March 2, 2026 • 34 mins
On the Early Edition with Ryan Bridge Full Show Podcast Tuesday 3rd of March 2025, New Haven University Director of International Affairs and National Security Expert Matthew Schmidt shares the reaction from the US following the latest developments with Iran.
The captain of the Manawanui Commander Yvonne Gray, is among three navy officers being charged over its sinking in Samoa last year, Massey University Centre for Defence and Security Studies Senior Fellow John Battersby shares his thoughts.
The PM’S signalling the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps could soon be officially listed as a terrorist organisation here, Former Minister of Foreign Affairs and Former Minister of Defence Phil Goff tells Ryan how New Zealand should react to the ongoing situation in the Middle East.
Plus, Australia Correspondent Lesley Yeomans has the latest on a state of emergency in central Australia following torrential rain and Aussie dairy farmers want law changes to stop labelling non-dairy products as "milk".
Get the Early Edition Full Show Podcast every weekday on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts.
LISTEN ABOVE
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Listen
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
The issues, the interviews and the insight. Ryan Bridge on
earlier this show with one roof love where you live
News talks.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
That'd be good morning.
Speaker 3 (00:11):
It is Tuesday, will will be all across the Middle
East situation this morning. You've got oil refineries being hit.
Now you've got gas plants being hit, so prices are
being affected. We'll keep you across that this morning. When
does it end? That's the question on everybody's lips. Depends
on the weapons. I suppose we've got a guy out
of the US who's got the numbers on that will
bring you him before six o'clock and the money and
Nui captain to stand in the dock as our navy
(00:34):
vessel sits at the bottom of the ocean in Samoa.
The agenda Tuesday, third of March Great to have your
company will start. In the US, the War Secretary Pete
Headseth has been talking alongside the Air Force General Dan Caine.
Here's an update from them.
Speaker 4 (00:49):
Turns out the regime who chanted death to America and
death to Israel was gifted death from America and death
from Israel. This is not a so called regime change war,
but the regime sure did change and the world is
(01:09):
better off for it.
Speaker 3 (01:10):
Trump speaking surely will bring you what he says. Stamis
just spoken to the House. The Commons will bring you
him to us. Casualties go from three to four.
Speaker 5 (01:17):
Military objectives are clear. Our mission is to protect and
defend ourselves and together with our regional partners, prevent aaran
from the ability to project power outside of its borders
and be ready for follow on actions as appropriate.
Speaker 3 (01:33):
And in Europe, Night Rattel, he's on board with all this.
Speaker 6 (01:36):
Absolutely support if all for the Americans are doing, taking
out to nuclear and the ballistic capability in uralm which
is a threat to us in Europe, threat to Israel,
to the region. I think it's really clear that you're
stepping up, and that's very important.
Speaker 3 (01:53):
Now, in other news this morning, I'll take you to
Nepal where a thirty five year old rapper turned politician,
where we heard that before Mamdami, he's been dominating a
local electoral race there. The election is March fifth. Our
former Katmandu mayor Belindra Shah has been playing his Ai
generated campaign song translates to times up, Fake Leader's game over,
(02:28):
will ring the bell on March fifth.
Speaker 1 (02:32):
Get ahead of the headlines on early edition with Ryan
Bridge and one roof Love, Where you Live, News TALKSB.
Speaker 3 (02:40):
News TALKSB just got eight minutes after five nine nine
two is the number to text this morning. Would love
to hear from you, and we will hear now from Starma,
who's just addressed the House of Comments.
Speaker 7 (02:50):
The first decision was whether or not the United Kingdom
should join the US Israel offensive against Iron. We took
the decision that we should not. It is our duty,
my duty to ensure they have a lawful basis. On
Saturday we deploy it. We deployed UK pilots into the
(03:14):
sky in the region and they've been working there ever since.
They deserve to know that their actions are lawful.
Speaker 3 (03:23):
See. The problem you've got for people like Starma is
they didn't support their original thing. Sure, but then as
soon as Iran starts firing rockets everywhere and heading bases
where your troops are based, then you've actually got to
get involved and do something, don't you. So he said
he's allowing his basis for defensive purposes at the stage,
but who knows how far that's going to go. The
other thing you've got to think about is the fact
(03:44):
You've got three hundred thousand Brits who are in countries
currently being targeted by Iran. One hundred thousand of them
are registered. You know, we have the Safe Travel website.
They've got a Foreign Office equivalent one hundred thousand registered,
but they reckon three hundred thousand there. So you can't
just sit idly bi can you. Trump was also criticizing
Starma for not getting involved in allowing the use of
(04:05):
bases earlier. Coming to the price of oil and the
price of gas, which is shot up too. So oil,
you look at futures for brient crue. Global energy benchmark
up eight percent, European natural gas prices up fifty percent
this morning. Cut our energy. That's the world's largest allen producer.
They produce about twenty percent of the world's allergy. That's
(04:27):
the stuff that we're going to get through Tartanaki. By
the way, of course, you wouldn't want to be buying
it at the moment. They produced twenty percent of the
world's supply. That's gone up fifty percent in Europe overnight.
Just a couple of numbers for you. Now, the shipping
lanes the Strait up is still basically closed that's a
narrow little bit on around southern border, no way around.
It essentially gets your oil through, gets your stuff through.
(04:49):
Not only a fifth of the global oil passed through there,
but also a fifth of LNG shipments which were just
spoken about, and a third of fertile So our farmers
will be wondering about this. And then this is the
question how long does it go on? That's really the
question that you want to answer this morning, and that
(05:11):
depends on how big a weapons stockpile Iran really has
and what their capability is to keep firing it, because
as long as they can do that, the whole thing
will carry on. That's the expert we're talking to before six,
and the guy is good. He's been running the numbers.
Apparently they can make four hundred drones a day, the Iranians.
(05:31):
And this is you know, people talk about boots on
the ground, as boots on the ground is relevant anymore
when you've got drones. Look at what's happening in Ukraine
nine two ninety two gone, twelve minutes after five? Next
the money with Nui, what's happening with the Captain? News?
Talk said b on.
Speaker 1 (05:48):
Your radio and online on Iheard Radio early edition with
Ryan Bridge and one roof love where you live.
Speaker 3 (05:56):
News Talk said b quarter past five, great to have
your company just so some words of wisdom and maybe
to calm the farm a little bit. Pipers Sandler's chief
investment strategist, a guy called Michael Crantrawitz, who was being
quoted quite widely in global media this morning, has come
out and said, hey, settle down, settle down. The market
(06:17):
corrections dating back to nineteen sixty four spurred by headlines,
which is what we have at the moment, rather than
broader economic trends like rising interest rates, unemployment, all that
sort of stuff tend to be the shortest, so investors
don't get overly defensive. As his advice, getting bearish now
is making you a market timer, which is a very
dangerous place to be and a backdrop that can change
(06:39):
with literally one headline. Ryan Breck, the Captain of the
Man of minuis commander of von Gray, is among three
Navy officers being charged over at sinking in Samoa last year.
You remember that they all face court martial proceedings alleged
of negligently causing a ship to be lost. John Battersby
is senior fellow, Massive University Center for Defense and Security Studies, John,
Good morning, John, Have I got you?
Speaker 2 (07:04):
I'm here?
Speaker 3 (07:05):
We are John? Are they are they? What's the story here?
Are they out for blood? Or is this just process
or what?
Speaker 8 (07:12):
I would definitely say it's it's process, and it's inevitable
whenever a major air set light this is lost in
peace time, of course, is going to be an inquiry
is huge public interest, major public a seat. Yes, there
has to be an inquiry that exhaustively locks at all
the circumstances. And as a commander of a naval peace
(07:33):
of your one job is to keep that above order.
So no, they're not out for that. This is the
accountability process that is perfectly normal in a circumstance.
Speaker 3 (07:43):
Does it mean that they've looked at other factors and
determined it must have been human era?
Speaker 2 (07:47):
Though?
Speaker 8 (07:49):
I think they've looked at all possible factors, and I
think that in the naval report that came out did
highlight a number of contributed factors or associated factors. So
now it doesn't it doesn't rule those out, But what
it does do is the human element of this needs
to be explored, and that is what this inquiry will do.
Speaker 3 (08:10):
Okay, what is it negligence? What's the punishment? Well, what
could be a punishment or something like that.
Speaker 8 (08:16):
Oh, there could be a range of punishments, and it
would be probably unwise to be too too speak litive
about that. The losing a ship in peace time, that's
a that's a serious matter. So I can't imagine there'll
be a trifle.
