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July 2, 2025 40 mins

Joe Pisapia (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@JoePisapia17⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) and Chris Welsh (@IsItTheWelsh) recorded this episode of "Leading Off" LIVE on Twitch!

Join Joe Pisapia, Chris Welsh and the Peanuts & Cracker Jacks at 12 p.m. ET at ⁠⁠⁠⁠twitch.tv/fantasypros⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ every weekday for industry-leading fantasy baseball advice and to have your questions answered on the stream!

Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)

Intro - 0:00:00

Signed Juan Gonzalez Jersey Giveaway - 0:00:43

Jacob deGrom - 0:02:15

Zac Gallen - 0:07:35

Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 0:15:12

Edward Cabrera - 0:15:18

Grant Holmes - 0:15:31

Ronald Acuna Jr. - 0:17:02

Matthew Boyd - 0:20:46

Gavin Williams - 0:21:06

Paul Skenes - 0:21:14

Trey Mancini - 0:25:21

Emmet Sheehan - 0:25:58

3 Up, 3 Down - 0:26:17

Randy Arozarena, Hunter Goodman, and George Springer - 0:26:18

Max Fried, Emerson Hancock, and Chase Dollander - 0:26:35

Injury Updates - 0:26:52

MLB Best Bets - 0:33:53

HR Board and HR Calls - 0:33:56

Outro - 0:40:07

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Transcript

Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:05):
Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is leading
off live as b Joey p Jope's appear with me.
Of course is the Welsh and it's all of you,
the Peanuts and the Crackerjacks here on our YouTube channel
and of course on our twitch Twitch dot tv Slash
Fantasy Pros. That's the place to be to watch us
live every single Monday through Friday. So join our Twitch
follow subscribe, use your Amazon Prime account to do that.

(00:27):
Get rid of those nastic commercials because football seasons around
the corner. And the Welsh myself, Scott Bogman will be
here doing football in August before you know it, as
well as all the baseball goodness and you got the
best ball live streams everything on the Twitch plus of
course our YouTube Fantasy Pros MLB. Drop your comments there, subscribe,
bring the belt to the gost Dang and you might
win yourself our July giveaway. That's right, the One Gonzalez,

(00:50):
one God himself, number nineteen. It's autographed by one Gonzales.
It is Pristine Auction certified, so Pristine Auction dot com
is the place to get all your cool jerseys, sports
memorabilia check it out today. And well, somebody brought up
to me yesterday about the Wang Gonzala's error cards, another
one that had the reverse I don't know if you
remember that. I think it was eighty nine, Don Russ.

(01:10):
I want to say eighty nine or maybe ninety one.
It's one of those early nineties, late eighties Don Russ
rookie cards where Wang Gonzalez is one and then it's
like a reverse negative and his numbers backwards in the
other That was one of the better error rookie cards.

Speaker 2 (01:25):
Do you recall this, No, No, I don't the It's
kind of well nowadays they do, like you know, purposeful
error things and image variations, but there's only so there's
only one error card that I really recall from like
you know, post or pre two thousand, and that is
the Billy Ripkin card, which I have actually right back

(01:48):
here with the back.

Speaker 1 (01:49):
I dropped it in the chat. So yeah, it's nineteen ninety,
so I knew it was in that range. It's not
going for nearly as much as it used to.

Speaker 2 (01:57):
Oh yeah, I see that, whereas like, yeah, his number
looks back.

Speaker 1 (02:00):
Number is backs because they rehearse the negative on there
for some odd reason, so pretty hilarious. There good times
and of course good times here major League Baseball. Now
starting with the headlines, look Jokesterdamis is always going to
keep it real. For things that I'm right about, I'm
gonna say I'm right about it, and things when I'm wrong,
I'm going to own it and say when I'm wrong
about something. And I was wrong about Jacob de Grom,

(02:23):
and I couldn't be happier to be wrong about Jacob
de Gram. I'm a fan. I love the guy. He
is near and dear to my heart. But I suffered.
I suffered, not just as a Mets fan, but as
a fantasy manager with Jacob de Gram year after year
after year, and it's been in five years since he's
been relevant. So the fact that he's been on this
streak that he has been on this year is spectacular.

(02:44):
Another start against the Orioles, another dominating performance for him,
five hits over six innings of work, gave up two runs.
He is now nine and two on the season. He
has a two pine three ERA, a point eight to
nine whip, one hundred strikeouts to twenty one walks in
one hundred and one and the F three innings. He
gets the Angels this week. Shout out to Joel Rico,
who might have been the highest of anyone I know.

(03:05):
On de gram is feeling a little bit a little
shaky in the first couple starts there in April, but man,
has he been great. I think it is a distant
memory Welsh too, of the conversation of oh, we might
have to put de gram on the il here mid season.
That ain't happening. He's pitching way too well right now.
So it's just a matter of can the ranger stay
relevant in.

Speaker 2 (03:25):
July or the old uh Jacob de Gramm's got to
be a closer, you know, Like that's.

Speaker 1 (03:29):
Kind of discussions that made sense at the time. I
will say, in order to keep him healthy and away
from Tommy John. But you couldn't do that anyway, it
was inevitable. But continue well and to like what you
were saying.

