The Muster- Phil Duncan: Weather Watch

Phil Duncan looks at a cool forecast for the south over the next seven days.

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
She's up fold nakes to the sun. I'm not fun
to get some She's a fun.

Speaker 2 (00:07):
As the master iron Hakanui.

Speaker 1 (00:08):
Time to catch up with the weather man.

Speaker 2 (00:32):
Good afternoon, Phil Duncan of weather Watch. Do you tip
your feet whenever Alanas Morrissey it comes on the radio?

Speaker 3 (00:38):
Of course they do crank up the volumes.

Speaker 2 (00:42):
How have you? How's things been? I mean from a
meteorological perspective, it's been a hectic week around New Zealand.

Speaker 3 (00:50):
It has been a very very busy week this week
with all the weather. We've had this big low up
around the top of the country which didn't cause a
lot of severe weather but in the north of you,
but it is the reason why we saw that flooding
going as fast south as Otago and certainly affecting north
Canterbury and parts of Marlborough. So yeah, it was busy
and slow.

Speaker 2 (01:10):
You know.

Speaker 3 (01:11):
This rain started at the start of the week and
it's still falling today around Canterbury and it has eased
a lot though, and now most of the heavy stuff
is up around Norman Hawk's base. So it's been a
long week and of course going into a long weekend
means there's a million people ask what's going on?

Speaker 2 (01:28):
Yeah, what is going on on the one million some first?

Speaker 3 (01:32):
Yes, right, well, not a lot going on for you guys,
to be honest with you. But it's going to be cold.
I mean it is cold already, but it's not going
to get colder necessarily, but it's going to lock it
south in and so a bit of a cloudy day today,
maximum of only around six degrees. So I haven't said
that to you. I don't think this year. And yeah,

(01:52):
like I say, fairly cloudy. So if you're wanting to
look at the stars tomorrow morning for Matadiki, Southland's actually
and all them. Southmand's one of the better places in
the country to go stargazing if you want to get
up early in the morning and do that. Tomorrow maximum
around seven and Saturday around eight and similar to Sunday,
but the overnight temperatures plummet this weekend, so you got

(02:15):
zero around zero minus one for tonight and Tomorrow night,
but around negative three negative four going into Saturday night
Sunday morning, so pretty heavy frost coming through for Sunday,
but Sundays looking like a beautiful day. Sun should be
out and then when we all sort of go back
to work, although farmers never stop. As you go back
on Monday, the temperatures warm up into the double digits

(02:38):
and they do that for a couple of days. So
it's gonna get a little warmer early next week and
that'll remove the frosts. But yeah, frosty conditions expected if
the clouds break up enough tonight and will last right
through until Monday morning.

Speaker 2 (02:49):
Well, the thing about having a frost in the morning,
fo and you'll know this pretty well being based where
you are, is that you get a fantastic afternoon full
of blue sky and sunshine and crusp and you'd speak
nothing least.

Speaker 3 (03:02):
Yeah, exactly beautiful weather. You know, I think we get
very few complaints about frost. You know, it's quite interesting.
That's one of the things unless you're a grower and
you're growing stuff and you know, I don't want to
frost at certain times of the year that most people
don't mind a frost and they quite enjoy it. Actually,
even as far north as where I am up in Auckland,

(03:23):
you'll probably hear a lot more people moaning about the cold,
but they still love a frost. That there's something about
a frost on a sunny day that really wakes you up,
makes you feel good about life, all that kind of stuff.
It depends on what you do for a living though,
of course, and what I think if I was a plumber,
I don't know if I would like your frost that
you get in northern Southland. That might stress me out

(03:44):
of it rather than sleeping in. I've got to go
and deal with first water pipes and stuff. But yeah,
they're beautiful. And the only downside of the frost is
if you get that cloud that rolls in just after
the suns come up, and that is possible, that is
possible to morrows around parts of Southland, which can make
it very bleak when it is like that. So yeah,

(04:05):
you need the sun to be after the frost.