Speaker 3 (08:33):
Hey, your thoughts John on what's going on in the
Middle East? You must be interested in that.
Speaker 8 (08:37):
Oh, when your reporter rang me last night, he said,
we're not going to ask you about that, so be
prepared for you.
Speaker 3 (08:44):
Yeah.
Speaker 8 (08:44):
Look, there's there's Look, there's are so much happening over
there at the moment. I would say historically, whenever the
Americans have got involved in Iran, there's been a short
term tactical success and much more severe longer term actual
lys successful outcomes. The fifty three overturning of a democratic
(09:05):
elected president there led to a period of very very
poor government that was not in the advantages of Iranian
people and inevitably lead to the two and seventy nine
which has put the current regime in there. So look,
from a historical perspective, not looking terribly enthusiastically at what's
happened over there, although you know that regime is horrific.
(09:29):
So while I won't publicly celebrate the death of any
human individual, the overturning of the regime, but that is
going to happen. As long as it leads to a
better one, you could be a good outcome. But again,
we seem to be hoping a lot, and there doesn't
seem to be a clear objective in what the Americans
are doing, not a clear cut one. There's no obvious
(09:49):
successor we could go back to what was there before.
Speaker 3 (09:53):
Yeah, one hundred percent, John, Thanks very much for your
time this morning. John battersbe Massi University Center for Defense
and Security Studies, Senior Fellow. It's eighteen after five. You're
on News Talk ZBB. But all this talk for so
the Australians have designated the terror entity, the iicg over
there terror entity, and they've also expelled the Iranian ambassador
from Australia. We haven't done that here. Does that actually matter?
(10:16):
Fill golf on that.
Speaker 1 (10:16):
Next News and Views you trust to start your day.
It's early edition with Ryan Bridge and one roof Love
where you Live News talksb.
Speaker 3 (10:27):
News talk ZBB. It is twenty after five, So the
PM yesterday and is post scabs signaling the IRGC. That's
the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Could they're the really bad ones?
Could soon be officially listed as a terrorist organization here
in New Zealand.
Speaker 9 (10:40):
Calls for New Zealand.
Speaker 6 (10:42):
To designate the IIGC as a terrorist entity.
Speaker 10 (10:45):
Will you do that again? That has been a process,
as you know, around terrorism designation that we have separately
from this event. But suffice to say that I think
we'll have a decision on that very shortly.
Speaker 3 (10:56):
The Aussies have already done it. They've also expelled their
Iranian ambassador for god former Foreign affairs minister with US
and Minister of Defense. Good morning Phil, Yes, good morning.
Speaker 11 (11:05):
Right.
Speaker 3 (11:05):
Does it really matter if we do that at this point?
Speaker 11 (11:09):
No, it looks like it's totally opportunistic to do it now.
If you're going to do it, you should have done
it much earlier. But you've also got to be consistent.
So we decide that Iran, which has an awful regime,
we're not going to have diplomatic relations with it, or
we're going to prescribe they're military. What about Russia? Russia
(11:30):
invaded Ukraine. It's killed hundreds of thousands of people. Why
do we treat Iran different from another oppressive regime or
North Korea? You need to be consistent in your foreign
policy and you need to follow the rule of law. Really,
Luxance A six and seven's over that that's obvious from
his performances. He knows that the action by Trump and
(11:50):
Israel was illegal, but he just can't find the words
to say that and say, well, we don't.
Speaker 3 (11:56):
Care about the rule of international law anymore. But no
one can look starma.
Speaker 11 (12:02):
Yeah, yeah, I know.
Speaker 3 (12:04):
You know what, when you're enough, you've got to be careful,
you know.
Speaker 9 (12:08):
Yeah.
Speaker 10 (12:09):
Yeah.
Speaker 11 (12:09):
We live in a world where we have a predictable
leader in the United States, the United States, the very
country that's set up the rule of law in the
United Nations with other countries, and we're too scared to
say anything that might offend them. Therefore, we've effectively abandoned
our sovereignty. We're not prepared to say what we think,
to speak the truth and to do the right thing.
Speaker 3 (12:32):
We've been here before with the run. What do you see?
What's the endgame here? What's going to happen? Do you
reckon Well.
Speaker 11 (12:38):
Trump has talked about it being regime change, and he's
encouraging people to rise up, but then he's saying he's
not going to put boots on the ground. And we've
seen that story before. So you encourage people to rise up,
they don't have the guns, they get slaughtered, and the
United States stands back and doesn't do anything because it's
not going to put boots on the ground. You don't
(12:59):
advise people to do something that results in them being
slaughtered unless you're prepared to back them up, and they're
not prepared to do that. It's really, you know, human
rights don't matter that much to Trump. When he changed
the leadership in Venezuela, he didn't change the regime.
Speaker 3 (13:16):
Felg former Defense minister, former foreign minister. Time is twenty
three after five. Ryan brig just on that. Hig Seth
has said, this is the War Secretary new title. He
has said, we will go as far as we need
to go to advance American interests, but we're not dumb
about it. You don't have to roll two hundred thousand
people in there and stay for twenty years. So they're
(13:38):
not ruling out putting troops at boots on the ground.
But are they actually going to do that?
Speaker 4 (13:42):
President Trump is sure that our enemies understand, will go
as far as we need to go to advanced American interests.
We're not dumb about it. You don't have to roll
two hundred thousand people in there and stay for twenty years.
Speaker 3 (13:52):
So he's adding forces to the region. They've already got
two aircraft carriers there, hundreds of five di JITs, dozens
of refueling tankers, thousands of troops. But are they going
to put boots on the ground. Well? As I said earlier,
is it actually about that anymore? Or is it all
about the drones?
Speaker 1 (14:07):
News TALKSB the early edition full the show podcast on iHeartRadio,
power by News TALKSB.
Speaker 3 (14:15):
Five point twenty six on News TALKSB. There's been a
lot of chat lately. We'll come back to the war
stuff in a second, but there's been a lot of
chat lately about AI replacing jobs, and I get it.
There are signs that it's happening, little pockets of it
happening for certain roles, especially your more junior roles. The
threat is real, but there are some things that a
computer will never know and never be able to do
(14:35):
like reading somebody's emotions. Burger King in the US, this
is a story out this week is trialing AI software
to judge how courteous and friendly it's staff are. I
know it sounds weird. That is weird. They've got an
aptly named AI assistant Patty, apparently doing this task for them.
Speaker 6 (14:54):
Now.
Speaker 3 (14:54):
Patty lives in their headsets, poor things, monitoring their every word.
So if you have handing out Whoppers, it a drive through.
Patty will apparently record how many times you say welcome, please,
and thank you. Patty then delivers the Whopper crew a
daily friendliness score. Apart from sounding like peak micro managing
and a pain in the backside, Patty with respect actually
(15:17):
doesn't know what she orat is talking about. Can Patty
detect sarcasm? Does Patty know if you're dead in the
eyes while you're welcoming the next hungry customer? Customer service
isn't so much about what somebody says, but how they
say it. It's that glint in their eye, it's in
an affectation of their face in Japan, a polite bow
(15:39):
of the head. In New Zealand, too much talking or
fake friendly could be seen as rude, am I right,
We're a bit like that here. We're more of a
smile and polite hand gesture type country, aren't we. Human
interaction is intricate, it's unique. It takes even trained humans
time to properly figure out how you're really feeling. Have
(16:00):
more than forty facial muscles and using them in different
ways can apparently lead us to ten thousand subtle emotional
messages that we convey to one another. Isn't that fascinating?
I went to the bank yesterday to order an f postcard.
Bank manager came over, set hello. Can't tell you most
of what she said to me, but I know that
she was lovely. Went home told my partner how lovely
(16:23):
this woman at the bank was. Is this a job
that AI can master? I mean rarely. Even if Paddy
had a camera on our eyeballs, a microphone and a
pulse checker, I don't think it could truly tell what
we're really thinking in a way that only other humans can.
Rain Bridge two on newstalk 'b hey, we're here to
(16:46):
Leslie yeomans out of Australia. Shortly they had a lot
of rain in central Australia. Some flooding there. This is
around Alice Springs. Also dairy farmer's there. They want Australia
to follow the UK. They are not happy with non
dairy products being labeled as milk. I think oat milk
and whatever else. You are the nuts, that's not milk.
