January 19, 2026 • 20 mins
It's time for the College Football Playoffs National Title game between Miami and Indiana. Host Matt Perrault has 2 bets plus an NBA play on the latest episode of the Daily Juice presented by Hard Rock Bet.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:15):
Hey guys, how are you happy Monday? Welcome into a
new episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perraltz.
You guys can follow me across all of my socials
at Sports Talk Matt and yes it was a losing day,
Yes it was a losing week, but I don't care
about any of that, cause the New England Patriots are
into the AFC Championship Game after one of the most
(00:36):
insane quarterback performances I have ever seen in my life
in CJ.
Speaker 2 (00:42):
Stroud. Oh my, look.
Speaker 1 (00:45):
The Patriots are sixteen and o this year, when Christian
Gonzalez and Milton Williams are both playing.
Speaker 2 (00:53):
They're not lost yet.
Speaker 1 (00:54):
They go to Denver to play in the AFC Championship Game.
Where Denver has played in three AFC Championship games in
the last twenty years. They have all been against the Patriots.
Tom Brady never won at Denver. I am forty eight
years old. I am old enough to remember Carl Mecklenberg
(01:16):
in the Oriente Crush defense, John Elway, and the house
of horrors that Denver has been for the Patriots my
entire life. This is the place where the Patriots go
and lose and if it was bo Nicks, I would
say the Patriots one hundred percent would be losing this game.
Because I said it in October. My anger with the
(01:39):
Patriots in the regular season was only one.
Speaker 2 (01:42):
I only had one real criticism of the Patriots.
Speaker 1 (01:46):
It's they were going to lose the tie breaker to
the Broncos for the number one seed. And I said,
whoever hosts the number one seed, whoever hosts the AFC
Championship game, was going to win if they played Patriots
Broncos for the right to go to Santa Clara. But
the broken broken ankle, fractured ankle for BOONICKX changes everything
(02:11):
sharp action, one way traffic. It is all Patriots money
at the moment here, we've got an eleven to one,
now a nine point nine to one, let's just call
it ten to one ticket now after betting on the
Texans and we hedged off that bet now into ten
to one bet, I'm gonna do it again, except I'm
just gonna go money lined. We're gonna go money line
(02:32):
for one unit at some point during the week. If
this number keeps climbing, I'm just gonna wait. It's plus
two to twenty right now for the money line. Look,
the Broncos defense can beat the Patriots. I mean, Drake
May has put the ball on the ground so much.
I mean it's it can really happen. There's no I mean,
all Jared Stidham has to do is not pull a CJ.
(02:53):
Stroud like, don't do that. Don't turn the ball over
a thousand times. If he's able to just hang on
to the football, which by the way, he has a
very hard time doing, as Patriot fans will tell you,
he throws a lot of picks. Okay. And you can't
run on the Patriots. You can't run RJ. Harvey or
whoever else they want. You're not running on the Patriots.
Speaker 2 (03:14):
Okay.
Speaker 1 (03:15):
So now with Dalbal, Jared Sindham and the Patriots are
gonna do exactly what they did to the Houston Texans.
They're gonna play the safeties down, they're gonna jump routes,
and they're gonna make you throw over the top. Now,
the difference is Courtland Sutton in company. The Broncos have
got receivers who can beat you over the top. There
was nobody available for the Texans to be able to
(03:35):
do that without Nico Collins. And then without Dalton Schultz
and they just had nobody. That's not the case for Denver.
They've got dudes, They've got receivers who can hurt the
Patriots over the top. So this will be about the
pass rush, and this is gonna be about the offensive
line once again for the Patriots and whether or not
they can protect Drake May because Drake May and back
(03:56):
to back games, has held onto the ball far too
long and he's been sacked and fumbled way too much,
like way too much. If Drake May does it on
the road, he will lose this game to Denver, period.
So there's a lot going on to this game. I
am stunned at the five and a half point number,
(04:17):
and all I can think of it's a headfake that
this is just the Pros driving this number up as
high as they can earlier in the week, and then
the second that the limits open up on Thursday, that
we're going to see nothing but one way max bet
action on the Broncos again. I know this is look
Jared Sindams in a very awful situation, the only quarterback
(04:40):
to play in a game in the postseason after taking
and not taking a snap in the regular season in
win was Frank Reich with the Buffalo Bills in that
crazy win against the Houston Texans, or no, against the
Houston Oilers. Sorry Houston Oilers, now Houston Texans. That's this year,
but Houston Oilers way back in like ninety two, I
(05:01):
think it was. I was in high school whenn't happened.
