October 29, 2025 • 9 mins
WEATHER WEDNESDAY AT 12:30 As Fox 31's Dave Fraser pops back in to talk cold and maybe snow at some point soon.
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Time to check in with our favorite meteorologist. He is
(00:03):
Dave Frasier from Fox thirty one. Dave, I gotta tell
you this weather is my jam. I want this to
last for a long time, just like this.
Speaker 2 (00:14):
Don't change anything.
Speaker 1 (00:15):
Okay, I'm not moving, I'm not breathing. I'm not moving.
It's glorious. What are we looking at? And I looked
at your forecast out for the next week. It doesn't
look like we have anything on the horizon that's going
to be a problem.
Speaker 2 (00:28):
We don't.
Speaker 3 (00:29):
But before we get to that, I gotta chime in.
Speaker 2 (00:31):
I'm gonna give you my opinion on your pole before
maybe I can influence some of your reo.
Speaker 1 (00:35):
Please do because the pole is live at Mandy Connle
on Facebook.
Speaker 2 (00:40):
Picture T shirt all right, says IHEARTKOA on the top
picture of you and Anthony A Rod in parachute pants
say mc hammers. And then underneath because of your stay
in your slot says can't touch this.
Speaker 3 (00:55):
Oh man.
Speaker 1 (00:57):
From the top rope, Dave Fraser, We're worried about in
frinchment on that one.
Speaker 2 (01:04):
That's that's go for it.
Speaker 3 (01:07):
Go for it.
Speaker 2 (01:07):
The low risk we're gonna say, Dave Fraser, told us
to do it, So send the season to says to
the Fox thirty one building.
Speaker 3 (01:15):
I just I could just picture it. It's a visual
in my head.
Speaker 1 (01:19):
Well you you will have the opportunity to buy your
merchandise soon. Just wait, it's kind of yeah, the merch
line that I just thought of in my head. Okay,
so what is happening?
Speaker 2 (01:30):
Nothing is happening.
Speaker 3 (01:32):
It's literally we we call it a phone.
Speaker 2 (01:34):
It in forecast. You know, we haven't had much in
the way. Yep, we're just I got nothing for the
next seven to ten days. People keep asking about.
Speaker 3 (01:44):
The first snow.
Speaker 2 (01:44):
The average date is October eighteenth, that's coming gone. There
was a storm a couple of days ago that looked
like it might pan out for our first snow around
the seventh of November, but that is no longer in
the model.
Speaker 3 (01:56):
So for right now through the eighth.
Speaker 2 (01:59):
Of the month, I can guarantee you we're not going
to see snow here. We're just stuck in a pattern
where there's more active weather to our west and to
our east, and we're just kind of caught in between
with nothing going on.
Speaker 3 (02:09):
Now.
Speaker 1 (02:09):
On the good news side, we're having weather like this,
which is absolutely stunning and fabulous. But we already have
Keystone and a basin open. They're making snow, and someone
texted in this question, which I think is kind of
interesting weather Wenesday. How does humidity play into the ski
slopes ability to make snow? And then of course I
like Connallism. You can run on your own platform, and
(02:31):
so we've got to vote for Condadism there by the way,
the poll is live on my Facebook page at Mandy
Connell if you want to vote on what we're going
to call our listeners. So what does humidity have to
do with it? And is drier better or is a
little more damp better?
Speaker 2 (02:44):
I mean, humidity is always a good factor in the air.
Speaker 3 (02:48):
But what we were dealing with, You.
Speaker 2 (02:50):
Know, Keystone has made a lot of investments in millions
of dollars in getting more and more snow guns. So
they've become more of a conversation of late in the
last few years when it comes to first and they
were the first to open in all of North America.
They haven't done that since nineteen ninety seven. We have
a meteorological all the meteorologists in Denver meet with the
(03:10):
Colorado ski country representatives. We had that luncheon last Thursday,
and we were hinting, you know, we were trying to
get them to give us an idea where they were,
and of course they didn't want to say anything. Keystone
and a Basin and the rest of them because they're competitors.
And it was funny we had that luncheon on Thursday
talking about the ski season ahead and what we thought
as far as Laminia and snow totals and what the
(03:31):
season might look like. And then of course A Basin
drops on Saturday morning. We're going to open on Sunday.
