January 16, 2026 • 18 mins
Join Joe Pisapia and Andrew Erickson as they make predictions and highlight their favorite prop bets to place ahead of the divisional round of the NFL playoffs!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)
Intro - 0:00:00
RJ Harvey Over 52.5 Rushing Yards - 0:01:18
Christian McCaffrey Under 56.5 Rush Yds - 0:02:39
Brock Purdy Under 230.5 Pass Yds & Under 34.5 Pass Attempts - 0:03:28
BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet - 0:05:10
Woody Marks: UNDER 60.5 rushing yards - 0:05:30
Hard Rock Bets - 0:08:10
Stefon Diggs Under 48.5 Rec Yds - 0:09:24
Drake Maye Over 33.5 Rush Yds Over - 0:10:10
Puka Nacua Over 98.5 Rec Yds - 0:12:10
Luther Burden Over 2.5 receptions - 0:13:10
Touchdown Calls - 0:14:32
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:02):
Welcome in everybody to betting Pros. It's time to place
your bets, says b Joey p Joe pi Zapia. And
this is BP NFL. It's time to look for the props.
That's right, the individuals in the division round of the
playoffs that are gonna cash for us this week. Andrew
Erics and I just put aside all the best bets
for the games. Now we're gonna dig into the players
(00:22):
and now Andrews always got some great stats for you.
Make sure you subscribe to the channel, subscribe to the FED,
download the Betting Pros app bets smarter, not harder. Don't
be a tool, use the tools. That's what we want
you to do, including the prop bet chea cheet by
the way, up ninety four units, fifty seven percent. Oh
my goodness, what a year it's been for the prop
bet cheat sheet. Really good there. So Nick, sure you're
using the tools. Man, this is what we're talking about
all year long. So we've got some bets for you
(00:44):
we've laid out and don't forget right here on the
channel at four point fifteen Saturday, Scott Bogman, Joe Pizzapia,
Bill's Broncos, Nicks, Allen, all the big names are all
gonna be here, and we're gonna be walking through some
in game line give you our favorite bets plus all
the in game live stuff. So make sure you check
us out here on the channel. Subscribe to the channel
(01:06):
ring the Belts so that goes ding so you don't
miss it too, so you get that little alert. That's perfect.
Andrew Erickson, I know you've been digging deep into the
minds here. Let's get your first prop bet for Division
Round two of the NFL playoffs.
Speaker 2 (01:18):
Looking at the Denver Broncos backfield, RJ. Harvey is going
to go over fifty two and a half rushing yards.
This one's not super complicated, Joe. The Bills are a
terrible run defense, fifth most rushing yards allowed per game
this season. Travis Etn and the Jaguars were running all
over them, and then Leam Cone just decided to stop
running the football against the Bills last week. Not really
(01:39):
sure why. Didn't help them win the game. Obviously they
didn't win the game. I don't think Sean Payton is
going to overthink this year, especially based on boon Nick's
up and down play in the second half of the season,
so I think they exposed the biggest weakness of the
Bill Stevens, and that's running the football. You look at RJ.
Harvey again, he's been up and down since JK. Dobbins
got hurt Week eleven, but he hasn't seen the majority
(02:00):
of the touches in the Broncos back that. There's at
least fourteen carries in four of his last five games,
and I would say he has run into some of
the tougher defensive matchups when it comes to run defenses.
He's faced the Chiefs a couple different times, the Chargers
some solid run defenses, where against like the Las Vegas
Raiders and the Green Bay Packers, he's had bigger games,
going over fifty rushing yards. He also averaged over seven
(02:22):
yards per carry against the Jaguars, who we all know
is one of the best run defenses in the NFL.
So I think just give him the matchup. Giving the
amount of volume that R. J. Harvey is seeing. He
goes over fifty two and a half rushing yards on
Divisional card weekend.
Speaker 1 (02:35):
All right, So over there for RJ. Harvey fifty two
and a half. I'm gonna start here mine with Christian
McCaffrey rushing yards under fifty six and a half, that's
right under why because they're gonna use the the passing game.
That's where he's gonna have to work when George Kittle
is not out there blocking. Christian McCaffrey also not as
good out there running the football, and George Kittle won't
(02:56):
be around for quite some time, so Tom just will
be taking over for him. But it's a different thing.
I mean, George Kittle is such a superior blocker out there,
and have him out there on the edge and now
you're not gonna have him. And I also think from
a game script standpoint too, what you want to do
is you want to stop Christian McCaffrey. So you're not
gonna ever stop him from catching the football in space.
They're gonna find clever ways to do that. That's what
(03:17):
Kyle Shanathan gets paid to do. But running the football
between the tackles and Seattle, I think is going to
be a challenge for Christian McCaffrey. So I'm gonna take
his under Don't tell Welsh I did this. He's gonna
be very upset there. So let's go to pick number two. Here.
Both of us have Rock Party bets here. Mine is
Brock Party under two thirty and a half passing yards again.
