Celtics Win! Game 2 Betting Preview for C's and Bruins

Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
(00:00):
The Gambler starts. Now here's AdamKaufman. What's up, everybody? Welcome
in here on a Tuesday at theGambler with Adam Kaufman WRKO. We come
your way weeknights really Monday through Thursday, ten to midnight Eastern Time, with
a whole lot of bedding talk andvery little else. But hopefully you enjoy

(00:20):
that because our goal is to makeyou money and form entertained, but mostly
make you money, make ourselves moneyin the process, and that information it'll
guide you. You don't just haveto blindly tail us, although you've been
very profitable. If you have,you can make your own decisions as well.
For instance, maybe you didn't decideto go as heavy on the Colorado

(00:42):
Avalanche from every angle as we didas a show tonight. That game just
underway, the Abs and the Starsit is, I mean not just underway.
It's ten minutes into the opening period'shalfway through. The Stars lead this
one one to nothing, which againno big deal, the game just started.
But we need the Abs on themoney line and that's a plus money
play. We need the Abs ona scoring barrage four plus goals plus money.

(01:04):
We need a specific guys to havepoints at least one anyway, So
we're chasing a lot of different stuffwith the abs. They will make or
break our night, and I'm hopingmake because the Celtics, the Boston Celtics,
Dan Watkins and Brian but most certainlydid their job in very comfortable fashion,
a twenty five point win over atthe Garden to take Game one against

(01:27):
the Cavaliers of their second round series, which means the Bruins, who play
tomorrow up won nothing in their secondround set. The Seas of course followed
suit and so Game two portion ofthe week begins in less than twenty four
hours, which is exciting. Butthe Seas they had no problem in this
one. We covered the minus threeand a half in the opening quarter.
That was Nick Whalan's official show play. Last night, Celtics with ease covered

(01:49):
the eleven and a half full game, so we got that in the books
as well. So we've already gotsome in the clubhouse with wins, which
is nice. My bank roll repairis dead. I got greedy, you
know, Chase to plus one seventyand the Baltimore Orioles could not do their
job. That was unfortunate. Carolinais still playing right now. That was
a minus one twenty leg. Iguess the outcome of that one doesn't matter

(02:12):
for show purposes anymore. But Iwould still like to see a Hurricanes win
to even up that series with theRangers and turn that thing into a best
of five, just for exciting hockey. I think two very evenly matched teams.
Let's talk about the Celtics a littlebit. Donovan Mitchell. He did
Donovan Mitchell things as you would expect. He had thirty three points, relatively
efficient twelve of twenty five and filledout the score sheet a bit. But

(02:36):
the Cabs they waved the white flagwith five minutes or so left because the
Celtics they were simply too much.They won every single quarter in this game,
by six, by four, byfive, and then by ten in
that fourth. It was a balancedattack among the starters mostly Al Horford rightfully
didn't play any more than he reallyshould. He had a solid game seven

(02:57):
points, eight rebounds, four assists, but only played two twenty seven minutes,
which is what I want. Giveus Luke Cornett, give us Xavier
Tillman. Let's keep Horford in appropriateshape when it comes to conditioning and rest
we don't want another meltdown late inthe playoffs to where he is just showing
his age. There are reports thatwe could see Christaps Porzingis even potentially before

(03:22):
the end of this series. Accordingto Steve Bullpet of heavy dot com,
he said the Celtics, there's vibesfrom the team, if you will,
that that could happen. The Cavaliersare preparing to see Porzingis, but if
tonight was any indication, as wetalked about extensively last night, they don't
need him. Jalen Brown thirty twopoints, Derek White twenty five points,

(03:43):
seven of twelve from three. Areyou dumb enough to play the under three
and a half threes with the wayhe is shooting right now? I was
for a couple games last series,not anymore. Drew Holliday chipped in with
fourteen points. You'll notice I didn'tsay Jason Tatum yet eighteen points. Some
of that came late, didn't haveto do much. He did ultimately take
nineteen shots, which honestly is morethan it felt. Along the way,

(04:04):
he was perfectly happy being somewhat pedestrianin terms of not chasing his own shot,
and he was very efficient. Pluseighteen, eleven rebounds, five assists,
just a solid game all the wayaround. And I cannot dan ignore
Peyton Pritchard, who was electric offthe bench with sixteen points. Yeah.
Well, Sam Howser just decided notto take any shots tonight. I think

(04:24):
he jacked up one at the veryone. Yeah, at the very end.
I was all over his props.I thought that was going to be
a big night for him. Waswrong. But no, look at the
Celtics. This should not go beyondfour games unless the Celtics just completely take
a night off. The Calves arejust inferior, and if they're hurt,
Jared Allen's out. Yeah, thisshould not be anything more than a formality

(04:45):
at this point going forward. Here, I expected Celtics to sweep at this
point. And yeah, the onlything from the Calves, I mean,
do you just hammer Donovan Mitchell oversbecause he's going to take like half their
shots. He's going to have to, I mean if they have any hope
of keeping any of these games close. And I still look, you're probably
right that the Celtics are going towin this and win it rather easily,

(05:05):
not even a quote unquote competitive sweep. I still like a Gentleman's sweep.
It does it? You know.Adam Himmel's block of the globe. He
tweeted at one point during the game, and obviously I wasn't at the game,
but he's there and he said,this game. I don't remember exactly
what the tweet was, but toparaphrase it, it was like, I

(05:26):
can't remember a playoff game that feltless like a playoff game. Yeah.
I don't know if that was areflection of the competition, the energy in
the building, but there was.Yeah, there's no to use a word
sizzle around this series. Everybody andtheir mother, or if we're talking Derek
White, their father expects the Celticsto absolutely roll in this thing. And

(05:47):
you know, maybe that was themove. You know, bet on Celtics
correct score four to zero, fourto one, don't waste your time with
four to two or anything like that. The C's they're gonna in this thing.
I saw Dan Shaughnessy also with theglobe, and I like Dan,
Dan's a buddy, but he wastweeting doing his normal, you know,
another tomato can. The Celtics aregonna have the easiest path to the comp

(06:11):
you know, to the NBA Finalsin the East, that we've who cares
good? Please? That's that iswhat I've spent a lot of time Dan
talking about this on my Celtics podcast. That you know the Denver Nuggets are.
You know, we're criticized in partlast year for having an incredibly easy
path to a championship, and youknow what, they want a championship.

(06:34):
Nobody's gonna remember a decade from nowwho they beat to get there. They're
simply gonna remember that Denver won.Are we gonna sit here? I know
Boston's a proud sports town if youwill, but city, and and but
are we gonna sit here and say, uh, Banner eighteen. I know
they have won since oh eight,But Banner eighteen where they're gonna have to

(06:56):
work for it, go through allthe tough No win, just win.
Who cares who you beat? Idon't care if you know to to pull
a page from Bill Belichick, Idon't care if you beat Foxborough High on
the way to the championship. Justwin the championship. Yes, I want
Minnesota to knock out den versus theCeltics if they get to the NBA Finals,

(07:17):
don't have to deal with the Nuggetsabsolutely. I want that make it
as easy as humanly possible, becauseat some point it's not going to be
the Celtics. They will either geta tough test, be it from the
Knicks in the conference finals, orplay with their food. At some point
again in this Cavaliers series, maybewe will get that Max Strus game that
I was talking about last night.Certainly not tonight, only had five points

(07:39):
on two of eight shooting. Butit is gonna get harder, Like,
let's let's be okay with this alongthe way. No, I just take
it as they should win. There'sno excuse not to get to the finals.
I don't want to see Porszingis untilthe next round at the at the
earliest. There's no reason to puthim in here and rush him back any
for any reason. The Celtics.Yeah, this should not be close at

(07:59):
all. And has has the gametwo line come out yet? Is it
up? Yeah? Is Celtics minusthirteen and a half? That's a Thursday,
that's it. It was eleven anda half. I think closed at
twelve and a half tonight. Yeah, it open at thirteen and a half
is what we're looking at. Yeah, I would take the Celtics right now.
At that number, they should absolutelyjust wipe the floor with this team
and it should not be close.How do you feel about the total though?

