War in Ukraine, Analytics. Day 1440: Why Can't Trump Reach the Peace Deal? Arestovych, Shelest.

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:13):
Greetings to our dear friends subscribers to my channel, to
Alexeiristovage's channel, and this is our live stream. Alexey is
connected to us. Good evening, Alexy. I think our stream
today will be rather filled with a lot of events
to discuss. From a frying pan into the fire, Ukrainian

(00:36):
ends up being thrown from one extreme to another, the
attempts to quarrel our people between themselves about negotiations for peace,
about situation on the front, which is rather different from
what it is being shown on the official sources. And
will try to analyze all the perspectives of the track

(00:56):
of negotiations and where the heck is the West going,
where Ukraine is trying so hard to join and to
follow with all of the other stories, including some of
the even Abstein files. And it's even funny in Ukrainian

(01:19):
media they're mentioning discussing how many times the city of
Luviv was mentioned in Epstein files and the other cities
or townships that were not. So Yeah, we're accepting questions
as we're going live. Go to our live chat under
the stream side note from privateer station. These streams are

(01:39):
usually recorded at the first part of each week and
when they happen. Live chat is an option to ask
questions all right. QR codes on the screen one Andrew
Alexander is a way to support his channel. The one
under Alexei is a link to his school of communications,
school of thought philosophy. So let's start with the usual

(02:05):
tricky question, who damages our defense capability of Ukraine? More?
And here are the options? Number one deserters, Number two
the Drafting Commission and police for sale. Option number three

(02:27):
loud and professional Ukrainians and four quiet solutioneers from Zelensky Alexey.
What do you think? I know? I don't think the
quiet solutioneers from Zelenski government those are probably the ones
damaging our country's defense capability the most. Do you want

(02:49):
some comments? Oh, of course, we do. A very brief commentary.
Actually am repeating what I said back in January of
twenty four. I think, actually in Auto of twenty four,
I said that the war placed the tasks in front
of Zerlinsky cabinet which they cannot solve. It's not even

(03:10):
beyond their level of competence. It's beyond their level of cognition,
and they don't know, not only how to solve them,
but much less what even are they solving? All right?
I did want Alexi to bring up a story with
starlink with Phodov with Mask this is also exciting. But
before the stream, I also looked at this situation from

(03:31):
another angle, from the position of those quiet people from
Zenansky government who aim to solve issues. And on one hand,
we do have eln Musk and United States supporting Ukrainian
side limiting starlink access for Russians. For Ukrainians, this was

(03:53):
a very interesting question because when you do have a
starlink in Ukraine, you have to actually orderly write down
the submit the number, the idea of your starlink in
order for it to be unblocked over the territory and
in the wholes of presidential power. Apparently they're enjoying the

(04:14):
results of that, saying that amazing Mosk is we managed
to convince Mask to support Ukraine. Russian propagandists screaming that
they need to start shooting down starlinks instead. But it
turns out that if you sum things up, the government
of Trump continues to help Ukraine and the Ukrainian leadership

(04:37):
Zelanski's leadership. I think there are two things that are
discussed wrong here, Alexander. First, is that Mosk is the
Trump's team. He's not. He's not exactly Trump's team, at
least with the several few months the other news that
either Mask or Trump are supporting Ukraine. Mosk is always
supporting Ukraine. First, he even provided these starlinks, and he

(05:00):
gave a special mode I'm not going into details, but
some special preferences for the Green and he did not
object to use of starlink on the battlefield. However, generally
before the war he was avoiding these topics here. I
wonder if it is really a field of who was
negotiating this matter with Mask about releasing and having access
to certain starlinks, if it is his achievement, or whether

(05:24):
it's American military who actually picked this up and said, hey, Mask,
let's figure it out. Maybe it's an interesting capacity to
selectively turn on and off terminals on the field, and
we can test it on Ukraine. And I am on
the side of America investigating the actual tactical use of
starlinks on the battlefront. And I think this is more

(05:46):
important than any tweet from the Office of the President,
including that was more important than any tweet from Michael Paddak,
the communications representative of Zinski's government, whom Michael still like you, Alexei.
But now these directives are also pushed on the people
in homes in Ukraine who actually use Starling's right, Alexander.

(06:10):
I'm not saying that that's how will it will end,
but I think this is a possibility that this may
happen in Ukraine now. But when somebody will go to
Communications Commission to allow them to use Starling, he may
be asked, but do you have a registration with the
Drafting Commission. I can counter that immediately in my head

(06:30):
saying that of course now it will be women mostly
registering this sit equipment with the commissions, but you know,
somebody might still get caught. And Alexei, yeah, right, by
the way, I want to catch some fish on the
border with Romania in the River Tisa. The border is
really fortified, so it's pretty hard for any Ukrainian to

(06:52):
sneak by now these days, not like it used to
be when they were just swimming across. Alexander. I want
to go back to this device that we discussed, the starlinks,
so the verification process and I can easily see Zelansky
government make it a little more difficult for Ukrainians, basically
saying we need to verify that this piece of equipment

(07:14):
is installed at certain address, So we need to have
access to the room where this thing is installed. So
at least you show it, show that, show us that
it's there, and then if somebody is hiding in this
house from Drafting Commission, they'll have to hide deeper, or
leave the house or figure something else out. And that
reminds me of an old joking task about how do

(07:38):
you catch the wolf in a dark room? You basically
split it. You cannot see them, right, black wolf in
a black room or black cat in a black room.
You separate the room in two and you check if
he is present or one of the house doesn't have him.
This card, that card, that part cut the other part
in two as well, this card the empty one again,
and so you go until there is a very tiny

(07:59):
cage left where you're supposed wolf is. And I think
that's what likely it's going to in regards to the
rights and capabilities of Ukrainian citizens. All right, Alex say,
very valid point, and we'll see how it unfolds. But
I want to touch upon the negotiations process and they

(08:20):
were different ups and ebbs and flows in this process.
In some parts of America was saying nobody wants to negotiate,
In some parts Ukraine was saying Russia doesn't. And last
week we had some tragic events when the bus of
the miners was attacked with drones with over sixteen people
killed fourteen wounded. But Zelenski doesn't seem to grasp onto

(08:43):
anything neither on the electric stations or these events with
the destroyed bus. He is saying that Russia did not
targeted the power stations and did not target the mining
facilities and people. Is he holding his face before negotiations?

(09:05):
Is he holding a face to make negotiations easier? Why
do you think he is making deviating from his previous
accusations of orcs and everything to trying to keep a
normal face, Alexander, I think he might have some suggestion,
some offer to bring to the table in Florida when
they're going to discuss that with Russian representatives and Trump administration.

