Draft Week Cram Session!

It's the biggest weekend of the draft season and the FFW crew is back with last minute advice to help you crush your competition! Listen for sleepers, reach-a-round redux and previews for the first two games of the year plus much more!

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio.

Speaker 2 (00:06):
Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly
source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and advice.

Speaker 1 (00:15):
Now along with the guys.

Speaker 2 (00:17):
From Guillotine Leagues dot com, here's your host, Paul Jargie.

Speaker 1 (00:23):
Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. It's the biggest draft week
of the year. So excited to talk to you in
the busiest week in fantasy football. I'm Paul Charchi and
Scott Fish Matt Harrison. Are you as jacked as I am?

Speaker 3 (00:37):
That? That is incredible? You have so much energy coming over.
You're incredibly jacked.

Speaker 4 (00:42):
He's pepper jacked over.

Speaker 1 (00:44):
Yeah. Now, I wish I was the sort of jack
where you could just like flex and rip apart your
T shirt.

Speaker 3 (00:49):
I wish I was that kind of jam fantasy muscles.

Speaker 4 (00:53):
Let's just try to use your hands and rip your
T shirt apart. I want to see if you can
do that.

Speaker 1 (00:57):
You could do that? Hey, I do not by crappy
T shirts.

Speaker 4 (01:01):
Oh so obviously, high quality.

Speaker 1 (01:03):
High quality T shirts only for me. Absolutely true. So
much exciting stuff to get you ready for your final drafts.
Right now, we're going to talk through our draft personas.
If you go into your draft of the particular mindset,
what your outcome might look like. We'll talk about which
teammates would you rather have. We'll talk about the things,

(01:26):
the things that we're worried about that we're getting wrong.
So we've been telling you all preseason about some of
our big, big trends and the things, the things that
we see coming. What if we're wrong, Well, we'll hit
on some final news and notes. We're gonna talk auction
strategies because we don't. We so rarely get to address
auctions directly, and there's so much nuance and we love auctions. Here,

(01:46):
talk a little bit of guillotine strategy. We've got three
tough questions, We've got sleepers, and then we're gonna do
previews of the Thursday and Friday night games coming up.

Speaker 4 (01:54):
Oh, we may have a special guest for the Friday
night Brazil game.

Speaker 1 (01:58):
By I had no idea.

Speaker 4 (02:01):
I brought a guy to the studio. He's in the
waiting room.

Speaker 1 (02:04):
Oh, I can't wait. I can't wait too slightly worried.

Speaker 4 (02:06):
Yes, that.

Speaker 1 (02:08):
Will be very, very fun. I'm gonna start here draft
day personas and the idea behind This is do you
go into your draft with a particular mindset. We'll give
you four different mindsets, and we'll tell you the outcome
of basically the starters for those drafts. I am doing
the boring mindset conservative. Let's call it conservative conservative mindset,

(02:33):
because nobody likes the boring. Matt. You're doing a high
risk mindset, yes, which.

Speaker 4 (02:38):
Is completely opposite of what I normally do in drafts.
So this made me real uncomfortable.

Speaker 1 (02:43):
Scott, you're doing a rookie heavy yes, also known as
high risk. Because and if we've got time, I'm going
to give it to the opposite draft, where you know,
we really deprioritize running backs. All right, let's dive in. Well,
I guess, because I've two of them, I suppose I
should go first. And how does that sound?

Speaker 4 (03:03):
All right?

Speaker 1 (03:03):
I'm gonna start with the conservative draft. I'm looking for
proven players, veterans who have a long track record of success.
I know it's super sexy to be the person who
gets the next Pookinakua, but you're far more likely to
end up with Quinton Johnston or Jonathan Mingo or Bryce
Young or Zach Sharboney or Jalen Hyatt right, So this

(03:25):
is the proven players. First round Jonathan Taylor, super safe.
Second round Derrick Henry also extremely safe. Third round Travis Kelce.
These players have nothing to prove. Fourth round DK Metcalf,
So it's starting to hit wide receivers now. Then I'm

(03:47):
gonna I'm actually go with three straight Amari Cooper in
the fifth round and Keenan Allen in the sixth round yep.
Then seventh rowne. I'm getting my backup running back Najie Harris,
and my final draft pick is a quarter I need
one here and I can get proven quarterbacks late in
this draft, right. Kirk Cousins, Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford. I
settled on brock Party. But you insert whichever one.

Speaker 4 (04:08):
Of those you super safe?

Speaker 3 (04:10):
Right?

Speaker 1 (04:11):
So that is the boring draft if you either of
you walked out of that draft. Jonathan Taylor, Derreck Henry,
Travis kelcey DK Metcalf, Mariy Cooper, Keenan Allen, Naji Harris,
Brock Party. Are you feeling good about that team?

Speaker 3 (04:25):
Very good? Yeah?

Speaker 4 (04:25):
I'm feeling okay there, yeah, like like B plus yeah, yeah.

Speaker 3 (04:29):
I feel safe, like I'm in a nice cozy blanket
in front of a fireplayer swaddled up.

Speaker 4 (04:35):
It does feel like a playoff team.

Speaker 1 (04:37):
Yes, but does it feel like a championship?

Speaker 4 (04:38):
I don't know about that.

Speaker 1 (04:39):
We sing of upside in this.

Speaker 4 (04:41):
We need that no risk at no biscuit that the
high upside draft offer.

Speaker 3 (04:45):
I love that. I love that you said that because
we have a guy in our home league drafts this weekend.
Charge that he always drafts teams like that, and he
always makes the playoffs. He has not won the play
one in like fifteen years. Yep.

Speaker 1 (04:56):
That's It's like, it's a totally valuable strategy. Get me
into the playoffs in the you know, just he'll catch
a couple of breaks, you know. Yeah, Okay, let's go
to our next draft. Matt, you've got the high risk,
high reward draft. Tell me about your overarching philosophy on
these picks.

Speaker 4 (05:10):
Yeah, And I think really what you're doing here is
shooting for the moon that you you want to get
the guys who can maybe just break Fantasy altogether, and
you're trying to do it in every round, which is
which is a wild way to go. If you're gonna
if you're gonna be high risk, you have to take
running backs in round one, Round two, and round three.

Speaker 1 (05:28):
I like that.

Speaker 4 (05:29):
So I got Bijon Robinson in the first round, I've
got Devon h Chan in the second, and I've got
Josh Jacobs in the third. In the fourth, I took
Stefan Diggs. Uh. Not really sure where he is in
this offense, but I mean there's a lot of there's
a lot of risk and a lot of reward in
one of the high high ranking offense.

Speaker 1 (05:49):
He qualifies.

Speaker 4 (05:50):
Round five the poster boy for high risk, high reward quarterbacks.
That's Anthony Richardson right there.

Speaker 1 (05:57):
Yeah, I like that you targeted him here.

Speaker 4 (05:59):
Round six and seven went wide receivers back to back
with Rashie Rice, who could be suspended, and Deontay Johnson,
whose offense could be terrible, but he could get one
hundred and sixty targets this year. And then finally David
and Joku, which I thought this was hilarious. In games
that Watson started last year, and Joku had five targets
per game, four catches per game thirty eight yards. In

(06:21):
games that Watson did not start, he had nine targets,
six catches, sixty eight yards and scored five times in
eleven games and by the way, Deshaun Watson starting, Yeah,
that's not good. So David and Joku. So my team
is Bijon, ah Chan and Jacob's are my running backs.
I got Diggs, Rice and Deontay Johnson as my wide receivers.

(06:42):
Anthony Richardson's my quarterback, and David and Joku in the
eighth round is my tight end.

Speaker 1 (06:47):
I think most people would prefer your draft. I think,
just the way fantasy players are wired, they want the
upside in the risk.

Speaker 4 (06:56):
Now, if you get six of these a to hit good,
you're in a very good spot. But if it goes
a coin flip, yeah, you're in a tough spot.

Speaker 3 (07:07):
Agreed, I'll be I'll be honest. I do think the
rookie won this year is even more high risk and
less good than both of yours.

Speaker 4 (07:14):
I tried to stay away from the rookies, to leave leave.

Speaker 1 (07:17):
Those first, Scott. I appreciate that. So, Scott, let's let's
hear about your rookie heavy drafting. YEA, not every pick
has to be a rookie.

Speaker 3 (07:24):
Yeah, yeah, it doesn't. But if you're gonna look over
the first eight rounds, you need to grab a couple
of running backs you're unlikely to take rookies because Jonathan
Brooks out for four weeks and Jalen Wright is, you know,
a twelfth rounder. So basically you're starting off with some
running You're getting running backs in these eight rounds that
aren't rookies. So I started off with Breese Hall.

Speaker 4 (07:43):
Uh.

Speaker 1 (07:44):
He's only a thirty year player. This is more like
a youth movement.

Speaker 3 (07:47):
Okay, okay, yeah, career four point eight yard per carry,
five eight point five per reception, just explosive. We don't
even talk much about him. In the second round, I'm
going to Marvin Harrison.

Speaker 4 (07:57):
Oh, obviously my cousin. Yep.

Speaker 1 (07:59):
That makes a ton of s.

Speaker 3 (08:00):
Second round, going to Marvin Harrison, who should be in
line for a ton of talker targets in an offense
that very well could be a top ten offense playing
from behind all the time. Uh, and one of the
top two target geters there. And we've seen a lot
of wide receivers come out, Chase Lamb, Jefferson. I'm on,
et cetera. Studs come out and perform their first year,
even if the first month is slow. In the third round,

(08:21):
I go with Sam Laporta.

Speaker 4 (08:23):
Uh, still young.

Speaker 3 (08:24):
Second year tight ends. He scores red zone targets, end
zone targets, one of the league league's highest scoring and
best offenses. They even get extra downs for him on
fourth down.

Speaker 4 (08:35):
You can't stop drafting Sam Laporta.

Speaker 3 (08:37):
I cannot stop drafting Sam.

Speaker 4 (08:39):
Even when you're instructed draft only rookies and there's a
really good rookie, you still can't stop.

Speaker 2 (08:46):
Yea.

Speaker 3 (08:47):
I could have done Brock Bauers in the eighth. He's
dealing with this foot issue and tight ends already are
sometimes slow out of the gate, and he's he's likely
for Week one right now, but he's already dealing with
an injury.

Speaker 1 (08:58):
Super dangerous for gallanting you sprock powers, right.

Speaker 3 (09:01):
Yeah, So the fourth round, I'm going to Melik Neighbors.
The biggest drawback, honestly, isn't him. He looks awesome, lot
a lot of people had him closer to or even
above Marvin Harrison coming out. His biggest problem is Daniel Jones.

Speaker 1 (09:17):
Yeah, that's the that's the governor on him. But he's
got a very questionable Viking secondary in week one. Yeah,
Neighbors could hit the ground running.

Speaker 3 (09:25):
Yeah, absolutely could. I mean, Daniel Jones is a quarterback
who couldn't even throw a touchdown past per game two
years ago.

Speaker 1 (09:32):
And last year before he got hurt, and the sample
size was longer than I thought. It was five full
games for Daniel Jones. Yeah, he averaged zero point four
touchdowns per game.

Speaker 3 (09:40):
Yeah, that's real good. Let's let's give at least a
tiny benefit of the doubt that he's been playing with
a bunch of like middling slot receivers and he's never
had a Molik Neighbors and Elik Neighbors should be a
lock for one hundred targets in that office.

Speaker 4 (09:53):
Speaking of lock, he'll start this year for the Giant Lock.

