February 6, 2026 • 34 mins
Join Joe Pisapia, Chris Welsh, and Andrew Erickson as they highlight their best bets and player props ahead of Super Bowl LX between the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)
Intro - 0:00:00
Cooper Kupp 4+ Receptions - 0:02:58
Kenneth Walker Under 73.5 rushing yards - 0:04:26
TreVeyon Henderson Over 2.5 Rec Yards - 0:05:55
TreVeyon Henderson Over 0.5 Receptions - 0:07:50
Hard Rock Bets - 0:10:15
Hunter Henry Over 3.5 Receptions - 0:12:34
Hunter Henry 1Q rec yards 5+ - 0:14:41
Omaha Steaks - 0:16:33
George Holani Rec Yards Over 11.5 - 0:18:55
Over 2.5 players to attempt a pass - 0:20:10
BettingPros Premium Prop Bet Cheat Sheet - 0:23:50
AJ Barner Rush Yards Over 0.5 yards - 0:24:02
Stefon Diggs Under 18.5 MPH Player Fastest Ball Carry Speed - 0:25:20
Touchdown Calls - 0:27:05
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:02):
Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place
your bets. It's me Joey P joe P Zapia and
this is VP NFL. And in case you didn't know,
there's a big thing happening on Sunday. It's a huge deal. Massive.
One point seven billion dollars has already been wagered on it.
And it is the Puppy Bowl. That's right, the Puppy Bowl.
(00:22):
And we're here to give you our favorite pro No,
it's not not the Puppy Bowl. It's oh, it's the
super Bowl. I'm sorry, I just got told in my
ear it was something completely different. So the super Bowl
is what we're gonna be uh covering today. Our ten favorite.
Speaker 2 (00:35):
Problem, the big big Game.
Speaker 1 (00:36):
It's the big Game. Everybody, you can't say the Super
Bowl plays is the big Game. Andrew Rickson he loves
a good big game. So does the Welsh. We're hanging
out here. We're gonna give you our picks with a
big game. I'd love to give Puppy Bowl picks too.
Fun fact, this true story. I did a two hour
radio broadcast of the Puppy Bowl for Serious XM earlier
in my career can you believe that? Welsh? Uh?
Speaker 2 (00:59):
You know, I can't believe that. I know what you're
going with it, but I can't believe it. Did you
know though, that the Puppy Bowl they have them in
there for like three and a half hours. They film
the Puppy Bowl three and a half hours. It's like
done a couple months before this, and then they chop
it down into the highlights, which I think is kind
of not fair. Like we want all of the Puppy Bowl, right, Yeah,
(01:22):
I want unsered puppy ball. This is America. Give me
uncensored three hours of Puppy Bowl. Please.
Speaker 1 (01:28):
Now, look, sometimes when the Puppy Bowl, turds get left
on the field. Andrew Erickson, Seattle, New England, any of
these teams gonna leave a turd on the field here?
As we walk through Super Bowl.
Speaker 3 (01:39):
Sixty, I don't think so. I think we're gonna get
a great, fantastic game.
Speaker 4 (01:43):
Maybe won't be as good as the previous Seahawks Patriots,
because I think that was architect best Super Bowls, just
back and forth. I think it's one of my favorite
ones in terms of the Patriots winning Super Bowl games.
But yeah, I think it's gonna be great game.
Speaker 1 (01:58):
We were in New Orleans doing some men on the
Street stuff. Go check it out on our YouTube page,
some of these super Bowl predictions. There's three videos on
there on the shorts on our YouTube page where we
went around and asked folks their predictions. We end up
talking to a bunch of Seahawks fans and I asked
some Seahawks fans actually, you know, it's still mad about
Marshall Lynch, and they are. They are still mad and
(02:18):
I would be too if I was them. It's more
than ten years ago and the anger is still palpable
for them. So we'll see do the Seahawks get their
revenge the Patriots continue with this new version of the dynasty.
All that's going to come to fruition. But of course
we want you to subscribe to our channel Hanging Out.
This is our last football show of the year, which
is always sad. It's always a bummer in terms of,
you know, saying goodbye to the season. And we did
(02:40):
our best bets. So if you're looking for those within
the game, Andrew and I gave those out yesterday. It's
here on the YouTube channel. Today it's all about focusing
on the players, the individuals, and the props. So Welsh,
why don't you kick us off with your first prop
bet for Super Bowl sixty for the big Game?
Speaker 2 (02:55):
All right? I think this is one when we were
doing the AFC and the NSC Championships, Eric's and was
jumping on this guy, and we've seen him through the playoffs.
I'm going with Cooper Cup and I'm going with Cooper
Cup receptions, and we are getting plus money on that.
We're getting around plus one twenty plus one thirty. I believe,
even if you go check out our dear friends over
at hard Rock Bets, some of the best lines out there,
(03:17):
Cooper Cup four receptions. His usage in the playoffs have
just increased. Now the Patriots don't use that are necessarily
as Christian Gonzales in a like shadowing way, which you
know would be kind of nice if maybe they did,
but they're not. But you know the experiment with it,
so that is going to leave some spots for JSN.
But regardless of that point, I mean, the secondary is
(03:38):
so locked in. Cooper Cup is not going to be
running a bunch of big crazy outrun. It's just going
to just be inline stuff. And we've seen that uptick
in his production. He said eleven targets in both playoff games.
He has hit this prop. In both playoff games he
had four and five receptions. I think this is a
really great spot is I think the Patriots are clearly
going to look to take JSN out of this game
(04:00):
at best as possible. Their secondary is just pretty tough
in general, but this is gonna be a great spot
for Cooper Cup to lock in a couple of receptions.
So give me plus money for four Cooper Cup receptions
as my first bet.
Speaker 1 (04:11):
All Right, Andrew. On the show yesterday, we talked about
the Patriots defense giving them a little love, and of
course one of the things are so good at is
stopping the run. So how does that affect the seventy
three and a half rushing yard total prop for ken
Walker in this game?
Speaker 4 (04:26):
Got to stay on brand as the undertaker, So my
first bet is under seventy three and a half rushing
yards for mister ken Walker. Yes, there is no Zach Sharbone,
so we're expecting to see a lot of touches for
ken Walker. But if he doesn't break one of these
big runs, I think that he's going to finish under
this pretty inflated number. Again, nobody in the playoffs against
(04:46):
the healthy Patriots run defense has come anywhere.
Speaker 3 (04:48):
You're close seventy three and.
Speaker 4 (04:50):
A half rushing yards between the Denver Broncos, the Houston Texans,
the Los Angeles Chargers. His guys have been running through
mud and have been not been able to get any
type of rushing yards against this Pats defense. It's exactly
what we saw in the beginning of the year when
Milton Williams was healthy, fifty six point three rushing yards
allowed per game, three point two yards per pare.
Speaker 3 (05:07):
Again, in the five games.
Speaker 4 (05:08):
Without Williams, it was north of one hundred and twenty
five rushing yards allowed per game. But with Williams backs,
Blaine is going to play in this game, Tunga plugging
up the interior, Christian Barrymore, you just you can't run
on this Patrio's run defense. I don't think either team
is gonna be able to establish the run in a
really positive way. So even with Zach Sharboney out of
the game, look the last two start Schalker has had
(05:29):
this season without Zach Sharbonay. Again, he did have that
one big game where Sharbonnay got hurt he's actually been
under seventy three and a half rushing yards. So I
am taking the under here, and this is step one
in the path of the Patriots to come away with
a victory. Shut down Ken Walker in the running game.
Speaker 1 (05:44):
All right, So obviously, if it's difficult for both teams
to run between the tackles, maybe that means the running
back's working in another way. Both of you have Trevion
Henderson betts Well sh let's get into the first of
yours here receiving yards just two and a half for
Traveon Henderson. This seems like a fun want to go over.
Speaker 2 (06:01):
Yeah, this is our Trevion Henderson section of the show.
So strap in here. Ridiculously low number, but also that
has been pretty much because of the ridiculously low usage.
