February 17, 2026 • 29 mins
Join Seth Woolcock and Derek Brown as they break down the top metrics that you should be focused on when analyzing players in fantasy football!
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QB Metrics That Matter - 0:02:21
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RB Metrics That Matter - 0:13:15
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Pass-Catcher Metrics That Matter - 0:20:50
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:03):
All right, and welcome into the Fantasy Pros NFL Draft Show.
If you've ever wondered what college football metrics actually translate
to fancy football production, and which incoming twenty twenty six
NFL rookies excel in them, then this is the episode
for you. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and we're tapping
back into the big brain of our resident NFL Draft expert,
(00:25):
Derek Brown. He's the Internet's favorite raging Cajun, also a
big time Tate grinder. De bro, how are you as
we attempt to really just simply exist in this time
between the Senior Bowl and the FL combine.
Speaker 2 (00:37):
Trying to live my best life. Baby. We're out here.
Speaker 3 (00:40):
We're trying to get all through all this film, all
these prospects, and everything in between.
Speaker 2 (00:44):
It's a good time, Seth. And then we're going to
get through this. And I just want to before we hop.
Speaker 3 (00:49):
Into all the contexts and all the things about metrics,
I just want to preface this entire episode saying, like, look,
everything that what we do in analyzing prospects is trying
to build the best most complete picture between numbers and
film that we can for every prospect and all the
analysis we put out there. So what we're going to
(01:09):
give you is is a high level view of the
metrics that we think matter, how they translate, why they matter,
and some not all, but some of the prospects that
pop as far as what they're looking at some of
these numbers.
Speaker 1 (01:25):
Yeah, and it's so tough to contextualize everything that goes
into a college football player prospect, right because of the
different schemes, the different conferences, and just the different ways
they can be utilized with the different players in their program.
So I'm excited to break that all down for you today.
As Derek mentioned, today's show does look like this. We're
going to break down the top metrics that Derek really
(01:48):
relies on for each skill position, the quarterbacks, the running backs,
and then pass catchers as well, wide receivers and an
tight ends group together, and then we'll talk about some
of the twenty twenty six prospects that are really shining
in them as well. So before we jump in, shout
to everyone watching us either on the brand new Fantasy
pros Disty YouTube channel or that audio feed Easiest Freeways
for us. Give this video a thumbs up and make
(02:09):
sure you subscribe to the channel if you haven't already,
we'd really appreciate that. Again, this is going to be
the new home base for all our dnasty content, so
we need your help to grow it. Let's go ahead
and jump right in here, Derek to the most important
college football quarterback metrics that you are really wet in
your whistle to for potential future NFL production. What are
(02:29):
those key stats you're considering, Derek when it comes to
the signal color position and is there anyone in this
class in particular that kind of pops into any of them?
Speaker 3 (02:37):
Yeah, So I mean a top down approach with this.
I care about adjust a completion rate, big time throw rate,
clean pocket passer rating. Just to point out a few
stats for quarterbacks, and we could go deep into this
about like, you know, how they perform versus pressure, how
do they perform as a deep ball passer, and stuff
like that. But you see a lot of variability year
(02:58):
to year in some of those other metrics, like the
deep ball stuff and the pressure stuff because a lot
of this with football being a team sport, there are
no two pressures are made the same. You have quick pressure,
you have pressure that can be because of the offensive
line and because of the quarterback. So a lot of
that stuff can kind of get wonky and get very
muddy very quickly. So just kind of looking at for me,
(03:21):
when I'm looking at quarterback stuff and really just players
in general, efficiency is a reflection of talent. And when
you're looking at quarterbacks, the big thing I care about
is can you throw the freaking football? So when I'm
looking at this stuff, and if all the things around
you are perfect, can you operate or are you operating
at a high level? And so some of these metrics
(03:43):
kind of perfectly paint that. When you're looking at a
just a completion rate and big time throw rate, and
that is kind of reflective of arm talent. Are you
making those tight window throws, those throws that are big
down the field and that are not is everything Because
we talk about okay, college quarterback and just projecting to
the NFL seth It's like they're seeing a lot more
(04:03):
off coverage. They're not going to see as much man coverage.
They're not going to see as many like designed and
blitzes and things like that and defensive looks. So quarterbacks
are going to face a hurdle when going from college
to the NFL. So you know, with some of these guys,
it's are you an accurate thrower of the football, And
just to kind of paint this picture before we get
into this year's class, a guy that I was high
(04:24):
on in the process and not everybody was as high,
and we saw him ball out in the freaking NFL
from day one, told everybody he was a better prospect
than Cam Woard. Nobody wanted to hear it last year.
And Jackson Dart last year in the metrics that I'm
talking about was eleventh and adjusted completion rate eighth and
big time throw rate and he was tenth and clean
pocket passer rating. So just kind of going back from
(04:46):
yesteryear and transposing to this year, Yes, these metrics do
matter and the guys, and I've only wanted to talk
about two guys. One of them is the low hanging fruit,
another one you're a hater. But it's a deeper poll
in this class the quarterback position, because we know that
this quarterback class is not outstanding.
Speaker 2 (05:03):
It's not amazing.
Speaker 3 (05:05):
Now losing another top prospect with Trinidad Chambel is going
back to college, it's getting even worse. But two guys
that do stand out is from Anano Mendoza. I know, shocker,
big shocker here and my guy Cole Peyton. So looking
at Mendoza last year, he was eighth in adjust a
completion rate, he was twenty fifth in big time throw rate,
and you're looking at what he did from a clean pocket.
(05:27):
He was second best in clean pocket passer rating. And
so you know, and I know that none of that's
gonna surprise people because from Anna, Mendoza's the top quarterback
of this class, the clear top quarterback of this class.
He's gonna go first overall in the NFL draft. So
not a lot of like you know, outstanding or surprising
metrics with Mendoza there, but Cole Peyton bringing them up here.
(05:49):
Set So I don't know whether you want to you know,
pension os closeure ears.
Speaker 2 (05:53):
You know you don't want to hear any see.
Speaker 1 (05:55):
I can just leave, we can make it easy on it.
Speaker 2 (05:57):
It's fine, it's fine, it's fine.
Speaker 3 (05:58):
I'll just let your own out, go get something to
It's okay. You can come back in the next three
to five minutes. But Cole Payton last year amongst all
FBS and FCS quarterbacks with at least one hundred and
fifty dropbacks, eighteenth and ad just a completion rate first
led everybody seth and big time throw rate and from
(06:20):
a clean pocket he was scoorth in passer rating. So
the numbers also back that up. And the reason that
I lump all those guys together, like you're talking about,
what do we want to see from a guy that
is at a lower level. You want to see him
out just play like incredible ball and look like the
best player on the field, and just be a freaking stud,
(06:41):
like unquestioned stud and dominate the level of competition that
he's at. Well, cal Peyton did that on a film
perspective and a metrics perspective. And I know there's lots
of things that we could talk about that worry us
about col Peyton, but the NFL arm strength and the
arm talent is definitively there. And I just think it's
(07:01):
funny that, like, you know a lot of people that
are like and this isn't just being you know, ragged
on you, but a lot of people. I think if
we were to go back in the time machine and
we were to talk about Cole Payton and air drop
him into previous classes, he's a better prospect than freaking
Trey Lance, and Trey Lance went top five in the
NFL Draft. I can argue he's a better prospect on
(07:23):
paper than freaking Carson Wentz and from an arm talent perspective, no,
I'm not putting him in that Josh Allen file him and.
