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December 7, 2025 20 mins

House prices are finally moving again … but is this the start of a proper boom, or just another dead cat bounce?

In this episode, Ed and Andrew ask economist Tony Alexander to look into his crystal ball and reveal what he really thinks will happen to New Zealand house prices over the next five years.

You’ll learn:

  • What Tony expects for house prices in 2026 – and the long-term growth rate he’s betting on
  • What would actually happen to the market if a capital gains tax landed in NZ
  • How low (or high) interest rates could go over the next three years

Ed and Andrew delve deeper with Tony, exploring how cycles, politics, and interest rates intersect to shape your investment strategy for the coming decade.

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