June 24, 2025 • 33 mins
Dial up a big pay day at the Detroit Golf Club; Join Pat Fitzmaurice and Bo McBrayer for their top 2025 Rocket Classic picks and predictions!
Can Harry Hall (+3000) continue his hot streak? Will Tony Finau (+4000) regain his footing? Plus, can Jake Knapp jumpstart his summer stretch with a big showing on this Doanld Ross-designed course?
We dive into the betting odds, analyze the favorites and long shots, and reveal our top betting card selections. Plus, we reveal our one-and-done picks to help you maximize your winnings for the PGA season!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)
Intro - 0:00:00
Travelers Championship Recap - 0:00:15
BettingPros App - 0:09:42
Detroit Golf Club Preview - 0:10:23
Novig - 0:13:54
The Favorites - 0:14:58
The Mid-Range Plays - 0:21:56
The Longshots - 0:26:29
Betting Cards Review - 0:25:59
One-&-Done Selections - 0:30:58
Outro - 0:32:35
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
Welcome to the Betting Crows PGA podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris
here with Bo mcbrair. We're going to be previewing this
week's Rocket Classic in Detroit. We'll discuss the course, the odds,
our favorite bets, and we'll make our one and done
picks at the end of the show. But let's start
with a quick recap of the Travelers Championship heartbreak for
Tommy Fleetwood in Connecticut, elation for Ryder Cup captain Keegan Bradley,
(00:23):
who won his second Travelers Championship Sunday on the seventy
second hole of the tournament. The Travelers wasn't quite the
birdie fest we're used to, mainly because of windy conditions
on Friday that drove up scores, but Tommy Fleetwood had
gotten a sixteen under par through three rounds. He went
into Sunday's round with a three shot lead over his
final round, playing partners Keegan Bradley and Russell Henley, both
(00:46):
at minus thirteen. No one else was really a factor
on Sunday other than Jason Day, who got within a
shot or two of the lead before running out of holes.
Scottie Scheffler, Rory McElroy, Harris English all shot sixty fives
on Sunday to get within a few shots the lead,
but they were simply too far back going into Sunday's
round to catch up, so things really boiled down to
(01:06):
that final threesome of Fleetwood, Bradley and Henley. Things were
looking pretty good for Fleetwood and pretty bad for Bradley.
After the fourteenth hole, Bradley was in the middle of
the fourteenth fairway with a sand wedge, hooked it into
a bunker, got a frieda egg lie and wasn't able
to get his bunker shot anywhere near the hole. After
his bogie, he was three shots down with four holes
(01:27):
to play, and Fleetwood still had a two shot lead
over Henley. Then, on the fifteenth hole, a part four,
playing only two hundred and ninety nine yards on Sunday,
Keegan Bradley found a bunker with his tee shot and
just barely reached the front of the green with his approach.
Then Bradley rolled in a thirty seven foot bomb for
Birdie to get back to within two shots. Fleetwood and
Henley both made pars. Then Fleetwood and Henley both bogied
(01:50):
the par three sixteenth they both overcooked their iron shots,
went off the green and back couldn't get up and down.
Bradley had his t shot to fifteen feet and lipped
out a birdie pot the way to tie him for
the lead. So all three players parted the seventeenth Fleetwood
led Bradley by one shot, Henley by two shots. Going
into the final hull, Fleetwood and Bradley both found the
(02:10):
fairway with their drives. Henley found the thick rough, effectively
ending his chances for a win. Fleetwood initially pulled out
a nine iron for his approach from one hundred and
forty eight yards, then changed his mind and went with
a pitching wedge. I know Michael Kim was on Twitter
saying that the wind was hard to judge on the eighteenth.
He also had trouble with club selection. I guess Fleetwood
(02:30):
should have stuck with the nine iron, came up short
of the green with his appro shot faced a fifty
foot chip kegan. Bradley meanwhile stiffed a wedge from one
hundred and thirty eight yards, giving him a birdy attempt
of just under six feet. Fleetwood chipped to within seven feet,
but then his Parpott appeared to hit a spike mark
and missed right. Not sure whether it was going to
go in regardless, but that left Bradley with a short
(02:53):
birdie putt for the win, and he calmly rolled it
in dead center. So as I said before, it was
Keegan Bradley's second Travelers Championship win and he's gotten both
of them in the last three years. Also won in
twenty twenty three. He's a New England native who said
this tournament is like a fifth Major to him. This
was Keegan Bradley's first victory of twenty twenty five and
(03:15):
it will no doubt increase the chatter about the possibility
of Keegan Bradley picking himself to play when he captains
the US Ryder Cup team in the fall. Keegan also
paid off for those of us who had him at
thirty five to one. And as for poor Tommy Fleetwood,
he has now had forty two top ten finishes on
the PGA Tour without a victory. He seems like one
(03:38):
of the nicest guys on tour. He faced the media
afterward and answered questions about losing a tournament he had
in his grasp. He truly did face the music it's
hard not to feel for the guy. Bo your thoughts
on the Travelers Championship.
Speaker 2 (03:52):
It was a really entertaining tournament all the way throughout.
I was pulling for Tommy fleet with as a person
who's never once bet for two Tommy Fleetwood to win
and still haven't, I might start betting on him to
win because what I saw for the first three days
was pretty much business as usual for Tommy. Fleetwood took
a nice three shot lead into Sunday, but he was
(04:16):
the only guy in that final the final three or
four groups that shot over par for the day, And
although the wind was up and a little swirly on Sunday,
there were good scores on the course, but it didn't
come down to the seventy second hole, even though it
was a very momentous two shot swing between those playing partners.
(04:36):
That whole round for Tommy Fleetwood was a disaster. I
think he had three three puts. His approach game was atrocious.
He was missing fairways early in the round, which cost
him a lot of strokes. He gave away that three
shot lead within two or three holes. It was it
was a mess. He was all out of sorts and
(04:57):
it really begs the question of can he win anywhere
like he went earlier in the year on the DP
World Tour. We know he can win, but this is
the kind of performance on a Sunday with a three
shot lead and a field that was very strong. He
couldn't even muster an even par round, which would have
made him win pretty easily. The pressure was on him instantly.
(05:21):
Three shot lead, you're going in, make a couple pars,
You're still the pressure is on everybody in the pack
to catch you. He goes out and makes bogies on
the first three or four holes, and all of a sudden,
his lead's gone, and everybody else in the pack has
kind of got renewed hope, including Scheffler and McElroy and
all those guys that didn't quite have enough. But it
(05:43):
was really dicey, even on the front nine. I didn't
expect to see Tommy Fleetwood stressing by the sixth hole,
but here we were very entertaining tournament, one of the
best tournaments to watch on TV for the whole season,
with the crowds the way they were behind. Bradley Kegan's
a neurotic, totally weird dude, but you find him find
(06:05):
yourself rooting for a guy like that to make that comeback,
even at the expense of somebody who you can't really dislike,
because Tommy Fleetwood's just class personified. But you can always
root four Captain America and he might not even have
to pick himself because at his current rate, he's going
to be an automatic luck pick in the top six.
Speaker 1 (06:25):
He is very close to qualifying automatically. I want to
say he's like eighth or ninth in points. He's right now.
He's eighth right now, So yeah, he is very close,
and like, hats off to the guy like he And yes,
he can be a tough watch because he has one
fidgety fellow out there on the golf course.
Speaker 2 (06:41):
But it makes my blood pressure kind of go up.
As a person who plays really chill and relaxed on
the golf course, I really, I hardly ever take practice swings,
and he's out there doing four to five twirls of
his club each time before even addresses the ball, and
you're like, oh my god, dude, just chill.
