April 12, 2026 • 34 mins
On the Early Edition with Ryan Bridge Full Show Podcast Monday 13th of April 2025, Former CIA Intelligence Officer Glenn Carle shares his thoughts on the US failing to make a peace deal with Iran.
Emergency Management Minister Mark Mitchell tells Ryan whether or not we dodged a bullet with Cyclone Vaianu.
Andrew Alderson has the latest on the weekend's sport.
Plus UK/Europe Correspondent Gavin Grey has the latest on suggestion blockade in the strait of Hormuz may be enforced by allies of the US and Hungary goes to the polls today with the EU secretly hoping the incumbent Prime Minister loses power.
Get the Early Edition Full Show Podcast every weekday on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts.
LISTEN ABOVE
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Listen
Watch
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
The issues, the interviews and the insight. Ryan Bridge on
early edition with Spunk for Business Technology that keeps business
moving News talks.
Speaker 2 (00:10):
They'd be six after five. Welcome to Monday.
Speaker 3 (00:12):
What does Trump's all in, all out blockade mean for
the straight We'll talk to a former CIA intelligence officer
on the talks over the weekend that ended with no deal,
Mark Mitchell on the cyclone for US Andrew here to
talk Warriors and hurricanes.
Speaker 2 (00:26):
This morning.
Speaker 1 (00:28):
The agenda.
Speaker 3 (00:29):
It's Monday, depending the April jd Evan says no deal
after those talks.
Speaker 4 (00:33):
The bad news is that we have not reached the agreement.
And I think it's bad news for a RAN much
more than it's bad news for the United States of America.
So we go back to the United States having not
come to an agreement. We've made very clear what our
redlines are, what things we're willing to accommodate them on,
and what things we're not willing to accommodate the mine.
Speaker 3 (00:50):
So what Trump has gone and done after those talks
is announce a all all none policy, a blockade of
the straight of horror moves.
Speaker 5 (00:58):
We're very disappointed with NATO, were very very disappointed that
they didn't come. Now they want to come, and they
want to help with the straight and it won't take
long to clean it out. So we're going to clean
out the straight and they'll be able to use the
strad in not too long.
Speaker 2 (01:12):
Addition, let's go to Hungary.
Speaker 3 (01:14):
So Victor Auburn probably going to get turfed out in
the next few hours. After sixteen years at the top,
turnouts already hit record levels, so they're interested in it.
They're going out and voting seventy four percent and voting
is still not done yet. This mobilization, this turnout with
data definitely does not suggest that one party seems to
have like a massively a massive advantage above the other.
(01:37):
I'll tell you about Mayer, who's the guy that's probably
going to be the next leader in a second. Over
the weekend, the four artemists two astronauts returned from their
moon sort of fly by with a dramatic splashdown in the.
Speaker 6 (01:49):
Pacific splashdown confirmed Gopy splash down waiting on VLDR. Splashdown
confirmed at seven oh seven pm Central time five or
seven pm Pacific time. From the pages of Jules Verne
to a modern day mission to the Moon, a new
chapter of the Exploration of our Celestial neighbor is complete.
Speaker 3 (02:08):
I spoke to a former astronaut last week who had
been up at the International Space Station for a year
said when he got home his heart was thirty percent
smaller than winning left because you don't get much of
a workout up there.
Speaker 1 (02:20):
News and views you trust to start your day. It's
early edition with Ryan Bridge and Spark for business technology
that keeps business moving, news talks.
Speaker 3 (02:30):
There'd be eight after five, nine nine the number to text.
Just you watch over the next six months, mark my words.
New Zealand First is going to start eating Labour's lunch.
We've kind of spoken about this before, but this is
an MMP election, as they always are since the nineties.
Voters back winners, and it's pretty clear from polling that
the current lot is going to get back in.
Speaker 2 (02:50):
We know that.
Speaker 3 (02:51):
The question then becomes not what party you support or
want to protest vote for, which is what I think
people doing with labor at the moment, but rather which
party you want to have the most power of those
most likely to actually govern. That's the important part about EMMP.
New Zealand First goes for the workers. It's been going
(03:12):
against against neoliberalism. You would have heard Winston State of
the Nation speech, very anti neoliberalism, which your labor voters
will like, economic nationalism which your labour voters will like,
anti asset sales which your labor voters will like, renationalizing
the power companies, which your labor voters will like. Arguably
more labor than labor today New Zealand. First, now, this
(03:34):
is not unprecedented. The Democrats went for Trump. Former Democratic
voters went for Trump, the automakers' unions. This is back
in twenty twenty four. And this is why I keep
banging on about the possibility of Winston Peter's becoming prime
minister for a.
Speaker 2 (03:48):
Year or perhaps half a term.
Speaker 3 (03:49):
I don't think that's outside the realms of possibility. Luxon
has shown himself more than agile and power sharing, not
just the deputy prime minister role, but the traditional prime
ministerial duties as well, with Nicola Willison fuel arguably the
biggest COVID sort of earthquake like moment of his first
term thus far. This relies on Winston having leverage, which,
(04:13):
of course Winston, being the seasoned MMP player that he is,
has managed to create by not ruling out labor entirely,
only Hipkins.
Speaker 2 (04:20):
So the door is ajar.
Speaker 3 (04:21):
And it's opened just enough to scare the NATS into
submission on any number of issues, the only caveat being
acts stomach for Winston's demands. Clean you to watch in
that space ten after five BRIDGEB. We'll get to Mark
Mitchell on the cyclone next, the cyclone that didn't happen
for most people in the way that perhaps they thought
(04:43):
it would. We'll get to that next. Also, I will
explain to you what Trump means by all all, all
none on the strait of Horn Moves, News Talks VB the.
Speaker 1 (04:53):
News you need this morning and the in depth analysis
early edition with Ryan Bridge and Spark for Business Technology
that keeps Business Moving News TALKSB.
Speaker 2 (05:03):
Five thirteen on News TALKSB.
Speaker 3 (05:05):
So Trump has tweeted on this truth social thing overnight
that he will blockade the straight up holl moves and
he will demine it. So two different things. What's been
happening here is Iran has been tolling, and you when
you look at the live traffic data, you can see
that the ships are going along the coast of Iran.
And they're doing that because the ratings have said, well,
we've mined the place, so you better follow the route
(05:27):
that we tell you to follow, and we will toll
you when you come up close to the border. So
we've had a tiny number of vessels going through on
a daily basis, and now there is a toll going on,
so a toll for the Ayatolla. Trump's now going to say,
I will blockade this. So if you don't let all
(05:47):
ships through, then you can let none of the ships through,
and we will demine the whole place with the help
of some NATO allies.
Speaker 7 (05:55):
It need be a mine out there somewhere that nobody
knows about.
Speaker 1 (05:59):
But then, and this is world extortion, how will the
United States ensure that the mines are removed in the
Strait of Hormos?
Speaker 5 (06:07):
So we have minesweepers there now, we have highly sophisticated
underwater mine sweepers, which are the latest and the greatest.
But we're also bringing in more traditional mine sweepers. And
so I understand is the UK and a couple of
other countries are sending mine.
Speaker 3 (06:22):
Sweepers, right, So we're going to go to the US
and get the latest on that. AT's about ten to
two this morning, Ryan Bridge, let's talk about the cyclone
seems to have been and gone. Eight hundred properties were
evacuated across the North Island. Looks like none at this stage.
We're actually flooded. Mark Matchall, Emergency Management Minister with us
this morning. Minister, Good morning, Good morning, Ryan. So what
(06:43):
do we dodge a bullet?
Speaker 2 (06:45):
Yeah? I did, we did.
Speaker 8 (06:47):
Really it was I mean, we're out of dealt with
head and pects. It's been a mostor evak force. So
we've had ten local states emugency. We've had we've actually
HD several thousand houses that were evacuated and in about
fourteen thousand without power. So it has been a significant
event for us. But the good news was that everyone
(07:07):
was well prepared, well positioned, and so we've been able
to sort of keep those impacts to a minimum.
Speaker 3 (07:12):
Of those houses that were evacuated, did any of them
actually flood that they need to be?
Speaker 2 (07:16):
I guess it's the question.
Speaker 8 (07:18):
Yes, some of them. Some of them have flooded, but
a lot of them were precautionary evacuations and that was
the right thing to do because you know, this weather
event could have been much worse for us. We were
lucky that it actually started to move out to the
east and now it's sort of it's left the North
Island altogether. It's sort of moving southeast and thankfully should
(07:40):
pass the west of the Cheddam Islands.
Speaker 3 (07:42):
How many houses flooded, I haven't.
Speaker 8 (07:45):
An exact number in terms of how many have flooded.
Speaker 2 (07:48):
I know that I'm heading.
Speaker 8 (07:48):
Over to a Hope, Fokotani and Potoquy today. There was
anoundation at a Hope so we'll go and check the
damage on that. I'll get a proper update this morning
at about thirty. With all those numbers all.
