Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
The issues, the interviews and the insight. Ryan Bridge on
early edition with Spark for Business Technology that keeps business moving,
news talks.
Speaker 2 (00:10):
They'd be Good Morning at six half to five coming
up on the show. Henry Olsen, Washington Post columnist, joins
us from Buddapest. We're talking the blockade, but also the
Hungarian election result. Donors in Australia for US, the Navy,
they're ready to take action in the Middle East should
they need to. Good news on cancer infusions, and we've
got cheap illegal duuries, which is probably bad news ultimately
(00:30):
for all of us. The agenda here's that the falling
of April the blockade is the go go, but Iran
is not backing down, at least in Russia.
Speaker 3 (00:38):
The Rana's in very bad shed. I think they're very desperate.
We had a meeting that less than twenty one hours.
We understand the situation better than anybody, and Iran's in
very bad check.
Speaker 2 (00:51):
Starmer's doing what Starmer has done since the beginning, calling
for the Strait to open without conditions, without providing any
means for that to happen.
Speaker 4 (00:57):
All of the leaders that I met were clear the
freedom of navigation is vital and must be restored, no conditions,
no tolls, and no tolerance of around holding the world's
economy to ransom.
Speaker 2 (01:13):
Meanwhile, Pope Leo is at war with Jesus Aka Trump.
Speaker 3 (01:16):
He's a man that doesn't think that we should be
doing with a country that once a nuclear weapons so
they can blow up the world. I'm not a fan
of Bubblio.
Speaker 5 (01:28):
Not wanting into it to meet with him, and I
will continue to speak up love against war, looking to
the shore, peace, promoting dialogue and multi lateral relationships among
the states, to look for just solutions and crumps. Too
many people are suffering in the world today.
Speaker 2 (01:43):
He says he doesn't here or doesn't fear Donald Trump.
We'll talk about that at twenty five after five this morning.
Let's go to Hungary. Now it's auburn out and Maya.
Speaker 6 (01:53):
In Hungary's place is was is and will be in Europe.
Millions of Hungarians have proven yesterday that's the Hungarian history
is written by Hungarians. History is not written in Moscow,
or in Brussels or in Washington. It is written on
the Hungarians, streets, Hungarian squas and by Hungarians, to whom
(02:13):
I'm very grateful that they proved.
Speaker 2 (02:17):
This it is, but it is finally this morning, well
she's done it again. More trouble for Britney spears. She's
taken to rehab. This is you remember we talked about
her do U I arrest or. She's now in rehab
(02:37):
entered treatment voluntarily. We're tolds weeks before she's due in
courts in California.
Speaker 1 (02:45):
On your radio and online on iHeartRadio Belly Edition with
Ryan Bridge and Spark for Business Technology that keeps business
moving news talks that'd.
Speaker 2 (02:55):
Be poor Brittany, Poor Brittany. Nine two nine two is
the number six, just gone nine minutes after five, So
you US Central Command, they're the ones who are in
charge of what happens in the Middle East for Trump.
They've put out a tweet overnight saying that the forces
will begin their blockade of all maritime traffic entering and
exiting Iranian ports. So the specifics of it against Iranian
(03:17):
against vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports
and coastal areas, including all Iranian ports on the Arabian
Gulf and the Gulf of Oman forces will not impede
freedom of navigation for vessels transiting the Strait to and
from non Iranian ports. So if you're going through an
Iranian plant, it's a blockade of the port. Basically, anyone
(03:39):
else will be fine, though no one else is going
to go through there, are they Now? The US has
an aircraft carrier there, They've got some guided missile destroyers there.
They've got amphibious assault ships there. They've got several warships
gathered in the Middle East, and they have the ability
to get the choppers up in the sky and bored
other vessels should they need to do that. They can
(04:01):
marshall commercial vessels. They've got all this capability there, but
it will take time to do. The navy build up
they reckon. It's going to take some time. Blockades take
time to have an impact the warships. This is according
to a retired Navy Vice Admiral Kevin Donogan. He says
the warships will likely operate outside the strait because, of
(04:21):
course their Iranians have got their drones and they've got
their speedboats in the strait, and you don't want them
to get in. You don't want to get in the
way of them, or get within shot within coobi of them.
