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November 5, 2024 • 29 mins
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Episode Transcript

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Speaker 1 (00:00):
It's that time, time, time, time, luck.

Speaker 2 (00:04):
And look, so Michael Very.

Speaker 1 (00:08):
Show is on the air.

Speaker 2 (00:34):
What will we do with this moment? How will we
be remembered?

Speaker 3 (00:42):
Look at the opportunities before us.

Speaker 4 (00:48):
We need to remember above and beyond that we must
love our neighbors, that we must treat.

Speaker 1 (00:54):
Other people as we hope to be treated.

Speaker 3 (00:58):
The people this country, and it's the people who are
making America's great again.

Speaker 2 (01:16):
Together.

Speaker 3 (01:17):
They crossed the oceans, settled the continent, came the will
that is laid down, the railroad's raised up, those mighty skyscrapers,
built the highways one two world wars, defeated fascism and communism,
and launched American astronauts to the moon. It was hard

(01:38):
working patriots like you who built this country, and now
it's hardworking patriots like you who are going to save
our country.

Speaker 5 (01:51):
When people ask me, why aren't the polls more accurate, Well,
first of all, remember this, folks.

Speaker 4 (02:11):
You've been fed poles by different people for months. Some
of those people wanted you to believe that Trump couldn't win,
because if Trump couldn't win, then you would abandon him,
was the strategy. So they would push his polling down

(02:33):
and the idea was you'll go over to Nicky Haley
or you'll stay home. Another reason for that is is
truly Trump always overperforms. He's doing it today the polls
because a lot of people are going to vote for

(02:53):
Trump but will not tell a polster that they're going
to vote for Trump.

Speaker 1 (02:59):
Many of you are that way.

Speaker 4 (03:01):
And another thing that factors into this, have you personally
been polled? And if and I don't mean it's not
Tim Wall's question, but you're not going to answer the poll.
I'm not going to answer a poll. All right, You're
not going to reach me, and you're not going to.

Speaker 1 (03:17):
Reach people like me. We're busy when I have time
to deal with that.

Speaker 4 (03:21):
Alex Castianos was on Fox and he's talking about, uh,
this is about registration. Actually, no, let me come back
to that. Let me come back to that.

Speaker 1 (03:33):
This is from the New York Times.

Speaker 4 (03:38):
They admit in their final poll that quote, white Democrats
were sixteen percent likelier to respond than white Republicans, adding
that quote, that's a larger disparity than our earlier polls
this year, and it's not much better than our final

(04:00):
polls in twenty twenty.

Speaker 1 (04:03):
So what's happening.

Speaker 4 (04:05):
White Democrats because this is their cult, it is their religion.
When they're called by upholster, they want to make sure
their vote is counting, whereas white Republicans go, no, I
don't trust you creeps New York Times, No, you people
are liars, you're fake news. They note four years ago,

(04:28):
the polls were thought to underestimate mister Trump because of
non response bias, in which his supporters were less likely
to take surveys than demographically similar Biden supporters. It's hard
to measure non response bias, after all, we couldn't reach
these demographically similar voters.

Speaker 1 (04:48):
But one measure I track.

Speaker 4 (04:49):
From time to time is the proportion of Democrats or
Republicans who respond to a survey after considering other factors
across these final polls, and then that's where you get
the number. We don't respond to fake news, we don't
want to participate. You twist and contort. And by the way, folks,
let me tell you what's going to happen in the

(05:10):
coming days. There is going to be a reckoning for
these media outlets. Watch mark my words. CNN is going
to run out and try to grab some maga folks
to put on the air because CNN is in a
free fall. They desperately wanted to win this election, and

(05:30):
now now that it's over, their ratings are going to plumb.

Speaker 1 (05:34):
It. They're already down MSNBC, CNN.

Speaker 4 (05:38):
They're going to struggle and they're going to try to
win you back because nobody's actually watching them on our
side for anything resembling news or commentary.

Speaker 1 (05:50):
It's a grudge watch. Let's see what these idiots are
up to. All right.

Speaker 4 (05:55):
So Alex Castianos on Fox talking about how po ulsters
are getting it wrong. Because remember when you take a poll,
if you if you interview one thousand people, you poll
a thousand people, you're supposed to poll them parallel equivalent
to what that demographic is in the registered population likely

(06:20):
to vote. So if you know that sixty eight percent
of voters in a particular state are going to vote,
are expected to vote that are white male Republicans, then
you would you would need to pull that many people.

Speaker 1 (06:35):
But when they don't pull, when.