But we know this guy is a crazy, crazy explosive player,
and that number is either two point five or three
point five. I don't really care. I'm gonna jump in
on this one. Through three games, though in his last
(06:22):
three he has had just three targets two catches. But
last week that one catch did get him over the
nine yard or over the three yard mark or two
nine yards. But he ended the season though really solid
in the passing game. Five of five games he would
have hit this number. But again, I mean that's almost
silly because it's like this number is so ridiculously low.
(06:43):
I believe the Patriots are going to be playing a
little bit more from behind and they're gonna need this
explosive play and specifically going up against the Seahawks in
the running game run or the passing game for running backs.
Seawks have given up five point seven nine receptions to
running back so far this year and over thirty nine
yards receiving with the playoffs. So you take all the
(07:05):
regular season the playoffs, then if you just look at
the playoffs in the two games, they've given up forty
six and sixty yards receiving to running backs and on
average six and a half catches. Obviously, Remandre plays a
big piece of this, but this is going to be
the time to unload Travion Henderson. This is a one
catch scenario to get this yard marker here. So I
(07:27):
love this one. This is kind of a trend, to
be honest with you, in some of the Super Bowl
there's some low variance ones that have these just low
hanging fruit type of numbers. But Travion is explosive. We've
got to see the usage go up here, and we
need one catch pretty much to get to this marker,
and that'll take us to Ericson, who's going to jump
in with us for Travion and make my bet look
(07:48):
even better.
Speaker 1 (07:49):
By the way, Well, because Andrew, you can't have receiving
yards without a reception and the numbers zero point five,
so obviously we got to go over there too.
Speaker 4 (07:57):
Yeah, it's a bit juicy minus one ninety minus two hundred,
but what do we always say on this Betting Pros program,
You don't pay the juice if it hits, So I
like Henderson to go over half a reception here. Again,
Welsh kind of outline the matchup specifics up against how
you at tax Seattle their zone heavy defense with running
backs in the passing game, and I think to Welsh's point,
(08:19):
layering in a little bit more analysis here using the
Betting Pros prop at cheat sheet the filters. Again, one
of my favorite things about this tool is you can
filter by was my team a favorite or was my
team an underdog? When teams are underdogs, when is them happening?
You end up throwing the ball a little bit more
Henderson six and oh towards the receptions prop when the
Patriots have been underdogs this season, so it's not a
(08:40):
situation where they can just sit on ramondre Stevens and oh,
we's gonna feed this guy eighteen carries. I don't think
that that's necessarily the scenario in this game if they
are trailing in this particular spot. The Seahawks are a
defense that you can't just maticulate down the field like
you got to generate some exposive plays. They're the number
one defense on third downs. So yeah, the Patriots are
gonna be punting probably a decent out here. So how
(09:01):
do they get some cheap plays is get the ball
to Henderson in space.
Speaker 3 (09:05):
He's explosive.
Speaker 4 (09:06):
So even though we didn't see it last week, I
think that this line and his numbers are just too
heavily inflated based on what we saw in the Denver game,
which I don't think you're going to see a similar
script between the Seahawks and Patriots that you saw in
a Blizzard game between the Broncos and the Patriots. So
I want to take advantage of that, and honestly too,
to layer on a little bit more. Again, you want
(09:26):
to get kind of funky here with some of these
Super Bowl props. I think that there's alternate receiving yards
for Trevion Henderson that you can get at ridiculously high up.
Dude would surprise what exactly? So you can get him
at eleven to one.
Speaker 3 (09:42):
Odds to get thirty receiving yards. That's it. He can
do that on one.
Speaker 4 (09:46):
Like way, how many of these other bets besides touchdowns
can you get at longer than ten to one odds
where it's like really not that hard to you know,
squeeze and think or like think, hey Henderson, he's already gone.
He has three games with thirty receiving yards already this season,
and we know how explosive he is, especially in space.
So yeah, I like taking advantage of some of these
really low numbers on Trevon Henderson as a receiver.
Speaker 1 (10:08):
All right, we got three more picks for each of
the guys. We got touchdown calls to come. I got
a lot more here off for the Super Bowl. Butt
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(10:28):
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New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. All right, let's get to
Welsh's next pick, and it happens to be a player
that also Andrew was in on. Let's start with Welsh's
(12:40):
here for Hunter Henry the tight end of the New
England Patriots.
Speaker 2 (12:43):
So it probably would have been even better for Erickson
to go first, because his is more normal. I am
playing it up.
Speaker 1 (12:50):
This is very We should swap it, right, So Andrew
want go first.
Speaker 2 (12:53):
Yeah, let's do that because mine is the head.
Speaker 4 (12:55):
Go ahead, Let's go over three and a half receptions.
Seattle Seahawks are allowing the fourth most catches to tight ends.
Speaker 3 (13:04):
This season.
Speaker 4 (13:04):
Again, this is what happens when you have a heavy
zone coverage type of defense. You give up a lot
of production to both running backs and tight ends in
the passing game. Six moth yards allowed to tight ends
this season at sixty three point five. So Hunter Henry
this will be the second time he's faced a Mike
McDonald defense. He actually faced Seattle in twenty twenty four,
very early on in Mike McDonald's tenure as Seahawks head coach.
(13:26):
But still is a similar schematic defense eight for one
hundred and nine yards on twelve targets. So we have
on tape Henry having a big game against this type
of defense. So I think that he goes over here
and to get a little nutty before we get introduced
to Welsh's more fun prop.
Speaker 3 (13:44):
There's actually a.
Speaker 4 (13:46):
Special in some of these sportsbooks where Big Game Hunter,
that's what it's titled.
Speaker 1 (13:51):
So at one game, I feel like.
Speaker 3 (13:56):
I think you're getting that feature of some other game.
Grant that thought up.
Speaker 1 (13:59):
Maybe.
Speaker 4 (14:00):
So ten to one odds is for Hunter Henry to
have at least three catches in each half. You look
at Henry's box scores this year, He's only has three
games this year with at least six catches, but in
all three of those games, he's had at least three
catches in both halves. So if he's gonna have a
six catch game, we're probably going to follow this type
(14:21):
of script where three in the first half, three and
the second half.
Speaker 3 (14:23):
So I really like that.
Speaker 4 (14:24):
Again, if you really want to buy into this type
of matchup for Hunter Henry having a big game, especially
with nick Emm and Wori a little bit banged up,
a little bit of a low ankle sprain, tight end
can take advantage of that. So I like that at
ten to one odds for him have three catches in
the first half and in the second half.
Speaker 1 (14:39):
All right, Well, so let's get weird with Hunter Henry.
All right.
Speaker 2 (14:42):
So the weirdness here is we are going to play
essentially for him to get one catch in the first quarter,
but it isn't actually a reception. It is his yard.
So you can get five receiving yards for plus money
plus one twenty five. But he's got to do it
in the first core. As Erickson said, he actually struggled
(15:02):
against tight ends, averaging eight targets six catches per game.
What I really liked about this specifically in this kind
of world where I'm like, I need one catch in
the first quarter. Is he's got like an I think
it's an eight to a dot and averaging around twelve
yards per catch on the year, So the depth of
target is there, the actual yards are there, so this
(15:24):
is a one catch setup. And then I think the
thing that also pushed me to this is both I mean,
both these secondaries are just ridiculous, but I think something
that's gonna happen with the Patriots is you're gonna have
complete shutdowns on these wide receivers booty digs taken out
of the game. I actually think it opens up an
opportunity maybe for Matt Collins, but more specifically, it puts
guys like Remandre Trayveon and Henry Moore at the forefront
(15:45):
of this. So I'm seeing I'm probably gonna have two
possessions here. I need one catch. I need five yards
from hunter Henry plus one twenty five. I absolutely love
this one because I do think we are kind of
big game hunting here with him, because I think he's
to be the main focal point of this offense. So
give me one catch in the first quarter. Let's lock
it up. If it's four yards, we riot, but we're
(16:07):
going over five, So Hunter Henry five yards in the
first quarter.
Speaker 1 (16:10):
There you go, all right before we get to the
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(16:34):
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(16:54):
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next prop here on the list, we've got here, we've
got Welsh. What do you have for the.
