Week 14 Monday Night Football Picks: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Chargers (Ep. 896)

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place
your bets. This B Joey B joe Zapia and this
is BP NFL Monday Night Football, justin Herbert question and
the Chargers will take on the Philadelphia Eagles, who are
reeling from a couple of losses. Who will win? How
we'll all shake out? Well, we'll let you know here
right on the show, because we have a crystal ball clearly.

(00:21):
Actually now we don't. We're just gonna do our best
here to try to look ahead to what makes sense
in a game that's got a lot of questions and
maybe not too many answers. Scott Bogman and I are
here for you and we want you to subscribe to
the channel. Drop your comments below, hang out with us
here on the channel, and remember we've got to giveaway
this month two. We've got the AJ Brown autographed helmet
from Pristine Auction dot com. Somebody's gonna win this, bad boy,

(00:42):
Why isn't it?

Speaker 2 (00:43):
You?

Speaker 1 (00:44):
Head over right now to Bettingpros dot com slash contest,
complete the former and either download the Betting Pros app,
leave a review of the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe
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(01:04):
Pristine Auction dot com, a great place to shop for
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we could let you know if you're the big winner
of the AJ Brown autographed helmet. All right, before we

(01:26):
get to the props, which obviously I'm dying to get to, box,
let's talk about the game here, which I'm not dying
to get to because the Los Angeles Chargers are plus
two and a half right now, the Eagles minus two
and a half. That's the best line you're gonna find
on Betting Pros Consensus forty one for the over forty
one and a half for the under plus one thirty
on the money line for the Chargers. I'm gonna keep
this simple. I look, I don't feel great about the

(01:48):
Eagles right now. I think the best thing the Eagles
can do is get on a plane and go three
thousand miles away, and that's what they're doing, and I
think they come out with a victory here. I'll take
the Eagles with the two and a half and just
keep this one simple. I don't like the variables about
Herbert's health. I don't like the variable too. And Muran
Hampton coming back, what does that mean? What does it
not mean? I don't know. That's famous Peey Herman stuff
right there.

Speaker 3 (02:08):
No one knows. I don't know.

Speaker 1 (02:12):
So I'm just gonna go ahead and a right goes. Seriously,
I just I can't get I can't get to the
Chargers side of this game, no matter how hard I try,
or to tell you the truth, even the other come in,
because I just don't know. It's Herbert gonna have those
magical games where you know, these guys get hurt and
they through it. It's incredible.

Speaker 3 (02:31):
Or is it the other way around? I mean, that's
obviously The massive question this game is what is going
on with Justin Herbert. But from everything that we've heard
the Chargers say, it looks like he's gonna be good
to go. Yeah, surgery immediately, It's apparently not a big deal, right,
But my thing is going from the East Coast to
the West coast and a primetime game is typically bad

(02:54):
for those East Coast teams. We just saw the Steelers
go to LA and get smashed in prime time on
Sunday Night Football twenty five to ten. Also had a
quarterback that's less than one hundred percent in Aaron Rodgers.
So you know, I just think that traveling that distance
across the country playing in a late game is not

(03:16):
great for the Eagles, and the Eagles have been playing
their worst football this year right now. So also, no
Jalen Carter in this game for them, which is a
massive piece of their defense, which is obviously why they
gave up so many rushing yards and that Black Friday
game against the Bears. So as long as Herbert's up,
I'm gonna take the Chargers plus the two and a
half since they're at home and the Eagles have to
go all the way across the country. And they're not

(03:37):
playing good football right now, so Herbert's in. I will
go ahead and take the Chargers, all right.

Speaker 1 (03:43):
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Speaker 1 (05:25):
All right, let's get to the pixier of the props.
Justin Herbert thirty one and a half passing attempts bogs.
Which way you want to go on this one? With
the unknown looming for Justin Herbert in terms of how
healthy is he really? You say he's good to go.
I say, there's pins inside of his hand.

