January 22, 2026 • 57 mins
The Favorites is back for another look at the NFC and AFC Championship Games! Action Network experts Stuckey, Kendra Middleton and Brandon Kravitz look at player props, totals and sides while discussing where they see value in the betting market. With only two games on the slate this weekend, the crew dives into their top plays, discuss apps they can't live without and decide if there's much of a drop off from Nix to Stidham in Denver. Plus, they play Action or Distraction, Kendra's in a pickle and another 2 Kings and a Queen Parlay is created on DraftKings with help from Action Network's Director of Research, Evan Abrams. All that and more right here on The Favorites!
Check out the Action Network App and sign up for Action Pro for instant notifications from our top experts. Get $20 off an annual subscription with code POD20 here!
Click here to instantly tail some of the bets from today's episode with quick slips!
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:10):
Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The crown
is yours, the conference title games are upon us. We
have all the info that you need to get set
for all of that and get some bets in pocket
today as well. I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by my Favorites crew,
the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky, the Queen of
(00:31):
the Pod, Miss Kendra Middleton. On today's episode, we've got
action or distraction coming up in moments, Stucky's random question
of the Week, two Kings and a Queen parlay courtesy
of Draft Kings. But let's head straight to the primer
for our shrimply unbelievable stat of the week. Two teams
(00:51):
off of overtime, the Broncos and the Rams off of
an overtime winning the divisional round last week. Since twenty fifteen,
teams off of ot facing a team that was not
or winning at a rate of just forty three point
nine percent forty six percent of those games against the spread,
so slight tick up ats. This season, those teams went
(01:13):
ten to eighteen straight up, eleven and seventeen against the spread,
but that counts in season games. For the regular season,
looking specifically at the playoffs, when the team is off
of an overtime win in the postseason and it's playing
obviously another playoff game in the next round. They are
zero to five straight up one in four ats since
twenty fifteen and losing by a healthy margin as well. Kendra,
(01:38):
how much do you factor in overtime impact into this
weekend's games as you look at the Broncos and the Rams.
Speaker 2 (01:48):
I definitely think it matters because at this point in
the season, nobody, no team is perfectly healthy, no player
is perfectly healthy, and the more minutes and the more
time and the more snaps downs, everything that you have
on your body matters. We've seen kind of the exhausted
I pointed maybe towards the exhaustion towards the Eagles this year,
the Chiefs this year, just having so many more games
(02:09):
on your body. So I think that it's probably silly
to say that it doesn't matter. I mean, at this
point in the season, nobody's healthy. Every second of rest
you can get is important.
Speaker 1 (02:21):
I would say that it matters more in fading the
Rams because this is their third straight road game, road game,
so you would think that they would be more impacted
by that, I happen to know after watching the Sunday
six Pack Stucky, that that does not factor in enough
to your analysis. And perhaps we'll get a beat on
this later on in the show. So if you want
(02:41):
to save some of this in your pocket, by all means,
do so, but not enough to scare you off the Rams.
Speaker 3 (02:48):
No, especially at three. I mean, look, there's we've had teams.
I think it's a small factor, but like I mean
that the twenty twelve Ravens went on to win the
Super Bow. They played Wildcard Weekend, went on the road
one and overtime, and then against the Broncos in double
overtime in altitude. The next week they went up to
(03:08):
New England and destroyed Brady in the conference championship game
with Joe Flacco. Two thousand and three Panthers, who went
on to the Super Bowl. They were They played Wildcard Weekend,
won and overtime against the Rams, and then went to
Philly as an underdog and dominated the Eagles then and
then went on to the Super Bowl to play the Patriots.
(03:30):
So I think it is a factor. But you also
got to remember division like divisional home field advantage isn't
worth as much. There's familiarity there. The Toaday's generally been
good when it comes to travel, and teams are getting
smarter with just over time with traveling and taking care
of their bodies, and so I do think it's a
(03:51):
it's a small factor. But the Rams are getting healthier too.
And the Seahawks they have a potential issue at left tackle.
They lost one of their running backs. But I mean
getting Dotson backs huge for the Rams. They have Davante
Adams back this time around, Quinton Lake back on the
defensive side of the ball. I just had a three,
(04:14):
even in an expensive three, I'd have to play the Rams.
I mean we're going back, go back to Week sixteen,
and the Rams dominated Seattle, and I mean I was
on Seattle plus one at home. One of the reasons
is because Dotson was out, Adams was out, and Seattle
(04:35):
was basically healthy outside of their left tackle, which might
be the case again this week. But in that came
I was getting plus one. Lucky, lucky bet. I mean
it took a miraculous two point conversion to come back
from down sixteen that included a punt return for a touchdown.
Now special teams are concerned again now Seattle special teams
are elite. But the Rams, I mean the Seals were
plus one home dog in Week sixteen. Since then, yeah,
(04:57):
the Rams have been a bit more inconsistent, but we
had a full body of work after Week sixteen, including
a game at Seattle where I said Rams are clearly
the best team in the NFL. They put up close
to six hundred yards in Seattle on that defense that
was healthy without Adams and without Dots. And you know,
now we fast forward a month later and we're pushing
(05:19):
three on this line. I can't get there. I think
this is a little bit of recency bias weighing in
on both sides, with the Rams not covering him back
to back weeks looking a little shakier. And then the Seahawks,
I mean they the last three games since then, they
played the forty nine ers practice squad twice, and they
match up so well against the forty nine ers and
(05:41):
the Panthers, Like that's that's all. We've only gotten three
games against two opponents for Seattle.
Speaker 2 (05:47):
Talked about the Patriot having it easy.
Speaker 3 (05:50):
Yeah, I mean against teams that they match up well.
And at the end of the day, I have I
have the better quarterback, the better offensive line, the better receivers,
the better running back room, and I'm going up against
a quarterback. We'll push this over the edge for me
of why I'm going to play the Rams that I want?
Like a three minus one twenty is sure better?
Speaker 1 (06:11):
Is you? Like?
Speaker 3 (06:13):
What I think this comes down to, is it's gonna
come out of the coaching like there's gonna be some
curve balls from McVay. I thought he had an awful
game last week. He generally has positive curve balls. But
like formation wise, personnel wise, you go back to the
first meeting, it was all it was sixty five percent
eleven personnel. The second meeting it was like sixty five
percent thirteen personnel. Well, they abandoned that last week. Thirteen
(06:34):
personnel doesn't work as well against Seattle's defense anyway. So
I'm curious to see what they do and what Seattle
does to counter what the Rams did in that second meeting.
They ran right at even wore A. They had no
answer for Puka. Do they bracket Pookah here? How do
they handle that? Like those little adjustments? This is like
a coaching porn game. When the Rams have the ball,
but the Rams can get pressure, and Darnold under pressure
(06:56):
we've seen a countless times against this Rams team three
times in the last two years, including in the playoffs
last year. He's gonna make mistakes and what puts this
over the top, which might kind of counteract some of
this scheduling advantage because it's definitely an advantage for Seattle.
At home they had a buy and then a laugher,
and then the Rams had to go to Carolina in
a war, to Chicago in a war in overtime, and
(07:18):
now to Seattle. It's definitely an advantage for Seattle. But
the oblique injury for Sam Darnold, I think it's like
last week, he didn't have to do anything. He threw
for one hundred and twenty yards.
Speaker 1 (07:30):
But what about Stafford though, because that last week the
finger was a storyline going into that game against Chicago,
he didn't play great.
Speaker 2 (07:38):
Se If we're talking about his back right now, well,
they've been talking.
Speaker 1 (07:41):
About his back for years, I feel like so are
we sure? And perhaps the number that we're seeing is
is somewhat reflective of this that there's less confidence that
Matt Stafford is at one hundred percent right now.
Speaker 3 (07:56):
Yeah, I mean, no one's really at one hundred percent,
but like.
Speaker 1 (07:59):
A quarterly not being one hundred percent throwing.
Speaker 3 (08:01):
But we know that Darnold is not one hundred percent.
I mean you could see it on his deep balls
last week. He's getting he's grimacing, he's not gonna be
able to scramble or his mobility's gonna be limited. He's
getting heat on the sidelines. And the thing is with
an oblique I think there's like a there's like a
ten to fifteen percent chance it like really flares up
and becomes problematic, and that occurs. The risk of that
goes up with each pass attemp and each time you
(08:23):
have to you know, tork your body and throw it downfield.
And last week it didn't not have to do much.
But if you know, I think this week he's not
going to have that same luxury where you know, Seattle's
up twenty eight to three for most of this game.
I don't think that's going to be the case. So yeah,
you could there's definite an argue with me that Stafford
(08:45):
might not be at one hundred percent, although the conditions
were just not ideal less.
Speaker 1 (08:49):
Not ideal, but Stafford held without a touchdown for the
first time in nineteen starts this season, and that was
against Chicago. I know the weather wasn't great, it's the
Bears defense is awful, and he still had one of
his worst performances of the season. So think the story
needs to be told.
Speaker 3 (09:06):
Donald hasn't I mean this, this Seattle offense has pretty
much been figured out. I mean you go back to
Devint talked about this earlier in the week. I mean
since the first nine weeks of the year, I mean
Donald was unbelievable, Like I think number one and EPA
per plays. I think it's like bottom five since week ten,
(09:29):
and teams have figured out they're just going lighter boxes. Now.
The Seattle run game has gotten better as a result,
but the explosive plays that pet disappeared. And like you also,
what's and Donald over the past since he's played the Rams,
he's played Carolina and San Francisco, the two worst teams
(09:50):
in the league in terms of pressure eight And that's
like that's the biggest handicap when it comes to Donald,
Like can you pressure him? And when you do, he
makes mistake. So I think there's a very high risk
that he makes which he's done all year against the Rams.
Backbreaking mistakes kill killer mistakes.
Speaker 2 (10:09):
So he's about what almost ten turnovers against them alone.
I want to say, it's like seven.
Speaker 3 (10:14):
Yeah, and like that pick was so I mean some
of the intercessions have been so bad. So yeah, I
just think at three this this line can't be three
in my opinion. So, uh, that's the side that I'm
looking at.
Speaker 1 (10:28):
Well, I I did just look ahead at the show notes,
and I do think we're going that you did, Evan,
you might want to stretch for later in the show.
Speaker 2 (10:39):
Guess who Guess who the problem child is? Once again?
Speaker 1 (10:44):
Oh man, it's gonna be fun. We will get back
to that in a moment, but it's time to delve
into the weird, the bizarre, the random, and Stucky's question
of the Week. Hey, this is a dumb question. Let
me ask you a personal question kind of question.
Speaker 2 (10:58):
Is that this question?
Speaker 3 (11:01):
All right? If for the next five years you, in
order to have a cell phone, you could only have
three This does not include phone calls and texts so
on and like internet, So on your phone you're gonna
(11:24):
have on like your homepage, You're gonna have your your
phone icon, your uh text, your email, and your browser.
Those are given you're allowed to have them. You can
only have three apps on your phone, and you have
to choose them, and then that's it. You cannot you
(11:45):
can't swap them out. You only can have three apps
on your phone for the next five years.
Speaker 1 (11:51):
Oh this is so easy, so easy. I'm glad you
gave us the freebies there. And those were you said, text, email,
browser calls. Those are the locks.
Speaker 3 (12:02):
Those are the locks.
Speaker 1 (12:04):
Those are the ones at the bottom of my screen.
So great call on that. I don't know if that's
if that's the same for everybody out there, but still, I.
Speaker 3 (12:11):
Mean, you could change it, but that's that's how I
think gets to fall.
Speaker 1 (12:13):
Yeah, I think I think that's the way to go.
Speaker 3 (12:18):
Gammra is an app that you would have to choose.
Speaker 1 (12:23):
Oh damn, that's now Okay. They got a little tougher,
So I was gonna go with my Notes app I
use every day. It's loaded reminders, show prep everything things
about my son that I notes from the past, moment
when he was born and that, like, all that stuff
(12:45):
lives on my notepad, so that's very important to me.
The maps app, yeah, I have completely just sort of
leaned into technology as the decades have gone by. I
could not find my way around the corner without my
Maps app. And then I was gonna say, I know
that this is hey company shill. The Action Network app
(13:07):
might be the app that I opened the most track
bets and all of that great stuff that you get
the great advice from people like both of you. So
those would be my three. But then I'd have to
eliminate my camera. I guess I would buy a camera. Yeah,
I'm gonna stick with those three action Notes and Maps.
Speaker 3 (13:28):
Maps, No chance. I don't. I don't go enough places
like i'm I'm home, or I go to my wife's bar,
or like food shopping, or I go to the airport
down the street. I don't need to. I don't need
a map app, so that I'm not I'm not taking
(13:51):
I'm also definitely not using a notes app because now
I get that you use it a lot, but I
never used my notes app. But if you went into
my teen, I text myself all day throughout the.