(08:22):
And we can spend more time onthis as the show goes on.
But that's a two twelve and ahalf. It was two eleven tonight and
they wound up early, got overfifteen to fifteen, So there you go.
Yeah, my my awesome math twofifteen. So yeah, just barely
cleared it. A lot of theearly money is on the over. Would
you play the over? No,because I think there's gonna be a lot

(08:43):
of garbage time. And the Celticsalso aren't going to shoot close to fifty
percent every single night and forty percentfrom three. They're gonna have a stinker
night at some point. It couldbe game two. Uh, And I
just yeah, I don't think.I think. I don't think points are
going to be crazy in this one. I don't think Cleveland's gonna pull their
way either. So you're gonna you'regonna need the Celts to put up one

(09:03):
twenty at least to get to thatnumber. I don't think Cleveland's gonna help
help you out very much. Well, Dallas Starr's not helping us out very
much. They are up now tonothing. Well, we do need five,
we need five goals for the formy bank roll repair, so they
can get theirs out of the wayearly and then auto can turn it on
fine with me still overtime by theway, Carolina and New York, so
keep you posted on that just forgeneral knowledge. But yeah, two nothing

(09:26):
stars, about seven minutes to goin the opening period of that game,
so long, long way to go. Obviously, here is what we are
going to do in this show,very excited about it. We are going
to have James Young, No notthe former Celtic James Young coach, James
Young of Sports Grade coach is goingto join us for a couple of segments
here in this opening hour, includingwhen we come back after a break momentarily,
and we will do a people's parlaywith him. We are tracking two

(09:50):
people's parlays tonight, which are bothas we sit here, still live.
We'll keep you posting on how thingsgo with that. Obviously, Banker repairs
to close out the hour. Asalways, next hour we will get to
the Bruins previewing Game two. Lookingaround the rest of the NHL. Mike
Leeboff is going to join us fromAction Network, and then we will have
another first time on the show,Scott re Reichell from the Sports Gambling podcast

(10:13):
Network. He will join us andtalk a little baseball, just Wedgen a
little baseball after the Red Sox lostto the Braves tonight. Unfortunate, although
obviously what I'm most happy about isCutter Crawford did his job, got to
the over. I couldn't believe andI texted you guys earlier today. Four
and a half k's was the linefor Cutter Crawford in this game. He
didn't slam it. Would he havesix something like that, but even still

(10:35):
he finished above it. Even ifit was five and a half, I
would have played the over and wouldhave just gotten there by the hook.
But four and a half for aguy who has done that in whatever the
number was nine out of ten startsor something like that felt very low.
It did. And also a monagafor the Cubs that we talked about at
the very end of the show lastnight. He smashed over his His was
also a four and a half.We were talking five and a half or

(10:58):
six and a half last night.All opened up in four and a half
and he had eight tonight, sohe just went way over that as well.
But yeah, I believe the Bravesdon't strike out a ton Let me
look here, No, they doall right about nine times a game.
So that's that's twenty first in theMLB. But still, yeah, good
good stuff from Cutter Crawford. TheRed Sox though, they went like one
of fourteen with runners in scoring positiontonight, so when you do that,

(11:20):
things aren't gonna go too well foryou. So another play that we are
chasing tonight. This is another oneof my straight legs, the Celtics minus
eleven and a half. I alsohave the Thunder minus three and a half.
And you know, this is onethat I don't know when it's startument
we will probably know by the timewe sign off, or at least we'll
have a real good idea. Rightnow, they are down by one early
in the second quarter to the DallasMavericks, so we'll keep you posted on

(11:43):
how things are going with that.Hopefully we get another show play we need
it and see how everything is going. In terms of our official show plays,
will put ten out ten out,including the people's parlays and bank roll
repairs. Risking a lot tonight tohopefully win a lot. We will see
how it all unfolds. But alot of bad basketball talk live lookings again
on the Mavericks and Thunder, mostlylooking ahead to Celtics Game two against the

(12:07):
Cavaliers and the one game that wehave tomorrow night that is the Pacers and
Nicks. And there are a fewpeople more equipped to talk about that one,
I promise you than coach James Young, who is right there in New
York, New Jersey. So whenwe come on back, more hoops on
the way and again in people's parlaylater on this hour, stay with us
the Gambler with Adamkoffman here on WRKO. We're back. We're talking basketball after

(12:33):
the Celtics blood bath at the Garden. A man who called it. I
saw his stuff on social media.Coach James Young. You can get him
on Twitter at Coach Young and Jay. He hosts the Betting Above the Rim
podcast, lead basketball analyst over atSports great man. I always love working
with almost as much as I likehaving him on this show because we get
to hog him, make them ours. Coach, How are you, Buddy?

(12:56):
Good? Ak good to be allwith you? What a formers by
the Celtics and darre say not surprisedby the result. Well, I saw
what you put on on Twitter earliertoday and I saw you swept the board
as it relates to props and sides, everything total specific to this game.
But also just you know, Ithink that was your word, it's going

(13:18):
to be a bloodbath. You thoughtthe Celtics were going to go out and
just absolutely hammer the Cavaliers. Idon't think you were alone in that.
There were a lot of people onthe minus eleven and a half eventually minus
twelve and a half. I wason it as a show play and would
have been on it even if itwasn't a show play. What led you
down that road though, to believethat tonight just was not going to be
competitive, Well, to me,you know, number one, you're looking

(13:41):
at a Boston team. It's asore, dynamic offense. But even when
out porzingis versus at Cleveland team numberone on a one day prep and I
be as someone that coached in college, on one day turnaround for a practice,
it's just not a lot of time, especially after you just go through
seven games series and it's the sameteam over and over. And over again.

(14:03):
Two Adam, Let's be honest,Cleveland, It's funny. I'm gonna
say this. They decided that insteadof trying to go through two or three,
you know, they wanted to staywith Philadelphia, so they decided that
the best path for them was togo to four, which I made it
seem like is I don't even thinkthey care if they get past this round.

(14:26):
They just wanted to get past thefirst round. So once they won
that seventh game, in that gameversus Orlando, I thought there was no
way they were in turnaround and beatBoston. If I'm not mistaken, aimln
of fig Boston and Cleveland plate onefive, one oh four. You know
balt was about I think twenty twopoints in the fourth quarter, correct,
And they turn around and they justlet it go. I know Jill Mizzula

(14:50):
was gonna be ready for that,and obviously they poured it on, especially
early in the second half. Coach, Is there any way Cleveland like even
makes this a respectable series of thanDonovan Mitchell just going crazy every single night.
I think the only thing, see, you just gave it the best
case scenario is Donovan Mitchell going offone game now listen, can can he

(15:13):
give you a forty point game inBoston who at times can fall asleep behind
the wheel? Yeah, because youknow you saw that against Miami and game
number two. But to me,there's no way that I expect Cleveland to
win more than one game in theseries. And I will dare say this.
You know, I thought going intothis matchup, if Jared Allen was

(15:33):
available, that wasn't enough to maybeget Cleveland also a chance to win a
game because of his interior presence.Now you can crowd the three point line
and forced people to the hoop.I'm just I'm not as much of a
believer in Evan Bowbley as most peopleare, So I thought that with Alan
and you know, with Donovan Mitchellgoing off, there's a chance to get

(15:56):
steal one like a chance. Istill don't think they're gonna win more than
winning game in the series, becauseI just think Boston. It's amazing.
Boston has an ability with everybody beingable to score. Right. You can
say, they can say to you, okay, well we're how you match
up, all right. So earlyon in the game, it was Jalen

(16:17):
Brown, He's gotten go. Weseen derk Way have big corns. Obviously
when Perzingis has been there, youknow, Drew Holly played better than just
Canda have shooting the ball. Sothey have so many weapons. There's a
Bencher, Heuser, pricherand Tilmen gavethem minutes to that. It looked for
it was very active on the offensiveboards. They's have too many weapons that
you have to stop. I justdon't see Cleveland getting maybe if they're lucky

(16:40):
one. So, guys, here'ssomething really crazy, something we are not
at all used to here. Obviously, even in round one, I don't
think I never noticed it. Rightnow, everything is out for game two
on Thursday. All the props.I'm looking at FANDL all the props.
Everything is out. Obviously the Celtics. We talked about it alier in the

(17:00):
show. Thirteen and a half pointfavorites in this one. But Mitchell coming
off these thirty three points, wesaid twenty nine and a half is his
line. Jaylen Brown of course,the Big Night twenty four and a half.
Jason Tatum a little bit pedestrian byhis standards, twenty six and a
half points. Derek White really intriguingbecause of course the way he is shooting
right now seven to twelve from threeto night twenty five points, seventeen and

(17:23):
a half at even money for DerekWhite. Anything jumping out at you,
coach, Yeah, I mean Ithink Derek White's play has been absolutely fantastic,
and I think it's what just makesthem so dangerous because like when you
look at the fact why I justtalked about the offen, the sid the
ball, when you look at likedefensively, if you're Cleveland like you,

(17:44):
you're got to pick your poison,Like, who is going to be that
guy? To me? You know, Derek White is someone that kind of
lies into weeds but can really doa lot of damage. When you talk
about props here I would and Iand I hit with with Spy Mitchell going
two and a half May three,the reason being, Guys, there's always
gonna be the shot volume for Spiderand he's going to take the shot.

(18:08):
So you know, eiserer Carl threethrees in the first half. I mean,
if we think he's gonna have threethrees in every game? A serious
I got a bridge to say becauseI don't thinkure's how that happened. So
you know, when you look atit, I think you look at you
know, Steve's Spider Mitchell and thethree point makes that they have depending on

(18:29):
how much juice on it. Butyou know, right now, looking at
it, it's it's three and ahalf and plus one thirty eight. I
would take go ahead and take alook at that, because he took eleven
three pointy tips tonight. Even guysgoing in today, I think he was
five out of his last six versusBoston over his three point problems two and
a half out't know five four ofthem. He got the four May three.