Speaker 3 (05:41):
I say, they say he's good to go. So it
looks like he's going to start. And also we have
props for him, which we don't have props from Marion
Hampton yet Kimani bite dal because we're just not sure there.
Those are the props I want it take in this
game more than anything, by the way, because the Eagles
have given up one hundred and sixty yards game over
their last three games on the ground. But we don't

(06:03):
know Hampton's status yet, so let's go with the under here.
Number one. I love this run game against the Eagles,
specifically without Jalen Carter. We saw them get chewed up
by it last week against the Bears. I mean, Mona
guy ran him over, Swift ran him over. They look great,
So the run dee is bad. I think that should

(06:23):
be your strategy when you have a gampee quarterback coming in.
But also Joe Herbert didn't hit this in four of
the last five games beforehand surgery, so it's not like
this is something that he typically does. Hampton should be
back again. I think they're gonna run down the throats.
And I just saw Aaron Rodgers play with a wrist injury.
They adjusted the entire offense to try to suit him,

(06:45):
and it was miserable. Right, he couldn't hand off, he
couldn't do this. He had to do pitches to the
right because he couldn't hand off with his left hand.
It was awful. So if we get anything close to that,
he's gonna be way under this number. So I just
think this is too many pass attempts right now. Yeah.

Speaker 1 (07:02):
See, that's my big concern too. And I spoke about
this on the FP channel with Debro in the live
stream the other day. I was like, well, you know,
sometimes handing them all off is tricky too, with the
broken hand and some kind of issue like that.

Speaker 3 (07:13):
It was all man the gross pitches to Jalen Warren
last week and it did not work. It was awful.

Speaker 1 (07:18):
No, no, And look, it makes it really tricky too,
for you know, he's going to be in shotgun. I
imagine a fair amount he would fourth pistol. Maybe the
Steelers did a lot of questions.

Speaker 3 (07:30):
They ran a ton of pistol because Aaron Rodgers couldn't
hand off with his left hand, so lots of pitches
out a pistol.

Speaker 1 (07:36):
We'll see what happens there. So what does this mean
for Keenan Allen and his props?

Speaker 3 (07:39):
For Yeah, let's hit some more unders. I'm not usually
the undertaker, but let me do an Andrew Rickson impression here.
Let's go under thirty four and a half receiving yards
for him under two of the last three weeks. He's
down to third for snaps for the Chargers wide receivers.
He was down to sixty percent last week. And obviously
we're projecting low pass attempts for just and Herbert here.

(08:00):
So I'm going to go with this under and one
more under joke. Can you believe it? Three unders out
of the five selections I have here?

Speaker 1 (08:08):
Well, So if it's under for Allen, who's the other
guy going for an under?

Speaker 3 (08:11):
With Aronde Gadsden, he is tight end eighteen over the
last five weeks in fantasy. He hasn't seen the same
since his knee injury against Pittsburgh a couple weeks ago,
and Philly is allowing the second fewest yards to tight
ends this season. Zach Bond and company, you know, if
you're in the slot, you're getting Cooper. So I just

(08:33):
I don't think Ronde Gatson's going to have a very
good game in this one. The Eagles cover the tight
ends very well. We project less passing attempts for Justin
Herbert in this game, so I think the run game
wins this With the Chargers, I want to take overs,
but we don't have numbers yet, so.

Speaker 1 (08:49):
All right, maybe something that's going over. One of the
few things that seems to be working right now for
the Eagles is AJ Brown. I've got some Aj Brown
investment later in the show we'll talk about. But how
do you want to invest on him on Monday Night?

Speaker 3 (09:02):
Yeah? I mean I want to take a lot of
you know, passing props for the Eagles here because you know,
number one, I think they'll be losing late, so I
think they're gonna be playing comeback and Jalen Hurt's gonna
have to pass more than he usually does. But over
the last three weeks, thirty five targets, thirty three targets,
twenty five receptions, three hundred and ninety one yards and
three touchdowns for aj Brown In the last three weeks

(09:24):
he has been surging and that's against Detroit, Dallas and Chicago.
So the run game has been wholly ineffective for the
Eagles right now. Saquon doesn't look the same. The line
doesn't look the same either. The blocking scheme has been working.
It just looks ugly right now. They look tired, honestly
is what it looks like. So they got a few

(09:45):
extra days of rest after Black Fridays, so maybe they'll
be better. But I think you keep AJ Brown involved here.
And you know, the secondary has been good for the
Charges this year, but they typically don't shadow a corner,
so I think AJ Brown will get open and when
he wants to get open and when they want to
throw in the ball, it works. So I think it'll
work here again.

Speaker 1 (10:06):
All right, another Eagles wide receiver, but not DeVonta Smith.
You've got John Dotson on your docket too. Sometimes we
like to look for those small numbers. We have a
small one here for John Dotson, So is it over
for that seven and a half?

