War in Ukraine, Analytics. Day 1383: Trump is Ready to Hit Zelensky with Sanctions. Arestovych, Shelest.

Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:08):
That words yes, yeah, Hello, dear friends, huge, hello to
all of you. It is Friday, December twelfth, unusual time
for our stream, but situation is rather demanding looking for
analytical and smart commentary. Plus we did talk over a
week ago, So hello Alexi. Hello. We are on two channels,

(00:31):
streaming live on Alexis channel on Alexander Schellis channel. If
you're listening to that in English, this is privateer station
translation of it. We usually follow up in a day
or several after the stream, but anyway the same week.
So you can as always see the barcodes and you

(00:52):
can both support the streamers and ask questions using these barcodes.
The one under Alexander leads to his side with where
you can ask questions in advance. The QR code underneath
alex Aristovich on the right side of your screen is
a link to his school of communication and school of thought.

(01:15):
We express our deep gratitude to those who ask questions
in closed membership clubs and under the live streams, so
we will be monitoring them. Write these questions in we
will talk about them at the very end, at the
tail end of the stream, and let's start with the
usual question, what do you think about Zenansky's selfie in

(01:39):
front of Estella in Kuppinsk. Option number one yet another
farewell to township. Option number two just dumb posing. Option
number three despair he needs to somehow support his country
and people in it, and this is the only thing

(02:00):
he did think about. And option number four looks like
there'll be more drafting efforts in Ukraine after this selfie.
Some of these options to answer are complimentary to each other.
But I'll say this topic is being peddled so much
in Ukraine that there's just a few soldiers left in

(02:23):
Kupinsk who are bravely dying defending it. What do you
think about this all? I think it is all pretty
sad on a couple different levels. One is really to
satisfy some needs of very beaten down people who did
not have electricity coming into the winter, who have issues

(02:46):
with the water, with sewer, with food, and they see
the leaders at least moving around and taking pictures, and
he may be somewhat brave at least, And you can
see in the streams in the communication in Ukraine that
people are commenting that Putin is a weakling and he's
a scaredy cat and Zelenski is a brave one who

(03:09):
would still even go to the front if need being.
So people are putting very different things on the weights
just because of where they are. On one side, you
have a destroyed country, taken away people's rights, very desperate population,
a lot of corruption, scandals, destroyed industries, and more and

(03:31):
more scandals coming out, and now actually about Zelenski. So
and at the same time there's a Koupnsk selfie coming out,
So we forgive him, but he is brave and he
is ours. Personally, I would prefer that the president would
not leave his armchair in his office for five years,
rather than all these picture opportunities. If at this time

(03:53):
the country grows, population grows, people get richer, get sicker less,
and the country is evolving, is friendly with neighbors. Engineers
are engineering, doctors are doctoring, astronauts are astronauting, and it
could be the weakest, the scariest, the shyest president in

(04:18):
the world. I would not care a little bit if
he is just agoraphobic and doesn't want to leave his office,
as long as all the other things are great. On
the other hand, you have Zegynski, who could, for example,
probably land on another planet by himself. But what does
it matter for the country. This is not why he

(04:39):
is elected. His oath was to be the guaranteur of constitution,
which he trumpled upon. What does it matter where he
takes pictures. This reminds me of another story that I
was told back in the military academy, and I think
I already talked about this. It is with a refrain

(05:03):
to the Second World War where the Battle of Kursk,
German tanks are breaking through and commander of division himself
jumps into a tank, gets his people, he gets his
command with him, and they go and beat the Germans out.
The next day there are two orders coming down from Kremlin.

(05:24):
Order number one, Colonel Ivanov for leaving his command post
during the operation to be demoted to infantrymen, and infantryman
I Vanov for bravery needs to be awarded the highest
medal in the country. Of course this is a myth,
but this myth illustrates different levels of accountability. And Zelenski,

(05:50):
I think needs to be demoted and awarded because yes,
he's brave sometimes, but he's not there for bravery. He
is there to actually make sure the country works. So
on the backdrop of everything falling apart, jumping into some
selfie opportunities to try to beat up the bravery and spirit.

(06:10):
I think it's despair, yeah, and it's not exactly smart despair,
although I think the option number four is also applicable
to this answer. But it's not about the military situation.
It's about the new tapes from Shafir that apparently were
also recorded, because as we saw, Trump comes out and says,

(06:34):
we do have a great plan that is appreciated by
Ukrainian people, Ukrainian politicians. Russia is not against it, and
only Zelenski is against it. And suddenly we hear the
tapes of from Nabu, more tapes that being leaked, and
it's not Zelenski's voice exactly, but too close to Zelenski.

