December 23, 2025 • 55 mins
The Favorites is back for an early week look at NFL Week 17! Action Network experts Kendra Middleton, Stuckey and Brandon Kravitz look at player props, sides and totals while discussing where they see value in the betting market for the holiday week. What's the worst gift we've ever received? The NFL has gifted viewers an UGLY Christmas slate but the crew has found a way to bet it! They plants their flag, Evan gets into the primer and another 2 Kings and a Queen Parlay is born. All that and more right here on The Favorites!
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:09):
Welcome to the Favorites, all part of the Action Network
family presented by DraftKings.
Speaker 2 (00:14):
The Crown is yours.
Speaker 1 (00:16):
I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by a couple of Santa's favorite elves.
On this pre Christmas episode to super episode, Kendra and Stuckey.
Speaker 2 (00:25):
Are off to or well off of a great week.
Speaker 1 (00:29):
Week sixteen had ourselves a phenomenal week of NFL betting
and a lot more to get to. Today, we'll plant
the flag, we'll nominate our two Kings, and a queen parlay.
We've got Evans super loaded primer.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
It's an all in one episode.
Speaker 1 (00:45):
We said around Thanksgiving that we learned a lesson to
take it easy around the holidays. We're distracted, We're trying
to get plays in early. We're forcing it sometimes and
sometimes for content reasons as well. Kendra, have we learned
our lesson? Or are the Christmas betting cards full?
Speaker 3 (01:06):
I am going to have such a light week of
bets for so many reasons. One it's the holidays. Two,
people are on short rests and a lot of these scenarios. Three,
I'm sure just like everybody else, you know, players are
people too. They have a lot going on in their lives,
they have family, friends, kids that they've got stuff to
get done for holidays. Big distraction for everybody. I'm gonna
(01:27):
go super light this week. And additionally, like there's teams
who are playing for nothing and teams who are playing
for everything, and that always gets dicey. You always have
to decide who's gonna, you know, kind of try and
tank for picks and who's not, who's gonna who has
teams that people need to be playing for contracts next season,
all of those types of things. This time of year
is so tough. Save your bankroll for the playoffs.
Speaker 1 (01:49):
Stuck you want to hit anybody with the holiday disclaimer
or are you are you loading up this week?
Speaker 4 (01:56):
Not same as always. I actually loved the last two
weeks of the regular because I love betting on teams
that are playing for nothing against teams that need to win.
Usually get some value there. I think historically that they
hit it like sixty one percent. Everyone who wants to
bet the team that's playing for nothing, that's seen that
needs to win usually nobody, And a lot of times
you can get value betting against that. These are still professionals,
(02:18):
They're still going to show up. I mean teams rarely
outwardly tank the guys that the only things you could
do is like if from an organization standpoint, you might
just not play certain guys, right, you might just hey, say, hey,
we're going to set this guy out, We're going to
shut down this guy. But everyone on the field, I mean,
they're playing for contracts for next year. They're not going
(02:40):
to not try, so yeah, I I mean, look at
the the Raiders are a perfect example. Last week, like
they have an incentive to lose out they outplayed the
Texans in Houston who needed to win. So yeah, I
love betting on teams. It requires you to bet on
a lot of bad teams, but I love betting on
the bad teams in the final two weeks of the
(03:01):
regular season that are playing for nothing.
Speaker 3 (03:03):
Betting on those teams the whole year don't lie.
Speaker 4 (03:07):
Oh yeah, of course, but I think you get even
more value the last two weeks. So I already have
a couple of those I bet. And then the worst
part about this week the NFL, Right, the NFL regular
the end of the regular season has really lost a
lot of it's lost there this year. It's pretty unfortunate.
I mean, there's a chance we know all fourteen playoff
teams after this weekend, and it's not the one that's
(03:30):
probably most unlikely is who wins the NFC South because
it would require the Bucks to so that that's the
least likely. But there's a chance, like that's the only
thing we have left to decide.
Speaker 3 (03:48):
Because they play week they played the last week of
they play again the last week.
Speaker 2 (03:51):
Correct.
Speaker 4 (03:51):
Yeah, so unless the Panthers have a two game lead
because the Bucks win the tiebreaker, then that's going to
decide the division. So there's a good chance that that
ends up getting flexed to Sunday night and then like
next Sunday afternoon, there's going to be maybe some seating stuff.
But yeah, and then you have all these quarterback injuries,
like we might have ten or eleven backup quarterbacks. The
(04:13):
third of the league is going to have a backup
quarterback this week, a bunch of third strings.
Speaker 2 (04:18):
So.
Speaker 3 (04:20):
We have a quarterback crisis.
Speaker 4 (04:23):
Yeah, and they have all these rules to start to
keep quarterbacks healthy, and they're running.
Speaker 1 (04:27):
They made these rules and then and then all of
a sudden, the NFL changed. Then these guys started running
around like they're in college. So I don't know, if
they need to develop new new rules that where you
can't even hit the quarterback when he's diving for a
first down fifteen yards down the field.
Speaker 4 (04:42):
It's body weight, please, These injuries aren't happening on body weight.
Speaker 1 (04:47):
By the way, the body weight fel is maybe the
worst of all on that.
Speaker 4 (04:52):
So yeah, that's that's pretty unfortunate. The Christmas Leigh with
a Netflix playing pay pay the NFL on hundred and
fifty million, get a bunch of third string quarterbacks.
Speaker 3 (05:04):
So yeah, I uh, I'm gonna watch every minute of it,
like a sec o every minute.
Speaker 4 (05:10):
It's like my job, and I'll watch all the games.
Speaker 1 (05:15):
People are still gonna watch the games because this is
a lot of people do, but they're gonna be on
like net. Netflix is still going to get their streaming numbers.
This will officially test. This is like the biggest stress
tests you could ask for for the NFL. Let's see
how much people actually love our fucking products.
Speaker 2 (05:32):
Let's let's give you this one Christmas.
Speaker 4 (05:33):
You want to watch Josh Johnson, you gotta, you gotta
put on Netflix at the family party.
Speaker 3 (05:38):
Let's see, do you guys have the same issue that
I do. You remember back in the day when you're
making fun of boomers who couldn't say Chipotle. My mom
can't say Netflix. My mom cannot get she thinks it's
next Flix and she cannot stay Netflix properly. Does everybody
else have that issue? It's like the new Chipotle for me.
Speaker 4 (05:58):
My dad say it, but he can't turn on any app.
He has the call one of us and we have
to walk them through it every time. Also he listens
to uh my podcast. I have to send him like
an email to his AOL email. It still as an
AOL email, and I can't I send him everyone he
(06:21):
had calls me if I don't send it. He can't
figure out how to just go to the field. I
have the email everyone, and it's from the a cast
site where we like we host it. Because I have
to send him the exact link where you can just
hit this play button on his old browser. Uh it's
the only one that works. So I remember after every
podcast to send him a link from this production site
(06:44):
and then he clicks it in his play. So yeah,
there's there's probably gonna be some people that just put
the NBA on on their TV to not and not
pull up the streaming. So I think it'll be hit
up a little bit.
Speaker 3 (06:57):
But I am curious box because once on Netflix, that's killer.
Speaker 4 (07:02):
Yeah, Netflix, Netflix, Amazon, So like there's gonna be some
people that are just like dude, I'm not I'm not
going to put the streaming on and.
Speaker 3 (07:12):
For Max Brosmer boo, if you bet you guys better
watch Max Brosmer and like it.
Speaker 1 (07:20):
I'm going to take a sip of my gingerbread latte
while Stucky asks us something weird, random and bizarre.
Speaker 3 (07:26):
Hey, this is a dumb question.
Speaker 4 (07:29):
Let me ask you a personal question kind of question?
Speaker 2 (07:32):
Is that is question?
Speaker 3 (07:35):
Uh?
Speaker 4 (07:35):
Will in the Christmas spirit? What is what is the
worst gift you've ever see? It's a hard one, so
I don't know if you have an answer. But and
then two part question what do you want? Because as
you get older, it's harder to like get to come
up with a gift that would like make you happy,
Like what would you want as a gift? Obviously, he asked,
(07:57):
like a reasonable gift can't be like I want to
pry to jet or what's something that you would want
that makes you happy at your current age. I think
the worst gift I ever got was I got a
I won't say the family member the god for me.
(08:18):
But I got a like and it was really nice.
But I got this like tight leather jacket, Like, was
I ever gonna wear that? It is sad in my
closet or uh I think thirteen years I like moved
with it. I'm ever gonna wear a leather jacket? No, so,
(08:39):
but that was like really nice. And but yeah, I've
never got any use for it, and it's taken up
room in my closet in my house forever. So I
guess I gotta nominate that.
Speaker 1 (08:49):
I mean, you could go as like a member of
Greece for Halloween. You know, you could use it for
outside of just like wearing it to dinner.
Speaker 4 (08:57):
I guess. Yeah, what makes gift makes me at books?
But I don't like I give them myself. The buy
problem is in like twenty twenty five, I just buy
anything I want. My wife always says this, Whenever I
want something, I just buy it, And it's so easy
to buy it online.
Speaker 2 (09:13):
So I like it.
Speaker 4 (09:13):
Like food, it's probably what makes me happy. Like I
showed you, I got to I get a bunch of
tin fish. Sound like a seventy year old.
Speaker 3 (09:22):
Yeah, what's the the Tinfish thing. What is that? Is
so like gen z girlypop of you? Why is why
are the girls obsessed with Tinfish girls?
Speaker 4 (09:31):
Ob fish?
Speaker 3 (09:32):
Oh my god, it's stucky. It is like the biggest
trend on TikTok right now. And like the gift that
everybody wants. I don't understand.
Speaker 4 (09:40):
I love I love just grabbing a quick tinfish some
crackers or some bread. It's like some tuned good tuna
belly heating up a little bit. But I've always loved tinfish,
but also like chili oil paste, like different kinds of pastes,
and yeah, like or like a shirt, like a good
sweatshirt or hat. I think like that's it. It's hard
(10:02):
to find. It's hard to like for me to to
be like, this is what I really want to make
me happy. But how about you, guys, what's the worst
gift you ever got? And what would you want? What's
something that you want this year?
Speaker 1 (10:14):
So the worst gift I ever got the one that
springs to mind. It's not a Christmas gift though, but
it definitely fits the It definitely fits the podcast.
Speaker 2 (10:24):
A girl that I dated many many years ago, pre.
Speaker 1 (10:27):
Wife, she got me it was for my birthday. My
birthday is in early August, right when the preseason starts
in the NFL. And she knew I was a Dolphins fan,
so and she was not. She wasn't a sports fan,
so she gets me tickets to a Dolphins game. The
Dolphins had just signed Dante Culpepper. I went to UCF.
I'm all pumped up about this and I opened it up.
Speaker 2 (10:51):
I see that.
Speaker 1 (10:51):
They're like they were like physical tickets is back when
they actually printed those and it said Dolphins Browns Week
two of the preseason. And she thought she had nailed
it because she didn't know the difference between a regular
season and pre season. So I had to go down
this game. I went to this game with her, drove
(11:12):
three hours down to Miami, go to this game with her,
and had to pretend the whole time like this is
the best experience of my life. Culpepper played two snaps,
was out of the game, and we watched backups for
the Browns and the Dolphins, and she had no idea
that this game didn't matter at all. That's the one
that springs to mind. I asked for a ring camera, doorbell,
(11:34):
So this is where I'm at in My Life and
a Cosmo pillow. They had this on display at a
city furniture and I, you know, you lay on the
bed when you go to the furniture stores to test
it out. Most comfortable pillow I've ever laid on. So
a digital camera and a pillow. And I don't want
(11:55):
any more kids, so I might get a ves sectomy,
but I'll probably pay for that myself.
Speaker 3 (12:01):
You probably need an ice back. Maybe I'll get you
for Christmas. My worst gift was also from my ex
boyfriend that I dated all through college, and he got
me a I didn't eat meat until I was twenty five.
I don't know if you guys know that about me,
Like literally my whole life, I did not eat meat.
(12:22):
And then COVID happened, and maybe I was like twenty
three or twenty four whatever, and then COVID happened, and
I was like, well, if I'm gonna die, I guess
I should eat a steak. And so I started eating
meat again. But my boyfriend bought me a book about
like this girl wrote a book about her journey to
becoming a vegetarian. He bought me one of the Steven
Singer gold dipped roses and a bottle of gin and
(12:44):
I hated it and I was like, thanks, We've been
dating for like a year and a half and you
don't know me at all. Amazing.
Speaker 4 (12:53):
Yeah, when someone just like reveals something to.
Speaker 3 (12:58):
You, yep, and so that it sucked. I donated all
of it. And then what I want this year? I
really want a puppy, you guys, I want to puppy.
I have puppy fever so bad. I want another dog.
But I don't think that. Yeah, pets, pets are food.
That's what I want. If you want to givet me
another being, I'm in this.
Speaker 1 (13:19):
It feels like a good disclaimer. Don't put the dog
in the box. I think too many people think that
that's cute, even if you cut the hole in it.
It's just not just give the person a dog. Don't
put it in a box.
Speaker 3 (13:31):
Your responsible person too, because I feel like so many
people this year will like, get someone a pet and
then it winds up in a shelter. So only get
them a pet if they really want one.
Speaker 4 (13:41):
Do you have any what kind of probably do you want?
Speaker 3 (13:44):
I don't know. I bought Jackson out of the back
of a van because a lady was going to shoot him.
So just something that needs a home.
Speaker 4 (13:50):
Yeah, we had We had a rescue too. Although I want,
I hope one day I can. I want a born
of Collie one day.
Speaker 3 (13:55):
But I really want a Doberman. I like, imagine me
with a Doberman with just like a metal chaine around
its neck and its name it was like Fluffy. That
would be sick.
Speaker 1 (14:06):
We should just get like a show dog and then
pass it around the country.
Speaker 2 (14:09):
You know.
Speaker 1 (14:10):
Then then it's it's not the same level of responsibility.
We can each have the dog for a couple of months.
Speaker 3 (14:14):
Four uh we had.