And I'm like, all there, that's good. And within a
few hours Keystone Drops were opening.
Speaker 3 (03:42):
This I know.
Speaker 2 (03:45):
Them.
Speaker 3 (03:45):
Yes, it was good.
Speaker 2 (03:46):
So you know, in the mountains, what they're looking for
is they're looking for.
Speaker 3 (03:49):
The right conditions.
Speaker 2 (03:50):
It's temperature combined with humidity or the due point as
we talk about, and then sunlight. You know, I mean,
you've got to be careful about, you know, if we're
going to expend all this water and turn it into snow,
but the next few days, the temperatures and the sun
and everything is going to work against us and you
have to hold off.
Speaker 3 (04:08):
But these guys.
Speaker 2 (04:09):
Are magicians when it comes to running those snow guns,
getting that eighteen inch base and getting at least part
of a run open, maybe a full run top to bottom.
I know Lovelin's working on a top to bottom run.
You'll probably hear from them pretty soon. But it's always
interesting to me. No snow, no snow, no snow, Mother
Nature sprinkles in a little bit and the next thing
you know, they're taking advantage of the cold nights. The
(04:29):
guns are running it boom, they're open. Right.
Speaker 1 (04:32):
So what did your little meeting have to say about
the upcoming ski sieson La Nina and all that.
Speaker 2 (04:38):
Yeah, the hope is, you know, La Nina was kind
of where we were last year and we you know,
the mountains did great. And it's interesting because the tourism
associated with the skiing always seems to do better.
Speaker 3 (04:50):
Than the year before, despite.
Speaker 2 (04:52):
Maybe not the best snow conditions. But they're they're just
like I said, they're wizards up there and making snow
and grooming it and moving it around and keeping the
conditions going so.
Speaker 3 (05:01):
You can ski in Colorado. Last year we.
Speaker 2 (05:04):
Had big snows. November was a big month for the mountains,
and then it got a little better. You know as
we turned into the start of the next year. So
far there's there's been some snow in the mountains. We
think a similar pattern where there may be a couple
of big events, but then there may be long periods
where it's quiet. Denver ended up. I think about eight
inches shy for the year, and most of our snow,
(05:25):
almost half of it came with that twenty three inch
snowstorm that we had in early November of last year.
Right now, I don't see that big storm coming, but
you know, you can flip a switch and all of
a sudden things change on a global scale, and next
thing we know, we've got a driving cold front straight
out of Canada. We've got the right ingredients and we're
(05:45):
out shoveling snow. So the hope is still there. I
always say many never give up on a season. Yeah,
and you know you come in heavy at the beginning
and maybe it drives towards the end or vice versa.
Never give up on the whole season until it's done.
Speaker 1 (05:58):
So I just got this chat and said, hey, Dave,
can you or Mandy, can you ask Dave about how
rare late October hailstorms are. Had one that dropped golf
ball sized stones along the Eastern Plains. This past Monday,
we had hail at our house too. It's the latest
most locals have ever recalled it by almost a month,
maybe more. Is that your observation that from deer trails?
(06:21):
So is that accurate? I thought it was weird, Yes, yes,
it was.
Speaker 2 (06:25):
It was. It was definitely what we had coming in.
We had a storm system coming in and the nature
of that storm it got convected, so it was acting
like a summertime period where it was generating showers and thunderstorms,
and because cold there was coming in aloft, it was
easy for the storms to kind of lift the moisture
high enough to generate Some of it was groppel, which
(06:46):
is that softer, some of it was slee and some
of it was hailed. So it was kind of a
combination of all of that coming in. And it was
a cold storm that came in. That was the one
that came in on Monday and is now moving through
the southeast corner of the country, and that's the one
responsible for finally kicking Hurricane Melissa to move it northward.
It in stalled for so many days, and so it's
(07:07):
all of that is moving east. But yeah, that would
definitely late to be talking about that. And we got
two warnings on a storm south of Lineman out on
the eastern plains, where the radar was indicating the hail
was large enough about the size of a quarter to
be considered severe, and so it triggered a couple of warnings.
And yes, no question about it, that's late in the
(07:28):
season to be dealing with hale.