Speaker 2 (14:04):
Day, you text yourself.
Speaker 1 (14:06):
Yeah, it's essentially the same thing.
Speaker 3 (14:08):
It's just the same thing. It's just I have a
text just I text myself. So I just pull up
text and I'll say, like it could be like a tweet.
I'll tweet to myself. Well, actually I just bookmark tweets,
but it's usually just like a note or look into
this or this stat or something that I came across
one while watching a game that I want to dig into.
(14:29):
So I text myself all the time. So that's that's
how I handle the notes. Mine by far, I mean,
mine is very very easy, Like I don't even have
to think twice about it. It's the three that I
use most. I mean, my screen time is eighteen hours
every day and it's mostly action app Twitter, and I
(14:59):
would need a sport book app, so shout out DraftKings
sponsored the show, so I need a This is what
I'd spend all my time doing. Tweeting, blogging, bets, doing
stuff for the and then placing bets. So those are
my three. That's what I spend my entire time doing.
I would miss I do take I like to take
(15:21):
breaks from work and and scroll doom, scroll TikTok. Sometimes
we would miss that.
Speaker 1 (15:31):
Yeah, that would be it would be tough to give
some of these. Not being able to watch a football game,
we go you.
Speaker 3 (15:40):
Know, podcasts, I'd have to do it on my laptop.
Speaker 2 (15:45):
Yeah, that's how I kind of came to My answer
was the things that I don't use on desktop very
often or can't use on desktop. So I use Twitter
on desktop all the time. I can use the Action
you know website on here. I can use DraftKings on
my computer. The things that I can not use on
my computer obviously the camera maps, and then Instagram because
(16:05):
the Instagram like on the browser sucks and you can't
upload anything for their so for work, I would have,
like I make money on Instagram obviously, So it would
have to be those three because those are the things
on the like I can't use on a browser.
Speaker 3 (16:18):
Yeah, that's a good way to think about it.
Speaker 1 (16:21):
I would miss banking on the app. Yeah, the website
that would suck. But that I mean, you just you know,
you got to you gotta make concessions here.
Speaker 3 (16:29):
Yeah, I would actually miss. The one app I would
really miss is probably ESPN app for like streaming games
at any any out like I will always where if
I'm out, or just as an extra screen, or even
to a home with all my screens off an extra
game screen streaming on my phone. I would really miss that.
That's why I'm looking at my most used apps that
(16:51):
for streaming I would miss, but uh yeah, that's what
I would choose. Haven't you got our good answer for this?
Speaker 4 (16:56):
Not really, because when you look at my apps and
you look at like what I use the most, I
don't think that's the answer because I think like the
banking stuff, and that is what I tend to like
not appreciate. Like, you know, my most used apps like
X slack action.
Speaker 3 (17:11):
The operators say X.
Speaker 1 (17:14):
I don't know a quick aside. How do you find
what apps you use the most? Where's that information?
Speaker 2 (17:21):
So if you go to your settings, you can see
like your usage screen time.
Speaker 1 (17:25):
It's called are you talking amongst yourselves? We'll be looking
this up.
Speaker 2 (17:29):
I mean, I just can't believe Evan used Twitter's stripper name.
That's kind of a vendor.
Speaker 1 (17:36):
Well, good job by them.
Speaker 3 (17:37):
That's some marketing wins.
Speaker 2 (17:41):
Yeah, no, I would have to use that. I don't know.
Buying a camera wouldn't work for me, because like what
do you do when your dog's just doing something cute
or your kids doing something cute? You just go, like
grab your camera from wherever it is.
Speaker 4 (17:53):
No, you're right, camera and banking were two things I
actually didn't think about. But I don't know how I
could leave those two things behind because I just don't.
I don't want to walk into a bank.
Speaker 1 (18:01):
Could you imagine a camera go on your you.
Speaker 3 (18:05):
Can go on your laptop to your bank.
Speaker 4 (18:08):
You could.
Speaker 3 (18:09):
That's fair, That is fair. I don't think I've ever
logged onto my bank or like Vanguard Accouncil on a laptop.
But I mean you thought you were going.
Speaker 2 (18:19):
To say on your phone.
Speaker 3 (18:20):
I was like, what, Yeah, okay, that was my question.
Speaker 1 (18:23):
Anyways, fantastic for action or distraction. This is.
Speaker 3 (18:30):
I'm not I want it on the action.
Speaker 1 (18:35):
For rams Seahawks. We have a prior matchup to go
off of, not the case for the AFC title game.
So what I did today is I took a little
dive into common opponents for the Patriots and the Broncos,
and here is what I found. They both played the Raiders, Bills, Titans, Jets, Bengals, Giants,
and Chargers. The Patriots went eight and two in those games.
(18:59):
The Broncos went nine and one. Patriots average margin plus
ten point one, Bronco's average margin just six and a half.
And that was with b nix Action or distraction. Kendra
as this being anything that resembles a factor of analysis
for you.
Speaker 2 (19:16):
I think it's a good thing to look at, but
it's not something that I personally looked at when I
was getting to the window on one of my options
for our parlay later and to be honest, kind of
something that I thought about, do we really, let's be
honest with ourselves here, do we really think that there
is that large of a drop off between Bonix and
(19:38):
Jared's Didham Because I personally do not.
Speaker 1 (19:42):
Well, the sports books would disagree, because the number has
swung wildly and it seems like there is a divide.
This is the time of year where public versus sharp
money is more pronounced than any other time in the year,
this week, next week, and it seems to me reading
the market like the public is all over New England
(20:04):
and the sharpbetters out there are all over the Broncos
because this number has swung too wildly. So it depends
on what side of the aisle you're on. But the
sports books are obviously they're they are welcoming the Broncos.
They are welcoming, welcoming sharp action on the Broncos as
it stands right now. To me, I don't know I
(20:25):
am pretty comfortable saying I have no idea. Jarrett Stidham
hasn't played in two years, and I do think we're
underrating maybe not the total body of work of bo Nicks,
but specifically what he does in key situations. The Broncos
have orchestrated a number of fourth quarter comebacks. They're one
(20:47):
of the most past happy teams in the NFL. In fact,
bo Nicks had more pass attempts than any other quarterback
in the league this year and they were the one seed.
There has to be a correlation there between his quality
in comebacks late in games. You need quarterbacks to do
that in overall pass attempts. You have to have trust
from your coach in order to obtain that, and so
(21:09):
I think there. I do think we are perhaps overthinking
this drop off of Knicks to stead of not being
a big deal, when when in fact it is. That's that,
But I'm not one hundred percent confident on that. That's
just sort of where my mind has led me on
this debate.
Speaker 3 (21:26):
I mean, no one saying it's not a big deal,
just like drop going from Nix isn't isn't an elite,
elite quarterback by any stretch. I mean, no one can
make that argument. And like a drop off from an
elite quarterback to just like an average backup would be
you know, in some cases seven points.
Speaker 1 (21:47):
But it's an average backup that hasn't played in two
years that is making his first start of the season
in the most high pressure situation.
Speaker 2 (21:56):
So it's I think that helps them though, because I think.
Speaker 3 (22:01):
We saw he It's we saw Philip Rivers not playing
five years ago against the Seattle defense and he should
have beat them. Speaking of the Seahawks, they should have
won that game if not for a sixty yard field goal.
And he had familiarity with the system. I mean, Sidham
has been around for years under Peyton, so has familiarity
(22:23):
with the system. Here's the difference is that with Stidham.
A lot of times you get these backups that come
in and one they don't have any mobility whatsoever, which
kills them. Stidham is sneakily mobile, which always is helpful.
But most importantly in addition to his familiarity with the system,
(22:47):
is he has he's working behind one of the best
offensive lines in the NFL. That's enormous, and with an
elite play caller like, this isn't your normal situation or
a backup are back coming in and you know you're
You go back to what Stidham and look Stidham's numbers.
He's only had four starts since twenty twenty two. If
(23:10):
you remove garbage time and you look at all the
quarterbacks with a minimum of one hundred snaps since twenty
twenty two, there's eighty two of them. He ranks nineteenth
in success rate, that's basically Jalen Hurts thirty third, and
adjusted EPA per play that's basically Baker Mayfield forty first
in EPA plus completion percentage of expectation that's basically Mitch Trubisky,
(23:33):
which I think is like a fair comp This isn't
like Max Brosmer or a bottom of the barrel back up.
Speaker 2 (23:39):
He's a better back. He's one of the better backups
in the league.
Speaker 3 (23:42):
I agree. And those four games he's when he started
two were with the twenty twenty two Raiders, who I
mean threw three.
Speaker 2 (23:50):
Hundred and sixty five yards in that game.
Speaker 3 (23:52):
Yeah, one against that really good forty nine Ers defense.
But he that Raiders offense was twenty fourth in DVOA,
twenty fifth in press aratee allowed. The twenty twenty three
Broncos were twenty seventh on offense Dvoa thirty first in
pressure rate allowed. So he was in awful situations with
bad offensive lines, which won't be the case here. And
(24:18):
there's this there's an uncertainty factor. It's one of the
reasons why I like the Broncos first quarter in this
game as well plus a half of point. There's some
uncertainty with what like what they're gonna do with sidem.
I assume they're gonna get super creative here with packages,
personnel uses. Maybe you go heavier and they're gonna have
some Peyton's gonna have some curve balls here. And by
(24:40):
the way, Bo Nicks this year has been arguably the
worst quarterback in the NFL. In the first quarter, he's
thirty first in EPA plus completion centergy of expectation out
of thirty two quarterbacks, tied with basically tie with Flacco
for dead last twenty seventh adjusted EPAPRI play twenty ninth
and success rate thirty first in completion set jewel expectation.
(25:01):
You mentioned all the stuff he's done late. That's where
a lot of Knicks's value has come, but early on
in games he's been really, really, really poor. So they
drop off can't be that significant to especially in the
first quarter, to one of the worst quarterbacks in the
first quarter this year, to what Stidham is with all
of the uncertainty, you also have your it's Denver in
January at home, Like with a with an inexperienced quarterback,
(25:25):
you're gonna have that crowd noise, the outstude, the defense
is gonna come juiced. I think they can get pressure
on May And by the way, you might say, well,
May he has been very He's his numbers are elite
in the first quarter, but if you.
Speaker 2 (25:37):
Break it back posts terrible postseason.
Speaker 3 (25:39):
He's been the worst quarterback so far in the postseason
in the first quarter, even worse than Shroud. And if
you look at even from an average to above average
defenses he's faced this year. And it's stretching it because
the Patriots have played nobody I'm including like the Steelers, Falcon, Saints, Raiders,
and the Ravens in this They were two and six
(26:00):
in the first quarter. They averaged only four and a
half points per game, They were shut out three times,
scored more than a touchdown only once. So yeah, I
think that the Denver pressure can cause may issues. But additionally,
you see this when like your star or your quarterback
is out that first game, everyone else kind of steps up.
You also have that uncertainty factor. You start, you have
(26:23):
these new looks that the other team isn't prepared for,
and then now all of the pressure shifts to New England,
all of it, right, Like you who can't pass up
this opportunity in the AFC you got to go through
Mahomes for every year for the last seven years. The
Patriots finally get the Natcy Championship game and they have
to go through Jared Stidham, like all of the pressures
on New England here. So yeah, I think this is
(26:47):
it's too much of an adjustment. I would set that
I wouldn't be surprised if more Denver money comes. But
as you said, public money can have a say depending
on how much chart money is, on how much respected
on the other side, and there might there could be
conflicting opinions too on both which I could see. There's
a lot of uncertainty in this game. There is a
world where Stidham is a disaster.
Speaker 1 (27:08):
I fully admit that, but I don't think we're gonna
see that quote unquote sharp action come in on New
England until this number drops to it's at four and
a half in some places, if you might get some
or right, I.
Speaker 3 (27:23):
Would put set to I think this line should be
like I would set if I was I would set
it at three and a half. I'm at like three
point three.
Speaker 1 (27:30):
So Evan, what do you think as far as the
way that this action tilts, where the where the bypoint
will be on New England.
Speaker 4 (27:38):
I'd be shocked to see it roll below four. I
feel like four is going to be like a bit
of a demarcation point would.
Speaker 3 (27:44):
Be my guess.
Speaker 4 (27:45):
I was kind of shocked for it to go to
five and a half and six. But again, I mean,
right now, you've got like three quarters of the tickets
and the money on New England. So at this rate
you've seen the line come down, because I'm guessing you've
seen some big bets on Denver. But at this right
as you get I mean, you don't really see big money,
especially respected money, usually until we get closer to the weekend.
