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April 14, 2026 16 mins

Buck Sexton breaks down a brutal week for Eric Swalwell as mounting scandals derail his political future, exposing the ruthless realities of party power. Plus, rising tensions with Iran, a looming blockade, and what could come next as diplomacy teeters on the edge.

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Speaker 1 (00:11):
You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcastle make sure
you subscribe to the podcast on the iHeartRadio app or
wherever you get your podcasts. Swawell has the worst week
of his political career, maybe the worst week of his life, honestly,
certainly the worst since Fengfeng left him. So here is
the situation. The guy was going to be the next

(00:35):
Democrat nominee for governor of California, our biggest state by population,
our biggest state by GDP and like the fifth largest
economy in the world or something like that, which Gavin
Newsom always loves to tell everybody. And sure enough he
is now toast. He has done. Swallwell has been pushed out.

(00:55):
Who ordered the code read who pushed this through? Who
made Swallwell a thing of the past now, at least
in the governor's race, because we still have the question
of whether he can keep his seat in Congress. I think,
by the way, the answer is yes. They will try
to allow this because he is politically useful to them

(01:19):
in the Congress. And that just shows you how absolutely
ruthless these Democrats are, how little they actually care about
principle or these women who have come forward or anything else.
By the way, to add insult to injury. Some billionaire
who was letting Eric Swallwell stay in his mansion. That's

(01:40):
good to be the next big political thing in California.
He has said that he wants a million dollars back
and he wants well Well out of his out of
his I guess he donated a million to the campaign
and wants him out of his mansion. So yeah, this
guy has been completely and utterly nailed. They've also got

(02:05):
him to give you a sense of how thorough this is.
We didn't talk about this on the radio. They have
him on a paying an illegal Brazilian live in nanny,
off the books and under the table with campaign funds,
according to a complaint. So they're hitting him with everything.

(02:26):
It's not just saying that he has former staffers who
have accused him of sexual assault, although that is certainly
in the allegations here. It's not just that he sent
photos of his private parts, his genitalia to people who
were certainly not asking for that, which is unsurprising. I'm

(02:49):
sure there are a lot of them who really didn't
want to see that, no interest in seeing that. But
now he's got also they're going after It's almost like
they're going to find out that he owes money on
a library card or something. They are trying to fully
destroy this guy. And I'm just going to say this.
I saw a photo of the Brazilian nanny who's staying

(03:11):
with him. I wonder. I mean, I think we're all
wondering the same thing, really, all these other women, but
to live in Brazilian nanny. You see a photo over,
I'm telling you you wouldn't want you wouldn't want her
hanging out around Swalwell if she was your wife or
your daughter. I can assure you of that. So yeah,

(03:33):
and then there's also this video of Swalwell with a
sex worker that has been center around this. This guy
is a total mess. And here's what should be known
about this. Everybody knew about this guy being a scumbag,
and Democrats didn't care at all. In fact, I would argue,

(03:55):
for all intents and purposes, Democrats, if someone is politically
useful to them, they do not care what that person
has done, what kind of person they are, It does
not matter at all. They don't care at all. But
the second you cross over to the other side of

(04:16):
that equation, that Swawell did. He was messing things up
for them in the California Democrat primary. He was creating issues.
They will there's they're ruthless. They are absolutely ruthless. And yeah,
that is certainly what we saw here. That is the
reality of what it means to be a Democrat sponsor.

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Birch Gold Group. Now where do things stand with the

(05:49):
Iran block K Let's talk about this for a minute,
shall we? The Trump administration the I told you this
that the negotiations, I don't know if I said it
on radio or here on this podcast on the Buck Brief,
but the negotiations have no chance of succeeding as long

(06:11):
as both sides have the same non negotiable, which they
currently do. Both teams here, so to speak, both Democrats
and Republicans. I'm sorry, whoops thinking about domestic politics, both
Americans and Iranians. The Trump administration and the Mullahs say
that you have to get rid of Iran has to

(06:33):
get rid of it's enriched uranium because that is a
critical step in its process of getting to a nuclear weapon.
This has been at issue for a long time. The Iranians,
i might add, are just saying absolutely no way, no how,
no chance. And that means that Trump and his team
are saying, well, we're not going to come to an

(06:53):
agreement here. We're not going to have a deal if
this is where things stand, and that is where it
will end up. And so this is why there's discussion
already from Trump today in fact, saying that we're going
to have to go and take it, take the enrich uranium.
That doesn't mean deal. That means we're going to have

(07:15):
a major military operation, a major military operation that will
result in hopefully just the complete and utter elimination of
all of Iran's stockpiles and therefore really set them back
years now. I hate to be the one who has

(07:36):
to bring this up, but even in that situation, even
in that situation, there is the Iranian going forward. The
Iranians are going to try to get back to making
this stuff and everything else. The ultimate problem here is
that the people who control Iran and its resources are

(07:57):
enemies of the United States. That's the real Everything else
is kind of a distraction from that reality, or I
should say, is insufficient until we confront that reality. The
Iranian regime is the problem. Yeah, in the in the
immediate term, it's nukes and everything else. But you see
what I'm saying, Even if we take out the enricheranium,