Speaker 2 (03:41):
You were saying, he's been relevant, he's just been hurt
and that's why that like should he be a reliever,
blah blah blah the thing that they did. And it's
really interesting. I was just looking if you remember me
saying this, like early in the season, you noticed that
de gram had some like usage differences, but he also
had some VLO down. Like you saw that he was
ticking down on some of his velo. His vilo's all

(04:04):
back up. So clearly they kind of went early season,
let's bring you know, let's throw a little bit more
change ups while not throwing your fastball as much or
as hard. Slider not as hard, and that has evened
doubt because everything is back to like within you know,
point whatever fractional points of where it should be as
far as velocity on the slider enforcing. But that's what's

(04:27):
led to the k percentage being lower than usual. But
it hasn't led to any weird results stuff. I mean, yeah,
they I guess the strikeouts are a little bit less.
You're seeing some of those weirder games. But at the
end of the day, he's got a sub three expected
RA with his two ERA walking around five percent, which
again is just a tiny bit more. That's the use
of the change up. But it looks like whatever they've

(04:49):
done and maybe the downtick has helped keep the health. Finally,
and look in here, this is the first time he's
hit one hundred innings since twenty and nineteen. This is
twenty nineteen, the first time he's got to one hundred
innings and everything looks absolutely phenomenal right now, So I
think they found some secret sauce and hopefully now that

(05:11):
things are kind of back up, he's going to be
able to help maintain that health. And we talked about
it on betting prosa Rico and I that he's still
laying into his Jacob de gram Cy Young bet I
don't like it because I think Toreik Scuble is the
most locked of lock. I think he's an MVP candidate
at this point. But legitimately, well, yeah, we talk about

(05:31):
it on there, like everything is contingent. That's my big argument.
Anybody that's not Judge is contingent on Judge being hurt.
But if Judge were to, like, let's say, you know,
get hurt and disappear for a little bit, I don't
think it's a shoe and then a guy like cal
Rawley would just run necessarily run away with especially if
a guy like Turk's Scuble. Wellterik Scuble wins twenty plus
games here, has got way over two hundred, which he

(05:53):
has ten right now in seventeen games, so it's not
ridiculous twenty plus games. He could be in for that,
but he's locked for the cy Young. But you've got
some stuff floating out there that he'd like if something
were to happen to him. Jacob deGrom would be that,
you know that silent guy that walks in because oh
my god, he gets one hundred and fifty innings. We've
always said this, If he gets one hundred and fifty innings,
he's a cy Young candidate and that stays. But just

(06:16):
Rake scoober would have to have to not be there.
So Jagram has been amazing. They found the secret sauce
and things.

Speaker 1 (06:21):
The last guy to win twenty games.

Speaker 2 (06:24):
Ian Kennedy's who comes to my mind, but it's probably
not right. He won like twenty something with the Diamondbacks.

Speaker 1 (06:30):
That's an interesting one. Drop it in the chat everybody,
if you're paying attention.

Speaker 2 (06:34):
Yeah, if someone knows, that would be good. But that's
my argument on there. And again, like it's only in
that if I guess Judge would have to fall off
cal Rowley. You know he's got like a five and
a half war Terrake scoobels in the fours. But if
Scooble would to win twenty plus games have like a
low two E like, I think he's in that. I

(06:54):
think he's in that discussion if Judge doesn't exist.

Speaker 1 (06:57):
Last picture to win twenty games for each team. I'm
looking for this. This is a fun thread. If this
is true. Spencer Strider in twenty twenty three. Okay, so
it wasn't that long ago. I thought it was Strider
I could have Can this be true? I don't. This
doesn't look right to me. Ian Kennedy was on there
twenty eleven.

Speaker 2 (07:15):
Some of these don't look like did Kyle Wright really
have twenty.

Speaker 1 (07:20):
Apparently? Yeah, but I'm looking at this. Garret cole in
twenty nineteen, that sounds right. Justin Verlander twenty nineteen that
also sounds correct. So those are the last couple guys.

Speaker 2 (07:31):
This it's a lot of twenty one games, by the way,
in the last like five or six years.

Speaker 1 (07:35):
It's way more than I'm to dive a little bit
on this one. By the way, speaking of owning els,
I own mine at the top of the show because
I wanted to set a good precedent because Welsh in
the words of Finn, how about that, Zach Gallen, Huh
here mcgrady's saying, I droped Zach Gallon starting he decides
to be good tonight. He's got a great record in
his career against the San Francisco Giants, by the way,

(07:57):
two runs, one earned a ten, ten, ten strikeouts, seven
innings in a win or the Giants. Wesh, what was
this like for you? Watching this because you want the
Dimonbacks to win? You're a Diamondbacks fan at heart. But
yet at the same time, this has gotta be just
just grinding torture to watch him be ten ten strikeout performance.

Speaker 2 (08:18):
Well ten, not today, Satan, We're not doing the gallant thing.
I'm not accepting any l's yet. Listen. I have said
from day one, Zach Zach Allen's one of my favorite pitchers.
He's a super smart guy. He has talent. He like
when things are working. That's always been the thing. When
things are working, he's crazy. That knuckle curve is a

(08:41):
disgusting pitch that he can throw for strikes. Change up
he can throw first pitch strikes on his change up.
It's a great pitch. His fastball is the thing that
has stunk, and it still stinks. It's still not a
super great pitch. I mean he did sit like ninety three,
which is about where you is, but like he could

(09:02):
not throw the curve and the change up for strikes
at all. Listen to the zone percentage fifteen percent on
the knuckle curve, twenty seven percent for the changeup. You
want to know why it was effective because he was
throwing the fastball for strike sixty five percent zone percentage
and the Giants just ate that up. I want Zach
Zach Gallen to be successful. I was definitely I'll take

(09:22):
the l on wanting to draft him this season, but
I don't think one start gets us back. And oh,
Zach Gallen, give me a couple of them, because his
problem all season long is when he can't throw or
trust the fastball, those secondaries start walking guys and then
guys are sitting on the fastball and banging it around.
I need three or four starts before I think Gallon

(09:43):
is back. I know, people, you're not going to probably
get that. You got to go make if you want
to go make a move, go make a move for
Zach Gallen. We know like who he's been, but I've
just been watching him this year and one start isn't
going to change my mind because he does.

Speaker 1 (09:55):
Does two more starts change your mind? And does it
change the mind of contending team who might take a
shot on him?