(09:29):
And I think he makes certain points that Russia has
not specifically attacked certain targets and not targeted them in
a military fashion, that was more of an accident, and
what happens. If this night or the next night Russia
attacks more targets in Ukraine, will Zdeanski still hold his

(09:50):
face straight and non blinking, telling that it's accidents, that
this is some sort of small energy based peace treaty,
that Russia is not taking energy objects. How long do
you think he'll be able to jump around the hoops?
What if he's asked when this piece deal is started

(10:12):
and what is the process who signed on that? Imagine
the Stalin times, if any of his press bureau was
asked when did a certain event start? If somebody wouldn't
be able to answer, they'd be probably adding another person
in goolags. And that's the main difference between Zelenski's government

(10:34):
and its effectivity and what Soviet Union had back in
the middle of the twentieth century. Alexi, So what do
you think any expectations for these coming negotiations in Florida?
I am not expecting anything. Hand on my bladder, sorry, heart.
I don't think anything exciting is going to happen. So

(10:59):
do you think, say, any points indicating that some things
have changed? Well, I can summarize it here saying that
Russian points are now minimized as far as they objectively
can at this point, Remember how much scream was there
about four districts and everything. Now Russia is standing position

(11:19):
just withdraw from Daniel's region and will freeze everything along
the front. And I'm going to open some scary mysteries here,
probably not for everybody, but that they're discussing withdrawing Russian
troops from some other territories. So I don't know if
Znansky is still going to play the card of Ukraine

(11:39):
being stubborn and never going to negotiate from position that
they don't like. And while that is happening, we may
be seeing a lot of propaganda from his office, but
not until he's really eager to discuss that and to
sign anything. Okay, Alexy, that's interesting. So we were now

(12:00):
that Abu Dhabi had to happen on the first and
second and there shouldn't be neither Kushnir nor Witkov, And
suddenly we see that Witkov, who is supposedly going to
visit Turkey stumble for negotiations related to Iran, which is

(12:20):
also at the boiling point, and supposedly Iran is eager
to conclude some deal with United States, and Wiitkov is
supposedly going there for this visit, and after that he
is planning to visit a trilateral meeting. Now, why Ukraine
and Russia did not sit down in a two sided format,

(12:41):
in a plateral format you mean Russia and Ukraine. Yes,
always with third party, because first of all, provocation is
a concern, mostly information provocations, and somebody can come out
on one side and declare something that was not agreed upon,
So you need a third party to verify the purity
of communication and the cleanliness of what's coming out. And

(13:06):
we'll bring up here negotiations in Abudabi with support of Turks, Arabs,
Americans that happened in September of twenty two, and since
then Ukraine was in ongoing negotiations. They were not even
a three month period when both sides wouldn't have not met.
These negotiations are also happening on five different tracks. Listen

(13:31):
to me, five in different places, different representatives. This is
just not officially always reported upon because we've been huffing
and puffing and stating that we declared prohibition of any
negotiations with Russia. Otherwise, how do you think we would
be exchanging our prisoners of war if we're not talking
to Russians. It's just at some point we started actually

(13:54):
mentioning that we do have negotiations, but they have never stopped.
We've been negotiating throughout the whole war, and in fourteen
hundred and forty days of this war, negotiations have never
formally stopped. They were always going. And any statement that
there will be no negotiations take it with a grain

(14:17):
of salt. What if Zelensky is being pressured by American side,
what do you mean define the pressure, because for now
he mostly was making awkward statements about defending Ukraine citizens
from Trump and from put In both. And yes, he
does have some support, and if not him personally, that factor,

(14:40):
that trend still supports it. And there's a segment of
our people who's going to fight for Dnetsk District regardless,
even though they may not like Lansky himself. And that
situation may not be changeable unless this factor or this
group or Zelenski stops supporting them, or they changed opinion,

(15:01):
and unless the United States will interfere and take care
of these people or that issue. And that's the only
country that probably can do that. I don't think it's
anybody else's purview, but Zelensky to figure out whether to
support this separative selector or not. Of course, Americans will
never go there. This is more from like a joke

(15:22):
story that yeah, sure, America fighting in Ukraine. That's from
science fiction on the second floor. But if they wanted to,
they could have gathered a group in about three months
and take care of an issue in three days. However,
there are limits of diplomatic pressure and special services pressure,
even on the head of the country that is at
war that is supposedly your ally or partner that is

(15:48):
not your enemy. Understandably, with enemy you can use different means,
but with ala or somebody on your side, you don't
do that. From the point of view of Americans, Zelensky
is a horrible pilot, but he is piloting a burning plane,
and before you change the pilot, you need to land
the plane first. And that's why they're figuring him, figuring

(16:08):
out the process, and hoping to let him land, even
though he's really pissing American side off with all his
demoshes and actions. And that's Trump and his administration. I
think still that Reagan and Margaret Thatcher as a leader
would probably have solved this matter faster. Well, Trump has
a ton of other piece making tasks in front of him, right,

(16:30):
But Ukraine is one of the key elements to solution.
If you solve this one, you will have others being
solved much faster. How do you see that, Alexei, Well,
there is a joint link between Middle East, Israel, Taiwan, Venezuela,
and Ukraine. These are four areas that are of interest
to Trump today. If you make any significant shift in

(16:52):
any of these four points, you get results in the
other points. So if you're successful in one of them,
you get positive feedback in the other three. If unsuccessful,
you get negative pushed back everywhere. And if you can't
solve it, everything drags. Okay, So the situation with inner

(17:15):
pressure in Ukraine, because I think those who think that
just another push and a shove and Ukraine may get resolved.
A situation when there was a discontact between the West
and the center. Moldova suffered a little bit with electric

(17:37):
energy and then Ukraine. People in Ukraine were surprised asking,
wait a second, are we also feeding electricity to Moldova? Right?
It came as a surprise to many of them, But
we do have nuclear stations, Alexander, you're right, and you
need to dump electricity somewhere. Very often you cannot send

(17:58):
this electricity to the house as buildings that are cut
off they just don't have a pathway for electricity to
come in. So you need them to either slow down
the nuclear station or you can transfer electricity to anywhere
you can. And Romania is one of the places, and
we are giving them electricity and sometimes we use their
electricity when we need to compensate. So this is not

(18:20):
about some shady exchange. This is a pretty normal, vital
exchange of electric power. Because one of the problems with
nuclear energy is that they produce very stable energy. Coal
stations they allow for you to rapidly increase output and
rapidly decrease output when you need to. With nuclear you cannot.

(18:42):
You have to run at a certain level. They're more
fragile in this regard, or it's just their feature. So
they still have to pump electricity somewhere to direct it someplace.
And since Russia has been disrupting different branches, they are
using whatever lines they have, including the ones that go

(19:03):
to other countries, and Russia is not attacking those lines,
not because they're so nice, but because they're of no
interest to them, and they concentrate their strikes on the
internal substations in Ukraine and our choice to either start
up and turn off or slow down the nuclear station,
which also has its own risks, or just dump this

(19:25):
electricity wherever we can. So this is not about some
shady trade with or shady exchange with neighbors in electricity.
But situation is catastrophic. Yeah, situation is rather catastrophic. However,
the specialists are saying that Russia will not be able
to fully create a complete blackout in Ukraine. They can

(19:47):
create significant blackouts for several days, three to five days
without heat, without any electricity, and we estimated that a
couple of streams ago. When you know, if you have
and to do that in winter in minus twenty weather,
that can easy make a city unlivable in January or February.

