Fantasy Baseball Advice | Rookies Rundown, MLB Prospects Futures Game Preview, Player Trends (Ep. 1080) - FantasyPros - Fantasy Baseball Podcast

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:05):
Welcome in everybody, the Fantasy Bros. MLB. This is leading
off Live. It is me, Joey p Joe, Pi's Apia
with me. Of course is the Welsh, and it's all
of my beautiful peanuts and cracker Jacks here. I hope
everybody had a lovely holiday weekend. I know I did
a little baseball, little fireworks, a little beach very America.
The Mets beat the Yankees two out of three games.

(00:27):
Frankie Montas beat Carlos Rodon, which just cheer Joy, cheer joy. Welsh,
That's where I'm coming from.

Speaker 2 (00:33):
Welsh.

Speaker 1 (00:34):
It's great to see you. I've missed you. It's been
a couple of days off for me. You've been here
with Joe Rico. Shout out to Joe for holding it down.
But a lot of baseball to talk about. The All
Star lists finally came out. No Mookie Bets, no Juan Soto.
How does that make you feel?

Speaker 2 (00:49):
Makes me feel great? To be honest with you, there's
something I want, like big name play. I especially want
players that should be in it to not go so
we can all shine a spotlight. And how absolutely ridiculous
the system for picking All Stars is everybody's crying like, oh,
George Springers, Oh sorry, Why so I.

Speaker 1 (01:12):
Had a couple of good weeks? Well on soda? Is
that a good six weeks?

Speaker 2 (01:15):
I want everybody to just say about it and then
do something about it, because having fans vote is the
dumbest thing. Javier Baiaz is the starting outfielder in the AL.

Speaker 1 (01:26):
That's pretty dumb. It's pretty dumb. Fra Valdez isn't on
the team. Too stupid.

Speaker 2 (01:30):
But then I found out this weekend, by the way,
what's that. I found out a friend of mine is
best friends with Frankie Montas. Their family is best friends
of Frankie. I'm gonna have to get Frankie on the
show now.

Speaker 1 (01:40):
Right, let's get Frankie on. I want I want to
give my big high five for the big victory.

Speaker 2 (01:44):
Totally random. It was totally random. They're like, hey, by
the way, do you know Frankie Montas, And I'm like, yes,
I do, so does my good friend Joe. And they
said we're best friends. So look out for future best
friend of the show, Frankie Montas. As long as you know.

Speaker 1 (01:56):
It's one thing you need, it's another best friend in
Major League Baseball, of course, we're here on our twitch
Twitch dot tv slash Fantasy Pros. That's the place to
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(02:18):
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(02:40):
They love the white sterling Wan Gonzalez Jersey. It's a
good look at Jersey and people like the throwbacks. That's
what I've learned. They like the throwbacks. They like the
old stuff. Now old stuff is still still useful. Old
stuff like Brandon woodruff, which is where we start today's show,
Brandon Woodriff returned Dark Joe is dead, at least for now.

(03:00):
He allowed one run six innings. He got the w
it was against the Marlins, but still eight strikeouts. I
mean he was good, well show, not just okay, he
was very good. I'm sure on most people's benches like mine,
I wasn't prepared. I wasn't ready for the wood drift.
But this was a very encouraging start. He makes his
next start against the Nationals, so of course I'll throw
him back in the line up this week and I'm

(03:21):
sure he'll go five things and gave about four runs.

Speaker 2 (03:23):
Yeah, I mean, looking at the start, it just it
was like vintage, and that's what you wanted to keep
him with our old terms. He was just vintage wood drift.
He was throwing four different pitch times ten percent or
more of the time, all of them he was throwing
for strikes fifty percent or more that weren't getting hit.
He was getting whiffs on his change up. It all
looks good, it all looks solid, and we're gonna have

(03:44):
to see, like long term, how the fastball kind of maintains.
It's got a little Zach gallinish to him where he
hits ninety five and then he sits ninety three on it.
A lot of sinker, a lot of cutter, a lot
of change up. I just you know, massively encouraging. They
made a move which was pretty crazy in it, which
I know we're going to talk about, but I think,
like locking in this start, it's just like big win.

(04:06):
Like we had so many questions where Woodroff was being
put in the same breath as Zach Allen er al
Contra and we're just not sure about it. And it's like,
all right, he's finally got the hex off of him,
you know, the the Shadow Joe, and the hex is gone.
He went out, got his innings in, got his strikeouts,
He looked to great. He was efficient on a team

(04:27):
that is going to keep pressing the rest of the year.
It's a huge win if you're able to get in
on Woodroff, because now no longer is he in that conversation.
He's not with those guys anymore. He's well well above.

Speaker 1 (04:38):
Nobody wanted him to succeed more than me. I was
the biggest Brandon Woodrow. Well, this is why the dark
Joe character came to the show. In the first place.
It was out of pain and suffering of waiting for
Brandon Woodroffe and as many ailments and rehab starts to
come back. I thought it was a genius picking up
with all these leagues on the jeep. I thought he'd
be back in May, and he didn't make his first

(04:59):
start and told July July. I was promised May and
I got July. That's why I'm upset now. I was
also thinking that it would take a longer time for
Corbyn Carroll to return.

Speaker 2 (05:08):
That was not the case.

Speaker 1 (05:09):
He returned this weekend and I went, really, is that
the best idea? I struck out all four times up
against the Royals, He's zero for nine in the two days.
So well, just out of curiosity, were you as surprise
as I was that Corbyn Carroll returned so quickly? And
are you concerned that corbyin Carroll returns so quickly?

Speaker 2 (05:29):
Yeah? A little bit of both. I was actually I
hadn't gone out to rookie ball a ton in the
last couple of weeks, you know, one hundred and fifteen
every single day. I went out on Thursday in hopes
that Noah Cindergard was going to be pitching of course
he didn't. So I'm just kind of sitting there and
I'm talking with a couple people and we're speculating because
Travis Bizana just returned, we knew Corbyn Carroll, and we're

(05:49):
kind of speculating on the days. So Noah doesn't pitch.
I'm walking out. Look, Corbyn Carroll's in the lineup that night.
We were talking maybe later the next week he would
be in there. Sure enough, he's in the lineup in
the outfield. The next day. He didn't travel and he
just did a session at the stadium and then he's
back up. The reason they said it was they were

(06:11):
tracking his bat speed to see, like, you know, did
he was he losing any bat speed along the way.
His bat speed was normal. He felt comfortable, so they
put him in. I'm not sure if he looks comfortable
one hundred percent. I think it's a little too quick.
I'm still not really sure the the why we brought
you brought him back. I mean this he is done, Like,
why are you pushing him back?