Speaker 1 (06:59):
He hit two money shots in that turn, like down
the stretch when he needed at most. He flirted with
the water on the sixteenth Hall knew he had to
get it close, and to do that you have to
come pretty close to the water, just barely cleared it,
came to within fifteen feet and almost had the birdie pot,
just lipped it out. But then that shot on the
(07:19):
eighteenth was just gorgeous, I mean, perfect wet shot, and
that was the kind of shot Tommy Fleetwood needed to
close the deal at some point on the back nine.
Speaker 2 (07:29):
Tommy the whole day was playing not to lose, and
as we know in all sports is that's the quickest
surefire way to lose is when you're playing to not lose.
Keegan Bradley was aggressive all day. He made some mistakes,
which is what happens when you play aggressively, but down
the stretch he played aggressively and was really precise with
(07:50):
his iron shots. And Keegan Bradley with a good iron
game and some putts falling is a dangerous players we
as we saw again, Fleetwood just completely went conservative the
whole day and it shot him in the foot because
he doesn't even hit an he doesn't hit a pitching
wedge one forty eight in neutral wind. That was kind
of a hurting crosswind which he misread and you can't
(08:13):
be short short on that whole location means you're short
sighted either in that fringe or the front bunker that
he had to carry, and he wasn't even He didn't
even carry to the bunker. He was left and short,
and of course left himself after his chip, he was
still right outside of Bradley's line and gave him the
(08:34):
teach for the game. For the tournament winning putt and
hitting the pitch marker or whatever it was. It was
definitely a bump on the green that he didn't see
when he was reading the putt, which I find baffling
that you wouldn't see something on the green that you
could fix, because now you can fix spike marks, you
can fix ball marks, you can fix you can brush
(08:54):
debris out of your line, you can do whatever you want.
He didn't see that. I can't believe he didn't see
that bump on the green that he could have fixed,
because it was what seven feet seven feet outside the
left edge and he would hit dead center. He must
have pushed it a good three inches because I doubt
whether it would have made it even if it didn't
hit the pitch mark the way Bradley's rolled in on
(09:15):
the same line. He was outside the left edge and
it rolled perfectly dead center.
Speaker 1 (09:20):
Tommy could have used more help from his caddy on
club selection and green reading their ball. I don't know.
Speaker 2 (09:25):
We'll just stick to your guns and like have the
like have the mental authority to make a decision and
just stick with it and go for it like Keegan did.
Keegan played how a champion plays, and Tommy played like
a guy with forty two top tens without a victory.
Speaker 1 (09:41):
For Tommy's sake, We're gonna close the curtain on the
Travelers Championship and switch over to the Rocket Classic. We'll
do that in just a moment. Right after bau mcbraer
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Speaker 1 (10:23):
The Rocket Classic returns to the Detroit Golf Club, relatively
new venue on the PGA Tour. I believe this will
be the sixth year at it. It's a course designed
by Donald ross a seven three hundred and seventy yard
par seventy two. This is going to be a birdie fest.
In the six years that this tournament has been played.
Excuse me, so I guess this is going to be
the seventh year at Detroit Golf Club. In the previous
(10:46):
six years, the winning score has been twenty three under
par or better four times. The other two times the
winning score was eighteen under par. Players are going to
have to go along this week if they want to
get their hands on the trophy. This is a bomb
and gouage horse hit driver attack penttance with a wedger
a short iron make a lot of pots. The fairways
(11:06):
are relatively wide and flats, one of the flattest courses
on tour. The rough is not especially thick and penal,
so big hitters do have an advantage this week. The
greens at Detroit Golf Club are on the small side,
and they are a blend of ben grass and poa,
just like we saw this past week at TPC River Highlands.
Cam Davis is the defending champ. He was eighteen under
power here last year to win by one stroke over
(11:29):
Minwu Lee, Aaron Rye, Davis, Thompson, and most notably Aksha Battillo,
who missed a four foot par putt on the final
hole that would have forced a playoff. Cam Davis is
won here twice. He beat with Keen Neeman and Troy
Merritt in a playoff in twenty twenty one. Other recent
winners Ricky Fowler finished minus twenty four and beat Colin
Morrikawa and Adam Hadwin to win here in twenty twenty three,
(11:53):
and Tony Fenow finished minus twenty six here in twenty
twenty two to win in a runaway by five shots.
Temperatures in Detroit are expected to be in the mid
oper eighties throughout the tournament, their afternoon rain chances Thursday
and Friday. Winds are expected to be light throughout the week,
except possibly on Friday, when they could be in the
ten to fifteen mile per hour range. BO What is
(12:14):
it going to take for these players?
Speaker 2 (12:15):
To conquer the Detroit Golf Club Well, in classic Donald
Ross designed form, it's going to be a second shot
golf course, and that leads into a putting contest. So
your longest hitters have the advantage because there's almost no
lateral hazards here, whether it's sand or water. The only
real downfall to not winning at this tournament is not
(12:38):
making enough birdies. And the guys we usually see when
here are long hitters who are also good putters that
kind of thing. And also, if you're closer to the
green after your long drive, you have a shorter, more
easy approach shot, and so approach game does matter because
you want to be close to these pins enough to
(12:59):
have real birdy opportunities. But it's bomb and gouge. It's
make a lot of putts, and I mean a lot
of puts. If you don't make putts this week, you
are gonna be way behind that. It's it's a really
fun tournament for scoring because there's gonna be a lot
of it. Detroit Golf Club is it's pretty vanilla. It's
it's not remarkable in any way, but the field is
(13:23):
pretty strong, I think without even the top guys in
the field it's it's still pretty strong. You got Patrick
Cantley who's had success here before, you have Klin More Kawa.
There are some big names here that should do well,
but the question will be are they gonna do well
enough to beat some up and coming aggressive players who
are going to be playing to win a big check.
Speaker 1 (13:45):
Yeah, it's not a top heavy field, but it's deep.
There's some really interesting mid range and longer shot options.
So we'll get to the Travelers Championship odds in just
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Speaker 1 (14:57):
Let's get to the Rocket Classic odds All odds our
courtesy of DraftKings. As of Monday, no Scottie, no Rory So.
Colin Morikawa is the betting favorite of plus twelve hundred.
Keegan Bradley is plus sixteen hundred, Patrick Cantley plus eighteen hundred,
Ben Griffin plus twenty two hundred, Cameron Young is plus
twenty eight hundred, Hideki Matsiyama, Harry Hall and Seawoo kim
(15:19):
Our plus three thousand, Keith Mitchell and Max Grazerman a
plus thirty five hundred, and at plus four thousand are
Luke Clinton, Wyndham Clark, Tony Finow and Ricky Fowler. Where
is the betting value with this group?
Speaker 2 (15:31):
Baw, It's all the hit at the bottom. I like,
I like skipping Morikawa even though I think he should
do fine here, I don't know if he makes enough birdies.
Keegan Bradley is hot, but it's hard to bet a
guy who with an emotional victory at home the week
before can't lay, can't get out of his own way
this season. Ben Griffin is better on longer courses that
(15:54):
require more of a less of the short iron approaches.
He's not really a bomber, even though he's he's added distance.
Cam Young never wins anything, so it leaves me all
the way down. Starting my card at Harry Hall at
thirty to one. Harry Hall, the Englishman has seven top
twenty finishes in a row. That's really good. And he
(16:14):
actually had to get IV fluids after before Saturdays round
at the Championship and was in the hospital tent for
most before he could tee off on Saturday. That tells
you that he's a gamer. And as he succinctly put it,
how many of you guys out there, if you were
if you were going to make a quarter mill that day,
(16:35):
we're going to call out sick and miss out on
that payday.
Speaker 1 (16:39):
Good point.
