Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:15):
Hey, guys, how are you welcome into a Saturday morning
episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Paroltz.
You guys can follow me across all of my socials
at Sports Talk Matt, and we're back after a winning day.
Speaker 2 (00:27):
Now.
Speaker 1 (00:28):
I did not put an NBA player prop up on
the app.
Speaker 2 (00:31):
Why.
Speaker 1 (00:32):
I didn't like anything, and look, I'm not going to
push and force when there's just nothing that's grabbing my attention.
So I just said, look, not going to play anything,
let's just stay off of it.
Speaker 2 (00:44):
I don't normally do that, but.
Speaker 1 (00:45):
That was just an executive decision call, and I'm glad
that I did that because we wind up one to
oher with the potential for a two and oh Mark,
we get the under easily. That number completely disintegrated. It
closed up two fourteen. We had under two twenty one
and a half. That was an easy cash there, and
(01:07):
then the whole fight is tonight at UFC two thirty four.
Butler comes in with the money line. So we're up
four units with the potential to be up five units
over the last two days, and that puts us right
back essentially to even.
Speaker 2 (01:24):
So how the week.
Speaker 1 (01:26):
Goes for the next two days for Saturday and Sunday,
we'll dictate how we do for the week. Do we
have a winning week or a losing week. So Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday,
no good. Thursday, Friday, we're up three units, in four units,
maybe five units to make up for what happened, which
has been this very weird pattern that I've been in
(01:47):
for the last couple of weeks where Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday,
I'm just atrocious, and then Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday,
I make it up.
Speaker 2 (01:56):
I don't know why, it just it is what it is.
Speaker 1 (01:59):
But I am going going to UFC three twenty four,
so we're gonna go and throw some decent bets here.
I got an early premium bet already with the Hokik
fight on a money line. I've got a bet on
the on the Comaine, and I've got two bets on
the Main coming up here for us today, plus a
(02:19):
three leg money line parlay for college basketball. I'll explain
everything coming up here in just one second, But first
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(03:01):
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and make your first deposit today. All right, hoke it
fight is the early prelimits the third fight of the night.
Let's talk about the comaine. It is Sean O'Malley taking
on Song You Dong. This is going to be a
(03:24):
really fun fight. But here is my theory on Song
You Dong. His last three fights have all gone the distance.
Petrillon is the belt tolder in this bantamweight division. Song
You Dong lost to him. He also won three of
his last four fights, including his last fight against Henry Sahudo,
(03:44):
but it went to a decision. I don't think Song
You Dong really is a type of fighter who's going
to stop many fighters. Now you have to go all
the way back for him in the fifth round against
Ricky Simon of a fight night when he was the
main event back in the on April twenty ninth, twenty
twenty three, for the last time that Song You Dong
(04:07):
stops somebody. So here's my theory. Sean O'Malley needs a win,
But I don't think Sean O'Malley wants to get into
a firefight here. Average fight time for O'Malley is eleven nineteen.
Average fight time for Songya Dong is thirteen oh five.
O'Malley has a five inch reach advantage. He strikes landed
(04:29):
per minute for O'Malley six point three strikes absorbed per minute,
sorry per fifteen sorry per minute sorry for song youa
Dong four that he takes some punishments On the flip side.
O'Malley is three point four to eight with strikes absorbed
per minute, four point five strikes landed per minute for
(04:51):
Song You Dong. Neither one of these guys want to
take this thing down, okay, point two seven takedown average
for O'Malley over fifteen minutes point b six' one For Songa.
Dog so this fight's gonna be on the. FEET i
think O'Malley's gonna stay away from any real. Damage Songa
dong really does not get. Stopped he's a very difficult
(05:11):
guy to. Stop he lost To Peter yan by. Decision
he lost To Corey sandhagen by being cato to the fourth,
round but that was back in twenty twenty. Two he
can O'Malley stop him, Absolutely BUT i think the path
to victory For sean O'Malley here against a dangerous fighter
who has knockout power is just to go ahead and
(05:32):
pick him apart from the, outside just to outpoint the.
Guy it is heavily favored to the over two and
a half rounds for this three round. Fight O'Malley is
a guy THAT i think just wants to get off
the losing. Streak the last two, fights both Against morob
he lost, them both won by decision and one getting
(05:53):
choked out in the third. Round his last fight that
he won was back in twenty four Against Marlon. Vera
it's been a. Minute he beat Al Jamaine sterling back
on In august of twenty, three like the shine and
the all the sugar show stuff is nearly.
