July 17, 2026 • 42 mins
Ryan Girdusky breaks down the latest political polling, campaign fundraising numbers, and the early battle for 2028. He examines Josh Shapiro's reelection prospects in Pennsylvania, why John Fetterman's support among Democratic voters continues to erode, and what new polling reveals about the Democratic Party's biggest political challenges.
Ryan also dives into the massive campaign war chests being assembled across the country, the billionaire donors shaping key races, and the candidates emerging as serious players for the future. Plus, he reacts to viral campaign moments from Michigan Democrats, shares updates on political developments in the United Kingdom and France, and answers listener questions on President Trump, the Iran conflict, campaign fundraising tactics, and more.
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Speaker 1 (00:01):
Welcome back to a numbers game with Ryan Grodoski. Thank
you guys for being here. Happy Friday, everybody, we made
it through another week. I have to tell you I
rarely listened to conservative podcasts or talk radio because I
try to keep my opinions fresh and interesting. And if
you listen to a lot of podcasts out there, which
maybe some of you do, eventually those narratives kind of
(00:23):
get into your head and you start repeating your opinion,
and it's only natural. But I don't want to do
that because I want my fresh take for you guys.
So I've been really interested in the Charlie Kirk murder trial,
and I've been watching a few YouTube shows and clicking
on a few podcasts to talk about the status of
the trial and how it's going and the evidence. And
(00:44):
I've clicked on this one guy the other day and
he sounded informed and a good speaking voice and did
a good job. But then I watched a few of
his other episodes, and every episode was a reaction episode too.
Ben Shapiro said this, and then Cannice Owen said this,
and then Tucker Carlson said this, and Megan Kelly said this,
and Michael Knowles said that I was like, oh my god,
(01:04):
is this every podcast? It's all reaction, there's no content,
It's all just you know, what everyone else is saying
about each other. I had to turn it off. I
was like, this is this is too much like this is?
Speaker 2 (01:18):
You know, I try.
Speaker 1 (01:19):
It made me want to double down and make sure
that this podcast is not like that. I try really
hard to make sure you guys get fresh information and
content to give you guys more information and keep you
more informed and not do high school. I mean, I
loved high school, but I am over it at this
point in my life. So, okay, here's some data for
you guys. Because it's a Friday in the summer. I
(01:40):
want to go over a few data points I think
are really interesting, but then go over some funny news
I think it's just hilarious. And we'll keep it light
and easy for Friday in the summer. First, let's talk
well two things. Let's talk about money and polls. Financial
information when it comes to campaigns and politics, informs us
a lot over the status of where campaigns are going,
how politics are doing, and who's investing in what. So
(02:03):
let's start with a fresh poll in the Great state
of Pennsylvania, where governor and likely presidential candidate Josh Shapiro
looks like he is surging to a re election. A
Quinny paf pole found that Shapiro leads his Republican challenger,
Stacey Garrity, fifty three to forty percent. It's actually quite
a bad poll for Shapiro considering the last two poles
(02:23):
have had him closer to twenty points. For those who
don't know, by the way, because Garytty is not a
well known name, Stacy Garrity is the treasurer of the
state of Pennsylvania. She won a shocking victory in twenty
twenty and she was a complete unknown. She defeated an incumbent,
had a really amazing victory in twenty twenty, and then
(02:44):
she won in twenty twenty four by six points.
Speaker 2 (02:46):
So she's not a nobody.
Speaker 1 (02:47):
She's not a terrible candidate, Like they didn't pick her
out of a hat.
Speaker 2 (02:51):
She has a real.
Speaker 1 (02:52):
Legitimate election history of winning in Pennsylvania.
Speaker 2 (02:56):
So I want that.
Speaker 1 (02:56):
I think that's important. Becaeuple are like, why can't you
find a better case against Shapiro? They found a good candidate.
Stacy Garrett is not a bad candidate. Nonetheless, poles in
Pennsylvania have showed actually that it's tightened a little bit.
The Quinnipiac pole specifically, Shapiro's lead has shrunk from eighteen
points in February to thirteen points today. With he's leading
among Democrats ninety six to one. That's not a shocker.
(03:19):
He's leading on independence fifty eight to twenty nine, and
he's losing Republicans eighty seven to ten. Now Shapiro has
a big lead, but it's trending in the wrong direction
for him. He is counting on a twenty plus point
victory in Pennsylvania this November. If he doesn't get it,
it will definitely make.
Speaker 2 (03:40):
His argument for a national campaign a little tougher.
Speaker 1 (03:43):
He wants to get into November, win by twenty points
and say, look, I can deliver. I can win the
most important swing state in the country, which is now Pennsylvania.
I'm a popular governor. And despite him being a popular governor,
this would be outside Pennsylvania.
Speaker 2 (03:59):
I really don't know.
Speaker 1 (04:00):
Despite being a popular governor, he has not delivered on
most of his agenda. Why because the Republicans control the
state Senate and Democrats while they control the state House
have just a one seat majority, so there's not a
lot of room for error. Even in the state House,
he's had to work across the aisle, which maybe makes
him more popular, but it doesn't give him any kind
(04:22):
of progressive bona fides to run on in November. He
needs this gigantic victory to flip the state Senate, gain
seats in the state House, and what he wants to
really do is focus on the four congressional seats that
Republicans hold in Pennsylvania in swing districts. He'll be targeting
Brian Fitzpatrick in District one, Ryan Mackenzie in District seven,
(04:44):
Rob Brushahan in District eight, and Scott Perry in District him.
If he helps deliver those seats to Democrats, he gets
to not only say I can win in an important,
the most important swing state, but I have added seats
to the Democratic majority already in the House to put
a check on Trump. Look how effective I am. So
(05:05):
good bit of news. He's you know, he's a good
bit of head in the reelection, not turning in the
direction that he wants, but he's looking an overall landslide.
The over the other information in this poll that was
fascinating was over John Fetterman. Now I've talked about this
in the past. Fetterman has a in this poll, Fetterman
has a forty eight percent favoral rating a forty one
(05:28):
percent disfavorle rating. That's pretty good for actually a senator,
like being up seven points in a senator in this environment,
very good. Susan Collins would love those polls. Right at
this point, it's actually terrible for Fetterman because here's why.
Vetterman has an approval rating among Republicans in Pennsylvania seventy
(05:48):
seven to twelve.
Speaker 2 (05:50):
This is wild.
Speaker 1 (05:52):
Fetterman is a pro choice, pro Obamacare guy who only
votes with Trump twenty five percent of the time, and
yet Republicans love him. Among Democrats, his approval rating is
nineteen percent. He has a sixty nine percent disapproating. He's
in Kristen Cinema territory. He is in not Joe Mansion.
(06:15):
He was Joe Mansum was popular in West Virginia. But
he's in Kristen Cemetery territory. Like he cannot win a
primary with those kind of numbers, Like it's not even close,
And it just goes to show how much vibes decide
people's decision over how much they like a politician, like
because he likes Israel and defends Israel and talks to
people on Fox News and call grand Platner a scumbag, which,
(06:38):
like fair, grand Platner is a scumbag. I mean, there's
no love left for him among the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania.
Fifty two percent of Democrats in Pennsylvania want John Fetterman
to leave the Democratic Party.
Speaker 2 (06:57):
That is wild.
Speaker 1 (06:58):
If John Fetterman were to lead the Democratic Party, even
to become just an independent who caucuses wherever Chuck Schumer
cannot become a majority leader like, it makes no sense
on a calculation basis why they hate John Fetterman the
way that they do. Republican Day McCormick is on solid ground.
He's got a forty percent approval thirty three percent disapproval.
(07:19):
It's great for a freshman senator. Democrats lead in the
generic ballot in the Keystone state by six points forty
nine two forty three. That puts a lot of Republicans
in jeopardy, and it also shows how popular Shapiro is
compared to the overall generic ballot. Remember Shapiro leads by
thirteen generic ballot is six, so Shapiro's popularity lifts into
(07:41):
seven points in Pennsylvania. It all stems from President Trump,
whose approw ratings are pretty dismal. Thirty nine percent approved,
fifty eight percent disapprove. Independence disapproved by a two to
one margin. Now, despite Democrats having an advantage in this election,
when asked about the state of the Republican and Democratic Party,
(08:02):
they had a very different answer. Forty three percent, a
plurality of voters say the GOP hasn't moved too far
or too or too far left or too far right.
They're basically in a nice spot right that they are
where they've always been. Seven percent that they move too
far left, forty two percents that they move far right,
but it's it's pretty that's okay. Forty three is a
good solid number for the Republicans. When I ask a Democrats,
(08:24):
forty nine percent of voter so the Democratic Party has
moved too far left, including fourteen percent of Democrats and
nearly fifty percent of Independence. This is the type of
branding problem that Democrats are going to deal with with
long term trouble, especially if a far left candidate is
nominated for president in twenty twenty eight. It means that
(08:47):
the voter is the average voter thinks that the party's
out of step with them.
Speaker 2 (08:52):
Now.
Speaker 1 (08:52):
A lot of things could work in Democrats' fate, or
like a bad economy, or the war drags on, or
high gas prices or whatever. But overall, voters in Pennsylvania,
the most important sping is that I need to emphasize
feel like the Democratic Party is not representative of them.
That's not good long term. Fifty two percent of voters
in the state believe the economy is getting worse. Forty
(09:14):
four percent think they are worse financial worse off financially.
Speaker 2 (09:17):
Than they were a year ago.
Speaker 1 (09:19):
Oh, that's all the negative Trump numbers come down to. Really,
is just the economy. Last point on the poll is
how voters are feeling on AI. Twenty two percent have
a favorable opinion on AI. Forty seven percent have an
unfavorable opinion of AI. Asked about supporting data centers, only
sixteen percent that they would like a data center built
(09:39):
in their neighborhood. Seventy four percent oppose a data center
being built in their area. Josh Shapiro has championed data
center so is most of his first term. He's only
flip flopped recently. And when asked if they approve or
disapprove of the job Josh Shapiro has done with data centers,
twenty four percent say that he's done a good job.
Thirty four percent and say he's done a bad job.
