Top Fantasy Football Predictions & Prop Bets For The Divisional Round (Ep. 936)

Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Hello everybody, Welcome into the Fantasy Pros Football Podcast. I'm
Ryan Warmley, joined by Andrew Rickson. We are talking divisional
round predictions. It is hard to believe, Ericson, that we
only have seven games left in the twenty twenty five
to twenty six NFL season. It's wild how quick it goes.
The playoffs always go extra fastest because like you hear
it half to teams every time and it just goes

(00:21):
very quickly. But we are here into what is largely
considered the best weekend of the of the football calendar.
I think it might be partial to Championship Game Sunday.
I really enjoy that doubleheader every year, but as a
whole weekend, this is obviously just about as good as
it gets. What do you think about the slate we
have in front of us here?

Speaker 2 (00:41):
I'm afraid that it's not going to be living up
to what happened last week, where how wild Card weekend
was just phenomenal, just absolutely electric. So many fourth quarter
changes where it looked like this underdog was gonna win
and they end up winning, but they look that they
were gonna lose, and Jordan Love posts like an amazing
stat line and the lose anyway, just absolutely bonkers. So

(01:04):
I'm afraid that it's just not gonna live up to
last weekend, which means it's going to be somewhat disappointing,
but still when the Patriots are on. I will be
in attendance at Gellette Stadium this week, so I will
be back in the home team loud and it should
be a lot of fun, hoping it's a lot of
fun where the Patriots win.

Speaker 3 (01:21):
Funny you mentioned that Jordan Love game.

Speaker 1 (01:23):
I mean, obviously that was, like, you know, maybe the
game of the of the weekend, which was a wild weekend,
and it's a good example of how my predictions in
the wild card round went. I said we were getting
this Jordan Love offensive explosion. All my pro I had
multiple props on Jordan Love. I called this Packers big
scoring game, but I said that they would win.

Speaker 3 (01:42):
In the end.

Speaker 1 (01:42):
I almost wanted to give myself a half point on
it because I got half the prediction right.

Speaker 3 (01:46):
But I gave myself the loss.

Speaker 1 (01:48):
No need to worry about it because because the Packers
got the loss. But that was very reflective of how
my predictions went. I think I went three and three
on the official predictions. I think I went like five
and one on the prop bets, Like it was just
I was I was getting the side angles correct that
you would actually put money on, including the Puka first touchdown,
which was my best bet of the weekend, not my

(02:11):
pre weekend best bet, but it was my most successful
bet of the weekend plus five fifty, So that one
I was really happy with.

Speaker 3 (02:17):
But the predictions themselves, sadly just three and three.

Speaker 2 (02:19):
Yeah, it's one of those situations where you could try
to go up, you know, you place a bet, it's like, hey,
this one didn't quite hit, but spiritually it hit, So
can I get paid out pretty pretty please? And they
will just slowly turn away from you and me. But yeah,
the Pooka call shout out to you first touchdowns, that's
something I haven't dabbled in as much this year. I
know that my first couple of years I was doing
that a lot, and it's a ton of fun. It's

(02:41):
one of those like ultimate adrenaline rushes where you don't
have to wait very long for a hit, except in
the instances where you get like a Steelers Texans game
where there are no touchdowns and it's just kind of
like the wild Wild West of oh is the first
touchdout also going to be the last touchdown, So if
it doesn't hit right away in one of the first drives,
it can be kind of a sweat as well. But yeah,
Poka going off me, he could have had multiple touchdowns

(03:04):
and like again, the Panthers don't cover that game if
he doesn't drop that pass. Right. So, even though my
Carolina Panthers plus ten and a half was the lock
of all locks, there was a scenario where it was
not the lock of all locks and they did actually
end up getting blown out in one part of the universe.

Speaker 1 (03:20):
Well that's that's another one where I lost the prediction.
But I hit the first touchdown score. I mean, like
I just I just couldn't get him both right. You
went four and two in this round, so we went
to combined seven and five.

Speaker 2 (03:30):
Yeah, we're looking at the green back in the green,
which is good.

Speaker 3 (03:33):
Not overall, but in the green for a week.

Speaker 1 (03:35):
We had enough of a down stretching to making our
way the end of the we did. We did great
to start end of the regular season, not so strong.
Now a decent start to the playoffs. Here, we'll see
how we do this week, and by the way, for
the next two weeks, we're gonna have multiple predictions on
those games because obviously next week there's only two games,
and then you know, the Super Bowl only one game,

(03:57):
So we will still have this version of the show.
It'll just be more predictions on the same games as
opposed to one each for each game, which is what
we are doing today, starting off with the Saturday afternoon
game Bills at Broncos.

Speaker 3 (04:10):
Now, the Bills started off as favorites. They are.

Speaker 1 (04:14):
It's interesting they are favorites on some books and underdogs
on others. We of course care most about hard Rock Bet.
They are underdogs in hard Rock Bet is Bills plus
one at that book. They are, like I said, favored elsewhere.
So if you really like the idea of getting the
Broncos as an underdog, I'm not going to encourage you
to go bet elsewhere, but you can find that elsewhere. Again,

(04:34):
we are only going to be sharing the hard Rock
Bet line, which is Bills plus one, so they are
the underdog here. Ericson, I'll start with you, what's your
prediction for Bills at Broncos.

Speaker 2 (04:44):
Yeah. Shout out to hard Rock Bet for having the
best number on the best team in this game, the
Buffalo Bills. So I would go straight for the money
line here, not mess around with these plus one minus
one and a half. Wherever you're shopping, if you had
hard rock bet, you want to get the Bills because
Bills on the money line, that is one of the
best values that you can get. And ultimately, I think
that the Bills are going to win this game same

(05:04):
way they won last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars. And
I was on the Jaguars side last week. But in hindsight,
I don't look at that as Wow, what a disasterisk
call it. It was a close game, like it was
a tight game, went down to the final drive. Jacksonville
obviously did not end up getting the win, and Buffalo
willed its way to victory with Josh Allen and the
fact they were able to do it without James Cook

(05:25):
really having a big rushing game. If you look at
some of the splits, Buffalo has won the majority of
their games when James Cook has gone off. They're nine
to zh straight up when they rushed for at least
one hundred and fifty rushing yards, just three and I
believe four and five when they've been under one hundred
and fifty rushing yards, but that didn't stop them from
winning last week against Jacksonville. So I think that the

(05:46):
anyone backing Buffalo And this was kind of the same
analysis last week with those that wanted to root for
the Buffalo side, it's just okay, well they have Josh
Allen and he's the best quarterback playing in this game.
And it seems like very rudimentary like analysis, but it
works right. If he is playing and he's healthy, then
you know he can stack up against any other quarterback

(06:06):
in the NFL and any other team in the NFL.
And I think it's really interesting when you look at
who Josh Allen has lost to in the postseason. He
lost to Deshaun Watson and this was his rookie year,
so very very young quarterback at the time playing in
a road playoff game. Deshaan Watson was the better quarterback
at that time. Patrick Mahomes he's lost to multiple times
in the playoffs, and Joe Burrow. That's it. So basically,

