Trump’s Undefeated Political Season & Harris Has Peaked in the Polls – Top 3 Takeaways

The debate stakes for Kamala Harris are off the charts high for tomorrow night’s debate.

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
The mainstream stories of the day without the mainstream live
the top three takeaways.

Speaker 2 (00:08):
This is the Brian Mudshow.

Speaker 1 (00:10):
Yeah, Trump's undefeated political season, and Harris has has peaked
in the polls talking about this maybe being a possibility
as we get ready for tomorrow's big presidential debate. And
my top takeaway for you on this Monday is that
Trump is three and zher with fifty seven days ago.
Trump is three to no with fifty seven days ago. So, yeah,

(00:33):
we're only a week into the NFL schedule. So only
college football teams have two and no records, but when
it comes to three to no starts to an NFL season,
they're highly predictive of how well the season will go.
In the Super Bowl era, Joel, yes, it should be
something up your alley. I'm sure that you're very happy

(00:55):
with the outcome of the Yeah, nice comeback win for
the Dolphins. You prove a the the handcuff celebration one tire.

Speaker 3 (01:03):
Exactly, I do. Yeah, it's it's yeah, okay, guilty pleasure.

Speaker 1 (01:07):
Okay, So in the Super Bowl era, what percentage of
NFL teams that have started three and oh go to
the postseason? What percentage? Okay, uh, bring no start, you
get to the playoffs? How often, uh you.

Speaker 3 (01:22):
Get to playoffs? Sixty five percent of the time. It's
probably higher. I'm guessing low. Why would you guess low?
I don't know, seventy four? Okay, I wasn't too far off.

Speaker 2 (01:34):
And it wasn't I mean, it wasn't a terrible guess.

Speaker 1 (01:36):
I'm just I was just curious to know why you
would guess low ones on when you're three and oh,
you're three and oh, I mean and up until recently,
he only had sixteen games in a season, So, I mean,
the odds are going to be with you, no doubt. Yeah,
So you've got about three quarters chance of making the
playoffs at three and ozer and heading into tomorrow night's debate,
that just might be the odds. Donald Trump has becoming

(01:58):
the next president of the United States following his undefeated
regular season and postseason thus far.

Speaker 2 (02:05):
What am I talking about?

Speaker 1 (02:07):
Donald Trump, who has overcome about every obstacle imaginable, starting
with the Russian collusion hoax in twenty sixteen, viscerated all
Republican challengers for the Republican nomination. Right, there's a little
bit of a thought going in, Hey, you know we're
going to get this heavyweight fight with De Santis and

(02:28):
Nicky is no push or Trump just eviscerated the field
in the primaries. Trump then waxed the incumbent president of
the United States, knocking him out of the race. And
now the law Fier campaign waged against him in this cycle.
That's the most recent massive win. Last week the final

(02:52):
two pieces of the law Fier campaigned against Trump that
could factor into the final two months of this presidential
campaign or punted until after election day. First DC Judge
Shunkin said she wasn't going to pay consideration to the
election cycle and considering next steps the attempted Jack Smith

(03:14):
reboot of the January sixth case. Then she said a
deadline of November seventh, two days after election day, for
the next steps in the case. Similarly, New York State
Judge One Vershawn decided to push back sentencing in the
New York State criminal case from September eighteenth to November
twenty sixth, putting an end once and for all to

(03:35):
the impact that law Fair could have in distracting the
former and perhaps future president from the home stretch of
this campaign. So law Fair is now done. For the
duration of this campaign. There's no telling what might be
thrown at Trump next. But for now, there's only one
known catalyst left in this race, and that is tomorrow's

(03:56):
presidential debate.

Speaker 2 (03:57):
That is it.

Speaker 1 (03:59):
Trump is tested and undefeated this season, and he's facing
someone who has never won so much as a single
state in a primary election. This is one of the
things I was really thinking about over the weekend with
all of this. Here you have Trump who has been
through more than any presidential candidate, more than any president,

(04:23):
more than any former president has ever been. Right, this
is demonstrable. Nobody has been put through the ringer like
Donald Trump has. I mean, this is the battleship that
has taken torpedoes and has been fired upon here and
they catch ess fired from tom to thing never goes down,
it comes back and just blights everything up around it.

Speaker 2 (04:47):
That's what Trump.

Speaker 1 (04:48):
And then you've got Kamala Harris, who has never even
won a single state in a primary.

Speaker 2 (04:56):
Think about this. I mean, it.

Speaker 1 (05:01):
Almost would be like that amazing battleship going up against
like a fishing boat, right, I mean, it's almost in
terms of the testing. So you start taking a look
at this and it's all that much more fascinating. Kamala mainally,

(05:27):
she's even won a debate. She didn't forget winning the state. Okay,
she doesn't even she doesn't want a debate before she
was waxed by tools Gabbard the last time she tried
to have a presidential debate. So lawfair is over. And
if Trump puts in a compelling performance tomorrow night, the
outcome of this presidential race and an unrivaled perfect season

(05:50):
might be on the horizon for the forty fifth president
of the United States. There's a lot to feel optimistic
about if Trump sticks to landy on this thing tomorrow.
And it takes me to my second takeaway to which
is freak out, Freakout. Last Wednesday, the headline to my
top three takeaways was this Harris has probably peaked in

(06:11):
Trump's position to win. The reasons I've provided were these.
I say Kamala Harris is probably peaked in the polls
because that's what we've seen with Trump's two challengers previously
at this stage of the cycle. It's also because the
current polls reflected the balance that Kamala Harris would have
received via the DNC, which, as it turns out is

(06:33):
among the smallest in DNC history. Using only nationally polling
samples taken after the DNC was complete, Kamala Harris's pollantly
did grow, but only by zero point three percent. The
average boost in the polls for a Democrat presidential candidate
in the modern political era has been two points. That
Kamala didn't get more juice out of the DNC shows