(10:01):
Independents are negative on Shapiro with data centers by fourteen points.
Stacey Garrity and her team would be very wise to
be hitting on Josh Shapiro with data centers right now,
no matter how she feels about it. They are unpopular
and he is unpopular for supporting them, or rather it's
the issue he's most unpopular on. Now, let's talk finances
(10:22):
because it means a lot to where money moves a
lot in politics. It's it's not that money wins elections,
sometimes it does. It's that money is a indicator of
confidence and candidates of where people and interests are moving.
So let's first look at two big challengers. This is
a race I'm going to focus on in the next segment.
Speaker 2 (10:42):
In Michigan.
Speaker 1 (10:43):
Abdul lsaid he is the progressive socialist candidate and Hailey
Stevens she's more of the establishment candidate are in a
tight race. Hailey Stevens, though, is having more money cash
on hand than abdul al said, three point four million
to two point five million. That's a big spread going
into the very end of this election. And Michigan, by
the way, now that Platner is out, is the focus
(11:06):
of the Democratic Socialist Let's look at cash on hand
for incumbents, because this is going to say a lot
about what people are looking in the future. Senator John
Ossop of Georgia has forty two point six million dollars
cash on hand. His challenger, Mike Collins, is two point
two million. John Ossup is the sleeper candidate a lot
(11:28):
of people are looking to in twenty twenty eight two
run for president AOC super safe Democratic seat. Everyone's looking
at her future fifteen point nine million dollars, lots of
money that she will not be spending on her own reelection.
Senator Mark Kelly, He's not even on the ballot this year.
He's got twenty five million. Another dark horse is looking
(11:49):
at a presidential run, possibly on the Republican side. Congressman
Brandon Gill. He's a freshman, he's a friend of mine,
he is he raised one point one million in one quarter.
That's a lot for a freshman. He's a he's a
rising star, like he's a superstar. On the negative side,
Congressman Corey Mills in battle Congress, and I've talked about him,
(12:10):
he's somebody who probably should not be in Congress. Well,
my opinion, he should not be in Congress. I think
he's got a lot of skeletons in his closet. He
raised fifty nine thousand dollars, he has two million dollars
in debt and has eighty one thousand cash on hand.
Speaker 2 (12:24):
Horrible.
Speaker 1 (12:24):
He could be beaten this time. Russell Fry, who's looking
at running possibly for Lindsay cramseyed is starting up for
a million dollars cash on hand. That's a nice launching
pad if you want to run for the US Senate.
Susan Collins, who has absolutely no opponent at this point.
She's raised four million in a month. She's eleven million
cash on hand. It's a good place for Susan Collins to.
Speaker 2 (12:44):
Be right now.
Speaker 1 (12:45):
Roy Cooper, he is the former governor of North Carolina
running for the US Senate. He is twenty point seven
million dollars. His Republican opponent who's actually decent on fundraising,
Michael Wattley three point five million cash on hand. It
is North Georgia and North Carolina. The Democrats are bringing
in the big guns of financially speaking, Greg Abbot, the
(13:07):
governor of Texas, raised twenty eight million. He has sixty
seven million cash on hand. Abbot is running for his
fourth term. This man, I think personally, personally speaking, I
have no evidence to back this. I think he's always
wanted to run for president and just never had the opportunity.
But he's raising buckets of money. Josh Shapiro raised twelve million,
(13:28):
totally fifteen million fundraised for the year once again, looking
at twenty twenty eight, it's a lot of money. Mary Patolo,
she's running in Alaska. She raised seven million, but interestingly enough,
she spent almost all of it. She's got a huge
burn rate, which makes me think too many staffers.
Speaker 2 (13:47):
Too big.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
That is a big red warning sign that she's burning
money as fast as she is. And lastly on the
candidate side, Shared Brown, former Senator of Ohio, running to
run again to be Senator Denmark christ Center raised twelve million,
spent thirteen million. Once again huge monster burn rate. This
early in the election. He has sixteen million cash on hand.
(14:10):
I want to go over how some billionaires have been
throwing money around. So Reid Hoffman, he is a tech bro,
multi billionaire, probably the most liberal tech bro around. He
gave ten million dollars to James tall Rico's superpack to
flip the senence in Texas. A lot of money, A
(14:31):
lot of money. Now, Texas is very expensive. Remember there's
twenty plus media markets to campaign, and so ten million
doesn't go as far as you would think if it
was like I don't know New Hampshire or Iowa, but
that's a lot of money even in there. Elon Musk
gave five hundred thousand to Greg Abbott and five a
million to the Vek Ramaswami. He's running for governor of Ohio.
(14:53):
George Soros gave three point five million to the group
Working Families Party of New York. That's the group that
helped elect all the DSA members. There is a clear
connection between George sorows and the rise of the DSA.
He is funding a big part of the Working Family
Party in New York. Dick Uline, he is a Republican
(15:15):
super donor. I think I think he made his money.
Speaker 2 (15:19):
In cardboard boxes.
Speaker 1 (15:20):
I'm not sure if someone told me you could become
a billionaire from the cardboard box industry, I would have
made different choices in life earlier on. But he gave
eighteen million to various Republican super PACs. Ken Griffin, the
billionaire from Illinois, gave two point five million to Ashley
Moody and Dan Sullivan, three million to the RGA, and
ten million to the Senate Leadership Fund for the Republicans.
(15:42):
A lot of money dispersed across the field. King Griffin
is absolutely buckling down for the GOP right now. Michael
Bloomberg gave eleven million dollars to Micah Lassner. He won
a special primary in New York for one congressional district.
Michael Bloomberg for one House seat in a primary, gave
(16:06):
more money than than than than James Tallerrico got from
Raid Hoffman crazy money, crazy money. But I guess if
you're worth you know, thirty billion, eleven million is nothing
to you. And Roku Ceo, the ROCU CEO gave five
hundred thousand to camp Past and Super Pac.
Speaker 2 (16:24):
If you look over.
Speaker 1 (16:25):
All at Super packs. There is a lot of special
interests also in the mix. Win for America, which is
the sports a betting industry. superPAC raised seventy two million
dollars to help legalize sports gambling across the country. The
pro AI superPAC Leading the Future gave two hundred and
twenty seven thousand to incumbent Greg Stanton in Arizona he's
(16:47):
a Democrat, and six hundred thousand to Republican j Feely.
The Republican Senate Leadership pack raised almost a quarter of
a billion dollars. Excuse me, they have almost a order
of a billion dollars cash on hand. The Democrat version
of that has only half the Republican number, one hundred
(17:08):
and twenty six million. That's a huge difference. Republicans are
counting on these super PACs to make up the difference
in these races like North Carolina and Georgia where the
Republican Canada is out raised ten to one, because no
one has as much money as these super PACs. And
last but not least, Ken Paxton's new super pac starts
off the quarter after this crazy primary John Cornyn, which
(17:30):
is thirty five thousand dollars. That is I'm sure Kem
Paxton can have fundraise the money and I think Paxson's
Packson's slave to come on the podcast next week, so
we'll talk to him about it.
Speaker 2 (17:41):
But fundraising is a big part of it.
Speaker 1 (17:43):
Paxson's been definitely behind Tallarrico, but I'm sure the super
Pac will pick up steam as this election goes on
because it's Texas. It's a big one. Okay, that's the
money side, that's the polls. I know, I throw a
lot at you guys for a Friday. I understand it's
it's quite intense. Let's do think fun. A couple politicians
have gone viral for what they put out on the internet.
(18:05):
Let's just talk about it. It's hysterical. That's coming up next, Okay.
So this is a fun segment for the end of
the week. If you if you are listening to this
segment on Apple Podcasts or on the iHeartRadio app, I
beg of you to go on YouTube and watch this
segment because you're gonna want to see what I'm talking about.
The Democratic Socialists are really invested in the erase from Michigan.
(18:28):
Now the Grand Platters gone in Maine, Like I mean this,
Abdul l said is the whole show for them. They
want him to win so badly. He is taking a
very interesting tactic as far as campaign ango that I've
never seen before. He is making videos where he looks
like Steve from the television show Blues Clues from when
(18:50):
I was a child.
Speaker 2 (18:51):
There's the mail.
Speaker 1 (18:52):
It never fails and makes me want a wag might
say when it comes.
Speaker 2 (18:56):
I wanna wil I'm so embarrassed, I am. I am.
Speaker 1 (19:05):
You could not convince me to do that, even in
my drunkest state of mind when I was in my
early twenties. It is so strange. But fear not because
Centra's Democrats are ready to take on him. They have
a strong female candidate, you know, coming strong. Her name
is Haley Stevens. She went viral this week for talking
(19:26):
about how she's gonna fight for the everyman in Michigan.
Speaker 2 (19:29):
Play clip too.
Speaker 3 (19:30):
I am gonna be working on our behalf. I am
gonna be telling the stories on our behalf, and you
better believe I'm gonna be doing it with a little
bit of joy, a little bit of enthusiasm, a little
bit of energy, and a little bit of sticket to them,
because that's the Michigan way.
Speaker 1 (19:48):
If you haven't seen the clip of Congressman Stevens, she
does this strange hand shoulder motion the entire time. She
looks like she would have been a minor character in
a league of their own, like for a rival team
trying to energize before the playoffs. It is, it's it's
I've watched it so many times I can't even tell
(20:12):
you because it's so strange. Every Democrat in this election
is either a race communist or a failed theater kid.
It is, it is. The performance is outstanding, Like she
looks like she's going to do community theater pretty soon
and like gonna do like a rendition of Oklahoma. I
love it, but it's crazy. By the way, if you
(20:32):
are wondering, that is not her actual voice. That is
a fake Michigan accent that she's putting on. Some consultant
told her, Hey, you need to overdo your Michigan accent. Yeah,
if you want to know what she actually sounds like,
here's a video of her on the house floor where
it can only be described described as she's having a
nervous breakdown of an RFK junior and saying he should
(20:53):
be impeached.
Speaker 3 (20:54):
With the servitude, sharing in the profession with those who
have not come before you. Similar times, medical need wars
and flues paths.
Speaker 4 (21:03):
You will see darkness, you will be pushed, and.