(17:08):
Quick numbers for you on jobs employment market showing further
simes of stabilizing strong growth in services sector jobs. This
is stats in Z's monthly report on employment. So we're
up point two percent for January to two point three
five million. You're on News Talks EDB We're live to
Australia next, and then the.
Speaker 1 (17:28):
US are five known the news you need this morning
and the in depth analysis early edition with Ryan Bridge.
Speaker 2 (17:45):
And One Room Love where you live. News Talks B.
Speaker 3 (17:53):
Twenty we're away from six Yer on News Talks. Be
great to have your company this morning. Right now, stocks
are trading strongly negative correlation to oil. Basically, as the
price of oil goes up, and it was up eight
percent in the futures markets, then the stocks come down.
Look at the stocks that are coming down, No surprises.
It's your cruise lines, your Royal Caribbeans down six percent.
(18:14):
Carnival shares down eleven percent, your airlines taking a hit,
British ear weighs down four percent. Stocks that are going
up as we come to wear defense company stocks unsurprising there.
The big worry for us, of course, is what's happening
in the Strait of whom was which is oil, which
is gas, but is also fertilizer that we put on
our farms. Basically, it's no go at the moment. They're
(18:35):
bombing the hall out of anything that tries to go through,
including an oil tanker in the Gulf of Amman yesterday
that was hit by a drone. You've got the Iranians
now heading Saudi oil refineries, which is the Saudi's lifeblood.
So where does that go from here? We are expecting
in the next half hour or so to hear from
Donald Trump out of the White House. He's doing a
Medal of Honor ceremony there, but he is expected to
(18:57):
give remarks about what's going on in the Middle East.
They will bring you though as we get them to hand.
We'll head to Australia where there's some heavy rains in
the central area, and we will head to the US.
When does the war end? That is the question and
the answer lies in how big the stockpile of weapons is.
And we've got a guy who's been counting twenty three
to six.
Speaker 2 (19:16):
Bryan Bread, Dunedin.
Speaker 3 (19:18):
News, Jamie Cunningham, good morning, Good morning, Ryan. So nominations
are in now for the City Council by election year.
Speaker 12 (19:26):
So fourteen candidates have taken a stand to fill the
seat left vacant by the unexpected death of Counselor and
former Mayor Juels Raddick earlier this year. Among the hopefuls
is former Meir Aaron Hawkins, who served nine years on
the council, including three years as mayor, before losing to
Raddick at the twenty twenty two election. Also in the
running as previous city councilor Carmen Hulahan. Voters will have
(19:49):
until midday on May twelve to return their postal ballots.
Speaker 3 (19:52):
All right, and how's the weather fine?
Speaker 12 (19:54):
Apart from some morning cloud easterly's in the afternoon and
are high of fifteen?
Speaker 3 (19:58):
Thank you very much, Clear than Christ morning, Claire, Good morning.
I just want to read your text from Danny Claire
before we start. Ryan, I always look forward to hearing
clear from christ Church easily the best female voice in
New Zealand Broadcasting. Sorry Neva, Sorry Jamie who we just
head on news talk should make greater use of her
on the national stage. There you go.
Speaker 13 (20:18):
Oh how lovely. What a way to pump the tires
this early on a Tuesday.
Speaker 3 (20:23):
Now, don't cock this up.
Speaker 13 (20:26):
Hey, look, I've got an update for you and you'll
be unsurprised about Bromley Ryan. We have council announcing that
there is a fresh plan to tackle the stink coming
from the east. It's a plan, but it is one
that's already raising some eyebrows and i'll explain that shortly effectively.
Christich City Council has been issued this abatement noticed by
Environment Canterbury, which demands a plan to deal with the stink.
(20:47):
We know there have been thousands of complaints in recent weeks.
It's been ongoing though for some years, since a fire
ripped through the plant in twenty twenty one. Now, in
order to reduce the stench from the plant, the council
now has a plan to pump thirty percent of part
actually treated wastewater into an existing ocean outfall pipe. They
will add chlorine in order to keep bacteria levels safe.
(21:07):
Now Pilm. Major confidently told us yesterday that they've been
working on this plan alongside Environment Canterbury and Mana Fenua.
That said, reporting this morning suggests that he can have
not been consulted about this plan to date. Major does
say that anyone worried about the ocean being filled with
chlorine should fear not, as the chemical will be dissipated
by the time.
Speaker 14 (21:26):
It gets to sea.
Speaker 3 (21:27):
All right, how's your weather?
Speaker 13 (21:29):
Mostly cloudy, There is the odd shower around this afternoon,
but will become fine by evening. Southwesterlies and a higher fifteen.
Speaker 3 (21:36):
Thank you, cliar Max in Wellington.
Speaker 15 (21:37):
Morning, Max, good morning, No such praise for you, but
no no sicker fancy here.
Speaker 3 (21:43):
We haven't planned for Andrew little for the city.
Speaker 15 (21:47):
Yeah, the mayor has laid out his council's key commitments
for the term a head projects being paused. We already
know the snake away rollouts on Hold Golden Mile basically
on hold. It's trying to make the city more of
affordable and reader arect spending away from the luxuries. We
are planting a lot of trees. Actually I'm not sure
you'd call that luxuries, but three hundred thousand native trees
(22:09):
and plants, a weekly cap on public transport fares. Those
just rose here last week by about three percent. Nothing
specific on rates and rates rises which have gone up
astronomically here. That'll come in a separate plan. Apparently Andrew
Little also wants a law change to allow the Crown
to pay rates on land it owns. So we'll see
how far that goes. A few of the more conservative counselors,
(22:30):
like Ray Chung wants spending cut further. Before they agree.
We'll see how the vote pans out next Thursday.
Speaker 3 (22:37):
Indeed, how's your winner?
Speaker 15 (22:40):
Rubbish cloudy showers very strong biting southerly's as well at
high thirteen.
Speaker 3 (22:45):
Thank you, Max Nava, good morning, good morning. So what
do you got in the city cinder for us?
Speaker 14 (22:49):
What does this good news actually? So support being rolled out?
This is with the small music and comedy venues here
in Auckland City Center, looking to help develop the local artists.
So the Spark Arena Community Events Funding pilot program, now
we know today it's going to provide one hundred thousand dollars.
This is going to go for equipment such as microphone
package and professional DJ gear. Live Nation Managing Director, that's
(23:13):
Mark Kneebone. He says it's going to help in sure
the local artists can develop right here, right here, I say,
in Auckland. And he's saying that it's about protecting, you know,
places that generate local talent like Whammy and the Kasach
Comedy Club. And you know, he's saying, look if we
lose those venues and we lose the art form and
all of those local artists coming through like Teakson, Lord
(23:33):
and all the big names.
Speaker 3 (23:34):
All right, sounds good, sounds like something that probably should
be done.
Speaker 2 (23:38):
How's our weather?
Speaker 6 (23:39):
Fine?
Speaker 9 (23:39):
Strong?
Speaker 14 (23:40):
Southwesterlies a little bit cooler today. Nineteen is the hi
though here in Auckland, brilliant.
Speaker 3 (23:45):
Never think you have a great morning eighteen minutes away.
Speaker 2 (23:47):
From six Bryan Bridge.
Speaker 3 (23:49):
Just there's loads of texts on the AI. I'll get
to those in a second, But I like this one
that's coming this morning from you. Haven't our John Ryan?
Is all this tough guy talk from American politicians starting
to grate on you. Yet they all sound like they
want to be in an action movie. Haven't listened? This
is peaked headset from earlier.
Speaker 4 (24:07):
Turns out the regime who chanted death to America and.
Speaker 2 (24:11):
Death to Israel was gifted.
Speaker 4 (24:14):
Death from America and death from Israel. This is not
a so called regime change war, but the regime sure
did change and the world is better off for it.
Speaker 3 (24:28):
Yeah, it is grating me, John, I do I hear you,
I understand you, and I agree with you. Interestingly that
you mentioned, you know, action movie heroes. Trump apparently gave
the military officials the signal to go ahead with the
operation in Iran on Friday afternoon local time. He was
a board Air Force one. He was heading to Texas.
(24:49):
Also on board at that time Senator Ted Cruz, another
couple of senators, and an actor by the name of
Dennis Quaid, you know Deni Quaid fly to the Phoenix,
but also, perhaps ominously, the day after tomorrow used talks.
Speaker 1 (25:07):
Bibe international correspondence with ends in eye insurance, peace of
mind for New Zealand.
