February 3, 2026 • 57 mins
The Favorites is back as Action Network NFL experts Stuckey, Kendra Middleton and Brandon Kravitz welcome Action Network's senior NBA writer, Matt Moore, for a cross-sports special. Together the crew gets into college hoops, the NBA and the big game! Moore updates Stuckey on the NBA's Eastern Conference, the Giannis trade market and the top of the upcoming NBA Draft with some outstanding freshman in this year's class. Plus, a look at a Boutte Call and 50 Shades of Maye special over on DraftKings and some cross-sport plays the crew is seeing value on. Tune in and find something to pair with your favorite Super Bowl LX play right here on The Favorites!
Check out the Action Network App and sign up for Action Pro for instant notifications from our top experts. Get $60 off an annual subscription right now!
Click here to instantly tail some of the bets from today's episode with quick slips!
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:07):
Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The crown
is yours. We are an Action Network podcast. I'm Brandon Kravitz,
back at it with my crew, the first Lady of
the Pod, Kendri Middleton, and the Prime Minister of DJEN Nation, Stucky.
On today's episode, we've got a special guest joining us,
Matt Moore, the Mayor of Buckets. We're talking cross sport
(00:30):
plays in the NFL and the NBA Wild Props and
whatever else is on Matt's big brain. Stucky, give us
one thing that we learned about college basketball this week.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
The freshmen are so good. I mean it's insane.
Speaker 3 (00:45):
I mean, you go back to Woggler for Illinois against Nebraska,
hostile environment, just took control of that second half. And
then I mean Darren Peterson last night he actually played
in the second half for Kansas. He's one of the
smoothest players I've ever seen. Hit two huge threes late.
And the freshman I mean, you look Matt's here. I mean,
(01:08):
you look at the NBA draft board for next year,
You're gonna see freshman, freshman, freshman, freshman, freshman, freshman all
down the line. We got a matchup of two this
week on Saturday to Carolina Caleb Wilson and Boozer. That'll
be a really fun matchup. But the freshman this year unbelievable.
(01:31):
Like Woggler and Peterson, they look like and these these
freshman guards that I mean, they're they're playing like they've
been in college basketball for three to four years and
they're so poised and it's pretty amazing. So if you're
just getting into college basketball or won't until after uh
you know, the super Bowl or even until March, freshmen
(01:53):
are going to have a massive say in who ends
up in Indianapolis and who ends up cutting down the net.
Speaker 2 (02:01):
So there's so many.
Speaker 3 (02:02):
I mean, you go down the board of these the
top ten, I mean I didn't even mentioned Flemings for Houston,
who has come out of nowhere.
Speaker 2 (02:12):
I mean Arizona, what's that?
Speaker 4 (02:14):
Top five? Flemings going top five?
Speaker 1 (02:17):
Max? All right, I didn't know that we were going
to hit this, but Matt Moore's big board. Let's let's
get it going.
Speaker 3 (02:21):
Arizona starts three by like three freshmen, and I mean
they haven't lost yet. It's it's pretty remarkable. But I
have why is it Wogler getting more hype and that
is he starting Is that starting to build up?
Speaker 4 (02:33):
I haven't heard much about him, honestly, I don't know why.
There's probably something that's got to do with either his
wingspan or something on the medical history, but there hasn't
been as much I've heard on him. Or they may
not expect him to come out this year, but because
it is a freaking loaded draft, I want to know
from you. So I talked two people that were at
k at kub Yu this week, and they were both
(02:54):
they both said the same thing that you said, which
is like Peterson's just so polished, like he has so
much his game. And that's really if you're a franchise
and you're looking to bring in a guy as you're
number one, that's a really big boost to you because
you just don't have to worry about all of the
times that the coach is driven nuts by how that
player plays, because it's like, no, he just knows how
to handle the ball, he knows how to get to
(03:15):
his spots, et cetera. I just continue to feel like
Boozer is the best player in the draft. Like I'm
I am surprised that Peterson continues to be odds on
favor to go number one. What's the hole in Boozer's games, Stucky.
Speaker 3 (03:29):
Yeah, there's not man and you have de bans at
devonsa two who out at BYU A lot of people love, Yeah,
I mean Boozer. I feel like Boozer might be more.
Speaker 2 (03:43):
I don't really, there's not many holes.
Speaker 3 (03:44):
I mean he's he's also a terrific passer, which he
is credit for, and he plays like a man like
he looks like you know, I mentioned all these guards,
but Boozer looks like you know, a guy who's four
years older than everyone. Yeah, in the ACC and he's
a freshman. There's no ru holes in his game.
Speaker 2 (04:01):
I don't know. I mean I'm not too up to
date in the NBA.
Speaker 3 (04:04):
He he might it might be more for him, like
does he fit like his actual role, Like as far
as position, I'd like because a guy like Peterson.
Speaker 4 (04:14):
Can plug and play.
Speaker 2 (04:15):
Yeah, yeah, plug and play.
Speaker 3 (04:16):
I mean he's a pro score already, So maybe Boozer
there's you have more fit questions based on the roster.
Speaker 2 (04:23):
And I don't know. I'm not an NBA expert, but
there's no real.
Speaker 4 (04:27):
Holes that the bad news is there right now? On
Tankathon Darren Peterson slaved to go to the King, so
ripped to his career. But that's just done.
Speaker 2 (04:35):
So who are the top three right now that are
going to know?
Speaker 4 (04:38):
It's it's Peterson, Boozer de Bonsa, No, no.
Speaker 3 (04:40):
I mean that. Who do you think the top three
are going to be? Like the three most likely? I
know there's a lottery, but the three most.
Speaker 4 (04:46):
Like I mean, yeah, the lottery is the problem, right.
I think it's probably gonna be like Atlanta because they
got the Pelicans. Pick Atlanta, Sacramento and Utah are probably
the the most likely to go top three.
Speaker 2 (05:02):
The dream scenarioes.
Speaker 3 (05:04):
I missed the days when the Kings, the Kings were good,
Like there's there's just like college basketball is better, I
mean college best was better. When Memphis is good and
Memphis is tarbic, Memphis is under five hundred.
Speaker 4 (05:17):
Kendra was not alive the last time the Kings were legitimately, well,
they were good two years ago, but before that, Kendra
was not alive.
Speaker 3 (05:22):
I mean, like real, real legit. I missed that when
the Blazers and the Kings.
Speaker 2 (05:28):
That was fun. My NBA fandom beat this is right, right.
Speaker 1 (05:35):
I just want to This is a really good promotion
for those out there listening that love all sports. BBOC
buckets make that part of your action network and podcasting
and youtubing collection. I wrote into the rundown for Kendra
to give us a quick recap on the Grammys, and
I thought for sure she'd had something to say about it.
(05:56):
I don't know many people that are as excited about
the Bad Bunny halftime show as she is, and yet
get I get a note here that says, I have
no idea. I was watching goalies fighting around. How do
you not have Grammys? Takes your boy Bad Bunny one
Album of the Year.
Speaker 5 (06:11):
I know, but I was not watching the Grammys. I
don't watch any of the award shows. I know that
I'm like pretty into the pop culture thing, but I'm
not into that side of the pop culture thing. I
was watching the Stadium series. I was watching goalies fight
surrounded by a pirate cosplay at Gasparola. Actually so sorry, Yeah.
Speaker 1 (06:27):
How about that? It was It was as cold as
the ice itself, and takes you had to cool.
Speaker 5 (06:33):
The ice during intermission because they thought that it was
gonna be you warm enough down there for them to
be able to keep this whole contraption that they built,
but they actually had to cool or warm the ice
to keep it like the best possible temperature during the
breaks because it was so cold in Florida. But that
game was I don't know if you guys know this
about me. Outside of football and F one, hockey is
(06:53):
like my favorite thing. I covered hockey all through college.
I opened penalty box doors in D three club Polly
Hockey at Auburn. So yeah, I'm a big hockey goal.
Speaker 1 (07:05):
Wow.
Speaker 4 (07:05):
My wife is this like very She's short, and she's
she teaches literature out of college and is like a
super mom and like a gentle she's on the PTA,
but you take her to an Avalanche game and the
woman turns into a raging psychopath.
Speaker 5 (07:26):
Like.
Speaker 4 (07:28):
Immediately immediately, I've blasting. I took her to guy scores
a goal in the first couple of minutes with the
other team and hits the glass and like boom, two
fingers right up, just like.
Speaker 5 (07:40):
You're married.
Speaker 1 (07:40):
I love the idea that like seven rows down, someone's like,
I think that woman's on the PTA.
Speaker 4 (07:45):
With total psycho is.
Speaker 1 (07:49):
She's swinging her shirt over her head right now, what
is going on?
Speaker 4 (07:52):
She's throwing hammers.
Speaker 5 (07:53):
It's not good, that's amazing.
Speaker 1 (07:56):
We're about to dive into our cross sport plays for
Super Bowl sixty, but first a word from our very
own Kendri Biddleton.
Speaker 5 (08:03):
The Favorites podcast has teamed up with DraftKings sportsbook, where
new customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred
dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins. Love
the thrill of live betting. DraftKings has got you covered.
Bet live on star player props and in progress games
right as they happen to get started. To use promo
code Favorites when signing up with DraftKings again, use code
(08:23):
Favorites when signing up and bet five bucks to get
three hundred back in bonus bets. If your bet wins,
the crown is yours.
Speaker 1 (08:31):
Matt Moore the dawn of the round ball here with
us on our Tuesday episode of The Favorites. Cross Sport plays.
Always a fun way to bet the Bowl Before we
get into it, Stucky, if you had one question about
the NBA this season, since you have not paid any
attention to it, so we've basically just dropped you from
outer space into the world of the NBA pre trade deadline,
(08:54):
pre All Star break. What would be one question that
you would have for Matt as we make him feel
nice and at home here.
Speaker 4 (09:01):
You can't say why does the NBA exist? That's like,
just to be clear, you can't ask that question.
Speaker 3 (09:06):
Step my my, My question always is why is the
season so long?
Speaker 2 (09:10):
Why?
Speaker 4 (09:10):
Why aren't they short? I.
Speaker 2 (09:15):
By the way, I didn't even know the Grammys were
last night, so I just I look.
Speaker 3 (09:19):
I saw this morning though, that that I like that
stet girl Olivia Dean won Best New Artist, That that
song is so catchy.
Speaker 2 (09:28):
I love that song. Man is good.
Speaker 3 (09:32):
I avoid all award shows like the Plague because I
never especially music ones, Oh my gosh, because I never
feel older, because I.
Speaker 5 (09:39):
Don't know any that. Can you give me a list
of your three favorite artists because I feel like this
is something I don't know about you that will help
me understand you.
Speaker 2 (09:49):
Three favorite artists.
Speaker 5 (09:51):
It can be artists, band like whatever. But what do
you listen to?
Speaker 3 (09:56):
I mean, of all time, my music is all over
the board. But I would say, like, and I'll give
you three that across all spectrums. How about like Tupac
counting crows and taking back Sunday.
Speaker 5 (10:14):
That is the most millennial thing you could have ever said.
So I feel okay, amazing, Yeah, all right?
Speaker 3 (10:20):
Uh oh the NBA, so I will ask I guess
I got coming into the year which confused me.
Speaker 1 (10:30):
What.
Speaker 2 (10:30):
I don't know what happened with the Hawks.
Speaker 3 (10:31):
I thought they were like the sneaky the sneaky pick
of like, oh, they can take advantage of this week East?
But who is Like the Calves are seven and a
half back. I thought the Calves would be at the top.
I'm just looking at the standings and the Pistons are
five and a half games up. I mean, who do
you think eventually comes out of the East? Is Tatum
(10:53):
coming back? Like I make sense of the East makes
I mean the West is going to be.
Speaker 2 (10:57):
Like can someone take down the Thunder?
Speaker 3 (10:59):
Probably not, but the East to me is probably way
more interesting, especially if people look into maybe better future or.
Speaker 2 (11:04):
Just yeah that the East come playoff time.
Speaker 4 (11:07):
Yeah, I've got a position on Celtics. All the matter
tricks that I've got. Basically, the Celtics underperformed for two
months and they've been updated, like they played some guys
that were struggling to move those guys out move better.
Guys in their rotation gets a little bit tighter every
single month. As far as Tatum goes, uh, that's a
little bit of a like that's geting to be a
little bit an awkward question in Boston, and nobody really
knows what's going on. My understanding is that Jason Tatum
(11:31):
would like to come back, and I'm not sure that
the Celtics are sure that that's a good idea, and
that's causing a little bit of tension. Jalen Brown's played
like an MVP this season. We don't know how that's
gonna shake out. Chalk Answers Nicks just because they have
more experience, Like Detroit is that team that's like way
overperforming this season. They're awesome, they're a lot of fun.
They have the number two defense in the NBA. They're dogs,
they're a lot of fun to watch. Kids awesome, but
(11:52):
they don't have enough shooting, Like, they don't have enough firepower.
It's why they're trying to make a move of the
deadline to upgrade their scoring punch Nicks. We'll see what
they do by Thursday if they don't get Giannis, which
I'm not expecting at this point because Giannis is on
the block. I think Nix is probably the safest option. Celtics,
I think has the best value. And if you're looking
(12:13):
for a long shot, it's the Calves who last night
though they might be trading for James Harden, which anytime
that you're like, we'll look at make a playoff run,
who you're adding James Harden, I'm out. I'm out. So
a little bit worried about that one because I did
bet some Calves on long shot sixers. A little bit
dangerous too. Joe Embids actually playing this year, playing really great,
Tyres Max has been an absolute beast. Now, don't bet
(12:35):
the Yeah, don't bet the Raptors. That's kind of your East.
Speaker 1 (12:39):
Look.
Speaker 4 (12:39):
It's like Nick's Celtics or Calves are still the best value.
And that's where we were at preseason.
Speaker 3 (12:44):
One of the questions where where's Gianni's gonna go? And
that's the question.
Speaker 4 (12:48):
Yeah, So James, I talked to people last night and
here's what what I've heard. Everyone thinks like they've had
all these deep conversations with Minnesota, Golden State in Miami.
That's the three teams that have the most conversation. There
are other teams that have called, obviously including the Cavaliers.
The problem is is that in the summer, the Heat
(13:10):
open up two more draft picks that they can trade
because there's limits on which ones you can trade right now,
and the Knicks open up two more draft picks. So
if you're the Bucks and Giannis is not making you
move him right now, and he's not, he's like, if
you want to keep me, it's fine, but eventually we
need to get this figured out. They get to operate
on their timeline. So my understanding is that the GM
of the Bucks is surveying options, getting everything set so
(13:32):
that this summer he can go back and be like, no, no, no.