Speaker 3 (08:01):
Right, Minister, I went round just in my area in
Auckland on Sunday morning and most of the businesses they
were closed. It was an orange warning, you know. I
guess the risk is that next time there's a warning,
the businesses will open because nothing happened this time.
Speaker 2 (08:16):
So what do we do about that should they have opened.
Speaker 8 (08:19):
Well, they can use their own danger sense in terms
of what they do. But one thing I would say
is that certainly there is no room for complacency at
all we deal with these weather events. We've been through
a tragedy as a country with you know, with an
event earlier in the year at the Mount and also
Welcome Pay and we lost the farm up around a
Pookey as well. They're dangerous without a doubt, so you know,
(08:43):
there's no room for complacency. When I became minister there
sort of there was a report that came to me
from Sigerian Mataprii. One of the things that one of
the issues that we do face is there's an optimism
bias sort of sits inside the system and as key
we have got a sort of a Shelby right attitude.
But these weather events are serious. They ipect people and they.
Speaker 9 (09:03):
And we can lose people.
Speaker 8 (09:05):
So, like I said, we're always going to make sure
that we take every step in every measure to keep
people in properly safe.
Speaker 3 (09:11):
All right, Marke, appreciate your times. Wanting Mark Mitchell Emergency
Management Minister time at seventeen after five. I'll give you
my thoughts on that at twenty five after next Andrew in.
Speaker 1 (09:19):
The Sports the first Word on the News of the
Day Early edition with Ryan Bridge and Spark for Business
Technology that keeps Business Moving Newstalks EDB.
Speaker 3 (09:31):
Five nineteen on Newstalks EDB So Victor Mayer is the
guy that's probably going to lead Hungary, and goodbye to
Auburn who's been there for sixteen years. But interestingly, Victor Mayer,
who's much younger, is forty five. He had a poster
of Victor auburn or hanging over his bed as a
child because he idolized him. This is back when he
was a part of the pro democracy movement. You could
(09:51):
argue he's probably gone the other way now, but may so.
He's the one that will take over if the Poles
eventuate and the result reflects the Poles going into it.
He has been criss crossing the country at a rapid
pace in the lead up to this election. He's done
six speeches a day and people around him describe him
as somebody with a short temper and a style that
(10:13):
can be abrasive at times, but he gets the job done.
So there you go. Will you do it today? We'll
find out in a couple of hours. Twenty after five,
Ryan got a sport with Andrew Morning.
Speaker 10 (10:22):
Andrew Morning, Ryan.
Speaker 3 (10:24):
There'll be a lot of happy Warriors fans after the
hoodoo sort of been broken.
Speaker 10 (10:28):
That's a pretty good way to bake the hodo, was it?
Thirty eight fourteen or so against the Storm and yeah,
they've been that bogey team for so long. But gee,
the Warriors, they look pretty convincing there. I mean, just
so combative and yeah putting it just yeah, physicality that
they brought to it. And in the what I think
what three answer trisals in the first or twenty minutes
(10:48):
of the second half something like that, it was pretty
impressive to watch from the Warrior's perspective, keeping the faith,
et cetera. And what they move into third. Now West's
moving back into second overnight with their victory, so that
means and the Panthers at the top of the table
on points differentials, so it's still pretty tight there at
the top. But yeah, Warriors great. This this time last week,
(11:12):
I think were reflecting on their demise.
Speaker 3 (11:14):
We were saying that this would be the beginning of, yeah,
the slow end. Hey the supercars so well, the only
thing I really caught up with the Supercars that the
weekend was the fact they canceled Sunday or postponed Sunday
until christ Church.
Speaker 10 (11:26):
They've raced on Saturday and Ryan Wood has got the
local victory there and I think a first for Toyosa
are coming into the competition, and yeah, it's a nightmare
for organized, isn't it. When you've got a cyclone on
the way, etc. You've got to be cautious. You don't
want to be too cautious. But then you've got to
take fans into accounts and all the sponsors and all
(11:49):
the money that's involved with setting up a race. And yeah,
they've had to they've had to cancel a Sunday race,
but yeah it will be moved, etcetera. And so hopefully
that they'll.
Speaker 1 (12:00):
Get something back for that.
Speaker 10 (12:01):
But it's some difficult situation logistically to be able to
work out a.
Speaker 3 (12:06):
Bit of a battle for Carlos Orberg. I note that
Trump was watching the fight over the weekend in Miami.
But bit of a battle for him with his leg
as well. I saw them just a few clips of that.
Speaker 10 (12:16):
It did look like that, and yes, well I guess
he's done. Well, it's not my cup of tea. I
must admit bashing each other in the head, etc. And
with our issues of concussum these days, Ryan, but nonetheless
an outstanding achievement in his field.
Speaker 2 (12:31):
And yeah, you have to.
Speaker 10 (12:32):
Say a pretty courageous effort if he was indeed on
one knee therefore that you know after did take the knock. Yes,
so Trump was watching, was.
Speaker 2 (12:44):
He he was? How you final round of the Masters.
Speaker 10 (12:48):
That's the exciting event for me this morning. I think
it's a potential thriller with Rory McElroy and Cam Young
currently you know they'll be in the final group at
least Young leading the way on eleven under. But you've
got to Victor Hoven's an outstanding start this morning. He
is seven under for the day, six hundred overall. I
think he's moved into a shear of night so working
as well the leaderboard.
Speaker 8 (13:08):
Not as much pressure on of course if you're.
Speaker 10 (13:10):
Playing, but later on the little bit earlier on the
day through that as opposed to coming down the eighteenth
at AUGUSTA.
Speaker 3 (13:15):
Now, it's good to see you, Andrew Ortison with Sport.
It is twenty three minutes after five on.
Speaker 2 (13:19):
Your Monday morning, Bryan Bridge.
Speaker 3 (13:21):
So the UK has just come out, well, the BBC's
done a report saying they understand the UK is not
going to be involved in this blockade of the Strait
of horr moves. They keep saying stuff like we continue
to support the freedom of navigation and the opening of
the Strait, but then they don't actually do anything about it.
They do say they're working with the French. They say
they're working with other partners to protect freedom of navigation,
(13:42):
but what does that actually mean? And thesh you're getting
in there and d mining and you can't get in
there in d mine. Why the Ayatola is driving their
little speedboats around, the Revolutionary Guard driving their little speedboats
around and threatening all hell if you dare enter twenty
four after five the early.
Speaker 1 (14:00):
Edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio how It By News
Talks V.
Speaker 3 (14:07):
Five twenty six News Talks. They'd be the storm for
the most part, for the North Island was a fizzer.
The TV news. The only thing they were battling was
the battle, the struggle to find pictures of anything actually
happening other than a few trees down and reporters breathlessly
doing pieces to camera in the wind. In aucklam More
Isle of most shops were closed in my particular area,
(14:28):
and they didn't need to be. There is a risk
here of the boy who cried wolf, But I also
don't think that we need to have an existential national
conversation about whether this was overhyped or not. The forecasters
do their thing, They tell you what is coming or
their best guess of what's coming. Then it's up to
us to make our own decisions based on the information,
based on our own experience and our personal judgment.
Speaker 2 (14:50):
That's life.
Speaker 3 (14:51):
The businesses who decided to close yesterday before anything had
actually happened lost to day's trade. The ones who didn't didn't.
Maybe next time they'll make a different call. After all,
Auckland was only under an orange watch. The media coverage
was over the top.
Speaker 2 (15:07):
It always is.
Speaker 3 (15:08):
Remember they make money off events like this. Eyeballs on screens.
I noticed before every video of on the stuff site
yesterday of the ocean lapping at a sand dune, there
was an ad for Tower Insurance paying for it. This
is what they do, and they will do what they do.
But you can't tell Met Service to not report the weather,
(15:30):
can you? Otherwise, what's the point in met service? They're
damned if they do, and damned if they don't. Those forecasters.
We're all responsible ultimately for our own lives, and ultimately
we can decide if we're safe enough to stay home
or to go get a flat white from the local
Robert Harris and the Robert Harris can decide whether they open.
And if you want to go out kitesurfing or surfing
(15:50):
in the storm, all.
Speaker 2 (15:52):
Power to you.
Speaker 3 (15:52):
You might die or you might have an awesome Sunday.
Either way, it'll be your informed choice.
Speaker 2 (16:00):
Pray in Bridge.
Speaker 3 (16:01):
Twenty eight minutes after five Ryan from Tiawanga. We were
evacuated three times. The storm was absolutely nothing, idiots, Ryan
Mark Mitchell is an outstanding minister, smashing that the Civil Defense portfolio,
says Grant.
Speaker 2 (16:17):
Ryan.
Speaker 3 (16:18):
I think the language used by most media outlets was ridiculous,
i e. Deadly wind, deadly rain, and dead the waves.