Speaker 1 (09:56):
Yeah, that might be interesting. Interesting, my deep dark throat segueing. Sorry, no,
I'm not giving up on Sam howel.

Speaker 3 (10:04):
Oh yeah, I know you, you know, I just see
this scenario. If Gino doesn't perform that grub offense, that
could be really good for interesting Scott some weapons. I know.
I'm going to Anthony Richardson in the next round because
my quarterbacks are late Caleb Williams, Jade and Daniels like.
I can't get him in the first eight rounds, so
I'm going with the basically a rookie who only had

(10:26):
two full games last year, but he was QB two
and QB four in those two full games. Wow. So
uh didn't produce much as the thrower, but if that
even takes any kind of a step, his ceiling is very,
very high.

Speaker 1 (10:38):
It is very high.

Speaker 3 (10:39):
Next round, I'm going Rashi Rice with the Hollywood Brown injury,
no suspension in sight, the way he ended the last
month as a true legit wide receiver. One his A
dot was tiny, but he gets a ton of red
zone targets and then he gets them after the catch. Yeah,
Rashi Rice there. In the seventh, I'm going to mere White.
I know he's third year in, but honestly, I just

(11:01):
need a running back at this point. There's no rookies.
This is about where I have to go with it.

Speaker 4 (11:06):
You know.

Speaker 1 (11:06):
You know, Matt and I are very high on smear White.
I have him in so many Keene leagues because the volume.
To me, it's the volume Smir White super safe.

Speaker 3 (11:17):
Yeah. If Antonio Pierce had his brothers, he would not
throw a pass all season. He would just run it all.
We saw belcow In Zamir White last year twenty twenty two,
twenty five, and twenty six touch games, averaging one hundred
and fifteen total yards a game. I think that's in there.
He's he never was a pass catcher before that, but
in those final four games he had thirteen targets, catching

(11:38):
the ball nine times. I should have waiting feed you
up for that.

Speaker 1 (11:43):
You know I'll get there.

Speaker 3 (11:44):
Yeah, Lolby could come in for some of that work.
But Zamir White is going to be a bellcow. And
then in round eight, I'm going with Roma Dunze, a
four favorite. He's an eighth round shot. That kind of
Keenan Allen's rage of outcomes might ladden on the bad
side and we haven't. He might be a top two
option that offense. I'm willing to take the shot on
him there over some of the other options like Bowers,

(12:05):
who's injured and whatnot. So my my rookie, heavy, very
risky offense is Anthony Richardson at quarterback, Bryce Hall ends
A Mere Wide at running back, Harrison Neighbors Rashi Rice
and Rome Adunza at wide receiver, and Sam Laporta at

(12:27):
tight end.

Speaker 1 (12:28):
I gotta be honest, I like that.

Speaker 3 (12:30):
I do too.

Speaker 1 (12:30):
They so much want that team to come together.

Speaker 4 (12:32):
Now.

Speaker 3 (12:33):
Now replace Richardson with a fifth round player and take
Caleb Williams their Jayden and Daniels the next round.

Speaker 1 (12:38):
Right, and that I'm even happier.

Speaker 3 (12:40):
You're even happier.

Speaker 1 (12:41):
It's absolutely true, Absolutely a lot of risk. There's a
non zero chance Caleb Williams is the consensus number one
quarterback next year. Yeah, that's that could happen. All right,
do the opposite draft. I'm going to punt the most dangerous, volatile,
and disappointing position running backs until the middle rounds that
I'm gonn to take high value, proven wide receivers, quarterbacks,

(13:02):
and tight ends with my most valuable selections in the draft,
beginning with round one. Justin Jefferson, yep, I think enough said.
We know that he's great. Sam Donald to be something
of a limiting factor probably, but this whole offense goes
through Justin Jefferson. Second round Devanta Adams. Now, I know
we just said the Raiders, if they had their way,
they would just run the ball constantly. But Devanta Adams

(13:24):
super safe and dependable, tons of targets. Nobody else gets
a lot of targets in that offense. Brock Bowers is
gonna be a little bit of time to get up
to speed. Third round, Sam Laporta for reasons that have
already been mentioned here, and we just we love Sam
Laporta on the show, so we keep finding our way
to him. Fourth round, another player who's already been taken
once elite neighbors. Fifth thrown. I also have Anthony Richardson.

Speaker 4 (13:48):
By the way, yeah, you've taken wide receivers with the quarterbacks, Sam, Darnold, Gardner,
Minshew and Daniel Jones. How do you feel about that?
Their charch not right?

Speaker 1 (13:57):
Thank you? The fifth thrown. I also have Anthony Richardson
proving that we did not coordinate these before players. And
then sixth round, I'm finally turning my attention to running backs. Six, seven,
and eight are my running backs. I'm taking Remandre Stevenson. Look,

(14:17):
I know that Patriots offense is not going to be good,
but I feel like he's been held back by Bill
Belichick all this time. He wasn't being given goal line
looks for no reason. He can catch better than they
ever threw to him, and the offense can't get worse
than it was last year.

Speaker 3 (14:32):
I almost did him. I thought about it then.

Speaker 1 (14:36):
Samre White for reasons you just discussed as well, and
then round eight, I'm throwing a dart at Zach Boss
on the chance that he ends up being the lead back.
That would be outstanding, and I think there's a real
chance that could end up working out that way. So
I'm gonna go Zach Moss. So again, here's the I'll
recap my do the opposite team. My quarterback is Anthony Richardson.

(14:58):
My three run are Ramandra Stevenson, Zamir White, Zack Moss.
My my wide receivers are Justin Jefferson, Davante Adams, Malik Neighbors.
So we get a little bit of zingy upsided Neighbors,
and then my tight end Sam Laporta. I'd go to
war with that team. Sure yeah, sure? Did I get
all these volume backs at the back end of this
draft and a little if Zack Moss pans out in

(15:21):
week eight or round eight, that's a great opportunity for
me right there.

Speaker 2 (15:26):
All right.

Speaker 1 (15:27):
When we come back next segment Fantasy Football Weekly, which
teammate would you rather have at their average draft position?
In years past, we have tended as a group to
go towards later picks. Yep, we'll see if that's going
to hold. Here is it's a ritual. We do this

(15:48):
the last preseason show every year. We'll ask which teammates
would you rather have, including Tyreek Hill in the first
round or Jalen Waddle in the third round. We'll talk
it through when we come back to Fantasy Football Weekly.

(16:25):
Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. If you haven't tried a
guillotine league, it's the perfect time. Private league's totally free
this year. A reskinned app. It's beautiful. It's never run better.
It's a beautiful it's a bits a beautiful Guillotine League's app.
You know how it works. Eighteen up to eighteen teams
start the season. You don't have to have eighteen. You
can end the season sooner if you want. Every week

(16:46):
the low screwing team gets chopped, all the players go
to the waiver wire. The rest of us build superstar rosters.
I have to do is not finish last. It is
super fun.

Speaker 4 (16:54):
I'm in the midst of a guillotine draft right now.
Oh it's a slow draft. Yeah, And I ended up
with both Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson, and I don't
know how I feel about it.

Speaker 1 (17:05):
Oh boy, I've got one where I messed up yeah,
I got auto drafted for one of my picks. So
for not to get too deep into this, people don't
care about anybody else's fantasy team.

Speaker 4 (17:16):
I do.

Speaker 1 (17:18):
Jamier Gibbs, who's typically going up the board at like
run at position like twelve. Overall, right, he's gonna like
end of the first round of normal drafts Guillotine League draft,
Jamiir Gibbs goes all the way up to eighteen turns,
the corner comes all the way back to me in
the end of the second round at I've got picked three. Yeah,
you know whatever, So I guess that would be picked

(17:40):
like fifteen in the second round. So I'm like, okay, fine,
you know, at this point, as dedicated as I am
to not taking running backs, if somebody's gonna fall that far,
hey fine, I'm gonna take him, even though he's got
the Week five by three rounds later, I got auto drafted.
My fault I get autographed is your.

Speaker 4 (17:59):
Own fault, David Montgomery.

Speaker 1 (18:02):
David Montgomery. So now I've got both sides of the
Lions backfield, which is a bad idea in Guillantine and
Week five, bye, I gotta get by.

Speaker 4 (18:09):
Well. It's safety though, because one of them's going to
score every week.

Speaker 1 (18:13):
That is one will.

Speaker 4 (18:14):
I mean when you're eat both, I mean when you're
in an eighteen team league, you're probably okay starting them
for the first three or four weeks.

Speaker 1 (18:21):
That's how it's gonna have to come. I'm just gonna
have to spend some money early.

Speaker 4 (18:23):
Yeah, that's all.

Speaker 1 (18:24):
Which teammates would you rather have at their ADP? We
begin with Miami wide receivers Tyreek Hill in round one
or Jalen Waddle in round three? Let's begin with Scott Fish.

Speaker 3 (18:37):
Yeah, So, I honestly don't have a strong take on
this one. It's probably Hill. Double digit targets in eleven games,
twenty nine receptions of twenty more yards, which led the league.
He's a big play machine, averaged well over one hundred
yards per game last year. He just seems like he's
more not seems he is more consistent, and he usually

(18:58):
gets the bigger, more explosive uh Spike weeks. I think
it's probably Hill.

Speaker 1 (19:02):
Okay, so Hill, we'll go Hill, Okay, Matt, Which teammate
would you rather have? Tyrek Hill in round one? Jalen
Waddle round three?

Speaker 4 (19:10):
It's definitely Tyreek Hill. He's the only one in the
league who does Tyreek Hill things, and he's got my
vote here. Waddle in the in round three is a
significant price and he only had one hundred and two
targets last year. That's not enough for me to spend
money on a round three wide receiver.

Speaker 1 (19:24):
You nailed it right there, my man. I can't you
know Tyrek Hill's two years in Miami one hundred and
seventy targets, one hundred and seventy one ton rails. Yeah,
And not only does that obviously help Hill a lot,
it really daggers Wattle and it puts him on these
games where he's targeted four times five times and catches
three passes, and those dud games really hurt. Next Atlanta

(19:46):
running backs Bijon Robinson or Tyler Algier Robinson in the
first round, Matt or Tyler Algier in the twelfth round.
What do you think?

Speaker 4 (19:56):
Well, I'm gonna keep talking about Bijon throughout the day,
but I haven't s bent anything on him at all
this year, So for me, it's part of me.

Speaker 3 (20:03):
Would you have any great.

Speaker 4 (20:07):
Remember that they really need to stretch into Dijon after
that this work? I know, so I have Algier at
the round twelve EIGHTYP But honestly, I think this backfield
is cloudy enough that I'd really like to avoid both
this year.

Speaker 1 (20:21):
All right, Scott Fish, would you rather have be Jean
Robinson and round one or Tyler Algier in round twelve?

Speaker 3 (20:25):
Yeah, I just don't think. I think Algier. You're gonna
have to have trouble figuring out where to pick your
spots with him, or there needs to be a bijon injury.
I just don't think he's going to be super fantasy
relevant mode.

Speaker 4 (20:37):
You're in a league with him, I'm not.

Speaker 3 (20:39):
Anymore, not anymore. And he was seven and seven in
the league. So he's definition of the middle.

Speaker 1 (20:46):
And that's why you're not taking him in the twelve round.

Speaker 3 (20:48):
Yes, so I guess I'm going with Jon Robinson because
over the final month of the season last year was
top five and running back targets, first down targets, first
three targets, first down receptions, and more nine point three
yards perception, had thirty runs over ten yards. He's got
game breaking talent. It's if he gets even half the
goal line carries in an offense that should be pretty
productive this year, and also a defense that should lead

(21:11):
them to have leads. It should just be you know,
being able to run out leads. I think Bijon's probably
got the more fantasy. I mean, he does, but I'll
take Bjon in the first.