(18:51):
So I think I do like thatright now at plus money from Spider,
and then I'm gonna I'm gonna goback to Drew Holld. I just
thought he was a little bit bettertonight. I think he's someone that can
kind of get going because you startworrying about everyone else. And I did
his points plus rebounds tonight and itwas fifteen and a half, and looking

(19:14):
at it right now, if it'ssitting at that same number, guys,
I don't like the complicate thinks I'mgonna go right to sixteen and a half.
He got to twenty tonight. Ithink your holiday can get you kind
of eleven twelve points three or fourfive rebounds, good juck crashing off at
the boards as a guard I'm lookingat I'm gonna go right back to the
same process I did in game one. I got well, Dan, I

(19:37):
just want to mention too, DerekWhite over three and a half threes.
That's a plus money play. Hewent. He won seven of twelve tonight,
five of ten in the clincher againstMiami, eight of fifteen in that
game four against the Heat. Imean, it's what that should tell the
volume twelve, ten, fifteen,and yet you go over three and a
half, which again he's cleared eachof the last three games. You can

(20:00):
get that at plus one twelve onFanDuel, maybe better elsewhere. That's just
the book I have opened in fronthim. I think Fandel is the only
right now. And guys really right, Guy's really quick. This is one
of those things where if you geton it, like you gotta do it
now, don't wait until tomorrow,because when people get up in the morning
they see these numbers, or theysee these numbers, you know, in

(20:22):
a couple of days, they're gonnajump on it. That's gonna move.
It kind of reminds me of,you know, doing the show with cover
loss tonight and he said, likefive o'clock this morning, you look Derk
White's assists with a two and ahalf like minus one tet well by the
time it moved thirty forty cents bypipball. So if there's something like now
in game two, jump on itnow before it's people jump on it up

(20:45):
where they start moving the number placing. That's that's so there is another one
that's jumping out to me, guys, and that's Jason Tatum's rebound prop nine
and a half. And he's hitthe over here in five out of six
games so far in the playoffs.He's done it in all three without with
Porzingis sidelined, and he's gone wellover that in the last He's been at
eleven or more in each of thelast four games too. I mean he's

(21:06):
gonna be a primary rebound rebounder forthe Celtics from here on out until Porzingis
is back. So I like thatnine and a half number two and it's
at minus one fifteen on FanDuel CoachI like that as well. And then
I think when you look at it, he will have to rebound without Porzingis
and I think the one thing youwant to look at here, guys,
and let's be quite olative. Onebecause of the fact that Cornett and Tilman

(21:27):
will take some of the minute awayfrom Horford because you don't want Howrnford to
be playing huge minutes right right forthe game, fans will took away the
total rebounding total rebounds for the seriesbecause of Allen and because of Porzingis if
they ever jumped that back in Remember, folks, it's total rebounds, not

(21:48):
rebounds per game. Take a lookat someone like Jason Tatum. We should
be able to look at the doublevision rebounds pretty much in every game the
series, provided that Porzingis does notplay. Do you have because this is
something I wrestled with earlier when itlooked like Jared Allen was going to play,
and obviously he got ruled out,Does that give you any pause his

(22:08):
presence if he is available to go, And it sounds like that's one of
those things throughout the series We're justnot going to know until closer to game
time because again he got ruled outshortly before game time today. His Tatum's
rebound prop earlier in the day wasnine and a half. It dropped down
to eight and a half when theexpectation was Alan was going to be out
there, and when it did thatand then Alan got ruled out, then

(22:30):
I jumped on the over eight anda half for Tatum. Does the nine
and a half that exists right now? As Dan talked about, do you
hesitate it all just not knowing Alan'sstatus, Oh, you can hesitate,
But to me, it's all aboutwhat wants to do. If they're giving
you a good number with the reboundingprompt that I would still go ahead and
look at it with Tatum, youknow, because I think he's going to

(22:52):
be able to get the double digitrebounds. You know it's at minus one
fifteen. You know, another wayto look at it is, you know,
if you think he's gonna get tenrebounds, another way you can do
it is I would just go,honestly, you know, double double.
So now if you think he's gonnascore Vinion all the way with points,
rump, it's a little bit less. It's basically just saying, just get

(23:15):
the ten points. If you getthe ten rebounds, mine one twenty's it's
fine. It's hard said. It'smore of a juice. But if you
don't want to do points on thoserebounds. That's another way you can look
at, uh, possibly Katum inthat way, but I think he's gonna
have to rebound because regardless of thefact that this I, like I said,
I'm not a big believer in EvanMobley. Right, So if you

(23:37):
look at the fact of if JaredAllen does play okay, then you have
whether it's you know, Cornett orTilleman or Horford, they have to box
out Allen. That now allows Tatumto fly in and still get the rebounds.
Plus Evan Mobley hanging does not suitthe ball from three a lot,
so he's gonna be around the rim. So it's still whether Allen is there

(24:00):
or not. I would still lookto take that at nine and a half
eight and a half. If youwant to wait, go ahead and wait.
You may have to play a littlebit more, Jess, but I
still think you gets ten plus redounds. All right, Why don't we step
aside when we come back much morewith coach again at People's parlay for tomorrow.
So we'll get Coach's favorite play,be it in the basketball world or
elsewhere. But I'm just assuming it'sgoing to be basketball Dan and I will

(24:22):
offer you hours as well, andwe haven't even touched on what we have
in front of us tomorrow, Pacersand Nicks. The Knicks took game one.
Can they go up to ah?We'll talk about it when we return.
So we need the thunder minus threeand a half tonight. They are
currently up by nine, about twominutes left in the opening half against the
Mavericks. That is in okayc.We will keep you posted on how things

(24:45):
go as we know it. Butwe've got James Young, coach from Sports
Grid here with us and it's timeto look ahead to tomorrow before we get
into the people's parlay the Pacers atthe Knicks. These two teams met up
yesterday. It was once again thejay On Brunson show. Poured in for
the fourth straight game. Forty pluspoints. He had forty three in his

(25:06):
forty four minutes and was you know, didn't waste any shots. He went
fourteen of twenty six. This wasn'tyou know, take thirty five shots,
get to forty points kind of game. He was awesome and this one made
all his free throws, which Iknow is near and dear to Dan's hard
fourteen of fourteen. This was afour point win and a big comeback for
New York in that fourth quarter toget the job done a four and a

(25:29):
half point spread in Game two,Coach, what do you think? Well?
What I think is in New Yorkcontinues to make coach use everything from
bourbon to you know, heart medicationto aspiring to barth bags to you name
it. They have done it tome, and what is what is interesting

(25:55):
to me? And I know youguys have some bets you want to talk
about my favorite bet, I'm gonnajust come say it. I don't understand
how to over he only move totwo twenty two if you believe it is
if I'm not mistaken. Listen,six out of the last seven games they've
gone over this number. Right,all of those games have been two thirty

(26:15):
plus. If you're Rick Carlisle andyou're watching this, we're like the Knicks
only goes seven deep. Oh,no, six deep because Mitchell Robbinson is
not off the rest of the series. So now press is a two,
it becomes your seventh guy, wereyou going to do putting Jericho Sims?
TIMPs isn't doing that. I gottamake this a track meet. I gotta

(26:36):
get this game up and down andsay the kids, I dare you to
play Dante DiVincenzo all for twenty fourminutes of the second half. I dare
you to play you know, JoshHart forty eight minutes. I dare you
to play Jalen Brunts in forty fiveminutes. I dare you to play old
Jana over forty three minutes, especiallywith only a one day turnaround, one

(26:56):
day prep. I like the overto skip. I think Rick Carlisle plays
the scheme with pace and we're goingto get a better game editor, especially
be more aggressive trying to score theball. So I'm glad you brought up
the Robinson injury and now his absencegoing forward in this series. Coach,
where do you turn when it comesto the prop markets? You go right
to Hartenstein with his rebounds and stufflike that, or is there someone else

(27:18):
with the next that you're looking topick up some of that slack with the
with the rebound props. Yeah,you have to look at Hard and you
can't look at Josh Hart because hisnumbers are like if it's insane, they're
absurd. They're absurd, eleven anda half even two and a half,
like for for maybe a six footfour guards. You you got to look
at you know, maybe looking atobviously, uh, you know Hartenstein.

(27:42):
If you want to look at maybeog and Anoby. Maybe there's more.
It's his rebatting profits. It's sevenand a half to the UH plus one
oh four. So I think that'ssomething, Uh, you may want to
look at here, you know JoshHart. You know, I think the
better way of doing it is ifyou want to take Josh Hart, how
about him just to lead the gamein rebounding of minus one twenty five.

(28:06):
I mean, if you think aboutit, why would Hartenstein may not be
the guy, Well he's gonna goagainst Miles Miles Turner. What does Miles
Turner do? Miles Thurn's picking pop, he's more outside the basket. You
know, OJ's got to run Roji'sgot to run around with uh Siakam and
Josh Urt just does an incredible jobof rebounding offensively. To me, if

(28:26):
you're gonna think Josh Hart with anythingwith the rebounds, I just go lead
the game in rebounding at minus onetwenty five. And why know we talked
about Halliburton. If you listen towhat he said he wants to be uber
uber aggressive. If you're Carlisle,what do you want to do? You
want to turn on you? Youjust can't let Jalen brunts him till you
scoring the ball. So how aboutJalen Brunton to lead the game and assist?

(28:48):
At plus one eight? You getan uptick of Halliburton getting more aggressive.
Maybe the Nicks allowed them to doso he doesn't get other guys involved,
and then Carlisle tries to get theball out of Brumpton's hands. Other
people shoot the ball better the entiregame, like the Van Gendo in the
second half plus one eighty, JalenBrunton will lead the game and assists.

(29:10):
So is that you saying that JalenBrunson who has gone for thirty nine plus
in five straight with an over underof thirty seven and a half points.
It's like a Michael Jordan numbers thirtyseven and a half points? Is his
his line right now? Is ittoo high? I think it's too high.
I think here's the thing. Couldhe get forty? Yes? Would

(29:30):
I be surprised to be gone?No? But if I'm Rick Carlisle,
I would put Aaron Naismith on Brunson. If you if you watch Brunton very
closely, and this is just youknow, me being a coach. He
likes to get to what I callthat kill zone, which is which is
that elbow area, and he's sogood at He used to tell guards be

(29:52):
quick, but don't be in ahurry. So he's, oh, you
can't speed him up and he getsto the spot. But if you watch,
he's really good because they call himbig body brunts. It without pushing
off team doesn't enough. When heleaves at you with his shoulder and if
he saw it, he would notnumber it back. If you're Carlisle,
I think you have to put alittle bit of a bigger defender on him.