So one in seven. It's not gonna be great here
for what's going on, but I'll get to the Bears
game here in just one second, we go two and
four down two point four units.
Speaker 2 (05:14):
I don't care.
Speaker 1 (05:15):
Patriots game goes over way over. Law went to hit
forty four. The Bears cover, They lose, but they cover
pook Away under Marks had no shot. Burden hard rock
bet of the day goes to twelve and eight. That
cashed for us with three catches for Burdens, so we
get that he could have had more. But now twelve
and eight on the hard rock bet of the day,
(05:36):
so losing there, but really the hedge, it's like three
and three because of the hedge. I'll take that as
a win for the Patriots to move on. But if
you're a Bears fan today, I know you're hurting and
you had an awesome season, and you've got a really
good quarterback in Caleb Williams who needs to just do
the little things better. He needs to improve his accuracy,
(05:56):
he needs to improve his footwork, and he needs to
do it right now. Everyone's burying Dj Moore for the
overtime interception, saying that he gave up on the route,
and that's true, and the throw wasn't great, but the
route wall also was run really poorly by Dj Moore.
But it's also the fact that you know, on that
fourth down play in the red zone where he threw
(06:18):
the ball late over in the middle, there were so
many balls that could have been intercepted, like Caleb, we
will be talking about the Caleb Williams running backwards throw
to Cole Comet forever. I mean that was to lose
a game in which that play happened is awful. Like
that totally stinks. But now we get the Rams and
(06:38):
the Seahawks one v two versus one v two or
I guess no, no, sorry, one v two versus one B five.
Speaker 2 (06:44):
Right, sorry, the Rams aren't five.
Speaker 1 (06:46):
But you've got a huge opportunity for Seattle here to
win their eleventh consecutive game at home. In the postseason,
and that building is going to be going crazy, like
absolutely going crazy. It's gonna be Sunday's going to be
a ton of fun. Let me run through a couple
(07:07):
of things real quick.
Speaker 2 (07:08):
Here. Favorites went four to zero.
Speaker 1 (07:10):
Straight up in the divisional round for just the third
time in the last twenty years. If you can believe that,
since twenty eleven, every AFC Championship game has featured either
the Patriots or the Chiefs, that's crazy. The Patriots are
now twenty four and five at home all time in
the playoffs. That's the best home field homes postseason record
(07:33):
of any team in the NFL who has played at
least ten home games in their history. The only team
that has more wins are the forty nine Ers, who
have twenty six. Patriots clearly going on the road this week,
they're done playing at home. The Patriots had more takeaways
in the first three quarters of the game against the
Houston Texans than the New York Jets had for their
entire seventeen game season.
Speaker 2 (07:55):
Their entire seventeen game season. That is unreach when.
Speaker 1 (08:00):
You stop and think about that, which how bad the
Jets are. Matthew Stafford is now five and oh straight
up as a favorite in the postseason. That's the most
wins without a loss for any quarterback in the last
twenty six years. The Rams are now dogs on the
road against Seattle. Opened up at one and a half.
Immediately Bet to two and a half, and I actually
(08:23):
don't think that's a headfake. I think Seahawks minus three
is where that number will close, and I don't think
it will come off of it. I think once we
get to three, I think that's where we will be
here in Vegas. The super Bowl here in Vegas is
already at two and a half. They opened at two
and a half. Other books on the East Coast all
opened at one and a half and they have seen
nothing but one way action here on Seattle. To me,
(08:45):
that's that's the side, like that's that's just the side
that you play. So what a what a fun, fun
weekend Saturday Sunday, and we're not done. The Natty is
tonight Miami and Indiana for the Natal Championship. Before I
give you the picks for today, let me tell you
about our friends at hard Rock. Bet Boy, are they
(09:06):
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(09:52):
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Speaker 2 (10:12):
Hard Rock bet.
Speaker 1 (10:13):
Download the hard Rock Bet app today and make your
first deposit today. All right, let's talk about Miami and Indiana.
Number was as high as eight and a half. It
has since been bought down to seven and a half.
We've seen a lot of buyback here, people taking the
eight and a half, So the pros laid six and
a half and they have now bought back at eight
(10:35):
and a half, so they've created kind of a little
middle for themselves here for tonight the number being seven
and a half. I can't get my brain around, Carson Beck.