Speaker 1 (21:21):
To support a first round ranking for Bjon Robinson, we
need a massive uptick in Bijon Robinson.

Speaker 3 (21:28):
Utilization and you're gonna get that.

Speaker 1 (21:31):
And maybe it's coming. We don't know that for sure.
But what I can tell you for sure is that
new offensive coordinator, Zach Robinson keeps saying repeatedly Tyler Aljier
is a big part of this offense. And I am
worried that for.

Speaker 4 (21:47):
All telling the truth that he's out, that we actually.

Speaker 1 (21:50):
Have a coach truth that it's actually gonna happen. And
in the first round, I want first round player, and
you touch on this one, go Matt for my first
round equity. I want a player who the offense goes
through that guy, and I don't want to have to
speculate that that's going to happen.

Speaker 3 (22:04):
Like it. My view on that is, even if al
Giotic gets thirty percent and Vijon gets seventy percent, that's
still probably going to put up first round numbers with
how effective he is. But I agree, I can see
either side.

Speaker 1 (22:14):
Let's go to Houston. This is the toughest one. We've
alluded to this many times in the preseason shows. Scott
Houston wide receiver Nico Collins and round three, Stefan Diggs
in round four, Tank Dell and round five. Y. This
is thorny.

Speaker 3 (22:28):
It can be. I know that Tennabee the other day
was saying he likes Stefan Diggs. Feels like he's going
to be that vet begging for the ball and poud
if he doesn't get it. Honestly, these are so close
in ADP that I'm taking the one that I think
is the best one. The ADPs aren't ridiculously different third round,
fourth round, fifth round, so you're not getting a major
discount like the last the last question. Among wide receivers,

(22:52):
Nico was third and broken tackles, eighth in yards, fourth
in yards after the catch, fourth and explicit play rate
with twenty five receptions over twenty yards. That's that's incredible.
Second in yards per target, top ten and several other categories,
not just last year but since entering the league. I
think he's the best receiver of them. At this moment,
so I want him.

Speaker 1 (23:13):
Matt, which of the Houston wide receivers are you taking?
Nico Collins around three? Stuff on Digs, Round four, Tank
Dell round five.

Speaker 4 (23:18):
If you listen to CJ. Stroud, Tank Dell is one
of the top three wide receivers of all time already.
And if I can get him latest out of these three,
and really there's a non zero chance here that Tank
Dell isn't the best wide receiver out of these three
this year, I'll take Tank Dell in round five, and
I think the two round discount. I'll take the two
round discount. Digs isn't even in the conversation here, by

(23:39):
the way.

Speaker 3 (23:40):
Yeah, I'm with you.

Speaker 1 (23:40):
I know ten to be love them. I'm with you
as well. I prefer I prefer not to take Digs
out of these three. It's complicated because all three guys,
and we've mentioned this some previous shows as well, all
three guys play the X, the Y, and the Z.
So they're going to be shuffled all around the field
and they're going to be utilized in very totally different

(24:02):
ways game to game. It's going to be a nightmare
for us doing Houston matchups. Watch me just slough those
matchups to you guys. Every reason to deal with it.
But I'm emotionally tied to Nico Scott and I started
talking about him as a rookie and as a sophomore
when the numbers weren't there. But we love this kid,
and I'm not getting off the hype train now. And
I'll mention this. Dwayne McFarland's preseason utilization showed Nico Collins

(24:26):
on the field for ninety three percent of CJ. Stroud's snaps.
So he looks like the safest this preseason. He looks
like it's a small sample size.

Speaker 3 (24:37):
Okay.

Speaker 1 (24:37):
We acknowledge that the safest of the receivers to bank
on in two receiver sets, which will happen sometimes. So
I'm going Nico Collins. Let's move to Tampa Bay. Which
of the two Tampa Bay receivers would you rather have
Mike Evans in round three or Chris Godwin in round seven?
Matt it is your turn.

Speaker 4 (24:54):
Something about me just doesn't fully trust Chris Godwin to
bounce back here, and I'd rather just take the sure
thing in Mike Evans. He just keeps doing it year
after year after year. I'll just take Mike Evans in
round three and get on with it, Okay, Scott.

Speaker 3 (25:10):
Yeah, So Evan's coming off of the year where he
led the league in touchdowns top ten in a bunch
of different categories. Godwin moving back to the slot where
he averaged more catches, more targets, more yards per game,
even scored more. Somehow, I think the safe call is
probably Evans because he's going to put up his thousand,
He's probably going to get double digit touchdowns. But my

(25:31):
answer is Jalen McMillan. In the last round of your draft,
wow off the board, beat out Trey Palmer for the
other outside role, Liam Cohen coming from the McVeigh tree,
likely to run eleven personnel all day long. He's always
going to be out there and he's always going to
see single coverage. I think. I think he's the cheapest.

(25:52):
You're going to be able to flex him every once
in a while. Option in Jalen McMillan, I get other
guys at three and seven.

Speaker 1 (25:57):
I love that you went off the board for this one.
I've taken Mike Evans. Now, if Evans, if Tampa hadn't
just given him a brand new fifty four million dollars
two year extension. I would be worried that this is
like the end is coming, but they did, and they
know him better than anybody coming off a great season.

(26:17):
Seventeen games played, more receptions in yards than any season
for Mike Evans since twenty eighteen, thirteen touchdowns last year
his second highest total ever. I mean, Mike Evans, dude
still got it based on what we saw last year.

Speaker 4 (26:31):
He's Baker's Wooby Baker's.

Speaker 1 (26:33):
Would be let's go back to running backs. We're headed
to Miami. Another thorny one for our panel of experts. That's,
by the way, that's you guys. Devon H. Chan round two,
Raheem Mostered round seven or Jalen Wright in round twelve. Scott,
who you taken.

Speaker 3 (26:51):
So much of me? Wants it to be a Chan
because I believe he's got this Christian McCaffrey potential upside.
If Moster it's done and they give Moster is you know,
finally tailing off and he becomes you know, the sixty
seven sixty five percent back in this backfield. But I'm
gonna go with Jalen Right round twelve. The likelihood of

(27:12):
a Chan or most Art getting hurt the just what
he showed in preseason, and Mike McDaniel loves to run
two backs. I think if any of that happens, he's
going to find himself a role. I mean, just unbelievable speed,
high i Q guy. We'll talk about him later though.

Speaker 1 (27:30):
Right I like it. Matt Devon ah Chan and round
two were he most are Round seven or Jalen right
in round twelve.

Speaker 4 (27:36):
In round seven, we can get the player who had
the most rushing touchdowns in the league last year. I mean, well,
even if we cut it in half, he's still scoring
nine touchdowns on the ground this year. It's most hurt
for me because the most likely outcome here is if
everybody's healthy, this is still a split backfield in some way,
and Mostard scores a lot of touchdowns. So I'm just
gonna take most in round seven. It's easy.

Speaker 1 (27:58):
Same It's it's the inside the five. Stats bear this out.
Miami ran the ball the seventh most times, they scored
the fifth most rushing touchdowns, and Raheem Moster had the
third most attempts across the NFL from inside the five.
They ran him twenty times from inside the five. To me,
this is a this is an easy answer. And by
the way, this gives it's pause for reconsideration on Devan

(28:20):
e Channer two for me. All right, let's work in
one or two more Chicago's wide receivers DJ Moore, Keenan Allen,
or Roma Dunza. Let's go to Matt for this one.

Speaker 4 (28:31):
You know you roam if you want to all around
the world. Yes, he costs me the least, then I'm
you know, really, I'm still not fully on board with
the Bears offensive line situation. I think that's shaky at most,
and so I'm probably not drafting many Bears this season.
So if I really have to draft a Bear, I'm
gonna take the cheapest one here.

Speaker 1 (28:51):
Okay, Scott, which of the Chicago wide receivers that you
take in Dj Moore round four, Keenan Allen round six,
or Roma Dunes at round eight.

Speaker 3 (28:59):
It's probably just cheapest. It's probably just the DUNESA. I
think he's got the potential to be the wide receiver two,
if not the wide receiver one, but probably the wide
receiver two. And I think that Keenan Allen's likelihood to
you know, fall down is more likely than his likelihood
to be that would be for Kayleb Williams.

Speaker 1 (29:15):
All right, let's get into our final. I'm Roban Dunes
as well. So we all took the cheapest option for
the Bears and by a fair margin, a little bit
rot the way down to round eight, and man, he's
got some tantalizing upside as well. I want to work
in the rare tight end question. Yes, people thought it
would only be receivers and running backs. Baltimore tight end

(29:37):
Mark Andrews in round four or Isaiah Likely way down
in round sixteen. Let's begin with this is a Scott one?

Speaker 3 (29:46):
Well, sure, sure, it's Isaiah Likely. It's I mean, it's
such a huge, huge discount there. And the way Todd
Monkin has been talking this offseason about Likely being, you know,
having a huge role in the offense. Finally, outside of
a Mark Andrews' injury, he may end up being the
third passing option behind Andrews and Flowers and obviously wheels
up if anything happens to Andrews. But if he becomes

(30:07):
that third, then again, Munkin's also been talking about talking about.

Speaker 1 (30:10):
Retard Stott Bateman, but he's got to stay healthy.

Speaker 3 (30:13):
Yeah, he's got to stay healthy. But I'll tay. I'll
take the cheap end of roster guy.

Speaker 1 (30:17):
Okay, Matt, you're going Mark Andrews round four or Isaiah
Likely in round sixteen.

Speaker 4 (30:22):
I will also go Likely, but I'll just add Mark
Andrews in round four. I just never find myself wanting
to draft Mark Andrews in round four. There's too many
guys around there that I like just a lot better.
If I want a premium tight end, I'm drafting a
premium tight end before that, and if not, I'll just
take Likely really late.

Speaker 1 (30:42):
Andrews is one season removed from being the highest scoring
tight end in Fantasy football. Is you know, Likely's emerging prowess,
and I do think it's coming. I don't think takes
Andrews off the field. I think that's complimentary. Mostly they'll
play together. In Andrews nine full games last year, he's
still average fifty nine yards and point seven touchdowns per game.

(31:03):
Those are great tight end numbers across a full season.
He'd nearly had a one thousand receiving season. Again, very
good numbers for a tight end. I think I'm taking
the sure thing and Mark Andrews. You guys know, I
love my tight ends. We're gonna do that here as well.
When we come back. I might be wrong about some

(31:24):
of our biggest takes. Find out what they are and
what our real hesitancy is when we come back to
Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchi

(31:58):
and Scott Fish and Matt Harry with you. Thank you
for listening. This is a segment we've done the past
couple of years. I think this is a Matt Harrison invention,
if I recall correct, Maybe called I might be wrong
about that because we spout off all these big opinions
all preseason, but in the back of our minds, we're like, maybe.

Speaker 3 (32:19):
I'm not right. It was actually I stole it.

Speaker 1 (32:21):
You stole it, Okay, you stole it.

Speaker 3 (32:22):
I do this segment on Christopher Harris's podcast, Shout Out,
and I brought it here, Christopher Harrison, I did shout
it out when I brought it over. Okay, all right,
So like he appreciate that, give give credit where credit
is due.

Speaker 1 (32:34):
All right, Well let's start with you, Scott, who is
the first of what will ultimately be three players. We'll
all do three players. You might be wrong about.

