The Political Trade

The Political Trade

The Political Trade is the only podcast devoted to political freaks and probability geeks seeking fun and profit in the political prediction markets. Host Jeff Joseph joins elite prediction market traders, polling experts, data scientists, and political insiders offering actionable insights on the week’s best trading opportunities. The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. TPT listeners can get a free 10-issue digital subscription at Join in on the political wagering at and we'll match the first $20 you invest. Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @luckboxmag @politicaltrader INSTAGRAM: @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: Show More
July 15, 2020 55 min

Longtime prediction market trader Travis Lloyd, known to PredictIt traders as “baselevel,” brings more than just an impressive (and verified) tale of how he turned a $50 investment into $120,000. He also brings scotch! Travis shares some of his political insights, a trick he uses for achieving upwards of a third of his returns, why he’s negative on negative risk and three trade ideas.


  • Glenlivet 15, FEW Bourbon & Usquaebach’s An Ard Ri

  • The Lincoln Project Goes Down-Ballot & Stone Commutes Home

  • Negative on Negative Risk & Trading the YES Side of Liquid Markets

  • “Two-Cent Tammy” Returns to TPT in the Teens
  • Strong Buy in the Maine Matchup: Collins v Gideon
  • Flynn Clemency — Profit, Without Prediction

  • Hint: Esper de Corpse
  • The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. 

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