(30:15):
You know you're not gonna have aPecum or a Kelly Oopre to guard
him. I mean, I don'tthink he'll see Yakim Garden. I think
I'd be crazy. No way Halliburnguards because he can't move. But to
me, Nasmith's guards him. Thatmay make it a little bit more difficult
for Brunson. So that's why Ithink the assists are a better way to
play Jalen than the points. Allright, guys, let's get to the
people's parlay for tomorrow. The waythis works for anyone that does not know

(30:38):
is we sit here sweating out topeople's parlays for tonight. Is we are
going to get Coach's favorite play fortomorrow. He may have tipped his hand
already. Dan will give us his, I will give you mine. We
will put him together and as wealways say, play all the straits,
but also play the parlay, andwe'll chase that big payday. We haven't
hit people's parlay in a little bit. We're due. Let's get back on
the schneid. If it doesn't happentonight tomorrow, let's make that our day.

(31:00):
Coach, what do you got veryas soople, I'm going over.
I think this game is gonna getup and down here, and I think
you have to look at the factthat Carlisle is that's the best way to
play. I don't think people realizethe Knicks are opportunistic in transition, meaning
they're not gonna walk it up.They'll run it up there if they can,

(31:21):
especially if you have guys like JoshHardy is really good going coast to
coast, oh Jen Andobi jumping pastthe lanes. That's a little bit more
of just bright over to twenty two. I like in the total in the
game tomorrow. You can get twotwenty one and a half at a bunch
of places as well. Dan,what do you have? All Right?
I'm going to hockey guys, andI'm taking the over in this Edmonton Vancouver
game tomorrow night. I think it'sgonna be goals galore. These two teams

(31:42):
they played four times this season.Three out of the four they absolutely obliterated
this total. I expect that tomorrownight too. I think there's gonna be
a lot of fireworks out in WesternCanada. It's going to be over six
and a half plus one ten.ESPN bet is the best place I'm seeing.
Love that all right? Well,I am. You know, we
talked about this play last night andwe didn't know if the line was going

(32:04):
to be out in time to makethe bet. It is, and I'm
excited about it. Jeremy swayman ofthe Bruins, over twenty nine and a
half saves. It's thirty and ahalf. At most places you can get
twenty nine and a half, whichspoiler is where we are going to do
the People's parlay Swayman thirty eight savesin Game one against the Panthers doesn't matter
because it was a different team,but he surpassed that line I think three

(32:27):
times in the series against the MapleLeafs in Round one as well. I
just believe that Florida is going tocome out firing after losing Game one.
Look for some of those dirty goals, and the fact that you can get
the twenty nine and a half iscertainly advantageous there over at FanDuel. If
this is being brought to my attention, if you do want to do thirty
and a half, though, ifyou think he'll get that extra save,

(32:50):
you can bump up to plus sixthirty five on ESPN bet. But for
show purposes, we'll take the twentynine and a half because it's still a
robust parlor a twenty nine and ahalf saves for Swayman. The over in
that Oilers game six and a halfat plus money, as Dan mentioned,
and the over in the Knicks Pacersgame on FanDuel that is plus six to
oh one. Fellas love it interesting. I don't bet hockey, but I'll

(33:17):
take it. Come in you aretomorrow, my friend. Now, Dan,
you just mentioned this is a sixtyminute money line on Fame. Yeah,
swayman, does that give us pauseat all? That's interesting? Well,
he had thirty eight and sixty minuteslast night. I expect Florida to
come out firing tomorrow and the Bruinshave been giving up plenty of shots.
I think he's been well over thisfor a while now, even Yeah,

(33:37):
so no, I'm not, Butjust just so you know out there,
this is a sixty minute line onFanDuel. I think other books you can
get it for a full no matterhow long the game goes. Yeah,
no, I'll, i'll I'm comfortablewith FanDuel as well at the six to
oh one. But yeah, coach, you book that thing. You're you're
betting hockey tomorrow. You're gonna besweating this thing out with us. But

(33:57):
we're sweating out that Nicks and Pacersplay. Coach James Young from Sports Great
again. Get him on Twitter atCoach Young NJ Coach. I always enjoy
when you hop on with us.Man, we'll do it again soon.
Thanks guys, take care all right. Hopefully the next pull it out.
I mean, I hope it's along, hard fought series and they get
it done in seven, but Iwould like to see Celtics next. I
think that'd be a lot of funin the next round for a multitude of

(34:20):
reasons. Me sitting here cocky aboutthe seas rightfully, So bank Row Repairs
when we come back. It's timefor your bank roll repair, Howard.
By today's collision, a lot ofgreat stuff from coach James Young, a
lot of good basketball analysis, andtons of prop betting for this next Celtics
game, and of course the NicksonPacers tomorrow. But bank Row Repairs,

(34:44):
let's get into it. Unfortunately minefor tonight and I went after it.
Plus one seventy one did not hitbecause the Baltimore Orioles couldn't do their job.
Shut out by the Washington Nationals.The Hurricanes the other leg there,
they're actually still playing, and Icould done that by itself. It was
minus one twenty and I got alittle greedy. Who knows how that one

(35:05):
plays out. We'll see they're headingto double lot. But Dan Howard,
things looking with yours. We needtwo more goals in this Colorado Dallas game.
Preferably they're both by the Avalanche.Dallas is up three to nothing as
we start the second period with theStars on the power play, so Colorado
really needs to step it up.We can talk a little bit more about
that in our Hockey Talk Hockey segmentcoming up here next hour. But yeah,

(35:27):
we just need two more goals andwe cash mine. All right,
how about for tomorrow? For tomorrow, we're gonna do three legs. It's
gonna be three alt lines and playerprops. Let's start in the NBA.
We'll go Pascal Siakam to have fifteenor more points against the next tomorrow night,
we'll go Isaiah Hartenstein to have atleast eight rebounds in that game too,
and then we'll go to the NHL. We'll have Leon dry Title to
have a point in that game Edmontonversus Vancouver. Put those three together even

(35:51):
money plus one hundred on FanDuel.So I went for it today. I'm
going to go forward to a slightlylesser degree again tomorrow. Same type of
one hockey money line, one baseballmoney line. And there are multiple places
you could go on the diamond ifyou know. For instance, and this
would be a bigger bet, I'mnot doing it, but the Philadelphia Phillies

(36:13):
a very intriguing one with Aaron Nolaon the mound, certainly a heavy favorite,
but I'm going to go with theDodgers as my baseball representative. They
are up for to one early onin their game tonight against the Marlins.
We have an afternoon game three o'clockEastern tomorrow with Stone on the mound against
Weathers. Kind of a matchup ofmediocrity on the mound or you know,
just I mean, very average bothof them. But the Dodgers, they

(36:35):
are the much better team. Infact, you look on bet MGM and
they're spread. Traditional run line spread, as we know, is one and
a half minus two and a halfat plus money is what the Dodgers are
listed at. So the expectation ishigh that the Dodgers win this game.
Over on the ice the likely sweatierbet. We talked about this last night
with Jeff Ulrich, the resident Oilersfan of this show. The Oilers to

(36:55):
win this game against the Canucks.We already know we're chasing goals for Dan
straight play and the People's parlay,but I like the Oilers to score more
of them. Edmonton to win thatgame. They are favorites, marginal favorites
right around minus one. Thirty.You put the Oilers and the Dodgers together
into parlay on bet MGM plus oneforty eight. So that's the play band.

(37:16):
Yeah looks good and I'm playing rightnow. It is down to one
forty seven. Rain on five.Yeah, don't rain on your parade there,
No, that is important. Looka scent moves one way or that.
I'm going to jump on it too. I don't want this thing to,
you know, drop down to oneforty. Heaven forbid. Let's get
into this thing, all right.So what we're gonna do when we come
back after our long top of thehour break is we will have Mike leebof

(37:38):
Action Network join us talk a lotof hockey. We'll get into his expectations
that Oilers can mask game tomorrow andmost importantly of course, the Bruins and
Panthers. We'll do that for acouple of segments, working some baseball with
Scott Reichell a little bit later onfrom the Sports Gambling Podcast Network, and
then before you know it, ournumber two will be up. We're continuing

(37:58):
to track thunders as well as thatof course Avalanche game against the Stars.
So stay with us. There isa lot more coming your way, but
those are the bank or repairs.Everything will be loaded into the Action app.
You can track us there. Downloadthe app. The handle is the
Gambler with ak you can see howwe're doing tonight and everything. Of course,
we'll be posted four tomorrow. Bythe end of the show, we'll

(38:22):
be right back. That was yourbankroll repair powered by Today's Collision with locations
involved in Chelsea, Stoneham and Danvers. Check them out at Today's Collision dot
Com. The Gambler starts now.Here's Adam Kaufman, our number two of
the Gambler. With Adam Kaufman.He're on w RKO keeping an eye on

