 (12:52):
That's right? Yeah, I mean he's great here, But agree
the caliber of player in a field this good, maybe
twenty eight to one is not the most attractive price. No, yeah,
So let's look at some of the mid range options.
We've got Adam Scott and Keith Mitchell at forty to one,
Rico Hoey and Chris godd her Up are forty five
(13:12):
to one. John Keefer, Danny McCarthy, Jake Knapp, Brian Harmon
and Nico Etcheveria are fifty to one. Taylor Pendrith, Eric
Cole and Christopher Ratan are fifty five to one, Daniel Berger,
Matt McCarty and Mac Meisner are sixty to one, Ryan
Gerard and Michael Brennan sixty five to one, and at
seventy to one, Gary Woodland, Pearson Cooty and Billy Horshall.
(13:35):
How about these guys boy to get lots.
Speaker 3 (13:38):
Of good names. Remember the name if you've never heard
of Johnny Keefer. That's a spectacular golfer. Fifty to one
with his upside, this guy's also another winner. This is
the killer en stique type of golfer competitor. He reminds
me a lot of Brooks Koepka, where he might be
a big game hunter down the road. This is his
really first big main tournament on the tour. So I'm
(14:01):
gonna I'm gonna put some on the line for Johnny
Keefer because I think he's got the intestinal fortitude to
stand toe to toe with these guys that have been
on tour for a long time. Pearson Cooty at seventy
to one is also very appealing. That guy. If you
did watch the fall swing in the end of last
season on the PGA Tour, Pearson Couty was blazing hot.
And this guy is a real good golfer. He's a
(14:25):
streaky golfer, kind of like see with Kim. He gets
in trouble on short game on occasion. He's got a
little bit of a little bit of Victor Hovelin game
in him where he's a really intriguing ball striker, but
a little bit of an up and down roller coaster.
But seventy to one for a guy who I have
seen win and do a pretty good job of winning
(14:45):
on the corn Ferry Tour and lesser Fall Tour events.
That's a guy I can actually picture winning this tournament.
Seventy to one. That's a big payoff.
Speaker 1 (14:55):
Yeah, those are interesting names for sure.
Speaker 3 (14:59):
Not what you expect did from me, was it?
Speaker 2 (15:01):
No?
Speaker 1 (15:01):
It was not. I did not expect you to be
on John Kiefer right away, the twenty four year old.
Speaker 3 (15:07):
I'm a Johnny Kiefer fan. He converted me last year
because I was watching him play and he's got real talent.
Speaker 1 (15:14):
Yeah, it does feel like this could be a breakthrough
season for him. I just wonder if we'd get the
breakthrough in Honolulu. It's possible. Rico Hoy is kind of interesting.
Me played four fall events and finished twenty second or
better in all of them, including a second place finish
at the Bank of Utah Championship. Accurate with the driver,
very good with the middle irons, just not a very
(15:35):
good putter.
Speaker 3 (15:36):
That's an awful putter, concerns me.
Speaker 1 (15:38):
Yeah, So I like Nico Etriveria quite a bit this week.
He almost won here last year but lost in the playoff.
Finished fourth in his most recent event, the RSM Classic.
Straight off the tee, good with the short irons, and he,
unlike Rico Holy is an excellent putter.
Speaker 3 (15:55):
Yes, he's a fantastic short game. Yeah, go ahead. I
saw a little bit on Nico because he's gonna be
a very popular choice. I want you, if you're if
you're going to the sports books, as soon as you
see this, you're on your DraftKings app or whatever app
you use, and you see you see Niko Echeveria, that
number is going to be moving shorter because he's going
(16:15):
to be every stat guy's darling. Niko Echeveria is going
to be a very popular betting choice, which means I'm
expecting his line to get shorter and shorter, which isn't
good value for us. That's what I'm expecting. By the
time this airs, we're going to be probably shorter than
what is fifty five sixty to one. I think Nico
is going to be around forty something by the time
(16:36):
we're locking.
Speaker 1 (16:37):
Yeah, right now, fifty to one, fifty Yeah, I guess that's.
Speaker 3 (16:41):
Really about as short as I'm willing to go on him.
I don't mind fifty to one on him, but if
he gets in the forties or even shorter, I'm off.
Speaker 1 (16:48):
Nico, do you like any of these guys at the
sixty to one price? Daniel Berger, Mac Meisner, and Matt
McCarty are all there, and Meisner made as on debut
here last season, finished twenty first. Short but accurate driver
of the ball, well, he wasn't that accurate off the
(17:09):
team last season. He used to be more accurate last
year not so much, but also very good with the
short irons. And while I just seems like a course
that fits his game, and Daniel Berger seems to have
the perfect game for while if the t strong with
the irons, but his short game and his putting were
(17:29):
not good last season. And it's hard to win the
Sony Open if you're not getting strokes on and around
the green.
Speaker 3 (17:35):
When's the last time Daniel Berger won a tournament, let
alone at it, or even performed got a top ten
at one of these courses that should fit his game perfect.