(06:29):
unless there was a scenario where there was a quarterback
in the the same tier as Josh Allen, he doesn't
lose these playoff games. And I kind of wish I
took more of that into consideration last week. I don't
think that think, but lieving that the Jaguars were a
better overall team was the wrong take because again it
was a close game. But now in a similar spot, Okay,
on the road against the Denver Broncos. Great defense for Denver,
but who's a better quarterback, Bonix or Josh Allen? Like,

(06:51):
who do I have more faith than it's going to
have that second half comeback? Both of these teams have
been very, very good in the second halves of games,
a lot of big comebacks. But I look at Denver
and look at how they've played in close games this year.
They're eleven and two in close games, so they've definitely
been on the right side of luck when it comes
to these one score contests, and I just think against
a gamer like Josh Allen, maybe their luck runs out

(07:15):
a little bit here. So I like the Bills, who,
even though they're not underdogs everywhere across sports books, they
feel like the underdogs. They feel like the team that
people are writing off. They can't finish it. They don't
have any wide receivers, the defense is overrated, they can't
stop the run, YadA, YadA, YadA, And yet you look up, Oh,
what do you know? The Bills win again. So I'm
gonna go with the Buffalo Bills winning here. And although

(07:36):
this doesn't really correlate with my prop because I'm still
betting against the Bills run defense being any good. R J.
Harvey's gonna go over forty nine and a half rushing yards.
I think this number is just way too low for
what we've seen from this Bill's run defense. Week seventeen,
Harvey fourteen carries for forty three yards, but he had
a fifty percent success rate, and the Broncos rushing successor

(07:58):
in that Week seventeen game fifty six point three percent.
That was their second highest in a game this season,
and He's got at least fourteen carries in four of
his last five games. Harvey's struggled in some of the
tougher matchups he's had on Paper Chargers Chiefs, but in
softer spots like against the Raiders Green Bay Packers, He's
gone over fifty rushing yards. He also average seven yards
per carry against the Aforemenchin Jaguars, who are one of

(08:21):
the best run defense, if not the best run defense
in the NFL Buffalo Bills. Again, we know they're not
a good run defense. Fifth most rushing yards allowed per
game this season. So that's my take on Bill's Broncos.

Speaker 1 (08:32):
We are going against each other on this. I do
think Denver wins. You know, I was the only one
that I recall maybe I'm misremembering, but on our shows,
I was the only one last February who was picking
the Eagles because I was like, I get that it's
really scary to go against the best player in this game,
which is Mahomes.

Speaker 3 (08:53):
But you know, but I just think the Eagles are
the better team.

Speaker 1 (08:57):
I kind of feel that way about this, not as strongly,
but I'm like, I get that it's scary to go
against Josh Allen, who I think is going to be
the best player on the field. That's in my prediction.
But I just think the Broncos are the better team.
I don't think there's gonna be some kind of blowout
of the Broncos, like you know the Eagles had in
the Super Bowl. But but I just think the Broncos
are the better of overall team. You mentioned, you know,
Josh Allen that he's only lost to these great quarterbacks

(09:18):
before you know, Deshaun Watson before he went off the
deep end, or at least before we knew he was
off the deep end.

Speaker 3 (09:24):
But this is the.

Speaker 1 (09:26):
Worst Bills team, this worst supporting cast Josh has had
too and I think that matters, And like I think,
I think it was a good process to be picking
the Jags last week. It was just that it was
you couldn't overcome Josh Allen. But I still like believe
in that process of like this is the better team
and the Bills are, like I know everybody's talking about,

(09:49):
you know, if Allen doesn't make the Super Bowl, it's
what an indictment on him because there's no Ma Homes
or Lamar Burrow in the AFC playoffs this year. But like,
this is still not that good of a team. It's
I mean, they're getting maybe little bit healthier. They've opened
up the practice windows for some of these players. I
don't know if those guys are actually gonna be on
the field for this game or not. The Broncos are better.
This game's in Denver, and that is an actual advantage

(10:11):
like that not every team has a home field advantage.
Can I live out here like Denver? In January is
tough to go out and play. Josh Allen's a superhero,
but he's also getting really banged up. Like we keep
seeing him go to the blue Tent. You know, he
went there twice against the Jags. The Broncos are really physical.
It's a tough place to play. It's gonna be cold,
like I would not be surprised to see. I don't

(10:36):
think this defense is as good as the Texans defense,
but I think the Broncos have a pretty good case
as the second best defense in football, maybe third behind
Seattle at worst, one of the clear Tier one defenses
in the league this season. That's really hard when you're
going on the road. This team is rested. Also, you know,
Sean Payton has been there before. I know, like Alan
and McDermott have played in playoff games before, but you

(10:58):
know Peyton's done it at a really high level. I
think the Broncos are probably really mad after last year's playoffs.

Speaker 3 (11:04):
They went one and done.

Speaker 1 (11:05):
Not as the one seed, but they went one and
done against the Bills and got blown out. They lost
thirty one to seven in that game last year. I
think they're going to come in angry. You know, Bo
Nicks is a He's not amazing, but he's a better
quarterback than he was as a rookie, right like this
running game has Archie Harvey. Now it didn't last year
against a really bad rushing defense. And I think that Alan,
despite the Bills having a good offensive line, is going

(11:27):
to get beat up in this game from a Broncos
team that you know sacks the co opposing quarterback as
well as anybody. And I think it's going to feel
like Alan is going to keep them within you know,
striking range throughout this game because he's the best player
in the field.

Speaker 3 (11:41):
But I think the Broncos are going to feel.

Speaker 1 (11:42):
Like they're in control most of the game, even if
it's a close score, and I think they're ultimately going
to win despite Allen being the best player in the field.
And kind of similar to you, my prop maybe doesn't
necessarily go along with my pick. I have Josh Allen
over one and a half passing touchdowns. I had him
under last week because I predicted that the quarterbacks were
kind of going to largely struggle in that game, at

(12:03):
least statistically, and that you know, Alan was just likely
to run it in as opposed to throw it. I
think everybody's looking at like, hey, this this Broncos defense
is really good, and this game's in Denver and all
this stuff I just said, and maybe going to fade
Josh Allen passing, And I want to kind of go
against that because I do think Allen is going to
be the best player on the field. I just don't
think it's going to matter because I think, you know,

(12:24):
nine of the next ten best players are on the
Denver side, and again they're rested in Denver.

Speaker 2 (12:30):
Two follow ups number one to your touchdown call. With
Josh Allen throwing for one and a half passing touchdowns,
I think Kean Coleman might score touchdown in this game. Yeah,
Like the coaching staff is so much like he's got
to step up, and you just look at all the
receivers that just got hurt. Kyle Shavers played the second
half of last week's game with the torn ACL. Gave

(12:50):
Davis he tore his ACL. They just signed Christian Wilkerson
to the active roster from the practice squad. Brandon Cooks like,
they need someone to step up, and we saw young
call earlier this year. Right, he did step up in
that one game against the Ravens and was like, oh,
is he gonna break out his year two? And then
like that could have been farther from the case because
he had just so many off the field issues, maturity issues.