A couple of other little things for you this morning.
So you know about how much fuel we have, and
it's not a cause to panic right now, but it's
interesting looking at what is to come, particularly after the
(04:44):
end of this month. So according to this economist. To
Macquarie University economist Lurian Demello, he tracks how many vessels
are on the water. Ten fuel ships are on their
way to New Zealand at the moment. The last one
is due to arrive here in ten days. After that.
There are no more scheduled at this point. Now the
(05:05):
government says, don't worry, chill out, We're all good. You
don't need to worry about this. We've got it, so okay,
I'll believe that. However, he does make the point that
forty eight ships in that same time period are heading
to Australia with refined fuel, and they're getting there from
a wider variety of places. Now, you could argue that
that's because they don't have as much right now as
(05:25):
we do, so they're in more of a dire position.
But we actually don't know beyond May how many ships
we're going to get and where they're going to come from.
That's the gist of it. Twelve minutes after five, Cryan Bridge,
show me up next, illegal tobacco. So it's up to
thirty percent of people who are smoking cigarettes in New
Zealand right now smoking illegal tobacco and not paying taxes.
(05:51):
Retailing z upset. That's next. News talk ZEB.
Speaker 1 (05:55):
Ryan Bridge on early edition with spot for business Technology
that keeps business moving newstalksbb.
Speaker 2 (06:03):
Is fourteen minutes after five. The services sector data out yesterday.
This is the ben Z Business New Zealand Performance of
Services Index, the PSI ten month low. It's going backwards,
third consecutive March backwards for this particular index, and that
basically if services are seventy percent of our economy and
so it's in contraction slump and New Waters is to
(06:25):
blame and the service is down to quite a contrast
to the PMI, which is all the factories, which is
an expansion in New Zealand for the month of March,
in fact, it was fifty three point two and remember
anything over fifty is in positive territory. It went down
slightly from February, but so factory is doing well, service
is not doing so well, and the risk is all
(06:47):
the fairers. According to BNZ, that the services the What
we're doing well with the factories will undercut what we're
doing with will be undercut by what's happening with the
services sector and will lead to economic contraction. It's quarter
past five. Retail in Z sounding the alarm on illegal tobacco.
A new report has found as much as twenty seven
(07:09):
percent of tobacco consumed here is illegally imported and not
being taxed. There's a warning as well, the black market
could turn violent, just like we've seen in Australia. Carolyn Young,
Retail in Z Chief executive with me this morning. Hey Carolyn, Carolyn,
good to hear from you. Good morning, Yeah, good morning. Hey.
(07:29):
Why have you guys decided to do a report on
illegal tobacco.
Speaker 7 (07:34):
Look, it's such a major issue in Australia with international
organized crime groups running the tobacco market in Australia. We
see you over one hundred fire bombs that have occurred
in the state of Victoria alone, and organized crime on
an international scale brings with it a lot of other things.
(07:56):
We obviously support retailers, we support legitimate bussiness is doing
providing great services to our communities. As soon as you
start looking at organized crime infiltrating into a legitimate market.
It changes the landscape brings with it more crime that
we already know is difficult in New Zealand to manage
retail crime, and we believe that we need to act
(08:18):
now while we've got this window opportunity before we reach
the stages that it's at in Australia.
Speaker 2 (08:23):
Retailers, some retailers are part of the problem here, aren't they.
And I saw that there was a case study in
your piece about a retailer who was selling illegal tobacco products.
Speaker 7 (08:34):
Yes, and I think for that particular store, we did
that case study. And I would use the term retailer
loosely because you know that store is only illicit product
and we believe is run by an organized crime group.
Speaker 2 (08:50):
It's a car boot situation. Our retailer's idea dairies selling
illegal tobacco.
Speaker 7 (08:57):
There will be some that will be selling it under
the count to illegal. That's correct and model happened. What
happened in Australia is the explosion where we've got to.