Speaker 2 (07:30):
Stuff like that.
Speaker 3 (07:30):
But these are all guys that went to smaller schools
and the competition and all that kind of stuff, and
that didn't hurt their draft stock. But in a down
quarterback class, we're not talking about Cole Payton, like make
it make sense, people.
Speaker 1 (07:44):
We have an upcoming Sleepers episode, so I will save
my opinion on Peyton for that. I didn't want to
talk about ACR though. In this metric, Derek, I feel
like for me it's helpful because it kind of removes
some of those outside factors like an elite receiving core right,
because I feel like it's a lot easier to complete
passes when you're doing it to players like Jeremiah Smith
or Carnell Tait. So it's something off the way in
(08:06):
the next year when we have some of these quarterbacks
who've been thrown just absolute dynamite receiving course, I don't
think there's as much of that in this class Fernanda Mendoza.
Of course he had Charlie Becker, Elijah s Rotten, Nomark
Cooper junior, but still not like any absolute studs. And
like to me, Derek, I think accuracy is something we
talk a lot about, but I don't think we really
(08:26):
discuss how fully important it is to making a good
quality NFL quarterback. Like, look at some of the most
accurate NFL quarterbacks from last year, Drake May seventy two percent,
Mac Jones almost seventy percent, Rock Purty sixty nine point
four percent. Like, I'm not sure if part of that
And probably you can answer this is the offenses they
play in, right, But if I also had to guess,
(08:47):
these quarterbacks probably had pretty elite adjusted completion rates in
college as well, am I correct on that?
Speaker 2 (08:52):
Yeah?
Speaker 3 (08:52):
And this kind of goes back to the merriment of
metrics and film and what you're looking at, like what
are the throw that these guys are asked to do,
and are they completing just layup throws?
Speaker 2 (09:05):
Is it an offense?
Speaker 3 (09:07):
Because sometimes the numbers can lie to you as well,
where you'll get guys that the adott is incredibly low.
They's screen heavy offenses. It's a lot of design and
first read stuff and they're not throwing into tight windows.
But to your point, accuracy freaking matters, dude, because the
one thing that we talked about and Josh Allen kind
of bucked the entire trend and went out and changed
(09:28):
like so much of what he did as a passer.
But how many quarterbacks Can we zoom out and say
how many quarterbacks actually do that going from college to
the NFL? And so much of this is muscle memory,
and it's like, look, dude, you're either an accurate thrower
of the football or you're not. Can you improve to
a certain extent? Sure, but that's a projection if we
(09:52):
want to talk about, Okay, which one am I more
likely to gravitate towards a guy that has shown accuracy
on film and on paper in college or one that
we're projecting like somebody like Anthony Richardson in previous classes,
where it's like, can he become an accurate thrower of
the football?
Speaker 2 (10:11):
Give me the guy that's actually.
Speaker 3 (10:12):
An accurate thrower of the football right now versus somebody
we're saying, oh the arm talent, What could he be
this is like the family guy thing.
Speaker 2 (10:21):
He could just be a boat.
Speaker 1 (10:24):
And it's one of those situations too, Derek, Like, I
definitely in the past have kind of gotten folded by
these quarterbacks, whether it's Anthony Richardson or even going back
to the past, Tim Tebow right because he had his
throwing motion, he wasn't an elite accurate quarterback and it's
hard to change that. You mentioned Josh Allen, He's someone
I think who has really been able to buck that
trend a little bit. And same with like Daniel Jones,
(10:45):
right with how Daniel Jones has kind of developed a
little bit more of an accurate quarterback compared to what
we saw when he first came into the NFL, although
like his calling card at Duke, I'm sure looking back
what was being a bit more of a game manager
accurate type of passer. So yeah, it's hard to imagine.
And like, I'm not expecting Jaylen Milroe to come out
anytime soon and look like he's gonna be the most
(11:06):
accurate pastor in the league because he just has never
been that from a collegiate level. So I like this
a lot, man, I think there's great context to it. There,
and you're not gonna make it in the NFL if
you're an interaccurate, inaccurate quarterback. Right there's too much harms
way they can put the ball into. Too many elite
athletes on the other side of the ball that can
really get you in trouble. And before we keep it moving,
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Speaker 1 (13:19):
And let's go ahead, Derek Brown, and drop into your
top metrics that matter for the running back prospects. Always
a tough situation, always a position where I think a
lot of people have a lot of helmet scouting, a
lot of bias coming into it. So what are some
of those metrics Derek that help you remove that?
Speaker 2 (13:35):
Yeah?
Speaker 3 (13:36):
So, I mean we all talk about and I'm not
going to highlight the pass catching stuff, uh with this
because I feel like with you know, we could talk
about yards per route run and things like that and
certain you know, counting stats. I don't really want to
get into just like the raw counting stats for pass
catching with running backs because a lot of that goes
back to scheme, the receiving weapons, what the these backs
(14:00):
were asked to do based off of whether it was
you know, function, fashion of the offense, what have you
and stuff. So like that's a a whole different conversation.
And again, it can't get muddy very quickly. The thing
that I love to focus for running backs and the
thing that absolutely translate from college to the NFL in
so many different aspects is the ability to create yards
(14:22):
for yourself and the ability to break tackles. And so
whether that's skill, those two skills serve you well as
a rusher and a receiver because regardless of whether you're
handed the ball off, you're getting a toss or you're
getting a swing pass, are you able to freaking do
something with the ball in your hands or are you not?
(14:45):
And so looking at this again, this is just a
reflection of talent, and efficiency is also a reflection of talent.
So the two metrics that I think are really sticky
are mistackles forced or whether you want to contextualize that
into miss tackles force per attempt, and yards such a
contact per tenth And just to you know, zooming out
with this class, the guys that kind of pop with this,
and we could name a ton of guys, but Emma Johnson,
(15:09):
Jadarien Price, and Jonah Coleman.
Speaker 2 (15:11):
Again, I could have talked.
Speaker 3 (15:12):
About Jeremiah Love, but dude, everybody knows he's at the
top of the list and near everything you talk about,
so there's no utility in talking about Hey, guess what,
Jeremiah Love is really good at football, and he's really
good at this, this, and this. So the other guys
in this class that are also really good in these
metrics are again this three pack of players. There's more,
(15:33):
but this three pack of players that I wanted to
talk about because Emma Johnson last year, I don't think
people realized that he was sixth in miss.
