Ross Hunt, Founder of Hunt Research, and Partner at Murphy Nasica Associates Joins Houston's Morning News

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
When will we know the election results? That's my question.
Seven twenty two, sir, time here on Houston's Morning News.
Doctor Ross Hunt joins is founder of Hunt Research. Care
to give us a guest mitt Sir, do you think
it's over relatively early? Do you think we're we're looking
at results that we can count on in the middle
of the night, or are we going to be sitting
here at this time tomorrow morning wondering who won?

Speaker 2 (00:22):
Good morning?

Speaker 1 (00:23):
Yeah.

Speaker 2 (00:23):
It all depends on which races you're most interested in.
So for those of us who are interested in the
national results of the presidential election, those will begin to
roll in as early as six o'clock Texas time, as
the polls close in Georgia at seven pm Eastern. For
those of us with our eyes on the Lone Star State,
our polls will close at seven o'clock tonight, and at

(00:44):
that time the results of the early vote will be
released automatically in some counties, shortly thereafter around seven thirty
or eight in other counties, and that's when you'll see
the result of the almost nine point one million votes
have been cast state wide in Texas early.

Speaker 3 (01:00):
Now, can I ask you a question while it's on
my mind, El Paso, are they on mountain times? Still?

Speaker 1 (01:08):
They are?

Speaker 2 (01:09):
Yeah, So I'll pass as results for that my oral race,
and I may lag a little bit behind, but because
the polls will not close until an hour later there, okay,
thank you, that's right. Yeah, And so whether or not
you have to stay up, of course, depends on how
close the election is, and specifically, it depends on how

(01:30):
close the early vote is to be overall outcome. Now,
in some states, like Texas, some races may actually be
decided as soon as the early book comes out. So
here in Texas, we've seen a very heavy turnout in
early voting for Republicans. Based on the primary history of
those who have voted, the vote is significantly more Republican
this year than it was in previous years, fourteen percent

(01:52):
more Republican than it was that it is democratic, and
that's a significant improvement over the last in our election.
So it is possible that President Trump and Senator Cruz
may perform strong, so strongly in the early vote that
it would be difficult for Kamala Harris or Colin Already
to come back on election day. Now, the same cannot

(02:12):
be said for many of the swing states. That are
most important to watch around the country. In states like Pennsylvania,
for instance, which is the top of many people's minds today,
the early vote is unlikely to be exactly in aligned
with the election day vote based on how those states
have historically voted.

Speaker 1 (02:31):
Okay, there are a lot of people that are projecting
that the swing states are either going to go one
way or the other. In other words, it's not going
to be you know, he won three, she won four.
He won four, she won three. It's going to be
more of a we'll get to we'll get some early signs,
especially out of Georgia. As far as what direction the

(02:52):
swing states are going to be going your thoughts on that,
I think.

Speaker 2 (02:56):
There's always a temptation to think there's going to be
a big way in one direction or another. You know,
all of us, especially those anyone who has a partisan
leaning who really wants President Trump to win or wants
Kama Harris to win. If the tension just gets built
up day every day and you want to have some
kind of resolution to that, that's dramatic. It is possible
to have a sweep. But in all of my analysis,

(03:16):
when I've seen in polling, there seems to be a
big difference between the sun Belt states in the south,
Georgia stretching across the Texas, North Carolina, and the rost
belt states in the north. I think you can tell
a lot. You know, there's a lot of similarity, for instance,
between Michigan and Wisconsin, so those states will tend to
vote similarly. Pennsylvania will vote more like them than like

(03:37):
say Georgia or North Carolina. But I think it's quite possible,
and I think it's likely that there's not going to
be a complete sweep across all of the key thing
states tonight.

Speaker 3 (03:49):
What about all these states that you're saying, well, we're
taking in ballots, we're not getting things from overseas, or
it's going to take us several days. I mean, how
can that delay the entire country and our results.

Speaker 2 (04:02):
If the margins are close, it could certainly delay things,
and I think that it is it is problematic. I think,
just for transparency and for the confidence of people in
elections that the results do take so long to tabulate.
You know, one of the things that, regardless of one's
politics one way or another, that President Trump has called
for of the course's campaign is to have swifter counts,

(04:25):
and his argument is that what they do is in
other countries, another country is able to tabulate the vote swiftly.
As someone who sort of specializes in looking at the numbers,
I think that having a swift in it. Of course,
an accurate account would be really really good for the
country because we usually see happen is that you have
an early result come in and everyone either loves it

(04:46):
or hates it, and then when it's reversed and there
are allegations of election fraud. And while election fraud is
a very serious thing and does happen in elections unfortunately,
I think in many cases what makes people think it's
happening is because there's a reversal of an outcome over
the course.

Speaker 1 (05:03):
Of a period of time. Well, let's hope it's a
lot quicker results than what we've seen in the last
election cycle. Doctor Hunt, thank you for your time, sir,
Doctor Ross Hunt, founder of the Hunt Research Center. At
seven twenty seven