Speaker 3 (32:41):
I'm gonna start with Nico Colem. I already mentioned why
I love him, but why I take him over the three.
But obviously there's question marks. What if Diggs does, like
like Tenneby said last week on the on on the
show that uh he demands the balls of Vett pouts
when he doesn't get it. What if teams take away
Nico and Dell deeper and Diggs runs around free constantly

(33:04):
in the middle of the field, and that's where c J.
Stroud just finds the open guy, because that's what c
J Straudle do. He will find the open guy. What
if the offense uh is is great but just doesn't
support all three, or they support him inconsistently, where Diggs
is the stud one week, the Dell is the Nico.

Speaker 1 (33:22):
That's the real fear for.

Speaker 3 (33:24):
So I could be wrong. It could be it could
be any of those following options, or.

Speaker 1 (33:29):
Let me let me brush this idea. Yeah, draft, whichever
the Houston receivers you like. If your guy blows up
in week one, trade them mm hmmm, because that might
be a one game sample size that makes it look
like he's he's like Hi, and you sell high in
that moment before week two comes and it's a different guy.
And now in your guy's got three catches, Matt, what

(33:50):
is the first of your three? I might be wrong
about that.

Speaker 4 (33:54):
All my guys are kind of guys I've poo pooed on,
but I'm I'm fearful that I'm not going to have
them on my roster this and I mentioned it in
my high risk draft, but I think I'm just pretty
risk averse when it comes to running backs, especially in
the first two rounds. It's like charges constant blah blah blah.
Do the opposite has rubbed off on me? So I
got Devin a chan here. I have a chan nowhere,

(34:14):
and I know there's going to be weeks where I'm
pissed off about that. He had one hundred and thirty
touches last year and managed to finish as RB four
and points per game. Let's say he gets one hundred
and sixty rushing attempts and fifty receptions, which is only
two hundred and ten touches, and that just basically means
that he's just healthy all year and there's no increase
in touch tootal. We're looking at a probable one thousand

(34:38):
rushing yards with a lower yard per carry average. I
even baked in there, and another four hundred receiving yards
and if we keep the touchdowns right around at the
same eleven. If that holds, he finishes as a top
six running back. And that's with no increase in this
in is usage. That's forty three percent of the snaps
in every game. But mostard is looming and Hill steals
touches and he did get hurt last year a little bit,

(35:00):
so that's been enough to scare me off. But I'm
scared I'm not going to have any h N this year.

Speaker 1 (35:04):
Yeah, I'm I have zero h CHAN.

Speaker 3 (35:06):
I'm scared I have too much h especially after Matt
said all that.

Speaker 1 (35:12):
I might be wrong about Xavier Worthy. You know, we've
gotten to the point where every year there's like can
do an exciting receiver for the Chiefs and we all,
you know, we all go to that guy and then
he doesn't pan out, or in the case of Rashi Rice,
it takes you about three months before you pan out.
Xavier Worthy brings the insane speed to the position. Now

(35:33):
we've seen Patrick Mahomes average distance of throw shrink, shrink, shrink,
shrink last year is practically a dink and dunk passer.
I know Andy Reid wants to bring back the vertical game,
and that's why they drafted him.

Speaker 4 (35:44):
That coincided with the loss of speedy Tyree Hill exactly.

Speaker 3 (35:48):
I was gonna say, he's a perfect compliment to Rice
and Kelsey. Kelsey in the middle, Rice is short, he.

Speaker 1 (35:54):
Is the perfect compliment.

Speaker 2 (35:55):
No.

Speaker 1 (35:55):
So the reason I've been pooh pooing down on Xavier Worthy,
I haven't drafted him anywhere is because he fits the
archetype of the most probable bust of all wide receivers
track star speed receivers. Yeah, don't have the polish for
all the things required and a position that is technically
very difficult, and we rarely see guys that are four

(36:19):
two speed guys end up making it in the NFL,
and I'm worried that that's going to be the case
here too for Xavier Worthy. But I could be wrong,
and he could be the downfield threat that Patrick Mahomes
has not had since Tyreek Hill and he ends up
having tons of explosive plays. All of it very possible, Scott,
Let's go to your second. I might be wrong about that.

Speaker 3 (36:40):
Yeah, it's got to be a guy I've taken basically
in every draft, and that's Anthony Richardson. I've talked about
my love of him too many times. His pointspen per snap,
how he did those we mentioned already. The two weeks
he had full games, he was just absurd. But what
if the passing just doesn't improve. There's been talk that
he's just out there throwing to spots, he's not actually

(37:02):
throwing like targeting. What if Jonathan Taylor takes those goal
line scores away. What if they you know, they didn't
play together last year that what if he takes that away?
He got injured twice in four games? What if the
play style does that again? Like, there's a lot of
there's a lot of things that could make that fifth
round pick really really hurt me.

Speaker 1 (37:20):
All Right, Matt, your second, I might be wrong about
that player.

Speaker 4 (37:23):
I've got Brandon Ayuk, who just signed that big deal
with San Francisco a couple of days ago, so you
know he's staying put in that offense. But what scares
me about Ayuk is his usage. He had one more
target than Elijah Moore of the Cleveland Browns. Lest he
really one more, wow, one hundred, and he did a
lot more with his with his target he sure did.
His one hundred and five targets were thirtieth amongst wide receivers,

(37:45):
way behind a bunch of guys who are getting drafted
way way later. So I haven't drafted him because of that.
But his efficiency is fantastic, it really is. He's got
great hands, he gets open, he does a lot after
the catch. He's scored fifteen times in the last two years.
He's barely ever injured. But I've been avoiding Ayyuk because
of those targets, and the wide receivers all going in

(38:06):
the same range as Ayuk, which is Cup, Evans, Wattle, Pittman,
DJ Moore, Metcalf. All of them provide similar targets, if
not way more targets, and similar touchdown upside. I could
be wrong, but I've been taking all those guys above
eye Yuke right now, and I've been avoiding him, and
I'm gonna feel sad if he goes off this year.

Speaker 1 (38:25):
I don't have any data to back this up, but
I've seen people tweeting about this, and I think it's accurate.
A lot of times, the guys that do the really
protracted holdouts come into camp and the conditioning is a problem.
The risk of injury is a problem. They go like
zero to one hundred on the physical demands.

Speaker 4 (38:43):
And then get the hamstring that right.

Speaker 1 (38:44):
Now, now you get injuries stuff like that, and I
you know, again, maybe that's not accurate, but I think
there's some truth to that. Second I might be wrong
about that is DeAndre Swift, who we have not talked
about at all. We haven't said anything good or bad
about him, and I feel like we might be missing
the boat on this. Yeah, you know, we know that

(39:04):
Bears pre season usage, that Khalil Herbert is somebody they
ran all the way back to the Hall of Fame game.
Roshan Johnson's just a mix it in, guy. DeAndre Swift
might be sitting on a ton of usage. Shane Waldron
in Seattle for three years. I mean, Kenneth Walker was
the man. He got all the work that could be
DeAndre Swift. And we all you last year as a

(39:25):
disappointing season for Swift, but his quarterback was scooping up
fifteen touchdowns. What if half of those Jalen Hurts touchdowns
go to DeAndre Swift, that would be seven extra touchdowns
on top of the six he had last year, be
sitting on a thirteen touchdown season. We talked about a
top five, six seven running back. Absolutely, maybe we're really
wrong on DeAndre Swift and he's sitting on a big year.

Speaker 3 (39:48):
I like it.

Speaker 1 (39:48):
Let's see if I don't know how much time we
got left, I don't think very much. Let's see we
can zip through these finals. Thoo, that might be wrong
about That's.

Speaker 3 (39:56):
Okay. Brian Thomas, my sleeper from last week. I feel
like he's walking into that Calvin Ridley role. He's only
going to have competition from a backup slot guy in
Parker Washington and a returner and Devin du Vernie. He's
got no competition there. He should be a red zone
target monster. But what if I'm wrong in taking him

(40:16):
in the eleventh round. Every single draft I'm in, I
feel like, what if they do more two receiver sets.
What if Gabe Davis stays on the field more and
actually pans out. What if that Jacksonville passing game can't
support three wide receivers in that And what if Evan
Ingram's production matches what it was last year only he
finally starts catching those touchdowns that I want And think

(40:36):
should go to Brian Thomas.

Speaker 1 (40:38):
Love it all right, Matt, what's the thing you might
be wrong about?

Speaker 4 (40:43):
I got Bjon Robinson here. We've gone over at a
billion times this offseason and today. I mean the adp
of Bjon Robinson indicates that fantasy players do not believe
in the existence of Tyler Algier. And he's a real
guy and he's not bad at football. But Kirk Cousins
should have that offense passing more than Desmond Ritter and
Arthur Smith ever could manage. So I haven't been getting

(41:03):
Bijon anywhere. But what if Kirk opens up that whole
offense and Bijon is that other worldly guy and the
most notable I mean, he was the most notable rookie
runner since Saquon Barkley came out gaining five yards per touch.
They can't keep him off the field. His upside is
the top running back in fantasy, and I've got him nowhere.

Speaker 1 (41:21):
The player I might be wrong about is well the
next Javonte Williams, who I've just like ruled out in
my mind because I was so disappointed in how he
ran last year. But what if second year off acl.

Speaker 4 (41:32):
You love Audric estimate and you love.

Speaker 1 (41:35):
Jalil Jillian McLoughlin especially, and Estimate could be their goal
line back. You know, but what if Jivantia Williams comes
back and performs really well. He is the starter, and
maybe he's just gonna be Maybe he's gonna be every
bit as good as he was pre acl when he
was great.

Speaker 3 (41:51):
I don't know.

Speaker 1 (41:51):
Maybe I'm wrong about that. It's possible. I don't think so,
but I could be wrong. I want to mention. I
want to give share a text message I got from
a friend on Wednesday. Charge I was helping my dad
clean up trees from the storm Monday and a thousand
pound tree fell on me and I thought it crushed
every bone in my body. My parents miraculously lifted it off,

(42:13):
and I was rushed to the hospital in an ambulance,
not knowing what had happened. After they gave me fenton All,
I realized I was on the clock in our Guillotine League,
so I made my pick in the ambulance. Turned out
I had five fractured ribs, a broken collar bone, and
a punctured lung. But I made my Guillotine League draft pick.

(42:38):
That's dedication to your league right there, all about that. Wow,
Zack in Minneapolis that.

Speaker 4 (42:46):
Was last actually was liel movie to the hospital that
now he drip everybody.

Speaker 1 (42:55):
When I tell the storybody asked me, well, who'd he
take down to Foreman, who the next day got cut
by the Browns. But fortunately they re signed him, so
there's hopefully it will all end up panning out. And
that was a bad ass move by Zach in St. Paul.

Speaker 4 (43:13):
There's so many impressive things, like his parents lifting a
thousand Yes. Wow.

Speaker 1 (43:20):
He shared a picture with me of the paramedic hovering
over him working on him that his parents apparently had
taken while he was down on the ground, and unbelievable story.
That's fantasy football in a nutshell right there right making
your pick on fentanyl in the ambulance so you don't
hold up the draft.

Speaker 3 (43:39):
Did he say who the pick was?

Speaker 1 (43:40):
No, doctor Foreman?

Speaker 3 (43:41):
Oh I missed that.