Speaker 2 (15:39):
Tackles forced overall. So yes, that is.
Speaker 3 (15:42):
Also accounting stat and can go back to volume. But
if you looked at it on a per touch basis,
he's fourth in this class in miss tackles force per
attempt And just to contextualize this number, twenty six percent
rate of miss tackles force per attempt. The only three
running backs ahead of him are Jeremiah Love at twenty
eight so not far off, k Tron Allen at twenty
(16:03):
seven percent and Jendarium Price at twenty seven percent, and
again leading into Jenerarium Price, he's third in this class,
right behind on the heels of Jeremiah Love on a
per touch aspect, and then when you want to talk
about yards of the contact, pretent Jendarium Price twenty fifth
and fifth in yards of the contact per attempt over
the last two years, and just around this out dude,
(16:24):
Jon of freaking Coleman over the last three years, and
yards are to contact per attempt fifty fourth, thirteenth and
first amongst all running backs with at least one hundred carries.
So while everybody else is crapping on this running back class,
I'm like, dude, I don't think he'll realize that, Like,
it might not be deep. I'm with that, But there
(16:45):
are five running backs in this class, three of which
I just talked about outside of Jeremiah Love, that are
hashtag really good at football and really good at breaking tackles.
Speaker 1 (16:56):
Yeah, and it makes sense, right, because this allows us
to remove the biggest factor I think for just like
stats when it comes to base running backs, right, and
it's the offensive line, right, Because you watch Michigan Derek
this past year, they continued to have injuries in that
backfield to some really good running backs, whether it was
(17:17):
Marshall going down or early in the season we saw
their starter go down as well, and they were having
to turn to Surfing and other guys like that, and
it didn't matter who was there for Michigan. Justice Haines
was awesome at the beginning of the season, but Surfin
did a great job late in the year too, and
he got the ball just because like that offensive line
is so good. But it really made it hard to tell, like,
is Haines good Like I couldn't tell you, right, I
(17:39):
couldn't tell you if, like from a prospect level, because
he's running behind one of the best offensive lines. And
the thing I like about this stat that in miss
tackles force I think is sticky. Is you talk about
how you think this twenty twenty six class is pretty
good for running backs sneakily, Derek, I think the twenty
twenty seven to one is going to be really good
because you look at PFF put out just about a
(17:59):
month into this season, the mistackles forced leaders in college football.
You have guys like Amaud Hardy Kawan Lacy at the
top of the board. There will be some of the
top propects for twenty twenty seven, and they were absolutely
dynamite down the stretch. You have other guys on that
list like Mark Fletcher Junior who showed up for Miami
deep down the stretch, Jayden Ba for Florida, and then
(18:19):
two guys for the Texas Longhorns who were two of
the best transfers in the portal NC States at Hollywood
smothers were leak brown out of Arizona State, Like and
when you you know everything was removed at the end
of the day, Derek, and you're looking at who are
the best running backs in college football? It is those guys, right,
And it is those guys because not of their offensive lines,
but what they can make and force for themselves. So
(18:42):
it's one of those things like I'm we saw it
pretty much with Jalen Warren. Remember when Jalen Warren came
in the league, Derek, and like a.
Speaker 2 (18:48):
DFA, Are you DFA?
Speaker 3 (18:51):
And there are tweets out there where I pointed this
out from the hop he should have never gone undrafted.
Speaker 2 (18:56):
Dude, Yes to your point about Jalen Warren.
Speaker 3 (18:59):
In real quick contact, about some of the guys you
brought up there off the cuff. Amad Hardy last year
amongst all running backs of Lisa Hunter, Carey's eighth and
yards utter contact per attempt, I kind of be remiss here,
but you talked about Mark Fletcher Junior twenty ninth and
yards after contact per attempt. Just to contextualize those again,
Jenderium Price last year, twenty fifth.
Speaker 2 (19:19):
And also I would be remiss if.
Speaker 3 (19:21):
I didn't also give a shout out to my dude here,
Mike Washington Junior. Again another player being slept on in
this class thirty first ten yards utter contact per attempt.
Speaker 2 (19:32):
These guys are good good seth.
Speaker 1 (19:35):
Yeah, are our guy Ryan heath over at fancy Points.
He does some really good studies almost every single year
on miss tackles four. So I would definitely encourage y'all
to check that out if you're encouraged by the stat
if it's something you want to look into more as
a metric that you know you're really resting some of
your fancy faith in. So Derek, I appreciate that. Before
we round it out here with pass catchers, just a
(19:56):
quick reminder that if you're listening to the audio version,
please check out our brand new Fantasy Dynasty YouTube channel
that we just launched. We're bringing you rookie rankings, super
flex strategy, startup drafts, and trade advice all year long.
Super excited for it. So if you're building for the future,
this is a channel designed for you. Just searched Fantasy
(20:17):
Pros Dynasty channel on YouTube and hit that subscribe button.
We really appreciate that. Derek's been really cool to kind
of break off from the main channel. It's always scary,
right taking this jump, but I know between you and
I on the NFL draft side and everything that our
friends worm Fits and Bogs are doing over there on
the Dynasty Show, it's great to have our kind of
(20:37):
a little bit of our own space for the year long. Djens, Well, dude,
this is a rocket ship.
Speaker 3 (20:42):
So everybody just hop on. Man, we're doing nothing but
going up, baby, going up.
Speaker 1 (20:46):
Yes, s yes, sir, Absolutely, Derek. Let's go ahead and
jump into your favorite metrics for pass catchers that are
important to consider for future Fantasy and NFL production. And
maybe some wide receivers are tight ends that do or
don't really excel at that in this class. Man.
Speaker 3 (21:02):
Yeah, I mean I think that the tight ends I'm
not going to include in here only because the tight
end class is not nearly as good as it was
last year and it's really shallow. So a lot of
the top names that are. You know that people are
not going to be surprised by that. But the wide
receivers and stuff, I mean, really the two the two
metrics that I look at from a high level view
is yards per route run and yards per.
Speaker 2 (21:24):
Route run versus band coverage.
Speaker 3 (21:25):
And could I also bring up miss tackles forced and
yack perception and some of these other things that matter.
Speaker 2 (21:33):
I could.
Speaker 3 (21:34):
But the other thing about it is mistackles force. There
are a million and a lot of This just goes
back to so many different skill sets and so many
different archetypes of wide receivers, and you'll see a lot
of the mistackles forced. Leaders amongst wide receivers are a
lot of your low A dot slot type guys. And
this makes sense if you just like logistically think about, Okay,
(21:57):
these guys are given more low A dot targets, so
they're put in situations where they either have to or
they're forced to create after the catch. A lot of
players at wide receivers that are being used at all
three levels of the field and not really more in
a short and intermediate portion of the field or heavier
in that aspect, aren't going to break tackles. A lot
(22:18):
because or add a higher clip only because no two
targets are created equal. So these downfield targets, especially when
we get into and Joe and I kind of talked
about this on the film session over on Twitch the
other day, whereas like ball placement from quarterbacks, especially when
you're looking at intermediate and deep targets, matters a ton
(22:39):
in the sense of the are you getting a target
in stride? Is the quarterback leading you down the field?
