Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Josh:
26 years ago, a human athlete ran the 1500-meter race in 3 minutes and 26 seconds. (00:00):
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Josh:
And ever since then, the record had never been beaten. (00:07):
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Josh:
We've had seven Olympics, the latest Nike running shoes, and no one has been able to beat it. (00:10):
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Josh:
But over the weekend, a humanoid robot out of China crushed it in 2 minutes (00:14):
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Josh:
and 21 seconds. This was the World Humanoid Olympics that was hosted in China over five days. (00:19):
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Josh:
And these robots are crushing human-based Olympic events. (00:26):
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Josh:
They ran a faster 100 meter than Usain Bolt. They jumped higher than the Olympic record. (00:30):
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Josh:
And they broke 1500 meter and the 400 meter races. (00:35):
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Josh:
We're talking about 2000 robots from over 16 countries that competed in 55 Olympic (00:38):
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Josh:
events. These are the same events that humans compete every four years. (00:44):
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Josh:
And the contrast between last year's Robot Olympics and this year's is vastly (00:48):
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Josh:
different. And we're going to get into all of that on today's episode. (00:53):
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Ejaaz:
This is a visual episode where like, if you're not watching, (00:56):
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Ejaaz:
you're probably going to want to watch these videos because they're insane. (00:58):
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Ejaaz:
This is also a funny episode because one year ago, we actually filmed the first (01:01):
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Ejaaz:
annual Robot Olympics. We are here now for our second annual pretty much any event on the show. (01:05):
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Josh:
Yeah, we're on the zone. To talk about the show. (01:09):
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Ejaaz:
I mean, dude, just look at the visual of the sound screen. This looks like it's (01:11):
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Ejaaz:
AI generated, but it is not AI generated. What we're seeing run across the screen (01:13):
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Ejaaz:
is an army of robots that are perfectly in sync. (01:18):
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Ejaaz:
For this event, the scale is huge. I think the total amount of robots competing (01:21):
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Ejaaz:
is up 300% year over year. (01:26):
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Ejaaz:
And the amount of teams is up like 200% year over year. (01:29):
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Ejaaz:
And the most interesting statistic is 96% of all the robots that competed in (01:32):
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Ejaaz:
this Olympics are all Chinese made. (01:36):
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Ejaaz:
This is the China event. And it's kind of sad because I was looking at humanoid (01:39):
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Ejaaz:
robots from the US and I was like, oh boy, we might just be cooked. (01:43):
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Ejaaz:
So for the records i'm just gonna just list off a couple that are are kind of (01:46):
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Ejaaz:
unbelievable and then we'll get into the videos of how they actually did it (01:50):
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Ejaaz:
the first is the 100 meter gold that is like the flagship race that everyone kind of (01:52):
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Ejaaz:
that denominates in. And that is the one where Usain Bolt famously is the human (01:58):
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Ejaaz:
world record. He ran it in 9.58 seconds. (02:02):
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Ejaaz:
The robot ran it in 9.39 seconds. And oh my God, look at this video. It's terrifying. (02:04):
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Ejaaz:
Could you imagine a robot running at you that fast? (02:11):
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Josh:
No. And also look how tall these things are. I could have sworn that these robots (02:13):
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are meant to be like waist height. (02:18):
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They were certainly like last year when they were competing. (02:20):
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This thing is like six foot three to six foot five. These things are huge. (02:22):
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Josh:
Oh you see the crash pad over here as well where they just kind of like. (02:26):
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Ejaaz:
Slam i find it funny how yeah they crash and they just die like they just turn (02:29):
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Ejaaz:
off and then they have to get dragged off in carts they're coming (02:32):
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Josh:
Because one and done it's nuts. (02:34):
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Ejaaz:
The next one that was kind of crazy is the standing high jump which um (02:37):
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Ejaaz:
was above the human record they cleared 2.8 meter 2.88 meters almost nine meters (02:41):
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Ejaaz:
the 1500 meter race the tiangang ultra is what they call it was two minutes (02:47):
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Ejaaz:
and 21 seconds against a human world record of (02:53):
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Ejaaz:
three minutes and 26 seconds, which was untouched since 1998. (02:56):
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Ejaaz:
And the robot, most interestingly, these aren't human controlled. (03:02):
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Ejaaz:
They ran fully autonomously with zero human intervention. (03:05):
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Ejaaz:
So I think all of these things, as we go through the videos from this event, (03:09):
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Ejaaz:
yeah, here's the robot running 14.5 miles per hour and just running into the barricade. (03:12):
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Ejaaz:
It's the first time that feels scary. And I remember we did this episode a year (03:17):
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ago and I was like, okay, robots are kind of a joke. Like they don't actually (03:20):
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look like they are doing anything effective. They're not running that fast. (03:23):
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Ejaaz:
They're kind of falling apart and collapsing. (03:26):
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Ejaaz:
Similar things were happening this year, but we're seeing some serious upgrades (03:28):
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Ejaaz:
year over year. And if we continue this trajectory, even one year in the future, (03:32):
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Ejaaz:
that leaves us with a pretty unnerving reality with how capable these robots are gonna be. (03:35):
