Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:04):
Your new day starts with the Brian Mud Show, the
news you need to start your morning in the Palm
Beaches and the Treasure Coast. Perhaps at least as many
questions as answers after the first full day of the
ceasefire between the US and Iran, with some concerns about
hes Bla and Lebanon and Israel a complicating factor in
(00:28):
the mix, plus what's going on in the Strait of Ormuz.
Box News radios Jonathan Savage done the phenomenal job since
the onset of the war reporting on all things happening
over there. Good morning, Jonathan, And what is going on
over there today?
Speaker 2 (00:43):
Good morning. It is a tenuous, fragile situation out there
in the Middle East. The ceasefire is technically in place,
but some people are worried that it's at risk of collapse.
The biggest core problem right now is Israel to continued
strikes on Hesbelah in Ebon. Lebanon reports more than two
hundred killed since the ceasefire came into effect. The difference
(01:06):
of opinion is that Iran believes that Lebanon is part
of the deal, that Israel has to stop under this deal,
saying you cannot ask for a ceasefire and then your
ally just starts a massacre. They must choose war or peace,
but Israel and the United States say no, this is
a misunderstanding. Lebanon was not part of this deal. That
(01:28):
is a problem because Iran is saying that negotiations would
be meaningless if strikes continue.
Speaker 1 (01:35):
We have seen that not only has Iran been putting
pressure on the United States to basically have Israel back
off of hes Blond, but also a lot of European
countries as well. Is there any indication at this point
that the Trump administration is considering weighing in with Israel,
(01:57):
whether or not it was part of the Thec's fire
deal or not.
Speaker 2 (02:01):
There is no indication publicly that this is happening, but
certainly there is a lot of international pressure on Israel
right now. I mean, yesterday's incident was Yesterday's attacks were
the deadliest in a single day in the war between
Israel and his Beelah, and the circumstances surrounding them were
very controversial. Israel hits busy residential and commercial areas in
(02:25):
Bay Route without providing any advanced warning at about two
o'clock local times, so that the height of the day
and then locations that they had not struck before, so
people were not expecting them. Israel's military says it attacked
more than one hundred Hesbola targets in just ten minutes,
but it's very clear that many of those who were
killed were not linked to Hezbollah their pictures. There are
(02:47):
reports from journalists of charred bodies lying on the ground
a busy intersections. The buildings have collapsed. Residential buildings have
collapsed as well. So that's why we've got Emmanuel Macron,
the President fran saying that these strikes are unacceptable because
the undermine a ceasefire that was only just agreed. The
UK also said that these strikes were completely wrong.
Speaker 1 (03:11):
Okay, and then you got this straight and you know,
you have the fog of war, a lot of confusion
around things. It appears that seven ships got through yesterday,
no oil tankers. Iran state media saying, hey, the straight's closed.
Behind the scenes, there are reports that know it's open,
but it's kind of like, you know, who wants to
be the person to find out what the truth is.
(03:32):
It looks like a lot of shipping companies are reluctant
to try to go through the strait regardless of what's
going on there until they have some type of assurance
that it is going to be safe.
Speaker 2 (03:41):
Passage. Yeah, certainly, it's effectively closed. I've seen numbers like
you have seven eight nine ships maybe passing since Tuesday evening.
Normally you get one hundred and thirty eight in a
single day in peacetime, and there's around eight hundred ships
which are stuck. Iran has actually sent messages to these
ships saying that any vessels which make unauthorized passage could
(04:04):
be targeted and destroyed. So Iran is very clearly controlling
access and severely limiting access, which Israel and the United
States can say that is not part of the deal.
They say that passage will only resume if the United
States withdraw aggression and if Israel stops it strikes or Lebanon.
Speaker 1 (04:23):
Seems like one of the sticking points. We're hearing that
Iran wants a dollar per barrel toll basically to get
through the straight anything you've heard about that, and whether
you have companies that are considering it well.
Speaker 2 (04:39):
President Trump was was asked about this, and he suggested
that perhaps the United States in Iran could work together
after the war ends, to take money from ships that
pass through the Strait. I think this is something that
is going to be very severely resisted, not just by
the shipping companies themselves, but by the international community. To
the British Foreign Secretary today saying that freedom of movement
(05:01):
in international waterways it is non negotiable and we shouldn't
have tolls on these waterways that are controlled by one country,
or two countries, or any countries. Quite frankly, also saying
that if this happens, then you are baking in hardwiring
and increase in oil prices and energy prices for everyone
around the world. So there's going to be some resistance
(05:22):
to that.
Speaker 1 (05:23):
Jonathan, thank you so much for the update, great reporting.
As always, thank you