Is that going to either hurt, help, or hinder what
you're doing after the freaking catch with the ball in
your hands. So, and this also can be talked about
with yards per route run, So like the wide receivers
cannot row the freaking ball to themselves, so they are
(23:02):
beholden to quarterback play even if they are getting open
in a lot of aspects. So the metrics also again
going back to it need to be married with film,
but looking at just yards per route run and yards
per rout run versus man coverage where you do need
that skill set to be able to play with your
play strength and your route running get open versus man
(23:22):
coverage and a lot of instances press coverage in those
man's situations not always, but a lot of times the
guys that want to highlight here Carnal Tate, Mikaya Lemon,
and Jacoby Lane for everybody else, Carnal Tate last year
was tenth and yards per route run against man are
overall twenty seventh in yards per rout run against man coverage.
(23:43):
And again this is all FBS wide receivers with at
least fifteen targets against man coverage. McKay Lemon sixthn yards
per route run, nineteenth in yards per rout run versus
maan coverage. And just to round this out, this three pack.
Jacoby Lane a guy that we're going to talk about
in our next episode, but right now he's not getting
(24:03):
enough love for all the talk about all these wide receivers.
Jacobe Lane last year was fifty second in yards per
route run, but twenty ninth in yards per route run
against man coverage. Again, right there, nipping at the heels
of Carnel Tait in that metric, you know.
Speaker 1 (24:20):
And the tough thing about grading collegiate productions, specifically from
a pass catching standpoint, Derek, is like it's not contextualized, right,
Like you were talking the other night that a player
I really like in the collegiate streets right now coming
out as a prospect is Eli Hendrich. He was an
absolute stud for Navy and ultimately finished with just over
nine hundred receiving yards through the air on fifty one receptions.
(24:43):
And like you look at those numbers and like you
might just say it is what it is, but you
got to keep in mind, like that's Navy, Derek, right,
Like that is a service academy that is usually ranked
one hundred and twentieth plus in passing attempts, one hundred
and twentieth plus and just overall passing production. And then
you like look at someone like from a pass happy offense.
Let's just say like Western Kentucky, right the air raid.
(25:04):
Everyone knows how much Western Kentucky likes to throw it.
It doesn't matter as if it's mcgiver back there or
it's been any of those other quarter of the zappies
that we've seen come out of this this dumb there's
always production there, and then it can lead to some
fraudulent numbers, right, I mean Malachai Corley, anyone that was
a guy that I was with, Dude, I.
Speaker 3 (25:23):
Pushed back the entirety of the process, the receipts are
out there. Everybody's like Malkai Corley, mal Kaik Corley and
mal Kay Corley. And I was like, no, there's no
And you see how the careers when we flip over
the cards after a few years, how they go for
these guys.
Speaker 2 (25:39):
Man.
Speaker 1 (25:40):
Yeah, So, like you know, that's why I think yards
per route run is a great metric to keep an
eye on, just because it's gonna show you things like, Okay,
this guy was just an average wide receiver, but he
played in a really explosive offense that had a lot
of passing yards versus someone like Heinrich who he did
the best of what he had, you know what I mean.
So you know, I'm sure Harold Fannon Junior is another
(26:03):
one that we can kind of go back to that
Bowling Green wasn't like an elite offense, but but he's
someone who continued to just make the most of his
situation a year ago. So well, Derek, this.
Speaker 3 (26:13):
All kind of goes back to too, where it's counting
stats versus individual route efficiency, and sometimes the counting stats
get hurt because of the context of the offense, the
quarterback play or injuries, and guys don't fill up the
box scores like that. So it's like or vice versa.
People are like, oh my god, that guy was a
thousand yard receiver. Okay, well they were incredibly pass happy
(26:36):
and on a per route basis, he wasn't efficient at all.
So it's like what you're looking at is false signal
on both sides of the coin.
Speaker 2 (26:43):
That was one of the reasons.
Speaker 3 (26:45):
And this isn't me like just you know, tooton my
own horn here, but this is one of the reasons
why I was so incredibly high on Pookinakua when he
came out. It was because on a per route efficiency,
this guy was freaking awesome. Man, Like he was checking
boxes on a yards per route run basis where everybody's like,
oh yeah, but and then the combine happens, like oh.
Speaker 1 (27:04):
But he's not fast, no no, no.
Speaker 3 (27:06):
No, and it's like, oh, dude, come on, be better
than this people real quick.
Speaker 1 (27:11):
Before we go, Derek, do you have it on hand?
I'm curious Eli Stowers versus Sadik who is better in
yards per route run? Do you have I don't know
if you have that because I got to peel back
the curtain here before we go. Live here in our
Fantasy pros analyst chat our guy Ryan Wormley, He's talking about, Hey, like,
I think we need to make some adjustments to the
(27:32):
e CR rankings. He's like, I haven't met one person
with Eli Stowers above Sadik, And then I didn't want
to come out of the you know, come out of
nowhere and just be like, Hey, it's me, I'm the problem.
It's me with my rankings, I think doing it. Tell
me what do we got here?
Speaker 3 (27:48):
Stours Berry on per route efficiency, so let's stack him up. Well,
we'll just a little stack this up real quick. So
over the last two years at Oregon, Sadiq one point
six two two point one yards per route run, Eli
Sotours two point five five and two point four to three,
even if you want to go all the way back
(28:09):
to freaking twenty twenty three one point.
Speaker 2 (28:12):
Eight nine so.
Speaker 1 (28:15):
On.
Speaker 2 (28:16):
And I have not watched either one of them yet.
Speaker 3 (28:18):
I will absolutely just just be fully transparent about that.
So I don't know where I'm gonna come down, but
that might be one of the things Whereyan mess.
Speaker 2 (28:29):
We will see. We will see.
Speaker 1 (28:31):
Yeah, out of your point, You're not wrong, I'm the problem.
It's me. I'm the anti hero of this particular program.
I think I apologed swifty.
Speaker 3 (28:40):
You need a swifty hoodie now, just to throw it
out there should be wearing a swifty hoodie that.
Speaker 1 (28:43):
Carhart's hold up these fars, we gotta we gotta bundle
off just about to get above freezing for the first
time since Uh now.
Speaker 2 (28:53):
I know what I'm getting you for your birthday.
Speaker 1 (28:55):
So there's that fair. I will wear Taylor Swisch s
feasher any day, my friend, and and I'll also come
back and podcast with you any day as well. That
is going to do it for us. So on this
episode of the Fantasy Pros NFL Draft Show, please do
a quick favors smash that like butun If you enjoyed
this video, also don't forget subscribe to the Fantasy Pros
Dynasty YouTube channel and the audio feed for Derek Brown
(29:17):
said Wilcock, take care of y'all.