Speaker 2 (10:04):
Definitely changes the content. If he can show some consistency
over two more starts, one hundred percent changes the trade
value of him. I don't. I think it'll change my
mind a bit, But like.

Speaker 1 (10:15):
Can you be comeback layer of the Year? I save here,
Uncle baby Philly.

Speaker 2 (10:19):
By the way, there's no h he's he's only a zac.
But I I'm just not I'm just not here for
it because like there's nothing in that stuff that he
was throwing there where. I'm like, wow, man, you know,
he was throwing his curveball for a lot and guys
were missing it. No, he got a ton of curveballs
with on fifty three percent rate on his curveball, and

(10:40):
none of them were in the zone. So the Giants
were just hacking at that thing. I'm shocked that his
fastball was as successful as it was, but it had
an average exit velocity of ninety seven against it. So
I Gallan's still gonna get banged around. I'm not fully
buying it, but you know, go pick him up and
maybe I don't start him in the next one. See

(11:01):
if he had it out there one hundred percent.

Speaker 1 (11:02):
He does.

Speaker 2 (11:03):
He feels like a seven years old.

Speaker 1 (11:04):
He's been around a long time. I had to verify
this because I couldn't believe what I was seeing. So
here's the list of guys who won twenty games in
a major league season since nineteen seventy eight. Spencer Strider
in twenty twenty three, Julio Urius in twenty twenty one.
And I kept saying that can't be true, and yeah
it was. I mean Julio Urias. Man. Wow, Uh, there's
a throwback for you. Garrett Cole and Verlander nineteen, Corey Klueber,

(11:25):
Blake Snell in twenty eighteen, Rick Porcello, Ja happ and
next Shures are in twenty sixteen, Jake Arietta in twenty fifteen,
Johnny Cuato and Adam Waynwright in twenty fourteen. Max Schers
are again in twenty thirteen, Jared Weaver in twenty twelve.
Are a Dickey, I remember that year, the big cy
Young Dicky of Where's Ian Kennedy and Kenny twenty eleven? Then? Wow,

(11:48):
is that allow fourteen years ago? Fourteen years ago?

Speaker 2 (11:52):
That felt like that was like twenty eighteen or not century.

Speaker 1 (11:55):
Getting old wellz C. C. Sabaki and Roy Holliday in
twenty ten. Nobody for five years before that, Nobody, Dontre
Willis in two thousand and five, Johann Santana in two
thousand and four, Esteban Lwiza for the White Sox in
two thousand and three. How about that one for Rando
Jamie Moyer in two thousand and three. Also Barry Zito
in twenty two thousand and two. Then in the ninety

(12:17):
eight season you had Rick Helling, John Burkett nineteen ninety three,
with Bill Swift, John Smiley in ninety one, Brett Saberhagen
in eighty nine, Teddygera in eighty six, Mike Bottiker in
eighty four, gay Lord Perry in nineteen seventy eight. So
those are the last guys to win twenty games in
the season for every major league team.

Speaker 2 (12:39):
So again, what's what's interesting about that is like, there's
definitely way more twenty games.

Speaker 1 (12:45):
This is the last one, is what I'm saying.

Speaker 2 (12:48):
Okay, and then I even remember it's kind.

Speaker 1 (12:50):
Of fun, like oh my god, you know, you know
how even in one year though, so very very few guys.
I mean, the eurious one was the one I told yeah,
and I totally forgot that one.

Speaker 2 (13:02):
I think, and it can maybe, like you know, down
talk a little bit of what I'm saying with Treik Scooble.
But at the end of the day, the logic, I think,
all the logic and again you can watch the Betting
Pro Show, we do it all. Almost every award right
now is contingent on like some disaster happening because Otani
is so easy, Judge is so easy. Scoople is so easy.
But in that MVP race, it's like, my idea is

(13:25):
if a Judge is hurt and the Mariners are only
living off of cal Rally and they come back down
to earth a little bit. Drake Scooble's on the team
with the most wins in baseball. He is proving to
be the most valuable player if he had twenty plus
wins a low to era, you know, top one or
two in strikeouts. It's almost like a triple Crown pitcher
who's made their team be the best in baseball, who

(13:47):
is getting to the playoff, winning their division. That's the
thing where like if if Judge were gone to cal
Rally and the Mariners were not make the playoffs. It's like,
do you have a non playoff team catcher or a
pitcher who is like at the top of every single
category making their team better. That's kind of the logic
of it. But it's all illogical though, because all the
the you know, like I said, this isn't even a
fun race. None of these races are fun.

Speaker 1 (14:09):
The AL League is kind of fun right now.

Speaker 2 (14:13):
It's that's the closest one. That's it.

Speaker 1 (14:15):
It's fun. I think the National League Rookie of the
Year could be fun depending on what Miserowski does tonight.
It's gonna be fun for me. When I got him
at ten to one.

Speaker 2 (14:23):
Miserawski, you know, yeah, I mean he is minus funny
right now he has.

Speaker 1 (14:28):
Another good start, Who knows, that might be very fun
for me. But yeah, that's very fun for you. Twenty
wins man. That is a It's one of those anomalies
you see here in the major league seasons. It's it's
also kind of funny. Just remember some of these names.
Dallas Kickel also did it in twenty fifteen. I remember that.
Oh man, Look here's Zach Gollen In twenty twenty three,

(14:48):
seventeen and nine in twenty twenty three. Remember remember when
Zach Gollen was fighting for cy Young's remember that Welsh.

Speaker 2 (14:56):
I do, they were fighting for a world series. I
was there.

Speaker 1 (15:00):
Believable. All right, let's go some of these names too.
As you start like Domingo Herman.

Speaker 2 (15:04):
Like, oh yeah, no, these are it's real, especially when
you get into the like midcheofhoutars like fifteen, that's great.