Speaker 3 (25:12):
Business fourteen to six will hit to the US shortly
on the Middle East, but to Australia first torrential rain
across central Australia and there's now a state of emergency there. Leslie,
Yeomans are correspondent, Leslie, Yes.
Speaker 16 (25:24):
Good morning, Ryan. Yes, the torrential rain is right and
the state of emergency has been declared by the NT government.
We've had road closures, school closures, we've got people having
to sand bag their homes and their businesses. We've got
roads washed out and large large areas just covered in
(25:47):
water after all this torrential rain, and the one I
guess positive thing is that it's brought a lot of
the BirdLife and the wildlife back, and people are sort
of hoping too that once, once some of the roads
are open, that the tourists will be able to get
in and sort of benefit from seeing all this new
wildlife and BirdLife.
Speaker 3 (26:08):
Now, the farmers there are wanting to follow the UK
Cuitain and bring in some labeling laws to stop those
pisky oat milks from calling themselves touch.
Speaker 16 (26:19):
Yes, I don't know if you get confused when you
go to buy your milk, but some people, some people
seem to think that it's confusing when you're buying milk,
that if you buy you don't know whether you're buying
cow milk, goat milk, or milk that's produced by almonds
and oats. So the Australian dairy farmers are wanting to
(26:40):
follow in the footsteps of UK dairy farmers and also
EU and US farmers. Now they have. The UK Supreme
Court just a couple of months ago actually ruled that
a Swedish firm Oatly can't sell oat milk and label
it oat milk in the UK. They have to label
(27:02):
it as something else. So the Australian dairy farmers are
wanting the same labeling new labeling laws. They don't want
people confused when they're heading off to the supermarket to
buy their milk. They want them to make sure that
they can buy animal based milk, not nut based milk.
Speaker 3 (27:19):
All right, fair enough, they'll make the distinction. And our
heads are spinning it the supermarket, don't they. Leslie Lovely
to chat is always Leslie Yeomans our Australia correspondent. It
is twelve away from six Ryan Bridge. So Trump's about
to speak. We'll bring you that, well, Mike might when
he does run targeting Saudi oil refineries. Overnight tank is
being hit trying to enter the strait of him. Was
(27:40):
Lebanon the latest battleground his buller israeled a trading strikes.
Here's Pete Higgs seth.
Speaker 4 (27:46):
If you kill Americans, if you threaten Americans anywhere on Earth,
we will hunt you down without apology and without hesitation,
and we will kill you.
Speaker 3 (27:56):
So what's the end? Where does it end? Is the question.
Matthew Schmidt, Director of International Affairs, national security expert, and
you have in University with US Live this morning. Matthew,
Welcome to the program.
Speaker 2 (28:07):
Hi Ryan, thanks to be here.
Speaker 3 (28:09):
I know that you have your brief across not only
the leadership in Iran but also the weapons. So when
does the scene how does the scene?
Speaker 10 (28:18):
In your view, Matthew, you have to think of Iran
right now as sort of a late stage, you know,
autocracy that's coming apart, and you end up.
Speaker 9 (28:30):
With sort of three basic groups. You've got the security services,
the upper ranks were devastated in the first wave of
the attack, the IRGC, the Iola Kamemi, his son is
connected to the IRGC and stands as a possible successor,
(28:51):
although his own father said and Shia Islam sort of
pushes against the idea of hereditary succession, so there's there's
a bit of a problem. On the other side, you
have the founder's grandson, Hassan Komeni, who positions himself sort
of as a martyrate, who is someone that may be
(29:12):
able to come in and say, look, we can salvage
the Islamic Republic as an Islamic republic.
Speaker 3 (29:22):
And looks like we just completely lost Matthew, which is
a real shame because he has fantastic and fascinating things
to say. He does have numbers, So the war likely
to shift to Iran's drone capabilities next, because you look,
I many people have talked about boots on the ground,
as boots on the ground actually as relevant these days.
Look at what's happening in Ukraine. He says, the stockpile
(29:43):
of drones there could be as high as eighty thousand,
and those drones are good. He's back with us now, Matthew,
I'll let you finish.
Speaker 2 (29:52):
Yeah.
Speaker 9 (29:52):
So I think it was on Hormenia's grandson. So he's
a martyr candidate that could sort of bridge things. And
then you have the question of some sort of democratic revolution, right,
And the name that we all know in the West
is Reza Palavi, the son of the late Shaw, and
(30:13):
he's got a lot of support, but he also has
a lot of detractors inside Iran and a lot of
people who are simply saying you haven't lived here, you
don't know society. And there are different groups. There's a
student group, there's labor groups in Iran, but there's no
one really emerging as a leader on the ground in Iran.
And that's the real question. So my money right now
(30:35):
is on the IRGC consolidating control for the moment. And
the problem with the democratic groups is is right now,
they're just trying to save their kids from the bombs,
right pick them up from school, get them to somewhere safe,
and nobody's really out in the streets.
Speaker 3 (30:50):
Yet, Matthew will leave it. They appreciate your time this morning.
Sorry about that dodgy line. That's said doctor Matthew Schmidt,
who's National Security University of new in the United States.
What he also points out is the stockpile of drones there,
as I said, could be eighty thousand, and then you
look at the fact that they can quickly and at
very low costs produce about four hundred more a day.
(31:13):
And then Israel's you know the iron dome that they've got, well,
the iron Dome interceptions run it about a million dollars.
Your drones run it at about twenty five thousand. Dollars.
So how how many intercepts do you do for such
cheap toys that have been thrown at your country that
can be deadly? Nine nine two. The number to text
it is eight to six micers with your.
Speaker 1 (31:34):
Next the first word on the News of the day
early edition with Ryan Bridge and one roote love where
you live?
Speaker 2 (31:43):
News talks that'd be.
Speaker 3 (31:44):
It's six to six news talks, they'd be. So Iran
was producing one point six million barrels of oil a day.
That's ninety percent of it going to China, so China
takes the lion's share of it. Does that put China
in a tight spot if they don't have access to
it because it's all sitting on the water, or can't
go anywhere. The answer is no, because China is smart
and they've been stockpiling and they have one point five
(32:05):
billion barrels of strategic petroleum reserves, enough to cover around
two hundred days of oil imports. So there you go,
don't worry about China. Five to six plan, Good morning,
Mike morning.
Speaker 17 (32:17):
I was in a wheel shop yesterday and I saw
a machine that was made in Ukraine and it's a
cold welding machine. This is apparently cutting edge technology is
just listening to your drone thing that the Ukrainians and
their ingenuity must not be underestimating.
Speaker 3 (32:34):
Fascinating.
Speaker 17 (32:35):
And this cold welding thing revolutionizes welding because of course,
traditionally welding tends to be a bit hot. So if
you can do it cold, and this was just a
little machine, like a little box, you wouldn't look at it.
Twice made in Ukraine, invented in Ukraine, and you cold
weld now, so it revolutionizes the ability to mess with
cars and metal and alloy en like that.
Speaker 3 (32:54):
Yeah, they're drone factories over there. Have you seen those
on YouTube? Literally Mum and dad putting them together by hand.
They've got machines doing it now. And their ambassador was
over here not long. It's been over a couple of
times now, basically trying to sell us their drones, which
we should probably.
Speaker 17 (33:10):
We've got the Towering Company which is doing the opposite,
of course and selling it to the British and they're
apparently very successful.
Speaker 3 (33:17):
Tomorrow.
Speaker 17 (33:18):
Oh really yeah, got nice nice nice teeth nic Australia.
Speaker 3 (33:23):
You've opened the door.
Speaker 17 (33:25):
Fantastic, You know, what do you say?
Speaker 3 (33:28):
At least ye? Kay? We've just been talking about our
photo shoot tomorrow. Yes, So my argument is, why would
you have a photo shoot when we're going to look
worse than we would have looked in the previous photo shoots,
which were taken when we were all younger.
Speaker 17 (33:43):
That's really more your issue than mine, for fairly obvious reasons.
But I mean, just generally, why would you, why would
you why would you not just AI at computer drive it.
Speaker 3 (33:56):
Let's say it just save, touch you up? You know? Yeah,
all right, some of some of that stuff that's but
you say, probably fifty grand I reckon, what are they thinking?
Speaker 6 (34:06):
Let's put it at the boss?
Speaker 3 (34:07):
All right? Okay, Mike is with your next News Talks.
It'd be.
Speaker 2 (34:16):
For more from Early edition with Ryan Bridge.