(28:06):
So uh, I think it could close. I think it's
right around where it is.
Speaker 3 (28:14):
I think it's going to close for some Sharper.
Speaker 1 (28:18):
Shops, Kendrick. Before I get to the next question, what
is the what's the conversation been in your area of
the country as far as the confidence level are New
England fans just assuming that this is around.
Speaker 2 (28:31):
Well here the three people here, I think the Patriots
are absolutely going to beat the ship out of the Broncos.
And I think that that is insane, especially when you
take the history of New England playing in Denver in
the postseason into consideration. I just think people here are
(28:51):
way too cocky and are getting off on the fact
that they've had an easy schedule, and it's insane to
me how confident people here are. I don't think that
I've heard anybody at our station say that they think
the Broncos can even hang in this game this week?
Speaker 1 (29:07):
What sounds about, right le insane? We get to two
more and then we've got a pickle prop to get
to and our two Kings and a Queen Paul Lay
The Seahawks have allowed just seven points in the second
half over their last three games, and in his last
three playoff games as a defensive coordinator and a head
coach like McDaniel, or like McDonalds, Mike McDonald's defense has
(29:31):
allowed to combine zero second half points. So action or
distraction on this handicap Rams first half money line parlayed
with the Seahawks full game money line plus four seventy
or if this is more your style, bet the Rams
first half and then live bet Seattle when we go
to the halftime break. Whichever is more your style, Stucky,
(29:52):
action or distraction on this creative way to play the
NFC Championship game.
Speaker 3 (30:00):
I have no interest in doing that. I think this
is all gonna come down to the game plan. Also
the health of the quarterbacks, as we mentioned, but it's
it's that chess match, and it's just it's very, very
difficult to predict unless you're in the room with McVeigh
and McDonald I. I do think that if the Rams,
(30:27):
if the Rams get up like, I don't think that's
I especially by margin, that's not ideal for Seattle. I
think they're toasts. Then I don't see Seattle. I know
they came back the first meeting, but again the Rams
were not fully healthy, and it took miracles, took a
punt return touchdown, it took an incomplete two point conversion
(30:48):
that got scooped up, and then the Rams also missed
a field goal that would have won the game, and
then Seattle eventually wins on a two point conversion in
overtime because the Rams can and just tee off on
Donald and I don't, and with that oblique injury, I
don't think that would end well. I think Seattle's script
this year, SAMs that miraculous comeback is their defense and
(31:13):
special teams have come out and made plays early and
given them leads, and then their offense just can play
complimentary football. You don't have to do too much. I mean,
look at all their wins, so many blowout wins this
year they've had because their defense and special teams have
made plays. That's who this team is. A lot of
(31:35):
people remember this Rams, this Seahawks team early in the year,
when Donald was hitting JSN down the field every other play.
That's not who they are, and that's not who they've
been that team for a while. Yeah, the whole second
half of the season, so yeah, I mean it just
I mean, going back here Donald, weeks one through nine,
(31:57):
he was third in EPA per play, first in yards
per attempt. Week ten, he's twenty seventh in EPAPRI play,
twelfth in yards per attempt, and that's because teams have
adjusted to their offense. It's one of the reasons the
run game now is a little bit more successful. They
were twenty seventh in EPAPRI play over the first nine weeks.
Since then they're eleventh because they're facing more light, more
lighter boxes. Teams are saying, Okay, run the ball. I
(32:19):
don't care, we're gonna, you know, take away the explosive play.
Early on in the season, they were just running it
into heavier boxes with heavier personality. Didn't care that it
was inefficient because then it was setting up the play
action game and then the deep shots. Well, defenses have
adjusted and said, we're gonna bracket JSN, we're gonna take
away or exposed to pass, go ahead and run the ball.
The Seahawks are fine doing that as long as especially
(32:41):
they're playing from ahead. Gets a little bit more problematic
if they're playing from behind. So yeah, actually, I don't
like that. I think this is going to come down
to just the game plans early on. And I mean
one thing that I will say for your for your
(33:02):
approach or for that suggestion, is maybe the fatigue sets
in late for the Rams after all of this travel
over the past month or two, and that's that advantage
for the Seahawks shows more in the second half. But
I'm going to say distraction.
Speaker 1 (33:19):
Yeah, I have a hard time personally figuring out how
the game script is going to go early on in
this one, but we're going to eliminate Rams first half
as an option here, Kendra. Many months ago, the mentalists
predicted a Rams Bronco Super Bowl using Stafford Adams, Kyron
Kobe Durant Oz Perlman, I think his name is predicted
(33:40):
the exact outcome of the upcoming Super Bowl. His pick
was the Rams to beat the Broncos twenty three to fourteen.
So I mean you've asked your uber driver for some
picks that have paid off. So action or distraction on
the clairvoyance of one Oz Pearlman. Action.
Speaker 2 (33:57):
My favorite holiday is Groundhog Day. So the fact that
we have a clairvoyant rodent, I can't get away from clairvoyance. Now,
it's the best holiday. I'm pro clairvoyance. I also would
love this for my bets, and this is exactly what
I think is going to happen. So action from me,
I love this. I think that this is perfect and
it's everything that I want. I think that it would
(34:19):
be hysterical to have eight Jared's Didham Super Bowl.
Speaker 1 (34:22):
Well, this would be your longest payout if you were
to parlay the Broncos and the Rams to meet up
in the Super Bowl, and then you can just kick back,
kick your feet up, and let everybody else bet the
Super Bowl while you count your dollars still to come.
Two Kings and a Queen get nominated on our weekly parlay.
But first, the word about Draft Kings from the first Lady.
Speaker 5 (34:40):
The Favorites podcast is sponsored by DraftKings sports book and
in partnership with DraftKings, our listeners are getting a great
offer right now. New customers can bet five dollars and
get three hundred dollars back in bonus bets if your
bet wins. The next great touchdown is coming and you
can bet on it. If sports betting is not yet
available in your steat, don't worry. You can still join
in all the fun with DraftKings Pick six and have
(35:02):
the shot to win cash prizes. To get started, use
promo code Favorites. When signing up with DraftKings again, use
code favorites when signing up and bet five bucks to
get three hundred back in bonus bets.
Speaker 2 (35:12):
If your bet wins, the crown is yours.
Speaker 1 (35:15):
It is the triumphant return of Kendra's pickle prop. Let's
pop that jar back open. What are we looking at? Okay,
we're in a pickle. Now, I'm really in a pickle.
Speaker 3 (35:27):
Now, all right, look we're gonna pickle again.
Speaker 2 (35:30):
Hey, so I'm looking at some Stidham rushing props. We've
kind of talked a little bit about how mobile he
actually is, and I get that the Patriots game plan
is going to be to stack the box, have Milton
Williams waiting there for the run. They're gonna make Jared
Ssidam beat him with his arm. But I don't think
people are taking into account how mobile Jarrett actually is.
(35:51):
And I think that this number kind of shows that
I was on DraftKings earlier. Fifteen plus rushing yards from
him is minus one eleven or over twenty is plus
one one forty eight. I think over twenty that's kind
of a really really good price in my opinion. But
what do you guys think? I'm kind of sitting here
on which one to get on Does he run a lot?
Speaker 1 (36:13):
I mean his stats in the past, which we have
a very limited sample of he's pretty mobile.
Speaker 3 (36:21):
No, he doesn't run a ton in the past. Yet
he does have some ability, but he was playing behind
atrocious offensive line line with offenses that didn't use the
quarterback to run, so I could see it.
Speaker 2 (36:35):
But a lot, Yeah, I was gonna say, they make
both right.
Speaker 3 (36:39):
I think they're gonna Peyton's got to get creative, and
they use Nick's legs a ton, so I think it
would make sense to, you know, have some of those
same plays and use Stidham's legs. And the Patriots the
one constant, the one thing that I do believe in
with the Patriots, like you could you could go. I mean,
(37:01):
May is very very good, but you cannot deny that
he played no top ten defenses all year until the
past two weeks, and he has six fumbles and hasn't
looked as effective. The offensive line is problematic, but their
run defense is legitimate when healthy, and now they're fully healthy.
(37:21):
You saw them slip a little bit the end of
the year when you had Milton Williams in particular reserved
Tonga and they had some injuries at the linebacker and
their run defense slipped a bit, but when they were healthy,
you know, over the first twelve weeks of the season,
and then you know, since the very end of the
regular season they got fully healthy. That run defense is dominant.
You can't really run on them so traditionally with your
(37:41):
running back. So that is one thing that I am
as someone who bet the bron because that is one
thing that I am worried about. You have a backup quarterback,
a really good offensive line, but I don't know how
much Sitton is going to be able to rely on
a complimentary rushing attack, which is always a nice thing
to have. But because of that, one of the ways
that Peyton can counteract that is to get more creative
(38:05):
in the run game. So that could be you know,
some jet sweeps, getting Memes involved and then using Stidham's
legs rolling him out. Maybe you know, some designed runs.
He's going to have to scramble a bit. So yeah,
I don't mind that look at all.
Speaker 1 (38:24):
I kind of think it's all or nothing either Stidham
is going to be involved in the run game, and
you go with the bigger payout.
Speaker 3 (38:30):
Or yeah I like it twenty plus more.
Speaker 1 (38:32):
Yeah, I think that Yeah, twenty plus or pass at
plus one forty eight for Kendrim Middleton, You feel better
about that one.
Speaker 2 (38:42):
No, I feel good about it just because, like I said,
like they do have bo run straight down the middle
of the field often, and I could see them trying
to get Jarrett involved just because they're expecting them to
try to run the ball so much that they are
going to have to get creative. And I think that
that's one of the ways that they can. And I
don't think that people consider how mobile Jarrett really can be.
(39:04):
And like Stucky said, he's played behind some really bad
offensive lines. So when I was looking at props today,
it was just something that I thought really kind of
jumped off the page at me.
Speaker 1 (39:14):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (39:15):
The one thing, the only thing, the thing that I'll
be worried about this is this is what makes the
playoffs so difficult to bet. I'm number one, Like, we
know who these teams are. In this case, it's there's
a lot of uncertainy. It's not necessarily true, but this
is when teams throw complete change ups, right, So you
got I spend I still spend all of my time
(39:36):
digging into the matchups schematically, but you're gonna have the
other teams know that too, right, So in these high
leverage games, that's when you want to switch things up.
So over the last four their four games, past four games,
the Patriots have been blitzing at like a floor as level.
It's like forty three, forty four percent, forty two percent,
I think, all like between forty and forty five percent
(39:56):
blitzing a ton. And you know they're going up against
the Chargers offensive line, the Texans beat up offensive line
against you know, then they play the Dolphins and the
Jets in the final two games.
Speaker 1 (40:10):
So do they.
Speaker 3 (40:14):
Do they continue to do that this week? If they do,
I think it'll open up some opportunities for Stidham to
break some and and this is just me, just general
thoughts in the game. Or do they say, you know,
we're we're actually going up against one of the better
offensive lines in the NFL, So let's dial back the
(40:37):
blitz and just sit back and make Stidham, you know,
throw into lots of zone coverage and read the defenses.
And they and the Patriots do do a excellent job
of changing up their looks on the back end, so
maybe you get more coverage and less blitzing, So I mean,
(40:58):
they're gonna mix it up and just say and as
as maybe they don't blitz as much as they have been.
So I'm curious to see how the Patriots approach this
from a game planning perspective. And additionally, you could see
I could envision the one of the other reasons I
like the Broncos first quarter as well. I could see
the Patriots coming out very conservatively on offense. I know
(41:25):
that's not Drake May's nature, but and they've started slow
both playoff games, but in Denver on the road, the
last thing you want to do here is especially when
you don't know what Stidham and this offense is going
to look like, right like, there's a chance that Sidham
is just a disaster. The last thing you want to
(41:45):
do is, you know, Nick Benito and company force May
into you know, the strip, sack them, go up seven
to nothing, and the crowds on crazy. Stidham doesn't have
to he can play from ahead. So the Patriots might
be a little bit more conservative here early on in
(42:08):
the game, and because they're just there might just be
a chance that Stidham is a complete disaster. But that's
that's gonna be the key. May has to feel pressure
much better than he did against the Chargers and the Texans.
He has a forty five percent pressure to sack ratio.
(42:29):
It's his one week area. If you look at his
whole body of work, it's sack pressure leading the sacks.
He was twenty eighth in the NFL in that department
at like twenty two percent. That's doubled in the playoffs. Now,
granted he's gone against the Chargers and Texans defense, but
he's getting another great defense on the road with a
weak offensive line. They're gonna have to deal with the noise.
So I'm curious to see number one, how much the
(42:50):
Patriots blitz and then how aggressive are they early on
against this defense. So yeah, a lot of things though
to watch early that I'm watching.