Speaker 3 (21:06):
Our society needs you to stand together at this time.
Our country loves you to our doctors and our nurses.
Speaker 5 (21:13):
I wear these ladies, general ladies. Time has expired. The
gentleman from Maryland is resolves. The gentleman from Texas is recognized.
The gentleman from Texas is now recognized.
Speaker 2 (21:24):
You can you can?
Speaker 1 (21:26):
I mean, like, yeah, she's got props, she's doing a
whole bit. She's she's a theater kid, like that's who
she is. She's a theater kid, like she would have
loved to play the Barber Streisen role and funny girl
like that's who this woman is. I'm kind of here
for it. It's a lot, but I'm kind of here
for it. But theater kids in politics and accents is
(21:48):
really nothing new, and we've seen it a lot before.
Here there's by the way, there is no there's no
accent that politicians, especially Democrats love to fake more than
the black scent, like a black accent.
Speaker 2 (22:03):
They love it.
Speaker 1 (22:04):
Here is Josh Shapiro play the club.
Speaker 2 (22:07):
You could not have a clear contrast in this race.
You could not have a.
Speaker 5 (22:14):
Clear contrast between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
Speaker 2 (22:18):
Now, let me tell you something. He's pretty afraid, Yo
sees he's backing up in the bank. Now he's afraid
to stan.
Speaker 5 (22:25):
Tone to tone with our vice president because he can't
run away from his record any long.
Speaker 1 (22:32):
I have met many many Jews in my life. None
of them sound like Barack Obama. None of them. Josh
Shapiro is the only Jew who sounds like Barack Obama.
He is faking an accent. There's another guy. He's running
for Congress. His name is Justin Pearson. He's a state
(22:53):
representative over in Tennessee. To his credit, unlike Jos Shapiro,
he is actually black. But he all of a sudden,
somewhere in his early to mid twenties just started speaking
like Martin Luther King Junior for no reason. The first
clip of him is him in college, and then the
second clip is of him now as an elected official.
(23:14):
It is pretty just mouthed dropping. Play the clip, Dustin J.
Speaker 6 (23:20):
Pearson, and I'm running for president of BSG. There are
a few reasons that we're running this campaign this year.
One has to do with representation. How can we represent
all voices in a conversation. I wanted to do this
by pargering with organizations from the booty Democrats to the
Boden Republicans. I want to bring together different voices, dissenting voices,
voices that may be more liberal or more conservative, in
(23:43):
order that we can reach a point of sort of
the radical middle. You've had three strikes, Lules mass incnserration
denied us of who we are, and we.
Speaker 4 (23:53):
Are still here and today he had to take the
majority of Black.
Speaker 2 (23:58):
District from us. But I'm you know, and I want
my nephew sons and to know.
Speaker 4 (24:03):
No matter what you do, no matter.
Speaker 1 (24:06):
How much you try and make us and make us
bit and make ups.
Speaker 7 (24:10):
Quit, we still.
Speaker 1 (24:14):
I mean, I love it. It's so fake, it's so performative.
He doesn't speak like that. But listen, hey, I give
I give them a little credit. If you had to
fake somebody, faking the voice of Barack Obama or Martin
Luther King is not that bad. It's someone to at
least aspire to kind of sound like they were great auditors.
(24:38):
Jasmine Krockett the congressman from Texas who ran unsuccessfully for
the US Senate. She used to sound like a college
educated suburban woman, and somewhere in her early forties she
decided to sound like CARDI B play that club.
Speaker 4 (24:55):
First of all, it's.
Speaker 8 (24:55):
Good to see you in the new year.
Speaker 7 (24:58):
You know, no one could have told me that when
I went down to Austin now looks like a little
bit over a year ago that I would be running
for Congress. Maybe because these people they are crazy, because
they always talk about how Christian they is. Yeah, I
don't know how many of them on that side I
getting divorced because they getting caught up sleeping with their coworkers,
staffers and terns, all the things. Yet you ain't gotta
(25:21):
believe me.
Speaker 2 (25:22):
Just go Google.
Speaker 7 (25:22):
You'll find some of it, I'm telling you. And the
wives is being messy and petty they putting it in.
Speaker 2 (25:28):
I mean, what do you do to prepare for that accent?
Speaker 1 (25:32):
I mean how many episodes of Real Housewives of Atlanta
do you think that she watched in order to try
to sound like Meani leaks like that is what the
preparation and the work was like for her to master
not sounding like an educated woman, which by way she is.
She has multiple degrees. She's from a very well off family.
She does not sound like that. It is wild, but
(25:55):
the overall queens of the fake black accent are none
other than him, Hllary Clinton and Kamala Harris.
Speaker 2 (26:02):
This is the last clip of this.
Speaker 7 (26:04):
I don't feel no ways tired.
Speaker 2 (26:08):
I come too.
Speaker 3 (26:09):
Far from where I started from.
Speaker 7 (26:13):
Nobody told me that the road would be easy.
Speaker 3 (26:18):
I don't believe he brought me this far to leave me.
Speaker 7 (26:22):
And you all helped us win in twenty twenty and
we don't do it again in twenty twenty four.
Speaker 1 (26:29):
Yeah, Kamala Harris is raised in Canada and Hillary Clinton
is from Illinois. Now, Hillary Clinton, to her credit in
that clip, is quoting somebody else. However, you can watch
many videos of Hillary Clinton over the years where her
accent changes wildly depending on who she's in front of
and what she's talking about. I love it. I love
when politicians do this. Politicians going viral for overdoing it
(26:53):
or faking who they are is one of my favorite things.
Haley Stevens over in Michigan, going viral has been giving
me life for three days now. Sometimes when people go viral,
it's for a good time. Most of the time, when
politicians do this, it backfires if you are of a
certain age, like may you remember Howard Dean screaming in
(27:14):
two thousand and four or Mitt Romney saying forty seven
percent in twenty twelve, Haley Stevens, Maybe things will be
more popular because of how over the top she is,
how over embella she is, and it's quite funny.
Speaker 2 (27:28):
Maybe Michigan voters will like it.
Speaker 1 (27:30):
I love it, but I can't vote in Michigan. But
before I leave this segment, I want to do a
flashback to one of my favorite politicians you've never heard
of that when viral locally viral, they weren't faking an accent.
These were two guys who were being themselves completely, and
every once in a while, every few months, I watch
(27:50):
them because it is one of the best things that's
ever been recorded in American politics. Back in twenty fourteen,
in the Idaho governor's race, incumbent Books otter And was
competing against now congress and Russ F.
Speaker 2 (28:03):
Fulture Well.
Speaker 1 (28:04):
The governor, in a move of sheer political genius, decided
to invite the two other guys on the ballot who
were quote unquote normal guys. They weren't politicians. Their names
were Harley Brown, he is a biker. And Walt Bias.
He was a Christian homeschooler who was arrested for homeschooling
his children, and he was a perennial candidate. He ran
(28:26):
like every couple of years to talk about abortion. No
one remembers what Russ Fulcher or butch Otter said in
the during the debate because these two stole the show.
The whole videos on YouTube. You could watch it. Here
is just a segment. So this is of Walter Bias,
the Christian homeschooler. These are just some things that he
(28:47):
said during the debate that were amazing.
Speaker 8 (28:51):
I told him what I thought of them, and the
television would talk to me for thirty minutes or an hourn't, well,
what would you do if they came out to take
your kids? We'll let you do it. What else would
you do? I can stand up where these guys are
falling down. I don't know how to put it, but
how many of them have been in jail for what
they bleed? How many of them come out of jail
(29:13):
said you haven't changed the thing? What I am going
to do is to do the right thing.
Speaker 5 (29:21):
Okay, it's time to move on.
Speaker 8 (29:22):
Wormwood is mentioned in the Bible a whole lot where
you're studying these last days, and it's radiation. They gave
those people that worked there something called potassium iodide and
it plugs up your thyroid gland where it won't take
this radiation in. And those people didn't get it. They
didn't have the effects. And what I'm telling you, the
(29:45):
bottle's good for twenty years, and I'd rather have it
twenty years early than five minutes late. When that little
deal happened in Japan. Just like that, you couldn't buy it.
You couldn't find any anywhere.
Speaker 1 (29:58):
This was a debate of a being governor of Idaho.
It should remind ever hearing about this. The second guy
is Harley Brown, the biker. He was actually way mar
Ntini even than Walt Bays, who I couldn't follow what
he was saying. Sometimes go to some highlights of Harley Brown.
Speaker 4 (30:17):
Pright out to God. I said, God, how about putting
me back on active duty and making me a battalion commander.
Long story short, He says, no, son, I got a
higher rank for you. I'm gonna make you the commander
in chief, and I staggered. Not at his promise. I'll
get into that more with you. Don't think I'm crazy,
because I'm not. I don't like political correctness. Can I
(30:37):
say this? It sucks. It's bondage. And I'm about as
politically correct as your proverbial heard and a punch bowl.
And I'm proud of it. And I'm going for it,
and I'm going for the voter of the real people
out there, not these bondage type people who don't have
a clue about picking up strangers at night and hauling
(30:58):
them god knows where. Try that for a while. All right,
all right, you go in there and you use spiritual warfare.
Nobody everybody talks about the natural, but I'm going to
talk about the other realm we exist in. You have
buying those evil spirits that are behind the fence. With
the blood of Jesus, the name of Jesus, the power
of adoment of the Holy Spirit, the power of agreement,
(31:18):
the Word of God, take air superiority, and then roll
in with your tanks on the ground like troopers's lawsuits. Blitzkriek, mister, question.
Speaker 8 (31:29):
The question was about taxes.
Speaker 4 (31:30):
Do you think they're about right in Idaho?
Speaker 1 (31:32):
Too high or too low?
Speaker 8 (31:33):
Well?
Speaker 1 (31:39):
And he says blitz Creek. It's just the best. I
love it. It's the greatest debate in American history. Not
Lincoln Douglas, not Kennedy, Nixon, not Biden Trump.
Speaker 2 (31:48):
This is my.
Speaker 1 (31:49):
Favorite, favorite favorite debate.