In February, this is what you offered. Or in February
I had this offer, You're gonna have to be that
offer right now. They are collecting offers right now. There's
a lot of skepticism the deals is actually gonna get
done before Thursday this summer, though I continue to believe
that if Minnesota doesn't grab him by the deadline, I
think the Knicks are still the most likely scenario here.
(13:53):
Knicks flame out in the playoffs. They trade Karl Anthony
Towns and Ogna Noobi for extra assets to go to Milwaukee,
and Yiannis ends up where he wanted to go the summer,
which is to the New York next.
Speaker 2 (14:02):
I feel like this, I feel the Warriors would make
sense just in that you have Steph Carey, who's what
thirty thirty I.
Speaker 4 (14:10):
Don't know, thirty thirty five next.
Speaker 3 (14:12):
Year, and like how many years left does he haven't? Wait,
he's thirty seven?
Speaker 4 (14:20):
Oh yeah something my bad?
Speaker 3 (14:22):
So at a high level a couple, so like after
he's done, I feel like that's like, who cares?
Speaker 2 (14:31):
Just blow it up. You're gonna to start all over.
It's gonna get poppy. Do you just try to go
after it?
Speaker 4 (14:37):
For the words the Warriors have literally told the Bucks
will be any offer anything you want, will give you anything.
The problem is they just don't have as much. They're
basically like, do you want to bank on us not
being able to put together a halfway decent team of
a sub five hundred team after Steph retires? Like that's
(14:58):
the gambit because they have nothing else. It's like, hey,
do you want Jimmy Butler's corpse and Jonathan kaminga who
no one wants? Cool?
Speaker 2 (15:04):
Yep?
Speaker 3 (15:04):
So all right, we got anything on Yea, let's talk football.
Speaker 1 (15:07):
Let's do it. So let's talk across sport plays here
we've got. Before we get to that, let's talk about
the Booty call over on Draft Kings kai Shaun Booty
to have a forty plus yard receiving touchdown at twelve
to one. I guess he kind of figure Matt that
if he's going to catch a touchdown pass, it's probably
going to be deep down the field. So is this
(15:29):
one that you would take a look at?
Speaker 4 (15:30):
So I wanted to talk to Ta Stucky who said
he's gonna be the grinch on the show, and I
want to ask him and Kendro, I want your thoughts
on this too. My understanding is that Seahawks play zone right,
Seahawks play, they show cover two, yeah, and then they
show cover They show cover two and then they move
into cover three a lot. Is that accurate?
Speaker 1 (15:51):
Yes?
Speaker 2 (15:52):
Yeah, a lot of the Skies cover just eighty percent zone.
Speaker 3 (15:54):
But like it's a super Bowl, you what do you
have to keep in mind for this is that two
weeks to it's the last game of the season. The
other team knows your tendencies, you know their tendency, So
there's you know, you don't want to get too far
away from what you do.
Speaker 5 (16:09):
But do you need that Creativity is the name of
the game in the Super Bowl for sure.
Speaker 3 (16:13):
Yeah, So I wouldn't be shocked if you do see
more man because there is a world where you that
Seahawks say, Okay, they're expecting zone. Their game blends probably
going to be a lot of zone type calls and
now let's go man because we don't think that their
receivers can beat our corners. So you could see more
(16:35):
man for sure. I mean if I believe showed more
man less against the Rams and than usual, so you
definitely could see some curve balls. But in general, yes,
they're a zone heavy defense that doesn't allow explosive plays
that I mean that would be my like that I
would need better than twelve to one. I'm gonna be
(16:55):
the gridge on this because usually betting on these things
to happen, the odds are usually terrible. I mean, how
many how many catches of forty plus yards do you
think Booty had in the regular season? Just guesser zero zero, Yeah,
he's zero forty yard catches. You need a forty yard
catch and a touchdown. The Seahawks allowed. You know, they
(17:17):
don't allow it's supposed to play. They allowed i think
four fifty yard passes all seasoned long.
Speaker 4 (17:24):
Yeah, and like all of his deep passes were to
the sideline. That's why I asked about the zone is
because I was like, Okay, if you're in cover three,
you're literally taking away that area of the field that
he's going to probably be able to get to there
because there's no gap between the cover two and the safeties, right.
Speaker 3 (17:39):
Yeah, and you have you also have Matt Collins who
came back, who he'll occasionally take. He might take some
of those away. We saw that against Denver, so he
might take some of those deep shots away from Booty.
So yeah, I would need better than twelve to one
to bet that for sure.
Speaker 4 (17:58):
On the other end, if you just think they're gonna
play more more man and you think you know, yeah, they're.
Speaker 3 (18:03):
Gonna play more man than yeah, there's gonna be May's
gonna take his shots.
Speaker 4 (18:07):
Yeah, he's so good on the deep ball.
Speaker 3 (18:09):
But the other thing is is like if the game
is close and low scoring, then maybe not because the
Patriots have to be worried about you know, their offensive
line and May turning it over you saw that against Denver, right,
like on third downs, they basically were saying like, we're
not getting stripped, we're not getting putting the ball in
harm's way. So depending on game state, you might not
(18:30):
see as many of those shots. But like, if the
Seahawks are scoring and this game is back and forth,
May's he's gonna take his his deep shots. He has
one of the best deep balls in the NFL. But
I would need a better price than this.
Speaker 1 (18:44):
Kendrick, do you think Stucky the Grinch talked Matt Moore
off the ledge here with Kayshaun Boody.
Speaker 5 (18:51):
His energy really shifted in real time on this podcast.
He went from being like you're gonna be the grinch
y and Stucky said, Okay, let me let's sit down
for this and I'm gonna hold your hand while we
talk about it.
Speaker 1 (19:04):
Accurate.
Speaker 4 (19:05):
Matt, Yeah, I think so. I think I had questions stuck.
Speaker 1 (19:08):
He answered, all right, let's keep it moving then. JSN receptions,
here's one I can get down with. Well, we're taking
JSN straight up against Jalen Brown rebounds. This is kind
of fun stuff that you can bet when it comes
to Super Bowl Sunday. Jalen Brown and the Celtics taking
on the New York Knicks, and Brown averages five point
(19:29):
four rebounds per game against the Knicks the last three seasons.
This guy, with Jason Tatum not in the lineup this year,
has been a rebounding machine. Get we see him get
it up to double digits quite frequently. JSN certainly capable
of doing that in the receiving game. I wish there
was a nice long shot at the number being exactly
(19:49):
the same. I would be willing to bet that. But
who do you think comes out on top JSN receptions
versus Jalen Brown rebounds?
Speaker 4 (19:57):
I love the JSN here, right, our guy Brandon Anderson's
over and he's all over JSM props for this Super Bowl,
in part because I think he just wants any way
to just hate on the Patriots as much as humanly possible. Yeah,
our producer notes the tie is only plus eight hundred,
which is a little bit nice.
Speaker 1 (20:14):
I would digs at the very least.
Speaker 4 (20:17):
Which goes to Stucky's points about these markets. But the
key here is like, yeah, Jalen averages a lot of rebounds,
but he does it versus non teams that are not
dominant on the glass. That's like, there's a couple of
teams in the league that are just simply built on rebounding,
and the Knicks are one of them. There's such a
dominant rebounding team. One of the things, though, I think
is that the Knicks are playing better defense lately, so
(20:38):
that creates more misses, which obviously creates a better opportunity.
But the Celtics also play at a really glacial pace.
They're one of the slowest teams in the league. Nixill
let them play that slow. They're not looking to push
the ball, and their wings are so good at rebounding.
Not just Ognobi, but McHale Bridges is actually a sneaky
good rebounder, and Miles McBride actually routinely does a really
(20:58):
good job of man the defensive glass at least, so
you don't have these offensive opportunities. I do know't think
there's gonna be a lot of chances for Jalen to
get the ball and race up the floor. So to me,
this is like JSN. This is a great one. Everyone
on the bucket side loves taking JSN receptions over Jalen
Brown rebounds.
Speaker 3 (21:16):
I would say my one pushback on it would be
you know, like you go back to There's been a
couple of games where I mean I go back to
that the Vikings game. I know they won in blaw fashion,
but Jason only had two catches on four targets for
twenty yards and Floor has basically bracketed them a lot.
(21:40):
So what is the game This is one of the
most fascinating things of this game to me. What is
the game plan of the Patriots in how they handle Jsn?
There are because there's two clear schools of thought. You
could have Gonzales on him and follow him your best corner.
(22:02):
Now did the Seahawks counter and put them more in
the slot and move them around more coming out of
the backfield sometimes, like do some more creative things with
them or do the Patriots say do.
Speaker 2 (22:12):
They take the Belichick approach?
Speaker 3 (22:13):
Like Belichick back in the day, like Matt you would
remember this when they like the when the Pats would
play the Chiefs, you would take you know, your and
this goes I mean, this goes back Belichick with this
goes Ben frabe lot. There's a lot of ties to Belichick.
Obviously in the stat this goes back to twenty twenty
five years. You would take your best corner, and you don't.
(22:37):
You don't put them on the best receiver. So like
this out they would handle Tyreek Hill. You take your
second corner and you put them on Hill. Tyreek killed it.
In this case, it would be jess And and then you
take a safety over top and you basically bracket him
the entire game. And then you have your top corner,
you know, on Shaheed or Cup whoever's on the outside there.
(22:58):
And then is there a game, Look, go ahead, Darnold,
throw to anyone else to beat us, and we'll tip
our hat and you're gonna have to do it against
our best corner, but we're gonna have JSN bracketed. That's
what I would do, Like I would just say, like, look,
I trust our run defense. I we can't have JSM
beat us. And that's what Belichick definitely would do, right
(23:20):
he takes away your strong hand. But I don't know
what the Patriots gonna do. That's one of the most
fascinating things. And it's not to say JSN still can't
go off. And then the Seahawks, I'm sure, are going
to try to use him in different formations where it's
more difficult to bracket in. But that's the only thing
I would worry about is if like there's an all
out sellout approach to stopping JSN, then he might just
(23:43):
be more of a decoy in the game.
Speaker 1 (23:45):
So one of the interesting things with JSN and Jalen
Brown head up is that both of them was so
Jalen Brown's rebounds prop typically sits around seven and a half.
That's exactly where JSN is in this particular matchup up.
So that is one of the most.
Speaker 4 (24:02):
That it's almost like it's almost like they knew that.
Speaker 1 (24:04):
It is almost it's almost like they had that one scouted. Kendrick,
What do you got?
Speaker 5 (24:09):
So? Another thing I put in here before the show
that we kind of talked about before we hopped on
here octopus. You like the octopus this year for a yes,
fifteen to one. What do you think about it?
Speaker 4 (24:20):
I love it? I like, I think there's actually pretty
good idea because Shihit is like the guy here, like,
I'm just like such a good rashide shaheat guy that
to me. And I did want to get Kravitz and
Stucky's thoughts on this too as well as yours on
like when you look at the Patriots defense, What are
the odds that we get an end around for a touchdown?
(24:40):
I don't think the Seahawks ran almost at all with
the receivers. But if you're talking about there's being something
different that they're going to throw out there this this year,
maybe that's the way to go about it. And with
you've got this opportunity for like with we'll talk about
this with somebody else, because he's gonna be my MVP
pick too. Is like, if you've got the pot return
possibility along with the posibility of him catching a pass,
(25:01):
along with the possibility of an end around, doesn't like
Shaheed for me fundamentally with his speed, that changes the
odds of the oven octopus a little bit higher because
of his versatility.
Speaker 1 (25:11):
So the octopus is that And by the way, I
learned this right before the show. I'd never bet the octopus.
Speaker 2 (25:17):
How did you know this octopus?
Speaker 1 (25:21):
I've heard the word like it's an animal that swims
in the ocean. I didn't know. And a two point
conversion I didn't know about. This feels like a bad
bet to me, especially with Rashid Shahed, who has not
really been used much in the run game since he's
become part of the Seattle Seahawks. So I I just
it feels like too much of a long shot for me. No,
(25:43):
I do not need the octopus to explained. I get it.
It's a touchdown at a two point conversion from the
same person. It's going to be random enough within the
flow of the game for him to score a touchdown. Period.
Now I need him to score a touchdown.
Speaker 6 (25:55):
And get the two point conversion that I feel like
we're asking too much of. You know why called octopus though,
because there's because there's eight tentacles on an octopus and
there would be eight points scored within the.
Speaker 3 (26:11):
I will say this, I'm gonna be the grinch every Look,
if you want to just have fun and bet it recreationally.
Speaker 1 (26:17):
What's the number on this, by the way, one?
Speaker 3 (26:20):
If you want to do that, Like, just have fun,
do it. But these odds are horrible.
Speaker 5 (26:25):
Okay, So what about for there to be a successful
two point conversion?
Speaker 4 (26:29):
Horrible?
Speaker 2 (26:30):
Also? What are the odds usually?
Speaker 3 (26:32):
So everyone wants to bet these things to happen, right,
and like everyone every year is going to bet like
there's a safety, there's there's horrible odds on that? Is
there a two point conversion. Is there an octopus? Everyone
wants to bet on these things to happen, right, but
there's usually all the values on the no. But I
mean an octopus. I think if you go back to
like nineteen ninety and the odds of an octopus happen happening,
(26:56):
it's happened in like two and a half percent of games.
Speaker 2 (27:00):
Really two two and a half percent.
Speaker 3 (27:02):
I didn't I don't quote me on that, but it's
somewhere there on there. So you can be a fifty
to one sure, but fifteen to one no.
Speaker 5 (27:11):
And then you can't off even more. How about that
you take hold.
Speaker 2 (27:14):
On let me go to two point conversion?
Speaker 3 (27:16):
Two point and the Patris have been good against outside
runs for whatever this year two point conversions. This year
there were eighty six games that had a two point
conversion attempt in the regular season. There was two hundred
and eighty four games. I think there's only one two
point version in the playoffs. So that's thirty percent of
games that had I just any.
Speaker 5 (27:36):
Money were successful though, because you have to.
Speaker 2 (27:37):
Be then you have to be successful.
Speaker 3 (27:39):
So I would take that bet that bet, you know,
plus three hundred is it for a successful two point
version like that's I wouldn't maybe considered is there just
going to be a two point conversion attempt not successful?
Speaker 5 (27:51):
Because then if you go no, it's minus four twenty five.
Speaker 2 (27:55):
Yes, I would bet no. Yeah, so I would bet no.
Speaker 1 (27:59):
That sounds like it's sanely good value. By the way,
she he'd to scored two touchdowns if you like him
to win the MVP seventeen to one. I feel like
that would be the better bet one.
Speaker 5 (28:07):
We have MVP. Yeah, you have MVP stuff.