(06:58):
And I think this is a lever that is exercise
to make sure that Zelenski behaves. And some people can
say this is a great information counter operation, counter intel operation,
because just recently President of Russia got a special note

(07:18):
from his command saying that they took Kupinsk, that it's
completely Russian now. And Zelensky comes then and takes the
selfie in front of it and saying now it's still ours. Okay,
so this is maybe a stunt in this regard, but
Silski is it would be enough. We don't need president
to go there, all right, alex say, I want to

(07:40):
also highlight something here that he is taking a picture
on iPhone seventeen promacs. The phone is without any casing,
either because we do not have the original cases available
yet in Ukraine or for another reason that you can
actually tell this way what phone is he holding. And

(08:03):
many people paid attention to that. They think that it's
somewhat yellow press to address this matter, but I think
it is important for Sedanskin his current position. Safe communications
is super important. He was even remember that legend, he
was even receiving Umeroov's reports in London so that it
would not be ves dropped on. And here he is

(08:25):
using an iPhone, right, it's not exactly a secure tool
for presidential communication. Well, why you're so rough on him, Alexander.
He perhaps is using iPhone just to record videos and selfies,
but for real communication, he may be using a real
Ukrainian z iPhone that is being carried by two aids

(08:47):
after he's done communicating on it, and iPhone is just
for recording little selfies. Well, perhaps, alex say, but these
little videos he records, they also inspire a lot of commentary.
And by the way, this is the freshest map from
deep State that reacted to Zenanski's visit that shows Look,

(09:08):
there's just a few Russians left there, very little, and
most people are saying fantastic. Look, they destroyed Russian positions,
eliminated about a thousand soldiers, and now they're hitting them
from the north and from the south. And I have
a simple question here, and I wanted to talk to

(09:31):
you specifically on the backdrop of this reality. In this question. Okay,
So liberation of Kupinsk, what does it give us? Even Okay,
in orderly fashional Alexander, everything is even more complex and interweaved.
Number One, Kupinsk is not liberated if you rely on
the statements of Ukrainian site. There are still two hundred

(09:53):
Russian troops surrounded in Kupinsk. Russia may still break through
to them and supply with more troops more. It's the
whole story. Here's another example of Milchansk. It was taken
away from Russians in the summer of twenty four and oops,
not ours anymore. Same thing with kuopin'sk iam Afraid today.

(10:15):
For the most part, I'm mostly pitiful towards their bady.
Why Alexei, Well, because he's a commander of this part
of the front, and he did a very interesting maneuver today.
He managed to hit the advancing enemy into that town
and cut that pincer movement and cut their supplies, which

(10:41):
is fantastic. And I want to say that all this
time during this war, all the positive bloggers, all the generals,
all the information front and media, all those who pretend
and actually do you understand things about military and other people,
they all were telling us that Russia and Russian troops

(11:02):
they're always accumulate troops on the flanks and then using
pincers and there is nothing you can do with it.
And here suddenly Dhrapati manages to cut down one of
the pincers. While we've been told for several years that
in modern warfare you cannot aggregate your troops in a

(11:24):
concealed fashion, and that's why the enemy would always expect
you and your maneuvers, so it's impossible to cut the
pincer off. And here we suddenly have a huge pinnacle
a huge pillar on which this mythology about this war
explaining why Russians keep taking our townships one after another

(11:47):
because we cannot apparently cut the pincers off. And I
want to remind about another episode when there was Bachmut,
a fight for Bachmut happening. There was a seventeenth Tank Brigade.
Now it's called seventeenth Heavy Armored Division. Back then it
was more maneuverble still, and we thought that we'll use

(12:11):
the tank brigade and we'll cut those spincers. Imagined they
had one hundred tanks in the field. It's a horrible
force to try to stop. Now there are drones. Back
then there were not that many drones, and tanks were
actually fighting rather successfully. So what did Sirski do? He
broke it apart by platoons and gave one tank to

(12:33):
each individual detachment, and each tank became I remember a
lex say, each tank became basically propelled howitzer, right propelled artillery. Yeah,
well it's one tank. You cannot really do much she
else with it. And here I can post a question
to this shining beacon on the hill, to Sirski, what

(12:55):
prevented him from using tanks back then? Is Drapati using
this technique successfully even without the tanks. And people don't
understand that the operation was going here from for two
months about, right, and we destroyed over a thousand Russians.