Speaker 2 (31:51):
It is so good.
Speaker 1 (31:52):
The two candidates in the end, and I'm getting to
combined five percent of the Republican primary. It's just I
had to share it on this Friday. It's the best. Okay,
Ask Me Anything is next. Now it's time for the
Ask Me Anything segment. If you want to be part
of the Ask Me Anything segment, email you Ryan at
Numbers Gamepodcast dot com. That's Ryan at numbers Plural Numbers
Game podcast dot com. First question up is Frank from
(32:14):
New York. You wrote just a suggestion. I feel like
we're due for a European politics episode update. It sounds
like a lot's happening in France in the UK, but
I'm too lazy to read up on it. So can
you do an update on the podcast? Looking forward to it? Frank,
I love doing episodes on Europe and foreign countries politics,
but The thing is that listenership knows dives every time
(32:35):
I do it, so I don't I want to know
what the audience is feeling. But the audience overall doesn't
like to do episodes on foreign countries. So I'll just
give be a quick update right now. In the UK,
kere Starmer is about to resign. He said he's going
to We're just waiting for like the days. He'll be likely,
I mean extremely likely, replaced by MP Member of Parliament
(32:56):
and former Mayor of Manchester Andy Burnham. Kind of comes
from all sides of the Labor Party. He's been with
the Progressives at times, He's been with the Conservatives at times.
Speaker 2 (33:06):
He's been all over the place.
Speaker 1 (33:08):
And he is getting a bump in the polls right
now because people are excited about a new Prime Minister.
Nigel Farage from Reform UK is also dealing with some
bad pr at the moment, so Burnham is getting a
bounce in the polls. But the economy in Britain is
still terrible. Mass immigration is still happening to a lower
scale and it was but still happening. They have deep
(33:29):
restrictions in what the government can do because of the
bond market so it's bad either way. I don't expect
the bounce to last very long. There is a special election.
Farage resigned from Parliament because he's dealing with some negative press,
so he resigned, and now he's running for the seat again,
but no one else. It's basically to show how popular
he is in the seat. But every other party dropped
(33:51):
out of the race, so he's basically running on Contestity's
running as a guy dressed as a garbage can, so
he should be winning, no problem.
Speaker 2 (33:58):
There's no big election.
Speaker 1 (34:00):
In England until next year when they have another round
of local elections. The next general election in the UK
is not till twenty twenty nine at least. I mean
they can call it whenever, but they're not going to
call right now because Labors in such a bad state.
They would lose well over one hundred seats, they would
lose the majority, they'd have to do a coalition government.
It'd be very messy. So Andy Vernham is not going
(34:23):
to do a special election unless his poll numbers really surge.
By doubt that's going to happen. Over in France, it's
much more interesting. The French court gave Marie and Lapenn
a reduced sentence to run, and so she can run
for president. And she was found guilty of embezzling EU
funds and was banned for running, and now she's allowed
to run for president. The election will take place next year,
(34:45):
and as of now, she has a tremendous lead in
the first round. France is a presidential election that has
a runoff, so they have two rounds. So the first
round everyone runs, and the second round it's the top two,
and then the congressional primary. The congressional elections first round
and second round or later on the same year. She
is beating every major opponent.
Speaker 2 (35:05):
By a wide margin.
Speaker 1 (35:07):
The only one who's even close to her in the
second round is Eduardo Eduard Philippe. He is the former
prime minister of the country. She's beat him in the
last three polls, but within the margin of error. Everybody
else she is beating by double digits. It's not even close.
He's the only one who's even in contention. La Penn's successor,
(35:27):
Jordan Bardella, is slightly more popular than her, but only
by a point or two. Interestingly enough, this is like
kind of European gosp that no one cares about. In America,
but I love it. Jordan is a very handsome thirty
year old politician. He'd be the youngest president of France,
like since Napoleon if he were to be the president,
but he's not running anyway. He's very popular, very handsome.
(35:51):
He used to date Marine Lapenn, his successor's niece, and
they had a slightly ugly breakup, and now he's dating
an Italian princess, and I wonder part of me wonders
if Marine was like, I'm gonna run because you may
have screwed over my knees. It's fairly internal French gossip.
But I do love it anyway. Beating every She's beating
(36:13):
everyone by double digits. Jordan Bardella is not running if
for some reason, in the second round, the French nominatee
Jean Luke Melachan. He is like the Bernie Sanders type
candidate for the French politics, although he's far the left
of Bernie Sanders. If you can believe it, she's gonna
beat him by thirty five points.
Speaker 2 (36:31):
It's going to be a.
Speaker 1 (36:32):
Collaborating Jean Luke Melachan recently came out against air conditioning.
He said that it's bad for everyone's lungs and he
doesn't want it in France. And that's the state of
French politics right now. Okay, Next up is from my
buddy Peter Folmo. She said, one thing I've noticed was
most unhanged anti Trump people share is certain traits of
boomer educated, affluent, white.
Speaker 2 (36:54):
And mostly female.
Speaker 1 (36:55):
I recently noticed a friend of mine posting pictures of
herself at No King's Protest. She was a Reagan Conservative
in the past, and it really bothered me seeing that
what is it about Trump that is causing this phenomenon.
If the phenomenon that I'm observing is demographically accurate, I
think there's definitely, Peter, a large segment of that No
King's Protest type, Democrat resistance type that is absolutely older, female.
(37:20):
It's not all Democrats, obviously, but it's a lot of them.
And I will say this, I think that Steve Bannon accurately.
One of the things he said accurately is understanding the
hatred Trump brings from that certain demographic of women of
that certain age. I think Bannon was like, Trump is
the patriarch personified. He is the father who never loved you.
(37:42):
He is the boss who never promoted you. The husband
and she and you, the boyfriend who wouldn't marry you,
the son who married that woman you hate. It's every
kind of guy that they've ever hated their life in
one person. I think that, really, is there just something
that sets women off? And I think that there's a
large portion of women who kind of just reject him
(38:02):
for who he.
Speaker 2 (38:03):
Is and there's no going back.
Speaker 1 (38:05):
And yeah, and also women have become more increasingly progressive
over time. Okay, next question is Brian from Tennessee. You're
a Hi Ryan. I'm so sorry your parents left be
off of your name. Very funny, Bryant. I often see
ads and get texts claiming donations to a campaign will
be match double tripled if you donate with a certain timeframe.
Do these matches really happen? If so, how so? No,
(38:27):
they don't usually happen. This is just a fundraising tactic.
What they're doing is saying like, oh, we've raised a
million dollars. If you match and you guys all give
a million dollars, you will have matched your fund or
we're trying to match with this kind of thing that
we've raised before, but no, or like a large donor
gave us two million dollars come and match with it.
It's not like it's but it's not like if you
(38:49):
give a dollar, someone else will give a dollar.
Speaker 2 (38:51):
That's not how it works.
Speaker 1 (38:52):
It's mostly a fundraising employee, and it's highly effective.
Speaker 2 (38:54):
I'll just say that, okay.
Speaker 1 (38:56):
Last question is from Christopher Christophre's Hi Ryan Second Time Running.
In Trump, along with Israel, started the Iran War to
obstably rid them of the ability to have a nuclear bomb.
After three and one half months three and one half
months of war up to the point of the ceasefire
in mid June, do we gain our objective? The answer
is no, We're right back where we started. But over
(39:18):
the time we've spent tens of billions of dollars we
don't have prosecuting the war. We've run stockpiles of many
communitions down to dangerously low levels, thirteen YUS servicemen having
lost their lives, and American families have spend hundreds of
thousands of dollars more given the war induced inflation, money
they'll never get back. I have yet to see why
it spread. Coverage of these points and the media and
zero acknowledgment from those who thought the war was a
(39:40):
good idea when it started. By the way, I'm giving
you acknowledgement right now, I believe Trump is very vulnerable
on this point once people figure it out. My question
to you is this, to your knowledge, is there have
been any polling been done on this and if so,
what are the results.
Speaker 2 (39:54):
I know Trump's approved ratings are not good right.
Speaker 1 (39:56):
Now, but could they be driven even lower from his
decision to go to war and the start of what
it looks like from another forever war type situation?
Speaker 2 (40:05):
Thanks?
Speaker 1 (40:05):
Ryan, loved the podcast with the good work. You're the
only one speaking the truth on many of these issues.
Speaker 2 (40:10):
Thank you so much.
Speaker 8 (40:12):
So.
Speaker 1 (40:12):
The polls have shown, obviously that the war is very negative.
The war is more negative now than Trump's approval ratings
are during the beginning of the war. I'm not going
to go through every poll, but I'll go through the aggregate,
the overall, the overall.
Speaker 2 (40:26):
When the war.
Speaker 1 (40:26):
Started, forty one percent of Americans support of the war,
forty nine percent opposed it. It's now thirty four supported,
fifty seven opposed it. So those supporting have dropped by
seven points, those opposing have added by eight That is
a very very stark number. Could that lead to Trump's
negative numbers going down. Trump's negative numbers have hit new lows,
(40:48):
lowers than they've been even during January sixth, and some
of these polling numbers. It's not the war itself, it's
the ripple effect through the economy that's really getting people
and turning them their back on the war, because for
most Americans, the war has the physical war hasn't touched them.
Like you said, thirteen Americans have died horrific, but it's
(41:11):
not one hundred and thirty thousand Americans who died, Like,
we're not all feeling the actual munition's depletion, but everyone's
feeling gas prices. So that's the side effect. Could it
affect Trump more? I think it really is. I think
it's hitting his numbers pretty badly. And if he somehow
is able to reduce the shock of the war or
(41:31):
end it and get gas prices down, maybe we'll bounce
up on the just legitimacy of like the idea of
forever war. I don't think it's going to negatively affect
him for that reason. I think it's going to affect
him for the fact because most people aren't feeling it.
They're just not feeling the Forever War. We're not seeing
videos of the Forever War online all the time like
we were during Iraq. I think it's the gas prices
and the food prices and all the rest of it.
(41:52):
That's where we're gonna That's where we're getting hit. And
his numbers are affected because of that, and the war
numbers are affected because that.
Speaker 2 (41:58):
All right, that's this episode.
