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April 6, 2026 12 mins

Has the Iran war already achieved its goal? Buck breaks down Trump’s claims, the reality on the ground, and what comes next - from nuclear threats to the risk of deeper U.S. involvement.

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Speaker 1 (00:11):
You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcast, make sure
you subscribe to the podcast on the iHeartRadio app or
wherever you get your podcasts. Has Trump already won the
Iran War? He certainly thinks.

Speaker 2 (00:26):
So.

Speaker 1 (00:27):
We watched his address that happened earlier this week and
we were left with a whole bunch of important data points.
But most importantly of all, Trump believes, according to everything
that he's said, the Iran War has achieved its objective.

Speaker 3 (00:43):
Now.

Speaker 1 (00:44):
To be clear, he is saying the objective is not
regime change, and as I have been saying for weeks,
regime change, true regime change is not going to happen.
In my opinion, it is almost an impossibility based on
the facts on the ground. Trump is claiming that because
so much of the previous senior leadership is gone, there

(01:04):
is something of a change in regime now. There is
truth to that. You definitely have different people running the
show in Iran now, but they may be running it
with the same underlying ideology and the same approach to
their neighbors going forward, It's certainly the same approach internally
in Iran, and so that is something that we have

(01:28):
to take a close look at. But first off, he
says that it is in fact the case that Americans
can look forward to a Iran where we no longer
have to worry about them having nukes.

Speaker 2 (01:41):
Tonight, every American can look forward to a day when
we are finally free from the wickedness of Iranian aggression
and the specter of nuclear black bill. Because of the
actions we have taken, we are on the cusp of
ending iran sinister threat to America and the world. And
I'll tell you, the world is watching. And when we

(02:02):
do and it's all over, the United States will be safer, stronger,
more prosperous, and greater than it has ever been before.

Speaker 1 (02:10):
Is that the case we will be free of nuclear blackmail?
Is that really the situation? I certainly hope. So here's
the Let me give you a little bit of the
pro and con Here the or the two sides of
these of these issues coming from the perspective of wanting
to see success in this mission. Because I want to

(02:32):
see success in the country. I want America to be safe,
on American interest to be protected, and I want America
to be able to focus back on America and not
Iran as soon as possible. The destruction of the Iranian
infrastructure around the nuclear program is clearly more now than
it has ever been. So the case that this is

(02:52):
more of a set more than just a setback for Iran,
that this could be a deletion if you will, in
eradication of their nuclear program. Certainly you can push that
as an idea, and Trump believes it, and he is
saying that this is not something that was and Trump

(03:14):
said this in this speech. You're het saying this is
not something we could have allowed to happen.

Speaker 2 (03:18):
They were involved in the attack on the USS coal
and they're carried out the countless other heinous acts, including
the blood just horrible, bloody atrocities of October seventh in Israel,
something that most people have never seen anything like it.
This murderer's regime also recently killed forty five thousand of

(03:42):
their own people who were protesting in Iran. Forty five
thousand dead. For these terrorists to have nuclear weapons would
be an intolerable threat. The most violent and thuggish regime
on Earth would be free to carry out their campaigns
of terror, coercion, conquest, and mass murder from behind a

(04:03):
nuclear shield. I will never let that happen, so.

Speaker 1 (04:09):
Not something we could ever allowed to happen, that they
would be able to commit mass murder from behind a
nuclear shield. I get that, and I I can appreciate
the mentality here. There are certainly echoes of the decision
to go into a rock around this, and that's what
I think concerns people. That's why the red line for
so many on the Trump side of things and people

(04:30):
that have supported Trump all along, is we cannot have
boots on the ground. It looks like they have moved
away from the plans discussed, or at least have delayed
plans like landing US troops along the shoreline of the
Straight of Horror, moves to secure it looks like that's
not happening at least hasn't happened yet, and also seizing
the enriched uranium inside of Iran, every last bit of it,

(04:52):
taking the scuba tank like canisters of enriched uranium out
of the country, using US forces to do it. It looks
like that is at least on hold right now, so
things can change very quickly. Though Trump is also saying
that we are going to continue. This is where he
gets into the timeline We're going to continue to hit
them hard. In the weeks ahead.

Speaker 2 (05:14):
We are going to hit them extremely hard over the
next two to three weeks. We're going to bring them
back to the stone ages where they belong. In the meantime,
discussions are ongoing. Regime change was not our goal. We
never said regime change, But regime change has occurred because
of all of their original leader's death. They're all dead.

(05:40):
The new group is less radical and much more reasonable. Yet,
if during this period of time no deal is made,
we have our eyes or key targets. If there is
no deal, we are going to hit each and every
one of their electric generating plants very hard, and probably simultaneously.
We have not hit their oil, even though that's the

(06:01):
easiest target of all, because it would not give them
even a small chance of survival or rebuilding. Could hit
it and it would be gone and is not a
thing they could do about it.