Speaker 1 (43:42):
Yes, yes, doctor Foreman was the pick. When we come
back our number two Fantasy Football Weekly, we're gonna start
breaking down games, the Thursday night game, the Friday night game.
We're gonna talk about auction strategies plenty to get to
in our number two Fantasy Football Weekly, our number two

(44:19):
Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul Charchi and Scott Fish and Matt
Harrison with you. Please go try a Guillotine league. They
are free to join public leagues with We have free
public leagues right now. You can play in a private
league with friends. You can play with any number of
players up to eighteen because there's eighteen weeks in the season.
It is a ton of fun. It is free to play,
and we have a brand new, super cool app that

(44:42):
is a honestly massive improvement over what we've had in
the past. I think you're gonna like it a lot.
Let's turn our attention, Scott Fish to the f n N,
the Fish News Network, not the fake News Network. This
is all the facts the f This is the f
f NN, the factual fish.

Speaker 3 (45:00):
Big fire news wrap up from the last week of
cuts and whatnot. Let's start with the quarterbacks. We got
Russell Wilson's going to be the starter for the Steelers,
Jacoby Brissett is going to be the starter for the Pats,
and if you care, Malik Willis was traded to the Packers.

Speaker 4 (45:15):
We don't we Hey, can you do the rest of
this segment? Like Ron Burgundy?

Speaker 3 (45:20):
Can we get that in the background. Can we get up? No,
let's not do it.

Speaker 4 (45:25):
No, I don't want that over.

Speaker 3 (45:28):
That doesn't work.

Speaker 1 (45:29):
That doesn't work. Wait, how about the let's let's move
to the let's move to the wide receivers where the
other there was the Russell Wilson. If they care about
Drake May don't see the field this year. Yeah, you
know they're punting on this whole season for the Patriots.
Don't kill this kid behind a terrible offensive line with

(45:49):
no good wat kill Stevens. That's right on editorial. You
like that.

Speaker 3 (45:54):
Kill Stevenson behind that line.

Speaker 1 (45:56):
I'll quiet you.

Speaker 3 (45:59):
Okay. Over to the receivers. Ceedee Lamb signed, Brandon Ayuk signed,
and Zach Tayler expects Jamar Chase to play Week one
but week one, but he has not signed yet. The
Lions signed a whole bunch of wide receivers their practice squad,
down Vin Peoples, Jones, Allen Robinson, and Tim Patrick who
were all formerly fantasy relevance. But we'll see if any
of them happened. Mike Williams for the Jets to be

(46:21):
available for Week one.

Speaker 1 (46:22):
Yeah impressive.

Speaker 3 (46:23):
Yeah, yeah, I didn't. I didn't know for sure that
wouldn't think he would. Yeah, good for him. Over to
the tight ends. Brock Bauer is likely to play Week
one with that foot injury. Jolannie Woods season ending, I
are I just had to bring it up. I had
to bring it up. Well, you know one of the
I'm done, You're done right now?

Speaker 4 (46:40):
Wow?

Speaker 1 (46:40):
Done, I'm done advocating for jolannie Woods all off season
by oh super Deep's Leeber last pick year draft. He's
missed two straight years.

Speaker 4 (46:47):
You did that with Zach Moss, didn't you? And I
did it?

Speaker 1 (46:49):
Gave up on Zach crossing it. Yes, exactly.

Speaker 3 (46:52):
That's that's the patterns what that's what needs. Yeah, that's
what he needs to step it up to. Some good
news for me and you charge. Donald Parms signed with
the Broncos.

Speaker 1 (47:01):
Were the last believers on Donald Park.

Speaker 3 (47:02):
Yeah, and Tyler Higbee to start the year on PUP.
I don't think that matters either. But the running backs
is where all the news is. Tank Bigsby is the
clear backup in Jacksonville.

Speaker 1 (47:13):
It's gonna be another one that I was a year
two early on.

Speaker 3 (47:15):
Yeah, look at that.

Speaker 1 (47:16):
We don't We lost our Tank Sounder. Yeah, okay, between
Tank Dell and tank and Tank Bigsby, who might end
up being relevant this year. Yeah, we need our tank
sounder back.

Speaker 3 (47:25):
Yes, Bucky Irving has won the clear up clear cut
backup spot in Tampa Bay with Chase Edmonds going on IR.
Trey Benson has won the backup role behind James Connor
in Arizona. That could be pretty relevant.

Speaker 1 (47:36):
This one could be real. I've handcuffed those I'm not
a big handcuff guy. I've handcuffed those two in a
couple of leagues.

Speaker 3 (47:42):
Yeah.

Speaker 1 (47:42):
I like Trey Benson a lot.

Speaker 3 (47:43):
Not a bad idea for the forty nine ers. Elijah
Mitchell put on IR, making Jordan Mason, who has looked
great this preseason the clear backup.

Speaker 1 (47:50):
Yep? Is he the Is he the most important handcuff
in football?

Speaker 3 (47:53):
He might be, he might to Mason. Yeah, I can
see it. I can see it. Wilson back up over
Marshawn Lloyd, who struggled in preseason even when he wasn't hurt.
Because AJ Dillon is on season ending IR, Jalen Warren
is expected to be good for Week one, but we'll
see what that does. Over for the Colts, Evan Hull

(48:15):
got cut thor is gonna be so sad he is
going to be Thorsa thought he might lead the team
in touchdowns, joking receptions, receptions. Trey Sermon the backup to
Jonathan Taylor. There the Browns, Deontay Foreman was cut then
re signed, making him anderome Ford. These starters for the
first four weeks, with Nick Chubb landing on pup to

(48:37):
start the season.

Speaker 1 (48:38):
I'm gonna keep saying it. I really think this is
going to be a split backfield with these two guys,
because that's what Kevin Stefanski likes to do and always
did with Chubb and Hunt. And I think that's coming
with a you know, it's a Dollar Tree version of
Chubb and Hunt, right Ford and Foreman. But I think
I think that's coming.

Speaker 3 (48:54):
Yeah. J p Ron cut, but then are signed over
by the Chiefs. John Than Brooks is gonna start the
year on pup, missing the first four weeks. So it's
Cuba Cuba, Hubbard's the starter and Sanders the backup. If
you ask me. Dalvin Cook signed with the Cowboys. Not
sure that that matters. The Vikings enter the season with
just two running backs on their roster currently, I know,

(49:15):
how odd, which is interesting well, they got a couple
of guy, a couple of runners on practice squad. They
cut wong Wu, and wang Wu signed with the Saints,
then failed to physical with the Saints. And the last
one is mcveay. Sean McVay said Karen Williams will retire
return punts to start the season, but we will talk
about that later.

Speaker 1 (49:34):
All right, sounds good. You know, we all love auctions.
We all feel like it's the fairest way to distribute players.
Everybody's got a crack at every player. I love working
on how much I'm going to spend. I love I
love driving up the price. The draft day experience gets
so much more thrilling when you can have a part
in virtually every player's outcome. Yeah, I mean it's just

(49:58):
you know, I you just can't replicate all the awesomeness
and the adrenaline and the excitement of an auction with
a draft, right, it's just not the same. Nope, we
don't talk it enough.

Speaker 4 (50:11):
Here.

Speaker 1 (50:12):
Let's spend a few minutes on some of your favorite
auction strategies. I've got five bullet points written down, but
I'll yield the floor to anything you guys want to
throw at first.

Speaker 3 (50:20):
Sure, I got two that are mainstays for me. Generally,
when I'm in auctions, I generally don't bid early. I
generally wait on bidding because I let some money leave
the room first. I generally hold myself to a fifteen
percent rule. I know that I fifteen percent of my
budget on any player. It usually gives me a pretty
dang deep roster. I've been known to go outside of

(50:42):
that every once in a while when I'm just caught
up in the moment, because that's what happens in auctions and.

Speaker 1 (50:47):
That's part of the fun of it.

Speaker 3 (50:49):
But I try to stay fifteen percent or less on
my you know, basically my starting line of players, and
then I always want to be the one who grabs
players at the top of a tier instead of the
to the tier the end of the tier of players
that'll tend to drive up the price on a player
that's similar.

Speaker 1 (51:06):
That is a The tiered part of that is a
great conversation. For example, if you think there's a tier
after if there's a tier one of running backs is
Christian McCaffrey, Breeze Hall, Bijon Robinson, Jamior Gibbs, Jonathan Taylor,
that's the tier if the fifth guy to go off
the board, he's going, well, he will go to premium
Michael more than all the others. So even if it's

(51:26):
Jonathan Taylor, he might cost more than Christian McCaffrey because
there's a bunch of people in the room that want
a Tier one running back yep, and at that point
they got to pay for it. So I think that's
I think that's totally accurate. I've see a play out
so many times.

Speaker 3 (51:40):
Yep, And if I wasn't clear on the way to
spend money, let it leave the room. I'm a middle
of the auction guy. Like at the end, I feel
like people with money left are driving prices up, and
at the beginning they're just throwing money around because they
have it. I like to do my work in the middle.

Speaker 1 (51:53):
We've said for years, you want to be the richest
person at the middle of your draft, because the players
are going for half as much money, and you've got
the you've got the capital to pay the half half
as much, and a bunch of the other teams already
spent yep. But you're already tapped out.

Speaker 4 (52:08):
There is a danger if you wait too long, which
I did in one of my auctions last weekend where
I waited too long and all of a sudden I
was like, oh, my second quarterback in a super flex
league is Drake Maype.

Speaker 1 (52:21):
Yeah yeah, so right, Yeah, if.

Speaker 4 (52:23):
You wait too long, you can get you know, just
skunked out of everything.

Speaker 1 (52:27):
Yes, yes, well this ties into one of my overriding
themes of the auction, and this is Scott's going to
disagree because it's got a fifteen percent cap. Go get
your guys.

Speaker 4 (52:40):
I agree.

Speaker 1 (52:40):
Go, I mean, that's your guys. You know, if you've
identified four players that you just feel really strongly about,
go get them. And if you got a spay, if
you got to pay market price or even a little
higher than market price, okay, but the beauty of the
auction is you can go get your guys. That's the biggest,
the biggest distinction unlike a draft, where if I'm picking

(53:02):
out of the twelve slot of my draft, I don't
even have the option to get eleven players. Go get
your guys and fill in the blanks. In my opinion, Yeah,
and if to me that's the biggest part, There's there's
nothing I hate more about any either draft or auction
than I get it. The whole thing's over, and I

(53:23):
look at my roster and I can't recognize it as
my own roster.

Speaker 2 (53:28):
Right.

Speaker 1 (53:28):
I wanted to be filled with my dudes.

Speaker 4 (53:30):
Yeah. My issue this year was I like too many
guys that are like mid round guys. So I went
and got my guys. But it's like, eah, I don't
have that star power this year.

Speaker 1 (53:42):
This ties into another thing, and I've fallen victim to this.
Simply waiting for steals is not a strategy. No, there's
too much money out there. For most of the draft,
you end up with the players that nobody wants. And
because the price wasn't high.

Speaker 3 (53:58):
Here's the absolute problem with an auction like that. It
just takes one other person that likes the same guy
as you.

Speaker 1 (54:04):
Yeah, that's right, Yeah, and that you know, which happens
and then you got to you know when that happens,
and sometimes that playson is just driving you up, driving
the price up too.

Speaker 3 (54:12):
Sometimes I have price enforcers, for sure.