Speaker 1 (06:30):
Because I don't think the Diamondbacks think their season is done? Well, no,
they don't.

Speaker 2 (06:33):
They will, they won't, they won't, they don't.

Speaker 1 (06:35):
On that and I think they brought him back because
they've got six or seven games left here to play
were the All Star break and then he can rest
again after that. I think that's their thinking, which is
kind of Craig Gray to me.

Speaker 2 (06:45):
Yeah, well, I think also like the hopes of maybe
if he was going to be put as as an alternate,
that he wanted to play in the All Star Game,
but yeah, this might be that final week of it.
But yeah, I think it's a little bit worrisome that
he came back so quick, and we saw that little
holding of the shouldering he was doing last year where
he really got manipulated up in the zone, but they
never admitted that it was like his shoulder the entire

(07:06):
time risk stuff that can zap power, you know, whether
it's like we're talking like Hammett's or you know, you're
going high, it's like a little bit lower. But like
if you're getting into that area, I'm worried he's not
gonna be able to turn over the ball. So that
does have me worried about Corbyn Carroll's fantasy value a
little bit the rest of the way, but maybe the
All Star Game another little break after playing a little
bit it's going to be the trick.

Speaker 1 (07:26):
Maybe, well this week, well, Schlitzler's happening. That's right, Schlitler happens.
Can we talk about Schilettler a little bit. I want
to talk about Schilittler because we told you a week
ago on the show. So we next man up. Now
it's part and parcel because we had an injury there
where Clark Schmidt gunder goes the uh Tommy John, which

(07:47):
we knew was going to happen at some point that
was definitely going to be on the horizon for him.
He got hurt. They put him on the il immediately
and they basically were like, nope, you're he's done. It's
it's not gonna be a good situation, which sucks because
Clark Schmid's gone for this year on all of next
year most likely, and now the Yikes have got to
find some more answers in that rotation. Now. Schlitler twenty
four years old, two way two era ninety nine strikeouts,

(08:09):
twenty six walks across seventy six innings.

Speaker 2 (08:12):
Here is some stack cast data from TRIPAA on the
Schlitzler ninety six on the fastball which he's wearing forty
percent of the time, and then he is dropping heavy,
heavy slider usage, which he is pumping ninety miles per
hour fastball, slider, curveball all at least ten percent or

(08:33):
more of the time. Curveball has got about a fourteen
mile per hour differential between the fastball, so pumping ninety
six to ninety seven, throwing it around eighty three. He's
got a really hard slider, which the usage has gone
up this year. So I'm I'm pretty encouraged with the
stuff that Schlitzler's gotten. That he's getting an opportunity now,

(08:53):
I think that was the other thing before. It was
like where ultimately is going to be the opportunity, but
we're gonna have to see him get some swing and
miss stuff. It was like a fourteen percent swinging strike
rate he had in TRIPAA, which is pretty good. Thirty
percent csw percentage again, those are pretty good. But he's
just a big bodied guy with a big fastball slider combo,
and I think he's gonna be worth streaming right out

(09:13):
the gates.

Speaker 1 (09:14):
Yeah, do you think? Well? I think it's hilarious because
this is not the first person that told me this,
and can see if I can find a game over.
We're saying that Schliller just got added to ESPN this
morning because people were looking to pick him up over
the weekend, and this news came out on Saturday. Come on, ESPN,
be better, Like what are we doing here?

Speaker 2 (09:32):
But it sounds like a system where well, I guess
he didn't make his debut because like Yahoo has a
setting in their system where a guy doesn't hit the
wire until they made their debut.

Speaker 1 (09:41):
Whether that's the dumbest thing ever.

Speaker 2 (09:43):
I've played in a bunch of leagues that were like
that way, why don't play there?

Speaker 1 (09:46):
Yeah? The world?

Speaker 2 (09:47):
Well no, you can set it to like open world
where just everybody and then it's only prospects are available
post draft once they've made their debut. That's kind of
the same NFBC standard, though I think it's like they're
not in the system until they've made their debut.

Speaker 1 (10:02):
That's different, and FBC is different. That's a different animal.
It's high stakes. Then everybody's on the same page, so
it's not like somebody's stashing all these prospects and stuff
like that. I understand, But in your casual leagues, if
you're smarter than everybody else, then why are you at
a deficit. I don't like that at all. I think
it's really stupid. But we'll see what he does. I
would stream him this week, and the Yankees are a
good team. I still you have plus money on the

(10:22):
Yankees right now, by the way to win that division.
So I'd be taking that right now before it goes away.
It's gonna go away. Toronto's not gonna stay up there,
boys and girls, is not gonna happen. George Kirby was
terrific Sunday. He had nine strikeouts against the Pirates, six
and a third squirrel sittings in that same game. Paul skeens,
he's pretty good. Ten strikeouts, five innings. Did he get
a win, Welsh? Did he get a win?

Speaker 2 (10:43):
Did he get a win?

Speaker 1 (10:44):
No, he did not get a win.

Speaker 2 (10:45):
No, sir, there was no win. Again, how many wins
does he have on the year? One, two, three, four,
four wins and you're going into.

Speaker 1 (10:54):
The all start a seriously ridiculous. Zach Wheeler was also
ridiculous in a good way. One hit nine innings three
to one win over the Reds. My Zach Wheeler cy
young cheer from the early start of the season looks
pretty good right now, feeling really strong about that bad.

Speaker 2 (11:11):
Boy eleven to one on betting pros. I laid it
out like two months ago, so it's looking at.