Speaker 3 (10:17):
Yeah, I did see. He has the tow injury, so
he's questionable to play in this game. But he played
over fifty percent of the snaps last week, and this
number is so incredibly low. And thirty nine and thirty
four pass attempts for the Eagles the last two weeks.
Only five games with over thirty attempts for Jalen Hurts
this year. He's over fifty percent of snaps this week

(10:40):
and the previous week, so he's just on the field
a lot. I think the Eagles are going to have
to throw the ball a little bit more. I think
they know it because this run game has been so
completely ineffective. So I think that seven and a half
is just such a low number. That should be one
catch for Dotson here, so let's you kind of touch
down week, So let's just two catches. He sales over

(11:03):
this way over this. I just love this low number,
all right.

Speaker 1 (11:07):
Remember everybody, if you're looking at bet the props, use
the prop bet cheat sheet, head over to Betting Pros,
download the app, or just go to bettingpros dot com
slash props to find the very best in passing, rushing, receiving.
All of the stack categories are there. You get sorted
by game. You can sort of buy prop and the
best part is you get the best lines right there
in front of you, So sink your sports books for
free when you download the app. That way, you can
utilize the tools like the prop bet cheat sheet and

(11:28):
the same game parlay builder too, which spoiler alert because
I don't like this game. I'm gonna have a little
fun with this one. Okay, we'll see if it's right
or wrong. I don't know. But the SGP tool is
also there at bettingpros dot com slash parlay to help
you get the logical high value combinations and they'll show
you the grades of the parlays you're putting together. Two
they give you the best chance of correlating for OW

(11:49):
and that's what it's all about. I'm taking two touchdown
props and I'm putting them together. That's what I'm doing.
Two touchdown calls. One Jalen hurts why because the tush
push and eventually point they're gonna be close down there
and they're gonna go and do that. And the other
one is my touchdown call this week, which is AJ
Brown and plus one seventy five. So I'm gonna put
the Jalen Hurts give me touchdown with the A J.

(12:10):
Brown plus one seventy five, and I get plus five
hundred plus five twenty four on that bad boy. That's it.
Taking those two touchdowns. It could be fourteen to nothing.
I walk away. That's all I care about. I don't
even care that much. I don't even care about extra points.
It could be twelve nothing and I'm just gonna walk
away from this game and go to sleep. That's what
I'm gonna do.

Speaker 3 (12:27):
I'll be putting up if dick or misses two extra points.
That's my guy.

Speaker 1 (12:32):
But look, man, I'm just I'm just going through here
and just giving the Eagles to win this game. And
I just I'm not gonna overthink this one. I think
the Chargers are running that steam too many. The other
thing we're not talking about enough to with his injury
is still the offensive line injury. You know, we're still
missing starters on the offensive line, so it's not like
he's got the best protection in front of them already.
And now with the hand injury, I just think the

(12:54):
Eagles find ways to win this football game, but bogs
aj Brown's my touchdown call, which one's yours, I'm.

Speaker 3 (12:59):
Gonna go to kmmin. I think that if Hampton is back,
I don't know that we get a full Bucky Irving
assortment of touches from him. I think it's probably closer
to fifty to fifty specifically because Ydell has been so
effective in this role for the Chargers, and I honestly think,
you know, if we start getting numbers for these guys,
I'm gonna like overs on both. I'm definitely gonna like

(13:20):
the over on Videll if it's like under forty yards
for his rushing totals, So just keep that in mind
as well. But the number is great here plus two
seventy five, you're almost tripling up if Deal gets in
the end zone. So he's been good. The run defense
have been bad for Philly too, and then mister Jalen Carter,
so I like this one.

Speaker 1 (13:40):
When they don't have Jalen Carter, and when they do
it's so different.

Speaker 3 (13:43):
It's just obviously just he's one of the best defensive
tackles in the league.

Speaker 1 (13:46):
It's not you know, and they don't have an answer
for when he's not around it's just it's not good
either scheme wise or personnel wise. I haven't been able
to plug that hole. And Ydell's done a good job
this year, and he's he's worked himself somewhere. He's every charge.
We thought he was going to be rookie year. Yeah,
we know we did. We just never got the opportunity
there in La. But here we go. We gotta finally

(14:07):
got the opportunity and making the most of it. So
here you go, all right, everybody, make sure you subscribe
to the channel and make sure you ring that belt
that it goes DN go win that aj Brown helmet too.
When it scores a touchdown, it's gonna go up in value,
I'm pretty sure. So that'll do it for us. But
the story of the game goes on for Scott Bogging.

Speaker 3 (14:23):
I'm Joey p.

Speaker 1 (14:24):
We'll see you next time.

Speaker 2 (14:25):
Kids.

Speaker 3 (14:26):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
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by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
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Week 14 Monday Night Football Picks: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Chargers (Ep. 896)

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