Speaker 1 (54:15):
I try to build a bare bones budget by position,
you know, for me as a do the opposite drafter.
That means I'm gonna budget like eight dollars and ten
dollars for my two starting running backs. But I'm gonna
budget twenty two dollars and twenty dollars for my two
wideouts and maybe eighteen dollars for my tight end. That's

(54:36):
I know, it's not a firm rule. It's not like
I will never pass that, but I try to give
myself walk into the auction with a sense of the
most that I want to spend on positions, so that
in the heat of the moment, I don't go berserk
and then throw out, you know, throw out my whole
overarching draft strategy. And then, of course there's this one

(54:57):
that we've been talking about every single segment we've ever
done in the pres He's a non auction strategies. Early on,
you throw out high dollar value players that.

Speaker 3 (55:05):
You do want, do not want.

Speaker 1 (55:07):
You siphon off money from the others on players you
don't like. If you you know, if you're nervous about
Christian McCaffrey and you know that's you know, you throw
him out early. Let's let's get thirty bucks out of
the way.

Speaker 3 (55:18):
Honestly, it's not early for me. I don't think I
ever nominate players I want.

Speaker 1 (55:23):
Sometimes I have, sometimes I have to it the end.
Sometimes I have to, and sometimes also because everybody knows
I do that, I will do the I'll try to
psych him out by throwing out a player I want.
I totally don't want that that they all think I
don't want, because I almost always throw guys I don't want.
And then I will be quiet for a long time,
and then when I think he's about to he's gonna

(55:43):
finally go, then I'll jump in there.

Speaker 3 (55:44):
You're all right, the price is fine, I guess. I
guess I'll have him.

Speaker 4 (55:48):
Do you guys? Ever, when you nominate, try to throw
out an initial bid that you think will just win,
where the room will get cold on a player, and
you throw out a player for five bucks, thinking I
don't think anybody wants to get in on this guy
right now.

Speaker 1 (56:03):
Only one at one particular moment. Do I ever do that?
If I throw, if I am throwing out one of
the first one or two players, there's a cold room effect.
People aren't warmed up to bidding yet, yep, And I
can throw out. I can throw out Jonathan Taylor into
a cold room, and he may go for twenty three,

(56:24):
whereas I'm convinced had he been thrown out five minutes later,
he'll go for twenty eight or twenty nine because people
just don't have like the rhythm down yet and they're
nervous about getting in early. The cold room effect is
a real thing in auctions.

Speaker 4 (56:35):
In my particular league, I threw out Brian Thomas like
that early, trying to get him like at a cheap price,
just thinking nobody's gonna want to bid on Brian Thomas.
Now I got out bid a little out of my
comfort zone. But I thought that was that was a
move that I was trying to make.

Speaker 1 (56:52):
I can see that. Let's not guillotine league draft strategies
because it's so different. Oh yeah, you're drafting so differently
in a guillotine league. I'm happy to yield the Florida
you guys, obviously, I've got this down cold.

Speaker 3 (57:02):
Yeah, you got to do.

Speaker 1 (57:03):
You want me to just run? You'll be the most.

Speaker 4 (57:05):
You win all of your guillotines, all of.

Speaker 1 (57:07):
Them, actually, guote, I have a very high rate.

Speaker 3 (57:10):
You do, not winning, but making final four, you do.

Speaker 1 (57:14):
You've done it. You've done a really nice job over
the years. So what's your secret? I guess my map
for drafting. Let's just we'll contain this to the draft.

Speaker 3 (57:23):
Yeah, I was gonna say, my biggest secret is not
spending money until after week six or week six at
the earliest, but the drafting one. So I do, and
I've told you about this charge. I take my tight
end in my quarterback earlier than you probably should in
those leagues because I want a stud kind of like
a Josh Allen with a bye week twelve or whatever
you know I want, or you know, I believe the

(57:45):
Laporta also has twelve, right, that's right, Yeah, but I
was trying to Yeah, But anyway, I take a stud
quarterback and a stud tight end early, earlier than you
probably should. I'll reach adp on them because I knocked
down those two onesie positions for at least four, five,
six weeks, and then I can spend the entire rest
of my draft dart throwing running backs and wide receivers

(58:07):
for ten plus rounds.

Speaker 4 (58:10):
I'm very similar.

Speaker 1 (58:13):
Some guillotine league draft strategies. And by the way, play
a gayoting league chon. In a guillotine league, you are
constructing a roster of safe, surefire contributors who are not
going to burden you with Doug games. You know, you're
just trying to finish in week one. You're just trying
to finish one through seventeen, not finish eighteen. Finishing first
doesn't gain you anything that the person who finished seventeenth

(58:34):
doesn't get. So a perfect example Kirk Cousins. He's thrown
touchdowns in fifty four of the last fifty five games.
He's you know, he has finished his quarterback twenty or
better than forty five of his last fifty games. He
is super super safe. As an archetype, we're looking for safe,
surefire contributors, in effect, the anti Gabe Davis. Gabe Davis

(58:57):
is a guillotine league assassin. If he doesn't come down
with that big long ball touchdown, he gives you nothing.
That's the opposite of the archetype we're looking for here.
Non goal line runners can be very dangerous because if
they don't break off long runs, they don't get easy
fantasy points. Runners who don't catch can be dangerous because

(59:18):
they don't always give you the sure PPR floor.

Speaker 4 (59:22):
What you're trying to say is don't bank on yardage.
I think it's bank on PPR and bank on touchdowns.

Speaker 1 (59:29):
I like what you're saying. Rookies are super dangerous. Last year,
some of the highly drafted NFL drafted, not fantasy drafted
rookies never panned out at all. Bryce Young already mentioned
some of these names. Jonathan Mingo, Quinton Johnston, Michael Mayers,
Zax Charbonnay never panned out all season long, and all
guys that were drafted in the top like thirty nine

(59:50):
the names I just gave you picks of the NFL draft.
But more even more insidious than those guys who just
look like busts, are the rookies who eventually become good producers,
but not before you've been cut. And I'll give you
as an example, Jamier Gibbs last year finishes RB ten

(01:00:11):
and on in an absolute tear in the second half
of the season, But in the first two months you
wouldn't have survived if you were counting on Jamior Gibbs
every week through September and October. Sure, until week eight,
Gibbs topped nine Fantasy points, which is not enough. I mean,
you know, nine is not enough. Until week eight he

(01:00:31):
topped nine Fantasy points two times. That's it. And that's
the danger of rookies is that most of them need
the ramp up period and even the really good ones
like Jamier Gibbs.

Speaker 4 (01:00:42):
Ten fantasy points is what I'm looking for out of
every player.

Speaker 1 (01:00:45):
Ten out of every player will keep you alive until
like mid November before you have to start crafting more
of a roster upside. And I alluded to this early
and I'll give you one more guillotine League strategy. Prioritize
pass catching runners. Adept pass catching runners will give you
eight to ten PPR points by virtue of catching five

(01:01:07):
balls for fifty yards. Then the rushing doesn't matter hardly
at that point. I'm you know that guy has already
gotten me to those ten PPR points that you were
just talking about. For all the frustration that we endured
with Bjon Robinson at the hands of Arthur Smith, Robinson
only posted four dud games, thanks entirely because he averaged
seven PPR points per game and just gave you a

(01:01:28):
safe floor. So Bjon Robinson was the right kind of player.
Prioritize pass catching running backs, all right. When we come
back three tough questions, play along with our panel of experts.
See if you can go three and ozher plus we'll
dole out our final sleepers of the year. Oh you'll

(01:01:51):
want to stay tuned for the next segment of Fantasy
Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Chargian, Scottfish,

(01:02:31):
Matt Harrison with you. It's draft time, getting you ready
for us. Maybe your final draft, maybe your only draft.

Speaker 3 (01:02:38):
Yes, my biggest draft.

Speaker 1 (01:02:41):
It's the Scott Fish Homely Draft. When did the term
home league become a thing? I heard it for the
first time like five years ago.

Speaker 3 (01:02:50):
Yeah, I don't.

Speaker 1 (01:02:51):
I had never heard anybody call it that prior to that.

Speaker 3 (01:02:53):
I'm not sure. I don't know. You'll be there.

Speaker 1 (01:02:55):
I'm always interested in like where some of the terms
came from in fantasy football. Like, I'd love to know
who did who said dynasty first?

Speaker 3 (01:03:03):
Right, you could have named it anything. I once researched
an article on this and I did not find that out.
But I found people who had been playing dynasty in
the late seventies but didn't call it that.

Speaker 4 (01:03:13):
Ye.

Speaker 3 (01:03:14):
I started playing Festitball in ninety two, and the way
I started mine was tech. Mine was a dynasty league.
I didn't call that all.

Speaker 1 (01:03:20):
That, No, right, I'd love to I'd love to know
who who named that?

Speaker 4 (01:03:25):
It was, Sir Frederick Dynasty.

Speaker 3 (01:03:28):
It's like the Canada goose thing that they're not Canadian,
but they're named after someone named Canada.

Speaker 1 (01:03:32):
Yeah, that's fantastic.

Speaker 3 (01:03:34):
I love it.

Speaker 1 (01:03:34):
I love it.

Speaker 4 (01:03:36):
Let's begin with tough question number one.

Speaker 1 (01:03:40):
What is the appropriate level of concern over the holdout
of San Francisco tackled Trent Williams. You know, Brandon Ayuku signed.
Now we've got this is a looming issue. Is it none?
Is it some? Or is it a bowel loosening level
of existential dread? Yes, it is, blow Tie Matt.

Speaker 4 (01:04:02):
You know, Christian McCaffrey's calf injury has scared a few
folks off of taking him number one overall, But Trent
Williams is the best left tackle in the league. And
the downgrade from him to Jalen Moore, a twenty twenty
one fifth round pick out of Western Michigan, who's a guard.
By the way, you're taking the best left tackle out
of your lineup and throwing a converted guard. You're insane.

(01:04:25):
I mean, it's it's a shot of meta mules, meta
mucil and some bowel loosening level of existential dread here.

Speaker 1 (01:04:32):
All right, you are officially blowed. Yeah, Trent will Yeah,
Scott what's the appropriate level of concern over holdout San
Francisco tackle Trent Williams. Is it non some or a
bowel loosening level of existential dread?

Speaker 3 (01:04:46):
So I'm gonna drop some PFF stats and rich Rebar
stats on you here, Brock party with Trent Williams off
the field, Trent Williams not there, eighty nine dropbacks, forty
four point nine ine percent pressure rate, six point one
percent sack rate, five point two percent interception rate, two
point six percent TD rate.

Speaker 1 (01:05:07):
That's my bowels, you're hearing right.

Speaker 3 (01:05:09):
And Williams on the field it drops to thirty nine
percent pressure, five point four sack one point seven percent
interception rate, six point seven percent TD rate. If if
those rates are like those are percentages with Williams healthy,
twenty eight touchdowns and two interceptions without Williams three touchdowns
and nine interceptions.

Speaker 4 (01:05:28):
Wow, fish drop and knowledge bombs and kids off at
the pool.

Speaker 3 (01:05:34):
So now you can argue. Also missing in those same
Trent Williams games was Deebo Samuel, so there's a little
bit of a factor there. But those are some pretty
scary numbers, especially the pressure and sack numbers. So I'm
gonna I'm gonna go with it's a at minimum sum.
I wish there was something between some and ball loosening,
but because there isn't, I'm gonna go ballos.

Speaker 1 (01:05:56):
Loosening levels of A.

Speaker 3 (01:05:57):
Yeah.

Speaker 1 (01:05:58):
Last year, Trent Williams was pro FOOTB focus is number
two ranked run blocking lineman. Gone out of your lineup now.
And Trent Williams is a principled man. You'll remember he
held out from Washington for a whole year because they
misdiagnosed his cancer and he was like, this is a
crap organization. I want nothing to do with these people.
And he was right by the way, as it turns out,

(01:06:20):
and by the way, and he's way Richard now because
he's been paid by San Francisco since then, he's got
more money. He could hold out deep into this season.
And the starting line you mentioned Jalen Moore, Aaron Banks,
Jake Brendle, Dominic Poney, Colton mckivitts.