Speaker 4 (06:36):
The sample is not accurate, the result is not accurate.

Speaker 1 (06:40):
Here's what he said.

Speaker 2 (06:41):
We're talking about the Iowa Pole.

Speaker 6 (06:42):
This is Des Moines Register and this poll had Harris
up Alex three points, and there you see Robert F.
Kennedy Junior at three points and Emerson Pole came out
with Trump up ten just about a half an hour
before that.

Speaker 2 (06:58):
Polling in the last few days for an election.

Speaker 7 (07:01):
What's your thoughts on I'm ready to say let's kill
all the pollsters instead of the lawyers, except my friend
Mark Penn. I like Mark Penn, I think the pollsters
are getting this wrong. We're all missing something because they're
giving us the same poll over and over again. There
isn't even statistical variation. You know, ninety five percent confidence

(07:21):
level means that five percent of the time you're going
to get a crappy poll. We hardly ever see that.
It's like they're telling us we're watching a basketball game,
where ever he plays a jump ball. Somebody is missing something.
What I think they're missing is a massive shift in
voter registration underneath all of this. Thirty one states have
voter registration by party. Thirty of them in the past

(07:43):
four years have seen movement toward Republicans. Miami Dade County
is now voting more Republican. Iowa was plus one Republican,
it's now plus ten. And yet we're getting these surveys
that I think are off base. Somewhere somebody is missing.
I think there's I'm not going to call it a wave,
but I think there's a wave lit out there of

(08:06):
Republican enthusiasm and registration. If I registered a vote Republican,
whether I'm switching or or new, have you trying to yes?

Speaker 1 (08:16):
We both laughed. So harsh a show. It's kind of embarrassing.

Speaker 3 (08:21):
Actually, he's an idiot. Inflation has wiped out the life
savings of our citizens and forced the middle class into
a state of depression and despair. That's what it is.

(08:44):
It's despair and depression. We cannot and will not let
this continue. Less than four years ago, we were a
great nation, and we will soon be a great nation again.
We're going to be a great nation again to our citizens.

Speaker 2 (08:59):
So on day one, we will drive down prices.

Speaker 3 (09:02):
And make America affordable again.

Speaker 2 (09:04):
We have to make it affordable. It's not affordable. People
can't live like this.

Speaker 3 (09:09):
Under my plan, income as will skyrocket, inflation will vanish completely,
jobs will come roaring back, and the middle class.

Speaker 2 (09:17):
Will prosper like never ever before.

Speaker 3 (09:20):
And we're going to do it very rapidly. I will
bring back the American dream.

Speaker 2 (09:26):
That's what we're going to do. You don't even hear
about the American dream. And in there, with great humility, I.

Speaker 3 (09:35):
Am asking you to be excited about the future of
our country.

Speaker 2 (09:39):
Be excited, Be excited.

Speaker 4 (10:21):
So uh, starting life as a lawyer, loving the art
of the jury trial and I have to go to
law school to have watched a lot of movies and
you know the dramatic trial and the closing argument. Well,
I was a debater growing up, and your closing statement

(10:45):
is where you're going to win or lose. You're going
to win or lose the case. And I will say this,
and Trump supporters don't like me to say anything other
than Trump is great. This is a compliment. I want
to be clear on that. We're going to miss Donald
Trump the candidate. But I will tell you when I

(11:07):
look at Donald Trump the candidate starting June sixteenth, when
he came down that escalator in twenty fifteen, and I
look at the twenty sixteen race and a twenty twenty race,
and now this race, he has grown a great deal
in certain aspects where I don't think he was as
strong as he is in other aspects of the campaign

(11:31):
or of being a campaigner.

Speaker 1 (11:33):
He has grown in his ability.

Speaker 4 (11:37):
To give a succinct closing statement before. I think one
of the things that has made Donald Trump so popular
is this very conversational and very raw, authentic delivery. What

(11:58):
I think people are showing up for is the idea.
I think most Americans are of the opinion. Look, I
don't care what he says. I know what he'll do,
and I think he cares about me, and I think
he loves this country and it's a sad state of
affairs that today was about. We want our country back,

(12:20):
and we're not ashamed to say it anymore.

Speaker 1 (12:23):
But we went back.

Speaker 4 (12:24):
We were looking at ways to kind of close out
the show today and Donald Trump's closing statement at the
end of his debate with Kamala Harris, let's go back
to that. It seemed like a good way to end
the campaign on election day because as of tomorrow, you
won't want to hear this stuff.