Now we're nearly eighty percent of sales in Australia are illicit.
You know, basically the international gangs come in and they
run a lot of out of the Middle East and
out of China. They're running these illicit tobacco stores and
(09:20):
then they're setting them up quite close to other businesses
like a superresse or like a dairy, or like a
vape store. And then what happens is that those stores
their business just to clines, so they pressued into selling
the illicit tobacco as well.
Speaker 2 (09:38):
You're wanting to it. There's a whole bunch of stuff
if you've asked for, including a working group and some
money and stuff. But it's like drugs. You'll never stop
at all, will you end in. The reason it's happening
is because of the price the tax on them. They're
like fifty bucks for a packet of twenty, so people
are going to go to the black market.
Speaker 8 (09:54):
That's right.
Speaker 7 (09:54):
There's an opportunity there for a black market to infiltration.
In Australia the exercises even higher, which is why it's
really taken off. And in Australia they're trying to close
the gate after the horse has already bolted because it's
so far at head and they didn't acknowledge there was
an issue. We have spoken to the Minister she's aware
of the issue and wants to take action. And so
(10:16):
you know, this report ready outlines some immediate things that
should be done, and you know the need to get
together around table of all of the interested parties, your customs,
health police, ourselves to sit down and investigate further some
of these recommendations we've made because we don't have all
the answers, but what we do know is that something
needs to be done and we need to act now.
Speaker 2 (10:37):
Carolyn Young Retailing is their chief executive. Nice to have
you on the programs always. Nineteen minutes after five year
on News Talks EDB. Next, we have some good news
on cancer infusions, especially if you're needing to travel with
petrol being the way it is at the moment to
get those services. News Talks EDB.
Speaker 1 (10:54):
The news you need this morning and the in depth
analysis earlier edition with Ryan Bridge Spark for business Technology
that keeps business moving.
Speaker 2 (11:03):
News Talk Z by one after five. I'm calling BS
on the A and Z report out yesterday from the economists,
saying that we'll get three consecutive twenty five basis point
heights to the OC July, September or October. That'd take
us to three percent because we're at two point twenty
five at the moment. The Reserve Bank said we will
look through short term inflation, and we had Paul Conway
(11:24):
on the show, and I said, what four five, six percent,
seven percent?
Speaker 7 (11:27):
Year?
Speaker 2 (11:27):
Sweet, we'll look through it because it's short term. It's
only the second wave of inflationary effects that we would
take notice of. So I think we can probably put
that to one side at the moment. Even they say, look,
it's just crystal ball gazing at this point twenty two
after five, Bryan Bridge, more cancer infusions happening in more places.
We're getting fourteen new centers, fourteen upgraded centers, thirteen thousand
(11:49):
extra infusions. A. Yeah, this is all good stuff. That's
a twelve percent increase backed by two hundred and ten
million dollars in funding that set aside in the budget.
Nicola Coomb, chief executive at Cancer Society, with me this morning.
NiCl good morning, Good morning, Ryan. You're welcoming this. I'm
assuming good news.
Speaker 9 (12:05):
Absolutely. Yeah, this is an announcement that means that cancer
patients can access their treatment faster and much closer to home.
So yeah, we're certainly welcoming this. It's a step towards
rolling out those new medicines that the government announced back
in twenty twenty four. So without this new infrastructure in
(12:27):
clinical capacity, those medicines wouldn't get to those patients. So
this is a good step. It reduces travel time for
these families, and in today's environment where the cost of
travel with the extra fuel prices, that hits really hard.
So anything that reduces that travel time is a win.
And it also puts treatments closer to rural communities, and
(12:49):
then it frees up critical capacity in our major tertiary
hospitals so that they can be focusing on the acute cases.
So a win for families, win for our communities, and
definitely a win for for the system overall.
Speaker 2 (13:01):
Are you saying that we've got a government who bought
new cancer medicines, brought online new cancer medicines, and then
actually provides the infrastructures for which to deliver them.