Speaker 3 (28:10):
And I lost saying Pats and Pats and Seahawks are
three for they're both three for three on the year
and two point conversions stuff, but that's only fifteen percent
of the games that they've gone for two. He's so
they're not two point conversion all, Like these coaches aren't.
Aren't coaches that go for?
Speaker 4 (28:26):
I ask you because you're the guy I always joke
about with the obsession with sneaking, how often do the
Patriots sneak?
Speaker 3 (28:35):
May is not a great sneaker, So they're not.
Speaker 4 (28:38):
But they did their value.
Speaker 3 (28:40):
They did it last week, but he didn't get it,
but he got it.
Speaker 4 (28:43):
They say the Philly fans are gonna lose their mind.
If I don't note this, in the last fifteen years,
there's been one octopus. It was Jalen Hurts in twenty
twenty three when they lost to the camp.
Speaker 3 (28:52):
Yeah, there has been won in a SUPERWL that happened,
and like, these things do happen. If you want to
bet that, fine, Like there was a stafety that happened
in the first play of the game with the Broncos
Super Bowl. But I will say I bet that I
do like on something that happened. You mentioned the sneak,
so I like there's two you can get the the
Seahawks over four and a half players rush attempt at
(29:14):
like plus one thirty five. I like that because you're
gonna have Darnold's definitely gonna get I shouldn'tay definitely, but
likely to get one. You know, Walker is gonna get one,
and Olani will get a couple, and then you have
Barner who does their sneaks, and then I think they're
gonna probably get a receiver, right, Shaheed probably gets to
(29:35):
carry at some point. So I think they go over
four and a half, but the better bet might be
over seven and a half total, because if the Seahawks
get the five. This should go over seven and a
half because you're you're gonna have May, Stevenson and uh
uh Henderson and that's that's eight and that's that's sick.
(29:57):
That's if the Patriots don't have anyone other anyone on
a rush, you get a you get a rush. You
could have one of the receivers like this is when
you pull out some different stops and these run defenses
are so good that you're gonna have to get creative
running the ball, and maybe there's and then you have
the chance of a backup in blah blah blah if
it's a blowout. But there's a chance that the Patriots
over these two weeks come up with a Toush push, right,
(30:21):
they come up with a guy that is their barner
and is they're going to be their fourth and one
sneak guy because May isn't great at it and he
really did fail at it. So like, give two weeks
to come up with they should have a Toush push guy.
So you could see another Patriot get a rush attempt
that way. So I like the over over total players
(30:42):
rush attempts in the game.
Speaker 1 (30:44):
You said that numbers four and a half.
Speaker 3 (30:47):
Four and a half of the Seahawks plus one thirty
five seven and a half total players, I think there's
a good chance that goes over. I'm just saying, like,
if the Seahawks go over four and at they get
to five, all.
Speaker 1 (31:02):
Right, let me give you Let me give you guys
a separate one that's along the same lines, and then
we can kind of take a go around the horn
and take a vote on which one we like better.
Over two and a half players to attempt to pass
in the Super Bowl, you obviously have you started too
with the two quarterbacks Darnold and May. In three of
the last four Super Bowls we have seen a third
(31:23):
player attempt to pass. And there's a couple of different
ways that you can get there. Either punter could attempt
one on a fake. You could get either back up
in and either mop up duty or injury duty. Cooper
Cup has thrown a pass this year, so you get
one of those wide receiver trick plays. So over on
rushing seven and a half for total players to collect
(31:44):
a rush in the game, or over two and a
half players to attempt a pass, Kendra, where would you
land on that?
Speaker 5 (31:52):
I went to add this in our notes and saw
that somebody already had, so I was very much looking
at this already. I think that we Cooper Cup, yeah,
but also maybe de Mario Douglas. I know that that's
something that has happened for the Patriots prior. They've definitely
had a receiver line up, so I could I could have.
I could totally see this happening, especially because, like I
said a few minutes ago, the name of the game
(32:13):
in the Super Bowl is creativity. You've had, you know,
two weeks to deep dive into everything that either team
has done all season long. You have to surprise people
at some point, and I think that this is definitely
one of the ways to do so.
Speaker 1 (32:26):
Matt, where do you land on that?
Speaker 4 (32:27):
I mean, if we're talking, I want to go back
to the over two and a half quarterbacks. If we
just accept, as it accompany that the gods have just
decided we must suffer beneath another Patriots run, that we
must just suffer through this absolutely miserable existence with the
Patriots being good again, with the how their schedule has
(32:51):
shaped up, and Brandon Aston had an absolutely banger tweet
about the number of fired coaches and terrible teams this
team has.
Speaker 1 (32:57):
Faced it's eleven, isn't it?
Speaker 4 (32:59):
Every thing lined up for them? Like, wouldn't the most
Patriots outcome be that Sam Darnold gets injured.
Speaker 2 (33:09):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (33:09):
See, that's the thing that I like about the past
prop more than the rush prop is that the threshold
is simply lower. I think you need two players to
step up and collect a run that we're not expecting.
Speaker 4 (33:22):
Like if you if you hate the Patriots, that's the
bet to go for.
Speaker 5 (33:26):
And Drake May's shoulder.
Speaker 3 (33:29):
Yeah no, but if you get a quarterback hurt, then
you're gonna probably get another rush attempt from from the quarterback.
But I don't think there's I think there's a there's
Barner's get a carry. I think you just need one
other player. And you're saying no receivers are going to
run the ball in the game. I don't think that's
the case. So I mean you going back to the
(33:50):
past attempts. I don't I don't know. I don't have
a strong day. I can tell you to thirty five,
what are the odds on?
Speaker 2 (33:55):
Yes?
Speaker 5 (33:58):
Is it plus two fifty? Is something like that? I
put it in our notes.
Speaker 2 (34:05):
Plus two fifty wouldn't be I think it is.
Speaker 5 (34:07):
Plus two fifty.
Speaker 3 (34:08):
I don't set one sekay like thirty five percent of
games had at least three players attempt to pass during
the season.
Speaker 2 (34:18):
And you have to keep in mind.
Speaker 3 (34:20):
That includes complete blowouts, right when you have teams that
are just destroying the other team and it's a huge
mismatch right now, that could happen here, But the likelihood
that you're actually blowing out the team mountain and then
throwing it with your backup. Now, I know the Eagles
did it. That's how the Eagles. That's how this got there.
Last year, the Eagles are up by so much that sorry,
(34:41):
Matt that that that pike, It threw it late. He
completed a pass. So there's a chance now, So that
only happened in what thirty five percent games had at
least three players throw the ball.
Speaker 4 (34:54):
By the way, draft I, I'm sorry, I just have
to interject real quick, this is the meanest fucking prop
I've ever seen ever. The draftings has a prop up
for Seahawks to attempt to pass from inside the Patriots
one yard line.
Speaker 1 (35:06):
Oh, that's so mean, trolling to the max.
Speaker 4 (35:11):
It's it's plus six hundred. No, there's no no on it. Unfortunately,
Oh my god.
Speaker 2 (35:19):
There's no way they let Donald throw it at the one.
Speaker 5 (35:21):
That's so yeah, that's a good point. There's no way
they let Donald.
Speaker 2 (35:26):
Why I would?
Speaker 3 (35:27):
I would, They're just gonna sneak barner. I wish there
was a no on that. So yeah, I mean, thirty
five games have wre and then that includes both. Now,
maybe because there's a little bit more injury risks and
this is the Super Bowl, you tend to get a
little bit more creative, but.
Speaker 2 (35:45):
I'd lean now I prefer rushing myself.
Speaker 1 (35:47):
All right, guys, let's get into the nitty gritty here.
Let's stalk coin toss.
Speaker 5 (35:51):
I was just gonna say this.
Speaker 1 (35:53):
Minus one minus one o three on both sides. And
if you follow gambling Twitter, everybody thinks they're a genius.
Most are gonna tell you that getting in anything less
than even money on an actual coin flip is perhaps
the dumbest thing that you can bet. I would say
that it's significantly less foolish than playing almost any other
(36:13):
table game at a casino. The house edge for roulette
is five point three percent. Minus one oh three is
significantly less than that, So it's not that dumb. Winner
of the coin toss by the way, twenty five and
thirty four straight up in the game. So if you
like that voodoo trend, just don't bet the coin toss.
Just bet the team. Bet against the team that wins
(36:34):
the coin toss. Twenty fifteen to twenty twenty four, the
coin toss winner lost the game. Last year the winner
also lost. There was a break in between those two years.
So Matt, you are our guests. Will you be betting
the coin toss and do you have anything that you
look at or lean into and making this decision, or
do you literally just toss a coin.
Speaker 4 (36:56):
As the king of Hey, here's this dumb bet. I like,
even I think this is too dumb. This is too dumb.
This is so I get it.
Speaker 1 (37:05):
I get it mathematically, it's not that bad.
Speaker 4 (37:08):
Comparatively, I get the super Bowl. Like if you're at
the super Bowl party and you're like, hey, I got
you know, I've got money on the court, Like, it's
a really great You're performatively rooting for the coin toss
in front of your friends. That's a great that's a
great bit. That is an awesome bit. I just am like,
it's over so quickly, it's over. So the best things
take time.
Speaker 3 (37:28):
Yeah, before play, I'm waiting to bet the coin to
I would never bet the coin toss shot her. So
but like we I actually pick a coin toss every year,
so like it.
Speaker 2 (37:40):
We'll do a bar.
Speaker 3 (37:43):
A sheet and then we'll have we'll print them all
out and I'll come up with like ten to fifteen questions,
right coin toss. You know, who has the first completion,
who throws the first interception, who has the first touchdown?
Speaker 2 (37:58):
Who wins? You know over under, like a bunch of
who has the longest catch the first sack. You can
go up with it a bunch of different questions and
then they're worth different varying amounts of points, and then
everyone fills them out before the game and at the end,
and then everyone puts in whatever you want to do
ten twenty fifty hundred dollars. A person at the end,
whoever has the most amount of points wins. So that's
(38:19):
a way to bet on the coin toss.
Speaker 3 (38:21):
But I would never want to lose a bet before
the game starts. That's just on something that is literally
a coin toss. But then I would say it would
be terrible. So no plus money, yes, but I bet it,
but no, Well.
Speaker 1 (38:34):
They would never give you that on a coin toss.
But is there anything.
Speaker 2 (38:38):
You'll be steamed? Tails? Tails?
Speaker 1 (38:41):
Yeah, that's a good question for for Evan Abrams. Has
the coin toss ever been steamed?
Speaker 3 (38:46):
I think there was a time that you could get
like even money. Plus I don't know. Sometimes there's a
they'll have boosts.
Speaker 1 (38:54):
Like you would say promotionally that yeah, some of.
Speaker 2 (38:56):
Books have promotions for it, and then ups one on
the coin. But what I don't it's the coin toss waxing.
Speaker 1 (39:07):
I'm looking at my old notes and I saw something
about waxing and waning moons. Is there anything on that
with the coin toss?
Speaker 5 (39:14):
The full moon was yesterday, but I don't look at that.
I usually, for some reason, every time I win the
coin toss, the rest of my bets are shit, and
every time I lose the coin toss, I win the
rest of them. So it's kind of like a prediction
thing for me, just as like a superstition. But I
usually for the coin toss wind up going heads because
(39:35):
I feel like everybody wants it to be tails, because
of tails never fails. But what people don't take into
consideration is that when you're flipping like a US coin,
the headside is usually a little bit heavier, and so
with these coins that are like pretty neutral most of
the time as far as weight, Like you're taking tails
just for a superstition thing.
Speaker 4 (39:54):
You are.
Speaker 1 (39:54):
You just layered in sharp analysis for the coin, toss.
I want you to know that you might be the.
Speaker 5 (39:59):
Only person I think give me the big bucks man.
Speaker 1 (40:01):
That's fantastic.
Speaker 5 (40:01):
I have been trying to see this coin for days.
I looked at last year's and it was very even,
and I had heads last year, so.
Speaker 1 (40:09):
Well, it rotated tails and heads over the last four years,
so no trend there. However, the last time Seattle played
New England in the Super Bowl, it did land on tails.
Speaker 2 (40:18):
So if we talk about the pointoffs for one more minute,
you know, I knew.
Speaker 4 (40:22):
That that was more nball.
Speaker 5 (40:24):
Just go for me on the anthem.
Speaker 1 (40:27):
It's stuck. You don't worry. We can all feel it.
We can all feel it. It's it's sort of like
sand sipping through the hourglass. All right, let's let's wrap
on this.
Speaker 4 (40:35):
Well, I gotta give out one more NBA thing on
the show. I have to give out one more NBA thing.
That's why he brought me on the only thing I
have value. Its the only reason I exist on this planet. Okay,
that and going ahead to have with Stucky on counting
crows lyrics, there's one that Sakham points and rebounds versus
Trayvon Henderson rushing and receiving Seacam's price minus one thirty.
(40:55):
So I think it's interesting on this is Chris Raybond
gave out this week on Action Network and catch it
in the app up fifty plus yards for Henderson at
plus seven fifty long shot on him for one of
the props. So you can kind of take a position
that's almost it's not pure here, there's a lot of
there's some variance in there, but I almost kind of
like taking taking Siakam as the seat as the Seahawks
(41:19):
win that battle of the rushing game and then Henderson
breaks it according to Chris's prop. So I think there's
actually a little bit of value on looking at that
one and deciding at least which side of that coin
you're on.
Speaker 1 (41:30):
Yeah, when I was looking at that one, Sorry, sorry stuck,
no more, no more coins. This one feels like free money.
With the way that Seattle is able to gobble up
an opponent's run game and Traveon Henderson has not been
involved in the receiving game. I do think that the
Patriots could possibly get creative here, as Kendro is mentioning,
(41:53):
because if they don't use Henderson here, I think their
ability to create explosive plays is going to be pretty
much non existent. But we just haven't seen it recently. Sam,
I mean, you kind of know what you're gonna get
from him. I feel like this is priced correctly, but
to me feels like the side so you're saying that
you think is the bet and yet and then moon
(42:14):
shotting Travion? Am I reading that correctly? Yeah?
Speaker 4 (42:17):
Follow Do you go check out Chris Raybonds either that
or just figure out which side is more compelling to
you on that one based off of it, because it's
like if you like, if you if you if you think,
if you don't think that he's gonna do that, he's
gonna be able to hit that, he's gonna be limited,
right if you don't think that, if you want to
take on this one, just take Chris Raybonds prop.
Speaker 3 (42:36):
I do think that the Patriots have to these Anderson
more in this game, and they will. We'll try to
find him.
Speaker 5 (42:41):
I mean the.