Speaker 1 (11:16):
OK, very good. I think I got it at seven
or eight preseason, so I got to look at it again.
It was a mirror there. Trevor Rodgers, the guy that
we talked about last week on the Waiver Wire Show,
a guy we talked about a couple of times, I
think on leading off six and two third shutout innings,
struck out six guys against the Braves. So that's a
real big boy lineup. This was really impressive. This is
probably the most impressive of the Rogers starts for me.
So in a season where nothing has gone right for

(11:38):
the Orioles, it feels like they might have actually found
something here. Now they've got to make sure that they
don't screw it up with this kid, and they just
you know, manages innings a little bit. Next year, have
them puts part of this rotation. You hope you get
Grayson Rodriguez back. Maybe you're smart to go sign somebody else,
but the Orioles, I think, finally in twenty twenty five,
have done something right with Rogers.

Speaker 2 (12:00):
Yeah, it's like something has gone their way to your point.
Now I'm thinking, like, all right, you may you got
it to work. Now trade him, Like that's what we're
gonna end up doing. They're gonna up trading him.

Speaker 1 (12:09):
But yeah, I'd all over this kid if I was
somebody looking a twenty seven year old left hander. Yes, please,
We'll have to see.

Speaker 2 (12:16):
We'll see how long it maintains. That was like some
of the stuff doesn't like jump off of the board.
But you know the K numbers twenty one percent, walk
seven seven percent, so it's like a it's okay, K
minus walk percentage's expected IRA is low threes, which is
really nice. And he's not giving up a bunch of
hard contacts. So those are all pretty promising things. And

(12:36):
it comes with which were talked about a bunch. He's
added velo. It's like a mile and a half to
two miles per hour. He's added on his fastball sinker,
so he keeps us up. He's just gonna be whether
it's like a low league streamer or maybe like a
twelve team in high just like hold at the bottom
end of your rotation. I'm going to keep rolling him out.

Speaker 1 (12:55):
All right, let's get to Matthew Boyd. Another strong before
for him, his ninth win of the year, first time
All Star. Nine strikeouts on the night too, just three hits,
one walk. So again, Boyd one of the great sleepers
going into this year. I know. I talked about him
in the Black Book, I talked about him on the
show and the the preseason stuff. He has exceeded my

(13:16):
wildest expectations. Kevin Gossman two runs, seven hits, five and
two thirty. Kind of a weird start for him. He
walked through, but he did have nine strikeouts, so I'll
take it Emmitt Sheehan held the Astros to one run
over five innings too. Now it'll be tricky to see
what happens because you get Tyler Glasnell coming back next week.
What happens. So eventually here after the All Star break,
you're gonna have Yamamodo, You're gonna have Otani ramping up.

(13:37):
You're going to have glassnow returning, Kershaw, Kershaw, and then
eventually you're gonna get blakes Now. But that seems like
it's more end of July kind of potential.

Speaker 2 (13:47):
Maybe end of July into August. At this point, I
don't think no, No.

Speaker 1 (13:51):
He's already throwing the bullpens and stuff.

Speaker 2 (13:53):
He had another gotten into game action. He's been out
for like three months.

Speaker 1 (13:57):
But he could get in a game action this week.
He faced live hitters on Sunday.

Speaker 2 (14:01):
I'm competitive. I mean, you know, I guess Saturday. But
I mean, if you this isn't the type where you
just like throw him out without some rehab starts. I
think he's gonna do these two weeks of rehabs start.

Speaker 1 (14:13):
Let's think about it. If he's throwing live VP on Saturday,
he'll probably go out and rehabit signment this week, I
would imagine, because that's like the next step, that's usually
the progression.

Speaker 2 (14:23):
If that happens, then yeah, maybe you can get him
reasonably to say he could be back at the end
of July.

Speaker 1 (14:29):
But he will be here before I'm gone.

Speaker 2 (14:31):
I don't think I'm gonna make a bet. I'm gonna
bet you're gone before he's back.

Speaker 1 (14:35):
All right, we'll see, we'll see who's right, who's wrong.
You know who is gone. They have Martinez and Mike Rizzo,
So I guess the championship only buys you so many years.
Ownership has made a change and let the Nationals have
been bad. You want to hang it all on Martinez.
I don't know, you want to hang it all on Rizzo.
I don't know. Rizzo was kind of up against it.
After the World Series. He had to make a decision.

(14:56):
You had to pay Anthony Rendon or Steven Strasburg, and
the answer was none of the about And I get it, like,
at the end of the day that was none of
the above was the correct answer. But coming off as
a World Series, it was tough to make that decision
and not say, well, let's try for the ace. Strasbourg
has been so good, but that contract really set them back.
They lost Bryce Harper, they lost Juan Soto. I get it.

(15:17):
Maybe it's just time for a regime change. But still
ownership's got to spend more.

Speaker 2 (15:21):
Money, you know, at the end of the day, Yeah,
I don't know. Rizzo's really interesting because his hand is
in everything, especially with the draft, and this definitely came
abruptly because you've got the draft a week away. You've
got I mean, you had manager comments about players on Saturday.
You're like, you had this very big involvement. This obviously

(15:43):
came as some big blow up and you got to
wonder if it's beyond just game stuff, because you know,
James Wood is playing really well. Abrams, Bnko and McKinsey
cor like.

Speaker 1 (15:51):
If you if you look at talent evaluation as not
the Nationals problem.

Speaker 2 (15:54):
Yeah, but I'm saying, like players are coming together and
stuff like that, like you don't have the you don't
have the team that's gonna win yet, but it looks
like you've put the pieces together. But okay, so to
your point of talent valuation, it's not the problem. Rizzo
being involved is the craziest part of it because he
he is like a force. He's a scout at heart.
So I wonder if there's kind of culture and maybe

(16:16):
the upcoming draft, because I think this is gonna this
is gonna potentially change what they do in the upcoming draft,
Like this could have been part of the problem, whether
it's you know, Kate Anderson, I mean, we're gonna be
talking about the draft and whatnot because they're at the
tippy top that maybe there was a big difference between
ownership and where the team was heading and what they
were wanting to do that just said we're gonna just

(16:38):
blow this thing up. I really just don't know, but
it sends just ripples in with the draft coming so
close that you're right, Rizzo interesting, Yeah, Rizzo's not a
guy that just would be like you guys figure it out,
like no, he's gonna have an opinion and he's gonna
have final say, and maybe they killed that coming into
the draft, a very important draft for them. So I
don't know. I was shocked by this this morning even
I was like, I was right, like he did.