(13:11):
But Buffalo needs him right now. So if if Josh
Allen and the Bills are going to have this upset
or they're going to win this game, I think ke
On Coleman has to do something. And although again not
a separator by any means, but you're not getting separation
against Patrick Tertan and these secondary guys in the Broncos anyway.
So maybe this is where his contested catch the ability
can actually show up. And it's worth noting when these

(13:31):
teams played each other last year, Kean Coleman didn't catch
a touchdown, but he did catch two point conversion, so
they do kind of have that in the bat. Okay,
we can use him in the red zone as a weapon,
especially with the Broncos probably putting a lot of their
defensive secondary and attention on the tight ends like Dalton
kin Kid and Dawson Knox, because that's obviously Josh Allen
has leaned on. And then my other follow up for you,
and I want to, you know, feel how you're about

(13:52):
this particular matchup. So do you feel better about Okay,
I'm up as in the Broncos, the team I'm backing,
or up by four, but Josh Allen has the ball
at the end of the game. Is that the scenario
you want to be in? Or do you want to
be down by four and you have bon Nicks has
to drive and win the game? Which situation do you
want to be in? As someone that's backing the Broncos.

Speaker 3 (14:14):
I'd rather be down. I don't want Josh Allen to
touch the ball if I can.

Speaker 2 (14:18):
So you'd rather be down with Bonix having to Will's
way to victory for your team?

Speaker 1 (14:22):
Yes, because bo Nicks in the fourth quarter when it's
trying to seem to victory is a lot different than
bon Nicks in the first half, at least.

Speaker 3 (14:28):
The way it's worked out this season. No, no, no, no.

Speaker 2 (14:30):
And then that's why again I asked the kind of
like tongue in chee because I was like, oh, I'm
going to put him in a tough spot here, But
I think that from your perspective, that's probably the right
way to take it, because bon Nicks, again, to his credit,
has been lights out in the second half of games.
We'll see how long that that lasts. But definitely someone
that has been clutch in a lot of big spots
this year.

Speaker 1 (14:49):
I will say too, there's one of these picks that
I feel amazingly good about. In one of the games
on this slate, the rest I actually did kind of
go back and forth with, So I mean that makes
it a really exc slate to me that I find
it tricky to predict some of these games. Only one
of the four was I like automatic, took took no
time to think about it.

Speaker 3 (15:07):
I wrote down my prediction right away.

Speaker 1 (15:09):
The other three I really did kind of toss and
turn with a bit so the and this is not
the one that I knew right away, So you know,
if it goes the other way, I won't be totally surprised,
but I'm gonna think the broncos here. We have got
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(15:29):
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Ericson let's go to forty nine Ers at Seahawks. This
is the Saturday night game. Also, by the way, this
was like clearly the correct layout of these games, knowing
that they want to put the one seeds on Saturday,

(15:51):
like Bill's Broncos afternoon, Seahawks forty nine Ers night, and
then you know Texas Patriots early in the day Sunday
late game rant like this was the correct way to
schedule out this late. I just want to give thefl
credit for that. Niners they were plus seven and a
half last time. I look, let's see, okay, that's down
to seven, so Niners are not plus seven here in

(16:11):
Seattle on hard rock bet ericson what's your prediction?

Speaker 2 (16:15):
I will say, though, on the schedule analysis that you
gave out, don't tell that to either the forty nine
Ers or the Buffalo Bills because they're both playing on
a short week against teams coming off a bye week.

Speaker 1 (16:26):
But they always do that. The one seeds always play Saturday.
It feels like because they're like it's already been a
full week off, like they get them going early I
guess as far as I recall.

Speaker 2 (16:35):
I guess the way they look at it as well.
I mean, they're already out of rest disadvantage anyway, so
what's another day like really gonna do. And then you
look at like Kyle Shanahan being like, dude, we just
put like two more guys on injury reserve. We couldn't
get an extra day, Like no, no, no, you can't.

Speaker 1 (16:49):
It's strictly me saying it's the right schedule from knowing
the way the NFL wants to do it, maybe not
necessarily from the competitive advantage now.

Speaker 2 (16:56):
Again, but they don't care about that. That's all about
who's gonna get the most views.

Speaker 1 (16:59):
But I think Texans had to play on Sunday because
they played Monday, right if you want to think about
the rest stuff. So like I guess you could switch
you know, Rams Bears with Seahawks Niners, but then you
know the Bills are still the one getting this advantage.

Speaker 2 (17:13):
So yeah, nobody Again at the end of the day,
I know him is someone's gonna be fine.

Speaker 1 (17:16):
A reason to be if you want the rest advantage
win your conference, right, that's.

Speaker 2 (17:20):
Exactly when your schedule. So for me, I like the
Seahawks a lot in this spot. We just kind of
talked about it a little bit here with the rest
advantage rest disadvantaged. If there's any team that could use arrest,
it's the San Francisco forty nine Ers. And going back
to that Week eighteen matchup again, these teams played just
a couple of weeks ago, and in that matchup, I mean,

(17:41):
Seattle dominated the forty nine Ers. So despite the fact
that the score was thirteen to three, anybody that watched
that game, four Niners were lucky to lose by only
ten points despite being the home team. So this is
our NFL next Gen stats. Four Niners offense generated negative
zero point four to six expected points added for playing
Week eighteen against the Seahawks, their lowest mark of the season.

(18:03):
They posted just a forty point five percent success rate,
the third lowest mark of the year. McCaffrey limited just
twenty three yards on eight carries twenty five percent success rate,
lowest second of the season, and he failed to force
a mistackle on a rushing attempt for the first time
in a game since Week twelve of twenty twenty two
minimum of eight carries. So now Trent Williams didn't replay

(18:23):
in that game, so that is kind of one factor.
But who are they not going to have is another
really big part of their offense, and that's George Kittle.
And this I'm actually gonna kind of do this a
little bit reverse. So my prediction is the Seahawks are
gonna win a cover. But I do want to hittle
my proper because I already just talked about Christan McCaffrey
a little bit. So McCaffrey, I think he's gonna finish
under fifty seven and a half rushing yards. That is
where his rushing prop was the last time I checked.

(18:46):
And that's because George Kittle. We talk about him a
ton as a receiver, especially for fantasy football purposes, but
in real life football, you guys watch George Kittle play.
He is one of the best run blockers among the
tight ends. And if you look at what happened to
CMC during the beginning of the season without Kittle, his
rushing yardage was terrible. The efficiency was not there. He

(19:07):
has gone under his rushing arts prop up fifty seven
and a half rushing yards and six of his last
seven games without George Kittle in the lineup. The only
time that he went over this number this year without
George Kittle was actually Week seventeen, and that was against
Chicago Bears in that crazy shootout game where I mean
the Bears have like no linebackers left, so that I
think was very more matchup specific. You look at Seattle's

(19:27):
defense's nowhere near the Chicago Bears even. I mean, this
is an elite defense that already shut down CMC just
two weeks ago. The forty nine Ers are front runners.
They play so much better ahead than playing from behind.
They're not a team that's built to play from behind.
Because the reason why Kyles Shannon is so bad as
an underdog versus as a favorite Christian McCaffrey when he's
been an underdog with the forty nine Ers seven to

(19:48):
zero towards the under on his rushing yards as an
underdog the last two seasons. And if you're kind of
interested in how I'm kind of generating these filters and splits,
it's part of the Betting pros app the BP prop
at chiet sheet. The analyzer filter by is my team favorite?
Is my team an underdog who's playing in this game.
So it's a really cool way to kind of look
at splits when certain players are in and out in

