November 23, 2025 • 17 mins
Join Joe Pisapia and Scott Bogman as they highlight their favorite bets to make for Monday Night Football in Week 12!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads):
Intro - 0:00:00
Kyren Williams Autographed Helmet Giveaway - 0:00:56
MNF Breakdown: Carolina Panthers @ San Francisco 49ers | 8:15pm EST - 0:01:45
Hard Rock Bet - 0:04:15
Rico Dowdle OVER 74.5 Rushing yards (-118) - 0:05:23
Brian Robinson Jr. OVER 23.5 Rushing yards - 0:07:48
Bryce Young Over 1.5 Passing TDs (+120) - 0:09:17
Jauan Jennings Over 46.5 rec yards (-120) - 0:11:05
George Kittle Over 53.5 rec yards (-130) - 0:12:39
Prop Bet Cheat Sheet - 0:13:21
SG-JOEY-P: Total (+291): George Kittle Over 53.5 Receiving Yds | Brian Robinson Jr. Over 23.5 Rushing Yds | San Francisco 49ers Moneyline - 0:13:44
Joe's TD Call: Tetairoa McMillan (+145) - 0:16:02
Bogman's TD Call: George Kittle (+115) - 0:16:22
Outro - 0:17:23
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place
your bets. It is me Joey p joe Pisapia and
this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead to
Monday night football with my rowdiest friend Scott Bogman and Boggs.
I gotta tell you, if you listen closely right now,
you can hear it. You hear it. Listen, that's the
shutting of the window of the Buffalo Bills dominance in
(00:21):
the AFC East. To hear it, he listened real close,
because that's what happened Thursday night. It was the Mills
mafia going after it, not so much the Bills mafia.
Bog's pretty good night though. Three and two from there,
so feeling good. I know you hate Thursday night, so
that's a good feeling. That Thursday night was good. I
think it bodes well for our Monday night contest.
Speaker 2 (00:40):
Here. Good, good Thursday night game, so we're back on that,
which is nice, but had some points, even some points
before the half. Was really nice to see three and two,
so we're not gonna complain about that. We're gonna move
on to Monday with a smile.
Speaker 1 (00:54):
That's right. That's right. And remember if we want to
put a smile on all of your faces too by
giving you free stuff this holiday season. And we've got
a Kirn Williams Autographs helmet that's going out to one
of you from Pristine auction dot com. Christine Auction's fantastic
spot where you can get all kinds of autograph sports items, helmets, jerseys,
you name it, they've got it there. It's pretty spectacic.
They got cards, they got movie stuff, they got everything.
(01:15):
Check out Pristine Auction and you can win the Kien
Williams helmet by going to Betting Pros dot com slash contest,
complete the form there and either download the Betting Pros
app leaver review of the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe
to our social media channels at Betting Pros on ax
on TikTok and Betting Pros NFL on the Instagram. The
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So make sure you turn on those notifications so you
(01:37):
can never miss a piece of content and we can
let you know if you're the winner of this month's giveaway.
The Kyne williams Helmet. Let's take a look at the
line here for Monday Night. The Carolina Panthers six and five,
the San Francisco forty nine Ers seven and four. Everybody
has been hurt for the forty nine ers most of
the season, but you know you do have George kittleback,
you got Perdie back, you got Piersoll back. The last
couple weeks, unfortunately the defense falling apart. You're getting plus
(02:00):
seven on the Carolina Panthers. You're getting minus seven here
on San fram forty nine and a half for the over,
forty nine and a half for the under, plus three
oh five on the money line for the Carolina Panthers. Upset.
I gotta tell you, Bogs, I don't love this game,
don't have a great feeling about it. But my lean
is San Francisco minus seven, just because they have so
many weapons and sometimes the Panthers are for a little
(02:21):
jeckl and hide. Right, they have a game like they
did last week from Bryce Young's throwing four point fifty,
and then the week after that they'll go on the
road to San Francisco in a matchup where Santa fran
you know, just saw you know, we just wat Chacoby Presett,
you know, complete four hundred and seventy passes against them.
Speaker 2 (02:36):
If you want the peists of examples, showy. They were
at home against the Bills, they lose forty nine. Then
they go on the road to the Packers and win
sixteen thirteen. So yeah, the Panthers are are team to
figure out.
Speaker 1 (02:50):
I'm just gonna I'm gonna say. I'm gonna say. Look,
it's Monday night, it's CMC, it's personnel getting healthy, brock
Purty there, you know, normal quarterback being under center. It's like,
this is the game. Where're the forty nine ers. Look,
you get to eight wins here, you got to keep
pace a little bit with some of those other teams
there because you know, see I's not going anywhere and
the Rams aren't go anywhere. So that's my take on
this game. But you see it differently. You think that
(03:12):
possibly Carolina can cover this.
