January 14, 2026 • 17 mins
A brutal 0-3 mark for host Matt Perrault who has gotten off to a 1-5 start to the week. Good thing it's only Wednesday. Matt has NFL and college basketball bets for you on the Wednesday episode of the Daily Juice presented by Hard Rock Bet.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:15):
What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday
morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is
Matt Peralti. You guys can follow me across all of
my socials at Sports Talk Matt and we just have
to laugh. Woh, that was bad. So I was right.
I said, be careful, maybe bet half units as I
(00:37):
go into this is the transition period that I often
I have struggled with in the past, and I'm clearly
struggling when you go from the end of football into
the This is kind of like that bridge time where
we're not fully I'm not fully connected to the NBA.
(00:57):
We're not into you know, we're just into conference time
here for college basketball and hockey. I just need to
get back to watching hockey and getting more into the
rhythm of hockey. There will be trends that will jump
into It happens all the time as we get to
know February and whatnot. But this has always been a
little bit of an interesting time because I am obviously
(01:19):
doing very well in football. We've been very successful in
the NFL this year. But now we're getting into the
other sports and on days where we don't have football, well,
I got smacked. And this is Look, I didn't do
as badly as the person. I saw a guy who
took twenty and a half and at minus four ninety
(01:39):
five odds, he bet fifty bucks to win ten and well,
the Spurs lost by twenty one points. Ye Iowa State
guts smoked at KU. I told you going into that
it's really rare to ever get points for Ku at
home and fall allen. They won't be a dog again
this year after what just happened. That game they won
(02:00):
by twenty as three and a half point dogs, and
then zero zero after one. That game ended two to
one between Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh's other game was a
debt under in the first half in the first period
as well. So all in three down over three and
a half units, and look, I think it's it's one
of those one of those nights, and you're just like, okay,
(02:21):
those are three really bad bets. I knew I was
in trouble with the basketball bet because one of my friends,
who was a very good NBA handicapper, was on. He
liked the thunder, and I was like, oh boy, okay,
I don't like being up against him and being opposite
him on certain plays and that was one of them.
So what do we do? What? We just keep rolling. However,
here's how today it's going to go. Wednesday, I'm gonna
(02:43):
bet the NFL okay because these numbers are moving, So
we're gonna bet the Saturday games today. Wednesday, We're gonna
bet the Sunday games Tomorrow. We worry about Friday Friday,
and then we'll get into the player props on Saturday.
In Sunday live stream will be Saturday again this week Sunday,
we will do all four games. It'll be a quicker
than normal live stream, but we're talking about all four games,
(03:05):
taking you up to kickoff of the first game of
the weekend between the Bills and the Broncos, So stay
tuned for that. Will give you a picks on Bill's
Broncos and then Seattle in the forty nine ers coming
up here for today. But we are going to do
that Wednesday, Thursday. For Saturday and Sunday. I do have
two NBA player props that I'm going to give you
(03:25):
guys on the Betting pros app later today. And there
is a hard rock bet of the Day coming today
for a game that's today on Wednesday for a pick
for today. We are eleven and seven on the hard
rock bets of the day, so we'll do that coming
up for today, so stay tuned for all of that.
So let's start talking about Denver and their home game
(03:47):
against the Broncos. This is going to be really interesting. Okay,
let's just go through a couple of trends. You guys
know I'm a trend better Broncos pick them. Okay, some
books are at one and a half on either side.
We're just playing money line, Okay, Broncos money line. Sean Payton,
head coach of the Broncos. When in the postseason his
(04:10):
teams are on extended rest, he is four and oher
straight up. He's never lost in this situation. He's two
and two against the spread, but this is a money
line play, so it doesn't matter what the number. He's
never lost. His four and oh mark straight up is
the best of any head coach in the playoffs since
two thousand and three. He is a tremendous coach when
(04:31):
you give him extra time. The Broncos and the Bills.