Speaker 3 (42:43):
Led the league in percentage of dropbacks that are dumped
down to running backs. Like that's they give up pros
to running backs. Throws the tight ends. Now, they could
change up things here, but the Patriots have to find ways.
They're not gonna have to run the ball just on
a down to down basis canstantly. The Seahawks run defense
is historically dominant, and the Patriots have been able to
(43:04):
run the ball against great run defenses all year and
this is the best. So I think they need Henderson,
whether it's in the run game or you know, out
of the backfield in creative ways. They need his explosive ability.
They need him to hit an explosive player too, So
I'm curious to see how they do use him. And
(43:25):
then if they what is that that split in the backfield, Like,
I mean, they didn't use them at all, They trusted
It's more in pass protection. Seahawks have a good they
can get pressure a good defense line, but they don't
really blitz as much. So you could as as the Broncos,
and they're not a high blifting team. So I think
this could be a game where there is some upside
with Stevenson and then speaking upside, do you guys have that?
Speaker 2 (43:48):
Henderson?
Speaker 3 (43:49):
Yeah, upside With Henderson speaking of upside, you guys have
a long shot m v P.
Speaker 1 (43:54):
Look, Oh yes, I do. Go ahead, Matt, you go first.
I feel the need for.
Speaker 4 (44:00):
I love rascheat Shaheed MVP here thirty to one. I
love it. Pot return no kickoff returns. Kasetucky commented pre
show about how rarely it just never happens in the
NFL anymore, which is insane. These rules are absolutely bonkers.
But pot return possibilities, receiving possibilities. I talked about the
end a round capability. I just I want somebody like that,
(44:20):
if you throw in the special team's angle of this
and that, if this is a low scoring game where
neither quarterback looks good, if it's just like a defensive
battle back and forth, but Shaheed gets a pot return
touchdown and then has a lot of receiving yards and
or another touchdown. Love for sheet shaheat here thirty to one,
give me Shaheed, I.
Speaker 3 (44:41):
Would say, yeah, but you mentioned kickoffs, like it's like
twenty to one for kickoff re turn for touchdown, Just
to give you numbers on that. During the regular season,
there were I think over two thousand kick return six
went for a touchdown zero point three percent, So I
mean she did have one of them. Gibson did have
one of them for Patriots of the six, but I
(45:03):
need a little bit more than twenty two to one there,
and like defensive special team score I think is plus
two thirty five plus two fifty. Yes, I mean during
the regular season happened like one every four games. You
might say, like these quarterbacks, they're a little more chance
of mistakes, but you know, it only happened in three
Seahawks games, twenty percent of their total games. It happened
(45:23):
in five Pats games. So I mean I even better
odds than that happened overall. One in four NFL games
had a defensive or special team score this year. My
long shot, I think it's going to be a lower
scoring game. I think it's going to be close. If so,
I could see Shahid. But I do think like if
(45:48):
you have the Patriots in New Seahawks, these are two
electric punt returners, right, you know that you're going to
try to keep them all away from them, try to
not give them opportunities for returns.
Speaker 2 (45:57):
But I'll throw out two emon Warre.
Speaker 3 (46:03):
He I mean, is like a linebacker and a defensive
back that can make plays in so many different ways.
He's McDonald's chess piece. I think he's gonna use him
in a lot of creative ways here. He could make
a play or two in many different ways. Could be
a strip sack, could be a pick.
Speaker 4 (46:18):
Or.
Speaker 3 (46:20):
You know, maybe it's basically a quarterback, a wide receiver,
or like it's been, like a random linebacker or safety,
but or defensive end. I'll throw out Christian Gonzalez just
because if this is really low scoring and it comes
down to like that random play that happens or a
pick six, Like I said, Christian Gonzalez might either be
(46:41):
on JSN by himself, and in that case he's gonna
get a lot of opportunities to make plays, or they
might bracket JSN and then it's going to be they're
gonna he's gonna get targets against a way, you know,
a way way worse receiver than JSN, and he's gonna
get opportunities there. So maybe he can jump around get
(47:02):
a pick or two. So those will be two just
super long shots you want.
Speaker 1 (47:05):
To throw on Christian Gonzalez one hundred to one. Kendrick,
what about you, long shot MVP?
Speaker 5 (47:11):
I gave out Milton Williams on my show on Saturday.
You're telling me that, yes, Drake May is the best
player on the Patriots, but I would say he's the
most valuable. But Milton Williams is the best. He outside
of Drake is their number one playmaker on that team.
Whi's the most likely defensive super Bowl we've seen, and
I don't even know how long if both of these
(47:32):
quarterbacks turn back into shells of themselves what we've seen
from Drake May with the fumbles in the postseason, the
person we know Sam Darnold can be with the interceptions.
If this is a bad quarterbacking game, which a lot
of people are thinking, there's potential for it to beads
the first first chance they're getting on this stage, if
they both get nervous defensive football, and you're gonna give
me the Patriots second best player with those odds, he
(47:54):
could get a fumble, he could get a sack, he
could have both. If there's any argument that he may,
someone can make it's Milton Williams.
Speaker 4 (48:01):
For me.
Speaker 1 (48:03):
I am looking defense as well. I'm gonna flip to
the other team, DeMarcus Lawrence ninety to one odds on
favorite to lead the game in sacks. And here we
have Drake May that's been sacked sixty two times. That's
number one in the NFL. He's had six fumbles in
the playoffs. Five of those have come on strip sacks.
Four of those came on May's blind side. Will Campbell's
(48:24):
been an issue. DeMarcus Lawrence Super Bowl MVP ninety to one.
If Seattle does win in a blowout, it's going to
be because their defense just reaks havoc on that Patriots
offensive line. I don't necessarily think the game is going
to go that way, but if we're talking long shot,
I'm trying to predict an extreme game script, and the
most extreme with that is still possibility is that Seattle
(48:47):
just runs away with this and they do it defensively.
Speaker 2 (48:49):
I will say.
Speaker 3 (48:50):
Lawrence would have I think the Seahawks won a game
forty four to twenty two earlier this year, and I
think Lawrence would have won MVP if they was the
Super Bowl thirty four yard strip sack touchdown, and then
he had a twenty two yard strip sack recovery touchdown,
so he had two touchdowns in the first or almost
like identical plays. I think if you go back to
(49:12):
that game, he would have won MVP.
Speaker 2 (49:14):
I don't know.
Speaker 3 (49:15):
I mean, Darnold was ten of twelve for one hundred
and seventy eight yards a touchdown interception. I don't think
it would have been him. Maybe Jasen, but he had
five catches in a touchdown, he had ninety yards. I
think Lawrence would have won it that game. That's an
exercise I do. I go back and look who would
have won the MVPs for each team and.
Speaker 4 (49:33):
What you can get. Will the Super Bowl MVP have
zero touchdowns? That would be a great bet. That'd be
a great one, great one to look at me.
Speaker 1 (49:40):
You have definitely seen that in the past. Matt, Do
you have a question about bad Bunny from I do?
Speaker 4 (49:45):
I do have a question about bad Bunny as an
old guy. I gotta ask Kendra this because this market
is up and I need to I need advice on
this because I think it's a great question. Okay, halftime opener?
All right, to set this up, here are the last
five did squabble up as the intro or the intro
was actually bodies and then into Squabble Up Usher open
(50:09):
with My Way is the intro, and then caught up.
You're not gonna do the biggest song, right, Like, that's
never gonna be the opener.
Speaker 5 (50:14):
Oh god no.
Speaker 4 (50:16):
Uh Rihanna's was bitch better to have My Money, which
was amazing I did.
Speaker 1 (50:20):
Not have, by the way, did not have Matt Moore
saying bitch better have my money on my Can we.
Speaker 2 (50:26):
Clip that and have that?
Speaker 4 (50:28):
Next episode by Doctor Derey Snoop Dogg at All was
in twenty twenty two. That was the that's like a
that fits the kind of the range I think of
what we're talking about. And then the weekend was Starboy.
It opened though with a choir rendition to call out
my name. So, like, what I'm interested in on this
market is like, okay, if they're gonna count the first
song played, which isn't necessarily they don't even perform versus
(50:51):
the performance one, be real careful with this one. The
odds on favorite right now is Meragunto Okay, that one's
that one's the favorite right now, and then the next
highest is by A. L. B. Dablay I believe is
the root word. Kendra, what's the first song that's gonna
be played by Bad Bunny.
Speaker 5 (51:10):
It has to be Monico. There is no other option
in my opinion, because I feel like he is a
theatrical performer, and I expect that violin intro to be him,
with like the lights and everything, giving people a minute
to feel him coming out, feel like the show that's
about to go down. He has to start with Monico.
It's the most iconic entrance to a song he has,
(51:33):
and the shot of that happening, I think, if I
am correct, Gifford sent me nineteen hundred yesterday, so I
think it has to be Monico's.
Speaker 4 (51:41):
That's great, awesome.
Speaker 1 (51:43):
I was researching the heads and tails of a coin
while you guys were talking about that, and there is
a slight bias to heads because of the weight. So
Kendra spot on analysis earlier on in the show. She's
winning bets for you at the start of the game,
middle of the game, possibly even the end of Milton
Williams comes through with a big one for the New
England Patriots. All right, now, let's zoom to the future
(52:07):
Super Champions Parlay. You can go super Chalky here. You
can also I will allow other sports to be thrown
in let's make it three legs. Super Bowl winner, two
other champions over the next year NBA, Major League Baseball,
NCAA tournament. Throw the Masters in there, real quick, off
(52:33):
the top of the dome, around the horn. Matt will
start with you.
Speaker 4 (52:37):
Okay, I want Seahawks Celtics underrate like I get OKAC.
I know I'm telling either not as good as last year.
I haven't had a repeat champion since twenty eighteen. A
lot of injury issues for OKC this year. Good time
to get in on some of these longer shots. I
don't want the Nuggets because their route is too hard
in the West. If they get Jason Tatum back, that's great.
(52:59):
And then the Color Avalanche in the NHL. Their only
real problems are overtime and the power play, which I
think they're gonna address it the deadline. So give me
those three. Give me Seahawks, Celtics, Avalanche.
Speaker 1 (53:12):
Kendre.
Speaker 5 (53:13):
You said I can do three of the any of
the big leagues.
Speaker 1 (53:16):
Three, but one of them has to be the Super Bowl, Okay.
Speaker 5 (53:19):
So I'm gonna go Seahawks, Dodgers, and Houston Rockets.
Speaker 1 (53:23):
Oh all right, I like that writing all these down
Seahawks Rockets, Seahawks, Rockets, and the Dodgers. Yep, yeah, the
Dodgers feel like such an easy bet here. All right, Stucky,
what about you?
Speaker 2 (53:35):
I mean it's still baseball.
Speaker 3 (53:38):
Like there were almost should have lost to the JS arguably.
Speaker 2 (53:42):
I mean they were on the ropes. I'll say, let's
make it fun.
Speaker 1 (53:49):
Seahawks Mariners, oh oh yeah, you go to All Seattle.
Speaker 2 (53:54):
And thunder the ex Sonics, dig.
Speaker 1 (54:00):
That the All Seattle parlay. All right, I'm gonna go
with the Spurs. I think the come up has arrived
for Victim and Binyama. The New England I'll uh, he
doesn't need to be he's an alien. I'm gonna take
the New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl, okay,
maybe the only man in America taking that side these days.
(54:22):
And Scottie Scheffler to win the Masters. That'll be my.
Speaker 4 (54:26):
Golf.
Speaker 1 (54:27):
Okay, all right, I golf on you. I was gonna
take the Dodgers, but that just felt too easy. Matt,
thanks so much for hanging out with us today. Make
sure that you go and follow up on Matt.
Speaker 2 (54:37):
What are you doing for though?
Speaker 5 (54:38):
What do you?
Speaker 2 (54:38):
We gotta ask you that I'm.
Speaker 4 (54:40):
Watching NBA games. It's what I'm doing for.
Speaker 1 (54:43):
Are you serious?
Speaker 2 (54:46):
You mean my replays?
Speaker 4 (54:48):
I got work, I got work, I got I gotta
do film. I'm doing film work on Jeremy Buyer of
the Suns, doing a big breakdown a him. That's what
I'm doing.
Speaker 3 (54:55):
No, I will.
Speaker 4 (54:56):
We're making not We're making nachos with the kids and
and out, and the kids are gonna have some friends over.
Speaker 5 (55:01):
I'm mad and disappointed. Why look because he because he's
gonna not watch the super Bowl.
Speaker 4 (55:07):
Here's the thing, We're gonna be honest. This isn't a
This isn't a real super Bowl.
Speaker 1 (55:11):
Oh my god, go back to buckets.
Speaker 4 (55:14):
I'm just saying, like, this isn't a real Like we
know these teams are not that good, right, stucky, Like
we know these teams are not that good.
Speaker 2 (55:22):
Uh, there's a wide open year like it could have been.
Speaker 4 (55:26):
The Chiefs gave everybody one off. It's nice.
Speaker 3 (55:32):
I like the Raves that are down year with injuries.
But if they got in this is why we was
so devastating. They could won the super Bowl.
Speaker 4 (55:37):
Yeah, the super Bowl chance gave them one.
Speaker 3 (55:43):
Shers probably didn't have the Steelers didn't have that ceiling.
This is the Panthers didn't, but like everyone else.
Speaker 5 (55:51):
You forced America to watch the Taylor Swift Super Bowl.
I don't want to hear it.
Speaker 1 (55:55):
Oh my god, Matt. This is like being invited to
a wedding and then saying the chicken socked. Okay, this
is not yes, yeah.
Speaker 4 (56:04):
This is not just saying we all know it's a
fake year. It's okay. There's astra seasons.
Speaker 1 (56:09):
All the time. Horrible behavior by you. Go back to buckets,
Matt Moore, Ladies and gentlemen. That'll do it for today's
episode special thanks to our producers David Paine and Gifford Gold.
The Favorites will return on Thursday afternoon right here on
the Action Network YouTube page, when we finally hand out
our non heads or tails plays for Super Bowl sixty
(56:29):
between the Pats and the Seahawks were getting so close.
We'll see you next time here on the Favorites presented
by DraftKings, The Crown is yours.
Speaker 4 (56:48):
Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.
Speaker 1 (56:52):
If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem.
Speaker 4 (56:55):
Help is available twenty four to seven at one eight
hundred Gambler
Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The crown
is yours. We are an Action Network podcast. I'm Brandon Kravitz,
back at it with my crew, the first Lady of
the Pod, Kendri Middleton, and the Prime Minister of DJEN Nation, Stucky.