Speaker 2 (16:40):
So Harry Hall playing great golf. He fits this golf
course like a glove. He scores a ton of birdies.
He's a very aggressive player with a magical short game,
good putting stroke. I just I really like the value
there at thirty to one for his talent and his
just form is so good right now. And then at
forty to one, I'm going to take a another stab
(17:00):
at Luke Clinton because that dude has all the talent
in the world. And if you're going to go in
a birdie fest, you go to you want to bring
the guy who's got the RPG grenade launcher for just
aggressive play and the ability to go super low. He's
the one guy in this field I can actually see
going twenty eight under.
Speaker 1 (17:20):
Yeah, twenty one year old Luke Clinton does hit it
a mile. He finished tenth in Detroit last year. He's
he's shown a little bit of aptitude for this course.
So we know about that first tour win is coming.
It's coming real very soon, and it would not surprise
me in all if it was this week. I'm with
you on kind of fading Morikawa, like fifth in the
(17:40):
world rankings, one of the best iron players on the planet,
finished second here in twenty twenty three. Yeah, I mean
this tournament largely boils down to putting. In Marikawa ranks
one hundred and ninth it strokes gained putting. I'm with you, Keegan.
You know he's made four trips to Detroit Club for
this event. Best finished was a four fourteenth, and you
(18:00):
have to figure he's just emotionally spent coming off the
big win. Patrick Cantley did finish second here in twenty
twenty two, coming off at twelfth place finish at the
Travelers now is four straight top fifteen finishes in non majors.
But you're right, Bow, he just can't get out of
his way this year. Cameron Young does offer sort of
a nice combination of recent form and course fit. He
(18:23):
was fourth at the Canadian Open, fourth at the US Open,
both earlier this month, although he was only fifty second
last week at the Travelers. But in his last two
Rocket Classics, Young finished sixth and second. As you said, though,
to bet him to win, it's kind of like betting
Tommy Fleetwood.
Speaker 2 (18:41):
So it's exactly like betting Tommy Fleetwood. It's a zero
percent win percentage zero. And actually Tommy Fleetwood's better because
he's actually won eight times abroad. Cameron Young's never won
anything at any professional level maybe except for Cornfairy. I
don't even know the fact on that. Other than at
the top level, he had not won any tournaments despite
(19:02):
coming close many many times. A great skill set, very
very very very bad putter. He makes Colin Morikawa look
like Brad faxa so cam young top five bet. You
might be able to sell me on that one, But
as far as an outright bet.
Speaker 1 (19:19):
No, forty to one seems like a great price for
Tony fenw. Yeah, on a tournament like this, you know
where he's he's won with a twenty six under par score,
but he just hasn't been showing us the top notch
ball striking that he's known for. Like he's he is
outside the top seventy I want to say, in like
(19:40):
strokes gained off the tee and strokes gain unapproach.
Speaker 2 (19:44):
Not good at all. We used to call this the
Tony Feenow Open because we could figure it like it was.
Speaker 3 (19:50):
It was.
Speaker 2 (19:50):
He was always showing up to play well, at least
at Detroit and sometimes at the John Deere, but it
was the this is the this is the type of
tournament where Tony Fena does thrive because it's not difficult
We don't see Tony Fenw show up very well on
tough golf courses. So I guess this is what we
get is Tony Fenw on an easier golf course with
(20:12):
lots of scoring opportunities. I still have my doubts, but
forty to one is tempting.
Speaker 1 (20:17):
Before we move on, bo, I got to mention one
another guy in this group, Keith Mitchell back in action
after first round leader. How are we getting first round
leader odds of fifty five to one on Keith Mitchell.
Speaker 2 (20:29):
It's on my sheet right here. It's on my sheet too.
Like we independently, apart from one another, are going to
both Bet Keith Mitchell first round leader fifty five to one,
it's a lock.
Speaker 1 (20:41):
And he's thirty five to one to win the tournament.
And like mister Thursday, Keith Mitchell's fifty five to one
for the first round leader. Bet, I'm all over that,
all over that.
Speaker 2 (20:53):
It's it seems like stealing because he's been first round
leader what three times this year already? Yes, and it's uh.
It's also he popped up at number two in my model,
completely number two above everybody else. And so yeah, I
don't think he'll win because again, terrible putter, like one
of the worst putters in the pro realm. He's he's
(21:15):
in that territory. But really good ball striker makes a
lot of birdies because he typically is really good on
approach and that that is what it will take this week.
Speaker 1 (21:24):
And he has missed the cut in his last two
Rocket Classics. But hey, we're betting him on Thursday. He's
missed Thursday. Cash that, cash that first round and don't
worry about what Keith Mitchell does the next three days
or maybe the next one day, depending on how things go.
All right, let's run through more of the odds. And
(21:45):
by the way, that was a that was for all
of you who have asked us to talk more about
first round leader bets in the YouTube comments. So there
you go. Uh more odds. Ak she Batia, Davis Thompson,
Rasmus Hoyguard and Minwu Lee or plus forty five hundred,
Matt Fitzpatrick, Chris got her up and Alex Smalley or
plus five thousand, Torborne, Olison, Taylor Moore, Ryan Gerard and
(22:08):
Alex Norn are plus fifty five hundred. Michael Kim and
Matt Wallace are plus six thousand, Kirk Kittiama, Steven Jeger
and Ben Oner plus sixty five hundred. Nikolai hoyguard is
plus seven thousand and a plus seventy five hundred, Tom Kim, Millianogriel,
Michael Thorbjornson and Max Holma. What about this group?
Speaker 2 (22:28):
Bo This group is interesting because a lot of people
are gonna bet ok Shay. I think his odds are
actually gonna get shorter, which I'm not a huge fan of.
He's already too short at forty five to one in
my opinion. Although he's very good with wedge in his hand,
his off the te game has not long hair, a
long hit, not a long hitter, and he doesn't There's
(22:50):
this no requirement to shape shots on this golf course,
so I don't know if he'll have enough birdies in
his tank to get get it done like he almost
did last year. He should have done last year when
he was playing out of his mind. All the other
guys in the fifty to one range fifty five to one, no,
thank you, that's those are all miss prices in the
wrong direction for us. I do have some interest in
(23:11):
Michael Kim, even though he's cooled off sixty to one's
tempting Kirk Kitty Yama, shout out NorCal. He's this is
exactly the type of golf course where he's shown a
penchant this season for a missing a lot of putts,
but his ball striking is vastly improved, and he's kind
of flipped the script on being going from a grinder
(23:32):
who plays better when the conditions are tough too. He's
actually had some pretty good birdie making numbers in these
sorts of tournaments this season. So I will be betting
Kirk Kitty I'm at sixty five to one this week
because he has been making birdies. He has been dominating
part fives, and his wedge game has really been the
catalyst for that. Let's hope he makes more than a
(23:53):
couple putts this year this week, but I have a
feeling that those odds are going to be even sweeter
as we get closer to Thursday. So I'll be watching
Kurt Kitty AMA's line and kind of loading up my
wheelbarrow of betting slips on my guy from Chico, California.
So that's definitely going on there. And then Michael Thorpyjornsen
(24:15):
talk about a miss price seventy five to one. He's
got a new caddie, another NorCal guy. These Stanford guys,
they all stick together. Michael Thorby Jornsen takes over for
Calbert Colin Morcawa, who relieved mister j. J. Jacovac, two
time national champion golfer and two time major winner on
the bag with Colin Morikawa. JJ Jacovac is caddying for
(24:38):
Michael Thorpey Jornsen. Now, I love JJ Jacobac, one of
the best caddies in the entire world. To get Mike,
for Michael thorpyj Ornsen, to get that looper on his
bag is a massive jump from what he had before.