Speaker 4 (14:18):
I watched for uh friends the Great They had two
Great Danes. That's the only dog I don't want. I
love them, but they're so big and they they were
drooling all over me. And but I was watching like
house sitting too, like going over there and feeding two
huge Great Danes my brand. I do have a funny
(14:39):
preseason story. I was like fourteen, this is like early
two thousands. I went to So I went with like
my friend and his dad who brought us. They were
Eagles fans. I was a Raivens fan. This is like
two thousand and one, and I had a Ray Lewis.
I were Ray Lewis, Jersey. It was a preseason game
and it was that it was the VET and the
(15:01):
game got canceled. I don't know if you remember this.
There was like holes in the field and like Brian
Billick went out there and he was like, this is unsafe,
and there was this huge delay, and the NFL there
was like all these meetings with the officials and then
they just came out and they said the game is
unsafe to be played and they canceled it. And when
(15:23):
I was leaving, there was just all these drunk Eagles
fans just screaming at me, like murderer. They were just
so mad, aating. I was like, dude, we didn't get
to see a preseason game, but everyone was so mad.
I was like fourteen year old kid walking out of
there getting screamed at because people didn't get to see
their preseason football. So to your point, maybe people people
were upsetting out to see preseason NFL. They're probably gonna
(15:46):
turn on Josh Johnson, Max Brosmer, and Eludedcon.
Speaker 3 (15:52):
As they should they should.
Speaker 1 (15:54):
I hope that my ex of many many years ago
is forced to I'm sure she's married by now. I
hope that her husband forces her to watch Christmas Day
football just to make up for my experience watching the
Dolphins in the Browns.
Speaker 3 (16:10):
I hope one of my ex's friends listens to this
podcast because statistically that is quite likely and sends him
the bit about me hating his gifts.
Speaker 1 (16:18):
Yeah, we we can probably have production just send it
right to him. So if you could get us an
email address, we'll make that happen. Let's plant our flag
for week seventeen.
Speaker 5 (16:29):
Might flag in a shut up.
Speaker 4 (16:31):
I'm trying to plant my flag here.
Speaker 2 (16:33):
Okay, you're really planning your flag in that thing, Hendro.
We will start with you.
Speaker 1 (16:38):
I feel though, as though we're gonna have a little
bit of disagreement here.
Speaker 3 (16:41):
What you got you pissed me off. I love you
to dad, but you pissed me off every single week.
We talked about this before the show started. I'm on
the Saints. I just don't get the vibe that they
are wanting to tank. The Titans got super lucky last week.
The gardnerment went down, got a good morale victory. I
see them probably rolling over going belly up here. I've
(17:03):
been really impressed by Tyler Shuck and I think that
they want to get him some reps, get him some snaps,
let him grow a little bit, because the progress that
I've seen from him the last couple of weeks has
been awesome. I was originally in the boat the Saints
probably would be going to the draft looking for a quarterback.
I don't think they have to at this point, and
I think Kellen Moore is a good coach, should have
been a head coach sooner. Probably probably going to take
(17:24):
this game as a chance to get another win under
their belt. I don't really have faith in the Titans.
They had their raw raw, you know, good win last week.
Those science Yeah.
Speaker 1 (17:35):
I just think that New Orleans is probably peaking out
right now, and this feels like a really good time
to fade them. I know that the Titans are coming
off of a win, but that wasn't so much of
a win as it was a meltdown of competition. The
Saints have won three games in a row, and now
they go on the road. It just feels like a
major letdown. This feels like one of those games. Just
(17:55):
take the dog. Whoever be the underdog would be the
team that I would like. I don't hate it. I
just I'm definitely going to add the Titans to a
teaser leg. I just haven't decided who else I'm gonna
pair them with yet, but the Titans have already been nominated,
so we could both end up winning this. I'm gonna
take this up to eight and a half, and you're
gonna lay the two and a half with the Saints.
Speaker 2 (18:14):
Stucky? What about you?
Speaker 4 (18:17):
Well, yeah, I don't mind the teaser look for Titans
that we we're gonna go ugly. I gotta give people
a Christmas bet, so we're gonna bet on the Chiefs.
Oh my god, plus thirteen. This line is insane. So
let's just go. Let's rewind a month ago. The Chiefs
(18:38):
close up four in Denver, so we're keep it easy.
It's a divisional game, home field doesn't as much. We'll
keep it simple and say home field's worth one and
a half. That means the Chiefs at the time we're
five and a half points better than the Broncos. Now
the Broncos are favored by thirteen. Keep it at the
home field of one and a half. On the road
(18:59):
now saying the Broncos are over two touchdowns better than
the she that's a twenty point adjustment in a month,
twenty points in the NFL. By the way, Mahomes the
two games before he got hurt was the worst quarterback
in the NFL and EPA plus completion percentage of expedition.
Their offense was broken for the three weeks that he
was playing. It's not like we're going from peak Mahomes,
(19:20):
where this offense was operating at some crazy level over
you know, before he got hurt to Aluda Kon, So
twenty no quarterbacks worthy. Now there's other injuries, but I
would think also, I think the reason that you're getting
this number again, like Broncos win, you clinched the division
chiefs or eliminated. They got blown out by the Titans
last week. I was on the Titans LST week. I
(19:43):
thought it was a horrible spot for the chees. I
where they're going to show up the human element of that.
They were finally eliminated from the playoffs, were going at Tennessee,
so everyone who was hurt sat out. They had their
quarterback got hurt. Aludacon had to come in. He had
no reps with the first team, so you got a
couple things here. He'll have reps now this he can
move around, which you need to do behind this offensive line.
(20:04):
And I would imagine that some of the guys who
were hurt, you know, last week, it's like, why play?
This is like the last game that you'd want to play.
This is like the chief Super Bowl, Kelsey's last game
at home of his career, and you don't want the
Broncos to clinch the division and like on your home
field arrival, so well, the Chiefs lay down here, know,
(20:25):
like this is a game where the Chiefs will try
the low total. You're gonna get me close to two touchdowns.
I don't know this. I think this line should be
like ten and a half eleven. So yeah, we're taking
the Chiefs plus thirteen. I think they'll get up for
this one. And this is a Broncos team that doesn't
blow out anyone. And yeah, kind on a neutral to
(20:46):
justin fields and one by two with fields thrown for
negative ten net passing yards?
Speaker 3 (20:51):
Can I put my tinfoil hat on?
Speaker 4 (20:53):
Yeah?
Speaker 3 (20:54):
What do you guys think about Andy Reid and Kelsey
both retiring at the end of this year and if
Harbaugh gets fired them bringing him in?
Speaker 4 (21:02):
No, I mean, here's the thing. What is read? What
else is reed.
Speaker 3 (21:04):
Gonna do, go be a grandfather.
Speaker 4 (21:08):
Maybe he's gonna go like a Food Network show about
touring the country et and burgers.
Speaker 1 (21:15):
It's amazing how quickly we sell stock on these guys.
Andy Reid was the toast of the town for the
last five years, and now we're like, they should probably
get someone else.
Speaker 3 (21:24):
I've been a hater.
Speaker 4 (21:25):
No, I don't read. Seems like he's going to be
like a football guy, though I feel like he doesn't
do anything else. So yeah, I think the Chiefs will
show up here. Now. Maybe Eludicon's a disaster and he
turns it over a bunch and gets sacked and gets
stripped and he's got he gotta stop holding the ball
with one hand. But maybe maybe, But I just think
this line's too high. And this is a Broncos team,
and they don't blow. They don't blow on anyone. I mean,
(21:49):
and I'm talking bad teams. They beat the Raiders ten
to seven at home, Like this is a team that
they just their offense can get stuck in the mud.
Nicks can be inconsistent for quarters at a time. And
after the Broncos, what's that hell?
Speaker 3 (22:06):
I said, ninety percent of the Chiefs rosters on ILR.
Speaker 4 (22:10):
It's Fairyeah, it's fair.
Speaker 1 (22:11):
There's a lot of injuries, like the fact that Rashi
Rice isn't out there really doesn't help because they have
such a hard time moving the ball. A lude kwon,
by the way, eleven of sixteen for a buck. Eleven
for a quarterback that's coming in as a third string.
Speaker 2 (22:23):
Not that bad.
Speaker 4 (22:24):
He was done Minshew because Minshew can't move around and
he had no reps. Like he'll get reps this week.
Maybe there's a chance Rice comes back. I mean, I
don't know, but I mean right now. The Broncos beat
the Commanders by one on the road in overtime, the
Raiders by three. They beat uh Davis Mills by three.
(22:47):
I mean, like the Jets by two. Like this is
the team that the Titans by eight. They don't they
don't blow out anybody. And and this is coming off
a game where they got destroyed. I still think their
defense is a bit overrated. So uh just hit a
couple of long passes on Riley Moss, get to thirteen
points and you cover.
Speaker 2 (23:07):
Wow. Well, this is Stucky's specialty.
Speaker 1 (23:10):
So before you guys out there listening or watching this
Scoff the idea of betting the Chiefs on Christmas. These
are usually the bets that he hits. So I don't
know that I can get there.
Speaker 3 (23:21):
If it were Gardner Minshew, I would have been in
on this.
Speaker 2 (23:24):
I just the way that I'll look at it.
Speaker 4 (23:30):
There's the road that's insane.
Speaker 1 (23:33):
There's no way I'd bet the Broncos, which means it's
Chiefs or nothing, and it's probably gonna be nothing for me.
Speaker 2 (23:37):
But I totally get it. I get it on Kansas City.
Speaker 1 (23:41):
Uh, I told you guys, I was going to sell
you on the Dolphins plus five and a half. I
wasn't going to force it. I was going to crunch
some numbers. We did, and we're there.
Speaker 3 (23:51):
Douggie at the same time, literally just did the.
Speaker 4 (23:57):
No matter what numbers you crunched, you were going to
bet the Dolphins. Yeah, no, there's no numbers coming back
saying now, don't bet this.
Speaker 3 (24:06):
There wasn't even a line, real line now on Sunday
and you were like, yeah, I'm gonna covince you guys
on the Dolphins.
Speaker 4 (24:11):
It could have been minus five and a half and
you would have told us you bet in the Dolphins.
Speaker 2 (24:14):
That is not true.
Speaker 1 (24:16):
I I personally project this closer to three, so I
think that's around anything south of that. I think if
it was like three and a half or north of
three and a half, I would have been I would
have definitely tried to sell you guys only said.
Speaker 2 (24:31):
Five and a half.
Speaker 3 (24:33):
Gift to you was not planting my flag on the Buccaneers.
Speaker 1 (24:36):
Yeah, oh my god, really, God, come on this Bucks
team right now.
Speaker 2 (24:43):
Be trusted. They've been so bad.
Speaker 4 (24:46):
So that covered seven in a row. Baker's been arguably
a bottom three quarterback for the last two months. I
don't know if he's hurt or he has just come
crashing back down to earth. He's been abysmal, So I
don't If you want to sell this a Bucks fade, that's.
Speaker 1 (24:58):
Fine, well it's u It's much more of a it's
more of a Bucks fad. But it's also I think
this line is over adjusting to a blowout because people
are going to look and go, oh, well, quin Ewers
came in seventh round pick and then the team got
blown out. He really wasn't that bad. He had an
I int that bounced off of a receiver's hands. Greg
(25:19):
Dulsic fumbled the football he had nothing to do with that.
It was the defense that couldn't hold up. I actually
thought Youwers looked pretty crisp out there, all things considered.
No way this Bucks team should be laying over five
on the road.
Speaker 2 (25:31):
It's stuck.
Speaker 1 (25:31):
He mentioned he's been bad since week seven. The Bucks
are a bottom ten offense. These teams just are not
that far apart right now. So you give me five
and a half, and I don't think this number touches six.
Otherwise I wouldn't plant my flag on it.
Speaker 2 (25:45):
I would just wait. I don't think we're getting there.
Speaker 1 (25:47):
I think this is gonna go either stay where it's
at or it's gonna go down to four and a half.
And I like Miami legitimately, I know I was likely
gonna end up there no matter what.
Speaker 2 (25:58):
But this number is a chef's kiss. I love it.
Speaker 4 (26:03):
I don't hate it as a fate of The Bucks
are a mess right now. Baker's a mess, and that's
how you have to attack this Dolphins. He make Their
secondary is horrendous, and I mean Baker's just missing throws
left and right. And this is one of those instances where, yeah,
the line's probably attad inflated because the Bucks have to win, and.
Speaker 1 (26:21):
Yeah, the Bucks can be eliminated this week. If the
Panthers beat the Seahawks and the Dolphins beat the Bucks,
the Bucks are out and the Dolphins have nothing to
play for here. These are exactly the kind of teams,
the kind of situations that you want to bet into
Week seventeen and Week.
Speaker 2 (26:35):
Eighteen is this.
Speaker 3 (26:37):
Do you think that Mike McDaniel's going to lose his job?
Speaker 2 (26:40):
I don't.
Speaker 4 (26:41):
I have no idea. Actually I thought he was, and
then he wasn't. Now I don't know.
Speaker 1 (26:45):
I think the fact that the owner led there's no
way that you bench a quarterback, Yeah, who has signed
a two hundred million dollar contract without checking with the
owner first. So the fact that he got the go
ahead to do that to me, said that screams Mike
McDaniel is going to be the coach next year. Now,
maybe he gets fired three weeks into the season next year,
but I think they're at least going to get him
(27:05):
into next season.
Speaker 4 (27:07):
Yeah, there was a recent report that came out that
said he's coming back.
Speaker 2 (27:10):
So all right, there you go. Our flags are planted.
Speaker 1 (27:13):
Saints minus two and a half, Chiefs plus thirteen and
the Miami Dolphins plus five and a half against those
Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Speaker 3 (27:22):
You guys, yours might.
Speaker 4 (27:25):
Be the otherest kind of Saints is road chalk?
Speaker 3 (27:28):
You You are betting the cheess right now?
Speaker 4 (27:33):
Yeah, I'm getting two touchdowns your I could argue yours
is the.
Speaker 1 (27:38):
Fact that Tyler Shuck is the best quarterback on the plant.