Speaker 1 (07:29):
It's the first time that I had hale at my
house that I wasn't panicking over my plants outside because
it's the end of the season. Anyway, I am.
Speaker 2 (07:36):
They have beaten up a.
Speaker 1 (07:37):
No big deal, you know, is not a problem.
Speaker 2 (07:38):
Yeah, yeah, one.
Speaker 1 (07:39):
Last question before we have to let you go, and
this is kind of interesting. You actually just reference how
our weather affected Hurricane Melissa. This person said, Dave, does
a hurricane effect the US weather pattern?
Speaker 2 (07:51):
Yes, yeah, So basically, the easiest way to describe it
is the computer models take a long time to pick
up on a hurricane because the hurricanes are finicky when
it comes to their strength. Melissa was spinning and idle
for a long time. When a hurricane generally goes idle,
it will generally tap into it'll it'll turn over the
ocean waters and eventually hit colder at water. And as
(08:12):
we know, warm water is the fuel for hurricanes, so
when you hit colder water, it shuts the hurricane down.
In this case, Melissa was spinning over deep warm water
temperatures and it kept it survived, kept it alive, and
it kept it strong at Cat five, you know, one
hundred and eighty five miles for our winds. Basically, what
happens is once the computer models pick up on this,
it slows down the traffic of storm systems moving west
(08:35):
to east. So, for instance, on early this week, on Monday,
we were forecasting a high on Friday for a Halloween
of like sixty sixty two degrees because we were expecting
a weekend warm up. Well now we're only forecasting fifty
two because the cooler air that moved in Monday night
is now slower to progress east. So it backed up
the traffic jam, if you will. So we've got to
(08:57):
now wait for Melissa to do her thing, run up
the coast, get into the Atlantic, and then the flow
will start to kick back in. We're still expecting a
warm weekend sixty two Saturday seventy two, seventy three Sunday.
But it delayed things, so yes, that does have an
influence on backing things up and movement.
Speaker 1 (09:13):
Okay, Dave Frasier, great to talk to you. You just keep
this beautiful weather happening and we'll remain best friends.
Speaker 3 (09:21):
All right. Happy Halloween, all your hammers out there, hack
hat you man.
Speaker 1 (09:25):
Thanks Dave Raser
Time to check in with our favorite meteorologist. He is
(00:03):
Dave Frasier from Fox thirty one. Dave, I gotta tell
you this weather is my jam. I want this to
last for a long time, just like this.
Speaker 2 (00:14):
Don't change anything.
Speaker 1 (00:15):
Okay, I'm not moving, I'm not breathing. I'm not moving.
It's glorious. What are we looking at? And I looked
at your forecast out for the next week. It doesn't
look like we have anything on the horizon that's going
to be a problem.
Speaker 2 (00:28):
We don't.
Speaker 3 (00:29):
But before we get to that, I gotta chime in.
Speaker 2 (00:31):
I'm gonna give you my opinion on your pole before
maybe I can influence some of your reo.
Speaker 1 (00:35):
Please do because the pole is live at Mandy Connle
on Facebook.
Speaker 2 (00:40):
Picture T shirt all right, says IHEARTKOA on the top
picture of you and Anthony A Rod in parachute pants
say mc hammers. And then underneath because of your stay
in your slot says can't touch this.
Speaker 3 (00:55):
Oh man.
Speaker 1 (00:57):
From the top rope, Dave Fraser, We're worried about in
frinchment on that one.
Speaker 2 (01:04):
That's that's go for it.
Speaker 3 (01:07):
Go for it.
Speaker 2 (01:07):
The low risk we're gonna say, Dave Fraser, told us
to do it, So send the season to says to
the Fox thirty one building.
Speaker 3 (01:15):
I just I could just picture it. It's a visual
in my head.
Speaker 1 (01:19):
Well you you will have the opportunity to buy your
merchandise soon. Just wait, it's kind of yeah, the merch
line that I just thought of in my head. Okay,
so what is happening?
Speaker 2 (01:30):
Nothing is happening.
Speaker 3 (01:32):
It's literally we we call it a phone.
Speaker 2 (01:34):
It in forecast. You know, we haven't had much in
the way. Yep, we're just I got nothing for the
next seven to ten days. People keep asking about.