(13:16):
So it's not like we killed them overnight, right, destroyed
their fighters? No, no, no, people are not reading the details.
The operation was going for almost two months. And yeah,
it's nearly impossible in the current state of our warfare
to destroy a thousand of them overnight, unless I don't know,
you sink another moscowa cruiser. So one of the important

(13:39):
matters that very few people commenting on these events understand
that this small operation basically dismantled the whole pillar. It's like,
you know, there's a family, the husband is going to
business trips for four years, and then suddenly, four years

(13:59):
later it's discovered that there are no business trips. You're
just visiting his lover in the other township. So that's
kind of what this little operation revealed that for the
last several years we were lied to about inability to
cut down the Russian pincers, and now since they event
already happened, I want to I guess I'm free to

(14:22):
comment on this to counter all these scary Russian pincers,
the big pincers, the small pincers, tense talents, hits and
everything they study in the Frunza academy. There is a
natural counter maneuver. You position your troops in the advantageous
positions according to the terrain. You make sure you have

(14:42):
logistics supporting them, you have enough reserves, and then part
of your troops are holding the enemy's advance at direct attacks.
And then a smaller group or bigger group, depending upon
your reserves and tasks, they fight a more maneuver warfare.
They actually move around and they attack the pincers. They
attack the enemy where they don't expect it. This is

(15:05):
being taught at the second year of military school. Instead,
our troops were destroyed in the dumbest, very predictable fights
for specific groves, for specific trenches, where the enemy, of
course knew that we'll be there. It is rather hellish
landscape with our brigades because they cannot even organize defense properly.

(15:30):
If we're going deep into the military now, brigade commander
in Ukraine, he has a lot of and he's got
about forty kilometers from forty to twenty kilometers of the front,
and he's got podder guards, he's got special services, he's
got other detachments who are using their own equipment, using

(15:53):
different frequencies. You don't understand where you have yours and
enemies in the growth, so you don't know whether it's
the enemy's diversion or one of ours, of different detachments
holding it. And our communication lines are insufficient and it's
really difficult for brigade commanders to manage it. Nothing has
changed since twenty eighteen, and we keep being told that

(16:16):
this is our advanced technologies on the front. These are
advanced technologies of nineteen eighteen. They cannot base fulfilled basic
demands written in the books of how to defend your positions.
The basics that were learned from nineteen forty three is
Germans attacks. And we're telling us all this time this fantastic,

(16:41):
fascinating legend that it is difficult to destroy Russian pincers.
It's almost impossible. With teary eyes, and I'm trying to
portray this sarcasm here, but it's difficult to understand for
civilians to go ask how much they were deceived here.

(17:03):
It is even worse than with the vaccinations. It's as
if people were dying from cancer and they were being
injected with some supposedly therapeutic, but apparently you figure out
that it was this therapeutic that caused cancer to exacerbate.
So that's kind of what's happening here. And then you
have Drapati who just comes and cuts the pincer off.

(17:25):
And that's during the drone warfare, when it's impossible to
go anywhere because all the drones and nets and everybody
watches you, and you will be eliminated the moment you
move out of concealed position and it's impossible. And all
this critique continues to pour from the media that you'll
never cut off the spincer. You cannot even clo come

(17:46):
close to it without being discovered. You can only stay
in your position and die there. And suddenly, oops, our
troops come in and cut the pincer. Apparently there was
always an option. Who else knew, So we don't need
to waste our troops defending our cities and townships in
a dumb way. Apparently we could use the flying attacks.

(18:11):
And when Russians went to the Brapolio to the north
of Pokrovsk, that was also a good flank attack on them. Right,
what about the legend, What about the legend that we
cannot and never do anything with pincers, that this is
a supertool of Russian regime And speaking about the weather conditions, well,

(18:35):
Bachmut fell during the bad weather conditions, so drones were
not even a factor much at the end of it.
And I think I can finish this painful twenty minute
diet tribe here because for civilians it's difficult to understand
all the new ones. But summing it up, I want
to say we've been deceived, significantly deceived about our military

(18:58):
capabilities and how we fight for the last four years.
I say so, I think people are already used to
all these issues that we have on the front. You're
trying to portray with crayhons for civilians who know and
do not understand much about the military stuff. And I

(19:20):
understand there are people pointing fingers, that you have some
haters who are pointing fingers, and you're saying, do not
trust Aristovitch because he is just criticizing everything. But here
we have adyovkya saying that sisk has fallen. Marianna Bizuglia
had stated that Sivisk has gone, so there is no Sievisk.