Speaker 2 (42:58):
It's so big of because I'm so in the thick
of it here, I feel like I over pay attention
to it. But to you guys outside of the New
England market, how much of a liability do you think
Will Campbell has been.
Speaker 3 (43:12):
Huge? I mean, get up like a ten and a
half eleven percent pressure rate since he returned from injury.
His I've always had some questions about his ability as
a blind side tackle against the elite. Now, that doesn't
mean he can't become very very good. It's still he's
a rookie. But yeah, the Texans were clearly to Will.
Speaker 1 (43:33):
On Will crime. Yeah, Will anderson ate them alive and
on Will crime.
Speaker 3 (43:40):
Oh wait, look like an All Pro going against them
the week before. So yeah, I have a lot of
concerns of how he's going to hold up against the
Denver pass rushers. And this is a Denver teen, it's
you know, top five and pressure without blitzing. They are
going to bring blitzes. They are going to be aggressive.
(44:00):
And there's no question the Pages have been lucky with
turnovers and love with fumbles, and the Broncos defense has
been unlucky up until last week all year when it
comes to fumbles and turnovers. So maybe they are still
due for some bounces here. But that is a major
major concern here. Is Ken the offensive line hold up
(44:23):
Because one of the Drake May's gifts and his biggest
strengths is his downfield passing. Throws a beautiful deep ball
and he's going to get a lot of man coverage
this week, and Ken the offensive line give May enough
time and can he feel that pressure and avoid losing
the ball? And a big part of that it's going
(44:45):
to be Will Campbell because you don't want to use
you also just don't want to use your tight ends
to be blocking the entire game, and because that's one
of the ways you want to attack this Denver defense
over the middle of the field with like Henry And
so we'll see it. And this is a that's a
great matchup because Denver's defense number one and explosive pass
(45:07):
rate allowed New England one of the best passing explosive
passing offenses in the league. And the difference might just
be how quick can Denver get pressure on me?
Speaker 1 (45:18):
Can may handle the pressure? We feel pressure to hand
out a winning parlay. Let's get to it.
Speaker 2 (45:24):
Two Kings in a Queen should feel pressure.
Speaker 1 (45:26):
Crafits we all do. It's been a couple of weeks
for us.
Speaker 2 (45:30):
It has been a couple of weeks as a collective.
Speaker 1 (45:33):
Two Kings and a Queen presented by Draft Kings. Let's
get to it. Kendrick kick us off with a couple
of nominations with the two games we have in front
of us.
Speaker 2 (45:48):
So this is tough because stucky and I are very
in lockstep here. I had the Rams money line plus
one thirty and then Denver to cover the four.
Speaker 1 (45:57):
And a half.
Speaker 2 (45:57):
I don't know how we want to attack this because
of the picks that you guys have, So I am
open to interpretation. But me and stuff you're holding hands
this week, and then there's just gravits.
Speaker 1 (46:10):
I you know, I'm going to nominate the Seahawks money line.
I could even get behind. I mean, we kind of
need a win, so this would be dangerous. I could
get behind of Rams spread and Seahawks money line within
the same parlay. I think the game is going to
be really close, so there's a chance that we could
thread that needle. Obviously I can't. I'm not relax, guys.
(46:34):
You can yell at me in a minute, okay. I'm
not suggesting that. I'm saying I would have a conversation
about it. I know. Obviously I can't vote for the
Rams money line, so if I have to be, I
have not bet the Patriots or the Broncos. I'm on
the Patriots to win the Super Bowl. I bet that
right when bow Nicks went down. There's a part of
me there, Yes, I'm right now I'm gonna feel this.
(46:56):
I'm very excited. I'm I'm gonna feel this out live.
But if we got to throw it in the parlay,
that's fine. I begrudge. I begrudgingly vote the Broncos plus
the points. But I don't love that. I think I
think a lot of people are underrating bo Nicks oddly enough,
who I was eager to fade a week ago, and
(47:17):
now it seems like all the people I respect the
most cannot wait to back Jared Stidham in this situation.
And I just feel like you all are walking into it.
Speaker 3 (47:26):
But anyway, Jar Stidham, if the line was three three
and a half, I wouldn't that's all. Uh, I'm gonna
go Denver as well. So we'll start off with Denver
plus the points. Anything better than four I think is good.
I'll nominate. I'll change mine up. We'll go because we
(47:50):
already have Denver. I was gonna go. I was going
to suggest Denver first quarter. I'll my first suggestion will
be rams By will buy it to three. Well, it's partlay,
we can buy it to three and a half. And
I already talked about that game. I just think this
is more of a coint that it just comes down
(48:11):
to the coaching adjustments. I've better quarterback, and I don't
like I think there's just an overreaction to what's happened
over the past three weeks. That's the name of the game.
You look, Historically, teams off thirty five plus point wins,
it's almost like an auto fad for me the next week.
Teams are never as good as they appear, and historically,
(48:31):
if you do that just blindly, you've hit at over
sixty two percent. We've only seen one team in the
playoffs over the past twenty years, by the way, win
by thirty five or more, and it was the Patriots
twenty twelve, I think, beat the Broncos by thirty five.
And then the next week at home against the Ravens,
laying seven, should have lost, but Lee Evans dropped the
(48:51):
pass and then Billy kind of missed a twenty seven
yard field.
Speaker 2 (48:55):
Don't soundry.
Speaker 1 (48:57):
I'm gonna say to you what you would say to
me in this situation, Stucky, you should never do anything blindly.
You could do the exact same thing in the other direction,
betting on the Seattle Seahawks to win this football game,
and Evan lays it out wonderfully in the primer. This week,
Rams off of an overtime game. Teams historically lose in
those situations. Rest disadvantage. Seattle playing on Saturday, the Rams
(49:21):
playing on Sunday. Teams in that spot won an eight
straight up. The Rams are playing their third consecutive road game,
also a losing spot straight up historically. So if we're
going blind trends, Settle and Seattle at home in the
playoffs has been money over the last decade.
Speaker 3 (49:41):
I mean, this isn't a blind trend. That's just basically
how I handicap. That's my overarching bloss young handicap in
the NFL buying low selling high teams are never as
good as they look, or the previous week never as
bad as they look, And that thirty five plus point
status is a way to contextualize at that. It just
(50:02):
goes back to me saying, I think we're overreacting to
what we've seen over the past three weeks. Uh after
six after sixteen weeks when these teams played in Seattle,
everyone said Rams are clearly the best team in the NFL.
They're going to win the super Bowl. And I think
we've gone too far since that's all.
Speaker 1 (50:18):
I mean. I can't argue with you too much about this.
I'm not betting Seattle minus the points. I am paying
up to take them on the money line because I mean,
these two games that we've seen with these two teams
have shown us the margin is razor thin between these
two teams. I'm not trying to get hooked on a
Seattle wins by two. I think Seattle is the better
football team. I think their home field advantage is significant,
(50:43):
and the Rams being on the road three weeks in
a row. I question Stafford's health. I feel like people
have just neglected that, and in the Rams defense has
not looked as good as it did in the middle
of the season. So I think Seattle, I just don't want.
Speaker 3 (50:59):
To defense looked very very good last week, I have
to say. I mean, their their run defense was very good.
I was impressed by their run day. I think the
Rams are still the better overall team, but I do
make the Seahawks a small, slight favor. You have to
take into account the situation, home field, etcetera, etcetera. But
(51:20):
super close. I mean they were separated in the regular
season by one yard at one point, but I'll say
so Rams will buy it to three and a half,
and then my other one will be we'll go Kaishan
Boudi under two and a half receptions. I know he's
cleared this in both playoff games, but his biggest games
(51:43):
all season have come against zone heavy defenses. I think
he's going to get a huge dose of certain here
man heavy Broncos defense the way, and when they Patriots
play man May targets Henry and digs in the slot,
I think that's where they're going to target here. The
pressure from Denver I think can get to May. And
(52:05):
there's also just a chance that the Patriots blow out
the Broncos, or that this is very low scoring and
it's like becomes a field position battle and there's just
not as many opportunities for Booty. So yeah, I'm gonna
go He's not a target share monster. He's more like
we'll take a couple of deep shots to him and
(52:27):
he might get the best corner in the NFL. So
under two and a half at plus money, I like.
I think during the regular season, he.
Speaker 1 (52:40):
Let me see he one catch for fifty yards sounds
like his stat line in this game.
Speaker 3 (52:44):
Yeah, I'll say two for fifty eight is what he
finishes at. But if you're curious, during the regular season,
he went under two and a half and nine of
fourteen games. And remember they had one of the easiest
schedules in NFL history of opposing defenses. So and you're
(53:06):
gonna see a lot of man here. I think Pat's
gonna be heavy digs, tight end game and uh the
Broncos are number one and explosive fast right allowed and
that's where Booty does most of his damage. So those
are my two. Well by the by the Rams to
three and a half or Booty under two and a
half receptions.
Speaker 1 (53:28):
Mm I am I'm gonna lean into that, Booty. GI
me kayseean Booty.
Speaker 2 (53:35):
I'm taking the rams.
Speaker 1 (53:36):
So Evan, it's your time to shine.
Speaker 2 (53:40):
Uh.
Speaker 3 (53:40):
I guess I'd go with the Rams.
Speaker 4 (53:42):
I'd be kind of scared on like a two to
three cap kind of what you saw last game, Like
he doesn't look at Booty at all, and then one
drive he hits him two or three times. It just
becomes unlucky. I think three is probably his ceiling, which
makes it a good bet, But I don't know. I'm
a little jaded based off what we just saw.
Speaker 1 (53:59):
All right, Rams, three and a half? Are we buying
the Broncos? Up to five? By the way, now collective here, Okay.
Speaker 4 (54:08):
You're above four, you're fine, four and a half.
Speaker 1 (54:10):
Two for the Broncos, three and a half for the Rams.
I have the Seattle money line. Nobody's voting for that,
So I'm gonna bother.
Speaker 3 (54:18):
Pees and.
Speaker 1 (54:20):
Kenneth Walker over eighty five and a half yards rushing.
His average on the season is twenty yards short of this,
but obviously this number is what it is because he's
the lone wolf now in the backfield, and I highly
doubt they're about to turn to VLAs Jones in the
Charbonnay role. It's just gonna be give the ball to
Kenneth Walker twenty five times. I know you said, hey,
the Rams defense looked good last week, right, but since
(54:44):
Week fourteen they have a lot one hundred and thirty
yards per game on the ground. All of that workload
is gonna land on Kenneth Walker's shoulders. We have an
injured quarterback in Sam Darnold. They have to feed Kenneth
Walker in this game. I think Seattle's gonna win, and
to me, one of their only chances at victory is
Kenneth Walker having a big game on the ground and
(55:04):
then leaning on him in order to get the dubs.
So eighty five and a half yards. So, by the way,
he has already cleared this against the Rams in a victory,
so we have seen what that looks like.
Speaker 3 (55:15):
Olani's back though, so that I think he'll be the backup.
So but yeah, I mean that one of the reasons,
and I think the Rams will take the same approach
that the Seahawks offense has become way less explosive, the
teams are using lighter boxes, Donold has become a shell
of what he was early in the season, and the
run game has become significantly more successful as I mentioned.
(55:40):
So they were twenty seven of the EPA per play
running the ball over the first ten weeks. Since then
they're eleventh. So yeah, by far, I would roll with Walker,
who should get heavy workload here, and I do think
that that's they want to play a complimentary game here,
limit Arnold's attempts as much as they can, and the
(56:04):
Rams are gonna want to take away those explosives. So
I do think Walker will have a good day. So
that of the two I'm definitely going Walker.
Speaker 2 (56:11):
I have to you because I'm on the Rams money line, so.
Speaker 1 (56:15):
Well, don't sound too excited about it.
Speaker 3 (56:18):
All right, there you go, we have we have six
to one at DraftKings.
Speaker 1 (56:24):
There you go, Yes, plus five ninety three over at
Draft Kings where the Crown is yours, Broncos plus four
and a half Rams, plus three and a half Kenneth
Walker over eighty five and a half yards rushing. That's
gonna do it for today's episode special thanks to our
producers Gifford Gold and David Payne, statsound Evan Abrams. The
Favorites will return on Sunday night, right after the Late Game,
(56:48):
and we'll break it all down right here on the
Action Network YouTube page. Thanks for hanging out. To see
you next time here on the Favorites Podcast, presented by
Draft Kings. The Crown yours.