Speaker 4 (01:06:37):
What those aren't made up names?

Speaker 1 (01:06:38):
Those are made up names. Other time it's this is
a I I am so worried about this. I'm officially
off of Christian McCaffrey pick one because of this, Williams
situation has drifted so far into the season now.

Speaker 4 (01:06:52):
And Trent Williams is thirty six, and as a principled man,
he could say I'm never coming back to football, right
unless you pay me what I wor right.

Speaker 1 (01:07:01):
And you know, and you know he's stacking the fines
every day. He could just be like, final retire, I
won't take the fines. Yeah, you know, come get it.
I'm never gonna play again. So you should have a
bowel loosening level of existential dread over this.

Speaker 4 (01:07:15):
Tough question number two, what.

Speaker 1 (01:07:17):
Is the appropriate level of concern over news that Los
Angeles running back Kyron Williams will return punts? Is that none?

Speaker 4 (01:07:26):
Some or blowed so?

Speaker 3 (01:07:29):
And with Scott I could go a couple of ways
with this. First, this caused a social media stir this week,
and you could tell by the reactions who followed the
Beat reporters and watched the actual Sean McVay press conference
and who simply read the headline and quote tweeted it
or replied to it or made their own tweets and
all that. Basically McVeigh wants to start the season the

(01:07:52):
same as last to where Kien Williams was the punt
returner to start the season for the last three first
three weeks last year, he eventually pulled him pulled him
from those duty, but in those games he returned three
punts and fair catch five. The punt returner after that
for the rest of the season returned fifteen fair cot

(01:08:12):
twenty five, So we're talking about potentially fifteen to twenty
touches that he's adding to Kyen Williams. He talked about
he wants to get Kyen Williams involved as much as possible,
it in his hands as much as possible. He talked
about how korm And Rivers He's okay putting Kyron on
punts because he has confidence in korm and Rivers to

(01:08:32):
spell him if need be. He wants Kyron out there
the entire time. They love Kien Williams. This really wasn't
anything towards oh, Korm is going to take a drive,
Rivers is going to take a drive. This was just
I want to get the ball in Kyron's hands fifteen
to twenty more times over the course of the season.
He addressed the injury concerns where he's like, I'm always
gonna hold my breath, but it's fifteen or so touches,

(01:08:55):
So I'm going to go with it's closer than none.
But I understand the fifteen touch injury risk on punt
returns if it's two percent five percent for some. But
I'm going to quote Field Yates and Mike Clay who
said it's nothing. Quote it's a nothing Burgner.

Speaker 1 (01:09:09):
Okay, let's go to Matt. What is your appropriate what
do you think is the appropriate level of concern over
news that Los Angeles running back Hien Williams will return punts.

Speaker 4 (01:09:17):
Now, Scott kind of alluded to it. If the Rams
are toying with the idea of him in the punt
return game, that means they feel comfortable enough with the
other options at running back, namely Blake Koram, and the
Rams have really exercised caution with the running backs since
they murdered the career Todd Gurley. So if you're banking
on bell Cow usage of Kyra, Blake Korum is there,

(01:09:38):
they probably don't want to get him full bell Cow work.
And I'd say that the tea leave saying that they
want to keep him involved means that they're trying to
manufacture other touches for him because they think that they're
going to use Blake Korum in some other situations. I
don't think Kiran Williams is a top two round pick, so.

Speaker 1 (01:09:56):
You're going some some. I am also on some. I
do think this is is a vote of confidence for
Blake ORRM.

Speaker 3 (01:10:02):
I mean absolutely is, you know.

Speaker 1 (01:10:03):
And I moved Blake RM up a few spots on
my on my cheat.

Speaker 3 (01:10:06):
Sheet, and Korm is kind of like a Karen Williams copy.
He might be better, but McVeigh did say that is
his confidence in Korm is what allowed him to give
Kiren and not those extra touches and not worry.

Speaker 1 (01:10:18):
And you know the Rams in the preseason never play
their starters. Blake Corm never got the field. No, I
mean they know what they've gone to Blake Orm. They
didn't need to give him any reps. He never got
near the field. You know, remember Blake Korm scored sixty
one touchdowns in three years. Is the starter for Michigan.
I mean it's just, you know, the dude is hyper productive.

(01:10:40):
I did I lowered Kyen Williams a couple of spots
on my cheat sheet, but he's still ten. He's still
running back ten. Yeah, Orra moved up a few There
is some concern that this is gonna be more of
a split backfield than we thought. And I think korm
Is gonna have is gonna be, He's gonna be to
take a chance.

Speaker 3 (01:10:54):
To me, it was absolutely a vote of confidence. The
the oh kyroen Is Dawn takes, We're just absurd this week. Yeah,
some is a finance.

Speaker 4 (01:11:04):
Ques Gin number three.

Speaker 1 (01:11:06):
You're on the clock. Do you take your favorite available
player or weigh your picks towards average draft position? So
do you take your favorite available player regardless of ADP
or are you factoring in average draft position?

Speaker 4 (01:11:21):
Matt, My answer is kind of a hybrid here. I
tend to take my favorite available player unless I'm looking
at like a two round jump in ADP, because I
will give a single reach around, but I won't go
as far as a double reach around. In that case,
I'll wait till my next pick, and it usually works

(01:11:42):
out for me.

Speaker 1 (01:11:43):
So all right, so I need to this has to
be one or the other.

Speaker 4 (01:11:46):
I guess I do way average draft position, So yeah,
you're on, But I still will reach a round for
a player.

Speaker 3 (01:11:53):
Yeah, I don't know how you can't not weigh average
draft position a little, but I will give the double
reach around. Wow, Like I never know when ADP is
going to shift, and we didn't see it coming. And
I still want my dang guys. And I believe fantasy
should be fun. You should enjoy the players you have.
You want to root for the players you have. I

(01:12:14):
think I'm gonna lead a little closer to take your
favorite available player.

Speaker 4 (01:12:18):
The hand gester Scott, he said, I will give the
double reach around. You can't see that on radio.

Speaker 3 (01:12:24):
What here's the thing. I must have done it subconsciously,
I did.

Speaker 1 (01:12:29):
I realize, Well, it's that's that's muscle memory for you
right there. Oh that was oh purple right now. I
wish people could see, Scott, you articulated this so well.
Take your favorite available players. So we alluded to this earlier.
At the end of the draft, it should look like
your team take your players. Here's almost people draft and

(01:12:51):
try to challenge me on this. You're on your favorite site,
maybe it's on your phone or your computer. It doesn't matter.
Your pick comes up. You look at the first you
look at who's available, the top of their rankings, which
is off an ADP or they're what their where their
rankings are and you look at the top guys, you
look through five, six, seventy guys, and you pick the
one you like the best. That's how most of America drafts.

(01:13:11):
But I'm the guy who's like, well, there's the first eight,
let's keep going. Here's the next day, here's another, and
that's the guy I want. I'm scrolling down. I want
my guys. I don't care. And here's why. A week
from now, Sunday, Sunday Football kicks off. Do you know
who remembers or cares about average draft position?

Speaker 4 (01:13:34):
Nobody?

Speaker 1 (01:13:34):
Nobody.

Speaker 4 (01:13:35):
You only care that.

Speaker 1 (01:13:36):
You've got a team you like.

Speaker 3 (01:13:37):
I'll go one further on average draft position. Once the
draft is done. That value is done. It's absolutely done.
In trades, you shouldn't be like, oh, I I paid
a third rounder for him?

Speaker 1 (01:13:47):
I should people do all the time.

Speaker 3 (01:13:48):
Yeah, exactly, No, it's done. He is just a player now.

Speaker 1 (01:13:52):
And average draft position is so wrong. It is so long.
Every year ADP is nowhere close to reality. Life doesn't
work that way, and we're mostly repeating last year with
this year's ADP. It's so wrong. So don't be beholden
to average drafts.

Speaker 3 (01:14:09):
The only thing that is right. Is your ranking sheet
available on Guillotine Leagues dot com.

Speaker 1 (01:14:14):
That's the only one that's right exactly exactly. My free
Guillotine League or my free overall just standard cheat sheet
is available at Fantasy life dot com. You can get
the premium fantasyteen version on Fantasy Life as well. And
it's also we've now got a version of it where
you can't. It's totally sortable, it's excelled, downloadable and do

(01:14:34):
all kinds of cool stuff. All the Guillotine rankings cheat
sheets players. Yeah, part of Fantasy Life plus for those interests.

Speaker 3 (01:14:41):
I tried to plug for you and I just didn't
do it.

Speaker 4 (01:14:43):
No, Well you sent me up to the same place.

Speaker 1 (01:14:46):
Look, if you go to Guillotine Leagues dot com, we're happy, Scott.
Let's talk sleepers. Sure our final chance to do sleepers? Yeah,
you got this week.

Speaker 3 (01:14:55):
Yeah. We talked about him a little earlier in the
which player do you want an ADP? And it's for
me it's Jalen Right. Given the offense, the injury history
of Raheem Mostert and Devin Chan above him, and his
game taking a long late round shot on this guy
could be a league winner, kind of like taking a
late round shot on eight. Han was last year top

(01:15:15):
two or three running back on most draft boards before
the NFL Draft, nine point eight two raz out of ten.
I think that's like top forty in the last twenty
years for running backs four three eight forty. He's fast, agile,
high football IQ. His top speed clocked as the fastest
for a running back prospect in the last twenty years.
His top top field speed, and he looked good in

(01:15:36):
preseason two. Just good situation. I trust Mike McDaniel to
use him really well if something happens to the two
in front of him.

Speaker 1 (01:15:44):
Your final sleepers of the preseason matt or sleeper? Who
is it?

Speaker 4 (01:15:48):
I've got Justin Fields in points per game. Last season,
Justin Fields finished as QB twelve right abully, yeah, right,
about the same level as c J. Stroud and Kyler Murray.
But this year he's backing up Russell Wilson in Pittsburgh
for now. Fields completed nineteen of twenty seven attempts for
one hundred and ninety nine yards and one scoring drive
in the preseason. Wilson only completed ten of twelve for

(01:16:10):
seventy three yards. Fields was averaging eight point three yards
per attempt in the air well, Wilson was averaging an
a dot of five point seven. That's too low. Fields
is a better passer, and we already know that Fields
is a better runner. The Steelers lead off the season
against Atlanta, then Wilson has the revenge game in Denver.
But if Sean Payton doesn't know the entire book of

(01:16:31):
Russell Wilson, who does, so I think the Steelers might
go oh to two in their first two games.

Speaker 1 (01:16:36):
And the Steelers take this schedules really top the.

Speaker 4 (01:16:39):
Week one, it's Atlanta and Atlanta and then and then Denver.
So if they switch to Field at Denver, oh, I
think they might just because they know Russell Wilson so well. Maybe,
but I.

Speaker 1 (01:16:52):
Think I got Denver's like one of the three worst
teams in the NFA. Fields is going to.

Speaker 4 (01:16:55):
Start eventually at some point this season. They have to
know what they get. They're they're trying to figure out
who their quarterback for next year is. And if you
get Fields in there, you get a guy who's top
fifteen quarterback upside the rest of the way, and you
can get him with the last pick in your draft.