Speaker 9 (13:11):
Yes, yes we are, we are. Look we are. While
we celebrated that investment of six hundred and four million
in new medicines when the last budget was delivered, we
were a little critical at the time and said, look,
it's great to be funding these medicines, but the reality
is there's going to be challenges getting them to patients,
(13:33):
and those challenges is exactly what's been addressed in this
announcement yesterday, which is the infrastructure, so the location and
a place and essentially the chairs for those patients to
sit in to have their infusions, and the workforce to
deliver their infusions. So this gives us the complete package
of rolling those new medicines out.
Speaker 2 (13:55):
Is it enough to meet demand because demand is increasing,
isn't it?
Speaker 9 (13:59):
Oh? Absolutely? Is it enough to meet demand?
Speaker 3 (14:02):
No?
Speaker 9 (14:03):
Probably not. The demand is coming at us at pace.
And look, what we'd really love to see is government
starting to look a little upstream, rather than investing in
our three year political cycles, looking at actually what can
we invest in to prevent cancers In the first place,
(14:23):
we know that one in three cancers are preventable, so
we'd like to see some new investment in the next
budget looking at cancer prevention. But this credit to the government,
this is a good step.
Speaker 2 (14:35):
Nikola Cone, Chief Executive Cancer Citing New Zealand, appreciate your time,
sprning twenty five minutes after five. Don't look a gift
purse in the mouth, is what you say. Now the
numbers to the end of December last year. This is
the most recent data. Eighty seven percent of patients are
receiving treatment in that period now. That is up from
eighty five point nine percent in the same quarter of
the previous year. News Talk said b the.
Speaker 1 (14:57):
Early edition for all the show podcast I Am Radio
how It by News.
Speaker 6 (15:02):
Talks V.
Speaker 2 (15:04):
Twenty seven after five News Talks V. Trump's at war
with the pope again, this time over Iran. Last time
it was Gaza. Usually the pontiff is a bit more
low key, you know, just cruising around, praying, kissing babies
in the white Robin, the popemobile, but like Batman, but
less cool. Not Leo, no our Leo has spoken out
telling Trump to end the war and saying he does
(15:27):
not fear the president. This is a humanitarian appeal, no
doubt about it, but its delivery is a little more
political than past statements because of the way the US
President has been name checked personally. There's nothing newsworthy about
a pope calling for peace. Pope's gone do what Pope's
gone do, and we all want peace, but religious leaders
are doing more of this getting political. We've had Vickers
(15:51):
and nappies chaining themselves to Nicola Willis's electric office. Remember
that we've had priests supposing Axe treaty bill. Ten church
groups held in all vigil at Saint Paul's Cathedral to
protest the Coalition government's move on orders. Deborah Coddington, former
Acting p made quite a relevant observation about this in
the spin off last week. She said, instead of showboating
(16:14):
and hand ringing and virtue signaling, churches should start paying
rates to local bodies, sell some of those very valuable
assets that they currently rent out. That it raised enough
money to house the homers who sleep on the streets
right now, problem solved. So why don't they do that
the Vatican because it's got a small population. You see
the Vatican huge tithings, eighteenth wealthiest nation in the world
(16:36):
per capita, huge real estate portfolio. In fact, media reports vary,
but anywhere between seventy three and two hundred and fifty
billion dollars worth of real estate, thank you, very much,
more than the combined wealth of all the billionaires of
this country has ever known, that's for sure. And you
can see how this starts to look if they start
to get too political hypocritical like the Salvation Army, Amnesty International.
(17:01):
You know, when they go beyond just calling out poverty
and start advocating for things like wealth taxes, it just
rubs people the wrong way. Personally, I think the less
politically religious leader, the more effective their message. Is nothing
sacred anymore, it seems not not in Pope Leo's world.
It is half past five year. On News Talks EDB,
(17:23):
we're to Australia and Hungry next one.
Speaker 1 (17:27):
Time the first word on the News of the Day
early edition with Ryan Bridge and Spark for Business Technology
that keeps business moving. News Talk ZEDB.