Definitely think that this will eventually lead to people not
listening when something actually happens. I mean that's the risk,
isn't it. But then, as I said, they tell you
nothing's happening and something happens, and you'll be upset too,
So they kind of have to do what they do,
(16:39):
and you have to use your brain when you're given
the information. Nine two nine two is the number to
text now. On Friday they had the Council and the
government announced an Auckland deal and Wayne Brown was asked
on urn Z on Friday afternoon about which where will
the bridge go across the White to Matar? And he
said basically, Meola Reef.
Speaker 11 (17:01):
What ones these things as economics? You know where New
Zealand can't afford these sort of ridiculous world class things.
We've got to have economically viable, affordable, sensible infrastructure. And
I've been building that myself all my life.
Speaker 3 (17:19):
So what the deal says is that the government must
consult the Council on projects, including where the water Matar
crossing goes. So Wayne has anything to do with that,
It'll be Meola Reef, thank you very much. Rather than
getting rid of the yachts at West Tavern. Coming up
to half past five here on News Talks, there'd be
We're live to the States for the latest on the blockade.
(17:41):
The Trump's announced overnight all ahead for your Monday.
Speaker 12 (17:44):
Morning is if we meet it here, then we made it.
Speaker 1 (17:50):
Get ahead of the headlines on early edition with Ryan
Bridge and Spark for Business Technology that keeps Business Moving
News Talks that'd be.
Speaker 3 (18:03):
Twenty four away from six News Talks the f B
Great Tavy Company on this Monday morning. This is from
Zane Bryan Brent Crude Trading starts ten am today expect
one hundred and thirty plus a barrel because of Trump's
nutcase decision to totally totally blockade the straight of horn Moons,
which is true, I mean any and there was only
a few of them, but any ships that were getting through,
any oil tankers that we're getting through, won't get through
(18:24):
if what he says comes to fruition, which is an
all or nothing policy. I don't know if you'll quite
go that high, but yet it'll probably have a bump.
They finished the week Brent crewed at ninety four point
twenty six a barrel. That compared us with the peak
of one hundred and nineteen forty five during the war.
And remember before the war is about seventy two dollars
a barrel. JP Morgan reckons it'll stay above one hundred
(18:45):
for this quarter.
Speaker 2 (18:46):
And then it should. He is off from the second
half of the year. You're on news talks. Heb Ryan
brick Tonedin with Color Morning.
Speaker 13 (18:52):
Callum morning.
Speaker 3 (18:54):
Right, you've got a charity walk, Yeah, we do.
Speaker 13 (18:57):
A young student here is setting off on an epick
walk in Europe for charity.
Speaker 2 (19:03):
This is twenty two year old Olivia Charles.
Speaker 13 (19:05):
She's about to walk a thousand k's for the families
of premature babies here.
Speaker 2 (19:09):
In New Zealand.
Speaker 13 (19:10):
So she's going to walk what's called the Camino de
Santiago trail across France, Spain and Portugal. You can contribute
on give a little for the Little Miracles Trust, which
supports thousands of families here with babies and neonatal intensive
care units each year. Olivia says this charity is close
to her heart. She's had friends who has spent time
in the unit and she expects this walk will take
(19:30):
her about two months.
Speaker 2 (19:32):
How's your weather.
Speaker 13 (19:34):
We've got showers, possibly heavy and thundery this afternoon, light
winds nineteen the height.
Speaker 2 (19:38):
Nice callum. Thank you.
Speaker 3 (19:39):
Claires in Christ this morning, Claire, Good morning. Lower Salwyn Huts.
The leastholder's situation there, what's going on? What's the latest?
Speaker 14 (19:47):
Yeah, this is a community of people that have been
facing potential immediate eviction from their homes at Lower Salwyn Huts.
The Department of Conservation has now announced that they are
giving those lease holders a final ten year can see
before they will have to leave for good. It's a
flood prone site. They consider it no longer viable long
term due to the rising levels at Lake Allasmere. Now
(20:09):
forty four hot owners have been approved for this extra decade.
Three have been declined. That's due to debt that they owe.
Counselor Elizabeth Munt says this is a much more humane
approach than the forced exits which have happened nearby the
Green Park huts just in July, which left many people homeless.
She says she's really pleased there is some certainty for
these people who have likely found themselves in a very
(20:31):
vulnerable position.
Speaker 2 (20:32):
All right, how's our weather party.
Speaker 14 (20:35):
Clardian Christchurch Westeries turning northerly and high of twenty one degrees.
Speaker 3 (20:39):
Nice on, Thank you Max and Wellington Morning Max, good morning.
You've got the wastewater and the ocean water again.
Speaker 12 (20:45):
Yeah, that's right. There was quite a rainy Sunday which
unfortunately meant to untreated, unscreened wastewater pouring into our coast
from about five thirty in the evening from yesterday. It
is still ongoing as well, which means trouble right around
the bay. Stay out of the water entirely for the
next three days at least, is the official advice. Keep
an eye on those updates. No time prem yet either
(21:08):
for fixing the plants. With wetter days to come heading
into winter. How's your weather mostly cloudy with occasional rain,
stronger norwesteries nineteen the hay.
Speaker 2 (21:17):
Thank you very much. Neither an Auckland morning.
Speaker 3 (21:19):
Never good morning the entire I mean we've said this
so many times it's not surprised, but the entire Auckland
rail network will be closed today, tomorrow and Wednesday.
Speaker 15 (21:26):
Correct and why the testing for the city rail Link.
So this is a critical step for ensuring the City
rail Link will be reliable and safe. They have kind
of prepared for this, so we have in the past
and the last month been saying it's happening. It's happening.
But just in case you forgot about that and you
think you're going to jump on a train, No, no
you're not. But Auckland Transport they're going to have almost
(21:48):
one hundred rail replacement buses, so they'll be operating today, Tomorrow, Wednesday,
keep people moving and there's going to be special express
options for those you know on the Southern and Western
line as well, So that's good news and customers are
encouraged to plan ahead, you know, use the eighty app
use that app first. Yeah, so that's about it.
Speaker 2 (22:08):
Really fantastic Neva. How's our weather.
Speaker 15 (22:11):
Showers heavy for a time, possible possible thunderstorms in the
afternoon and evening. Still Wall twenty.
Speaker 2 (22:18):
Two is a high brilliant Neva. Lovely to see you.
Speaker 3 (22:20):
It is twenty to six News talks'b So the Iranian Navy,
this is the one that Trump blew to the bottom
of the ocean. There's about one hundred and fifty five
ships and they have they have sunk all of them.
They're all sitting at the lying at the bottom of
the ocean right now. But the battleships that they use
were basically just for prestige. They were an occasional long
range deployments or long range trips. They won't be doing
(22:43):
any long range deployments anytime soon. But the bit that
they and the part that they really needed to keep
their hands on, which they have largely this is the
revolution regard, is the little speedboats that they have. Sixty
percent of the Revolutionary regards. This is from the Wall
Street Journal via the Washington Institute. Sixty percent of those speedboats,
(23:05):
those attack craft remain intact, and that's what they're using
to choke the strait. At the moment, only four ships
crossed through the strait in the days after the ceasefire.
That was the lowest this month, and iran Is told
mediator Is basically we will keep it to a dozen
max a day and we will tell them that's why
nothing's been happening now. They've also issued to anyone who
(23:28):
was in the area and a ship, they've issued a
message over the radio friendly Hello from the Iranians. Basically,
talk to us and we'll steer you around the mines
that we've.
Speaker 2 (23:39):
Stuck in there.
Speaker 3 (23:41):
Eighteen to six. If you're in the market for a
premium seven seater family suv, then the new Volvo XC
ninety B five Ultra Bright Mild Hybrid is well worth
a look. Starting at one hundred and nineteen nine nine
nine plus on road costs, it is a great deal
and it's a strong value proposition for what you get,
(24:03):
and what you get is considerable air suspension for a
noticeably smoother ride and you will feel that when you're
in it. Built in Google integration, this is seamless navigation,
voice control, that sort of stuff. A Harman Carden Premium
sound system so you can play your bangers, loud, panoramic sunroof,
head up display, seven seats designed for real family life,
(24:26):
that's road trips, that school runs, everything in between. It
is beautiful Scandinavian design, clean and considered. Volvo safety technology
remains one of the most comprehensive in the category.
Speaker 2 (24:36):
It's what they're known for.
Speaker 3 (24:37):
And on top of all of that, every XC ninety
Ultra comes with a five year warranty and a three
year service plan, so you're covered well beyond the purchase.
If you want a premium suv that does everything well
and looks the part doing it, the Volvo XC ninety
B five Ultra is available now at Volvo retailers nationwide.
Speaker 2 (24:58):
Bryan Bridge time.
Speaker 3 (25:00):
Is called to six. Let's go to Gevin Gray out
of the UK. Gavin Trump says the blockade is going
to include some NATO allies, but we're hearing that the
UK ain't one of them.
Speaker 2 (25:09):
What do you know, well.