This is gonna be very interesting because Josh Allen as
a favorite of three points or less or as an
underdog in the playoffs is now three and five ATS,
so that's not great. But Buffalo is a second half
(04:52):
team and they did very well again in the second
half against the spread. In Josh Allen's career in the
second half, if you want to bet, I can have spreads.
Allen is eighty seven fifty and three in the second
half against the spread in his career, which is incredible
that it is an amazing mark. Over the last two seasons,
he's twenty eight and nine in the second half ATS wise,
(05:15):
fourteen and one ATS in the second half against teams
above five hundred. Interesting stat from the Action Network that
I saw last night Sean McDermott when he is coaching
a team that the week prior when three for three
in the red zone are better than next week, they're
(05:36):
just three and eight ATS in one in seven ats
over the last seven games. Look. I like the Broncos
for a variety of reasons. Mostly it's their defense, mostly
is what they're capable of doing. But the Bills are
really banged up. Josh Allen has a foot, a knee,
(05:57):
and a finger issue all hurt again. Jacksonville the helmet
throw where his hand hit the helmet of his center.
That hurt his hand. He hurt the knee when it
got twisted. He hurt the foot running. You've got Ed
Oliver has a bicep injury. Dalton king Kaid has a
knee in a calf, Matt Mulano has an ankle. You
(06:20):
just go through this. This is you know. Jordan Poyer
didn't practice yesterday. He has a hamstring. Terrell Shavers wide receiver,
didn't practice yesterday. He had a knee injury. Matt Prater,
the kicker, didn't practice yesterday. He has a quad and
a calf. He was nursing that before the game as well.
They are banged up. Okay. Dray greenlaw for the Broncos
(06:44):
was limited, but he did practice. Getting him back was huge.
That was talked about by Sean Payton after practice that
he just does so much for that defense day. Getting
Drake greenlog back is such a huge thing for Denver
going into this game. The injury report is really really ugly,
and the NFL did the Bills no favors. They played
(07:06):
the first game on Sunday on the road. They're playing
the first game on Saturday on a short week against
a team off of buy at home at altitude, it's
just too much. I know Josh Allen is incredible. I
know he's superman. He can't do it by himself, and
(07:26):
not against this defense, not against this crowd, the mile
high attitude, the mile high energy. I just think the
Broncos find a way. I don't think the unders. A
good play will probably be on that later in the week,
but right now, I think the first play you got
to make because I do think this number is gonna climb.
I do think Broncos money is gonna steadily come in here.
(07:48):
I think the Broncos go off as a one and
a half or a two point favorite here, and I
think that's the right side. I'm taking the Broncos money
line one point one units Broncos to win. Broncos on
the money line to knock out the Buffalo Bills. I
know I fitted the Bills last week and I lost.
I could be wrong again here, but I just you know,
(08:09):
you want to talk about a referee trend. Carl Scheffers
is the referee for this game since two thousand and nine.
The Broncos are eight and one straight up at home
with him as the referee. Okay, let's see what happens
on this But home teams are above five hundred straight
up for twelve straight seasons with him as the head official.
(08:31):
Home teams do fairly well. Home teams in fifteen playoff
games eleven and four with Carl Scheffers as the head referee.
So there you go. We go to Seattle and the
forty nine ers. My goodness, gracious, if you want to
talk about banged up, if you want to talk about injuries,
there is nothing worse than the forty nine ers injury report.
(08:54):
I mean, just really really bad. This team now being
without George Kittle. They got smoked at Seattle in week eighteen,
which was for the number one seed and it was
for the division, and Seattle worked them. This number now
is seven. The best stat is it. Sam Darnold as
(09:15):
a favorite of six points or more is thirteen and
oh straight up and ten and three against the spread.
Donald winning those thirteen games when he's favored by six
points or more, he's averaging winning it by sixteen points
per game, not just winning these games for blowing their
teams out. His thirteen and oh straight up mark is
tied with Bo Nix, who is also thirteen to oh
(09:38):
in this spot for the best mark in the NFL
since two thousand and three. The Seahawks have won ten
straight games at home in Seattle with fans in the stands.