(20:10):
If they succeed in shutting down the altristy to the
city for a week, and if it matches with significant frost,
it may burst the pipes and must make cause a
lot of other things that will damage the liverability of
that city. It just a lot of things need to
come together. So all these conversations of military correspondence, than

(20:32):
Kiev is hanging by a booger, and Harkov and Neper
by a couple of boogers. They have some reasoning behind
these statements. But speaking of these boogers or whatever rubber
bands that they are hanging up on or duct tape
as some people calling it, it's you need to have
a lot of things conjoining together. Russia needs to be

(20:56):
very successful in their attack, whether it needs to happen
in a certain way. That's why usually some lines always
remain connected. They cannot destroy everything, and yeah, we somehow
managed to survive. There are more problematic places where they
destroy the power of the cold plant and it's difficult

(21:16):
to rebuild it faster, Okay, when you know it still
has effect. Kiev, for example, still sitting in the frozen apartments,
but some suburbs probably already unlivable because they've been left
without electristy for longer than a week in this weather.

(21:36):
And yeah it's patchy. There is no uniformal situation such
an apocalyptic scenario exists when the city can become unlivable
because of Russian attacks. Yes, it's not zero. The probability
of that, but it's not exactly one hundred percent either,

(21:58):
alex say another threat. I think the threat is still
significant in my view, because the level of expertise in
our media desires to be better. And as somebody mentioned,
by the way the sewage systems. Just this week I
saw a publication that sewage systems will not be destroyed

(22:19):
because will not freeze, because it's human waste and it
comes out warm and it'll keep the pipes warm so
they won't burst. And that's the expertise level you hear.
And today we have one of the coldest nights in
the near future, and people are awaiting for another attack.
And tomorrow Ruta is supposed to visit Kiev, Right, Alexander,

(22:41):
they may actually congratulate Uta with his visit by attack
on Kiev. That can happen. Sure, we'll see what the
consequences will be. So do you think Ukraine can slam
the door and disrupt Abudhabi in these conditions? Well, Alexander,
these processes somehow have separated in the good old times.

(23:05):
One statement of Furtherov that we are planning to destroy
fifty thousand Russians every month during the negotiations would be
enough to disrupt the negotiations. But I think America these
days have figured out very convincing language for both sides. Therefore,
these statements do not really affect the process, and even
the attack with missiles on KIF will not affect much.

(23:27):
Of course, the one side will speak about barbarity, the
other will speak about the genocide of people, and meanwhile
negotiations will still go. Nothing is being achieved there yet
and the key questions so nobody really cares or seem
to care. So what negotiations are happening about since there
are no major moves as a result, According to recent

(23:53):
triatoric by Zelenski, we will be making some concessions to Russia.
So even his party is starts to understand that or
acknowledge that officially. And as you mentioned today, if for example,
on one of those four problematic areas Trump succeeds, it'll
help with other ones. For example, Zidansky comes out and

(24:16):
today and says that Ukraine acknowledges Iranian Guard as the
terrorist organization. So yeah, this is a significant step as well.
This is another stone and the information bucket. This is
information support for negotiations. Basically, putting it simple, Russia says, Okay,
we're going to Abu Dhabi, We're going to Florida to negotiate.

(24:38):
Just let them give some signals to us that it's
not in vain, right, that we're coming there to do something.
Trump administration calls Zidansky's guys and say, okay, guys, indicate
that it's not in vain. And then you hear all
these statements that it's time to settle, time to figure
out peace deals, and it's being pumped into the media
in Ukraine. So what are they talking about. They are

(25:02):
talking about the demarcation line, about placement of observers, what
is considered to be a provocation, forms of control, what
to do with the front line. The only difference is
that all of that could be discussed after the ceasefire.
Ceasefire is the key element in this process, but it

(25:23):
is hanging by a decision on the remaining part of
don Bass, and whether Ukraine decides to withdraw troops or
when they decide too, that's when the ski will unlock
this process. So whether we will withdraw our troops or
Russian troops will finally occupy the last part of don Bass.

(25:46):
Sure by that time we may have already everything else negotiated.
That will speed things up, right, We could have been
negotiating for two or three more months. So yeah, in
the back end, they're preparing the paperwork. Do you think
Russia will take down Bass militarily? I don't know, but
this is a viable option on the table, and I
would say that this is probably the most probable option

(26:08):
today than any other option. All right, and that brings
us to a discussion about the front, because people are
awaiting your input into the current situation. Let's start with
the north today, because we're getting some news from that side.
In the north of our country, we see again new

(26:32):
incursions on the territory of Ukraine from Russia along the
border here. Remember we discussed that village last time. Now
they're going a little more to the north, so it's
summer district, right. We can see some motion on the
Russian side, and the logic is pretty straightforward, Alexander. It's tactical.

(26:58):
They're capturing and trying to hold forested areas because when
you're fighting in the field, it's more dangerous, less advantageous position.
Holding the forest is more interesting. Uivs get snatched by
the branches, trees, are holding the shrapnel, so you actually

(27:21):
have some material to build fortifications with, So they're fighting
for a better position. Second, they're creating a buffer zone,
and this is one of the political tasks set by
Russian leadership to have a buffer zone, and the third
task of course, to draw some attention from Ukrainian troops
to defend this area. This is a regional center Sum

(27:41):
and it makes Ukraine hold significant part of reserves there
as well, which otherwise would be used in other key
areas such as Slavanskramatoorsk and Zaparochia. So this is a
hierarchical logic forest buffer zone reserves Alexei. Today we heard

(28:02):
a bunch of interviews, so I don't know whether it's
the beginning of the month and they have a media
plan to fulfill. But there were a lot of interviews
by police from big authorities to smaller level officials, and
one of them from Harkov came out and said that
look in Sum they look more like Russians than in

(28:26):
Harkov district, and nobody quite understood the statement because su
and Kharakov, they're pretty much neighboring cities, neighboring townships that
both are under Russian attack and both suffer from Russian
military action. But yet on the fifth year of this war,
we allow some police officials to come out and make

(28:47):
these dumb statements. In the book of Kochinsky, The War
in a Crowd, he's describing his revolutionary activity in Kiev
at the end of the eighties, and after the fight
with some Russian nationalists, they're being detained and thrown to
the same prison cell in police. They had a guy

(29:08):
among them from Wolf who is trying to prove to
Russian who is sitting on the stool in front of him,
that Russians originate from Tartars and their genetic garbage, and
the irony of this situation rites Krzyinsky. The funny part
was that he kind of looked like he was a

(29:29):
Tartar himself, a small, rather dark with very Asian based features.
And the one whom he was trying to tell that
he has originated from Tartar was six and a half feet,
blue eyed, blonde, tall fella. And that was the humor
of that situation. So Kochynsky back then had enough humor

(29:50):
to see that today apparently our people are losing that humor.
So I want to ask what is important? Is it
important in Ukraine? You look like like Russian or somebody else? Really?
And I want to open a big mystery here to
that fellow colonel general from police whoever made the statement,

(30:10):
I want to say that Silsky looks very much like
Russian too. You perhaps your police channels need to make
sure that that fellow who looks very much like Russian
should not be traveling freely in Ukraine. And moreover, there
are some rumors and I do not believe them, but
yet there are rumors that he is much more Russian
than any citizen of Sumi district, and National police is

(30:33):
still not ringing any bells. So policemen, you may need
to work more. Why did we put you there in
your position so you'd be defending us? Right? You have
a Russian original officer who is using all the benefits
of the military system in Ukraine, and he looks like
Russian and he may actually be Russian. Where is the patrol?