Speaker 16 (25:12):
The government so far here, Ryan hasn't really said a
great deal on the record, but both broadcast as BBC
and Sky are saying it's understood the UK won't take
part in monitoring or continuing this blockade. That Donald Trump
is said to be introducing to the Strait of Horne Moose.
That says Donald Trump says that NATO and the UK
(25:33):
will provide mind sweepers. Now mind sweepers had been offered
by the UK before in order to try and effectively
be it defensively to keep the straight open. But we
haven't heard any confirmation yet from the government. But if
there were any any doubt in anyone's mind about how
serious this is, it's being reported that Europe could see
jet fuel shortages if the Strait of horn Moose does
(25:56):
not open in the next three weeks. The trade body
for European airports is warning that the Gulf represents a
roughly half of all Europe's imports for aviation fuel and
without it they are going to run dry soon. That
could have a big impact on the smaller airports first
and then the larger airports, and of course without the flights,
that's not just going to affect holidays but business trips
(26:17):
as well. This is extremely, extremely serious, and this warning
is coming within the month.
Speaker 3 (26:22):
They say, givin how long do we get a result
out of Hungary?
Speaker 16 (26:26):
Well, I think it could be sometime yet, because they've
had a record turnout. The polls closed just three hours ago. Now,
the current Prime Minister, Victor Auban, he's hoping for a
fifth consecutive election victory today. He spent sixteen years in power,
but all the opinion polls are suggesting that the opposition
party Peta Maga could actually win. Why does this matter, Well,
(26:50):
Victor Auban is perhaps European Union some least best ally,
shall I say? He's very pro President Putin and Rush.
He wants to stop giving aid to Ukraine and has
blocked so many times the European Union giving aid to
Ukraine in terms of money and also weapons and so forth.
(27:12):
And he's also very close friend of Donald Trump. Indeed,
on the campaigning a few days before the election, JD.
Vans flew in the Deputy president in order to actually say, look,
you know, things could be good between America and Hungary
if you vote for Victor aubam. Despite all of that,
many people have been out on the streets saying we
choose Europe, not Russia, not America. And that looks good
(27:37):
for that opposition candidate who appears to be doing so well.
Peta Maga.
Speaker 3 (27:41):
Appreciate your analysis. Has always Gevin Gray are UK europe correspondent.
It is twelve away from.
Speaker 1 (27:46):
Six Ryan Bridge.
Speaker 3 (27:47):
So Trump says, the US Navy's going to blockade ships
trying to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz.
Speaker 5 (27:52):
We're putting on a complete blockhead. We're not going to
let around make money on selling oil to people that
they're I cannot people that they don't like, or whatever
it is. It's going to be all or none.
Speaker 2 (28:04):
Right, Let's go to glen Cow.
Speaker 3 (28:05):
This, of course comes after no deal in Islamabad over
the peace talks. Let's go to glen Cow, forma CIA
intelligence office that glean good morning, good morning, good to
be with you, Thanks for being with me. Let's start
with the blockade situation. To start with, what do you think?
What do you make of that?
Speaker 9 (28:25):
Well, Trump is flailing to be blunt about it. The
US Navy, I'm confident, can effectively stop the Iranians from
getting any ships out of the Straits of Hormuz. That's
I think quite possible, which will be a problem in
particular for China and India. But that doesn't open the straits.
(28:48):
And that's the fundamental problem, is that the straits are closed,
and so the world is rather quickly starting to strangle
on a lack of oil.
Speaker 3 (28:58):
Yeah, which was always going to be the problem from
the get go, wasn't it. It's not when would Trump
declared that the wall's over? Who was going to do
that at some point? But it's how long after that
does it take for the strike to bloody well open?
And the answer is, actually, it's going to be a while.
Speaker 9 (29:14):
Well, even if if Iran had the best will in
the world about opening the strait, it will take some time.
I don't know how long. But as we hear that,
even the US Navy and the Iranians themselves are saying
they don't know where the mines have gone because they've
float around and it's a laborious, dangerous process to d
(29:34):
mine and areas. So even in the best of circumstances,
there will be some period I don't know, a weeks,
it would seem. But we aren't that quote good unquote position,
which its helf is not very good at all, because
the straits have to be clear, and Iran has to
agree to an effective cease fire, and there's no agreement
(29:57):
between the United States and Iran.
Speaker 3 (30:00):
The talks with Jdi Vance in Pakistan obviously went no,
Well didn't go no where. They did talk for twenty
one hours, but there was no agreement reached at the
end of it. We're told there'll likely be other rounds.
But the big thing is the nuclear weapons and the
nuclear stockpile of enriched uranium. So how do they not
know where it is? Can they not go and get it?
Or you know, how do we resolve this issue of
(30:23):
the enriched uranium, because that's the justification of going in
the first place.
Speaker 9 (30:28):
Well, I believe we don't know. I think the assessment
has been pretty accurate that no one knows exactly except
perhaps even maybe not the Uranians themselves. But except for
the Uranians, where all of the processed uranium is. I
think we know where most of it is. But even
though we know where it is, it's now buried under
(30:48):
anything from one hundred to four hundred meters of rubble
and earth. And so to get it in a hostile
environment would imply frankly invaded and occupying that area for
a sustained period of time to dig trenches their holes
rather mines down into the mind to get the uranium,
(31:10):
or even with Iranian assistance or a willingness, the same
process has to happen, and then you never know, and
it seems we don't know where some of the Iranian
uranium might be, so under the best of circumstances, that's
a substantial physical challenge. And then there are the political
(31:33):
military aspects. So there's no quick solution to that so
long as the Iranians don't say yes, yes, we agree
in all points with the United States and they don't.
Speaker 3 (31:44):
Glenn, appreciate your analysis, Glenn cow Pharmacy I Intelligence officer.
It's eight to six news talks a big.
Speaker 1 (31:51):
On your radio and online on iHeart Radio Belly edition
with Ryan Bridge and Spunk for Business Technology that keeps
business news talks.
Speaker 2 (32:01):
They'd be six to six on news talks.
Speaker 3 (32:02):
There'd be Albanese is off in a second consecutive week
of travel offshore to try and get some oil Malaysia
and Brunei and his sites this week. He was in
Singapore last week and is doing an oil for gas
kind of situation conversation. So Malaysia supplies thirteen percent of
diesel in Australia and Brunei about nine percent of diesel,
(32:24):
and Albanize has a bunch of gas and it's interesting
unlike labor here. Albanizi has declared his confidence that gas
fields will be brought online faster because the government has
overhauled environmental laws.
Speaker 2 (32:38):
So there you go. Give them gas, they'll.
Speaker 3 (32:39):
Give you Diesel Brian Bred five to six mics in
the studio morning, Mike, get a mate, good weekend.
Speaker 2 (32:45):
You'll be happy with you. Warrior's result.
Speaker 7 (32:48):
That's probably as good a result in thirty something years
if you watched it, well, seventeen a lot of people,
a lot of people got sort of angsty about it
and thinking, oh, are pretty good and we've lost a
couple of games, and we didn't lose particularly well anyway.
But if you look at the completeness of what.
Speaker 2 (33:06):
We did, comprehensive, comprehensive.
Speaker 3 (33:08):
But didn't Melbourne have a bad game the week?
Speaker 2 (33:11):
Yeah, they got they got hiding, didn't they They got been by.
Speaker 7 (33:14):
The Panthers and badly. So yeah, I suppose if your
glass half amp year could have gone, well, they're not
the side they once were, but it win's a win.
And at the at the end of the day, you
got four winds of six so far, so we're second
on the table. Four winds of six and those four
winds each and every one of them is brilliant. Was
not just a win, it's a spanking. We spank them
good and so this is our year.
Speaker 11 (33:35):
Ryan.
Speaker 2 (33:35):
I haven't heard you.
Speaker 7 (33:36):
I haven't heard you say that this morning or indeed
all this season.
Speaker 3 (33:40):
So I was I was a pessimistic last week. I
have to say exactly the boys from Sport. I was saying, Oh,
this always happens, and then they fall a big mistake,
stumble and they crumble.
Speaker 7 (33:50):
Your big mistake. There was the words talking to the
boys from Sport, stay well clear of that department and
deal with the experts.
Speaker 3 (33:58):
Anyway, as always, as always, the only person I really
need to talk to, Mike, This.
Speaker 7 (34:01):
Is one, one hundred percent. Anyway, As it turns out,
we've got the assistant coach and the Warriors on this
morning just to do a little bit of celebrating and
we'll roll the Prime Minister ro In fordable champagne, pop
the champagne a prime minister as well.
Speaker 3 (34:12):
Have a great Monday, see you tomorrow.
Speaker 1 (34:18):
Shime your five nine brown eyes. For more from Early
Edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live to News Talks it
Be from five am weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.
The issues, the interviews and the insight. Ryan Bridge on
early edition with Spunk for Business Technology that keeps business
moving News talks.
Speaker 2 (00:10):
They'd be six after five. Welcome to Monday.