Speaker 1 (34:18):
Listen live to News Talks it'd be from five am weekdays,
or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio
The issues, the interviews and the insight. Ryan Bridge on
earlier this show with one roof love where you live
News talks.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
That'd be good morning.
Speaker 3 (00:11):
It is Tuesday, will will be all across the Middle
East situation this morning. You've got oil refineries being hit.
Now you've got gas plants being hit, so prices are
being affected. We'll keep you across that this morning. When
does it end? That's the question on everybody's lips. Depends
on the weapons. I suppose we've got a guy out
of the US who's got the numbers on that will
bring you him before six o'clock and the money and
Nui captain to stand in the dock as our navy
(00:34):
vessel sits at the bottom of the ocean in Samoa.
The agenda Tuesday, third of March Great to have your
company will start. In the US, the War Secretary Pete
Headseth has been talking alongside the Air Force General Dan Caine.
Here's an update from them.
Speaker 4 (00:49):
Turns out the regime who chanted death to America and
death to Israel was gifted death from America and death
from Israel. This is not a so called regime change war,
but the regime sure did change and the world is
(01:09):
better off for it.
Speaker 3 (01:10):
Trump speaking surely will bring you what he says. Stamis
just spoken to the House. The Commons will bring you
him to us. Casualties go from three to four.
Speaker 5 (01:17):
Military objectives are clear. Our mission is to protect and
defend ourselves and together with our regional partners, prevent aaran
from the ability to project power outside of its borders
and be ready for follow on actions as appropriate.
Speaker 3 (01:33):
And in Europe, Night Rattel, he's on board with all this.
Speaker 6 (01:36):
Absolutely support if all for the Americans are doing, taking
out to nuclear and the ballistic capability in uralm which
is a threat to us in Europe, threat to Israel,
to the region. I think it's really clear that you're
stepping up, and that's very important.
Speaker 3 (01:53):
Now, in other news this morning, I'll take you to
Nepal where a thirty five year old rapper turned politician,
where we heard that before Mamdami, he's been dominating a
local electoral race there. The election is March fifth. Our
former Katmandu mayor Belindra Shah has been playing his Ai
generated campaign song translates to times up, Fake Leader's game over,
(02:28):
will ring the bell on March fifth.
Speaker 1 (02:32):
Get ahead of the headlines on early edition with Ryan
Bridge and one roof Love, Where you Live, News TALKSB.
Speaker 3 (02:40):
News TALKSB just got eight minutes after five nine nine
two is the number to text this morning. Would love
to hear from you, and we will hear now from Starma,
who's just addressed the House of Comments.
Speaker 7 (02:50):
The first decision was whether or not the United Kingdom
should join the US Israel offensive against Iron. We took
the decision that we should not. It is our duty,
my duty to ensure they have a lawful basis. On
Saturday we deploy it. We deployed UK pilots into the
(03:14):
sky in the region and they've been working there ever since.
They deserve to know that their actions are lawful.
Speaker 3 (03:23):
See. The problem you've got for people like Starma is
they didn't support their original thing. Sure, but then as
soon as Iran starts firing rockets everywhere and heading bases
where your troops are based, then you've actually got to
get involved and do something, don't you. So he said
he's allowing his basis for defensive purposes at the stage,
but who knows how far that's going to go. The
other thing you've got to think about is the fact
(03:44):
You've got three hundred thousand Brits who are in countries
currently being targeted by Iran. One hundred thousand of them
are registered. You know, we have the Safe Travel website.
They've got a Foreign Office equivalent one hundred thousand registered,
but they reckon three hundred thousand there. So you can't
just sit idly bi can you. Trump was also criticizing
Starma for not getting involved in allowing the use of
(04:05):
bases earlier. Coming to the price of oil and the
price of gas, which is shot up too. So oil,
you look at futures for brient crue. Global energy benchmark
up eight percent, European natural gas prices up fifty percent
this morning. Cut our energy. That's the world's largest allen producer.
They produce about twenty percent of the world's allergy. That's
(04:27):
the stuff that we're going to get through Tartanaki. By
the way, of course, you wouldn't want to be buying
it at the moment. They produced twenty percent of the
world's supply. That's gone up fifty percent in Europe overnight.
Just a couple of numbers for you. Now, the shipping
lanes the Strait up is still basically closed that's a
narrow little bit on around southern border, no way around.
It essentially gets your oil through, gets your stuff through.
(04:49):
Not only a fifth of the global oil passed through there,
but also a fifth of LNG shipments which were just
spoken about, and a third of fertile So our farmers
will be wondering about this. And then this is the
question how long does it go on? That's really the
question that you want to answer this morning, and that
(05:11):
depends on how big a weapons stockpile Iran really has
and what their capability is to keep firing it, because
as long as they can do that, the whole thing
will carry on. That's the expert we're talking to before six,
and the guy is good. He's been running the numbers.
Apparently they can make four hundred drones a day, the Iranians.
(05:31):
And this is you know, people talk about boots on
the ground, as boots on the ground is relevant anymore
when you've got drones. Look at what's happening in Ukraine
nine two ninety two gone, twelve minutes after five? Next
the money with Nui, what's happening with the Captain? News?
Talk said b on.
Speaker 1 (05:48):
Your radio and online on Iheard Radio early edition with
Ryan Bridge and one roof love where you live.
Speaker 3 (05:56):
News Talk said b quarter past five, great to have
your company just so some words of wisdom and maybe
to calm the farm a little bit. Pipers Sandler's chief
investment strategist, a guy called Michael Crantrawitz, who was being
quoted quite widely in global media this morning, has come
out and said, hey, settle down, settle down. The market
(06:17):
corrections dating back to nineteen sixty four spurred by headlines,
which is what we have at the moment, rather than
broader economic trends like rising interest rates, unemployment, all that
sort of stuff tend to be the shortest, so investors
don't get overly defensive. As his advice, getting bearish now
is making you a market timer, which is a very
dangerous place to be and a backdrop that can change
(06:39):
with literally one headline. Ryan Breck, the Captain of the
Man of minuis commander of von Gray, is among three
Navy officers being charged over at sinking in Samoa last year.
You remember that they all face court martial proceedings alleged
of negligently causing a ship to be lost. John Battersby
is senior fellow, Massive University Center for Defense and Security Studies, John,
Good morning, John, Have I got you?
Speaker 2 (07:04):
I'm here?
Speaker 3 (07:05):
We are John? Are they are they? What's the story here?
Are they out for blood? Or is this just process
or what?
Speaker 8 (07:12):
I would definitely say it's it's process, and it's inevitable
whenever a major air set light this is lost in
peace time, of course, is going to be an inquiry
is huge public interest, major public a seat. Yes, there
has to be an inquiry that exhaustively locks at all
the circumstances. And as a commander of a naval peace
(07:33):
of your one job is to keep that above order.
So no, they're not out for that. This is the
accountability process that is perfectly normal in a circumstance.
Speaker 3 (07:43):
Does it mean that they've looked at other factors and
determined it must have been human era?
Speaker 2 (07:47):
Though?
Speaker 8 (07:49):
I think they've looked at all possible factors, and I
think that in the naval report that came out did
highlight a number of contributed factors or associated factors. So
now it doesn't it doesn't rule those out, But what
it does do is the human element of this needs
to be explored, and that is what this inquiry will do.
Speaker 3 (08:10):
Okay, what is it negligence? What's the punishment? Well, what
could be a punishment or something like that.
Speaker 8 (08:16):
Oh, there could be a range of punishments, and it
would be probably unwise to be too too speak litive
about that. The losing a ship in peace time, that's
a that's a serious matter. So I can't imagine there'll
be a trifle.
Speaker 3 (08:33):
Hey, your thoughts John on what's going on in the
Middle East? You must be interested in that.
Speaker 8 (08:37):
Oh, when your reporter rang me last night, he said,
we're not going to ask you about that, so be
prepared for you.
Speaker 3 (08:44):
Yeah.
Speaker 8 (08:44):
Look, there's there's Look, there's are so much happening over
there at the moment. I would say historically, whenever the
Americans have got involved in Iran, there's been a short
term tactical success and much more severe longer term actual
lys successful outcomes. The fifty three overturning of a democratic
(09:05):
elected president there led to a period of very very
poor government that was not in the advantages of Iranian
people and inevitably lead to the two and seventy nine
which has put the current regime in there. So look,
from a historical perspective, not looking terribly enthusiastically at what's
happened over there, although you know that regime is horrific.