(30:54):
Why don't they stop Silsky in his travels and ask
general commander, why are you and who are you? Okay,
so let's go to Rafchansk. Something slow down there seems
like here near Simonovka. They actually reached this settlement, but

(31:16):
we are not hearing any bad news from there. Now.
What do you think about that situation of clasping the pincers, Well,
this is a blue pipe dream of them that they
ye see that red line that I'm drawing on the map,
This is a dream. They don't have enough forces and

(31:40):
means there the sixth tank Army from Russia that is
so called heroically attacking in the east of district. They
don't have enough forces. They've been spread rather thin. So
this is, you know, from the perspective of you know,
Elon Musks wants to fly to Mars. So yeah, that's

(32:01):
kind of like that from the same bucket. At some
point it may happen, but not now. Kupensk and a school,
what about that? In Kupensko had a video from so
called Colonel Kovalov, who, by the way, is a good
friend of mine with whom I have spent quite a

(32:26):
lot of time for very difficult years of school, and
then we served together in the twenty eighteen So his
video became pretty loud, and I think he did it
on purpose to show that the township that according to
Russian media, communications is already under Russian control. He wanted

(32:50):
to show that this area is not controlled by Russian troops,
and the small episode just indicates how difficult it is
to get the real data even in the twenty first century.
Both sides are deteriorating, and for both reasons, subjectively and
subjectively sometimes because of communication didn't get through. Both sides

(33:12):
may declare that, yeah, we are in this township, and
both maybe in this township on different sides of it,
and then how serious it is whether it is captured
or not. Today, If there are thirty fighters from Russia
in this settlement, in this township, that is considered to
be a serious obstacle, right, And if they get thirty
more up to sixty soldiers in that township, they may

(33:34):
be unevictable without specific additional concentration of troops on our side.
And the third is disinformation. Why are they doing it?
It's customary to laugh at Gerassimov and putin the WHRSE
saying that we two Cuippins and some other townships which
they haven't yet. And it's people who are illiterate in

(33:55):
military stuff who are making these statements and laughing at
Russian statements. Very often they're making it for other illiterates
who listen to them. Because when on the front of
over one hundred and thousands and one hundred kilometers, the
head of your fose command, of the enemi's command comes

(34:15):
out and says that certain township is under our control.
This should not be taken as a lie to their
naive Russians who cannot get information in any other way,
but as an information operation that is providing or supporting
certain military operations, such as adding political value and meaning

(34:36):
to a certain township that is excessive to real situation
on the front. What forre so that Ukrainian side would
also react to that add additional political value to this township,
and then Russian soldiers know what Ukrainian side is going
to do, they will throw more troops to that township.

(34:56):
Do you think it worked this time? It kind of
did in Kupensky Asid did. But the fact that we
brought enough troops to Kupensk, we got there successful enough,
and we kicked Russians out quite a bit. But it
doesn't always work like that. Russian command knows that. Since
twenty twenty two, they declare something very loudly draw a

(35:21):
journalist attention to a certain township or a certain locale,
and then of course Ukraine would like to shame Russia
on these statements, and then they get reserves to that area,
and of course these reserves failed to reach other areas
that are of much more importance. This is also known

(35:42):
as reflexive management, and Geresimov has a doctorship in this specialty,
and he's commanding Russian troops and touching this option quite often,
and generally he's rather successful in conducting this type of
management of your foe, of the enemy on the front.

(36:02):
All right, let's look at the other part of the front,
near Zagrizzova, Alex, say, there is some motion here, and
this is just according to the maps of deep state,
which are supposed to be lagging behind. Can you zoom
out a bit more so I can see the overall. Oh, okay,
so it's near Kupinsk. It's a southern south of Kupinsk, right,

(36:25):
So yeah, this is basically splitting, separating our troops into portions,
and they're aiming at heroic connecting, heroically connecting these two pincers.
Why they need to create a certain area that cannot
be reached by field artillery. You get better positions there

(36:50):
and you can bring more troops with less danger. And
some people are saying in Ukraine, I'm not quite trusting
to the statements, but there are some rumors that this
is the third core that's supposed to surprise Ukrainians with
their heroic acts. And as you can see this, even
these more nationalistic type of core cannot do much in

(37:15):
logic in the motion of big war. So you think
this is related to Kupinsk. Not really, No, this is
a different logic here, Alexander. Kupinsk is a logic that
it is the biggest railroad junction and it's a big
township according to the front and that's why you can
make a very serious fortification outpost, and that's why there

(37:38):
is fight for Kupinsk. And the one related to the
border between Harkov and Lugansk districts, but the one near
Bravaya to the south of Kupinsk, this is a different task.
They are trying to dissect our troops and if you

(38:00):
look more to the south, there is a third direction
that you can see where they're trying to dissect it,
and they're trying to separate our troops into several poorly
managed groups. So here at the bottom they're characterizing it
as the operation to reach Slavansk, and that's where Russia

(38:23):
supposedly has the most significant advancement. Deep State was calculating
square kilometers. Russians, of course give the number twice more,
the Ukrainian sources give twice less. But the main activity,
regardless remains here near Svetagorsk on the approach to Slavensk.
Look about a year ago, there was a Zolf detachment

(38:47):
placed there that Prakapenka was commanding, and those guys actually
did good work there. They pushed the enemy back, they
even did some counter attacks. But when there were ears
on the Brapolia and there were issues with Chessavar, those
guys were pushed first to Chessavar and then to the Brapolia,

(39:07):
and instead of them, they brought territorial defense brigades to
this area who failed to hold the enemy. And that's
what had been held for over two years in Sebranski forestry.
And the enemy is now pushing in and the groups
that we place there are not capable of really stopping them.
So it's a slow process on winding. If this process

(39:31):
is to continue, these dissections will eventually start joining connecting together,
and when the enemy reaches the Askola River, they will
be at the natural barrier and it will be much
more difficult to kick them out. What can Russian troops do.
They can stop on this river and they drop their action.