Speaker 2 (17:44):
Sixth, Great to have your company. We'll head to Henry Olsen,
Washington Post columnists. We'll talk about the blockade. He is
in Budapest and it's been covering the Hungry elections, so
we'll talk from about that. Plus Donnors in Australia for
US the Navy. They're ready to get into some action
in the straight upfor moves should they need to. Loads
of texts this morning on illegal elicit tobacco retailing. Z's
(18:04):
put out a report on this this morning. We've been
speaking to them. Ryan, I say good on smokers for
buying illicit tobacco. The tax is outrageous, says Sue. Ryan.
The government's been ripping smokers off for years. They are
not cheap. Go figure, says Randall. Good morning Randall obviously
having a durry with your coffee this morning and Ryan
(18:24):
clamp down on elicit tobacco products. This is from Nick.
Makes me laugh. How long have we been trying to
get rid of cannabis? Yeah? I thought the same thing,
exactly the same thing as you, Nick. Very quickly. An
update on border problems in Europe. If you're heading there
and you're not going through the Middle East, then you
will get there this winter the summer, British travelers been
having big problems, long delays because they've got that new
(18:47):
entry exit system. So when you go into the EU,
and this will apply to us if we go into
the EU, they need to do your fingerprints. They need
to scan your fingerprints and then take photos of you
when you first enter. Even if you've got a the
visa free ninety day thing, still need to get this done.
Can take hours for them to do it. The queues
are out the door. Geneva, Lisbon, Malta all facing problems
(19:11):
and at one particular airport. One hundred easy Jet customers
were abandoned. Now, whether you'd actually want to get on
an easy Jet flight is another question, but actually getting
on the plane has proven to be quite a problem.
They left one hundred passengers behind because they are still
all waiting in the queue.
Speaker 1 (19:28):
Bryan Bridge, Oh.
Speaker 2 (19:29):
Good luck with that one. Right, Let's go to Colum
in Dunedin Morning. Collum wanting right, the full South bar
boss that's resigning. Is this because of the event's situation
there or what? Yeah?
Speaker 10 (19:41):
Well, he says it's because he has another international opportunity
which he's taking up. He says he's proud of his
time here in Dunedin, but he wasn't here for long,
that's for sure. The Dunedin Venue's chief executive, Paul Dawn,
is leaving, exiting the job less than two years into
the role and this comes a mida a tough events
(20:01):
market that has to be said, particularly here in the South.
Dawn was appointed to the job in October twenty four
following his redundancy as chief of Ossie rugby franchise the Waratahs.
The board says he leaves the organization in a strong
position despite a quiet calendar for non rugby events at
Forsyth Bars Stadium. The last major concert there was more
(20:22):
than two years ago, and of course this comes as
christ Church's new stadium is set to open, Paul Dawn
leaving the job after less than two years.
Speaker 2 (20:31):
All right, how's your weather? Call it?
Speaker 10 (20:32):
It's mainly fine afternoon and evening showers, possibly heavy and thundery.
Speaker 2 (20:36):
With hail though later to the heighth today sixteenth clear
on christ Church morning. Claire, good morning. You Ca'm not
happy about transport funding there, Yeah, that's right.
Speaker 11 (20:45):
Environment Canterbury's chair is accusing the government of underfunding South
Island transport, warning of a growing crisis behind the scenes.
Canterbury generates twelve percent of national GDP, but it's receiving
five percent of the National Land Transport fund. Similarly, the
South Island gets twelve percent of the funding despite producing
twenty two percent of the GDP. So Dion Swiggs says
(21:07):
that gap is purely political. He points out to a
limited South Island Cabinet representation and he wants the councils
here to unite against it. He says existing infrastructure needs
to be protected and upgraded, particularly State Highway One, as
there are several bridges that are one lane and should
actually be two, while there are others that are more
than eighty years old. That said, Transport Minister Chris Bishop
(21:29):
says one point eight billion dollars has been committed to
Canterbury alone through to next year. That's up fifty percent
on the previous periods. As you really, Claire, I should
be mainly find a bit of passing afternoon and evening
cloud northwesterlies and twenty degrees.