Daniel Berger is not what we think he is. He's
not the Daniel Berger from eight years ago. This is
a different player, and in a good way that he's
more consistent, but in a bad way that he still
doesn't win tournaments. And so if we're betting outrights, I'm
(17:58):
not even close on Daniel Berger. Like Mac Meisner, I
don't know if he has enough steam to get enough
birdies on this golf course. And McCarty I think has
that birdie making ability, but the course doesn't fit his
game at all. So it's those three guys are good,
but not great options for me in that range.
Speaker 1 (18:15):
Agree, what about long shots? Bo, is there anyone you
like it? Seventy five to one or longer?
Speaker 3 (18:20):
Oh? I got four of them? Pat at seventy five
to one. Gangster Michael Kim. We love Michael Kim's He's
getting better every year, had a spectacular breakout twenty twenty five,
twenty twenty six. He's starting off in Hawaii on a
golf course that fits his game. This is a West
(18:40):
Coast golfer through and through, and those guys tend to
have an advantage in Hawaii in the SoCal tournaments because
it's just a familiar climate. You're not in any foreign land.
And for Michael Kim, I think his comfort level and
his confidence are what's going to propel him. I think
this is a misprice because Michael Kim should be in
that forty to fifty range with a lot of those
(19:02):
other guys, and he's just simply not yet. So at
seventy five to one, Michael Kim's getting a lot of
my bank roll this week. Next would be a eighty
to one. Ryan Girard the winner of last year's Barracuda
up here in NorCal, very very straight driver of the
golf ball, very good approach player, streaky putter. When he's on,
(19:23):
he's really on, and his short game is adequate. I
think Ryan Gerard on these types of courses, the old
Kevin Kissner quote is I can win on a course
if it's not Tory Pines or Breath Page Black, And
they asked him, well why do you even bother? Because
it's again they stay a lot of money for twentieth.
(19:43):
This is the type of course where Ryan Gerard isn't
looking to just go twentieth. He's looking to win like
he did at the Barracuda. And it's a very good
course fit for a guy of his pedigree as a
multiple time PGA Tour winner ninety to one. It's Scottie
Scheffler's favorite golfer, how Tong Lee. How Tong Lee the
(20:04):
Chinese product. He is an outstanding player. He's going to
be something in this on this tour, He's going to
be something. And so How Tong Lee is a very
talented player. And I'm just taking a shot in the
dark that he's worth ninety to one. I don't know
if he can win, but I'm looking top twenty, top
(20:25):
ten bets maybe for him. But at two hundred to one,
North Carolina tar heeled David Ford. That's a name that's
going to be on everybody's radar by the end of
the season two and one. Why not.
Speaker 1 (20:40):
David Ford?
Speaker 3 (20:42):
Interesting very two hundred and one for a reason because
he's so young, but he's he's a champion, he's he's
a winner at North Carolina. He won a lot of tournaments,
and so why not David Ford? Because he can play.
Speaker 1 (20:58):
I like them, Michael Kim call, I mean, played so
well at sort of the middle point of last season,
flagged a bit at the end, but yeah, I was
kind of surprised to see the price what it was.
I'll give you a Miliano Grio at seventy five to one.
He has missed the cut at the Sony in three
(21:19):
of the last four years, but when he made the
cut in twenty twenty four, he finished seventh, And theoretically
at least Grio's game should fit this course well. He's
accurate off the tee, he's good with the irons. His
game around the green isn't great. He can be a
little Victor Hoveland ask himself. But I do think he's
a value at seventy five to one. Bo Can I
(21:42):
interest you at all in Tony Fino at one hundred
and ten to one Fena hide knee surgery at the
end of the twenty twenty four season, and it seemed
like he just wasn't himself in twenty twenty five. If
we get the old Tony Final this year, one hundred
and ten to one is crazy value.
Speaker 3 (22:02):
It is, But even at the end of last season,
we were getting one hundred and ten to one Tony
Feenow and what did we get out of it? Not
a damn not a yes. Yeah. So until he shows
us that one hundred and ten few is one hundred
and ten to one, fe now is crazy Like it
seems crazy because he's won so much, he's had so
(22:22):
much success in the past, it seems crazy to say
Tony few is one hundred and ten to one, But
as of recently, there's an absolute no reason to put
any money on him until he shows that that one
hundred and ten to one is actually crazy. It's not
crazy anymore. Yeah, it just feels it doesn't feel right.
But it's also it's kind of a sucker's bet because
(22:43):
they're like, oh, name recognition, everybody knows who Tony f
Now is. Why is he on hundred and twenty one?
This is a good little juicy nugget. Yeah, it's just
not it's not like that based on his performance.
Speaker 1 (22:53):
I feel like Tom Kim is in that same vein too.
Speaker 3 (22:57):
Very much so. But this is, of course that fits
him if he can actually navigate it.
Speaker 1 (23:01):
Well it does. You know, he's twenty three years old
and he's already a three time PGA Tour winner.
Speaker 3 (23:07):
But this is the type of course he's won all
three of those times. Yeah, I mean two of them
are at the Windham and it's yeah, he's just he's
that guy. When he's on on a course like this,
he can absolutely win. But we haven't seen it again
at all the last year or so.