Speaker 2 (03:14):
Yeah, I'll tell you what. I don't really like the side.
I like the over right. I think that the Niners
defense is the banged up side. Like you mentioned, the
offense is getting healthier. They've been using CMC a little
bit less in recent weeks. And George Kittle is getting
healthy with brock Party back. The last two games, he's
looked great. Ricky Pierce Saw had a bad game in
(03:35):
his first game back. Now he's more healthy, but he
had a lot of routes and snaps in that game
and he stayed healthy, so I expect more from him
as well. So I like the over in this game
more than I like aside. I think in the NFL
at this point, if I've seen a team be good
and bad, if you're giving me over a touchdown, I'm
going to take the points. I think that's kind of
(03:55):
where I boiled down to it on this game. So
I'll take the Panthers kind of like I took the
Texans at home on Thursday. I just thought that was
a good matchup for them. But I didn't have a
good feel on that one. I don't have a great
feel on this one either, but I do like the over.
So spoiler alert, we're gonna be going with some overs here.
Speaker 1 (04:13):
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Rico Dawdle is the first guy we're going to talk
about in this one and look, believe it or not,
in Fantasy, Rico Dowdell, despite not doing anything really for
the first five weeks of the season, is RB ten.
He's a top ten RB in Fantasy if you can
believe it. He's had some giant output games. Then Chew
(05:36):
Barber came back, and now, of course Rico Dawdell kind
of solidified himself as the lead guy. So what does
it look like for him? How do we approach him
on this Monday Night contest?
Speaker 2 (05:45):
Yeah, I mean it has been all Rico And this
is what welse keeps hitting me with this because I
sat it a couple weeks ago and I'm still gonna
stand by it. I think in terms of skill, I
think the Rico and Chewbar are pretty close, but Tuba
got hurt. I don't think Tuba is one hundred percent,
And I think en Rico's hot. That's why we're going
(06:05):
to Rico more. And he's had eighteen or more carries
and five of seven starts so far, he's passed this
total seventy four and a half rushing yards in four
of seven games. And the best run defenders for the
Niners are down. Fred Warner has been down for a
few weeks now. His backup Tatum Bethune, the third best
run defender in terms of grade, also likely down for
(06:27):
this game, looking doubtful right now. So I just think
that with the way you attack the Niners, I honestly,
their defense is so banged up you can do it
any way you want right now. But I think Rico,
I think the thing to do with the Niners getting
more healthy on offense, you want to hold the rock
(06:48):
as much as you can.
Speaker 1 (06:49):
I didn't.
Speaker 2 (06:50):
I wanted rushing attempts when I went to Rico. My
first thought was rushing attempts. Rushing attempts eighteen and a half.
And we looked a couple weeks ago the losing side
of this game and their favorite. They're getting seven and
a half points here. It's the running back. I think
only one or two games the running back past eighteen carries,
and that the last one to do it was Aston
(07:12):
genty when they lost ten to seven to Denver. So
I don't think this game plays like that. But I
think you want to run the ball as much as
you can if you're the Panthers before you get down
to the Niners, and control the clock a little bit.
So I think decent amount of carries for him, and
I think he breaks one big one because the tackling
has been rough recently for the Niners. So give me,
(07:35):
give me the over seventy four and a half for
Tuba here, all.
Speaker 1 (07:38):
Right, Bog's look at the end of October. I know
we were screaming from the rooftops about the CMC workload
and like, what are we doing here? It's an astronomical
pace for a guy with the injury history that he has.
And I can only assume Kyle Shanahan's been watching the shows, right,
because all of a sudden last couple of weeks, Brian
Robinson Junior has been working a little bit more so.
Can we wager on that after this trend of Brian
(08:00):
Robinson's uptick and work.
Speaker 2 (08:03):
I think, so they're at home, they're projected to win
by more than a touchdown, right, So I think we're
gonna see some b rob here. And I think to
what you said about how we're so frustrating, it's still
CMC has way more carries than anybody else. JT is
still number two to him by I think like fifty
touches or something, forty or fifty touches. It's a lot
(08:25):
right now. But what I think here is that you
had nobody else healthy, even the quarterback right Party was down,
Kittle was down, Pearce All was down. Ayuk still has
not come back, right, So you were kind of forced
to give the ball to see him see more than
you needed to. But now everybody's coming back outside of Ayu.