Speaker 1 (42:00):
Happy Friday, everyone, have a wonderful, wonderful weekend. We'll be
back Monday with a jam pack week next week. It's crazy,
so like and subscribe on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts,
and on YouTube wherever you get this podcast. I appreciate
everyone for listening. Talk to you guys on Monday.
Welcome back to a numbers game with Ryan Grodoski. Thank
you guys for being here. Happy Friday, everybody, we made
it through another week. I have to tell you I
rarely listened to conservative podcasts or talk radio because I
try to keep my opinions fresh and interesting. And if
you listen to a lot of podcasts out there, which
maybe some of you do, eventually those narratives kind of
(00:23):
get into your head and you start repeating your opinion,
and it's only natural. But I don't want to do
that because I want my fresh take for you guys.
So I've been really interested in the Charlie Kirk murder trial,
and I've been watching a few YouTube shows and clicking
on a few podcasts to talk about the status of
the trial and how it's going and the evidence. And
(00:44):
I've clicked on this one guy the other day and
he sounded informed and a good speaking voice and did
a good job. But then I watched a few of
his other episodes, and every episode was a reaction episode too.
Ben Shapiro said this, and then Cannice Owen said this,
and then Tucker Carlson said this, and Megan Kelly said this,
and Michael Knowles said that I was like, oh my god,
(01:04):
is this every podcast? It's all reaction, there's no content,
It's all just you know, what everyone else is saying
about each other. I had to turn it off. I
was like, this is this is too much like this is?
Speaker 2 (01:18):
You know, I try.
Speaker 1 (01:19):
It made me want to double down and make sure
that this podcast is not like that. I try really
hard to make sure you guys get fresh information and
content to give you guys more information and keep you
more informed and not do high school. I mean, I
loved high school, but I am over it at this
point in my life. So, okay, here's some data for
you guys. Because it's a Friday in the summer. I
(01:40):
want to go over a few data points I think
are really interesting, but then go over some funny news
I think it's just hilarious. And we'll keep it light
and easy for Friday in the summer. First, let's talk
well two things. Let's talk about money and polls. Financial
information when it comes to campaigns and politics, informs us
a lot over the status of where campaigns are going,
how politics are doing, and who's investing in what. So
(02:03):
let's start with a fresh poll in the Great state
of Pennsylvania, where governor and likely presidential candidate Josh Shapiro
looks like he is surging to a re election. A
Quinny paf pole found that Shapiro leads his Republican challenger,
Stacey Garrity, fifty three to forty percent. It's actually quite
a bad poll for Shapiro considering the last two poles
(02:23):
have had him closer to twenty points. For those who
don't know, by the way, because Garytty is not a
well known name, Stacy Garrity is the treasurer of the
state of Pennsylvania. She won a shocking victory in twenty
twenty and she was a complete unknown. She defeated an incumbent,
had a really amazing victory in twenty twenty, and then
(02:44):
she won in twenty twenty four by six points.
Speaker 2 (02:46):
So she's not a nobody.
Speaker 1 (02:47):
She's not a terrible candidate, Like they didn't pick her
out of a hat.
Speaker 2 (02:51):
She has a real.
Speaker 1 (02:52):
Legitimate election history of winning in Pennsylvania.
Speaker 2 (02:56):
So I want that.
Speaker 1 (02:56):
I think that's important. Becaeuple are like, why can't you
find a better case against Shapiro? They found a good candidate.
Stacy Garrett is not a bad candidate. Nonetheless, poles in
Pennsylvania have showed actually that it's tightened a little bit.
The Quinnipiac pole specifically, Shapiro's lead has shrunk from eighteen
points in February to thirteen points today. With he's leading
among Democrats ninety six to one. That's not a shocker.
(03:19):
He's leading on independence fifty eight to twenty nine, and
he's losing Republicans eighty seven to ten. Now Shapiro has
a big lead, but it's trending in the wrong direction
for him. He is counting on a twenty plus point
victory in Pennsylvania this November. If he doesn't get it,
it will definitely make.
Speaker 2 (03:40):
His argument for a national campaign a little tougher.
Speaker 1 (03:43):
He wants to get into November, win by twenty points
and say, look, I can deliver. I can win the
most important swing state in the country, which is now Pennsylvania.
I'm a popular governor. And despite him being a popular governor,
this would be outside Pennsylvania.
Speaker 2 (03:59):
I really don't know.
Speaker 1 (04:00):
Despite being a popular governor, he has not delivered on
most of his agenda. Why because the Republicans control the
state Senate and Democrats while they control the state House
have just a one seat majority, so there's not a
lot of room for error. Even in the state House,
he's had to work across the aisle, which maybe makes
him more popular, but it doesn't give him any kind
(04:22):
of progressive bona fides to run on in November. He
needs this gigantic victory to flip the state Senate, gain
seats in the state House, and what he wants to
really do is focus on the four congressional seats that
Republicans hold in Pennsylvania in swing districts. He'll be targeting
Brian Fitzpatrick in District one, Ryan Mackenzie in District seven,
(04:44):
Rob Brushahan in District eight, and Scott Perry in District him.
If he helps deliver those seats to Democrats, he gets
to not only say I can win in an important,
the most important swing state, but I have added seats
to the Democratic majority already in the House to put
a check on Trump. Look how effective I am. So
(05:05):
good bit of news. He's you know, he's a good
bit of head in the reelection, not turning in the
direction that he wants, but he's looking an overall landslide.
The over the other information in this poll that was
fascinating was over John Fetterman. Now I've talked about this
in the past. Fetterman has a in this poll, Fetterman
has a forty eight percent favoral rating a forty one
(05:28):
percent disfavorle rating. That's pretty good for actually a senator,
like being up seven points in a senator in this environment,
very good. Susan Collins would love those polls. Right at
this point, it's actually terrible for Fetterman because here's why.
Vetterman has an approval rating among Republicans in Pennsylvania seventy
(05:48):
seven to twelve.
Speaker 2 (05:50):
This is wild.
Speaker 1 (05:52):
Fetterman is a pro choice, pro Obamacare guy who only
votes with Trump twenty five percent of the time, and
yet Republicans love him. Among Democrats, his approval rating is
nineteen percent. He has a sixty nine percent disapproating. He's
in Kristen Cinema territory. He is in not Joe Mansion.
(06:15):
He was Joe Mansum was popular in West Virginia. But
he's in Kristen Cemetery territory. Like he cannot win a
primary with those kind of numbers, Like it's not even close,
And it just goes to show how much vibes decide
people's decision over how much they like a politician, like
because he likes Israel and defends Israel and talks to
people on Fox News and call grand Platner a scumbag, which,
(06:38):
like fair, grand Platner is a scumbag. I mean, there's
no love left for him among the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania.
Fifty two percent of Democrats in Pennsylvania want John Fetterman
to leave the Democratic Party.
Speaker 2 (06:57):
That is wild.
Speaker 1 (06:58):
If John Fetterman were to lead the Democratic Party, even
to become just an independent who caucuses wherever Chuck Schumer
cannot become a majority leader like, it makes no sense
on a calculation basis why they hate John Fetterman the
way that they do. Republican Day McCormick is on solid ground.
He's got a forty percent approval thirty three percent disapproval.
(07:19):
It's great for a freshman senator. Democrats lead in the
generic ballot in the Keystone state by six points forty
nine two forty three. That puts a lot of Republicans
in jeopardy, and it also shows how popular Shapiro is
compared to the overall generic ballot. Remember Shapiro leads by
thirteen generic ballot is six, so Shapiro's popularity lifts into
(07:41):
seven points in Pennsylvania. It all stems from President Trump,
whose approw ratings are pretty dismal. Thirty nine percent approved,
fifty eight percent disapprove. Independence disapproved by a two to
one margin. Now, despite Democrats having an advantage in this election,
when asked about the state of the Republican and Democratic Party,
(08:02):
they had a very different answer. Forty three percent, a
plurality of voters say the GOP hasn't moved too far
or too or too far left or too far right.
They're basically in a nice spot right that they are
where they've always been. Seven percent that they move too
far left, forty two percents that they move far right,
but it's it's pretty that's okay. Forty three is a
good solid number for the Republicans. When I ask a Democrats,
(08:24):
forty nine percent of voter so the Democratic Party has
moved too far left, including fourteen percent of Democrats and
nearly fifty percent of Independence. This is the type of
branding problem that Democrats are going to deal with with
long term trouble, especially if a far left candidate is
nominated for president in twenty twenty eight. It means that
(08:47):
the voter is the average voter thinks that the party's
out of step with them.
Speaker 2 (08:52):
Now.
Speaker 1 (08:52):
A lot of things could work in Democrats' fate, or
like a bad economy, or the war drags on, or
high gas prices or whatever. But overall, voters in Pennsylvania,
the most important sping is that I need to emphasize
feel like the Democratic Party is not representative of them.
That's not good long term. Fifty two percent of voters
in the state believe the economy is getting worse. Forty
(09:14):
four percent think they are worse financial worse off financially.
Speaker 2 (09:17):
Than they were a year ago.
Speaker 1 (09:19):
Oh, that's all the negative Trump numbers come down to. Really,
is just the economy. Last point on the poll is
how voters are feeling on AI. Twenty two percent have
a favorable opinion on AI. Forty seven percent have an
unfavorable opinion of AI. Asked about supporting data centers, only
sixteen percent that they would like a data center built
(09:39):
in their neighborhood. Seventy four percent oppose a data center
being built in their area. Josh Shapiro has championed data
center so is most of his first term. He's only
flip flopped recently. And when asked if they approve or
disapprove of the job Josh Shapiro has done with data centers,
twenty four percent say that he's done a good job.
Thirty four percent and say he's done a bad job.
(10:01):
Independents are negative on Shapiro with data centers by fourteen points.
Stacey Garrity and her team would be very wise to
be hitting on Josh Shapiro with data centers right now,
no matter how she feels about it. They are unpopular
and he is unpopular for supporting them, or rather it's
the issue he's most unpopular on. Now, let's talk finances
(10:22):
because it means a lot to where money moves a
lot in politics. It's it's not that money wins elections,
sometimes it does. It's that money is a indicator of
confidence and candidates of where people and interests are moving.