They did lose a wild card game against the Rams
back in twenty twenty with no fans during COVID, but
when they have fans in there really difficult. Seahawks have
(09:58):
won seven consecutive games outright entering their buy before the
divisional round. Teams that have won seven straight games off
a by in the divisional round have not fared well
at all. If you're looking for a silver lining for
the forty nine ers. The number is two to eight
against the spread since two thousand and three, But I
(10:19):
think that's mostly because teams that are on buys tend
to get a little rusty, and then the team is
coming off of a win, they normally are rolling. That
situation here I don't think is happening because of the
injuries and because of how banged up this team is
in playing at home in the divisional round, I think
is just a really big advantage. I know it's a
(10:39):
big number, but I just I mean, brought Purty eight
and four straight up on short rest. He's been great,
Kyle Shanahan with an incredible job, and Robert Sala Frankly
an incredible job with the defense last week. I just
think we're asking too much of this forty nine Ers
team after getting manhandled. I just can't see it. I'm
(11:02):
gonna lay it with Seattle. I'm gonna lay the seven
points here. I don't think this number goes much farther
south than seven. I think if it does go to
six and a half, I think the professionals are gonna
hammer the Seahawks at minus seven. I'm gonna come in
and do Seahawks minus seven for one point one units.
So a reminder about the two NBA player props which
(11:23):
will hit you on the Betting pros app. Download the
Betting pros app and go and search at Sports Talk Matt.
I will put two NBA player props coming up on
the Betting pros app later on today, so be a
searching for that. But it is now time for the
hard Rock Bet of the Day. It is being brought
to you by our friends at hard Rock Bet. This
(11:45):
is a very big week as we count down to
Monday for the National Championship Game Miami. At hard Rock
Stadium playing for the national title. Hard Rock is giving
people ten bucks to get in on the action. If
you are going to the game, you can turn that
ten dollars free bonus bets into a big win. If
(12:06):
you want to play the same game parlay, if you
want to do in game wagering. It's all available at
hard Rock Bet. And remind you that they do have
that availability for a five dollars wager. If it wins,
you get your winnings plus one hundred and fifty dollars
in bonus bets. This is the time to get involved.
Your team may be knocked out of the playoffs, but
that does not mean that to sit on the sidelines.
(12:28):
Plenty of things to get involved with at hard rock Bet.
New promos dropping every single day at hard rock Bet.
Download the hard rock Bet app and make your first
deposit two day. Let's talk some college basketball here between
Utah and Texas Tech. So Utah is a team that
we're gonna bet at home over for a while until
(12:51):
it knocks out. Utah is ten and zero at home
to the over. However, they are four and two to
the under when they're on the road, and Utah is
on the road at Texas Tech. Three of the last
four games for Texas Tech have gone under, including a
home game against Winthrop, in road games at Houston and
(13:13):
at Colorado. The total for this game is one sixty
and a half and when you go to Kempom, this
would be a one fifty seven type of situation here
between these two teams. I think this is going to
be a low scoring game. This is going to be
a slow game because of just what Utah does average
(13:36):
and what Texas Tech does one eighty eight in average
possession length. Utah is one ninety second in average possession length.
Utah is three point shooting at home is pretty good
on the road not very good. It's still one hundred
and ninth in college basketball. They're one hundred and nineteenth
and two point shooting. They are one hundred and seventh
in three throw shooting. Now, Texas Tech can hit threes.
(13:58):
That's why they're expected to win this game going away
by seventeen and a half points. But it's Techs defense
that I think will be the difference here. They are
thirty four fourth in adjusted defensive efficiency. They're one hundred
and eleventh in effective field goal percentage, but they're eighty
seconds in three point percentage defense. They're not great on
twos or one hundred and forty six with two point defense.