Speaker 2 (04:07):
There's nothing like a slurry tanker cranking up a minus three.

Speaker 3 (04:11):
Yeah right, yep, Yeah, that's a good one.

Speaker 2 (04:14):
As far as Win's Easterlys and the likes, we've had
a bit of a chill over the past couple of days,
just part and parcel of the weather system.

Speaker 3 (04:22):
Yeah, I mean you've been on the edge of what
was going on further up the South Island and that
was a cold wind, I mean, Easter is often are
in the South Island. They are in the North Island
too quite a lot of the time. So yeah, cold
cold winds blowing through the wind is not going to
be much of a feature over the next several days.
They're pretty light winds. High pressure is actually building. It's

(04:42):
very very slow movement coming out of Tasmania. Here's a
fun fact about the high that's rolling in though it
is highly likely that it has broken the record in
Australia for their highest ever air pressure that's been recorded,
beating the last record, which I believe was around nineteen
sixty seven or sixty nine, sometime around then, so it's

(05:04):
been a long time. They nearly broke that record a
few years ago or a couple of years ago with
a very powerful high that also I think might have
broken some records in New Zealand. So winter is the
time of year we get our most powerful high pressure zones.
In summer. You know, a lot of people think we
get them they're more powerful in summer. They're actually not.
But what happens in summer is they all tend to

(05:24):
link up and so you get one high after the other.
In winter, they're a lot more individual, kind of like
a mountain like Mount Taranaki. It's just this big thing
that sticks up, you know, on the weather maps. So
the one they had in Tazzy is coming your way.
It is weakening those it moves in and it's slower moving,
but it means that the winds won't be very strong,
so you're probably not going to really notice whend until

(05:44):
the end of next week.

Speaker 2 (05:45):
Describe air preciator a bit more detail.

Speaker 3 (05:49):
Well, it's kind of hard to do it. You get
these sort of bubbles of high pressure. So like the
planet's always got the air pressure always balances itself out,
So if you end up with a whole of high
pressure in one area, there'll be another area getting a
whole lot of low pressure. As we've mentioned last week,
the waterbed scenario where if you lean on one side,
the other side pops up, so we get a lot

(06:11):
of that highs. They very The way I see them
in my mind is like if you're at the bottom
of a waterfall and you see all the bubbles that
the waterfall makes and they all sort of bubble up
and then they float along with the current and then
they dissipate. That's a little bit like what we get
with high pressure zones, they're kind of like these bubbles
of high pressure and they're tracking along with the current,

(06:32):
you know, the westerly current that goes around the southern hemisphere,
and so they float along and they're always a different shape.
They always pop up in different areas and then they
disappear again, and so it's a fluid kind of thing,
and that's always changing. So when people say to me, well,
we've never had a winter like this because we're getting,
you know, a southeasterly wind for three weeks in a row,

(06:53):
that's usually because of a high pressure zone that's just
in a different position, or it's stuck somewhere. It's not
necessarily a sign of anything else major that's changing our
with our atmosphere or our whether most of the wind
and rain we get is all about where is the
high pressure. So the loads bring the rip, the wind
and the rain, but high pressure zones kind of decide

(07:14):
where that will be roundabout, like a roundabout in the
sky kind of thing. The traffic goes all around it.

Speaker 2 (07:21):
That's a good way to put us, like the Jetsons
came to life. Yeah, there you go, Pel Duncan of
where the watch we always appreciate your time when the
Muster enjoy the long weekend.

Speaker 3 (07:31):
Cheers man, you too.

Speaker 2 (07:34):
Tell Duncan of where the Watch go and check him
out on his social channels doing an outstanding job regarding
the meteorological situation for the Deep South. This is the
Muster up next, Steve Henderson. We were fond age lucky.

Speaker 1 (07:47):
We were fon