Speaker 1 (12:43):
But it's really, really, really well done.

Speaker 4 (12:47):
So this was the ABC debate, Remember the David Muir
and all those they gained up on him. What was
lost in all that was at the very end, he
delivered a wonderful closing statement, and I wanted to give
that a little more like life today.

Speaker 3 (13:01):
So she just started by saying she's going to do this,
She's going to do that, she's going to do all
these wonderful things. Why hasn't she done it. She's been
there for three and a half years. They've had three
and a half years to fix the border, they've had
three and a half years to create jobs and all
the things we talked about. Why hasn't she done it?

(13:22):
She should leave right now, go down to that beautiful
White House, go to the Capitol, get everyone together, and
do the things you want to do. But you haven't
done it, and you won't do it because you believe
in things that the American people don't believe in.

Speaker 2 (13:36):
You believe in.

Speaker 3 (13:37):
Things like we're not going to frack, we're not going
to take fossil fuel, we're not going to do things
that are going to make this country strong, whether you
like it or not. Germany tried that and within one
year they were back to building normal energy plants. We're
not ready for it. We can't sacrifice our country for
the sake of bad vision. But I just ask one

(13:59):
simple why didn't she do it? We're a failing nation.
We're a nation that's in serious decline. We're being laughed
at all over the world. All over the world. They left.

Speaker 2 (14:11):
I know the leaders very well. They're coming to see me,
they call me. We're laughed at all over the world.
They don't understand what happened to us as a nation.
We're not a leader.

Speaker 3 (14:21):
We don't have any idea what's going on. We have
wars going on in the Middle East, we have wars
going on with Russia and Ukraine.

Speaker 2 (14:29):
We're going to end up in a third World War,
and it'll be a war.

Speaker 3 (14:33):
Like no other because of nuclear weapons, the power of weaponry.
I rebuilt our entire military. She gave a lot of
it away to the Taliban. She gave it to Afghanistan.
What these people have done to our country, and maybe
toughest of all is allowing millions of people to come
into our country. Many of them are criminals, and they're

(14:55):
destroying our country. The worst president, the worst vice president
in the history of our.

Speaker 1 (15:01):
Gunners today of everyone thinking they can actually live the
American tree.

Speaker 2 (15:05):
The Michael Berry Show.

Speaker 4 (15:08):
You know, I look at elections and camp sorry campaigns.
The election is the conclusion of a campaign. The elections
where the rubber hits the road, that's that's where you
take stock. You know, you've been working up this recipe
for a while and you bring it out of the
oven and Mom says, all.

Speaker 1 (15:27):
Right, guys, taste this from me. What do y'all think?

Speaker 4 (15:30):
Well, that's good right when I look at this campaign
and how fluid campaigns are, you know, because most talk
radio listeners have very defined value systems. They're very consistent.

(15:52):
You've known who your candidate was all along, and you've
seen that. The crazy Democrats have known own that whoever
they were told to support, they would if it was
the old demented guy who pooped his pants, they would,
if it was this woman that's never won to vote
for president, she's never had one vote for president, not one,

(16:14):
not as a candidate. Then they would vote for whoever
they were told to and all the while claiming to
preserve democracy when their candidate was handpicked. I mean, it's
it's really grotesque if you think about it. It's really
distinctly un American. It is everything they claim, but that's
that's usual, right. But what tends to get lost is

(16:37):
there's just it's a bell curve. The people in the
middle who are now breaking for Trump across every demographic
group in massive numbers.

Speaker 1 (16:50):
Today. These people are watching.

Speaker 4 (16:56):
And they what they saw told them I like the
direction of him. And I'm going to tell you when
we go back and do the post mortem on this thing,
we really look deeply at where the voters have broken
and we're seeing this. I think in Pennsylvania one of
the major issues was the lack of Josh Shapiro on

(17:18):
the ticket. I think Josh Shapiro on the ticket or
Kamala Harris could have made this a very different election,
very different election. But I think we're going to see
a lot of people who weren't traditionally Republicans who voted
for Trump and their other Republicans who voted for reasons
like Trump coming out and saying I'm going to put

(17:43):
Elon Musk well Trump bringing a musk stepping into the
void and saying I want to help Donald Trump. And
you know when he did it, when Trump was shot,
that was the moment that Elon said I'm supporting him.
And I remember at the time thinking, wow, that's pretty bold,

(18:06):
because I'll bet you eighty five percent of Tesla owners,
maybe not that high, are Democrats, and they're not only Democrats.
They're going to be angry at him over supporting Trump,
and they're going to be angry at him to the
point that they're going to want to burn his place down.
They're going to be angry at him, and they're going

(18:26):
to want to do harm to him. And you're seeing
that they're calling for him to be deported. I mean,
it's a they're very nasty, mean, vicious people. When Elon
came out, that cleared the way for Rogan to get
friendlier with him. I mean, let's not forget Rogan was

(18:47):
talking fondly about Bernie Sanders.