(38:43):
all the live action. Of course, the thunder on top of the Mavericks.
Early in the second half, wegot a goal from the Avalanche.
We needed that. We need youmore, but that one still has a
long way to go. Twelve minutesand change in the second period. Down
three to one in Dallas, we'regetting too pick please please, that would
help us catch the bank or repair. But we need more goals from the

(39:05):
abs for our straight plays. Andif Taves could get involved and get a
point, that would be very helpfulas well. But early in overtime,
number two. Hurricanes and Rangers noddedat three. So who knows? Play
play it all night, folks.Let's get to some hockey with our buddy
Mike Leebaf from Action Network. Youcan get him on Twitter at the Big

(39:25):
Lebowski that is with too Ease.We always love having him on to talk
hockey, and eventually, I promisewe will do darts. It's it's it's
on the list, Mike. Howare you, Bud? Yeah, yeah,
it's Uh. The darts are comingto Madison Square Guarden a couple of
weeks, so ready for that.But that's amazing. Would they stick to
hockey? Would they have to movethat, Mike if both the Knicks and

(39:50):
Rangers are still playing, or woulddarts take precedent since they have the date?
Oh yeah, you don't. Youdon't have anything for the darts?
Fair enough? It's actually yeah,it's in the Uh, it's the there's
like a theater under the garden,so it's in the it's in the theater
under the garden. So yeah,it could be a chaotic scene with the
darts going on and the hopefully justthe basketball going on above it. Listen,

(40:14):
Knicks fans don't want to half competewith that dart traffic. I mean,
that could be a I hope everybodytook the subway. That's you know,
that's that could get wild before weget to the Bruins, and that
is our main focus, our priorityaround here. But what do you make
of this Hurricanes and Rangers game?We were on the Canes to win this
one. Unfortunately it was part ofa parlay that is already dead. So

(40:36):
ultimately the outcome doesn't matter, butwe believed in the Canes to get the
job done could still happen. Whatwere you feeling going into this one?
Yeah, I mean I've been skepticalof the Rangers for the whole season,
just because I like the way thatthey need to win. They need to
get games on their terms, andbut they just had a way of doing

(40:58):
it, and they're there's such aquick strike offense. Like if you've been
watching this game, it feels likeCarolina has to work so hard I to
get on the board or to gettheir scoring chances, and then the Rangers
just decide when when they want todo it themselves. And that's how it's
been off season. So I thinkwith the goaltending discrepancy, between Anderson and
Sturk, and you know, Istarted to lean towards the Rangers, especially

(41:22):
tonight as a home underdog. Soit's unfortunate, but that's the way I've
been. I've been kind of lookingat the rest of the series. All
right, Well, let's get intothe Bes and Game two tomorrow. I
think surprised a lot of people.Hey, Colorado, Yeah, another one,
got another one. Who's caught.It looks like maybe mccarr. I

(41:43):
probably was mccarr. Was mccardas withan assist by any chance? Maybe hope,
Maybe we'll look good, look good, We'll cash the bank row repair
and keep going. Abs we needwhat two more? Two more? Yeah,
that would yeah, preferably two moreand no more from Dallas, and
we'd hit both bets, so thatwould be that would be wonderful. All
right, So we got to leaveoff here with us. Let's attempt to

(42:04):
stay on focus. And I saythat to me as much as I do
anybody else. The Bruins, Ithink they shocked a lot of people,
not just in taking Game one inFlorida, but really in the way that
they did so, in dominating fashion, a five to one win, just
barely clears the over. It wasa plus money bet if you were on
the bes to win that thing.Really silence the Panthers. One bet that
we have already offered for tomorrow asa show play Jeremy Swayman over twenty nine

(42:29):
and a half saves feels like alow number with him get thirty eight in
game one, because I do thinkthe Panthers are going to come out firing
in that one out of you know, desperation, not wanting to go back
to Boston down two. But whatare your expectations for Game two, Mike?
But also the series? Yeah,I mean I thought we talked a

(42:50):
little bit about this online Change ourHockey bet and podcasts at Action Network that
it did seem like everyone was kindof just writing the Bruins because they had
limited rest, a really tough situationalspot, having we pick themselves back up
for a new opponent after that emotionalseries with the Leafs. But I thought

(43:13):
that the flip side of that wasthat it was almost like a free hit
at the Panthers. Everyone was kindof expecting them to go down, and
the Bruins had very little pressure onthem and they played a great game.
This is a really good team witha really strong defensive structure that makes it
really hard for any team, nomatter how offensively gifted they are, to
get up the ice. So theycan they can raise their own floor significantly

(43:37):
higher than I think most teams inthis in this playoff field, their ceiling
probably is as low as any teamleft. But that just having that floor
so high, especially with the goalie, means that they're going to always be
dangerous. So if you keep touchingthese prices on Boston, I think it's
worth betting them. I do thinkthat at this point you gotta consider if

(44:00):
if you're a Bruins fan and youhaven't bet them to win the Stanley Cupp
or anything, that would just bypassthat and go right to swim into win
the con Smite. But yeah,I mean, I don't think that this
this team should be counted at alljust because they want a series the way
that they have to win that oneagainst the Leafs, like the way that

(44:22):
series has to be played, becauseof way both teams wanted it to be
played, meant it was always goingto be tight. It was always going
to be a bounce and goaltending thatdecided it. But now you've got a
completely different opponent and the Bruins canbeat them in a different way. So,
Mike, I think the Bruins aregoing to get Florida's best, best
punch tomorrow night. I think Florida'sjust going to come out on fire here

(44:45):
to try to even up this series. That price, though, on the
money line, just way too muchfor me at minus one sixty. Different
way I'm looking to play this isFlorida to score first at minus one thirty
at some spots wondering if you diveinto that market at all. Yeah,
I've been similarly. What I've beendoing is when when we get towards the
like the deep end of these series, the deep end of the pool,

(45:07):
I've been betting a lot of scorelessfirst period because and I actually think it
makes a little bit of sense tomorrowbecause, like you said, I think
that Florida will be on its onits toes from the jump Boston. We'll
know that, and we'll try it'sbest to absorb that that first push,
that initial push that they're expecting,and they're so good at doing that that

(45:27):
they'll be totally okay with getting outof that period zero zero or even down
one nothing so if it does playout like that, so I think there's
some value there, and like yousaid, I would lean towards the Pants
to score first there. I dothink the Bruins are still the right side
to play in the sixth. Youknow the money line, but it is

(45:49):
it is hard to envision the Pantsis going down to nothing. But I
think that's why the price is sittingwhere it is. Despite what we saw
in Game one, Rangers with thedouble overtime win, that game has come
to an end, so a twonothing series advantage for New York. There
were a lot of people just towork this in quickly and then we can
circle back. But since it's happeningin real time, there were a lot

(46:12):
of people that were on the Hurricanesto win the Cup, you know,
looking at a real great plus moneybet going into round two. Obviously,
if you're still a believer, it'sgoing to be that much better a number
down two in the series. Butare the Rangers after the trocheck goal to
win things are? How far doyou have this team going? I mean,
do you believe that they are goingto be the team ultimately representing the

(46:36):
Eastern Conference? Yeah? I meanI think at this point you have to
make them the favorite. Right Floridais down one nothing, They're up to
nothing. I think that the Bruins, in a weird way, provide a
different, a different puzzle than thanwhat they they'll be seeing against basically any

(46:57):
other team. You know, likeCarolina wants to be on the front foot.
They want to throw everything they canat the net. Florida similarly,
they want to play with a lotmore action and pressure in their game and
a lot more physicality. But theBruins are going to be happy to sit
back and absorb, and the Rangersare a team that wants to do that
too, right, They don't.They don't necessarily want to puck on their

(47:20):
stick all night. And that's justhow both those teams would play so ilistically
in a weird way, like theBruins would maybe provide the trickiest matchup for
them. But I do think thatthe toughest matchup for the Rangers, just
in terms of the team with thehighest ceiling, would be the one that
they're facing right now in Carolina,and they are taking care of business right

(47:40):
now. Are you going to belooking to jump on Carolina for Game three?
Right when this line comes out?We know how good they've been at
home over the years. I wouldjust bet them to win the Stanley Cup
if you think that they can winyou know, game three, or get
this series back onto level terms rightwhere a Stanley Cup favorite going into this
round for a reason. They wereface favorite to win the series for a
reason. So if they could getthrough this coming out of an O two

(48:04):
hole, they'll be one automatically beinggood form because it requires that to come
back from that deficit, and youknow, two, they'll have dispatched the
team. I think that would givethem the most trouble left in this field.
Well, I'm looking at FanDuel andsure enough, Hurricanes plus nine fifty
now to win the Cup and theRangers at plus three to ninety, not

(48:28):
only the favorites to emerge from theEast, the favorites to win in general,
with the Stars and Oilers behind themat plus four to ten apiece.
We have Michael Leeboff here with usfrom Action Network talking about again tomorrow's Bruins
Panthers Game two, Oilers Canucks Gameone. We haven't even gotten there yet.
We'll do it when we come back. We've got Michael leeb Off here

(48:49):
with us from Action Network talking abouttomorrow's action in the National Hockey League,
including Game two between the Bruins andPanthers. He believes the Bees are the
right side despite the plus money,right around plus one depending on where you're
looking. Obviously, music to ourears. I don't think he's just catering
to his Boston based audience. Butwhat about in terms of props, Mike,