Speaker 5 (29:19):
Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Dynasty Football podcast.
If you love the show, the best freeway to support
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Speaker 1 (29:35):
Slash Fantasy pros
All right, and welcome into the Fantasy Pros NFL Draft Show.
If you've ever wondered what college football metrics actually translate
to fancy football production, and which incoming twenty twenty six
NFL rookies excel in them, then this is the episode
for you. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and we're tapping
back into the big brain of our resident NFL Draft expert,
(00:25):
Derek Brown. He's the Internet's favorite raging Cajun, also a
big time Tate grinder. De bro, how are you as
we attempt to really just simply exist in this time
between the Senior Bowl and the FL combine.
Speaker 2 (00:37):
Trying to live my best life. Baby. We're out here.
Speaker 3 (00:40):
We're trying to get all through all this film, all
these prospects, and everything in between.
Speaker 2 (00:44):
It's a good time, Seth. And then we're going to
get through this. And I just want to before we hop.
Speaker 3 (00:49):
Into all the contexts and all the things about metrics,
I just want to preface this entire episode saying, like, look,
everything that what we do in analyzing prospects is trying
to build the best most complete picture between numbers and
film that we can for every prospect and all the
analysis we put out there. So what we're going to
(01:09):
give you is is a high level view of the
metrics that we think matter, how they translate, why they matter,
and some not all, but some of the prospects that
pop as far as what they're looking at some of
these numbers.
Speaker 1 (01:25):
Yeah, and it's so tough to contextualize everything that goes
into a college football player prospect, right because of the
different schemes, the different conferences, and just the different ways
they can be utilized with the different players in their program.
So I'm excited to break that all down for you today.
As Derek mentioned, today's show does look like this. We're
going to break down the top metrics that Derek really
(01:48):
relies on for each skill position, the quarterbacks, the running backs,
and then pass catchers as well, wide receivers and an
tight ends group together, and then we'll talk about some
of the twenty twenty six prospects that are really shining
in them as well. So before we jump in, shout
to everyone watching us either on the brand new Fantasy
pros Disty YouTube channel or that audio feed Easiest Freeways
for us. Give this video a thumbs up and make
(02:09):
sure you subscribe to the channel if you haven't already,
we'd really appreciate that. Again, this is going to be
the new home base for all our dnasty content, so
we need your help to grow it. Let's go ahead
and jump right in here, Derek to the most important
college football quarterback metrics that you are really wet in
your whistle to for potential future NFL production. What are
(02:29):
those key stats you're considering, Derek when it comes to
the signal color position and is there anyone in this
class in particular that kind of pops into any of them?
Speaker 3 (02:37):
Yeah, So I mean a top down approach with this.
I care about adjust a completion rate, big time throw rate,
clean pocket passer rating. Just to point out a few
stats for quarterbacks, and we could go deep into this
about like, you know, how they perform versus pressure, how
do they perform as a deep ball passer, and stuff
like that. But you see a lot of variability year
(02:58):
to year in some of those other metrics, like the
deep ball stuff and the pressure stuff because a lot
of this with football being a team sport, there are
no two pressures are made the same. You have quick pressure,
you have pressure that can be because of the offensive
line and because of the quarterback. So a lot of
that stuff can kind of get wonky and get very
muddy very quickly. So just kind of looking at for me,
(03:21):
when I'm looking at quarterback stuff and really just players
in general, efficiency is a reflection of talent. And when
you're looking at quarterbacks, the big thing I care about
is can you throw the freaking football? So when I'm
looking at this stuff, and if all the things around
you are perfect, can you operate or are you operating
at a high level? And so some of these metrics
(03:43):
kind of perfectly paint that. When you're looking at a
just a completion rate and big time throw rate, and
that is kind of reflective of arm talent. Are you
making those tight window throws, those throws that are big
down the field and that are not is everything Because
we talk about okay, college quarterback and just projecting to
the NFL seth It's like they're seeing a lot more
(04:03):
off coverage. They're not going to see as much man coverage.
They're not going to see as many like designed and
blitzes and things like that and defensive looks. So quarterbacks
are going to face a hurdle when going from college
to the NFL. So you know, with some of these guys,
it's are you an accurate thrower of the football, And
just to kind of paint this picture before we get
into this year's class, a guy that I was high
(04:24):
on in the process and not everybody was as high,
and we saw him ball out in the freaking NFL
from day one, told everybody he was a better prospect
than Cam Woard. Nobody wanted to hear it last year.
And Jackson Dart last year in the metrics that I'm
talking about was eleventh and adjusted completion rate eighth and
big time throw rate and he was tenth and clean
pocket passer rating. So just kind of going back from
(04:46):
yesteryear and transposing to this year, Yes, these metrics do
matter and the guys, and I've only wanted to talk
about two guys. One of them is the low hanging fruit,
another one you're a hater. But it's a deeper poll
in this class the quarterback position, because we know that
this quarterback class is not outstanding.
Speaker 2 (05:03):
It's not amazing.
Speaker 3 (05:05):
Now losing another top prospect with Trinidad Chambel is going
back to college, it's getting even worse. But two guys
that do stand out is from Anano Mendoza. I know, shocker,
big shocker here and my guy Cole Peyton. So looking
at Mendoza last year, he was eighth in adjust a
completion rate, he was twenty fifth in big time throw rate,
and you're looking at what he did from a clean pocket.
(05:27):
He was second best in clean pocket passer rating. And
so you know, and I know that none of that's
gonna surprise people because from Anna, Mendoza's the top quarterback
of this class, the clear top quarterback of this class.
He's gonna go first overall in the NFL draft. So
not a lot of like you know, outstanding or surprising
metrics with Mendoza there, but Cole Peyton bringing them up here.
(05:49):
Set So I don't know whether you want to you know,
pension os closeure ears.
Speaker 2 (05:53):
You know you don't want to hear any see.
Speaker 1 (05:55):
I can just leave, we can make it easy on it.
Speaker 2 (05:57):
It's fine, it's fine, it's fine.
Speaker 3 (05:58):
I'll just let your own out, go get something to
It's okay. You can come back in the next three
to five minutes. But Cole Payton last year amongst all
FBS and FCS quarterbacks with at least one hundred and
fifty dropbacks, eighteenth and ad just a completion rate first
led everybody seth and big time throw rate and from
(06:20):
a clean pocket he was scoorth in passer rating. So
the numbers also back that up. And the reason that
I lump all those guys together, like you're talking about,
what do we want to see from a guy that
is at a lower level. You want to see him
out just play like incredible ball and look like the
best player on the field, and just be a freaking stud,
(06:41):
like unquestioned stud and dominate the level of competition that
he's at. Well, cal Peyton did that on a film
perspective and a metrics perspective. And I know there's lots
of things that we could talk about that worry us
about col Peyton, but the NFL arm strength and the
arm talent is definitively there. And I just think it's
(07:01):
funny that, like, you know a lot of people that
are like and this isn't just being you know, ragged
on you, but a lot of people. I think if
we were to go back in the time machine and
we were to talk about Cole Payton and air drop
him into previous classes, he's a better prospect than freaking
Trey Lance, and Trey Lance went top five in the
NFL Draft. I can argue he's a better prospect on
(07:23):
paper than freaking Carson Wentz and from an arm talent perspective, no,
I'm not putting him in that Josh Allen file him and.