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Josh:
Yeah, I mean, I remember last year's Olympics. And just so that you guys have (03:40):
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an understanding in how advanced these robots have become in a very short period (03:45):
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of time, specifically in China. (03:49):
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Josh:
Last year, the 100-meter time, the winning robot ran it in 21.5 seconds. (03:51):
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Josh:
That's like more than double the world record that Usain Bolt held. (03:57):
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And now in less than a year, because it has been less than a year, (04:01):
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they crushed Usain Bolt's record. So what's that going to be next year when (04:04):
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these robots' arms aren't flailing in a crazy way and they're way more dynamically (04:08):
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efficient, they're going to crush it even more. (04:12):
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And so I think the realization that struck to me is this is, (04:14):
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to your point, no longer a joke. (04:18):
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The Chinese are very advanced in hardware. We were talking about this before (04:20):
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we started recording, but hardware and manufacturing has been their kind of (04:24):
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mecca over the last couple of decades at this point. (04:27):
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And they have completely beaten the US. When I compare, when I'm looking at (04:30):
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the figure robots in the US or any kind of robots, Amazon delivery robots. (04:34):
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I'm just like, China is way more advanced. And for humanoids specifically, (04:38):
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because this is the other thing, right? It's like, why would these events kind (04:42):
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of like matter to us at all? (04:46):
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Josh:
It's because they're human looking robots competing in human based events. (04:48):
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Josh:
Like look, and we're not just talking about, you know, track and field events. (04:52):
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Josh:
We're talking about like football. We're talking about like tennis. (04:55):
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Josh:
Like I think in this one, there's a crazy penalty. Josh, I want to show you (04:59):
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this. Hang on one second. (05:02):
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Josh:
So a yellow card on the robot and again if you're not watching this I urge you (05:03):
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to and so he lines up for a penno. (05:07):
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Ejaaz:
Drains it absolutely (05:10):
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Josh:
Drains it so the point is these robots are no longer toys and we saw the famous (05:12):
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Josh:
chinese robot lab unitree ipo last week and their stock is up 650 and that wasn't (05:18):
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like a pump a dump it's still up around four to five hundred percent (05:24):
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so there's obviously a demand for these robots these robots are very much at (05:27):
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the research phase until this event which tied in with a very important conference (05:30):
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i think it was like the world robotics conference or something like that, (05:35):
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where the pitch was essentially, these robots are now physically able to do (05:38):
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a lot of complex things that humans are able to do. (05:41):
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And you can now apply this to various different industries. And the sports and (05:44):
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athletics feed is just one example of that. (05:48):
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Ejaaz:
There's one thing that I want to highlight that I found extremely interesting (05:50):
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Ejaaz:
from this, because one of the new rules that happened this year is that if it's (05:53):
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Ejaaz:
a flat event, meaning like if the robot is on a flat surface, (05:56):
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it must be fully autonomous. (06:00):
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Ejaaz:
And this is true for the relay races. This is true for anything on these flat surfaces. (06:02):
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Ejaaz:
And what we noticed this year was a property that a lot of people laughed at, (06:05):
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Ejaaz:
which is this robot, you guys know you saw it, running with its arms, (06:10):
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Ejaaz:
waving, flailing crazy. And this is the best robot. Do we have a video that (06:13):
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Ejaaz:
we can show them? Yes, this. (06:16):
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Ejaaz:
So look at that robot. Look at how they're running with their arms flailing side to side. (06:18):
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Ejaaz:
And I thought this was funny and goofy until I realized that this was actually (06:22):
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an emergent property of machine learning. (06:26):
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Ejaaz:
And this was not trained into the robot this was understood and emerged from (06:29):
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what yielded the best results and it turns out that like the the robots are (06:35):
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Ejaaz:
getting smart enough where they can kind of (06:39):
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Ejaaz:
Self-recursively loop themselves and come to terms with the idea that this is (06:41):
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Ejaaz:
the optimal strategy and when i look at this i'm laughing because this is kind (06:45):
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Ejaaz:
of what evolution developed as a tail (06:49):
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for a lot of animals that were running around like a lot of these large animals (06:51):
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Ejaaz:
that run fast they need a tail as a counterbalance they don't fall over (06:55):
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Ejaaz:
these humanoid robots now are running with their arms flailing back and forth (06:58):
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Ejaaz:
as a mechanism for balancing. And I wonder, I wonder if this is some sort of (07:02):
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Ejaaz:
Move 37 from Go. If you remember, there was like Google's DeepMind computer. (07:06):
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Ejaaz:
It was competing against a human. (07:10):