Speaker 1 (23:24):
Right. The reason he's one hundred and ten to one
is that he only had two top twenty five finishes
during the main part of the PGA Tour schedule last year,
and one of them was in Scotland.
Speaker 3 (23:34):
So it's unacceptable. And that Scotland one was completely out
of left field.
Speaker 1 (23:40):
It was, it was, And Austin Ekrote, I'm mildly interested
in him at one hundred and thirty to one. He
is a game that seems to fit this course straight
off the tee respectable with the Irons. I just I
don't know if he can win. No, I don't know
if he can win.
Speaker 3 (23:56):
That's a top twenty bet written all over it. If
you like Austin Ekrot a little bit, yeah, you might
throw a couple quarters on him winning out right, just
in case you strike gold. But that's if you're putting
that much investment into it. It's mostly going to be
on a placement bet or first round leader and something
like that.
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(24:35):
Download the hard rock Bet app and make your first
deposit today. Bo who is on your betting card as
of now?
Speaker 3 (24:42):
All right? So at twenty to one, Jj Spahn twenty
five to one, Harry Hall fifty to one, Johnny Keefer
seventy to one, Pierson Cootie seventy five to one, Michael Kim.
That Michael Kim's going to be a lock. I'm going
to do a full ladder on him. I'm very confident
in his ability to pay off value this week. Same
goes for Ryan Gerard. Maybe a tick a lower rung
(25:04):
on the ladder, but eighty to one for him is amazing.
Howtong Lee talent. I'm betting on talent. I'm betting on
just his ascension as into a different tier on the
PGA Tour. And then of course the young, the youngest
of the young, David Ford out of North Carolina. He's uh,
he dominated college, so let's let's see what he can
do on the Big Boy Tour.
Speaker 1 (25:27):
I'm gonna tread lightly here with the inaugural event of
the main part.
Speaker 3 (25:32):
Of the come on. That just means you're gonna You're
gonna get your feet wet, and then you're gonna jump
in and do a bunch of live bets, aren't you.
Speaker 1 (25:39):
Maybe I've got a lot of I've got a lot
of football to bet this weekend, too, ball It got
got to save something for that, So we're gonna go. Look, bo,
I've told you that Russell Henley on Bermuda Greens is
an auto bet for me every time, and I don't
hate the price on him at eleven to one, I
am gonna bet the favorite Russell Henley. I'm I'm betting
(26:00):
Nico et Traveria at fifty to one to win, and
I'm thrown down on a top ten for Nico at
plus three to ninety. I've got a milliano'grill at seventy
five to one, and bo, I think I have let
you talk me into Ryan Girard. What was he ninety
to one or.
Speaker 3 (26:16):
Eighty eighty eighty eighty to one.
Speaker 1 (26:18):
Yeah, I you make a really good case for him.
This does seem like the kind of tournament that Gerard
could win.
Speaker 3 (26:25):
Yeah, and I did get to meet him last year
at the Barracuda. That's a that's a really good dude.
I think he's from Texas. Really really nice guy, very
very kind of a serious guy, but like he's he's
locked in. He's got a game face for real nice.
Speaker 1 (26:41):
Now for the one and done competition, we start with
a blank slate. But you did earn the honors on
the tea box with your victory last year both, so
you have the entire field available to you. Who are
you taking?
Speaker 3 (26:53):
Well, I was going to defer the kick to you,
but in reality, even just picking fur, I'm gonna pick
a guy that's kind of kind of even the odds. Anyway,
I'm gonna go with Michael Kim week one. Michael Kim
is my guy this week. I'm gonna ride him all
week long at the Sony. I think he's just it's
just for some reason, it makes more sense than anybody else.
(27:15):
So I'm sure you're gonna pick somebody closer to the
top of the board, so that that's the way to
even it. So it's like I got the first pick,
but we both got a first pick that we wanted. Fair.
Speaker 1 (27:26):
Yeah, it is going to be someone nearer to the
top of the board, but not exactly a big gun.
I'm just going to play the horse for the course
and go with Nick Taylor and his very smart consistency
at Wylie. So that is all for this week's Betting
Pros PGA podcast. We'll be back next week to preview
(27:46):
the American Express in the California Desert. Until then, so
long everyone.
Speaker 2 (27:52):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube
channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.
Welcome to season three of the Betting Pros PGA Podcast.
I'm Pat Fitzmorris here with Baul McBrayer. The main part
of the PGA Tour season kicks off this week with
the Sony Open in Hawaii. Every week during the PGA season,
we will give you a full betting preview of the
upcoming events. We'll describe each course and talk about which
players it favors or disfavors. We'll discuss the favorites from
(00:22):
the perspective of betting value. We'll give you our favorite
mid range values and our favorite long shots. We'll tell
you who we have on our own betting cards for
the week. And since we know a lot of you
like to play in one and done contest, BO and
I will make one and done picks of our own
every week and have a little competition. Bo destroyed me
in last week's one and done contest, but nevertheless it's
(00:43):
great to see you.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
Bo.