(39:52):
Their more active groups from different areas to Slavensk and Kramatoorsk,
as you can draw on the map right, because it's
more difficult to kick them out of their positions across
the river, and that could be the operative ideation behind
their maneuvers. Okay, so let's go to Slavanskan Kramatoorska, these
two major centers. It's formative operations that are mostly done here, Alexander.

(40:20):
If you look more to the south, there is a
motion toward Liman and Yerovaya near jessev Arknstantinovka in the
bottom of the map that you show quite now they
have the operative balcony on the north and on the south.

(40:41):
In the north they already formed it sooner they thought
that north will be longer, but Sudanski forestry is now collapsing,
so now they have additional balcony up top. Why because
Azov was torn apart into different parts of the front,
and you can keep laughing at garrasm of input in
statements about their successes. This is one of the reasons,

(41:01):
a major reason why it is being done. So we
would grab our reserves and throw them around in the
areas where they shouldn't be or not so needed. So
generally we can say that this is the beginning of
transition to Slavanskarmatosk corparation. We are to expect more attacks
on Bachmat Slovensk road where you have the error going

(41:25):
taking of Konstantinovka Droshkovka, and then attack on Krematoorsk. And
the attack will be of course from three sides, from
the north, from the south and from the east. And
meantime the enemy is also advancing towards Barvinkova. This is
two from Pakrovsk to the top where we supposedly cut

(41:47):
those ears. But now they are right this one. They're
moving slower, but they're still aiming to what Barvinkova. And
what is being reported now that the road to Pavlograd
where the miners died recently in a bus. They were

(42:08):
recently killed by Russian long reach drones up to fifty
kilometers yep. That road is already under attack to a
large degree. So do you think, Alexi, it's a helter
skelter attack or is it the planned attack? Well, yeah,
this is disorderly attack. Still. Yeah, they're attacking different vehicles.

(42:30):
They're attacking military vehicles when they can. But this time
they attacked the bus. Why did they do that? Very
often they do it when the drone is running out
a battery, running out of juice, so they would not
just waste it uselessly. They aim it at something that's available,
and it creates panic, creates some informational resonance, and it
is a cruel but effective method that they use to

(42:52):
indicate to Ukraine that this line of vehicle communication between
the front and Pavlo Grad is being disrupted. There were
some military heads talking about that road before, saying that
this is our supply line to this portion of the front,
and of course Russians picked this direction. This is where

(43:14):
they concentrate their efforts. Now, they cannot concentrate everything everywhere.
They have to choose and pick. They have these rubicon
troops and they have to choose where to concentrate them.
First of all, they sometimes imitate activity in order for
us to again gather our troops from somewhere else and

(43:34):
drop them here, or they can actually conduct active bad elections.
And we can ask ourselves what is the ideation of
Russian command where they want to disrupt the road from
Nipro to Danyetsk district. Well, first take probably Slavanskan Kramatoskallexi

(43:58):
right limit the amount of supplies that can protect Slavanskan
Krematoorsk from the west and from the south. There are
two areas the supply go through from Brivinkoa and this one,
and they're disrupting the supply line. They're creating advantage for
their own troops and that allows them then to move

(44:19):
these ears from the south to Barvinkoa towards Lavanskan Krematoorsk YEP.
With this arrow, they can capture it, they can cut
it from the west, make it much more difficult to
supply these townships, and that could be another formative operation
in order to as they say, liberate Dunbus, but as
we say it, to capture our territory. So they're dissecting

(44:44):
that portion of the front from supply lines. Also, because
of course there are a lot of fortifications that they're
facing on the front itself. See where the lines you drew.
There are a lot of fortifications near Zaparagia, not at
the bottom where Slavanskan Kamatosk here in the top arrow right.
So Russian command knows that they broke through these fortifications

(45:09):
to the south near Pakrovsk, and they can go to
the west around fortifications that were built near Slavanskan Krematowsk.
So this is a very tempting story. That's why they
got additional troops of uees there and they started to
work on logistics lines. If they started working in that

(45:30):
three to four weeks ago, that means that they are
considering that western maneuver around Slavanskan Kameatosks. Most likely that's
what their ideation is. All right, let's go south then
in more details. Okay, let's look in the south. This
is the border with Danyetsky nip Epudrowsk. So this one,

(45:54):
that's an interesting point where Russian troops are also advancing,
trying to surround the groups that are defending the southern
part of Zaparogia from the northeast in order to make
our troops fight with the turnover flank right that direction.

(46:18):
Or if they go a little further north, they might
as well cut the communication line and our troops will
have to withdraw and have to turn the flank more
to the left, losing the stability on the eastern front
and the southern front, which also will change the situation
on this area. Also, they had a tactical push towards Neebra,

(46:42):
and this is probably the shortest line from there to
the city of Zabarojia. Yes, please zoom here, right, So
some calculations already say that it's twenty kilometers, and I
want to remind that the gray zone is where the
red one is that Russians already definitely own, and the
gray zone is where the fights are already happening, and

(47:05):
it's further. So these are the three things happening in
the Patogi direction. You usually make a point to stop Niherson,
and that usually scares me a little. Why no, let
me explain this brings to mind. Remember last week we

(47:25):
talked about some people supposedly offering supernatural services to leadership
of the country that are always present somewhere in the
near circles, and then we got more information about Let
me remember we talked about certain events about the drafting Commission,

(47:46):
about the deserters and things that were going to happen.
And then a week passes and we see a lot
of situations that are unfolding similar to what you have
been predicting. So I'm kind of pulling your leg here
saying that you seem to be predicting situations when they happen.
Now I'm getting concerned when you talk about Hirson, Are
you expecting something to happen there? No, No, I'm not

(48:09):
expecting anything, Alexander. I just want to give some respect
to our troops fighting in Hirson. Listen, I do not
like the cult. I do like to pay attention to
the shadowy areas. When something is getting too battled, too
promoted by propaganda, I tend to try to put that
back in place and put some light on the people

(48:31):
who are also fighting in more shadowed parts of the front.
Because very often we trumpeting special forces, special attack troups, buavs,
but we very often emit communication officers. We often emit
support soldiers who provide a ton of things and very

(48:52):
often very comparable or even more than the ones who
are fighting enemy in a hot fight. So that's why
I want to pay attention to her son. In this case,
civilians and soldiers fighting for this front. They are being
attacked regularly, hardkovin Kiev and Sumi are always being talked about,

(49:12):
and her son is usually omitted. That's why I just
want to pay a certain tribute of respect to civilians
and to soldiers who are holding this area, not because
there is some significant military actions happening, but because of
that front is often being overlooked. Just like in the

(49:33):
Second World War. People remember Stelling Brad and Kursk, but
we'll have very few people remember that, right, Okay, I
get your logical, EXE, but remember the movie and the
book The Sunrises Are Quiet. Here a very tragic page
in the history of Second World War on an example

(49:54):
of a small group of fighters, female detachment, that was
written about a very and popular part of the front. Okay,
so I'm while you were talking, I was putting some
highlights here a little higher and newper and her son itself,
and the road that connects her son with Nicolaif. So