Speaker 3 (01:44):
The first snow.
Speaker 2 (01:44):
The average date is October eighteenth, that's coming gone. There
was a storm a couple of days ago that looked
like it might pan out for our first snow around
the seventh of November, but that is no longer in
the model.
Speaker 3 (01:56):
So for right now through the eighth.
Speaker 2 (01:59):
Of the month, I can guarantee you we're not going
to see snow here. We're just stuck in a pattern
where there's more active weather to our west and to
our east, and we're just kind of caught in between
with nothing going on.
Speaker 3 (02:09):
Now.
Speaker 1 (02:09):
On the good news side, we're having weather like this,
which is absolutely stunning and fabulous. But we already have
Keystone and a basin open. They're making snow, and someone
texted in this question, which I think is kind of
interesting weather Wenesday. How does humidity play into the ski
slopes ability to make snow? And then of course I
like Connallism. You can run on your own platform, and
(02:31):
so we've got to vote for Condadism there by the way,
the poll is live on my Facebook page at Mandy
Connell if you want to vote on what we're going
to call our listeners. So what does humidity have to
do with it? And is drier better or is a
little more damp better?
Speaker 2 (02:44):
I mean, humidity is always a good factor in the air.
Speaker 3 (02:48):
But what we were dealing with, You.
Speaker 2 (02:50):
Know, Keystone has made a lot of investments in millions
of dollars in getting more and more snow guns. So
they've become more of a conversation of late in the
last few years when it comes to first and they
were the first to open in all of North America.
They haven't done that since nineteen ninety seven. We have
a meteorological all the meteorologists in Denver meet with the
(03:10):
Colorado ski country representatives. We had that luncheon last Thursday,
and we were hinting, you know, we were trying to
get them to give us an idea where they were,
and of course they didn't want to say anything. Keystone
and a Basin and the rest of them because they're competitors.
And it was funny we had that luncheon on Thursday
talking about the ski season ahead and what we thought
as far as Laminia and snow totals and what the
(03:31):
season might look like. And then of course A Basin
drops on Saturday morning. We're going to open on Sunday.
And I'm like, all there, that's good. And within a
few hours Keystone Drops were opening.
Speaker 3 (03:42):
This I know.
Speaker 2 (03:45):
Them.
Speaker 3 (03:45):
Yes, it was good.
Speaker 2 (03:46):
So you know, in the mountains, what they're looking for
is they're looking for.
Speaker 3 (03:49):
The right conditions.
Speaker 2 (03:50):
It's temperature combined with humidity or the due point as
we talk about, and then sunlight. You know, I mean,
you've got to be careful about, you know, if we're
going to expend all this water and turn it into snow,
but the next few days, the temperatures and the sun
and everything is going to work against us and you
have to hold off.
Speaker 3 (04:08):
But these guys.
Speaker 2 (04:09):
Are magicians when it comes to running those snow guns,
getting that eighteen inch base and getting at least part
of a run open, maybe a full run top to bottom.
I know Lovelin's working on a top to bottom run.
You'll probably hear from them pretty soon. But it's always
interesting to me. No snow, no snow, no snow, Mother
Nature sprinkles in a little bit and the next thing
you know, they're taking advantage of the cold nights. The
(04:29):
guns are running it boom, they're open. Right.
Speaker 1 (04:32):
So what did your little meeting have to say about
the upcoming ski sieson La Nina and all that.
Speaker 2 (04:38):
Yeah, the hope is, you know, La Nina was kind
of where we were last year and we you know,
the mountains did great. And it's interesting because the tourism
associated with the skiing always seems to do better.
Speaker 3 (04:50):
Than the year before, despite.
Speaker 2 (04:52):
Maybe not the best snow conditions. But they're they're just
like I said, they're wizards up there and making snow
and grooming it and moving it around and keeping the
conditions going so.
Speaker 3 (05:01):
You can ski in Colorado. Last year we.
Speaker 2 (05:04):
Had big snows. November was a big month for the mountains,
and then it got a little better. You know as
we turned into the start of the next year. So
far there's there's been some snow in the mountains. We
think a similar pattern where there may be a couple
of big events, but then there may be long periods
where it's quiet. Denver ended up. I think about eight
inches shy for the year, and most of our snow,
(05:25):
almost half of it came with that twenty three inch
snowstorm that we had in early November of last year.