(20:08):
certain situations of a team, because it's easy to look
up and be like, oh, the last three weeks they've
done this, this, this, But if the upcoming matchup isn't
similar to those past matchups, then I don't think it
really carries as much weight. Whereas, Okay, when the forty
nine ers are not favored, okay, negative game script, you're
not gonna see as much CMC rushing effectively. What's interesting, too,
is in someone mentioned this on X when I posted

(20:30):
the CMC rushing yardage prop. They asked, oh, well, what
about the receiving. Well, it's like the total opposite, right,
It's like over over over over over. So I would
expect Fortinitars playing with a negative game script. I think
that the Seahawks kind of smashier. And I was talking
to Fits about it in Slack and he was like, ericson,
why aren't you higher on the Seahawks. We put in
the projections for the spreads, the totals for betting post

(20:53):
to kind of spit out, and I mean he was
looking at he would lay nine or ten points with
the Seattle Seahawks and as I thought about it, aren't,
I'm like, yeah, I mean the Ford NAR's defense is
absolutely terrible. Kill is such an integral part of their offense.
How he affects cmc rested in for the Seattle and
if you look at Sam Darnold. So this is from
Matt Parol actually mentioned this on the Betting Pro Show

(21:15):
with fits Donald thirteen and oh straight up ten and
three against the spread as a six point plus favorite.
So when the market is really believing in Sam Donald,
they're gonna kill this team, they do so, I like
back in the Seahawks here laying the points. I thought
the Ford Nites were gonna getlown out last week, and
the minute that Lane Johnson got ruled out, I immediately
knew that was not gonna happen. I don't think that

(21:37):
they do it two weeks in a row. I think
eventually all these injuris are going to catch up with them.
And I think against Seattle, who's already dominated them this season,
this is not the Eagles offense that has looked so
inept at times. I think the Ford and Irish defense
gets exposed. I think that Seattle just rolls. So give
me the Seahawks against the spread.

Speaker 1 (21:54):
This was one of the tougher ones for me to pick.
I do not feel as strongly as you. I am
going with the Niners not to win, but to cover
where and we're gonna we're gonna leave that seven and
a half line because that's what we both made our
picks at. Even though it's moved, but we both submitted
when it was seven and a half. I kind of
see this as a close defensive game. It's much less
about thinking that the Niners offense is gonna look different

(22:18):
against this defense the second time around. I mean, like
Mike McDonald has been really good against this Shanahan system
even before getting to Seattle. That was a big reason
why the Seahawks wanted to hire him, because the Ravens
defense was excellent against this like NFL leading offensive scheme
when he was in Baltimore, and that like really carried
a lot of weight with them. So you know, being

(22:38):
in the same division as shanahana McVay. So like I
I do believe that the Seahawks are going to do
a good job against this offense, especially with Kittle out,
Like that's just like the cherry on top of expecting
the Niners offense to struggle, But I don't know that
I'm really buying into the Seahawks offense being very good
as as a Raven sandwich.

Speaker 3 (22:58):
Everybody knows.

Speaker 1 (22:58):
I've been paying very close to attention to a lot
of these head coach candidates that the Ravens have interviewed.
One that they have interviewed is Clint Kubiak, One that
they have requested to interview is Robert Sala. So, like, obviously,
like I watched the NFL, I've been paying attention to
these guys already, but I've been kind of like looking
extra close at them just in thinking about them as
possibilities for the Ravens. And the more I look the
more the less impressed I come away from Clint Kubiak,

(23:22):
and the more impressed I come away.

Speaker 3 (23:23):
From Robert Sala.

Speaker 1 (23:24):
And I wonder if this is a game where coaching
is kind of enough to keep it close these are
This is the third time these two have faced each
other this season. You know, it's you know, obviously divisional rivalry.
These two teams know each other extremely well. It's a
big number over a touchdown for a divisional round game
is pretty sizable.

Speaker 3 (23:45):
And then I know you mentioned that.

Speaker 1 (23:47):
Darnald has done better, you know when he is favorite
of at least this much as you mentioned that Peroult mentioned,
But I am just like not wired to really trust Darnald,
especially when I think the coaching advantages on the other
side of the ball. The Niners are super banged up right, like,
this is not the ideal form of San Francisco's defense.

(24:09):
But I don't need them to win. I just need
him to cover. They could lose by a touchdown and
still come away correct in this prediction.

Speaker 3 (24:16):
For me, I think this is gonna be a low
scoring game.

Speaker 1 (24:19):
I couldn't quite get to the point of picking the
under on forty five and a half, although I do
definitely lean towards the under in this one. The other
thing to ericson and this is maybe more gut feel
than it is driven by bio logic and analysis. I
don't feel like both one seeds are gonna come out

(24:40):
and smash, and not that I have the Broncos smashing,
but I do have them winning their game. So I
kind of wanted to go I kind of wanted to
fade at least against the spread one of these teams,
and I felt like it was easier to do that
with the Seahawks, given the quarterback that I'm fading, and
given the large line and the trust I have in
the coaching staff for San Francisco. As a general rule,

(25:02):
so my prop is the under. Like I said, I
couldn't quite get there for the prediction itself. The official
prediction is that the Niners are going to cover seven
and a half in Seattle.

Speaker 2 (25:11):
I think that the under is the sharp way to
play it. You look at the last four times these
teams have played McDonald versus Shanahan again, quarterbacks aside. Seahawks
is a little bit different defensively this year than compared
to last season, especially early on the year with McDonald
know his system sometimes takes time for the defensive players

(25:32):
to really understand everything and how it works. But the
last three games have all been unders and no game
has exceeded thirty seven points. So you're taking out expulsive
playmakers like a George Kittle out of this offense. Jake
Tungus fun guy. But when you eliminate such a big
play threat like Kittle, I think that leans in towards

(25:55):
the under here. So I would agree with you that
that's how I would play it as well if I
was looking looking at the total, especially with that at
forty four and a half forty five and a half points.
It's not like one of these things like I never
want to bet unders mind it's like thirty eight and
a half where you're not getting a lot of value.

Speaker 1 (26:10):
One.

Speaker 2 (26:10):
I think there was value in the under there, so
I would agree with you there on the total play.

Speaker 3 (26:14):
I almost I'm not going to do it because you know,
I made my decision.

Speaker 1 (26:18):
I'm going to I made my bet. I'm gonna lie
in it, but I almost want to switch. I almost
want to make my my like prop sort of side pick.
It's not a prop, but like just kind of picking
the forty nine ers plus seven and a half and
my official prediction under.

Speaker 3 (26:31):
Because you can do that through you can.

Speaker 2 (26:32):
No, that's no, that's the point of the show. We
talk it through, and then because I don't even have
my hard rock best bet yet, I'm gonna announce it
at the end.

Speaker 1 (26:38):
All right, if you're okay with me switching, then I
am going to switch to the under cause because I
feel better about it being a close defensive game than
I do about the Niners covering. I'm just worried about
this their offense against this defense keeping it close enough.
And if the Seahawks, you know, break one big play
with JSN, I worried that that'll be a lot to overcome.
But I feel really good about the under. So if
you're okay with that, I will switch to the.

Speaker 3 (26:58):
Under forty five and a half.