(50:15):
there was an situation last week when anti drone nets
were damaged, and that artery that connects her Son to
Nicolaif is a key artery in the context of continuing
the defensive fight that you talk about on Mondays and

(50:37):
hour streams. What do you think if there'll be any
activation on this front, any significant sharpening of the situation here,
that road will likely fall first. Okay, I have no

(50:58):
intel whether we road will be attacked first. Maybe it
could be his son Krivo Rog instead the northern road, right,
But of course they will be targeting the road between
his son Nicolaife. That was the logic of the first
year of war when they pushed through. That was the
road that they used to attack, and this is the
road that our Ukraine forces used to attack back. But

(51:22):
it will be up to local administration to restore these nets.
Military and civil administration will figure it out. Speaking of which,
Sergei Kim, administrative leader in Nicolaiev, is talking that perhaps
it's time for peace deal. It's enough wasting lives in
this war. And one thing, Kim, remember that friend from
the medical department, the one who's so right and patriotic,

(51:45):
who kept saying that the man who doesn't serve as
not a man who was always busy running the fundraisers
for drones for medicals. Mihailova is her last name, she
recently got a credit for new Mercedes, and she shut
down any criticism, saying, I have a right to take credits.
So I did I think it was some white jelly Mercedes.

(52:06):
But so she comes out and says more scary things.
She's saying that if Ukraine decided to fight till the
borders of nineteen ninety one, we are risking a threat
of finishing the war near Urgarrad or losing the rest
of it, and perhaps we should start negotiating more actively.

(52:28):
We are depleted, we are crippled, and we do not
have people to fix things. Meantime, we do not have
these people because this Mikhailov in her earlier statements, was
saying that we only draft thirty thousand people a monthly.
Ten of them lost before ten during the training, and

(52:49):
whoever reaches that's basically ten thousand that reached the front,
and even of them, a bunch of them desert. Well
many of them, Alexander, are voicings and fears, not the
real goals of Kremlin. Right first, you are bubbling and
saying that you are fighting a bio junk, a bio garbage,

(53:12):
and then if you lose the war, then what do
you do do you emigrate to France and hope that
they don't get you there, because some of you won't.
Probably I can try to make a prediction here. All
of these mouth fighters will change their dress code so
quickly when the power changes, and all these sounds of

(53:34):
wild nature that they're making right now, this is the
echo of very future quick turning, and they will be
all for peace, so hardened and so ardent, then you
won't even recognize them. And second, Russians will never rechoose.

(53:54):
They don't have these goals and they understand that this
is unreal task. They will not even take Herson because
for that you need about one hundred thousand troops on
the southern border across the river attack that hold these townships,
having a river behind them. They tried it once and

(54:14):
they figured that it's a very difficult proposition. They don't
have enough logistics or technical means. This war theater is
not favorable for them there. So they'll be declaring that
Harson District is fully taken, but they will not be
taking Herson. All right. This is of course, if there
will be no catastrophe. Rate well, sure, if there'll be

(54:37):
a catastrophe, they can take a walk to the first
forest where they'll be shot at by the first partisan.
But I can imagine, and I don't think this is
a scenario. Really. I see that Russia is not declaring
these territories among their political and economic goals. It is
not included. They understand that they cannot digest them, as

(54:58):
far as I know. On a according to some inner
Russian discussions, the person the main opposition to expanding the
territories is kidy Yenka, the fellow who is managing the
occupied territories, because he understands the amount of money Russia
is wasting on these occupied territories. In twenty four they
spent one hundred and twenty billion for the territories and

(55:22):
didn't even notice them. They can take more territories and
they'll be what's spending two hundred and forty billions every year.
This is even for Russia too much. So they understand
the limits of their economic capability is the economic administrative
capability is to control and the degree of loyalty of population,
the possible insurgency and sabotage. So they don't want to

(55:43):
take more and that they can control. And they are
somewhat reasonable in this regard their desires are straightforward Danyets district,
because that can be declared as the achievements of this
goal they set. We're defending Danyetsk and Lugansk republics and
done it and taking her son across the river Nebro

(56:06):
and try to keep it and support it, supply it.
They tried, they didn't like it. That's why all these
scary things are one thing on one hand, reality is
on the other hand. As for repairs, I think Kim
will figure it out well. People are asking him questions

(56:27):
about politics right whether he will change his codes and stuff.
He's not only about politics. He is administrative director. He's
solving administrative tasks to Alexander. So I don't see a
point of digging deeper or getting other news that a
mad of Keslitza arakheim Bis are taking participation in the

(56:51):
new negotiations that are to happen with Russia. So same
essentially faces. I don't know what to expect from these negotiations.
According to Alexei, he's not expecting much, no breakthroughs here.
But what would you say about the inner kitchen in
the office of the President on the backdrop of these
negotiations Bodanov was recently appointed, right, they did talk about

(57:14):
there were rumors that Bodanov will be there, not for long.
He will be given some tasks that he cannot conclude,
that he'll spend time and resources on these negotiations, and
he is very unlikely to become a bureaucrat in this.
And it's very likely that Yermak the sorcery is somehow

(57:35):
managing these negotiations from behind the screens. So while they're
attacking Girmak, Now is it the habit of kicking the
fallen one everybody pile up on him or is he
not really fallen? And what is Budanav then? In this light?
And how would you estimate the processes that are happening
in the office of Zenanski these days? Okay, let's start

(57:58):
in an orderly fashion. Why do Julia live the group?
Nobody knows, even the sorcerers and the darkest necromancers, maybe
some terrologists now, But I would say that Julia is
a creative person. She could have left the negotiat, the
negotiation group or any administrative group because she wanted to

(58:20):
a lot of things are done because of the money,
but not everything could have been just her ideation to
do that. What ideation you're talking about, I say, you
worked in those dear times in the office of the president.
You've also been the advisor. You have advice to your
mark as well. Right, well, she was the press secretary

(58:40):
of the president, and you still while working there, you
did not have a desire to talk about some rituals
and dead bodies. And I did not know anything about
the dark rituals, Alexander. I saw a ton of funny
break slits on the hands of some people, but I

(59:03):
was not privy to what they were doing in their
private lives. And another thing, when your mark is in
power and he can do a lot of bad things
to you and your family, I think it's right to
attack him in the streams of that time. But when
he is a shot down pilot, attacking him and telling

(59:27):
stories how horrible of a person he was, I do
not really like this genre. I like attacking people when
they have enough power, when they can sanction you, when
they can respond, they can cause trouble. That's when you
talk about them. That's when you address them and tell
them you're doing something wrong. When the lansky will be
shut down, I will probably stop blaming him much too,

(59:47):
I'll probably be expressing some pity because kicking the ones
who are down, that's not my story. Some people like
doing it. I do not. As for Buddanav, speaking of
how his activity will be judged in the past, present
and future, it's all dependent upon one factor. How much