Speaker 2 (18:54):
Folks Seahawks receiving side running backs can walk makes a
lot of sense. Nope, we are going to George Halani,
George Hollani coming in and taking over for Zach Sharbonnay.
I think there was a big question of like, what
was this team gonna end up doing well against the Rams.
We ended up seeing him get heavily involved in the
(19:14):
receiving game, and as a matter of fact, his snap
count ended up being primarily on passing downs as well.
So I don't think they're gonna be able to ride
Ken Walker out there every single play, every single drive,
as much as they're gonna want to. So when Halani
ends up coming in, they're gonna put him in some
of that receiving side. He had four targets against the Rams,
three catches for twenty seven yards. So whether it's third downs,
(19:38):
passing downs. Halani is going to have some version of
being involved in here, and I like his receiving yard prop.
It's at eleven point five. I think even more so
because this is just ken Walker and if this team
is up, they're gonna be riding ken Walker in the
rushing game as much as possible. Now, I don't know
like Erickson's bet if they're going to be successful, but
I think that is going to create more opportunities for
(19:59):
Halanda to get out on the field, and they like
throwing him the ball, So I love eleven point five
receiving yards for George Halani over That is my fourth bet.
Speaker 1 (20:08):
All right, so another one for the Welsh ericson number four.
Speaker 4 (20:10):
For you for the big game, getting into my novelty props,
a get away from just some of these specific player ones.
I'm gonna go with over two and a half players
to attempt to pass in this game, so it's essentially, well,
somebody that's not either drag Maay or Sam Darnold also
attempt a pass.
Speaker 3 (20:28):
So when you look at what these teams special.
Speaker 4 (20:30):
Tar a little bit, yeah, a little Philly special time
essentially here, So just three non quarterbacks have attempted to
pass this season for the Seahawks and Patriots. Patriots have
already done it in the playoffs with Ft and Chisholm.
Yes he is his them. Cooper Cupp also did it
earlier this season and Cooper cup It's crazy, right you
look at Okay on both sides, which team which player
(20:52):
has the one loan Super Bowl pass attempt? It's not
either quarterback, it's actually Cooper cup Is He attempted to
pass in the previous Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Rams.
So this bet hit last year in a pretty crazy
way because it was Kenny Pickett going in in total
garbage time and a blowout.
Speaker 3 (21:10):
That was the reason why it went over.
Speaker 4 (21:11):
I didn't like the over last year, and again the
way it played out was probably a bad beat if
you did take the under this year, I'm I like
the over a lot more because I think that you
have two creative play callers between Kobiac Josh McDaniels. We've
seen this before with McDaniels again two and three towards
the over with non quarterbacks attempting passes in the Super Bowl.
We sat with Julian Edelman and one of those super Bowls.
(21:33):
So I like this one to go over here. I
think we get yeah, we get some fun. All of
the all the tricks are coming out, and I think
that we're gonna see someone that's not a quarterback a
tempt to pass. Also too, if if one of these
guys is dealing with one of those injuries, you see
Josh Toobs come in or Drew or Drew Locke come in,
you know, that's another easy way that this could hit
the over.
Speaker 3 (21:51):
So plus one sixty, I like this one.
Speaker 1 (21:54):
What a lot. I want to know.
Speaker 2 (21:55):
I want to know what player Ericson thinks is going
to do. Now you have to guess the player.
Speaker 3 (21:59):
It's probably.
Speaker 4 (21:59):
I mean, if I had to bet on, it would
be Cooper Cup, Like that's probably because he's already done it.
And there was like a video or a picture of
him like throwing the ball and everyone was like, oh,
well the script is out, He's gonna attempt to pass.
It would makes sense beause he's already done it in
the Super Bowl. He's been to the Super Bowl before,
So Cooper Cup would be my bet.
Speaker 1 (22:17):
If it's not in mind, mine's Drew Locke, sum somebody
getting getting to Sam Donald and maybe taking a shot there,
Sam Donald hitting the two shots right, me hitting you
hitting the floor breakfast club style. I don't know. Might
be a little bit of a series or so where
Sam Donald's got to spend some time in the blue
ten answers some questions. Uh, by the way, speaking of that,
(22:41):
it just shows you how far the NFL has come,
thank god. But Bo Jackson, did you hear him on
telling the story on the Ridge Iron Show about like
when he got hit, you know, in the early first
times in the NFL, and he felt this whole back
kind of give and he fumbled the ball and he
got up and then he went to sit down, and
they said when he sat down, somebody came out with
him was, hey, rookie, you're on the wrong bench. He
(23:02):
actually went to the opposing teams. But could you imagine
if we lived in the internet world, what that would
be in Bo Jackson having to run across the other way.
And he said he didn't know he had kids, he
didn't know he was he didn't know anything that was
going on. And then he heard he saw police running
and stuff like that, and there was a gun going off,
but it was just halftime and he got really worried.
He thought something was happening in the stands or so,
(23:23):
he was completely out of it, And just this is
such a it's a funny story in a way, but
also like, oh my god, like we've come such a
long way here with the concussion protocol. Thank god these
players are taking care of better. But I was just
thinking social media wise, bo Jackson on the wrong bench man,
that would have been a viral thing everybody been watching
for a very long time.
Speaker 3 (23:41):
At Least he didn't run to the wrong end zone.
Speaker 1 (23:44):
That's fair. That is also fair.
Speaker 3 (23:46):
That's much worse.
Speaker 1 (23:48):
That is much worse. All right, we got one pick
left for everybody. Remember prop bet cheat sheets here for
you too. Go to betting pros dot com download the app.
That way you can go and use the prop bet
cheat sheet for Super Bowl Sunday. Every prop is on there,
every line, every house. Go check out. Find the best lines,
the best overs and unders that you can make investments
in Welsh. Give us your final pick here for the
props for the Big Game.
Speaker 2 (24:08):
So I didn't pick any novelty prop. I'm not really
in love with a lot of the novelty props, but
this has a novelty to it. We are gonna go
take a look at AJ Barner, but we don't want
his yards on receiving. We don't want his receptions, we
want his rushing yards. We are going over zero point
five rushing yards for AJ Barner, and it is incredibly simple.
(24:29):
He is there like wildcat quarterback. They get into the one,
they're on a fourth and one, a third and one.
AJ Barner is coming in and he is gonna be
the guy that is gonna be their version of the
tush push. He has had at least two yards rushing
in three of his last four games. I think this
is gonna be played within the numbers, and I think
(24:50):
we're gonna get two rush attempts on this one, so
we need one yard from AJ Barner. And again it
is just it's very simplistic. It is like he is
a wildcat quarterback. They are gonna put him in on
those short yard spots and he's gonna get pushed for
one to two yards and he keeps cash in this one.
So I see no reason this isn't gonna happen again.
Probably even though that I got these weird low variance
ones after Trevion Henderson's receiving yards. This is probably my
(25:12):
second favorite one, So Aj Barner one rushing yard.
Speaker 1 (25:15):
Lock it up, all right, Andrew. After almost a decade
in the league, Stefan Diggs finally playing at his first
Super Bowl. So give me a Stefan Diggs prop to
close things out here.
Speaker 4 (25:25):
Yeah, so this is a very unusual prop. I didn't
even really know this was going to be offered. But
you can take the under or over on Stefan Diggs's
fastest speed according to next Gen Stats. So I'm going
to take the under on his fastest s being being
at eighteen and a half miles per hour. He hasn't
hit this at any point during the season. And I
went and I checked every single top twenty speed recorded
(25:48):
by next Gen Stats. I did all the legwork. Took
me like ten to fifteen minutes. So I'm doing this
all for you guys. But yeah, he has not done
this at all this season, so I'm taking the under
at eighteen and a half miles per hour. Again, there's
four guys that they had listed with props that had
failed to crack seventeen point eight miles per hour. That
includes Digs, George Lawney, Austin Hooper and Hunter Henry. Now
some of their numbers are a little bit lower just
(26:09):
because tight ends usually aren't going to be as fast
as some of these wide receivers. But Diggs can at
his age coming off of that acl Yes, he has
gotten some of his wiggle back. He's been very productive
for the Patriots this season, but he doesn't have the
same type of long speed that he had, you know,
five or six years ago. So I think that he's
gonna finish under eighteen and a half miles per hour.