Speaker 1 (15:12):
And I see you, Chad, I see what you've been
talking about. We'll get to it in the show. That's
a teaser. Yamamoto held the White Sox to one run.
Otani hit another home run, So good day for the Dodgers.
What else is new? Edward Cabrera, he shout out the
Twins for seven innings, continues to just just inflate that
trade stock every single start, struck out, six, walked one.

(15:33):
He was one of our bi lows a couple of
weeks ago. Hopefully you listen. Grant Holmes another really good
performance for him, ten strikeouts, and he has picked up
things quite a bit. You know that injury to Chris
Sale I thought was really gonna hurt this rotation, but really,
Grant Holmes has stepped it up in the last four
or five stars, he's been terrific.

Speaker 2 (15:48):
I you're one hundred percent right about that three and
a half thera right now, a sub four expected ERA
and almost thirty percent k percentage. We kind of talked
about this, I think yesterday on the Show, and we
did it on the Betting Show as well. Braves are
like really far out of the wild card right now.
I think it's like eleven games. Divisionally they're like seven

(16:10):
eight nine games. Maybe it's eleven out of the wild card.
What if the Braves start selling Grant Holmes might be
I don't know, if they go and sell Chris Sale.
I know it's probably on the injury thing here in
a little bit, but Sale was just put on the
sixty day. That's brutal. That could be a season end
er if you lose Sale and you don't pick up
games and you want to start kind of soft selling,

(16:31):
and soft selling is still playing for next year, where
you know, soft selling is like you keep your main pieces,
but maybe you trade Marcelo Zuna, maybe you trade Graham
on the hotness year.

Speaker 1 (16:41):
So that's a guy that could give you both. Yeah,
should be all over him. But You're right. They're seven
and a half out of the wildcard right now in
the National League there, so.

Speaker 2 (16:50):
Yeah, that's a tough thing. Like they could get there,
but if they don't start picking it up in the
next two weeks, they legitimately have to consider them selling
is just a couple of pieces maybe looking for next year.
And that's why I think, I just really think Grant
Holmes could maybe they want to hold on him next year,
but like maybe he could get.

Speaker 1 (17:07):
All the braves. We almost got a sinko stinko last
night from Ronald Acunya of all people, I mean, just
against like Tyler Anderson. What world of the upside down
did I fall into? Or Ronald Acunya can't hit Tyler Anderson.
I don't I don't understand. I just don't get. It's
one of those baseball anomalies where you get a guy
who's like so great and a guy who's so bad,

(17:29):
and you're like, why can't this guy hit this guy?
Or vice versa, like why does why does this hitter? Uh?
You know who's terrible? So good? Against Tarik Skuble, Like,
I don't understand.

Speaker 2 (17:41):
He is a golden sombrera, right Strake Sinko Stinko. But
we needed this stinkos Sinko Stinko. And and you know,
if we get one more, we need to go back
and remember who they were and we need to have
like and we should do this for next season. A
collective graph sad music. No, just like a poster board,
like a poster board. Every time we get one, put
it up on our poster board. Here's a Sinko.

Speaker 1 (18:01):
Sinco like a vision board, but it stinks.

Speaker 2 (18:04):
Yeah, yeah, yeah, like a vision all.

Speaker 1 (18:07):
Right, laser sharp As a question, I have Woodroff coming
off the high O. Sure you do, Sure you do?
Do I drop Sandy al contra Ar not Edwarck Cabrera,
not Jacob Bizarowski, not Clerk Schmidt. Or do I just
drop Woodroff? I think the question is Sandy al contra
or Woodriff? Rest of season?

Speaker 2 (18:25):
Oh man, Sandy, just like he broke BA again, he's breaking.

Speaker 1 (18:30):
I'm taking my chance with Woodriff.

Speaker 2 (18:33):
I mean he's gonna stay. He's the final destination of pictures,
by the way, you know what I mean. Like he's
gonna drive to the park and like two by fours
are gonna fall off of a truck and it's gonna
take his tires out. Like I still am holding out
this hope that Sandy is gonna go to a team.
You know, it could be a team like the Mets
or something, and they could fix it and.

Speaker 1 (18:53):
He could be good.

Speaker 2 (18:55):
I just don't know if Woodruff is any better of
a bet than Sandy right now, but I think you
can make they're one of them. I kind of you
know what I might do, Maybe like as soon as
he gets activated and pitches, maybe you can hold him
on the eyel and see what happens to Woodrow, see
what type of ridiculous disaster final destination trade.

Speaker 1 (19:12):
Michael Harris, I'm just thinking about that because they have
Profar coming back. Profar doesn't help anybody because he can't
play in the playoffs, so no contender is gonna want
him in a deal. But I wonder, Michael Harris, like
somebody might kick the tires on him. That might be interesting.

Speaker 2 (19:24):
I think just age and control. And I mean, they
don't hate him as much as you hate him, so.

Speaker 1 (19:30):
I no one does does. They don't hate him. I'm
just realistic to see. It's the difference. It's a difference
between truth telling and just because it's truth telling that
people don't want to hear and they think it's negative.
It's just honesty. Honesty is my brand. Welsh, big Gene,
what's up, fellas? I have Trout, Adele and Ward. Hello,
so I'm looking to flip one for a starting pitcher.

(19:51):
Best offer? I have gotten his Ward or Adell for
Reese Olsen. What do you think Ward for Reese Olsen
is not terrible?

Speaker 2 (19:58):
Not terrible, definitely not.

Speaker 1 (20:02):
Working his way back.

Speaker 2 (20:04):
Yeah, hell no, my trade Taylor Ward.

Speaker 1 (20:06):
Went our whole run spree right now?

Speaker 2 (20:08):
Good.

Speaker 1 (20:08):
I would do that deal.