I think that Seattle defense is going to really tighten
(03:38):
up on him. You're losing another big piece in George Kittle.
Party's played really well down the stretch save for one
game against the Seattle Seahawks, and now he gets the
Seahawks again. I like the team total the under here
for the San Francisco Fourna nine ers as well. Now
you are also into a Brock Party bet. Let's talk
about your version of it, Andrew.
Speaker 2 (03:57):
Yeah, this one comes courtesy of the prop bet cheat
five star bet. One of the most profitable markets in
the PROPA at Chichie this year has been on passing attempts.
I've talked a lot about passing attempts on this show
week to week, and most of the time we've come
out in the greens. So under thirty four and a
half passing attempts for Brock Purdy. If you look at
him on the prop bet analyzer, you pull up his
(04:17):
pass attempts prop it's all red.
Speaker 3 (04:20):
Joe.
Speaker 2 (04:20):
I like that there's not a lot of greens when
it comes to him going over thirty four and a
half passing cotempts. He's been under this in eight of
ten games this season, including both games when the forty
niners were listed as underdogs. He hasn't attempted more than
thirty four and a half passing attempt since Week four,
and that was the last game he played before his
second injury, when he missed an extended period of time.
He under has cashed in three of his last four
games played without George Kittle in the lineup. For the
(04:43):
last four of the last five quarterbacks to face the
Seattle Seahawks have not surpassed thirty passing attempts, and in
Week one, Perty did go over this number against Seattle,
but in three of the four games he has played
against Seattle the last two seasons, he has finished with
twenty eight or fewer pass attempts. So I think that
the four nineers are going to get truck sticked here,
and I think that party's not going to have enough
(05:04):
completions to have this a tepess number go over thirty
four and a half.
Speaker 1 (05:09):
Don't forget everybody too. Prop bet cheat sheet is available,
as Andrew pointed out, and we kind of popped at
the beginning of the show. Go to bankpros dot com
slash props. You'll see all of the prop bets for
the week, all of the projections, the variants, the best
place to get your wagers in as well, so make
sure he's a prop bet cheat sheet. Next on our
list here pick number three, Andrew Erickson. You're going with
(05:29):
Woody Mark. So we've moved on to Houston and New England.
Let's talk about that contest and what Woody Marks can
do against that Pats defense.
Speaker 2 (05:38):
If we did a hard rock best bet for player Props,
this would be mine. This is my stone cold lock
of the week. Woody Mark's under sixty and a half
rushing yards. People need to realize that when the Patriots
have all their guys back on defense, between Milton Williams,
Robert Splane and Tunga the defensive tackle, you can't run
on this defense. You look at the first line eleven
(06:00):
weeks through the season, when all of those guys were
healthy and in the lineup, no running back that the
Patriots had face had gone over sixty rushing yards. So
you look over the last month or so and you're seeing, oh, like,
these guys are popping off for some solid games. Well
that's because they haven't had all their players. Again, twelve
games with Milton Williams in the lineup, just fifty six
point three rushing yards allowed per game, three point two
(06:20):
yards per carry. Five games without Williams and Splane and
some of these other guys missing time, one hundred and
twenty seven rushing yards allowed per game. So this is
also going back to why like the Patriots, I think
they can make the Texans one dimensional and force them
into a drop back passing game without Nico Collins, so
that it's Christian Kirk, Jalen Nol, and Jaye Higgins. They're
going to have to beat the Patriots to get the
(06:40):
Texans to win on the road with an upset, So
I think that the run game for the Texans gets
totally neutralized here by the Patriots tough front, and Roody
Marx has hardly been consistent. I know he's coming up
a monster game against Pittsburgh Steelers, but I think that
just overinflated his number to this sixty and a half
rushing yards mark. So I'm slamming the under here. Juwar
Jordan's also expected to come back for this game. He's
(07:02):
actually been under this number in two of the three games,
but Jordan has also been healthy in the lineup. So
in the wildcout round, the Chargers running backs between O
Mariy and Hampton Commande Badell twelve carries for thirty yards
two point seven yards per carry when all those guys
were healthy and Tungka didn't even play last week like
he should be back in a lineup. So yeah, I
think this is an easy one for me.
Speaker 1 (07:21):
I like it, and as Ballsy too, because Woody Mark's
is a pretty good game, you know, against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
There's a lot a lot of effort there from him.