(19:40):
The road to Slavansky is open. Now we understand this
is technically a small catastrophe on this part of the front.
And then there is still Avyov who is walking in
the middle of Pakrovsk, who is raising a flag saying
that hey we're here, everybody see me, and we get

(20:01):
a strange picture here. I talked about that in the
previous dream. You have this glorious president with seventeen promacs iPhone, legitimate,
illegitimate whatever, supreme leader de facto, he is competing in selfies,
in the walkthroughs, in flags and other things with Salavyov,

(20:23):
with the Russian media figure. He should be competing with
Putin instead. Right, So if you look at at a
sports match, what do we have two to one? And
even that one, Kupinsk is not really liberated, right, Alexander,
nothing changes drastically here we are being fed two different

(20:49):
things to compare. The level of the president is the
level of the peace plan, yes or no? His level
is relations with United States and Europe and position of
of Ukraine in the global world and their relations with
uk with China. That's what he should be doing instead.

(21:10):
He's Russian here with selfius. Even if he went to
the depth of the Russian positions with that selfie, or
even if he took that selfie on the Red square,
what does it change for Ukraine. It doesn't change a
shit for armed forces of Ukraine. What matters is that
every person at his position, at his station, should be

(21:31):
doing what they have to do. But this is the
limit of his competency. This is what he can do.
He can make a statement for the stadium, he can
make a statement for the crowd, but this is war
and the problem of changing Ukraine's projectivity is so dire
that if we don't do it, we will fail as

(21:53):
a country even after the war. And here we have
a president who doesn't even understand that. It's beyond his
level of cognition. That's it. These are very incongruent things
that you cannot put on the same measuring device. And
the fact that we're discussing that is indicator how far

(22:18):
gone is the whole situation and how people do not
understand it. Alex say, I think everybody understands everything. Another
example for you, Alexander, for example, God forbid, one of
your relatives has to undergo the heart surgery, and then

(22:39):
you discover that the main surgeon is instead of operating,
is taking selfies at that day in front of the hospital,
And when you ask him, why are you not operating,
he says, why, Wait a second, we got the other
hospital criticizing as saying that we do not operate because
and do not work there because of the threats and

(23:01):
dangers of wartime. And when he asks him, wait a second,
you have a patient on the table with the open
hearted you started, but you need to continue and go
and finish it, And instead he answers you that no,
he's got first to address these things, these concerns about
them not even being there, and everything else is secondary.

(23:24):
This is kind of what's happening with our supreme leader
of the country at war with the selfish. He should
have a very tough schedule where every minute is dedicated
to the welfare of his people, and he should understand
how much each minute weighs in his schedule. And this

(23:52):
is an old anecdote about it was told about Bill
Gates or Rockefeller, or you know, any take any other
successful rich person, Elon Musk whatever. When the person is
walking on the street and sees one hundred dollars on
the floor. He basically says, I did not bend to
pick it up because just doing that, my time costs

(24:13):
so much that I'll waste two thousand just doing that action.
Problem is that Zelensky doesn't seem to understand that monetarily,
it doesn't really cost right take a picture, but it
does cost our country to get to the front. To
get there, that's at least a day a day back.
You're not flying, you're writing. And if we talk about

(24:42):
the army and the infantry, you do not need to
visit them in person. You can congratulate them from your
office with a video. You can visit a hospital in Kiev.
You can visit and take some selfies with the wounded.
There's maybe four or five hundred yards from the presidence
a instruation to that hospital. It is quick, it doesn't

(25:05):
take much time, and it is important and it conveys
a very similar message. That's it. Alex say, what do
you think? Maybe it's because of elections, because Trump is
criticizing Zelenski, saying that there is not even whiff of
democracy in Ukraine. When Zelenski takes a stance and says, no,
I'm ready, let's even correct our law to enable us

(25:29):
to conduct elections during the wartime. So suddenly all the
positions change. And this is another thing, a cognitive test
for our viewers, because you did highlight a very good
situation equipments that most commentators are missing. And I'm thinking

(25:49):
it's the similar situation here with elections. So why are
we doing elections in the wartime? Are we not going
to stop the war. And let's put a pause on
this story. Remember when you and I were talking about
the need to conduct elections about a couple of years ago.
What did we get as a answer? You are traders, right,

(26:12):
no elections during wartime? You are rotten traders, and your
Korean option is a treasonous option. And now we have
Supreme Leader coming out and saying that we absolutely need elections,
and his secondary voice is coming out adjusting their monocles
and saying, well, yeah, Korean option is actually a good option.