Speaker 1 (17:01):
I was shocked by Rizzo, not Martinez. That was what
shocked me.

Speaker 2 (17:05):
Yeah, I agree with that. I agree with that.

Speaker 1 (17:06):
You know that they went in mid season and got
rid of both of them that you don't see usually
typically that's not one is Van Ro's got a question,
would you pick up Nick Martinez or Schlitler?

Speaker 2 (17:14):
Nick Martinez has been really good. I would I would
hold with Nick Martinez because there's like there's one of
those things where it's like Kim Schlitzler could be anything.
It could even be Nick Martinez. You know, it's like
the family guy in the box thing, like I'm not
like Schlitzler. Maybe he's gonna really really surprise. It's a
really really tough division. I just think Nick Martinez has

(17:35):
been pretty solid, so I want to hold with him.

Speaker 1 (17:37):
The Brewers demoted Chad Patrick, so that's how you ended
up getting part of woodroff actim also another transaction there
for the brew crew. It was like Andrew Vaughns coming
up because Reeze Hoskins going on the IL. So Chad
Patrick had pitched very well. The expected the IRA was
a little bit higher than the actual era, so I
think the Brewers were like, Jad, you've done a good job.
Now we're gonna let the big boys go in there

(17:57):
and help some more. So we'll see who knows. Maybe
he's part of a trade package somewhere else and he's
a very good job for them. I could see a
lot of teams wanting Chad Patrick rookie lookie time. Joe
Boyle another favorite of the program here. He got the
call up this weekend five scoreless innings in relief. But
what was so interesting about this Welsh It was piggybacking
Drew Rasmussen, who only pitched two innings, who was also

(18:18):
part of our Cell High video last week. You and
I this discussion about what do the innings look like?
What do the ings look like? And then by the weekend.
All of a sudden, ooh, I think we have an
idea what the innings look like, which is he's getting
scaled back. Now. Do you think this is just a
scale back big break for the All Star break? Or
is this the scale back? Oh my god, we're basically
up against it here with Drew Rasmus and the rest
of the season here, and maybe we can't disarm at all.

Speaker 2 (18:40):
I thin guess this is a short term scale back.
This is the type of thing if you're doing long
season management, you've got to look, you know, where are
we going to cap? You know, and like Jerry is saying,
if they're saying one hundred and fifty innings, like where
are we going to pull those innings from to make
sure that they're there in an important time when they're
vying for this division? And that would be like you're
gonna get a break during All Star Game. Do a

(19:02):
couple of these like you know, one, two, three innings.
You've got the you know, these great minor leaguers out
there like Joe Boyle, we had talked about Seemar who's
put in the bullpen. I think this is short lived,
but it still lives in our world of why we
were selling like you had innings caps, you had him
kind of overperforming fatigue. I don't know. Maybe there's a
buy for some of you guys out there right now

(19:24):
for him. If I'm not going to I agree with you,
but you could see it in theory. If like he's
going to have these two innings, I can get him
for next to nothing, that'd be nice. But I'm yeah,
this is just all but the reason.

Speaker 1 (19:35):
Michael wants to know Schlitler or Yuri rest of season.
This is not close for me. It's URI's two start
week coming up. Hopefully he can build on it from
what he had last weekend. It was a really good
start last week. No weeken what week I should say
You's best start so far of twenty twenty five. Chase
Burns also in the rookie lookie one run, two hits,
four and two third again mixed bag, seven strikeouts. Don't

(19:56):
me he had four walks, you work, four guys and
four innings. That's not good. That's jack stuff, brouh, that's
what that is. Also didn't look like great yesterday, but whatever,
we don't have to talk about that. Brady House three
for four with a walk. And RBI. So a good
day for him, but no good days for Jack Kaglio
and struck out twice. I saw people asking the chat,
can can you drop him? You can? You can? I

(20:16):
mean at this point, you know, it's very frustrating. He's
got a one forty eight batting average, it's got one
hundred and fifteen played appearances. It's it's disappointing, it's frustrating.
I think it's a confidence thing more than anything. Right now, Well,
she just doesn't look like he's confident taking at bats.
So maybe you sent him down at Triple A, let
him clear his head, and hopefully you bring him back,
you know, maybe in August. That's what I think the

(20:37):
path is going to be.

Speaker 2 (20:38):
I'm not even sure that they do send him down,
but it's kind of like a Kurtz thing. I mean, well,
you know the difference though with Kurtz. Kurtz was hitting
for average, he wasn't doing anything else. People were complaining
to us while he was hitting like two to eighty,
you know, and it's like that's not the case with Kagliolm.
But like, can't you drop him?

Speaker 1 (20:51):
Sure?

Speaker 2 (20:52):
Yeah, I mean you can, but you know what the
talent is you know, it's five hundred foot homers, and
you know, if he starts to lock in and you
know those chase rates are lower that you know, he's
gonna probably put up like an eight homer month. But
I just we don't know if that's gonna happen. And
we've seen enough of the sample size where if there's
something out there you could you could probably move on comfortably,

(21:12):
especially in short like ten teams. This ain't even a
question twelve teams. I still kind of think you can
if there's something nice out there.

Speaker 1 (21:19):
Yeah, in keeper situations, I'm still holding him because yeah
we're keeper. So if there's any kind of keeper situation,
I'm not letting them go. But if you're in a
redraft twelve team right now, you can let them go.
It's fine. I mean, there's there's you know, sucks. I
was hoping that maybe this weekend, you know, you still
see some signs of life, but you just haven't. And
I still believe in the player. It's just the same
thing with Christian Campbell. Right to believe in the player.

(21:40):
So as the organization. It look how long it took
cam Smith to get going, but look how good he's
been right, Kurt, same thing took a long time. It's
patience and these are not building blocks. They are what
their bonuses. Keep that in mind, that's what they are
speaking of bonuses. It's time for prospecting with the Welsh.
That's right, everybody, because we got ours a fancy futures

(22:01):
game coming up soon, and Welsh, you get talked about
some of them kids, we might get some opportunities to
play in that their futures game. So Welsh, let's start
with a guy here who I actually added in my
home league this past week, and trey Y Savage, who
has been a Yes Savage. I love the kids delivery,
It's super fun, very over the top. I'm trying to

(22:21):
get a comp in my mind of who that reminds
me of, because you'll see a lot of those kind
of guys nowadays in the big leagues.