Speaker 2 (27:41):
The flag tells you a whole lot.
Speaker 3 (27:43):
Jackson heard I wanted a puppy, and now he's like
in the background giving us his best right now.
Speaker 4 (27:50):
That's a good sign for the for our dogs, not
your road chalk.
Speaker 3 (27:54):
The dogs are barking anyways.
Speaker 2 (27:57):
Hey, listen, you said you wanted dogs for Christmas.
Speaker 4 (28:00):
We gave them to you and alluded Khan and yours.
Speaker 3 (28:05):
Yeah, the real puppies.
Speaker 4 (28:07):
Quinn. Quinn's a good dog name.
Speaker 3 (28:10):
Yeah, but if he dresses like a wanna be Morgan Wallin,
I don't knoww that on that one.
Speaker 1 (28:17):
So now that we've planted our flags, we're gonna jump
ahead a bit to Monday Night Football on ESPN because
right now there's an awesome offer from Sling TV. If
you need instant access to live TV. Maybe you're stuck
at the in laws on this holiday season, you're away
from the normal home set up, don't worry. With Sling TV,
you can take control with flexible package options of one
(28:38):
to three and seven day passes for access to thirty
plus live channels, which includes ESPN and TNT. So you're
covered for Monday Night Football, all eleven of the college
football playoff games and more so. With Sling TV, they're
gonna get you in Monday Night Football, and we're gonna
get you into a same game parlay. I like the
(28:58):
Falcons plus eight and a half. I like the way
that this team has looked the last couple of weeks.
They've gotten wins against the Bucks and the Cardinals. I
know that this is a step up in weight class
against the La Rams. Kyle Pitts has been playing well.
Drake London back in the mix. They can always lean
on Bijon give me a little prime time Cousins to
get the cover.
Speaker 2 (29:19):
Kendra, what do you like?
Speaker 3 (29:21):
I got to say that this Sling deal is the
absolute best thing if you're going to like your grandma's
house or something like that and you want to have
the games on, but know that they don't have any
sort of TV package whatsoever, or your Stucky's dad. That's
definitely probably what I'm gonna be doing. So I'm gonna
be my best friend's grandparents' house. I am waiting for
(29:42):
Blake Koram's numbers to come out. I want to see
what his total is for maybe like some pass catching,
just because he's been kind of a little bit more
involved in the game. Especially with Devonte Adams out, They've
got to get a little bit more creative with that offense.
I'm really looking at Blake Korum numbers once they're out.
Whether you like the ny time, whether you like him
to catch a couple passes, whatever looks nice with Blake Korum.
(30:04):
That's that's kind of where I'm at. Yeah, you're probably
gonna go with whatever his like patch total is. That's
probably where I'm gonna be. I'm probably gonna go with
the over.
Speaker 1 (30:13):
I think he's been going over his rushing yards a
week after week, and we'll look into that.
Speaker 2 (30:18):
What do you like, Yeah, ducky.
Speaker 4 (30:19):
I'm gonna go with I mean, this is hard to
do on a Tuesday for a Monday night.
Speaker 3 (30:23):
Game without knowing Yeah, yep, a lot.
Speaker 4 (30:25):
Of injury stuff, but I want to go with Kobe
Parkinson anytime touchdown, but Adams' status in Dow expect just
a ton of heavy personnel from the Rams. Falcons have
struggled defending heavy personnel. I think I'll get plenty of
looks in the red zone. So let's go with Parkinson
anytime touchdown.
Speaker 2 (30:44):
I dig it. Blake Koram.
Speaker 1 (30:46):
By the way, four weeks in a row, he has
gone over his rushing yard total.
Speaker 3 (30:51):
He's kind of a king. He's they've finally started to
give him some opportunity in that offense.
Speaker 2 (30:55):
Yeah, which he looks like. He looks like a legit
starting running back.
Speaker 1 (30:59):
If you know, if Kiren wasn't standing in his way,
I think that he's got bell Coal abilities. Did you
like him coming out of Michigan stucky as a as
a pro?
Speaker 4 (31:08):
I didn't. I didn't think he could be in every
down back, but I thought he would be he could
find a role in the NFL. But he's been better
than I expected before. And then so I mean, I
guess we'll go once the line comes out, we'll go
with So we'll go Falcons corem over rushing yards and
Parkinson touchdown. And I mean, for what it's worth, the
(31:31):
Falcons a very poor rush defense. They're they're i think
twenty seventh in rush success rate, so you can run
on them too, so that that does make sense. Twenty
fifth and rush EPA. So yeah, that'll be the parlay
once the numbers come out. Falcons krem over and Parkinson touchdown.
Speaker 1 (31:50):
The holiday season is here, and if you find yourself
at a let's gather around the table and play a
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(32:11):
seven day passes from Sling TV. Offer applies to Orange
one day pass restrictions apply. We still have our two
Kings and a Queen parlay coming up, which means more picks,
more analysis, But first a word from the Queen of
the pod as we chat about our loyal friends at DraftKings.
Speaker 3 (32:29):
The Favorites podcast is sponsored by DraftKings sportsbook and in
partnership with DraftKings, our listeners get a great offer right now,
new customers can bet five dollars and get two hundred
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Speaker 1 (33:04):
Evan Abrams joining us on the podcast The Voice of God.
No betting week can start without the primer. I am
hearing rumors that the primer is as loaded as it's
been all season long. Evan, what is the most common
theme that you have come across in the primer this week?
Speaker 5 (33:23):
Yeah, so stuck.
Speaker 6 (33:24):
He knows this more than anyone, and we kind of
have been working on this together since he's been here,
which is now, like, I don't know, close to a decade,
and it's basically these last two weeks, you're fading teams
that need to win. He knows this I know this.
It's sixty one percent, as he mentioned, want toweight and
sixty nine, And basically what it is is you're betting
teams who are eliminated against teams you need to win
right now. That is Vikings, Browns and Dolphins. You know,
(33:49):
as it's been mentioned by a bunch of people, we're
kind of short on games that matter this time of year,
So that's where we sit with this one. The other
one that's kind of interesting is just teams that middle pack.
So sixty percent win percentage week sixteen or later twenty
seven and seventy two against the spread, absolutely ridiculous. With
(34:10):
the worst win percentage. So it's in the primer that'd
be Dallas this week. But my recommendation is I don't
want to go anywhere near that Josh Johnson third stringer.
Speaker 5 (34:18):
It's it's a bit of a mess.
Speaker 6 (34:19):
So I think the other trend fits a lot of
the things we've talked about, so Vikings, Browns, and Dolphins,
and I think.
Speaker 5 (34:25):
That's really the theme of this week.
Speaker 6 (34:27):
The other one I'll give you is this, so Chiefs
sitting at plus thirteen and a half right now, would
be the biggest home dog for the Chiefs franchise in
their history. They closed plus thirteen in nineteen seventy seven
against the Raiders and Ken Stabler. And right now that
is above that line. And here's the crazier one. So
(34:48):
the Chiefs are on a seven game ATS losing streak.
They also lost seven straight against the spread last year,
so they'd be the first team in the Super Bowl
era to have back to back years of seven game
eighty A losing streaks.
Speaker 5 (35:00):
They're literally the worst bet you.
Speaker 6 (35:03):
Could make over the last two seasons, So pretty crazy
with candall was starting exactly yeah or minshew, but that
didn't do so well last week.
Speaker 1 (35:13):
Yeah, fair Eagles Bills is going to be a heavily
bet contest. To get the Buffalo Bills as minus one
and a half point favorites. I assume that that part
of that spread and where it is. The Bill's only
playing two more games at their home stadium before they
wrap it up, and you know that they want to
send those fans out of out of that stadium with
(35:35):
a big old smile on their face. Josh Allen is
on the injury report and he impacts the line in
a major way. But anything as far as the Eagles
and the Bills go where trends can point us in
one direction or the other.
Speaker 6 (35:47):
As always, I can give you both sides. So I'll
say this, Josh Allen, he's ozing two against the Eagles.
His career means a little means a lot kind of
how you look at it. So hasn't done well there
fill into cover by almost ten points per game as well,
So maybe thorn in the side. But from Buffalo's standpoint
five and zero against the spread facing teams above five
hundred this year most wins without a loss for any
(36:09):
team in the NFL, So a little bit how you
look at it, I think I'd have to look into.
Speaker 5 (36:13):
The Eagles stuff a little bit more to look at
how he's played.
Speaker 6 (36:16):
If you look at some of the numbers, betweind Josh
Allen this year really different at home versus road.
Speaker 5 (36:22):
Much better at home on the road, I believe it.
Speaker 6 (36:24):
Passer rating is almost thirty points different home versus road
for Josh Allen, so home seems to be some cooking
for him.
Speaker 4 (36:33):
I will say that Allen should have beat the It
was typical Eagles luck box win last year. Yeah, Eagles
beat him in overtime at in Philly, I think that
there was like so many fluky things that happened in
that game, it was unbelievable. I think the Bills out
gained them like five ten to three forty or something,
(36:53):
and they lost in overtime on a bunch of fluke
stuff missed field goals. So he did play well. I
think the final score was like thirty eight thirty five.
Speaker 6 (37:00):
Yeah, I think that five their own numbers intriguing in
terms of what they've done against good teams Stucky.
Speaker 1 (37:05):
Do you think that that line indicates some real question
marks about his health.
Speaker 4 (37:12):
Uh, I can't imagine him not playing.
Speaker 1 (37:17):
I think Dermott said that he is expected to play,
so yeah, I don't think they're hedging this too much.
Speaker 4 (37:23):
No, I mean, I think there's probably some people that
make that line like one and a half. Not much
difference between these two teams. Lane Johnson is he back?
That's important for the Eagles. Still, I'm still not buying
this Eagles like offensive resurgence. Like I thought they were
gonna lose that game against Washington until Mariota got hurt,
and you know, Johnson throws that horrendous pick, which I mean,
(37:44):
there was no Washington, no chance once Mariota went out. Also, Elliott,
is he broken that could come into play. He looks
like he's completely lost. I will say Hurts is running
a bit more, which is helping their offense. I don't
know why they weren't doing that earlier, but you know
they beat the last two weeks. They beat the Raiders
(38:05):
and the Commanders with a third string quarterback and they
had to I mean had Commandis had even more injuries
during the game. Offensive line, they were without their left tack,
they lost their left guard, they'd lost a bunch more defenders,
and it's a defense that can't stop anyone. So now
the Bills aren't a great defense either, but if that
keeps going down, I'll probably look at the Bills.
Speaker 1 (38:25):
There, Kendrick, should we just be looking to back Buffalo
in these final couple of games in Orchard Park?
Speaker 3 (38:32):
So I very much am thinking that Buffalo is about
to go on a run here. I don't know if
any Here's the thing, when I look at the AFC
playoff picture, they're the team that I don't want to play.
Does anybody feel differently about that?
Speaker 1 (38:47):
I think they'd be at the top of the list because.
Speaker 4 (38:49):
The Chiefs got in with akon. I don't know.
Speaker 3 (38:53):
Maybe, and in order for that to happen, you have
to win both of these games back to back. Obviously
they want to say no, no, lack of reason to
get up here. I'm on the Bills probably no matter what.
Probably not gonna bet this game though, just because it
feels yucky for some reason. But I'm I'm behind the
Bills when they get in through the postseason for sure.
Speaker 4 (39:14):
Evan, Yeah, well they can't. We really can't win the
division though.
Speaker 3 (39:17):
No they can't.
Speaker 4 (39:19):
Because I mean all the Patriots somehow play two more
backup quarterbacks to close the year. Although Brandon will be
on the Dogs, could be.
Speaker 3 (39:27):
Could be kind of stinky. I don't know the page.
I the Patriots have to be in bet yail for me.
After I had the Ravens the other night, I seriously
cannot touch them again or I might get fired from
another job.
Speaker 2 (39:39):
But yeah, I.
Speaker 1 (39:39):
Don't know that you have a great You're too close
to the fire. I don't think you have a good
read on the paper.
Speaker 4 (39:43):
You're starting quarterback. If you're starting quarterback, it's certain just
the taffit's uh, you're gonna lose your bet. I mean,
I had the the Raids. I had the commanders like
you just sometimes that happens sometimes your starting quarterback.
Speaker 3 (39:55):
They leave Derek Henry out for the fourth quarter, who's
the same.
Speaker 2 (39:59):
The Ravens would have covered that with Lamar.
Speaker 3 (40:01):
I think that would have won that game, no question,
if Lamar didn't get hurt and they played the best
running back in the league.
Speaker 2 (40:10):
But what do I now?
Speaker 4 (40:11):
They also could have the Patriots continue to get every fumble?
Would they have five fuffles and there's five funbles? Again,
they covered four of them. I think they recovered like
eighty three percent of opponents fumbles and have lost only
like thirty percent of theirs. That's and considering they played
nothing but backup quarterbacks all year, that's a little worrisome.
And Drake may put the ball in Harm's way again
(40:31):
a bunch. He's been amazing, but I think he had
three or four turnover worth. He plays a drop pick
that would have ended the game, So he's getting away.
Speaker 1 (40:39):
Yeah, they're going to be that one They're going to
be that one seed that gets a bye and then
loses in their first opportunity.
Speaker 3 (40:46):
So I agree, especially because they're so injured right now.
They are so especially on defense. It's unbelievable.
Speaker 4 (40:55):
Yeah, I mean, you gotta get made make throw some
amazing deep balls.
Speaker 3 (40:59):
And he's playing three and eighty yards the other night
and played like that like he had three bad quarters
of football and still when I think like thirty one
four for three eighty and two touchdown.
Speaker 4 (41:10):
Yeah, and there was a miss like fifty yard pi.
I don't know how they didn't call that was bad.
So but yeah, it looks like the Bills are going
to be a wild card and as of right now,
it looks like they will go to Pittsburgh, so like Schitsburg,
who they already went and just ran all over. We'll
(41:31):
see if the Steelers make an adjustment to the play
that the Bills ran thirty times.