(26:34):
We've been talking about that for the last two days.
How did the elections become possible? How can we negotiate
with Putin? We have the order from Zelenski saying explicitly
no negotiations with Putin. How are you going to conduct
elections during the wartime, because this is not exactly democracy.

(26:55):
Then how do you get your military, how you get
your troops to vote? I'm personal against the elections during
the wartime. I want the war actions to cease first,
because that says I'm playing here devil's vocate. This is
so dangerous. Are you going to violate the constitution? And

(27:15):
here apparently we have our Congress already working on documenting
how can it be done? Zilensky apparently is a big
proponent of these elections, and he has been for these
elections since forever. Yet I still remember very clearly what
he said just six months ago about these elections opportunity.

(27:36):
So I think, Alexei he is going to run. Is
that you're a feeling too might appear? So? Yeah, So
all that curdibale is for Zelensky selfies and stuff. Yeah,
and rewriting the constitution articles, yeah, I think so. And
if our people will vote for Zelenski yet again, I

(28:03):
think our following casts will be very different. It could
be just a black screen. You don't need me and
you there since I've already said everything and we can
just write on that black screen. We absolutely admire the
people of Ukraine. Aristoigin shallists signed. So do you think

(28:26):
Alexi he's not afraid? Everything is under control? In a way,
he's got everything under control except for the tapes from Nabu.
And when the real action campaign starts there could be
a lot more leaks. More interesting details are published by
the Western press about Omeov that he was visiting the

(28:46):
United States, not for no reason. He actually did visit
the head of FBI. Oh you guys, remember I told
you a few streams ago that he did spend the
day and a half very productively in the United States.
I want to remind our listeners who don't know that
a Metov is a citizen of the United States. He
has dual citizenship, and he's under suspicion of stealing American

(29:11):
contributions to Ukraine, American money in very large quantities. So
what options does he have to stay in prison for
twenty five years or to strike a deal with investigators.
And I think that's exactly what happened. He was dealing
with investigators. It appears that this deal does not affect

(29:32):
those twenty articles that we saw. Whether Ukraine forefeeds done
bus or creates a demilitarized zone now, Alexander, it's not
about the end of the war. Americans are looking for
the compromise solution to end the war, and they're trying
to find a compromise that will not give any preference

(29:54):
to any side unilaterally. So there could be some demilitarized
zone with maybe some Russian presence or some police presence,
or there'll be no troops, there will be no heavy armaments,
there'll be some local police managing, and Russians may be
okay with that. But you can hear what Russians are saying.

(30:18):
Love Rof was coming out and saying we should go
back to the Declaration of Independence of nineteen ninety eight.
Do you remember when you heard that last time, very
detailed analytics of independence, statement of our founding documents about
our non nuclear status and neutrality. Yeah, I think I

(30:38):
remember ours streaming about that, right. So it's difficult for
me to comment on that. And I can explain why
because when I talked about that in October and November
of twenty twenty three, exactly verbatim, what's happening now you
can bring up those streams and you understand how things
will unfold later Okay, let's yeah, I'm hitting some levels

(31:12):
of despair, but okay, let's go talk about iPhone seventeen
of Zdanski. You know, I was remembering your words just
a few days ago when Hydrachenka comes out and says
that just a couple more hits by Russia and our
energy system stations and the critical ones that may cause

(31:36):
a complete collapse and a huge catastrophe and a bigger
part of Ukraine. And it seems that these two weeks,
two three weeks will eventually happen. Alexander, did I tell you?
Was it here in our streams that January will be

(31:56):
a complete outer catastrophe for Ukraine? That our people will
be howling looking at the state of things we're getting there. Look,
our people don't understand simple cause and effect relations. They're saying, listen,
we can still hold the front. Don't panic, we can
just hold the line. And our main slogan in Ukraine

(32:20):
now is we need to be standing strong just one
day longer than Russia. But ask yourself, what is Russia
standing for, and what is Ukraine standing for? Who's paying
for that? Russia is standing for their own money, for
their own funds and their own demands, they have issues.
It's difficult, but they have their own resource. And we're

(32:42):
standing because somebody else funds us and provides us armaments,
social payments, salaries. Eighty five percent of them are foreign.
Eighty five percent of armaments are foreign. Even the repair
materials two thirds of them are from China. You unplug