So we saw Brian Robinson's highest nap percentage last week,
(08:47):
and he's had eight carries or more in the last
two games. In the last couple of games, eight for
forty one, eight for twenty three, five for fifty three,
and nine for thirty six. In the game they lost,
he can't get any carries. But you know for zero
there but twenty three and a half is a low number.
I feel like if he's going to get about eight
carries again, which I think is a pretty decent margin,
(09:10):
I think he'll sail past twenty three yards.
Speaker 1 (09:13):
Okay, so we'll see if Ryan Robinson can sail past
twenty three yards. Let's talk about Bryce Young. I mentioned earlier,
huge output for him last week, obviously against the Atlanta Falcons.
So Bryce Young the passing touchdowns, it's one and a
half the overs plus money at plus one twenty. That
is tempting because we saw what San Fran wasn't able
to do, and that was cover anybody last week. So
(09:35):
the secondary has had all kinds of problems that look,
I know, you know, sometimes we see something like that
and then the next week can get corrected. I just
don't know from the old perspective of that's something the
forty nine ers are really capable of doing. That defense
has been just obliterated by injuries this year. So you
want to take the over here and Bryce Young throw
him for some touchdowns.
Speaker 2 (09:52):
I love the number. I love the juice of getting
plus one twenty here. I just think that that is
a great number to bet. One and a half is
not crazy. The Niners have allowed twenty one passing touchdowns
to only eight rushing touchdowns and the Panthers have scored
fifteen to only scoring seven. So Bryce Young has hit
this in four of nine, so a little less than
(10:13):
fifty percent. But he is coming off his best offensive
performance as a pro. So I just think that we
ride that momentum. And you said it. You know, the
pass rush has been bad for the Niners. Nick Bosa
done for the year, Michael Williams done for the year.
These guys are on ir so they haven't had a
lot of a pass rush recently. Lots of injuries, you know,
(10:35):
to the linebacking corps as well, and the secondary was
the weakness coming in. So yeah, I just think that
once we get down there, Bryce Young can throw too.
Ted Ro McMillan's such a weapon, and I think he
could get two. Like I said, I think this game
goes over. So if we get two touchdowns from the Panthers,
I would expect both of them to be passing. And
(10:56):
if we get three, I'm pretty for sure we're gonna
get passing from Bryce Young.
Speaker 1 (11:01):
Okay, So Bryce Young in for a possible good day
there let's talk about Juan Jennings, another guy that we've
been waiting for. Now we know Jennings and Perty have
a good rapport. The number is forty six and a
half on the receiving yard side. Do we taking an
over here again? I know you teased all the overs bogs,
So is it just over city.
Speaker 2 (11:18):
And we're going over over overboard here? I mean, look,
brock Purty, looking at projections, is projected to have the
third most passing yards this week. So he's projected over
two seventy. So there's gonna be some guys catching some footballs.
If that is the case, the projections are correct and
number one's versus Carolina have hit. This number is only
forty six and a half yards. So London last week
(11:40):
one hundred nineteen o lave one hundred and four dobbs
ninety one. The last time that a number one wide
out the guy? Would you know that was number one
for that team? I mean we can kind of throw
Ty Johnson in question against the Jets, but he still
passes number with three catches, he had sixty yards. But
these Number one been peppered pickings for Cede Lamb when
(12:01):
he was hurt eleven targets nine to one sixty eight,
Wattle six for one, ten Dig six for one oh one,
even when London had his bad game, five for fifty five.
Speaker 1 (12:11):
Right.
Speaker 2 (12:11):
The last two guys that were number ones and didn't
hit this were weeks one and two against the Niners,
and that was Brian Thomas Junior. He had seven targets,
only one catch, and then Harrison had Marvin Harrison Junior
had five targets, only two catches for twenty seven and
eleven yards. Every single other week the number one has
passed this and he is the number one wide out,
(12:32):
you know, the number one target probably still Kittle, but
Jennings is your number one wide receiver here.
Speaker 1 (12:38):
Okay, So what does that mean for George Kittle, Because
George Kittle might say, excuse me, my number is higher.
It's fifty three and a half. I'm the number one
target guy around these parts.
Speaker 2 (12:49):
Yeah. In the last two weeks with Perty healthy, he's
had six for six targets, six catches sixty seven yards
and two scores against Arizona and nine nine targets, nine
catches eighty four yards and a touchdown against the Rams.
That Panthers are twenty six and receiving yards allowed to
tight ends per game, allowing sixty five point three. Kittle's
(13:10):
gonna get lots of targets, lots catches in this game.