Speaker 2 (20:11):
Yeah, rees Olson too, two nine six era expected looks good,
good strikeouts. He's been walking a little bit more. I
know he missed some time because he's only up to
like fifty innings right now and he's not even pitching.
Like where what is his injury status in? Because he
hasn't pitched?

Speaker 1 (20:24):
He was he made a rehab start we just talked
about yesterday. I think it was just yesterday or Monday.
He made a rehab start and shout out to big Gene.
First time here, Big Gene, come subscribe to the channel here,
first time asking a question, So we appreciate you.

Speaker 2 (20:37):
Uh oh yeah, they're saying a Friday, Monday or Sunday.

Speaker 1 (20:42):
We talked about it on the show war for him,
day over the weekend is when he made a start.
I think that's what it was. So there you go,
CC always on top of things. Uh, let's talk about
some sleepers here, good and bad. Matthew Boyd going into
the year was one of my sleepers from the Black Book.
Two runs, five hits, seven innings. He's been terrific, his
eighth victory of the year. He's really held things down
in that rotation. He's been a rock in the Cubs

(21:02):
rotation with Steal out, with Imanaga out. Matthew Boyd's been
very reliable and very quietly. So I just wonder what
he's gonna look like when he crossed one hundred innings threshold.
And then Gavin Williams, another sleeper, has not been so good.
Five and two thirds, seven hits, four runs. So again,
just same old, same old for Gavin Williams and same
old for Paul Skins. Our last headline five scoreless innings,

(21:24):
five strikeouts against the Cardinals. The v Loo's there, but yeah,
he came out with eighty eight pitches and now he's
four and seven with a two oh three e RA.
This is what it was like for Jacob deGrom back
in the day with the Mets do where they just
would not score and he couldn't get a win, and
you know he would have a one point two four ERA.

(21:44):
He was record to be like two and four. It
was just the worst thing you've ever seen this season.

Speaker 2 (21:50):
He and and I can't get over it, Like I know,
it is what it is, but like we're we have
minus money on a pitcher that has four wins on
one of the worst teams in baseball. It's just an
uphill battle when you look at that, like Cy Young
Award winning, not that like fantasy people really care about that,
but it's it's frustrating for Paul Skeens because he's not

(22:11):
going deep and he's not getting wins.

Speaker 1 (22:13):
And in the.

Speaker 2 (22:13):
Betting market, you just look at a player that's minus
money with all those guys ahead, it's just it's an
uphill battle. When guys like Zac Wheeler are good, you
talk about Yamamoto has been really good, there's just there's
too much weird parody in it for a guy like
him to be minus money. They should all probably be
plus money. Now, he could rattle off ten wins and
put together a really good season, but this Pirates team sucks, man,

(22:33):
and they cannot score runs, they cannot get him a lead,
and they cannot hold a lead. It's it's actually crazy.
Over under. I know we did this like last week,
just checking back on it. Over under nine and a
half wins.

Speaker 1 (22:45):
I'm still saying under. I don't think he gets to
the double digits there. I think he ends up with nine,
which is really really sad. I remember, they're gonna sell
more pieces, so Brian Reynolds will be gone, and god
knows what else Bednar will be gone. So even if
he has a lead, they're gonna blow in the nine thing.
It's gonna be the It's a huge ecosystems. Go look
right now, go get your Football Black Book. Okay, it's

(23:06):
right here behind me. Go get it on Amazon. Do
a whole thing about the ecosystems in the NFL and
what they mean for your fantasy team, and my hope
is to do a baseball version of it next year.
But part of it is understanding the bullpens, understanding the
second half situations of teams that are buyers and sellers. Understanding,
the pitching coach, the understanding, all that stuff. That talent

(23:27):
is great, but circumstances are important to help talent live
up to their potential. And I think that's something that
we just pass over too much. By the way, there's
one team that never have a twenty game winner. When
I guess what it is, Oh.

Speaker 2 (23:40):
Never had an I'm not going to get this right
at all.

Speaker 1 (23:47):
Let's go with the Rangers.

Speaker 2 (23:49):
No, the Rangers have no No, only that's his dumbest whenever.

Speaker 1 (23:53):
The Rangers last guy was Rick Helling in nineteen ninety eight.
The Rockies is correct, they have.

Speaker 2 (23:58):
No Really, I thought I was wrong because, well, remember
Baldo Amenne is a crazy year he had.

Speaker 1 (24:04):
It was one of the things that got me into fantasy,
like one of the first things I wrote that got
me into like it got picked up by AP or
something that about Eubaldo Jimenez and I was like, oh
my god, I can write about fantasy sports. Look at me.
So I thought it was Also, it's not so I
don't remember how many wins he had.

Speaker 2 (24:20):
Wow, I thought it Baldo would have got it. So yeah,
that was I think it had like eighteen wins and
it was a crazy year. By the way, while you're
looking that up a little not like crazy breaking news,
but the Braves just designated Alex Ferdugo for assignment to
activate jerks and Profar soil Verdugo gone see a piece
out and Profar is.

Speaker 1 (24:38):
Oh, nineteen and eight Ubaldo in twenty ten, bro what
was his he r at two point eight eight? He
was nineteen and.

Speaker 2 (24:49):
Eight this year doing that in Colorado two hundred.

Speaker 1 (24:51):
And fourteen strikeouts. You walk ninety two guys in two
hundred and twenty.

Speaker 2 (24:55):
But dude, the youngins don't know how great it was
to have a bald Jamenez out there. He was just beloved.

Speaker 1 (25:02):
Was he was an all star. He was terrific. What
were his splits too, I'm curious to see so at home?
He had a three to one nine era in Colorado
two six three on the road that year. He was terrific.
He was terrific. He lasted a long time too, you know,
looking at this like he you know had Cleveland, Baltimore,
remember again up in Baltimore.