Speaker 1 (41:36):
In good Luck trying to stop good Luck trying to
stop Kenneth Ladenian game gain Well, you know, Evan, go
check out the Primer actionnetwork dot com.
Speaker 2 (41:46):
Get yourself a pro subscription.
Speaker 1 (41:48):
While you're at it, It's time for the reason you
all came here today, and we'll send you all on
your Mary Oy, our two Kings and a Queen parlay
for reminders.
Speaker 2 (42:06):
We will each nominate two plays.
Speaker 1 (42:08):
See if we can find some general consensus on the
board and eventually land on our team built parlay Stucky,
get us started.
Speaker 4 (42:17):
We're going ugly as you might imagine. Week seventeen, Browns
fit the ball. Steelers need to win. Browns playing home
divisional dog. You know, I mean almost always bet them
the Browns. Last week. I was always bet the Garrett
Garrett I hope gets the records.
Speaker 3 (42:35):
He's so sick.
Speaker 4 (42:37):
Their defense always plays much better at home. I Plus,
there's no Dk Metcalf for the Steelers to suspend. It
that makes the Steelers easier to defend. Like you can
just watch when defenses play, you know, when the Steers
are in the red zone or like they have they
have a safety shading over to Metcalf. And now it's like,
you know, can we talk about that gotty Miller Adam
(42:58):
feeling like so yeah, so and this there's gonna be
like thirty mile hour wins in this this game, this
total might close to like thirty. So like getting four
points in this four and a half points in this
game is like getting ten. There's also many like so
this is now the Browns super Bowl at home, try
to spoil the Steelers. There's also scenariohe the Steelers already
(43:18):
clinched the division and they're playing for nothing. If the
Ravens lose to the Packers, and then what happens, well,
the sorts of a ton of injuries as well, offensive line,
defensive line, so they might rest guys that are hurt.
Do you hold back guys that are dealing with injuries
you know you're not gonna have Metcalf? Do you put
Rogers out there in harm's way against Garrett? Probably not?
(43:40):
So what does that mean? I mean, even if he plays,
you probably run the ball seventy times. You're playing for
nothing and then this game ends like seven to six.
That's my first one.
Speaker 1 (43:50):
What's the case for the Raiders because I'm sold by
the way, my vote is gonna be on the Browns
unless you blow men.
Speaker 4 (43:55):
I love the Raiders here. The Raiders are not like
this is like everyone's gonna say it's a tank off.
Speaker 2 (44:01):
What it like?
Speaker 4 (44:01):
I don't think either one of these teams is outwardly
tanking where it could come into plays like who you
sit out or make sure there's a one out of there.
I'm denominating the Raiders money. I took them early in
the week. Getting costs money where you see the tanks, Like,
if one team these these two tank ish teams, at
the end of the year, one team scores at the end,
there's no reason to go to overtime. So he might
(44:22):
just call the worst two point conversion play of all time.
We've seen that in the past. So he might just
call like a triple reverse and lose the game by one.
So but here's the thing. Dart is broken right now,
not running as much he was. I mean, he didn't
complete a pass with the whole first half last week.
(44:42):
I don't know if he said a sophomore slump, it's
after his injury, just not the same quarterback. They also
have a ton of offensive line injuries, and the Giants
are one team that cannot afford any offensive line injuries.
The Raiders, meanwhile, yeah, I mean Andrew Thomas is like
we've seen this in the past. When Andrew Thomas goes out,
this unit turns into dust. That's what's happened to the Raiders.
(45:04):
Who might maybe they'll get Colton Miller back Pro Bowl
caliber left tackle, and the Raiders they're gonna have like
you have Brock Bowers, you have Genty, who's going up
against the league's worst rush defense, so I think that
they'll be able to run the ball. And here's who
the Raiders have played over the past five weeks. The
(45:29):
Browns defense, the Chargers defense, the Broncos defense, the Eagles defense,
and the Texans defense. Are those five top seven defenses.
That's who they played over the past five weeks. They
played the Broncos before that, the Jags before that. Like,
their schedule has been vicious, So this will be a
(45:50):
nice break for Gino for genty to get going. Who
got going last week against Houston. So I just trust
that Raiders offense much more. Their defense, I think is
even better than the Giants defense. They're at home. Pete
Carroll is not a.
Speaker 3 (46:06):
Tanking also Pete Carroll podcast.
Speaker 4 (46:09):
And the Raiders. By the way, these are my two
most profitable teams in twenty twenty five. I've been the
Raiders and the Browns, and so that's who I'm dominating here,
the Raiders in the Browns.
Speaker 1 (46:20):
Damn, you know, I like them both with is that bad?
I kind of got me with that one. Actually, that
was good that you definitely sold me on some ash
gent props. That's for sure. Definitely going to add that
to the card. I'll still vote Browns, but you almost
you almost got me.
Speaker 3 (46:36):
Yeah, I'm gonna go Browns as well, but I I
don't hate either of them, So Browns all right?
Speaker 2 (46:43):
All right?
Speaker 3 (46:44):
Points though not money Line. I'm a coward.
Speaker 4 (46:47):
Yeah, I mean, especially in the game of total of
that is trending towards like thirty one. Heaven, who would
you vote for?
Speaker 5 (46:56):
I believe them, but I want to buy it to four.
Speaker 2 (46:58):
It's three and a half.
Speaker 1 (47:01):
Yeah, Drafts is allowing the slider to four and a half,
So we're gonna put four and a half in the parlay.
Speaker 4 (47:06):
Okay, good, That's the number I bet earlier in the week.
Speaker 3 (47:09):
So all right, Kendra, I really only have one nomination,
but I gave you a second option just in case.
I really love the Bengals this week. They didn't take
their foot. What they didn't take they didn't take their
foot off the gas last week I expected them to.
Joe Burrow just says he wants to go out there
play football and have fun. The fact that he didn't
(47:31):
sit and try and nurse that foot when he could
have last week, I think says a lot. I think
they're gonna go out there hoop, have some fun score
some points on a bad team, and I don't. I
don't think that there's any argument against that at this
point against a bad team. However, I know that Krevitz
also has the opposite side of that. So I'm gonna
give you guys the Lions minus six just because must
(47:53):
win game. I get that they're injured, but they got absolutely.
Speaker 4 (47:57):
Just the game.
Speaker 3 (47:59):
The other man what I do think it was a
correct call, but we were all sitting here screaming at
that game. I think that they have to come out
be ready, must win game against a bad Vikings team
on their third string quarterback. Love the Max Brosmer regardless,
I those are my two nominations.
Speaker 4 (48:15):
I can't I will not bet the I can't bet
the lines. I'll tell you that. I mean, that's Evan
already talk about this. I probably gonna end up betting
the Vikings. I just if Brosmer gets ruled. Is he
not a ruled officially in yet? I'm pretty sure he's playing.
But sometimes when the team they get bump in the market,
what's that.
Speaker 3 (48:35):
I don't think it's going to be JJ right, like,
I don't think so either.
Speaker 2 (48:37):
I mean, would wait, I would wait on that.
Speaker 4 (48:39):
I'm just saying, like maybe you get another bump when
it's announced.
Speaker 3 (48:42):
I mean, this line is just so Bengals to me.
Speaker 4 (48:45):
But no, I mean the line stink people Like they
just lost to the Steelers at home and I must
win game. This is this, this is not this, and
they're so hurt. They have no offensive line now, so
like going to floor as defense. McCarthy already beat them
when he when he was horrendous on the road. You
have offensive line injuries, your defense is I mean the
Lions defense they got, they got nobody left. They their
(49:07):
defense has allowed four hundred and sixty yards per game
over the last five games. The Bengals are dead last
enough I'll allowing four to h two. No, I can't
I cann occupy the lines, I now, Bengals, Yeah, I
could see. Just the Cardinals are so hurt, and I
(49:28):
don't know how they get any stops because like Bengal
flat got Flacco. Burrow can just dink and dunk all
the way down the field on them and they're gonna
hit some explosives too. Like, I don't know how the
Cardinals get any stops, and like who is left on
the Cardinals roster but Kravitz likes the I know he's
going to try to nominate the Cardinals. I don't know
(49:52):
hard early in the week because.
Speaker 3 (49:53):
Of all the Kravits. I hate your nominations, all right,
So you're.
Speaker 4 (49:59):
Gonna vote for the long, vot for the I'm not.
Speaker 1 (50:01):
I'm voting for an alternate. I'm voting for an alternate idea.
I cannot and I'll give it to you in a second.
I cannot believe that I am the one that has
to nominate the sad Cats every single week on this podcast.
I'm trying to slowly convert us from a JAG's cast
to a Panthers cast.
Speaker 2 (50:17):
Plus seven and a half.
Speaker 3 (50:18):
I started the Panthers movement. Screw you.
Speaker 1 (50:21):
You handed the ball off, and I've taken it to
the house.
Speaker 4 (50:24):
Here.
Speaker 1 (50:25):
Somebody has to do it. This one's simple. This is
what Carolina does. They're the Carolina repet vote.
Speaker 4 (50:30):
We have to vote on Kendris first.
Speaker 1 (50:31):
I'm i'm I'm laying this out there because we're going
to spend more time on the other My other idea.
Five and one against the spread as a home underdoger
the Carolina Panthers, They've covered nine straight against NFC opponents.
Speaker 2 (50:43):
So I like the Panthers. But my idea that I think.
Speaker 1 (50:47):
We might like here is that we marry our Cardinals
Bengals pick because both of us are of the same mindset.
You like the Bengals because you think they're going to
put up a bunch of points on a sad sack
Cardinals defense. I think the Bengals are just as bad,
if not worse than Arizona, and they're not gonna be
able to get any stops.
Speaker 2 (51:07):
So I think we should take the over.
Speaker 1 (51:09):
I think we should put the over fifty three and
a half into the parlay, and then we can kind
of both.
Speaker 3 (51:15):
There are the Cardinals getting those points from though their.
Speaker 1 (51:18):
Offense has been awesome with Jacoby Brissett and they have
Marvin Harrison junior back, and the Bengals are the worst
defense in the league against the tight end position. Trey
McBride's the best tight end in the game. They're not
gonna stop the guy.
Speaker 4 (51:31):
Bengals money line. We're putting Bengals money line in there.
Get Evans vote. We can't change her pick to a total.
I had heaven, what do you what would you decide here?
Speaker 6 (51:41):
But it's between Bengals, and what what are the.
Speaker 4 (51:44):
Bengals that we could go Bengals spread. We also can
just throw Bengals money line in. There are lines. I
know you're not gonna pick the Lions.
Speaker 6 (51:51):
I mean, oh my god, Lions money line? I guess
could be something.
Speaker 5 (51:57):
No, okay, well stuck, you just gave me that.
Speaker 4 (52:00):
Oh no, you know better than to do the team
us to win on the road.
Speaker 1 (52:04):
So we're gonna put a minus three eighty money line
into the parlay?
Speaker 2 (52:07):
What are we doing? It's what about?
Speaker 4 (52:09):
Wait?
Speaker 5 (52:10):
What about a suggestion off the cuff?
Speaker 6 (52:12):
What if we did like Bengals first half or something
like that?
Speaker 5 (52:16):
Is that feel? I don't know, it's it's I guess
it's four and a half. That sucks too.
Speaker 2 (52:19):
This, I mean it has to be approved by Kendra.
This is her nomination.
Speaker 3 (52:22):
We can't we can't put Bengals panther is whatever?
Speaker 4 (52:27):
Well all right, so wait, wait, wait, Devin, who would
you pick between the Bengals minus the points or the Lions?
Speaker 5 (52:36):
This is a Colon Stocking situation. Give me the Bengals.
Speaker 3 (52:40):
Also, we are sitting here argue every time we sit
here and argue over this fucking parlay for more than
four minutes, it hits. So every time we sit here
and we're like, I don't think right.
Speaker 5 (52:55):
Now, Bengals will let's do this? Does DraftKings allow us
to get under the seven? Like give me the six
and a half or something like that, I gott't.
Speaker 1 (53:02):
Yeah, all right, well let me let me play around here.
So well, so you guys are good with the Panthers,
there's no.
Speaker 4 (53:09):
Well, the other choices the Cardinals.
Speaker 1 (53:12):
So but just even in general, for people out there
that want to bet it straight, I already bet the
Panthers plus seven and a half?
Speaker 2 (53:21):
Stucky? Would you?
Speaker 1 (53:22):
Would you sign off on that? For those out there
that are listening, that want to that want to take
that while I I'm just trying to buy time while
I put this in the app here.
Speaker 4 (53:30):
I'm waiting get some injury stuff there. I'm close, but
over a touchdown out I don't. I'm not gonna oppose it.
Speaker 2 (53:38):
Okay.
Speaker 1 (53:39):
So we have the Browns plus four and a half
against the Steelers, we have the Panthers plus seven and
a half at home against the Seahawks, and the Bengals
down to minus six and a half against the Cardinals.
That is plus four sixty four over Undraftkings.
Speaker 2 (53:57):
The crown is yours, you weirdos.
Speaker 3 (54:01):
Well, get ready for another parlay to cash.
Speaker 2 (54:04):
So you know what this feels like.
Speaker 1 (54:06):
This feels like the middle of a Christmas get together
with the family where it was going well and then
it just gets really fucking awkward out of nowhere and
you're like, I think we got.
Speaker 2 (54:16):
To go now.
Speaker 3 (54:16):
I think Grandma starts talking about politics and you're like, all.
Speaker 2 (54:19):
Right, that's right.
Speaker 1 (54:24):
Uh, this did not feel like consensus.
Speaker 4 (54:26):
But listen, the Browns are the only team those consensus.
What a were on it?
Speaker 2 (54:32):
We should just parlay our our plant the flags. There's that.
Speaker 1 (54:35):
We were much more happy to fortnutes ago. No, I
like this, all right, fine, there you go, and I'll
do it for our episode today. A reminder, no show
on Thursday. We're off for Christmas special. Thanks to all
of you for listening and making us part of your week.
We greatly appreciate it. We also appreciate our producers, Gifford Gold,
David Payne, Statsman Evan Abrams. The Favorites will return on
(54:58):
Sunday Night, will recap weeks seventeen and c where we
went right and where we went wrong. Hopefully none of
you get cold in your stockings and all that jazz.