(14:21):
But Utah tends to shoot a lot of threes. They
want to get up and down and shoot threes, and
they don't hit a bunch of threes when they're on
the road. Techs offense on the other side, nineteenth adjusted
efficiency on offense, they're fifty fifth and three point shooting,
they're forty first in turnover percentage. They are sorry, they're
twenty fourth in three point shooting and one hundred and
(14:41):
fifth and two point percentage. They don't hit their free throws,
which is good for the under. They're two hundred and
seventy seventh in free throw shooting seventy four point three
percent for Utah. That's one hundred and seventh in free
throw shooting. So I just think this game, this total
is too high for what I think these two teams
are going to look like. At one sixt and a half,
Like I mentioned, Kempom has this at one fifty seven
(15:04):
and eighty. You know, from a final perspective, you can
get involved. You know you're going to take a look
at where this game might wind up falling uh a
seventeen point win. The line is seventeen, so KEMPOM has
this right where the number is at seventeen and a half.
So I think the under is a better play in this.
And if you look at one sixty and a half,
(15:25):
that's what it was against Colorado was one sixty one
and a half. That game went under. Houston's a bit
of an anomaly just because of where you are playing
the defense of Houston. But one sixty eight and a half,
one sixty three, one sixty two. The last three games
for Utah have all been, you know, pretty high. Two
of those three games have been at home. Colorado one
(15:46):
sixty three went under on the road. Washington one fifty
seven and a half went on the road, went under
by eighteen and a half. Cal one fifty two and
a half one two two game went under by one,
but it did go under. Last three true road games
for Utah have all gone under. And we're going to
(16:06):
do it again here road game. Utah under one sixty
and a half. That is our hard rock bet of
the day, Utah Texas Tech under one sixty and a
half for one point one units. We are eleven and seven.
There that and hopefully we can get back on the
winning track after a really bad Tuesday. Check out the
Betting Pros app for two NBA player props coming at
(16:29):
you later on today. We will do Sunday's games tomorrow,
Wednesday's games today to recap, We're going Broncos money line,
Seattle minus seven, and the hard rock bet of the
day of Utah Texas Tech under one sixty and half minus.
Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me across all my
socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning. Wherever you guys
(16:49):
get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice. Sermo Santo
di Santo
What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday
morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is
Matt Peralti. You guys can follow me across all of
my socials at Sports Talk Matt and we just have
to laugh. Woh, that was bad. So I was right.
I said, be careful, maybe bet half units as I
(00:37):
go into this is the transition period that I often
I have struggled with in the past, and I'm clearly
struggling when you go from the end of football into
the This is kind of like that bridge time where
we're not fully I'm not fully connected to the NBA.
(00:57):
We're not into you know, we're just into conference time
here for college basketball and hockey. I just need to
get back to watching hockey and getting more into the
rhythm of hockey. There will be trends that will jump
into It happens all the time as we get to
know February and whatnot. But this has always been a
little bit of an interesting time because I am obviously
(01:19):
doing very well in football. We've been very successful in
the NFL this year. But now we're getting into the
other sports and on days where we don't have football, well,
I got smacked. And this is Look, I didn't do
as badly as the person. I saw a guy who
took twenty and a half and at minus four ninety
(01:39):
five odds, he bet fifty bucks to win ten and well,
the Spurs lost by twenty one points. Ye Iowa State
guts smoked at KU. I told you going into that
it's really rare to ever get points for Ku at
home and fall allen. They won't be a dog again
this year after what just happened. That game they won
(02:00):
by twenty as three and a half point dogs, and
then zero zero after one. That game ended two to
one between Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh's other game was a
debt under in the first half in the first period
as well. So all in three down over three and
a half units, and look, I think it's it's one
of those one of those nights, and you're just like, okay,
(02:21):
those are three really bad bets. I knew I was
in trouble with the basketball bet because one of my friends,
who was a very good NBA handicapper, was on. He
liked the thunder, and I was like, oh boy, okay,
I don't like being up against him and being opposite
him on certain plays and that was one of them.