Right now, I don't see that big storm coming, but
you know, you can flip a switch and all of
a sudden things change on a global scale, and next
thing we know, we've got a driving cold front straight
out of Canada. We've got the right ingredients and we're
(05:45):
out shoveling snow. So the hope is still there. I
always say many never give up on a season. Yeah,
and you know you come in heavy at the beginning
and maybe it drives towards the end or vice versa.
Never give up on the whole season until it's done.
Speaker 1 (05:58):
So I just got this chat and said, hey, Dave,
can you or Mandy, can you ask Dave about how
rare late October hailstorms are. Had one that dropped golf
ball sized stones along the Eastern Plains. This past Monday,
we had hail at our house too. It's the latest
most locals have ever recalled it by almost a month,
maybe more. Is that your observation that from deer trails?
(06:21):
So is that accurate? I thought it was weird, Yes, yes,
it was.
Speaker 2 (06:25):
It was. It was definitely what we had coming in.
We had a storm system coming in and the nature
of that storm it got convected, so it was acting
like a summertime period where it was generating showers and thunderstorms,
and because cold there was coming in aloft, it was
easy for the storms to kind of lift the moisture
high enough to generate Some of it was groppel, which
(06:46):
is that softer, some of it was slee and some
of it was hailed. So it was kind of a
combination of all of that coming in. And it was
a cold storm that came in. That was the one
that came in on Monday and is now moving through
the southeast corner of the country, and that's the one
responsible for finally kicking Hurricane Melissa to move it northward.
It in stalled for so many days, and so it's
(07:07):
all of that is moving east. But yeah, that would
definitely late to be talking about that. And we got
two warnings on a storm south of Lineman out on
the eastern plains, where the radar was indicating the hail
was large enough about the size of a quarter to
be considered severe, and so it triggered a couple of warnings.
And yes, no question about it, that's late in the
(07:28):
season to be dealing with hale.
Speaker 1 (07:29):
It's the first time that I had hale at my
house that I wasn't panicking over my plants outside because
it's the end of the season. Anyway, I am.
Speaker 2 (07:36):
They have beaten up a.
Speaker 1 (07:37):
No big deal, you know, is not a problem.
Speaker 2 (07:38):
Yeah, yeah, one.
Speaker 1 (07:39):
Last question before we have to let you go, and
this is kind of interesting. You actually just reference how
our weather affected Hurricane Melissa. This person said, Dave, does
a hurricane effect the US weather pattern?
Speaker 2 (07:51):
Yes, yeah, So basically, the easiest way to describe it
is the computer models take a long time to pick
up on a hurricane because the hurricanes are finicky when
it comes to their strength. Melissa was spinning and idle
for a long time. When a hurricane generally goes idle,
it will generally tap into it'll it'll turn over the
ocean waters and eventually hit colder at water. And as
(08:12):
we know, warm water is the fuel for hurricanes, so
when you hit colder water, it shuts the hurricane down.
In this case, Melissa was spinning over deep warm water
temperatures and it kept it survived, kept it alive, and
it kept it strong at Cat five, you know, one
hundred and eighty five miles for our winds. Basically, what
happens is once the computer models pick up on this,
it slows down the traffic of storm systems moving west
(08:35):
to east. So, for instance, on early this week, on Monday,
we were forecasting a high on Friday for a Halloween
of like sixty sixty two degrees because we were expecting
a weekend warm up. Well now we're only forecasting fifty
two because the cooler air that moved in Monday night
is now slower to progress east. So it backed up
the traffic jam, if you will. So we've got to
(08:57):
now wait for Melissa to do her thing, run up
the coast, get into the Atlantic, and then the flow
will start to kick back in. We're still expecting a
warm weekend sixty two Saturday seventy two, seventy three Sunday.
But it delayed things, so yes, that does have an
influence on backing things up and movement.
Speaker 1 (09:13):
Okay, Dave Frasier, great to talk to you. You just keep
this beautiful weather happening and we'll remain best friends.
Speaker 3 (09:21):
All right. Happy Halloween, all your hammers out there, hack
hat you man.
Speaker 1 (09:25):
Thanks Dave Raser
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