(49:13):
anything in this one that jumps out. I talked about swaying the over
on saves. What about something likeDavid Pasternak over three and a half shots?
Man, I got way too cutewith it. For Game one,
I played Mason lowright to score thefirst goal, and I didn't bet him
to back it up with the anytimegoal scorer. But I mean, he's

(49:36):
been so good for them, soI might actually just go right back to
that. Honestly, the other guyswho like I played a lot of Morgan
geeky during the Least series. Ithink he's been, you know, pretty
good. He's always around the net. I like guys like that, who
who you know these are any timegoal scorer? Perhaps I'm talking about more
than the shots. And then onthe other side, for me, like

(50:00):
Gustav Foresling. I'm always looking athis goalscorer number that's usually double digits on
any time. And he's he's sogifted defensively, but I think his offensive
upside has been underrated. He's verygood at getting pucks through so Foresling,
Geeky Lowrie. Those are kind ofbeen the guys that I'll proba be circling

(50:22):
for goalscorer props. Does Brandon Montourinterest you at all? On his point?
Prop jumps out to me at plusone ten. I mean last year,
I remember against the Browns, hewas involved in like everything. He
had a good first round series againstTampa Bay. He was held off the
score sheet last night. But Iit wouldn't surprise me at all to see
his name in like the assist category. Yeah, no, that's a that's

(50:45):
a good call. Actually he's andhe's someone to like always take a look
at his to score two numbers ifthey get lifted, because you know,
defense and are always massive prices inthat market, but one one or two
might sneak onto the board depending onthe book. And he's his name if

(51:05):
you pop up from now from nowand then, and just what they're how
good their power play is and allthe attention that goes to Ryan hart Montur.
I mean, he can rip itand he's always involved offensively, so
he's someone who I don't mind playingeither. So listen, by all means,
do tell us if you disagree.But we have already given out a
couple of show plays for this Oilersin Canucks. Game one is the over

(51:29):
six and a half goals at plusmoney. You can still get six at
some places, but we attack theplus money at six and a half.
And also we're on the Oilers sidefor them to win the opener of this
second round set. How do yousee this game one playing out? Yeah,
I'm with you on the Oilers.I think minus one forty or better
is a pretty good price here.One thing that I think people didn't really

(51:53):
catch on to until, you know, the last couple of weeks of the
season was that Vancouver was really growinginto a defense defense first team, like
almost a kind of similar version tothe Bruins. They wanted to keep everything
tight and quiet, and when theywould get a lead, they would shut
things down. They were such agood team after if they had a lead

(52:15):
after the second period. I believeit was like forty two to one to
four in the regular season, butyou just can't do that against the Oilers
because they're such a good team aterasing those deficits. So they're going to
take those strengths away from Vancouver orpresent an opposite strength. So I think
stylistically this matchup it's going to justbe too much for Vancouver over the long

(52:37):
run. I'm not going to laythe big price with the Oilers in the
series, but I think game bygame it's pretty manageable. Are you surprised
that the price is so big?I mean, Vancouver went four and oh
against Evington this season. Yeah,I think I would have been interested to
see where landed if Demco was in. But even you know, if you

(52:59):
just for that, it would probablystill have Edmonton that as a decided favorite.
But I think that, you know, the betting community is just so
infatuated with the Oilers this season,and they just got so hot on a
stretch and then I think so much, you know, when you combine that
with the fact that they're going tobe a very public team because of the

(53:20):
goaltending matchup on the other side,it just is a recipe for this number
to get a little out of hand. So I do think it's it is
out of hand, but I understandhow it got there. What are you
expecting in terms of the total inthis game? Yeah, I would be
with I think the over is agood way to attack it, to like

(53:40):
and if you like the Oilers,then you want to thing being parlay.
I think those two things are probablypretty correlated. You'd expect the Canucks would
would want to win a game,you know, three to one, three
two, and the Oilers are quitethe opposite. And if they can get
the Canucks out of their shell abit, open this thing up. But
we could see a couple of crookednumbers. And of course you just don't

(54:04):
know about the goaltender for Vancouver SeaLobs, and we can't overlook the fact
that you know, just Stuart Skinnerisn't you know that can dride it either.
So I do think that this onefeels like it has all the right
ingredients for and over. I justI'd rather just play the Oilers on the
money line myself. So for Michael, for those people out there that don't

(54:25):
bet a ton of hockey in theregular season, but they're really getting into
it in the playoffs. They knowwho Connor McDavid is. What's the best
way to bet Connor McDavid here inthis game? Is it just simply an
any time anytime goalscorer propt at plusone oh five or would you look somewhere
else like a shots or points orsomething like that. Yeah, I don't
know. Is this a cop outanswer? If I say, like,

(54:47):
honestly, the best I think thebest way to bet Connor McDavid is to
bet either Zach Hyman or Leon dreysidelto score a hat trick or score two
plus, depending on you know whatkind of price you're looking for, just
because he's he's clearly, you know, just turned into this player this season
where he wants to. He's gottwo great finishers, Hymen, especially playing

(55:07):
with him at even strength, andHyman is an absolute beast that just finishing
off greade a chances. And assimple as that sound, it's actually a
skill that I don't think many playersin the league are elite at. But
Hymen somehow has become the best inthe league, and obviously McDavid feeding it
to him is it makes it alot easier. But so that's that's one

(55:29):
bet I would look at I thinkHyman already had a hat trick in the
postseason, dry Title's got a twogoal game, and they're that's in a
five game series. So I don'tthink that we've seen the last of those
kind of games from from either oneof those players. So I hope it's
not a cop out to say Iwould just bet Hymen or dry sidle hat
trick rather than the McDavid props.So in Dan's point again, for people

(55:52):
out there that are just casual hockeybetters at best, you know, want
to get a little involved this timeof the year, any trends that you
have followed personally that you feel likehave been here in the postseason advantageous to
you. I know, totals havebeen up and down, so that's not
really something you could rely upon,and it's not like home teams have been
dominating or anything like that, butanything that has stood out to you.

(56:15):
Yeah. The one thing that Ithink is worth looking into is or continuing
to play into, is the trendof these game sevens and elimination games generally
just staying under and why I dothink the the betting market has kind of
clut up to that trend. Ithink that there's ways to still find value

(56:36):
and look like the correlated markets thederivatives. Like I said, the first
period to win scoreless is my favorite. That one usually pops off at like
plus three forty plus three seventy dependingon the matchup. And in those elimination
games, like neither team wants tobreak out of it should be the first
one to make a big mistake orbreak out of its shell. So you

(56:58):
usually see pretty tentative starts. Ifyou are someone who's watching a Bruins game
six or seven, I think thatthat's a good place to start. It's
maybe not the most fun sweat inthe world rooting for no goals for twenty
minutes, but those games six andseven unders are still they're still coming in
for a lot of people who stillwho swear by him in the trends do

(57:22):
back it up. Yeah, you'renot kidding. I was on the unders
in game six and seven of thatBruins maple Leafs series, the Under five
and a half, and was ata party for the first part of game
seven, and people I was gettingeviscerated. People were killing me for going
with the other How are you sittinghere rooting for no goals. I just
know a couple just both on theBruins side. Let's call it at that

(57:43):
point in time. What a gooddefensive showdown. So Michael Leeboff again from
Action Network, get them on Twitterat the Big Lebowski with two e's.
Mike, always enjoy having you on. Man. We'll do it again soon.
Yeah, good luck tomorrow, Gus. All right, you as well.
Check out the line change there withthe Action Network. You can hear
Mike, Nick Martin, Tim Kalanowski, all voices that are familiar to you,

(58:07):
the listeners of this show. Andlet's get in a little baseball.
In fact, we can maybe doa polpe Marie because we are going to
have a first timer on with uswhen we come back. It is Scott
Reichel from the Sports Gambling Podcast Network. If you check out his Twitter,
he's tweeting about everything and I knowhe is a big hockey guy, so
we can get his thoughts on theBruins as well as obviously mixing in thoughts

(58:28):
on tomorrow's board involving lots of daybaseball across the major leagues, keeping tabs
on the action going on. Asmentioned the Thunder. We need him at
minus three and a half early fourthquarter up by ten the Avalanche. This
one's gonna be sweaty, folks.We need something very specific. We need

(58:50):
at least two more ABS go goals. I mean three would be fine.
At least two more ABS goals andideally nothing from the stars. We have
the Avalanche at over three and ahalf goals at play money. We have
the Avalanche on the money line atplus money. So end of two full
period to go, we'll see.We'll be tracking that one a little bit
while we're still on and mostly afterwe get off here and hopefully we can

(59:12):
celebrate a successful people's parlay or two, depending on how everything plays out,
we can have kind of a popearie here with our next guest and a
first timer on the program. Thatis Scott Reichelle Richelle Radio on Twitter.
That is our EI c ch eL Radio, host of Scott Selections for
the Winners Winers, co host ofthe sports gambling podcast Networks, NBA Show

(59:37):
and NFL Show, does a littlebit of everything, even a tennis gambling
podcast. And I know based onhis Twitter feed he is a big hockey
guy. And it's not just thebaseball that we brought him on to talk
about he can do it all.Scott, how are you man? Welcome
to the show? Yeah, doingwell. Thanks for having me absolutely so.
I know we've got you here totalk baseball, and we'll get to

(59:58):
baseball, but since I know youare a hockey guy. We were just
talking with Mike Leeboff from the ActionNetwork all about tomorrow's games, especially of
course Game two between the Bruins andPanthers. After Boston took Game one in
Florida. What are your expectations forthis one? Well, I expect a
much better effort, just in termsof Florida defensively. They got up to