Speaker 1 (18:51):
And then Rogan, do you how many people.

Speaker 4 (18:54):
Remember your polls are closed now so I can say this,
how many people remember that Trump who got mad at
Rogan because he thought Rogan was endorsing another canondate That
was just a few months ago. And then last night
Rogan comes out and endorses Trump.

Speaker 1 (19:10):
That was a big deal.

Speaker 4 (19:12):
That may not seem like a big deal to you
because it doesn't move you, but that will.

Speaker 1 (19:18):
Move a lot of people that are hard.

Speaker 4 (19:21):
To get to vote for a Republican, people that are
maybe mm A bros, you know, wrestling bros.

Speaker 1 (19:31):
Boxing match bros. Those people are heard.

Speaker 4 (19:36):
It tends to be young white male disinterested in politics
who kind of vaguely buy into the well Republicans are
all racist and my parents are racist. Now Rogan comes
out and gives them, he makes it okay for them
to vote for Trump. I think Elon's involvement had a

(19:59):
lot to do with that, a lot to do with that.
So anyway, here's Trump talking about not just Elon's support,
but bringing Elon into the administration.

Speaker 3 (20:12):
That the suggestion of Elon Musk, who has giving me
his complete and total endorsement.

Speaker 2 (20:18):
That's nice. Smart guy. He knows what he's doing. He
knows what he's doing. That's very, very much appreciated.

Speaker 3 (20:27):
I will create a Government Efficiency Commission, task with conducting
a complete financial and performance audit of the entire federal
government and making recommendations for drastic reforms we need to do.

Speaker 2 (20:39):
It can't go on the way we are now.

Speaker 3 (20:48):
And Elon, because he's not very busy, has agreed to
head that task force. Be interesting. If he has the time,
have a good one to do it.

Speaker 1 (20:59):
I love it. I love it.

Speaker 4 (21:02):
Not to mention when we're talking about this, what about
RFK Junior. Don't underestimate how many people really like RFK Jr.
Some of whom are Republicans, some of whom are Democrats.
It was always a debate. I spent a lot of

(21:24):
time thinking about this, reading about it. Which one was
he pulling more from. But it's fascinating to me that
this guy has the pedigree, This is the most blue
blood Democrat in the country, and his make America Healthy
Again campaign, I think that resonates with a lot of people,

(21:47):
a lot of mommies especially. They're tired of junk being
fed to their kids, poison being fed to their kids,
poison being injected into their kids. And it kind of
part and parcel of healthy families, healthy children, healthy future.
This has come together nicely, and I think tonight, I
think through the course of this this night.

Speaker 1 (22:06):
And by tomorrow morning, we're going to like where we are.

Speaker 7 (22:09):
What do you think the top country, Michael Barry, we
think sweets tea.

Speaker 2 (22:14):
We don't you think socialist?

Speaker 4 (22:19):
You know, by tomorrow we're going to know not just well,
let me say this. I'm going to spend a lot
of time learning why people cast their vote, particularly based
on geographic areas.

Speaker 1 (22:37):
But when I already know that Trump's success.

Speaker 4 (22:41):
Is related to a unifying message, a very aspirational, uplifting,
soaring bit of of of language. And I'm going to
tell you, I think I'm going to go back to
the Madison Square Garden rally. The Democrats told you that
that hurt Trump. That's how you know they were scared

(23:02):
of it. That rally showcased a lot of talent around Trump,
and I think that's important. He talked about and he
has talked more and more openly about his relationship to
God and his personal faith. And I believe that getting
shot in the head had a lot to do with that.

Speaker 3 (23:21):
After all we have been through together, we stand on
the verge of the four greatest years in the history
of the USA. With your help, from now until election Day,
we will restore America's promise. We will put America first,
and we will take back the nation that we all love.

Speaker 2 (23:44):
We bleed the same blood, we share the same.

Speaker 3 (23:48):
Home, and we salute the same great American flag. We
are one people, one family, and one nation under God.

Speaker 2 (24:02):
We will never give in. We will never give up.

Speaker 3 (24:04):
We will never ever back down, and we will never
ever ever ever surrender.