I think if I had to pick one, I would
probably pick Kittle. But I like both of these, all.
Speaker 1 (13:18):
Right, So Bogs is in on those. And remember, if
you want to get in on more props, you go
to the prop bet sheet sheet. It's free and fun,
and the best way to do it is to go
to download the Betting Pros app or go to betting
pros dot com slash props. Again, you're gonna see the projections,
you're gonna see the lines, and you're gonna see the
overs and the unders. It's very simple. It's the way
to make it work here. So again, the prop bet
(13:39):
cheat sheet one of the many tools that are really
useful for you over on Betting Pros. All right, Bogs,
I got a new plan here because I need to
shake the dust off. So let's put together what you
think are the best bets here potentially for the same game,
partly in this game, like what are the two things
that you love the most from the prop side, And
I'll see if I can get there and maybe throw
in one of my own here, where are you at? Here?
(14:01):
What my favorite number? One bets?
Speaker 2 (14:03):
Here my favorite props? Let's go George Kittle over fifty
three and a half.
Speaker 1 (14:08):
I'm with that one too.
Speaker 2 (14:09):
It's probably ticking up a little bit.
Speaker 1 (14:12):
Uh, and then.
Speaker 2 (14:15):
It's tough for me. I think I like this. Brian
Robinson over Okay.
Speaker 1 (14:19):
So we go with the little Brian Robinson number.
Speaker 2 (14:21):
I just think, you know, with in recent weeks, it's
been just way fewer carries for Christian McCaffrey. And I
think that is because everybody else is healthy and he
doesn't have to do this workload. And I think I
think this is Shanahan saying, I know I'm overworking him early.
We're going to ratchet him back before the playoffs. I
think that's the plan. So if they if they get
(14:44):
up by more than a touchdown in this game, at
any point, I think you were guaranteed to see Brian Robinson.
Speaker 1 (14:49):
So okay, So we're gonna put that together right here,
A love show. George Kittle over fifty three and a
half receiving yards, Brian Robinson over twenty three and a
half rushing yards, And I'm gonna throw in forty nine
ers on the money line there just for s's and
g's because I still think they can win this game.
That's heavily juiced, but I just want to throw in
a little bit more. When you have those three selections,
you're getting to plus two ninety one. That's three to
(15:11):
one almost for those three bets to hit. So again
that's the SG Joey p. So I'm trying to get
all the help from my friends because you know, I
thought Josh Allen was on track, and I thought they
could figure things out against the Texans defense, and they
could not. Texans defense, man, especially in that building, just
ferocious bogs. You and I love defense. So I remember
when we were doing the live playoff game last year.
(15:33):
You actually wasn't last year. Was this year? Last season.
It was all the way back in January against the Chargers,
right and we were watching that game and we were
just like, man, this Texans defense has come to play
against the Chargers and Wills b s.
Speaker 2 (15:50):
You know, I'll Shay Hear had that tip for a
pick as well. That dude is good. When he's not
cheap shot people, he's really good.
Speaker 1 (15:58):
And he's not a complete jerky bit of football. But yeah,
so all right, let's pick some touchdowns here. I'm going
with Tedoro McMillan plus one forty five. I like the number,
of the trend of the volume. Look, he hasn't a
lot of touchdowns this year, so I'm hoping, you know,
he had that big two touchdown game against the Cowboys
earlier in the year, and now, you know, coming off
a game against Atlanta, let's hope that things are trend
(16:18):
to get the right direction for him down the stretch.
So I'm gonna go with Teed McMillan for plus one
forty five. And of course you're going with George Kittle,
which I think is a good one.
Speaker 2 (16:25):
Yeah, I mean, he scored in five of six. And
by the way, I was so mad when I saw
that you had Teed McMillan. Good for me first because
I saw him, I'm like, easy, because I had just
finished all the rest of my stuff. I'm like, easy,
I can do this. I can go to bed teen
McMillon plus one fifty. Great, And I look at him,
Joe coming, So I switched to I switched to Kittle.
(16:48):
But again, Kittle touchdowns in five of six games played
this season, so I think that's a pretty good one
as well.
Speaker 1 (16:54):
Yeah, it's good to have him back. So if forty
Niners can get healthy, maybe they can make a real
run at this thing. We shall see, and of course
we'll see you next week right here on the Betting
Pros channel. Subscribe, don't go anywhere. We'll be right back
with more amazing content guests weeks right Black Friday Games.
We also got Thanksgiving Special. It's like South Park Thanksgiving Special.