Speaker 2 (57:06):
Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or
someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is
available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler
Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The crown
is yours, the conference title games are upon us. We
have all the info that you need to get set
for all of that and get some bets in pocket
today as well. I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by my Favorites crew,
the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky, the Queen of
(00:31):
the Pod, Miss Kendra Middleton. On today's episode, we've got
action or distraction coming up in moments, Stucky's random question
of the Week, two Kings and a Queen parlay courtesy
of Draft Kings. But let's head straight to the primer
for our shrimply unbelievable stat of the week. Two teams
(00:51):
off of overtime, the Broncos and the Rams off of
an overtime winning the divisional round last week. Since twenty fifteen,
teams off of ot facing a team that was not
or winning at a rate of just forty three point
nine percent forty six percent of those games against the spread,
so slight tick up ats. This season, those teams went
(01:13):
ten to eighteen straight up, eleven and seventeen against the spread,
but that counts in season games. For the regular season,
looking specifically at the playoffs, when the team is off
of an overtime win in the postseason and it's playing
obviously another playoff game in the next round. They are
zero to five straight up one in four ats since
twenty fifteen and losing by a healthy margin as well. Kendra,
(01:38):
how much do you factor in overtime impact into this
weekend's games as you look at the Broncos and the Rams.
Speaker 2 (01:48):
I definitely think it matters because at this point in
the season, nobody, no team is perfectly healthy, no player
is perfectly healthy, and the more minutes and the more
time and the more snaps downs, everything that you have
on your body matters. We've seen kind of the exhausted
I pointed maybe towards the exhaustion towards the Eagles this year,
the Chiefs this year, just having so many more games
(02:09):
on your body. So I think that it's probably silly
to say that it doesn't matter. I mean, at this
point in the season, nobody's healthy. Every second of rest
you can get is important.
Speaker 1 (02:21):
I would say that it matters more in fading the
Rams because this is their third straight road game, road game,
so you would think that they would be more impacted
by that, I happen to know after watching the Sunday
six Pack Stucky, that that does not factor in enough
to your analysis. And perhaps we'll get a beat on
this later on in the show. So if you want
(02:41):
to save some of this in your pocket, by all means,
do so, but not enough to scare you off the Rams.
Speaker 3 (02:48):
No, especially at three. I mean, look, there's we've had teams.
I think it's a small factor, but like I mean
that the twenty twelve Ravens went on to win the
Super Bow. They played Wildcard Weekend, went on the road
one and overtime, and then against the Broncos in double
overtime in altitude. The next week they went up to
(03:08):
New England and destroyed Brady in the conference championship game
with Joe Flacco. Two thousand and three Panthers, who went
on to the Super Bowl. They were They played Wildcard Weekend,
won and overtime against the Rams, and then went to
Philly as an underdog and dominated the Eagles then and
then went on to the Super Bowl to play the Patriots.
(03:30):
So I think it is a factor. But you also
got to remember division like divisional home field advantage isn't
worth as much. There's familiarity there. The Toaday's generally been
good when it comes to travel, and teams are getting
smarter with just over time with traveling and taking care
of their bodies, and so I do think it's a
(03:51):
it's a small factor. But the Rams are getting healthier too.
And the Seahawks they have a potential issue at left tackle.
They lost one of their running backs. But I mean
getting Dotson backs huge for the Rams. They have Davante
Adams back this time around, Quinton Lake back on the
defensive side of the ball. I just had a three,
(04:14):
even in an expensive three, I'd have to play the Rams.
I mean we're going back, go back to Week sixteen,
and the Rams dominated Seattle, and I mean I was
on Seattle plus one at home. One of the reasons
is because Dotson was out, Adams was out, and Seattle
(04:35):
was basically healthy outside of their left tackle, which might
be the case again this week. But in that came
I was getting plus one. Lucky, lucky bet. I mean
it took a miraculous two point conversion to come back
from down sixteen that included a punt return for a touchdown.
Now special teams are concerned again now Seattle special teams
are elite. But the Rams, I mean the Seals were
plus one home dog in Week sixteen. Since then, yeah,
(04:57):
the Rams have been a bit more inconsistent, but we
had a full body of work after Week sixteen, including
a game at Seattle where I said Rams are clearly
the best team in the NFL. They put up close
to six hundred yards in Seattle on that defense that
was healthy without Adams and without Dots. And you know,
now we fast forward a month later and we're pushing
(05:19):
three on this line. I can't get there. I think
this is a little bit of recency bias weighing in
on both sides, with the Rams not covering him back
to back weeks looking a little shakier. And then the Seahawks,
I mean they the last three games since then, they
played the forty nine ers practice squad twice, and they
match up so well against the forty nine ers and
(05:41):
the Panthers, Like that's that's all. We've only gotten three
games against two opponents for Seattle.
Speaker 2 (05:47):
Talked about the Patriot having it easy.
Speaker 3 (05:50):
Yeah, I mean against teams that they match up well.
And at the end of the day, I have I
have the better quarterback, the better offensive line, the better receivers,
the better running back room, and I'm going up against
a quarterback. We'll push this over the edge for me
of why I'm going to play the Rams that I want?
Like a three minus one twenty is sure better?
Speaker 1 (06:11):
Is you? Like?
Speaker 3 (06:13):
What I think this comes down to, is it's gonna
come out of the coaching like there's gonna be some
curve balls from McVay. I thought he had an awful
game last week. He generally has positive curve balls. But
like formation wise, personnel wise, you go back to the
first meeting, it was all it was sixty five percent
eleven personnel. The second meeting it was like sixty five
percent thirteen personnel. Well, they abandoned that last week. Thirteen
(06:34):
personnel doesn't work as well against Seattle's defense anyway. So
I'm curious to see what they do and what Seattle
does to counter what the Rams did in that second meeting.
They ran right at even wore A. They had no
answer for Puka. Do they bracket Pookah here? How do
they handle that? Like those little adjustments? This is like
a coaching porn game. When the Rams have the ball,
but the Rams can get pressure, and Darnold under pressure
(06:56):
we've seen a countless times against this Rams team three
times in the last two years, including in the playoffs
last year. He's gonna make mistakes and what puts this
over the top, which might kind of counteract some of
this scheduling advantage because it's definitely an advantage for Seattle.
At home they had a buy and then a laugher,
and then the Rams had to go to Carolina in
a war, to Chicago in a war in overtime, and
(07:18):
now to Seattle. It's definitely an advantage for Seattle. But
the oblique injury for Sam Darnold, I think it's like
last week, he didn't have to do anything. He threw
for one hundred and twenty yards.
Speaker 1 (07:30):
But what about Stafford though, because that last week the
finger was a storyline going into that game against Chicago,
he didn't play great.
Speaker 2 (07:38):
Se If we're talking about his back right now, well,
they've been talking.
Speaker 1 (07:41):
About his back for years, I feel like so are
we sure? And perhaps the number that we're seeing is
is somewhat reflective of this that there's less confidence that
Matt Stafford is at one hundred percent right now.
Speaker 3 (07:56):
Yeah, I mean, no one's really at one hundred percent,
but like.
Speaker 1 (07:59):
A quarterly not being one hundred percent throwing.
Speaker 3 (08:01):
But we know that Darnold is not one hundred percent.
I mean you could see it on his deep balls
last week. He's getting he's grimacing, he's not gonna be
able to scramble or his mobility's gonna be limited. He's
getting heat on the sidelines. And the thing is with
an oblique I think there's like a there's like a
ten to fifteen percent chance it like really flares up
and becomes problematic, and that occurs. The risk of that
goes up with each pass attemp and each time you
(08:23):
have to you know, tork your body and throw it downfield.
And last week it didn't not have to do much.
But if you know, I think this week he's not
going to have that same luxury where you know, Seattle's
up twenty eight to three for most of this game.
I don't think that's going to be the case. So yeah,
you could there's definite an argue with me that Stafford
(08:45):
might not be at one hundred percent, although the conditions
were just not ideal less.
Speaker 1 (08:49):
Not ideal, but Stafford held without a touchdown for the
first time in nineteen starts this season, and that was
against Chicago. I know the weather wasn't great, it's the
Bears defense is awful, and he still had one of
his worst performances of the season. So think the story
needs to be told.
Speaker 3 (09:06):
Donald hasn't I mean this, this Seattle offense has pretty
much been figured out. I mean you go back to
Devint talked about this earlier in the week. I mean
since the first nine weeks of the year, I mean
Donald was unbelievable, Like I think number one and EPA
per plays. I think it's like bottom five since week ten,
(09:29):
and teams have figured out they're just going lighter boxes. Now.
The Seattle run game has gotten better as a result,
but the explosive plays that pet disappeared. And like you also,
what's and Donald over the past since he's played the Rams,
he's played Carolina and San Francisco, the two worst teams
(09:50):
in the league in terms of pressure eight And that's
like that's the biggest handicap when it comes to Donald,
Like can you pressure him? And when you do, he
makes mistake. So I think there's a very high risk
that he makes which he's done all year against the Rams.
Backbreaking mistakes kill killer mistakes.
Speaker 2 (10:09):
So he's about what almost ten turnovers against them alone.
I want to say, it's like seven.
Speaker 3 (10:14):
Yeah, and like that pick was so I mean some
of the intercessions have been so bad. So yeah, I
just think at three this this line can't be three
in my opinion. So, uh, that's the side that I'm
looking at.
Speaker 1 (10:28):
Well, I I did just look ahead at the show notes,
and I do think we're going that you did, Evan,
you might want to stretch for later in the show.
Speaker 2 (10:39):
Guess who Guess who the problem child is? Once again?
Speaker 1 (10:44):
Oh man, it's gonna be fun. We will get back
to that in a moment, but it's time to delve
into the weird, the bizarre, the random, and Stucky's question
of the Week. Hey, this is a dumb question. Let
me ask you a personal question kind of question.
Speaker 2 (10:58):
Is that this question?
Speaker 3 (11:01):
All right? If for the next five years you, in
order to have a cell phone, you could only have
three This does not include phone calls and texts so
on and like internet, So on your phone you're gonna
(11:24):
have on like your homepage, You're gonna have your your
phone icon, your uh text, your email, and your browser.
Those are given you're allowed to have them. You can
only have three apps on your phone, and you have
to choose them, and then that's it. You cannot you
(11:45):
can't swap them out. You only can have three apps
on your phone for the next five years.
Speaker 1 (11:51):
Oh this is so easy, so easy. I'm glad you
gave us the freebies there. And those were you said, text, email,
browser calls. Those are the locks.
Speaker 3 (12:02):
Those are the locks.
Speaker 1 (12:04):
Those are the ones at the bottom of my screen.
So great call on that. I don't know if that's
if that's the same for everybody out there, but still, I.
Speaker 3 (12:11):
Mean, you could change it, but that's that's how I
think gets to fall.
Speaker 1 (12:13):
Yeah, I think I think that's the way to go.
Speaker 3 (12:18):
Gammra is an app that you would have to choose.
Speaker 1 (12:23):
Oh damn, that's now Okay. They got a little tougher,
So I was gonna go with my Notes app I
use every day. It's loaded reminders, show prep everything things
about my son that I notes from the past, moment
when he was born and that, like, all that stuff
(12:45):
lives on my notepad, so that's very important to me.
The maps app, yeah, I have completely just sort of
leaned into technology as the decades have gone by. I
could not find my way around the corner without my
Maps app. And then I was gonna say, I know
that this is hey company shill. The Action Network app
(13:07):
might be the app that I opened the most track
bets and all of that great stuff that you get
the great advice from people like both of you. So
those would be my three. But then I'd have to
eliminate my camera. I guess I would buy a camera. Yeah,
I'm gonna stick with those three action Notes and Maps.
Speaker 3 (13:28):
Maps, No chance. I don't. I don't go enough places
like i'm I'm home, or I go to my wife's bar,
or like food shopping, or I go to the airport
down the street. I don't need to. I don't need
a map app, so that I'm not I'm not taking
(13:51):
I'm also definitely not using a notes app because now
I get that you use it a lot, but I
never used my notes app. But if you went into
my teen, I text myself all day throughout the.
Speaker 2 (14:04):
Day, you text yourself.
Speaker 1 (14:06):
Yeah, it's essentially the same thing.
Speaker 3 (14:08):
It's just the same thing. It's just I have a
text just I text myself. So I just pull up
text and I'll say, like it could be like a tweet.
I'll tweet to myself. Well, actually I just bookmark tweets,
but it's usually just like a note or look into
this or this stat or something that I came across
one while watching a game that I want to dig into.
(14:29):
So I text myself all the time. So that's that's
how I handle the notes. Mine by far, I mean,
mine is very very easy, Like I don't even have
to think twice about it. It's the three that I
use most. I mean, my screen time is eighteen hours
every day and it's mostly action app Twitter, and I
(14:59):
would need a sport book app, so shout out DraftKings
sponsored the show, so I need a This is what
I'd spend all my time doing. Tweeting, blogging, bets, doing
stuff for the and then placing bets. So those are
my three. That's what I spend my entire time doing.