Speaker 2 (25:18):
He ate it.

Speaker 1 (25:18):
But hey, he played twelve years in the major leagues
as a pitcher, half of them in Colorado. That's that's
nothing to sneeze at Diamondbacks first base slash outfield Trey
Mancini opted out of his minor league contract. I thought
this was kind of weird timing considering his July but
maybe not so. Man Scene's gonna go out in the
open market. And uh he was hitting three h eight,
three seventy three five twenty two in the PCO with

(25:40):
sixteen homers. Trey Vncini, once upon a time was a
good major league player. He had cancer. He took him
a long time to come back, bounced around a little bit.
But I think he could help a team. I would
not be shocked for him to catch on somewhere else.
I'm just kind of surprised that Diamonbacks were like, hey,
you know, we might chang Josh Nayler in a couple
of weeks. Maybe you want to stick around. You might
be able to help out the team. I just thought
this was a little odd, So keep an eye on

(26:02):
that one. Also, rookie, lookie, Emmicchihan could start Sunday for
the Astro. So if he's on your waiver wire, pick
him up. Now start him against What did I say, Oh.

Speaker 2 (26:13):
Yeah, you met, you said against against the Astros.

Speaker 1 (26:16):
You just said forty against the Astros for the Dodgers,
That's what I'm talking about. Yeah, either way, stardom, that's
what you want to do. Let's get to the ups
and downs. Randy rose Arena stays hot man, How hot
has Randy aros Arena been lately? Two or four with
a solo homer. Those Mariners are hitting the ball. Hunter
Goodman two for four, two solo homers and his return
also recently from injury, and on Canada Day, George Springer

(26:36):
two home runs including a Grand Slam. Pretty cool. The downs.
Max Freed finally a down, four runs and six innings,
not invincible against the Blue Jays. These are two big
wins back to back days for the blue Jays against
the Yankees, Emerson Hancock five runs, one strikeout and six
innings against the Royals and Chase de Lander six runs,
one strikeout in two and two thirds. All right, let's

(26:57):
get to the injuries, because there's a lot of important
stuff to get to here. And the first one is
your Malvarez has been shut down after experiencing renewed soreness.
I think it's time to stick a fork in Alvarez.
The question is how do the Astros react because they
have to they have to get another bat now somewhere
in the trade market. Who do you think it is?
And is Alvarez being toast potentially this year mean that

(27:19):
the Astros might fade here when we get to July, August, September.

Speaker 2 (27:26):
It's all good questions.

Speaker 1 (27:29):
You know.

Speaker 2 (27:29):
If they were like the Braves right now, I think
they'd be selling off. But they're not. They're division leader.
They've still got some of their pitch. I think they're
a weird team. I think they're super weird. I actually
think they could lose this division. I think they've got
a weird collective of pieces. They don't have the best
minor league system, so they're going to have to The
thing that works well for them is they would have
to trade assets because all these assets are close to

(27:52):
the majors. They're all like Triple A ish type of guys,
so you would but they don't have a lot of pitching,
so you'd have to take a guy or to. What
I think this team ends up doing is they make
like a smaller trade. They pick up a smaller.

Speaker 1 (28:05):
Guy because they've they've also got Garcia coming back, Hoavier
coming back, Arraghetti coming back. I'm not saying they want
to trade one of those guys, but they could. Like,
if you're the Baltimore Orioles, would you take Christian Javier
coming back from Tommy John next year for o'hearne and Mullens.

Speaker 2 (28:23):
Maybe, but I yeah, that's a possibility, like a major
league for major league help. Now, yeah, that's actually Baltimore.
That's actually kind of you know what I'm saying, But
that's the true That's what I'm looking at. Like, I
think Ryan O'Hearn is the the cap of the type
of player that they can get, and I think it's
a one. He might not be the best because it's
like Alvarez probably has to come back in d H,
so they need someone to make sure that they're in,

(28:45):
you know, game, They might need an outfield, but I
think that's the type I think they'll they'll unless this
is even worse, which, by the way, the Astros are
like wild, big fat liars. You've got Jeremy Pania who
they're like, it's a small fracture how much they have
not been truth to you, I know, with how untruthful
they've been. Jeremy painea could be out for the season.
We don't really know what Alvarez is. I think they're

(29:07):
in a weird spot that maybe they make a small move.
I think this division is like gettable across the board,
but I don't think they can make a giant move
like you would try to speculate is a really good name.

Speaker 1 (29:19):
If you're them, because it's dirtchy probably at this point,
and the White Sox probably just want out And he's
just saying, you know what, it's actually like just he
filled the outfield bug there. I just don't think you're
gonna get like, maybe just get Robert out of Chicago,
Like just get him out of Chicago and see what happens.

Speaker 2 (29:35):
You know, it's actually a really good fit, by the way,
more that you say that, just because like you know,
that's where they probably want to fill from. And maybe
I think I might need some shortstop help too with
Payne if he's down for a little bit. But like
you could probably give the White Sox just one of
like a Jacob Melton or a Shay one of those
like Triple A.

Speaker 1 (29:56):
They just brought him up right this week, yes, Ray.

Speaker 2 (29:59):
Yeah, Yah. They've given all those guys like a little
bit of a little look. So that's actually all right.

Speaker 1 (30:03):
As Welsh mentioned earlier, Chris Sale goes to the sixty dail.
It's procedural, but it also tells you, like the latter part,
August is when you're getting it back. So this is crushing.
He was so good, well, ch after a bad April,
he was so good. I tell you he re really
had a shot at the cy Young again. That's how
good he was.

Speaker 2 (30:20):
Especially nothing they gave us to Grom and they took
Sale away. Both can't live in the same sphere. It's
a Highlander situation with it.