Speaker 2 (21:42):
Nice one, Thank you very much. By the way, Christchurch
Airport doing very well. I saw yesterday nearly two hundred
and eighty seven thousand international visitors passing through between November
and March. That's a twenty two percent jump on the
same time last year. And they of course had their
lift net profit twenty four percent two nine point five
million dollars. So doing very well. Christ Church Airport, well
(22:03):
done to be. It's Macintosh and Wellington to best good morning,
gooday Ryan. The mayor is not happy about the pay
for the new water entity.
Speaker 8 (22:12):
Yeah, how's this. Board members for Tiaku Way are going
to nearly double the Wellington Water predecessors. So currently Wellington
Water's chair has paid sixty thousand dollars at Tiaki Why
that rises to one hundred and ten thousand. The change
comes as residents prepare for water charges averaging nearly twenty
five hundred dollars per household from July. Andrew Little says
(22:36):
it's disappointing that Tiaku y needs to remember it's essentially
part of the public service. Tiaku Why chief executive Michael
Brewsters he's defending the increase, saying, well, it will be
a very different business to Wellington Water.
Speaker 2 (22:50):
Well, you'd hope so, wouldn't you. Jesus couldn't get any worse.
How's your weather.
Speaker 8 (22:56):
To bears, Yeah, mostly fine. The odds shower early this morning,
strong northwesterly is getting us through the day. In seventeen
the high here in Wellington.
Speaker 2 (23:05):
Have a great day neither Good morning, Good morning. Now
Mount Albert. The Carrington Project, this is where they're going
to build a bunch of new houses. But there's a
bit of a problem quite right.
Speaker 12 (23:15):
It's on hold actually due to legal action.
Speaker 1 (23:17):
Now.
Speaker 12 (23:17):
This is the forty five hundred home Carrington project, which
is obviously on former Unitech land. It's been taken to
the Environment Court. So it's been argued that these apartments
had been too high lex sufficient parking, they would affect
the environment, they'd affect the local heritage. And among those
plan against the plan that's Gledstone Primary School, Auckland Transport,
(23:39):
the Tree Council and a lot of other community groups apparently,
but developer Ockham Residential says these plans were approved after
an extensive public hearing process.
Speaker 2 (23:49):
So it's now on hold on one and a half
thousand homes that Auckland probably needs, yes correct, and the
Tree Council has a say exactly, Lord help us, where's
the Pope when you need him? House are weather.
Speaker 12 (24:00):
Neva isolated showers becoming widespread, heavier for a time in
the afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Possible. Possible is a keywordy
A twenty zeig.
Speaker 2 (24:09):
Nice, I never thank you. Eighteen minutes away from six
C this is where Luxon has, you know, say what
you want about Luxon, and the media says a lot
about Luxon and his performance, but actually in terms of
the issues that you're hitting, the notes that you're hitting
right on message. Look at that four and a half
thousand houses and we go into the Environment Court and
(24:29):
all construction is halted while we talk about some trees,
I mean, for goodness sex seventeen away from six Newstalk
ZB will head to Australia next quarter. Six News Talks
ZB Mark Carney over in Canada could be about to
get a whole lot more powerful. So the Liberals there
have well they're just shy one shy of a technical
(24:50):
majority in the House of Commons. Of course, you want
a majority because then you can get more stuff done.
You don't have to rely on opposition parties to get
that stuff done. And there are three local elecctions happening,
by elections happening, and they reckon that tour in one
sorry is in Montreal, and two in Toronto. The two
in Toronto, they reckon that the Liberals will win. The
(25:10):
one in montreal's a bit of a toss up, but
they've had some defections from the opposition and they are
about to win at least two of the three by elections,
so they will likely get over one hundred and seventy
one seats out of the three hundred and forty seat
parliament at the moment, likely get over and have a
technical majority. So a politician at a time like this, consolidating.
Speaker 1 (25:31):
Power international correspondence with Ends and Eye Insurance Peace of
Mind for New Zealand.