On today's episode, we've got a special guest joining us,
Matt Moore, the Mayor of Buckets. We're talking cross sport
(00:30):
plays in the NFL and the NBA Wild Props and
whatever else is on Matt's big brain. Stucky, give us
one thing that we learned about college basketball this week.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
The freshmen are so good. I mean it's insane.
Speaker 3 (00:45):
I mean, you go back to Woggler for Illinois against Nebraska,
hostile environment, just took control of that second half. And
then I mean Darren Peterson last night he actually played
in the second half for Kansas. He's one of the
smoothest players I've ever seen. Hit two huge threes late.
And the freshman I mean, you look Matt's here. I mean,
(01:08):
you look at the NBA draft board for next year,
You're gonna see freshman, freshman, freshman, freshman, freshman, freshman all
down the line. We got a matchup of two this
week on Saturday to Carolina Caleb Wilson and Boozer. That'll
be a really fun matchup. But the freshman this year unbelievable.
(01:31):
Like Woggler and Peterson, they look like and these these
freshman guards that I mean, they're they're playing like they've
been in college basketball for three to four years and
they're so poised and it's pretty amazing. So if you're
just getting into college basketball or won't until after uh
you know, the super Bowl or even until March, freshmen
(01:53):
are going to have a massive say in who ends
up in Indianapolis and who ends up cutting down the net.
Speaker 2 (02:01):
So there's so many.
Speaker 3 (02:02):
I mean, you go down the board of these the
top ten, I mean I didn't even mentioned Flemings for Houston,
who has come out of nowhere.
Speaker 2 (02:12):
I mean Arizona, what's that?
Speaker 4 (02:14):
Top five? Flemings going top five?
Speaker 1 (02:17):
Max? All right, I didn't know that we were going
to hit this, but Matt Moore's big board. Let's let's
get it going.
Speaker 3 (02:21):
Arizona starts three by like three freshmen, and I mean
they haven't lost yet. It's it's pretty remarkable. But I
have why is it Wogler getting more hype and that
is he starting Is that starting to build up?
Speaker 4 (02:33):
I haven't heard much about him, honestly, I don't know why.
There's probably something that's got to do with either his
wingspan or something on the medical history, but there hasn't
been as much I've heard on him. Or they may
not expect him to come out this year, but because
it is a freaking loaded draft, I want to know
from you. So I talked two people that were at
k at kub Yu this week, and they were both
(02:54):
they both said the same thing that you said, which
is like Peterson's just so polished, like he has so
much his game. And that's really if you're a franchise
and you're looking to bring in a guy as you're
number one, that's a really big boost to you because
you just don't have to worry about all of the
times that the coach is driven nuts by how that
player plays, because it's like, no, he just knows how
to handle the ball, he knows how to get to
(03:15):
his spots, et cetera. I just continue to feel like
Boozer is the best player in the draft. Like I'm
I am surprised that Peterson continues to be odds on
favor to go number one. What's the hole in Boozer's games, Stucky.
Speaker 3 (03:29):
Yeah, there's not man and you have de bans at
devonsa two who out at BYU A lot of people love, Yeah,
I mean Boozer. I feel like Boozer might be more.
Speaker 2 (03:43):
I don't really, there's not many holes.
Speaker 3 (03:44):
I mean he's he's also a terrific passer, which he
is credit for, and he plays like a man like
he looks like you know, I mentioned all these guards,
but Boozer looks like you know, a guy who's four
years older than everyone. Yeah, in the ACC and he's
a freshman. There's no ru holes in his game.
Speaker 2 (04:01):
I don't know. I mean I'm not too up to
date in the NBA.
Speaker 3 (04:04):
He he might it might be more for him, like
does he fit like his actual role, Like as far
as position, I'd like because a guy like Peterson.
Speaker 4 (04:14):
Can plug and play.
Speaker 2 (04:15):
Yeah, yeah, plug and play.
Speaker 3 (04:16):
I mean he's a pro score already, So maybe Boozer
there's you have more fit questions based on the roster.
Speaker 2 (04:23):
And I don't know. I'm not an NBA expert, but
there's no real.
Speaker 4 (04:27):
Holes that the bad news is there right now? On
Tankathon Darren Peterson slaved to go to the King, so
ripped to his career. But that's just done.
Speaker 2 (04:35):
So who are the top three right now that are
going to know?
Speaker 4 (04:38):
It's it's Peterson, Boozer de Bonsa, No, no.
Speaker 3 (04:40):
I mean that. Who do you think the top three
are going to be? Like the three most likely? I
know there's a lottery, but the three most.
Speaker 4 (04:46):
Like I mean, yeah, the lottery is the problem, right.
I think it's probably gonna be like Atlanta because they
got the Pelicans. Pick Atlanta, Sacramento and Utah are probably
the the most likely to go top three.
Speaker 2 (05:02):
The dream scenarioes.
Speaker 3 (05:04):
I missed the days when the Kings, the Kings were good,
Like there's there's just like college basketball is better, I
mean college best was better. When Memphis is good and
Memphis is tarbic, Memphis is under five hundred.
Speaker 4 (05:17):
Kendra was not alive the last time the Kings were legitimately, well,
they were good two years ago, but before that, Kendra
was not alive.
Speaker 3 (05:22):
I mean, like real, real legit. I missed that when
the Blazers and the Kings.
Speaker 2 (05:28):
That was fun. My NBA fandom beat this is right, right.
Speaker 1 (05:35):
I just want to This is a really good promotion
for those out there listening that love all sports. BBOC
buckets make that part of your action network and podcasting
and youtubing collection. I wrote into the rundown for Kendra
to give us a quick recap on the Grammys, and
I thought for sure she'd had something to say about it.
(05:56):
I don't know many people that are as excited about
the Bad Bunny halftime show as she is, and yet
get I get a note here that says, I have
no idea. I was watching goalies fighting around. How do
you not have Grammys? Takes your boy Bad Bunny one
Album of the Year.
Speaker 5 (06:11):
I know, but I was not watching the Grammys. I
don't watch any of the award shows. I know that
I'm like pretty into the pop culture thing, but I'm
not into that side of the pop culture thing. I
was watching the Stadium series. I was watching goalies fight
surrounded by a pirate cosplay at Gasparola. Actually so sorry, Yeah.
Speaker 1 (06:27):
How about that? It was It was as cold as
the ice itself, and takes you had to cool.
Speaker 5 (06:33):
The ice during intermission because they thought that it was
gonna be you warm enough down there for them to
be able to keep this whole contraption that they built,
but they actually had to cool or warm the ice
to keep it like the best possible temperature during the
breaks because it was so cold in Florida. But that
game was I don't know if you guys know this
about me. Outside of football and F one, hockey is
(06:53):
like my favorite thing. I covered hockey all through college.
I opened penalty box doors in D three club Polly
Hockey at Auburn. So yeah, I'm a big hockey goal.
Speaker 1 (07:05):
Wow.
Speaker 4 (07:05):
My wife is this like very She's short, and she's
she teaches literature out of college and is like a
super mom and like a gentle she's on the PTA,
but you take her to an Avalanche game and the
woman turns into a raging psychopath.
Speaker 5 (07:26):
Like.
Speaker 4 (07:28):
Immediately immediately, I've blasting. I took her to guy scores
a goal in the first couple of minutes with the
other team and hits the glass and like boom, two
fingers right up, just like.
Speaker 5 (07:40):
You're married.
Speaker 1 (07:40):
I love the idea that like seven rows down, someone's like,
I think that woman's on the PTA.
Speaker 4 (07:45):
With total psycho is.
Speaker 1 (07:49):
She's swinging her shirt over her head right now, what
is going on?
Speaker 4 (07:52):
She's throwing hammers.
Speaker 5 (07:53):
It's not good, that's amazing.
Speaker 1 (07:56):
We're about to dive into our cross sport plays for
Super Bowl sixty, but first a word from our very
own Kendri Biddleton.
Speaker 5 (08:03):
The Favorites podcast has teamed up with DraftKings sportsbook, where
new customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred
dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins. Love
the thrill of live betting. DraftKings has got you covered.
Bet live on star player props and in progress games
right as they happen to get started. To use promo
code Favorites when signing up with DraftKings again, use code
(08:23):
Favorites when signing up and bet five bucks to get
three hundred back in bonus bets. If your bet wins,
the crown is yours.
Speaker 1 (08:31):
Matt Moore the dawn of the round ball here with
us on our Tuesday episode of The Favorites. Cross Sport plays.
Always a fun way to bet the Bowl Before we
get into it, Stucky, if you had one question about
the NBA this season, since you have not paid any
attention to it, so we've basically just dropped you from
outer space into the world of the NBA pre trade deadline,
(08:54):
pre All Star break. What would be one question that
you would have for Matt as we make him feel
nice and at home here.
Speaker 4 (09:01):
You can't say why does the NBA exist? That's like,
just to be clear, you can't ask that question.
Speaker 3 (09:06):
Step my my, My question always is why is the
season so long?
Speaker 2 (09:10):
Why?
Speaker 4 (09:10):
Why aren't they short? I.
Speaker 2 (09:15):
By the way, I didn't even know the Grammys were
last night, so I just I look.
Speaker 3 (09:19):
I saw this morning though, that that I like that
stet girl Olivia Dean won Best New Artist, That that
song is so catchy.
Speaker 2 (09:28):
I love that song. Man is good.
Speaker 3 (09:32):
I avoid all award shows like the Plague because I
never especially music ones, Oh my gosh, because I never
feel older, because I.
Speaker 5 (09:39):
Don't know any that. Can you give me a list
of your three favorite artists because I feel like this
is something I don't know about you that will help
me understand you.
Speaker 2 (09:49):
Three favorite artists.
Speaker 5 (09:51):
It can be artists, band like whatever. But what do
you listen to?
Speaker 3 (09:56):
I mean, of all time, my music is all over
the board. But I would say, like, and I'll give
you three that across all spectrums. How about like Tupac
counting crows and taking back Sunday.
Speaker 5 (10:14):
That is the most millennial thing you could have ever said.
So I feel okay, amazing, Yeah, all right?
Speaker 3 (10:20):
Uh oh the NBA, so I will ask I guess
I got coming into the year which confused me.
Speaker 1 (10:30):
What.
Speaker 2 (10:30):
I don't know what happened with the Hawks.
Speaker 3 (10:31):
I thought they were like the sneaky the sneaky pick
of like, oh, they can take advantage of this week East?
But who is Like the Calves are seven and a
half back. I thought the Calves would be at the top.
I'm just looking at the standings and the Pistons are
five and a half games up. I mean, who do
you think eventually comes out of the East? Is Tatum
(10:53):
coming back? Like I make sense of the East makes
I mean the West is going to be.
Speaker 2 (10:57):
Like can someone take down the Thunder?
Speaker 3 (10:59):
Probably not, but the East to me is probably way
more interesting, especially if people look into maybe better future or.
Speaker 2 (11:04):
Just yeah that the East come playoff time.
Speaker 4 (11:07):
Yeah, I've got a position on Celtics. All the matter
tricks that I've got. Basically, the Celtics underperformed for two
months and they've been updated, like they played some guys
that were struggling to move those guys out move better.
Guys in their rotation gets a little bit tighter every
single month. As far as Tatum goes, uh, that's a
little bit of a like that's geting to be a
little bit an awkward question in Boston, and nobody really
knows what's going on. My understanding is that Jason Tatum
(11:31):
would like to come back, and I'm not sure that
the Celtics are sure that that's a good idea, and
that's causing a little bit of tension. Jalen Brown's played
like an MVP this season. We don't know how that's
gonna shake out. Chalk Answers Nicks just because they have
more experience, Like Detroit is that team that's like way
overperforming this season. They're awesome, they're a lot of fun.
They have the number two defense in the NBA. They're dogs,
they're a lot of fun to watch. Kids awesome, but
(11:52):
they don't have enough shooting, Like, they don't have enough firepower.
It's why they're trying to make a move of the
deadline to upgrade their scoring punch Nicks. We'll see what
they do by Thursday if they don't get Giannis, which
I'm not expecting at this point because Giannis is on
the block. I think Nix is probably the safest option. Celtics,
I think has the best value. And if you're looking
(12:13):
for a long shot, it's the Calves who last night
though they might be trading for James Harden, which anytime
that you're like, we'll look at make a playoff run,
who you're adding James Harden, I'm out. I'm out. So
a little bit worried about that one because I did
bet some Calves on long shot sixers. A little bit
dangerous too. Joe Embids actually playing this year, playing really great,
Tyres Max has been an absolute beast. Now, don't bet
(12:35):
the Yeah, don't bet the Raptors. That's kind of your East.
Speaker 1 (12:39):
Look.
Speaker 4 (12:39):
It's like Nick's Celtics or Calves are still the best value.
And that's where we were at preseason.
Speaker 3 (12:44):
One of the questions where where's Gianni's gonna go? And
that's the question.
Speaker 4 (12:48):
Yeah, So James, I talked to people last night and
here's what what I've heard. Everyone thinks like they've had
all these deep conversations with Minnesota, Golden State in Miami.
That's the three teams that have the most conversation. There
are other teams that have called, obviously including the Cavaliers.
The problem is is that in the summer, the Heat
(13:10):
open up two more draft picks that they can trade
because there's limits on which ones you can trade right now,
and the Knicks open up two more draft picks. So
if you're the Bucks and Giannis is not making you
move him right now, and he's not, he's like, if
you want to keep me, it's fine, but eventually we
need to get this figured out. They get to operate
on their timeline. So my understanding is that the GM
of the Bucks is surveying options, getting everything set so
(13:32):
that this summer he can go back and be like, no, no, no.
In February, this is what you offered. Or in February
I had this offer, You're gonna have to be that
offer right now. They are collecting offers right now. There's
a lot of skepticism the deals is actually gonna get
done before Thursday this summer, though I continue to believe
that if Minnesota doesn't grab him by the deadline, I
think the Knicks are still the most likely scenario here.
(13:53):
Knicks flame out in the playoffs. They trade Karl Anthony
Towns and Ogna Noobi for extra assets to go to Milwaukee,
and Yiannis ends up where he wanted to go the summer,
which is to the New York next.
Speaker 2 (14:02):
I feel like this, I feel the Warriors would make
sense just in that you have Steph Carey, who's what
thirty thirty I.
Speaker 4 (14:10):
Don't know, thirty thirty five next.
Speaker 3 (14:12):
Year, and like how many years left does he haven't? Wait,
he's thirty seven?
Speaker 4 (14:20):
Oh yeah something my bad?
Speaker 3 (14:22):
So at a high level a couple, so like after
he's done, I feel like that's like, who cares?
Speaker 2 (14:31):
Just blow it up. You're gonna to start all over.
It's gonna get poppy. Do you just try to go
after it?