We got the Black Friday Special. All the specials and
all the shows have plenty of tegrity. You never have
(17:16):
to worry, you never have to wonder. You got plenty
of integrity to go around here in these parts. That's
how we get through all these shows. That'll do it
for us. But the story of the game goes on
for Scott Bog and I'm Joey p. We'll see you
next time.
Speaker 3 (17:29):
Kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If
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Speaker 1 (17:43):
Also subscribe to our.
Speaker 3 (17:44):
YouTube channel at YouTube dot com. Slash Betting Pros
Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place
your bets. It is me Joey p joe Pisapia and
this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead to
Monday night football with my rowdiest friend Scott Bogman and Boggs.
I gotta tell you, if you listen closely right now,
you can hear it. You hear it. Listen, that's the
shutting of the window of the Buffalo Bills dominance in
(00:21):
the AFC East. To hear it, he listened real close,
because that's what happened Thursday night. It was the Mills
mafia going after it, not so much the Bills mafia.
Bog's pretty good night though. Three and two from there,
so feeling good. I know you hate Thursday night, so
that's a good feeling. That Thursday night was good. I
think it bodes well for our Monday night contest.
Speaker 2 (00:40):
Here. Good, good Thursday night game, so we're back on that,
which is nice, but had some points, even some points
before the half. Was really nice to see three and two,
so we're not gonna complain about that. We're gonna move
on to Monday with a smile.
Speaker 1 (00:54):
That's right. That's right. And remember if we want to
put a smile on all of your faces too by
giving you free stuff this holiday season. And we've got
a Kirn Williams Autographs helmet that's going out to one
of you from Pristine auction dot com. Christine Auction's fantastic
spot where you can get all kinds of autograph sports items, helmets, jerseys,
you name it, they've got it there. It's pretty spectacic.
They got cards, they got movie stuff, they got everything.
(01:15):
Check out Pristine Auction and you can win the Kien
Williams helmet by going to Betting Pros dot com slash contest,
complete the form there and either download the Betting Pros
app leaver review of the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe
to our social media channels at Betting Pros on ax
on TikTok and Betting Pros NFL on the Instagram. The
more actions you complete, the more entries you'll receive, and
we'll be announcing the winner right here on the channel.
So make sure you turn on those notifications so you
(01:37):
can never miss a piece of content and we can
let you know if you're the winner of this month's giveaway.
The Kyne williams Helmet. Let's take a look at the
line here for Monday Night. The Carolina Panthers six and five,
the San Francisco forty nine Ers seven and four. Everybody
has been hurt for the forty nine ers most of
the season, but you know you do have George kittleback,
you got Perdie back, you got Piersoll back. The last
couple weeks, unfortunately the defense falling apart. You're getting plus
(02:00):
seven on the Carolina Panthers. You're getting minus seven here
on San fram forty nine and a half for the over,
forty nine and a half for the under, plus three
oh five on the money line for the Carolina Panthers. Upset.
I gotta tell you, Bogs, I don't love this game,
don't have a great feeling about it. But my lean
is San Francisco minus seven, just because they have so
many weapons and sometimes the Panthers are for a little
(02:21):
jeckl and hide. Right, they have a game like they
did last week from Bryce Young's throwing four point fifty,
and then the week after that they'll go on the
road to San Francisco in a matchup where Santa fran
you know, just saw you know, we just wat Chacoby Presett,
you know, complete four hundred and seventy passes against them.
Speaker 2 (02:36):
If you want the peists of examples, showy. They were
at home against the Bills, they lose forty nine. Then
they go on the road to the Packers and win
sixteen thirteen. So yeah, the Panthers are are team to
figure out.
Speaker 1 (02:50):
I'm just gonna I'm gonna say. I'm gonna say. Look,
it's Monday night, it's CMC, it's personnel getting healthy, brock
Purty there, you know, normal quarterback being under center. It's like,
this is the game. Where're the forty nine ers. Look,
you get to eight wins here, you got to keep
pace a little bit with some of those other teams
there because you know, see I's not going anywhere and
the Rams aren't go anywhere. So that's my take on
this game. But you see it differently. You think that
(03:12):
possibly Carolina can cover this.
Speaker 2 (03:14):
Yeah, I'll tell you what. I don't really like the side.