I'm sorry if you I've been awful this year betting
college college football and college basketball.
Speaker 2 (10:51):
Okay, I just I've had a very bad year.
Speaker 1 (10:54):
So if you're a Miami fan, you're gonna like the
fact that I'm saying take Indiana. But I want to lay.
I don't want to lay seven and a half. I
don't want it to be a two score game. Even
though I do not believe that Miami is going to
score tonight against this defense. Indiana's defense is so highly underrated.
Both these teams have played Ohio State recently, okay, and
(11:17):
I kind of use that as a barometer as to
what I think is going to happen tonight. So Miami
on a neutral beat Ohio State twenty four to fourteen,
Indiana on a neutral beat Ohio State thirteen to ten.
I think this game is going to look like that.
I think this game is going to be very low scoring.
But I don't think Miami is going to score very
(11:38):
much because I don't know if Mario crystal Ball is
comfortable allowing Carson Beck just to drop back and throw
the football a lot. I think they want to get
the ball out to mile Chai Tony, but I think
Indiana's gonna be ready for that. I think they want
to run the ball with their two good running backs,
but Indiana's rush defense and their defensive line is highly underrated.
(11:59):
I mean, look, they gave up three points to Alabama,
ten points to Ohio State. Yeah, Oregon scored twenty two
points on but that was garbage time. That game was
over in a blink. I think it's Indiana defense is
being highly underappreciated, and I think Miami's defense is getting
a little bit too much love in my mind, because
of what we've seen with Mendoza and the running backs,
(12:22):
both of them, the wide receivers, the offensive line just
what Indiana has looked like. I mean, call it sharp, sorry,
call it square, call it following the public, call it
whatever you want. I just can't get over the fact
that this team scored thirty eight points and fifty six
points against Alabama and Oregon, and both those teams didn't
look like they belonged on the same field. I can't
(12:44):
get the game, and it was on the road, I'll
give it to you, but the A and M game,
which they wanted ten to three, I can't get that
offensive performance out of my mind. I just don't think
this offense is explosive enough. And I don't think they're
going to run the ball down Indiana's throats. I just
don't think that's going to happen. Given the way Indiana
has played defense this season and just how good they are.
(13:05):
I don't think it's going to be a huge home
field advantage, if anything, for Miami. And yes it's their stadium,
and yes they didn't travel, so I'll give you all that,
but the building when the game starts, this is a
National championship game. This is not a home game for Miami.
So I just think this is going to be Carson
Beck versus Mendoza and Fernando Mendoza is somebody that I
(13:29):
want to back. I don't want to back Carson Beck.
I want to back Mendoza. I think Indiana will have
a chance to potentially, you know, win the game by
double digits, you know, win the game by ten or
more points here, just because of the offense Elijah Sarah.
Speaker 2 (13:45):
It's been so damn good.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
I know the secondary's played very well here in these playoffs,
but I like the skill players a lot. Becker has
been so good for Indiana here in these playoffs. And
I know Malchai Toni has been tremendous, but I just
don't think Miami scores enough here in this game. I'm
gonna lay the seven points here. Give me a really
(14:10):
really fun game. If you like low scoring games. I
think we're going Miami and Indiana. We're taking the Hoosiers
to win their first ever national championship. I'm gonna lay
the seven points. I'm gonna buy the half a point down.
I'm just gonna I think it gets there. I think
folks are gonna buy seven and a half, but I'm
just gonna take the seven and take it as minus seven.
I'm much sure we're gonna need it, but it's only
minus one twenty, so shop around to the books. But
(14:32):
I'm gonna buy that a point and drop it down
to seven and lay minus one twenty for one point
two units. And on the same level, I'm gonna bet
the under again. I don't think Miami scores. I don't
think they're gonna be able to move the football that
effectively up against this really tough defense. Both teams play
at a very slow place. It's forty seven and a half.
It opened at forty eight and a half. The first
(14:53):
move came down to forty seven and a half. I'm
playing the under. I think it's a game in the
low twenties, you know, highest scoring game. I could see
it is like a twenty four to seventeen type game,
but that goes under. I'm gonna I'm gonna play the
under Indiana and the under. If you want to do
a same game teaser, I don't hate that you take
(15:14):
Indiana down to minus one or one and a half
and then you go and take the total, pull it
up to fifty three and a half and go under.