Speaker 1 (00:44):
I don't know about you, but once the FedEx Cup
playoffs are over, the only golf betting I'll do is
Ryder Cup or President's Cup. I'll pay attention to the
fall events and the dp World Tour, but I don't
really bet those events. What about you do you dabble
in those offseason tournaments.
Speaker 3 (01:00):
I think I do even less with the fall swing.
It's golf, but it's not It's not the golf that
I really am into that much. I like to bet
what I know, I like to watch what I know,
and I don't really have a lot of extra time
to watch the fall swing. It's football season. Come on, guys. Yeah,
(01:20):
now that winter is upon us and we're getting back
into the West Coast swing with the Sony Open this week,
I'm fully engaged in golf mode.
Speaker 1 (01:31):
Yeah, excellent, Well, it's great to have you back. Let's
get to this week's tournament, the Sony Open. Normally we
would start the show with a quick recap of the
previous week's event, but as I mentioned at the top
of the show, this is the first tournament of the
main part of the PGA Tour calendar. Normally we get
two events in Hawaii. The first event has traditionally been
the Century at Kapalua's Plantation Course. That event was canceled
(01:55):
because of concerns that drought conditions and water restrictions might
leave the course unfit for tournament plays. So let's get
right to the Sony. It's a full field event with
a thirty six hole cut, but this year most of
the full field events will have one hundred and twenty
entrants rather than one hundred and forty four. The tour
is trying to improve the flow of play and have
(02:16):
fewer instances of rounds not being completed before sunset. The
Sony will once again be played at Wiley Country Club
in Honolulu. It's a par seventy measuring seven forty four yards.
Wiley has been a fixture on the PGA Tour since
nineteen sixty five. It's a short course with a lot
of dog legs. It's not that the fairways are especially narrow,
(02:38):
but there are trees along the fairways and a lot
of holes, sometimes with branches overhanging fairways. So accuracy off
the t is essential so that players have a good
angle of attack into these greens. If you miss your
target off the tea, you might not have much of
an angle, and if you really miss your target, you're
gonna have to deal with the thick and unpredictable permuta.
(02:58):
Rough thought, the ty not that big an advantage. Accuracy
much more importance. Iron play is going to be critical
this week as well. The greens at Wila or Bermuda.
They're small by PGA Tour standards. There's some water on
the course, not a ton of it. Bunker play will
be important. There's something like eighty bunkers at Wila and
(03:19):
they are well placed. The course does tend to play
firm and fast, and it's Hawaii, so there is going
to be some breeze throughout the week. But still birdies
are plentiful. Even though it's a par seventy. With only
two par fives, players generally need to get to sixteen
or seventeen under par to have a chance. And by
the way, two par fives are number nine to number eighteen,
(03:42):
so players always close out each nine with a par five.
And obviously, with only two par fives, par four scoring
is going to be very important this week. The back
nine is easier than the front nine at Wila. If
you're going to contend, you have to pile up birdies
of the back nine. The defending Sony Open champion is
Nick Taylor. He was sixteen under par last year, beat
(04:04):
neck nko Ettriveria in a playoff the Lake. Grayson Murray
won here in twenty twenty four with the score of
seventeen under. He beat Keegan Murray and Ben On in
a playoff, Seewoo Kim one here in twenty twenty three
with the scar of minus eighteen, and Jdeki Matsuyama one
in twenty twenty two, finishing minus twenty three and beating
Russell Henley in a playoff. The weather should be lovely
(04:26):
typical Hawaii staph temperatures in the mid to upper seventies,
with wins in the ten to twenty mile an hour
range bowl what will it take to conquer Whylea and
win the.
Speaker 3 (04:37):
Sony accuracy off the tee and on approach proximity on approach,
It's not going to be enough at the Sony Open
to merely hit the green. You're going to be looking
at real birdy opportunities. And for as small as those
greens are, they're also not that flat. They're pretty undulating.
Hawaii is a pretty hilly state, especially on the island
(05:00):
of o Wahu, so I do expect a little bit
of pushback from this golf course that's traditionally not one
of the easier on the tour, which is probably why
it stood the test of time. We've seen Sony sponsor
this tournament for a long long time, and even before
Sony had this tournament, it was way back in the
sixties when they had it. And it's such a gorgeous property,
(05:22):
challenging golf course that used to be a par seventy two.
They got rid of two of the par fives and
turned them into par four's. Accuracy off the tea is essential.
I'm going to be looking at guys who not just
hit the fairway, but can score from the fairway. So
I'm looking at the guys who aren't going to make
too many mistakes off the tee, and if they are
(05:44):
in position, they can cash in with good approach play,
proximity on approach in the distances I'm looking at between
one fifty and two hundred yards. That's going to be
really really important. And of course, birdier better percentage, because
at the end of the day, you're not going to
be able to win a one hundred and twenty man
field and take home all that money if you can't
(06:05):
make birdies. It's gonna be a fun one. I love
the Sony Open ever since I was playing the Wilight
country Club golf game on Nintendo sixty four back in
the day. Shout out to those who get that reference.
That's an actual video game and the only course on
that game was Wiley Country Club, So I know the
course intimately because I'd play that game for hours.