Speaker 2 (06:11):
Done he needs a. Win just get a.
Speaker 1 (06:14):
Win i'm gonna play O'Malley on the money line here
to go ahead and get a, win but that will
be on different.
Speaker 2 (06:21):
BETS i think you have to play by.
Speaker 1 (06:23):
DECISION i think you have to go in and Take
sean O'Malley by decision just because of the. Price it's
too expensive not to O'Malley by decision is plus one.
Seventeen we're gonna take it for a. Unit O'Malley by
decision at for one. UNIT i will have him involved in.
PARLAYS i will take him by any means on a money,
line BUT i think officially for the, juice we're gonna
(06:45):
come in and we're gonna take him by decision at
plus one. Seventeen now to the main, EVENT ufc three
twenty four was supposed to have an unbelievable comaine With
Kayla harrison And Amanda, nunez so that's not happening any.
Longer that puts a lot of pressure on the main
event to. Deliver Justin gaichie has been pretty clear if
(07:06):
he loses this, fight he will very well retire the
lightweight belt is on the line. Now Justin gaichie has knockout.
Power Justin gaichie is a tremendous. Fighter he is a,
durable very difficult man to. Stop and he's Fighting Patty
(07:26):
pemblet where a lot of people do not believe he
belongs in this, fight that his resume does not give
him the right to fight for the interim lightweight belt
just because of who he's. BEATEN i, mean he Beat Michael,
Chandler King, Green Tony ferguson and then a bunch of
just also. Rams he's undefeated in THE. Ufc he's extremely.
(07:50):
Talented he can, grapple he can submit, you he can
knock you, out he can, talk he can. Entertain Justin
gaechie has had an edge about him that is all,
week which is very. Interesting he seems very pissed off
at the, company very mad about THE usc And Justin
gaichee's resume is. Ridiculous his last fight where he Beat,
(08:11):
phaziz but he lost To holloway with THE bmf belt
fight back In april of twenty, four but he Beat,
porier he lost To Charles. Olavera he Beat Michael, chandler
he lost To. Kebebe he Beat Tony, ferguson he Beat Donald,
serone he Beat Edison. BARBOZA i mean the only guy
he hasn't fought Is connor in this. Division he has
(08:33):
fought everyone in this division except For connor, McGregor and
here he has a shot at becoming the beltolder. Again
the interim, belltolder but still twenty six and five For
Justin gaichee average fight time of eleven minutes and fourteen.
Seconds Patty pimlet's average fight time is only eight fifty,
six which is pretty. Fast that's why the total is
(08:56):
set at two and a. Half now it's not as
heavily juiced as the O'Malley. Fight The amale fight is
almost unbetable for the over two and a half, rounds
but not this. Fight Justin gaichie has talked about the
fact that he wants to Take Paddy pemlet into deep
water late, rounds, third, fourth and fifth. ROUNDS i don't
(09:16):
mind a thought on this fight going the. Distance Patty
pimlet is, undefeated but you know he's a. Guy, ferguson
that fight went the. Distance Jared, gordon that fight went the.
Distance Michael, chandler he took care of him in the third.
Round it was late in that. Fight this is a
five round, Fight i'll give it to. You BUT i
(09:37):
think this fight is going to go into the third,
round AND i think it goes into the fourth and
maybe even the fifth.
Speaker 2 (09:43):
Round.
Speaker 1 (09:43):
HERE i don't think this fight ends quickly Unless Justin
gaichie gets submitted quickly By. Patty but that is something
That justin Gai. CHIE i, mean look at he's been
in there With. Kabib now he lost in the second,
round but he's been in there with the.
Speaker 2 (09:57):
Best of the.
Speaker 1 (09:57):
Best would you Put habib And patty in the same
sentence in terms of grappling in? SUBMISSIONS i would, not
so for that, REASON i feel like Early Justin geechee
can keep himself away from being submitted By Patti. Pemlet
so if he gets out of the first round without being,
submitted and he gets a ladder going and there's some you,
(10:19):
know they start to get. SLIPPERY i don't think you're
going to see a submission By Patti. Pemlet For, GAICHEE
i think he tries to wear Out. Patty he tries
to test the cardio and then tries to knock him
out in the, third, fourth or fifth. ROUNDS i think
this fight goes longer than people. Think i'm gonna bet
the over. Here we're gonna go over two and a
(10:40):
half rounds For gaichie And pemlet at minus one twenty
for one point two. Units with that, STATED i talked
to an odds maker, today odds maker On thursday as.