Speaker 3 (22:27):
Uh.

Speaker 1 (22:28):
But Y Savage has flown through the minor leagues. The
Blue Jays we were reported last week on leading off
that they might actually bring him up at some point
this season. That's how quick this rise has been. So
let's talk about the meteoric rise of trey Ya Savage,
and you look at the stats here for him, too.
They've been pretty spectacular Welsh yep.

Speaker 2 (22:46):
And that's and we're starting in the AL for the
futures game, a pitcher and a hitter, or at least
two players in the AL, two players in the ANNEL.
And I did follow the hitter in pitcher Marker. This
is the only guy that's a double A. Because the
Futures Game is just littered with you got low way,
you got guys like Hazers made that are playing all
the way up to triple A guys, so you know,
picking and choosing between the guys that can make impact

(23:08):
this year is a little bit lower. And this is
a guy that's not at double A or not a
triple A. He's at double A. But you mentioned they
talked about him potentially being in part of that rotation,
and I think they could use the rotation help. And
he has been phenomenal. We're going to see him on stage.
Looks like he's gonna pitch, and with this team competing,
I really think even if you put him in short

(23:29):
stints bullpen, you get him in spots starts. I mean
one hundred and eleven strikeouts over sixty seven innings. He's
got this really nasty splitter and as Joe mentioned this,
overhand delivery, overhand deliveries like long term sustainability or kind
of a question. Lance Sprasdowski's talked about this. It's a
question I have always had over a couple of years.
Anytime you see these guys like Jonah Thong does it,

(23:49):
Y Savage does it. But his stuff is nasty. The
fastball and that splitter combination, I think are going to
really really give fits at the major league level. So
we'll see him in the futures game. Keep a close eye.
I think it's a possibility that he's a guy after
the futures game could just be sent out to Triple A.
And then after that we've seen guys. We saw Chase

(24:10):
Burns get what two starts in Triple A. I don't
think it's out of pocket to say by August you
could see TREGYA Savage in the rotation for the Blue Jays.
So this is a real, real possibility, So keep a
close eye on him. I do think in the short
sample size of what he'd pitch into the season, I
think he could find some good success while hitters are
trying to readjust to him because he's just a little

(24:31):
bit more of a unique guy that hits the zone
with that nasty splitter.

Speaker 1 (24:34):
You know what's so interesting. Duo Tim Linskem was a
guy that had that, you know, a smaller guy obviously,
he had a very over the top because he had
created so much leverage like that. That's almost in my
head when I watch him pitch. He kind of reminds
me a little bit of that. I mean, there's been
another guys too, like Nomo was a very big, over
the top guy. You know, you just it's not something

(24:55):
you see very often. It's funny, actually you have Aldo
him in as a guy we were chatting about last
week had a little of that in him as well.
But he was very over the top, which is really
unique and interesting and I think it creates a very
uncomfortable at bat. So from all the tape that I've
seen on him, that's one thing that stood out. Bryce
Matthews another guy who's standing out in the futures game
in the American League Triple A right now for the
Houston Astros. On the year, fifty one runs, score ten homers,

(25:19):
twenty four steals, hitting two eighty with a four oh
one OBP and an eight eighty ops. Now it's PCL,
but if you go back to twenty and twenty four,
still some pretty good numbers there for him, and that's
what you want to see. You want to see him
producing another spots. So he still had three seventy six
OBP in double A last year. So it is not
a joke. It's not a surprise. But Bryce Matthews a

(25:40):
guy right now who you know. You got to say,
certainly the Astros the longer Alvarez is out, more offense
needs to be found. So is this a piece that
they move potentially to bring in more offense or is
this a kid that we might see in August.

Speaker 2 (25:55):
Well, you also got the injury with Jeremy painyat so
I don't know. I'm not sure they want to come up.

Speaker 1 (26:00):
That's kind of a short termer though, isn't it.

Speaker 2 (26:02):
I mean maybe if they're telling us the truth. I mean,
Alvarez wasn't supposed to be this long term either, So
I don't know. But I don't think he's a trade chip.
They don't have a ton of trade chips, and I
think you want to hold a piece or two, and
I think this is the one they want to He's
one of those like analytical. There are a couple guys
from the draft a couple of years ago who had
these like just analytical standouts to it, just like big evs.

(26:27):
Lou James Grover with the Diamondbacks. Bryce Matthews was another
one of those. And I just don't think they will
because I think he's gonna thrive when getting to Houston
this year. He was in TA last year. He's increased
his max EV from one oh five last year to
above average one eleven. His average EV was about eighty
eight miles an hour last year. It's almost ninety one
this year. Hard hit rate is up and he's got

(26:48):
a great launch angle. It's around thirteen right now, just
about thirteen, so you get him there, I think it's
going to start flying. His problem is strikeouts. He's definitely
got a strikeout problem. This is a guy that obviously
is just trying to strike really hard. But it's a
thirty percent strikeout rate. But ten homers, twenty four stolen bases,
really good impact ball flies off. If he can cut
the strikeouts down, that could even make him more enticing.

(27:11):
But I just wonder if the Astros looked to him
post futures game as well post All Star break as
just like you said, an injection into their offense. Two
years of triple A kind of tells us the story
of a player that can't be there much longer. So
that's why Bryce Matthews is on this list, especially in
the AL, and I think we could see him pretty soon,
and I actually think he could maybe surprise the tiny

(27:33):
bit once he gets to the majors, just because I
think that ballpark is going to farewell for him. So
I would have a little bit more interest maybe than
you would think once he gets called up.

Speaker 1 (27:42):
But long term, he's not going to play SHORTSUF for
this team. With Jeremy Payney there, I think we can agree.

Speaker 2 (27:46):
On that thing. As a superstar, yeah, right.