I think Michael Thorbjornsen is the kind of guy that
I would bet an entire ladder on because of who's
(24:59):
on his That's a big upgrade for a guy who's
young and in the very beginning stages of his very
illustrious career coming up.
Speaker 1 (25:09):
Andy should be good to go. He was sidelined for
a couple of weeks with a wrist injury I believe.
Speaker 2 (25:14):
Yeah, that was over a month ago, and they asked
him about it yesterday and he said it feels quote great.
Speaker 1 (25:20):
Good news. It's interesting that Akha Batia, Davis Thompson, and
Minwoolely are all forty five to one, and we're all
part of that four ways second place tie last year.
But none of them have really been in good form.
And I was kind of keeping an eye on Akshay
at the Travelers because he was a guy. I bet
he struggled. He was just not good, not hitting a close,
(25:42):
missing fairways, not pretty. Yeah, Taylor Moore has been kind
of all over the place this season. Fifteen events, five
top twenty fives, five miss cuts. But Taylor Moore is
a horse for this course. He's finished sixth, fourth, and
tenth at the Rocket Classic the last three years. You
mentioned Michael Kimbo. He has cooled off after that hot
(26:02):
stretch he had in February in March, but sixty to
one is a pretty interactive number, and he has some
extra motivation this week as he tries to play his
way into the Open Championship.
Speaker 2 (26:11):
Yeah, he needs a top five finish, Yes he does.
Speaker 1 (26:14):
And Emiliano Grio is kind of interesting. He's had four
straight top twenties, the last coming at the US Open.
Ranks in the top forty and strokes gin an approach
top fifteen strokes gan putting, so I don't mind the
price on him either at seventy five to one. Let's
talk about long shots, bo, who do you like at
odds of eighty to one or longer?
Speaker 2 (26:33):
I gotta go to another guy that I've met in
person who's playing great golf this year, and a guy
who really lashes the ball out there a long way
and has shown just amazing ball striking this year. Rico
Hoey eighty to one for Rico hoy prior of the Philippines.
Just a wonderful human and a really good ball striker.
(26:54):
This guy can go super low as long as he
can make some putts. Another guy cut from the same
cloth as Kurt Kidiyama, where if the putts are following,
this guy can go really ridiculously low because everything else
in his bag seems to be clicking this season. He's
had some He's had numerous high finishes this year in
pretty good fields. So I do think that that's a
miss price in our favor. And then I'll wrap up
(27:16):
my outright card with a guy who we haven't talked
about a lot. I think I've mentioned him a couple
times this year, but he's going out at one hundred
and twenty to one. Number one in my model, Patrick
fishburn and Patrick Fishburne is just the total package, no
real weaknesses. He's not spectacular in any category, but he
is top forty in just about every category that I ran.
Speaker 1 (27:40):
He is.
Speaker 2 (27:41):
Yeah, there's no worse than fifty seventh than any stat
in this field. Number one off the tee and strokes
gained number four and overall ball striking a number four
on strokes gained part five, top ten and birdier better percentage.
Patrick fishburn Big big miss price one hundred and twenty
to one. This guy can light it up and I
really kick. He's the kind of guy that can come
(28:02):
from deep and like, oh, who's Patrick Fishburne. Will you
heard it here?
Speaker 1 (28:06):
I'll throw two more long shots out there. I like
Jake Knapp at eighty to one, big hitter who also
ranks seventy second in strokes gained potting. That's a pretty
good combo for the Detroit Golf Club. Sammy Volamaki one
hundred and fifty to one. He's had two top tens
this year, ranks tenth and strokes gained potting twenty seventh
in strokes gained on approach pretty good price at one
(28:27):
hundred and fifty to one.
Speaker 2 (28:28):
I have two placement bets I want to throw out
there for you because again in the comments, besides first
round leader, they wanted more placement bets. Okay, placement bet
number one Doug gimm At, he's getting plus four hundred
odds to finish top twenty. I really like his lineup here.
Not a bomber, but a very aggressive player who makes
a lot of birdies on easier golf courses like this.
(28:50):
And finally, if you're going to be betting Sammy Volamachi,
you also have to have interest in Aldrich Pottkeater.
Speaker 1 (28:57):
Right, Yeah, man, he after almost winning what was that
the Mexico Open where he lost it to Campbell, he
just he went into the tank after that, So, I
I mean, we know pot Geter can hit it a mile.
Speaker 2 (29:13):
He's got talent, He's got lots of talent, and this
course doesn't have any danger to worry about. So it's
a lot like Mexico in a way.
Speaker 1 (29:22):
Yeah, he's interesting. I just worry he went into he
went up in a puff of smoke after that tournament, though,
that's yeah.
Speaker 2 (29:28):
When the courses got tough after Mexico, the schedule got
really difficult, and he faded away quickly because that's not
his game at this stage twenty years old. I think
he needs a little bit more maturity. And when it
comes to playing these PGA Tour level golf courses, I
would say Detroit Golf Club is as easy as it
gets as something that they play in the contiguous forty
(29:50):
eight states. So I will be throwing a little top
twenty kicker out there for pot gater ranging between plus
five hundred plus seven fifty.
Speaker 1 (29:58):
Who's in your early betting card, but so I have.
Speaker 2 (30:02):
Harry Hall at thirty to one, I have Luke Clinton
at forty to one, Kurt Kitty Yama sixty five to one,
Michael thorbe Jornsen at seventy five to one, Ricoholy eighty
to one, and Patrick Fishburne at one hundred and twenty
to one. I threw in those placement props for top
twenty bets on long shots, and of course a very
nice little five dollars first round leader bet on fifty
(30:24):
five to one Keith Kashmir Mitchell.
Speaker 1 (30:28):
I'm betting Ben Griffin at plus twenty two hundred with
a top ten kicker at plus two ten. I just
I want to ride the hot hand. Griffin has stayed hot.
Luke Clinton I like him too, at forty to one.
And then I have small outrights on Taylor Moore at
fifty five to one, Jake Knapp at eighty to one,
and Sammy Vallamachi at one hundred and fifty to one.
And I am also betting Keith Mitchell for first round
(30:49):
leader at fifty five to one.
Speaker 2 (30:52):
You got a little jingle in your pocket after last week.
Speaker 1 (30:54):
So that's right, that's right after having Keegan, and speaking
of that, it's time for the one and done picks.
I was way behind Bow going into the Travelers Championship,
but I took Kegan Bradley last week. He got me
a big fat check for winning the last elevated event
of the year, three point six million. That's more than
double the roughly three point four million I had banked
for the entire season leading up to the Travelers. BO
(31:16):
had Tom Kim. He tied for fifty fourth, earning fifty
four thousand, two hundred and eighty six and seventy one cents.
BO And because you're such a good friend. I'm going
to chip in twenty nine cents to round you and
up to an even dollar figure. But suddenly, bo, I'm
right back on your bumper here.
Speaker 2 (31:34):
How after winning three point six miller, you still have
more than a half a million behind me.
Speaker 1 (31:40):
I know that's that's how far behind I was. But yes,
you have a little more than seven point six million
in winnings. I'm just over seven million in winnings. But
suddenly it's a competition again, and I'm up first this week.
I'm going to take Ben Griffin the hot stay hot.
Speaker 2 (31:56):
Yeah, and in a sick, a cruel twist of fate,
my first The first like lean I had for first
for Lon and Done last week was Fleetwood, which would
have been really nice, but I ended up going in
a completely different direction because I thought I was gonna
use Fleetwood later for some reason, and now he's not
even in the field. Uh it's for me. It's gonna
(32:18):
come down to have I used Clinton yet, because that's I'm.
Speaker 1 (32:23):
Looking at it right now. You have not used Clinton.
He hasn't been in many events this year, so I
know you've not used him yet.