Speaker 3 (00:12):
What does Trump's all in, all out blockade mean for
the straight We'll talk to a former CIA intelligence officer
on the talks over the weekend that ended with no deal,
Mark Mitchell on the cyclone for US Andrew here to
talk Warriors and hurricanes.
Speaker 2 (00:26):
This morning.
Speaker 1 (00:28):
The agenda.
Speaker 3 (00:29):
It's Monday, depending the April jd Evan says no deal
after those talks.
Speaker 4 (00:33):
The bad news is that we have not reached the agreement.
And I think it's bad news for a RAN much
more than it's bad news for the United States of America.
So we go back to the United States having not
come to an agreement. We've made very clear what our
redlines are, what things we're willing to accommodate them on,
and what things we're not willing to accommodate the mine.
Speaker 3 (00:50):
So what Trump has gone and done after those talks
is announce a all all none policy, a blockade of
the straight of horror moves.
Speaker 5 (00:58):
We're very disappointed with NATO, were very very disappointed that
they didn't come. Now they want to come, and they
want to help with the straight and it won't take
long to clean it out. So we're going to clean
out the straight and they'll be able to use the
strad in not too long.
Speaker 2 (01:12):
Addition, let's go to Hungary.
Speaker 3 (01:14):
So Victor Auburn probably going to get turfed out in
the next few hours. After sixteen years at the top,
turnouts already hit record levels, so they're interested in it.
They're going out and voting seventy four percent and voting
is still not done yet. This mobilization, this turnout with
data definitely does not suggest that one party seems to
have like a massively a massive advantage above the other.
(01:37):
I'll tell you about Mayer, who's the guy that's probably
going to be the next leader in a second. Over
the weekend, the four artemists two astronauts returned from their
moon sort of fly by with a dramatic splashdown in the.
Speaker 6 (01:49):
Pacific splashdown confirmed Gopy splash down waiting on VLDR. Splashdown
confirmed at seven oh seven pm Central time five or
seven pm Pacific time. From the pages of Jules Verne
to a modern day mission to the Moon, a new
chapter of the Exploration of our Celestial neighbor is complete.
Speaker 3 (02:08):
I spoke to a former astronaut last week who had
been up at the International Space Station for a year
said when he got home his heart was thirty percent
smaller than winning left because you don't get much of
a workout up there.
Speaker 1 (02:20):
News and views you trust to start your day. It's
early edition with Ryan Bridge and Spark for business technology
that keeps business moving, news talks.
Speaker 3 (02:30):
There'd be eight after five, nine nine the number to text.
Just you watch over the next six months, mark my words.
New Zealand First is going to start eating Labour's lunch.
We've kind of spoken about this before, but this is
an MMP election, as they always are since the nineties.
Voters back winners, and it's pretty clear from polling that
the current lot is going to get back in.
Speaker 2 (02:50):
We know that.
Speaker 3 (02:51):
The question then becomes not what party you support or
want to protest vote for, which is what I think
people doing with labor at the moment, but rather which
party you want to have the most power of those
most likely to actually govern. That's the important part about EMMP.
New Zealand First goes for the workers. It's been going
(03:12):
against against neoliberalism. You would have heard Winston State of
the Nation speech, very anti neoliberalism, which your labor voters
will like, economic nationalism which your labour voters will like,
anti asset sales which your labor voters will like, renationalizing
the power companies, which your labor voters will like. Arguably
more labor than labor today New Zealand. First, now, this
(03:34):
is not unprecedented. The Democrats went for Trump. Former Democratic
voters went for Trump, the automakers' unions. This is back
in twenty twenty four. And this is why I keep
banging on about the possibility of Winston Peter's becoming prime
minister for a.
Speaker 2 (03:48):
Year or perhaps half a term.
Speaker 3 (03:49):
I don't think that's outside the realms of possibility. Luxon
has shown himself more than agile and power sharing, not
just the deputy prime minister role, but the traditional prime
ministerial duties as well, with Nicola Willison fuel arguably the
biggest COVID sort of earthquake like moment of his first
term thus far. This relies on Winston having leverage, which,
(04:13):
of course Winston, being the seasoned MMP player that he is,
has managed to create by not ruling out labor entirely,
only Hipkins.
Speaker 2 (04:20):
So the door is ajar.
Speaker 3 (04:21):
And it's opened just enough to scare the NATS into
submission on any number of issues, the only caveat being
acts stomach for Winston's demands. Clean you to watch in
that space ten after five BRIDGEB. We'll get to Mark
Mitchell on the cyclone next, the cyclone that didn't happen
for most people in the way that perhaps they thought
(04:43):
it would. We'll get to that next. Also, I will
explain to you what Trump means by all all, all
none on the strait of Horn Moves, News Talks VB the.
Speaker 1 (04:53):
News you need this morning and the in depth analysis
early edition with Ryan Bridge and Spark for Business Technology
that keeps Business Moving News TALKSB.
Speaker 2 (05:03):
Five thirteen on News TALKSB.
Speaker 3 (05:05):
So Trump has tweeted on this truth social thing overnight
that he will blockade the straight up holl moves and
he will demine it. So two different things. What's been
happening here is Iran has been tolling, and you when
you look at the live traffic data, you can see
that the ships are going along the coast of Iran.
And they're doing that because the ratings have said, well,
we've mined the place, so you better follow the route
(05:27):
that we tell you to follow, and we will toll
you when you come up close to the border. So
we've had a tiny number of vessels going through on
a daily basis, and now there is a toll going on,
so a toll for the Ayatolla. Trump's now going to say,
I will blockade this. So if you don't let all
(05:47):
ships through, then you can let none of the ships through,
and we will demine the whole place with the help
of some NATO allies.
Speaker 7 (05:55):
It need be a mine out there somewhere that nobody
knows about.
Speaker 1 (05:59):
But then, and this is world extortion, how will the
United States ensure that the mines are removed in the
Strait of Hormos?
Speaker 5 (06:07):
So we have minesweepers there now, we have highly sophisticated
underwater mine sweepers, which are the latest and the greatest.
But we're also bringing in more traditional mine sweepers. And
so I understand is the UK and a couple of
other countries are sending mine.
Speaker 3 (06:22):
Sweepers, right, So we're going to go to the US
and get the latest on that. AT's about ten to
two this morning, Ryan Bridge, let's talk about the cyclone
seems to have been and gone. Eight hundred properties were
evacuated across the North Island. Looks like none at this stage.
We're actually flooded. Mark Matchall, Emergency Management Minister with us
this morning. Minister, Good morning, Good morning, Ryan. So what
(06:43):
do we dodge a bullet?
Speaker 2 (06:45):
Yeah? I did, we did.
Speaker 8 (06:47):
Really it was I mean, we're out of dealt with
head and pects. It's been a mostor evak force. So
we've had ten local states emugency. We've had we've actually
HD several thousand houses that were evacuated and in about
fourteen thousand without power. So it has been a significant
event for us. But the good news was that everyone
(07:07):
was well prepared, well positioned, and so we've been able
to sort of keep those impacts to a minimum.
Speaker 3 (07:12):
Of those houses that were evacuated, did any of them
actually flood that they need to be?
Speaker 2 (07:16):
I guess it's the question.
Speaker 8 (07:18):
Yes, some of them. Some of them have flooded, but
a lot of them were precautionary evacuations and that was
the right thing to do because you know, this weather
event could have been much worse for us. We were
lucky that it actually started to move out to the
east and now it's sort of it's left the North
Island altogether. It's sort of moving southeast and thankfully should
(07:40):
pass the west of the Cheddam Islands.
Speaker 3 (07:42):
How many houses flooded, I haven't.
Speaker 8 (07:45):
An exact number in terms of how many have flooded.
Speaker 2 (07:48):
I know that I'm heading.
Speaker 8 (07:48):
Over to a Hope, Fokotani and Potoquy today. There was
anoundation at a Hope so we'll go and check the
damage on that. I'll get a proper update this morning
at about thirty. With all those numbers all.
Speaker 3 (08:01):
Right, Minister, I went round just in my area in
Auckland on Sunday morning and most of the businesses they
were closed. It was an orange warning, you know. I
guess the risk is that next time there's a warning,
the businesses will open because nothing happened this time.
Speaker 2 (08:16):
So what do we do about that should they have opened.
Speaker 8 (08:19):
Well, they can use their own danger sense in terms
of what they do. But one thing I would say
is that certainly there is no room for complacency at
all we deal with these weather events. We've been through
a tragedy as a country with you know, with an
event earlier in the year at the Mount and also
Welcome Pay and we lost the farm up around a
Pookey as well. They're dangerous without a doubt, so you know,
(08:43):
there's no room for complacency. When I became minister there
sort of there was a report that came to me
from Sigerian Mataprii. One of the things that one of
the issues that we do face is there's an optimism
bias sort of sits inside the system and as key
we have got a sort of a Shelby right attitude.
But these weather events are serious. They ipect people and they.