(33:04):
us from electricity and we collapse. You unplug us from
supply lines and will die. Just limit the number of
uvs we get and don't give money for the retirees.
And yeah, Ukraine is gone yet we're doing a very

(33:26):
different move here, alex say, look, hang on, Alexander, what
hold on? Are we talking about holding on for another day?
What makes sense if we would be arming ourselves, fighting
for our own ideas with our own resource. We're not
holding ourselves. We are being propped. We're being held. At

(33:50):
any moment, the switch can go down and we'll be
done with well, alex say, we are being held for
a certain reason. Apparently. Look today Ukrainian UAVs hit again
oil refineries and Caspian seas Russian refineries and their refining

(34:11):
is paused for the moment. Another attack was done on
Loke oil object in Karachagan destroyed some of the critical
equipment and Russia cannot manufacture, cannot process oil in this location,
also destroyed a couple of vessels, Russian vessels in the
Black Sea. And in parallel with it, what do we

(34:34):
observe today? We observing this and this is Odessa. There
were some Turks in the port who were commenting and
apparently shocked with that hit. And this is a different view.
You can see actually the flying object relatively small speed,

(34:58):
that little some kind of UAV looking object that's flying.
I don't know, maybe a ballistic missile or sorry, cruise missile, right,
ballistics be a different trajectory, and you can see where
it approaches the vessel and port and hits it. I
thought it was a UAV. No, it's a missile. Could

(35:20):
be a cruise missile but very slow or UIV, but
in any case, here it attacks the tanker or the vessel.
And now we get commentary in Ukraine that look, if
Russians will continue hitting us like this, our economy will
go down the drain very quickly. Guessa was just recently
celebrating how many vessels are visiting the port and maybe

(35:42):
the war is almost over and here Russia comes in
and destroys these vessels. Apparently they were waiting for them
to aggregate. In one point, right, Alexander, and again to correct,
you did say in Russian ballistic missile. It was not ballistic,
it was a cruise missile type. Another example for you,

(36:06):
imagine a casino. Two guys are standing, both are losing,
and one who is losing some of his money. He's
losing his own money. I mean he's losing. He's spending money,
but it's his money he can spend. The other guy
is spending somebody else's money. He keeps saying that he

(36:28):
needs to stand just for another round, but he has
nothing left of his own. He's standing in his underwear.
And he's also managing managers to quarrel with those people
who give him the money for play as he is
wasting them. And do you think this is acceptable situation?

(36:53):
There's no independence here for Ukraine. We are not an
independent state at the moment. We do not have independent politics.
I am exacerbating here, but one can say that our leading,

(37:13):
our power that leads Ukraine, our administration sold itself for
the beads to the third party to fight with Russia
and as long as we get money and get arms,
we're okay, apparently, and with that we also managed to
attack on different levels all those who give us these

(37:35):
money and who give us options for the future. Let's
remember Kolamoyski and his famous phrase life is a supermarket.
You can take whatever you want, but there is a
cash resterra up ahead, and you can say that, Yeah,

(37:58):
Russia is, by the way, a huge opponent, and you
can say that, yeah, you destroyed their troops in Kupinsk,
you set ablaze some of the refinery, you took a
selfie in front of certain positions, right, but there's still
a cash register up ahead. Yeah. Lets say in Ukraine

(38:18):
they're still presenting things as everything is fantastic. The Landscape
Ministration recently presented Sabsan missiles saying that listen, we can
now reach Moscow, Saint Petersburg other targets, so trying to
violate all possible negotiations, and even Ursula Underline came out

(38:40):
right before our stream and said that we found a
mechanism to freeze Russian assets Forever sent a very strong
signal to Moscow saying that EU is supporting Ukraine from
frozen Moscow assets income, and without much noise, Russians start

(39:01):
legal proceedings against the company. You're clear. I'm not going
into details how these courts correlate, but Russia in the
meantime will start their judicial proceedings against You're clear. Well.
By the way, Russians also submitted a paperwork into the
International Court regarding the atrocities that Russian troops suffered in

(39:28):
the hands of some of the Ukrainian fighters. Apparently, and
from what I understand, this International Court accepted the case.
So speaking of that cash registerrap ahead, and I don't
know how much of it does actually end up in
minds of Ukrainian viewers. But I want to go to

(39:49):
another metaphor, remember that task in the mathematics, about the
swimming pool where the water is coming in coming out. Now,
look at the patient who, let's say, is losing four
courts of blood per hour and is being given only
three and a half. This may continue, may go on

(40:12):
for a while. You can adjust the numbers and it
may last for a longer time. But even these two
hundred billion dollars frozen, we need twenty billion per month.
So these two hundred that's just for ten months and Okay,
we stood for ten more months. What after what comes next?