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Ejaaz:
And on Move 37, it did this like crazy, unbelievable move that no one expected. (07:12):
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Ejaaz:
No one understood why, but it turned out to be genius because it was thinking so far in advance. (07:16):
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Ejaaz:
I wonder what types of emergent properties we'll get and we'll learn about the (07:20):
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Ejaaz:
human body through this. (07:23):
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Ejaaz:
Like perhaps what if Usain Bolt spent his whole life training to run and training (07:24):
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Ejaaz:
to run like this instead of with his arms straight forward like would that turn (07:28):
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Ejaaz:
into a superhuman runner that's even faster I don't know but I find this really fascinating that (07:32):
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Ejaaz:
humans are kind of or the humanoid robots are kind of relearning human movement (07:36):
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Ejaaz:
principles from first principles and the results of that are going to be pretty (07:40):
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Ejaaz:
interesting as we continue to watch these evolve like how are they going to (07:44):
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Ejaaz:
move in a different way than us if if so (07:47):
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Ejaaz:
and this is one of the examples I thought was like super interesting really bizarre and funny (07:49):
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Ejaaz:
but on the inside like very technically interesting It's like, (07:53):
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Ejaaz:
oh, they created their own tail. That's kind of cool. (07:55):
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Josh:
When I look at this, it seems like it's in a perpetual state of falling, (07:58):
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Josh:
like it's about to stumble, but it just gets in front of it just at the right time. (08:03):
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Josh:
Now, the story behind this is actually interesting, just kind of like unpack it a bit more. (08:07):
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The makers of this robot in particular that crushed the 400 meter record, (08:11):
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a human record, is called Tiang Gong. (08:17):
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Josh:
And the engineers actually had no idea how to teach this robot to run fast. (08:19):
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Josh:
So they started off with the human movement, which is we swing our arms back (08:24):
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and forth, right? It propels us forward. (08:29):
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And so they built a robot that did exactly that. And they realized that this (08:31):
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was incredibly inefficient for their robot. (08:34):
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Josh:
Its rotator cuff, its shoulder started getting really heated and it ended up (08:36):
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exploding. So its arms would literally fall off in the test case when they had (08:41):
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a robot that would run like a human. (08:45):
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So they didn't know, they were scratching their heads. They were like, (08:47):
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how on earth do we figure out how to make this robot run super fast autonomously? (08:49):
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Josh:
And so it just gave the robot model that was in its brain the task and said, (08:53):
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Josh:
I will give you more rewards if you figure out how to run faster. (08:58):
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Josh:
Your goal is to get to the finish line as quick as you can. (09:01):
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Josh:
And the robot started doing this. It started swinging its arm from side to side, (09:04):
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which basically mimicked the swinging your arms back and forth, (09:10):
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forwards as you're running normally like a human, but it had less resistance (09:14):
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on the shoulder rotator cuff. (09:18):
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So it figured it out on itself independently. (09:19):
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Josh:
And this might be a more uniform way of running. I can't speak on behalf of (09:22):
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humans, but certainly for robots, it ran the fastest time it has ever run. (09:26):
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Josh:
I saw another stat that was super interesting. 70% of AI tokens that are used (09:30):
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in China are apparently used for video models specifically. (09:36):
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And a large chunk of that is for robot models. So when we look at this and we're (09:41):
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wondering how on earth is China like, you know, usurp the US? (09:46):
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How have they like become so advanced in such a short amount of time? (09:49):
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It's because they're spent the majority of their AI tokens and research development (09:52):
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on video models specifically. (09:56):
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And we see this with like the text of video models that we've seen outside of (09:57):
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this that we've talked about on the show on various other episodes (10:00):
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they are far superior than the u.s based labs and so this makes sense like when (10:03):
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it comes to the world of world models and robotic brains it just has they have (10:06):
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a they have us on visual intelligence is what i'm realizing as i'm watching (10:11):
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Josh:
more and more of these videos. (10:14):
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Ejaaz:
One thing that i did want to show i just sent you a post if you don't mind pulling (10:15):
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Ejaaz:
it up yeah because i thought this was so funny too this is what an earlier version of this (10:18):
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Ejaaz:
emergence of understanding human movement looked like this was an early google (10:22):
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Ejaaz:
game mind project and what they did is they gave this like figure human properties (10:26):
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Ejaaz:
but didn't teach it how to walk (10:31):
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and you can see it slowly learning over time how to move its joints and its (10:33):
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Ejaaz:
body wow to figure out how to like actually get from point a to point b using (10:37):
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Ejaaz:
a reward system that you just described which is like if you can get to this (10:41):
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Ejaaz:
place you will be rewarded figure out how to get there and you see it really yeah (10:44):
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Ejaaz:
really like weird because it is like a humanoid looking thing and what we're (10:49):
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Ejaaz:
seeing today is not only the evolution of this early technology that we saw at a google deep mind (10:53):
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Ejaaz:
but the iterative improvement so much so that it actually has a physical body (10:57):
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Ejaaz:
to live within when i think about the next evolution of or the next phase of (11:00):
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Ejaaz:
this like general evolution as we get greater intelligence naturally the (11:05):
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Ejaaz:
The hope is to embody that intelligence, to put it into these physical objects (11:10):
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Ejaaz:
that are going to be moving physical atoms around. This is the next thing. (11:14):
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Ejaaz:
It's much more difficult because we have to manufacture things. (11:17):
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Ejaaz:
We're not the best at manufacturing things. (11:19):
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Ejaaz:
But in the case that we are competing head to head with China on manufacturing (11:20):
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things and applying AI to it, I see no world in which we stand a chance. (11:24):
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Ejaaz:
And that's a kind of scary place to be because like 96% of these robots that (11:29):
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competed are Chinese. And when I look at American robots, they're different. (11:34):
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Ejaaz:
They're different. They're more general purpose. It's much more technically challenging. (11:39):
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Josh:
They suck. (11:42):
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Ejaaz:
They currently do suck. Like, it's funny. I was scrolling my feed. (11:44):
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Ejaaz:
We were talking about this yesterday. (11:47):
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Josh:
Even this robot's head is down. Look at this, Josh. Like at the start, look at it. (11:48):
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Ejaaz:
Oh, he's just so sad. He watched the Robot Olympics. So I'm scrolling my feed. (11:52):
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Ejaaz:
I'm seeing these robots doing like backflips. They're running 20 miles an hour. (11:55):
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Ejaaz:
They're like doing high jumps. They're doing these unbelievable things. (11:58):
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Ejaaz:
And then Brett Adcock from Figure, who is a humanoid robot maker, (12:01):
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he's sharing like just robots kind of walking around campus slowly. (12:04):
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Ejaaz:
And he shared a video of like a robot slowly walking up a staircase yeah this (12:07):
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one he's like look guys he climbed like 15 feet of stairs and i'm like man i (12:10):
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understand these are different robots i understand this is a general purpose (12:16):
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robot that can do a lot of things (12:19):
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Ejaaz:
just on a purely optical basis when you look at the videos from the olympics (12:21):
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Ejaaz:
versus when you're looking at the videos from this you're like man we got a long way to go (12:25):
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Ejaaz:
and not only that but we have what two maybe three companies here in the u.s (12:29):
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that are doing it we have figure we have tesla (12:32):
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maybe there's like boston dynamics china everyone's doing this there is like no (12:34):
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specific company that is taking the lead everyone's building these unbelievable (12:39):
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Ejaaz:
robots assuming that this progress continues next year is going to look freaking (12:42):
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Ejaaz:
crazy like i cannot imagine they're probably going to need a bigger arena because (12:46):
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Ejaaz:
i'm sure the robots are going to very quickly outgrow this like small confined (12:50):
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Ejaaz:
space originally meant for humans (12:52):
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Ejaaz:
this was taking place in the olympic stadium that is used for humans uh traditionally (12:54):
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Ejaaz:
i think it's like the 200 meter lap race or whatever it is but really like unbelievable (12:59):
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Ejaaz:
rate of progress and like kind of a scary (13:03):
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Ejaaz:
thing to see knowing that none of those robots belong to us (13:06):
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Josh:
So when i'm looking at this i'm thinking okay we know china is obviously very (13:09):
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advanced compared to the u.s but which companies in particular in china are (13:13):
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they private? Are they public? (13:17):
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Like what's so special about them? What are the name brands that we need to (13:18):
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kind of like bring ourselves to be aware of? (13:21):
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Josh:
The winner, the winning brand is this company called Tiang Gong. (13:23):
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Josh:
I don't know if I'm pronouncing that correctly, but Tiang Gong. (13:27):
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And it's basically a startup from Beijing, China. And no one kind of like knew (13:30):
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about their name very well outside of China, at least. (13:35):
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Josh:
I think the name brand was basically Unitary, which placed second across all (13:38):
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the medals that were won so far. (13:42):
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Remember, it's still going on as you're listening to this right now, (13:43):
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you can probably catch the live stream. (13:45):
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Josh:
But Tiangong, it's a small startup. (13:47):
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Josh:
And they crushed it at the 400 meter, as well as a number of other track events. (13:50):
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Josh:
And the reason why they're getting a lot of the glory right now is, (13:54):
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to your earlier point, any kind of flat surface events had to be completely (13:57):
