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October 29, 2025 33 mins

In this conversation, Jeff Asher and writer Philip Bump discuss the disconnect between public perception of crime and real crime statistics. Philip explores how media narratives, political agendas, and societal fears shape these perceptions, often leading to the misconception that crime is rising even when data shows otherwise. Together, they explore the role of technology and social media in amplifying these narratives, as well as the challenges faced by policymakers and the media in addressing public concerns. 


What You’ll Learn in This Episode:

  • Why do Americans often believe crime is rising, even when data shows otherwise?
  • How media stories, political agendas, personal anecdotes, and isolated incidents amplify fear of crime beyond what the data shows.
  • Can crime data and individual tragedies be presented together in a way that feels both accurate and meaningful?
  • How do emerging technologies, like video surveillance apps, online neighborhood groups, and cell phone footage, shape audiences’ perceptions of crime beyond traditional media?
  • How can gut sentiment about topics like immigration or trade deficits conflict with hard data, and how does this impact politics?
  • Why do individuals tend to favor news that aligns with their personal views on crime, and is there a solution for traditional media to combat misinformation and personal biases? 
  • How understanding the motivations behind crime narratives can provide a deeper context and more balanced conversations.

Guest Bio: 

Philip Bump is former columnist for The Washington Post. As one of the paper's most read writers, he focused on the data behind polls and political rhetoric. He also writes a weekly newsletter, "How To Read This Chart."


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