I like the over right. I think that the Niners
defense is the banged up side. Like you mentioned, the
offense is getting healthier. They've been using CMC a little
bit less in recent weeks. And George Kittle is getting
healthy with brock Party back. The last two games, he's
looked great. Ricky Pierce Saw had a bad game in
(03:35):
his first game back. Now he's more healthy, but he
had a lot of routes and snaps in that game
and he stayed healthy, so I expect more from him
as well. So I like the over in this game
more than I like aside. I think in the NFL
at this point, if I've seen a team be good
and bad, if you're giving me over a touchdown, I'm
going to take the points. I think that's kind of
(03:55):
where I boiled down to it on this game. So
I'll take the Panthers kind of like I took the
Texans at home on Thursday. I just thought that was
a good matchup for them. But I didn't have a
good feel on that one. I don't have a great
feel on this one either, but I do like the over.
So spoiler alert, we're gonna be going with some overs here.
Speaker 1 (04:13):
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Rico Dawdle is the first guy we're going to talk
about in this one and look, believe it or not,
in Fantasy, Rico Dowdell, despite not doing anything really for
the first five weeks of the season, is RB ten.
He's a top ten RB in Fantasy if you can
believe it. He's had some giant output games. Then Chew
(05:36):
Barber came back, and now, of course Rico Dawdell kind
of solidified himself as the lead guy. So what does
it look like for him? How do we approach him
on this Monday Night contest?
Speaker 2 (05:45):
Yeah, I mean it has been all Rico And this
is what welse keeps hitting me with this because I
sat it a couple weeks ago and I'm still gonna
stand by it. I think in terms of skill, I
think the Rico and Chewbar are pretty close, but Tuba
got hurt. I don't think Tuba is one hundred percent,
And I think en Rico's hot. That's why we're going
(06:05):
to Rico more. And he's had eighteen or more carries
and five of seven starts so far, he's passed this
total seventy four and a half rushing yards in four
of seven games. And the best run defenders for the
Niners are down. Fred Warner has been down for a
few weeks now. His backup Tatum Bethune, the third best
run defender in terms of grade, also likely down for
(06:27):
this game, looking doubtful right now. So I just think
that with the way you attack the Niners, I honestly,
their defense is so banged up you can do it
any way you want right now. But I think Rico,
I think the thing to do with the Niners getting
more healthy on offense, you want to hold the rock
(06:48):
as much as you can.
Speaker 1 (06:49):
I didn't.
Speaker 2 (06:50):
I wanted rushing attempts when I went to Rico. My
first thought was rushing attempts. Rushing attempts eighteen and a half.
And we looked a couple weeks ago the losing side
of this game and their favorite. They're getting seven and
a half points here. It's the running back. I think
only one or two games the running back past eighteen carries,
and that the last one to do it was Aston
(07:12):
genty when they lost ten to seven to Denver. So
I don't think this game plays like that. But I
think you want to run the ball as much as
you can if you're the Panthers before you get down
to the Niners, and control the clock a little bit.
So I think decent amount of carries for him, and
I think he breaks one big one because the tackling
has been rough recently for the Niners. So give me,
(07:35):
give me the over seventy four and a half for
Tuba here, all.
Speaker 1 (07:38):
Right, Bog's look at the end of October. I know
we were screaming from the rooftops about the CMC workload
and like, what are we doing here? It's an astronomical
pace for a guy with the injury history that he has.
And I can only assume Kyle Shanahan's been watching the shows, right,
because all of a sudden last couple of weeks, Brian
Robinson Junior has been working a little bit more so.
Can we wager on that after this trend of Brian
(08:00):
Robinson's uptick and work.
Speaker 2 (08:03):
I think, so they're at home, they're projected to win
by more than a touchdown, right, So I think we're
gonna see some b rob here. And I think to
what you said about how we're so frustrating, it's still
CMC has way more carries than anybody else. JT is
still number two to him by I think like fifty
touches or something, forty or fifty touches. It's a lot
(08:25):
right now. But what I think here is that you
had nobody else healthy, even the quarterback right Party was down,
Kittle was down, Pearce All was down. Ayuk still has
not come back, right, So you were kind of forced
to give the ball to see him see more than
you needed to. But now everybody's coming back outside of Ayu.
So we saw Brian Robinson's highest nap percentage last week,
(08:47):
and he's had eight carries or more in the last
two games. In the last couple of games, eight for
forty one, eight for twenty three, five for fifty three,
and nine for thirty six. In the game they lost,
he can't get any carries. But you know for zero
there but twenty three and a half is a low number.
I feel like if he's going to get about eight
carries again, which I think is a pretty decent margin,
(09:10):
I think he'll sail past twenty three yards.
Speaker 1 (09:13):
Okay, so we'll see if Ryan Robinson can sail past
twenty three yards. Let's talk about Bryce Young. I mentioned earlier,
huge output for him last week, obviously against the Atlanta Falcons.