I would miss I do take I like to take
(15:21):
breaks from work and and scroll doom, scroll TikTok. Sometimes
we would miss that.
Speaker 1 (15:31):
Yeah, that would be it would be tough to give
some of these. Not being able to watch a football game,
we go you.
Speaker 3 (15:40):
Know, podcasts, I'd have to do it on my laptop.
Speaker 2 (15:45):
Yeah, that's how I kind of came to My answer
was the things that I don't use on desktop very
often or can't use on desktop. So I use Twitter
on desktop all the time. I can use the Action
you know website on here. I can use DraftKings on
my computer. The things that I can not use on
my computer obviously the camera maps, and then Instagram because
(16:05):
the Instagram like on the browser sucks and you can't
upload anything for their so for work, I would have,
like I make money on Instagram obviously, So it would
have to be those three because those are the things
on the like I can't use on a browser.
Speaker 3 (16:18):
Yeah, that's a good way to think about it.
Speaker 1 (16:21):
I would miss banking on the app. Yeah, the website
that would suck. But that I mean, you just you know,
you got to you gotta make concessions here.
Speaker 3 (16:29):
Yeah, I would actually miss. The one app I would
really miss is probably ESPN app for like streaming games
at any any out like I will always where if
I'm out, or just as an extra screen, or even
to a home with all my screens off an extra
game screen streaming on my phone. I would really miss that.
That's why I'm looking at my most used apps that
(16:51):
for streaming I would miss, but uh yeah, that's what
I would choose. Haven't you got our good answer for this?
Speaker 4 (16:56):
Not really, because when you look at my apps and
you look at like what I use the most, I
don't think that's the answer because I think like the
banking stuff, and that is what I tend to like
not appreciate. Like, you know, my most used apps like
X slack action.
Speaker 3 (17:11):
The operators say X.
Speaker 1 (17:14):
I don't know a quick aside. How do you find
what apps you use the most? Where's that information?
Speaker 2 (17:21):
So if you go to your settings, you can see
like your usage screen time.
Speaker 1 (17:25):
It's called are you talking amongst yourselves? We'll be looking
this up.
Speaker 2 (17:29):
I mean, I just can't believe Evan used Twitter's stripper name.
That's kind of a vendor.
Speaker 1 (17:36):
Well, good job by them.
Speaker 3 (17:37):
That's some marketing wins.
Speaker 2 (17:41):
Yeah, no, I would have to use that. I don't know.
Buying a camera wouldn't work for me, because like what
do you do when your dog's just doing something cute
or your kids doing something cute? You just go, like
grab your camera from wherever it is.
Speaker 4 (17:53):
No, you're right, camera and banking were two things I
actually didn't think about. But I don't know how I
could leave those two things behind because I just don't.
I don't want to walk into a bank.
Speaker 1 (18:01):
Could you imagine a camera go on your you.
Speaker 3 (18:05):
Can go on your laptop to your bank.
Speaker 4 (18:08):
You could.
Speaker 3 (18:09):
That's fair, That is fair. I don't think I've ever
logged onto my bank or like Vanguard Accouncil on a laptop.
But I mean you thought you were going.
Speaker 2 (18:19):
To say on your phone.
Speaker 3 (18:20):
I was like, what, Yeah, okay, that was my question.
Speaker 1 (18:23):
Anyways, fantastic for action or distraction. This is.
Speaker 3 (18:30):
I'm not I want it on the action.
Speaker 1 (18:35):
For rams Seahawks. We have a prior matchup to go
off of, not the case for the AFC title game.
So what I did today is I took a little
dive into common opponents for the Patriots and the Broncos,
and here is what I found. They both played the Raiders, Bills, Titans, Jets, Bengals, Giants,
and Chargers. The Patriots went eight and two in those games.
(18:59):
The Broncos went nine and one. Patriots average margin plus
ten point one, Bronco's average margin just six and a half.
And that was with b nix Action or distraction. Kendra
as this being anything that resembles a factor of analysis
for you.
Speaker 2 (19:16):
I think it's a good thing to look at, but
it's not something that I personally looked at when I
was getting to the window on one of my options
for our parlay later and to be honest, kind of
something that I thought about, do we really, let's be
honest with ourselves here, do we really think that there
is that large of a drop off between Bonix and
(19:38):
Jared's Didham Because I personally do not.
Speaker 1 (19:42):
Well, the sports books would disagree, because the number has
swung wildly and it seems like there is a divide.
This is the time of year where public versus sharp
money is more pronounced than any other time in the year,
this week, next week, and it seems to me reading
the market like the public is all over New England
(20:04):
and the sharpbetters out there are all over the Broncos
because this number has swung too wildly. So it depends
on what side of the aisle you're on. But the
sports books are obviously they're they are welcoming the Broncos.
They are welcoming, welcoming sharp action on the Broncos as
it stands right now. To me, I don't know I
(20:25):
am pretty comfortable saying I have no idea. Jarrett Stidham
hasn't played in two years, and I do think we're
underrating maybe not the total body of work of bo Nicks,
but specifically what he does in key situations. The Broncos
have orchestrated a number of fourth quarter comebacks. They're one
(20:47):
of the most past happy teams in the NFL. In fact,
bo Nicks had more pass attempts than any other quarterback
in the league this year and they were the one seed.
There has to be a correlation there between his quality
in comebacks late in games. You need quarterbacks to do
that in overall pass attempts. You have to have trust
from your coach in order to obtain that, and so
(21:09):
I think there. I do think we are perhaps overthinking
this drop off of Knicks to stead of not being
a big deal, when when in fact it is. That's that,
But I'm not one hundred percent confident on that. That's
just sort of where my mind has led me on
this debate.
Speaker 3 (21:26):
I mean, no one saying it's not a big deal,
just like drop going from Nix isn't isn't an elite,
elite quarterback by any stretch. I mean, no one can
make that argument. And like a drop off from an
elite quarterback to just like an average backup would be
you know, in some cases seven points.
Speaker 1 (21:47):
But it's an average backup that hasn't played in two
years that is making his first start of the season
in the most high pressure situation.
Speaker 2 (21:56):
So it's I think that helps them though, because I think.
Speaker 3 (22:01):
We saw he It's we saw Philip Rivers not playing
five years ago against the Seattle defense and he should
have beat them. Speaking of the Seahawks, they should have
won that game if not for a sixty yard field goal.
And he had familiarity with the system. I mean, Sidham
has been around for years under Peyton, so has familiarity
(22:23):
with the system. Here's the difference is that with Stidham.
A lot of times you get these backups that come
in and one they don't have any mobility whatsoever, which
kills them. Stidham is sneakily mobile, which always is helpful.
But most importantly in addition to his familiarity with the system,
(22:47):
is he has he's working behind one of the best
offensive lines in the NFL. That's enormous, and with an
elite play caller like, this isn't your normal situation or
a backup are back coming in and you know you're
You go back to what Stidham and look Stidham's numbers.
He's only had four starts since twenty twenty two. If
(23:10):
you remove garbage time and you look at all the
quarterbacks with a minimum of one hundred snaps since twenty
twenty two, there's eighty two of them. He ranks nineteenth
in success rate, that's basically Jalen Hurts thirty third, and
adjusted EPA per play that's basically Baker Mayfield forty first
in EPA plus completion percentage of expectation that's basically Mitch Trubisky,
(23:33):
which I think is like a fair comp This isn't
like Max Brosmer or a bottom of the barrel back up.
Speaker 2 (23:39):
He's a better back. He's one of the better backups
in the league.
Speaker 3 (23:42):
I agree. And those four games he's when he started
two were with the twenty twenty two Raiders, who I
mean threw three.
Speaker 2 (23:50):
Hundred and sixty five yards in that game.
Speaker 3 (23:52):
Yeah, one against that really good forty nine Ers defense.
But he that Raiders offense was twenty fourth in DVOA,
twenty fifth in press aratee allowed. The twenty twenty three
Broncos were twenty seventh on offense Dvoa thirty first in
pressure rate allowed. So he was in awful situations with
bad offensive lines, which won't be the case here. And
(24:18):
there's this there's an uncertainty factor. It's one of the
reasons why I like the Broncos first quarter in this
game as well plus a half of point. There's some
uncertainty with what like what they're gonna do with sidem.
I assume they're gonna get super creative here with packages,
personnel uses. Maybe you go heavier and they're gonna have
some Peyton's gonna have some curve balls here. And by
(24:40):
the way, Bo Nicks this year has been arguably the
worst quarterback in the NFL. In the first quarter, he's
thirty first in EPA plus completion centergy of expectation out
of thirty two quarterbacks, tied with basically tie with Flacco
for dead last twenty seventh adjusted EPAPRI play twenty ninth
and success rate thirty first in completion set jewel expectation.
(25:01):
You mentioned all the stuff he's done late. That's where
a lot of Knicks's value has come, but early on
in games he's been really, really, really poor. So they
drop off can't be that significant to especially in the
first quarter, to one of the worst quarterbacks in the
first quarter this year, to what Stidham is with all
of the uncertainty, you also have your it's Denver in
January at home, Like with a with an inexperienced quarterback,
(25:25):
you're gonna have that crowd noise, the outstude, the defense
is gonna come juiced. I think they can get pressure
on May And by the way, you might say, well,
May he has been very He's his numbers are elite
in the first quarter, but if you.
Speaker 2 (25:37):
Break it back posts terrible postseason.
Speaker 3 (25:39):
He's been the worst quarterback so far in the postseason
in the first quarter, even worse than Shroud. And if
you look at even from an average to above average
defenses he's faced this year. And it's stretching it because
the Patriots have played nobody I'm including like the Steelers, Falcon, Saints, Raiders,
and the Ravens in this They were two and six
(26:00):
in the first quarter. They averaged only four and a
half points per game, They were shut out three times,
scored more than a touchdown only once. So yeah, I
think that the Denver pressure can cause may issues. But additionally,
you see this when like your star or your quarterback
is out that first game, everyone else kind of steps up.
You also have that uncertainty factor. You start, you have
(26:23):
these new looks that the other team isn't prepared for,
and then now all of the pressure shifts to New England,
all of it, right, Like you who can't pass up
this opportunity in the AFC you got to go through
Mahomes for every year for the last seven years. The
Patriots finally get the Natcy Championship game and they have
to go through Jared Stidham, like all of the pressures
on New England here. So yeah, I think this is
(26:47):
it's too much of an adjustment. I would set that
I wouldn't be surprised if more Denver money comes. But
as you said, public money can have a say depending
on how much chart money is, on how much respected
on the other side, and there might there could be
conflicting opinions too on both which I could see. There's
a lot of uncertainty in this game. There is a
world where Stidham is a disaster.
Speaker 1 (27:08):
I fully admit that, but I don't think we're gonna
see that quote unquote sharp action come in on New
England until this number drops to it's at four and
a half in some places, if you might get some
or right, I.
Speaker 3 (27:23):
Would put set to I think this line should be
like I would set if I was I would set
it at three and a half. I'm at like three
point three.
Speaker 1 (27:30):
So Evan, what do you think as far as the
way that this action tilts, where the where the bypoint
will be on New England.
Speaker 4 (27:38):
I'd be shocked to see it roll below four. I
feel like four is going to be like a bit
of a demarcation point would.
Speaker 3 (27:44):
Be my guess.
Speaker 4 (27:45):
I was kind of shocked for it to go to
five and a half and six. But again, I mean,
right now, you've got like three quarters of the tickets
and the money on New England. So at this rate
you've seen the line come down, because I'm guessing you've
seen some big bets on Denver. But at this right
as you get I mean, you don't really see big money,
especially respected money, usually until we get closer to the weekend.
(28:06):
So uh, I think it could close. I think it's
right around where it is.
Speaker 3 (28:14):
I think it's going to close for some Sharper.
Speaker 1 (28:18):
Shops, Kendrick. Before I get to the next question, what
is the what's the conversation been in your area of
the country as far as the confidence level are New
England fans just assuming that this is around.
Speaker 2 (28:31):
Well here the three people here, I think the Patriots
are absolutely going to beat the ship out of the Broncos.
And I think that that is insane, especially when you
take the history of New England playing in Denver in
the postseason into consideration. I just think people here are
(28:51):
way too cocky and are getting off on the fact
that they've had an easy schedule, and it's insane to
me how confident people here are. I don't think that
I've heard anybody at our station say that they think
the Broncos can even hang in this game this week?