Speaker 2 (32:30):
I'm gonna use him here, Luke Clinton.
Speaker 1 (32:32):
Luke Clinton for you, Ben Griffin for me, and that's
gonna do it. For this week's Betting Pros PGA podcast.
Please come join us again next week when we will
be previewing the John Deere Classic. Good luck with your
bets until then, so long everyone.
Speaker 3 (32:46):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
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YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros
Welcome to the Betting Crows PGA podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris
here with Bo mcbrair. We're going to be previewing this
week's Rocket Classic in Detroit. We'll discuss the course, the odds,
our favorite bets, and we'll make our one and done
picks at the end of the show. But let's start
with a quick recap of the Travelers Championship heartbreak for
Tommy Fleetwood in Connecticut, elation for Ryder Cup captain Keegan Bradley,
(00:23):
who won his second Travelers Championship Sunday on the seventy
second hole of the tournament. The Travelers wasn't quite the
birdie fest we're used to, mainly because of windy conditions
on Friday that drove up scores, but Tommy Fleetwood had
gotten a sixteen under par through three rounds. He went
into Sunday's round with a three shot lead over his
final round, playing partners Keegan Bradley and Russell Henley, both
(00:46):
at minus thirteen. No one else was really a factor
on Sunday other than Jason Day, who got within a
shot or two of the lead before running out of holes.
Scottie Scheffler, Rory McElroy, Harris English all shot sixty fives
on Sunday to get within a few shots the lead,
but they were simply too far back going into Sunday's
round to catch up, so things really boiled down to
(01:06):
that final threesome of Fleetwood, Bradley and Henley. Things were
looking pretty good for Fleetwood and pretty bad for Bradley.
After the fourteenth hole, Bradley was in the middle of
the fourteenth fairway with a sand wedge, hooked it into
a bunker, got a frieda egg lie and wasn't able
to get his bunker shot anywhere near the hole. After
his bogie, he was three shots down with four holes
(01:27):
to play, and Fleetwood still had a two shot lead
over Henley. Then, on the fifteenth hole, a part four,
playing only two hundred and ninety nine yards on Sunday,
Keegan Bradley found a bunker with his tee shot and
just barely reached the front of the green with his approach.
Then Bradley rolled in a thirty seven foot bomb for
Birdie to get back to within two shots. Fleetwood and
Henley both made pars. Then Fleetwood and Henley both bogied
(01:50):
the par three sixteenth they both overcooked their iron shots,
went off the green and back couldn't get up and down.
Bradley had his t shot to fifteen feet and lipped
out a birdie pot the way to tie him for
the lead. So all three players parted the seventeenth Fleetwood
led Bradley by one shot, Henley by two shots. Going
into the final hull, Fleetwood and Bradley both found the
(02:10):
fairway with their drives. Henley found the thick rough, effectively
ending his chances for a win. Fleetwood initially pulled out
a nine iron for his approach from one hundred and
forty eight yards, then changed his mind and went with
a pitching wedge. I know Michael Kim was on Twitter
saying that the wind was hard to judge on the eighteenth.
He also had trouble with club selection. I guess Fleetwood
(02:30):
should have stuck with the nine iron, came up short
of the green with his appro shot faced a fifty
foot chip kegan. Bradley meanwhile stiffed a wedge from one
hundred and thirty eight yards, giving him a birdy attempt
of just under six feet. Fleetwood chipped to within seven feet,
but then his Parpott appeared to hit a spike mark
and missed right. Not sure whether it was going to
go in regardless, but that left Bradley with a short
(02:53):
birdie putt for the win, and he calmly rolled it
in dead center. So as I said before, it was
Keegan Bradley's second Travelers Championship win and he's gotten both
of them in the last three years. Also won in
twenty twenty three. He's a New England native who said
this tournament is like a fifth Major to him. This
was Keegan Bradley's first victory of twenty twenty five and
(03:15):
it will no doubt increase the chatter about the possibility
of Keegan Bradley picking himself to play when he captains
the US Ryder Cup team in the fall. Keegan also
paid off for those of us who had him at
thirty five to one. And as for poor Tommy Fleetwood,
he has now had forty two top ten finishes on
the PGA Tour without a victory. He seems like one
(03:38):
of the nicest guys on tour. He faced the media
afterward and answered questions about losing a tournament he had
in his grasp. He truly did face the music it's
hard not to feel for the guy. Bo your thoughts
on the Travelers Championship.
Speaker 2 (03:52):
It was a really entertaining tournament all the way throughout.
I was pulling for Tommy fleet with as a person
who's never once bet for two Tommy Fleetwood to win
and still haven't, I might start betting on him to
win because what I saw for the first three days
was pretty much business as usual for Tommy. Fleetwood took
a nice three shot lead into Sunday, but he was
(04:16):
the only guy in that final the final three or
four groups that shot over par for the day, And
although the wind was up and a little swirly on Sunday,
there were good scores on the course, but it didn't
come down to the seventy second hole, even though it
was a very momentous two shot swing between those playing partners.
(04:36):
That whole round for Tommy Fleetwood was a disaster. I
think he had three three puts. His approach game was atrocious.
He was missing fairways early in the round, which cost
him a lot of strokes. He gave away that three
shot lead within two or three holes. It was it
was a mess. He was all out of sorts and
(04:57):
it really begs the question of can he win anywhere
like he went earlier in the year on the DP
World Tour. We know he can win, but this is
the kind of performance on a Sunday with a three
shot lead and a field that was very strong. He
couldn't even muster an even par round, which would have
made him win pretty easily. The pressure was on him instantly.
(05:21):
Three shot lead, you're going in, make a couple pars,
You're still the pressure is on everybody in the pack
to catch you. He goes out and makes bogies on
the first three or four holes, and all of a sudden,
his lead's gone, and everybody else in the pack has
kind of got renewed hope, including Scheffler and McElroy and
all those guys that didn't quite have enough. But it
(05:43):
was really dicey, even on the front nine. I didn't
expect to see Tommy Fleetwood stressing by the sixth hole,
but here we were very entertaining tournament, one of the
best tournaments to watch on TV for the whole season,
with the crowds the way they were behind. Bradley Kegan's
a neurotic, totally weird dude, but you find him find
(06:05):
yourself rooting for a guy like that to make that comeback,
even at the expense of somebody who you can't really dislike,
because Tommy Fleetwood's just class personified. But you can always
root four Captain America and he might not even have
to pick himself because at his current rate, he's going
to be an automatic luck pick in the top six.
Speaker 1 (06:25):
He is very close to qualifying automatically. I want to
say he's like eighth or ninth in points. He's right now.
He's eighth right now, So yeah, he is very close,
and like, hats off to the guy like he And yes,
he can be a tough watch because he has one
fidgety fellow out there on the golf course.
Speaker 2 (06:41):
But it makes my blood pressure kind of go up.
As a person who plays really chill and relaxed on
the golf course, I really, I hardly ever take practice swings,
and he's out there doing four to five twirls of
his club each time before even addresses the ball, and
you're like, oh my god, dude, just chill.
Speaker 1 (06:59):
He hit two money shots in that turn, like down
the stretch when he needed at most. He flirted with
the water on the sixteenth Hall knew he had to
get it close, and to do that you have to
come pretty close to the water, just barely cleared it,
came to within fifteen feet and almost had the birdie pot,
just lipped it out. But then that shot on the
(07:19):
eighteenth was just gorgeous, I mean, perfect wet shot, and
that was the kind of shot Tommy Fleetwood needed to
close the deal at some point on the back nine.
Speaker 2 (07:29):
Tommy the whole day was playing not to lose, and
as we know in all sports is that's the quickest
surefire way to lose is when you're playing to not lose.