And we're not gonna know if he does this until
very much after the game, because I'm gonna be watching
(26:32):
every digs catch and just hoping that he kind of
falls down after each one so he can't build up
that speed. But if there is a chance where he
is breaking away a long one, you know, if there's
a broken tackle or something like that, then this.
Speaker 3 (26:42):
Bet is probably cooked. But other than that, I feel
good about it.
Speaker 2 (26:45):
Ericson's gonna have one of those little like speed guns
that during the game, he's gonna be like those little
pocket like Miles Prowory.
Speaker 3 (26:51):
I got it, I got radar gun on. Stefan Diggs got.
Speaker 2 (26:54):
You it's been great for the Super Bowl party. Erk
center'd the awesome.
Speaker 3 (26:57):
Everybody hold on, everybody bring.
Speaker 1 (26:59):
Radar as Cardi b running after him too. That's my man,
that's my man. All right, let's get to the touchdown
calls or remember the touchdown score report at bettingpros dot com,
slash touchdown is here for you to give you the
edge and touchdown bets. So anytime touchdowns can be tricky.
If you had over to Betting pros dot com slash touchdown,
we make it easier. Their port compares anytime touchdown stats
to prop bet odds projections to help identify the very
(27:22):
best in any time tds. All right, I'm gonna go
first here, give me Kayshaun Boody plus three twenty. After
watching again, the Rams find big play after big play
against the Seattle secondary. The big play guy in this
offense for the Patriots is ky Sean Booty, and I
think kay Shan Boody can find that big touchdown in
this game. Plus you're getting plus three to twenty on that.
I love that, And I'm sticking with this narrative, which
(27:44):
is the difference in this game is a defensive touchdown
scored by the Patriots, preferably on a pick six, and
that is what I'm looking for here. And New England
defense plus eight point fifty to score a touchdown, and
I think this is very much in play. Consider Sam
Donald's rates against pressure not quite as good as some
(28:04):
other quarterbacks, and I think they will put pressure on
Sam Donald. They will hit him. They will also forced
him to make some decisions he doesn't want to. And
if they can stop the run effectively, they're gonna put
him in some third and long situations. Also, they can
get a little bit uncomfortable. And I do think as
great as Sam Donald has played, he's had a great year,
I do think the Patriots are gonna show him some
looks and give him some I think a tougher bag
(28:25):
that he's had to deal with this playoff season for sure,
and maybe most of the season as well, since the
Houston Texans game that they played earlier in the year,
and Seattle has played a lot of soft defenses. I'm sorry, folks,
And then I hear it. You know you look around.
Don't tell me the Rams defense is great, okay, because
they give up a million points twice of the Carolina
Panthers and the Carolina Panthers is not on the lead
offense and some other teams as well. Okay, so New
(28:48):
England defense plus eight fifty Kishan Boody plus three twenty Welsh?
What do you have for the people here for touchdown calls?
Speaker 2 (28:54):
I mentioned I like Cooper Cup in this game. In
Cooper Cup is closing in on three to one plus
two fifth or yeah, I think it's right around plus
two fifty. Is that marker? Maybe plus two sixty? So
I like Cooper Cup here. That's where I'm gonna lock
in on one. Hunter Henry, if you're going on the
Patriots side, also right around that plus two to fifty marker.
Those are probably my two chalk touchdowns that I really like.
(29:16):
If I'm going deep, I just can't help myself. I'm
gonna go back to Jake Bobo. I know Bobo is
just so like underused the whole season, and then it's
like right at the end of the year and then
playoffs everything starts getting involved. But this is a really,
really tough secondary matchup. They like Bobo when they get
into that red zone spot. I don't think it's out
of pocket to say that bos one catch again would
(29:38):
be a touchdown, they would look at him, you know,
just different body size too than some of these other guys.
So eleven to one on Bobo. So if I'm looking
for a long shot, that's not a first touchdown. Eleven
to one on Jake Bobo. Otherwise, Hunter Henry and Cooper
Cup I'm looking at.
Speaker 1 (29:50):
Gotta love good Jake Bobo touchdown? All right? Ericson wrap
us up here with a couple of tds. Who's finding
the end zone in.
Speaker 4 (29:56):
Super Bowl sixty hand holding with welsh On Henry. I
think that he's really one of the more popular anytime
touchdown bets. His numbers actually moved pretty significantly, but if it's.
Speaker 3 (30:07):
Right, it's right.
Speaker 4 (30:08):
Henter Henry ranks first among all non running backs and
red zone targets in this game for either team. He
is the second most games with a touchdown on either side,
so still plus two to fifty. I like Hunter Henry
log and the matchup is good for him against the
Seahawks defense. Trevon Henderson. This is kind of my X
factor in this game, and I think he's going to
pay a part in why the Patriots end up winning.
(30:29):
You look at the anytime touchdown scoring sheet on betting pros.
He has the highest EV rating among all players in
this game plus five to fifty for a player that
ranks second in total touchdowns in this game. The only
player that has scored more touchdowns this season than Trevan
Henderson playing in the Super Bowl is Jack Smith and
Jigba and his odds are minus one ten plus one
(30:50):
hundred right plus five to fifty.
Speaker 3 (30:52):
I get they like Rimandre.
Speaker 4 (30:54):
Stevenson, He's been seeing more usage, but this is a
spot where they need to unleash Henderson. This is would
have been the big differences of why the Patriots have
been successful on offense this year is because they addressed
the biggest need during the Mac Jones era juice. Get
guys with juice, which is what they did not have
for year after year after year. They just had these
slugs and it was terrible. It was not fun to watch.
(31:15):
And Trevan Henderson is the epitome of that type of
player with juice in expulsiveness hasn't been there the last
couple of weeks, but this is where you have to
unleash him. You got unleash the beast with Trevan Henderson,
so I think that he can have a big game.
Here rip off an expulsive play. He isn't needing to
score through the red zone. But again plus five p
fifty I think that's too long for a player that
with his type of skill set, and then got to
(31:37):
throw in a first touchdown bet because why not. It's
the Super Bowl and we're gonna do it in the
full D gen fashion.
Speaker 3 (31:44):
Plus eight thousand.
Speaker 4 (31:47):
Eric Saubert Seattle Seahawks tight end to score a touchdown.
He had the game winning two point conversion a few
weeks ago for the Seattle Seahawks. He's constantly praised by
his teammates and coaches as he's the blocking tight end.
He does everything right. He's gonna be on the field
in red zone packages. The Patriots. How do you attack
them in the red zone is through the air with
(32:07):
everybody fixated on stopping Cooper Cupp and JSN worrying about
the AJ Barner Tush push. Eric Sobert play action rolls
out to the back of the end zone, wide open
for a touchdown.
Speaker 3 (32:17):
Six go up seven to nothing. There you go. Plus
eight thousand. Eric Sabert lock of the week. Here we go.
Speaker 1 (32:23):
Love it. If you can end on that. I don't
know what you can hand on. Give us your favorite
picks and props for the Super Bowl. Drop him in
the comments below. Give us a follow as well on
social media, but also make sure you follow us here
on the podcast feed and of course on our YouTube
channel as well. Gentlemen, has been a really fun season.
I hope all of your bets cash and congratulations to
(32:44):
those of you who cash with the Mike Rabel and
CMC wins last night of the NFL Honors. We were
on both hemos Tetron mcdonn c now three to one
and ericson beginning of the season fifteen to one. Him
and deebro had tterro McMillan, that's a huge one on
their huge return. I of course on the Mike Rabel
Coach of the Year train and Welsh myself and Andrew
(33:04):
all on the CMC. We got that at three to
I can't believe we got that at three to one
for comeback later notts so nuts.
Speaker 2 (33:10):
L L too double digit. It was like week ten
or something.
Speaker 1 (33:15):
Remember Philip Rivers came back and everything got weird for
a little moment. We're like, this is dumb, let's bet
CMC and.
Speaker 4 (33:22):
Dak Prescott still was like in the running for it,
even though Dallas had basically no shot of making the playoffs.