Speaker 9 (09:03):
And we can lose people.
Speaker 8 (09:05):
So, like I said, we're always going to make sure
that we take every step in every measure to keep
people in properly safe.
Speaker 3 (09:11):
All right, Marke, appreciate your times. Wanting Mark Mitchell Emergency
Management Minister time at seventeen after five. I'll give you
my thoughts on that at twenty five after next Andrew in.
Speaker 1 (09:19):
The Sports the first Word on the News of the
Day Early edition with Ryan Bridge and Spark for Business
Technology that keeps Business Moving Newstalks EDB.
Speaker 3 (09:31):
Five nineteen on Newstalks EDB So Victor Mayer is the
guy that's probably going to lead Hungary, and goodbye to
Auburn who's been there for sixteen years. But interestingly, Victor Mayer,
who's much younger, is forty five. He had a poster
of Victor auburn or hanging over his bed as a
child because he idolized him. This is back when he
was a part of the pro democracy movement. You could
(09:51):
argue he's probably gone the other way now, but may so.
He's the one that will take over if the Poles
eventuate and the result reflects the Poles going into it.
He has been criss crossing the country at a rapid
pace in the lead up to this election. He's done
six speeches a day and people around him describe him
as somebody with a short temper and a style that
(10:13):
can be abrasive at times, but he gets the job done.
So there you go. Will you do it today? We'll
find out in a couple of hours. Twenty after five,
Ryan got a sport with Andrew Morning.
Speaker 10 (10:22):
Andrew Morning, Ryan.
Speaker 3 (10:24):
There'll be a lot of happy Warriors fans after the
hoodoo sort of been broken.
Speaker 10 (10:28):
That's a pretty good way to bake the hodo, was it?
Thirty eight fourteen or so against the Storm and yeah,
they've been that bogey team for so long. But gee,
the Warriors, they look pretty convincing there. I mean, just
so combative and yeah putting it just yeah, physicality that
they brought to it. And in the what I think
what three answer trisals in the first or twenty minutes
(10:48):
of the second half something like that, it was pretty
impressive to watch from the Warrior's perspective, keeping the faith,
et cetera. And what they move into third. Now West's
moving back into second overnight with their victory, so that
means and the Panthers at the top of the table
on points differentials, so it's still pretty tight there at
the top. But yeah, Warriors great. This this time last week,
(11:12):
I think were reflecting on their demise.
Speaker 3 (11:14):
We were saying that this would be the beginning of, yeah,
the slow end. Hey the supercars so well, the only
thing I really caught up with the Supercars that the
weekend was the fact they canceled Sunday or postponed Sunday
until christ Church.
Speaker 10 (11:26):
They've raced on Saturday and Ryan Wood has got the
local victory there and I think a first for Toyosa
are coming into the competition, and yeah, it's a nightmare
for organized, isn't it. When you've got a cyclone on
the way, etc. You've got to be cautious. You don't
want to be too cautious. But then you've got to
take fans into accounts and all the sponsors and all
(11:49):
the money that's involved with setting up a race. And yeah,
they've had to they've had to cancel a Sunday race,
but yeah it will be moved, etcetera. And so hopefully
that they'll.
Speaker 1 (12:00):
Get something back for that.
Speaker 10 (12:01):
But it's some difficult situation logistically to be able to
work out a.
Speaker 3 (12:06):
Bit of a battle for Carlos Orberg. I note that
Trump was watching the fight over the weekend in Miami.
But bit of a battle for him with his leg
as well. I saw them just a few clips of that.
Speaker 10 (12:16):
It did look like that, and yes, well I guess
he's done. Well, it's not my cup of tea. I
must admit bashing each other in the head, etc. And
with our issues of concussum these days, Ryan, but nonetheless
an outstanding achievement in his field.
Speaker 2 (12:31):
And yeah, you have to.
Speaker 10 (12:32):
Say a pretty courageous effort if he was indeed on
one knee therefore that you know after did take the knock. Yes,
so Trump was watching, was.
Speaker 2 (12:44):
He he was? How you final round of the Masters.
Speaker 10 (12:48):
That's the exciting event for me this morning. I think
it's a potential thriller with Rory McElroy and Cam Young
currently you know they'll be in the final group at
least Young leading the way on eleven under. But you've
got to Victor Hoven's an outstanding start this morning. He
is seven under for the day, six hundred overall. I
think he's moved into a shear of night so working
as well the leaderboard.
Speaker 8 (13:08):
Not as much pressure on of course if you're.
Speaker 10 (13:10):
Playing, but later on the little bit earlier on the
day through that as opposed to coming down the eighteenth
at AUGUSTA.
Speaker 3 (13:15):
Now, it's good to see you, Andrew Ortison with Sport.
It is twenty three minutes after five on.
Speaker 2 (13:19):
Your Monday morning, Bryan Bridge.
Speaker 3 (13:21):
So the UK has just come out, well, the BBC's
done a report saying they understand the UK is not
going to be involved in this blockade of the Strait
of horr moves. They keep saying stuff like we continue
to support the freedom of navigation and the opening of
the Strait, but then they don't actually do anything about it.
They do say they're working with the French. They say
they're working with other partners to protect freedom of navigation,
(13:42):
but what does that actually mean? And thesh you're getting
in there and d mining and you can't get in
there in d mine. Why the Ayatola is driving their
little speedboats around, the Revolutionary Guard driving their little speedboats
around and threatening all hell if you dare enter twenty
four after five the early.
Speaker 1 (14:00):
Edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio how It By News
Talks V.
Speaker 3 (14:07):
Five twenty six News Talks. They'd be the storm for
the most part, for the North Island was a fizzer.
The TV news. The only thing they were battling was
the battle, the struggle to find pictures of anything actually
happening other than a few trees down and reporters breathlessly
doing pieces to camera in the wind. In aucklam More
Isle of most shops were closed in my particular area,
(14:28):
and they didn't need to be. There is a risk
here of the boy who cried wolf, But I also
don't think that we need to have an existential national
conversation about whether this was overhyped or not. The forecasters
do their thing, They tell you what is coming or
their best guess of what's coming. Then it's up to
us to make our own decisions based on the information,
based on our own experience and our personal judgment.
Speaker 2 (14:50):
That's life.
Speaker 3 (14:51):
The businesses who decided to close yesterday before anything had
actually happened lost to day's trade. The ones who didn't didn't.
Maybe next time they'll make a different call. After all,
Auckland was only under an orange watch. The media coverage
was over the top.
Speaker 2 (15:07):
It always is.
Speaker 3 (15:08):
Remember they make money off events like this. Eyeballs on screens.
I noticed before every video of on the stuff site
yesterday of the ocean lapping at a sand dune, there
was an ad for Tower Insurance paying for it. This
is what they do, and they will do what they do.
But you can't tell Met Service to not report the weather,
(15:30):
can you? Otherwise, what's the point in met service? They're
damned if they do, and damned if they don't. Those forecasters.
We're all responsible ultimately for our own lives, and ultimately
we can decide if we're safe enough to stay home
or to go get a flat white from the local
Robert Harris and the Robert Harris can decide whether they open.
And if you want to go out kitesurfing or surfing
(15:50):
in the storm, all.
Speaker 2 (15:52):
Power to you.
Speaker 3 (15:52):
You might die or you might have an awesome Sunday.
Either way, it'll be your informed choice.
Speaker 2 (16:00):
Pray in Bridge.
Speaker 3 (16:01):
Twenty eight minutes after five Ryan from Tiawanga. We were
evacuated three times. The storm was absolutely nothing, idiots, Ryan
Mark Mitchell is an outstanding minister, smashing that the Civil Defense portfolio,
says Grant.
Speaker 2 (16:17):
Ryan.
Speaker 3 (16:18):
I think the language used by most media outlets was ridiculous,
i e. Deadly wind, deadly rain, and dead the waves.
Definitely think that this will eventually lead to people not
listening when something actually happens. I mean that's the risk,
isn't it. But then, as I said, they tell you
nothing's happening and something happens, and you'll be upset too,
So they kind of have to do what they do,
(16:39):
and you have to use your brain when you're given
the information. Nine two nine two is the number to
text now. On Friday they had the Council and the
government announced an Auckland deal and Wayne Brown was asked
on urn Z on Friday afternoon about which where will
the bridge go across the White to Matar? And he
said basically, Meola Reef.
Speaker 11 (17:01):
What ones these things as economics? You know where New
Zealand can't afford these sort of ridiculous world class things.
We've got to have economically viable, affordable, sensible infrastructure. And
I've been building that myself all my life.
Speaker 3 (17:19):
So what the deal says is that the government must
consult the Council on projects, including where the water Matar
crossing goes. So Wayne has anything to do with that,
It'll be Meola Reef, thank you very much. Rather than
getting rid of the yachts at West Tavern. Coming up
to half past five here on News Talks, there'd be
We're live to the States for the latest on the blockade.
(17:41):
The Trump's announced overnight all ahead for your Monday.