So uh, look, the new Patriots defense against the run
this year was very good for a long time and
then it faded a little bit. But as you pointed out,
I had to do a little bit with some of
those injuries that they did suffer at some point. I'm
(07:41):
just throwing this out there too, if you put my
favorite bet of the week there with your favorite bet
of the week. So the under in the first half
total for Bills and Broncos and then what he Mark's
under the undertaker parlay is plus two thirty two all
Undertaker all the time. I love just saying there you go,
there you go, and of course make sure you place
that bet over at hard Bet. That's where we want
you to go right now. And of course Miami is
(08:04):
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(08:25):
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(09:08):
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All right, next up here, Stefan Diggs. I know Andrew,
(09:30):
you said, Stefan Diggs revenge. He loves to show up
for these games and he did play with the Texans
for a cup of coffee a couple years ago. But
he's got Stingley here on the other side. He's just
really good. He's just really really good. So forty eight
and a half is the number four Stefan Diggs, so
I'm gonna go under that. I do think he has
a big catch in this game, in a big moment
that fires everybody up. But I just don't think he's
(09:52):
going over fifty yards in this contest. I'd be surprised
if it happens. So this is actually one of my
favorite unders in a game that I think is going
to be an unders. I think it's gonna be a
point game that the Pats will find a way to win,
and they're gonna find a way to win because of
my fourth bet. And guess what, Andrew Erics and I
are holding hands on this one. It's Drake May over
thirty three and a half rushing yards. We discussed this
at length on The Best Bet Show about Drake May
(10:15):
being very different from Aaron Rodgers. Aaron Rodgers sat in
that pocket and took a ton of sacks against the
Houston Texans pass rush. Drake May's not gonna be that guy.
He's much more mobile. He's gonna break out and run.
We saw it against the Chargers last week. We've seen
it all year long. He can make plays with his legs.
So Houston Texans' defense is gonna get worn out a
little bit here, and I think at the end of
the day, they get tired in that fourth quarter and
(10:36):
that becomes the difference in this game. So I like
the over here for Drake May, and you like it too, Andrew.
What do you want to add to that? Drake May
over thirty three and a half rushing yard love.
Speaker 2 (10:45):
The Texans ranked dead last this year in EPA allowed
per quarterback scramble. Basically, they ranked top ten in every
defensive category except against quarterback scrambling because that's what teams
have to do, that's what happen. That's what quarterbacks have
to to move the ball against the Houstons because they're
so good everywhere else, the pass rush is going to
be humming. But Drake May is gonna make plays with
(11:05):
his legs here. He did this in the first matchup
last year against Houston. He had thirty eight rushing yards
against these similar pass rushers Will Anderson and Daniel Hunter.
Like those guys were humming around, humming on Drake May.
And that was against a much worse offensive line for
the Patriots, which has significantly improved here in twenty twenty five.
It's no coincidence that last week, his first playoff game,
(11:27):
he rushes for a season high sixty six rushing yards.
We see this all the time with quarterbacks. Oh, playoffs
are here, Let's run more because there is no tomorrow.
We have to use our legs now. We can't worry
about staying healthy because we have to win this game.
And the last time he rushed for over fifty yards
was the last time he faced a top ten defense
earlier year, the Cleveland Browns in Week eight. So when
(11:48):
it is top ten defenses, especially ones that are tougher
when it comes to a pass rush, they have good secondaries,
you're just going to see quarterbacks more likely to take
off and run. We've seen that with Drake May. He's
hit the over on thirty five and a half rushing
yards and three of his last five games, including three
straight overs at home. So yeah, I think this one
is a layup.
Speaker 1 (12:05):
Joe, all right, So a layup there, which brings us
to our fifth pick here and it's a very high number.
So bear with me, everybody, but it's the Pookainakua show. Everybody,
ninety eight and a half receiving yards. Guess what, He's
gonna go over one hundred. That's it's it's just whether
or not he goes over one hundred. He's gonna go
over one hundred. He's the guy. He's where the offense
funnels through. And I know the Bears will score some
(12:26):
points on the Rams because the Rams just let everybody
score on them all the time, and I'm sick to
death of it. But that means Pookinakua is gonna have
to get pushed, and that means that Matthew Stafford's gonna
continue to have to throw the football. So give me
Pookinakua with a very high number. I know it makes
me uneasy to I'm with you, but I do think
we get the over this number, and I think he's
well into the hundreds just because of how this offense works.
(12:47):
The only way he doesn't get this is the classic
Pukakua blue ten scenario, which is also very much in
there too. And if you want to fade it because
of that, I man at you. I understand, but this
is the playoffs, and all bets are off, and all
bets are on for Pukinakul for me going over this number.
Your last bet here for week number two of the
playoffs in the NFL, andrew and to go.
Speaker 2 (13:09):
With Luther Burden over two and a half catches. So
I was very high on Jalen Cocher last week, not
as high as I should have been, apparently because he
crushed awesome. See he went absolutely nuclear. I was taken
oh over three and a half catches. I kind of
like this one with plus money. He had a billion
catches in that game, seemingly, but it was two straight
games where he was heavily involved as a target for
(13:32):
the Carolina Panthers against a Rams defense that has been
had against slot players. Who runs the majority of his
routes from the slot Among the Bears wide receivers, it's
Luther Burden. He ran fifty one percent of his routes
from the slot last week, got three balls for forty
two yards on seven targets. He had five targets in
the first half. Luther Burden has at least three catches
and nine straight games, including his last five games with
(13:55):
Roma Dunzey in the lineup, so even with the dunesa back,
we didn't see Burdon's target and catches fall off two dramatically.