(09:29):
So while I won't publicly celebrate the death of any
human individual, the overturning of the regime, but that is
going to happen. As long as it leads to a
better one, you could be a good outcome. But again,
we seem to be hoping a lot, and there doesn't
seem to be a clear objective in what the Americans
are doing, not a clear cut one. There's no obvious
(09:49):
successor we could go back to what was there before.
Speaker 3 (09:53):
Yeah, one hundred percent, John, Thanks very much for your
time this morning. John battersbe Massi University Center for Defense
and Security Studies, Senior Fellow. It's eighteen after five. You're
on News Talk ZBB. But all this talk for so
the Australians have designated the terror entity, the iicg over
there terror entity, and they've also expelled the Iranian ambassador
from Australia. We haven't done that here. Does that actually matter?
(10:16):
Fill golf on that.
Speaker 1 (10:16):
Next News and Views you trust to start your day.
It's early edition with Ryan Bridge and one roof Love
where you Live News talksb.
Speaker 3 (10:27):
News talk ZBB. It is twenty after five, So the
PM yesterday and is post scabs signaling the IRGC. That's
the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Could they're the really bad ones?
Could soon be officially listed as a terrorist organization here
in New Zealand.
Speaker 9 (10:40):
Calls for New Zealand.
Speaker 6 (10:42):
To designate the IIGC as a terrorist entity.
Speaker 10 (10:45):
Will you do that again? That has been a process,
as you know, around terrorism designation that we have separately
from this event. But suffice to say that I think
we'll have a decision on that very shortly.
Speaker 3 (10:56):
The Aussies have already done it. They've also expelled their
Iranian ambassador for god former Foreign affairs minister with US
and Minister of Defense. Good morning Phil, Yes, good morning.
Speaker 11 (11:05):
Right.
Speaker 3 (11:05):
Does it really matter if we do that at this point?
Speaker 11 (11:09):
No, it looks like it's totally opportunistic to do it now.
If you're going to do it, you should have done
it much earlier. But you've also got to be consistent.
So we decide that Iran, which has an awful regime,
we're not going to have diplomatic relations with it, or
we're going to prescribe they're military. What about Russia? Russia
(11:30):
invaded Ukraine. It's killed hundreds of thousands of people. Why
do we treat Iran different from another oppressive regime or
North Korea? You need to be consistent in your foreign
policy and you need to follow the rule of law. Really,
Luxance A six and seven's over that that's obvious from
his performances. He knows that the action by Trump and
(11:50):
Israel was illegal, but he just can't find the words
to say that and say, well, we don't.
Speaker 3 (11:56):
Care about the rule of international law anymore. But no
one can look starma.
Speaker 11 (12:02):
Yeah, yeah, I know.
Speaker 3 (12:04):
You know what, when you're enough, you've got to be careful,
you know.
Speaker 9 (12:08):
Yeah.
Speaker 10 (12:09):
Yeah.
Speaker 11 (12:09):
We live in a world where we have a predictable
leader in the United States, the United States, the very
country that's set up the rule of law in the
United Nations with other countries, and we're too scared to
say anything that might offend them. Therefore, we've effectively abandoned
our sovereignty. We're not prepared to say what we think,
to speak the truth and to do the right thing.
Speaker 3 (12:32):
We've been here before with the run. What do you see?
What's the endgame here? What's going to happen? Do you
reckon Well.
Speaker 11 (12:38):
Trump has talked about it being regime change, and he's
encouraging people to rise up, but then he's saying he's
not going to put boots on the ground. And we've
seen that story before. So you encourage people to rise up,
they don't have the guns, they get slaughtered, and the
United States stands back and doesn't do anything because it's
not going to put boots on the ground. You don't
(12:59):
advise people to do something that results in them being
slaughtered unless you're prepared to back them up, and they're
not prepared to do that. It's really, you know, human
rights don't matter that much to Trump. When he changed
the leadership in Venezuela, he didn't change the regime.
Speaker 3 (13:16):
Felg former Defense minister, former foreign minister. Time is twenty
three after five. Ryan brig just on that. Hig Seth
has said, this is the War Secretary new title. He
has said, we will go as far as we need
to go to advance American interests, but we're not dumb
about it. You don't have to roll two hundred thousand
people in there and stay for twenty years. So they're
(13:38):
not ruling out putting troops at boots on the ground.
But are they actually going to do that?
Speaker 4 (13:42):
President Trump is sure that our enemies understand, will go
as far as we need to go to advanced American interests.
We're not dumb about it. You don't have to roll
two hundred thousand people in there and stay for twenty years.
Speaker 3 (13:52):
So he's adding forces to the region. They've already got
two aircraft carriers there, hundreds of five di JITs, dozens
of refueling tankers, thousands of troops. But are they going
to put boots on the ground. Well? As I said earlier,
is it actually about that anymore? Or is it all
about the drones?
Speaker 1 (14:07):
News TALKSB the early edition full the show podcast on iHeartRadio,
power by News TALKSB.
Speaker 3 (14:15):
Five point twenty six on News TALKSB. There's been a
lot of chat lately. We'll come back to the war
stuff in a second, but there's been a lot of
chat lately about AI replacing jobs, and I get it.
There are signs that it's happening, little pockets of it
happening for certain roles, especially your more junior roles. The
threat is real, but there are some things that a
computer will never know and never be able to do
(14:35):
like reading somebody's emotions. Burger King in the US, this
is a story out this week is trialing AI software
to judge how courteous and friendly it's staff are. I
know it sounds weird. That is weird. They've got an
aptly named AI assistant Patty, apparently doing this task for them.
Speaker 6 (14:54):
Now.
Speaker 3 (14:54):
Patty lives in their headsets, poor things, monitoring their every word.
So if you have handing out Whoppers, it a drive through.
Patty will apparently record how many times you say welcome, please,
and thank you. Patty then delivers the Whopper crew a
daily friendliness score. Apart from sounding like peak micro managing
and a pain in the backside, Patty with respect actually
(15:17):
doesn't know what she orat is talking about. Can Patty
detect sarcasm? Does Patty know if you're dead in the
eyes while you're welcoming the next hungry customer? Customer service
isn't so much about what somebody says, but how they
say it. It's that glint in their eye, it's in
an affectation of their face in Japan, a polite bow
(15:39):
of the head. In New Zealand, too much talking or
fake friendly could be seen as rude, am I right,
We're a bit like that here. We're more of a
smile and polite hand gesture type country, aren't we. Human
interaction is intricate, it's unique. It takes even trained humans
time to properly figure out how you're really feeling. Have
(16:00):
more than forty facial muscles and using them in different
ways can apparently lead us to ten thousand subtle emotional
messages that we convey to one another. Isn't that fascinating?
I went to the bank yesterday to order an f postcard.
Bank manager came over, set hello. Can't tell you most
of what she said to me, but I know that
she was lovely. Went home told my partner how lovely
(16:23):
this woman at the bank was. Is this a job
that AI can master? I mean rarely. Even if Paddy
had a camera on our eyeballs, a microphone and a
pulse checker, I don't think it could truly tell what
we're really thinking in a way that only other humans can.
Rain Bridge two on newstalk 'b hey, we're here to
(16:46):
Leslie yeomans out of Australia. Shortly they had a lot
of rain in central Australia. Some flooding there. This is
around Alice Springs. Also dairy farmer's there. They want Australia
to follow the UK. They are not happy with non
dairy products being labeled as milk. I think oat milk
and whatever else. You are the nuts, that's not milk.
(17:08):
Quick numbers for you on jobs employment market showing further
simes of stabilizing strong growth in services sector jobs. This
is stats in Z's monthly report on employment. So we're
up point two percent for January to two point three
five million. You're on News Talks EDB We're live to
Australia next, and then the.
Speaker 1 (17:28):
US are five known the news you need this morning
and the in depth analysis early edition with Ryan Bridge.
Speaker 2 (17:45):
And One Room Love where you live. News Talks B.
Speaker 3 (17:53):
Twenty we're away from six Yer on News Talks. Be
great to have your company this morning. Right now, stocks
are trading strongly negative correlation to oil. Basically, as the
price of oil goes up, and it was up eight
percent in the futures markets, then the stocks come down.
Look at the stocks that are coming down, No surprises.
It's your cruise lines, your Royal Caribbeans down six percent.
(18:14):
Carnival shares down eleven percent, your airlines taking a hit,
British ear weighs down four percent. Stocks that are going
up as we come to wear defense company stocks unsurprising there.