Speaker 1 (30:27):
Give me the only one. Royce Lewis had a double
and three at bats in his return from the injury
list yesterday. Tyler Glassnell is going to make another start
tomorrow and he's targeting seventy five pitches five innings. That's
what they're targeting. That's what they're hoping for, and he
could potentially be his final one before we're turning next
week for the Dodgers. So faster than we thought. We

(30:48):
thought it might be two more rehab starts. I'm not
surprised they're trying to get him back up to the
big leagues. Let's hope the vlosit is good. Let's hope
he looks good in this one's let's hope for seventy
five pitches in five innings and then actually works out.
Blake Snell is scheduled to face hitters today in live BP.
We'll see how that goes. Remember Wednesday, we always have
our live stream. Joe Ricos joining the Welsh Day on

(31:09):
the YouTube channel four o'clock Eastern to take your questions
because I am going to the beach for July fourth
and having some fun. Grayson Rodriguez through a bullpen session
on Tuesday, if you're still looking forward to him coming back.
Ezekiel Tovar progressed to hitting off of a just batting practice,
excuse me. And then Raphael Devers has been playing through
groin and back tightness and Josh Nayler continues to struggle

(31:31):
with that neck issue keeping him off the field. And
as everybody said in the chat a million times, Brandon woodriff,
which is funny because now it has so many ailments,
you know, like when you see like a player and
it's like this guy obleak in parentheses, like now it's
Brandon woodriff, shoulder, ankle, elbow, so many things are wrong
with him. Well, Sunday he's gonna make his debut, that

(31:54):
debut against the Marlins. So Welsh, you're gonna start him
against the Marlins first start out? Huh, you gotta take that.
You gotta let it run a right, Come on, what
do you gonna do that?

Speaker 2 (32:03):
It's a start that I'm kind interested in. You know what,
I think I will?

Speaker 1 (32:07):
I think I will.

Speaker 2 (32:08):
He had He's had four hundred starts to train for
this day, so I don't care if they're minor league
or not. I think he's ready. God, Brandon Woodroff, he's
gonna get hit by a seagull. Some seagull is gonna
just like fly into his face and he's gonna go
on the aisle. It's gonna be something crazy that happen.

Speaker 1 (32:25):
Brda Woodroff. Heads shoulders kneeds in to. That's kind of
what it looks like. Oh but don't worry, Brandon Woodroff.
I'm sure at some point something will go wrong, and
then when it does, I'll be waiting for you, Brandon Woodruff.
I'll be waiting for you back in rehab. Come back
to us, Brandon. It's safe and warm here in rehab.

(32:49):
We have lots of towels and blankets and ice packs
for your many ailments, whatever ails you, Brandon Woodroff, no matter,
rehabit the place you will return to enjoy your start
in the major leagues, because someday again, soon you'll be back.

(33:09):
You'll be back. No one escapes rehab for long.

Speaker 2 (33:17):
You know what we need? Do you see the movie
as a horror movie called drag Me? I know it
was like we need like, oh, I watch them all
the there's the artwork where like the girls being pulled down.
We need that and Brandon Woodruf's face on it and
it's dragged me back to rehab. That's what That's what
I need.

Speaker 1 (33:36):
Shout out to Cookie Jobs and just resub with Prime,
and also to uh Fotimus Prime who contributed ten channel points. Hey,
I said that right. Why are you laughing at me?
You're gonna have to do that name when I'm gone
in a couple of weeks.

Speaker 2 (33:52):
No, No, you did great, You're you're doing great.

Speaker 1 (33:57):
All right. Let's get to the best bets of the
day with Joey p and the Welsh. My bet got
rained out yesterday with the Mets playing doubleheader today, but
get to watch Miserowski. That's fun, right, sort of kind
of it's fun because they'll make me money hopefully. But
Mets in a bad spot. They got Paralta today and Miserowski.
So instead, let's pivot. We're just pivoting away from games. Instead,

(34:18):
we're going for a big strikeout day. Hunter Brown over
six and a half strikeouts, let's start there. Hunter Brown's
been great this year. He's got the Colorado Rockies. You
know what that means, big time strikeouts. Let's go over there.
Logan Gilbert six and a half strikeouts plus one oh
four against the Kansas City Royals, so we're gonna take
the over there, and the over for Clayton Kershaw just
four and a half against the lowly White Sox at

(34:39):
minus one twenty eight. So those are my three bets,
all k props all day today on Wednesday, Welsh, what
do you have for the people?

Speaker 2 (34:47):
I'm with you on the Hunter Brown one. That one
just jumps out for everybody, So get on that before
any of those numbers move. Colora Rockies stink, So Hunter
Brown over six and a half strikeouts for show Sandy
go in game one. I like the first five money
line that is Nick Pivetta. So I'm backing Nick Pavetta.
So just straight up money line, some tiny bit juice,

(35:09):
but I really like that number, especially that we're not
playing the run line. I am gonna play a run line,
but it's a no run first inning in the second
game San Diego Philly, where I believe that is Cese
and Chris Sanchez holding it down for the first inning,
So nurfy in Game two of San Diego Philly, San
Diego first five money line in game one, one hundred
round strikeouts. Those are my best bets. Pulling it back

(35:31):
after a bad day yesterday betting against Gallen. Gallen got me,
So let's get it back today.