So again, I'm not expecting a Jalen Cocher type of
blow up just because there are a little bit more
mouths defeat in this Bears passing game. But the Rams
secondary can be had, like we saw Bryce Young have
two of his most successful games against the Los Angeles
(14:16):
Rams defense with his wide receivers. I think Calebooves can
have some success when he drops back to throw, specifically
when he targets the slot and specifically when he targets
Luther Burden. So for me, two and a half receptions
was just too low for a guy that's hit this
in nine straight games.
Speaker 1 (14:29):
So take the over all. Right, let's call some touchdowns here.
The touchdown score reports available at betting pros dot com
slash touchdown If you're looking for an edge in touchdown bets.
A touchdown score report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop
bets odds projections and help identify the very best in
anytime touchdown bets. So go check it out again bettingpros
dot com slash touchdown. I'm going with the QBS here
(14:49):
Josh Allen minus one oh five. Okay, that one's not
super exciting, but it's gonna pay. And then the other one,
same game, Bo Nicks plus three ten. Yeah, let's go
rushing into a touchdown for himself. So the QB's getting
into it to kick us off here. Those are my
favorite two touchdown bets of the week. Andrew, what do
you have for the people? Because one of them I
think is nuts. I just want to put that out there.
Speaker 2 (15:11):
Hey, that's it's gambling, isn't it. I gotta get nutty here, Joe.
Speaker 1 (15:15):
When you have key On Coleman involved, Yes, yes, very much.
Speaker 2 (15:18):
Well, okay, well I'm gonna I'm going to try to
sell you my pitch. But we'll start with Kyrie Williams first.
I think that this is just a good value here
plus one twenty five with the Rams are favored. Kien
Williams ranks first in the NFL and rushing success rate
against a Terrible Bears defense. The last time he played
outdoors on the road in a weather game, Kyrien Williams
had nineteen carries for one hundred and six yards against
(15:40):
the Philadelphia Eagles the Bears run defense is trash Kyron
third red zone opportunities per game this season and it's
plus one twenty five. So I think that Kyle's easily
going to score in this game. And I just love
the odds here. Now, Keon Coleman, All right, Joe, you
buckled in? Are you ready for this pitch?
Speaker 1 (15:57):
Here? I am? I'm ready for it.
Speaker 2 (16:00):
Okay, So Keon Coleman is going to have to play
more in this game because the Bills just put half
of their wide receivers that already weren't that good on
into preserve. Gave Davis is out with the torn ACL,
Tyrel Shavers is out with the torn ACL. So Kean
Coleman is going to by default have to play more
in this specific matchup. And I think that he's going
to get some opportunities with some fifty to fifty balls
(16:21):
because of his contested catch ability, some deep targets against
a really strong Broncos secondary. Again, you can't You're not
going to get open against most of these guys anyway.
So hey, this is where Keon Coleman's skill set actually
can be benefit where yeah, Certan is all over him. Well,
Kean Coleman this is where he can actually take advantage
with him going up trying to get the football. And
(16:41):
last year when these teams played, the Broncos against the
Buffalo Bills, Kean Coleman caught a two point conversion. So
they have on tape him scoring in the end zone
against this Broncos defense and this Broncos secondary. So I
think that he needs to step up here. Five to
one plus five mine. Again, this isn't a minus one
to fifteen minus one ozh five bet for ken Coleman.
It's five to one. So it's a fun touchdown bet
(17:03):
because I think that hey, kiok Coleman's gonna be out there,
Josh Allen's going to score points. And I don't think
the Broncos are going to be prepared necessarily for ke
On Coleman to get targets at all, because again, Joe,
he hasn't really got that many targets this season.
Speaker 1 (17:15):
I got two words for you, Andrew Erickson. Brandon Cooks.
That's right, Brandon Cooks is gonna ruin all your key,
young Coleman. So I wonder what his touchdown equity now,
I want to look and see what that is, because
you know, Brandy cooks.
Speaker 2 (17:27):
Which receiver is going to catch a touchdown because it's
going to score ninety Oh there it is, there, it.
Speaker 1 (17:33):
Is the odds. Yeah, hey, hey, not bad. Josh Allen
has scored the first touchdout of the game plus six
fifteen in that game, lots of fun stuff going on,
lots of fun touchdown calls. So if you want to
juice that Josh Allen, want a little bit more of mine,
you can do that. If you want to go crazy
town with key On Coleman, go for it. That's what
it's all about. Having fun. Download the Betting Pros app
(17:53):
and remember four fifteen Eastern time, Bill's Broncos, Pizza Pup, Bogman,
Alan Nicks, all the big names will be here breaking
that game down for you. That'll do it for us,
but the story of the game goes on for Andrew Ericson.
I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids. Enjoy
the playoffs.
Speaker 3 (18:09):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
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Welcome in everybody to betting Pros. It's time to place
your bets, says b Joey p Joe pi Zapia. And
this is BP NFL. It's time to look for the props.