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autonomous. So there was no human controller at all. (14:00):
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Josh:
So it's a much harder feat to teach or train an AI robot to basically run around (14:03):
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a track or kind of like maneuver around various different obstacle courses. (14:08):
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Josh:
And Tiangong had the best AI model paired with their hardware, (14:12):
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right? So it was very kind of like pliable. (14:16):
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Josh:
Now, when you look at Unitree, Unitree is a name brand that I mentioned earlier, (14:18):
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that IPO last week, and their stock is up like something like 600%. (14:21):
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Josh:
And I think they're valued at like $55 billion, where they initially IPO'd up (14:25):
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like $2 billion. So you're seeing these crazy multiple returns in China as of (14:30):
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recent. And it's not just in robotics. It's happening in the semiconductor space (14:34):
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with memory stuff. I think they had the CXMT IPO. (14:37):
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Josh:
China's having a bit of a moment with their AI models and with their robotics (14:40):
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side of things. and I just want to spend a quick moment kind of describing what (14:44):
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those conjectures sort of look like. (14:47):
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Josh:
On the AI model side of things, they have kept up in open source and now they're (14:49):
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kind of putting out models that are competing on the frontier. (14:54):
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Josh:
There's this model, I don't know if you've seen it, being tested recently, (14:57):
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Josh:
Josh, but it's called Ox Alpha and many people think that it's meant to be GLM's (14:59):
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Josh:
next model, 5.3, and it's a flash model. (15:04):
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Ejaaz:
Stay tuned for that episode once we know. (15:06):
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Josh:
It's going to be a banging episode, hopefully, once they officially release it. (15:07):
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Josh:
But that is competing at the level of a Fable 5 or a GPT 5.6 Sol. (15:10):
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And it's a hell of a lot cheaper. So somehow Chinese have been able to keep (15:14):
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up on the software model side. (15:18):
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But if you flip over to the hardware side, which it is my strong belief is going (15:20):
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to be the next kind of phase or frontier of AI, we're talking about world models, (15:24):
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visual intelligence, all that kind of stuff, we see a flow. (15:28):
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Josh:
Where China actually might have the more advanced models and advanced hardware (15:31):
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Josh:
and the scale to pump these robots out. Remember, China has, (15:36):
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Josh:
I think, something ridiculous, like five times more robots. (15:40):
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Josh:
Oh, they produce five times more robots than the US did in all of 2025. (15:44):
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Josh:
And that's scaling on an exponential curve where the US just can't compete. (15:49):
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Josh:
Right now, it's just like two startups. (15:51):
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So China's having a bit of a moment and it's something that we need to keep (15:53):
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an eye on, both from an investment perspective, but also from like protecting (15:56):
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Josh:
the frontier if the West wants to stay ahead. of, you know, their main adversaries. (15:59):
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Ejaaz:
And it also, it feels like it's private industry versus the government in the (16:04):
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Ejaaz:
US versus China. Like this is interesting. (16:08):
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Ejaaz:
Yeah. The Beijing government, they poured $20 billion in subsidies into the (16:10):
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Ejaaz:
sector over just the last year alone, and reportedly is planning a 1 trillion yuan fund. (16:15):
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Ejaaz:
I'm not sure exactly what that translates to, but that is like a tremendous (16:20):
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Ejaaz:
amount of money that they're putting towards these companies to push the frontier forward. (16:23):
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Ejaaz:
And this is in a way China's advantage (16:27):
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Ejaaz:
where they are able to just force progress by any means necessary. (16:30):
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Ejaaz:
We've seen this many instances with Frontier AI labs where they will just subsidize (16:34):
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Ejaaz:
price or even prior to AI. (16:40):
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Ejaaz:
If there was a competing product from China and a competing product from the (16:42):
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Ejaaz:
United States, what they would do is the Chinese government would step in. (16:44):
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Ejaaz:
They're going to say, hey, we're going to subsidize you. (16:47):
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Ejaaz:
We're going to make the cost lower so that you can outcompete everyone else. (16:49):
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Ejaaz:
The entire market will go to you and then we'll gradually raise the prices up. (16:53):
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Ejaaz:
But they're willing to step in and put their hand on the scale to make meaningful (16:56):
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Ejaaz:
change in the progress of a specific division. And it's very clear that robots (17:00):
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Ejaaz:
is one of their top priorities. (17:04):
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Ejaaz:
And this is interesting. It's happened in the past around manufacturing. (17:07):
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Ejaaz:
I know China has this like requirement for a lot of ships where when they're (17:10):
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Ejaaz:
made, they must be made to a size in which you could fit a tank on top of them. (17:14):
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Ejaaz:
Like you need to be able to roll a tank on top of your boat for it to be classified (17:18):
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Ejaaz:
as a specific type of boat that you could then go off and build and use and (17:22):