Speaker 1 (27:00):
It's proved official prediction, all right. But I do still
think the Niners cover. Like I said, I just don't
feel nearly as good about it. If you want a
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Speaker 3 (27:15):
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Speaker 3 (27:24):
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Speaker 1 (27:26):
To enter, all you need to do is subscribe to
the Fantasy Pros YouTube channel right now, drop a comment
below in any of our videos.

Speaker 3 (27:32):
That is it.

Speaker 1 (27:32):
We will be announcing a winner right here on the channel,
so make sure to turn on notifications so you don't
miss your chance to claim this championship belt and flex
on your entire league. It's gonna be hilarious when this
is a high scoring game and the Niners cover and
I lose both sides of it. Okay, let's go to
Texans APT Patriots and ericson. I will tell you this
was my favorite one. This is the one I wrote

(27:53):
down right away, no hesitation. I am taking the under,
even though it is the lowest total of the week.
It's at forty one on hard rock Bet. Let me
double check see if that's moved at all. Yep, still
forty one on hard rock Bet, and I'm taking.

Speaker 3 (28:06):
The under here. I think it was under easily.

Speaker 1 (28:09):
Honestly, the Texans defense, for my money, is the best
defensive football. I've been saying that for months at this point.
Not that I'm the only one, but I have felt
strongly about that for months. Certainly looked, you know, like
that was vindicated, you know in that game against the
Steelers where they absolutely dominated them. And for as good
as Drake may is, I am just not like this
is still his first playoff run. He did struggle against

(28:32):
this Jesse Minter led Chargers defense, and that defense is
not nearly even remotely as close to as talented as
the Texans defense is. The Texans defense has made a
lot of really good opponents look really bad this season.
You know, even like thinking back to against Josh Allen,
who's like as much of a contemporary of this season

(28:54):
of Drake may as anybody, they held him to nineteen points,
right Like they held the Chiefs to ten points. Obviously
weird chief season, you know, like just looking back, like
on their schedule, it's a lot of really good teams,
Like the Ravens didn't have Lamar in that game, but
they had Dereck Henry and they held them to ten points,
right Like they held the Niners to fifteen points back

(29:14):
in October when they you know, their team was a
little bit healthier. It's like you just go down the
line and it does a lot of just really impressive
defensive performances against really good teams. And I am also
wired to just kind of believe, like they won in
the wildcard game.

Speaker 3 (29:31):
They were a good team. They should have won that.

Speaker 1 (29:33):
Like, I'm not convinced that this Patriots team is making
a Super Bowl run. I actually really strongly considered just
picking the Texans to win this game. Honestly, ericson, it
would not surprise me if they did, at the very least.
Picking them to cover the plus three, I really like
that bet. But the Unders the way I want to
go because the Texas defense, I just think, is that good,

(29:55):
and I think Vrabel is a good enough defensive coach
that he is going to kind of frustrate stra I mean,
Stroud looked pretty dark frustrated against the Steelers. I could
see a similar kind of performance from him against the Patriots.
But the Houston defense keeping it really low scoring. And again,
if this was in the thirties, maybe I would like
be more hesitant about it this number being in the forties.

(30:15):
I don't care that Drake may is one of the
two best quarterbacks in football this season.

Speaker 3 (30:19):
I don't care about any of that. I like.

Speaker 1 (30:21):
I just I am as much of a believer in
this Texans defense as you can be, and I'm gonna
take the under as long as I have the opportunity
to do so.

Speaker 2 (30:29):
Yeah, I think that it's really interesting what I did
before these last games played out. I looked at some
of the look ahead lines, because some books will post
future matchups in those lines, so even before we knew
who was playing who in the divisional round, there are
certain sports books that had, oh, this is what the
lines are going to be if it's Patriots Texans. This

(30:50):
is what the line's gonna be if it's Patriots Steelers.
And what it was before we saw these teams play,
before the Patriots played, before the Texans played, it was
the total was at forty four and a half points.
So obviously, after Texans defense shuts out the Steelers, that
gets bet down. The Patriots offense doesn't do anything against

(31:10):
the Chargers defense, really, it goes down. So I thought
that number was way too high. Anyway, at forty four
and a half.

Speaker 1 (31:15):
Yeah, I was gonna say that if that was the number,
that would be my hard rock best bet of the millennium.

Speaker 2 (31:21):
Yes, yes, and I think that, But it also has
to go with we gravitate towards what we just saw. Oh, well,
the Rogers couldn't do anything, so obviously the Patriots are
gonna do nothing on offense. And I opened up this
week to agreeing with you now that the Texans are
gonna win, because come on right, I'm not gonna I'm
not gonna say the tech but maybe they cover.

Speaker 1 (31:40):
But but by the way, by the way, setting aside
Week eighteen, which is obviously weird in that Colts game,
setting aside that the Texans have gone under that number
forty four in every week except.

Speaker 3 (31:51):
For one since Week ten.

Speaker 1 (31:52):
So like to end the season like that, that number
would have been pretty ludicrous, I think yeah.

Speaker 2 (31:57):
And there is always an edge to that too, where
if you bet on games before you even though the
outcome of the next game, well, you can get a
lot of value, but you could also get screwed because
if quarterbacks get hurt or injuries. So again, it's wagering
at the end of the day. So there's always gonna
be some type of risker you're going to take on,
but there's also value to be had if you're willing
to take on the risk. I agreed with basically everything

(32:18):
you said about the under in this game. That's kind
of how I saw it as well, especially at forty one.

Speaker 1 (32:24):
I'm sorry, let me give my prop too quickly, because
I forgot to give that Drake may under twenty twenty
to excuse me, two hundred and twenty four and a
half passing yards, Drake may under that kind of going
along just with like, I think the offenses are going
to struggle, so go ahead, but the I just wanted
to throw out the prop too.

Speaker 2 (32:37):
Yeah, and that makes sense, very correlated. I would assume
if you threw that in the same game parlay Builder
on betting pros, I'm sure that it would be an
A plus corel a plus plus correlation with the under
in the game being a little bit disappointing from the
offensive production side of things. Now, I will say one
of the things with the under in this game is
the Patriots can generate a lot of explosive plays, especially

(33:00):
on the field, like that has really been Drake May's.
That's been his difference in his impact on this Patriots
offense that basically has not had an explosive playmaker since
like Randy Moss. It was just like so long that
they can never generate anything big plays down the field,
They had no juice anywhere offensively. They get Henderson and
then they really changed the dynamics of this offense. And

(33:20):
what I thought was interesting was going back. So Drake
May's first NFL start last year was against the Houston
Dexans at home at Gillette. Patriot's got smoked in that game.
Because obviously they were terrible last year. But I thought
it was really interesting how Drake May played in that
game against a similar defense. So I thought, like, exactly
the same, but still Demiko Ryans as the head coach,

(33:41):
still Will Anderson, still Danielle Hunter like rushing the passer.
So I think that experience of facing this defense already
in some capacity is going to be it's going to
bode well for Drake May in this offense. And two
things that are kind of X factors for me are
his mobility. Number one, Aaron Rodgers can't move, so when
he's under pressure, like, you're not generating big plays. But

(34:03):
Drake May has the ability to shake off a pass
rusher by time and then chuck it downfield to Kaishaan Boody.
Kayshon Boody caught Drake May's first touchdown in the NFL
after he burned Derek Stingley on a go route. Both
guys went to LSU, so there's a familiarity there. And
speaking of players that are familiar with this Texans defense,
look at Stefan Diggs. He was on the Texans last season.