That's right, the individuals in the division round of the
playoffs that are gonna cash for us this week. Andrew
Erics and I just put aside all the best bets
for the games. Now we're gonna dig into the players
(00:22):
and now Andrews always got some great stats for you.
Make sure you subscribe to the channel, subscribe to the FED,
download the Betting Pros app bets smarter, not harder. Don't
be a tool, use the tools. That's what we want
you to do, including the prop bet chea cheet by
the way, up ninety four units, fifty seven percent. Oh
my goodness, what a year it's been for the prop
bet cheat sheet. Really good there. So Nick, sure you're
using the tools. Man, this is what we're talking about
all year long. So we've got some bets for you
(00:44):
we've laid out and don't forget right here on the
channel at four point fifteen Saturday, Scott Bogman, Joe Pizzapia,
Bill's Broncos, Nicks, Allen, all the big names are all
gonna be here, and we're gonna be walking through some
in game line give you our favorite bets plus all
the in game live stuff. So make sure you check
us out here on the channel. Subscribe to the channel
(01:06):
ring the Belts so that goes ding so you don't
miss it too, so you get that little alert. That's perfect.
Andrew Erickson, I know you've been digging deep into the
minds here. Let's get your first prop bet for Division
Round two of the NFL playoffs.
Speaker 2 (01:18):
Looking at the Denver Broncos backfield, RJ. Harvey is going
to go over fifty two and a half rushing yards.
This one's not super complicated, Joe. The Bills are a
terrible run defense, fifth most rushing yards allowed per game
this season. Travis Etn and the Jaguars were running all
over them, and then Leam Cone just decided to stop
running the football against the Bills last week. Not really
(01:39):
sure why. Didn't help them win the game. Obviously they
didn't win the game. I don't think Sean Payton is
going to overthink this year, especially based on boon Nick's
up and down play in the second half of the season,
so I think they exposed the biggest weakness of the
Bill Stevens, and that's running the football. You look at RJ.
Harvey again, he's been up and down since JK. Dobbins
got hurt Week eleven, but he hasn't seen the majority
(02:00):
of the touches in the Broncos back that. There's at
least fourteen carries in four of his last five games,
and I would say he has run into some of
the tougher defensive matchups when it comes to run defenses.
He's faced the Chiefs a couple different times, the Chargers
some solid run defenses, where against like the Las Vegas
Raiders and the Green Bay Packers, he's had bigger games,
going over fifty rushing yards. He also averaged over seven
(02:22):
yards per carry against the Jaguars, who we all know
is one of the best run defenses in the NFL.
So I think just give him the matchup. Giving the
amount of volume that R. J. Harvey is seeing. He
goes over fifty two and a half rushing yards on
Divisional card weekend.
Speaker 1 (02:35):
All right, So over there for RJ. Harvey fifty two
and a half. I'm gonna start here mine with Christian
McCaffrey rushing yards under fifty six and a half, that's
right under why because they're gonna use the the passing game.
That's where he's gonna have to work when George Kittle
is not out there blocking. Christian McCaffrey also not as
good out there running the football, and George Kittle won't
(02:56):
be around for quite some time, so Tom just will
be taking over for him. But it's a different thing.
I mean, George Kittle is such a superior blocker out there,
and have him out there on the edge and now
you're not gonna have him. And I also think from
a game script standpoint too, what you want to do
is you want to stop Christian McCaffrey. So you're not
gonna ever stop him from catching the football in space.
They're gonna find clever ways to do that. That's what
(03:17):
Kyle Shanathan gets paid to do. But running the football
between the tackles and Seattle, I think is going to
be a challenge for Christian McCaffrey. So I'm gonna take
his under Don't tell Welsh I did this. He's gonna
be very upset there. So let's go to pick number two. Here.
Both of us have Rock Party bets here. Mine is
Brock Party under two thirty and a half passing yards again.
I think that Seattle defense is going to really tighten
(03:38):
up on him. You're losing another big piece in George Kittle.
Party's played really well down the stretch save for one
game against the Seattle Seahawks, and now he gets the
Seahawks again. I like the team total the under here
for the San Francisco Fourna nine ers as well. Now
you are also into a Brock Party bet. Let's talk
about your version of it, Andrew.
Speaker 2 (03:57):
Yeah, this one comes courtesy of the prop bet cheat
five star bet. One of the most profitable markets in
the PROPA at Chichie this year has been on passing attempts.
I've talked a lot about passing attempts on this show
week to week, and most of the time we've come
out in the greens. So under thirty four and a
half passing attempts for Brock Purdy. If you look at
him on the prop bet analyzer, you pull up his
(04:17):
pass attempts prop it's all red.
Speaker 3 (04:20):
Joe.
Speaker 2 (04:20):
I like that there's not a lot of greens when
it comes to him going over thirty four and a
half passing cotempts. He's been under this in eight of
ten games this season, including both games when the forty
niners were listed as underdogs. He hasn't attempted more than
thirty four and a half passing attempt since Week four,
and that was the last game he played before his
second injury, when he missed an extended period of time.