(01:00:09):
of an independent figure will he be able to become.
He was coming to Zelenski's administration as the managed figure,
and I don't know how independent he is, if he
will succeed in limiting the influence of other people in
his persona and under the influence of which he made

(01:00:31):
a lot of mistakes. And some people in the circle
in the know are saying the borderline perhaps criminal can
be looked as such. This is one story. If he
remains a somewhat manageable figure, that's a different story. To
understand the degree of his manageability, you need to be

(01:00:53):
in the inner circle. I do not have the sexes
right now, so I cannot give the real estimation as
to what does he represent. But I can say that
observing his career, he has a significant degree of independence
and some kernels of independence. And I want to say

(01:01:16):
even there are small sprouts growing there when I was
leaving the administration, I could say that the proportion of
manageability to independence was sixty to forty, So sixty manageable,
forty independent. Now I don't know. I don't have the
real data on him. The other thing, even independence doesn't

(01:01:40):
mean that he will be very effective in his decisions.
They can be independent but ineffective. That can also happen.
Right We cannot measure the effectivity of this person right now,
at least I cannot. I know a lot of examples
of poorly effective discis visions that he made, and whom

(01:02:03):
he will be as the head of the office, whether
he will be pushed by his destiny in some favorable
unfavorable situations, we don't know. It is customary now to praise,
to call him one of the saviors, just like they
were calling myself as illusiony back in the day. Because
the crowd that desires they always need somebody who represents

(01:02:29):
an island of stability, and Budanavus holding is composed pretty well.
His emotionless manner of speech, a certain projection of everything
will be all right, timely statements that he makes. These
are strong sides of him. Some adventurism and propensity to

(01:02:52):
solve some tasks without consideration to moral or casualty side
of things. That can be strong or weak depending his influence.
His being influenced by advisors of different calibers is a
weak sight. So he can be influenced, Yes, he was,
but he was always independent. He could be influenced, but

(01:03:14):
it doesn't mean that he would take an order. I
wish him all kinds of success if he would manage
to retain a degree of independence and effectivity because of
the experience that he gathered in his life path. Ukraine
could have gotten a very good, well quality qualified manager

(01:03:37):
the head of the presidential office. Whether he will succeed
in this position, whether he can change or he had changed.
There are a lot of question marks in this. I
can give some judgment on the previous badanav the way
I knew him, but I am not ready to tell

(01:03:57):
too much about his current state. Do you think it
could be his idea about the energy peace deal with
Russia so sees fire on the energy objects. I think
this is Trump's idea. This idea is already hanging in
the ears. In April. He was the first one who
suggested this so what I mean Alexay Americans could have

(01:04:21):
pushed maybe do you think Budanav was acting on behalf? No, no, no,
Alexander Americans would be complete idiots if they allow anyone
to manage them at the level of ideas. Now, the
Energy truce, the energy sees fire as an idea was
in the air two months after Trump's inauguration, so spring

(01:04:41):
of last year, and back then it could have been
promoted or sold to Budanaf as well. But one of
the things that you're being taught in special services and
politics you never work on somebody else's terms. Remember that

(01:05:02):
movie Seventeen Moments of Spring when Sterlets, the Intel officer,
noticed an interesting feature about Schellenberg that he would take
certain ideas from other bureaucrats, other people would acknowledge them,
would not promote them, and then would bring them out

(01:05:23):
a month later as his own, so nobody would accuse
him in copycatting. So could have taken this idea from
Budanaf Americans could have done that, but they would always
present it as their own idea. And that's the logic
I can suggest at the moment, Well, look, say there
is one more thing I wanted to touch upon today

(01:05:45):
before we go to the questions of the viewers. I
feel an interesting sense of deja vu, I want to say,
but some mere one smaller, one bigger, and they're both
looking at each other, so that her Mark the sorcerer.

(01:06:05):
According to the revelations of some expunged members of the
cabinet in Ukraine. Nobody asked the question whether it's Lenski
is also part of that cult or these activities because
they slept in the same bunker, they watched the same
movies together. As we know, he probably knew about these rachels.

(01:06:27):
He was not wearing any of those bracelets and stuff.
But since Hermark was such close fella to him in
managing the country and all the political kitchen, he probably
knew and remained mom or why and why am I
bringing up the mirrors facing each other today? Before I

(01:06:48):
was stream, we have Trump coming out and saying that
I was never a friend of Epstein, I have never
been at his island, and then the network burst out
with pictures of young Trump, young Epstein and some parties
back in the day. So he's trying to push it

(01:07:11):
back because he is in a presidential chair. Do you
think the same thing as with Zelensky. And what do
you think if the case of Epstein and civilizational format,
does it matter or how does it play for Ukraine? Well? Civilizationally, Alexander,
it's pretty understandable Western elites were posing as moral authorities

(01:07:34):
for a long time, and to a degree they weren't.
We now can see in the Epstein files with bringing
underage persons to the silent one of probably the most
horrible crimes a human mind can device. But there are
two news related to that. Number one, the elites around

(01:07:56):
the world are prone to these corrupt things. The power
of the West is that it ultimately can uncover that
and make it public. However, if the same things, for example,
would be happening in China, Russia or Ukraine, it would

(01:08:16):
be a much more difficult proposition to reveal that. Imagine
in Ukraine because of decision of the Supreme Court that
the publication of certain files would be made where the
current president is involved in the same actions as were
happening on the Epstein island. This is unreal. So yes,

(01:08:38):
we can say that the West elites are corrupt, but
do not forget that there are other parts of the
Western elites who are revealing them and publishing a ton
of documents and showing the corrupt ones. This is the
weakness of the West because they it shows that they
should not have been taken the moral position. At the

(01:09:00):
same time, it's their power that their cultural and social
makeup makes them capable of bringing their leads back to
the heel. So we were saying, both the strong and
the weak sides in the scandal, which can be applauded,
that the worst would be if they would never have

(01:09:22):
revealed this machine, that scheme that Epstein was pushing. Well,
there was one thing that Trump did promise to publish
and they published, right, Okay, So regarding Trump and I
was not diving too deep into the stories that were published.
There was only some witnesses mentioning some stories that they

(01:09:42):
heard from somebody else. There were pictures of the Prince
Andrew right, I saw some pictures of him and his
rebuttal saying that the girl was feeling weak, so he
is bending over her viah Right. Regards to Trump, there
are no material witnessing. We know that in the West,

(01:10:08):
of course, there is a machine that were for money,
people will tell anything, right, Remember, there was Livistross, who
was attacking supposedly his maid right in the hotel. I
can not imagine a situation when the head of the
monetary fund would be attacking a maid in a hotel.

(01:10:31):
I can imagine a ton of situations where he would
spend money otherwise if he wanted that kind of services
on a higher level, and not having a world class
beauty in a maid cleaning his apartment somehow that he
decided to attack. So it is an instrument. It is
an instrument of services, secret services and others compromising materials.