Speaker 1 (27:49):
So basically we're looking for is We're looking for him
to take over second base eventually. I think that's probably
what you're looking at when it comes to Bryce Matthews.
So if you're looking at dynasty leagues that you know
should make some sense to you in terms of how
to judge his future, let's talk National League futures guys.
Owen Casey the first guy we're going to talk about.
This guy Triple A for the Cubs, this year has
been terrific. Fifty two runs, sixteen homers, thirty nine RBI,

(28:11):
three steals for good measure at two to eighty batting
average a nine to forty four OPS, this seems like
the big chip that if the Cubs are gonna go
get a pitcher, that's gonna get moved. And considering that
they've already put their chips in there for you know,
Kyle Tucker, and they moved camp Smith already, and they
have Pekrol Armstrong, it feels like they have the depth
in the outfield to make this kind of move too,

(28:33):
if they want to.

Speaker 2 (28:34):
I don't think this move of our excitement is him
being a Cub. It's probably gonna him be a Marlin.
I think I've seen the Owen Casey for Sandy Alcantra.
Stuff floated out there his bat just like Bryce Matthews
triple A last year, triple A this year, average ev
is up like over two miles per hour. It's almost

(28:55):
at ninety two miles per hour, gets the ball in
the air, almost fifty two percent hard hit rate. He's
played really well and there's only so much longer he
can be there. But like Bryce Matthews, the strikeout rate
over thirty percent at Triple A is going to have
people concerned, but there's just a big offensive bat. It
kind of reminds me of like how the Marlins got
Kyle Stowers. If they were to go and get an

(29:16):
Owen Casey, I think you would throw him in and
meet probably hitting like behind Augustin Ramirez, and he's like
a five hitter, but there's big, massive power. He is
hitting for average, and you know what, frankly, he has
hit for average at every level double A above, So
regardless of the strikeouts, that speaks well. I'm not sure
if he's ever going to be a superstar or anything
like that, but you know, a fantasy run, we've seen

(29:37):
what Ramirez has done. I think Owen Casey Triple A
he's going to be kind of spotlighted during the futures
game and I think he could be a big trade
ship that probably wherever he's traded, goes in and starts
like in their lineup pretty soon. So keep a close
eye on Owen Casey.

Speaker 1 (29:52):
We've been keeping a close eye on Andrew Painter for
a while and there's been a ton of hype around him,
but he does have an era of four and a
half right now, still striking guys out. I know he
is a arguably the number one pitching prospect in baseball,
and we've had that hype train before not deliver us
to the station. So what do you make of Painters
struggle so far? Triple A, And again I'm saying struggle

(30:13):
in the sense that, like he's had some good outings
and obviously some rocky ones. That's how you get to
a four and a half era. I know sometimes those
numbers can be a little inflated because obviously his innings
are very limited, so of course if he has a
bad start, it's going to low that era up. But
have you seen I think out of Painter recently that
makes you think he can contribute to the Phillies this season?

Speaker 2 (30:32):
Yeah? I still like regardless of what some of those
results look like, I think he has dominant stuff and
I think he is just going to eat when he's there.
And we've talked a lot about Painter, you know, like
there's a lot of guys we could have talked. There's
players we have talked about. Mad I made this a
futures game centric one, talking about players we hadn't up
until this one. But this this specifically stands out to

(30:54):
me because I think post All Star Game, maybe even
announcement during All Star Week, Andrew Painter I think could
get thrown into the rotation. Mick Abels sent down after
the struggles. They got Tywan Walker in the rotation right now,
and god knows when Aaron Nola is going to be there.
The point of Andrew Painter this entire year has been
they were going to build him up until July and

(31:15):
then he was going to be joining the rotation. Guess
what they built him up. He's not pitching in the
futures game specifically, why because I think he's going to
get the call up and post All Star break he
is going to be in the rotation and he's going
to get some starts. Now will that hold, I don't know.
You know, they could bring Nick Abel back, Aaron Nola
could have some positive new like things could happen, but

(31:35):
I think he's going to be there, and regardless of
what some of those results are, he'll throw for He'll
throw a lot in the zone, which I think has
led to a little bit of that era, and I
think they can fix it. But it's a ninety mile
an hour fastball. He's got a ninety plus mile an
hour cutter, which is great. His slider is sick, his
curveball is sick. He's just got the arsenal that I
think he's going to succeed regardless of these results, and

(31:56):
I think weird. I'm going to just predict we're going
to get a nice, sneaky announcement and maybe during that
All Star weekend that Andrew Painter is going to be
up in the majors, uh, in the you know whatever
that would be like in the July twenty range.

Speaker 1 (32:07):
So we've got Wheeler, We've got Sanchez, we've got Ranger.
Swarez Lozardo is not getting bounced, right, You don't think so,
even though he's.

Speaker 2 (32:15):
A Swarez is in the rotation right now because Mickabel's
gone and Aaron Nola is hurt.

Speaker 1 (32:20):
Now, if aaronla is his swore, I counted him Wheeler Sanchoz.

Speaker 2 (32:23):
Walker, I'm sorry, Toylon Walker Walker right now to take
over that able spot.

Speaker 1 (32:29):
Is an Andrew Painter announcement and indictment of the health
of Aaronola.

Speaker 2 (32:33):
I don't think it's an indictment. It could be a
bridge because if Aaron Nola comes back, then he would
get painted. But it could be either way. You could
look at it either way. I'm not gonna read it
as anything to Aaron Nola in that they said they
were going to get him major league starts, and they're
getting him major league starts right after the break at
some expense. Now, if Nola was healthy, that puts a

(32:53):
bigger question, and we always asked, how is this going
to happen? Well, guess what. Pitching health is a farce.
And that's why you know, you got to have six, seven,
eight guys. That's why Chad Patrick had sent down with
the Brewers. He's not getting traded. No, they need depth.
Every team needs depth, and Andrew Painter's gonna provide that
and I think he'll be up very very soon.

Speaker 1 (33:12):
That is prospecting with the Welsh. Make sure you follow
us here on our social media and of course Fantasy
Bros MLB on the YouTube channel. Subscribe so you don't
miss a piece of action here in the world of
Fantasy Baseball. All right, let's take a look at some
ups and downs. We'll get to some questions too. Jackson
Holiday he starts the up, so the four for four
or two run homer. Say, Suzuki is twenty fifth and

(33:33):
Aaron Judge in another home run. That's for you, Welsh.
For me, you're gonna make the board. We'll see, we'll
see the downs from the weekend. Carlos Rodan seven runs,
six earned, was beautiful, so good. Dean Kremer five run,
three strikeouts, and Marcelo Zuna hitting now one seventy seven
twenty for one thirteen and he was sitting yesterday. Color

(33:54):
me concerned about Marcelo Zuna, Welsh.