(40:38):
We have caused Russia more damage, and perhaps he'll be
more agreeable to things that he demanded because we hit
some of his refineries and destroyed five of his jets. Yeah.
I think so that's what's going to be in the
country in the media. If this is the leading narrative,
I give up. Alexander listener, le say for me. One

(41:01):
of the main riddles that I'm trying to solve in
our meetings specifically, is Okay, Zelenski. We can pretend he's dumb.
He does not understand the details of the tasks in
front of him, So there's got to be somebody behind
him too, right, He's not a solo figure, but that

(41:23):
comes out he's spokesperson and says, yeah, we can stand
for sixty more days. Just tell Putin not to attack
us to vigorously. And they are being given these tasks,
I guess from our sponsors to stand and somehow Trump

(41:46):
is not slamming his fist on the table, is not
saying okay, stop, why is he not doing that? Well,
he starts to slam his fist on the table. We
already saw your mark leaving now, Shafir got issues, and
I think the Lanski will be next. Look. I think Trump,

(42:07):
according to his plan, would love to finish it by
the new year. The dates matter, and maybe not even
to the New Year, but to Christmas. And if Trump
will not be able to come out on Christmas and
say that hey, I finished another war or cease fire

(42:27):
at any cost, he will be very very upset, I think.
And now let's see one guy who is against my
peace plan, right and very very upset Trump. Who do
you think will prevail in this situation. I think here

(42:51):
we will have a chance to observe personal sanctions against
the Lansky. I think they could be personalized against his
relatives and family because assets are being tracked. And now
imagine the effect of this in the United States. They
could be personalized sanctions against it NSK, implemented with blocking

(43:12):
off his assets and other things, limiting their movement around
the world. For his relatives. What do you think Melanie
was talking to with Zelenski. I think about that exactly,
And I think this is being discussed. This is the
warnings that he's getting. This is the last warnings that
he will get. Speaking of smashing the fist on the

(43:35):
table by Trump, and yet it's very idiotic at the
same time very revealing story that might be studied in books.
This is the politics of utzpah that Ukraine is sitting
for the last four years, the politics of bluffing. But
this is beyond the wits that we can even expect

(44:00):
from Ukraine. Imagine the head of the family right, President
is ahead of the family basically the country. So imagine
that family that has nothing. They lost all the money,
They don't even have toys for the kids, They have
no property, there is no grandma. Every fifth of the
family has died. The neighbors that you keep quarreling with

(44:23):
already took a fifth of your land, and the rest
of your land is already promised five more times over leveraged,
and the family survives only because there are some rich
sponsors funding them to settle some of the legal issues
with their neighbor, and they're giving some money to this

(44:44):
family as a dead as a loan. Part of this
family keeps stealing that And just like in that other
story that some Fela cannot finish building his own garage
because he's stealing materials from this project to build his sauna.
And imagine now the head of the family running to

(45:07):
the neighbor's fence where the fight is going, taking a selfie,
and now the whole family is screaming, yay, now we're winning.
And they also managed to spit or throw a dirty
shoe in the well of the neighbor. We're winning again.
Tell me, I'll be saying here some funny words about

(45:29):
responsibility and causality. The normal head of the family, would
he ever behave like that? No, but apparently some people do, yeah,
especially in our country. I'm just observing Americans how they
look at it. They've seen a lot of things, but

(45:50):
they're not too familiar with what Ukraine is doing. The
representatives of leadership of the United States basically telling us that, hey,
we sleep for three hours a day to make sure
we have time to finally get to some agreement to
stop this war, because the matter of survival for your

(46:14):
country is big. If we don't settle it, you may
actually lose your country. And we are trying to figure okay,
even if you bother about taking territories too much for
figuring out options with Russia, how do you do that? Meantime?
Is your reaction you're spitting in our hands, you're spitting
in our documents. You're calling our president agent Krasnov and

(46:36):
claim that he had sold himself to Moscow. Imagine you
have a relative who is completely in that you're not
even expecting them to pay your money back, but you
continue paying them and funding their life. And that relative
continues out in the open to record videos post everywhere

(46:56):
that you are the agent of some enemy that he
has a conflict with. And then they keep fighting against
his own relative. Yet they take your money, and they
continue to come back and ask for more money. How
would you treat that? And this is not even a relative, right,