(34:26):
He was actually a big part why the Texans killed
the Patriots last year because he was really effective, I
guess Christian Gonzales. So I think that having some familiarity
with this Texans defense, I think that gives the Patriots
a little bit more of an edge. So I think
that there are chances for New England to generate some big,
explosive plays. The offensive line is significantly better than it
was last year. Drake May rushed for thirty eight yards

(34:48):
the last time he faced this defense. We saw last
week when hey, I couldn't generate anything down the field
or as much, Well, he's going to use his legs.
And I know you kind of threw away Week eighteen
as a weird game against the colt and I would
agree for the most part, it was kind of a
weird game. But in the first half, the Texas were
playing their guys and Briley Leonard was like lighting up
this defense and how is he doing it? Big plays

(35:09):
downfield to Alec Pierce. Like the Patriots have those guys
with Kayshawn Boody generating big plays, Kyle Williams big plays,
Trayvon Henderson big plays. So I think if this bet
or if this game does go over, even if it's
buy a little bit it's because the Patriots get one
or two big explosive plays with some of their playmakers,
like they've done all year long. So ultimately, I like

(35:30):
the Patriots to win this game they're playing at home.
I when you look at the Patriots as field goal favorites,
I believe that they've won eleven straight. So they've won
eleven straight as favorites, and they have ten wins this
season by at least three points or more. So they've
covered and won games as field goal kind of margins
for mostly all year. So I like New England to win.

(35:53):
I think that the experience, like I talked about with
Drake may is going to vode well for him and
this team. And if Nicole Collins doesn't play, that's such
a significant loss to this Texans offense because I feel
like they might struggle, especially with how good the Patriots
run defense. This is like my last point here, and
this ties into my prop Woody marks under sixty and
a half rushing yards. Woody Mark's coming off his best
game as a pro last week against the Steelers, going

(36:15):
over one hundred yards for the first time in his
NFL career. I don't think that's going to sustain here
because this Patriots run defense. I talked about it last week,
I believe with betting the under on o'maryon Hampton where
Berry he didn't really even play in that game, but
no running back had allowed or no running back the
Patriots had faced had gone over sixty rushing yards through
the first eleven games of the season. What was constant

(36:36):
during those first eleven games. They had Milton Williams, they
had Robertsplane, they had all their defensive guys and starters
back in the lineup. Those guys played in the Wildcart Round.
The Chargers running backs combined for twelve carries for thirty
yards two point seven yards per carry. So Woody Marks
is not getting anywhere near one hundred rushing yards, nowhere
near sixty rushing yards this week. Potentially no Nico Collins,

(36:57):
I don't think the Texans offense is goalle to keep
up here. Drake may can generate a couple of big plays,
and that's more like the paage to win cover minus
two and a half.

Speaker 1 (37:05):
I mean that that the Nico Collinson is part of
why I went with the under and not the Texans
covering too, because again I mean like it's just really
hard for me to imagine this Texans offense getting to
like seventeen points maybe, And then I'm like, if the
defense is as good as I really believe it is,
then you know, the Patriots would need to get to

(37:26):
twenty four just to push a forty one, you know line,
if the Texans aren't getting higher than seventeen, if anything
other than that, and I like, I just don't see this.
Like I think the Patriots could get a big play,
maybe even too, but is that going to be enough
to score in the high twenties against this defense?

Speaker 3 (37:42):
Like I really think this is like, you know, it's
not quite like the.

Speaker 1 (37:46):
Eighty five Bears or the two Bucks or the two
thousand Ravens, but like I do think it's it's like
up there, and it's a I think it's a good
enough defense to carry a bad offense to a Super Bowl,
especially in a field like this.

Speaker 3 (37:58):
So I'm not saying that the Texans are my pick
to make the Super Bowl, but like, very.

Speaker 1 (38:02):
Good enough defense that that is the best unit on
the field, and that is going to carry weight with me,
especially again against a really young quarterback in just his
second playoff game ever, who kind of struggled in his
first one, not that he was bad at this is
not at all and knocking a drink may, I just
mean like they didn't score a ton, Like you know,
it wouldn't surprise me if we see something a similar
offensive output.

Speaker 2 (38:20):
He played a And I was talking about this on
some of the betting shows last week because my I
think one of my best bets last week was the
under in that game because Chargers Patriots game was forty
six and a half points that total was and like,
watching that game, you think that total is ludicrous, Like
what were we thinking here? And that's because the Patriots
have only played two top ten defenses all year. They've
played the Browns and then they played the Chargers, and

(38:42):
this will be the third one they play. So again,
I'm not saying that even though I think that there's
a chance that could go over forty one, it's it
would be more likely because there's turnovers and there's short fields.
Because we saw both of these quarterbacks. I mean, Stroud could, dude,
why could he not like handle the weirdest And Drake
May had some turnovers against the Chargers, So.

Speaker 1 (39:03):
That was Mike Tomlin devil magic in that and getting
it all out of his system before retiring.

Speaker 3 (39:11):
Okay, yeah, we.

Speaker 1 (39:12):
Can move on from this one, by the way, like
and I'm gonna bring this up on the next one too,
Like you gotta take the Patriots like minus three. You
can't just have your prediction be that, oh, the favorite's
gonna win this game, that like, no wonder you have
a better record than me and this I'm actually out
here making picks against the spread, and you're like, oh,
this team that's favored by three points at home and
is the much higher they're gonna win the game.

Speaker 2 (39:31):
Okay, okay, okay, yeah, I'll update mind to the Patriots covering.

Speaker 3 (39:35):
All right, thank you. I appreciate that.

Speaker 1 (39:37):
We're going live during another NFL playoff game. Join Joe
Pisapia and Scott Bogman at four or fifteen pm Easter
in this Saturday for a first half betting live stream
as the Buffalo Bills take on the Denver Broncos. We're
tracking line movement in real time, breaking down live odds,
and calling out bets as the game unfolds. Get in
before kickoff and catch us live on the Betting Pros
YouTube channel. That's YouTube dot com. Slash betting pros. All right,

(40:01):
ericson Rams at Bears. Rams are minus three and a half,
and this is I was just referencing this to your prediction,
is that the Rams win.

Speaker 3 (40:09):
You got you gotta s take minus the points here.

Speaker 1 (40:11):
You can't say that the team favored by three and
a half is gonna win and that's your big prediction here.

Speaker 2 (40:15):
I mean, I can do whatever I want. The predictions.
Don't say I have it because I because this game
for me is the hardest one of.

Speaker 1 (40:22):
The Okay, so I will admit too, I found them
all hard except for Patriots Texans, but I thought this
was the hardest.

Speaker 3 (40:28):
So I'm in total agreement with you there.