Keegan Bradley was aggressive all day. He made some mistakes,
which is what happens when you play aggressively, but down
the stretch he played aggressively and was really precise with
(07:50):
his iron shots. And Keegan Bradley with a good iron
game and some putts falling is a dangerous players we
as we saw again, Fleetwood just completely went conservative the
whole day and it shot him in the foot because
he doesn't even hit an he doesn't hit a pitching
wedge one forty eight in neutral wind. That was kind
of a hurting crosswind which he misread and you can't
(08:13):
be short short on that whole location means you're short
sighted either in that fringe or the front bunker that
he had to carry, and he wasn't even He didn't
even carry to the bunker. He was left and short,
and of course left himself after his chip, he was
still right outside of Bradley's line and gave him the
(08:34):
teach for the game. For the tournament winning putt and
hitting the pitch marker or whatever it was. It was
definitely a bump on the green that he didn't see
when he was reading the putt, which I find baffling
that you wouldn't see something on the green that you
could fix, because now you can fix spike marks, you
can fix ball marks, you can fix you can brush
(08:54):
debris out of your line, you can do whatever you want.
He didn't see that. I can't believe he didn't see
that bump on the green that he could have fixed,
because it was what seven feet seven feet outside the
left edge and he would hit dead center. He must
have pushed it a good three inches because I doubt
whether it would have made it even if it didn't
hit the pitch mark the way Bradley's rolled in on
(09:15):
the same line. He was outside the left edge and
it rolled perfectly dead center.
Speaker 1 (09:20):
Tommy could have used more help from his caddy on
club selection and green reading their ball. I don't know.
Speaker 2 (09:25):
We'll just stick to your guns and like have the
like have the mental authority to make a decision and
just stick with it and go for it like Keegan did.
Keegan played how a champion plays, and Tommy played like
a guy with forty two top tens without a victory.
Speaker 1 (09:41):
For Tommy's sake, We're gonna close the curtain on the
Travelers Championship and switch over to the Rocket Classic. We'll
do that in just a moment. Right after bau mcbraer
tells you about the Betting Pros app.
Speaker 2 (09:52):
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(10:14):
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your trial on the upgrade screen.
Speaker 1 (10:23):
The Rocket Classic returns to the Detroit Golf Club, relatively
new venue on the PGA Tour. I believe this will
be the sixth year at it. It's a course designed
by Donald ross a seven three hundred and seventy yard
par seventy two. This is going to be a birdie fest.
In the six years that this tournament has been played.
Excuse me, so I guess this is going to be
the seventh year at Detroit Golf Club. In the previous
(10:46):
six years, the winning score has been twenty three under
par or better four times. The other two times the
winning score was eighteen under par. Players are going to
have to go along this week if they want to
get their hands on the trophy. This is a bomb
and gouage horse hit driver attack penttance with a wedger
a short iron make a lot of pots. The fairways
(11:06):
are relatively wide and flats, one of the flattest courses
on tour. The rough is not especially thick and penal,
so big hitters do have an advantage this week. The
greens at Detroit Golf Club are on the small side,
and they are a blend of ben grass and poa,
just like we saw this past week at TPC River Highlands.
Cam Davis is the defending champ. He was eighteen under
power here last year to win by one stroke over
(11:29):
Minwu Lee, Aaron Rye, Davis, Thompson, and most notably Aksha Battillo,
who missed a four foot par putt on the final
hole that would have forced a playoff. Cam Davis is
won here twice. He beat with Keen Neeman and Troy
Merritt in a playoff in twenty twenty one. Other recent
winners Ricky Fowler finished minus twenty four and beat Colin
Morrikawa and Adam Hadwin to win here in twenty twenty three,
(11:53):
and Tony Fenow finished minus twenty six here in twenty
twenty two to win in a runaway by five shots.
Temperatures in Detroit are expected to be in the mid
oper eighties throughout the tournament, their afternoon rain chances Thursday
and Friday. Winds are expected to be light throughout the week,
except possibly on Friday, when they could be in the
ten to fifteen mile per hour range. BO What is
(12:14):
it going to take for these players?
Speaker 2 (12:15):
To conquer the Detroit Golf Club Well, in classic Donald
Ross designed form, it's going to be a second shot
golf course, and that leads into a putting contest. So
your longest hitters have the advantage because there's almost no
lateral hazards here, whether it's sand or water. The only
real downfall to not winning at this tournament is not
(12:38):
making enough birdies. And the guys we usually see when
here are long hitters who are also good putters that
kind of thing. And also, if you're closer to the
green after your long drive, you have a shorter, more
easy approach shot, and so approach game does matter because
you want to be close to these pins enough to
(12:59):
have real birdy opportunities. But it's bomb and gouge. It's
make a lot of putts, and I mean a lot
of puts. If you don't make putts this week, you
are gonna be way behind that. It's it's a really
fun tournament for scoring because there's gonna be a lot
of it. Detroit Golf Club is it's pretty vanilla. It's
it's not remarkable in any way, but the field is
(13:23):
pretty strong, I think without even the top guys in
the field it's it's still pretty strong. You got Patrick
Cantley who's had success here before, you have Klin More Kawa.
There are some big names here that should do well,
but the question will be are they gonna do well
enough to beat some up and coming aggressive players who
are going to be playing to win a big check.
Speaker 1 (13:45):
Yeah, it's not a top heavy field, but it's deep.
There's some really interesting mid range and longer shot options.
So we'll get to the Travelers Championship odds in just
a moment, but first, a quick word about no Vig.
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Speaker 1 (14:57):
Let's get to the Rocket Classic odds All odds our
courtesy of DraftKings. As of Monday, no Scottie, no Rory So.
Colin Morikawa is the betting favorite of plus twelve hundred.
Keegan Bradley is plus sixteen hundred, Patrick Cantley plus eighteen hundred,
Ben Griffin plus twenty two hundred, Cameron Young is plus
twenty eight hundred, Hideki Matsiyama, Harry Hall and Seawoo kim
(15:19):
Our plus three thousand, Keith Mitchell and Max Grazerman a
plus thirty five hundred, and at plus four thousand are
Luke Clinton, Wyndham Clark, Tony Finow and Ricky Fowler. Where
is the betting value with this group?
Speaker 2 (15:31):
Baw, It's all the hit at the bottom. I like,
I like skipping Morikawa even though I think he should
do fine here, I don't know if he makes enough birdies.
Keegan Bradley is hot, but it's hard to bet a
guy who with an emotional victory at home the week
before can't lay, can't get out of his own way
this season. Ben Griffin is better on longer courses that
(15:54):
require more of a less of the short iron approaches.
He's not really a bomber, even though he's he's added distance.
Cam Young never wins anything, so it leaves me all
the way down. Starting my card at Harry Hall at
thirty to one. Harry Hall, the Englishman has seven top
twenty finishes in a row. That's really good. And he
(16:14):
actually had to get IV fluids after before Saturdays round
at the Championship and was in the hospital tent for
most before he could tee off on Saturday. That tells
you that he's a gamer. And as he succinctly put it,
how many of you guys out there, if you were
if you were going to make a quarter mill that day,
(16:35):
we're going to call out sick and miss out on
that payday.
Speaker 1 (16:39):
Good point.
Speaker 2 (16:40):
So Harry Hall playing great golf. He fits this golf
course like a glove. He scores a ton of birdies.
He's a very aggressive player with a magical short game,
good putting stroke. I just I really like the value
there at thirty to one for his talent and his
just form is so good right now. And then at
forty to one, I'm going to take a another stab
(17:00):
at Luke Clinton because that dude has all the talent
in the world. And if you're going to go in
a birdie fest, you go to you want to bring
the guy who's got the RPG grenade launcher for just
aggressive play and the ability to go super low. He's
the one guy in this field I can actually see
going twenty eight under.