Speaker 2 (15:23):
Don't mind that play.
Speaker 1 (15:24):
If you think the offense out, the offenses will play
well and score a lot. You could go ahead and
take it down to forty one and a half and
bet over if you think it's like a twenty four
to twenty type final that goes over forty one and
a half, but it stays under forty seven and a half,
so maybe you play it like that. Those are two
other ways of looking at this game if you want.
But for me, I'm gonna lay the seven with Indiana
(15:45):
and then I'm gonna go ahead and take the under
forty seven and a half for the games here tonight,
now one game in the NBA I want to highlight
because it's actually, you know, for me, I have more
interest in this game than the National champions Game because
I'm gonna watch it.
Speaker 2 (16:01):
Obviously it's football, but.
Speaker 1 (16:03):
The Celtics are playing on the road against the Pistons
in a really good game in the NBA. Like, if
you're not a football fan, this is one hundred percent
of basketball game you should be watching because these two
teams are two of the best teams in the East.
And if all the rumblings around the Celtics proved to
be true, this could be a wild couple of months
(16:24):
for the Boston Celtics, one BAM and a Bayo. There's
a lot of rumors about Boston going to Miami and
trying to trade for Bam to give them a center presence,
to give them a defensive presence in a score in
the paint. And Jason Tatum was caught mouthing after the
last game for Boston I'm ready, well if he's ready,
(16:45):
oh my. Jalen Brown just scored forty one points in
a blowout win over the Hawks. He scored fifty last week,
and he's looking like an All NBA First team member
and he's in the MVP conversation. But Boston has lost
two of the first three games to the Pistons. They
(17:06):
lost the last matchup one twelve to one oh five.
They beat them on the road, sorry in Boston's or.
They won in Boston one seventeen to one fourteen, and
they lost at Detroit one nineteen to one thirteen. This
is the second game in Detroit. Boston's catching two and
a half points.
Speaker 2 (17:25):
This is a.
Speaker 1 (17:26):
Huge game in the East, in a really fun game
in the East, if you ask me so. So far,
in the first matchup, the Pistons were favored by two
and a half points. Back in October they won and
covered Boston was a dog at home to the Pistons
and they won the game outright, covering the one and
a half. And then the Celtics were favored. Back on
(17:48):
December the fifteenth, they were laying one and a half
points on the road against at home against Detroit, and
Detroit won the game outright, one twelve to one oh five.
These teams, I I think Boston's gonna put out a
performance here tonight. I think with the way that Derek
White is shooting the basketball right now, with the way
that Jalen Brown is playing, this is a unreal, really fun,
(18:11):
fun game tonight, and I think you just go ahead
and just take the dog. Kate Cunningham has been just awesome,
like he's been unbelievable here for the Detroit Pistons. I
can't wait to watch this game, but I think you
just take points. It's a coin flip type game. But
where the dog was, I would wind up taking it
here for Boston, who is fourteen.
Speaker 2 (18:28):
And eight straight up on the road this year.
Speaker 1 (18:30):
Detroit is sixteen and four at home, Detroit's thirty and
ten overall. Boston is twenty six and fifteen, and you
better believe that the number one team in the East
hosting the number two team in the East has Joe
Missoula's attention. What a fun game in the NBA tonight.
Maybe I'm Rydan the Patriots high and it's just you know,
(18:53):
a complete sucker bet. But give me the Celtics at
plus two and a half on the road against the Pistons.
So play today, Miami Indiana under forty seven and a
half Indiana minus seven bid and half a point down
to mis one twenty Celtics plus two and a half
on the road at the Pistons tonight.
Speaker 2 (19:10):
Awesome game in the NBA. Minu's Matt Parolt.
Speaker 1 (19:13):
You guys can follow me across all my socials at
sportstoc Matt oh forgot wait if you guys are interested
more National Championship preview in a full recap of the
entire weekend coming up on the Bostonian Versus the Book.
I forgot to tell you about that. That's one o'clock
Eastern time, live on the BVB YouTube channel. That's at
Boston versus the Book. You will get me for over
(19:33):
an hour talking nothing about football. Coming up on Monday,
one pm on the YouTube channel and the X channel
for BBB. It's at Boston versus the Book, full recap
of all four games from the weekend, and the preview
of the National Championship game for Miami and Indiana coming
up here for tonight, Min's Matt Parolt at Sports Talk.