Speaker 2 (40:30):
You have a West Coast indoor team going on the
road to play the Bears in what's going to feel
like five degree weather, right, and the quarterback is dealing
with this like finger injury. So that's why I'm kind
of terrified of this game because everything suggests, hey, Rams
just steamroll. The Bears can't keep this up. They can't
keep sucking for three quarters and then just like pulling

(40:52):
out a w and the fourth quarter you have the
laflor brother thing going on where Micha Lafloor is part
of the ramstaf. He is the brother of Matt Lafour,
who hates Ben Johnson. Ben Johnson hates the Packers and
all this, you know, all this nonsense. So this one
is tough for me. I ultimately that's why I sided
with the Rams winning because I'm trying to basically be

(41:14):
a coward if anything, that's my prediction. I love this prop.
This is like way more confidence level Luther Burden going
over two and a half receptions. I was really high
on Jalen Cocher last week against the Los Angeles Rams.
That was one of my favorite props. It was one
of the rops I hit last week on the show,
was the first one we talked about between the Panthers
and Rams over three and a half receptions. Is because

(41:36):
the Rams can't stop can't stop slot receivers, right, that
is one of their biggest weaknesses in their secondary saw
Jalen Cocher not just blow up in Week nineteen, but
he had a very productive game in the first matchup
against the Rams earlier in the season because he's deployed
from the slot burden. Last week in the wildcar R
ran fifty one percent of his routes from the slot,

(41:56):
he got three balls for forty two yards on seven
targets in total. He also had five targets in the
first half. And although Roman duons that came back into
the lineup last week, Burden has at least three catches
in nine straight games, including his last five games with
the Roman Dunes that in the lineup. So I don't
feel as confident about the spread or total in this
particular matchup because of the weather, because of a quarterback

(42:17):
injury potential, and because of the Bears just pulling out
these fourth quarter magic. I love this prop the most.
This is one of my favorite props that we've talked about,
is Burden going over to and outf for sept because
it's been absolute money for the majority of the year
the second half of the season, and the matchup against
the Rams is just just a slot funnel and that's
where Burden is primarily deployed in this Bears passing game.

Speaker 1 (42:41):
The weather in this game is the reason why I'm
not like all in on the Rams. If not for
that situation, I'd be like really high on Rams covering
this easily. But like the really cold, you know, Chicago weather,
does scare me genuinely. My ultimate prediction here is I

(43:02):
have the Rams winning, and I didn't say they were
going to cover.

Speaker 3 (43:07):
But I had to make to make it a little
more just like.

Speaker 1 (43:10):
Beyond that, I added a note that this ends up
being the most fun game on the slate, which I
think it could very easily be. I think this could
be a really high scoring back and forth. I do
have the under as my propier or not proper like
I the under as a pick that I like.

Speaker 3 (43:24):
It was at forty nine when I wrote it down.

Speaker 1 (43:26):
It's moved down to forty eight and a half here,
but obviously it's still the highest of the week.

Speaker 3 (43:30):
I do like it to go under, you know, given
the weather and everything.

Speaker 1 (43:33):
But I still think this will be a back and forth, fun,
feel like the ball's moving type of a game. You know,
it'll be in question late. I think eventually this bears
like crazy late game. Luck is going to run out.
I think it happens here, and I think the Ram
like for as much as the weather scares me, and
the idea of like Stafford with a bad back at

(43:53):
thirty eight years old getting knocked down onto the you know,
the hard ground. Cole tundra of a social field exactly
as much as that like scares me and everything. I
am just like I have felt basically since like late
October that the Rams are the best team in football,
and I know that it's been a little shakier in

(44:15):
the last month and a half year. Maybe that's just
they're a bad matchup with the Panthers for some reason.

Speaker 3 (44:20):
I don't know.

Speaker 1 (44:22):
I don't I don't want to hold when the same
team that I don't think is as good as the
team I like keeps winning or making it closer than
it should be. I'm inclined to say like sometimes like
teams are just like not a great matchup for you,
and I don't want to overreact to that when a
the Rams still came out with the win and be like, like,

(44:43):
I just I just still think they're the best team
in the NFL, and I think they're gonna end up
winning here despite being on the road, despite the weather,
because I don't think the Bears are there yet.

Speaker 3 (44:53):
I think the Bears are good. I think they're fun.

Speaker 1 (44:55):
I think the marriage between Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams
is gonna be really, really quite enjoyable for.

Speaker 3 (45:01):
The next decade, but this.

Speaker 1 (45:04):
Is their first year of this marriage. This is a
very very flawed defense. This is still an up and
down offense. I don't think that the Bears, are who
have really relied on their run game for a lot
of the season, are going to be able to run
that well on the Rams. I think they can throw
on the Rams, but if the weather is you know,
not great, that could impact them too, even though that's

(45:24):
their home field. So I just think there's just enough
that I think the Rams kind of hold them off
at the end and bring this this run of crazy
late game luck for the Bears. I don't want to
call it all luck, because there's obviously a level of
like you know, mental fortitude to win those games, but
like you know, ultimately it's a version of luck, and
I think that that version of luck runs out this week.

Speaker 2 (45:47):
It's not sustainable. That shouldn't be your strategy. It's funny.
I think they were talking to or reporter was talking
to one of the defensive backs for the Bears, and
in the fourth quarter he was talking about, Oh, well,
we're going to get a turnover, because it's like, oh,
we've just been banking on these turnovers to win these
games every single week, and well what if that doesn't
happen against to your point, one of the best, if

(46:09):
not the best team in the NFL. And it's funny,
as we've talked about this when we started, was not
confident in making my pick. I think I actually gonna
take the Rams. It gets the spread, especially with the
line moving a little bit, so I think it opened
closer to Rams minus four and a half. Now I
think it's down to Rams minus three and a half,
and I think I'm gonna take the Rams. And again,

(46:30):
listening to you kind of talk about it, we agreed
on some of the similar points. A couple things I
want to note. So the Bears are gonna be with
out their starting left tackle Ozzie Tripillo because he got
injured last week. So that's a big loss to their
offensive line. Whereas Matthew Stafford, they're gonna get one of
their offensive linemen back, Kevin Dotson. He's gonna come back
to the starting lineup. And the thing too about the Rams.

(46:52):
Last year, we saw them go to Philadelphia play in
a snowstorm and almost win that game outright, So maybe
we're over blowing this weather thing just a little bit.
And the other thing too, is the Rams can also
run the football, right, They got two really good running backs,
and what do we see the Bears not be able
to do at all all year is stop the run
because all their linebackers injury. They just put TJ. Edwards

(47:14):
on injured reserve with a broken leg, so they're running
out of bodies. Maybe this game is just Stafford. Hey,
I've already locked up the MVP. I just want to
get the w hand it off to Kyron Williams, handed
off to Blake Coorum. They can't stop the run, and
we don't even give them a chance to have a
comeback in the fourth quarter because we're playing bullyball with
our two running backs. So maybe that's a way that
you can spin it to really being pro Rams while

(47:35):
also kind of considering the weather factor playing in and
to your point about the Panthers kind of being their
their kryptonite. If you look at the Rams on the
road since twenty twenty three, they're eleven and four against
the spread as a road favorite, twelve and two straight up,
and they're eleven and two against the spread versus all
teams not name the Carolina Panthers. So like when they

(47:58):
go on the road like they are road warriors, despite
playing on the West Coast having to travel a ton.
It's by having to play outdoors a lot of the time,
playing in colder weather elements. So yeah, I'm not sure
how we got here, but I think I am feeling
more confident about laying the points here with the Rams,
and maybe we're getting some value on being afraid of
the weather when maybe we're overblown. I mean, or more

(48:18):
often than not, I don't think I've ever made a
great decision because I took consideration of what the weather
is going to be. I'm usually always regretted.