Speaker 1 (17:20):
Yeah, twenty one year old Luke Clinton does hit it
a mile. He finished tenth in Detroit last year. He's
he's shown a little bit of aptitude for this course.
So we know about that first tour win is coming.
It's coming real very soon, and it would not surprise
me in all if it was this week. I'm with
you on kind of fading Morikawa, like fifth in the
(17:40):
world rankings, one of the best iron players on the planet,
finished second here in twenty twenty three. Yeah, I mean
this tournament largely boils down to putting. In Marikawa ranks
one hundred and ninth it strokes gained putting. I'm with you, Keegan.
You know he's made four trips to Detroit Club for
this event. Best finished was a four fourteenth, and you
(18:00):
have to figure he's just emotionally spent coming off the
big win. Patrick Cantley did finish second here in twenty
twenty two, coming off at twelfth place finish at the
Travelers now is four straight top fifteen finishes in non majors.
But you're right, Bow, he just can't get out of
his way this year. Cameron Young does offer sort of
a nice combination of recent form and course fit. He
(18:23):
was fourth at the Canadian Open, fourth at the US Open,
both earlier this month, although he was only fifty second
last week at the Travelers. But in his last two
Rocket Classics, Young finished sixth and second. As you said, though,
to bet him to win, it's kind of like betting
Tommy Fleetwood.
Speaker 2 (18:41):
So it's exactly like betting Tommy Fleetwood. It's a zero
percent win percentage zero. And actually Tommy Fleetwood's better because
he's actually won eight times abroad. Cameron Young's never won
anything at any professional level maybe except for Cornfairy. I
don't even know the fact on that. Other than at
the top level, he had not won any tournaments despite
(19:02):
coming close many many times. A great skill set, very
very very very bad putter. He makes Colin Morikawa look
like Brad faxa so cam young top five bet. You
might be able to sell me on that one, But
as far as an outright bet.
Speaker 1 (19:19):
No, forty to one seems like a great price for
Tony fenw. Yeah, on a tournament like this, you know
where he's he's won with a twenty six under par score,
but he just hasn't been showing us the top notch
ball striking that he's known for. Like he's he is
outside the top seventy I want to say, in like
(19:40):
strokes gained off the tee and strokes gain unapproach.
Speaker 2 (19:44):
Not good at all. We used to call this the
Tony Feenow Open because we could figure it like it was.
Speaker 3 (19:50):
It was.
Speaker 2 (19:50):
He was always showing up to play well, at least
at Detroit and sometimes at the John Deere, but it
was the this is the this is the type of
tournament where Tony Fena does thrive because it's not difficult
We don't see Tony Fenw show up very well on
tough golf courses. So I guess this is what we
get is Tony Fenw on an easier golf course with
(20:12):
lots of scoring opportunities. I still have my doubts, but
forty to one is tempting.
Speaker 1 (20:17):
Before we move on, bo, I got to mention one
another guy in this group, Keith Mitchell back in action
after first round leader. How are we getting first round
leader odds of fifty five to one on Keith Mitchell.
Speaker 2 (20:29):
It's on my sheet right here. It's on my sheet too.
Like we independently, apart from one another, are going to
both Bet Keith Mitchell first round leader fifty five to one,
it's a lock.
Speaker 1 (20:41):
And he's thirty five to one to win the tournament.
And like mister Thursday, Keith Mitchell's fifty five to one
for the first round leader. Bet, I'm all over that,
all over that.
Speaker 2 (20:53):
It's it seems like stealing because he's been first round
leader what three times this year already? Yes, and it's uh.
It's also he popped up at number two in my model,
completely number two above everybody else. And so yeah, I
don't think he'll win because again, terrible putter, like one
of the worst putters in the pro realm. He's he's
(21:15):
in that territory. But really good ball striker makes a
lot of birdies because he typically is really good on
approach and that that is what it will take this week.
Speaker 1 (21:24):
And he has missed the cut in his last two
Rocket Classics. But hey, we're betting him on Thursday. He's
missed Thursday. Cash that, cash that first round and don't
worry about what Keith Mitchell does the next three days
or maybe the next one day, depending on how things go.
All right, let's run through more of the odds. And
(21:45):
by the way, that was a that was for all
of you who have asked us to talk more about
first round leader bets in the YouTube comments. So there
you go. Uh more odds. Ak she Batia, Davis Thompson,
Rasmus Hoyguard and Minwu Lee or plus forty five hundred,
Matt Fitzpatrick, Chris got her up and Alex Smalley or
plus five thousand, Torborne, Olison, Taylor Moore, Ryan Gerard and
(22:08):
Alex Norn are plus fifty five hundred. Michael Kim and
Matt Wallace are plus six thousand, Kirk Kittiama, Steven Jeger
and Ben Oner plus sixty five hundred. Nikolai hoyguard is
plus seven thousand and a plus seventy five hundred, Tom Kim, Millianogriel,
Michael Thorbjornson and Max Holma. What about this group?
Speaker 2 (22:28):
Bo This group is interesting because a lot of people
are gonna bet ok Shay. I think his odds are
actually gonna get shorter, which I'm not a huge fan of.
He's already too short at forty five to one in
my opinion. Although he's very good with wedge in his hand,
his off the te game has not long hair, a
long hit, not a long hitter, and he doesn't There's
(22:50):
this no requirement to shape shots on this golf course,
so I don't know if he'll have enough birdies in
his tank to get get it done like he almost
did last year. He should have done last year when
he was playing out of his mind. All the other
guys in the fifty to one range fifty five to one, no,
thank you, that's those are all miss prices in the
wrong direction for us. I do have some interest in
(23:11):
Michael Kim, even though he's cooled off sixty to one's
tempting Kirk Kitty Yama, shout out NorCal. He's this is
exactly the type of golf course where he's shown a
penchant this season for a missing a lot of putts,
but his ball striking is vastly improved, and he's kind
of flipped the script on being going from a grinder
(23:32):
who plays better when the conditions are tough too. He's
actually had some pretty good birdie making numbers in these
sorts of tournaments this season. So I will be betting
Kirk Kitty I'm at sixty five to one this week
because he has been making birdies. He has been dominating
part fives, and his wedge game has really been the
catalyst for that. Let's hope he makes more than a
(23:53):
couple putts this year this week, but I have a
feeling that those odds are going to be even sweeter
as we get closer to Thursday. So I'll be watching
Kurt Kitty AMA's line and kind of loading up my
wheelbarrow of betting slips on my guy from Chico, California.
So that's definitely going on there. And then Michael Thorpyjornsen
(24:15):
talk about a miss price seventy five to one. He's
got a new caddie, another NorCal guy. These Stanford guys,
they all stick together. Michael Thorby Jornsen takes over for
Calbert Colin Morcawa, who relieved mister j. J. Jacovac, two
time national champion golfer and two time major winner on
the bag with Colin Morikawa. JJ Jacovac is caddying for
(24:38):
Michael Thorpey Jornsen. Now, I love JJ Jacobac, one of
the best caddies in the entire world. To get Mike,
for Michael thorpyj Ornsen, to get that looper on his
bag is a massive jump from what he had before.
I think Michael Thorbjornsen is the kind of guy that
I would bet an entire ladder on because of who's
(24:59):
on his That's a big upgrade for a guy who's
young and in the very beginning stages of his very
illustrious career coming up.
Speaker 1 (25:09):
Andy should be good to go. He was sidelined for
a couple of weeks with a wrist injury I believe.
Speaker 2 (25:14):
Yeah, that was over a month ago, and they asked
him about it yesterday and he said it feels quote great.