Speaker 1 (06:15):
Can that change the negotiation dramatically? At some point, you
would think the Iranian people would be a rather the
Iranian regime would be so beaten down.

Speaker 3 (06:29):
And beaten up.

Speaker 1 (06:31):
I guess those go in opposition, but you know what
I'm saying, It would be so they've had their asses
kicked so badly that they would want to get some
deal so they can scrape together whatever infrastructure they have
left as a regime to continue to stay in power.
The other side of this, though, you'll notice, I'm gonna
give you a little bit on the one hand. On
the other the other side of this is you also

(06:52):
can cross over a threshold here where the Iranian people
feel more inclined to coalesce around whatever is left of
the regime, Because if you're seen as beating up on
somebody who can't fight back at all, and if you're
seen as punishing the Iranian people, you know, Trump's talked
about hitting the hitting their power plans. For example, Well,

(07:14):
if you plunge the entire nation of Iran into darkness
for days or even weeks on end, and no power
at all to run generators, to run refrigeration and run
you know, hospitals, et cetera, people might just say, hold
on a second. Now you have collective punishment of the
Iranian people, not attacks on the regime. So I do
think there are limits to that. I think Trump understands

(07:35):
that as well, But I think there are limits to
how much he can turn up that pressure. And so
Trump is laying out here that the objective was always
just what we have seen, which is to attack the
military and security infrastructure and nuclear infrastructure of Iran such

(07:55):
that for at least years to come it will not
be a threat. Now, how long will that last? How
this this is a big part of my question right
now of what's going on here, what happens when the
oil starts flowing again and Iran has full bank accounts
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Speaker 3 (08:50):
Long do we have here before.

Speaker 1 (08:55):
The Iranian regime is able to come back, or at
least something along the lines of what we've seen here
can come back. That is my concern with not having
true regime change. Eventually, they're going to have access to
a lot of money because of the oil reserves and.

Speaker 3 (09:09):
The oil sales that they'll do on the global market.

Speaker 1 (09:12):
People will buy it, Russia, China, others, Europe, they will
buy that Iranian oil, and Iran will start rebuilding this stuff. Now,
it might take years to get anywhere near back to
where they currently are. And so is that enough of
a victory for President Trump? I think to say mission
accomplished on this one. Yes, assuming that is the case,
I think it is enough of a victory. But in

(09:33):
the more immediate term, we have the challenge of the
oil and the straight of horror moves getting through I'm sorry,
the oil getting through the straight of horror moves. And
that's a big deal. And he's been saying other countries
need to step up and do this.

Speaker 2 (09:52):
So to those countries that can't get fuel, many of
which refuse to get involved in the decapitation of Iran,
we had to do it. Ourselves. I have a suggestion.
Number one, buy oil from the United States of America.
We have plenty, We have so much. And number two,
build up some delayed courage. Should have done it before,
should have done it with us as we asked, go

(10:15):
to the Strait and just take it, protect it.

Speaker 1 (10:19):
I don't think they're going to step up. I think
they're going to leave this to Trump into the United
States because they can also pay attention to our own
political realities here. They know that Trump is facing his
party is facing a mid term election battle, and I
think in many ways their belief is that Trump is

(10:41):
gonna be because Trump has started we started this war
along with the Israelis against Iran, or we started this mission,
this operation, whatever you want to call it, and they
figure it's our mess, we'll have to fix it. And
Trump trying to pressure NATO allies to getting involved here.
I don't see that working. So this is where we
could see again Trump saying things are great right now, Well,

(11:03):
are we going to deploy US troops to the shores
of her moves because it feels like right now?

Speaker 3 (11:09):
No, it was yes. Things can change very quickly here.

Speaker 1 (11:13):
People keep assessing this as though the game is over,
and we have a scoreboard to look at of what happened,
what our losses were, what our wins were.

Speaker 3 (11:20):
We don't.

Speaker 1 (11:21):
This is still ongoing, and that's why it's important to
be very honest about what has happened and what has
not happened, and what could happen. Sounding almost like rumsweald know, nons,
no unknowns, and unknown unknowns, right, But there are possibilities
here of this becoming I think, a much deeper and
more sustained US intervention unless we keep very clear lines

(11:45):
about things like the deployment of US troops, and that's
where that's where things need to be. Otherwise, I believe
that the Republican Party is still firmly behind Donald Trump
as commander in chief. Seeing this thing through.

Speaker 3 (11:58):
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Speaker 1 (11:59):
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Speaker 1 (12:10):
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(12:30):
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Chill Tie
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Host

Buck Sexton

Buck Sexton

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