(01:10:54):
So this is an instrument to attack politicians. And if
there is no hard material evidence against Trump, there is
nothing to dig there. If there was any significant material witnessing,
they probably would be delaying materials for longer. Yes, he
knew Epstein, a lot of people knew, abstain doesn't mean
that he did what Epstein was doing at his island

(01:11:17):
with those thirteen year olds. So hence I would suggest
wait for more investigations and if somebody can prove that
Trump was involved in these crimes, then he should be punished.
But it doesn't look like unlike Clinton, where everything is
pretty day clear, right, But in the media they try
to push that agenda that Trump was mentioned right mentioned.

(01:11:42):
This is a big case where just mentioning of name
supposedly tarnishes, but it's not enough to shut down the president.
It may affect his rating a little, but perhaps give
him some moral pause, but I don't think it will

(01:12:02):
affect his current political stance. But on the other hand,
alex say, we had a Grammy ceremony when Billie Eilish
comes out and says that it's wrong to prohibit migrants
to a stolen land, when some rapper comes out and
says that I should be out, and all these migrant

(01:12:25):
questions are important, and Grammy nominations as if it is
a revolution. Alexander, this is a standard American discussion. They
always accusing everybody and everything. The left accuses the right
and using anything they can. Globalists are honestly fighting traditionalists,
and they accusing each other in all the deadly sins.

(01:12:45):
So yeah, sure there are some right statements, but this
is the public life of America. Americans like emphatic statements
and journalists on his journalists, strong judges and special services
and CIS and FSB's This is American scandal. And I
don't see how Ukraine should be participating in this scandal

(01:13:07):
or taking a side even more so, what I can
say is that Trump was true to his word. He
was accused that he was not releasing Epstein files. He
did release them, with some delays, but they were all released.
And yeah, he delivered what he promised on his campaign.
And it will be of course more attempts to attack him.

(01:13:29):
But you're right, I think, Alexei, that is not impossible.
That is not possible in Ukraine at all. We can't
even publish who killed Gangatza, right, Yeah, and Gangadza is
one thing we're not even talking about. What is happening
in Ukrainian orphanages and what the leads are doing. What
if all that was published, Abstein case would probably be

(01:13:50):
much more brutish to compare. But who will bring it up?
Hannah Mahler when she tried to bring it up. You
can actually bring her to the stream if she would
agree to talk to you or come to her page.
And she put a big chunk of her health and
personal risk on the altar of stopping the elite attraction

(01:14:13):
to miners in Ukraine by means of law and the
means of other things. She did, Why are they graving
it so much? As not as a politician, but as
the author of the school of thought, can you come
up with an answer to this question? Because this is

(01:14:33):
horrible what they're doing allegedly, and it's people who have
a ton of money, a ton of capabilities to use
them in different ways. Where's that coming from? Well, hypothetically,
and I want to say that historically it is said

(01:14:55):
that in Turkish elites there was a lot of hom
sexuality and they were a ton of women there. They
had harems, right, So it's human nature. When you have
too much of something, it becomes bothersome or boring. Same
thing with drugs, people start using small gateway things. Eventually

(01:15:20):
they go down from cocaine to something much stronger. And
same thing with the sexual activities. When you have too much,
too much, too much, they start figuring out more exotic
ways to dope themselves. And I think it also probably
a human nature of those who are in power to

(01:15:44):
experiment with the exclusivity of not being punished or not
being punishable, because this is their own personal proof to
themselves that they will not be punished for these deviances
and these crimes. This is a better proof than just
owning two hundred billion dollars. But if you can get

(01:16:06):
away with I don't know, cannibalism or these Epstein things, right,
that's when the real power is. Take Musk for example,
he tried to get to these parties, to the club,
I guess, but never really got there. For Epstein, joy

(01:16:27):
in the Epstein Island, No, he has so much money
he could purchase anything. The thing that Epstein did he
created club, an elite gathering of a sorts that did
not only just include the deviant ones who traveled to
his island and LiTi Express, but it was more akin

(01:16:47):
to the Club or Connections network. So this is basically
trading in power. And since the Western world is the
world of institutions, there are not too many platforms where
you can get acquainted with different people of high caliber,

(01:17:09):
circumventing circumnavigating official channels. The value was there, and many
of them, I want to say, probably eighty percent of
those people did not even go there. For all these
tvss that were happening on the island. And it's not
exactly that everybody was involved, right, Epstein understood that this

(01:17:33):
thing is punishable, it's beyond the law. It's illegal, and
that's why it was a special place through special for
special people, not like everybody who came to the party,
and they get an entertainment of that kind. So as
we can see from materials, most people who were friends

(01:17:56):
with Epstein were doing it for a club for connections.
Hit created a machine that created and Pampo different influences.
So there are names from Norway, names from Britain, right
from King's dynasties. And now they're pushing everything out and
saying to heck with this, we did not and we
were not and that now there are pictures coming out,

(01:18:19):
So yeah, some of them like Prime Minister of Slovakia
just sent his resignation immediately. He probably didn't even see
anybody on this island. I'm not surprised if he never
participated in any of that, but yeah, he abdicated from
his political power. He was there probably solving other things.

(01:18:40):
But yeah, it is being used as a tool to
smudge to smeyer. Moralists are trying to attack everybody they
want to attack, and all these titles in the media
saying that the pedophiles are running the world and the
world is completely corrupt. Well, if the world would be
completely corrupt. This files, I've never seen the light of

(01:19:01):
light of day, and that's why they're trying to brand everybody.
Every name that is mentioned in the files is the pedophile,
but no it does not. So probably eighty percent are
there or were there for political reasons. And again this
is my point of view, this is how I could

(01:19:22):
see that situation. And in political in the worlds of power,
they are probably skeptical to understand that everybody fogs everything
if they want to. And of course they are probably
some rumors as to who's doing what. But Okay, one
billionaire meets another billionaire and the person tells him that, yeah,

(01:19:44):
he's sleeping with somebody who cares. At this point, that
person may be there to buy Halfacinia or some oil reserves,
or strike another deal with some other power. He may
not even be aware of all these shady things. This
is a different level, and Epstein's circles were different. So
I think there is a risk that the story of

(01:20:07):
Epstein Island may turn into a flogger that can be
used by one of elites to attack the others and
use the crowds to attack them, which actually indicates another thing.
The split of elites in the United States, and that
thing has been going on for a while. This is
not a secret. Democrats and traditionalists have been attacking each

(01:20:28):
other for years, for decades, so this is just one
of the shapes that this fight is taking now. Now,
there was an investigation there that Ukrainian modeling agency was
supplying girls there. That's what we can investigate on our site,
right Alexei, and they were concerns about Zelenski, whether he
can run the country, he cannot run the country, how

(01:20:49):
much the scandal will touch him. And I'm just bringing
up as a discussion of how it is being discussed
in the Russian speaking and Ukrainian speaking segments of our country.
End of the first hour

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