So Bryce Young the passing touchdowns, it's one and a
half the overs plus money at plus one twenty. That
is tempting because we saw what San Fran wasn't able
to do, and that was cover anybody last week. So
(09:35):
the secondary has had all kinds of problems that look,
I know, you know, sometimes we see something like that
and then the next week can get corrected. I just
don't know from the old perspective of that's something the
forty nine ers are really capable of doing. That defense
has been just obliterated by injuries this year. So you
want to take the over here and Bryce Young throw
him for some touchdowns.
Speaker 2 (09:52):
I love the number. I love the juice of getting
plus one twenty here. I just think that that is
a great number to bet. One and a half is
not crazy. The Niners have allowed twenty one passing touchdowns
to only eight rushing touchdowns and the Panthers have scored
fifteen to only scoring seven. So Bryce Young has hit
this in four of nine, so a little less than
(10:13):
fifty percent. But he is coming off his best offensive
performance as a pro. So I just think that we
ride that momentum. And you said it. You know, the
pass rush has been bad for the Niners. Nick Bosa
done for the year, Michael Williams done for the year.
These guys are on ir so they haven't had a
lot of a pass rush recently. Lots of injuries, you know,
(10:35):
to the linebacking corps as well, and the secondary was
the weakness coming in. So yeah, I just think that
once we get down there, Bryce Young can throw too.
Ted Ro McMillan's such a weapon, and I think he
could get two. Like I said, I think this game
goes over. So if we get two touchdowns from the Panthers,
I would expect both of them to be passing. And
(10:56):
if we get three, I'm pretty for sure we're gonna
get passing from Bryce Young.
Speaker 1 (11:01):
Okay, So Bryce Young in for a possible good day
there let's talk about Juan Jennings, another guy that we've
been waiting for. Now we know Jennings and Perty have
a good rapport. The number is forty six and a
half on the receiving yard side. Do we taking an
over here again? I know you teased all the overs bogs,
So is it just over city.
Speaker 2 (11:18):
And we're going over over overboard here? I mean, look,
brock Purty, looking at projections, is projected to have the
third most passing yards this week. So he's projected over
two seventy. So there's gonna be some guys catching some footballs.
If that is the case, the projections are correct and
number one's versus Carolina have hit. This number is only
forty six and a half yards. So London last week
(11:40):
one hundred nineteen o lave one hundred and four dobbs
ninety one. The last time that a number one wide
out the guy? Would you know that was number one
for that team? I mean we can kind of throw
Ty Johnson in question against the Jets, but he still
passes number with three catches, he had sixty yards. But
these Number one been peppered pickings for Cede Lamb when
(12:01):
he was hurt eleven targets nine to one sixty eight,
Wattle six for one, ten Dig six for one oh one,
even when London had his bad game, five for fifty five.
Speaker 1 (12:11):
Right.
Speaker 2 (12:11):
The last two guys that were number ones and didn't
hit this were weeks one and two against the Niners,
and that was Brian Thomas Junior. He had seven targets,
only one catch, and then Harrison had Marvin Harrison Junior
had five targets, only two catches for twenty seven and
eleven yards. Every single other week the number one has
passed this and he is the number one wide out,
(12:32):
you know, the number one target probably still Kittle, but
Jennings is your number one wide receiver here.
Speaker 1 (12:38):
Okay, So what does that mean for George Kittle, Because
George Kittle might say, excuse me, my number is higher.
It's fifty three and a half. I'm the number one
target guy around these parts.
Speaker 2 (12:49):
Yeah. In the last two weeks with Perty healthy, he's
had six for six targets, six catches sixty seven yards
and two scores against Arizona and nine nine targets, nine
catches eighty four yards and a touchdown against the Rams.
That Panthers are twenty six and receiving yards allowed to
tight ends per game, allowing sixty five point three. Kittle's
(13:10):
gonna get lots of targets, lots catches in this game.
I think if I had to pick one, I would
probably pick Kittle. But I like both of these, all.
Speaker 1 (13:18):
Right, So Bogs is in on those. And remember, if
you want to get in on more props, you go
to the prop bet sheet sheet. It's free and fun,
and the best way to do it is to go
to download the Betting Pros app or go to betting
pros dot com slash props. Again, you're gonna see the projections,
you're gonna see the lines, and you're gonna see the
overs and the unders. It's very simple. It's the way
to make it work here. So again, the prop bet
(13:39):
cheat sheet one of the many tools that are really
useful for you over on Betting Pros. All right, Bogs,
I got a new plan here because I need to
shake the dust off. So let's put together what you
think are the best bets here potentially for the same game,
partly in this game, like what are the two things
that you love the most from the prop side, And
I'll see if I can get there and maybe throw
in one of my own here, where are you at? Here?