So let's first look at two big challengers. This is
a race I'm going to focus on in the next segment.
Speaker 2 (10:42):
In Michigan.
Speaker 1 (10:43):
Abdul lsaid he is the progressive socialist candidate and Hailey
Stevens she's more of the establishment candidate are in a
tight race. Hailey Stevens, though, is having more money cash
on hand than abdul al said, three point four million
to two point five million. That's a big spread going
into the very end of this election. And Michigan, by
the way, now that Platner is out, is the focus
(11:06):
of the Democratic Socialist Let's look at cash on hand
for incumbents, because this is going to say a lot
about what people are looking in the future. Senator John
Ossop of Georgia has forty two point six million dollars
cash on hand. His challenger, Mike Collins, is two point
two million. John Ossup is the sleeper candidate a lot
(11:28):
of people are looking to in twenty twenty eight two
run for president AOC super safe Democratic seat. Everyone's looking
at her future fifteen point nine million dollars, lots of
money that she will not be spending on her own reelection.
Senator Mark Kelly, He's not even on the ballot this year.
He's got twenty five million. Another dark horse is looking
(11:49):
at a presidential run, possibly on the Republican side. Congressman
Brandon Gill. He's a freshman, he's a friend of mine,
he is he raised one point one million in one quarter.
That's a lot for a freshman. He's a he's a
rising star, like he's a superstar. On the negative side,
Congressman Corey Mills in battle Congress, and I've talked about him,
(12:10):
he's somebody who probably should not be in Congress. Well,
my opinion, he should not be in Congress. I think
he's got a lot of skeletons in his closet. He
raised fifty nine thousand dollars, he has two million dollars
in debt and has eighty one thousand cash on hand.
Speaker 2 (12:24):
Horrible.
Speaker 1 (12:24):
He could be beaten this time. Russell Fry, who's looking
at running possibly for Lindsay cramseyed is starting up for
a million dollars cash on hand. That's a nice launching
pad if you want to run for the US Senate.
Susan Collins, who has absolutely no opponent at this point.
She's raised four million in a month. She's eleven million
cash on hand. It's a good place for Susan Collins to.
Speaker 2 (12:44):
Be right now.
Speaker 1 (12:45):
Roy Cooper, he is the former governor of North Carolina
running for the US Senate. He is twenty point seven
million dollars. His Republican opponent who's actually decent on fundraising,
Michael Wattley three point five million cash on hand. It
is North Georgia and North Carolina. The Democrats are bringing
in the big guns of financially speaking, Greg Abbot, the
(13:07):
governor of Texas, raised twenty eight million. He has sixty
seven million cash on hand. Abbot is running for his
fourth term. This man, I think personally, personally speaking, I
have no evidence to back this. I think he's always
wanted to run for president and just never had the opportunity.
But he's raising buckets of money. Josh Shapiro raised twelve million,
(13:28):
totally fifteen million fundraised for the year once again, looking
at twenty twenty eight, it's a lot of money. Mary Patolo,
she's running in Alaska. She raised seven million, but interestingly enough,
she spent almost all of it. She's got a huge
burn rate, which makes me think too many staffers.
Speaker 2 (13:47):
Too big.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
That is a big red warning sign that she's burning
money as fast as she is. And lastly on the
candidate side, Shared Brown, former Senator of Ohio, running to
run again to be Senator Denmark christ Center raised twelve million,
spent thirteen million. Once again huge monster burn rate. This
early in the election. He has sixteen million cash on hand.
(14:10):
I want to go over how some billionaires have been
throwing money around. So Reid Hoffman, he is a tech bro,
multi billionaire, probably the most liberal tech bro around. He
gave ten million dollars to James tall Rico's superpack to
flip the senence in Texas. A lot of money, A
(14:31):
lot of money. Now, Texas is very expensive. Remember there's
twenty plus media markets to campaign, and so ten million
doesn't go as far as you would think if it
was like I don't know New Hampshire or Iowa, but
that's a lot of money even in there. Elon Musk
gave five hundred thousand to Greg Abbott and five a
million to the Vek Ramaswami. He's running for governor of Ohio.
(14:53):
George Soros gave three point five million to the group
Working Families Party of New York. That's the group that
helped elect all the DSA members. There is a clear
connection between George sorows and the rise of the DSA.
He is funding a big part of the Working Family
Party in New York. Dick Uline, he is a Republican
(15:15):
super donor. I think I think he made his money.
Speaker 2 (15:19):
In cardboard boxes.
Speaker 1 (15:20):
I'm not sure if someone told me you could become
a billionaire from the cardboard box industry, I would have
made different choices in life earlier on. But he gave
eighteen million to various Republican super PACs. Ken Griffin, the
billionaire from Illinois, gave two point five million to Ashley
Moody and Dan Sullivan, three million to the RGA, and
ten million to the Senate Leadership Fund for the Republicans.
(15:42):
A lot of money dispersed across the field. King Griffin
is absolutely buckling down for the GOP right now. Michael
Bloomberg gave eleven million dollars to Micah Lassner. He won
a special primary in New York for one congressional district.
Michael Bloomberg for one House seat in a primary, gave
(16:06):
more money than than than than James Tallerrico got from
Raid Hoffman crazy money, crazy money. But I guess if
you're worth you know, thirty billion, eleven million is nothing
to you. And Roku Ceo, the ROCU CEO gave five
hundred thousand to camp Past and Super Pac.
Speaker 2 (16:24):
If you look over.
Speaker 1 (16:25):
All at Super packs. There is a lot of special
interests also in the mix. Win for America, which is
the sports a betting industry. superPAC raised seventy two million
dollars to help legalize sports gambling across the country. The
pro AI superPAC Leading the Future gave two hundred and
twenty seven thousand to incumbent Greg Stanton in Arizona he's
(16:47):
a Democrat, and six hundred thousand to Republican j Feely.
The Republican Senate Leadership pack raised almost a quarter of
a billion dollars. Excuse me, they have almost a order
of a billion dollars cash on hand. The Democrat version
of that has only half the Republican number, one hundred
(17:08):
and twenty six million. That's a huge difference. Republicans are
counting on these super PACs to make up the difference
in these races like North Carolina and Georgia where the
Republican Canada is out raised ten to one, because no
one has as much money as these super PACs. And
last but not least, Ken Paxton's new super pac starts
off the quarter after this crazy primary John Cornyn, which
(17:30):
is thirty five thousand dollars. That is I'm sure Kem
Paxton can have fundraise the money and I think Paxson's
Packson's slave to come on the podcast next week, so
we'll talk to him about it.
Speaker 2 (17:41):
But fundraising is a big part of it.
Speaker 1 (17:43):
Paxson's been definitely behind Tallarrico, but I'm sure the super
Pac will pick up steam as this election goes on
because it's Texas. It's a big one. Okay, that's the
money side, that's the polls. I know, I throw a
lot at you guys for a Friday. I understand it's
it's quite intense. Let's do think fun. A couple politicians
have gone viral for what they put out on the internet.
(18:05):
Let's just talk about it. It's hysterical. That's coming up next, Okay.
So this is a fun segment for the end of
the week. If you if you are listening to this
segment on Apple Podcasts or on the iHeartRadio app, I
beg of you to go on YouTube and watch this
segment because you're gonna want to see what I'm talking about.
The Democratic Socialists are really invested in the erase from Michigan.
(18:28):
Now the Grand Platters gone in Maine, Like I mean this,
Abdul l said is the whole show for them. They
want him to win so badly. He is taking a
very interesting tactic as far as campaign ango that I've
never seen before. He is making videos where he looks
like Steve from the television show Blues Clues from when
(18:50):
I was a child.
Speaker 2 (18:51):
There's the mail.
Speaker 1 (18:52):
It never fails and makes me want a wag might
say when it comes.
Speaker 2 (18:56):
I wanna wil I'm so embarrassed, I am. I am.
Speaker 1 (19:05):
You could not convince me to do that, even in
my drunkest state of mind when I was in my
early twenties. It is so strange. But fear not because
Centra's Democrats are ready to take on him. They have
a strong female candidate, you know, coming strong. Her name
is Haley Stevens. She went viral this week for talking
(19:26):
about how she's gonna fight for the everyman in Michigan.
Speaker 2 (19:29):
Play clip too.
Speaker 3 (19:30):
I am gonna be working on our behalf. I am
gonna be telling the stories on our behalf, and you
better believe I'm gonna be doing it with a little
bit of joy, a little bit of enthusiasm, a little
bit of energy, and a little bit of sticket to them,
because that's the Michigan way.
Speaker 1 (19:48):
If you haven't seen the clip of Congressman Stevens, she
does this strange hand shoulder motion the entire time. She
looks like she would have been a minor character in
a league of their own, like for a rival team
trying to energize before the playoffs. It is, it's it's
I've watched it so many times I can't even tell
(20:12):
you because it's so strange. Every Democrat in this election
is either a race communist or a failed theater kid.
It is, it is. The performance is outstanding, Like she
looks like she's going to do community theater pretty soon
and like gonna do like a rendition of Oklahoma. I
love it, but it's crazy. By the way, if you
(20:32):
are wondering, that is not her actual voice. That is
a fake Michigan accent that she's putting on. Some consultant
told her, Hey, you need to overdo your Michigan accent. Yeah,
if you want to know what she actually sounds like,
here's a video of her on the house floor where
it can only be described described as she's having a
nervous breakdown of an RFK junior and saying he should
(20:53):
be impeached.
Speaker 3 (20:54):
With the servitude, sharing in the profession with those who
have not come before you. Similar times, medical need wars
and flues paths.
Speaker 4 (21:03):
You will see darkness, you will be pushed, and.
Speaker 3 (21:06):
Our society needs you to stand together at this time.
Our country loves you to our doctors and our nurses.
Speaker 5 (21:13):
I wear these ladies, general ladies. Time has expired. The
gentleman from Maryland is resolves. The gentleman from Texas is recognized.
The gentleman from Texas is now recognized.
Speaker 2 (21:24):
You can you can?