He under has cashed in three of his last four
games played without George Kittle in the lineup. For the
(04:43):
last four of the last five quarterbacks to face the
Seattle Seahawks have not surpassed thirty passing attempts, and in
Week one, Perty did go over this number against Seattle,
but in three of the four games he has played
against Seattle the last two seasons, he has finished with
twenty eight or fewer pass attempts. So I think that
the four nineers are going to get truck sticked here,
and I think that party's not going to have enough
(05:04):
completions to have this a tepess number go over thirty
four and a half.
Speaker 1 (05:09):
Don't forget everybody too. Prop bet cheat sheet is available,
as Andrew pointed out, and we kind of popped at
the beginning of the show. Go to bankpros dot com
slash props. You'll see all of the prop bets for
the week, all of the projections, the variants, the best
place to get your wagers in as well, so make
sure he's a prop bet cheat sheet. Next on our
list here pick number three, Andrew Erickson. You're going with
(05:29):
Woody Mark. So we've moved on to Houston and New England.
Let's talk about that contest and what Woody Marks can
do against that Pats defense.
Speaker 2 (05:38):
If we did a hard rock best bet for player Props,
this would be mine. This is my stone cold lock
of the week. Woody Mark's under sixty and a half
rushing yards. People need to realize that when the Patriots
have all their guys back on defense, between Milton Williams,
Robert Splane and Tunga the defensive tackle, you can't run
on this defense. You look at the first line eleven
(06:00):
weeks through the season, when all of those guys were
healthy and in the lineup, no running back that the
Patriots had face had gone over sixty rushing yards. So
you look over the last month or so and you're seeing, oh, like,
these guys are popping off for some solid games. Well
that's because they haven't had all their players. Again, twelve
games with Milton Williams in the lineup, just fifty six
point three rushing yards allowed per game, three point two
(06:20):
yards per carry. Five games without Williams and Splane and
some of these other guys missing time, one hundred and
twenty seven rushing yards allowed per game. So this is
also going back to why like the Patriots, I think
they can make the Texans one dimensional and force them
into a drop back passing game without Nico Collins, so
that it's Christian Kirk, Jalen Nol, and Jaye Higgins. They're
going to have to beat the Patriots to get the
(06:40):
Texans to win on the road with an upset, So
I think that the run game for the Texans gets
totally neutralized here by the Patriots tough front, and Roody
Marx has hardly been consistent. I know he's coming up
a monster game against Pittsburgh Steelers, but I think that
just overinflated his number to this sixty and a half
rushing yards mark. So I'm slamming the under here. Juwar
Jordan's also expected to come back for this game. He's
(07:02):
actually been under this number in two of the three games,
but Jordan has also been healthy in the lineup. So
in the wildcout round, the Chargers running backs between O
Mariy and Hampton Commande Badell twelve carries for thirty yards
two point seven yards per carry when all those guys
were healthy and Tungka didn't even play last week like
he should be back in a lineup. So yeah, I
think this is an easy one for me.
Speaker 1 (07:21):
I like it, and as Ballsy too, because Woody Mark's
is a pretty good game, you know, against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
There's a lot a lot of effort there from him.
So uh, look, the new Patriots defense against the run
this year was very good for a long time and
then it faded a little bit. But as you pointed out,
I had to do a little bit with some of
those injuries that they did suffer at some point. I'm
(07:41):
just throwing this out there too, if you put my
favorite bet of the week there with your favorite bet
of the week. So the under in the first half
total for Bills and Broncos and then what he Mark's
under the undertaker parlay is plus two thirty two all
Undertaker all the time. I love just saying there you go,
there you go, and of course make sure you place
that bet over at hard Bet. That's where we want
you to go right now. And of course Miami is
(08:04):
in the big dance with the National Championship and hard
Rock Bet is giving you a ten dollar bonus bet
to get in on the action. If you're watching the
game in Miami, you can go to hard Rock Cafe
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Hard Rock Bet is dropping ten dollars bonus bets there
for all of you, and you can turn that ten
dollars bonus bet into a big win with an SGP
same game parlay in the Natty, or you could spread
(08:25):
out if you want to as well. Floorer's going crazy
right now with the Hurricanes back in a National championship,
very exciting times. It's like the late eighties early nineties
all over again. And don't forget you can be a
winner too if you just place your five dollar bet
if it hits, you get one hundred and fifteen bonus
bets plus your winnings only at hard Rock Bet. And
of course all the parlays are going on as well,
(08:45):
And of course you can knowledge do sgps, but there's
promos every single day, but you can't get the promos
if you don't download Hard Rock Bet. So download Hard
Rock Bet Sportsbook right now onto your phone and start
betting today. Paybal and bonus bets. Not a cash offer
offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida, Florida. Offered by
Summital hard Rock Digital LLC. In other states. Must be
twenty one plus in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan,
(09:08):
New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Play terms and conditions apply.