Speaker 2 (07:30):
Stuff like that.
Speaker 3 (07:30):
But these are all guys that went to smaller schools
and the competition and all that kind of stuff, and
that didn't hurt their draft stock. But in a down
quarterback class, we're not talking about Cole Payton, like make
it make sense, people.
Speaker 1 (07:44):
We have an upcoming Sleepers episode, so I will save
my opinion on Peyton for that. I didn't want to
talk about ACR though. In this metric, Derek, I feel
like for me it's helpful because it kind of removes
some of those outside factors like an elite receiving core right,
because I feel like it's a lot easier to complete
passes when you're doing it to players like Jeremiah Smith
or Carnell Tait. So it's something off the way in
(08:06):
the next year when we have some of these quarterbacks
who've been thrown just absolute dynamite receiving course, I don't
think there's as much of that in this class Fernanda Mendoza.
Of course he had Charlie Becker, Elijah s Rotten, Nomark
Cooper junior, but still not like any absolute studs. And
like to me, Derek, I think accuracy is something we
talk a lot about, but I don't think we really
(08:26):
discuss how fully important it is to making a good
quality NFL quarterback. Like, look at some of the most
accurate NFL quarterbacks from last year, Drake May seventy two percent,
Mac Jones almost seventy percent, Rock Purty sixty nine point
four percent. Like, I'm not sure if part of that
And probably you can answer this is the offenses they
play in, right, But if I also had to guess,
(08:47):
these quarterbacks probably had pretty elite adjusted completion rates in
college as well, am I correct on that?
Speaker 2 (08:52):
Yeah?
Speaker 3 (08:52):
And this kind of goes back to the merriment of
metrics and film and what you're looking at, like what
are the throw that these guys are asked to do,
and are they completing just layup throws?
Speaker 2 (09:05):
Is it an offense?
Speaker 3 (09:07):
Because sometimes the numbers can lie to you as well,
where you'll get guys that the adott is incredibly low.
They's screen heavy offenses. It's a lot of design and
first read stuff and they're not throwing into tight windows.
But to your point, accuracy freaking matters, dude, because the
one thing that we talked about and Josh Allen kind
of bucked the entire trend and went out and changed
(09:28):
like so much of what he did as a passer.
But how many quarterbacks Can we zoom out and say
how many quarterbacks actually do that going from college to
the NFL? And so much of this is muscle memory,
and it's like, look, dude, you're either an accurate thrower
of the football or you're not. Can you improve to
a certain extent? Sure, but that's a projection if we
(09:52):
want to talk about, Okay, which one am I more
likely to gravitate towards a guy that has shown accuracy
on film and on paper in college or one that
we're projecting like somebody like Anthony Richardson in previous classes,
where it's like, can he become an accurate thrower of
the football?
Speaker 2 (10:11):
Give me the guy that's actually.
Speaker 3 (10:12):
An accurate thrower of the football right now versus somebody
we're saying, oh the arm talent, What could he be
this is like the family guy thing.
Speaker 2 (10:21):
He could just be a boat.
Speaker 1 (10:24):
And it's one of those situations too, Derek, Like, I
definitely in the past have kind of gotten folded by
these quarterbacks, whether it's Anthony Richardson or even going back
to the past, Tim Tebow right because he had his
throwing motion, he wasn't an elite accurate quarterback and it's
hard to change that. You mentioned Josh Allen, He's someone
I think who has really been able to buck that
trend a little bit. And same with like Daniel Jones,
(10:45):
right with how Daniel Jones has kind of developed a
little bit more of an accurate quarterback compared to what
we saw when he first came into the NFL, although
like his calling card at Duke, I'm sure looking back
what was being a bit more of a game manager
accurate type of passer. So yeah, it's hard to imagine.
And like, I'm not expecting Jaylen Milroe to come out
anytime soon and look like he's gonna be the most
(11:06):
accurate pastor in the league because he just has never
been that from a collegiate level. So I like this
a lot, man, I think there's great context to it. There,
and you're not gonna make it in the NFL if
you're an interaccurate, inaccurate quarterback. Right there's too much harms
way they can put the ball into. Too many elite
athletes on the other side of the ball that can
really get you in trouble. And before we keep it moving,
a real quick reminder that today's show is brought to
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Speaker 1 (13:19):
And let's go ahead, Derek Brown, and drop into your
top metrics that matter for the running back prospects. Always
a tough situation, always a position where I think a
lot of people have a lot of helmet scouting, a
lot of bias coming into it. So what are some
of those metrics Derek that help you remove that?
Speaker 2 (13:35):
Yeah?
Speaker 3 (13:36):
So, I mean we all talk about and I'm not
going to highlight the pass catching stuff, uh with this
because I feel like with you know, we could talk
about yards per route run and things like that and
certain you know, counting stats. I don't really want to
get into just like the raw counting stats for pass
catching with running backs because a lot of that goes
back to scheme, the receiving weapons, what the these backs
(14:00):
were asked to do based off of whether it was
you know, function, fashion of the offense, what have you
and stuff. So like that's a a whole different conversation.
And again, it can't get muddy very quickly. The thing
that I love to focus for running backs and the
thing that absolutely translate from college to the NFL in
so many different aspects is the ability to create yards
(14:22):
for yourself and the ability to break tackles. And so
whether that's skill, those two skills serve you well as
a rusher and a receiver because regardless of whether you're
handed the ball off, you're getting a toss or you're
getting a swing pass, are you able to freaking do
something with the ball in your hands or are you not?
(14:45):
And so looking at this again, this is just a
reflection of talent, and efficiency is also a reflection of talent.
So the two metrics that I think are really sticky
are mistackles forced or whether you want to contextualize that
into miss tackles force per attempt, and yards such a
contact per tenth And just to you know, zooming out
with this class, the guys that kind of pop with this,
and we could name a ton of guys, but Emma Johnson,
(15:09):
Jadarien Price, and Jonah Coleman.
Speaker 2 (15:11):
Again, I could have talked.
Speaker 3 (15:12):
About Jeremiah Love, but dude, everybody knows he's at the
top of the list and near everything you talk about,
so there's no utility in talking about Hey, guess what,
Jeremiah Love is really good at football, and he's really
good at this, this, and this. So the other guys
in this class that are also really good in these
metrics are again this three pack of players. There's more,
(15:33):
but this three pack of players that I wanted to
talk about because Emma Johnson last year, I don't think
people realized that he was sixth in miss.