Speaker 1 (06:27):
Pretty good field for this one too. We've got no
Scottie Shuffler, We've got no Rory McElroy, but still there's
some pretty good names here. It's gonna be a fun
events and we will get to the odds for the
Sony Open in just a moment, But first.
Speaker 3 (06:40):
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(07:01):
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Speaker 1 (07:18):
Let's get to the odds for the Sony Open. Russell
Henley is the favorite at eleven to one. Ben Griffin
is seventeen to one, Hideki Matsuyama is eighteen to one.
JJ Spawn is nineteen to one, Colin Monk Morikawa is
twenty to one, Seawoo Kim, Robert McIntyre and Keegan Bradley
are twenty two to one. Harry Hall and Maverick McNeely
(07:38):
are twenty five to one. Nick Taylor, the defending champ,
is twenty eight to one, and if thirty five to one.
We have a big group with Corey Connors, Chris Kirk,
Aaron Rai, Kurt Kitty Yama and Jordan Speith. Do you
like anyone from this group?
Speaker 3 (07:51):
Bo, what a great field. We don't need Scotti Scheffler
and Rory McElroy in this field. This field's perfectly fined.
It is deep. There's some really good young teen in
this field. I like Colin Moricaba on this course. In theory.
I don't know that he'll win at twenty to one.
I better be pretty sure he's gonna win. I think
this field's too strong, it's too deep, it's got too
(08:13):
many it's got too many rising stars for Colin Morricaba
to say, to really put his foot down and stamp
it so I'm going to actually go with a more
proven name in recent years at twenty to one, with
JJ Spahn and many people who just if you maybe
just started watching golf last year, you might think JJ
(08:34):
Spahn's a star on tour because he won the US Open.
He did all these great things. He was head to
head with Scotti Scheffler and took him down. JJ Spahn
is a star on the PGA Tour, but it wasn't
that long ago, maybe three or four years ago, but
JJ Spahn was taking advantage of this kind of tournament
with the shorter golf courses accuracy as a premium, and
(08:56):
he was those are the tournaments he usually was pegged at. Oh,
this is a JJ spawn week now that he's a
star on tour and it's a perfect stop off on
the PJ Tour course fit wise, I'm gonna lay my
money on JJ Spawn at twenty to one. And in
the same vein we saw a little bit of a
coming out party last year from Harry Hall, the britt
(09:18):
the Englishman twenty five to one. That guy's got way
too much talent to be at twenty five to one.
This is the this the young talent wave. I mean,
Harry Hall's not the youngest guy, but as far as
experience goes on tour, this is gonna be a banner
year for Harry Hall. He's got every bit of talent
that it takes to win multiple events in a season
(09:38):
and this might be just be the first one.
Speaker 1 (09:41):
And we know he can roll in birdies. Well he's
gonna put wow, Yeah, he can put so yeah. JJ
Spawn finished third at the Sony last year, and he
finished fourth at the Hero World Challenge not long ago
in early December. Russell Henley, oh the favorite. I mean,
he won this event back in twenty thirteen. He's had
(10:01):
some close calls. He's finished top eleven here in four
of the last five years and Russell Henley a phenomenal
putter on Bermuda Greens've got Ben Griffin coming off the
breakout twenty twenty five season. Doesn't have much of a
track record at the Sony, but he did win his
last event, the Worldwide Technology Championship, which was part of
the False Swing. Another defending champ, Pideki Matsuyama, won in
(10:24):
twenty twenty two, but traditionally has not putted all that
well at Wila and twenty twenty two, the birdie putts
were going in. So I'm kind of with you on
Kalamarkawa at twenty to one. At first glance, I thought
that was an attractive price, and the more I thought
about it, I just didn't like it. Hasn't played the
(10:45):
Sony since twenty twenty one, finished seventh in that event.
I mean, terrific with the irons, which definitely makes him
dangerous at Wiley. But I don't know, I just I
can't go there. But what do you think about Seawu Kim.
It's been really in this event. He's had some poor finishes,
but he did win here in twenty twenty three. He's
had two top fives in the last two months. He
(11:08):
was fourth with the PGA Tours RSM Classic and then
he was third at the Crown Australia Open, a DP
World Tour event.
Speaker 3 (11:16):
Yeah, and that's kind of the thing with Seawoo. It's
not just this event. It might not be any particular event,
but Seewu Kim is a streaky, streaky player, and you
can't as a sports better, as a golf better as
somebody who's going to give out advice on who to bet.
I really kind of have to stick to the sea
Wu Kim only on Pete Dye design rule. If I
(11:39):
get a Pete Die course, I'm gonna I'm gonna be
in on seaw Kim because it just seems like he
just owns Pete Die golf courses. This is not a
Pete Die design and therefore I cannot bet seaw Kim
because he scares me. He makes me tremble in my
boots when I have money riding on him, because I
know that he's either gonna win by six or he's
gonna miss the cut by eight.