Speaker 2 (33:57):
Wow, color me traded get this Braves team. I'm just
waiting for them to see the difference though, is like
I don't want to use the word almost did, because
I want to use the word blow up because I
I even though I think they're gonna trade, I don't
think they're gonna blow anything up.

Speaker 1 (34:14):
They're gonna trade Sean Murphy to them to the Tampa
Bay Rays because they need a catcher and they can
play bald. They're gonna do moves like that. That's the
kind of stuff. Maybe Grant Holmes, you know, like maybe
because these arb Glacias.

Speaker 2 (34:28):
Uh, Sean Murphy, maybe Marcello Zoom. I think those are
the pieces that are traded and then they.

Speaker 1 (34:34):
You're not seeing a Counya trade. Jay Chow is thinking
about flipping a Counia for a stud starting pitcher. My
thoughts are, don't do it.

Speaker 2 (34:40):
Don't do it unless it's unless that guy's name is
just like Schooble, Like, it's not a question.

Speaker 1 (34:45):
I get that. That's it. Those are the only two guys,
Wheeler schoobl That's it. Those the only two guys that
would trade a Cooni for end of story.

Speaker 2 (34:51):
I'm not doing it. I'm not doing it regardless. But
I'm not listening for anybody but Terrek scuogl game over.

Speaker 1 (34:56):
Who do I drop with you coming back today? Painter
Estrada or uh oh Ryan.

Speaker 2 (35:02):
Kirkley Estrada, But I'm not sure I want to start
you Darvish starting dimsday, so I'm gonna skip that.

Speaker 1 (35:09):
Here's another one from d tags. Who would you keep
between CAGs, camp Smith, Kurtz and Uri? I would keep Uri.
I would mean keep is very relative term.

Speaker 2 (35:18):
Yeah, do you mean like keep for the rest of
your season.

Speaker 1 (35:20):
Or like in keeper leagues? I won all of them
in redraft. My priority is Uri first, cam Smith to
Kurtz and then CAGs. That's the ranking I have.

Speaker 2 (35:31):
Yeah, Yeah, I mean that's I'm pretty good with that.
Kurtz and camera's super close.

Speaker 1 (35:36):
Jordan Westburg or Trevor story rest of season from m.

Speaker 2 (35:38):
Rich Maybe it's story. I mean Westburg, I'm just I'm
so disheartened with and the injuries and stuff like that.
Like just a quick look here, two forty three nine homers.
A lot of his underlying stuff are there still there?
You know, I'm gonna say, I'm gonna go with Westburg
on this one. I'm gonna stick with Westburg.

Speaker 1 (35:56):
There you go. So with a keeper league, they could
only keep two, so Uri Perez piece and then was
it Kurtz and who was the other one?

Speaker 2 (36:05):
Cag Champ Smith, Cam Smith, Cam Smith. I don't know
if I want to keep a picture in a two
keeper league, especially Uri who just came off of an injury.

Speaker 1 (36:14):
I want to keep Ury Ury Uri. I think Uri.
I think look before Tommy John, Uri was the guy
we were talking about before we were talking about Skeens okay,
And I think people forget that a little bit, and
I think they need to be reminded about it a
little bit because I think this time next year we're
gonna be talking about it the way we talk about
Skis that's.

Speaker 2 (36:32):
Locked in the way his last start was the rest
of the season.

Speaker 1 (36:36):
Uri, but he has the tools, he has the age,
he's already had the surgery. Uri Perez is going to
be a special picture. That's how I feel.

Speaker 2 (36:44):
But those are some those are some special prospects that
like if they get it right too, So you've got
a little bit of time. Maybe right now at Uri,
it'll clearly be Uri if he locks in, but like
if Kags goes on a two month thing or Kurtz
keeps going, it's a bigger question. So you're gonna need
to become.

Speaker 1 (36:56):
This is interesting. Who, Dad, how do you rank Clay
Holmes and Miserrale? Who would you rather have? I guess
the rest of season. Clay Holmes already passed his innings
total for the last two years. And Missowski. You know,
we saw the bad Misroowski with the walks recently in
his last start.

Speaker 2 (37:11):
Man.

Speaker 1 (37:11):
I also my immediate limitations.

Speaker 2 (37:14):
My immediate reaction was to say Misserowski here, but that's
you know, Clay Hoolme's still a sub three era pitcher,
but expected is over four. Giving up a lot more contact,
his k percentage is dropped under twenty percent innings limits.
I think Miserowski for the rest of the year is
probably my my bet.

Speaker 1 (37:34):
I would roll the dice on the upside too, because
I don't know with all the returning pitchers for the Mets,
if Clay Holmes ends up getting bounce in the bullpen
because he has experience pitching out there, you know you
need a big possibility spot. He's a great ground ball pitcher.
And how many times when you get a you know,
somebody like that comes, you know, comes into a game
when you have been on base and you need a
ground ball like Clay Holmes is that kind of guy.
So we'll see injuries. Tommy Edmond hairline fractureing is pinky toe.

(37:58):
We know pinky toe. Well, wtle pay pinky.

Speaker 2 (38:01):
Toe depends to me all the time.

Speaker 1 (38:04):
More foot stuff ta Oscar and Andez. Yeah, injury to
his foot, but it came back clean. His pinky doe
is just fine. You Darvish rejoins the rotation today, as
we said, against the d Backs, Andre sa Menez goes
to a walking boot for the next five to seven days.
He's gonna be reevaluated. After that, the Orioles put Gary
Sanchez on the I l so lots of catching injuries,

(38:25):
but they don't want to.

Speaker 2 (38:29):
They just don't don't want to do it. It's crazy.

Speaker 1 (38:32):
We just don't care for him. We just don't like it.

Speaker 2 (38:34):
Matt trapping back from the Joe piece of Pia is
our new catcher. Anything they can him.