Speaker 4 (14:37):
For the words the Warriors have literally told the Bucks
will be any offer anything you want, will give you anything.
The problem is they just don't have as much. They're
basically like, do you want to bank on us not
being able to put together a halfway decent team of
a sub five hundred team after Steph retires? Like that's
(14:58):
the gambit because they have nothing else. It's like, hey,
do you want Jimmy Butler's corpse and Jonathan kaminga who
no one wants? Cool?
Speaker 2 (15:04):
Yep?
Speaker 3 (15:04):
So all right, we got anything on Yea, let's talk football.
Speaker 1 (15:07):
Let's do it. So let's talk across sport plays here
we've got. Before we get to that, let's talk about
the Booty call over on Draft Kings kai Shaun Booty
to have a forty plus yard receiving touchdown at twelve
to one. I guess he kind of figure Matt that
if he's going to catch a touchdown pass, it's probably
going to be deep down the field. So is this
(15:29):
one that you would take a look at?
Speaker 4 (15:30):
So I wanted to talk to Ta Stucky who said
he's gonna be the grinch on the show, and I
want to ask him and Kendro, I want your thoughts
on this too. My understanding is that Seahawks play zone right,
Seahawks play, they show cover two, yeah, and then they
show cover They show cover two and then they move
into cover three a lot. Is that accurate?
Speaker 1 (15:51):
Yes?
Speaker 2 (15:52):
Yeah, a lot of the Skies cover just eighty percent zone.
Speaker 3 (15:54):
But like it's a super Bowl, you what do you
have to keep in mind for this is that two
weeks to it's the last game of the season. The
other team knows your tendencies, you know their tendency, So
there's you know, you don't want to get too far
away from what you do.
Speaker 5 (16:09):
But do you need that Creativity is the name of
the game in the Super Bowl for sure.
Speaker 3 (16:13):
Yeah, So I wouldn't be shocked if you do see
more man because there is a world where you that
Seahawks say, Okay, they're expecting zone. Their game blends probably
going to be a lot of zone type calls and
now let's go man because we don't think that their
receivers can beat our corners. So you could see more
(16:35):
man for sure. I mean if I believe showed more
man less against the Rams and than usual, so you
definitely could see some curve balls. But in general, yes,
they're a zone heavy defense that doesn't allow explosive plays
that I mean that would be my like that I
would need better than twelve to one. I'm gonna be
(16:55):
the gridge on this because usually betting on these things
to happen, the odds are usually terrible. I mean, how
many how many catches of forty plus yards do you
think Booty had in the regular season? Just guesser zero zero, Yeah,
he's zero forty yard catches. You need a forty yard
catch and a touchdown. The Seahawks allowed. You know, they
(17:17):
don't allow it's supposed to play. They allowed i think
four fifty yard passes all seasoned long.
Speaker 4 (17:24):
Yeah, and like all of his deep passes were to
the sideline. That's why I asked about the zone is
because I was like, Okay, if you're in cover three,
you're literally taking away that area of the field that
he's going to probably be able to get to there
because there's no gap between the cover two and the safeties, right.
Speaker 3 (17:39):
Yeah, and you have you also have Matt Collins who
came back, who he'll occasionally take. He might take some
of those away. We saw that against Denver, so he
might take some of those deep shots away from Booty.
So yeah, I would need better than twelve to one
to bet that for sure.
Speaker 4 (17:58):
On the other end, if you just think they're gonna
play more more man and you think you know, yeah, they're.
Speaker 3 (18:03):
Gonna play more man than yeah, there's gonna be May's
gonna take his shots.
Speaker 4 (18:07):
Yeah, he's so good on the deep ball.
Speaker 3 (18:09):
But the other thing is is like if the game
is close and low scoring, then maybe not because the
Patriots have to be worried about you know, their offensive
line and May turning it over you saw that against Denver, right,
like on third downs, they basically were saying like, we're
not getting stripped, we're not getting putting the ball in
harm's way. So depending on game state, you might not
(18:30):
see as many of those shots. But like, if the
Seahawks are scoring and this game is back and forth,
May's he's gonna take his his deep shots. He has
one of the best deep balls in the NFL. But
I would need a better price than this.
Speaker 1 (18:44):
Kendrick, do you think Stucky the Grinch talked Matt Moore
off the ledge here with Kayshaun Boody.
Speaker 5 (18:51):
His energy really shifted in real time on this podcast.
He went from being like you're gonna be the grinch
y and Stucky said, Okay, let me let's sit down
for this and I'm gonna hold your hand while we
talk about it.
Speaker 1 (19:04):
Accurate.
Speaker 4 (19:05):
Matt, Yeah, I think so. I think I had questions stuck.
Speaker 1 (19:08):
He answered, all right, let's keep it moving then. JSN receptions,
here's one I can get down with. Well, we're taking
JSN straight up against Jalen Brown rebounds. This is kind
of fun stuff that you can bet when it comes
to Super Bowl Sunday. Jalen Brown and the Celtics taking
on the New York Knicks, and Brown averages five point
(19:29):
four rebounds per game against the Knicks the last three seasons.
This guy, with Jason Tatum not in the lineup this year,
has been a rebounding machine. Get we see him get
it up to double digits quite frequently. JSN certainly capable
of doing that in the receiving game. I wish there
was a nice long shot at the number being exactly
(19:49):
the same. I would be willing to bet that. But
who do you think comes out on top JSN receptions
versus Jalen Brown rebounds?
Speaker 4 (19:57):
I love the JSN here, right, our guy Brandon Anderson's
over and he's all over JSM props for this Super Bowl,
in part because I think he just wants any way
to just hate on the Patriots as much as humanly possible. Yeah,
our producer notes the tie is only plus eight hundred,
which is a little bit nice.
Speaker 1 (20:14):
I would digs at the very least.
Speaker 4 (20:17):
Which goes to Stucky's points about these markets. But the
key here is like, yeah, Jalen averages a lot of rebounds,
but he does it versus non teams that are not
dominant on the glass. That's like, there's a couple of
teams in the league that are just simply built on rebounding,
and the Knicks are one of them. There's such a
dominant rebounding team. One of the things, though, I think
is that the Knicks are playing better defense lately, so
(20:38):
that creates more misses, which obviously creates a better opportunity.
But the Celtics also play at a really glacial pace.
They're one of the slowest teams in the league. Nixill
let them play that slow. They're not looking to push
the ball, and their wings are so good at rebounding.
Not just Ognobi, but McHale Bridges is actually a sneaky
good rebounder, and Miles McBride actually routinely does a really
(20:58):
good job of man the defensive glass at least, so
you don't have these offensive opportunities. I do know't think
there's gonna be a lot of chances for Jalen to
get the ball and race up the floor. So to me,
this is like JSN. This is a great one. Everyone
on the bucket side loves taking JSN receptions over Jalen
Brown rebounds.
Speaker 3 (21:16):
I would say my one pushback on it would be
you know, like you go back to There's been a
couple of games where I mean I go back to
that the Vikings game. I know they won in blaw fashion,
but Jason only had two catches on four targets for
twenty yards and Floor has basically bracketed them a lot.
(21:40):
So what is the game This is one of the
most fascinating things of this game to me. What is
the game plan of the Patriots in how they handle Jsn?
There are because there's two clear schools of thought. You
could have Gonzales on him and follow him your best corner.
(22:02):
Now did the Seahawks counter and put them more in
the slot and move them around more coming out of
the backfield sometimes, like do some more creative things with
them or do the Patriots say do.
Speaker 2 (22:12):
They take the Belichick approach?
Speaker 3 (22:13):
Like Belichick back in the day, like Matt you would
remember this when they like the when the Pats would
play the Chiefs, you would take you know, your and
this goes I mean, this goes back Belichick with this
goes Ben frabe lot. There's a lot of ties to Belichick.
Obviously in the stat this goes back to twenty twenty
five years. You would take your best corner, and you don't.
(22:37):
You don't put them on the best receiver. So like
this out they would handle Tyreek Hill. You take your
second corner and you put them on Hill. Tyreek killed it.
In this case, it would be jess And and then you
take a safety over top and you basically bracket him
the entire game. And then you have your top corner,
you know, on Shaheed or Cup whoever's on the outside there.
(22:58):
And then is there a game, Look, go ahead, Darnold,
throw to anyone else to beat us, and we'll tip
our hat and you're gonna have to do it against
our best corner, but we're gonna have JSN bracketed. That's
what I would do, Like I would just say, like, look,
I trust our run defense. I we can't have JSM
beat us. And that's what Belichick definitely would do, right
(23:20):
he takes away your strong hand. But I don't know
what the Patriots gonna do. That's one of the most
fascinating things. And it's not to say JSN still can't
go off. And then the Seahawks, I'm sure, are going
to try to use him in different formations where it's
more difficult to bracket in. But that's the only thing
I would worry about is if like there's an all
out sellout approach to stopping JSN, then he might just
(23:43):
be more of a decoy in the game.
Speaker 1 (23:45):
So one of the interesting things with JSN and Jalen
Brown head up is that both of them was so
Jalen Brown's rebounds prop typically sits around seven and a half.
That's exactly where JSN is in this particular matchup up.
So that is one of the most.
Speaker 4 (24:02):
That it's almost like it's almost like they knew that.
Speaker 1 (24:04):
It is almost it's almost like they had that one scouted. Kendrick,
What do you got?
Speaker 5 (24:09):
So? Another thing I put in here before the show
that we kind of talked about before we hopped on
here octopus. You like the octopus this year for a yes,
fifteen to one. What do you think about it?
Speaker 4 (24:20):
I love it? I like, I think there's actually pretty
good idea because Shihit is like the guy here, like,
I'm just like such a good rashide shaheat guy that
to me. And I did want to get Kravitz and
Stucky's thoughts on this too as well as yours on
like when you look at the Patriots defense, What are
the odds that we get an end around for a touchdown?
(24:40):
I don't think the Seahawks ran almost at all with
the receivers. But if you're talking about there's being something
different that they're going to throw out there this this year,
maybe that's the way to go about it. And with
you've got this opportunity for like with we'll talk about
this with somebody else, because he's gonna be my MVP
pick too. Is like, if you've got the pot return
possibility along with the posibility of him catching a pass,
(25:01):
along with the possibility of an end around, doesn't like
Shaheed for me fundamentally with his speed, that changes the
odds of the oven octopus a little bit higher because
of his versatility.
Speaker 1 (25:11):
So the octopus is that And by the way, I
learned this right before the show. I'd never bet the octopus.
Speaker 2 (25:17):
How did you know this octopus?
Speaker 1 (25:21):
I've heard the word like it's an animal that swims
in the ocean. I didn't know. And a two point
conversion I didn't know about. This feels like a bad
bet to me, especially with Rashid Shahed, who has not
really been used much in the run game since he's
become part of the Seattle Seahawks. So I I just
it feels like too much of a long shot for me. No,
(25:43):
I do not need the octopus to explained. I get it.
It's a touchdown at a two point conversion from the
same person. It's going to be random enough within the
flow of the game for him to score a touchdown. Period.
Now I need him to score a touchdown.
Speaker 6 (25:55):
And get the two point conversion that I feel like
we're asking too much of. You know why called octopus though,
because there's because there's eight tentacles on an octopus and
there would be eight points scored within the.
Speaker 3 (26:11):
I will say this, I'm gonna be the grinch every Look,
if you want to just have fun and bet it recreationally.
Speaker 1 (26:17):
What's the number on this, by the way, one?
Speaker 3 (26:20):
If you want to do that, Like, just have fun,
do it. But these odds are horrible.
Speaker 5 (26:25):
Okay, So what about for there to be a successful
two point conversion?
Speaker 4 (26:29):
Horrible?
Speaker 2 (26:30):
Also? What are the odds usually?
Speaker 3 (26:32):
So everyone wants to bet these things to happen, right,
and like everyone every year is going to bet like
there's a safety, there's there's horrible odds on that? Is
there a two point conversion. Is there an octopus? Everyone
wants to bet on these things to happen, right, but
there's usually all the values on the no. But I
mean an octopus. I think if you go back to
like nineteen ninety and the odds of an octopus happen happening,
(26:56):
it's happened in like two and a half percent of games.
Speaker 2 (27:00):
Really two two and a half percent.
Speaker 3 (27:02):
I didn't I don't quote me on that, but it's
somewhere there on there. So you can be a fifty
to one sure, but fifteen to one no.
Speaker 5 (27:11):
And then you can't off even more. How about that
you take hold.
Speaker 2 (27:14):
On let me go to two point conversion?
Speaker 3 (27:16):
Two point and the Patris have been good against outside
runs for whatever this year two point conversions. This year
there were eighty six games that had a two point
conversion attempt in the regular season. There was two hundred
and eighty four games. I think there's only one two
point version in the playoffs. So that's thirty percent of
games that had I just any.
Speaker 5 (27:36):
Money were successful though, because you have to.
Speaker 2 (27:37):
Be then you have to be successful.
Speaker 3 (27:39):
So I would take that bet that bet, you know,
plus three hundred is it for a successful two point
version like that's I wouldn't maybe considered is there just
going to be a two point conversion attempt not successful?
Speaker 5 (27:51):
Because then if you go no, it's minus four twenty five.
Speaker 2 (27:55):
Yes, I would bet no. Yeah, so I would bet no.
Speaker 1 (27:59):
That sounds like it's sanely good value. By the way,
she he'd to scored two touchdowns if you like him
to win the MVP seventeen to one. I feel like
that would be the better bet one.
Speaker 5 (28:07):
We have MVP. Yeah, you have MVP stuff.
Speaker 3 (28:10):
And I lost saying Pats and Pats and Seahawks are
three for they're both three for three on the year
and two point conversions stuff, but that's only fifteen percent
of the games that they've gone for two. He's so
they're not two point conversion all, Like these coaches aren't.
Aren't coaches that go for?
Speaker 4 (28:26):
I ask you because you're the guy I always joke
about with the obsession with sneaking, how often do the
Patriots sneak?
Speaker 3 (28:35):
May is not a great sneaker, So they're not.
Speaker 4 (28:38):
But they did their value.
Speaker 3 (28:40):
They did it last week, but he didn't get it,
but he got it.
Speaker 4 (28:43):
They say the Philly fans are gonna lose their mind.
If I don't note this, in the last fifteen years,
there's been one octopus. It was Jalen Hurts in twenty
twenty three when they lost to the camp.