Speaker 1 (25:20):
Good news. It's interesting that Akha Batia, Davis Thompson, and
Minwoolely are all forty five to one, and we're all
part of that four ways second place tie last year.
But none of them have really been in good form.
And I was kind of keeping an eye on Akshay
at the Travelers because he was a guy. I bet
he struggled. He was just not good, not hitting a close,
(25:42):
missing fairways, not pretty. Yeah, Taylor Moore has been kind
of all over the place this season. Fifteen events, five
top twenty fives, five miss cuts. But Taylor Moore is
a horse for this course. He's finished sixth, fourth, and
tenth at the Rocket Classic the last three years. You
mentioned Michael Kimbo. He has cooled off after that hot
(26:02):
stretch he had in February in March, but sixty to
one is a pretty interactive number, and he has some
extra motivation this week as he tries to play his
way into the Open Championship.
Speaker 2 (26:11):
Yeah, he needs a top five finish, Yes he does.
Speaker 1 (26:14):
And Emiliano Grio is kind of interesting. He's had four
straight top twenties, the last coming at the US Open.
Ranks in the top forty and strokes gin an approach
top fifteen strokes gan putting, so I don't mind the
price on him either at seventy five to one. Let's
talk about long shots, bo, who do you like at
odds of eighty to one or longer?
Speaker 2 (26:33):
I gotta go to another guy that I've met in
person who's playing great golf this year, and a guy
who really lashes the ball out there a long way
and has shown just amazing ball striking this year. Rico
Hoey eighty to one for Rico hoy prior of the Philippines.
Just a wonderful human and a really good ball striker.
(26:54):
This guy can go super low as long as he
can make some putts. Another guy cut from the same
cloth as Kurt Kidiyama, where if the putts are following,
this guy can go really ridiculously low because everything else
in his bag seems to be clicking this season. He's
had some He's had numerous high finishes this year in
pretty good fields. So I do think that that's a
miss price in our favor. And then I'll wrap up
(27:16):
my outright card with a guy who we haven't talked
about a lot. I think I've mentioned him a couple
times this year, but he's going out at one hundred
and twenty to one. Number one in my model, Patrick
fishburn and Patrick Fishburne is just the total package, no
real weaknesses. He's not spectacular in any category, but he
is top forty in just about every category that I ran.
Speaker 1 (27:40):
He is.
Speaker 2 (27:41):
Yeah, there's no worse than fifty seventh than any stat
in this field. Number one off the tee and strokes
gained number four and overall ball striking a number four
on strokes gained part five, top ten and birdier better percentage.
Patrick fishburn Big big miss price one hundred and twenty
to one. This guy can light it up and I
really kick. He's the kind of guy that can come
(28:02):
from deep and like, oh, who's Patrick Fishburne. Will you
heard it here?
Speaker 1 (28:06):
I'll throw two more long shots out there. I like
Jake Knapp at eighty to one, big hitter who also
ranks seventy second in strokes gained potting. That's a pretty
good combo for the Detroit Golf Club. Sammy Volamaki one
hundred and fifty to one. He's had two top tens
this year, ranks tenth and strokes gained potting twenty seventh
in strokes gained on approach pretty good price at one
(28:27):
hundred and fifty to one.
Speaker 2 (28:28):
I have two placement bets I want to throw out
there for you because again in the comments, besides first
round leader, they wanted more placement bets. Okay, placement bet
number one Doug gimm At, he's getting plus four hundred
odds to finish top twenty. I really like his lineup here.
Not a bomber, but a very aggressive player who makes
a lot of birdies on easier golf courses like this.
(28:50):
And finally, if you're going to be betting Sammy Volamachi,
you also have to have interest in Aldrich Pottkeater.
Speaker 1 (28:57):
Right, Yeah, man, he after almost winning what was that
the Mexico Open where he lost it to Campbell, he
just he went into the tank after that, So, I
I mean, we know pot Geter can hit it a mile.
Speaker 2 (29:13):
He's got talent, He's got lots of talent, and this
course doesn't have any danger to worry about. So it's
a lot like Mexico in a way.
Speaker 1 (29:22):
Yeah, he's interesting. I just worry he went into he
went up in a puff of smoke after that tournament, though,
that's yeah.
Speaker 2 (29:28):
When the courses got tough after Mexico, the schedule got
really difficult, and he faded away quickly because that's not
his game at this stage twenty years old. I think
he needs a little bit more maturity. And when it
comes to playing these PGA Tour level golf courses, I
would say Detroit Golf Club is as easy as it
gets as something that they play in the contiguous forty
(29:50):
eight states. So I will be throwing a little top
twenty kicker out there for pot gater ranging between plus
five hundred plus seven fifty.
Speaker 1 (29:58):
Who's in your early betting card, but so I have.
Speaker 2 (30:02):
Harry Hall at thirty to one, I have Luke Clinton
at forty to one, Kurt Kitty Yama sixty five to one,
Michael thorbe Jornsen at seventy five to one, Ricoholy eighty
to one, and Patrick Fishburne at one hundred and twenty
to one. I threw in those placement props for top
twenty bets on long shots, and of course a very
nice little five dollars first round leader bet on fifty
(30:24):
five to one Keith Kashmir Mitchell.
Speaker 1 (30:28):
I'm betting Ben Griffin at plus twenty two hundred with
a top ten kicker at plus two ten. I just
I want to ride the hot hand. Griffin has stayed hot.
Luke Clinton I like him too, at forty to one.
And then I have small outrights on Taylor Moore at
fifty five to one, Jake Knapp at eighty to one,
and Sammy Vallamachi at one hundred and fifty to one.
And I am also betting Keith Mitchell for first round
(30:49):
leader at fifty five to one.
Speaker 2 (30:52):
You got a little jingle in your pocket after last week.
Speaker 1 (30:54):
So that's right, that's right after having Keegan, and speaking
of that, it's time for the one and done picks.
I was way behind Bow going into the Travelers Championship,
but I took Kegan Bradley last week. He got me
a big fat check for winning the last elevated event
of the year, three point six million. That's more than
double the roughly three point four million I had banked
for the entire season leading up to the Travelers. BO
(31:16):
had Tom Kim. He tied for fifty fourth, earning fifty
four thousand, two hundred and eighty six and seventy one cents.
BO And because you're such a good friend. I'm going
to chip in twenty nine cents to round you and
up to an even dollar figure. But suddenly, bo, I'm
right back on your bumper here.
Speaker 2 (31:34):
How after winning three point six miller, you still have
more than a half a million behind me.
Speaker 1 (31:40):
I know that's that's how far behind I was. But yes,
you have a little more than seven point six million
in winnings. I'm just over seven million in winnings. But
suddenly it's a competition again, and I'm up first this week.
I'm going to take Ben Griffin the hot stay hot.
Speaker 2 (31:56):
Yeah, and in a sick, a cruel twist of fate,
my first The first like lean I had for first
for Lon and Done last week was Fleetwood, which would
have been really nice, but I ended up going in
a completely different direction because I thought I was gonna
use Fleetwood later for some reason, and now he's not
even in the field. Uh it's for me. It's gonna
(32:18):
come down to have I used Clinton yet, because that's I'm.
Speaker 1 (32:23):
Looking at it right now. You have not used Clinton.
He hasn't been in many events this year, so I
know you've not used him yet.
Speaker 2 (32:30):
I'm gonna use him here, Luke Clinton.
Speaker 1 (32:32):
Luke Clinton for you, Ben Griffin for me, and that's
gonna do it. For this week's Betting Pros PGA podcast.
Please come join us again next week when we will
be previewing the John Deere Classic. Good luck with your
bets until then, so long everyone.
Speaker 3 (32:46):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
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