(47:18):
this is just some people Ukraine beyond the ocean, look
like say Cheffer on the tapes, a person very close
to Zelenski's circle, and he was removed rather quickly. We'll

(47:39):
see what happens. Apparently he went to his brother, to
the other Sheefer. So it was Zelensky and two Chehers
who were creating this projects of swat of the comedy
club where Zelenski was active back in the day. So
these are his long term partners. And I'm also curious

(48:02):
about another figure, mister Kolamoyski. It appears that the story
with attempt to assassinate Mindag is not what he wanted
to say when the judges were apparently sick and he
was not transported to the hearings. Do you think there
was no attempt at Mindag? Yeah, I think Israeli also

(48:27):
confirmed that it's their impression that there was no attempt
at Mindig's life, and we understand that kolam Whisky tried
to say something else. I think there is a big
trade happening between Zelenski, your Mark, Kalamoyski and all these
top brasts of Ukraine top leadership. Once again, it seems
that the time flies so fast. Now seems like a
day is worth a year, and that one can say, oh,

(48:51):
there was a big scandal with your Mark, but nothing happened. Guys,
it's been less than two weeks, twelve days. But I
want to say, look at what's going to happen before
for Christmas. Because Trump and military political leadership of the

(49:12):
United States, they're not just upset, seriously upset. They even
wrote it into the document called Strategy of Natural Security
of the United States. Today. Rusulli underlying made a statement
to Trump saying, then don't get into that medal with

(49:33):
our European politics, and then Trump answered to her saying,
you know what, I will remove my troops from Europe.
If you will not understand what I want to tell you,
I will leave NATO. United States will leave NATO. You
think they will, Yeah, if they need to, they will,
and then Silanska and Ukraine will be completely your story

(49:55):
in Europe. Your politics in Europe is leading to the
armed confrontation with Russian Federation, and America is not going
to fight for you who brought it to the World War,
who continue trying to keep this war going. At the
same time, you don't want to fully fund NATO as
you promised. I'm not even talking about five percent, just

(50:19):
two percent. And I understand the poor people who support Zelenski,
poor Ukrainians who are so beaten up, they're scared, they
just have nothing to grasp at. And here you have

(50:41):
the leader taking selfies. Okay, there is that same old
social contract that says, yeah, you can steal as much
as you want, just protect our livelihood and defend our
country from Russia. So even corruption is stopped has lost
some of the value as an argument. In Ukraine. After
a minditch case, even if Ukraine will close its eyes

(51:07):
entirely at corruption and would say, just Vladimir continues stealing
as long as we turned the twenty articles into twenty
eight articles and some of them are in our favor,
and maybe burn some of our Russian oil refineries. American
leaders don't think in this format. I told you I've

(51:28):
seen different American leaders. I've seen real, real American leaders,
real strong, high ranking leaders of the United States who
are not afraid of anything and have been everywhere. The

(51:52):
only thing that made them pause was that the budgetary
money signed by United States to this country were stolen.
This is something that is not being forgiven. And Zelenski
there are records apparently that he had stolen American money. Regardless,

(52:13):
even if Ukraine will support Zelenski to the end, Americans
will slap most likely personal sanctions against him and will
start personal persecution against him and his own family members.
And now, what do you think European leaders will look
like on this backdrop? How would that affect relations between

(52:37):
Europe and the United States? And how long will Europe
be able to support Ukraine militarily. I keep repeating one
of my phrases, you can give all the money in
the world, but you cannot load your guns with money.
You need to physically manufacture weapons and shells. And Europe

(52:57):
has given everything they had to Ukraine. Sixty five percent
of European arms have American components. If Americans decide not
to support that, Europeans cannot supply those munitions. Do you
understand the madness of this situation? They are all standing

(53:19):
in some moral supposedly positioned and are pumping up the
right of a victim to self defense need to punish
their aggressor. And Americans who are funding it with their money,
with their time, with their effort, and have a huge
chunk of their own issues because of their support, and

(53:42):
they are continuously being told by European leaders that Americans
are and by Ukraine too, that they are sold, bought
and paid for by Putin on Kremlin. This is such
an atrosity from eu atrocious behavior, in my opinion, in
regards to United States, to behave like that and to

(54:06):
also demand them to fulfill their wants. What continues to
surprise me is a very long patience of Americans of
Trump and his cabinet. But this patience is not endless.
It is not end of the first hour

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