Speaker 1 (29:07):
What sounds about, right le insane? We get to two
more and then we've got a pickle prop to get
to and our two Kings and a Queen Paul Lay
The Seahawks have allowed just seven points in the second
half over their last three games, and in his last
three playoff games as a defensive coordinator and a head
coach like McDaniel, or like McDonalds, Mike McDonald's defense has
(29:31):
allowed to combine zero second half points. So action or
distraction on this handicap Rams first half money line parlayed
with the Seahawks full game money line plus four seventy
or if this is more your style, bet the Rams
first half and then live bet Seattle when we go
to the halftime break. Whichever is more your style, Stucky,
(29:52):
action or distraction on this creative way to play the
NFC Championship game.
Speaker 3 (30:00):
I have no interest in doing that. I think this
is all gonna come down to the game plan. Also
the health of the quarterbacks, as we mentioned, but it's
it's that chess match, and it's just it's very, very
difficult to predict unless you're in the room with McVeigh
and McDonald I. I do think that if the Rams,
(30:27):
if the Rams get up like, I don't think that's
I especially by margin, that's not ideal for Seattle. I
think they're toasts. Then I don't see Seattle. I know
they came back the first meeting, but again the Rams
were not fully healthy, and it took miracles, took a
punt return touchdown, it took an incomplete two point conversion
(30:48):
that got scooped up, and then the Rams also missed
a field goal that would have won the game, and
then Seattle eventually wins on a two point conversion in
overtime because the Rams can and just tee off on
Donald and I don't, and with that oblique injury, I
don't think that would end well. I think Seattle's script
this year, SAMs that miraculous comeback is their defense and
(31:13):
special teams have come out and made plays early and
given them leads, and then their offense just can play
complimentary football. You don't have to do too much. I mean,
look at all their wins, so many blowout wins this
year they've had because their defense and special teams have
made plays. That's who this team is. A lot of
(31:35):
people remember this Rams, this Seahawks team early in the year,
when Donald was hitting JSN down the field every other play.
That's not who they are, and that's not who they've
been that team for a while. Yeah, the whole second
half of the season, so yeah, I mean it just
I mean, going back here Donald, weeks one through nine,
(31:57):
he was third in EPA per play, first in yards
per attempt. Week ten, he's twenty seventh in EPAPRI play,
twelfth in yards per attempt, and that's because teams have
adjusted to their offense. It's one of the reasons the
run game now is a little bit more successful. They
were twenty seventh in EPAPRI play over the first nine weeks.
Since then they're eleventh because they're facing more light, more
lighter boxes. Teams are saying, Okay, run the ball. I
(32:19):
don't care, we're gonna, you know, take away the explosive play.
Early on in the season, they were just running it
into heavier boxes with heavier personality. Didn't care that it
was inefficient because then it was setting up the play
action game and then the deep shots. Well, defenses have
adjusted and said, we're gonna bracket JSN, we're gonna take
away or exposed to pass, go ahead and run the ball.
The Seahawks are fine doing that as long as especially
(32:41):
they're playing from ahead. Gets a little bit more problematic
if they're playing from behind. So yeah, actually, I don't
like that. I think this is going to come down
to just the game plans early on. And I mean
one thing that I will say for your for your
(33:02):
approach or for that suggestion, is maybe the fatigue sets
in late for the Rams after all of this travel
over the past month or two, and that's that advantage
for the Seahawks shows more in the second half. But
I'm going to say distraction.
Speaker 1 (33:19):
Yeah, I have a hard time personally figuring out how
the game script is going to go early on in
this one, but we're going to eliminate Rams first half
as an option here, Kendra. Many months ago, the mentalists
predicted a Rams Bronco Super Bowl using Stafford Adams, Kyron
Kobe Durant Oz Perlman, I think his name is predicted
(33:40):
the exact outcome of the upcoming Super Bowl. His pick
was the Rams to beat the Broncos twenty three to fourteen.
So I mean you've asked your uber driver for some
picks that have paid off. So action or distraction on
the clairvoyance of one Oz Pearlman. Action.
Speaker 2 (33:57):
My favorite holiday is Groundhog Day. So the fact that
we have a clairvoyant rodent, I can't get away from clairvoyance. Now,
it's the best holiday. I'm pro clairvoyance. I also would
love this for my bets, and this is exactly what
I think is going to happen. So action from me,
I love this. I think that this is perfect and
it's everything that I want. I think that it would
(34:19):
be hysterical to have eight Jared's Didham Super Bowl.
Speaker 1 (34:22):
Well, this would be your longest payout if you were
to parlay the Broncos and the Rams to meet up
in the Super Bowl, and then you can just kick back,
kick your feet up, and let everybody else bet the
Super Bowl while you count your dollars still to come.
Two Kings and a Queen get nominated on our weekly parlay.
But first, the word about Draft Kings from the first Lady.
Speaker 5 (34:40):
The Favorites podcast is sponsored by DraftKings sports book and
in partnership with DraftKings, our listeners are getting a great
offer right now. New customers can bet five dollars and
get three hundred dollars back in bonus bets if your
bet wins. The next great touchdown is coming and you
can bet on it. If sports betting is not yet
available in your steat, don't worry. You can still join
in all the fun with DraftKings Pick six and have
(35:02):
the shot to win cash prizes. To get started, use
promo code Favorites. When signing up with DraftKings again, use
code favorites when signing up and bet five bucks to
get three hundred back in bonus bets.
Speaker 2 (35:12):
If your bet wins, the crown is yours.
Speaker 1 (35:15):
It is the triumphant return of Kendra's pickle prop. Let's
pop that jar back open. What are we looking at? Okay,
we're in a pickle. Now, I'm really in a pickle.
Speaker 3 (35:27):
Now, all right, look we're gonna pickle again.
Speaker 2 (35:30):
Hey, so I'm looking at some Stidham rushing props. We've
kind of talked a little bit about how mobile he
actually is, and I get that the Patriots game plan
is going to be to stack the box, have Milton
Williams waiting there for the run. They're gonna make Jared
Ssidam beat him with his arm. But I don't think
people are taking into account how mobile Jarrett actually is.
(35:51):
And I think that this number kind of shows that
I was on DraftKings earlier. Fifteen plus rushing yards from
him is minus one eleven or over twenty is plus
one one forty eight. I think over twenty that's kind
of a really really good price in my opinion. But
what do you guys think? I'm kind of sitting here
on which one to get on Does he run a lot?
Speaker 1 (36:13):
I mean his stats in the past, which we have
a very limited sample of he's pretty mobile.
Speaker 3 (36:21):
No, he doesn't run a ton in the past. Yet
he does have some ability, but he was playing behind
atrocious offensive line line with offenses that didn't use the
quarterback to run, so I could see it.
Speaker 2 (36:35):
But a lot, Yeah, I was gonna say, they make
both right.
Speaker 3 (36:39):
I think they're gonna Peyton's got to get creative, and
they use Nick's legs a ton, so I think it
would make sense to, you know, have some of those
same plays and use Stidham's legs. And the Patriots the
one constant, the one thing that I do believe in
with the Patriots, like you could you could go. I mean,
(37:01):
May is very very good, but you cannot deny that
he played no top ten defenses all year until the
past two weeks, and he has six fumbles and hasn't
looked as effective. The offensive line is problematic, but their
run defense is legitimate when healthy, and now they're fully healthy.
(37:21):
You saw them slip a little bit the end of
the year when you had Milton Williams in particular reserved
Tonga and they had some injuries at the linebacker and
their run defense slipped a bit, but when they were healthy,
you know, over the first twelve weeks of the season,
and then you know, since the very end of the
regular season they got fully healthy. That run defense is dominant.
You can't really run on them so traditionally with your
(37:41):
running back. So that is one thing that I am
as someone who bet the bron because that is one
thing that I am worried about. You have a backup quarterback,
a really good offensive line, but I don't know how
much Sitton is going to be able to rely on
a complimentary rushing attack, which is always a nice thing
to have. But because of that, one of the ways
that Peyton can counteract that is to get more creative
(38:05):
in the run game. So that could be you know,
some jet sweeps, getting Memes involved and then using Stidham's
legs rolling him out. Maybe you know, some designed runs.
He's going to have to scramble a bit. So yeah,
I don't mind that look at all.
Speaker 1 (38:24):
I kind of think it's all or nothing either Stidham
is going to be involved in the run game, and
you go with the bigger payout.
Speaker 3 (38:30):
Or yeah I like it twenty plus more.
Speaker 1 (38:32):
Yeah, I think that Yeah, twenty plus or pass at
plus one forty eight for Kendrim Middleton, You feel better
about that one.
Speaker 2 (38:42):
No, I feel good about it just because, like I said,
like they do have bo run straight down the middle
of the field often, and I could see them trying
to get Jarrett involved just because they're expecting them to
try to run the ball so much that they are
going to have to get creative. And I think that
that's one of the ways that they can. And I
don't think that people consider how mobile Jarrett really can be.
(39:04):
And like Stucky said, he's played behind some really bad
offensive lines. So when I was looking at props today,
it was just something that I thought really kind of
jumped off the page at me.
Speaker 1 (39:14):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (39:15):
The one thing, the only thing, the thing that I'll
be worried about this is this is what makes the
playoffs so difficult to bet. I'm number one, Like, we
know who these teams are. In this case, it's there's
a lot of uncertainy. It's not necessarily true, but this
is when teams throw complete change ups, right, So you
got I spend I still spend all of my time
(39:36):
digging into the matchups schematically, but you're gonna have the
other teams know that too, right, So in these high
leverage games, that's when you want to switch things up.
So over the last four their four games, past four games,
the Patriots have been blitzing at like a floor as level.
It's like forty three, forty four percent, forty two percent,
I think, all like between forty and forty five percent
(39:56):
blitzing a ton. And you know they're going up against
the Chargers offensive line, the Texans beat up offensive line
against you know, then they play the Dolphins and the
Jets in the final two games.
Speaker 1 (40:10):
So do they.
Speaker 3 (40:14):
Do they continue to do that this week? If they do,
I think it'll open up some opportunities for Stidham to
break some and and this is just me, just general
thoughts in the game. Or do they say, you know,
we're we're actually going up against one of the better
offensive lines in the NFL, So let's dial back the
(40:37):
blitz and just sit back and make Stidham, you know,
throw into lots of zone coverage and read the defenses.
And they and the Patriots do do a excellent job
of changing up their looks on the back end, so
maybe you get more coverage and less blitzing, So I mean,
(40:58):
they're gonna mix it up and just say and as
as maybe they don't blitz as much as they have been.
So I'm curious to see how the Patriots approach this
from a game planning perspective. And additionally, you could see
I could envision the one of the other reasons I
like the Broncos first quarter as well. I could see
the Patriots coming out very conservatively on offense. I know
(41:25):
that's not Drake May's nature, but and they've started slow
both playoff games, but in Denver on the road, the
last thing you want to do here is especially when
you don't know what Stidham and this offense is going
to look like, right like, there's a chance that Sidham
is just a disaster. The last thing you want to
(41:45):
do is, you know, Nick Benito and company force May
into you know, the strip, sack them, go up seven
to nothing, and the crowds on crazy. Stidham doesn't have
to he can play from ahead. So the Patriots might
be a little bit more conservative here early on in
(42:08):
the game, and because they're just there might just be
a chance that Stidham is a complete disaster. But that's
that's gonna be the key. May has to feel pressure
much better than he did against the Chargers and the Texans.
He has a forty five percent pressure to sack ratio.
(42:29):
It's his one week area. If you look at his
whole body of work, it's sack pressure leading the sacks.
He was twenty eighth in the NFL in that department
at like twenty two percent. That's doubled in the playoffs. Now,
granted he's gone against the Chargers and Texans defense, but
he's getting another great defense on the road with a
weak offensive line. They're gonna have to deal with the noise.
So I'm curious to see number one, how much the
(42:50):
Patriots blitz and then how aggressive are they early on
against this defense. So yeah, a lot of things though
to watch early that I'm watching.
Speaker 2 (42:58):
It's so big of because I'm so in the thick
of it here, I feel like I over pay attention
to it. But to you guys outside of the New
England market, how much of a liability do you think
Will Campbell has been.
Speaker 3 (43:12):
Huge? I mean, get up like a ten and a
half eleven percent pressure rate since he returned from injury.
His I've always had some questions about his ability as
a blind side tackle against the elite. Now, that doesn't
mean he can't become very very good. It's still he's
a rookie. But yeah, the Texans were clearly to Will.
Speaker 1 (43:33):
On Will crime. Yeah, Will anderson ate them alive and
on Will crime.
Speaker 3 (43:40):
Oh wait, look like an All Pro going against them
the week before. So yeah, I have a lot of
concerns of how he's going to hold up against the
Denver pass rushers. And this is a Denver teen, it's
you know, top five and pressure without blitzing. They are
going to bring blitzes. They are going to be aggressive.