Speaker 12 (17:44):
Morning is if we meet it here, then we made it.
Speaker 1 (17:50):
Get ahead of the headlines on early edition with Ryan
Bridge and Spark for Business Technology that keeps Business Moving
News Talks that'd be.
Speaker 3 (18:03):
Twenty four away from six News Talks the f B
Great Tavy Company on this Monday morning. This is from
Zane Bryan Brent Crude Trading starts ten am today expect
one hundred and thirty plus a barrel because of Trump's
nutcase decision to totally totally blockade the straight of horn Moons,
which is true, I mean any and there was only
a few of them, but any ships that were getting through,
any oil tankers that we're getting through, won't get through
(18:24):
if what he says comes to fruition, which is an
all or nothing policy. I don't know if you'll quite
go that high, but yet it'll probably have a bump.
They finished the week Brent crewed at ninety four point
twenty six a barrel. That compared us with the peak
of one hundred and nineteen forty five during the war.
And remember before the war is about seventy two dollars
a barrel. JP Morgan reckons it'll stay above one hundred
(18:45):
for this quarter.
Speaker 2 (18:46):
And then it should. He is off from the second
half of the year. You're on news talks. Heb Ryan
brick Tonedin with Color Morning.
Speaker 13 (18:52):
Callum morning.
Speaker 3 (18:54):
Right, you've got a charity walk, Yeah, we do.
Speaker 13 (18:57):
A young student here is setting off on an epick
walk in Europe for charity.
Speaker 2 (19:03):
This is twenty two year old Olivia Charles.
Speaker 13 (19:05):
She's about to walk a thousand k's for the families
of premature babies here.
Speaker 2 (19:09):
In New Zealand.
Speaker 13 (19:10):
So she's going to walk what's called the Camino de
Santiago trail across France, Spain and Portugal. You can contribute
on give a little for the Little Miracles Trust, which
supports thousands of families here with babies and neonatal intensive
care units each year. Olivia says this charity is close
to her heart. She's had friends who has spent time
in the unit and she expects this walk will take
(19:30):
her about two months.
Speaker 2 (19:32):
How's your weather.
Speaker 13 (19:34):
We've got showers, possibly heavy and thundery this afternoon, light
winds nineteen the height.
Speaker 2 (19:38):
Nice callum. Thank you.
Speaker 3 (19:39):
Claires in Christ this morning, Claire, Good morning. Lower Salwyn Huts.
The leastholder's situation there, what's going on? What's the latest?
Speaker 14 (19:47):
Yeah, this is a community of people that have been
facing potential immediate eviction from their homes at Lower Salwyn Huts.
The Department of Conservation has now announced that they are
giving those lease holders a final ten year can see
before they will have to leave for good. It's a
flood prone site. They consider it no longer viable long
term due to the rising levels at Lake Allasmere. Now
(20:09):
forty four hot owners have been approved for this extra decade.
Three have been declined. That's due to debt that they owe.
Counselor Elizabeth Munt says this is a much more humane
approach than the forced exits which have happened nearby the
Green Park huts just in July, which left many people homeless.
She says she's really pleased there is some certainty for
these people who have likely found themselves in a very
(20:31):
vulnerable position.
Speaker 2 (20:32):
All right, how's our weather party.
Speaker 14 (20:35):
Clardian Christchurch Westeries turning northerly and high of twenty one degrees.
Speaker 3 (20:39):
Nice on, Thank you Max and Wellington Morning Max, good morning.
You've got the wastewater and the ocean water again.
Speaker 12 (20:45):
Yeah, that's right. There was quite a rainy Sunday which
unfortunately meant to untreated, unscreened wastewater pouring into our coast
from about five thirty in the evening from yesterday. It
is still ongoing as well, which means trouble right around
the bay. Stay out of the water entirely for the
next three days at least, is the official advice. Keep
an eye on those updates. No time prem yet either
(21:08):
for fixing the plants. With wetter days to come heading
into winter. How's your weather mostly cloudy with occasional rain,
stronger norwesteries nineteen the hay.
Speaker 2 (21:17):
Thank you very much. Neither an Auckland morning.
Speaker 3 (21:19):
Never good morning the entire I mean we've said this
so many times it's not surprised, but the entire Auckland
rail network will be closed today, tomorrow and Wednesday.
Speaker 15 (21:26):
Correct and why the testing for the city rail Link.
So this is a critical step for ensuring the City
rail Link will be reliable and safe. They have kind
of prepared for this, so we have in the past
and the last month been saying it's happening. It's happening.
But just in case you forgot about that and you
think you're going to jump on a train, No, no
you're not. But Auckland Transport they're going to have almost
(21:48):
one hundred rail replacement buses, so they'll be operating today, Tomorrow, Wednesday,
keep people moving and there's going to be special express
options for those you know on the Southern and Western
line as well, So that's good news and customers are
encouraged to plan ahead, you know, use the eighty app
use that app first. Yeah, so that's about it.
Speaker 2 (22:08):
Really fantastic Neva. How's our weather.
Speaker 15 (22:11):
Showers heavy for a time, possible possible thunderstorms in the
afternoon and evening. Still Wall twenty.
Speaker 2 (22:18):
Two is a high brilliant Neva. Lovely to see you.
Speaker 3 (22:20):
It is twenty to six News talks'b So the Iranian Navy,
this is the one that Trump blew to the bottom
of the ocean. There's about one hundred and fifty five
ships and they have they have sunk all of them.
They're all sitting at the lying at the bottom of
the ocean right now. But the battleships that they use
were basically just for prestige. They were an occasional long
range deployments or long range trips. They won't be doing
(22:43):
any long range deployments anytime soon. But the bit that
they and the part that they really needed to keep
their hands on, which they have largely this is the
revolution regard, is the little speedboats that they have. Sixty
percent of the Revolutionary regards. This is from the Wall
Street Journal via the Washington Institute. Sixty percent of those speedboats,
(23:05):
those attack craft remain intact, and that's what they're using
to choke the strait. At the moment, only four ships
crossed through the strait in the days after the ceasefire.
That was the lowest this month, and iran Is told
mediator Is basically we will keep it to a dozen
max a day and we will tell them that's why
nothing's been happening now. They've also issued to anyone who
(23:28):
was in the area and a ship, they've issued a
message over the radio friendly Hello from the Iranians. Basically,
talk to us and we'll steer you around the mines
that we've.
Speaker 2 (23:39):
Stuck in there.
Speaker 3 (23:41):
Eighteen to six. If you're in the market for a
premium seven seater family suv, then the new Volvo XC
ninety B five Ultra Bright Mild Hybrid is well worth
a look. Starting at one hundred and nineteen nine nine
nine plus on road costs, it is a great deal
and it's a strong value proposition for what you get,
(24:03):
and what you get is considerable air suspension for a
noticeably smoother ride and you will feel that when you're
in it. Built in Google integration, this is seamless navigation,
voice control, that sort of stuff. A Harman Carden Premium
sound system so you can play your bangers, loud, panoramic sunroof,
head up display, seven seats designed for real family life,
(24:26):
that's road trips, that school runs, everything in between. It
is beautiful Scandinavian design, clean and considered. Volvo safety technology
remains one of the most comprehensive in the category.
Speaker 2 (24:36):
It's what they're known for.
Speaker 3 (24:37):
And on top of all of that, every XC ninety
Ultra comes with a five year warranty and a three
year service plan, so you're covered well beyond the purchase.
If you want a premium suv that does everything well
and looks the part doing it, the Volvo XC ninety
B five Ultra is available now at Volvo retailers nationwide.
Speaker 2 (24:58):
Bryan Bridge time.
Speaker 3 (25:00):
Is called to six. Let's go to Gevin Gray out
of the UK. Gavin Trump says the blockade is going
to include some NATO allies, but we're hearing that the
UK ain't one of them.
Speaker 2 (25:09):
What do you know, well.
Speaker 16 (25:12):
The government so far here, Ryan hasn't really said a
great deal on the record, but both broadcast as BBC
and Sky are saying it's understood the UK won't take
part in monitoring or continuing this blockade. That Donald Trump
is said to be introducing to the Strait of Horne Moose.
That says Donald Trump says that NATO and the UK
(25:33):
will provide mind sweepers. Now mind sweepers had been offered
by the UK before in order to try and effectively
be it defensively to keep the straight open. But we
haven't heard any confirmation yet from the government. But if
there were any any doubt in anyone's mind about how
serious this is, it's being reported that Europe could see
jet fuel shortages if the Strait of horn Moose does
(25:56):
not open in the next three weeks. The trade body
for European airports is warning that the Gulf represents a
roughly half of all Europe's imports for aviation fuel and
without it they are going to run dry soon. That
could have a big impact on the smaller airports first
and then the larger airports, and of course without the flights,
that's not just going to affect holidays but business trips
(26:17):
as well. This is extremely, extremely serious, and this warning
is coming within the month.