So what do we do? What? We just keep rolling. However,
here's how today it's going to go. Wednesday, I'm gonna
(02:43):
bet the NFL okay because these numbers are moving, So
we're gonna bet the Saturday games today. Wednesday, We're gonna
bet the Sunday games Tomorrow. We worry about Friday Friday,
and then we'll get into the player props on Saturday.
In Sunday live stream will be Saturday again this week Sunday,
we will do all four games. It'll be a quicker
than normal live stream, but we're talking about all four games,
(03:05):
taking you up to kickoff of the first game of
the weekend between the Bills and the Broncos, So stay
tuned for that. Will give you a picks on Bill's
Broncos and then Seattle in the forty nine ers coming
up here for today. But we are going to do
that Wednesday, Thursday. For Saturday and Sunday. I do have
two NBA player props that I'm going to give you
(03:25):
guys on the Betting pros app later today. And there
is a hard rock bet of the Day coming today
for a game that's today on Wednesday for a pick
for today. We are eleven and seven on the hard
rock bets of the day, so we'll do that coming
up for today, so stay tuned for all of that.
So let's start talking about Denver and their home game
(03:47):
against the Broncos. This is going to be really interesting. Okay,
let's just go through a couple of trends. You guys
know I'm a trend better Broncos pick them. Okay, some
books are at one and a half on either side.
We're just playing money line, Okay, Broncos money line. Sean Payton,
head coach of the Broncos. When in the postseason his
(04:10):
teams are on extended rest, he is four and oher
straight up. He's never lost in this situation. He's two
and two against the spread, but this is a money
line play, so it doesn't matter what the number. He's
never lost. His four and oh mark straight up is
the best of any head coach in the playoffs since
two thousand and three. He is a tremendous coach when
(04:31):
you give him extra time. The Broncos and the Bills.
This is gonna be very interesting because Josh Allen as
a favorite of three points or less or as an
underdog in the playoffs is now three and five ATS,
so that's not great. But Buffalo is a second half
(04:52):
team and they did very well again in the second
half against the spread. In Josh Allen's career in the
second half, if you want to bet, I can have spreads.
Allen is eighty seven fifty and three in the second
half against the spread in his career, which is incredible
that it is an amazing mark. Over the last two seasons,
he's twenty eight and nine in the second half ATS wise,
(05:15):
fourteen and one ATS in the second half against teams
above five hundred. Interesting stat from the Action Network that
I saw last night Sean McDermott when he is coaching
a team that the week prior when three for three
in the red zone are better than next week, they're
(05:36):
just three and eight ATS in one in seven ats
over the last seven games. Look. I like the Broncos
for a variety of reasons. Mostly it's their defense, mostly
is what they're capable of doing. But the Bills are
really banged up. Josh Allen has a foot, a knee,
(05:57):
and a finger issue all hurt again. Jacksonville the helmet
throw where his hand hit the helmet of his center.
That hurt his hand. He hurt the knee when it
got twisted. He hurt the foot running. You've got Ed
Oliver has a bicep injury. Dalton king Kaid has a
knee in a calf, Matt Mulano has an ankle. You
(06:20):
just go through this. This is you know. Jordan Poyer
didn't practice yesterday. He has a hamstring. Terrell Shavers wide receiver,
didn't practice yesterday. He had a knee injury. Matt Prater,
the kicker, didn't practice yesterday. He has a quad and
a calf. He was nursing that before the game as well.
They are banged up. Okay. Dray greenlaw for the Broncos
(06:44):
was limited, but he did practice. Getting him back was huge.
That was talked about by Sean Payton after practice that
he just does so much for that defense day. Getting
Drake greenlog back is such a huge thing for Denver
going into this game. The injury report is really really ugly,
and the NFL did the Bills no favors. They played
(07:06):
the first game on Sunday on the road. They're playing
the first game on Saturday on a short week against
a team off of buy at home at altitude, it's
just too much. I know Josh Allen is incredible. I
know he's superman. He can't do it by himself, and
(07:26):
not against this defense, not against this crowd, the mile
high attitude, the mile high energy. I just think the
Broncos find a way. I don't think the unders. A
good play will probably be on that later in the week,
but right now, I think the first play you got
to make because I do think this number is gonna climb.