Concerned about gambling in Florida, I call one eight three
to three play wise in Indiana. If you are someone
you know is a gambling problem wants help, called one
eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called one
eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
All right, next up here, Stefan Diggs. I know Andrew,
(09:30):
you said, Stefan Diggs revenge. He loves to show up
for these games and he did play with the Texans
for a cup of coffee a couple years ago. But
he's got Stingley here on the other side. He's just
really good. He's just really really good. So forty eight
and a half is the number four Stefan Diggs, so
I'm gonna go under that. I do think he has
a big catch in this game, in a big moment
that fires everybody up. But I just don't think he's
(09:52):
going over fifty yards in this contest. I'd be surprised
if it happens. So this is actually one of my
favorite unders in a game that I think is going
to be an unders. I think it's gonna be a
point game that the Pats will find a way to win,
and they're gonna find a way to win because of
my fourth bet. And guess what, Andrew Erics and I
are holding hands on this one. It's Drake May over
thirty three and a half rushing yards. We discussed this
at length on The Best Bet Show about Drake May
(10:15):
being very different from Aaron Rodgers. Aaron Rodgers sat in
that pocket and took a ton of sacks against the
Houston Texans pass rush. Drake May's not gonna be that guy.
He's much more mobile. He's gonna break out and run.
We saw it against the Chargers last week. We've seen
it all year long. He can make plays with his legs.
So Houston Texans' defense is gonna get worn out a
little bit here, and I think at the end of
the day, they get tired in that fourth quarter and
(10:36):
that becomes the difference in this game. So I like
the over here for Drake May, and you like it too, Andrew.
What do you want to add to that? Drake May
over thirty three and a half rushing yard love.
Speaker 2 (10:45):
The Texans ranked dead last this year in EPA allowed
per quarterback scramble. Basically, they ranked top ten in every
defensive category except against quarterback scrambling because that's what teams
have to do, that's what happen. That's what quarterbacks have
to to move the ball against the Houstons because they're
so good everywhere else, the pass rush is going to
be humming. But Drake May is gonna make plays with
(11:05):
his legs here. He did this in the first matchup
last year against Houston. He had thirty eight rushing yards
against these similar pass rushers Will Anderson and Daniel Hunter.
Like those guys were humming around, humming on Drake May.
And that was against a much worse offensive line for
the Patriots, which has significantly improved here in twenty twenty five.
It's no coincidence that last week, his first playoff game,
(11:27):
he rushes for a season high sixty six rushing yards.
We see this all the time with quarterbacks. Oh, playoffs
are here, Let's run more because there is no tomorrow.
We have to use our legs now. We can't worry
about staying healthy because we have to win this game.
And the last time he rushed for over fifty yards
was the last time he faced a top ten defense
earlier year, the Cleveland Browns in Week eight. So when
(11:48):
it is top ten defenses, especially ones that are tougher
when it comes to a pass rush, they have good secondaries,
you're just going to see quarterbacks more likely to take
off and run. We've seen that with Drake May. He's
hit the over on thirty five and a half rushing
yards and three of his last five games, including three
straight overs at home. So yeah, I think this one
is a layup.
Speaker 1 (12:05):
Joe, all right, So a layup there, which brings us
to our fifth pick here and it's a very high number.
So bear with me, everybody, but it's the Pookainakua show. Everybody,
ninety eight and a half receiving yards. Guess what, He's
gonna go over one hundred. That's it's it's just whether
or not he goes over one hundred. He's gonna go
over one hundred. He's the guy. He's where the offense
funnels through. And I know the Bears will score some
(12:26):
points on the Rams because the Rams just let everybody
score on them all the time, and I'm sick to
death of it. But that means Pookinakua is gonna have
to get pushed, and that means that Matthew Stafford's gonna
continue to have to throw the football. So give me
Pookinakua with a very high number. I know it makes
me uneasy to I'm with you, but I do think
we get the over this number, and I think he's
well into the hundreds just because of how this offense works.
(12:47):
The only way he doesn't get this is the classic
Pukakua blue ten scenario, which is also very much in
there too. And if you want to fade it because
of that, I man at you. I understand, but this
is the playoffs, and all bets are off, and all
bets are on for Pukinakul for me going over this number.
Your last bet here for week number two of the
playoffs in the NFL, andrew and to go.
Speaker 2 (13:09):
With Luther Burden over two and a half catches. So
I was very high on Jalen Cocher last week, not
as high as I should have been, apparently because he
crushed awesome. See he went absolutely nuclear. I was taken
oh over three and a half catches. I kind of
like this one with plus money. He had a billion
catches in that game, seemingly, but it was two straight
games where he was heavily involved as a target for
(13:32):
the Carolina Panthers against a Rams defense that has been
had against slot players. Who runs the majority of his
routes from the slot Among the Bears wide receivers, it's
Luther Burden. He ran fifty one percent of his routes
from the slot last week, got three balls for forty
two yards on seven targets. He had five targets in
the first half. Luther Burden has at least three catches
and nine straight games, including his last five games with
(13:55):
Roma Dunzey in the lineup, so even with the dunesa back,
we didn't see Burdon's target and catches fall off two dramatically.