Speaker 1 (01:17:09):
YEP, my sleeper of the week is in sneaky fashion,
two sleepers who are connected to each other. Now, if TJ.
Hockinson were healthy and he's one of my two, where
would he be among your tight end list? He'd be
sitting somewhere like top five, right, Yeah, I was gonna
say for sure top eight, but yes, he could be

(01:17:31):
pushing higher. Yeah, you know, I think Laporter would still
be one, but Hockinson would.

Speaker 4 (01:17:35):
Be right in the Mark Andrews this area.

Speaker 1 (01:17:38):
Yeah, not before. So you know right now he's going
off the board is like tight end fourteen. So here's
the combo I want to propose to you. Okay, so
you take Hockinson in what is now like round eleven
or something like this around he's very likely base and
everything we know right now, he's very likely to come
back in October. So then I give you the other
part of this sleeper duo, your handcuff to bridge the

(01:18:02):
gap until Hockinson comes back. Zach Ertz, Well, you can
take with the last pick of your draft. He is
the veteran who's reunited with Cliff Kingsbury in Washington. Now
Washington drafted Ben Sennett and his prospects look good. But
Ben Sennett doesn't look like somebody who's going to be
an immediate starter and an immediate impact guy. I don't

(01:18:22):
think he's gonna I don't think he's at the Sam
Laporta level of development yet. In fact, I don't think
anybody does. So Senate's gonna take some time. In the meantime,
good old safe zach Ertz, who's getting most all the
run with the first team in Washington. He's going to
start these start the season, and he's my bridge for
you until you get TJ. Hockinson. And now you get

(01:18:44):
a top five ish tight end who you didn't have
to pay, you'd be paid like round ten equity for.

Speaker 4 (01:18:51):
I like it. I Oh, by the way, Johan Dotson's
gun John Dog.

Speaker 1 (01:18:55):
Yeah, that frees up a bunch of targets. In fact,
Washington's got several, Yeah, a lot of bag hitting targets. Anyway,
I'm not totally sure what the exact number is. But
when we come back, we got to break down two games.
We got a Thursday and Friday night game Fantasy Football
Weekly style with all the player grades coming your way.

(01:19:15):
We'll tell you what we think is going to happen
Thursday Friday of this coming week and get your head
start on the whole regular season. Fantasy Football Weekly final

(01:19:48):
segment of Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Chargi and Scott Fish
Matt Harrison with you. We're breaking down the Thursday games
and the Friday game. It's Friday game here, Thursday, Baltimore
at Kansas City. These teams met two games ago in
the AFC Championship Game, a very low scoring game seventeen
to ten despite good weather in that late January game.

(01:20:10):
I've got a bunch of b grades to hand out
for Baltimore, beginning with Derrick Henry. His Baltimore debut was
going to be a ton of fun here. It's much
the same run defense, well overall defense for Kansas City,
and in the AFC Championship game, the Ravens barely tried
to run just six rushing attempts in the whole game,
which is incredible. Kansas City's run defense was good but
not dominating last year, allowing the second fewest rushing touchdowns

(01:20:32):
just six all year, and even volume backs struggled. The
six backs that had eighteen or more carries, which I think,
like Derek Henry is likely to get eighteen or more,
they still only averaged ninety yards per game and just
zero point two touchdowns. So I can only get Derrick
Henry to a B grade in this game. Let's go
to the passing offense Lamar Jackson. Kansas City's defense was

(01:20:53):
dominating for much of last year, shutting down guys like
Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts and Tua, and in the
playoff game against Jackson last year, he threw a whopping
thirty eight times. I told you they didn't run at all.
It was all passing two hundred and seventy five yards
on a score, which is aboutwood feels right here with
most of the same weapons on both sides of the ball.
The Chiefs saw the most opposing quarterback runs last year,

(01:21:18):
more than any other team, and Jackson ran for fifty
four yards in the January meeting. So continue to help
you out on the ground here in all probability, and
a B grade for him. A B grade for Za Flowers.
He posted his best game as a pro in the
previous meeting, one hundred and fifteen yards and a score.

(01:21:39):
Last year, Flowers moved all over the field, lining up
equally from the slot the left, the right side of
the field and The Chiefs have got one very good cornerback,
Trent McDuffie. He finished his Pro Football Focus's twentieth ranked
coverage cornerback last year, giving up just twenty nine receiving
yards per game. Considering the talent drop off after Flowers,
you know, McDuffie I think is going to sh shato Flowers,

(01:22:01):
which worries me here because he is really good and
there's nobody else worthy of Trent McDuffie's coverage, and he
does shadow sometimes, so I'm worried about that. And I
think that I can only get Zay Flowers to a
bee and I almost knocked him down to a sea.
If you told me McDuffie was going to a shadow,
I'd put him at a seat. Let's talk Mark Andrews.
The Chiefs were a good, not great tight end defense

(01:22:21):
last year. They absolutely shut down Andrews in the playoff game,
just two catches in for fifteen yards. But that was
also his first game back off a two month injury,
and he should be better in this game, fully healthy.
And we all know Mark Andrews is a target hog
when he is on the field. I've got a B
grade there, And if you want to throw a speculative
dart throw on Rashad Babeman C grade, earning lots of

(01:22:47):
praise in training camp from John Harbaugh. With Trent McDuffie
tied up with Flowers, Baateman gets much easier coverage from
Chamari Connor and Nazy Johnson. Connor has seen eighteen career
targets and Johnson hasn't ever seen the field before. And
those guys might be starting cornerbacks here. So I think
Bateman is startable. We had to take a chance to

(01:23:09):
me segment. Yeah probably, Yeah, it's Kansas City. I've got
an A grade on Travis Kelcey. I'll note in the
AFC Championship Game eleven targets and eleven catches against Baltimore.
Big game. There B grade on Patrick Mahomes. He was
quiet in the AFC Championship Game, just two hundred and
forty one yards in a touchdown. The Ravens were an

(01:23:30):
elite pass defense last year, and almost the exact same
defense of personnel comes back this year. Baltimore averaged just
one passing touchdown allowed per game. That's it, and no
opposing passer hit three hundred yards against Baltimore all last
year and eleven quarterbacks didn't even top two hundred and
twenty seven yards against the Ravens. They had the number

(01:23:51):
two ranked overall pass defense by Pro Football Focus. I
can only get you to a B grade on Mahomes
that if I had the guts, I'd put a C
grade on him. Let's stay with the receivers, for she
Wright comes in with. Rice comes in with a C grade.
Heavily involved in the AFC Championship game nine targets, eight receptions,
but they were all close to the line of scrimmage
and he only finished with forty six scoreless yards. Now,

(01:24:13):
the problem here is the matchup. Rice runs fully half
his routes from the slot, and that's rematches up against
star safety Kyle Hamilton, who is simply awesome. He allowed
one touchdown in his coverage last year and an insane
opposing passer rating of forty seven. Kyle Hamilton is amazing

(01:24:34):
and that's going to be a tough matchup for Rashi Rice.
So I can only get you to a C grade
on him. Xavier Worthy in his debut tough spot Baltimore
only allowed twelve wide receiver scores all of last year,
and only two were from speed guys. Out of those twelve,
the rest were big bodied receivers who had much better
success like Amari Cooper and George Pickens and T Higgins

(01:24:55):
and Keenan Allen all posted good games against Baltimore. That's
not Xavier worthy and Hollywood Brown not expected to play
just the Sea grade on Xavier Worthy. Now for our
Brazil game, let's go to Mateo to tell us about
Green Bay Philadelphia.

Speaker 4 (01:25:11):
Hey, but Georgian, Welcome to South Bollow, where we are
hairless below the neck and we kick everything. You can
call me Mateo. You'll notice I don't have much of
a Brazilian accent.

Speaker 1 (01:25:23):
Oh you really don't.

Speaker 4 (01:25:24):
I watch a lot of Rockford Files, and I listen
to Matt Harrison on Fantasy Football Weekly every week.

Speaker 1 (01:25:30):
You are a man of distinction, mostly.

Speaker 4 (01:25:32):
Matt Harrison and Brian Johnson. I don't listen to the
other guys. Smart teach me the English very good move.
When you come to Corinthian Stadium, you may not wear
green or will kick you. We were so pleased that
the NFL sent us two of the three green teams
in the league, the Eagles and Packers. Over under is
forty nine, which is the third highest in Week one,

(01:25:52):
so we expect to see a lot of golds, But
how do you score forty nine goals in a football game?
No goalkeeper? And Jordan Love is an A grade, especially
with starting Eagles center back James Bradbury ending up on ir.
For the receivers, Jayden Reid lines up in the slot
most often, so he'll get first round rookie Quinnyan Mitchell.

(01:26:15):
Mitchell only gave up six yards in coverage in the preseason,
but you have to give the advantage to read in
a real game. Reid gets a B grade. C grades
to both Romeo Dobbs and Christian Watson, who will both
take turns on the Darius Sleigh Ride, and we will
see Keeley Ringo, who only saw nine targets last season,

(01:26:35):
and Isaiah Rodgers, who just got reinstated to the league
after being suspended last year for gambling. It's a whole
new corner group for the Eagles, and consistency of the Packers'
wideouts wins in this case, so C grades for Dobbs
and Watson. I'll keep Dontavian Wicks on the bench, though,
but he's probably gonna score. That means you probably have
a better tight end on your roster than Luke Musgrave,

(01:26:58):
and the Eagles didn't allow a tight end touchdown for
the final seven weeks of the twenty three season, so
I keep him in. Tucker Craft on the bench. Josh Jacobs,
he gets a B grade. The Eagles allowed a touchdown
to each of the last six lead running backs they
faced last season. On the other side, Saquon Barkley, he
gets a B grade as well. The last running back

(01:27:20):
the Packers allowed multiple touchdowns too was Giants running back
Saquon Barkley in Week fourteen. I think both teams will
try to show off their shiny new running back toys
this week. Jalen Hurts he gets an A grade. You
drafted him crazy early because he had rushing touchdowns in
eleven of eighteen games last year. AJ Brown gets an

(01:27:40):
A as well, and DeVante Smith a solid B. Both
will get the opportunity to go against Eric Stokes on
the left side of the field, and I expect the
Eagles to attack his side. Stokes allowed a passer rating
of one fifty two in his shoverage last year. He's
the glaring week spot on this defense, and on the
other side is JayR Alley Xander's a much tougher test,

(01:28:01):
but still took a major step back last season with
a passer rating of one twenty two in his coverage.
And finally, Dallas Goddard. He's not practicing yet with an
oblique injury. We'll keep an eye on his status up
to kickoff next Friday. But if I had a choice,
I'd leave Goddard on the bench this week. Mateo out,
nicely done, Mateo, Well done, Hill.

Speaker 1 (01:28:22):
We can't wait for the real live football starting on.

Speaker 3 (01:28:26):
Can we replace Matt Harrison with Way?

Speaker 4 (01:28:29):
I think?

Speaker 1 (01:28:29):
I think Mateo is Way?

Speaker 4 (01:28:31):
It sounds good to me.

Speaker 1 (01:28:32):
Far better looking, you know, hairless from the neck down
and all. Yes, we like that about Mateo. Quite a pit.
Thank you for listening to Fantasy Football Weekly, everybody. It
was great to have you along. Next week we'll go
into regular season mode where'll be breaking down all the games.
We'll be giving you our taking chance with me players,
and so much more. Can't wait to talk to you
one week from to now. From today, best of luck

(01:28:54):
and all your final drafts everyone, Bye bye. Fantasy Football
Weekly is a production of iHeartRadio. For more podcasts from iHeartRadio,
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