Speaker 1 (33:28):
So GMC been a great season, everybody. We appreciate you
being with us. That'll do it for us, But the
story of the game goes on for Andrew Erickson and
the Welsh I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids,
enjoy Super Bowl Sunday.
Speaker 5 (33:42):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube
channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting.
Speaker 1 (33:59):
Pros scip to builds sp
Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place
your bets. It's me Joey P joe P Zapia and
this is VP NFL. And in case you didn't know,
there's a big thing happening on Sunday. It's a huge deal. Massive.
One point seven billion dollars has already been wagered on it.
And it is the Puppy Bowl. That's right, the Puppy Bowl.
(00:22):
And we're here to give you our favorite pro No,
it's not not the Puppy Bowl. It's oh, it's the
super Bowl. I'm sorry, I just got told in my
ear it was something completely different. So the super Bowl
is what we're gonna be uh covering today. Our ten favorite.
Speaker 2 (00:35):
Problem, the big big Game.
Speaker 1 (00:36):
It's the big Game. Everybody, you can't say the Super
Bowl plays is the big Game. Andrew Rickson he loves
a good big game. So does the Welsh. We're hanging
out here. We're gonna give you our picks with a
big game. I'd love to give Puppy Bowl picks too.
Fun fact, this true story. I did a two hour
radio broadcast of the Puppy Bowl for Serious XM earlier
in my career can you believe that? Welsh? Uh?
Speaker 2 (00:59):
You know, I can't believe that. I know what you're
going with it, but I can't believe it. Did you
know though, that the Puppy Bowl they have them in
there for like three and a half hours. They film
the Puppy Bowl three and a half hours. It's like
done a couple months before this, and then they chop
it down into the highlights, which I think is kind
of not fair. Like we want all of the Puppy Bowl, right, Yeah,
(01:22):
I want unsered puppy ball. This is America. Give me
uncensored three hours of Puppy Bowl. Please.
Speaker 1 (01:28):
Now, look, sometimes when the Puppy Bowl, turds get left
on the field. Andrew Erickson, Seattle, New England, any of
these teams gonna leave a turd on the field here?
As we walk through Super Bowl.
Speaker 3 (01:39):
Sixty, I don't think so. I think we're gonna get
a great, fantastic game.
Speaker 4 (01:43):
Maybe won't be as good as the previous Seahawks Patriots,
because I think that was architect best Super Bowls, just
back and forth. I think it's one of my favorite
ones in terms of the Patriots winning Super Bowl games.
But yeah, I think it's gonna be great game.
Speaker 1 (01:58):
We were in New Orleans doing some men on the
Street stuff. Go check it out on our YouTube page,
some of these super Bowl predictions. There's three videos on
there on the shorts on our YouTube page where we
went around and asked folks their predictions. We end up
talking to a bunch of Seahawks fans and I asked
some Seahawks fans actually, you know, it's still mad about
Marshall Lynch, and they are. They are still mad and
(02:18):
I would be too if I was them. It's more
than ten years ago and the anger is still palpable
for them. So we'll see do the Seahawks get their
revenge the Patriots continue with this new version of the dynasty.
All that's going to come to fruition. But of course
we want you to subscribe to our channel Hanging Out.
This is our last football show of the year, which
is always sad. It's always a bummer in terms of,
you know, saying goodbye to the season. And we did
(02:40):
our best bets. So if you're looking for those within
the game, Andrew and I gave those out yesterday. It's
here on the YouTube channel. Today it's all about focusing
on the players, the individuals, and the props. So Welsh,
why don't you kick us off with your first prop
bet for Super Bowl sixty for the big Game?
Speaker 2 (02:55):
All right? I think this is one when we were
doing the AFC and the NSC Championships, Eric's and was
jumping on this guy, and we've seen him through the playoffs.
I'm going with Cooper Cup and I'm going with Cooper
Cup receptions, and we are getting plus money on that.
We're getting around plus one twenty plus one thirty. I believe,
even if you go check out our dear friends over
at hard Rock Bets, some of the best lines out there,
(03:17):
Cooper Cup four receptions. His usage in the playoffs have
just increased. Now the Patriots don't use that are necessarily
as Christian Gonzales in a like shadowing way, which you
know would be kind of nice if maybe they did,
but they're not. But you know the experiment with it,
so that is going to leave some spots for JSN.
But regardless of that point, I mean, the secondary is
(03:38):
so locked in. Cooper Cup is not going to be
running a bunch of big crazy outrun. It's just going
to just be inline stuff. And we've seen that uptick
in his production. He said eleven targets in both playoff games.
He has hit this prop. In both playoff games he
had four and five receptions. I think this is a
really great spot is I think the Patriots are clearly
going to look to take JSN out of this game
(04:00):
at best as possible. Their secondary is just pretty tough
in general, but this is gonna be a great spot
for Cooper Cup to lock in a couple of receptions.
So give me plus money for four Cooper Cup receptions
as my first bet.
Speaker 1 (04:11):
All Right, Andrew. On the show yesterday, we talked about
the Patriots defense giving them a little love, and of
course one of the things are so good at is
stopping the run. So how does that affect the seventy
three and a half rushing yard total prop for ken
Walker in this game?
Speaker 4 (04:26):
Got to stay on brand as the undertaker, So my
first bet is under seventy three and a half rushing
yards for mister ken Walker. Yes, there is no Zach Sharbone,
so we're expecting to see a lot of touches for
ken Walker. But if he doesn't break one of these
big runs, I think that he's going to finish under
this pretty inflated number. Again, nobody in the playoffs against
(04:46):
the healthy Patriots run defense has come anywhere.
Speaker 3 (04:48):
You're close seventy three and.
Speaker 4 (04:50):
A half rushing yards between the Denver Broncos, the Houston Texans,
the Los Angeles Chargers. His guys have been running through
mud and have been not been able to get any
type of rushing yards against this Pats defense. It's exactly
what we saw in the beginning of the year when
Milton Williams was healthy, fifty six point three rushing yards
allowed per game, three point two yards per pare.
Speaker 3 (05:07):
Again, in the five games.
Speaker 4 (05:08):
Without Williams, it was north of one hundred and twenty
five rushing yards allowed per game. But with Williams backs,
Blaine is going to play in this game, Tunga plugging
up the interior, Christian Barrymore, you just you can't run
on this Patrio's run defense. I don't think either team
is gonna be able to establish the run in a
really positive way. So even with Zach Sharboney out of
the game, look the last two start Schalker has had
(05:29):
this season without Zach Sharbonay. Again, he did have that
one big game where Sharbonnay got hurt he's actually been
under seventy three and a half rushing yards. So I
am taking the under here, and this is step one
in the path of the Patriots to come away with
a victory. Shut down Ken Walker in the running game.
Speaker 1 (05:44):
All right, So obviously, if it's difficult for both teams
to run between the tackles, maybe that means the running
back's working in another way. Both of you have Trevion
Henderson betts Well sh let's get into the first of
yours here receiving yards just two and a half for
Traveon Henderson. This seems like a fun want to go over.
Speaker 2 (06:01):
Yeah, this is our Trevion Henderson section of the show.
So strap in here. Ridiculously low number, but also that
has been pretty much because of the ridiculously low usage.
But we know this guy is a crazy, crazy explosive player,
and that number is either two point five or three
point five. I don't really care. I'm gonna jump in
on this one. Through three games, though in his last
(06:22):
three he has had just three targets two catches. But
last week that one catch did get him over the
nine yard or over the three yard mark or two
nine yards. But he ended the season though really solid
in the passing game. Five of five games he would
have hit this number. But again, I mean that's almost
silly because it's like this number is so ridiculously low.
(06:43):
I believe the Patriots are going to be playing a
little bit more from behind and they're gonna need this
explosive play and specifically going up against the Seahawks in
the running game run or the passing game for running backs.