Speaker 2 (15:39):
Tackles forced overall. So yes, that is.
Speaker 3 (15:42):
Also accounting stat and can go back to volume. But
if you looked at it on a per touch basis,
he's fourth in this class in miss tackles force per
attempt And just to contextualize this number, twenty six percent
rate of miss tackles force per attempt. The only three
running backs ahead of him are Jeremiah Love at twenty
eight so not far off, k Tron Allen at twenty
(16:03):
seven percent and Jendarium Price at twenty seven percent, and
again leading into Jenerarium Price, he's third in this class,
right behind on the heels of Jeremiah Love on a
per touch aspect, and then when you want to talk
about yards of the contact, pretent Jendarium Price twenty fifth
and fifth in yards of the contact per attempt over
the last two years, and just around this out dude,
(16:24):
Jon of freaking Coleman over the last three years, and
yards are to contact per attempt fifty fourth, thirteenth and
first amongst all running backs with at least one hundred carries.
So while everybody else is crapping on this running back class,
I'm like, dude, I don't think he'll realize that, Like,
it might not be deep. I'm with that, But there
(16:45):
are five running backs in this class, three of which
I just talked about outside of Jeremiah Love, that are
hashtag really good at football and really good at breaking tackles.
Speaker 1 (16:56):
Yeah, and it makes sense, right, because this allows us
to remove the biggest factor I think for just like
stats when it comes to base running backs, right, and
it's the offensive line, right, Because you watch Michigan Derek
this past year, they continued to have injuries in that
backfield to some really good running backs, whether it was
(17:17):
Marshall going down or early in the season we saw
their starter go down as well, and they were having
to turn to Surfing and other guys like that, and
it didn't matter who was there for Michigan. Justice Haines
was awesome at the beginning of the season, but Surfin
did a great job late in the year too, and
he got the ball just because like that offensive line
is so good. But it really made it hard to tell, like,
is Haines good Like I couldn't tell you, right, I
(17:39):
couldn't tell you if, like from a prospect level, because
he's running behind one of the best offensive lines. And
the thing I like about this stat that in miss
tackles force I think is sticky. Is you talk about
how you think this twenty twenty six class is pretty
good for running backs sneakily, Derek, I think the twenty
twenty seven to one is going to be really good
because you look at PFF put out just about a
(17:59):
month into this season, the mistackles forced leaders in college football.
You have guys like Amaud Hardy Kawan Lacy at the
top of the board. There will be some of the
top propects for twenty twenty seven, and they were absolutely
dynamite down the stretch. You have other guys on that
list like Mark Fletcher Junior who showed up for Miami
deep down the stretch, Jayden Ba for Florida, and then
(18:19):
two guys for the Texas Longhorns who were two of
the best transfers in the portal NC States at Hollywood
smothers were leak brown out of Arizona State, Like and
when you you know everything was removed at the end
of the day, Derek, and you're looking at who are
the best running backs in college football? It is those guys, right,
And it is those guys because not of their offensive lines,
but what they can make and force for themselves. So
(18:42):
it's one of those things like I'm we saw it
pretty much with Jalen Warren. Remember when Jalen Warren came
in the league, Derek, and like a.
Speaker 2 (18:48):
DFA, Are you DFA?
Speaker 3 (18:51):
And there are tweets out there where I pointed this
out from the hop he should have never gone undrafted.
Speaker 2 (18:56):
Dude, Yes to your point about Jalen Warren.
Speaker 3 (18:59):
In real quick contact, about some of the guys you
brought up there off the cuff. Amad Hardy last year
amongst all running backs of Lisa Hunter, Carey's eighth and
yards utter contact per attempt, I kind of be remiss here,
but you talked about Mark Fletcher Junior twenty ninth and
yards after contact per attempt. Just to contextualize those again,
Jenderium Price last year, twenty fifth.
Speaker 2 (19:19):
And also I would be remiss if.
Speaker 3 (19:21):
I didn't also give a shout out to my dude here,
Mike Washington Junior. Again another player being slept on in
this class thirty first ten yards utter contact per attempt.
Speaker 2 (19:32):
These guys are good good seth.
Speaker 1 (19:35):
Yeah, are our guy Ryan heath over at fancy Points.
He does some really good studies almost every single year
on miss tackles four. So I would definitely encourage y'all
to check that out if you're encouraged by the stat
if it's something you want to look into more as
a metric that you know you're really resting some of
your fancy faith in. So Derek, I appreciate that. Before
we round it out here with pass catchers, just a
(19:56):
quick reminder that if you're listening to the audio version,
please check out our brand new Fantasy Dynasty YouTube channel
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(20:17):
Pros Dynasty channel on YouTube and hit that subscribe button.
We really appreciate that. Derek's been really cool to kind
of break off from the main channel. It's always scary,
right taking this jump, but I know between you and
I on the NFL draft side and everything that our
friends worm Fits and Bogs are doing over there on
the Dynasty Show, it's great to have our kind of
(20:37):
a little bit of our own space for the year long. Djens, Well, dude,
this is a rocket ship.
Speaker 3 (20:42):
So everybody just hop on. Man, we're doing nothing but
going up, baby, going up.
Speaker 1 (20:46):
Yes, s yes, sir, Absolutely, Derek. Let's go ahead and
jump into your favorite metrics for pass catchers that are
important to consider for future Fantasy and NFL production. And
maybe some wide receivers are tight ends that do or
don't really excel at that in this class. Man.
Speaker 3 (21:02):
Yeah, I mean I think that the tight ends I'm
not going to include in here only because the tight
end class is not nearly as good as it was
last year and it's really shallow. So a lot of
the top names that are. You know that people are
not going to be surprised by that. But the wide
receivers and stuff, I mean, really the two the two
metrics that I look at from a high level view
is yards per route run and yards per.
Speaker 2 (21:24):
Route run versus band coverage.
Speaker 3 (21:25):
And could I also bring up miss tackles forced and
yack perception and some of these other things that matter.
Speaker 2 (21:33):
I could.
Speaker 3 (21:34):
But the other thing about it is mistackles force. There
are a million and a lot of This just goes
back to so many different skill sets and so many
different archetypes of wide receivers, and you'll see a lot
of the mistackles forced. Leaders amongst wide receivers are a
lot of your low A dot slot type guys. And
this makes sense if you just like logistically think about, Okay,
(21:57):
these guys are given more low A dot targets, so
they're put in situations where they either have to or
they're forced to create after the catch. A lot of
players at wide receivers that are being used at all
three levels of the field and not really more in
a short and intermediate portion of the field or heavier
in that aspect, aren't going to break tackles. A lot
(22:18):
because or add a higher clip only because no two
targets are created equal. So these downfield targets, especially when
we get into and Joe and I kind of talked
about this on the film session over on Twitch the
other day, whereas like ball placement from quarterbacks, especially when
you're looking at intermediate and deep targets, matters a ton
(22:39):
in the sense of the are you getting a target
in stride? Is the quarterback leading you down the field?