(44:00):
And there's no question the Pages have been lucky with
turnovers and love with fumbles, and the Broncos defense has
been unlucky up until last week all year when it
comes to fumbles and turnovers. So maybe they are still
due for some bounces here. But that is a major
major concern here. Is Ken the offensive line hold up
(44:23):
Because one of the Drake May's gifts and his biggest
strengths is his downfield passing. Throws a beautiful deep ball
and he's going to get a lot of man coverage
this week, and Ken the offensive line give May enough
time and can he feel that pressure and avoid losing
the ball? And a big part of that it's going
(44:45):
to be Will Campbell because you don't want to use
you also just don't want to use your tight ends
to be blocking the entire game, and because that's one
of the ways you want to attack this Denver defense
over the middle of the field with like Henry And
so we'll see it. And this is a that's a
great matchup because Denver's defense number one and explosive pass
(45:07):
rate allowed New England one of the best passing explosive
passing offenses in the league. And the difference might just
be how quick can Denver get pressure on me?
Speaker 1 (45:18):
Can may handle the pressure? We feel pressure to hand
out a winning parlay. Let's get to it.
Speaker 2 (45:24):
Two Kings in a Queen should feel pressure.
Speaker 1 (45:26):
Crafits we all do. It's been a couple of weeks
for us.
Speaker 2 (45:30):
It has been a couple of weeks as a collective.
Speaker 1 (45:33):
Two Kings and a Queen presented by Draft Kings. Let's
get to it. Kendrick kick us off with a couple
of nominations with the two games we have in front
of us.
Speaker 2 (45:48):
So this is tough because stucky and I are very
in lockstep here. I had the Rams money line plus
one thirty and then Denver to cover the four.
Speaker 1 (45:57):
And a half.
Speaker 2 (45:57):
I don't know how we want to attack this because
of the picks that you guys have, So I am
open to interpretation. But me and stuff you're holding hands
this week, and then there's just gravits.
Speaker 1 (46:10):
I you know, I'm going to nominate the Seahawks money line.
I could even get behind. I mean, we kind of
need a win, so this would be dangerous. I could
get behind of Rams spread and Seahawks money line within
the same parlay. I think the game is going to
be really close, so there's a chance that we could
thread that needle. Obviously I can't. I'm not relax, guys.
(46:34):
You can yell at me in a minute, okay. I'm
not suggesting that. I'm saying I would have a conversation
about it. I know. Obviously I can't vote for the
Rams money line, so if I have to be, I
have not bet the Patriots or the Broncos. I'm on
the Patriots to win the Super Bowl. I bet that
right when bow Nicks went down. There's a part of
me there, Yes, I'm right now I'm gonna feel this.
(46:56):
I'm very excited. I'm I'm gonna feel this out live.
But if we got to throw it in the parlay,
that's fine. I begrudge. I begrudgingly vote the Broncos plus
the points. But I don't love that. I think I
think a lot of people are underrating bo Nicks oddly enough,
who I was eager to fade a week ago, and
(47:17):
now it seems like all the people I respect the
most cannot wait to back Jared Stidham in this situation.
And I just feel like you all are walking into it.
Speaker 3 (47:26):
But anyway, Jar Stidham, if the line was three three
and a half, I wouldn't that's all. Uh, I'm gonna
go Denver as well. So we'll start off with Denver
plus the points. Anything better than four I think is good.
I'll nominate. I'll change mine up. We'll go because we
(47:50):
already have Denver. I was gonna go. I was going
to suggest Denver first quarter. I'll my first suggestion will
be rams By will buy it to three. Well, it's partlay,
we can buy it to three and a half. And
I already talked about that game. I just think this
is more of a coint that it just comes down
(48:11):
to the coaching adjustments. I've better quarterback, and I don't
like I think there's just an overreaction to what's happened
over the past three weeks. That's the name of the game.
You look, Historically, teams off thirty five plus point wins,
it's almost like an auto fad for me the next week.
Teams are never as good as they appear, and historically,
(48:31):
if you do that just blindly, you've hit at over
sixty two percent. We've only seen one team in the
playoffs over the past twenty years, by the way, win
by thirty five or more, and it was the Patriots
twenty twelve, I think, beat the Broncos by thirty five.
And then the next week at home against the Ravens,
laying seven, should have lost, but Lee Evans dropped the
(48:51):
pass and then Billy kind of missed a twenty seven
yard field.
Speaker 2 (48:55):
Don't soundry.
Speaker 1 (48:57):
I'm gonna say to you what you would say to
me in this situation, Stucky, you should never do anything blindly.
You could do the exact same thing in the other direction,
betting on the Seattle Seahawks to win this football game,
and Evan lays it out wonderfully in the primer. This week,
Rams off of an overtime game. Teams historically lose in
those situations. Rest disadvantage. Seattle playing on Saturday, the Rams
(49:21):
playing on Sunday. Teams in that spot won an eight
straight up. The Rams are playing their third consecutive road game,
also a losing spot straight up historically. So if we're
going blind trends, Settle and Seattle at home in the
playoffs has been money over the last decade.
Speaker 3 (49:41):
I mean, this isn't a blind trend. That's just basically
how I handicap. That's my overarching bloss young handicap in
the NFL buying low selling high teams are never as
good as they look, or the previous week never as
bad as they look, And that thirty five plus point
status is a way to contextualize at that. It just
(50:02):
goes back to me saying, I think we're overreacting to
what we've seen over the past three weeks. Uh after
six after sixteen weeks when these teams played in Seattle,
everyone said Rams are clearly the best team in the NFL.
They're going to win the super Bowl. And I think
we've gone too far since that's all.
Speaker 1 (50:18):
I mean. I can't argue with you too much about this.
I'm not betting Seattle minus the points. I am paying
up to take them on the money line because I mean,
these two games that we've seen with these two teams
have shown us the margin is razor thin between these
two teams. I'm not trying to get hooked on a
Seattle wins by two. I think Seattle is the better
football team. I think their home field advantage is significant,
(50:43):
and the Rams being on the road three weeks in
a row. I question Stafford's health. I feel like people
have just neglected that, and in the Rams defense has
not looked as good as it did in the middle
of the season. So I think Seattle, I just don't want.
Speaker 3 (50:59):
To defense looked very very good last week, I have
to say. I mean, their their run defense was very good.
I was impressed by their run day. I think the
Rams are still the better overall team, but I do
make the Seahawks a small, slight favor. You have to
take into account the situation, home field, etcetera, etcetera. But
(51:20):
super close. I mean they were separated in the regular
season by one yard at one point, but I'll say
so Rams will buy it to three and a half,
and then my other one will be we'll go Kaishan
Boudi under two and a half receptions. I know he's
cleared this in both playoff games, but his biggest games
(51:43):
all season have come against zone heavy defenses. I think
he's going to get a huge dose of certain here
man heavy Broncos defense the way, and when they Patriots
play man May targets Henry and digs in the slot,
I think that's where they're going to target here. The
pressure from Denver I think can get to May. And
(52:05):
there's also just a chance that the Patriots blow out
the Broncos, or that this is very low scoring and
it's like becomes a field position battle and there's just
not as many opportunities for Booty. So yeah, I'm gonna
go He's not a target share monster. He's more like
we'll take a couple of deep shots to him and
(52:27):
he might get the best corner in the NFL. So
under two and a half at plus money, I like.
I think during the regular season, he.
Speaker 1 (52:40):
Let me see he one catch for fifty yards sounds
like his stat line in this game.
Speaker 3 (52:44):
Yeah, I'll say two for fifty eight is what he
finishes at. But if you're curious, during the regular season,
he went under two and a half and nine of
fourteen games. And remember they had one of the easiest
schedules in NFL history of opposing defenses. So and you're
(53:06):
gonna see a lot of man here. I think Pat's
gonna be heavy digs, tight end game and uh the
Broncos are number one and explosive fast right allowed and
that's where Booty does most of his damage. So those
are my two. Well by the by the Rams to
three and a half or Booty under two and a
half receptions.
Speaker 1 (53:28):
Mm I am I'm gonna lean into that, Booty. GI
me kayseean Booty.
Speaker 2 (53:35):
I'm taking the rams.
Speaker 1 (53:36):
So Evan, it's your time to shine.
Speaker 2 (53:40):
Uh.
Speaker 3 (53:40):
I guess I'd go with the Rams.
Speaker 4 (53:42):
I'd be kind of scared on like a two to
three cap kind of what you saw last game, Like
he doesn't look at Booty at all, and then one
drive he hits him two or three times. It just
becomes unlucky. I think three is probably his ceiling, which
makes it a good bet, But I don't know. I'm
a little jaded based off what we just saw.
Speaker 1 (53:59):
All right, Rams, three and a half? Are we buying
the Broncos? Up to five? By the way, now collective here, Okay.
Speaker 4 (54:08):
You're above four, you're fine, four and a half.
Speaker 1 (54:10):
Two for the Broncos, three and a half for the Rams.
I have the Seattle money line. Nobody's voting for that,
So I'm gonna bother.
Speaker 3 (54:18):
Pees and.
Speaker 1 (54:20):
Kenneth Walker over eighty five and a half yards rushing.
His average on the season is twenty yards short of this,
but obviously this number is what it is because he's
the lone wolf now in the backfield, and I highly
doubt they're about to turn to VLAs Jones in the
Charbonnay role. It's just gonna be give the ball to
Kenneth Walker twenty five times. I know you said, hey,
the Rams defense looked good last week, right, but since
(54:44):
Week fourteen they have a lot one hundred and thirty
yards per game on the ground. All of that workload
is gonna land on Kenneth Walker's shoulders. We have an
injured quarterback in Sam Darnold. They have to feed Kenneth
Walker in this game. I think Seattle's gonna win, and
to me, one of their only chances at victory is
Kenneth Walker having a big game on the ground and
(55:04):
then leaning on him in order to get the dubs.
So eighty five and a half yards. So, by the way,
he has already cleared this against the Rams in a victory,
so we have seen what that looks like.
Speaker 3 (55:15):
Olani's back though, so that I think he'll be the backup.
So but yeah, I mean that one of the reasons,
and I think the Rams will take the same approach
that the Seahawks offense has become way less explosive, the
teams are using lighter boxes, Donold has become a shell
of what he was early in the season, and the
run game has become significantly more successful as I mentioned.
(55:40):
So they were twenty seven of the EPA per play
running the ball over the first ten weeks. Since then
they're eleventh. So yeah, by far, I would roll with Walker,
who should get heavy workload here, and I do think
that that's they want to play a complimentary game here,
limit Arnold's attempts as much as they can, and the
(56:04):
Rams are gonna want to take away those explosives. So
I do think Walker will have a good day. So
that of the two I'm definitely going Walker.
Speaker 2 (56:11):
I have to you because I'm on the Rams money line, so.
Speaker 1 (56:15):
Well, don't sound too excited about it.
Speaker 3 (56:18):
All right, there you go, we have we have six
to one at DraftKings.
Speaker 1 (56:24):
There you go, Yes, plus five ninety three over at
Draft Kings where the Crown is yours, Broncos plus four
and a half Rams, plus three and a half Kenneth
Walker over eighty five and a half yards rushing. That's
gonna do it for today's episode special thanks to our
producers Gifford Gold and David Payne, statsound Evan Abrams. The
Favorites will return on Sunday night, right after the Late Game,
(56:48):
and we'll break it all down right here on the
Action Network YouTube page. Thanks for hanging out. To see
you next time here on the Favorites Podcast, presented by
Draft Kings. The Crown yours.
Speaker 2 (57:06):
Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or
someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is
available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler
Hosts And Creators
Chad Millman
Simon Hunter
Popular Podcasts
Stuff You Should Know
If you've ever wanted to know about champagne, satanism, the Stonewall Uprising, chaos theory, LSD, El Nino, true crime and Rosa Parks, then look no further. Josh and Chuck have you covered.
On Purpose with Jay Shetty
I’m Jay Shetty host of On Purpose the worlds #1 Mental Health podcast and I’m so grateful you found us. I started this podcast 5 years ago to invite you into conversations and workshops that are designed to help make you happier, healthier and more healed. I believe that when you (yes you) feel seen, heard and understood you’re able to deal with relationship struggles, work challenges and life’s ups and downs with more ease and grace. I interview experts, celebrities, thought leaders and athletes so that we can grow our mindset, build better habits and uncover a side of them we’ve never seen before. New episodes every Monday and Friday. Your support means the world to me and I don’t take it for granted — click the follow button and leave a review to help us spread the love with On Purpose. I can’t wait for you to listen to your first or 500th episode!
Dateline NBC
Current and classic episodes, featuring compelling true-crime mysteries, powerful documentaries and in-depth investigations. Follow now to get the latest episodes of Dateline NBC completely free, or subscribe to Dateline Premium for ad-free listening and exclusive bonus content: DatelinePremium.com