(19:54):
Matt all my handle handles wherever you guys get your podcasts.
Every morning, video audio. It is the Daily Juice.
Hey guys, how are you happy Monday? Welcome into a
new episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perraltz.
You guys can follow me across all of my socials
at Sports Talk Matt and yes it was a losing day,
Yes it was a losing week, but I don't care
about any of that, cause the New England Patriots are
into the AFC Championship Game after one of the most
(00:36):
insane quarterback performances I have ever seen in my life
in CJ.
Speaker 2 (00:42):
Stroud. Oh my, look.
Speaker 1 (00:45):
The Patriots are sixteen and o this year, when Christian
Gonzalez and Milton Williams are both playing.
Speaker 2 (00:53):
They're not lost yet.
Speaker 1 (00:54):
They go to Denver to play in the AFC Championship Game.
Where Denver has played in three AFC Championship games in
the last twenty years. They have all been against the Patriots.
Tom Brady never won at Denver. I am forty eight
years old. I am old enough to remember Carl Mecklenberg
(01:16):
in the Oriente Crush defense, John Elway, and the house
of horrors that Denver has been for the Patriots my
entire life. This is the place where the Patriots go
and lose and if it was bo Nicks, I would
say the Patriots one hundred percent would be losing this game.
Because I said it in October. My anger with the
(01:39):
Patriots in the regular season was only one.
Speaker 2 (01:42):
I only had one real criticism of the Patriots.
Speaker 1 (01:46):
It's they were going to lose the tie breaker to
the Broncos for the number one seed. And I said,
whoever hosts the number one seed, whoever hosts the AFC
Championship game, was going to win if they played Patriots
Broncos for the right to go to Santa Clara. But
the broken broken ankle, fractured ankle for BOONICKX changes everything
(02:11):
sharp action, one way traffic. It is all Patriots money
at the moment here, we've got an eleven to one,
now a nine point nine to one, let's just call
it ten to one ticket now after betting on the
Texans and we hedged off that bet now into ten
to one bet, I'm gonna do it again, except I'm
just gonna go money lined. We're gonna go money line
(02:32):
for one unit at some point during the week. If
this number keeps climbing, I'm just gonna wait. It's plus
two to twenty right now for the money line. Look,
the Broncos defense can beat the Patriots. I mean, Drake
May has put the ball on the ground so much.
I mean it's it can really happen. There's no I mean,
all Jared Stidham has to do is not pull a CJ.
(02:53):
Stroud like, don't do that. Don't turn the ball over
a thousand times. If he's able to just hang on
to the football, which by the way, he has a
very hard time doing, as Patriot fans will tell you,
he throws a lot of picks. Okay. And you can't
run on the Patriots. You can't run RJ. Harvey or
whoever else they want. You're not running on the Patriots.
Speaker 2 (03:14):
Okay.
Speaker 1 (03:15):
So now with Dalbal, Jared Sindham and the Patriots are
gonna do exactly what they did to the Houston Texans.
They're gonna play the safeties down, they're gonna jump routes,
and they're gonna make you throw over the top. Now,
the difference is Courtland Sutton in company. The Broncos have
got receivers who can beat you over the top. There
was nobody available for the Texans to be able to
(03:35):
do that without Nico Collins. And then without Dalton Schultz
and they just had nobody. That's not the case for Denver.
They've got dudes, They've got receivers who can hurt the
Patriots over the top. So this will be about the
pass rush, and this is gonna be about the offensive
line once again for the Patriots and whether or not
they can protect Drake May because Drake May and back
(03:56):
to back games, has held onto the ball far too
long and he's been sacked and fumbled way too much,
like way too much. If Drake May does it on
the road, he will lose this game to Denver, period.
So there's a lot going on to this game. I
am stunned at the five and a half point number,
(04:17):
and all I can think of it's a headfake that
this is just the Pros driving this number up as
high as they can earlier in the week, and then
the second that the limits open up on Thursday, that
we're going to see nothing but one way max bet
action on the Broncos again. I know this is look
Jared Sindams in a very awful situation, the only quarterback
(04:40):
to play in a game in the postseason after taking
and not taking a snap in the regular season in
win was Frank Reich with the Buffalo Bills in that
crazy win against the Houston Texans, or no, against the
Houston Oilers. Sorry Houston Oilers, now Houston Texans. That's this year,
but Houston Oilers way back in like ninety two, I
(05:01):
think it was. I was in high school whenn't happened.