Seawks have given up five point seven nine receptions to
running back so far this year and over thirty nine
yards receiving with the playoffs. So you take all the
(07:05):
regular season the playoffs, then if you just look at
the playoffs in the two games, they've given up forty
six and sixty yards receiving to running backs and on
average six and a half catches. Obviously, Remandre plays a
big piece of this, but this is going to be
the time to unload Travion Henderson. This is a one
catch scenario to get this yard marker here. So I
(07:27):
love this one. This is kind of a trend, to
be honest with you, in some of the Super Bowl
there's some low variance ones that have these just low
hanging fruit type of numbers. But Travion is explosive. We've
got to see the usage go up here, and we
need one catch pretty much to get to this marker,
and that'll take us to Ericson, who's going to jump
in with us for Travion and make my bet look
(07:48):
even better.
Speaker 1 (07:49):
By the way, Well, because Andrew, you can't have receiving
yards without a reception and the numbers zero point five,
so obviously we got to go over there too.
Speaker 4 (07:57):
Yeah, it's a bit juicy minus one ninety minus two hundred,
but what do we always say on this Betting Pros program,
You don't pay the juice if it hits, So I
like Henderson to go over half a reception here. Again,
Welsh kind of outline the matchup specifics up against how
you at tax Seattle their zone heavy defense with running
backs in the passing game, and I think to Welsh's point,
(08:19):
layering in a little bit more analysis here using the
Betting Pros prop at cheat sheet the filters. Again, one
of my favorite things about this tool is you can
filter by was my team a favorite or was my
team an underdog? When teams are underdogs, when is them happening?
You end up throwing the ball a little bit more
Henderson six and oh towards the receptions prop when the
Patriots have been underdogs this season, so it's not a
(08:40):
situation where they can just sit on ramondre Stevens and oh,
we's gonna feed this guy eighteen carries. I don't think
that that's necessarily the scenario in this game if they
are trailing in this particular spot. The Seahawks are a
defense that you can't just maticulate down the field like
you got to generate some exposive plays. They're the number
one defense on third downs. So yeah, the Patriots are
gonna be punting probably a decent out here. So how
(09:01):
do they get some cheap plays is get the ball
to Henderson in space.
Speaker 3 (09:05):
He's explosive.
Speaker 4 (09:06):
So even though we didn't see it last week, I
think that this line and his numbers are just too
heavily inflated based on what we saw in the Denver game,
which I don't think you're going to see a similar
script between the Seahawks and Patriots that you saw in
a Blizzard game between the Broncos and the Patriots. So
I want to take advantage of that, and honestly too,
to layer on a little bit more. Again, you want
(09:26):
to get kind of funky here with some of these
Super Bowl props. I think that there's alternate receiving yards
for Trevion Henderson that you can get at ridiculously high up.
Dude would surprise what exactly? So you can get him
at eleven to one.
Speaker 3 (09:42):
Odds to get thirty receiving yards. That's it. He can
do that on one.
Speaker 4 (09:46):
Like way, how many of these other bets besides touchdowns
can you get at longer than ten to one odds
where it's like really not that hard to you know,
squeeze and think or like think, hey Henderson, he's already gone.
He has three games with thirty receiving yards already this season,
and we know how explosive he is, especially in space.
So yeah, I like taking advantage of some of these
really low numbers on Trevon Henderson as a receiver.
Speaker 1 (10:08):
All right, we got three more picks for each of
the guys. We got touchdown calls to come. I got
a lot more here off for the Super Bowl. Butt
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New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. All right, let's get to
Welsh's next pick, and it happens to be a player
that also Andrew was in on. Let's start with Welsh's
(12:40):
here for Hunter Henry the tight end of the New
England Patriots.
Speaker 2 (12:43):
So it probably would have been even better for Erickson
to go first, because his is more normal. I am
playing it up.
Speaker 1 (12:50):
This is very We should swap it, right, So Andrew
want go first.
Speaker 2 (12:53):
Yeah, let's do that because mine is the head.
Speaker 4 (12:55):
Go ahead, Let's go over three and a half receptions.
Seattle Seahawks are allowing the fourth most catches to tight ends.
Speaker 3 (13:04):
This season.
Speaker 4 (13:04):
Again, this is what happens when you have a heavy
zone coverage type of defense. You give up a lot
of production to both running backs and tight ends in
the passing game. Six moth yards allowed to tight ends
this season at sixty three point five. So Hunter Henry
this will be the second time he's faced a Mike
McDonald defense. He actually faced Seattle in twenty twenty four,
very early on in Mike McDonald's tenure as Seahawks head coach.
(13:26):
But still is a similar schematic defense eight for one
hundred and nine yards on twelve targets. So we have
on tape Henry having a big game against this type
of defense. So I think that he goes over here
and to get a little nutty before we get introduced
to Welsh's more fun prop.
Speaker 3 (13:44):
There's actually a.
Speaker 4 (13:46):
Special in some of these sportsbooks where Big Game Hunter,
that's what it's titled.
Speaker 1 (13:51):
So at one game, I feel like.
Speaker 3 (13:56):
I think you're getting that feature of some other game.
Grant that thought up.
Speaker 1 (13:59):
Maybe.
Speaker 4 (14:00):
So ten to one odds is for Hunter Henry to
have at least three catches in each half. You look
at Henry's box scores this year, He's only has three
games this year with at least six catches, but in
all three of those games, he's had at least three
catches in both halves. So if he's gonna have a
six catch game, we're probably going to follow this type
(14:21):
of script where three in the first half, three and
the second half.
Speaker 3 (14:23):
So I really like that.
Speaker 4 (14:24):
Again, if you really want to buy into this type
of matchup for Hunter Henry having a big game, especially
with nick Emm and Wori a little bit banged up,
a little bit of a low ankle sprain, tight end
can take advantage of that. So I like that at
ten to one odds for him have three catches in
the first half and in the second half.
Speaker 1 (14:39):
All right, Well, so let's get weird with Hunter Henry.
All right.
Speaker 2 (14:42):
So the weirdness here is we are going to play
essentially for him to get one catch in the first quarter,
but it isn't actually a reception. It is his yard.
So you can get five receiving yards for plus money
plus one twenty five. But he's got to do it
in the first core. As Erickson said, he actually struggled
(15:02):
against tight ends, averaging eight targets six catches per game.
What I really liked about this specifically in this kind
of world where I'm like, I need one catch in
the first quarter. Is he's got like an I think
it's an eight to a dot and averaging around twelve
yards per catch on the year, So the depth of
target is there, the actual yards are there, so this
(15:24):
is a one catch setup. And then I think the
thing that also pushed me to this is both I mean,
both these secondaries are just ridiculous, but I think something
that's gonna happen with the Patriots is you're gonna have
complete shutdowns on these wide receivers booty digs taken out
of the game. I actually think it opens up an
opportunity maybe for Matt Collins, but more specifically, it puts
guys like Remandre Trayveon and Henry Moore at the forefront
(15:45):
of this. So I'm seeing I'm probably gonna have two
possessions here. I need one catch. I need five yards
from hunter Henry plus one twenty five. I absolutely love
this one because I do think we are kind of
big game hunting here with him, because I think he's
to be the main focal point of this offense. So
give me one catch in the first quarter. Let's lock
it up. If it's four yards, we riot, but we're
(16:07):
going over five, So Hunter Henry five yards in the
first quarter.
Speaker 1 (16:10):
There you go, all right before we get to the
next prop here, and we got a lot of fun
stuff going on. It's not very fun where I am
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when I woke up six it's no good. But the
one thing that did warm my cockles in my heart
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(16:34):
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there grilling again. But what I love about it the
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don't have to go to the grocery store to get
stuff with the barbecue. I just want to do a
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I want to sit outside with the kids, throw some
(16:54):
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(17:14):
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next prop here on the list, we've got here, we've
got Welsh. What do you have for the.
Speaker 2 (18:54):
Folks Seahawks receiving side running backs can walk makes a
lot of sense. Nope, we are going to George Halani,
George Hollani coming in and taking over for Zach Sharbonnay.
I think there was a big question of like, what
was this team gonna end up doing well against the Rams.
We ended up seeing him get heavily involved in the
(19:14):
receiving game, and as a matter of fact, his snap
count ended up being primarily on passing downs as well.