Thanks for tuning in. We'll see you next time here
on the Favorites podcast presented by DraftKings.
Speaker 2 (55:10):
A Merry Christmas to all and to all, O good
night kill.
Speaker 3 (55:14):
This Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you
or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help
is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred
Gambler
Welcome to the Favorites, all part of the Action Network
family presented by DraftKings.
Speaker 2 (00:14):
The Crown is yours.
Speaker 1 (00:16):
I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by a couple of Santa's favorite elves.
On this pre Christmas episode to super episode, Kendra and Stuckey.
Speaker 2 (00:25):
Are off to or well off of a great week.
Speaker 1 (00:29):
Week sixteen had ourselves a phenomenal week of NFL betting
and a lot more to get to. Today, we'll plant
the flag, we'll nominate our two Kings, and a queen parlay.
We've got Evans super loaded primer.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
It's an all in one episode.
Speaker 1 (00:45):
We said around Thanksgiving that we learned a lesson to
take it easy around the holidays. We're distracted, We're trying
to get plays in early. We're forcing it sometimes and
sometimes for content reasons as well. Kendra, have we learned
our lesson? Or are the Christmas betting cards full?
Speaker 3 (01:06):
I am going to have such a light week of
bets for so many reasons. One it's the holidays. Two,
people are on short rests and a lot of these scenarios. Three,
I'm sure just like everybody else, you know, players are
people too. They have a lot going on in their lives,
they have family, friends, kids that they've got stuff to
get done for holidays. Big distraction for everybody. I'm gonna
(01:27):
go super light this week. And additionally, like there's teams
who are playing for nothing and teams who are playing
for everything, and that always gets dicey. You always have
to decide who's gonna, you know, kind of try and
tank for picks and who's not, who's gonna who has
teams that people need to be playing for contracts next season,
all of those types of things. This time of year
is so tough. Save your bankroll for the playoffs.
Speaker 1 (01:49):
Stuck you want to hit anybody with the holiday disclaimer
or are you are you loading up this week?
Speaker 4 (01:56):
Not same as always. I actually loved the last two
weeks of the regular because I love betting on teams
that are playing for nothing against teams that need to win.
Usually get some value there. I think historically that they
hit it like sixty one percent. Everyone who wants to
bet the team that's playing for nothing, that's seen that
needs to win usually nobody, And a lot of times
you can get value betting against that. These are still professionals,
(02:18):
They're still going to show up. I mean teams rarely
outwardly tank the guys that the only things you could
do is like if from an organization standpoint, you might
just not play certain guys, right, you might just hey, say, hey,
we're going to set this guy out, We're going to
shut down this guy. But everyone on the field, I mean,
they're playing for contracts for next year. They're not going
(02:40):
to not try, so yeah, I I mean, look at
the the Raiders are a perfect example. Last week, like
they have an incentive to lose out they outplayed the
Texans in Houston who needed to win. So yeah, I
love betting on teams. It requires you to bet on
a lot of bad teams, but I love betting on
the bad teams in the final two weeks of the
(03:01):
regular season that are playing for nothing.
Speaker 3 (03:03):
Betting on those teams the whole year don't lie.
Speaker 4 (03:07):
Oh yeah, of course, but I think you get even
more value the last two weeks. So I already have
a couple of those I bet. And then the worst
part about this week the NFL, Right, the NFL regular
the end of the regular season has really lost a
lot of it's lost there this year. It's pretty unfortunate.
I mean, there's a chance we know all fourteen playoff
teams after this weekend, and it's not the one that's
(03:30):
probably most unlikely is who wins the NFC South because
it would require the Bucks to so that that's the
least likely. But there's a chance, like that's the only
thing we have left to decide.
Speaker 3 (03:48):
Because they play week they played the last week of
they play again the last week.
Speaker 2 (03:51):
Correct.
Speaker 4 (03:51):
Yeah, so unless the Panthers have a two game lead
because the Bucks win the tiebreaker, then that's going to
decide the division. So there's a good chance that that
ends up getting flexed to Sunday night and then like
next Sunday afternoon, there's going to be maybe some seating stuff.
But yeah, and then you have all these quarterback injuries,
like we might have ten or eleven backup quarterbacks. The
(04:13):
third of the league is going to have a backup
quarterback this week, a bunch of third strings.
Speaker 2 (04:18):
So.
Speaker 3 (04:20):
We have a quarterback crisis.
Speaker 4 (04:23):
Yeah, and they have all these rules to start to
keep quarterbacks healthy, and they're running.
Speaker 1 (04:27):
They made these rules and then and then all of
a sudden, the NFL changed. Then these guys started running
around like they're in college. So I don't know, if
they need to develop new new rules that where you
can't even hit the quarterback when he's diving for a
first down fifteen yards down the field.
Speaker 4 (04:42):
It's body weight, please, These injuries aren't happening on body weight.
Speaker 1 (04:47):
By the way, the body weight fel is maybe the
worst of all on that.
Speaker 4 (04:52):
So yeah, that's that's pretty unfortunate. The Christmas Leigh with
a Netflix playing pay pay the NFL on hundred and
fifty million, get a bunch of third string quarterbacks.
Speaker 3 (05:04):
So yeah, I uh, I'm gonna watch every minute of it,
like a sec o every minute.
Speaker 4 (05:10):
It's like my job, and I'll watch all the games.
Speaker 1 (05:15):
People are still gonna watch the games because this is
a lot of people do, but they're gonna be on
like net. Netflix is still going to get their streaming numbers.
This will officially test. This is like the biggest stress
tests you could ask for for the NFL. Let's see
how much people actually love our fucking products.
Speaker 2 (05:32):
Let's let's give you this one Christmas.
Speaker 4 (05:33):
You want to watch Josh Johnson, you gotta, you gotta
put on Netflix at the family party.
Speaker 3 (05:38):
Let's see, do you guys have the same issue that
I do. You remember back in the day when you're
making fun of boomers who couldn't say Chipotle. My mom
can't say Netflix. My mom cannot get she thinks it's
next Flix and she cannot stay Netflix properly. Does everybody
else have that issue? It's like the new Chipotle for me.
Speaker 4 (05:58):
My dad say it, but he can't turn on any app.
He has the call one of us and we have
to walk them through it every time. Also he listens
to uh my podcast. I have to send him like
an email to his AOL email. It still as an
AOL email, and I can't I send him everyone he
(06:21):
had calls me if I don't send it. He can't
figure out how to just go to the field. I
have the email everyone, and it's from the a cast
site where we like we host it. Because I have
to send him the exact link where you can just
hit this play button on his old browser. Uh it's
the only one that works. So I remember after every
podcast to send him a link from this production site
(06:44):
and then he clicks it in his play. So yeah,
there's there's probably gonna be some people that just put
the NBA on on their TV to not and not
pull up the streaming. So I think it'll be hit
up a little bit.
Speaker 3 (06:57):
But I am curious box because once on Netflix, that's killer.
Speaker 4 (07:02):
Yeah, Netflix, Netflix, Amazon, So like there's gonna be some
people that are just like dude, I'm not I'm not
going to put the streaming on and.
Speaker 3 (07:12):
For Max Brosmer boo, if you bet you guys better
watch Max Brosmer and like it.
Speaker 1 (07:20):
I'm going to take a sip of my gingerbread latte
while Stucky asks us something weird, random and bizarre.
Speaker 3 (07:26):
Hey, this is a dumb question.
Speaker 4 (07:29):
Let me ask you a personal question kind of question?
Speaker 2 (07:32):
Is that is question?
Speaker 3 (07:35):
Uh?
Speaker 4 (07:35):
Will in the Christmas spirit? What is what is the
worst gift you've ever see? It's a hard one, so
I don't know if you have an answer. But and
then two part question what do you want? Because as
you get older, it's harder to like get to come
up with a gift that would like make you happy,
Like what would you want as a gift? Obviously, he asked,
(07:57):
like a reasonable gift can't be like I want to
pry to jet or what's something that you would want
that makes you happy at your current age. I think
the worst gift I ever got was I got a
I won't say the family member the god for me.
(08:18):
But I got a like and it was really nice.
But I got this like tight leather jacket, Like, was
I ever gonna wear that? It is sad in my
closet or uh I think thirteen years I like moved
with it. I'm ever gonna wear a leather jacket? No, so,
(08:39):
but that was like really nice. And but yeah, I've
never got any use for it, and it's taken up
room in my closet in my house forever. So I
guess I gotta nominate that.
Speaker 1 (08:49):
I mean, you could go as like a member of
Greece for Halloween. You know, you could use it for
outside of just like wearing it to dinner.
Speaker 4 (08:57):
I guess. Yeah, what makes gift makes me at books?
But I don't like I give them myself. The buy
problem is in like twenty twenty five, I just buy
anything I want. My wife always says this, Whenever I
want something, I just buy it, And it's so easy
to buy it online.
Speaker 2 (09:13):
So I like it.
Speaker 4 (09:13):
Like food, it's probably what makes me happy. Like I
showed you, I got to I get a bunch of
tin fish. Sound like a seventy year old.
Speaker 3 (09:22):
Yeah, what's the the Tinfish thing. What is that? Is
so like gen z girlypop of you? Why is why
are the girls obsessed with Tinfish girls?
Speaker 4 (09:31):
Ob fish?
Speaker 3 (09:32):
Oh my god, it's stucky. It is like the biggest
trend on TikTok right now. And like the gift that
everybody wants. I don't understand.
Speaker 4 (09:40):
I love I love just grabbing a quick tinfish some
crackers or some bread. It's like some tuned good tuna
belly heating up a little bit. But I've always loved tinfish,
but also like chili oil paste, like different kinds of pastes,
and yeah, like or like a shirt, like a good
sweatshirt or hat. I think like that's it. It's hard
(10:02):
to find. It's hard to like for me to to
be like, this is what I really want to make
me happy. But how about you, guys, what's the worst
gift you ever got? And what would you want? What's
something that you want this year?
Speaker 1 (10:14):
So the worst gift I ever got the one that
springs to mind. It's not a Christmas gift though, but
it definitely fits the It definitely fits the podcast.
Speaker 2 (10:24):
A girl that I dated many many years ago, pre.
Speaker 1 (10:27):
Wife, she got me it was for my birthday. My
birthday is in early August, right when the preseason starts
in the NFL. And she knew I was a Dolphins fan,
so and she was not. She wasn't a sports fan,
so she gets me tickets to a Dolphins game. The
Dolphins had just signed Dante Culpepper. I went to UCF.
I'm all pumped up about this and I opened it up.
Speaker 2 (10:51):
I see that.
Speaker 1 (10:51):
They're like they were like physical tickets is back when
they actually printed those and it said Dolphins Browns Week
two of the preseason. And she thought she had nailed
it because she didn't know the difference between a regular
season and pre season. So I had to go down
this game. I went to this game with her, drove
(11:12):
three hours down to Miami, go to this game with her,
and had to pretend the whole time like this is
the best experience of my life. Culpepper played two snaps,
was out of the game, and we watched backups for
the Browns and the Dolphins, and she had no idea
that this game didn't matter at all. That's the one
that springs to mind. I asked for a ring camera, doorbell,
(11:34):
So this is where I'm at in My Life and
a Cosmo pillow. They had this on display at a
city furniture and I, you know, you lay on the
bed when you go to the furniture stores to test
it out. Most comfortable pillow I've ever laid on. So
a digital camera and a pillow. And I don't want
(11:55):
any more kids, so I might get a ves sectomy,
but I'll probably pay for that myself.
Speaker 3 (12:01):
You probably need an ice back. Maybe I'll get you
for Christmas. My worst gift was also from my ex
boyfriend that I dated all through college, and he got
me a I didn't eat meat until I was twenty five.
I don't know if you guys know that about me,
Like literally my whole life, I did not eat meat.
(12:22):
And then COVID happened, and maybe I was like twenty
three or twenty four whatever, and then COVID happened, and
I was like, well, if I'm gonna die, I guess
I should eat a steak. And so I started eating
meat again. But my boyfriend bought me a book about
like this girl wrote a book about her journey to
becoming a vegetarian. He bought me one of the Steven
Singer gold dipped roses and a bottle of gin and
(12:44):
I hated it and I was like, thanks, We've been
dating for like a year and a half and you
don't know me at all. Amazing.
Speaker 4 (12:53):
Yeah, when someone just like reveals something to.
Speaker 3 (12:58):
You, yep, and so that it sucked. I donated all
of it. And then what I want this year? I
really want a puppy, you guys, I want to puppy.
I have puppy fever so bad. I want another dog.
But I don't think that. Yeah, pets, pets are food.
That's what I want. If you want to givet me
another being, I'm in this.
Speaker 1 (13:19):
It feels like a good disclaimer. Don't put the dog
in the box. I think too many people think that
that's cute, even if you cut the hole in it.
It's just not just give the person a dog. Don't
put it in a box.
Speaker 3 (13:31):
Your responsible person too, because I feel like so many
people this year will like, get someone a pet and
then it winds up in a shelter. So only get
them a pet if they really want one.
Speaker 4 (13:41):
Do you have any what kind of probably do you want?
Speaker 3 (13:44):
I don't know. I bought Jackson out of the back
of a van because a lady was going to shoot him.
So just something that needs a home.
Speaker 4 (13:50):
Yeah, we had We had a rescue too. Although I want,
I hope one day I can. I want a born
of Collie one day.
Speaker 3 (13:55):
But I really want a Doberman. I like, imagine me
with a Doberman with just like a metal chaine around
its neck and its name it was like Fluffy. That
would be sick.
Speaker 1 (14:06):
We should just get like a show dog and then
pass it around the country.
Speaker 2 (14:09):
You know.
Speaker 1 (14:10):
Then then it's it's not the same level of responsibility.
We can each have the dog for a couple of months.
Speaker 3 (14:14):
Four uh we had.