Speaker 1 (48:25):
Well, we are picking the Rams, right, We're just saying it,
like despite the weather, So it's not like it's it's keeping.
It's just like we're less gung ho because of the weather.
We're not not picking the Rams because of it. Like
I think it would be a mistake to say I
really believe in the Rams as much as I do,
but I'm going to pick the Bears solely because it's
going to be cold outside, Like that would be crazy,

(48:47):
but it's enough to make it not my hard rock
best bet of the week. But it's like I still
am picking the Rams here, and and I'm not picking
them against the spread. I'm just picking them straight up.
If I was forced to pick against the spread, I
would probably still take the Rams. We're doing against three
and a half. We're squad riding Rams minus three and
a half.

Speaker 2 (49:07):
Let's go.

Speaker 1 (49:10):
Yeah yeah, so I I, you know, and and the Bears.

Speaker 3 (49:17):
I'm looking here.

Speaker 1 (49:18):
I I typically just look at the odds for you know,
against spread and everything, because that's what we usually pick. Here,
the Rams money line would be minus two hundred, which
I wouldn't feel. I wouldn't like I would lay the
points at that number.

Speaker 2 (49:34):
Well it's three. It's three and a half right at
hard Rock bets three and a half. So there again,
that has been going down. So there's been money coming
out on the Bears because I think when I checked
yesterday it was minus four and a half. So I
think that there are concerns about the weather and maybe
we're overblowing it. It's like, go, Rams, man, run the
football with common wills, play corn. They can't stop the
run and they won't have a chance to come back

(49:56):
in the fourth quarter because Sean McVay is gonna lay
the hammer, just pounding the rock well.

Speaker 1 (50:01):
Speaking of hard rock bet, today's show is brought to
you by our presenting sponsor, hard rock Bet. So it's
time for hard rock best Bets of the Week, presented
by hard rock bet Erickson. What is your hard rock
best bet of the week.

Speaker 2 (50:12):
I am going to go with the New England Patriots
covering against the Houston Texans minus three or minus three
and a half. The Patriots this year have won eleven
straight games as favorites. They've won ten games this season
by at least three points or more. Yes, Houston has
an elite defense, but Patriots have Drake may so give

(50:34):
me the Pats laying the points at home.

Speaker 1 (50:37):
You mentioned that the Patriots have won eleven straight games
against the spread. The Texans have just won like ten
straight games period, like they just keep winning.

Speaker 3 (50:47):
I am not. I'm so so it's funny because.

Speaker 2 (50:50):
We're going head to head with our hard rock best bets.

Speaker 1 (50:52):
I was gonna say, I'm so tempted to take Houston
plus three. At the end of the day, I will
stick to my guns and say Texas's under forty one
is my hard rock best bet of the week. I
am very, very tempted to go against you, so Honestly,
I'm tempted. I'll tell you, just looking up the money line,
I'm tempted to take the Texans on the money line.
I they're plus one forty five at hard Rock Bet.

(51:15):
I think the defense is the best unit in the playoffs,
and like I've been thinking about them as a dark
horse super Bowl contender in a year like this where
there's nothing like who's the obvious like superhero they have
to beat. It's just Josh Allen. They've beaten Josh Allen
already this season. Like, I really do think as a
dark horse contender, They're really intriguing to me with this defense.

(51:37):
And if Stroud can just like not turn the ball
over four times in a game like I would feel
even better about it. So I am so tempted to
parlay the under with Texans money line or Houston plus three,
but I can't quite get there. This is supposed to
be what I feel best about, so I will I
will stick with just what I do feel best about,
which is the same game as you. But I'm taking

(51:58):
the under here at forty one. As I already talked about.
Those were our hard Rock Best bets of the week.
Remember hard Rock Bet has live in game betting, so
you're never too late to the action. Find a winner
or grab that player prop you meant to play, and
live bet between snaps and just a few easy taps
bonus bets. If you win, just place a five dollars
bet and if it hits, you get not only your
winnings but also an extra one hundred and fifty dollars

(52:19):
in bonus bets. So just because your team may be
out of it, that doesn't mean you have to sit
on the sidelines this postseason. Between same game parlays, live betting,
it can't mis welcome offer and new promos dropping every day,
hard Rock Bet has you covered all postseason long. Download
a hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit.

Speaker 4 (52:34):
Payble and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by
the Seminal Tribe of Florida and Florida offered by the
Seminal hard.

Speaker 3 (52:39):
Rock Digital LLC in other states.

Speaker 4 (52:41):
Must be twenty one plus in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan,
New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Play terms and conditions apply.
Concerned about gambling in Florida, I call one eight three
to three play wise in Indiana, if you are someone
you know as a gambling problem, laws help called one
eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called one
hundred gambler in Arizona, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

Speaker 3 (53:03):
Erickson will get out of here on that.

Speaker 1 (53:05):
Enjoy the game, Enjoy the weekend as a whole, but
enjoy particularly going to the game. I've only attended one
Ravens postseason game in my life. They lost, but it
was very fun to be a part of that atmosphere
going into that, So enjoy it. I will not be
rooting for the Patriots, but I will be rooting for
you to have a good time.

Speaker 2 (53:22):
Oh, I appreciate that. I've actually been to multiple Ravens
playoff games. Ravens playoff games, well, yeah, because they're always
they're always visiting. Yes, So I was at the Billy
Cundiff game, so that was a big highlight for me.
I was also at the Ray Rice game where he
went for like a billion yards. I think Joe Flaccoll
attempted like four passes.

Speaker 1 (53:43):
He ran for like an eighty year touchdown. The first
play the game and just never stopped.

Speaker 2 (53:49):
Yeah, so I've been to some wins, been to some losses,
hopefully going to a win and hopefully we can talk
about the Patriots next week here on the Prediction Show,
and not the Houston Texas.

Speaker 1 (53:59):
That that Condiff one that was the the heartbreaker.

Speaker 3 (54:03):
Like of all the Ravens have had a lot of
heartbreakers in.

Speaker 1 (54:06):
The last decade and a half, that was the one that, like,
especially in the pre Lamar era, was the like, this
was a super Bowl level team and like Flacco outplayed Brady.

Speaker 3 (54:19):
And it didn't matter.

Speaker 2 (54:20):
So well, the Patriots end up losing the Super Bowl anyway,
So really it's not that great of a memory either.

Speaker 3 (54:26):
Well because it's not just the Billy Coundiff game.

Speaker 1 (54:27):
It's the Lee Evans game followed by Billy Kundiff and.

Speaker 3 (54:34):
I think about that a lot here in Baltimore.

Speaker 1 (54:36):
All Right, we'll go ahead and wrap things up there
for Ericson on Ryan Warmly. Thanks everybody for tuning in.
We'll see again next time. Thanks for listening to the
Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football podcast. If you love the show,
the best freeway to support us is by leaving a
positive review on Apple Podcasts. At fantasypros dot com, Slash
review or on Spotify.

Speaker 3 (54:55):
Follow us on x

Speaker 1 (54:56):
Instagram and TikTok at fantasy Pros, and subscribe your YouTube
channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros

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