Well both have stated that their books will Need Justin
gaichee because the public is Betting patty P.
Speaker 2 (11:00):
Pimlet they're in every.
Speaker 1 (11:01):
PARLAY i mean every single moneyline parlay Has Patty pimlet in.
It they Need Justin. Gaechie there was also sharp action
coming in On Justin gaichie because of the price at
plus whatever you can find it. At for, ME i
went and shopped. AROUND i found plus two h. Five
you can find maybe better to ten to twenty On Justin.
(11:23):
Geichee we're gonna take a flyer with the money line
and we're gonna Let Justin geechee go out there and
throw bombs and see if he can Catch patty and
knock him. Out he hasn't been in there with a
guy Like, tony Like Justin, gaichie just a straight up
brawler you, Know Tony, Ferguson Dustin, Poirier Justin gaichi those three.
(11:45):
Together Max holloway goes in there. TOO i, mean these
are guys who are just built differently, mentally, tough, physically just.
Imposing they take damage so, well and they keep moving
forward even when you cut, them even when they're. Bleeding
it doesn't matter to these. GUYS i just don't know
(12:06):
If patty's ready for. This So i'm gonna take a
half a unit And i'm gonna take a flyer On
Justin gaichee on the money line to win this. Fight,
okay plus two oh, five Take Justin gaichie flyer half a.
Unit so what AM i doing with the other half a? Unit,
Well i'm gonna do an sec basketball money line parlay
just for the heck of, it BECAUSE.
Speaker 2 (12:25):
I think it's a decent. Bet it's a fun.
Speaker 1 (12:28):
Play and we're gonna look At arkansas at home up
AGAINST lsu money, Line alabama at home up Against tennessee money,
line And texas at home as a two and a
half point home favorite Against georgia on the money. Line
The texas play definitely is the most. Concerning The texas
(12:51):
play is the one that could burn me for. Sure
alabama And arkansas are both big favorites In alabama And
arkansas are both very good at. Home texas is playing
A georgia team that is very good on the, road
and this is going to be an awesome basketball game
in THE. Sec i'll take the home teams for a
three leg home team money line parlay that comes in
(13:13):
at plus one. Seventy we're going to take a half
a unit flyer on this For Arkansas alabama In, Texas
Chalky Chockee chalky moneyline parlay on A saturday for a
half a unit With Arkansas alabama In. Texas a three
leg money line parlay in THE sec in college. Basketball
(13:34):
so our plays for, today hoke it To win wins
us a. Unit he's a minus two to twenty favorite
in his prelim.
Speaker 2 (13:43):
Fight hok it To win gets us a.
Speaker 1 (13:46):
Unit O'Malley by decision at plus one seventeen for one.
Unit geechee And pimlet goes over two and a half
rounds at minus one twenty for one point two. Units
Justin gaichee on the money line at plus two oh
five for a half a unit In, Arkansas texas And
alabama money line college basketball is a plus one seventy.
(14:07):
Bet we're throwing a half a unit down on. THAT
i am going TO ufc three twenty. Four it's going
to be a late. Night the podcast will drop late For,
sunday but you already have a pretty good idea of
WHAT i am. Betting that is WHY i gave out
those plays. Earlier if you don't know the, plays head
on back to earlier episodes of The Daily juice podcast
(14:27):
and you guys can see my plays For SUNDAYS nfc
AND Afc championship. Games we'll have the live stream coming
up at eleven eleven Am pacific time two Pm Eastern
time for a one hour live stream to take you
up to kickoff of THE Afc championship game On. Sunday
so we'll have, that but for, today a lot of
(14:48):
fighting little college.
Speaker 2 (14:50):
Basketball my name Is Matt.
Speaker 1 (14:51):
Parolt you guys can follow me across all my socials
At Sports Talk matt every morning wherever you guys get your.
Speaker 2 (14:56):
Podcasts it is The Daily.
Speaker 1 (14:58):
Juice perfunt from
Speaker 2 (15:07):
The fact the center