So one in seven. It's not gonna be great here
for what's going on, but I'll get to the Bears
game here in just one second, we go two and
four down two point four units.
Speaker 2 (05:14):
I don't care.
Speaker 1 (05:15):
Patriots game goes over way over. Law went to hit
forty four. The Bears cover, They lose, but they cover
pook Away under Marks had no shot. Burden hard rock
bet of the day goes to twelve and eight. That
cashed for us with three catches for Burdens, so we
get that he could have had more. But now twelve
and eight on the hard rock bet of the day,
(05:36):
so losing there, but really the hedge, it's like three
and three because of the hedge. I'll take that as
a win for the Patriots to move on. But if
you're a Bears fan today, I know you're hurting and
you had an awesome season, and you've got a really
good quarterback in Caleb Williams who needs to just do
the little things better. He needs to improve his accuracy,
(05:56):
he needs to improve his footwork, and he needs to
do it right now. Everyone's burying Dj Moore for the
overtime interception, saying that he gave up on the route,
and that's true, and the throw wasn't great, but the
route wall also was run really poorly by Dj Moore.
But it's also the fact that you know, on that
fourth down play in the red zone where he threw
(06:18):
the ball late over in the middle, there were so
many balls that could have been intercepted, like Caleb, we
will be talking about the Caleb Williams running backwards throw
to Cole Comet forever. I mean that was to lose
a game in which that play happened is awful. Like
that totally stinks. But now we get the Rams and
(06:38):
the Seahawks one v two versus one v two or
I guess no, no, sorry, one v two versus one B five.
Speaker 2 (06:44):
Right, sorry, the Rams aren't five.
Speaker 1 (06:46):
But you've got a huge opportunity for Seattle here to
win their eleventh consecutive game at home. In the postseason,
and that building is going to be going crazy, like
absolutely going crazy. It's gonna be Sunday's going to be
a ton of fun. Let me run through a couple
(07:07):
of things real quick.
Speaker 2 (07:08):
Here. Favorites went four to zero.
Speaker 1 (07:10):
Straight up in the divisional round for just the third
time in the last twenty years. If you can believe that,
since twenty eleven, every AFC Championship game has featured either
the Patriots or the Chiefs, that's crazy. The Patriots are
now twenty four and five at home all time in
the playoffs. That's the best home field homes postseason record
(07:33):
of any team in the NFL who has played at
least ten home games in their history. The only team
that has more wins are the forty nine Ers, who
have twenty six. Patriots clearly going on the road this week,
they're done playing at home. The Patriots had more takeaways
in the first three quarters of the game against the
Houston Texans than the New York Jets had for their
entire seventeen game season.
Speaker 2 (07:55):
Their entire seventeen game season. That is unreach when.
Speaker 1 (08:00):
You stop and think about that, which how bad the
Jets are. Matthew Stafford is now five and oh straight
up as a favorite in the postseason. That's the most
wins without a loss for any quarterback in the last
twenty six years. The Rams are now dogs on the
road against Seattle. Opened up at one and a half.
Immediately Bet to two and a half, and I actually
(08:23):
don't think that's a headfake. I think Seahawks minus three
is where that number will close, and I don't think
it will come off of it. I think once we
get to three, I think that's where we will be
here in Vegas. The super Bowl here in Vegas is
already at two and a half. They opened at two
and a half. Other books on the East Coast all
opened at one and a half and they have seen
nothing but one way action here on Seattle. To me,
(08:45):
that's that's the side, like that's that's just the side
that you play. So what a what a fun, fun
weekend Saturday Sunday, and we're not done. The Natty is
tonight Miami and Indiana for the Natal Championship. Before I
give you the picks for today, let me tell you
about our friends at hard Rock. Bet Boy, are they
(09:06):
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(09:30):
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(09:52):
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Speaker 2 (10:12):
Hard Rock bet.
Speaker 1 (10:13):
Download the hard Rock Bet app today and make your
first deposit today. All right, let's talk about Miami and Indiana.
Number was as high as eight and a half. It
has since been bought down to seven and a half.
We've seen a lot of buyback here, people taking the
eight and a half, So the pros laid six and
a half and they have now bought back at eight
(10:35):
and a half, so they've created kind of a little
middle for themselves here for tonight the number being seven
and a half. I can't get my brain around, Carson Beck.