The big worry for us, of course, is what's happening
in the Strait of whom was which is oil, which
is gas, but is also fertilizer that we put on
our farms. Basically, it's no go at the moment. They're
(18:35):
bombing the hall out of anything that tries to go through,
including an oil tanker in the Gulf of Amman yesterday
that was hit by a drone. You've got the Iranians
now heading Saudi oil refineries, which is the Saudi's lifeblood.
So where does that go from here? We are expecting
in the next half hour or so to hear from
Donald Trump out of the White House. He's doing a
Medal of Honor ceremony there, but he is expected to
(18:57):
give remarks about what's going on in the Middle East.
They will bring you though as we get them to hand.
We'll head to Australia where there's some heavy rains in
the central area, and we will head to the US.
When does the war end? That is the question and
the answer lies in how big the stockpile of weapons is.
And we've got a guy who's been counting twenty three
to six.
Speaker 2 (19:16):
Bryan Bread, Dunedin.
Speaker 3 (19:18):
News, Jamie Cunningham, good morning, Good morning, Ryan. So nominations
are in now for the City Council by election year.
Speaker 12 (19:26):
So fourteen candidates have taken a stand to fill the
seat left vacant by the unexpected death of Counselor and
former Mayor Juels Raddick earlier this year. Among the hopefuls
is former Meir Aaron Hawkins, who served nine years on
the council, including three years as mayor, before losing to
Raddick at the twenty twenty two election. Also in the
running as previous city councilor Carmen Hulahan. Voters will have
(19:49):
until midday on May twelve to return their postal ballots.
Speaker 3 (19:52):
All right, and how's the weather fine?
Speaker 12 (19:54):
Apart from some morning cloud easterly's in the afternoon and
are high of fifteen?
Speaker 3 (19:58):
Thank you very much, Clear than Christ morning, Claire, Good morning.
I just want to read your text from Danny Claire
before we start. Ryan, I always look forward to hearing
clear from christ Church easily the best female voice in
New Zealand Broadcasting. Sorry Neva, Sorry Jamie who we just
head on news talk should make greater use of her
on the national stage. There you go.
Speaker 13 (20:18):
Oh how lovely. What a way to pump the tires
this early on a Tuesday.
Speaker 3 (20:23):
Now, don't cock this up.
Speaker 13 (20:26):
Hey, look, I've got an update for you and you'll
be unsurprised about Bromley Ryan. We have council announcing that
there is a fresh plan to tackle the stink coming
from the east. It's a plan, but it is one
that's already raising some eyebrows and i'll explain that shortly effectively.
Christich City Council has been issued this abatement noticed by
Environment Canterbury, which demands a plan to deal with the stink.
(20:47):
We know there have been thousands of complaints in recent weeks.
It's been ongoing though for some years, since a fire
ripped through the plant in twenty twenty one. Now, in
order to reduce the stench from the plant, the council
now has a plan to pump thirty percent of part
actually treated wastewater into an existing ocean outfall pipe. They
will add chlorine in order to keep bacteria levels safe.
(21:07):
Now Pilm. Major confidently told us yesterday that they've been
working on this plan alongside Environment Canterbury and Mana Fenua.
That said, reporting this morning suggests that he can have
not been consulted about this plan to date. Major does
say that anyone worried about the ocean being filled with
chlorine should fear not, as the chemical will be dissipated
by the time.
Speaker 14 (21:26):
It gets to sea.
Speaker 3 (21:27):
All right, how's your weather?
Speaker 13 (21:29):
Mostly cloudy, There is the odd shower around this afternoon,
but will become fine by evening. Southwesterlies and a higher fifteen.
Speaker 3 (21:36):
Thank you, cliar Max in Wellington.
Speaker 15 (21:37):
Morning, Max, good morning, No such praise for you, but
no no sicker fancy here.
Speaker 3 (21:43):
We haven't planned for Andrew little for the city.
Speaker 15 (21:47):
Yeah, the mayor has laid out his council's key commitments
for the term a head projects being paused. We already
know the snake away rollouts on Hold Golden Mile basically
on hold. It's trying to make the city more of
affordable and reader arect spending away from the luxuries. We
are planting a lot of trees. Actually I'm not sure
you'd call that luxuries, but three hundred thousand native trees
(22:09):
and plants, a weekly cap on public transport fares. Those
just rose here last week by about three percent. Nothing
specific on rates and rates rises which have gone up
astronomically here. That'll come in a separate plan. Apparently Andrew
Little also wants a law change to allow the Crown
to pay rates on land it owns. So we'll see
how far that goes. A few of the more conservative counselors,
(22:30):
like Ray Chung wants spending cut further. Before they agree.
We'll see how the vote pans out next Thursday.
Speaker 3 (22:37):
Indeed, how's your winner?
Speaker 15 (22:40):
Rubbish cloudy showers very strong biting southerly's as well at
high thirteen.
Speaker 3 (22:45):
Thank you, Max Nava, good morning, good morning. So what
do you got in the city cinder for us?
Speaker 14 (22:49):
What does this good news actually? So support being rolled out?
This is with the small music and comedy venues here
in Auckland City Center, looking to help develop the local artists.
So the Spark Arena Community Events Funding pilot program, now
we know today it's going to provide one hundred thousand dollars.
This is going to go for equipment such as microphone
package and professional DJ gear. Live Nation Managing Director, that's
(23:13):
Mark Kneebone. He says it's going to help in sure
the local artists can develop right here, right here, I say,
in Auckland. And he's saying that it's about protecting, you know,
places that generate local talent like Whammy and the Kasach
Comedy Club. And you know, he's saying, look if we
lose those venues and we lose the art form and
all of those local artists coming through like Teakson, Lord
(23:33):
and all the big names.
Speaker 3 (23:34):
All right, sounds good, sounds like something that probably should
be done.
Speaker 2 (23:38):
How's our weather?
Speaker 6 (23:39):
Fine?
Speaker 9 (23:39):
Strong?
Speaker 14 (23:40):
Southwesterlies a little bit cooler today. Nineteen is the hi
though here in Auckland, brilliant.
Speaker 3 (23:45):
Never think you have a great morning eighteen minutes away.
Speaker 2 (23:47):
From six Bryan Bridge.
Speaker 3 (23:49):
Just there's loads of texts on the AI. I'll get
to those in a second, But I like this one
that's coming this morning from you. Haven't our John Ryan?
Is all this tough guy talk from American politicians starting
to grate on you. Yet they all sound like they
want to be in an action movie. Haven't listened? This
is peaked headset from earlier.
Speaker 4 (24:07):
Turns out the regime who chanted death to America and.
Speaker 2 (24:11):
Death to Israel was gifted.
Speaker 4 (24:14):
Death from America and death from Israel. This is not
a so called regime change war, but the regime sure
did change and the world is better off for it.
Speaker 3 (24:28):
Yeah, it is grating me, John, I do I hear you,
I understand you, and I agree with you. Interestingly that
you mentioned, you know, action movie heroes. Trump apparently gave
the military officials the signal to go ahead with the
operation in Iran on Friday afternoon local time. He was
a board Air Force one. He was heading to Texas.
(24:49):
Also on board at that time Senator Ted Cruz, another
couple of senators, and an actor by the name of
Dennis Quaid, you know Deni Quaid fly to the Phoenix,
but also, perhaps ominously, the day after tomorrow used talks.
Speaker 1 (25:07):
Bibe international correspondence with ends in eye insurance, peace of
mind for New Zealand.
Speaker 3 (25:12):
Business fourteen to six will hit to the US shortly
on the Middle East, but to Australia first torrential rain
across central Australia and there's now a state of emergency there. Leslie,
Yeomans are correspondent, Leslie, Yes.
Speaker 16 (25:24):
Good morning, Ryan. Yes, the torrential rain is right and
the state of emergency has been declared by the NT government.
We've had road closures, school closures, we've got people having
to sand bag their homes and their businesses. We've got
roads washed out and large large areas just covered in
(25:47):
water after all this torrential rain, and the one I
guess positive thing is that it's brought a lot of
the BirdLife and the wildlife back, and people are sort
of hoping too that once, once some of the roads
are open, that the tourists will be able to get
in and sort of benefit from seeing all this new
wildlife and BirdLife.
Speaker 3 (26:08):
Now, the farmers there are wanting to follow the UK
Cuitain and bring in some labeling laws to stop those
pisky oat milks from calling themselves touch.