(06:53):
that the ability for her to continue to grow her
support in this race may be tapped out. Donald Trump
running the healthy five point four percent ahead of where
he was four years ago, notably a two point one
percent ahead of where he's running eight years ago when
he won. By any objective measure, donald Trump is the
best position he's been on this state. Okay, that's what

(07:14):
I offered up to you last Wednesday. That was my
hypothesis at the time. And guess what did not take
long from my hypothesis to bear fruit show that it
looks like it's accurate. Based on the most recent point,
what's happened since then I came in through the weekend,
it appears that inference has begun to play out. Two
of the three most recent national polls, Rasmussen and the

(07:37):
New York Times Sienna now showed Donald Trump with a
head to head the lead against Harris leading Trump considerably
better off today than he was last Wednesday when I
presented those deductions. The polls are showing that Harris has peaked.
This is my third takeaway. The poles are showing that
Harris has peaked. But more than that. Considered the Neo

(08:00):
Times headline to their poll on Sunday, Trump and Hairs
neck and neck after summer up evil time seeing a
poll finds. They go on to say, the survey finds
that Donald J. Trump is retaining his support and that
on the eve of the debate, voters are unsure they
know enough about where Kamala Harris stands.

Speaker 2 (08:23):
RT.

Speaker 1 (08:23):
Roe see as the toned down headline suggests, Kabala supporters
should be extremely concerned. Her strategy to run on good
vibes and no serious policy positions and to avoid the
media is failing because in avoiding the media, what she
also doing avoiding you anybody who might want more information

(08:48):
about her. What's more is that the headline to the
story doesn't tell the whole story. Yes, the polling does
show a neck and neck raise for the national popular vote,
but the poll also shows Donald Trump in front by
one point.

Speaker 2 (09:04):
Why is that interesting?

Speaker 1 (09:06):
I mean, first of all, if you're any kind of
a seasoned observer of politics, you know that if Trump
is showing any kind of a lead in the national
popular vote, I mean, what it would mean in individual
states is better. That's one. But the bigger story here
is not so much about a particular poll and what

(09:27):
the poll shows. It's what it shows relative to what
it showed previously. That one point lead by Trump and
the New York Times poll yesterday is the exact same
margin as the Times had Trump up overhears on the
day that Joe Biden dropped out of the race. It's

(09:50):
all gone, It's all gone. It's now appearing that it
is not just the case that Kamala has peaked, but
the entire balance, that whole thing, the media for over
a month behind her. Oh she's great, she's a second coming,
and oh she doesn't need to do interviews, and no,
she doesn't need to do press conferences, and oh just
look at.

Speaker 2 (10:10):
Her, she's great. Gone, every the DNC gone.

Speaker 1 (10:18):
That is, as Trump once would have said, bigly, what
I wonder if that really was, because I have not
heard him say that in at least seven years. I
just I guess he somebody brought to his intentional on
guard Alls dropped that I'm not hanging on to Bigley.
It's not that big of big Lee of a deal
to me. What's more is that the pollsters for the

(10:39):
New York Times Ciena Poll asked a series of next
level questions of the undecided voters. First thing is, they
only found that about four percent of people still say, yeah,
I don't know.

Speaker 2 (10:50):
I don't know.

Speaker 1 (10:51):
Man, I've been I've been on a bender like a
lifetime here and uh, I'm you know, I was hanging
out next to in seen no man under the rock,
and I do not know.

Speaker 2 (11:02):
It could be Trump, it could be Harris.

Speaker 1 (11:05):
I did four percent of those people exist, which is
remarkable for so many reasons. But nevertheless, of those people,
the friends of Encino Man, Trump has the one point
lead with them because what the Time says, they pushed
them like, come on, you're going to vote for somebody.
I mean, if you get out from under the rock
next to and see a man, you're going to go

(11:25):
to the poll who you are going to vote for?
Of the remaining four percent, Trump leads on them too,
by one, which means that as of today, Remember, people
are starting to vote now in some places, Trump is
winning the late breakers. So yeah, if Trump is up,

(11:45):
if Trump is where he was, win Bining dropped out,
if Trump is winning the undecided.

Speaker 2 (11:53):
Voters, it's a trifector right there, folks.

Speaker 1 (11:58):
Here's the madded perspective for you, and the same pole,
which is, by the way, the single most closely watched
on the left on the same date four years ago,
Sorry about this New York Times pole. Specifically, on the
same date, Biden was up eight, up eight, Trump's up one.
On the same date the same pole, Hillary Clinton was

(12:21):
up two. So Trump is now running nine points. Remember
last Wednesday, when I offered up the hypothesis Trump was
running five points ahead of where he was four years ago.
This is now showing Trump running nine nine, nine points
ahead of where he was four years ago, in his
narrow loss, three points ahead of where he was eight

(12:43):
years ago, and his narrow win again the whole big leading.
You don't need any additional analysis for me to infer
what that might mean. Debate stakes for Kamala Harris off
the charts high for tomorrow night's debate is what this is.
She has to stick the landing and maybe do some
like what what are they triple axles? I think they're
called the thing.

Speaker 2 (13:03):
Joel's like, I don't know, figure skating axis. Maybe no
figure skating axis. No, it's not an axis. I'm pretty sure.
Stick with me on this.

Speaker 1 (13:13):
I haven't watched anything since like n Nancy Carrigan was
on the scene.

Speaker 2 (13:17):
Fine, I'm pretty sure that it's like triple axles and
not an axis. Trump. Trump.

Speaker 1 (13:23):
Meanwhile, it just needs to avoid stepping on the debate stage,
smar Night.

Speaker 2 (13:27):
So until then,