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Ejaaz:
get permits for because they they're thinking in this like almost military sense (17:24):
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Ejaaz:
and they have the control over everyone where they can do that. (17:29):
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Ejaaz:
So I think it's really interesting to see the dynamics of kind of like private (17:31):
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Ejaaz:
government versus public industry at play (17:35):
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Ejaaz:
um here in the u.s versus china and so far like capitalism kicking ass but man (17:38):
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Ejaaz:
like china with their subsidies and their (17:43):
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Ejaaz:
their ability to manufacture things at scale it seems like a legitimate concern (17:45):
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Ejaaz:
and sure a lot of this is staged a lot of the software is like pre-coded but (17:50):
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Ejaaz:
the robots are real like those things are (17:54):
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Ejaaz:
real they're produced at scale they're doing the flips they're running the things (17:57):
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Ejaaz:
and they're getting better much faster so if we gauge this on a rate of progress (18:00):
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Ejaaz:
which is all we can ever do (18:03):
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Ejaaz:
uh year over year i'd say they're up like what is this a 10x i remember last (18:05):
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Ejaaz:
year as we were sitting here talking about this it was mostly a joke we were (18:08):
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Ejaaz:
just kind of laughing like hot look at that robot like falling sparks flying everywhere (18:11):
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Ejaaz:
just like dropping dead and totally blanking out but this year it is a very (18:15):
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Ejaaz:
different story and like next year (18:18):
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Ejaaz:
Man, you got to imagine it's just going to be even more slightly deranged than this. (18:20):
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Josh:
I'm not even sure how much of this year's robots were hard-coded. (18:25):
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Josh:
Like when I look at that 400 meter race and that robot kind of developed that (18:30):
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Josh:
weird sideways swinging movement by itself, I think like, wow, (18:35):
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Josh:
okay, so next year's robots are probably going to come up with completely new (18:38):
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Josh:
performant ways that humans (18:41):
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Josh:
probably could learn from at the actual human Olympics. (18:43):
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Josh:
So I'm curious how that develops. (18:46):
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Josh:
But your point around kind of like having a nation state influence and dictate (18:48):
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Josh:
how a certain technology progresses, in this case, robotics, (18:53):
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Josh:
it has had meaningful impact. (18:56):
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Josh:
And listen, like on the West, when I compare it, right, we are arguing to ban (18:58):
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Josh:
data centers almost everywhere in every single state in the US, at least, right? (19:03):
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Josh:
And that is going to hinder progress in massive ways. (19:07):
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Josh:
And listen, some of the reasoning is very valid around electricity concerns. (19:11):
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Josh:
But I know that a lot of the AI labs are taking very meaningful steps to subsidize (19:15):
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Josh:
that and also pay a much larger tax so that it goes to the local community so (19:20):
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Josh:
they can get much more benefits from this kind of stuff. (19:24):
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Josh:
There's a lot of pushback. The general feel and vibe in the Western Front, (19:27):
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Josh:
or I'll speak for the US, is AI is bad. It consumes a lot of water. (19:32):
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Josh:
It is bad for humans. It is taking our jobs. It is replacing us. (19:36):
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Josh:
And I'm not saying that's right or wrong. But when you compare that to China, (19:39):
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Josh:
which is so AI forward, it's just so robotics forward, they are obviously going to get the leap on us. (19:42):
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Josh:
The US government comparatively is like, hmm, should we ban open models? (19:47):
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Josh:
Should we ban some of these other frontier AI models? And China, (19:51):
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Josh:
meanwhile, is like, we're going to do anything and everything to get ahead of (19:53):
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Josh:
this space because we know it's going to be incredibly transformative technology (19:57):
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Josh:
and we'll make it safe when we can. (19:59):
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Josh:
I don't know what the right path is forwards, but we are going to see a stark (20:01):
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Josh:
contrast over the next year is my guess if the two countries don't change their (20:05):
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Josh:
kind of ideological views on how this pans out. (20:09):
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Josh:
What I would like to see, Josh, next year is Tesla Optimus compete in this. (20:12):
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Josh:
I'm sure or I know Elon Musk is looking at this and thinking, (20:18):
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Josh:
hmm, I think I have a card up my sleeve and I can do this. (20:22):
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Josh:
So I'm hoping that the Chinese Olympics, Robot Olympics will be open to taking (20:27):
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Josh:
a Tesla Optimus because I kind of want to see how badass it is compared to it. (20:32):
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Josh:
Now, China, granted, has all the data and information that is required to train frontier robotics. (20:35):
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Josh:
If you look at any of the hardware components, like the actuators, (20:41):
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Josh:
the rotator cuffs, they produce the majority of it. (20:44):
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Josh:
I think actually Tesla Optimus sources a bunch of this from China, (20:46):
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Josh:
But I want to see the Western front kind of like compete on this because right (20:49):
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Josh:
now this feels like the GPT-3 moment Where China had nothing and American had (20:52):
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Josh:
all the frontier AI models, but swapped the other way around. (20:57):
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Ejaaz:
As you're saying that I'm like man, why is it China versus Elon? (21:01):
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Ejaaz:
Why is it not China versus US? Why do we only have Elon and Optimus to put up against him? (21:03):
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Ejaaz:
Maybe the figure robots It is also important to note to play both sides of the (21:07):
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Ejaaz:
coin here that the United States is (21:11):
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Ejaaz:
trying very different strategies than China in the most cases. (21:14):
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Ejaaz:
Like Optimus and the figure robots are general purpose humanoid robots that (21:17):
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Ejaaz:
are met for very different use cases than the ones that we're watching on screen today. (21:22):
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Ejaaz:
The ones on screen today are very narrow purpose. They're built for a singular (21:27):
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Ejaaz:
specific thing, whether it be racing, all these things are within a closed loop (21:31):
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Ejaaz:
system. So we're seeing pickleball so crazy too. (21:34):
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Ejaaz:
How long do you think, or is this tennis? I can't even, it's tennis. (21:37):
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Ejaaz:
How long do you think until a robot can like, EJS, I know you play a paddle (21:41):
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Ejaaz:
all the time like yes what would you give the over under on like say two years (21:44):
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Ejaaz:
before a robot can kick your ass oh (21:48):
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Josh:
Well i mean i would probably give it, (21:50):
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Josh:
two maybe three years because like look at look at how well okay right now this (21:53):
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Josh:
is like the equivalent of me laughing at this right because it looks like there's (21:58):
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Josh:
a young kid playing tennis over here but i said that last year (22:01):
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Josh:
for all the track of it's and now they're beating the world record so if i assume (22:04):
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Josh:
in a year's time this is going to beat like say carlos alcaraz or djokovic then (22:09):
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Josh:
yeah actually maybe even a year it could. (22:14):
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Ejaaz:
Happen could happen it could happen and the thing with these systems is like (22:17):
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Ejaaz:
humanoids that we're trying to build at tesla or figure those need to work for (22:20):
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Ejaaz:
the real world those need to be trained on everything because they need to be prepared for (22:25):
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Ejaaz:
the unknown variables that occur on a day-to-day basis that (22:29):
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Ejaaz:
no computer can really predict what these are doing is they're being trained on very narrow focused (22:32):
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Ejaaz:
versions of that so like this is a ping pong trained robot this ping pong robot (22:37):
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Ejaaz:
cannot go and play tennis it cannot go run the 100 meter dash and win gold it (22:41):
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Ejaaz:
is specific for this one use case and it's very cool to see but it is just a (22:46):
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Ejaaz:
totally different strategy and when i think about (22:49):
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Ejaaz:
where value is going to be derived from humanoids it's certainly across or from (22:51):
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Ejaaz:
just like robots in general it's certainly across the stack but a general purpose (22:55):
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Ejaaz:
humanoid who can do useful productive tasks is going to generally be more productive than a (22:58):
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Ejaaz:
humanoid robot that can like kick like oh my god did you see (23:04):
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Josh:
That do you see that that's great can you rewind that for everyone. (23:07):
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Ejaaz:
For those of you listening this is like a full 360 roundhouse kick and kicked the robot's head off. (23:12):
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Josh:
This is not AI. This is completely real. (23:17):
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Ejaaz:
That's so sick, man. This is basically the- You're like walking out of a bar (23:19):
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Ejaaz:
or something and a robot starts picking a fight with you. (23:24):
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Josh:
And it starts hitting the emotes. The Fortnite emotes. (23:26):
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Ejaaz:
Look at this. It's so insane. I do appreciate that they're having fun with it. (23:29):
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Ejaaz:
But yeah, like that's it. That's what's happening. Like that is the robot Olympics (23:33):
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Ejaaz:
summed up is like, it's scary. Like robots don't suck anymore. Robots are- (23:37):
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Ejaaz:
Clearly the future, they're clearly being produced at scale, (23:41):
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Ejaaz:
and they're clearly finding these emergent properties of human beings that we (23:44):
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Ejaaz:
have not even considered to try yet. (23:47):
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Ejaaz:
And like, this is so cool. If anything, just a really fun visual event. (23:51):
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Ejaaz:
I really enjoyed scrolling this weekend, seeing all the videos from it and just (23:54):
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Ejaaz:
kind of watching in awe at how much progress they've made just in the last 12 months. (23:57):
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Ejaaz:
It's pretty sick. And what's also sick is agents, because if you are not fully (24:00):
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Ejaaz:
operating humanoid robots, chances are you're running agentic robots. (24:05):
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Ejaaz:
And security is a fairly big concern when you're working with agents. (24:08):
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Ejaaz:
And we have a solution for that, which comes in the form of Ledger, (24:11):
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Ejaaz:
our friend and sponsor of the show. (24:13):
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Ejaaz:
If you are building with agents, you are probably worried about security. (24:15):
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Ejaaz:
Ledger has an agent stack that fixes this. It does it in three steps. (24:18):