Speaker 3 (28:52):
Yeah, there has been won in a SUPERWL that happened,
and like, these things do happen. If you want to
bet that, fine, Like there was a stafety that happened
in the first play of the game with the Broncos
Super Bowl. But I will say I bet that I
do like on something that happened. You mentioned the sneak,
so I like there's two you can get the the
Seahawks over four and a half players rush attempt at
(29:14):
like plus one thirty five. I like that because you're
gonna have Darnold's definitely gonna get I shouldn'tay definitely, but
likely to get one. You know, Walker is gonna get one,
and Olani will get a couple, and then you have
Barner who does their sneaks, and then I think they're
gonna probably get a receiver, right, Shaheed probably gets to
(29:35):
carry at some point. So I think they go over
four and a half, but the better bet might be
over seven and a half total, because if the Seahawks
get the five. This should go over seven and a
half because you're you're gonna have May, Stevenson and uh
uh Henderson and that's that's eight and that's that's sick.
(29:57):
That's if the Patriots don't have anyone other anyone on
a rush, you get a you get a rush. You
could have one of the receivers like this is when
you pull out some different stops and these run defenses
are so good that you're gonna have to get creative
running the ball, and maybe there's and then you have
the chance of a backup in blah blah blah if
it's a blowout. But there's a chance that the Patriots
over these two weeks come up with a Toush push, right,
(30:21):
they come up with a guy that is their barner
and is they're going to be their fourth and one
sneak guy because May isn't great at it and he
really did fail at it. So like, give two weeks
to come up with they should have a Toush push guy.
So you could see another Patriot get a rush attempt
that way. So I like the over over total players
(30:42):
rush attempts in the game.
Speaker 1 (30:44):
You said that numbers four and a half.
Speaker 3 (30:47):
Four and a half of the Seahawks plus one thirty
five seven and a half total players, I think there's
a good chance that goes over. I'm just saying, like,
if the Seahawks go over four and at they get
to five, all.
Speaker 1 (31:02):
Right, let me give you Let me give you guys
a separate one that's along the same lines, and then
we can kind of take a go around the horn
and take a vote on which one we like better.
Over two and a half players to attempt to pass
in the Super Bowl, you obviously have you started too
with the two quarterbacks Darnold and May. In three of
the last four Super Bowls we have seen a third
(31:23):
player attempt to pass. And there's a couple of different
ways that you can get there. Either punter could attempt
one on a fake. You could get either back up
in and either mop up duty or injury duty. Cooper
Cup has thrown a pass this year, so you get
one of those wide receiver trick plays. So over on
rushing seven and a half for total players to collect
(31:44):
a rush in the game, or over two and a
half players to attempt a pass, Kendra, where would you
land on that?
Speaker 5 (31:52):
I went to add this in our notes and saw
that somebody already had, so I was very much looking
at this already. I think that we Cooper Cup, yeah,
but also maybe de Mario Douglas. I know that that's
something that has happened for the Patriots prior. They've definitely
had a receiver line up, so I could I could have.
I could totally see this happening, especially because, like I
said a few minutes ago, the name of the game
(32:13):
in the Super Bowl is creativity. You've had, you know,
two weeks to deep dive into everything that either team
has done all season long. You have to surprise people
at some point, and I think that this is definitely
one of the ways to do so.
Speaker 1 (32:26):
Matt, where do you land on that?
Speaker 4 (32:27):
I mean, if we're talking, I want to go back
to the over two and a half quarterbacks. If we
just accept, as it accompany that the gods have just
decided we must suffer beneath another Patriots run, that we
must just suffer through this absolutely miserable existence with the
Patriots being good again, with the how their schedule has
(32:51):
shaped up, and Brandon Aston had an absolutely banger tweet
about the number of fired coaches and terrible teams this
team has.
Speaker 1 (32:57):
Faced it's eleven, isn't it?
Speaker 4 (32:59):
Every thing lined up for them? Like, wouldn't the most
Patriots outcome be that Sam Darnold gets injured.
Speaker 2 (33:09):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (33:09):
See, that's the thing that I like about the past
prop more than the rush prop is that the threshold
is simply lower. I think you need two players to
step up and collect a run that we're not expecting.
Speaker 4 (33:22):
Like if you if you hate the Patriots, that's the
bet to go for.
Speaker 5 (33:26):
And Drake May's shoulder.
Speaker 3 (33:29):
Yeah no, but if you get a quarterback hurt, then
you're gonna probably get another rush attempt from from the quarterback.
But I don't think there's I think there's a there's
Barner's get a carry. I think you just need one
other player. And you're saying no receivers are going to
run the ball in the game. I don't think that's
the case. So I mean you going back to the
(33:50):
past attempts. I don't I don't know. I don't have
a strong day. I can tell you to thirty five,
what are the odds on?
Speaker 2 (33:55):
Yes?
Speaker 5 (33:58):
Is it plus two fifty? Is something like that? I
put it in our notes.
Speaker 2 (34:05):
Plus two fifty wouldn't be I think it is.
Speaker 5 (34:07):
Plus two fifty.
Speaker 3 (34:08):
I don't set one sekay like thirty five percent of
games had at least three players attempt to pass during
the season.
Speaker 2 (34:18):
And you have to keep in mind.
Speaker 3 (34:20):
That includes complete blowouts, right when you have teams that
are just destroying the other team and it's a huge
mismatch right now, that could happen here, But the likelihood
that you're actually blowing out the team mountain and then
throwing it with your backup. Now, I know the Eagles
did it. That's how the Eagles. That's how this got there.
Last year, the Eagles are up by so much that sorry,
(34:41):
Matt that that that pike, It threw it late. He
completed a pass. So there's a chance now, So that
only happened in what thirty five percent games had at
least three players throw the ball.
Speaker 4 (34:54):
By the way, draft I, I'm sorry, I just have
to interject real quick, this is the meanest fucking prop
I've ever seen ever. The draftings has a prop up
for Seahawks to attempt to pass from inside the Patriots
one yard line.
Speaker 1 (35:06):
Oh, that's so mean, trolling to the max.
Speaker 4 (35:11):
It's it's plus six hundred. No, there's no no on it. Unfortunately,
Oh my god.
Speaker 2 (35:19):
There's no way they let Donald throw it at the one.
Speaker 5 (35:21):
That's so yeah, that's a good point. There's no way
they let Donald.
Speaker 2 (35:26):
Why I would?
Speaker 3 (35:27):
I would, They're just gonna sneak barner. I wish there
was a no on that. So yeah, I mean, thirty
five games have wre and then that includes both. Now,
maybe because there's a little bit more injury risks and
this is the Super Bowl, you tend to get a
little bit more creative, but.
Speaker 2 (35:45):
I'd lean now I prefer rushing myself.
Speaker 1 (35:47):
All right, guys, let's get into the nitty gritty here.
Let's stalk coin toss.
Speaker 5 (35:51):
I was just gonna say this.
Speaker 1 (35:53):
Minus one minus one o three on both sides. And
if you follow gambling Twitter, everybody thinks they're a genius.
Most are gonna tell you that getting in anything less
than even money on an actual coin flip is perhaps
the dumbest thing that you can bet. I would say
that it's significantly less foolish than playing almost any other
(36:13):
table game at a casino. The house edge for roulette
is five point three percent. Minus one oh three is
significantly less than that, So it's not that dumb. Winner
of the coin toss by the way, twenty five and
thirty four straight up in the game. So if you
like that voodoo trend, just don't bet the coin toss.
Just bet the team. Bet against the team that wins
(36:34):
the coin toss. Twenty fifteen to twenty twenty four, the
coin toss winner lost the game. Last year the winner
also lost. There was a break in between those two years.
So Matt, you are our guests. Will you be betting
the coin toss and do you have anything that you
look at or lean into and making this decision, or
do you literally just toss a coin.
Speaker 4 (36:56):
As the king of Hey, here's this dumb bet. I like,
even I think this is too dumb. This is too dumb.
This is so I get it.
Speaker 1 (37:05):
I get it mathematically, it's not that bad.
Speaker 4 (37:08):
Comparatively, I get the super Bowl. Like if you're at
the super Bowl party and you're like, hey, I got
you know, I've got money on the court, Like, it's
a really great You're performatively rooting for the coin toss
in front of your friends. That's a great that's a
great bit. That is an awesome bit. I just am like,
it's over so quickly, it's over. So the best things
take time.
Speaker 3 (37:28):
Yeah, before play, I'm waiting to bet the coin to
I would never bet the coin toss shot her. So
but like we I actually pick a coin toss every year,
so like it.
Speaker 2 (37:40):
We'll do a bar.
Speaker 3 (37:43):
A sheet and then we'll have we'll print them all
out and I'll come up with like ten to fifteen questions,
right coin toss. You know, who has the first completion,
who throws the first interception, who has the first touchdown?
Speaker 2 (37:58):
Who wins? You know over under, like a bunch of
who has the longest catch the first sack. You can
go up with it a bunch of different questions and
then they're worth different varying amounts of points, and then
everyone fills them out before the game and at the end,
and then everyone puts in whatever you want to do
ten twenty fifty hundred dollars. A person at the end,
whoever has the most amount of points wins. So that's
(38:19):
a way to bet on the coin toss.
Speaker 3 (38:21):
But I would never want to lose a bet before
the game starts. That's just on something that is literally
a coin toss. But then I would say it would
be terrible. So no plus money, yes, but I bet it,
but no, Well.
Speaker 1 (38:34):
They would never give you that on a coin toss.
But is there anything.
Speaker 2 (38:38):
You'll be steamed? Tails? Tails?
Speaker 1 (38:41):
Yeah, that's a good question for for Evan Abrams. Has
the coin toss ever been steamed?
Speaker 3 (38:46):
I think there was a time that you could get
like even money. Plus I don't know. Sometimes there's a
they'll have boosts.
Speaker 1 (38:54):
Like you would say promotionally that yeah, some of.
Speaker 2 (38:56):
Books have promotions for it, and then ups one on
the coin. But what I don't it's the coin toss waxing.
Speaker 1 (39:07):
I'm looking at my old notes and I saw something
about waxing and waning moons. Is there anything on that
with the coin toss?
Speaker 5 (39:14):
The full moon was yesterday, but I don't look at that.
I usually, for some reason, every time I win the
coin toss, the rest of my bets are shit, and
every time I lose the coin toss, I win the
rest of them. So it's kind of like a prediction
thing for me, just as like a superstition. But I
usually for the coin toss wind up going heads because
(39:35):
I feel like everybody wants it to be tails, because
of tails never fails. But what people don't take into
consideration is that when you're flipping like a US coin,
the headside is usually a little bit heavier, and so
with these coins that are like pretty neutral most of
the time as far as weight, Like you're taking tails
just for a superstition thing.
Speaker 4 (39:54):
You are.
Speaker 1 (39:54):
You just layered in sharp analysis for the coin, toss.
I want you to know that you might be the.
Speaker 5 (39:59):
Only person I think give me the big bucks man.
Speaker 1 (40:01):
That's fantastic.
Speaker 5 (40:01):
I have been trying to see this coin for days.
I looked at last year's and it was very even,
and I had heads last year, so.
Speaker 1 (40:09):
Well, it rotated tails and heads over the last four years,
so no trend there. However, the last time Seattle played
New England in the Super Bowl, it did land on tails.
Speaker 2 (40:18):
So if we talk about the pointoffs for one more minute,
you know, I knew.
Speaker 4 (40:22):
That that was more nball.
Speaker 5 (40:24):
Just go for me on the anthem.
Speaker 1 (40:27):
It's stuck. You don't worry. We can all feel it.
We can all feel it. It's it's sort of like
sand sipping through the hourglass. All right, let's let's wrap
on this.
Speaker 4 (40:35):
Well, I gotta give out one more NBA thing on
the show. I have to give out one more NBA thing.
That's why he brought me on the only thing I
have value. Its the only reason I exist on this planet. Okay,
that and going ahead to have with Stucky on counting
crows lyrics, there's one that Sakham points and rebounds versus
Trayvon Henderson rushing and receiving Seacam's price minus one thirty.
(40:55):
So I think it's interesting on this is Chris Raybond
gave out this week on Action Network and catch it
in the app up fifty plus yards for Henderson at
plus seven fifty long shot on him for one of
the props. So you can kind of take a position
that's almost it's not pure here, there's a lot of
there's some variance in there, but I almost kind of
like taking taking Siakam as the seat as the Seahawks
(41:19):
win that battle of the rushing game and then Henderson
breaks it according to Chris's prop. So I think there's
actually a little bit of value on looking at that
one and deciding at least which side of that coin
you're on.
Speaker 1 (41:30):
Yeah, when I was looking at that one, Sorry, sorry stuck,
no more, no more coins. This one feels like free money.
With the way that Seattle is able to gobble up
an opponent's run game and Traveon Henderson has not been
involved in the receiving game. I do think that the
Patriots could possibly get creative here, as Kendro is mentioning,
(41:53):
because if they don't use Henderson here, I think their
ability to create explosive plays is going to be pretty
much non existent. But we just haven't seen it recently. Sam,
I mean, you kind of know what you're gonna get
from him. I feel like this is priced correctly, but
to me feels like the side so you're saying that
you think is the bet and yet and then moon
(42:14):
shotting Travion? Am I reading that correctly? Yeah?
Speaker 4 (42:17):
Follow Do you go check out Chris Raybonds either that
or just figure out which side is more compelling to
you on that one based off of it, because it's
like if you like, if you if you if you think,
if you don't think that he's gonna do that, he's
gonna be able to hit that, he's gonna be limited,
right if you don't think that, if you want to
take on this one, just take Chris Raybonds prop.
Speaker 3 (42:36):
I do think that the Patriots have to these Anderson
more in this game, and they will. We'll try to
find him.
Speaker 5 (42:41):
I mean the.
Speaker 3 (42:43):
Led the league in percentage of dropbacks that are dumped
down to running backs. Like that's they give up pros
to running backs. Throws the tight ends. Now, they could
change up things here, but the Patriots have to find ways.
They're not gonna have to run the ball just on
a down to down basis canstantly. The Seahawks run defense
is historically dominant, and the Patriots have been able to
(43:04):
run the ball against great run defenses all year and
this is the best. So I think they need Henderson,
whether it's in the run game or you know, out
of the backfield in creative ways. They need his explosive ability.
They need him to hit an explosive player too, So
I'm curious to see how they do use him. And
(43:25):
then if they what is that that split in the backfield, Like,
I mean, they didn't use them at all, They trusted
It's more in pass protection. Seahawks have a good they
can get pressure a good defense line, but they don't
really blitz as much. So you could as as the Broncos,
and they're not a high blifting team. So I think
this could be a game where there is some upside
with Stevenson and then speaking upside, do you guys have that?
Speaker 2 (43:48):
Henderson?
Speaker 3 (43:49):
Yeah, upside With Henderson speaking of upside, you guys have
a long shot m v P.