Speaker 1 (21:26):
I mean, like, yeah, she's got props, she's doing a
whole bit. She's she's a theater kid, like that's who
she is. She's a theater kid, like she would have
loved to play the Barber Streisen role and funny girl
like that's who this woman is. I'm kind of here
for it. It's a lot, but I'm kind of here
for it. But theater kids in politics and accents is
(21:48):
really nothing new, and we've seen it a lot before.
Here there's by the way, there is no there's no
accent that politicians, especially Democrats love to fake more than
the black scent, like a black accent.
Speaker 2 (22:03):
They love it.
Speaker 1 (22:04):
Here is Josh Shapiro play the club.
Speaker 2 (22:07):
You could not have a clear contrast in this race.
You could not have a.
Speaker 5 (22:14):
Clear contrast between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
Speaker 2 (22:18):
Now, let me tell you something. He's pretty afraid, Yo
sees he's backing up in the bank. Now he's afraid
to stan.
Speaker 5 (22:25):
Tone to tone with our vice president because he can't
run away from his record any long.
Speaker 1 (22:32):
I have met many many Jews in my life. None
of them sound like Barack Obama. None of them. Josh
Shapiro is the only Jew who sounds like Barack Obama.
He is faking an accent. There's another guy. He's running
for Congress. His name is Justin Pearson. He's a state
(22:53):
representative over in Tennessee. To his credit, unlike Jos Shapiro,
he is actually black. But he all of a sudden,
somewhere in his early to mid twenties just started speaking
like Martin Luther King Junior for no reason. The first
clip of him is him in college, and then the
second clip is of him now as an elected official.
(23:14):
It is pretty just mouthed dropping. Play the clip, Dustin J.
Speaker 6 (23:20):
Pearson, and I'm running for president of BSG. There are
a few reasons that we're running this campaign this year.
One has to do with representation. How can we represent
all voices in a conversation. I wanted to do this
by pargering with organizations from the booty Democrats to the
Boden Republicans. I want to bring together different voices, dissenting voices,
voices that may be more liberal or more conservative, in
(23:43):
order that we can reach a point of sort of
the radical middle. You've had three strikes, Lules mass incnserration
denied us of who we are, and we.
Speaker 4 (23:53):
Are still here and today he had to take the
majority of Black.
Speaker 2 (23:58):
District from us. But I'm you know, and I want
my nephew sons and to know.
Speaker 4 (24:03):
No matter what you do, no matter.
Speaker 1 (24:06):
How much you try and make us and make us
bit and make ups.
Speaker 7 (24:10):
Quit, we still.
Speaker 1 (24:14):
I mean, I love it. It's so fake, it's so performative.
He doesn't speak like that. But listen, hey, I give
I give them a little credit. If you had to
fake somebody, faking the voice of Barack Obama or Martin
Luther King is not that bad. It's someone to at
least aspire to kind of sound like they were great auditors.
(24:38):
Jasmine Krockett the congressman from Texas who ran unsuccessfully for
the US Senate. She used to sound like a college
educated suburban woman, and somewhere in her early forties she
decided to sound like CARDI B play that club.
Speaker 4 (24:55):
First of all, it's.
Speaker 8 (24:55):
Good to see you in the new year.
Speaker 7 (24:58):
You know, no one could have told me that when
I went down to Austin now looks like a little
bit over a year ago that I would be running
for Congress. Maybe because these people they are crazy, because
they always talk about how Christian they is. Yeah, I
don't know how many of them on that side I
getting divorced because they getting caught up sleeping with their coworkers,
staffers and terns, all the things. Yet you ain't gotta
(25:21):
believe me.
Speaker 2 (25:22):
Just go Google.
Speaker 7 (25:22):
You'll find some of it, I'm telling you. And the
wives is being messy and petty they putting it in.
Speaker 2 (25:28):
I mean, what do you do to prepare for that accent?
Speaker 1 (25:32):
I mean how many episodes of Real Housewives of Atlanta
do you think that she watched in order to try
to sound like Meani leaks like that is what the
preparation and the work was like for her to master
not sounding like an educated woman, which by way she is.
She has multiple degrees. She's from a very well off family.
She does not sound like that. It is wild, but
(25:55):
the overall queens of the fake black accent are none
other than him, Hllary Clinton and Kamala Harris.
Speaker 2 (26:02):
This is the last clip of this.
Speaker 7 (26:04):
I don't feel no ways tired.
Speaker 2 (26:08):
I come too.
Speaker 3 (26:09):
Far from where I started from.
Speaker 7 (26:13):
Nobody told me that the road would be easy.
Speaker 3 (26:18):
I don't believe he brought me this far to leave me.
Speaker 7 (26:22):
And you all helped us win in twenty twenty and
we don't do it again in twenty twenty four.
Speaker 1 (26:29):
Yeah, Kamala Harris is raised in Canada and Hillary Clinton
is from Illinois. Now, Hillary Clinton, to her credit in
that clip, is quoting somebody else. However, you can watch
many videos of Hillary Clinton over the years where her
accent changes wildly depending on who she's in front of
and what she's talking about. I love it. I love
when politicians do this. Politicians going viral for overdoing it
(26:53):
or faking who they are is one of my favorite things.
Haley Stevens over in Michigan, going viral has been giving
me life for three days now. Sometimes when people go viral,
it's for a good time. Most of the time, when
politicians do this, it backfires if you are of a
certain age, like may you remember Howard Dean screaming in
(27:14):
two thousand and four or Mitt Romney saying forty seven
percent in twenty twelve, Haley Stevens, Maybe things will be
more popular because of how over the top she is,
how over embella she is, and it's quite funny.
Speaker 2 (27:28):
Maybe Michigan voters will like it.
Speaker 1 (27:30):
I love it, but I can't vote in Michigan. But
before I leave this segment, I want to do a
flashback to one of my favorite politicians you've never heard
of that when viral locally viral, they weren't faking an accent.
These were two guys who were being themselves completely, and
every once in a while, every few months, I watch
(27:50):
them because it is one of the best things that's
ever been recorded in American politics. Back in twenty fourteen,
in the Idaho governor's race, incumbent Books otter And was
competing against now congress and Russ F.
Speaker 2 (28:03):
Fulture Well.
Speaker 1 (28:04):
The governor, in a move of sheer political genius, decided
to invite the two other guys on the ballot who
were quote unquote normal guys. They weren't politicians. Their names
were Harley Brown, he is a biker. And Walt Bias.
He was a Christian homeschooler who was arrested for homeschooling
his children, and he was a perennial candidate. He ran
(28:26):
like every couple of years to talk about abortion. No
one remembers what Russ Fulcher or butch Otter said in
the during the debate because these two stole the show.
The whole videos on YouTube. You could watch it. Here
is just a segment. So this is of Walter Bias,
the Christian homeschooler. These are just some things that he
(28:47):
said during the debate that were amazing.
Speaker 8 (28:51):
I told him what I thought of them, and the
television would talk to me for thirty minutes or an hourn't, well,
what would you do if they came out to take
your kids? We'll let you do it. What else would
you do? I can stand up where these guys are
falling down. I don't know how to put it, but
how many of them have been in jail for what
they bleed? How many of them come out of jail
(29:13):
said you haven't changed the thing? What I am going
to do is to do the right thing.
Speaker 5 (29:21):
Okay, it's time to move on.
Speaker 8 (29:22):
Wormwood is mentioned in the Bible a whole lot where
you're studying these last days, and it's radiation. They gave
those people that worked there something called potassium iodide and
it plugs up your thyroid gland where it won't take
this radiation in. And those people didn't get it. They
didn't have the effects. And what I'm telling you, the
(29:45):
bottle's good for twenty years, and I'd rather have it
twenty years early than five minutes late. When that little
deal happened in Japan. Just like that, you couldn't buy it.
You couldn't find any anywhere.
Speaker 1 (29:58):
This was a debate of a being governor of Idaho.
It should remind ever hearing about this. The second guy
is Harley Brown, the biker. He was actually way mar
Ntini even than Walt Bays, who I couldn't follow what
he was saying. Sometimes go to some highlights of Harley Brown.
Speaker 4 (30:17):
Pright out to God. I said, God, how about putting
me back on active duty and making me a battalion commander.
Long story short, He says, no, son, I got a
higher rank for you. I'm gonna make you the commander
in chief, and I staggered. Not at his promise. I'll
get into that more with you. Don't think I'm crazy,
because I'm not. I don't like political correctness. Can I
(30:37):
say this? It sucks. It's bondage. And I'm about as
politically correct as your proverbial heard and a punch bowl.
And I'm proud of it. And I'm going for it,
and I'm going for the voter of the real people
out there, not these bondage type people who don't have
a clue about picking up strangers at night and hauling
(30:58):
them god knows where. Try that for a while. All right,
all right, you go in there and you use spiritual warfare.
Nobody everybody talks about the natural, but I'm going to
talk about the other realm we exist in. You have
buying those evil spirits that are behind the fence. With
the blood of Jesus, the name of Jesus, the power
of adoment of the Holy Spirit, the power of agreement,
(31:18):
the Word of God, take air superiority, and then roll
in with your tanks on the ground like troopers's lawsuits. Blitzkriek, mister, question.
Speaker 8 (31:29):
The question was about taxes.
Speaker 4 (31:30):
Do you think they're about right in Idaho?
Speaker 1 (31:32):
Too high or too low?
Speaker 8 (31:33):
Well?
Speaker 1 (31:39):
And he says blitz Creek. It's just the best. I
love it. It's the greatest debate in American history. Not
Lincoln Douglas, not Kennedy, Nixon, not Biden Trump.
Speaker 2 (31:48):
This is my.
Speaker 1 (31:49):
Favorite, favorite favorite debate.
Speaker 2 (31:51):
It is so good.