Speaker 16 (26:19):
Yes, I don't know if you get confused when you
go to buy your milk, but some people, some people
seem to think that it's confusing when you're buying milk,
that if you buy you don't know whether you're buying
cow milk, goat milk, or milk that's produced by almonds
and oats. So the Australian dairy farmers are wanting to
(26:40):
follow in the footsteps of UK dairy farmers and also
EU and US farmers. Now they have. The UK Supreme
Court just a couple of months ago actually ruled that
a Swedish firm Oatly can't sell oat milk and label
it oat milk in the UK. They have to label
(27:02):
it as something else. So the Australian dairy farmers are
wanting the same labeling new labeling laws. They don't want
people confused when they're heading off to the supermarket to
buy their milk. They want them to make sure that
they can buy animal based milk, not nut based milk.
Speaker 3 (27:19):
All right, fair enough, they'll make the distinction. And our
heads are spinning it the supermarket, don't they. Leslie Lovely
to chat is always Leslie Yeomans our Australia correspondent. It
is twelve away from six Ryan Bridge. So Trump's about
to speak. We'll bring you that, well, Mike might when
he does run targeting Saudi oil refineries. Overnight tank is
being hit trying to enter the strait of him. Was
(27:40):
Lebanon the latest battleground his buller israeled a trading strikes.
Here's Pete Higgs seth.
Speaker 4 (27:46):
If you kill Americans, if you threaten Americans anywhere on Earth,
we will hunt you down without apology and without hesitation,
and we will kill you.
Speaker 3 (27:56):
So what's the end? Where does it end? Is the question.
Matthew Schmidt, Director of International Affairs, national security expert, and
you have in University with US Live this morning. Matthew,
Welcome to the program.
Speaker 2 (28:07):
Hi Ryan, thanks to be here.
Speaker 3 (28:09):
I know that you have your brief across not only
the leadership in Iran but also the weapons. So when
does the scene how does the scene?
Speaker 10 (28:18):
In your view, Matthew, you have to think of Iran
right now as sort of a late stage, you know,
autocracy that's coming apart, and you end up.
Speaker 9 (28:30):
With sort of three basic groups. You've got the security services,
the upper ranks were devastated in the first wave of
the attack, the IRGC, the Iola Kamemi, his son is
connected to the IRGC and stands as a possible successor,
(28:51):
although his own father said and Shia Islam sort of
pushes against the idea of hereditary succession, so there's there's
a bit of a problem. On the other side, you
have the founder's grandson, Hassan Komeni, who positions himself sort
of as a martyrate, who is someone that may be
(29:12):
able to come in and say, look, we can salvage
the Islamic Republic as an Islamic republic.
Speaker 3 (29:22):
And looks like we just completely lost Matthew, which is
a real shame because he has fantastic and fascinating things
to say. He does have numbers, So the war likely
to shift to Iran's drone capabilities next, because you look,
I many people have talked about boots on the ground,
as boots on the ground actually as relevant these days.
Look at what's happening in Ukraine. He says, the stockpile
(29:43):
of drones there could be as high as eighty thousand,
and those drones are good. He's back with us now, Matthew,
I'll let you finish.
Speaker 2 (29:52):
Yeah.
Speaker 9 (29:52):
So I think it was on Hormenia's grandson. So he's
a martyr candidate that could sort of bridge things. And
then you have the question of some sort of democratic revolution, right,
And the name that we all know in the West
is Reza Palavi, the son of the late Shaw, and
(30:13):
he's got a lot of support, but he also has
a lot of detractors inside Iran and a lot of
people who are simply saying you haven't lived here, you
don't know society. And there are different groups. There's a
student group, there's labor groups in Iran, but there's no
one really emerging as a leader on the ground in Iran.
And that's the real question. So my money right now
(30:35):
is on the IRGC consolidating control for the moment. And
the problem with the democratic groups is is right now,
they're just trying to save their kids from the bombs,
right pick them up from school, get them to somewhere safe,
and nobody's really out in the streets.
Speaker 3 (30:50):
Yet, Matthew will leave it. They appreciate your time this morning.
Sorry about that dodgy line. That's said doctor Matthew Schmidt,
who's National Security University of new in the United States.
What he also points out is the stockpile of drones there,
as I said, could be eighty thousand, and then you
look at the fact that they can quickly and at
very low costs produce about four hundred more a day.
(31:13):
And then Israel's you know the iron dome that they've got, well,
the iron Dome interceptions run it about a million dollars.
Your drones run it at about twenty five thousand. Dollars.
So how how many intercepts do you do for such
cheap toys that have been thrown at your country that
can be deadly? Nine nine two. The number to text
it is eight to six micers with your.
Speaker 1 (31:34):
Next the first word on the News of the day
early edition with Ryan Bridge and one roote love where
you live?
Speaker 2 (31:43):
News talks that'd be.
Speaker 3 (31:44):
It's six to six news talks, they'd be. So Iran
was producing one point six million barrels of oil a day.
That's ninety percent of it going to China, so China
takes the lion's share of it. Does that put China
in a tight spot if they don't have access to
it because it's all sitting on the water, or can't
go anywhere. The answer is no, because China is smart
and they've been stockpiling and they have one point five
(32:05):
billion barrels of strategic petroleum reserves, enough to cover around
two hundred days of oil imports. So there you go,
don't worry about China. Five to six plan, Good morning,
Mike morning.
Speaker 17 (32:17):
I was in a wheel shop yesterday and I saw
a machine that was made in Ukraine and it's a
cold welding machine. This is apparently cutting edge technology is
just listening to your drone thing that the Ukrainians and
their ingenuity must not be underestimating.
Speaker 3 (32:34):
Fascinating.
Speaker 17 (32:35):
And this cold welding thing revolutionizes welding because of course,
traditionally welding tends to be a bit hot. So if
you can do it cold, and this was just a
little machine, like a little box, you wouldn't look at it.
Twice made in Ukraine, invented in Ukraine, and you cold
weld now, so it revolutionizes the ability to mess with
cars and metal and alloy en like that.
Speaker 3 (32:54):
Yeah, they're drone factories over there. Have you seen those
on YouTube? Literally Mum and dad putting them together by hand.
They've got machines doing it now. And their ambassador was
over here not long. It's been over a couple of
times now, basically trying to sell us their drones, which
we should probably.
Speaker 17 (33:10):
We've got the Towering Company which is doing the opposite,
of course and selling it to the British and they're
apparently very successful.
Speaker 3 (33:17):
Tomorrow.
Speaker 17 (33:18):
Oh really yeah, got nice nice nice teeth nic Australia.
Speaker 3 (33:23):
You've opened the door.
Speaker 17 (33:25):
Fantastic, You know, what do you say?
Speaker 3 (33:28):
At least ye? Kay? We've just been talking about our
photo shoot tomorrow. Yes, So my argument is, why would
you have a photo shoot when we're going to look
worse than we would have looked in the previous photo shoots,
which were taken when we were all younger.
Speaker 17 (33:43):
That's really more your issue than mine, for fairly obvious reasons.
But I mean, just generally, why would you, why would
you why would you not just AI at computer drive it.
Speaker 3 (33:56):
Let's say it just save, touch you up? You know? Yeah,
all right, some of some of that stuff that's but
you say, probably fifty grand I reckon, what are they thinking?
Speaker 6 (34:06):
Let's put it at the boss?
Speaker 3 (34:07):
All right? Okay, Mike is with your next News Talks.
It'd be.
Speaker 2 (34:16):
For more from Early edition with Ryan Bridge.
Speaker 1 (34:18):
Listen live to News Talks it'd be from five am weekdays,
or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio
Popular Podcasts
Stuff You Should Know
If you've ever wanted to know about champagne, satanism, the Stonewall Uprising, chaos theory, LSD, El Nino, true crime and Rosa Parks, then look no further. Josh and Chuck have you covered.
Dateline NBC
Current and classic episodes, featuring compelling true-crime mysteries, powerful documentaries and in-depth investigations. Follow now to get the latest episodes of Dateline NBC completely free, or subscribe to Dateline Premium for ad-free listening and exclusive bonus content: DatelinePremium.com
Fudd Around And Find Out
UConn basketball star Azzi Fudd brings her championship swag to iHeart Women’s Sports with Fudd Around and Find Out, a weekly podcast that takes fans along for the ride as Azzi spends her final year of college trying to reclaim the National Championship and prepare to be a first round WNBA draft pick. Ever wonder what it’s like to be a world-class athlete in the public spotlight while still managing schoolwork, friendships and family time? It’s time to Fudd Around and Find Out!