Speaker 2 (25:37):
Business News Talk said, be so let's go and talk
about the coalition's trumpy in the style immigration policy unveiled
in Australia yesterday. Donald Demas with us done a good morning,
Oh good morning.
Speaker 13 (25:50):
Well yes we've heard a little bit. So some of
the details have been given to the ABC actually and
that's how we've heard about it. But the actual speech
is going to happen later today where we do believe
the federal opposition is going to detail its immigration policy.
So this is what the coalition wants and under the plan,
according to Opposition leader Angus Taylor, there's going to be
(26:13):
this so well, social media checks will be introduced on
all visa applications.
Speaker 14 (26:18):
And we've heard that before, haven't we.
Speaker 15 (26:20):
With that sounds very similar to the policy that was
rolled out in the US sir a little while ago. Also,
there are plans to deport those who breach Australian values.
Now it's expected that mister Detailer will also say that
Australians are fed up with politically correct preaching on immigration
and there's going to be a enhanced Screening Coordination Center
(26:44):
that will have all these new screening and enforcement capabilities,
and it's believed that he thinks the center will stop radicals,
extremists and terrorists from entering the country, and that these
social media checks they're not going to be occasional by
no means, so they are going to be a standard
feature of the vetting. Now you might ask, what are
(27:04):
these Australian values that they're talking about. It means that
you'll have to sign up to agreeing to respecting individual dignity,
religious freedom, commitment to the rule of law and a
fair go for all.
Speaker 2 (27:18):
Do you think how much of this is to do
with the rise of one nation in Pauline Hanson?
Speaker 14 (27:23):
Oh so interesting, so interesting, you should say that I
think there may very well be a very strong can
I put to say it like this underlying link?
Speaker 2 (27:35):
Yes, Dona, good to have you on the show as always.
Donad Maroun Australia correspondent. Time as twelve minutes away from six,
the US blockade of Iran's ports underway in the Straight
of Horn moves, although the US Navy won't enter. This
is according to a former defense official, won't enter these
Straight of Horn moves because they might get lobbed with
grenades and all sorts of minds from speedboats. But they
(27:58):
are going to blockade the ports in Iran, and any
Iranian fast attacks ship caught trying to approach the blockade
will be immediately eliminated. That's the latest from Trump. Henry Els,
an American polster in Washington Post columnist, joins us this morning, Henry, good, a.
Speaker 16 (28:14):
Good day.
Speaker 2 (28:15):
It's a bit of It's a bit of a whack
a mole job, isn't it when you've got all those speedboats,
sixty percent of the fast boat capability of Iran still
in play.
Speaker 16 (28:26):
Yeah, I mean, but then you've got the question of
the American aircraft carrier that the You know, you've got
forty eight planes and a lot of helicopters that can
help do that over time. If they really do try
and challenge the Americans with that, they'll find that the
Navy that's in the area can sink those ships pretty quickly.
Speaker 2 (28:46):
What do you think the chances are of these peace
talks getting back on track?
Speaker 16 (28:51):
Not very high. The fact is the Iranian Revolutionary Guard
Corps is in charge of Iran, and there's a reason
word revolutionary is in their title. These are people who
are committed to the expansionary goals of the regime, and
if they were going to satisfy Trump's bottom line condition
for no nuclear program removal of the enriched uranium, they
(29:15):
probably would already have done it. I think Trump's going
to have to rely on the continued pressure on around
both military and economically through the blockade to force some
sort of reduction in power by the IRGC before he
gets anywhere with the negotiations.
Speaker 2 (29:31):
What a voter is in the US thinking, well, we
know what they're thinking about the war and how they're
feeling about it. Does that restrict Trump's military options? Does
he go back to bombing?
Speaker 16 (29:42):
I think Trump may eventually have to go back to bombing.