(01:00:19):
a good start, then everything kindof un a rat from that point forward
for the sake of the actual game. Is actually a player prop that I
do like the cash pretty easily.In Game one, despite the Panthers only
scoring one goal, they did getthirty nine shots on goalf, So I
like towyman saves in this game Florida. We saw, for example, Carolina
ended up losing Game one. Theycame out in Game two tonight and they
Pepper SHOs Storking with a lot ofshots even before overtime or the second one

(01:00:43):
I can see some more story here. I do think that Swayman should finish
somewhere in the thirties for staves.I think Florida. Of course, you
can never afford to go down toto Oh we did see the Stars come
back from that bell against Vegas inthe first round. But I do think
for the sake of the overall scriptfor the game, I do expect Florida
to even up the series. Ithink Florida will button up defensively, but
I do think Boston will continue togive up a bunch of shots and Florida

(01:01:05):
had thirty nine in Game one.Give me Swayman over saves is my main
bet for that game. See wealready played it music to our ears,
Dan, Oh, yeah, Iknew you would like that. And yeah,
Scott, the Bruins, they justthey gave up so many shots that
the swaming Overs have just been hittingconsistently throughout the playoffs. Yeah, I
mean, don't fix it. Isn'tbroken. They keep winning, so I

(01:01:27):
may keep letting them to save everyshot. That's for sure. Going to
the NBA tomorrow night, Mike,I know you er Scott, Sorry,
excuse me, I know you're intothat too. Any anything in the in
the NBA that jumps out to you. Yeah, for the NBA. The
question is do I think Indiana's goingactually even up the series or not?
I personally do not. I thinkfour and a half's actually have been on
the cheap side. I know MitchellRobinson is now going to be out for

(01:01:50):
a couple of months, but Ido think you're looking at the Knicks of
minus four and a half being apretty solid deal. I understand the argument
is that Indiana arguably should have wonGame one, and you're looking at those
questionable calls down the stretch that wentin favor of the Knicks. But Brunton
keeps dropping forty points. Indiana defensivelyhas been a mess all season long,
and Halliburton hasn't really done much offensively, especially in Game one. I just

(01:02:15):
think that the matter of the factis that the Knicks I just think have
better star talent, and I dothink they're looking at them dominating on the
boards. They won forty to thirtytwo. Josh Hart ended up having thirteen
rebounds, He had four offensive rebounds, a couple of port ones. I
think the Knicks are actually a cheapnumber here at four and a half.
I understand the argument is Indiana hasthe depths, the nick dully have that,

(01:02:36):
But at the end of the day, I just don't exactly trust Halliburton
enough to generate enough offense in hisown right to actually help Indiana win the
game, not to mention the factthat Indiana constantly lose the free through battle
by a wide margin. The Knicksended up having a seven more free throws
in game one. You might seethat happen again in game two. It
feels like an overreaction to potentially amissed opportunity by Indiana, which is why

(01:02:59):
the markets have reduced the actual line. I'll kind of by low on it.
Give me the next minus four anda half, See Dan, why
don't we just keep chasing some confirmationbias? What do you think of the
total Scott to twenty one and ahalf? Well, the first game was
two thirty eight. We know Indianawants to push the pace, and I
think I kind of have to leanover. A part of me wants to

(01:03:20):
expect a more defensive minded game,but Indiana doesn't really want to do that
because Indiana thrives on just playing uptempo in the fast break. So I'm
gonna lean over. I'm still notexactly sure what Indiana's game plan was for
Jalen Brunson. Maybe you can explainit to me because I still can't figure
it out. They just threw nemhardon an island and Brunson finished with forty
three points. I'll go with theover in this one. I do think

(01:03:43):
it's not gonna be as high scoringas Game one, but I think it
gets somewhere in the mid to hightwo twenties. I'll go with the over
on that one. All right,Let's get to baseball. That's what we
brought you on for in scott There'sthere's one game that's jumping out to me
right away, and it's this CubsPadres game. Hayden Wisnas has been awesome
to start the season, lights outbasically where you got the Padres with Dylan

(01:04:05):
Cees on the mound tomorrow. Iknow his numbers are good, but those
underlying numbers aren't so good. Heis giving up a lot of hard contact.
The Cubbies have been great at home. They're thirteen and five at Riglely
so far this season, and youcan get him at plus money tomorrow against
the San Diego, San Diego teamthat's just kind of mediocre in my opinion.
But what do you make of thismatchup? Yeah, for me,

(01:04:27):
I understand the appeal of getting plusmoney on a better team in general,
because the Cubs are definitely the betterteam than the Padres. You mentioned the
season underlying numbers can be a littlebit concerning, but I do think you
might see a low scoring game tostart, so I actually owline the first
five under in this game. Wesaw that this past night as we ended
up seeing a basically a one nothinggame in the first five innings. I

(01:04:47):
can see another low scoring first coupleof innings there, so I don't mind
the first five under. But atfirst glance, worst case scenario, the
game's a coin flip and you're gettingplus money, So I do think it's
a pretty good deal. Diegos Farzumconcerns a mediocre team and they're a bit
of a psycho team that's constantly overvalued by the odds makers, So I
do like the Cubs at plus one. O'clive, what do you think of

(01:05:09):
the Socks and Braves? Of course, we saw Atlanta take the opener of
their two game set today got ChrisSale on the other side this time around
with the Red Sox at least someof their bats, and certainly the coaching
staff is going to be very familiarwith Nick Pavetta on the mound for Boston,
who is a sub one ERA thisyear. What do you expect from
this game? For this one,I have to at least acknowledge the Boston's

(01:05:30):
lineup should be a lot better becausethey have gone some key pieces back,
even though Cosas is still going tobe out. The issue with Pavetta that
he has not pitched since April third, and I tend to fade guys in
the first appearance after a pretty decentI Elston, So I am wondering how
well Pavetta is going to pitch orif there's gonna be a pitch count associated
with him. I think I haveto go Braves run line here. You're
looking at Sale being solid this season, but it's mostly being concerned about Pavetta's

(01:05:55):
first starting about a month in theBraves' home ballpark. Now the Braves will
pensively not exactly been lighting it uprecently, but I do think it's a
good price with Sale Pavetta. Iunderstand that He's had a good start to
the year before the injuries, butwith a month off, he kan have
to throw those stats in the garbage. So I'm gonna go with this Braves
minus one and a half to getthe job done at home. So something
I've been I've been following throughout theseason so far Scott is the the Athletics

(01:06:19):
have not been as bad as weall thought they would be, and JP
Series is actually a semi decent andyou know, reliable big league pitcher.
He's on the mount tomorrow in gameone of that doubleheader against Texas. I
know the Rangers smacked Oakland around tonight, but the A's could bounce back tomorrow
and pick up a win because Texasjust has been very inconsistent this season.

(01:06:41):
Yeah, I feel like one concernyou might run intwo those that since it
is a double header, you neverknow when they might, you know,
use some tricks and switch around theactual pitchers for the games. The issue
I have with Oakland is that theyoverachieved so much to start the year that
I'm wondering if it's a pretty goodcell high time, and it might be.
I'm looking at the last couple ofgames for Oakland. They have lost
three straight by at least two runsthe game of twelve plus runs in I

(01:07:03):
believe two of the last three games. I am a the concern that Oakland
has become a little bit too popularof a dog, and at some point,
I think none of us are expectingOakland to actually keep this pace.
They might be hitting a bit ofa wall, and the pitching has kind
of imploded recently for the last coupleof days. I understand your point about
Sears. He has been pretty solidthis season, but I think I'm not

(01:07:23):
really interested in backing Oakland right now. I do think that the let's just
say the fun i'd say times ofactually back in this team at a pretty
sizable moneyline price might be behind us, and I think at this point it
might be selling high. I don'tknow if your big money line parlay guy,
you know, put some two threeteams together for a builder a good

(01:07:44):
plus money opportunity. But you know, when you look at some of the
spots. Tomorrow, the Phillies withnol on the mound at home against the
Blue Jays. Cardinals looking for abounce back against the Mets with Sonny Gray,
who has been tremendous so far thisyear. Obviously, the Dodgers are
mighty favorites with stone on the moundat home against the Marlins, and they
are cruising in their game here tonight, the Rays minus two forty against the

(01:08:06):
miserable White Sox as bad as Savallehas been so far this year. The
Chicago is obviously just that bad whoI guess, And obviously the Braves would
sail, but we can leave thatone out. Who do you think is
most likely to let down? IfI have to pick a letdown between those
three teams, the Dodgers should befine. I mean, the Marlins front

(01:08:28):
office admitted this seems terrible. SoI'm not exactly concerned about Miami. I'm
looking at the other teams you mentioned. I gotta be com I gotta be
confident about Philly in general. Ibelieve if you want to pretty say solid
trend Philly. By the way,in the first five innings, they're twenty
one and one in the last twentytwo games in the first five money one,
So yeah, they've been destroying teamsearly in games. So across the

(01:08:49):
elimination, I'll go with the otheroption there. I think it'd be Tampa
if I had to pick one ofthem, because Savale has been a mess,
I did a Tampa run line todayand that worked out by I'm not
sure any of them lose, Butif I had to pick one team that
would be most likely to let up, at least based on the price,
Tampa two point forty with Savale doesfeel a little bit off to me.
I think that should be closer tolike minus one ninety minus two hundred.