Speaker 4 (14:18):
I watched for uh friends the Great They had two
Great Danes. That's the only dog I don't want. I
love them, but they're so big and they they were
drooling all over me. And but I was watching like
house sitting too, like going over there and feeding two
huge Great Danes my brand. I do have a funny
(14:39):
preseason story. I was like fourteen, this is like early
two thousands. I went to So I went with like
my friend and his dad who brought us. They were
Eagles fans. I was a Raivens fan. This is like
two thousand and one, and I had a Ray Lewis.
I were Ray Lewis, Jersey. It was a preseason game
and it was that it was the VET and the
(15:01):
game got canceled. I don't know if you remember this.
There was like holes in the field and like Brian
Billick went out there and he was like, this is unsafe,
and there was this huge delay, and the NFL there
was like all these meetings with the officials and then
they just came out and they said the game is
unsafe to be played and they canceled it. And when
(15:23):
I was leaving, there was just all these drunk Eagles
fans just screaming at me, like murderer. They were just
so mad, aating. I was like, dude, we didn't get
to see a preseason game, but everyone was so mad.
I was like fourteen year old kid walking out of
there getting screamed at because people didn't get to see
their preseason football. So to your point, maybe people people
were upsetting out to see preseason NFL. They're probably gonna
(15:46):
turn on Josh Johnson, Max Brosmer, and Eludedcon.
Speaker 3 (15:52):
As they should they should.
Speaker 1 (15:54):
I hope that my ex of many many years ago
is forced to I'm sure she's married by now. I
hope that her husband forces her to watch Christmas Day
football just to make up for my experience watching the
Dolphins in the Browns.
Speaker 3 (16:10):
I hope one of my ex's friends listens to this
podcast because statistically that is quite likely and sends him
the bit about me hating his gifts.
Speaker 1 (16:18):
Yeah, we we can probably have production just send it
right to him. So if you could get us an
email address, we'll make that happen. Let's plant our flag
for week seventeen.
Speaker 5 (16:29):
Might flag in a shut up.
Speaker 4 (16:31):
I'm trying to plant my flag here.
Speaker 2 (16:33):
Okay, you're really planning your flag in that thing, Hendro.
We will start with you.
Speaker 1 (16:38):
I feel though, as though we're gonna have a little
bit of disagreement here.
Speaker 3 (16:41):
What you got you pissed me off. I love you
to dad, but you pissed me off every single week.
We talked about this before the show started. I'm on
the Saints. I just don't get the vibe that they
are wanting to tank. The Titans got super lucky last week.
The gardnerment went down, got a good morale victory. I
see them probably rolling over going belly up here. I've
(17:03):
been really impressed by Tyler Shuck and I think that
they want to get him some reps, get him some snaps,
let him grow a little bit, because the progress that
I've seen from him the last couple of weeks has
been awesome. I was originally in the boat the Saints
probably would be going to the draft looking for a quarterback.
I don't think they have to at this point, and
I think Kellen Moore is a good coach, should have
been a head coach sooner. Probably probably going to take
(17:24):
this game as a chance to get another win under
their belt. I don't really have faith in the Titans.
They had their raw raw, you know, good win last week.
Those science Yeah.
Speaker 1 (17:35):
I just think that New Orleans is probably peaking out
right now, and this feels like a really good time
to fade them. I know that the Titans are coming
off of a win, but that wasn't so much of
a win as it was a meltdown of competition. The
Saints have won three games in a row, and now
they go on the road. It just feels like a
major letdown. This feels like one of those games. Just
(17:55):
take the dog. Whoever be the underdog would be the
team that I would like. I don't hate it. I
just I'm definitely going to add the Titans to a
teaser leg. I just haven't decided who else I'm gonna
pair them with yet, but the Titans have already been nominated,
so we could both end up winning this. I'm gonna
take this up to eight and a half, and you're
gonna lay the two and a half with the Saints.
Speaker 2 (18:14):
Stucky? What about you?
Speaker 4 (18:17):
Well, yeah, I don't mind the teaser look for Titans
that we we're gonna go ugly. I gotta give people
a Christmas bet, so we're gonna bet on the Chiefs.
Oh my god, plus thirteen. This line is insane. So
let's just go. Let's rewind a month ago. The Chiefs
(18:38):
close up four in Denver, so we're keep it easy.
It's a divisional game, home field doesn't as much. We'll
keep it simple and say home field's worth one and
a half. That means the Chiefs at the time we're
five and a half points better than the Broncos. Now
the Broncos are favored by thirteen. Keep it at the
home field of one and a half. On the road
(18:59):
now saying the Broncos are over two touchdowns better than
the she that's a twenty point adjustment in a month,
twenty points in the NFL. By the way, Mahomes the
two games before he got hurt was the worst quarterback
in the NFL and EPA plus completion percentage of expedition.
Their offense was broken for the three weeks that he
was playing. It's not like we're going from peak Mahomes,
(19:20):
where this offense was operating at some crazy level over
you know, before he got hurt to Aluda Kon, So
twenty no quarterbacks worthy. Now there's other injuries, but I
would think also, I think the reason that you're getting
this number again, like Broncos win, you clinched the division
chiefs or eliminated. They got blown out by the Titans
last week. I was on the Titans LST week. I
(19:43):
thought it was a horrible spot for the chees. I
where they're going to show up the human element of that.
They were finally eliminated from the playoffs, were going at Tennessee,
so everyone who was hurt sat out. They had their
quarterback got hurt. Aludacon had to come in. He had
no reps with the first team, so you got a
couple things here. He'll have reps now this he can
move around, which you need to do behind this offensive line.
(20:04):
And I would imagine that some of the guys who
were hurt, you know, last week, it's like, why play?
This is like the last game that you'd want to play.
This is like the chief Super Bowl, Kelsey's last game
at home of his career, and you don't want the
Broncos to clinch the division and like on your home
field arrival, so well, the Chiefs lay down here, know,
(20:25):
like this is a game where the Chiefs will try
the low total. You're gonna get me close to two touchdowns.
I don't know this. I think this line should be
like ten and a half eleven. So yeah, we're taking
the Chiefs plus thirteen. I think they'll get up for
this one. And this is a Broncos team that doesn't
blow out anyone. And yeah, kind on a neutral to
(20:46):
justin fields and one by two with fields thrown for
negative ten net passing yards?
Speaker 3 (20:51):
Can I put my tinfoil hat on?
Speaker 4 (20:53):
Yeah?
Speaker 3 (20:54):
What do you guys think about Andy Reid and Kelsey
both retiring at the end of this year and if
Harbaugh gets fired them bringing him in?
Speaker 4 (21:02):
No, I mean, here's the thing. What is read? What
else is reed.
Speaker 3 (21:04):
Gonna do, go be a grandfather.
Speaker 4 (21:08):
Maybe he's gonna go like a Food Network show about
touring the country et and burgers.
Speaker 1 (21:15):
It's amazing how quickly we sell stock on these guys.
Andy Reid was the toast of the town for the
last five years, and now we're like, they should probably
get someone else.
Speaker 3 (21:24):
I've been a hater.
Speaker 4 (21:25):
No, I don't read. Seems like he's going to be
like a football guy, though I feel like he doesn't
do anything else. So yeah, I think the Chiefs will
show up here. Now. Maybe Eludicon's a disaster and he
turns it over a bunch and gets sacked and gets
stripped and he's got he gotta stop holding the ball
with one hand. But maybe maybe, But I just think
this line's too high. And this is a Broncos team,
and they don't blow. They don't blow on anyone. I mean,
(21:49):
and I'm talking bad teams. They beat the Raiders ten
to seven at home, Like this is a team that
they just their offense can get stuck in the mud.
Nicks can be inconsistent for quarters at a time. And
after the Broncos, what's that hell?
Speaker 3 (22:06):
I said, ninety percent of the Chiefs rosters on ILR.
Speaker 4 (22:10):
It's Fairyeah, it's fair.
Speaker 1 (22:11):
There's a lot of injuries, like the fact that Rashi
Rice isn't out there really doesn't help because they have
such a hard time moving the ball. A lude kwon,
by the way, eleven of sixteen for a buck. Eleven
for a quarterback that's coming in as a third string.
Speaker 2 (22:23):
Not that bad.
Speaker 4 (22:24):
He was done Minshew because Minshew can't move around and
he had no reps. Like he'll get reps this week.
Maybe there's a chance Rice comes back. I mean, I
don't know, but I mean right now. The Broncos beat
the Commanders by one on the road in overtime, the
Raiders by three. They beat uh Davis Mills by three.
(22:47):
I mean, like the Jets by two. Like this is
the team that the Titans by eight. They don't they
don't blow out anybody. And and this is coming off
a game where they got destroyed. I still think their
defense is a bit overrated. So uh just hit a
couple of long passes on Riley Moss, get to thirteen
points and you cover.
Speaker 2 (23:07):
Wow. Well, this is Stucky's specialty.
Speaker 1 (23:10):
So before you guys out there listening or watching this
Scoff the idea of betting the Chiefs on Christmas. These
are usually the bets that he hits. So I don't
know that I can get there.
Speaker 3 (23:21):
If it were Gardner Minshew, I would have been in
on this.
Speaker 2 (23:24):
I just the way that I'll look at it.
Speaker 4 (23:30):
There's the road that's insane.
Speaker 1 (23:33):
There's no way I'd bet the Broncos, which means it's
Chiefs or nothing, and it's probably gonna be nothing for me.
Speaker 2 (23:37):
But I totally get it. I get it on Kansas City.
Speaker 1 (23:41):
Uh, I told you guys, I was going to sell
you on the Dolphins plus five and a half. I
wasn't going to force it. I was going to crunch
some numbers. We did, and we're there.
Speaker 3 (23:51):
Douggie at the same time, literally just did the.
Speaker 4 (23:57):
No matter what numbers you crunched, you were going to
bet the Dolphins. Yeah, no, there's no numbers coming back
saying now, don't bet this.
Speaker 3 (24:06):
There wasn't even a line, real line now on Sunday
and you were like, yeah, I'm gonna covince you guys
on the Dolphins.
Speaker 4 (24:11):
It could have been minus five and a half and
you would have told us you bet in the Dolphins.
Speaker 2 (24:14):
That is not true.
Speaker 1 (24:16):
I I personally project this closer to three, so I
think that's around anything south of that. I think if
it was like three and a half or north of
three and a half, I would have been I would
have definitely tried to sell you guys only said.
Speaker 2 (24:31):
Five and a half.
Speaker 3 (24:33):
Gift to you was not planting my flag on the Buccaneers.
Speaker 1 (24:36):
Yeah, oh my god, really, God, come on this Bucks
team right now.
Speaker 2 (24:43):
Be trusted. They've been so bad.
Speaker 4 (24:46):
So that covered seven in a row. Baker's been arguably
a bottom three quarterback for the last two months. I
don't know if he's hurt or he has just come
crashing back down to earth. He's been abysmal, So I
don't If you want to sell this a Bucks fade, that's.
Speaker 1 (24:58):
Fine, well it's u It's much more of a it's
more of a Bucks fad. But it's also I think
this line is over adjusting to a blowout because people
are going to look and go, oh, well, quin Ewers
came in seventh round pick and then the team got
blown out. He really wasn't that bad. He had an
I int that bounced off of a receiver's hands. Greg
(25:19):
Dulsic fumbled the football he had nothing to do with that.
It was the defense that couldn't hold up. I actually
thought Youwers looked pretty crisp out there, all things considered.
No way this Bucks team should be laying over five
on the road.
Speaker 2 (25:31):
It's stuck.
Speaker 1 (25:31):
He mentioned he's been bad since week seven. The Bucks
are a bottom ten offense. These teams just are not
that far apart right now. So you give me five
and a half, and I don't think this number touches six.
Otherwise I wouldn't plant my flag on it.
Speaker 2 (25:45):
I would just wait. I don't think we're getting there.
Speaker 1 (25:47):
I think this is gonna go either stay where it's
at or it's gonna go down to four and a half.
And I like Miami legitimately, I know I was likely
gonna end up there no matter what.
Speaker 2 (25:58):
But this number is a chef's kiss. I love it.
Speaker 4 (26:03):
I don't hate it as a fate of The Bucks
are a mess right now. Baker's a mess, and that's
how you have to attack this Dolphins. He make Their
secondary is horrendous, and I mean Baker's just missing throws
left and right. And this is one of those instances where, yeah,
the line's probably attad inflated because the Bucks have to win, and.
Speaker 1 (26:21):
Yeah, the Bucks can be eliminated this week. If the
Panthers beat the Seahawks and the Dolphins beat the Bucks,
the Bucks are out and the Dolphins have nothing to
play for here. These are exactly the kind of teams,
the kind of situations that you want to bet into
Week seventeen and Week.
Speaker 2 (26:35):
Eighteen is this.
Speaker 3 (26:37):
Do you think that Mike McDaniel's going to lose his job?
Speaker 2 (26:40):
I don't.
Speaker 4 (26:41):
I have no idea. Actually I thought he was, and
then he wasn't. Now I don't know.
Speaker 1 (26:45):
I think the fact that the owner led there's no
way that you bench a quarterback, Yeah, who has signed
a two hundred million dollar contract without checking with the
owner first. So the fact that he got the go
ahead to do that to me, said that screams Mike
McDaniel is going to be the coach next year. Now,
maybe he gets fired three weeks into the season next year,
but I think they're at least going to get him
(27:05):
into next season.
Speaker 4 (27:07):
Yeah, there was a recent report that came out that
said he's coming back.
Speaker 2 (27:10):
So all right, there you go. Our flags are planted.
Speaker 1 (27:13):
Saints minus two and a half, Chiefs plus thirteen and
the Miami Dolphins plus five and a half against those
Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Speaker 3 (27:22):
You guys, yours might.
Speaker 4 (27:25):
Be the otherest kind of Saints is road chalk?
Speaker 3 (27:28):
You You are betting the cheess right now?
Speaker 4 (27:33):
Yeah, I'm getting two touchdowns your I could argue yours
is the.
Speaker 1 (27:38):
Fact that Tyler Shuck is the best quarterback on the plant.
Speaker 2 (27:41):
The flag tells you a whole lot.