I'm sorry if you I've been awful this year betting
college college football and college basketball.
Speaker 2 (10:51):
Okay, I just I've had a very bad year.
Speaker 1 (10:54):
So if you're a Miami fan, you're gonna like the
fact that I'm saying take Indiana. But I want to lay.
I don't want to lay seven and a half. I
don't want it to be a two score game. Even
though I do not believe that Miami is going to
score tonight against this defense. Indiana's defense is so highly underrated.
Both these teams have played Ohio State recently, okay, and
(11:17):
I kind of use that as a barometer as to
what I think is going to happen tonight. So Miami
on a neutral beat Ohio State twenty four to fourteen,
Indiana on a neutral beat Ohio State thirteen to ten.
I think this game is going to look like that.
I think this game is going to be very low scoring.
But I don't think Miami is going to score very
(11:38):
much because I don't know if Mario crystal Ball is
comfortable allowing Carson Beck just to drop back and throw
the football a lot. I think they want to get
the ball out to mile Chai Tony, but I think
Indiana's gonna be ready for that. I think they want
to run the ball with their two good running backs,
but Indiana's rush defense and their defensive line is highly underrated.
(11:59):
I mean, look, they gave up three points to Alabama,
ten points to Ohio State. Yeah, Oregon scored twenty two
points on but that was garbage time. That game was
over in a blink. I think it's Indiana defense is
being highly underappreciated, and I think Miami's defense is getting
a little bit too much love in my mind, because
of what we've seen with Mendoza and the running backs,
(12:22):
both of them, the wide receivers, the offensive line just
what Indiana has looked like. I mean, call it sharp, sorry,
call it square, call it following the public, call it
whatever you want. I just can't get over the fact
that this team scored thirty eight points and fifty six
points against Alabama and Oregon, and both those teams didn't
look like they belonged on the same field. I can't
(12:44):
get the game, and it was on the road, I'll
give it to you, but the A and M game,
which they wanted ten to three, I can't get that
offensive performance out of my mind. I just don't think
this offense is explosive enough. And I don't think they're
going to run the ball down Indiana's throats. I just
don't think that's going to happen. Given the way Indiana
has played defense this season and just how good they are.
(13:05):
I don't think it's going to be a huge home
field advantage, if anything, for Miami. And yes it's their stadium,
and yes they didn't travel, so I'll give you all that,
but the building when the game starts, this is a
National championship game. This is not a home game for Miami.
So I just think this is going to be Carson
Beck versus Mendoza and Fernando Mendoza is somebody that I
(13:29):
want to back. I don't want to back Carson Beck.
I want to back Mendoza. I think Indiana will have
a chance to potentially, you know, win the game by
double digits, you know, win the game by ten or
more points here, just because of the offense Elijah Sarah.
Speaker 2 (13:45):
It's been so damn good.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
I know the secondary's played very well here in these playoffs,
but I like the skill players a lot. Becker has
been so good for Indiana here in these playoffs. And
I know Malchai Toni has been tremendous, but I just
don't think Miami scores enough here in this game. I'm
gonna lay the seven points here. Give me a really
(14:10):
really fun game. If you like low scoring games. I
think we're going Miami and Indiana. We're taking the Hoosiers
to win their first ever national championship. I'm gonna lay
the seven points. I'm gonna buy the half a point down.
I'm just gonna I think it gets there. I think
folks are gonna buy seven and a half, but I'm
just gonna take the seven and take it as minus seven.
I'm much sure we're gonna need it, but it's only
minus one twenty, so shop around to the books. But
(14:32):
I'm gonna buy that a point and drop it down
to seven and lay minus one twenty for one point
two units. And on the same level, I'm gonna bet
the under again. I don't think Miami scores. I don't
think they're gonna be able to move the football that
effectively up against this really tough defense. Both teams play
at a very slow place. It's forty seven and a half.
It opened at forty eight and a half. The first
(14:53):
move came down to forty seven and a half. I'm
playing the under. I think it's a game in the
low twenties, you know, highest scoring game. I could see
it is like a twenty four to seventeen type game,
but that goes under. I'm gonna I'm gonna play the
under Indiana and the under. If you want to do
a same game teaser, I don't hate that you take
(15:14):
Indiana down to minus one or one and a half
and then you go and take the total, pull it
up to fifty three and a half and go under.
Speaker 2 (15:23):
Don't mind that play.