Speaker 1 (12:01):
We've got Keegan Bradley who finished second here in twenty
twenty four, sixth and twenty twenty five, so he's had
a couple of good showings here in recent years. Boe
a horse for the course. What about our champ Nick
Taylor won here last year seventh and twenty twenty three,
seventh and twenty twenty four, eleventh and twenty twenty one,
short and straight off the tee, get a good recipe
(12:24):
and he pots these greens well, he just likes.
Speaker 3 (12:27):
The clutch clutch player. I don't see any reason why
he can't win it. He's not on my radar as
a player to win this year because of all the
names I'm going to be reading off and supporting later
on in the show. Here are the reason why I
can't really, in good conscious call for a back to
back win for Nick Taylor, even though I love reading
(12:48):
for the guy, because who doesn't love a good Canadian
who likes to win?
Speaker 1 (12:52):
That's right? Yeah, I mean he's great here, But agree
the caliber of player in a field this good, maybe
twenty eight to one is not the most attractive price. No, yeah,
So let's look at some of the mid range options.
We've got Adam Scott and Keith Mitchell at forty to one,
Rico Hoey and Chris godd her Up are forty five
(13:12):
to one. John Keefer, Danny McCarthy, Jake Knapp, Brian Harmon
and Nico Etcheveria are fifty to one. Taylor Pendrith, Eric
Cole and Christopher Ratan are fifty five to one, Daniel Berger,
Matt McCarty and Mac Meisner are sixty to one, Ryan
Gerard and Michael Brennan sixty five to one, and at
seventy to one, Gary Woodland, Pearson Cooty and Billy Horshall.
(13:35):
How about these guys boy to get lots.
Speaker 3 (13:38):
Of good names. Remember the name if you've never heard
of Johnny Keefer. That's a spectacular golfer. Fifty to one
with his upside, this guy's also another winner. This is
the killer en stique type of golfer competitor. He reminds
me a lot of Brooks Koepka, where he might be
a big game hunter down the road. This is his
really first big main tournament on the tour. So I'm
(14:01):
gonna I'm gonna put some on the line for Johnny
Keefer because I think he's got the intestinal fortitude to
stand toe to toe with these guys that have been
on tour for a long time. Pearson Cooty at seventy
to one is also very appealing. That guy. If you
did watch the fall swing in the end of last
season on the PGA Tour, Pearson Couty was blazing hot.
And this guy is a real good golfer. He's a
(14:25):
streaky golfer, kind of like see with Kim. He gets
in trouble on short game on occasion. He's got a
little bit of a little bit of Victor Hovelin game
in him where he's a really intriguing ball striker, but
a little bit of an up and down roller coaster.
But seventy to one for a guy who I have
seen win and do a pretty good job of winning
(14:45):
on the corn Ferry Tour and lesser Fall Tour events.
That's a guy I can actually picture winning this tournament.
Seventy to one. That's a big payoff.
Speaker 1 (14:55):
Yeah, those are interesting names for sure.
Speaker 3 (14:59):
Not what you expect did from me, was it?
Speaker 2 (15:01):
No?
Speaker 1 (15:01):
It was not. I did not expect you to be
on John Kiefer right away, the twenty four year old.
Speaker 3 (15:07):
I'm a Johnny Kiefer fan. He converted me last year
because I was watching him play and he's got real talent.
Speaker 1 (15:14):
Yeah, it does feel like this could be a breakthrough
season for him. I just wonder if we'd get the
breakthrough in Honolulu. It's possible. Rico Hoy is kind of interesting.
Me played four fall events and finished twenty second or
better in all of them, including a second place finish
at the Bank of Utah Championship. Accurate with the driver,
very good with the middle irons, just not a very
(15:35):
good putter.
Speaker 3 (15:36):
That's an awful putter, concerns me.
Speaker 1 (15:38):
Yeah, So I like Nico Etriveria quite a bit this week.
He almost won here last year but lost in the playoff.
Finished fourth in his most recent event, the RSM Classic.
Straight off the tee, good with the short irons, and he,
unlike Rico Holy is an excellent putter.
Speaker 3 (15:55):
Yes, he's a fantastic short game. Yeah, go ahead. I
saw a little bit on Nico because he's gonna be
a very popular choice. I want you, if you're if
you're going to the sports books, as soon as you
see this, you're on your DraftKings app or whatever app
you use, and you see you see Niko Echeveria, that
number is going to be moving shorter because he's going
(16:15):
to be every stat guy's darling. Niko Echeveria is going
to be a very popular betting choice, which means I'm
expecting his line to get shorter and shorter, which isn't
good value for us. That's what I'm expecting. By the
time this airs, we're going to be probably shorter than
what is fifty five sixty to one. I think Nico
is going to be around forty something by the time
(16:36):
we're locking.
Speaker 1 (16:37):
Yeah, right now, fifty to one, fifty Yeah, I guess that's.
Speaker 3 (16:41):
Really about as short as I'm willing to go on him.
I don't mind fifty to one on him, but if
he gets in the forties or even shorter, I'm off.