I do think Broncos money is gonna steadily come in here.
(07:48):
I think the Broncos go off as a one and
a half or a two point favorite here, and I
think that's the right side. I'm taking the Broncos money
line one point one units Broncos to win. Broncos on
the money line to knock out the Buffalo Bills. I
know I fitted the Bills last week and I lost.
I could be wrong again here, but I just you know,
(08:09):
you want to talk about a referee trend. Carl Scheffers
is the referee for this game since two thousand and nine.
The Broncos are eight and one straight up at home
with him as the referee. Okay, let's see what happens
on this But home teams are above five hundred straight
up for twelve straight seasons with him as the head official.
(08:31):
Home teams do fairly well. Home teams in fifteen playoff
games eleven and four with Carl Scheffers as the head referee.
So there you go. We go to Seattle and the
forty nine ers. My goodness, gracious, if you want to
talk about banged up, if you want to talk about injuries,
there is nothing worse than the forty nine ers injury report.
(08:54):
I mean, just really really bad. This team now being
without George Kittle. They got smoked at Seattle in week eighteen,
which was for the number one seed and it was
for the division, and Seattle worked them. This number now
is seven. The best stat is it. Sam Darnold as
(09:15):
a favorite of six points or more is thirteen and
oh straight up and ten and three against the spread.
Donald winning those thirteen games when he's favored by six
points or more, he's averaging winning it by sixteen points
per game, not just winning these games for blowing their
teams out. His thirteen and oh straight up mark is
tied with Bo Nix, who is also thirteen to oh
(09:38):
in this spot for the best mark in the NFL
since two thousand and three. The Seahawks have won ten
straight games at home in Seattle with fans in the stands.
They did lose a wild card game against the Rams
back in twenty twenty with no fans during COVID, but
when they have fans in there really difficult. Seahawks have
(09:58):
won seven consecutive games outright entering their buy before the
divisional round. Teams that have won seven straight games off
a by in the divisional round have not fared well
at all. If you're looking for a silver lining for
the forty nine ers. The number is two to eight
against the spread since two thousand and three, But I
(10:19):
think that's mostly because teams that are on buys tend
to get a little rusty, and then the team is
coming off of a win, they normally are rolling. That
situation here I don't think is happening because of the
injuries and because of how banged up this team is
in playing at home in the divisional round, I think
is just a really big advantage. I know it's a
(10:39):
big number, but I just I mean, brought Purty eight
and four straight up on short rest. He's been great,
Kyle Shanahan with an incredible job, and Robert Sala Frankly
an incredible job with the defense last week. I just
think we're asking too much of this forty nine Ers
team after getting manhandled. I just can't see it. I'm
(11:02):
gonna lay it with Seattle. I'm gonna lay the seven
points here. I don't think this number goes much farther
south than seven. I think if it does go to
six and a half, I think the professionals are gonna
hammer the Seahawks at minus seven. I'm gonna come in
and do Seahawks minus seven for one point one units.
So a reminder about the two NBA player props which
(11:23):
will hit you on the Betting pros app. Download the
Betting pros app and go and search at Sports Talk Matt.
I will put two NBA player props coming up on
the Betting pros app later on today, so be a
searching for that. But it is now time for the
hard Rock Bet of the Day. It is being brought
to you by our friends at hard Rock Bet. This
(11:45):
is a very big week as we count down to
Monday for the National Championship Game Miami. At hard Rock
Stadium playing for the national title. Hard Rock is giving
people ten bucks to get in on the action. If
you are going to the game, you can turn that
ten dollars free bonus bets into a big win. If
(12:06):
you want to play the same game parlay, if you
want to do in game wagering. It's all available at
hard Rock Bet. And remind you that they do have
that availability for a five dollars wager. If it wins,
you get your winnings plus one hundred and fifty dollars
in bonus bets. This is the time to get involved.