Speaker 1 (15:24):
If you think the offense out, the offenses will play
well and score a lot. You could go ahead and
take it down to forty one and a half and
bet over if you think it's like a twenty four
to twenty type final that goes over forty one and
a half, but it stays under forty seven and a half,
so maybe you play it like that. Those are two
other ways of looking at this game if you want.
But for me, I'm gonna lay the seven with Indiana
(15:45):
and then I'm gonna go ahead and take the under
forty seven and a half for the games here tonight,
now one game in the NBA I want to highlight
because it's actually, you know, for me, I have more
interest in this game than the National champions Game because
I'm gonna watch it.
Speaker 2 (16:01):
Obviously it's football, but.
Speaker 1 (16:03):
The Celtics are playing on the road against the Pistons
in a really good game in the NBA. Like, if
you're not a football fan, this is one hundred percent
of basketball game you should be watching because these two
teams are two of the best teams in the East.
And if all the rumblings around the Celtics proved to
be true, this could be a wild couple of months
(16:24):
for the Boston Celtics, one BAM and a Bayo. There's
a lot of rumors about Boston going to Miami and
trying to trade for Bam to give them a center presence,
to give them a defensive presence in a score in
the paint. And Jason Tatum was caught mouthing after the
last game for Boston I'm ready, well if he's ready,
(16:45):
oh my. Jalen Brown just scored forty one points in
a blowout win over the Hawks. He scored fifty last week,
and he's looking like an All NBA First team member
and he's in the MVP conversation. But Boston has lost
two of the first three games to the Pistons. They
(17:06):
lost the last matchup one twelve to one oh five.
They beat them on the road, sorry in Boston's or.
They won in Boston one seventeen to one fourteen, and
they lost at Detroit one nineteen to one thirteen. This
is the second game in Detroit. Boston's catching two and
a half points.
Speaker 2 (17:25):
This is a.
Speaker 1 (17:26):
Huge game in the East, in a really fun game
in the East, if you ask me so. So far,
in the first matchup, the Pistons were favored by two
and a half points. Back in October they won and
covered Boston was a dog at home to the Pistons
and they won the game outright, covering the one and
a half. And then the Celtics were favored. Back on
(17:48):
December the fifteenth, they were laying one and a half
points on the road against at home against Detroit, and
Detroit won the game outright, one twelve to one oh five.
These teams, I I think Boston's gonna put out a
performance here tonight. I think with the way that Derek
White is shooting the basketball right now, with the way
that Jalen Brown is playing, this is a unreal, really fun,
(18:11):
fun game tonight, and I think you just go ahead
and just take the dog. Kate Cunningham has been just awesome,
like he's been unbelievable here for the Detroit Pistons. I
can't wait to watch this game, but I think you
just take points. It's a coin flip type game. But
where the dog was, I would wind up taking it
here for Boston, who is fourteen.
Speaker 2 (18:28):
And eight straight up on the road this year.
Speaker 1 (18:30):
Detroit is sixteen and four at home, Detroit's thirty and
ten overall. Boston is twenty six and fifteen, and you
better believe that the number one team in the East
hosting the number two team in the East has Joe
Missoula's attention. What a fun game in the NBA tonight.
Maybe I'm Rydan the Patriots high and it's just you know,
(18:53):
a complete sucker bet. But give me the Celtics at
plus two and a half on the road against the Pistons.
So play today, Miami Indiana under forty seven and a
half Indiana minus seven bid and half a point down
to mis one twenty Celtics plus two and a half
on the road at the Pistons tonight.
Speaker 2 (19:10):
Awesome game in the NBA. Minu's Matt Parolt.
Speaker 1 (19:13):
You guys can follow me across all my socials at
sportstoc Matt oh forgot wait if you guys are interested
more National Championship preview in a full recap of the
entire weekend coming up on the Bostonian Versus the Book.
I forgot to tell you about that. That's one o'clock
Eastern time, live on the BVB YouTube channel. That's at
Boston versus the Book. You will get me for over
(19:33):
an hour talking nothing about football. Coming up on Monday,
one pm on the YouTube channel and the X channel
for BBB. It's at Boston versus the Book, full recap
of all four games from the weekend, and the preview
of the National Championship game for Miami and Indiana coming
up here for tonight, Min's Matt Parolt at Sports Talk.
(19:54):
Matt all my handle handles wherever you guys get your podcasts.
Every morning, video audio. It is the Daily Juice.
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