Speaker 8 (24:15):
Together we will fight fight, fight, and we will win, win, win.

Speaker 2 (24:19):
We're gonna win, win win.

Speaker 4 (24:22):
One of the things I've always found annoying is how
in sports, when a team wins or loses, Super Bowl,
World Series, whatever it is, before the game is even over,
fans start talking about what kind of team are we
gonna have next year?

Speaker 1 (24:39):
And my point is, enjoy this moment for a moment, but.

Speaker 4 (24:44):
This will immediately begin for the people for whom politics
is sport, and they will immediately begin the discussion about
who our candidates should be and who the leaders should be.
And there will always be an outsized discussion of who's
already there, because that's the table that's been set.

Speaker 1 (25:01):
There will be a lot of talk about jd Vance. Obviously,
there'll be a lot to talk about Nicki.

Speaker 4 (25:05):
Hailary because the Hillary of the Republican Party, which is
why we call her Nicki Hailary, is out there and
because she ran before. But there will be other candidates
who will arise, much as jd Vance did once tapped
by Donald Trump. But what we will learn from this
campaign how Republicans can win, How Republicans can win voters

(25:30):
who don't see themselves as Republicans, whether they be independent
or full blown Democrats. As happened is you've got to
you've got to connect with people in a way that
is inclusive.

Speaker 3 (25:44):
Ramon.

Speaker 1 (25:45):
This is going to be clip number five oh three.

Speaker 4 (25:47):
This is also from the Madison Square Garden rally, because
I want it to be understood what Trump did and
why this is important.

Speaker 2 (25:56):
So Jews and.

Speaker 9 (25:57):
Muslims, and Catholics and Evangelicals, Mormons, and they're all joining
our course and large numbers larger than anyone has ever
seen in this country before, larger than.

Speaker 3 (26:09):
They've ever seen in any country. And the Republican Party
has really become the party of inclusion.

Speaker 2 (26:16):
And that's something very nice about that.

Speaker 4 (26:18):
Now, what is interesting is one of the unifying issues
in this election.

Speaker 1 (26:23):
Believe it or not.

Speaker 4 (26:24):
The Democrats will tell you that this is divisive and mean,
but it's not. Blacks and whites and Hispanics alike understand
that there is a mass invasion into this country that
is killing our people and that we cannot afford.

Speaker 1 (26:40):
And Trump is a man that stays on message.

Speaker 2 (26:43):
Today, I make you this promise.

Speaker 3 (26:45):
I will liberate Wisconsin, in our entire nation from this
mass migration, invasion of murderers, child predators.

Speaker 10 (26:53):
Drug dealers, gang members and gougs.

Speaker 3 (26:56):
Going to be liberated, to liberate.

Speaker 4 (27:00):
And we closed the show with a message of hope
by our leader. And we chose this one last because
I think this has been a positive campaign and a
positive direction for our country and I'm proud to have
supported it alongside you, good folks.

Speaker 2 (27:21):
I'm here today with a message of hope for all Americans.
With your vote in.

Speaker 10 (27:26):
This election, I will end inflation, I will stop the invasion,
and I will bring back the American dream. Our country
is being crippled and destroyed by Kamala.

Speaker 2 (27:42):
Harris Kamala. How the hell did that ever? How did
that ever happen? The guy had fourteen million votes.

Speaker 3 (27:51):
I'm no fan of his, by the way, but he
had fourteen million votes.

Speaker 2 (27:55):
He had none. She was the first to lose twenty
two people. She was the first out.

Speaker 3 (27:59):
She never made it to the great state of Iowa,
never made it. And well, you know, they talk about it.
She is a threat to democracy. I mean, That'stralia.

Speaker 2 (28:09):
She's a threat to a lot of things. But that's
the way it has to be.

Speaker 3 (28:14):
Because we're winning by a lot, We're leading by a lot,
we're leading in.

Speaker 2 (28:17):
The polls, every single state looks.

Speaker 7 (28:20):
Like with you.

Speaker 10 (28:24):
And with your supporter, of November fifth, America will.

Speaker 2 (28:27):
Be bigger, better, boulder, richer.

Speaker 10 (28:29):
Safer, and stronger than ever before.

Speaker 2 (28:35):
This election is a choice between whether we will have
a four I think of this four more years, could
you stand it?

Speaker 8 (28:44):
It's four more years of incompetence and stupidity and failure
and disaster, or whether we will begin the four greatest
years in the history.

Speaker 2 (28:54):
Of our country. I think we have a real chair
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