Is that going to either hurt, help, or hinder what
you're doing after the freaking catch with the ball in
your hands. So, and this also can be talked about
with yards per route run, So like the wide receivers
cannot row the freaking ball to themselves, so they are
(23:02):
beholden to quarterback play even if they are getting open
in a lot of aspects. So the metrics also again
going back to it need to be married with film,
but looking at just yards per route run and yards
per rout run versus man coverage where you do need
that skill set to be able to play with your
play strength and your route running get open versus man
(23:22):
coverage and a lot of instances press coverage in those
man's situations not always, but a lot of times the
guys that want to highlight here Carnal Tate, Mikaya Lemon,
and Jacoby Lane for everybody else, Carnal Tate last year
was tenth and yards per route run against man are
overall twenty seventh in yards per rout run against man coverage.
(23:43):
And again this is all FBS wide receivers with at
least fifteen targets against man coverage. McKay Lemon sixthn yards
per route run, nineteenth in yards per rout run versus
maan coverage. And just to round this out, this three pack.
Jacoby Lane a guy that we're going to talk about
in our next episode, but right now he's not getting
(24:03):
enough love for all the talk about all these wide receivers.
Jacobe Lane last year was fifty second in yards per
route run, but twenty ninth in yards per route run
against man coverage. Again, right there, nipping at the heels
of Carnel Tait in that metric, you know.
Speaker 1 (24:20):
And the tough thing about grading collegiate productions, specifically from
a pass catching standpoint, Derek, is like it's not contextualized, right,
Like you were talking the other night that a player
I really like in the collegiate streets right now coming
out as a prospect is Eli Hendrich. He was an
absolute stud for Navy and ultimately finished with just over
nine hundred receiving yards through the air on fifty one receptions.
(24:43):
And like you look at those numbers and like you
might just say it is what it is, but you
got to keep in mind, like that's Navy, Derek, right,
Like that is a service academy that is usually ranked
one hundred and twentieth plus in passing attempts, one hundred
and twentieth plus and just overall passing production. And then
you like look at someone like from a pass happy offense.
Let's just say like Western Kentucky, right the air raid.
(25:04):
Everyone knows how much Western Kentucky likes to throw it.
It doesn't matter as if it's mcgiver back there or
it's been any of those other quarter of the zappies
that we've seen come out of this this dumb there's
always production there, and then it can lead to some
fraudulent numbers, right, I mean Malachai Corley, anyone that was
a guy that I was with, Dude, I.
Speaker 3 (25:23):
Pushed back the entirety of the process, the receipts are
out there. Everybody's like Malkai Corley, mal Kaik Corley and
mal Kay Corley. And I was like, no, there's no
And you see how the careers when we flip over
the cards after a few years, how they go for
these guys.
Speaker 2 (25:39):
Man.
Speaker 1 (25:40):
Yeah, So, like you know, that's why I think yards
per route run is a great metric to keep an
eye on, just because it's gonna show you things like, Okay,
this guy was just an average wide receiver, but he
played in a really explosive offense that had a lot
of passing yards versus someone like Heinrich who he did
the best of what he had, you know what I mean.
So you know, I'm sure Harold Fannon Junior is another
(26:03):
one that we can kind of go back to that
Bowling Green wasn't like an elite offense, but but he's
someone who continued to just make the most of his
situation a year ago. So well, Derek, this.
Speaker 3 (26:13):
All kind of goes back to too, where it's counting
stats versus individual route efficiency, and sometimes the counting stats
get hurt because of the context of the offense, the
quarterback play or injuries, and guys don't fill up the
box scores like that. So it's like or vice versa.
People are like, oh my god, that guy was a
thousand yard receiver. Okay, well they were incredibly pass happy
(26:36):
and on a per route basis, he wasn't efficient at all.
So it's like what you're looking at is false signal
on both sides of the coin.
Speaker 2 (26:43):
That was one of the reasons.
Speaker 3 (26:45):
And this isn't me like just you know, tooton my
own horn here, but this is one of the reasons
why I was so incredibly high on Pookinakua when he
came out. It was because on a per route efficiency,
this guy was freaking awesome. Man, Like he was checking
boxes on a yards per route run basis where everybody's like,
oh yeah, but and then the combine happens, like oh.
Speaker 1 (27:04):
But he's not fast, no no, no.
Speaker 3 (27:06):
No, and it's like, oh, dude, come on, be better
than this people real quick.
Speaker 1 (27:11):
Before we go, Derek, do you have it on hand?
I'm curious Eli Stowers versus Sadik who is better in
yards per route run? Do you have I don't know
if you have that because I got to peel back
the curtain here before we go. Live here in our
Fantasy pros analyst chat our guy Ryan Wormley, He's talking about, Hey, like,
I think we need to make some adjustments to the
(27:32):
e CR rankings. He's like, I haven't met one person
with Eli Stowers above Sadik, And then I didn't want
to come out of the you know, come out of
nowhere and just be like, Hey, it's me, I'm the problem.
It's me with my rankings, I think doing it. Tell
me what do we got here?
Speaker 3 (27:48):
Stours Berry on per route efficiency, so let's stack him up. Well,
we'll just a little stack this up real quick. So
over the last two years at Oregon, Sadiq one point
six two two point one yards per route run, Eli
Sotours two point five five and two point four to three,
even if you want to go all the way back
(28:09):
to freaking twenty twenty three one point.
Speaker 2 (28:12):
Eight nine so.
Speaker 1 (28:15):
On.
Speaker 2 (28:16):
And I have not watched either one of them yet.
Speaker 3 (28:18):
I will absolutely just just be fully transparent about that.
So I don't know where I'm gonna come down, but
that might be one of the things Whereyan mess.
Speaker 2 (28:29):
We will see. We will see.
Speaker 1 (28:31):
Yeah, out of your point, You're not wrong, I'm the problem.
It's me. I'm the anti hero of this particular program.
I think I apologed swifty.
Speaker 3 (28:40):
You need a swifty hoodie now, just to throw it
out there should be wearing a swifty hoodie that.
Speaker 1 (28:43):
Carhart's hold up these fars, we gotta we gotta bundle
off just about to get above freezing for the first
time since Uh now.
Speaker 2 (28:53):
I know what I'm getting you for your birthday.
Speaker 1 (28:55):
So there's that fair. I will wear Taylor Swisch s
feasher any day, my friend, and and I'll also come
back and podcast with you any day as well. That
is going to do it for us. So on this
episode of the Fantasy Pros NFL Draft Show, please do
a quick favors smash that like butun If you enjoyed
this video, also don't forget subscribe to the Fantasy Pros
Dynasty YouTube channel and the audio feed for Derek Brown
(29:17):
said Wilcock, take care of y'all.
Speaker 5 (29:19):
Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Dynasty Football podcast.
If you love the show, the best freeway to support
us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts
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Speaker 1 (29:35):
Slash Fantasy pros
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