Speaker 1 (38:38):
Out, I could do it. I could. I can catch
a couple of Cole Reagan's is clear to resume throwing
on Monday. Yay for joys Uh code I Sanga. He's
way back making his next start in the major leagues
this weekend. Also looks like Shouan Manya could come back
against the Royals this weekend. To Tyler Glassnell is going
to start Wednesday against the Brewers. Glassnow and Woodroff in

(38:58):
the same couple of days, man I don't know all
the fields, all the fields. Welsh and then Blake'snell faced
hitters on Saturday, so hopefully he's gonna go out on
a rehab assignment soon, which brings us to the best
bets of the day with Joey p and the Welsh
will fly through these because they're running late today. Toronto
on the run line minus one and a half at
minus one eleven. Jose Burrios has been better on the

(39:20):
road this year and against the White Sox. So give
me the Blue Jays to keep rolling here, give me
the Phillies. And Sanchez has been terrific against the Giants,
who can't hit water if they fell out of a boat.
Give me Phillies. Run line minus one and a half
plus one twenty eight Welsh. Did you know that since
the Rafaeld Devers trade, no hitter has more strikeouts than
Raphael Devers, leading the league with twenty five. Just thought

(39:40):
that was a fun fact. Via Code of five Baseball
and Elie de la Cruz. The Steel a base today
at plus two hundred Welsh. Where you going for their
bets today?

Speaker 2 (39:48):
Yeah, I want some strikeouts. So for my bets for
the day, I'm starting off with Christopher Sanchez over five
and a half strikeouts minus one oh five. It's a
relatively decent pairing. Chris Sanchez obviously has still just been
a nice k monster on the year. You're getting almost
even money, So I love Christopher Sanchez in this spot.
Jason junk we talked a whole bunch about he has

(40:09):
had some surprising good strikeout performances four point five over,
he's hovered in that.

Speaker 1 (40:16):
Four Janson Junk. I just want to say, oh did yeah,
Jansen said bergdide.

Speaker 2 (40:23):
I don't, but I think I wrote it that way too,
So I've heard.

Speaker 1 (40:26):
It's not Michael's fault, it's your fault.

Speaker 2 (40:29):
Jansen Junk put over four and a half strikeouts. It's
big plus money and his and his uh, his pitches
have been ramping up. That's the other kind of goofy
thing with it is that we've seen the sixties, seventies,
and he just touched eighties. So I'm going to presume
that this start he's going to be able to push
into the mid eighties, which gives a really really good

(40:49):
possibility to hit that five because he has hit that
quite a few times. So I love this plus one
point thirty Jason Jansen Junk and I'm looking at it
four point five and then Arazon of Diamondbacks over eight
runs you darvish, No, we're not doing that, Zach Gallon.
I'm still not gonna I'm not. And by the way,
Zach Gollan can throw a perfect game today and you're

(41:10):
not gonna come On here and be like, woll you roaded? Nope,
I'm not because I watched them all season. They're gonna
get banged around. Corby Carrol even with his wrist, has
a five hundred BVP plus against you. Darvish, Kutel Marte
hits against him. They're gonna score some runs in this game,
So I'm not putting you Darvish in. I'm not comfortable
with Zach Gallon, but I am comfortable over eight runs

(41:31):
in this game at minus one fourteen.

Speaker 1 (41:33):
I bet on Gallon today in this game, but I
was like, n I just can't do it.

Speaker 2 (41:36):
You're gonna go against him or bet like, oh.

Speaker 1 (41:38):
I was gonna go. I was gonna go with him
against Darvish as well, but you know, Nope, not gonna
do it today. Play way to lose money, But if
you want to make money, make sure you go to
uh fantaspros dot com slash Leading Off, go bet on
FanDuel five bucks, win two fifty if your first bet
hits only on fandel At fantasypros dot com slash Leading
Off and download the Betting Pros app. Use the promo
code leading Off to use seven free of the premium

(42:01):
tools to bet smarter, not harder. All right, let's look
at the home run board. Since last week left you,
I haven't hit any so I don't see where's our
friend Wonkey. Wonkey's at thirty.

Speaker 2 (42:14):
I might be at twenty five. Maybe I'd have to
have that confirmation. But look, here's the big story. Look
at this. George had just a commanding lead, a ridiculously
command and yet George has only a three homer lead
against Marty. So Marty whips and George's four homers between
those three in the top and the Fisher King and

(42:35):
far out geez, but the gap has really closed at
the top of this home run contest.

Speaker 1 (42:40):
Yeah, Wonkee says, you're at twenty six, so you're right here.
I'm not making the board this year. It's fine.

Speaker 2 (42:46):
You're gonna have a big week this week, big week
this week, you can do it.

Speaker 1 (42:50):
I'm taking the La de la Cruz today for home run.
So unless he hits like five, that's not happening. Well,
where are you going for your home run call?

Speaker 2 (42:57):
It's gonna turn Jansen junk In to Jason Junky. You're
saying that's what he's doing. I'm gonna go with katl Marte.
You know, if Corvin's wrist was feeling better, I would
have picked him. He has just hit Darvish like crazy.
But Katil Marte, if you want to play the BVP
world definitely has that as well. I also think runs
are going to be scored, so I'm going to I

(43:18):
just don't feel comfortable backing Corbyn right now after the
injury and everything, So give me Katel Marte to drop
a bomb today and maybe just maybe give me on
that list tomorrow.

Speaker 1 (43:30):
There you go. That'll do it for us everybody, But
the story of the game goes on for the Welsh.
I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids.

Speaker 3 (43:36):
Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.
If you love the show, the best freeway to support
us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts
or Spotify, follow us on x, Instagram, and TikTok at
Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube
dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB

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Fantasy Baseball Advice | Rookies Rundown, MLB Prospects Futures Game Preview, Player Trends (Ep. 1080)

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.css-14f5ked{margin:0;word-break:break-word;display:-webkit-box;-webkit-box-orient:vertical;box-orient:vertical;-webkit-line-clamp:2;overflow:hidden;}Fantasy Baseball Advice | Rookies Rundown, MLB Prospects Futures Game Preview, Player Trends (Ep. 1080)