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Ejaaz:
The agent proposes, the humans approve, the Ledger signer enforces. (24:21):
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Ejaaz:
And it comes with this entire stack of software that's open source fully available (24:25):
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Ejaaz:
and helpful for you to navigate your security concerns as it relates to engaging (24:29):
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Ejaaz:
with agents it works with cloud code codex cursor basically anywhere that you (24:33):
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Ejaaz:
integrate and work with ai and it's fully open source and linked in the description (24:37):
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Ejaaz:
below so if you are in need of security for agents go check out ledger and thank (24:41):
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Ejaaz:
you to ledger for sponsoring this part of the episode and with that (24:44):
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Ejaaz:
i think we have described the robot olympics (24:47):
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Josh:
The great part about just seeing these robots perform like people might think (24:51):
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Josh:
this is like novel and like kind of stupid. (24:55):
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Josh:
It is sort of a real physical benchmark. Like you can't game this benchmark. (24:58):
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Josh:
This isn't like an AI model that kind of like fakes its scores and kind of like (25:03):
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Josh:
scores really well against some (25:07):
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Josh:
kind of like arbitrary exam where you can kind of see the answer sheet. (25:08):
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Josh:
This is if a robot can jump high enough, you're going to be able to see it. (25:11):
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Josh:
If it can kick a free throw or penalty and hit a Sue afterwards, (25:14):
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Josh:
hell yeah, it can do that as well. (25:18):
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Josh:
Like the point is, I like that with robots in particular, there is no kind of (25:19):
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Josh:
like hidden in plain sight type of thing. (25:25):
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Josh:
If a robot is good, you'll be able to see it performing as well as it can. (25:27):
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Josh:
And I think China right now, if I was to summarize, is taking the number one (25:30):
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Josh:
spot from the US and it's the US position to respond to. (25:35):
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Josh:
And two, it's broken a number of the human Olympic records. Again, (25:40):
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Josh:
just to recap, 1500 meter record is now owned by a humanoid robot. (25:43):
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Josh:
The 100 meter record, Usain Bolt, sorry, goodbye, mate. Like it's owned by Tiangong, right? 400 meter. (25:48):
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Josh:
Sorry, it's owned by a robot that runs like this with its arms swinging side (25:54):
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Josh:
to side. It looks stupid, but they're taking over, right? (25:58):
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Josh:
Now, imagine if you retrofit a robot that is as agile as this to your manufacturing (26:01):
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Josh:
plant or to a factory or to any kind of manual labor job. (26:07):
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Josh:
If it can do this, it can probably do some simple kind of movement, (26:11):
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Josh:
such as packaging and stuff like that. (26:13):
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Josh:
And my expectation is this is just the chaser. This is the advertising to say, (26:15):
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Josh:
hey, don't you think we're cool? (26:20):
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Josh:
Now let's have a serious business chat around what these robots can do for you. (26:22):
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Josh:
And so, yeah, it's fun and novel, but I think we're going to see some real progress (26:26):
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Josh:
in robotics going forward. (26:29):
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Josh:
And I am pumped to see it. So if you've listened to this episode, (26:30):
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Josh:
that is the robotics download. There's anything and everything you need to know. (26:33):
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Josh:
In the last year, China is winning very effectively. If you're listening to (26:37):
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Josh:
this on YouTube, Spotify, or wherever you're listening to, please give us a (26:40):
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Josh:
thumbs up. Leave us a comment. (26:43):
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Josh:
It helps us out massively. We read every single comment. There are a lot of (26:46):
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Josh:
newbies, Josh. I think it's like 1,500 over the last couple of weeks. (26:49):
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Ejaaz:
Welcome to the party. (26:53):
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Josh:
Welcome to the party. It is lovely to have you here. We post around four times a week. (26:54):
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Josh:
We love talking about AI, robotics, and any kind of frontier tech. (26:59):
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Josh:
If there's anything that we've missed over the last couple of weeks that you (27:02):
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Josh:
think we should include, let us know. Reach out to us on our personal profiles. (27:05):
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Josh:
Josh, any final concluding thoughts? (27:09):
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Ejaaz:
Yeah, don't forget to share with a friend who you want to terrify. (27:11):
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Ejaaz:
You know who you could share with? (27:14):
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Ejaaz:
There's a lot of people who still use AI as a Google search, (27:16):
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Ejaaz:
and they're not really sure about what's going on. (27:21):
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Ejaaz:
Just send him a video from the humanoid olympics be like listen this is where (27:22):
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Ejaaz:
we're at it's a lot farther along than you think and maybe he'll give him a little scare (27:25):
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Ejaaz:
before the end of the day but yeah it's it's nuts it's not so we're going to (27:30):
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Ejaaz:
be following along with that as well as all the other fun and exciting topics (27:33):
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Ejaaz:
on the frontier of technology of ai and thank you just so much for being here (27:37):
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Ejaaz:
with us for the journey so with that we will see you guys on the next one (27:41):
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