(01:09:13):
If one team was gonna blow that, I think it'd be Tampa. I'm
not saying they're going to but Ithink that would be the one team.
So we haven't even asked you thisyet. What what is your favorite way
to bet baseball? Are you asides guy, a totals guy? Props?
Which which way do you like togo the most? That's all the
above. It's a trick question,but mostly I feel like another guy.
I like it. It's a trickquestion, but yeah, but I think

(01:09:33):
sides are tend to be where Ilean more, maybe just based on finding
value based on current form. Someteams, we know baseball is a streaky
sport. You play one hundred andsixty two games. Some teams can be
a bad team but have a goodrun. Some teams you know to be
vice versa. I think sides area good way of actually jumping on a
team that's in a certain form thatthe record doesn't reflect, and as a

(01:09:54):
result, you find pretty large discrepanciesin the marketplace. The Twins, for
example, they're terrible to start theyear. They were gifted one of the
easiest schedules imaginable, and they wontwelve games, and they were being a
bit disrespected during the actual course ofthat winning streak. I'm more of a
side guy. You can find alot of value based on current form if
you actually just notice that the oddsmakersprice a lot of the lines based on

(01:10:15):
their overall season of work, andbaseball is a pretty streak. He's sporting
just in general. So I likeside the most out of all those three.
What are your favorite plays for tomorrow? If there's anything we haven't discussed
yet. Yeah, so my favoriteplays for tomorrow I have to be at
tempted by the under in the Guardiansand Tigers game. Both teams can hit.
We see this. I know thatthey ended up having a pretty solid
offensive showing in the Tuesday game,which ended up with eighteen runs. But

(01:10:40):
Olsen's been solid this year two pointseven ERA with an zero to four record,
which is kind of impressive because thatmeans the team can't score for him.
Baby's been fine. He got sheldin about one or two starts.
He's been solid for the most part. But if you like the under in
that game, both offenses, Ithink we can agree with the exception of
the Tuesday game are not exactly thatthreatening, and I do think that then
there's worth a look there. Besidesthat, Phillies first five I mentioned before,

(01:11:03):
Philly's once again had been phenomenal inthe first five innings for the last
couple of weeks month and change,so I'll go with that as well.
And besides that, I do thinkI am going to be tempted by the
Yankees. Actually with OURGEDI on themound, he's been a mess. I
understand the Astros should not be thisspad, but the os makers still think this
is a good baseball team, andthey're eleven games under, so the odds

(01:11:25):
just feel a little bit off tome on that one Yankees minus one forty
feels like a pretty decent number consideringthe actual record disparity between these two teams.
Are you buying in on the KansasCity Royals, Yeah, Scott twenty
one and sixteen, they've been reallygood at home at fourteen and eight,
their favorites over the Brewers tomorrow.They got some great young pieces that are
performing at the moment. But doyou think they can do this throughout the
entire season. We'll gonna ask whatexactly do you mean buying in? Do

(01:11:49):
you mean winning the division or doyou mean actually being like a potential,
serious dark horse candidate to make aplayoff run, like hanging around being a
playoff team staying in the Central.The AL Central is terrible. Yeah,
I could definitely see that happening.I mean, the Guardians have been good
to start the season. Minnesota wenton a massive winning streak, but I
think all of us are not reallysold on them in general. Kansas City

(01:12:09):
is a pretty interesting team. Thepitching's been okay. The offense, we
know Bobby with how good he is, I think can hang around. I'm
not going to say that they're goingto be guaranteed to be you know,
the potential, or they're going towin the ALE Central, but that division
is kind of a laughing stock witha different a different winner, and pretty
much every year. So I don'tmind the Royals potentially being a team that
can sneak in to win the AleCentral. He might be onto something.

(01:12:32):
I'm not picking them to make adeep playoff run, but do I buy
in on them potentially winning a prettyweak division in general? Yeah? I
can buy into that. Yeah,plus two fifteen to make the playoffs,
and you got that extra wild cardtoo. Yeah? All right? We
got an Avalanche goal to begin thethird period. Just what McKennon forty seconds
in love that love that? Canwe get a Taves assist on the way?

(01:12:56):
That would be nice? It wouldbe if I'm getting greedy. All
right, flee mccar he's everywhere,he is everywhere tonight. It's unbelievable watching
him. Keep it up, Abs, keep it up. We need you
on the money line tonight. Justjust keep going doing what you're doing.
All right, Well, we'll we'llwrap it there. We touched on everything.
I mean, I said, Pope, Marie, and I wasn't kidding.
Scott Reichell, of course, fromthe Sports Gambling Podcast Network, Scott,

(01:13:18):
look forward to having you back here. Man. Clearly you are well
versed in everything, so we canbug you anytime of the year. Yeah,
thanks for having me. Good luckwith the avalanche, all right,
I appreciate that. Good luck withall the plays tomorrow as well. It's
good. It's good to connect withthe fellow volume guy, somebody putting out
dozens of plays and just being acomplete and total degenerate. You can get

(01:13:38):
Scott on Twitter at Reichell Radio.That is our EI C H E L
Radio. So a lot of goodknowledge right there, Dan. Yeah,
But you know what's gonna make memad though, is that McKinnon just scored
that goal and that was Moose's backuppick if we have it, if we
if we don't get the day's pointtonight, I still haven't seen if he's

(01:13:59):
if he's coming in on us there. I know my car had one.
But that's gonna make me really mad. Yeah, that would be irritating.
But look, I mean it iswhat it is. Now we're at Now,
we're at the point where if theAbs win the three and a half
overs hitting because they have to scorea fourth goal. So it's it's things
are looking pretty nicely for us.Yeah, I mean we can we could

(01:14:19):
potentially hit two out of the threeand and that would cash one of the
people's parlays, and and and hopefullywe can get both. All right,
we'll keep you posted on this andput this show to bed. Now,
it's time to put this show tobed with my pillow. So between James

(01:14:43):
Young and Michael Leebov and Scott Riichell, think we got a lot into this
show, Dan, Oh my god, we were everywhere. We were everywhere
two three times. Yeah, no, we fully circled everything. It was
all And the only thing we haven'tmentioned is that NFL scheduled day one week

(01:15:03):
from tomorrow. Yeah, I'll haveto call. Well, let's see how
wrong we can be about the pathsthis time. Oh, that's gonna be
fun. Can't wait for it.Had them at what ten wins both of
us. Yeah, I can guaranteeI will be far below that this year.
But we were as right about Yukonas we were wrong about the Patriots.
Hey, you win some, you'lllose them. You can't hit them

(01:15:24):
all. Yeah, yeah, yeah, that was unfortunate. It will be
uh. I am looking forward toseeing all the new season boosts that the
books come out with, though interms of you know what you can get
after in terms of futures and obviouslyjust you know everything. I mean,
there are gonna be so many options, there always are. Although you know
what we should do too, iswe should I know there are futures up

(01:15:46):
now as well, if we shouldmaybe do a like, if there's anything
you should get in on before theschedule comes out. Mmm, maybe not
a bad idea to mix that innext week. Yeah, we could think
about that for sure. So scheduledays on Wednesday week from tomorrow. Okay,
all right, well we'll definitely haveto have a one of our Pats
favorites on to break that down.We need a Patriots former player, yeah,

(01:16:12):
to start to work in. Wegot the Red Sox, you know
former players. There are some Celticspeople we could reach out to Bruins as
well. We need a former Patriotto become part of this show. Sounds
good to me. They have anyonein mind that's in the gambling space right
now, well, probably not inthe gambling space. James White's doing a
lot of media, Yeah, heis, the mccordy's yeah yeah. And

(01:16:33):
then there's the other guys with theirown pods too, like Ninco and Edelman
and all those guys, and alsotrue, that's not roasting right now.
Like Nate Solder, Yeah, likeNate Solder, what is cop? What
is Nate Solder? Matt Light andDan Copen? I just like, what
were the people in the back rowdoing there to begin with? Yeah,
Willie didn't say anything. Rodney's justsitting. There were all the people in

(01:16:53):
the back row. On the otherside, there was some comedians back there.
I believe there were Bucks players.Oh was there a Levante? David
Ryan Jensen. It's just nobody acknowledgedtheir existence pretty much exactly how it should
be, exactly how it should be. You weren't part of this, you
know, you know, what areyou even doing here? You played with
Brady for a second. Thanks toJames, to Michael, to Scott,

(01:17:15):
to Brian to Dan. I'm Adam. Check out the plays in the Pond.
For the best night's sleep you've everhad, go to mic Pillow dot
com and use the code Gambler.

All Episodes

Episode Transcript

Popular Podcasts

Dateline NBC

Stuff You Should Know

The Nikki Glaser Podcast

.css-15opob5{left:0;position:absolute;top:0.8rem;} All Episodes

.css-14f5ked{margin:0;word-break:break-word;display:-webkit-box;-webkit-box-orient:vertical;box-orient:vertical;-webkit-line-clamp:2;overflow:hidden;}Celtics Win! Game 2 Betting Preview for C's and Bruins

Episode Transcript

Popular Podcasts

.css-r6mb8g{margin:0;word-break:break-word;display:-webkit-box;-webkit-box-orient:vertical;box-orient:vertical;-webkit-line-clamp:1;overflow:hidden;}Dateline NBC

Stuff You Should Know

The Nikki Glaser Podcast

All Episodes

Celtics Win! Game 2 Betting Preview for C's and Bruins

Dateline NBC