Speaker 3 (27:43):
Jackson heard I wanted a puppy, and now he's like
in the background giving us his best right now.
Speaker 4 (27:50):
That's a good sign for the for our dogs, not
your road chalk.
Speaker 3 (27:54):
The dogs are barking anyways.
Speaker 2 (27:57):
Hey, listen, you said you wanted dogs for Christmas.
Speaker 4 (28:00):
We gave them to you and alluded Khan and yours.
Speaker 3 (28:05):
Yeah, the real puppies.
Speaker 4 (28:07):
Quinn. Quinn's a good dog name.
Speaker 3 (28:10):
Yeah, but if he dresses like a wanna be Morgan Wallin,
I don't knoww that on that one.
Speaker 1 (28:17):
So now that we've planted our flags, we're gonna jump
ahead a bit to Monday Night Football on ESPN because
right now there's an awesome offer from Sling TV. If
you need instant access to live TV. Maybe you're stuck
at the in laws on this holiday season, you're away
from the normal home set up, don't worry. With Sling TV,
you can take control with flexible package options of one
(28:38):
to three and seven day passes for access to thirty
plus live channels, which includes ESPN and TNT. So you're
covered for Monday Night Football, all eleven of the college
football playoff games and more so. With Sling TV, they're
gonna get you in Monday Night Football, and we're gonna
get you into a same game parlay. I like the
(28:58):
Falcons plus eight and a half. I like the way
that this team has looked the last couple of weeks.
They've gotten wins against the Bucks and the Cardinals. I
know that this is a step up in weight class
against the La Rams. Kyle Pitts has been playing well.
Drake London back in the mix. They can always lean
on Bijon give me a little prime time Cousins to
get the cover.
Speaker 2 (29:19):
Kendra, what do you like?
Speaker 3 (29:21):
I got to say that this Sling deal is the
absolute best thing if you're going to like your grandma's
house or something like that and you want to have
the games on, but know that they don't have any
sort of TV package whatsoever, or your Stucky's dad. That's
definitely probably what I'm gonna be doing. So I'm gonna
be my best friend's grandparents' house. I am waiting for
(29:42):
Blake Koram's numbers to come out. I want to see
what his total is for maybe like some pass catching,
just because he's been kind of a little bit more
involved in the game. Especially with Devonte Adams out, They've
got to get a little bit more creative with that offense.
I'm really looking at Blake Korum numbers once they're out.
Whether you like the ny time, whether you like him
to catch a couple passes, whatever looks nice with Blake Korum.
(30:04):
That's that's kind of where I'm at. Yeah, you're probably
gonna go with whatever his like patch total is. That's
probably where I'm gonna be. I'm probably gonna go with
the over.
Speaker 1 (30:13):
I think he's been going over his rushing yards a
week after week, and we'll look into that.
Speaker 2 (30:18):
What do you like, Yeah, ducky.
Speaker 4 (30:19):
I'm gonna go with I mean, this is hard to
do on a Tuesday for a Monday night.
Speaker 3 (30:23):
Game without knowing Yeah, yep, a lot.
Speaker 4 (30:25):
Of injury stuff, but I want to go with Kobe
Parkinson anytime touchdown, but Adams' status in Dow expect just
a ton of heavy personnel from the Rams. Falcons have
struggled defending heavy personnel. I think I'll get plenty of
looks in the red zone. So let's go with Parkinson
anytime touchdown.
Speaker 2 (30:44):
I dig it. Blake Koram.
Speaker 1 (30:46):
By the way, four weeks in a row, he has
gone over his rushing yard total.
Speaker 3 (30:51):
He's kind of a king. He's they've finally started to
give him some opportunity in that offense.
Speaker 2 (30:55):
Yeah, which he looks like. He looks like a legit
starting running back.
Speaker 1 (30:59):
If you know, if Kiren wasn't standing in his way,
I think that he's got bell Coal abilities. Did you
like him coming out of Michigan stucky as a as
a pro?
Speaker 4 (31:08):
I didn't. I didn't think he could be in every
down back, but I thought he would be he could
find a role in the NFL. But he's been better
than I expected before. And then so I mean, I
guess we'll go once the line comes out, we'll go
with So we'll go Falcons corem over rushing yards and
Parkinson touchdown. And I mean, for what it's worth, the
(31:31):
Falcons a very poor rush defense. They're they're i think
twenty seventh in rush success rate, so you can run
on them too, so that that does make sense. Twenty
fifth and rush EPA. So yeah, that'll be the parlay
once the numbers come out. Falcons krem over and Parkinson touchdown.
Speaker 1 (31:50):
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one day pass restrictions apply. We still have our two
Kings and a Queen parlay coming up, which means more picks,
more analysis, But first a word from the Queen of
the pod as we chat about our loyal friends at DraftKings.
Speaker 3 (32:29):
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Speaker 1 (33:04):
Evan Abrams joining us on the podcast The Voice of God.
No betting week can start without the primer. I am
hearing rumors that the primer is as loaded as it's
been all season long. Evan, what is the most common
theme that you have come across in the primer this week?
Speaker 5 (33:23):
Yeah, so stuck.
Speaker 6 (33:24):
He knows this more than anyone, and we kind of
have been working on this together since he's been here,
which is now, like, I don't know, close to a decade,
and it's basically these last two weeks, you're fading teams
that need to win. He knows this I know this.
It's sixty one percent, as he mentioned, want toweight and
sixty nine, And basically what it is is you're betting
teams who are eliminated against teams you need to win
right now. That is Vikings, Browns and Dolphins. You know,
(33:49):
as it's been mentioned by a bunch of people, we're
kind of short on games that matter this time of year,
So that's where we sit with this one. The other
one that's kind of interesting is just teams that middle pack.
So sixty percent win percentage week sixteen or later twenty
seven and seventy two against the spread, absolutely ridiculous. With
(34:10):
the worst win percentage. So it's in the primer that'd
be Dallas this week. But my recommendation is I don't
want to go anywhere near that Josh Johnson third stringer.
Speaker 5 (34:18):
It's it's a bit of a mess.
Speaker 6 (34:19):
So I think the other trend fits a lot of
the things we've talked about, so Vikings, Browns, and Dolphins,
and I think.
Speaker 5 (34:25):
That's really the theme of this week.
Speaker 6 (34:27):
The other one I'll give you is this, so Chiefs
sitting at plus thirteen and a half right now, would
be the biggest home dog for the Chiefs franchise in
their history. They closed plus thirteen in nineteen seventy seven
against the Raiders and Ken Stabler. And right now that
is above that line. And here's the crazier one. So
(34:48):
the Chiefs are on a seven game ATS losing streak.
They also lost seven straight against the spread last year,
so they'd be the first team in the Super Bowl
era to have back to back years of seven game
eighty A losing streaks.
Speaker 5 (35:00):
They're literally the worst bet you.
Speaker 6 (35:03):
Could make over the last two seasons, So pretty crazy
with candall was starting exactly yeah or minshew, but that
didn't do so well last week.
Speaker 1 (35:13):
Yeah, fair Eagles Bills is going to be a heavily
bet contest. To get the Buffalo Bills as minus one
and a half point favorites. I assume that that part
of that spread and where it is. The Bill's only
playing two more games at their home stadium before they
wrap it up, and you know that they want to
send those fans out of out of that stadium with
(35:35):
a big old smile on their face. Josh Allen is
on the injury report and he impacts the line in
a major way. But anything as far as the Eagles
and the Bills go where trends can point us in
one direction or the other.
Speaker 6 (35:47):
As always, I can give you both sides. So I'll
say this, Josh Allen, he's ozing two against the Eagles.
His career means a little means a lot kind of
how you look at it. So hasn't done well there
fill into cover by almost ten points per game as well,
So maybe thorn in the side. But from Buffalo's standpoint
five and zero against the spread facing teams above five
hundred this year most wins without a loss for any
(36:09):
team in the NFL, So a little bit how you
look at it, I think I'd have to look into.
Speaker 5 (36:13):
The Eagles stuff a little bit more to look at
how he's played.
Speaker 6 (36:16):
If you look at some of the numbers, betweind Josh
Allen this year really different at home versus road.
Speaker 5 (36:22):
Much better at home on the road, I believe it.
Speaker 6 (36:24):
Passer rating is almost thirty points different home versus road
for Josh Allen, so home seems to be some cooking
for him.
Speaker 4 (36:33):
I will say that Allen should have beat the It
was typical Eagles luck box win last year. Yeah, Eagles
beat him in overtime at in Philly, I think that
there was like so many fluky things that happened in
that game, it was unbelievable. I think the Bills out
gained them like five ten to three forty or something,
(36:53):
and they lost in overtime on a bunch of fluke
stuff missed field goals. So he did play well. I
think the final score was like thirty eight thirty five.
Speaker 6 (37:00):
Yeah, I think that five their own numbers intriguing in
terms of what they've done against good teams Stucky.
Speaker 1 (37:05):
Do you think that that line indicates some real question
marks about his health.
Speaker 4 (37:12):
Uh, I can't imagine him not playing.
Speaker 1 (37:17):
I think Dermott said that he is expected to play,
so yeah, I don't think they're hedging this too much.
Speaker 4 (37:23):
No, I mean, I think there's probably some people that
make that line like one and a half. Not much
difference between these two teams. Lane Johnson is he back?
That's important for the Eagles. Still, I'm still not buying
this Eagles like offensive resurgence. Like I thought they were
gonna lose that game against Washington until Mariota got hurt,
and you know, Johnson throws that horrendous pick, which I mean,
(37:44):
there was no Washington, no chance once Mariota went out. Also, Elliott,
is he broken that could come into play. He looks
like he's completely lost. I will say Hurts is running
a bit more, which is helping their offense. I don't
know why they weren't doing that earlier, but you know
they beat the last two weeks. They beat the Raiders
(38:05):
and the Commanders with a third string quarterback and they
had to I mean had Commandis had even more injuries
during the game. Offensive line, they were without their left tack,
they lost their left guard, they'd lost a bunch more defenders,
and it's a defense that can't stop anyone. So now
the Bills aren't a great defense either, but if that
keeps going down, I'll probably look at the Bills.
Speaker 1 (38:25):
There, Kendrick, should we just be looking to back Buffalo
in these final couple of games in Orchard Park?
Speaker 3 (38:32):
So I very much am thinking that Buffalo is about
to go on a run here. I don't know if
any Here's the thing, when I look at the AFC
playoff picture, they're the team that I don't want to play.
Does anybody feel differently about that?
Speaker 1 (38:47):
I think they'd be at the top of the list because.
Speaker 4 (38:49):
The Chiefs got in with akon. I don't know.
Speaker 3 (38:53):
Maybe, and in order for that to happen, you have
to win both of these games back to back. Obviously
they want to say no, no, lack of reason to
get up here. I'm on the Bills probably no matter what.
Probably not gonna bet this game though, just because it
feels yucky for some reason. But I'm I'm behind the
Bills when they get in through the postseason for sure.
Speaker 4 (39:14):
Evan, Yeah, well they can't. We really can't win the
division though.
Speaker 3 (39:17):
No they can't.
Speaker 4 (39:19):
Because I mean all the Patriots somehow play two more
backup quarterbacks to close the year. Although Brandon will be
on the Dogs, could be.
Speaker 3 (39:27):
Could be kind of stinky. I don't know the page.
I the Patriots have to be in bet yail for me.
After I had the Ravens the other night, I seriously
cannot touch them again or I might get fired from
another job.
Speaker 2 (39:39):
But yeah, I.
Speaker 1 (39:39):
Don't know that you have a great You're too close
to the fire. I don't think you have a good
read on the paper.
Speaker 4 (39:43):
You're starting quarterback. If you're starting quarterback, it's certain just
the taffit's uh, you're gonna lose your bet. I mean,
I had the the Raids. I had the commanders like
you just sometimes that happens sometimes your starting quarterback.
Speaker 3 (39:55):
They leave Derek Henry out for the fourth quarter, who's
the same.
Speaker 2 (39:59):
The Ravens would have covered that with Lamar.
Speaker 3 (40:01):
I think that would have won that game, no question,
if Lamar didn't get hurt and they played the best
running back in the league.
Speaker 2 (40:10):
But what do I now?
Speaker 4 (40:11):
They also could have the Patriots continue to get every fumble?
Would they have five fuffles and there's five funbles? Again,
they covered four of them. I think they recovered like
eighty three percent of opponents fumbles and have lost only
like thirty percent of theirs. That's and considering they played
nothing but backup quarterbacks all year, that's a little worrisome.
And Drake may put the ball in Harm's way again
(40:31):
a bunch. He's been amazing, but I think he had
three or four turnover worth. He plays a drop pick
that would have ended the game, So he's getting away.
Speaker 1 (40:39):
Yeah, they're going to be that one They're going to
be that one seed that gets a bye and then
loses in their first opportunity.
Speaker 3 (40:46):
So I agree, especially because they're so injured right now.
They are so especially on defense. It's unbelievable.
Speaker 4 (40:55):
Yeah, I mean, you gotta get made make throw some
amazing deep balls.
Speaker 3 (40:59):
And he's playing three and eighty yards the other night
and played like that like he had three bad quarters
of football and still when I think like thirty one
four for three eighty and two touchdown.
Speaker 4 (41:10):
Yeah, and there was a miss like fifty yard pi.
I don't know how they didn't call that was bad.
So but yeah, it looks like the Bills are going
to be a wild card and as of right now,
it looks like they will go to Pittsburgh, so like Schitsburg,
who they already went and just ran all over. We'll
(41:31):
see if the Steelers make an adjustment to the play
that the Bills ran thirty times.
Speaker 1 (41:36):
In good Luck trying to stop good Luck trying to
stop Kenneth Ladenian game gain Well, you know, Evan, go
check out the Primer actionnetwork dot com.
Speaker 2 (41:46):
Get yourself a pro subscription.
Speaker 1 (41:48):
While you're at it, It's time for the reason you
all came here today, and we'll send you all on
your Mary Oy, our two Kings and a Queen parlay
for reminders.
Speaker 2 (42:06):
We will each nominate two plays.