Speaker 1 (31:52):
The two candidates in the end, and I'm getting to
combined five percent of the Republican primary. It's just I
had to share it on this Friday. It's the best. Okay,
Ask Me Anything is next. Now it's time for the
Ask Me Anything segment. If you want to be part
of the Ask Me Anything segment, email you Ryan at
Numbers Gamepodcast dot com. That's Ryan at numbers Plural Numbers
Game podcast dot com. First question up is Frank from
(32:14):
New York. You wrote just a suggestion. I feel like
we're due for a European politics episode update. It sounds
like a lot's happening in France in the UK, but
I'm too lazy to read up on it. So can
you do an update on the podcast? Looking forward to it? Frank,
I love doing episodes on Europe and foreign countries politics,
but The thing is that listenership knows dives every time
(32:35):
I do it, so I don't I want to know
what the audience is feeling. But the audience overall doesn't
like to do episodes on foreign countries. So I'll just
give be a quick update right now. In the UK,
kere Starmer is about to resign. He said he's going
to We're just waiting for like the days. He'll be likely,
I mean extremely likely, replaced by MP Member of Parliament
(32:56):
and former Mayor of Manchester Andy Burnham. Kind of comes
from all sides of the Labor Party. He's been with
the Progressives at times, He's been with the Conservatives at times.
Speaker 2 (33:06):
He's been all over the place.
Speaker 1 (33:08):
And he is getting a bump in the polls right
now because people are excited about a new Prime Minister.
Nigel Farage from Reform UK is also dealing with some
bad pr at the moment, so Burnham is getting a
bounce in the polls. But the economy in Britain is
still terrible. Mass immigration is still happening to a lower
scale and it was but still happening. They have deep
(33:29):
restrictions in what the government can do because of the
bond market so it's bad either way. I don't expect
the bounce to last very long. There is a special election.
Farage resigned from Parliament because he's dealing with some negative press,
so he resigned, and now he's running for the seat again,
but no one else. It's basically to show how popular
he is in the seat. But every other party dropped
(33:51):
out of the race, so he's basically running on Contestity's
running as a guy dressed as a garbage can, so
he should be winning, no problem.
Speaker 2 (33:58):
There's no big election.
Speaker 1 (34:00):
In England until next year when they have another round
of local elections. The next general election in the UK
is not till twenty twenty nine at least. I mean
they can call it whenever, but they're not going to
call right now because Labors in such a bad state.
They would lose well over one hundred seats, they would
lose the majority, they'd have to do a coalition government.
It'd be very messy. So Andy Vernham is not going
(34:23):
to do a special election unless his poll numbers really surge.
By doubt that's going to happen. Over in France, it's
much more interesting. The French court gave Marie and Lapenn
a reduced sentence to run, and so she can run
for president. And she was found guilty of embezzling EU
funds and was banned for running, and now she's allowed
to run for president. The election will take place next year,
(34:45):
and as of now, she has a tremendous lead in
the first round. France is a presidential election that has
a runoff, so they have two rounds. So the first
round everyone runs, and the second round it's the top two,
and then the congressional primary. The congressional elections first round
and second round or later on the same year. She
is beating every major opponent.
Speaker 2 (35:05):
By a wide margin.
Speaker 1 (35:07):
The only one who's even close to her in the
second round is Eduardo Eduard Philippe. He is the former
prime minister of the country. She's beat him in the
last three polls, but within the margin of error. Everybody
else she is beating by double digits. It's not even close.
He's the only one who's even in contention. La Penn's successor,
(35:27):
Jordan Bardella, is slightly more popular than her, but only
by a point or two. Interestingly enough, this is like
kind of European gosp that no one cares about. In America,
but I love it. Jordan is a very handsome thirty
year old politician. He'd be the youngest president of France,
like since Napoleon if he were to be the president,
but he's not running anyway. He's very popular, very handsome.
(35:51):
He used to date Marine Lapenn, his successor's niece, and
they had a slightly ugly breakup, and now he's dating
an Italian princess, and I wonder part of me wonders
if Marine was like, I'm gonna run because you may
have screwed over my knees. It's fairly internal French gossip.
But I do love it anyway. Beating every She's beating
(36:13):
everyone by double digits. Jordan Bardella is not running if
for some reason, in the second round, the French nominatee
Jean Luke Melachan. He is like the Bernie Sanders type
candidate for the French politics, although he's far the left
of Bernie Sanders. If you can believe it, she's gonna
beat him by thirty five points.
Speaker 2 (36:31):
It's going to be a.
Speaker 1 (36:32):
Collaborating Jean Luke Melachan recently came out against air conditioning.
He said that it's bad for everyone's lungs and he
doesn't want it in France. And that's the state of
French politics right now. Okay, Next up is from my
buddy Peter Folmo. She said, one thing I've noticed was
most unhanged anti Trump people share is certain traits of
boomer educated, affluent, white.
Speaker 2 (36:54):
And mostly female.
Speaker 1 (36:55):
I recently noticed a friend of mine posting pictures of
herself at No King's Protest. She was a Reagan Conservative
in the past, and it really bothered me seeing that
what is it about Trump that is causing this phenomenon.
If the phenomenon that I'm observing is demographically accurate, I
think there's definitely, Peter, a large segment of that No
King's Protest type, Democrat resistance type that is absolutely older, female.
(37:20):
It's not all Democrats, obviously, but it's a lot of them.
And I will say this, I think that Steve Bannon accurately.
One of the things he said accurately is understanding the
hatred Trump brings from that certain demographic of women of
that certain age. I think Bannon was like, Trump is
the patriarch personified. He is the father who never loved you.
(37:42):
He is the boss who never promoted you. The husband
and she and you, the boyfriend who wouldn't marry you,
the son who married that woman you hate. It's every
kind of guy that they've ever hated their life in
one person. I think that, really, is there just something
that sets women off? And I think that there's a
large portion of women who kind of just reject him
(38:02):
for who he.
Speaker 2 (38:03):
Is and there's no going back.
Speaker 1 (38:05):
And yeah, and also women have become more increasingly progressive
over time. Okay, next question is Brian from Tennessee. You're
a Hi Ryan. I'm so sorry your parents left be
off of your name. Very funny, Bryant. I often see
ads and get texts claiming donations to a campaign will
be match double tripled if you donate with a certain timeframe.
Do these matches really happen? If so, how so? No,
(38:27):
they don't usually happen. This is just a fundraising tactic.
What they're doing is saying like, oh, we've raised a
million dollars. If you match and you guys all give
a million dollars, you will have matched your fund or
we're trying to match with this kind of thing that
we've raised before, but no, or like a large donor
gave us two million dollars come and match with it.
It's not like it's but it's not like if you
(38:49):
give a dollar, someone else will give a dollar.
Speaker 2 (38:51):
That's not how it works.
Speaker 1 (38:52):
It's mostly a fundraising employee, and it's highly effective.
Speaker 2 (38:54):
I'll just say that, okay.
Speaker 1 (38:56):
Last question is from Christopher Christophre's Hi Ryan Second Time Running.
In Trump, along with Israel, started the Iran War to
obstably rid them of the ability to have a nuclear bomb.
After three and one half months three and one half
months of war up to the point of the ceasefire
in mid June, do we gain our objective? The answer
is no, We're right back where we started. But over
(39:18):
the time we've spent tens of billions of dollars we
don't have prosecuting the war. We've run stockpiles of many
communitions down to dangerously low levels, thirteen YUS servicemen having
lost their lives, and American families have spend hundreds of
thousands of dollars more given the war induced inflation, money
they'll never get back. I have yet to see why
it spread. Coverage of these points and the media and
zero acknowledgment from those who thought the war was a
(39:40):
good idea when it started. By the way, I'm giving
you acknowledgement right now, I believe Trump is very vulnerable
on this point once people figure it out. My question
to you is this, to your knowledge, is there have
been any polling been done on this and if so,
what are the results.
Speaker 2 (39:54):
I know Trump's approved ratings are not good right.
Speaker 1 (39:56):
Now, but could they be driven even lower from his
decision to go to war and the start of what
it looks like from another forever war type situation?
Speaker 2 (40:05):
Thanks?
Speaker 1 (40:05):
Ryan, loved the podcast with the good work. You're the
only one speaking the truth on many of these issues.
Speaker 2 (40:10):
Thank you so much.
Speaker 8 (40:12):
So.
Speaker 1 (40:12):
The polls have shown, obviously that the war is very negative.
The war is more negative now than Trump's approval ratings
are during the beginning of the war. I'm not going
to go through every poll, but I'll go through the aggregate,
the overall, the overall.
Speaker 2 (40:26):
When the war.
Speaker 1 (40:26):
Started, forty one percent of Americans support of the war,
forty nine percent opposed it. It's now thirty four supported,
fifty seven opposed it. So those supporting have dropped by
seven points, those opposing have added by eight That is
a very very stark number. Could that lead to Trump's
negative numbers going down. Trump's negative numbers have hit new lows,
(40:48):
lowers than they've been even during January sixth, and some
of these polling numbers. It's not the war itself, it's
the ripple effect through the economy that's really getting people
and turning them their back on the war, because for
most Americans, the war has the physical war hasn't touched them.
Like you said, thirteen Americans have died horrific, but it's
(41:11):
not one hundred and thirty thousand Americans who died, Like,
we're not all feeling the actual munition's depletion, but everyone's
feeling gas prices. So that's the side effect. Could it
affect Trump more? I think it really is. I think
it's hitting his numbers pretty badly. And if he somehow
is able to reduce the shock of the war or
(41:31):
end it and get gas prices down, maybe we'll bounce
up on the just legitimacy of like the idea of
forever war. I don't think it's going to negatively affect
him for that reason. I think it's going to affect
him for the fact because most people aren't feeling it.
They're just not feeling the Forever War. We're not seeing
videos of the Forever War online all the time like
we were during Iraq. I think it's the gas prices
and the food prices and all the rest of it.
(41:52):
That's where we're gonna That's where we're getting hit. And
his numbers are affected because of that, and the war
numbers are affected because that.
Speaker 2 (41:58):
All right, that's this episode.
Speaker 1 (42:00):
Happy Friday, everyone, have a wonderful, wonderful weekend. We'll be
back Monday with a jam pack week next week. It's crazy,
so like and subscribe on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts,
and on YouTube wherever you get this podcast. I appreciate
everyone for listening. Talk to you guys on Monday.
The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show News
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Clay Travis
Buck Sexton
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