So I don't think they're gonna be able to ride
Ken Walker out there every single play, every single drive,
as much as they're gonna want to. So when Halani
ends up coming in, they're gonna put him in some
of that receiving side. He had four targets against the Rams,
three catches for twenty seven yards. So whether it's third downs,
(19:38):
passing downs. Halani is going to have some version of
being involved in here, and I like his receiving yard prop.
It's at eleven point five. I think even more so
because this is just ken Walker and if this team
is up, they're gonna be riding ken Walker in the
rushing game as much as possible. Now, I don't know
like Erickson's bet if they're going to be successful, but
I think that is going to create more opportunities for
(19:59):
Halanda to get out on the field, and they like
throwing him the ball, So I love eleven point five
receiving yards for George Halani over That is my fourth bet.
Speaker 1 (20:08):
All right, so another one for the Welsh ericson number four.
Speaker 4 (20:10):
For you for the big game, getting into my novelty props,
a get away from just some of these specific player ones.
I'm gonna go with over two and a half players
to attempt to pass in this game, so it's essentially, well,
somebody that's not either drag Maay or Sam Darnold also
attempt a pass.
Speaker 3 (20:28):
So when you look at what these teams special.
Speaker 4 (20:30):
Tar a little bit, yeah, a little Philly special time
essentially here, So just three non quarterbacks have attempted to
pass this season for the Seahawks and Patriots. Patriots have
already done it in the playoffs with Ft and Chisholm.
Yes he is his them. Cooper Cupp also did it
earlier this season and Cooper cup It's crazy, right you
look at Okay on both sides, which team which player
(20:52):
has the one loan Super Bowl pass attempt? It's not
either quarterback, it's actually Cooper cup Is He attempted to
pass in the previous Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Rams.
So this bet hit last year in a pretty crazy
way because it was Kenny Pickett going in in total
garbage time and a blowout.
Speaker 3 (21:10):
That was the reason why it went over.
Speaker 4 (21:11):
I didn't like the over last year, and again the
way it played out was probably a bad beat if
you did take the under this year, I'm I like
the over a lot more because I think that you
have two creative play callers between Kobiac Josh McDaniels. We've
seen this before with McDaniels again two and three towards
the over with non quarterbacks attempting passes in the Super Bowl.
We sat with Julian Edelman and one of those super Bowls.
(21:33):
So I like this one to go over here. I
think we get yeah, we get some fun. All of
the all the tricks are coming out, and I think
that we're gonna see someone that's not a quarterback a
tempt to pass. Also too, if if one of these
guys is dealing with one of those injuries, you see
Josh Toobs come in or Drew or Drew Locke come in,
you know, that's another easy way that this could hit
the over.
Speaker 3 (21:51):
So plus one sixty, I like this one.
Speaker 1 (21:54):
What a lot. I want to know.
Speaker 2 (21:55):
I want to know what player Ericson thinks is going
to do. Now you have to guess the player.
Speaker 3 (21:59):
It's probably.
Speaker 4 (21:59):
I mean, if I had to bet on, it would
be Cooper Cup, Like that's probably because he's already done it.
And there was like a video or a picture of
him like throwing the ball and everyone was like, oh,
well the script is out, He's gonna attempt to pass.
It would makes sense beause he's already done it in
the Super Bowl. He's been to the Super Bowl before,
So Cooper Cup would be my bet.
Speaker 1 (22:17):
If it's not in mind, mine's Drew Locke, sum somebody
getting getting to Sam Donald and maybe taking a shot there,
Sam Donald hitting the two shots right, me hitting you
hitting the floor breakfast club style. I don't know. Might
be a little bit of a series or so where
Sam Donald's got to spend some time in the blue
ten answers some questions. Uh, by the way, speaking of that,
(22:41):
it just shows you how far the NFL has come,
thank god. But Bo Jackson, did you hear him on
telling the story on the Ridge Iron Show about like
when he got hit, you know, in the early first
times in the NFL, and he felt this whole back
kind of give and he fumbled the ball and he
got up and then he went to sit down, and
they said when he sat down, somebody came out with
him was, hey, rookie, you're on the wrong bench. He
(23:02):
actually went to the opposing teams. But could you imagine
if we lived in the internet world, what that would
be in Bo Jackson having to run across the other way.
And he said he didn't know he had kids, he
didn't know he was he didn't know anything that was
going on. And then he heard he saw police running
and stuff like that, and there was a gun going off,
but it was just halftime and he got really worried.
He thought something was happening in the stands or so,
(23:23):
he was completely out of it, And just this is
such a it's a funny story in a way, but
also like, oh my god, like we've come such a
long way here with the concussion protocol. Thank god these
players are taking care of better. But I was just
thinking social media wise, bo Jackson on the wrong bench man,
that would have been a viral thing everybody been watching
for a very long time.
Speaker 3 (23:41):
At Least he didn't run to the wrong end zone.
Speaker 1 (23:44):
That's fair. That is also fair.
Speaker 3 (23:46):
That's much worse.
Speaker 1 (23:48):
That is much worse. All right, we got one pick
left for everybody. Remember prop bet cheat sheets here for
you too. Go to betting pros dot com download the app.
That way you can go and use the prop bet
cheat sheet for Super Bowl Sunday. Every prop is on there,
every line, every house. Go check out. Find the best lines,
the best overs and unders that you can make investments
in Welsh. Give us your final pick here for the
props for the Big Game.
Speaker 2 (24:08):
So I didn't pick any novelty prop. I'm not really
in love with a lot of the novelty props, but
this has a novelty to it. We are gonna go
take a look at AJ Barner, but we don't want
his yards on receiving. We don't want his receptions, we
want his rushing yards. We are going over zero point
five rushing yards for AJ Barner, and it is incredibly simple.
(24:29):
He is there like wildcat quarterback. They get into the one,
they're on a fourth and one, a third and one.
AJ Barner is coming in and he is gonna be
the guy that is gonna be their version of the
tush push. He has had at least two yards rushing
in three of his last four games. I think this
is gonna be played within the numbers, and I think
(24:50):
we're gonna get two rush attempts on this one, so
we need one yard from AJ Barner. And again it
is just it's very simplistic. It is like he is
a wildcat quarterback. They are gonna put him in on
those short yard spots and he's gonna get pushed for
one to two yards and he keeps cash in this one.
So I see no reason this isn't gonna happen again.
Probably even though that I got these weird low variance
ones after Trevion Henderson's receiving yards. This is probably my
(25:12):
second favorite one, So Aj Barner one rushing yard.
Speaker 1 (25:15):
Lock it up, all right, Andrew. After almost a decade
in the league, Stefan Diggs finally playing at his first
Super Bowl. So give me a Stefan Diggs prop to
close things out here.
Speaker 4 (25:25):
Yeah, so this is a very unusual prop. I didn't
even really know this was going to be offered. But
you can take the under or over on Stefan Diggs's
fastest speed according to next Gen Stats. So I'm going
to take the under on his fastest s being being
at eighteen and a half miles per hour. He hasn't
hit this at any point during the season. And I
went and I checked every single top twenty speed recorded
(25:48):
by next Gen Stats. I did all the legwork. Took
me like ten to fifteen minutes. So I'm doing this
all for you guys. But yeah, he has not done
this at all this season, so I'm taking the under
at eighteen and a half miles per hour. Again, there's
four guys that they had listed with props that had
failed to crack seventeen point eight miles per hour. That
includes Digs, George Lawney, Austin Hooper and Hunter Henry. Now
some of their numbers are a little bit lower just
(26:09):
because tight ends usually aren't going to be as fast
as some of these wide receivers. But Diggs can at
his age coming off of that acl Yes, he has
gotten some of his wiggle back. He's been very productive
for the Patriots this season, but he doesn't have the
same type of long speed that he had, you know,
five or six years ago. So I think that he's
gonna finish under eighteen and a half miles per hour.
And we're not gonna know if he does this until
very much after the game, because I'm gonna be watching
(26:32):
every digs catch and just hoping that he kind of
falls down after each one so he can't build up
that speed. But if there is a chance where he
is breaking away a long one, you know, if there's
a broken tackle or something like that, then this.