Speaker 3 (26:22):
They say, givin how long do we get a result
out of Hungary?
Speaker 16 (26:26):
Well, I think it could be sometime yet, because they've
had a record turnout. The polls closed just three hours ago. Now,
the current Prime Minister, Victor Auban, he's hoping for a
fifth consecutive election victory today. He spent sixteen years in power,
but all the opinion polls are suggesting that the opposition
party Peta Maga could actually win. Why does this matter, Well,
(26:50):
Victor Auban is perhaps European Union some least best ally,
shall I say? He's very pro President Putin and Rush.
He wants to stop giving aid to Ukraine and has
blocked so many times the European Union giving aid to
Ukraine in terms of money and also weapons and so forth.
(27:12):
And he's also very close friend of Donald Trump. Indeed,
on the campaigning a few days before the election, JD.
Vans flew in the Deputy president in order to actually say, look,
you know, things could be good between America and Hungary
if you vote for Victor aubam. Despite all of that,
many people have been out on the streets saying we
choose Europe, not Russia, not America. And that looks good
(27:37):
for that opposition candidate who appears to be doing so well.
Peta Maga.
Speaker 3 (27:41):
Appreciate your analysis. Has always Gevin Gray are UK europe correspondent.
It is twelve away from.
Speaker 1 (27:46):
Six Ryan Bridge.
Speaker 3 (27:47):
So Trump says, the US Navy's going to blockade ships
trying to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz.
Speaker 5 (27:52):
We're putting on a complete blockhead. We're not going to
let around make money on selling oil to people that
they're I cannot people that they don't like, or whatever
it is. It's going to be all or none.
Speaker 2 (28:04):
Right, Let's go to glen Cow.
Speaker 3 (28:05):
This, of course comes after no deal in Islamabad over
the peace talks. Let's go to glen Cow, forma CIA
intelligence office that glean good morning, good morning, good to
be with you, Thanks for being with me. Let's start
with the blockade situation. To start with, what do you think?
What do you make of that?
Speaker 9 (28:25):
Well, Trump is flailing to be blunt about it. The
US Navy, I'm confident, can effectively stop the Iranians from
getting any ships out of the Straits of Hormuz. That's
I think quite possible, which will be a problem in
particular for China and India. But that doesn't open the straits.
(28:48):
And that's the fundamental problem, is that the straits are closed,
and so the world is rather quickly starting to strangle
on a lack of oil.
Speaker 3 (28:58):
Yeah, which was always going to be the problem from
the get go, wasn't it. It's not when would Trump
declared that the wall's over? Who was going to do
that at some point? But it's how long after that
does it take for the strike to bloody well open?
And the answer is, actually, it's going to be a while.
Speaker 9 (29:14):
Well, even if if Iran had the best will in
the world about opening the strait, it will take some time.
I don't know how long. But as we hear that,
even the US Navy and the Iranians themselves are saying
they don't know where the mines have gone because they've
float around and it's a laborious, dangerous process to d
(29:34):
mine and areas. So even in the best of circumstances,
there will be some period I don't know, a weeks,
it would seem. But we aren't that quote good unquote position,
which its helf is not very good at all, because
the straits have to be clear, and Iran has to
agree to an effective cease fire, and there's no agreement
(29:57):
between the United States and Iran.
Speaker 3 (30:00):
The talks with Jdi Vance in Pakistan obviously went no,
Well didn't go no where. They did talk for twenty
one hours, but there was no agreement reached at the
end of it. We're told there'll likely be other rounds.
But the big thing is the nuclear weapons and the
nuclear stockpile of enriched uranium. So how do they not
know where it is? Can they not go and get it?
Or you know, how do we resolve this issue of
(30:23):
the enriched uranium, because that's the justification of going in
the first place.
Speaker 9 (30:28):
Well, I believe we don't know. I think the assessment
has been pretty accurate that no one knows exactly except
perhaps even maybe not the Uranians themselves. But except for
the Uranians, where all of the processed uranium is. I
think we know where most of it is. But even
though we know where it is, it's now buried under
(30:48):
anything from one hundred to four hundred meters of rubble
and earth. And so to get it in a hostile
environment would imply frankly invaded and occupying that area for
a sustained period of time to dig trenches their holes
rather mines down into the mind to get the uranium,
(31:10):
or even with Iranian assistance or a willingness, the same
process has to happen, and then you never know, and
it seems we don't know where some of the Iranian
uranium might be, so under the best of circumstances, that's
a substantial physical challenge. And then there are the political
(31:33):
military aspects. So there's no quick solution to that so
long as the Iranians don't say yes, yes, we agree
in all points with the United States and they don't.
Speaker 3 (31:44):
Glenn, appreciate your analysis, Glenn cow Pharmacy I Intelligence officer.
It's eight to six news talks a big.
Speaker 1 (31:51):
On your radio and online on iHeart Radio Belly edition
with Ryan Bridge and Spunk for Business Technology that keeps
business news talks.
Speaker 2 (32:01):
They'd be six to six on news talks.
Speaker 3 (32:02):
There'd be Albanese is off in a second consecutive week
of travel offshore to try and get some oil Malaysia
and Brunei and his sites this week. He was in
Singapore last week and is doing an oil for gas
kind of situation conversation. So Malaysia supplies thirteen percent of
diesel in Australia and Brunei about nine percent of diesel,
(32:24):
and Albanize has a bunch of gas and it's interesting
unlike labor here. Albanizi has declared his confidence that gas
fields will be brought online faster because the government has
overhauled environmental laws.
Speaker 2 (32:38):
So there you go. Give them gas, they'll.
Speaker 3 (32:39):
Give you Diesel Brian Bred five to six mics in
the studio morning, Mike, get a mate, good weekend.
Speaker 2 (32:45):
You'll be happy with you. Warrior's result.
Speaker 7 (32:48):
That's probably as good a result in thirty something years
if you watched it, well, seventeen a lot of people,
a lot of people got sort of angsty about it
and thinking, oh, are pretty good and we've lost a
couple of games, and we didn't lose particularly well anyway.
But if you look at the completeness of what.
Speaker 2 (33:06):
We did, comprehensive, comprehensive.
Speaker 3 (33:08):
But didn't Melbourne have a bad game the week?
Speaker 2 (33:11):
Yeah, they got they got hiding, didn't they They got been by.
Speaker 7 (33:14):
The Panthers and badly. So yeah, I suppose if your
glass half amp year could have gone, well, they're not
the side they once were, but it win's a win.
And at the at the end of the day, you
got four winds of six so far, so we're second
on the table. Four winds of six and those four
winds each and every one of them is brilliant. Was
not just a win, it's a spanking. We spank them
good and so this is our year.
Speaker 11 (33:35):
Ryan.
Speaker 2 (33:35):
I haven't heard you.
Speaker 7 (33:36):
I haven't heard you say that this morning or indeed
all this season.
Speaker 3 (33:40):
So I was I was a pessimistic last week. I
have to say exactly the boys from Sport. I was saying, Oh,
this always happens, and then they fall a big mistake,
stumble and they crumble.
Speaker 7 (33:50):
Your big mistake. There was the words talking to the
boys from Sport, stay well clear of that department and
deal with the experts.
Speaker 3 (33:58):
Anyway, as always, as always, the only person I really
need to talk to, Mike, This.
Speaker 7 (34:01):
Is one, one hundred percent. Anyway, As it turns out,
we've got the assistant coach and the Warriors on this
morning just to do a little bit of celebrating and
we'll roll the Prime Minister ro In fordable champagne, pop
the champagne a prime minister as well.
Speaker 3 (34:12):
Have a great Monday, see you tomorrow.
Speaker 1 (34:18):
Shime your five nine brown eyes. For more from Early
Edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live to News Talks it
Be from five am weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.
Popular Podcasts
Stuff You Should Know
If you've ever wanted to know about champagne, satanism, the Stonewall Uprising, chaos theory, LSD, El Nino, true crime and Rosa Parks, then look no further. Josh and Chuck have you covered.
Dateline NBC
Current and classic episodes, featuring compelling true-crime mysteries, powerful documentaries and in-depth investigations. Follow now to get the latest episodes of Dateline NBC completely free, or subscribe to Dateline Premium for ad-free listening and exclusive bonus content: DatelinePremium.com
Crime Junkie
Does hearing about a true crime case always leave you scouring the internet for the truth behind the story? Dive into your next mystery with Crime Junkie. Every Monday, join your host Ashley Flowers as she unravels all the details of infamous and underreported true crime cases with her best friend Brit Prawat. From cold cases to missing persons and heroes in our community who seek justice, Crime Junkie is your destination for theories and stories you won’t hear anywhere else. Whether you're a seasoned true crime enthusiast or new to the genre, you'll find yourself on the edge of your seat awaiting a new episode every Monday. If you can never get enough true crime... Congratulations, you’ve found your people. Follow to join a community of Crime Junkies! Crime Junkie is presented by Audiochuck Media Company.