Your team may be knocked out of the playoffs, but
that does not mean that to sit on the sidelines.
(12:28):
Plenty of things to get involved with at hard rock Bet.
New promos dropping every single day at hard rock Bet.
Download the hard rock Bet app and make your first
deposit two day. Let's talk some college basketball here between
Utah and Texas Tech. So Utah is a team that
we're gonna bet at home over for a while until
(12:51):
it knocks out. Utah is ten and zero at home
to the over. However, they are four and two to
the under when they're on the road, and Utah is
on the road at Texas Tech. Three of the last
four games for Texas Tech have gone under, including a
home game against Winthrop, in road games at Houston and
(13:13):
at Colorado. The total for this game is one sixty
and a half and when you go to Kempom, this
would be a one fifty seven type of situation here
between these two teams. I think this is going to
be a low scoring game. This is going to be
a slow game because of just what Utah does average
(13:36):
and what Texas Tech does one eighty eight in average
possession length. Utah is one ninety second in average possession length.
Utah is three point shooting at home is pretty good
on the road not very good. It's still one hundred
and ninth in college basketball. They're one hundred and nineteenth
and two point shooting. They are one hundred and seventh
in three throw shooting. Now, Texas Tech can hit threes.
(13:58):
That's why they're expected to win this game going away
by seventeen and a half points. But it's Techs defense
that I think will be the difference here. They are
thirty four fourth in adjusted defensive efficiency. They're one hundred
and eleventh in effective field goal percentage, but they're eighty
seconds in three point percentage defense. They're not great on
twos or one hundred and forty six with two point defense.
(14:21):
But Utah tends to shoot a lot of threes. They
want to get up and down and shoot threes, and
they don't hit a bunch of threes when they're on
the road. Techs offense on the other side, nineteenth adjusted
efficiency on offense, they're fifty fifth and three point shooting,
they're forty first in turnover percentage. They are sorry, they're
twenty fourth in three point shooting and one hundred and
(14:41):
fifth and two point percentage. They don't hit their free throws,
which is good for the under. They're two hundred and
seventy seventh in free throw shooting seventy four point three
percent for Utah. That's one hundred and seventh in free
throw shooting. So I just think this game, this total
is too high for what I think these two teams
are going to look like. At one sixt and a half,
Like I mentioned, Kempom has this at one fifty seven
(15:04):
and eighty. You know, from a final perspective, you can
get involved. You know you're going to take a look
at where this game might wind up falling uh a
seventeen point win. The line is seventeen, so KEMPOM has
this right where the number is at seventeen and a half.
So I think the under is a better play in this.
And if you look at one sixty and a half,
(15:25):
that's what it was against Colorado was one sixty one
and a half. That game went under. Houston's a bit
of an anomaly just because of where you are playing
the defense of Houston. But one sixty eight and a half,
one sixty three, one sixty two. The last three games
for Utah have all been, you know, pretty high. Two
of those three games have been at home. Colorado one
(15:46):
sixty three went under on the road. Washington one fifty
seven and a half went on the road, went under
by eighteen and a half. Cal one fifty two and
a half one two two game went under by one,
but it did go under. Last three true road games
for Utah have all gone under. And we're going to
(16:06):
do it again here road game. Utah under one sixty
and a half. That is our hard rock bet of
the day, Utah Texas Tech under one sixty and a
half for one point one units. We are eleven and seven.
There that and hopefully we can get back on the
winning track after a really bad Tuesday. Check out the
Betting Pros app for two NBA player props coming at
(16:29):
you later on today. We will do Sunday's games tomorrow,
Wednesday's games today to recap, We're going Broncos money line,
Seattle minus seven, and the hard rock bet of the
day of Utah Texas Tech under one sixty and half minus.
Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me across all my
socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning. Wherever you guys
(16:49):
get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice. Sermo Santo
di Santo
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