The fact is that while prices, Trump has already committed
or in prestige and his personal prestige to the ending
of the nuclear program. He's been very clear about this
in this campaign years before. You can find tapes of
(30:03):
him going back forty years. Donald Trump always signals what
he wants out of a negotiation, and if you accept
that then there's always good terms. But what he wants
is an end to the nuclear program permanently, and he
gets it he's going to continue what's at his disposal,
and that does include potentially a Land's invasion.
Speaker 2 (30:27):
How comprehensive was albans Alban's loss, I should say in
Hungary you've been covering it.
Speaker 16 (30:35):
It was massive, I mean, and it is from having
two thirds control to having under one third of the parliament.
They've lost virtually every constituency in the country, places that
they never thought they would lose. You know, it's hard
for me to think of a New Zealand parallel. It
would be akin to I suppose Judith Collins being wiped
(30:58):
out in twenty twenty, the redmower being able to change
the constitution. Yeah, on this case, it was a It
was a green and red tsunami. Those are the colors
of peace at the opposition for it.
Speaker 2 (31:13):
Good to have you on as always, Henry Elson, who
is an American columnist and polster. It is in Hungary
for us this morning, eight minutes away from six News
Talks MB.
Speaker 1 (31:23):
Get ahead of the headlines on early edition with Ryan
Bridge and Spark for Business Technology that keeps Business Moving,
News Talks EDB six to six.
Speaker 2 (31:33):
On News Talks MB, Mike's in the studio, He's with
you next, Good morning, Mike Thrill the ce Ryan. Have
you seen the presidential election over in Brazil happening later
this year? Did you see the posts that have gone online?
Not Okay, Sod Silver, who's in his eighties. He's put
up videos of him doing workouts, doing squats like he's
(31:54):
in really good shape. And his wife has posted these
videos saying he's up at six am every morning, he's
already doing forty five minutes on the treadmill and then
into the waits and his opponent is somebody half his age,
so he's trying to show, you know.
Speaker 17 (32:08):
The k in his ability to He's.
Speaker 2 (32:12):
Looking pretty good, especially for his age and his opponents
half his age, so he's trying to say the magic
of longevity is the key to all of this.
Speaker 17 (32:20):
They have you heard of Viva Dirt League?
Speaker 1 (32:24):
No?
Speaker 2 (32:24):
Oh yes, yes, yes. Why have you heard of them?
Because I've interviewed them before years ago. They're like a
New Zealand online gaming sort of outfit and they do
very very good numbers.
Speaker 17 (32:36):
This, yeah exactly, So they're coming in today. So I'd
never heard of them, and they they should have been
paying attention to my Yeah, but that's the thing that
it seems to me that they're a great success story.
So there's one thing to be a collective, which is
what they were. So this started one of the guys
used to work here.
Speaker 2 (32:53):
Apparently that one of them, we used to be on
Shortened Street too. I think he was an at.
Speaker 17 (32:57):
Everyone's been anyway. So I start watching them yesterday and
they're they're really good. I mean there as genuinely talented
and so the interesting thing. So it starts off in
twenty eleven and it's just a collective of people seeing
round on a sofa, going, hey, let's make some content. Anyway,
these days it's multi it's multi billions in terms of
streams and multi millions in terms of money.
Speaker 2 (33:21):
And YouTube is a big case.
Speaker 17 (33:23):
So what interests me about this is you can you
can exist in this this I don't know ecosphere and
have so many people in the world never having heard
of you, and yet you are a.
Speaker 2 (33:33):
Massive star exactly to the people who do what to
listen to you.
Speaker 17 (33:36):
So they started with these three guys, two of whom
are coming in anyway. They're employing twenty five these days,
so it's a business. It's an industry that they're going
And I thinking like you're making all of this stuff
and how many people know about it versus don't know
about it? You know it's got this delineation.
Speaker 2 (33:50):
Yeah, well a lot of people in a few places.
Speaker 17 (33:54):
I think that's what it's about anyway there where. It's
after eight o'clock this morning, so I'm looking forward to
the chat.
Speaker 2 (33:59):
Nice one. Oh, we have a great day to see tomorrow.
Speaker 1 (34:09):
For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live
to News Talks it'd be from five am weekdays, or
follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.