Speaker 1 (16:48):
Nico, do you like any of these guys at the
sixty to one price? Daniel Berger, Mac Meisner, and Matt
McCarty are all there, and Meisner made as on debut
here last season, finished twenty first. Short but accurate driver
of the ball, well, he wasn't that accurate off the
(17:09):
team last season. He used to be more accurate last
year not so much, but also very good with the
short irons. And while I just seems like a course
that fits his game, and Daniel Berger seems to have
the perfect game for while if the t strong with
the irons, but his short game and his putting were
(17:29):
not good last season. And it's hard to win the
Sony Open if you're not getting strokes on and around
the green.
Speaker 3 (17:35):
When's the last time Daniel Berger won a tournament, let
alone at it, or even performed got a top ten
at one of these courses that should fit his game perfect.
Daniel Berger is not what we think he is. He's
not the Daniel Berger from eight years ago. This is
a different player, and in a good way that he's
more consistent, but in a bad way that he still
doesn't win tournaments. And so if we're betting outrights, I'm
(17:58):
not even close on Daniel Berger. Like Mac Meisner, I
don't know if he has enough steam to get enough
birdies on this golf course. And McCarty I think has
that birdie making ability, but the course doesn't fit his
game at all. So it's those three guys are good,
but not great options for me in that range.
Speaker 1 (18:15):
Agree, what about long shots? Bo, is there anyone you
like it? Seventy five to one or longer?
Speaker 3 (18:20):
Oh? I got four of them? Pat at seventy five
to one. Gangster Michael Kim. We love Michael Kim's He's
getting better every year, had a spectacular breakout twenty twenty five,
twenty twenty six. He's starting off in Hawaii on a
golf course that fits his game. This is a West
(18:40):
Coast golfer through and through, and those guys tend to
have an advantage in Hawaii in the SoCal tournaments because
it's just a familiar climate. You're not in any foreign land.
And for Michael Kim, I think his comfort level and
his confidence are what's going to propel him. I think
this is a misprice because Michael Kim should be in
that forty to fifty range with a lot of those
(19:02):
other guys, and he's just simply not yet. So at
seventy five to one, Michael Kim's getting a lot of
my bank roll this week. Next would be a eighty
to one. Ryan Girard the winner of last year's Barracuda
up here in NorCal, very very straight driver of the
golf ball, very good approach player, streaky putter. When he's on,
(19:23):
he's really on, and his short game is adequate. I
think Ryan Gerard on these types of courses, the old
Kevin Kissner quote is I can win on a course
if it's not Tory Pines or Breath Page Black, And
they asked him, well why do you even bother? Because
it's again they stay a lot of money for twentieth.
(19:43):
This is the type of course where Ryan Gerard isn't
looking to just go twentieth. He's looking to win like
he did at the Barracuda. And it's a very good
course fit for a guy of his pedigree as a
multiple time PGA Tour winner ninety to one. It's Scottie
Scheffler's favorite golfer, how Tong Lee. How Tong Lee the
(20:04):
Chinese product. He is an outstanding player. He's going to
be something in this on this tour, He's going to
be something. And so How Tong Lee is a very
talented player. And I'm just taking a shot in the
dark that he's worth ninety to one. I don't know
if he can win, but I'm looking top twenty, top
(20:25):
ten bets maybe for him. But at two hundred to one,
North Carolina tar heeled David Ford. That's a name that's
going to be on everybody's radar by the end of
the season two and one. Why not.
Speaker 1 (20:40):
David Ford?
Speaker 3 (20:42):
Interesting very two hundred and one for a reason because
he's so young, but he's he's a champion, he's he's
a winner at North Carolina. He won a lot of tournaments,
and so why not David Ford? Because he can play.
Speaker 1 (20:58):
I like them, Michael Kim call, I mean, played so
well at sort of the middle point of last season,
flagged a bit at the end, but yeah, I was
kind of surprised to see the price what it was.
I'll give you a Miliano Grio at seventy five to one.
He has missed the cut at the Sony in three
(21:19):
of the last four years, but when he made the
cut in twenty twenty four, he finished seventh, And theoretically
at least Grio's game should fit this course well. He's
accurate off the tee, he's good with the irons. His
game around the green isn't great. He can be a
little Victor Hoveland ask himself. But I do think he's
a value at seventy five to one. Bo Can I
(21:42):
interest you at all in Tony Fino at one hundred
and ten to one Fena hide knee surgery at the
end of the twenty twenty four season, and it seemed
like he just wasn't himself in twenty twenty five. If
we get the old Tony Final this year, one hundred
and ten to one is crazy value.
Speaker 3 (22:02):
It is, But even at the end of last season,
we were getting one hundred and ten to one Tony
Feenow and what did we get out of it? Not
a damn not a yes. Yeah. So until he shows
us that one hundred and ten few is one hundred
and ten to one, fe now is crazy Like it
seems crazy because he's won so much, he's had so
(22:22):
much success in the past, it seems crazy to say
Tony few is one hundred and ten to one, But
as of recently, there's an absolute no reason to put
any money on him until he shows that that one
hundred and ten to one is actually crazy. It's not
crazy anymore. Yeah, it just feels it doesn't feel right.
But it's also it's kind of a sucker's bet because
(22:43):
they're like, oh, name recognition, everybody knows who Tony f
Now is. Why is he on hundred and twenty one?