Speaker 1 (42:08):
See if we can find some general consensus on the
board and eventually land on our team built parlay Stucky,
get us started.
Speaker 4 (42:17):
We're going ugly as you might imagine. Week seventeen, Browns
fit the ball. Steelers need to win. Browns playing home
divisional dog. You know, I mean almost always bet them
the Browns. Last week. I was always bet the Garrett
Garrett I hope gets the records.
Speaker 3 (42:35):
He's so sick.
Speaker 4 (42:37):
Their defense always plays much better at home. I Plus,
there's no Dk Metcalf for the Steelers to suspend. It
that makes the Steelers easier to defend. Like you can
just watch when defenses play, you know, when the Steers
are in the red zone or like they have they
have a safety shading over to Metcalf. And now it's like,
you know, can we talk about that gotty Miller Adam
(42:58):
feeling like so yeah, so and this there's gonna be
like thirty mile hour wins in this this game, this
total might close to like thirty. So like getting four
points in this four and a half points in this
game is like getting ten. There's also many like so
this is now the Browns super Bowl at home, try
to spoil the Steelers. There's also scenariohe the Steelers already
(43:18):
clinched the division and they're playing for nothing. If the
Ravens lose to the Packers, and then what happens, well,
the sorts of a ton of injuries as well, offensive line,
defensive line, so they might rest guys that are hurt.
Do you hold back guys that are dealing with injuries
you know you're not gonna have Metcalf? Do you put
Rogers out there in harm's way against Garrett? Probably not?
(43:40):
So what does that mean? I mean, even if he plays,
you probably run the ball seventy times. You're playing for
nothing and then this game ends like seven to six.
That's my first one.
Speaker 1 (43:50):
What's the case for the Raiders because I'm sold by
the way, my vote is gonna be on the Browns
unless you blow men.
Speaker 4 (43:55):
I love the Raiders here. The Raiders are not like
this is like everyone's gonna say it's a tank off.
Speaker 2 (44:01):
What it like?
Speaker 4 (44:01):
I don't think either one of these teams is outwardly
tanking where it could come into plays like who you
sit out or make sure there's a one out of there.
I'm denominating the Raiders money. I took them early in
the week. Getting costs money where you see the tanks, Like,
if one team these these two tank ish teams, at
the end of the year, one team scores at the end,
there's no reason to go to overtime. So he might
(44:22):
just call the worst two point conversion play of all time.
We've seen that in the past. So he might just
call like a triple reverse and lose the game by one.
So but here's the thing. Dart is broken right now,
not running as much he was. I mean, he didn't
complete a pass with the whole first half last week.
(44:42):
I don't know if he said a sophomore slump, it's
after his injury, just not the same quarterback. They also
have a ton of offensive line injuries, and the Giants
are one team that cannot afford any offensive line injuries.
The Raiders, meanwhile, yeah, I mean Andrew Thomas is like
we've seen this in the past. When Andrew Thomas goes out,
this unit turns into dust. That's what's happened to the Raiders.
(45:04):
Who might maybe they'll get Colton Miller back Pro Bowl
caliber left tackle, and the Raiders they're gonna have like
you have Brock Bowers, you have Genty, who's going up
against the league's worst rush defense, so I think that
they'll be able to run the ball. And here's who
the Raiders have played over the past five weeks. The
(45:29):
Browns defense, the Chargers defense, the Broncos defense, the Eagles defense,
and the Texans defense. Are those five top seven defenses.
That's who they played over the past five weeks. They
played the Broncos before that, the Jags before that. Like,
their schedule has been vicious, So this will be a
(45:50):
nice break for Gino for genty to get going. Who
got going last week against Houston. So I just trust
that Raiders offense much more. Their defense, I think is
even better than the Giants defense. They're at home. Pete
Carroll is not a.
Speaker 3 (46:06):
Tanking also Pete Carroll podcast.
Speaker 4 (46:09):
And the Raiders. By the way, these are my two
most profitable teams in twenty twenty five. I've been the
Raiders and the Browns, and so that's who I'm dominating here,
the Raiders in the Browns.
Speaker 1 (46:20):
Damn, you know, I like them both with is that bad?
I kind of got me with that one. Actually, that
was good that you definitely sold me on some ash
gent props. That's for sure. Definitely going to add that
to the card. I'll still vote Browns, but you almost
you almost got me.
Speaker 3 (46:36):
Yeah, I'm gonna go Browns as well, but I I
don't hate either of them, So Browns all right?
Speaker 2 (46:43):
All right?
Speaker 3 (46:44):
Points though not money Line. I'm a coward.
Speaker 4 (46:47):
Yeah, I mean, especially in the game of total of
that is trending towards like thirty one. Heaven, who would
you vote for?
Speaker 5 (46:56):
I believe them, but I want to buy it to four.
Speaker 2 (46:58):
It's three and a half.
Speaker 1 (47:01):
Yeah, Drafts is allowing the slider to four and a half,
So we're gonna put four and a half in the parlay.
Speaker 4 (47:06):
Okay, good, That's the number I bet earlier in the week.
Speaker 3 (47:09):
So all right, Kendra, I really only have one nomination,
but I gave you a second option just in case.
I really love the Bengals this week. They didn't take
their foot. What they didn't take they didn't take their
foot off the gas last week I expected them to.
Joe Burrow just says he wants to go out there
play football and have fun. The fact that he didn't
(47:31):
sit and try and nurse that foot when he could
have last week, I think says a lot. I think
they're gonna go out there hoop, have some fun score
some points on a bad team, and I don't. I
don't think that there's any argument against that at this
point against a bad team. However, I know that Krevitz
also has the opposite side of that. So I'm gonna
give you guys the Lions minus six just because must
(47:53):
win game. I get that they're injured, but they got absolutely.
Speaker 4 (47:57):
Just the game.
Speaker 3 (47:59):
The other man what I do think it was a
correct call, but we were all sitting here screaming at
that game. I think that they have to come out
be ready, must win game against a bad Vikings team
on their third string quarterback. Love the Max Brosmer regardless,
I those are my two nominations.
Speaker 4 (48:15):
I can't I will not bet the I can't bet
the lines. I'll tell you that. I mean, that's Evan
already talk about this. I probably gonna end up betting
the Vikings. I just if Brosmer gets ruled. Is he
not a ruled officially in yet? I'm pretty sure he's playing.
But sometimes when the team they get bump in the market,
what's that.
Speaker 3 (48:35):
I don't think it's going to be JJ right, like,
I don't think so either.
Speaker 2 (48:37):
I mean, would wait, I would wait on that.
Speaker 4 (48:39):
I'm just saying, like maybe you get another bump when
it's announced.
Speaker 3 (48:42):
I mean, this line is just so Bengals to me.
Speaker 4 (48:45):
But no, I mean the line stink people Like they
just lost to the Steelers at home and I must
win game. This is this, this is not this, and
they're so hurt. They have no offensive line now, so
like going to floor as defense. McCarthy already beat them
when he when he was horrendous on the road. You
have offensive line injuries, your defense is I mean the
Lions defense they got, they got nobody left. They their
(49:07):
defense has allowed four hundred and sixty yards per game
over the last five games. The Bengals are dead last
enough I'll allowing four to h two. No, I can't
I cann occupy the lines, I now, Bengals, Yeah, I
could see. Just the Cardinals are so hurt, and I
(49:28):
don't know how they get any stops because like Bengal
flat got Flacco. Burrow can just dink and dunk all
the way down the field on them and they're gonna
hit some explosives too. Like, I don't know how the
Cardinals get any stops, and like who is left on
the Cardinals roster but Kravitz likes the I know he's
going to try to nominate the Cardinals. I don't know
(49:52):
hard early in the week because.
Speaker 3 (49:53):
Of all the Kravits. I hate your nominations, all right,
So you're.
Speaker 4 (49:59):
Gonna vote for the long, vot for the I'm not.
Speaker 1 (50:01):
I'm voting for an alternate. I'm voting for an alternate idea.
I cannot and I'll give it to you in a second.
I cannot believe that I am the one that has
to nominate the sad Cats every single week on this podcast.
I'm trying to slowly convert us from a JAG's cast
to a Panthers cast.
Speaker 2 (50:17):
Plus seven and a half.
Speaker 3 (50:18):
I started the Panthers movement. Screw you.
Speaker 1 (50:21):
You handed the ball off, and I've taken it to
the house.
Speaker 4 (50:24):
Here.
Speaker 1 (50:25):
Somebody has to do it. This one's simple. This is
what Carolina does. They're the Carolina repet vote.
Speaker 4 (50:30):
We have to vote on Kendris first.
Speaker 1 (50:31):
I'm i'm I'm laying this out there because we're going
to spend more time on the other My other idea.
Five and one against the spread as a home underdoger
the Carolina Panthers, They've covered nine straight against NFC opponents.
Speaker 2 (50:43):
So I like the Panthers. But my idea that I think.
Speaker 1 (50:47):
We might like here is that we marry our Cardinals
Bengals pick because both of us are of the same mindset.
You like the Bengals because you think they're going to
put up a bunch of points on a sad sack
Cardinals defense. I think the Bengals are just as bad,
if not worse than Arizona, and they're not gonna be
able to get any stops.
Speaker 2 (51:07):
So I think we should take the over.
Speaker 1 (51:09):
I think we should put the over fifty three and
a half into the parlay, and then we can kind
of both.
Speaker 3 (51:15):
There are the Cardinals getting those points from though their.
Speaker 1 (51:18):
Offense has been awesome with Jacoby Brissett and they have
Marvin Harrison junior back, and the Bengals are the worst
defense in the league against the tight end position. Trey
McBride's the best tight end in the game. They're not
gonna stop the guy.
Speaker 4 (51:31):
Bengals money line. We're putting Bengals money line in there.
Get Evans vote. We can't change her pick to a total.
I had heaven, what do you what would you decide here?
Speaker 6 (51:41):
But it's between Bengals, and what what are the.
Speaker 4 (51:44):
Bengals that we could go Bengals spread. We also can
just throw Bengals money line in. There are lines. I
know you're not gonna pick the Lions.
Speaker 6 (51:51):
I mean, oh my god, Lions money line? I guess
could be something.
Speaker 5 (51:57):
No, okay, well stuck, you just gave me that.
Speaker 4 (52:00):
Oh no, you know better than to do the team
us to win on the road.
Speaker 1 (52:04):
So we're gonna put a minus three eighty money line
into the parlay?
Speaker 2 (52:07):
What are we doing? It's what about?
Speaker 4 (52:09):
Wait?
Speaker 5 (52:10):
What about a suggestion off the cuff?
Speaker 6 (52:12):
What if we did like Bengals first half or something
like that?
Speaker 5 (52:16):
Is that feel? I don't know, it's it's I guess
it's four and a half. That sucks too.
Speaker 2 (52:19):
This, I mean it has to be approved by Kendra.
This is her nomination.
Speaker 3 (52:22):
We can't we can't put Bengals panther is whatever?
Speaker 4 (52:27):
Well all right, so wait, wait, wait, Devin, who would
you pick between the Bengals minus the points or the Lions?
Speaker 5 (52:36):
This is a Colon Stocking situation. Give me the Bengals.
Speaker 3 (52:40):
Also, we are sitting here argue every time we sit
here and argue over this fucking parlay for more than
four minutes, it hits. So every time we sit here
and we're like, I don't think right.
Speaker 5 (52:55):
Now, Bengals will let's do this? Does DraftKings allow us
to get under the seven? Like give me the six
and a half or something like that, I gott't.
Speaker 1 (53:02):
Yeah, all right, well let me let me play around here.
So well, so you guys are good with the Panthers,
there's no.
Speaker 4 (53:09):
Well, the other choices the Cardinals.
Speaker 1 (53:12):
So but just even in general, for people out there
that want to bet it straight, I already bet the
Panthers plus seven and a half?
Speaker 2 (53:21):
Stucky? Would you?
Speaker 1 (53:22):
Would you sign off on that? For those out there
that are listening, that want to that want to take
that while I I'm just trying to buy time while
I put this in the app here.
Speaker 4 (53:30):
I'm waiting get some injury stuff there. I'm close, but
over a touchdown out I don't. I'm not gonna oppose it.
Speaker 2 (53:38):
Okay.
Speaker 1 (53:39):
So we have the Browns plus four and a half
against the Steelers, we have the Panthers plus seven and
a half at home against the Seahawks, and the Bengals
down to minus six and a half against the Cardinals.
That is plus four sixty four over Undraftkings.
Speaker 2 (53:57):
The crown is yours, you weirdos.
Speaker 3 (54:01):
Well, get ready for another parlay to cash.
Speaker 2 (54:04):
So you know what this feels like.
Speaker 1 (54:06):
This feels like the middle of a Christmas get together
with the family where it was going well and then
it just gets really fucking awkward out of nowhere and
you're like, I think we got.
Speaker 2 (54:16):
To go now.
Speaker 3 (54:16):
I think Grandma starts talking about politics and you're like, all.
Speaker 2 (54:19):
Right, that's right.
Speaker 1 (54:24):
Uh, this did not feel like consensus.
Speaker 4 (54:26):
But listen, the Browns are the only team those consensus.
What a were on it?
Speaker 2 (54:32):
We should just parlay our our plant the flags. There's that.
Speaker 1 (54:35):
We were much more happy to fortnutes ago. No, I
like this, all right, fine, there you go, and I'll
do it for our episode today. A reminder, no show
on Thursday. We're off for Christmas special. Thanks to all
of you for listening and making us part of your week.
We greatly appreciate it. We also appreciate our producers, Gifford Gold,
David Payne, Statsman Evan Abrams. The Favorites will return on
(54:58):
Sunday Night, will recap weeks seventeen and c where we
went right and where we went wrong. Hopefully none of
you get cold in your stockings and all that jazz.
Thanks for tuning in. We'll see you next time here
on the Favorites podcast presented by DraftKings.
Speaker 2 (55:10):
A Merry Christmas to all and to all, O good
night kill.
Speaker 3 (55:14):
This Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you
or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help
is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred
Gambler
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Simon Hunter
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