So again, I'm not expecting a Jalen Cocher type of
blow up just because there are a little bit more
mouths defeat in this Bears passing game. But the Rams
secondary can be had, like we saw Bryce Young have
two of his most successful games against the Los Angeles
(14:16):
Rams defense with his wide receivers. I think Calebooves can
have some success when he drops back to throw, specifically
when he targets the slot and specifically when he targets
Luther Burden. So for me, two and a half receptions
was just too low for a guy that's hit this
in nine straight games.
Speaker 1 (14:29):
So take the over all. Right, let's call some touchdowns here.
The touchdown score reports available at betting pros dot com
slash touchdown If you're looking for an edge in touchdown bets.
A touchdown score report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop
bets odds projections and help identify the very best in
anytime touchdown bets. So go check it out again bettingpros
dot com slash touchdown. I'm going with the QBS here
(14:49):
Josh Allen minus one oh five. Okay, that one's not
super exciting, but it's gonna pay. And then the other one,
same game, Bo Nicks plus three ten. Yeah, let's go
rushing into a touchdown for himself. So the QB's getting
into it to kick us off here. Those are my
favorite two touchdown bets of the week. Andrew, what do
you have for the people? Because one of them I
think is nuts. I just want to put that out there.
Speaker 2 (15:11):
Hey, that's it's gambling, isn't it. I gotta get nutty here, Joe.
Speaker 1 (15:15):
When you have key On Coleman involved, Yes, yes, very much.
Speaker 2 (15:18):
Well, okay, well I'm gonna I'm going to try to
sell you my pitch. But we'll start with Kyrie Williams first.
I think that this is just a good value here
plus one twenty five with the Rams are favored. Kien
Williams ranks first in the NFL and rushing success rate
against a Terrible Bears defense. The last time he played
outdoors on the road in a weather game, Kyrien Williams
had nineteen carries for one hundred and six yards against
(15:40):
the Philadelphia Eagles the Bears run defense is trash Kyron
third red zone opportunities per game this season and it's
plus one twenty five. So I think that Kyle's easily
going to score in this game. And I just love
the odds here. Now, Keon Coleman, All right, Joe, you
buckled in? Are you ready for this pitch?
Speaker 1 (15:57):
Here? I am? I'm ready for it.
Speaker 2 (16:00):
Okay, So Keon Coleman is going to have to play
more in this game because the Bills just put half
of their wide receivers that already weren't that good on
into preserve. Gave Davis is out with the torn ACL,
Tyrel Shavers is out with the torn ACL. So Kean
Coleman is going to by default have to play more
in this specific matchup. And I think that he's going
to get some opportunities with some fifty to fifty balls
(16:21):
because of his contested catch ability, some deep targets against
a really strong Broncos secondary. Again, you can't You're not
going to get open against most of these guys anyway.
So hey, this is where Keon Coleman's skill set actually
can be benefit where yeah, Certan is all over him. Well,
Kean Coleman this is where he can actually take advantage
with him going up trying to get the football. And
(16:41):
last year when these teams played, the Broncos against the
Buffalo Bills, Kean Coleman caught a two point conversion. So
they have on tape him scoring in the end zone
against this Broncos defense and this Broncos secondary. So I
think that he needs to step up here. Five to
one plus five mine. Again, this isn't a minus one
to fifteen minus one ozh five bet for ken Coleman.
It's five to one. So it's a fun touchdown bet
(17:03):
because I think that hey, kiok Coleman's gonna be out there,
Josh Allen's going to score points. And I don't think
the Broncos are going to be prepared necessarily for ke
On Coleman to get targets at all, because again, Joe,
he hasn't really got that many targets this season.
Speaker 1 (17:15):
I got two words for you, Andrew Erickson. Brandon Cooks.
That's right, Brandon Cooks is gonna ruin all your key,
young Coleman. So I wonder what his touchdown equity now,
I want to look and see what that is, because
you know, Brandy cooks.
Speaker 2 (17:27):
Which receiver is going to catch a touchdown because it's
going to score ninety Oh there it is, there, it.
Speaker 1 (17:33):
Is the odds. Yeah, hey, hey, not bad. Josh Allen
has scored the first touchdout of the game plus six
fifteen in that game, lots of fun stuff going on,
lots of fun touchdown calls. So if you want to
juice that Josh Allen, want a little bit more of mine,
you can do that. If you want to go crazy
town with key On Coleman, go for it. That's what
it's all about. Having fun. Download the Betting Pros app
(17:53):
and remember four fifteen Eastern time, Bill's Broncos, Pizza Pup, Bogman,
Alan Nicks, all the big names will be here breaking
that game down for you. That'll do it for us,
but the story of the game goes on for Andrew Ericson.
I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids. Enjoy
the playoffs.
Speaker 3 (18:09):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
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by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
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