This is a good little juicy nugget. Yeah, it's just
not it's not like that based on his performance.
Speaker 1 (22:53):
I feel like Tom Kim is in that same vein too.
Speaker 3 (22:57):
Very much so. But this is, of course that fits
him if he can actually navigate it.
Speaker 1 (23:01):
Well it does. You know, he's twenty three years old
and he's already a three time PGA Tour winner.
Speaker 3 (23:07):
But this is the type of course he's won all
three of those times. Yeah, I mean two of them
are at the Windham and it's yeah, he's just he's
that guy. When he's on on a course like this,
he can absolutely win. But we haven't seen it again
at all the last year or so.
Speaker 1 (23:24):
Right. The reason he's one hundred and ten to one
is that he only had two top twenty five finishes
during the main part of the PGA Tour schedule last year,
and one of them was in Scotland.
Speaker 3 (23:34):
So it's unacceptable. And that Scotland one was completely out
of left field.
Speaker 1 (23:40):
It was, it was, And Austin Ekrote, I'm mildly interested
in him at one hundred and thirty to one. He
is a game that seems to fit this course straight
off the tee respectable with the Irons. I just I
don't know if he can win. No, I don't know
if he can win.
Speaker 3 (23:56):
That's a top twenty bet written all over it. If
you like Austin Ekrot a little bit, yeah, you might
throw a couple quarters on him winning out right, just
in case you strike gold. But that's if you're putting
that much investment into it. It's mostly going to be
on a placement bet or first round leader and something
like that.
Speaker 1 (24:11):
Great, and now it's time for the hard Rock Best
Bets of the Week, presented by a hard Rock Bet.
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there's still time for you to get one hundred and
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(24:35):
Download the hard rock Bet app and make your first
deposit today. Bo who is on your betting card as
of now?
Speaker 3 (24:42):
All right? So at twenty to one, Jj Spahn twenty
five to one, Harry Hall fifty to one, Johnny Keefer
seventy to one, Pierson Cootie seventy five to one, Michael Kim.
That Michael Kim's going to be a lock. I'm going
to do a full ladder on him. I'm very confident
in his ability to pay off value this week. Same
goes for Ryan Gerard. Maybe a tick a lower rung
(25:04):
on the ladder, but eighty to one for him is amazing.
Howtong Lee talent. I'm betting on talent. I'm betting on
just his ascension as into a different tier on the
PGA Tour. And then of course the young, the youngest
of the young, David Ford out of North Carolina. He's uh,
he dominated college, so let's let's see what he can
do on the Big Boy Tour.
Speaker 1 (25:27):
I'm gonna tread lightly here with the inaugural event of
the main part.
Speaker 3 (25:32):
Of the come on. That just means you're gonna You're
gonna get your feet wet, and then you're gonna jump
in and do a bunch of live bets, aren't you.
Speaker 1 (25:39):
Maybe I've got a lot of I've got a lot
of football to bet this weekend, too, ball It got
got to save something for that, So we're gonna go. Look, bo,
I've told you that Russell Henley on Bermuda Greens is
an auto bet for me every time, and I don't
hate the price on him at eleven to one, I
am gonna bet the favorite Russell Henley. I'm I'm betting
(26:00):
Nico et Traveria at fifty to one to win, and
I'm thrown down on a top ten for Nico at
plus three to ninety. I've got a milliano'grill at seventy
five to one, and bo, I think I have let
you talk me into Ryan Girard. What was he ninety
to one or.
Speaker 3 (26:16):
Eighty eighty eighty eighty to one.
Speaker 1 (26:18):
Yeah, I you make a really good case for him.
This does seem like the kind of tournament that Gerard
could win.
Speaker 3 (26:25):
Yeah, and I did get to meet him last year
at the Barracuda. That's a that's a really good dude.
I think he's from Texas. Really really nice guy, very
very kind of a serious guy, but like he's he's
locked in. He's got a game face for real nice.
Speaker 1 (26:41):
Now for the one and done competition, we start with
a blank slate. But you did earn the honors on
the tea box with your victory last year both, so
you have the entire field available to you. Who are
you taking?
Speaker 3 (26:53):
Well, I was going to defer the kick to you,
but in reality, even just picking fur, I'm gonna pick
a guy that's kind of kind of even the odds. Anyway,
I'm gonna go with Michael Kim week one. Michael Kim
is my guy this week. I'm gonna ride him all
week long at the Sony. I think he's just it's
just for some reason, it makes more sense than anybody else.
(27:15):
So I'm sure you're gonna pick somebody closer to the
top of the board, so that that's the way to
even it. So it's like I got the first pick,
but we both got a first pick that we wanted. Fair.
Speaker 1 (27:26):
Yeah, it is going to be someone nearer to the
top of the board, but not exactly a big gun.
I'm just going to play the horse for the course
and go with Nick Taylor and his very smart consistency
at Wylie. So that is all for this week's Betting
Pros PGA podcast. We'll be back next week to preview
(27:46):
the American Express in the California Desert. Until then, so
long everyone.
Speaker 2 (27:52):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube
channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.
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