Speaker 1 (35:36):
All right, everybody, don't forget bet five bucks win two
fifty over on FanDuel. When you go to Fancy Pros
dot com slash leading off, that's the place to be again,
that's Fantacybros dot Com slash leading off. And of course
you can download the Betting Pros app, use the tools
and get the premium tools for seven free days only
at Betting Pros. When you use that promo code, leading

(35:58):
off bets smarter, not hard with Betting Pros. All right,
let's get to the home run calls today, I was
again no good. Still twenty five is the number we're
still behind Georgia thirty seven. George started to run away
with the folks whips Besy, far out, Marty, Come on,
make it a race. Let's go, Sammy. Sosa jersey up
for grabs. Of course, you can join our discord to

(36:19):
go put your home run calls in Sosa Jersey from
Pristine Auction dot Com. Welsh, I'm gonna be out the
next couple of days, so I'm taking my dear friend
Sho Hao Tani in perpetuity for today throughout the weekend.
I know he's pitching Sunday, but he can also hit
because Major League Baseball make special rules for special people,
and he's my special boy. Is my special boy? Where

(36:42):
are you going for your home run call today? Welsh?

Speaker 2 (36:45):
Isn't it cool that he can get both stats in
one game in real baseball, but we can't in fantasy.
You have to start with one spot. You don't you
don't get both.

Speaker 1 (36:53):
Don't get me, don't get me started about that. You
know it's funny because you know that one of the
things I hate, or a couple things I hate in
fantasy football. One is tight end premium, and the other thing.

Speaker 2 (37:01):
That I'm also not a fan of tight end so dumb.

Speaker 1 (37:04):
And then the other thing is third round reversal. Third
round reversal started because at one point in time Ladanian
Tomlinson was so good and so much better than everybody
else that if you had him, it was like having
two players. So they created this thing called the third
round reversal. But it doesn't make any sense anymore. It's stupid.
You shouldn't have it anymore because nobody's like that.

Speaker 2 (37:24):
Well, it's it's relevant.

Speaker 1 (37:27):
Tani is the one guy where you could actually make
an argument that a third round reversal is smart, because
when you have Otani, it is having literally two players.
Now you know when he's healthy, So that's that's that's it.
I just wanted to ran, but.

Speaker 2 (37:40):
I still think I agree with you in all those
I think third round reversal is stupid. I think tight
end premium, you think.

Speaker 1 (37:45):
Having him split his two players is still stupid.

Speaker 2 (37:46):
To the dumbest thing on the planet. The dumbest thing
ever is having him two separate players and not making
him one is insanely stupid.

Speaker 1 (37:53):
Do you think so much would get their second pick, Like,
how do you penalize that? Because you want to keep
you want to keep fairness in the league. Let's say
you don't want to do a third round reversal, but
you have Showayotani and there's this this unicorn player, right,
he's a pitcher, he's a hitter. He's dominant at both,
arguably the best hitter in the league, on top of
one of the top fifteen pitchers in the league. So

(38:14):
how do you penalize the person? Will make it fair
for the rest of the league. If somebody has the
one pick and they take Otani, sure there's risk, but
it's also like you're getting two players in one So
would you take away say the third round pick or
whatever the value of Otani the quote unquote pittcher would
be like, as like a fairness to say, like you're
getting the points or getting stats from two guys, Like,
it's not really fair for the rest of the league.

Speaker 2 (38:34):
Well, it's only it only works like that in a
daily league. In a weekly league, you really actually really
never use Otani as a pitcher. He's just a hitter.

Speaker 1 (38:41):
It's just a no little my weekly league, you use
him as both. He accruise points for both.

Speaker 2 (38:46):
Oh yeah, see, I don't play like that. And that's
where I was going to say, if no matter where
he is, he accruse both regardless, that's a different discussion.
I think the third round reversal. If you need fairness,
that's the you don't pitch.

Speaker 1 (38:59):
Picks the second it's a second pick. Overall, they're like, man,
I don't get Otani and I don't get to pick
her anything like that.

Speaker 2 (39:05):
That is true that I don't feel like that's fair either.
Really just do the whole thing normal. But it would
be nice if like you didn't have to switch in
between positions. But that's baseball for you. Ellie day La
Cruz is where I'm gonna go. By the way, I'm
just gonna go with Ellie of the day La Cruises
and that'll be my home rund call today because I
don't have to do a perpetuity until tomorrow where we
have we are off Friday and Joe's off in perpetuity

(39:27):
right now.

Speaker 1 (39:27):
No, I'll be back on Monday. I can't wait, especially
coming off the uh the Britain Woodruff start on Sunday.
If he actually gets to it, maybe.

Speaker 2 (39:35):
Actually start go start quote start to go.

Speaker 1 (39:37):
Quote unquote the start also sad day for the show.
I didn't know this, but apparently Kaisa Trex uh is
no more, no more Kaisa Trex reads just in time
for me to leave. And you know end of the
month where Welsh I thought was gonna have to do one,
one or two? Where you when I was going, I
think I know did in Arizona. I think you probably did.

Speaker 2 (39:58):
Wonder I think I did two. I think I've done
two so far this year.

Speaker 1 (40:02):
I never got any more so the bummer, But what
do you get into? So all those side effects, at
least for now, are gone. Maybe next year they'll return.
You never know. That'll do it for us, But the
story of the game goes on for the Welsh. I'm
Joey p. We'll see it X time. Kids.

Speaker 3 (40:17):
Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.

Speaker 1 (40:21):
If you love the show, the best freeway to support.

Speaker 3 (40:23):
Us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts
or Spotify, Follow us on x, Instagram, and TikTok at
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Crime Junkie

Crime Junkie

Does hearing about a true crime case always leave you scouring the internet for the truth behind the story? Dive into your next mystery with Crime Junkie. Every Monday, join your host Ashley Flowers as she unravels all the details of infamous and underreported true crime cases with her best friend Brit Prawat. From cold cases to missing persons and heroes in our community who seek justice, Crime Junkie is your destination for theories and stories you won’t hear anywhere else. Whether you're a seasoned true crime enthusiast or new to the genre, you'll find yourself on the edge of your seat awaiting a new episode every Monday. If you can never get enough true crime... Congratulations, you’ve found your people. Follow to join a community of Crime Junkies! Crime Junkie is presented by audiochuck Media Company.

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