(14:01):
What my favorite number? One bets?
Speaker 2 (14:03):
Here my favorite props? Let's go George Kittle over fifty
three and a half.
Speaker 1 (14:08):
I'm with that one too.
Speaker 2 (14:09):
It's probably ticking up a little bit.
Speaker 1 (14:12):
Uh, and then.
Speaker 2 (14:15):
It's tough for me. I think I like this. Brian
Robinson over Okay.
Speaker 1 (14:19):
So we go with the little Brian Robinson number.
Speaker 2 (14:21):
I just think, you know, with in recent weeks, it's
been just way fewer carries for Christian McCaffrey. And I
think that is because everybody else is healthy and he
doesn't have to do this workload. And I think I
think this is Shanahan saying, I know I'm overworking him early.
We're going to ratchet him back before the playoffs. I
think that's the plan. So if they if they get
(14:44):
up by more than a touchdown in this game, at
any point, I think you were guaranteed to see Brian Robinson.
Speaker 1 (14:49):
So okay, So we're gonna put that together right here,
A love show. George Kittle over fifty three and a
half receiving yards, Brian Robinson over twenty three and a
half rushing yards, And I'm gonna throw in forty nine
ers on the money line there just for s's and
g's because I still think they can win this game.
That's heavily juiced, but I just want to throw in
a little bit more. When you have those three selections,
you're getting to plus two ninety one. That's three to
(15:11):
one almost for those three bets to hit. So again
that's the SG Joey p. So I'm trying to get
all the help from my friends because you know, I
thought Josh Allen was on track, and I thought they
could figure things out against the Texans defense, and they
could not. Texans defense, man, especially in that building, just
ferocious bogs. You and I love defense. So I remember
when we were doing the live playoff game last year.
(15:33):
You actually wasn't last year. Was this year? Last season.
It was all the way back in January against the Chargers,
right and we were watching that game and we were
just like, man, this Texans defense has come to play
against the Chargers and Wills b s.
Speaker 2 (15:50):
You know, I'll Shay Hear had that tip for a
pick as well. That dude is good. When he's not
cheap shot people, he's really good.
Speaker 1 (15:58):
And he's not a complete jerky bit of football. But yeah,
so all right, let's pick some touchdowns here. I'm going
with Tedoro McMillan plus one forty five. I like the number,
of the trend of the volume. Look, he hasn't a
lot of touchdowns this year, so I'm hoping, you know,
he had that big two touchdown game against the Cowboys
earlier in the year, and now, you know, coming off
a game against Atlanta, let's hope that things are trend
(16:18):
to get the right direction for him down the stretch.
So I'm gonna go with Teed McMillan for plus one
forty five. And of course you're going with George Kittle,
which I think is a good one.
Speaker 2 (16:25):
Yeah, I mean, he scored in five of six. And
by the way, I was so mad when I saw
that you had Teed McMillan. Good for me first because
I saw him, I'm like, easy, because I had just
finished all the rest of my stuff. I'm like, easy,
I can do this. I can go to bed teen
McMillon plus one fifty. Great, And I look at him,
Joe coming, So I switched to I switched to Kittle.
(16:48):
But again, Kittle touchdowns in five of six games played
this season, so I think that's a pretty good one
as well.
Speaker 1 (16:54):
Yeah, it's good to have him back. So if forty
Niners can get healthy, maybe they can make a real
run at this thing. We shall see, and of course
we'll see you next week right here on the Betting
Pros channel. Subscribe, don't go anywhere. We'll be right back
with more amazing content guests weeks right Black Friday Games.
We also got Thanksgiving Special. It's like South Park Thanksgiving Special.
We got the Black Friday Special. All the specials and
all the shows have plenty of tegrity. You never have
(17:16):
to worry, you never have to wonder. You got plenty
of integrity to go around here in these parts. That's
how we get through all these shows. That'll do it
for us. But the story of the game goes on
for Scott Bog and I'm Joey p. We'll see you
next time.
Speaker 3 (17:29):
Kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If
you love the show, the best freeway to support us
is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
Instagram at Betting Pros NFL.
Speaker 1 (17:43):
Also subscribe to our.
Speaker 3 (17:44):
YouTube channel at YouTube dot com. Slash Betting Pros
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