Speaker 1 (43:54):
Look, Oh yes, I do. Go ahead, Matt, you go first.
I feel the need for.
Speaker 4 (44:00):
I love rascheat Shaheed MVP here thirty to one. I
love it. Pot return no kickoff returns. Kasetucky commented pre
show about how rarely it just never happens in the
NFL anymore, which is insane. These rules are absolutely bonkers.
But pot return possibilities, receiving possibilities. I talked about the
end a round capability. I just I want somebody like that,
(44:20):
if you throw in the special team's angle of this
and that, if this is a low scoring game where
neither quarterback looks good, if it's just like a defensive
battle back and forth, but Shaheed gets a pot return
touchdown and then has a lot of receiving yards and
or another touchdown. Love for sheet shaheat here thirty to one,
give me Shaheed, I.
Speaker 3 (44:41):
Would say, yeah, but you mentioned kickoffs, like it's like
twenty to one for kickoff re turn for touchdown, Just
to give you numbers on that. During the regular season,
there were I think over two thousand kick return six
went for a touchdown zero point three percent, So I
mean she did have one of them. Gibson did have
one of them for Patriots of the six, but I
(45:03):
need a little bit more than twenty two to one there,
and like defensive special team score I think is plus
two thirty five plus two fifty. Yes, I mean during
the regular season happened like one every four games. You
might say, like these quarterbacks, they're a little more chance
of mistakes, but you know, it only happened in three
Seahawks games, twenty percent of their total games. It happened
(45:23):
in five Pats games. So I mean I even better
odds than that happened overall. One in four NFL games
had a defensive or special team score this year. My
long shot, I think it's going to be a lower
scoring game. I think it's going to be close. If so,
I could see Shahid. But I do think like if
(45:48):
you have the Patriots in New Seahawks, these are two
electric punt returners, right, you know that you're going to
try to keep them all away from them, try to
not give them opportunities for returns.
Speaker 2 (45:57):
But I'll throw out two emon Warre.
Speaker 3 (46:03):
He I mean, is like a linebacker and a defensive
back that can make plays in so many different ways.
He's McDonald's chess piece. I think he's gonna use him
in a lot of creative ways here. He could make
a play or two in many different ways. Could be
a strip sack, could be a pick.
Speaker 4 (46:18):
Or.
Speaker 3 (46:20):
You know, maybe it's basically a quarterback, a wide receiver,
or like it's been, like a random linebacker or safety,
but or defensive end. I'll throw out Christian Gonzalez just
because if this is really low scoring and it comes
down to like that random play that happens or a
pick six, Like I said, Christian Gonzalez might either be
(46:41):
on JSN by himself, and in that case he's gonna
get a lot of opportunities to make plays, or they
might bracket JSN and then it's going to be they're
gonna he's gonna get targets against a way, you know,
a way way worse receiver than JSN, and he's gonna
get opportunities there. So maybe he can jump around get
(47:02):
a pick or two. So those will be two just
super long shots you want.
Speaker 1 (47:05):
To throw on Christian Gonzalez one hundred to one. Kendrick,
what about you, long shot MVP?
Speaker 5 (47:11):
I gave out Milton Williams on my show on Saturday.
You're telling me that, yes, Drake May is the best
player on the Patriots, but I would say he's the
most valuable. But Milton Williams is the best. He outside
of Drake is their number one playmaker on that team.
Whi's the most likely defensive super Bowl we've seen, and
I don't even know how long if both of these
(47:32):
quarterbacks turn back into shells of themselves what we've seen
from Drake May with the fumbles in the postseason, the
person we know Sam Darnold can be with the interceptions.
If this is a bad quarterbacking game, which a lot
of people are thinking, there's potential for it to beads
the first first chance they're getting on this stage, if
they both get nervous defensive football, and you're gonna give
me the Patriots second best player with those odds, he
(47:54):
could get a fumble, he could get a sack, he
could have both. If there's any argument that he may,
someone can make it's Milton Williams.
Speaker 4 (48:01):
For me.
Speaker 1 (48:03):
I am looking defense as well. I'm gonna flip to
the other team, DeMarcus Lawrence ninety to one odds on
favorite to lead the game in sacks. And here we
have Drake May that's been sacked sixty two times. That's
number one in the NFL. He's had six fumbles in
the playoffs. Five of those have come on strip sacks.
Four of those came on May's blind side. Will Campbell's
(48:24):
been an issue. DeMarcus Lawrence Super Bowl MVP ninety to one.
If Seattle does win in a blowout, it's going to
be because their defense just reaks havoc on that Patriots
offensive line. I don't necessarily think the game is going
to go that way, but if we're talking long shot,
I'm trying to predict an extreme game script, and the
most extreme with that is still possibility is that Seattle
(48:47):
just runs away with this and they do it defensively.
Speaker 2 (48:49):
I will say.
Speaker 3 (48:50):
Lawrence would have I think the Seahawks won a game
forty four to twenty two earlier this year, and I
think Lawrence would have won MVP if they was the
Super Bowl thirty four yard strip sack touchdown, and then
he had a twenty two yard strip sack recovery touchdown,
so he had two touchdowns in the first or almost
like identical plays. I think if you go back to
(49:12):
that game, he would have won MVP.
Speaker 2 (49:14):
I don't know.
Speaker 3 (49:15):
I mean, Darnold was ten of twelve for one hundred
and seventy eight yards a touchdown interception. I don't think
it would have been him. Maybe Jasen, but he had
five catches in a touchdown, he had ninety yards. I
think Lawrence would have won it that game. That's an
exercise I do. I go back and look who would
have won the MVPs for each team and.
Speaker 4 (49:33):
What you can get. Will the Super Bowl MVP have
zero touchdowns? That would be a great bet. That'd be
a great one, great one to look at me.
Speaker 1 (49:40):
You have definitely seen that in the past. Matt, Do
you have a question about bad Bunny from I do?
Speaker 4 (49:45):
I do have a question about bad Bunny as an
old guy. I gotta ask Kendra this because this market
is up and I need to I need advice on
this because I think it's a great question. Okay, halftime opener?
All right, to set this up, here are the last
five did squabble up as the intro or the intro
was actually bodies and then into Squabble Up Usher open
(50:09):
with My Way is the intro, and then caught up.
You're not gonna do the biggest song, right, Like, that's
never gonna be the opener.
Speaker 5 (50:14):
Oh god no.
Speaker 4 (50:16):
Uh Rihanna's was bitch better to have My Money, which
was amazing I did.
Speaker 1 (50:20):
Not have, by the way, did not have Matt Moore
saying bitch better have my money on my Can we.
Speaker 2 (50:26):
Clip that and have that?
Speaker 4 (50:28):
Next episode by Doctor Derey Snoop Dogg at All was
in twenty twenty two. That was the that's like a
that fits the kind of the range I think of
what we're talking about. And then the weekend was Starboy.
It opened though with a choir rendition to call out
my name. So, like, what I'm interested in on this
market is like, okay, if they're gonna count the first
song played, which isn't necessarily they don't even perform versus
(50:51):
the performance one, be real careful with this one. The
odds on favorite right now is Meragunto Okay, that one's
that one's the favorite right now, and then the next
highest is by A. L. B. Dablay I believe is
the root word. Kendra, what's the first song that's gonna
be played by Bad Bunny.
Speaker 5 (51:10):
It has to be Monico. There is no other option
in my opinion, because I feel like he is a
theatrical performer, and I expect that violin intro to be him,
with like the lights and everything, giving people a minute
to feel him coming out, feel like the show that's
about to go down. He has to start with Monico.
It's the most iconic entrance to a song he has,
(51:33):
and the shot of that happening, I think, if I
am correct, Gifford sent me nineteen hundred yesterday, so I
think it has to be Monico's.
Speaker 4 (51:41):
That's great, awesome.
Speaker 1 (51:43):
I was researching the heads and tails of a coin
while you guys were talking about that, and there is
a slight bias to heads because of the weight. So
Kendra spot on analysis earlier on in the show. She's
winning bets for you at the start of the game,
middle of the game, possibly even the end of Milton
Williams comes through with a big one for the New
England Patriots. All right, now, let's zoom to the future
(52:07):
Super Champions Parlay. You can go super Chalky here. You
can also I will allow other sports to be thrown
in let's make it three legs. Super Bowl winner, two
other champions over the next year NBA, Major League Baseball,
NCAA tournament. Throw the Masters in there, real quick, off
(52:33):
the top of the dome, around the horn. Matt will
start with you.
Speaker 4 (52:37):
Okay, I want Seahawks Celtics underrate like I get OKAC.
I know I'm telling either not as good as last year.
I haven't had a repeat champion since twenty eighteen. A
lot of injury issues for OKC this year. Good time
to get in on some of these longer shots. I
don't want the Nuggets because their route is too hard
in the West. If they get Jason Tatum back, that's great.
(52:59):
And then the Color Avalanche in the NHL. Their only
real problems are overtime and the power play, which I
think they're gonna address it the deadline. So give me
those three. Give me Seahawks, Celtics, Avalanche.
Speaker 1 (53:12):
Kendre.
Speaker 5 (53:13):
You said I can do three of the any of
the big leagues.
Speaker 1 (53:16):
Three, but one of them has to be the Super Bowl, Okay.
Speaker 5 (53:19):
So I'm gonna go Seahawks, Dodgers, and Houston Rockets.
Speaker 1 (53:23):
Oh all right, I like that writing all these down
Seahawks Rockets, Seahawks, Rockets, and the Dodgers. Yep, yeah, the
Dodgers feel like such an easy bet here. All right, Stucky,
what about you?
Speaker 2 (53:35):
I mean it's still baseball.
Speaker 3 (53:38):
Like there were almost should have lost to the JS arguably.
Speaker 2 (53:42):
I mean they were on the ropes. I'll say, let's
make it fun.
Speaker 1 (53:49):
Seahawks Mariners, oh oh yeah, you go to All Seattle.
Speaker 2 (53:54):
And thunder the ex Sonics, dig.
Speaker 1 (54:00):
That the All Seattle parlay. All right, I'm gonna go
with the Spurs. I think the come up has arrived
for Victim and Binyama. The New England I'll uh, he
doesn't need to be he's an alien. I'm gonna take
the New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl, okay,
maybe the only man in America taking that side these days.
(54:22):
And Scottie Scheffler to win the Masters. That'll be my.
Speaker 4 (54:26):
Golf.
Speaker 1 (54:27):
Okay, all right, I golf on you. I was gonna
take the Dodgers, but that just felt too easy. Matt,
thanks so much for hanging out with us today. Make
sure that you go and follow up on Matt.
Speaker 2 (54:37):
What are you doing for though?
Speaker 5 (54:38):
What do you?
Speaker 2 (54:38):
We gotta ask you that I'm.
Speaker 4 (54:40):
Watching NBA games. It's what I'm doing for.
Speaker 1 (54:43):
Are you serious?
Speaker 2 (54:46):
You mean my replays?
Speaker 4 (54:48):
I got work, I got work, I got I gotta
do film. I'm doing film work on Jeremy Buyer of
the Suns, doing a big breakdown a him. That's what
I'm doing.
Speaker 3 (54:55):
No, I will.
Speaker 4 (54:56):
We're making not We're making nachos with the kids and
and out, and the kids are gonna have some friends over.
Speaker 5 (55:01):
I'm mad and disappointed. Why look because he because he's
gonna not watch the super Bowl.
Speaker 4 (55:07):
Here's the thing, We're gonna be honest. This isn't a
This isn't a real super Bowl.
Speaker 1 (55:11):
Oh my god, go back to buckets.
Speaker 4 (55:14):
I'm just saying, like, this isn't a real Like we
know these teams are not that good, right, stucky, Like
we know these teams are not that good.
Speaker 2 (55:22):
Uh, there's a wide open year like it could have been.
Speaker 4 (55:26):
The Chiefs gave everybody one off. It's nice.
Speaker 3 (55:32):
I like the Raves that are down year with injuries.
But if they got in this is why we was
so devastating. They could won the super Bowl.
Speaker 4 (55:37):
Yeah, the super Bowl chance gave them one.
Speaker 3 (55:43):
Shers probably didn't have the Steelers didn't have that ceiling.
This is the Panthers didn't, but like everyone else.
Speaker 5 (55:51):
You forced America to watch the Taylor Swift Super Bowl.
I don't want to hear it.
Speaker 1 (55:55):
Oh my god, Matt. This is like being invited to
a wedding and then saying the chicken socked. Okay, this
is not yes, yeah.
Speaker 4 (56:04):
This is not just saying we all know it's a
fake year. It's okay. There's astra seasons.
Speaker 1 (56:09):
All the time. Horrible behavior by you. Go back to buckets,
Matt Moore, Ladies and gentlemen. That'll do it for today's
episode special thanks to our producers David Paine and Gifford Gold.
The Favorites will return on Thursday afternoon right here on
the Action Network YouTube page, when we finally hand out
our non heads or tails plays for Super Bowl sixty
(56:29):
between the Pats and the Seahawks were getting so close.
We'll see you next time here on the Favorites presented
by DraftKings, The Crown is yours.
Speaker 4 (56:48):
Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.
Speaker 1 (56:52):
If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem.
Speaker 4 (56:55):
Help is available twenty four to seven at one eight
hundred Gambler
Hosts And Creators
Chad Millman
Simon Hunter
Popular Podcasts
Stuff You Should Know
If you've ever wanted to know about champagne, satanism, the Stonewall Uprising, chaos theory, LSD, El Nino, true crime and Rosa Parks, then look no further. Josh and Chuck have you covered.
Betrayal Season 5
Saskia Inwood woke up one morning, knowing her life would never be the same. The night before, she learned the unimaginable – that the husband she knew in the light of day was a different person after dark. This season unpacks Saskia’s discovery of her husband’s secret life and her fight to bring him to justice. Along the way, we expose a crime that is just coming to light. This is also a story about the myth of the “perfect victim:” who gets believed, who gets doubted, and why. We follow Saskia as she works to reclaim her body, her voice, and her life. If you would like to reach out to the Betrayal Team, email us at betrayalpod@gmail.com. Follow us on Instagram @betrayalpod and @glasspodcasts. Please join our Substack for additional exclusive content, curated book recommendations, and community discussions. Sign up FREE by clicking this link Beyond Betrayal Substack. Join our community dedicated to truth, resilience, and healing. Your voice matters! Be a part of our Betrayal journey on Substack.
Dateline NBC
Current and classic episodes, featuring compelling true-crime mysteries, powerful documentaries and in-depth investigations. Follow now to get the latest episodes of Dateline NBC completely free, or subscribe to Dateline Premium for ad-free listening and exclusive bonus content: DatelinePremium.com