(08:20):
if the straight opens up and the oil is flowing,
the Iranians are going to start playing this game again.
They're going to start trying to get They're going to
build back their ballistic missiles and everything else. This is
why Trump's position on this is, I think this is
a this is a once and for all finish this situation.
He's not gonna play any games with this. So let's

(08:40):
talk about the military side of this equation and what
that will look like and with the straight of horror
moves and how I see this blank. But I just
want to be clear, there is no future. There is
no world in which the Iranians let us take their
enrich uranium. We'd have to go in there militarily with force,
kill a lot of people, which is you know what
we would do, kill a lot of Iranians in the

(09:02):
military and take the stuff there is. I do not
see a world in which they say, you know what,
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Switch to pure talk today. Okay, so here's where we are.
US has imposed a naval blockade. Trump is demanding the
end of the Iranian nuclear program. The peace talks have failed,
So are we able to enforce this blockade militarily? Is

(10:08):
Part one? And then part two? Do we have the
political will to continue on with this? Does the Trump administration?
You got oil surging past one hundred dollars a barrel.
The ceasefire set to expire in nine days. I'm telling
I'm calling this right now. The ceasefire is going to
expire and we are going to extend the talks. Just

(10:30):
mark down that I said this because we don't really
want to keep bombing them and we'd rather talk, and
they're going to give us just enough excuse if you
want to call it that on our side to continue
on the talks without hitting them harder. So that's what
I see happening. But this is going to be a
real This is the ultimate game of chicken, you know chicken.

(10:51):
With two cars on the road, they're driving each other
full speed, it's my impression of cars, sorry for those
listening on podcasts. And the cars are going and they're
getting closer, and then finally someone has to pull off
the road or thus they're going to collide. It's essentially
who blinks first, if you will. And in this one,
I think the Iranians believe, because of the pressure on

(11:14):
Trump with the midterms looming, we will blink first. They're
Republicans Trump America, we will blink first, which means conceding
to endless, fruitless negotiations instead of militarily decisive action. That's
what Iron wants. They want their oil to flow, and

(11:36):
they want through hor moves and other ways, and they
want to be able to build back up and then
go into all kinds of talks with US, talk talk, talk,
talk talk, with none of their actual goals for Iran
pertaining to the nuclear program, pertaining to ballistic missiles, any
of that changing. That is what they want. That's their

(11:57):
desired end state now, other than like death to America,
destroying Israel and the whole thing, right, they want that too,
but that's unrealistic right now for them, thankfully. What do
we want? We want to finish off those of you
remember Mortal Kombat, finish him, were trying to finish him
when it comes to their nuclear program, like really end

(12:18):
this thing, and that means taking the enriched uranium and
destroying the rest of whatever is left of their nuclear facilities,
stuff buried underground. And I think that's going to require
not just the sustained aerial campaign that we've had being
kickstarted once again, but also it would require a major

(12:40):
US military deployment of troops. Now I don't mean one
hundred thousand for years. I mean whatever at these sites
would be required to secure the site, destroy the site,
take the enriched uranium out, fly out. This is something
that it seems Trump is certainly considering, and I think
it's going to come to that. The wild card, as

(13:02):
I see it here, is to the Iranians. If we
continue with this blockade and Trump doesn't Flint doesn't blink
because of the pressure here at home, gas prices going up,
going up, going up, do the Iranians decide, you know what,
screw it. If I can't have the straight, no one can.

(13:23):
And then they just they all they have to do
is send a couple of these low tech, low cost
high speed boats just full of dumb, dumb explosives at
a oil tanker that's actually slowly making its way through
the straight. Remember the Straight of hord Moves is a
few dozen miles at various points. It is not a

(13:44):
big waterway, and so I mean not a wide waterway
at some of the choke points. And so they just decide,
you know what, we're going to go for it, and
they blow up an oil tanker and just create a
giant ecological mess there. Now that would be in a
sense cutting off their nose to spite their face, but
it would spite our face too. That would hurt everybody,
would hurt them more in the short term. But we're

(14:08):
playing chicken with a bunch of cratey. I'm not sure
that's going to work out in our favor. But Trump,
I got to tell you, I would not want to
be on the other side of a of a poker
contest of this scale. World peace at stake in a sense,
or not world peace that was that was I was
being a little rhetorical flourished there, regional peace in the
Middle East at steak. I wouldn't want to be the

(14:31):
other side of the poker table from Trump. They they can't,
they can't call on the usual what about international law
on the UN and the international community and European capitals
and well none of that stuff on Trump works at all.
He doesn't care. He knows who these bad guys are
in Iran, and he's had enough. I really just think

(14:51):
that he lost patience with them with the whole thing,
and that has been a major driver of this for him.
So we'll see. But mark down what I'm saying, because
I want to go back. I mean, look, I hope
just Trump kicks their asses, finishes off the program, and
we end this thing and we can start thinking about
the home front asap. That's what I hope happens. But
I've do what I think is going to happen here.

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Host

Buck Sexton

Buck Sexton

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