Speaker 3 (26:42):
Bet is probably cooked. But other than that, I feel
good about it.
Speaker 2 (26:45):
Ericson's gonna have one of those little like speed guns
that during the game, he's gonna be like those little
pocket like Miles Prowory.
Speaker 3 (26:51):
I got it, I got radar gun on. Stefan Diggs got.
Speaker 2 (26:54):
You it's been great for the Super Bowl party. Erk
center'd the awesome.
Speaker 3 (26:57):
Everybody hold on, everybody bring.
Speaker 1 (26:59):
Radar as Cardi b running after him too. That's my man,
that's my man. All right, let's get to the touchdown
calls or remember the touchdown score report at bettingpros dot com,
slash touchdown is here for you to give you the
edge and touchdown bets. So anytime touchdowns can be tricky.
If you had over to Betting pros dot com slash touchdown,
we make it easier. Their port compares anytime touchdown stats
to prop bet odds projections to help identify the very
(27:22):
best in any time tds. All right, I'm gonna go
first here, give me Kayshaun Boody plus three twenty. After
watching again, the Rams find big play after big play
against the Seattle secondary. The big play guy in this
offense for the Patriots is ky Sean Booty, and I
think kay Shan Boody can find that big touchdown in
this game. Plus you're getting plus three to twenty on that.
I love that, And I'm sticking with this narrative, which
(27:44):
is the difference in this game is a defensive touchdown
scored by the Patriots, preferably on a pick six, and
that is what I'm looking for here. And New England
defense plus eight point fifty to score a touchdown, and
I think this is very much in play. Consider Sam
Donald's rates against pressure not quite as good as some
(28:04):
other quarterbacks, and I think they will put pressure on
Sam Donald. They will hit him. They will also forced
him to make some decisions he doesn't want to. And
if they can stop the run effectively, they're gonna put
him in some third and long situations. Also, they can
get a little bit uncomfortable. And I do think as
great as Sam Donald has played, he's had a great year,
I do think the Patriots are gonna show him some
looks and give him some I think a tougher bag
(28:25):
that he's had to deal with this playoff season for sure,
and maybe most of the season as well, since the
Houston Texans game that they played earlier in the year,
and Seattle has played a lot of soft defenses. I'm sorry, folks,
And then I hear it. You know you look around.
Don't tell me the Rams defense is great, okay, because
they give up a million points twice of the Carolina
Panthers and the Carolina Panthers is not on the lead
offense and some other teams as well. Okay, so New
(28:48):
England defense plus eight fifty Kishan Boody plus three twenty Welsh?
What do you have for the people here for touchdown calls?
Speaker 2 (28:54):
I mentioned I like Cooper Cup in this game. In
Cooper Cup is closing in on three to one plus
two fifth or yeah, I think it's right around plus
two fifty. Is that marker? Maybe plus two sixty? So
I like Cooper Cup here. That's where I'm gonna lock
in on one. Hunter Henry, if you're going on the
Patriots side, also right around that plus two to fifty marker.
Those are probably my two chalk touchdowns that I really like.
(29:16):
If I'm going deep, I just can't help myself. I'm
gonna go back to Jake Bobo. I know Bobo is
just so like underused the whole season, and then it's
like right at the end of the year and then
playoffs everything starts getting involved. But this is a really,
really tough secondary matchup. They like Bobo when they get
into that red zone spot. I don't think it's out
of pocket to say that bos one catch again would
(29:38):
be a touchdown, they would look at him, you know,
just different body size too than some of these other guys.
So eleven to one on Bobo. So if I'm looking
for a long shot, that's not a first touchdown. Eleven
to one on Jake Bobo. Otherwise, Hunter Henry and Cooper
Cup I'm looking at.
Speaker 1 (29:50):
Gotta love good Jake Bobo touchdown? All right? Ericson wrap
us up here with a couple of tds. Who's finding
the end zone in.
Speaker 4 (29:56):
Super Bowl sixty hand holding with welsh On Henry. I
think that he's really one of the more popular anytime
touchdown bets. His numbers actually moved pretty significantly, but if it's.
Speaker 3 (30:07):
Right, it's right.
Speaker 4 (30:08):
Henter Henry ranks first among all non running backs and
red zone targets in this game for either team. He
is the second most games with a touchdown on either side,
so still plus two to fifty. I like Hunter Henry
log and the matchup is good for him against the
Seahawks defense. Trevon Henderson. This is kind of my X
factor in this game, and I think he's going to
pay a part in why the Patriots end up winning.
(30:29):
You look at the anytime touchdown scoring sheet on betting pros.
He has the highest EV rating among all players in
this game plus five to fifty for a player that
ranks second in total touchdowns in this game. The only
player that has scored more touchdowns this season than Trevan
Henderson playing in the Super Bowl is Jack Smith and
Jigba and his odds are minus one ten plus one
(30:50):
hundred right plus five to fifty.
Speaker 3 (30:52):
I get they like Rimandre.
Speaker 4 (30:54):
Stevenson, He's been seeing more usage, but this is a
spot where they need to unleash Henderson. This is would
have been the big differences of why the Patriots have
been successful on offense this year is because they addressed
the biggest need during the Mac Jones era juice. Get
guys with juice, which is what they did not have
for year after year after year. They just had these
slugs and it was terrible. It was not fun to watch.
(31:15):
And Trevan Henderson is the epitome of that type of
player with juice in expulsiveness hasn't been there the last
couple of weeks, but this is where you have to
unleash him. You got unleash the beast with Trevan Henderson,
so I think that he can have a big game.
Here rip off an expulsive play. He isn't needing to
score through the red zone. But again plus five p
fifty I think that's too long for a player that
with his type of skill set, and then got to
(31:37):
throw in a first touchdown bet because why not. It's
the Super Bowl and we're gonna do it in the
full D gen fashion.
Speaker 3 (31:44):
Plus eight thousand.
Speaker 4 (31:47):
Eric Saubert Seattle Seahawks tight end to score a touchdown.
He had the game winning two point conversion a few
weeks ago for the Seattle Seahawks. He's constantly praised by
his teammates and coaches as he's the blocking tight end.
He does everything right. He's gonna be on the field
in red zone packages. The Patriots. How do you attack
them in the red zone is through the air with
(32:07):
everybody fixated on stopping Cooper Cupp and JSN worrying about
the AJ Barner Tush push. Eric Sobert play action rolls
out to the back of the end zone, wide open
for a touchdown.
Speaker 3 (32:17):
Six go up seven to nothing. There you go. Plus
eight thousand. Eric Sabert lock of the week. Here we go.
Speaker 1 (32:23):
Love it. If you can end on that. I don't
know what you can hand on. Give us your favorite
picks and props for the Super Bowl. Drop him in
the comments below. Give us a follow as well on
social media, but also make sure you follow us here
on the podcast feed and of course on our YouTube
channel as well. Gentlemen, has been a really fun season.
I hope all of your bets cash and congratulations to
(32:44):
those of you who cash with the Mike Rabel and
CMC wins last night of the NFL Honors. We were
on both hemos Tetron mcdonn c now three to one
and ericson beginning of the season fifteen to one. Him
and deebro had tterro McMillan, that's a huge one on
their huge return. I of course on the Mike Rabel
Coach of the Year train and Welsh myself and Andrew
(33:04):
all on the CMC. We got that at three to
I can't believe we got that at three to one
for comeback later notts so nuts.
Speaker 2 (33:10):
L L too double digit. It was like week ten
or something.
Speaker 1 (33:15):
Remember Philip Rivers came back and everything got weird for
a little moment. We're like, this is dumb, let's bet
CMC and.
Speaker 4 (33:22):
Dak Prescott still was like in the running for it,
even though Dallas had basically no shot of making the playoffs.
Speaker 1 (33:28):
So GMC been a great season, everybody. We appreciate you
being with us. That'll do it for us, But the
story of the game goes on for Andrew Erickson and
the Welsh I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids,
enjoy Super Bowl Sunday.
Speaker 5 (33:42):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube
channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting.
Speaker 1 (33:59):
Pros scip to builds sp
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